grepcent / static financial knowledge base

RADIAN GROUP INC (RDN)

CIK: 0000890926. SIC: 6351 Surety Insurance. Latest 10-K as of: 2026-02-20.

SIC breadcrumb: Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate > Insurance Carriers > SIC 6351 Surety Insurance

SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=890926. Latest filing source: 0001193125-26-061383.

Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.

Business

Read RDN's verbatim Item 1 Business section from its latest 10-K: Business.

Risk Factors

Read RDN's verbatim Item 1A Risk Factors from its latest 10-K: Risk Factors.

Selected Fundamentals

MetricValueUnitFYFiled
Revenue1,197,084,000USD20252026-02-20
Net income582,640,000USD20252026-02-20
Assets8,122,397,000USD20252026-02-20

Financials

Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-20. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000890926.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.

Download these verified figures (annual + quarterly, with per-value filing provenance): JSON · CSV

Flow metrics use full-year FY periods from 10-K/10-K/A filings; balance-sheet metrics use FY-end instants. Free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditures. Missing metrics are omitted rather than fabricated.

Metric2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1,238,452,0001,221,631,0001,273,006,0001,526,955,0001,438,617,0001,329,932,0001,190,726,0001,177,302,0001,206,299,0001,197,084,000
Net income308,253,000121,088,000606,011,000672,309,000393,626,000600,671,000742,934,000603,119,000604,440,000582,640,000
Diluted EPS1.370.552.773.202.003.164.353.773.924.14
Operating cash flow381,724,000360,575,000677,786,000694,431,000658,434,000557,112,000388,298,000529,434,000-663,572,000119,862,000
Capital expenditures12,601,00017,672,0008,534,0001,563,0004,206,000
Dividends paid2,105,0002,154,0002,140,0002,061,00097,458,000103,298,000135,437,000145,908,000151,961,000145,615,000
Share buybacks100,188,0006,00050,053,000300,201,000226,305,000399,100,000400,195,000133,314,000225,059,000431,909,000
Assets5,863,174,0005,900,881,0006,314,652,0006,808,313,0007,948,021,0007,839,185,0007,063,729,0007,593,933,0008,689,535,0008,122,397,000
Liabilities2,990,888,0002,900,843,0002,825,937,0002,759,590,0003,663,668,0003,580,389,0003,144,402,0003,196,128,0004,065,677,0003,340,883,000
Stockholders' equity2,872,286,0003,000,038,0003,488,715,0004,048,723,0004,284,353,0004,258,796,0003,919,327,0004,397,805,0004,623,858,0004,781,514,000
Cash and cash equivalents52,149,00080,569,00095,393,00092,729,00087,915,000151,145,00056,183,00018,999,00019,220,00024,829,000
Free cash flow544,511,000370,626,000520,900,000-665,135,000115,656,000

Ratios

ROE and ROA use period-end equity/assets. Liabilities / equity uses total liabilities divided by stockholders' equity. Current ratio uses current assets divided by current liabilities when both are reported.

Metric2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Net margin24.89%9.91%47.60%44.03%27.36%45.17%62.39%51.23%50.11%48.67%
Return on equity10.73%4.04%17.37%16.61%9.19%14.10%18.96%13.71%13.07%12.19%
Return on assets5.26%2.05%9.60%9.87%4.95%7.66%10.52%7.94%6.96%7.17%
Liabilities / equity1.040.970.810.680.860.840.800.730.880.70

Industry Peer Context

Each number-line places RDN against the min, median, and max of latest reported values among companies in the same SIC industry when at least three peers report that ratio.

Net margin peer context

RDN Net margin versus SIC peer range. Source: grepcent computed from latest SEC companyfacts ratios for SIC industry 6351; peer count 8.RDN Net margin versus SIC peer range. Source: grepcent computed from latest SEC companyfacts ratios for SIC industry 6351; peer count 8.8 SIC peersMin -126.6%Median 47.0%Max 60.8%RDN 48.7%

ROE peer context

RDN ROE versus SIC peer range. Source: grepcent computed from latest SEC companyfacts ratios for SIC industry 6351; peer count 7.RDN ROE versus SIC peer range. Source: grepcent computed from latest SEC companyfacts ratios for SIC industry 6351; peer count 7.7 SIC peersMin -36.2%Median 12.2%Max 15.8%RDN 12.2%

ROA peer context

RDN ROA versus SIC peer range. Source: grepcent computed from latest SEC companyfacts ratios for SIC industry 6351; peer count 8.RDN ROA versus SIC peer range. Source: grepcent computed from latest SEC companyfacts ratios for SIC industry 6351; peer count 8.8 SIC peersMin -11.7%Median 5.7%Max 11.1%RDN 7.2%

Financial Bridges

Waterfall figures reconcile reported SEC companyfacts components. Missing bridges are omitted when required components are not present for the same fiscal year.

Free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditures

RDN FY2025 free cash flow bridge from reported figures.RDN FY2025 free cash flow bridge from reported figures.RDN free cash flow bridgeFY2025: operating cash flow less capital expendituresSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Free cash flow bridgeReported amount$0.0B$125.0M$250.0M$119.9MOperating cash flow-$4.2MCapex$115.7MFree cash flow

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts FY 2025. Operating cash flow: accession 0001193125-26-061383; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | Capital expenditures: accession 0001193125-26-061383; concept PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets; source concepts us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets | Free cash flow: accession 0001193125-26-061383; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets

Financial Charts

RDN revenue, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN revenue, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN RevenueLatest point: FY2025 = $1.2BSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearReported revenue$0.0B$1.0B$2.0BFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.

RDN net income, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN net income, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Net incomeLatest point: FY2025 = $582.6MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearNet income$0.0B$375.0M$750.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.

RDN diluted eps, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN diluted eps, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Diluted EPSLatest point: FY2025 = $4.14/shareSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearDiluted EPS (USD/share)$0.00/share$3.00/share$6.00/shareFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.

RDN operating cash flow, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN operating cash flow, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Operating cash flowLatest point: FY2025 = $119.9MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearOperating cash flow-$750.0M$0.0B$750.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities.

RDN capital expenditures, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN capital expenditures, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Capital expendituresLatest point: FY2025 = $4.2MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearCapital expenditures$0.0B$125.0M$250.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets.

RDN dividends paid, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN dividends paid, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Dividends paidLatest point: FY2025 = $145.6MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearDividends paid$0.0B$125.0M$250.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock.

RDN share buybacks, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN share buybacks, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Share buybacksLatest point: FY2025 = $431.9MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearShare buybacks$0.0B$250.0M$500.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock.

RDN assets, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN assets, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN AssetsLatest point: FY2025 = $8.1BSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearAssets$0.0B$5.0B$10.0BFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: Assets. Source concepts: us-gaap:Assets.

RDN liabilities, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN liabilities, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN LiabilitiesLatest point: FY2025 = $3.3BSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearLiabilities$0.0B$3.0B$6.0BFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: Liabilities. Source concepts: us-gaap:Liabilities.

RDN stockholders' equity, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN stockholders' equity, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Stockholders' equityLatest point: FY2025 = $4.8BSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearStockholders' equity$0.0B$3.0B$6.0BFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: StockholdersEquity. Source concepts: us-gaap:StockholdersEquity.

RDN cash and cash equivalents, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN cash and cash equivalents, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Cash and cash equivalentsLatest point: FY2025 = $24.8MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearCash and cash equivalents$0.0B$125.0M$250.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue. Source concepts: us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue.

RDN free cash flow, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN free cash flow, last 5 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts FY2025.RDN Free cash flowLatest point: FY2025 = $115.7MSource: SEC companyfacts FY2025.Fiscal yearFree cash flow-$750.0M$0.0B$750.0MFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001193125-26-061383; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets.

Quarterly

Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-05-08. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000890926.json.

Flow metrics use discrete quarter-length periods from 10-Q/10-Q/A filings. Q4 revenue and net income are derived only when annual FY and nine-month YTD facts exist for the same fiscal year; derived Q4 values are labeled. EPS Q4 is not derived.

QuarterEnd DateRevenueNet IncomeDiluted EPSMethod
2022-Q22022-06-301.15reported discrete quarter
2022-Q32022-09-301.20reported discrete quarter
2023-Q12023-03-310.98reported discrete quarter
2023-Q22023-06-30290,413,000146,087,0000.91reported discrete quarter
2023-Q32023-09-30313,533,000156,582,0000.98reported discrete quarter
2023-Q42023-12-31326,022,000142,693,000derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD
2024-Q12024-03-31319,418,000152,354,0000.98reported discrete quarter
2024-Q22024-06-30321,147,000151,903,0000.98reported discrete quarter
2024-Q32024-09-30333,857,000151,892,0000.99reported discrete quarter
2024-Q42024-12-31315,861,000148,291,000derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD
2025-Q12025-03-31318,114,000144,558,0000.98reported discrete quarter
2025-Q22025-06-30318,004,000141,796,0001.02reported discrete quarter
2025-Q32025-09-30303,186,000141,443,0001.03reported discrete quarter
2025-Q42025-12-31300,512,000154,843,000derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD
2026-Q12026-03-31466,337,000124,093,0000.89reported discrete quarter

Quarterly Charts

RDN quarterly revenue, last 12 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.RDN quarterly revenue, last 12 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.RDN Quarterly RevenueLatest point: 2026-Q1 = $466.3MSource: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.Fiscal quarterQuarterly Revenue$0.0B$250.0M$500.0M2023-Q22023-Q32023-Q42024-Q12024-Q22024-Q32024-Q42025-Q12025-Q22025-Q32025-Q42026-Q1

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-03-31; accession 0001193125-26-215018; filed 2026-05-08. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.

RDN quarterly net income, last 12 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.RDN quarterly net income, last 12 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.RDN Quarterly Net incomeLatest point: 2026-Q1 = $124.1MSource: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.Fiscal quarterQuarterly Net income$0.0B$125.0M$250.0M2023-Q22023-Q32023-Q42024-Q12024-Q22024-Q32024-Q42025-Q12025-Q22025-Q32025-Q42026-Q1

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-03-31; accession 0001193125-26-215018; filed 2026-05-08. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.

RDN quarterly diluted eps, last 12 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.RDN quarterly diluted eps, last 12 periods. Source: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.RDN Quarterly Diluted EPSLatest point: 2026-Q1 = $0.89/shareSource: SEC companyfacts 2026-Q1.Fiscal quarterQuarterly Diluted EPS (USD/share)$0.00/share$0.75/share$1.50/share2022-Q22022-Q32023-Q12023-Q22023-Q32024-Q12024-Q22024-Q32025-Q12025-Q22025-Q32026-Q1

Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-03-31; accession 0001193125-26-215018; filed 2026-05-08. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.

Macro Cross-References

Latest quarter (10-Q)

Latest 10-Q source: 0001193125-26-215018.

Extracted structurally from real Item 2 body heading to real Item 3/4 boundary. Published MD&A gate trimmed front/tail over-capture. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2026-05-08. Report date: 2026-03-31.

Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The disclosures in this quarterly report are complementary to those made in our 2025 Form 10-K and should be read in conjunction with our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in this report, as well as our audited financial statements, notes thereto and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our 2025 Form 10-K.

The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, provides information that evaluates our financial condition as of March 31, 2026, compared with December 31, 2025, and our results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025.

Investors should review the “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” herein and in our 2025 Form 10-K for a discussion of those risks and uncertainties that have the potential to adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows or prospects. Our results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the full year or for any other period. See “Overview” below and Note 1 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

INDEX TO ITEM 2Page
Overview56
Key Factors Affecting Our Results58
Insured Portfolio Metrics59
Results of Operations—Consolidated64
Results of Operations—Mortgage Segment69
Results of Operations—Specialty Segment73
Results of Operations—Corporate Category76
Liquidity and Capital Resources77
Critical Accounting Estimates83

Overview

For nearly 50 years, we have served as a leading private mortgage insurer, expanding access to affordable, responsible and sustainable homeownership. We believe we are differentiated from our peers by our proprietary risk analysis and risk management capabilities, informed by decades of mortgage data and intelligence. In recent years, our mortgage insurance business has generated positive results, including strong earnings and cash flow.

A pivotal milestone in our strategic evolution was our recent acquisition of Inigo, a highly respected Lloyd’s specialty insurer, which closed on February 2, 2026. We believe that combining the embedded value of our mortgage insurance business with the growth potential of a disciplined specialty insurance and reinsurance business through this acquisition positions us to create a capital-efficient diversified insurance business. Effective as of the first quarter of 2026, we manage our business in two reportable business segments, Mortgage and Specialty. Together, Radian’s Mortgage and Specialty businesses create a global multi-line specialty insurer.

Our financial performance was strong in the first quarter of 2026. Our consolidated results for the first quarter of 2026 reflect the addition of our Specialty segment following the acquisition of Inigo, with net income from continuing operations of $129 million, a 10.8% return on equity from continuing operations and pretax income from continuing operations of $174 million. Adjusted pretax operating income was $232 million, with a 14.7% adjusted net operating return on equity. The expansion of our business mix drove higher revenues, partially offset by higher provision for losses and expenses. With the closing of the Inigo acquisition, we believe we have taken a significant step to diversify our earnings and position the Company for long-term growth.

56

Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Mortgage

Our Mortgage segment continued to serve as a solid foundation for our financial results, generating strong earnings and cash flow in the first quarter of 2026. Our Mortgage segment contributed $221 million of adjusted pretax operating income, with net premiums earned of $238 million. Our mortgage insurance in force portfolio was $281.7 billion as of March 31, 2026, inclusive of $13.5 billion of NIW. We continued to observe low default and claim rates and steady cure activity, supporting favorable loss performance.

Consistent with the trends observed in recent periods, the economic and market conditions impacting our Mortgage results for the first quarter of 2026 remained generally favorable. These trends include: (i) a strong credit environment; (ii) a strong Persistency Rate due to the interest rates of mortgages in our insured portfolio generally remaining below prevailing interest rates, although refinance activity increased in the first quarter of 2026; and (iii) strong mortgage insurance fundamentals, including stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened servicing standards and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes.

Specialty

On February 2, 2026, we closed the acquisition of Inigo, making the first quarter of 2026 the first period in which the Specialty segment is included in our financial results. Our Specialty segment writes insurance and reinsurance coverage through multiple lines of business including property, casualty, financial lines and other specialty lines focusing on core classes of insurance and reinsurance where we believe we possess technical expertise.

For the two months of activity ended March 31, 2026, our Specialty segment contributed $40 million of pretax operating income, with net premiums earned of $164 million, and achieved a Combined Ratio of 85.3%. We believe this performance reflects strong underlying profitability, effective risk selection and disciplined underwriting and portfolio management.

The property, casualty and other specialty insurance markets in which the Specialty segment operates are influenced by market cycles, competitive pressures and evolving risk landscapes. This market demands a disciplined approach to underwriting, effective risk selection and robust data and analytics to navigate increasing competition, particularly in short-tail property lines. Factors such as claims inflation, geopolitical risks and climate change further shape the specialty insurance environment.

During the first quarter of 2026, the specialty insurance and reinsurance markets experienced continued softening pricing conditions, particularly across property and reinsurance classes, following several years of strong underwriting profitability and a relatively benign catastrophe environment in 2025, which has continued in early 2026. Increased availability of capacity from both traditional markets and alternative capital, including catastrophe bonds, intensified competitive pressures and resulted in risk‑adjusted rate reductions. Market conditions and the premium rate environment remain differentiated by line of business, and the softening pricing conditions have been most pronounced in U.S. property insurance and property catastrophe reinsurance.

We expect competitive and pricing pressures to persist through the remainder of 2026, particularly in catastrophe-exposed classes. In response to market conditions, Inigo remains focused on underwriting profitability through the cycle and we expect to continue to emphasize margin‑focused underwriting, including selective reductions in lines, non‑renewal of inadequately priced risks, portfolio re‑shaping initiatives and targeted growth in classes and segments where pricing and structural protections remain acceptable.

Geopolitical developments also influenced market conditions during the first quarter of 2026. The escalation of hostilities in the Middle East introduced heightened uncertainty across political violence, aviation war, cyber, energy and related specialty insurance markets. While reported loss activity to date has been limited, the evolving situation presents a heightened risk of loss with respect to insured risks in the region, reinforcing the importance of disciplined risk selection, exposure management and reinsurance protection. The Company continues to monitor geopolitical developments and evolving market conditions, including potential increased volatility in financial markets.

Outlook

Looking ahead to the remainder of 2026, our priorities include continuing to deliver strong, consistent performance in our Mortgage segment, executing on the strategic development and selective growth of our Specialty segment and maintaining a

57

Part I. Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

disciplined approach to capital management. We believe our ability to consistently generate excess capital through cycles and redeploy it with discipline is a core competitive advantage. Our capital management philosophy prioritizes maintaining financial strength, investing in growth and responsibly returning excess capital to stockholders. Despite risks and uncertainties related to the current economic and market conditions, we continue to have a favorable outlook for our businesses based on the fundamentals in both our Mortgage and Specialty segments.

Legislative and Regulatory Developments

We are subject to comprehensive regulation and supervision in the jurisdictions in which our subsidiaries operate. For a description of significant U.S. state and federal regulations and other requirements of the GSEs that are applicable to our mortgage insurance business, as well as legislative and regulatory developments affecting the housing finance industry, see “Item 1. Business—Regulation—State Regulation” and “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation” in our 2025 Form 10-K. For a description of the U.K. regulatory requirements and framework and other requirements and regulations of Lloyd’s that are applicable to our specialty insurance business, see “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Regulation of Inigo” in our 2025 Form 10-K. There were no significant regulatory developments impacting our businesses from those discussed in our 2025 Form 10-K, other than the following.

Credit Score Models. In October 2022, the FHFA announced that as part of a multi-year effort, the GSEs intend to replace their use of Classic FICO credit scores with FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 credit scores, which are intended to improve accuracy by capturing additional payment histories for borrowers when available, such as rent, utilities and telecom payments. In July 2025, FHFA announced that the GSEs would allow lenders to use a credit score generated by either the Classic FICO model or the VantageScore 4.0 model. Most recently, in April 2026, FHFA announced that the GSEs will immediately accept loans with the VantageScore 4.0 model for certain approved lenders and will begin moving forward with FICO 10T. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development also announced that FHA will permit the use of VantageScore 4.0 and FICO 10T as eligible credit score models for FHA-insured loans. As a mortgage insurer, Radian Guaranty uses credit scores in several areas of its operations and the adoption and implementation of the new credit scores requires planning and analysis to, among other things, understand how these scores calibrate to Radian Guaranty’s credit risk models. The Company continues to evaluate the impact of this most recent announcement, and while we expect there to be operational impacts, we do not expect it to have a material impact on our results of operations or financial condition.

Basel III. Over the past several decades, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has established international benchmarks for assessing banks’ capital adequacy requirements (“Basel III”). Included within those benchmarks are capital standards related t

[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]

Latest 10-K MD&A

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Published MD&A gate trimmed front/tail over-capture. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2026-02-20. Report date: 2025-12-31.

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.

Some of the information in this discussion and analysis or included elsewhere in this report, including information with respect to our projections, plans and strategy for our business, are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including those discussed under “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” and in the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

INDEX TO ITEM 7Page
Overview75
Key Factors Affecting Our Results77
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics80
Results of Operations—Consolidated85
Liquidity and Capital Resources94
Critical Accounting Estimates101

Overview

As a leading U.S. private mortgage insurer, Radian provides solutions that expand access to affordable, responsible and sustainable homeownership and helps borrowers achieve their dream of owning a home. As of December 31, 2025, we had one reportable business segment, Mortgage Insurance.

Our Mortgage Insurance segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans.

In addition to our Mortgage Insurance segment, we previously reported in an All Other category activities consisting of: (i) income (losses) from assets held by Radian Group, our holding company; (ii) general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segment; and (iii) the results from certain other immaterial activities and operating segments, including our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As further described in Notes 1 and 3 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, in September 2025, following a comprehensive strategic review, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a plan to divest our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As a result, we have reclassified the results related to these businesses to discontinued operations for all periods presented in our consolidated statements of operations.

Also in the third quarter of 2025, following the comprehensive strategic review, we announced that we had entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Inigo, a Lloyd’s specialty insurer, as part of the Company’s planned strategic transformation to a global multi-line specialty insurer. See Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on this acquisition, which closed on February 2, 2026. We will begin to include Inigo’s results in our consolidated financial statements beginning in the first quarter of 2026.

Consistent with the trends observed in recent periods, the economic and market conditions impacting our results for the year ended 2025 remained generally favorable. These trends include: (i) a strong credit environment and housing market; (ii) higher Persistency in our Mortgage Insurance business due to low levels of mortgage refinancings, resulting from the interest rates of mortgages in our insured portfolio generally remaining below prevailing interest rates; and (iii) strong mortgage insurance fundamentals, including stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened servicing standards and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes. We are monitoring trends in different credit asset classes, including recent reports of stress in certain asset classes, however the loans

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in our portfolio and loans in the broader conventional mortgage segment continue to perform well. We continue to experience strong cure activity and low claims levels. See also “Key Factors Affecting Our Results,” below for additional discussion of the primary factors affecting the operating environment for our Mortgage Insurance business. Despite risks and uncertainties, including those set forth in “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” our outlook on the Mortgage Insurance business remains positive.

The following charts provide a perspective on mortgage origination volumes and private mortgage insurance penetration in recent periods.

Mortgage origination market (1)

Origination Market (In billions)Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
Refinance$49$63$57$50$61$66$91$139$102$137$154$235
Purchase259358346298286361366323276374380341
Total$308$421$403$348$347$427$457$462$378$511$534$576

Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market (1)

Market Penetration (%)Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025
Purchase24.4%22.4%22.3%19.4%19.8%21.7%21.8%21.9%19.9%20.4%20.8%20.9%
Overall21.0%19.4%19.4%17.0%16.8%18.7%18.1%17.0%15.3%15.9%15.8%15.2%
Refinance2.9%2.3%2.0%2.3%2.7%2.5%3.3%5.5%3.0%3.6%3.4%6.9%

(1)
Based on actual dollars generated in the credit enhanced market as reported by HUD and publicly reported industry information. Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.

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Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections indicate that total mortgage originations are expected to reach approximately $2.3 trillion in 2026, representing an increase of 15% compared to 2025.

Based on estimates of private mortgage insurance penetration, the private mortgage insurance market is projected to be moderately larger in 2026 relative to the estimated $300 billion market size in 2025. Homebuyer demand and a potential modest decline in interest rates would support a growing purchase market in 2026, which is expected to benefit mortgage insurers due to the higher propensity for purchased loans to require private mortgage insurance compared to refinanced loans. Additionally, an anticipated decrease in interest rates would be expected to result in increased refinance originations in 2026.

As we enter 2026, rate softening is occurring in several insurance and reinsurance lines in which our Specialty Insurance business participates, which is primarily attributable to excess capacity after a benign loss year in 2025. In the area of reinsurance, this can impact both premiums written for reinsurance coverage we write as well as the cost of coverage for reinsurance and retrocession coverage we obtain.

See Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our business. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” and “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics” below for additional discussion on specific key drivers that affect our performance.

Key Factors Affecting Our Results

The discussion below summarizes the key factors affecting our Mortgage Insurance business.

Mortgage Insurance

NIW

Our current business strategy for our Mortgage Insurance business is to write NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio’s health, balance and profitability. NIW increases our IIF and our premiums written and earned. NIW is affected by the overall size of the mortgage origination market, the penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance into the overall mortgage origination market and our market share of the private mortgage insurance market. Private mortgage insurance penetration has generally been higher on new mortgages for purchased homes than on the refinance of existing mortgages because average LTVs are typically higher on home purchases, and therefore, these lower down payment loans are more likely to require mortgage insurance. The penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance is mainly influenced by: (i) the competitiveness of private mortgage insurance for GSE conforming loans compared to FHA and VA insured loans and (ii) the relative percentage of mortgage originations that are for purchased homes versus refinancings.

IIF and Persistency

Our IIF is one of the primary drivers of our future premiums that we expect to earn over time. Although not reflected in the current period financial statements, nor in our reported book value, we expect our IIF to generate substantial earnings in future periods due to the high credit quality of our current mortgage insurance portfolio and our expectations for future Persistency Rates.

The ultimate profitability of our Mortgage Insurance business is affected by the impact of mortgage prepayment speeds on the mix of business we write. The measure for assessing the impact of policy cancellations on our IIF is our Persistency Rate, defined as the percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time. Assuming all other factors remain constant, over the life of the policies, prepayment speeds have an inverse impact on IIF and the expected revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Slower loan prepayment speeds, demonstrated by a higher Persistency Rate, result in more IIF remaining in place, providing increased revenue from Monthly Premium Policies over time as premium payments continue. Earlier than anticipated loan prepayments, demonstrated by a lower Persistency Rate, reduce IIF and the revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Among other factors, prepayment speeds may be affected by changes in interest rates and other macroeconomic factors. A rising interest rate environment generally will reduce refinancing activity and result in lower prepayments, whereas a declining interest rate environment generally will increase the level of refinancing activity and therefore increase prepayments.

In contrast to Monthly Premium Policies, when Single Premium Policies are canceled by the insured because the loan has been paid off or otherwise, we accelerate the recognition of any remaining unearned premiums, net of any refunds that

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may be owed to the borrower. Although these cancellations reduce IIF, assuming all other factors remain constant, the profitability of our Single Premium business increases when Persistency Rates are lower.

Premiums

The premium rates we charge for our insurance are based on multiple borrower, loan and property characteristics. The mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and private mortgage insurers compete with each other and with the FHA and VA with respect to price and other factors.

Our pricing is risk-based and is intended to generally align with the capital requirements under the PMIERs, while also considering pricing trends within the private mortgage insurance industry among other factors. As a result, our pricing is expected to generate relatively consistent returns across the credit spectrum. In developing our pricing strategies, we monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to maximize the long-term economic value of our portfolio by balancing credit risk, lender and geographic concentration risk, profitability and volume considerations, and aim to achieve an overall risk-adjusted rate of return on capital given our modeled performance expectations. Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including the success of our pricing strategy, economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital we hold, including amounts that may be in excess of minimum PMIERs financial and statutory capital requirements. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.”

Our pricing actions gradually affect our results over time, as existing IIF cancels and is replaced with NIW at current pricing. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics—New Insurance Written” for additional information.

Premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” As discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “IIF and Persistency” above.

Monthly Premium Policies typically provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter. Generally, a borrower is able to cancel the policy when the LTV reaches 80% of the original value, and the servicer is required to review the policy for automatic cancellation on the date the LTV is scheduled to reach 78% of the original value. As a result, the volume of loans that remain insured after 10 years and would be subject to the premium reset is generally not material in relation to the total loans originated. However, to the extent the volume of loans resetting from year to year varies significantly, the trend in earned premiums may also vary.

Losses

Incurred losses reduce our pretax income from continuing operations and represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in our estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans. Factors influencing incurred losses include:


The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims). See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics—Insurance and Risk in Force;”


The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses);


The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses;


Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied);

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The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and


Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our Mortgage Insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk. The objectives of our risk distribution strategy include: (i) supporting our overall capital plan by reducing our cost of capital, increasing capital efficiency and enhancing our projected returns on capital and (ii) reducing portfolio risk and financial volatility through economic cycles. We have distributed risk through traditional quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as to investors through the capital markets using mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions.

When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. These arrangements reduce our earned premiums but also reduce our net RIF, which provides capital relief, including under the PMIERs financial requirements. In addition, our incurred losses are reduced by any incurred losses ceded in accordance with the reinsurance agreement, which reduces the volatility of our provision for losses in certain stressed economic environments, and we often receive ceding commissions from the reinsurer as part of the transaction, which, in turn, reduce our reported operating expenses and policy acquisition costs.

Our XOL Program accesses reinsurance coverage through traditional excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as through the capital markets through the Eagle Re Issuers’ mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions. Our XOL Program reduces our earned premiums, but also reduces our net RIF and PMIERs financial requirements, and potentially our incurred losses, which are allocated in accordance with the structure of the transaction. The Eagle Re Issuers are special purpose VIEs that are not consolidated in our consolidated financial statements because we do not have the unilateral power to direct those activities that are significant to their economic performance.

See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance arrangements, including the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers.

Investment Income

Investment income is determined primarily by the investment balances held and the average yield on our overall investment portfolio. Increases in our investment balances and average yields result in higher pretax income from continuing operations and operating cash flows, while declining balances and yields can negatively affect our financial results.

Other Operating Expenses

Our other operating expenses include salaries and other base employee costs, variable and share-based incentive compensation and other general operating expenses, such as fees for professional and consulting services, software, rent and depreciation, among other costs. Employee related expenses are driven by our headcount, which can fluctuate due to the amount of our NIW and IIF, as well as our plans for other business initiatives. Our other operating expenses may also fluctuate due to the impact of performance on our incentive compensation programs, as a result of our pay-for-performance approach to compensation that is based on the level of achievement of both short-term and long-term goals.

These operating expenses are reported net of ceding commissions associated with our QSR Program. As a result, changes to our QSR Program and the amount of our ceded premiums earned also can impact our other operating expenses.

Other Factors

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments also may impact our consolidated results in the ordinary course. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods, as the activity is

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highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles.

Unrealized gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading or equity securities. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in realized economic gains or losses.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics

New Insurance Written

The following table provides selected information for the periods indicated related to our Mortgage Insurance NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

NIW
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202520242023
NIW$55,166$51,984$52,670
Primary risk written$14,495$13,186$13,533
Average coverage percentage26.3%25.4%25.7%
NIW by loan purpose
Purchases92.1%95.3%98.5%
Refinances7.9%4.7%1.5%
NIW by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums96.6%96.4%96.0%
Direct single premiums3.4%3.6%4.0%
NIW by FICO score (1)
=74066.1%69.6%65.4%
680-73929.1%25.1%28.9%
620-6794.8%5.3%5.7%
=6190.0%0.0%0.0%
NIW by LTV (1)
95.01% and above16.6%16.1%16.9%
90.01% to 95.00%44.2%38.0%39.4%
85.01% to 90.00%30.2%31.8%29.9%
85.00% and below9.0%14.1%13.8%

(1)
At origination.

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Insurance and Risk in Force

Year of origination - IIF
($ in billions)IIF as of:
By vintageDecember 31, 2025December 31, 2024December 31, 2023
2025$52.318.5%$%$%
202442.715.1%49.317.9%%
202338.313.6%45.316.5%50.618.7%
202247.116.7%54.219.7%60.522.4%
202143.315.3%53.519.4%65.724.3%
202027.19.6%34.112.4%45.116.7%
2009 - 201925.99.2%32.211.7%40.415.0%
2008 & Prior5.82.0%6.52.4%7.72.9%
Total$282.5100.0%$275.1100.0%$270.0100.0%

The primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time is our IIF, which increases as a result of our NIW and decreases as a result of policy cancellations and amortization.

Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Higher interest rate environments generally decrease refinancings, which decrease the cancellation rate of our insurance and positively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table below: (i) our 12-month Persistency Rate at December 31, 2025, was flat as compared to the same period in 2024 and (ii) our quarterly, annualized Persistency Rate decreased at December 31, 2025, as compared to the same period in 2024. We believe the decrease in the quarterly, annualized Persistency Rate is primarily attributable to an increase in refinance activity in the fourth quarter of 2025, a result of the decline in interest rates in that quarter, as further described below.

Following three consecutive years of benchmark interest rate increases, the U.S. Federal Reserve initiated its first benchmark interest rate reductions in late 2024, followed by additional reductions occurring between September 2025 and December 2025. Typically, lower benchmark interest rates lead to a reduction in longer-term U.S. treasury rates and result in lower mortgage interest rates and a corresponding increase in mortgage refinance transactions. However, we do not expect these recent interest rate changes will have a significant impact on our Persistency Rate in the near term. As of December 31, 2025, approximately half of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate of 5.5% or less, which remains below the current prevailing mortgage interest rates based on reported industry averages. If mortgage rates were to decrease further, however, refinance volumes could increase, similar to the effect observed in the fourth quarter of 2025, which could have a negative impact on our Persistency Rate and the size of our IIF portfolio. See “If the length of time that our mortgage insurance policies remain in force declines it could result in a decrease in our future revenues” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

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The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to Mortgage Insurance IIF and RIF. Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

IIF and RIF
As of December 31,
($ in millions)202520242023
Primary IIF$282,519$275,126$269,979
Primary RIF$74,704$72,074$69,710
Average coverage percentage26.4%26.2%25.8%
Persistency Rate (12 months ended)83.6%83.6%84.0%
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1)81.6%82.7%85.8%
Primary RIF by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums91.0%90.0%88.9%
Direct single premiums9.0%10.0%11.1%
Primary RIF by FICO score (2)
=74060.7%60.1%58.5%
680-73932.4%32.6%33.9%
620-6796.7%7.0%7.3%
=6190.2%0.3%0.3%
Primary RIF by LTV (2)
95.01% and above20.7%19.8%18.6%
90.01% to 95.00%48.6%47.9%48.2%
85.01% to 90.00%26.4%27.3%27.1%
85.00% and below4.3%5.0%6.1%

(1)
The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

(2)
At origination.

At December 31, 2025, 91% of our total Primary Mortgage RIF are Monthly and Other Recurring Premium Policies. Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a much larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase in IIF generally has a corresponding positive impact on premiums earned, while a decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding negative impact on premiums earned. Reductions in IIF through cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments, as well as other insurance policy terminations such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time.

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The following table provides our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF by year of origination and selected information related to that risk as of the dates indicated.

Year of origination - RIF
December 31,
20252024
($ in millions)RIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for LossesRIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for Losses
2025$13,7574530.3%1.2%$%%
202410,8651,8261.5%7.3%12,5165850.4%1.7%
20239,9162,8532.4%13.9%11,6772,1171.6%9.4%
202212,4444,5033.0%24.6%14,1214,1812.5%23.2%
202112,0674,1892.7%18.6%14,4134,1242.2%19.9%
20207,4582,0441.8%7.4%9,3022,2151.6%8.9%
2009 - 20196,7345,9984.2%17.1%8,3957,0084.0%23.7%
2008 and prior1,4633,3647.9%9.9%1,6503,8258.1%13.2%
Total$74,70425,230100.0%$72,07424,055100.0%

Historical loan performance data indicates that credit scores and underwriting quality are key drivers of credit performance, and loan originations after 2008 have consisted primarily of high credit quality loans with significantly better credit performance than loans originated during 2008 and prior periods.

The following table illustrates the trends of our cumulative incurred loss ratios by year of origination and development year.

Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1)
VintageDec 2016Dec 2017Dec 2018Dec 2019Dec 2020 (2)Dec 2021 (2)Dec 2022Dec 2023Dec 2024Dec 2025
20162.9%5.0%4.8%4.7%9.7%8.0%3.7%2.7%2.1%1.9%
20174.7%5.1%6.1%14.3%11.9%5.1%3.7%2.9%2.5%
20183.0%6.4%22.8%19.0%7.2%4.9%3.9%3.5%
20192.8%35.6%23.5%6.8%4.6%3.5%3.1%
202025.6%14.9%6.0%3.8%3.1%2.7%
20217.9%10.9%9.1%8.0%7.3%
20229.4%15.2%17.0%17.6%
20237.1%12.6%14.6%
20246.9%11.2%
20255.6%

(1)
Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(2)
Losses incurred in 2020 and 2021 across all vintages were elevated due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Geographic Dispersion

The following table provides, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 states in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2025).

Top 10 U.S. states - RIF
December 31,
20252024
Top 10 StatesRIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
Texas10.5%12.8%10.3%11.8%
California8.0%8.8%8.3%8.9%
Florida5.5%8.0%5.5%8.4%
Illinois5.0%5.8%5.1%5.8%
Virginia4.3%2.5%4.4%2.5%
Maryland3.9%4.2%3.9%3.4%
Colorado3.8%2.7%3.7%2.2%
Washington3.8%2.4%3.7%1.8%
Pennsylvania3.7%3.0%3.7%3.2%
New York3.6%6.3%3.9%7.1%
Total52.1%56.5%52.5%55.1%

The following table provides, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2025).

Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF
December 31,
20252024
Top 10 CBSAs (1)RIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ4.6%7.6%5.0%8.9%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN4.5%5.2%4.7%5.5%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV4.2%4.0%4.4%3.5%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX3.4%4.8%3.4%3.9%
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX3.0%4.1%3.0%4.3%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2.6%2.1%2.7%2.4%
Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO2.5%1.7%2.4%1.5%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA2.2%1.3%2.2%1.0%
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI2.1%1.9%2.2%1.8%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA2.1%2.5%2.3%2.2%
Total31.2%35.2%32.3%35.0%

(1)
CBSAs are metropolitan areas and may include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our Mortgage Insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile.

The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our

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Results—Mortgage Insurance—Risk Distribution” and Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance transactions.

The following table provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.

PMIERs benefit from risk distribution
December 31,
($ in thousands)202520242023
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets
QSR Program$913,212$745,197$614,796
XOL Program
Traditional reinsurance agreements479,501160,742218,294
Mortgage insurance-linked notes program388,983558,939770,335
Total XOL Program868,484719,681988,629
Total PMIERs impact$1,781,696$1,464,878$1,603,425
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets31.8%27.4%30.6%

See “Results of Operations—Consolidated—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” for information about the impact on premiums earned from each of Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs.

Results of Operations—Consolidated

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for 2025, 2024 and 2023 primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our Mortgage Insurance business.

As further described in Note 3 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, in the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a plan to divest our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses. As a result, we have reclassified the results related to these businesses to discontinued operations for all periods presented in our consolidated statements of operations. Certain corporate expenses that were previously allocated to these businesses, as well as other general corporate expenses and income (losses) from assets held by Radian Group, were not reclassified to discontinued operations, and therefore have been reallocated to the Mortgage Insurance segment.

All amounts included in this “Results of Operations—Consolidated” section relate to continuing operations unless otherwise noted.

In addition to the results of our Mortgage Insurance reportable segment, pretax income (loss) from continuing operations is also affected by other factors. See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below and “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” for more information.

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The following table highlights selected information related to our consolidated results of operations for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - consolidated
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts)2025202420232025 vs. 20242024 vs. 2023
Revenues
Net premiums earned$941,865$939,237$909,363$2,628$29,874
Net investment income248,764264,814252,093(16,050)12,721
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(24)(4,347)9,4054,323(13,752)
Other income6,4796,5956,441(116)154
Total revenues1,197,0841,206,2991,177,302(9,215)28,997
Expenses
Provision for losses66,768(2,248)(42,136)(69,016)(39,888)
Policy acquisition costs25,03927,31624,5782,277(2,738)
Other operating expenses245,759247,618244,7931,859(2,825)
Interest expense68,29088,00686,18819,716(1,818)
Total expenses405,856360,692313,423(45,164)(47,269)
Pretax income from continuing operations791,228845,607863,879(54,379)(18,272)
Income tax provision173,049185,292188,01912,2432,727
Net income from continuing operations618,179660,315675,860(42,136)(15,545)
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax(35,539)(55,875)(72,741)20,33616,866
Net income$582,640$604,440$603,119$(21,800)$1,321
Diluted net income from continuing operations per share$4.39$4.28$4.22$0.11$0.06
Weighted average common shares outstanding—diluted140,811154,191160,13313,3805,942
Return on equity from continuing operations13.1%14.6%16.3%(1.5)%(1.7)%
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1)
Adjusted pretax operating income$801,687$867,214$859,141$(65,527)$8,073
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share$4.45$4.39$4.20$0.06$0.19
Adjusted net operating return on equity13.3%15.0%16.2%(1.7)%(1.2)%

(1)
See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

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Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. The following tables provide additional information about the components of our net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.

Net premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands, except as otherwise indicated)2025202420232025 vs. 20242024 vs. 2023
Direct
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations$1,051,773$1,040,678$1,015,238$11,095$25,440
Single Premium Policy cancellations6,7408,33614,703(1,596)(6,367)
Direct1,058,5131,049,0141,029,9419,49919,073
Ceded
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations(180,301)(164,055)(165,870)(16,246)1,815
Single Premium Policy cancellations (1)5,6712,390(3,903)3,2816,293
Profit commission—other (2)57,98251,88849,1956,0942,693
Ceded premiums, net of profit commission(116,648)(109,777)(120,578)(6,871)10,801
Total net premiums earned$941,865$939,237$909,363$2,628$29,874
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (3)37.738.238.2(0.5)(0.0)
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (4)38.038.538.8(0.5)(0.3)
Net premium yield (in basis points) (5)33.834.534.3(0.7)0.2
Average primary IIF (in billions) (6)$278.8$272.6$265.5$6.2$7.1

(1)
Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(2)
Represents profit commissions under our QSR Program, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(3)
Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.

(4)
Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, by average primary IIF.

(5)
Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs.

(6)
The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.

Our in force portfolio premium yield was relatively stable for 2025, as compared to 2024. Based on current NIW pricing and the impact of the higher Persistency Rates we have been experiencing, we currently expect our in force portfolio premium yield in 2026 to continue to be stable; however, due to the potential impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may fluctuate from period to period.

The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our Mortgage Insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage Insurance—IIF and Persistency” for more information.

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The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.

Ceded premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,
($ in thousands)202520242023
QSR Program (1)$79,241$62,356$43,652
XOL Program
Mortgage insurance-linked notes program30,46938,79776,926
Traditional reinsurance agreements6,9388,624
Total XOL Program37,40747,42176,926
Total ceded premiums earned (2)$116,648$109,777$120,578
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned10.7%10.5%11.7%

(1)
Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves.

(2)
Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Net Investment Income. The following table provides information related to our investments for the periods indicated.

Investment balances and yields
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2025202420232025 vs. 20242024 vs. 2023
Investment income$260,119$276,428$262,023$(16,309)$14,405
Investment expenses(11,355)(11,614)(9,930)259(1,684)
Net investment income$248,764$264,814$252,093$(16,050)$12,721
Average investments (1)$6,300,990$6,560,026$6,485,409$(259,036)$74,617
Average investment yield (2)3.9%4.0%3.9%(0.1)%0.1%

(1)
For each period presented, reflects the average of the beginning and ending amortized cost of our total investments for each month of the year.

(2)
Calculated by dividing net investment income by average investments balance.

Net investment income decreased for 2025 compared to 2024, primarily driven by declines in average investment balances and lower investment yields. The decline in average balances was primarily driven by the redemption of our $450 million senior notes in September 2024. Net investment income increased for 2024 compared to 2023 primarily due to increasing yields from higher interest rates and higher investment balances. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for comparative detail about the components of our net investment income.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about our net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments by investment category.

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Expenses

Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.

Provision for losses
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except reserve per new default)2025202420232025 vs. 20242024 vs. 2023
Current year defaults (1)$211,355$197,719$178,664$(13,636)$(19,055)
Prior year defaults (2)(144,587)(199,967)(220,800)(55,380)(20,833)
Total provision for losses$66,768$(2,248)$(42,136)$(69,016)$(39,888)
Loss ratio (3)7.1%(0.2)%(4.6)%(7.3)%(4.4)%
Reserve per new default (4)$4,100$3,913$4,060$(187)$147

(1)
Related to defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.

(2)
Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a year earlier than the year indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.

(3)
Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(4)
Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by the number of new primary defaults for each period.

The change in the provision for losses from 2024 to 2025 and from 2023 to 2024 was primarily driven by a reduction in favorable development on prior year defaults and an increase in current year new primary defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance reserves.

Current year new primary defaults increased by 2% for 2025, as compared to 2024, and 15% for 2024, as compared to 2023, consistent with the natural seasoning of the portfolio given the increase in our IIF in recent years. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 7.5% at both December 31, 2025 and 2024, and 8.0% at December 31, 2023. We continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.

Our provision for losses during 2025, 2024 and 2023 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.

Our primary default rate as a percentage of total insured loans at December 31, 2025, was 2.6% compared to 2.4% at December 31, 2024. The following table provides a rollforward of the number of our primary loans in default.

Rollforward of primary loans in default
Years Ended December 31,
202520242023
Beginning default inventory24,05522,02121,913
New defaults51,55150,53544,007
Cures (1) (2)(48,910)(47,230)(42,843)
Claims paid (1) (3)(1,325)(1,127)(936)
Rescissions and Claim Denials (1) (4)(141)(144)(120)
Ending default inventory25,23024,05522,021

(1)
Prior periods have been recast to conform to current presentation for Cures, claims paid and Rescissions and Claim Denials.

(2)
Net of any cancelled defaulted policies that were reinstated back into an active default status during the period.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

(3)
Includes any previously rescinded or denied policies that ultimately resulted in a paid claim during the period, and net of any previously paid claims that were reinstated into an active default status. Claims resolved without payment were moved from Cures into claims paid for all periods presented.

(4)
Net of any previous Rescissions and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

The following table provides additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.

Primary loans in default - additional information
December 31,
20252024
#%#%
Missed payments - pre-foreclosure stage
Three payments or less13,25252.5%12,67352.7%
Four to eleven payments7,81331.0%7,51731.3%
Twelve payments or more2,53910.1%2,51110.4%
Foreclosure stage defaulted loans (1)1,1984.7%1,0614.4%
Pending claims4281.7%2931.2%
Total default inventory25,230100.0%24,055100.0%
Policies in force985,755985,089
Primary default rate2.6%2.4%

(1)
Loans in the stage of default in which a foreclosure sale has been scheduled or held.

We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates on defaulted loans based on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary defaulted loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 23% at both December 31, 2025 and 2024, and 25% at December 31, 2023. This decrease was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2024, as compared to December 31, 2023, given the larger proportion of more recent defaults and loans with fewer missed payments, as well as reduced claim rate assumptions for prior period defaults due to more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding our reserve for losses and a reconciliation of our Mortgage Insurance segment’s beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE.

Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter, based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors, including the impact of foreclosure moratoriums (as further described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Rescissions, Defaults and Claims”), which make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following table provides net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.

Claims paid
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202520242023
Net claims paid (1)
Primary$26,480$11,012$9,301
Pool and other(940)(206)(925)
Subtotal25,54010,8068,376
LAE3,7504,2544,535
Commutations and settlements (2)4,8372,2541,332
Total net claims paid$34,127$17,314$14,243
Average net primary claim paid (1) (3)$40.0$28.0$22.5
Average direct primary claim paid (3) (4)$49.0$32.0$27.2

(1)
Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)
Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans.

(3)
Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) LAE; (ii) commutations and settlements; and (iii) claims resolved without payment, including claims subsequently withdrawn by the servicer.

(4)
Before reinsurance recoveries.

Other Operating Expenses. The following table provides information about our other operating expenses for the periods indicated.

Other operating expenses
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2025202420232025 vs. 20242024 vs. 2023
Salaries and other base employee expenses$102,416$102,679$98,909$263$(3,770)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation75,48263,27262,009(12,210)(1,263)
Other general operating expenses97,240106,164103,8088,924(2,356)
Ceding commissions(29,379)(24,497)(19,933)4,8824,564
Total other operating expenses$245,759$247,618$244,793$1,859$(2,825)

The decrease in other operating expenses for 2025 compared to 2024 is primarily due to: (i) favorable impacts from lower non-employee expenses as a result of expense reduction initiatives, particularly those related to other general operating expenses and (ii) higher ceding commissions from QSR agreements, which were partially offset by an increase in performance-based variable and share-based incentive compensation expenses.

Other general operating expenses also included the following expenses: (i) $11 million of acquisition-related expenses in 2025 for the acquisition of Inigo and (ii) $13 million of impairments of internal-use software and lease-related expenses in 2024.

The increase in other operating expenses for 2024 as compared to 2023 is primarily due to higher employee-related expenses, partially offset by higher ceding commission from QSR agreements.

Interest Expense. The decrease in interest expense for 2025, as compared to 2024, is primarily due to a decline in senior notes outstanding due to: (i) the redemption in September 2024 of $450 million of senior notes and (ii) the redemption in March 2024 of $525 million of senior notes, including the impact of a $4 million loss on extinguishment of debt related to the

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redemption of these senior notes. These decreases were partially offset by the issuance in March 2024 of the Senior Notes due 2029. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about our interest expense.

Income Tax Provision

Our 2025 effective tax rate for continuing operations was 21.9%, generally consistent with the federal statutory rate of 21%. State income taxes and certain permanent book-to-tax adjustments were the primary drivers of differences in the effective tax rate compared to the federal statutory rate. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a reconciliation of our provision for income taxes.

Income (Loss) from Discontinued Operations, Net of Tax

Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, includes the results of our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses, which have been reclassified to discontinued operations for all periods presented. The decrease in the loss from discontinued operations, net of tax for 2025 as compared to 2024 is primarily driven by a decrease in other operating expenses related to our expense reduction initiatives for these businesses. The loss from discontinued operations for the year ended December 31, 2025, included $7 million of estimated costs related to the expected future sale of these businesses.

The decrease in the loss from discontinued operations, net of tax for 2024 as compared to 2023 is primarily driven by a decrease in non-operating items including $15 million of amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, which was recorded in 2023. See Note 3 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations, diluted net income (loss) from continuing operations per share or return on equity from continuing operations. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies.

Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our businesses.

Beginning with the first quarter of 2025, when calculating adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, the Company no longer adjusts for the difference between the Company’s statutory and effective tax rates to calculate those non-GAAP financial measures using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. The impact of this incremental adjustment for the difference between the Company’s statutory and effective tax rates had been immaterial in recent periods because the number and magnitude of non-recurring fluctuations in the Company’s effective tax rate had declined in recent years. As such, the Company believes that this incremental adjustment for the difference between the two rates was no longer meaningful to users of our financial statements. We reflected this change in our calculations of adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity for all periods presented herein. As it relates to the impact of reconciling income (expense) items included in these non-GAAP financial measures, the Company continues to reflect these items on a gross basis and calculates the income tax provision (benefit) on these items using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The results of our Mortgage Conduit, Title and Real Estate Services businesses are included in income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein. The calculation of adjusted pretax operating income, as detailed below, excludes income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein. As a result, the calculations of adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity also exclude income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax, for all periods presented herein.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP pretax income (loss) from continuing operations excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments and (ii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income (expenses) and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt, among others.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss) from continuing operations. These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described in Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

The following table provides a reconciliation of pretax income from continuing operations to our non-GAAP financial measure of adjusted pretax operating income.

Reconciliation of pretax income from continuing operations to adjusted pretax operating income
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202520242023
Pretax income from continuing operations$791,228$845,607$863,879
Less: income (expense) items
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(24)(4,347)9,405
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (1)(10,435)(17,260)(4,667)
Adjusted pretax operating income$801,687$867,214$859,141

(1)
For 2025, primarily relates to acquisition-related expenses that are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statement of operations. For 2024 and 2023 primarily relates to impairments of other long-lived assets that are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) from continuing operations per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.

Reconciliation of diluted net income from continuing operations per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share
Years Ended December 31,
202520242023
Diluted net income from continuing operations per share$4.39$4.28$4.22
Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(0.03)0.06
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.08)(0.11)(0.03)
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1)0.020.03(0.01)
Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items(0.06)(0.11)0.02
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share$4.45$4.39$4.20

(1)
Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.

Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity

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from continuing operations to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted net operating return on equity.

Reconciliation of return on equity from continuing operations to adjusted net operating return on equity
Years Ended December 31,
202520242023
Return on equity from continuing operations (1)13.1%14.6%16.3%
Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2)
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments%(0.1)%0.2%
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.2)%(0.4)%(0.1)%
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3)%0.1%%
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items(0.2)%(0.4)%0.1%
Adjusted net operating return on equity13.3%15.0%16.2%

(1)
Calculated by dividing net income from continuing operations by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

(2)
As a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)
Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rates of 21%.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Consolidated Cash Flows

The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.

Summary cash flows - consolidated
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202520242023
Net cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities, continuing operations$719,987$654,946$612,791
Investing activities, continuing operations(95,039)279,089(230,462)
Financing activities, continuing operations(648,654)(810,291)(287,150)
Net cash provided by (used in) continuing operations(23,706)123,74495,179
Operating activities, discontinued operations(600,125)(1,318,518)(83,357)
Investing activities, discontinued operations222,32548,657(70,380)
Financing activities, discontinued operations405,5561,167,52422,063
Net cash provided by (used in) discontinued operations27,756(102,337)(131,674)
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash (1)$4,050$21,407$(36,495)

(1)
Includes change in cash and restricted cash for discontinued operations, which are included in assets held for sale on our consolidated balance sheets.

Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows from continuing operations is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows have typically been for our operating expenses, taxes and claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies. The increase in cash provided by operating activities, continuing operations in 2025, as compared to 2024, was primarily due to a decrease in the purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds in 2025. The increase in cash provided by operating activities, continuing operations in 2024, as compared to 2023, was primarily due to benefits from our expense reduction initiatives. Net cash flows used in operating activities from discontinued operations primarily relate to net purchases and sales of mortgage loans held for sale, which can fluctuate from period to period.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Investing Activities. The change in net cash used in investing activities, continuing operations for 2025, as compared to net cash provided by investing activities, continuing operations in 2024, was primarily driven by an increase in purchases, net of sales and redemptions on short-term investments, offset by a decrease in purchases of available for sale securities and an increase in proceeds from sales of available for sale and equity securities, as we repositioned our investment portfolio in preparation for the funding of our Inigo acquisition in early 2026. Net cash provided by investing activities, discontinued operations for 2025 was primarily driven by principal payments from securitized residential mortgage loans held for investment.

Net cash provided by investing activities, continuing operations increased for 2024, as compared to cash used in investing activities in 2023, primarily due to sales and redemptions, net of purchases, of short-term investments and fixed-maturities available for sale, which helped to fund certain of our financing activities described below. Net cash provided by investing activities, discontinued operations for 2024 as compared to net cash used in investing activities, discontinued operations in 2023 was primarily driven by principal payments from securitized residential mortgage loans held for investment.

Financing Activities. For 2025, our primary use of cash for financing activities, continuing operations included: (i) repurchases of our common stock and (ii) payment of dividends. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Net cash provided by financing activities, discontinued operations for 2025, was primarily driven by: (i) the net proceeds from the issuance of securitized nonrecourse debt and (ii) the net change in borrowings related to funding from mortgage loan financing facilities.

For 2024, our primary use of cash for financing activities, continuing operations included: (i) net changes in our senior notes; (ii) repurchases of our common stock; and (iii) payment of dividends. Net cash provided by financing activities, discontinued operations for 2024 was primarily driven by: (i) the net proceeds from the issuance of securitized nonrecourse debt and (ii) the net change in borrowings related to funding from mortgage loan financing facilities.

See “Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data—Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows” for additional information.

Investment Portfolio

At December 31, 2025 and 2024, the following tables include $142 million and $139 million, respectively, of securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, which are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our investment portfolio, including our securities lending agreements.

The composition of our investment portfolio is presented below as a percentage of overall fair value as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio diversification
December 31,
20252024
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Corporate bonds and commercial paper$2,98748.7%$2,71546.5%
RMBS88414.4%1,01517.4%
U.S. government and agency securities61110.0%1202.1%
Other ABS4847.9%4547.8%
CLO3776.1%4117.0%
CMBS2464.0%4167.1%
Money market instruments and certificates of deposit2213.6%3095.3%
State and municipal obligations (1)2033.3%1993.4%
Equity securities601.0%1472.5%
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (2)460.8%470.8%
Other investments100.2%80.1%
Total$6,129100.0%$5,841100.0%

(1)
Primarily consists of taxable state and municipal investments.

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(2)
Includes mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the XOL Program. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

The following table provides the scheduled maturities of the securities held in our investment portfolio as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio scheduled maturity
December 31,
20252024
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Short-term investments$1,66827.2%$4117.0%
Due in one year or less (1)981.6%1352.3%
Due after one year through five years (1)65710.7%1,06018.2%
Due after five years through 10 years (1)84113.7%96516.5%
Due after 10 years (1)76012.4%78713.5%
Asset-backed securities and mortgage-related assets (2)2,03533.2%2,32839.9%
Equity securities (3)601.0%1472.5%
Other invested assets (3)100.2%80.1%
Total$6,129100.0%$5,841100.0%

(1)
Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.

(2)
Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS, and mortgage insurance-linked notes, which are not due at a single maturity date.

(3)
No stated maturity date.

The following table provides the ratings of our investment portfolio, from a nationally recognized statistical ratings organization, presented as a percentage of overall fair value, as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio by rating
December 31,
20252024
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
U.S. government / AAA$2,42339.5%$2,46642.2%
AA84813.9%73912.6%
A2,43539.7%1,63828.0%
BBB3435.6%80613.8%
BB and below100.2%270.5%
Not rated (1)701.1%1652.9%
Total$6,129100.0%$5,841100.0%

(1)
Primarily consists of equity securities.

Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2025, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $1.8 billion. Total liquidity, which included our then-undrawn $500 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $2.3 billion as of December 31, 2025. This amount does not reflect the closing of the Inigo transaction on February 2, 2026, which reduced both available and total liquidity by $1.65 billion, representing the cash portion of the consideration paid for the acquisition. Additionally, to help manage our overall liquidity position, Radian Group drew $200 million on our unsecured revolving credit facility in February 2026.

During 2025, Radian Group’s available liquidity increased by $949 million, primarily due to: (i) $795 million received from Radian Guaranty, consisting of a $200 million return of capital and $595 million in ordinary dividends and (ii) the $600 million Intercompany Note from Radian Guaranty. These increases were partially offset by $576 million paid for share repurchases and dividends. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these distributions.

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In addition to available cash and marketable securities, including net investment income earned on such investments, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries; and (iii) and, as further described below, our $500 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders.

Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the $500 million unsecured revolving credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and other subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2025, the full $500 million remained undrawn and available under the facility, but we drew $200 million on the facility in February 2026 in connection with the Inigo closing. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.

In connection with our Mortgage Conduit business, Radian Mortgage Capital has entered into the Master Repurchase Agreements to finance the acquisition of residential mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets, which are included in assets held for sale on our consolidated balance sheets. In the ordinary course of its business, Radian Mortgage Capital expects to renew the Master Repurchase Agreements on or prior to expiration and/or to enter into new agreements to finance the acquisition of residential mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets. As of December 31, 2025, Radian Group has entered into four separate Parent Guarantees to guaranty the obligations under the Master Repurchase Agreements, which we expect would terminate upon any sale of the Mortgage Conduit business.

As of December 31, 2025, we expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) investments to support our business strategy and to expand and diversify our revenue streams, including the $1.67 billion acquisition of Inigo and, if needed, capital contributions to our subsidiaries; (ii) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (iii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations as well as potential amounts to repay all or a portion of borrowings under our credit facility; and (iv) the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which currently are $0.255 per share and which remain subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies.

During 2025 and 2024, Radian Group made $37 million and $72 million, respectively, of additional equity contributions to support our Title and Real Estate Services businesses. During 2024, Radian Group made $83 million of equity contributions to facilitate the growth of our Mortgage Conduit business. No such contributions were made to our Mortgage Conduit business in 2025. Additionally, during 2025, Radian Group received a return of capital of $35 million and $27 million from our Title business and Mortgage Conduit business, respectively.

In the event the cash flows from operations of our businesses held for sale continue to be insufficient to fund all of their needs, Radian Group may continue to provide additional funds in the form of additional capital contributions or other support.

In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $1.1 billion aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years and of the $600 million that we borrowed from Radian Guaranty to fund a portion of the purchase price of the Inigo acquisition. See “Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile.

Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) potential repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below; (ii) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations; and (iii) potential payments pursuant to the Parent Guarantees.

For additional information about related risks and uncertainties, under “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “The use of the Intercompany Note to fund a portion of the Inigo acquisition reduced our liquidity and Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion, and subjects us to certain conditions and compliance obligations associated with the Intercompany Note which could adversely affect us and our financial condition;” “Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations;” and “Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity.”

In addition to Radian Group’s existing sources of liquidity to fund its obligations, we may decide to seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.

Inigo Acquisition. On February 2, 2026, the Company completed its strategic acquisition of Inigo, which reduced both available and total liquidity by $1.65 billion, representing the cash portion of the consideration paid for the acquisition. Radian

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funded the acquisition from Radian Group’s available liquidity sources (including proceeds of the Intercompany Note) combined with a $200 million draw on our unsecured revolving credit facility.

Share Repurchases. During 2025 and 2024, the Company repurchased 13.4 million shares and 7.0 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $430 million and $224 million, respectively, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.

Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2025 and 2024, our quarterly dividend was $0.255 and 0.245 per share, respectively. Based on our outstanding shares of common stock and our current dividend level, which our board of directors may change at any time, we would require approximately $138 million in the aggregate to pay dividends for the next 12 months, plus an incremental amount for dividend equivalents that will fluctuate based on final shares vested under our performance-based RSU programs. So long as no default or event of default exists under our revolving credit facility or the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. Delaware corporation law provides that dividends are only payable out of a corporation’s capital surplus or (subject to certain limitations) recent net profits. As of December 31, 2025, our capital surplus was $4.6 billion, representing our dividend limitation under Delaware law. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ discretion and determination.

Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its U.S. principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2025 of $165 million and $65 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect these expense-sharing arrangements to remain in effect for 2026 and beyond. The expense-sharing arrangements, as amended, between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.

Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. During 2025, Radian Group received $22 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its subsidiaries.

Capitalization—Holding Company

The following table presents our holding company capital structure.

Capital structure
December 31,
(In thousands, except per-share amounts and ratios)20252024
Debt
Senior Notes due 2027$450,000$450,000
Senior Notes due 2029625,000625,000
Unamortized discount and debt issuance costs(7,092)(9,663)
Revolving credit facility
Total1,067,9081,065,337
Stockholders’ equity4,781,5144,623,858
Total capitalization$5,849,422$5,689,195
Holding company debt-to-capital ratio (1)18.3%18.7%
Shares outstanding135,498147,569
Book value per share$35.29$31.33

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(1)
Calculated as carrying value of senior notes, which were issued and are owed by our holding company, divided by carrying value of senior notes and stockholders’ equity. This holding company ratio does not include the effects of amounts owed by our subsidiaries related to other borrowings.

Stockholders’ equity increased by $158 million from December 31, 2024, to December 31, 2025. The net increase in stockholders’ equity for 2025 resulted primarily from: (i) our net income of $583 million and (ii) net unrealized gains on investment securities of $128 million as a result of decreases in market interest rates during the period. These factors were partially offset by: (i) share repurchases of $430 million, excluding related excise taxes due and (ii) dividend and dividend equivalents of $146 million.

The increase in book value per share from $31.33 at December 31, 2024, to $35.29 at December 31, 2025, was primarily due to: (i) an increase of $3.95 per share attributable to our net income for 2025 and (ii) an increase of $0.87 per share due to net unrealized gains in our available for sale securities, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income during the year. These increases were partially offset by a decrease of $0.99 per share attributable to dividends and dividend equivalents.

We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders. We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving credit facilities. In the past, we have repurchased or exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.

Mortgage Insurance

Historically, one of the primary demands for liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business is the payment of claims, net of reinsurance, including from commutations and settlements. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information on our mortgage insurance reserve for losses and LAE, which represents our best estimate for the costs of settling future claims on currently defaulted mortgage loans.

Other principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business are expected to include: (i) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (ii) repayments of FHLB advances; (iii) distributions from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, including returns of capital and recurring ordinary dividends; and (iv) taxes, including potential payments to Radian Group pursuant to our tax sharing agreement.

The principal sources of liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities and (ii) FHLB advances. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by Radian Guaranty, as well as our other immaterial mortgage insurance subsidiaries, will provide them with the funds necessary to satisfy their respective needs for the foreseeable future. Future sources of liquidity also are expected to include interest payments from Radian Group on the $600 million Intercompany Note and may also include, if necessary, capital contributions from Radian Group.

As of December 31, 2025, Radian Guaranty maintained claims paying resources of $6.1 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2025, was 10.3 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2025, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $646 million. This balance includes a $1.1 billion benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and

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“Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At December 31, 2025, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $5.4 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $1.6 billion, or 41%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs Cushion of $6.0 billion and $2.2 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2024. See “The use of the Intercompany Note to fund a portion of the Inigo acquisition reduced our liquidity and Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion, and subjects us to certain conditions and compliance obligations associated with the Intercompany Note which could adversely affect us and our financial condition” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors.”

Despite holding assets above the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.

Radian Guaranty received approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department to make a return of capital distribution to Radian Group of $200 million during the first three months of 2025 from its paid in surplus. Additionally, Radian Guaranty paid $595 million in ordinary dividends to Radian Group in 2025, and we expect Radian Guaranty to maintain the ability to pay dividends in 2026 and for the foreseeable future.

As noted above, Radian Group paid a portion of the cash consideration for the Inigo acquisition with proceeds from the Intercompany Note that was approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Radian Guaranty is required to comply with certain conditions while the Intercompany Note is outstanding, including, most notably, obtaining prior approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department for all dividends paid by Radian Guaranty for a period of three years (which we may request to be reduced or the Pennsylvania Insurance Department may, in certain circumstances, extend for up to five years) and maintaining a minimum policyholders’ surplus of $500 million, among other conditions.

Radian Guaranty is a member of the FHLB. As a member, it may borrow from the FHLB subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management and liquidity purposes. As of December 31, 2025, there were $41 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Specialty Insurance

The principal demands for liquidity in our Specialty Insurance business are the obligations arising from its insurance contracts and financial liabilities. Due to the potential timing difference between payment of gross claims and receipt of reinsurance collection, gross claims are considered a principal demand within liquidity planning. The occurrence of large claims may force us to liquidate securities at a time that may cause us to realize capital losses.

The principal sources of liquidity in our Specialty Insurance business currently include insurance and reinsurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from investment sales and maturities.

As of December 31, 2025, Inigo participates in the Lloyd’s market and is subject to capital requirements. For more information, see “The amount of capital that we must hold to maintain our various capital requirements can vary significantly from time to time and the capital needed to maintain those requirements may not be available or may only be available on unfavorable terms” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors.”

Ratings

Ratings independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations often are considered in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. Radian Group and Radian Guaranty are currently assigned the financial strength ratings set forth in the chart below, which are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change. See “Potential downgrades by rating agencies to the current financial strength ratings assigned to Radian

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Guaranty and/or the credit ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors.”

Ratings
SubsidiaryFitch (1)Moody’s (1)S&P (1)
Radian Group (2)BBBBaa3BBB-
Radian GuarantyAA3A-

(1)
Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”), Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) and S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) each currently rate the outlook for both Radian Group and Radian Guaranty as Stable.

(2)
Senior debt ratings.

Critical Accounting Estimates

SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operations of the registrant. These items require the application of management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain and that may change in subsequent periods. In preparing our consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management has made estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods.

In preparing these financial statements, management has utilized available information, including our past history, industry standards and the current and projected economic and housing environments, among other factors, in forming its estimates, assumptions and judgments, giving due consideration to materiality. Because the use of estimates is inherent in GAAP, actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, other companies may utilize different estimates, which may impact comparability of our results of operations to those of companies in similar businesses. A summary of the accounting estimates that management believes are of critical importance to the preparation of our consolidated financial statements is set forth below. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional disclosures regarding our significant accounting policies.

Financial Instruments

Fair Value

Our estimated fair value measurements are intended to reflect the assumptions market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability based on the best information available. Assumptions include the risks inherent in a particular valuation technique (such as a pricing model) and the risks inherent in the inputs to the model. Changes in economic conditions and capital market conditions, including but not limited to, benchmark interest rate changes, credit spread changes, market volatility and changes in the value of underlying collateral, could cause actual results to differ materially from our estimated fair value measurements.

Nearly all of our financial instruments recorded at fair value relate to our investment portfolio which, including securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, totaled $6.1 billion as of December 31, 2025. The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. For additional information regarding the sensitivity of our investment portfolio to these inputs, see “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

See also Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information pertaining to financial instruments at fair value and our valuation methodologies.

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Credit Losses and Other Impairments

We perform an evaluation of fixed-maturity securities available for sale each quarter to assess whether any decline in their fair value below cost is deemed to be a credit impairment recognized in earnings. Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2025, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities were $317 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding impairments related to investments.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

Reserve for Losses and LAE

We establish reserves to provide for losses and LAE, which include the estimated costs of settling claims in our mortgage insurance portfolio, in accordance with the accounting standard regarding accounting and reporting by insurance enterprises. In our Mortgage Insurance business, the default and claim cycle begins with the receipt of a default notice from the loan servicer that a borrower has missed two consecutive monthly mortgage payments. We maintain an extensive database of default and claim payment history, and use models based on a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status.

With respect to loans that are in default, considerable judgment is exercised as to the adequacy of reserve levels. We use an actuarial projection methodology referred to as a “roll rate” analysis that uses historical claim frequency information to determine the projected ultimate Default to Claim Rates based on the Stage of Default and Time in Default as well as the date that a loan goes into default. The Default to Claim Rate also includes our estimates with respect to expected Rescissions and Claim Denials, which have the effect of reducing our Default to Claim Rates. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the table detailing our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

After estimating the Default to Claim Rate, beginning in 2024, we estimate Claim Severity by applying observed severity rates for past paid claims within cohorts based on both Time in Default and estimated borrower equity, as adjusted to account for anticipated differences and risks in future results compared to past trends, including potential declines in estimated borrower equity. These severity estimates are then applied to individual loan coverage amounts to determine reserves. Similar to the Default to Claim Rate, Claim Severity also is impacted by the length of time that loans are in default. For claims under our Primary Mortgage Insurance, the coverage percentage is applied to the claim amount, which consists of the unpaid loan principal, plus past due interest (for which our liability is contractually capped in accordance with the terms of our Master Policies) and certain expenses associated with the default, to determine our maximum liability. Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default.

We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2025, by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance. For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 90% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2025), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $4 million at December 31, 2025. Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to be 23% at December 31, 2025, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated an approximate $16 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2025.

Senior management regularly reviews the modeled frequency, Claim Severity and Loss Mitigation Activity estimates, which are based on historical trends, as described above. If recent emerging or projected trends, including related to current and future macroeconomic conditions, differ significantly from the historical trends used to develop the modeled estimates, management evaluates these trends and determines how they should be considered in its reserve estimates.

Estimating our case reserve for losses involves significant reliance upon assumptions and estimates with regard to the likelihood, magnitude and timing of each potential loss. The models, assumptions and estimates we use to establish loss reserves may prove to be inaccurate, especially during an extended economic downturn or a period of market volatility and economic uncertainty. These assumptions require management to use considerable judgment in estimating the rate at which these loans will result in claims and the amount of such claims. As such, there is uncertainty around our reserve estimate.

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Premium Revenue Recognition

Premiums on mortgage insurance products are written on a recurring basis, either as monthly or annual premiums, or on a multi-year basis as a single premium. Monthly premiums written are earned as coverage is provided each month. For certain monthly policies where the billing was deferred for the first month’s coverage period, we have recorded a net premium receivable representing the present value of such deferred premiums that we estimate will be collected at a future date. Prior to January 1, 2026, the billing for deferred premiums occurred at the end of the policy. We recently implemented an operational change, effective January 1, 2026, where the billing for the first full month of coverage will occur at the start of the policy and is aligned to the first mortgage payment due on the loan. This change has no material impact to overall premiums billed or collected and simply changes the timing of the earning of any deferred premium.

We recognize changes in this receivable based on changes in the estimated amount and timing of such collections, including as a result of changes in observed trends as well as our periodic review of our servicing guide and our operations and collections practices. Key assumptions supporting our estimate of our net deferred premium receivable, which equaled $40 million and $38 million as of December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively, include a collection rate and average life. During both 2025 and 2024, we made no changes to these assumptions.

Single premiums written are initially recorded as unearned premiums and earned over time based on the anticipated loss pattern and the estimated period of risk exposure, which is primarily derived from historical experience and other factors such as projected losses, premium type and projected contractual periods of risk based on original LTV. Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk. There were no changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2025 and 2024.

Actual future experience that is different than expected loss development or policy cancellations could result in further material increases or decreases in the recognition of net premiums earned. Based on historical experience, losses are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates. If the timing of losses were to shift, it could accelerate or decelerate our recognition of net premiums earned and could have a material impact on our results of operations.

Income Taxes

We are required to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that all or some portion of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. At each balance sheet date, we assess our need for a valuation allowance and this assessment is based on all available evidence, both positive and negative, and requires management to exercise judgment and make assumptions regarding whether such deferred tax assets will be realized in future periods. Future realization of our deferred tax assets will ultimately depend on the existence of sufficient taxable income of the appropriate character (ordinary income or capital gains) within the applicable carryback and carryforward periods provided under the tax law. In making our assessment of the more likely than not standard, the weight assigned to the effect of both positive and negative evidence is commensurate with the extent to which such evidence can be objectively verified.

We have determined that certain non-insurance entities within Radian may continue to generate taxable losses on a separate company basis in the near term and may not be able to fully utilize certain state and local NOLs on their state and local tax returns. Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $52 million and $55 million at December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.

Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes. An amount up to the total valuation allowance currently recorded could be recognized if our assessment of realizability changes. Our assumptions around these items and the weight assigned to them have remained consistent in recent periods. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Divestitures

Held for Sale Classification

We report a business as held for sale when management has committed to a formal plan to sell the assets, the business is available for immediate sale and is being actively marketed at a price that is reasonable in relation to its fair value, and an

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active program to locate a buyer and other actions required to complete the plan to sell the asset have been initiated, the sale is probable and expected to be completed within one year, and it is deemed unlikely that significant changes to the plan will be made or that the plan will be withdrawn. A business classified as held for sale is reflected at the lower of its carrying amount or estimated fair value less cost to sell. If the carrying amount of the business exceeds its estimated fair value, a loss is recognized. Assets and liabilities related to a business classified as held for sale are segregated in the consolidated balance sheets in the period in which the business is classified as held for sale and any prior periods presented. After a business is classified as held for sale, depreciation and amortization expense is not recognized on its assets. The net carrying value of our businesses held for sale were $110 million and $207 million as of December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively. See Note 3 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our assets and liabilities held for sale.

Discontinued Operations

We report the results of operations of a business as discontinued operations if the business is classified as held for sale, and represents a strategic shift that has a major effect on our financial results. In the period in which the business meets the criteria of a discontinued operation, its results are reported in income or loss from discontinued operations in the consolidated statements of operations for current and prior periods, and include any required adjustment of the carrying amount to its fair value less cost to sell. See Note 3 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our discontinued operations.

MD&A history

Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.

FY 2024 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0000950170-25-021241.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Published MD&A gate trimmed front/tail over-capture. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2025-02-14. Report date: 2024-12-31.

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.

Some of the information in this discussion and analysis or included elsewhere in this report, including information with respect to our projections, plans and strategy for our business, are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including those discussed under “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” and in the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

INDEX TO ITEM 7Page
Overview of Business Operating Environment72
Key Factors Affecting Our Results75
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics77
Results of Operations—Consolidated82
Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance87
Results of Operations—All Other94
Liquidity and Capital Resources94
Critical Accounting Estimates100

Overview of Business Operating Environment

We are a mortgage and real estate company with one reportable business segment—Mortgage Insurance.

Our Mortgage Insurance segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also offers other credit risk management solutions, including contract underwriting, to our customers.

Our other immaterial businesses are reported collectively as All Other and include our Mortgage Conduit, Title, Real Estate Services and Real Estate Technology businesses, which provide our existing and new customers with an array of products and services across the residential real estate and mortgage finance industries.

As a mortgage and real estate company, our business results are subject to seasonal fluctuations impacting mortgage and real estate markets, as well as macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and residential real estate markets and the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio. Among others, and as discussed throughout “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” these factors may include home prices and housing supply, inflationary pressures, interest rate changes, unemployment levels, the volume of mortgage originations and the availability of credit, national and regional economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments and other events, including macroeconomic stresses and uncertainties resulting from global conflicts and other political and geopolitical events. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for a discussion of material risks that could impact our business results.

In recent years, including 2024, our financial performance and results have benefited from generally favorable macroeconomic conditions, including most notably:

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Strong Credit Environment and Housing Market – Our Mortgage Insurance business generally benefits from increases in housing demand, home prices and the volume of home purchases, all of which are influenced by the current market imbalance between a constrained housing supply and strong market demand. The housing shortage combined with strong market demand has resulted in strong home appreciation in recent years, leading to low paid claim volumes and loss severities in our Mortgage Insurance business. Further, the embedded equity borrowers have in their homes as a result of this home price appreciation is a factor that is positively impacting our loan default and Cure trends. Importantly, the strong demographics supporting continued demand from first-time homebuyers are likely to continue to support home prices and drive further growth in purchase originations that is expected to continue to benefit our IIF. The combination of stable and low levels of unemployment and positive home price appreciation has resulted in favorable loss reserve development on prior period defaults, which has positively impacted our financial results in recent periods. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reserve for losses.


Elevated Interest Rates, Resulting in Higher Persistency due to Low Levels of Mortgage Refinancings – Following a period of historically low interest rates, mortgage interest rates rose sharply and significantly in 2022 driven by aggressive monetary policy changes by the U.S. Federal Reserve in an effort to curb rising inflation. Since that time, mortgage interest rates have remained elevated. These macroeconomic conditions have reduced the overall volume of mortgage transactions taking place, which, in turn, has reduced the amount of NIW we are writing. At the same time, the higher interest rate environment has benefited our financial performance through higher Persistency Rates, which has resulted in continued growth in our IIF despite lower NIW, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income. Although in recent years the inflationary pressures and higher interest rate environment have negatively impacted U.S. housing market affordability and broadly reduced refinance activity, longer-term, we continue to believe that the housing market fundamentals and outlook remain favorable, including demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers.


Improvements in Mortgage Finance System and Mortgage Insurance Fundamentals – We believe that mortgage industry fundamentals remain strong and have benefited from improvements to the mortgage and real estate ecosystem since the great financial crisis in 2008, including more stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened servicing standards and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes. In addition, enhancements in the mortgage insurance industry since the great financial crisis in 2008, including the implementation of strong capital and operating standards under the PMIERs, the implementation of greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and the increased use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, have increased returns on our NIW, provided capital relief under the PMIERs and have helped position our Mortgage Insurance business to better withstand the negative effects from macroeconomic stresses. While changes in the PMIERs, business practices of the GSEs or the strategic direction of U.S. housing finance set by new government administrations can impact our businesses and financial performance, in recent years the stable and supportive regulatory environment has benefited our results.

The macroeconomic conditions and other factors discussed above influence the size of the overall mortgage origination market, which in turn significantly impacts our mortgage and real estate businesses. Private mortgage insurance penetration of the overall mortgage market further impacts our results and has generally been higher on new mortgages for purchased homes than on the refinance of existing mortgages because average LTVs are typically higher on home purchases, and therefore, these lower down payment loans are more likely to require mortgage insurance. The penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance is mainly influenced by: (i) the competitiveness of private mortgage insurance for GSE conforming loans compared to FHA and VA insured loans and (ii) the relative percentage of mortgage originations that are for purchased homes versus refinances. Radian Guaranty’s share of the private mortgage insurance market is also influenced by competition in that market.

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The following charts provide a perspective on mortgage origination volumes and private mortgage insurance penetration in recent periods.

Mortgage origination market (1)

Origination Market (In billions)Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Refinance$347$195$100$67$49$63$57$50$76$81$112$170
Purchase384487419341259358346298277350356313
Total$731$682$519$408$308$421$403$348$353$431$468$483

Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market (1)

Market Penetration (%)Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Purchase25.3%24.2%24.4%21.9%24.4%22.4%22.3%19.4%20.4%22.4%22.3%22.6%
Overall14.2%17.7%20.1%18.6%21.0%19.4%19.4%17.0%16.5%18.5%17.6%16.2%
Refinance1.9%1.5%1.7%2.1%2.9%2.3%2.0%2.3%2.2%2.0%2.7%4.5%

(1)
Based on actual dollars generated in the credit enhanced market as reported by HUD and publicly reported industry information. Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.

Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections for 2025 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $2.0 trillion, which would represent an increase in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 14% as compared to 2024.

Factoring in our projections of private mortgage insurance penetration in the overall insurable mortgage market, we estimate that the private mortgage insurance market will be slightly larger in 2025 as compared to a reported market of approximately $300 billion in 2024. There is an industry-wide consensus that we should expect a healthy purchase market in 2025 driven by ongoing homebuyer demand and a potential modest decline in interest rates that we expect to benefit affordability for potential homebuyers. A healthy purchase market is a positive for mortgage insurers given the higher likelihood that purchase loans will utilize private mortgage insurance as compared to refinance loans. This outlook also anticipates that a decrease in interest rates would result in an increase in refinance originations in 2025.

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See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our businesses. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” and “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics” below for additional discussion on specific key drivers that affect our performance.

Key Factors Affecting Our Results

Mortgage Insurance

NIW

Our current business strategy for our Mortgage Insurance business is to write NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio’s health, balance and profitability. NIW increases our IIF and our premiums written and earned. NIW is affected by the overall size of the mortgage origination market, the penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance into the overall mortgage origination market and our market share of the private mortgage insurance market. See “Overview of Business Operating Environment” above for additional information.

IIF and Persistency

Our IIF is one of the primary drivers of our future premiums that we expect to earn over time. Although not reflected in the current period financial statements, nor in our reported book value, we expect our IIF to generate substantial earnings in future periods due to the high credit quality of our current mortgage insurance portfolio and our expectations for future Persistency Rates.

The ultimate profitability of our Mortgage Insurance business is affected by the impact of mortgage prepayment speeds on the mix of business we write. The measure for assessing the impact of policy cancellations on our IIF is our Persistency Rate, defined as the percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time. Assuming all other factors remain constant, over the life of the policies, prepayment speeds have an inverse impact on IIF and the expected revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Slower loan prepayment speeds, demonstrated by a higher Persistency Rate, result in more IIF remaining in place, providing increased revenue from Monthly Premium Policies over time as premium payments continue. Earlier than anticipated loan prepayments, demonstrated by a lower Persistency Rate, reduce IIF and the revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Among other factors, prepayment speeds may be affected by changes in interest rates and other macroeconomic factors. A rising interest rate environment generally will reduce refinancing activity and result in lower prepayments, whereas a declining interest rate environment generally will increase the level of refinancing activity and therefore increase prepayments.

In contrast to Monthly Premium Policies, when Single Premium Policies are canceled by the insured because the loan has been paid off or otherwise, we accelerate the recognition of any remaining unearned premiums, net of any refunds that may be owed to the borrower. Although these cancellations reduce IIF, assuming all other factors remain constant, the profitability of our Single Premium business increases when Persistency Rates are lower.

Premiums

The premium rates we charge for our insurance are based on multiple borrower, loan and property characteristics. The mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and private mortgage insurers compete with each other and with the FHA and VA with respect to price and other factors.

Our pricing is risk-based and is intended to generally align with the capital requirements under the PMIERs, while also considering pricing trends within the private mortgage insurance industry among other factors. As a result, our pricing is expected to generate relatively consistent returns across the credit spectrum. In developing our pricing strategies, we monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to maximize the long-term economic value of our portfolio by balancing credit risk, lender and geographic concentration risk, profitability and volume considerations, and aim to achieve an overall risk-adjusted rate of return on capital given our modeled performance expectations. Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including the success of our pricing strategy, economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital we hold, including amounts that may be in excess of minimum PMIERs financial and statutory capital requirements. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.”

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Our pricing actions gradually affect our results over time, as existing IIF cancels and is replaced with NIW at current pricing. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics—New Insurance Written” for additional information.

Premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” As discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “IIF and Persistency” above.

Monthly Premium Policies typically provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter. Generally, a borrower is able to cancel the policy when the LTV reaches 80% of the original value, and the servicer is required to review the policy for automatic cancellation on the date the LTV is scheduled to reach 78% of the original value. As a result, the volume of loans that remain insured after 10 years and would be subject to the premium reset is generally not material in relation to the total loans originated. However, to the extent the volume of loans resetting from year to year varies significantly, the trend in earned premiums may also vary.

Losses

Incurred losses reduce our pretax income and represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in our estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans. Factors influencing incurred losses include:


The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims). See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics—Insurance and Risk in Force;”


The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses);


The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses;


Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied);


The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and


Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our Mortgage Insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk. The objectives of our risk distribution strategy include: (i) supporting our overall capital plan by reducing our cost of capital, increasing capital efficiency and enhancing our projected returns on capital and (ii) reducing portfolio risk and financial volatility through economic cycles. We have distributed risk through traditional quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as to investors through the capital markets using mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions.

When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. These arrangements reduce our earned premiums but also reduce our net RIF, which provides capital relief, including under the PMIERs financial requirements. In addition, our incurred losses are reduced by any incurred losses ceded in accordance with the reinsurance agreement, which reduces the volatility of our

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provision for losses in certain stressed economic environments, and we often receive ceding commissions from the reinsurer as part of the transaction, which, in turn, reduce our reported operating expenses and policy acquisition costs.

Our XOL Program accesses reinsurance coverage through traditional excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as through the capital markets through the Eagle Re Issuers’ mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions. Our XOL Program reduces our earned premiums, but also reduces our net RIF and PMIERs financial requirements, and potentially our incurred losses, which are allocated in accordance with the structure of the transaction. The Eagle Re Issuers are special purpose VIEs that are not consolidated in our consolidated financial statements because we do not have the unilateral power to direct those activities that are significant to their economic performance.

See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance arrangements, including the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers.

Investment Income

Investment income is determined primarily by the investment balances held and the average yield on our overall investment portfolio. Increases in our investment balances and average yields result in higher pretax income and operating cash flows, while declining balances and yields can negatively affect our financial results.

Other Operating Expenses

Our other operating expenses include salaries and other base employee costs, variable and share-based incentive compensation and other general operating expenses, such as fees for professional and consulting services, software, rent and depreciation, among other costs. Employee related expenses are driven by our headcount, which can fluctuate due to the amount of our NIW and IIF, as well as our plans for other business initiatives. Our other operating expenses may also fluctuate due to the impact of performance on our incentive compensation programs, as a result of our pay-for-performance approach to compensation that is based on the level of achievement of both short-term and long-term goals.

These operating expenses are reported net of ceding commissions associated with our QSR Program. As a result, changes to our QSR Program and the amount of our ceded premiums earned also can impact our other operating expenses.

Other Factors

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments also may impact our consolidated results in the ordinary course. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods, as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Realized gains or losses can also be driven by the timing of residential mortgage loan securitizations and other transactions executed by Radian Mortgage Capital.

Unrealized gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading or equity securities, as well as changes from residential mortgage loans and hedging activities related to our Mortgage Conduit business. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in realized economic gains or losses.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio Metrics

New Insurance Written

The following table provides selected information for the periods indicated related to our mortgage insurance NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

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NIW
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202420232022
NIW$51,984$52,670$67,954
Primary risk written$13,186$13,533$17,368
Average coverage percentage25.4%25.7%25.6%
NIW by loan purpose
Purchases95.3%98.5%96.1%
Refinances4.7%1.5%3.9%
NIW by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums96.4%96.0%95.1%
Direct single premiums3.6%4.0%4.9%
NIW by FICO score (1)
=74069.6%65.4%59.8%
680-73925.1%28.9%32.4%
620-6795.3%5.7%7.8%
=6190.0%0.0%0.0%
NIW by LTV (2)
95.01% and above16.1%16.9%16.6%
90.01% to 95.00%38.0%39.4%39.9%
85.01% to 90.00%31.8%29.9%28.4%
85.00% and below14.1%13.8%15.1%

(1)
For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores at origination.

(2)
LTV at origination.

Insurance and Risk in Force

Year of origination - IIF
($ in billions)IIF as of:
By vintage:December 31, 2024December 31, 2023December 31, 2022
2024$49.317.9%$%$%
202345.316.5%50.618.7%%
202254.219.7%60.522.4%65.225.0%
202153.519.4%65.724.3%77.329.6%
202034.112.4%45.116.7%57.722.1%
201912.14.4%14.75.4%17.96.8%
2009 - 201820.17.3%25.79.6%33.913.0%
2008 & Prior6.52.4%7.72.9%9.03.5%
Total$275.1100.0%$270.0100.0%$261.0100.0%

The primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time is our IIF, which increases as a result of our NIW and decreases as a result of policy cancellations and amortization.

Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Higher interest rate environments generally decrease refinancings, which decrease the cancellation rate of our insurance and positively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table below, our 12-month Persistency Rate at December 31, 2024, decreased slightly as compared to

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the same period in 2023, which we believe is primarily attributable to a slight increase in refinance activity in 2024 compared to 2023.

Following a three-year period of benchmark interest rate increases, the U.S. Federal Reserve reduced benchmark interest rates for the first time in September 2024 and then again in both November and December 2024. While decreases in benchmark interest rates generally reduce longer-term U.S. treasury rates and result in lower mortgage interest rates and a corresponding increase in mortgage refinance transactions, we do not expect these recent interest rate changes to have a significant impact on our Persistency Rate in the near term. As of December 31, 2024, 68% of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate of 6.0% or less, which remains below the current mortgage interest rates based on reported industry averages. If mortgage rates were to decrease further, however, refinance volumes could increase, which could have a negative impact on our Persistency Rate and the size of our IIF portfolio. See “If the length of time that our mortgage insurance policies remain in force declines, it could result in a decrease in our future revenues” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to mortgage insurance IIF and RIF. Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

IIF and RIF
As of December 31,
($ in millions)202420232022
Primary IIF$275,126$269,979$260,994
Primary RIF$72,074$69,710$66,094
Average coverage percentage26.2%25.8%25.3%
Persistency Rate (12 months ended)83.6%84.0%79.6%
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1)82.7%85.8%84.1%
Primary RIF by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums90.0%88.9%87.1%
Direct single premiums10.0%11.1%12.9%
Primary RIF by FICO score (2)
=74060.1%58.5%57.4%
680-73932.6%33.9%34.6%
620-6797.0%7.3%7.6%
=6190.3%0.3%0.4%
Primary RIF by LTV (3)
95.01% and above19.8%18.6%17.1%
90.01% to 95.00%47.9%48.2%48.4%
85.01% to 90.00%27.3%27.1%27.2%
85.00% and below5.0%6.1%7.3%

(1)
The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

(2)
For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary RIF by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores at origination.

(3)
LTV at origination.

At December 31, 2024, 90% of our total Primary Mortgage RIF are Monthly and Other Recurring Premium Policies. Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase in IIF generally has a corresponding positive impact on premiums earned, while a decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding negative impact on premiums earned. Reductions

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in IIF through cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments, as well as other insurance policy terminations such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time.

The following table shows our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF by year of origination and selected information related to that risk as of the dates indicated.

Year of origination - RIF
December 31,
20242023
($ in millions)RIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for LossesRIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for Losses
2024$12,5165850.4%1.7%$
202311,6772,1171.6%9.4%13,0085840.4%1.6%
202214,1214,1812.5%23.2%15,5892,8991.6%13.9%
202114,4134,1242.2%19.9%17,0653,6301.6%17.0%
20209,3022,2151.6%8.9%11,5962,1111.2%9.2%
20193,1511,7803.0%6.4%3,7401,9042.7%7.9%
2009 - 20185,2445,2284.6%17.3%6,7756,1584.2%26.5%
2008 and prior1,6503,8258.1%13.2%1,9374,7358.7%23.9%
Total$72,07424,055100.0%$69,71022,021100.0%

Historical loan performance data indicates that credit scores and underwriting quality are key drivers of credit performance, and loan originations after 2008 have consisted primarily of high credit quality loans with significantly better credit performance than loans originated during 2008 and prior periods.

The following table illustrates the trends of our cumulative incurred loss ratios by year of origination and development year.

Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1)
VintageDec 2015Dec 2016Dec 2017Dec 2018Dec 2019Dec 2020 (2)Dec 2021 (2)Dec 2022Dec 2023Dec 2024
20152.1%4.8%5.2%5.0%4.7%7.4%6.8%3.8%2.9%2.4%
20162.9%5.0%4.8%4.7%9.7%8.0%3.7%2.7%2.1%
20174.7%5.1%6.1%14.3%11.9%5.1%3.7%2.9%
20183.0%6.4%22.8%19.0%7.2%4.9%3.9%
20192.8%35.6%23.5%6.8%4.6%3.5%
202025.6%14.9%6.0%3.8%3.1%
20217.9%10.9%9.1%8.0%
20229.4%15.2%17.0%
20237.1%12.6%
20246.9%

(1)
Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(2)
Losses incurred in 2021 and 2020 across all vintages were elevated due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Geographic Dispersion

The following table shows, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 states in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2024).

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Top 10 U.S. states - RIF
December 31,
20242023
Top 10 StatesRIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
Texas10.3%11.8%10.0%9.5%
California8.3%8.9%8.5%9.3%
Florida5.5%8.4%5.8%8.5%
Illinois5.1%5.8%5.0%6.0%
Virginia4.4%2.5%4.2%2.2%
Maryland3.9%3.4%3.7%3.5%
New York3.9%7.1%4.2%9.4%
Pennsylvania3.7%3.2%3.8%3.5%
Colorado3.7%2.2%3.4%1.6%
Washington3.7%1.8%3.6%2.2%
Total52.5%55.1%52.2%55.7%

The following table shows, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2024).

Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF
December 31,
20242023
Top 10 CBSAs (1)RIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA5.0%8.9%5.3%10.7%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI4.7%5.5%4.6%5.6%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV4.4%3.5%4.3%3.1%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX3.4%3.9%3.4%3.0%
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX3.0%4.3%2.9%3.2%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2.7%2.4%2.7%2.6%
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO2.4%1.5%2.2%1.0%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA2.3%2.2%2.3%2.5%
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI2.2%1.8%2.2%1.5%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA2.2%1.0%2.1%1.1%
Total32.3%35.0%32.0%34.3%

(1)
CBSAs are metropolitan areas and may include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our Mortgage Insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile.

The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage Insurance—Risk Distribution” and Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance transactions.

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The table below provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.

PMIERs benefit from risk distribution
December 31,
($ in thousands)202420232022
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets
XOL Program
Mortgage insurance-linked notes$558,939$770,335$665,617
Traditional reinsurance160,742218,294
Total XOL Program719,681988,629665,617
Other QSR Agreements (1)572,229420,989241,889
Single Premium QSR Program172,968193,807231,339
Total PMIERs impact$1,464,878$1,603,425$1,138,845
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets27.4%30.6%22.9%

(1)
Consists primarily of the 2022, 2023 and 2024 QSR Agreements, which include both single and monthly premium policies.

See “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” for information about the impact on premiums earned from each of Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs.

Results of Operations—Consolidated

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for 2024 primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our one reportable segment—Mortgage Insurance. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance” for the operating results of this business segment.

In addition to the results of our operating segments, pretax income (loss) is also affected by other factors. See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below and “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” for more information regarding items that are not included in the operating results of our operating segments.

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The following table highlights selected information related to our consolidated results of operations for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - Consolidated
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Revenues
Net premiums earned$951,283$919,578$981,131$31,705$(61,553)
Services revenue50,27046,09292,2164,178(46,124)
Net investment income292,693258,430195,65834,26362,772
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(10,114)10,241(80,733)(20,355)90,974
Income (loss) on consolidated VIEs(2)(2)
Other income6,1536,2472,454(94)3,793
Total revenues1,290,2831,240,5881,190,72649,69549,862
Expenses
Provision for losses(2,514)(42,526)(338,239)(40,012)(295,713)
Policy acquisition costs27,31624,57823,918(2,738)(660)
Cost of services38,27138,49182,35822043,867
Other operating expenses347,906347,578381,148(328)33,570
Interest expense108,01489,69584,454(18,319)(5,241)
Impairment of goodwill9,8029,802(9,802)
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets5,4834,3085,483(1,175)
Total expenses518,993473,101237,947(45,892)(235,154)
Pretax income771,290767,487952,7793,803(185,292)
Income tax provision166,850164,368209,845(2,482)45,477
Net income$604,440$603,119$742,934$1,321$(139,815)
Diluted net income per share$3.92$3.77$4.35$0.15$(0.58)
Return on equity13.4%14.5%18.2%(1.1)%(3.7)%
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1)
Adjusted pretax operating income$803,005$786,427$1,052,717$16,578$(266,290)
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share$4.11$3.88$4.87$0.23$(0.99)
Adjusted net operating return on equity14.1%14.9%20.3%(0.8)%(5.4)%

(1)
See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

This section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, and a year-over-year comparison between 2024 and 2023. Detailed discussions of our consolidated results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2023, as well as the results of operations for our one reportable segment, Mortgage Insurance, for the year ended December 31, 2023, including the year-over-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022, that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, filed with the SEC on February 23, 2024.

In the first quarter of 2024, our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker) made certain changes to the way that he organizes and assesses the performance of our operating segments, which resulted in updates to our quantitative and aggregation analyses in accordance with the accounting standard regarding segment reporting. Whereas previously we aggregated our Title, Real Estate Services and Real Estate Technology businesses and reported them as a

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single reportable segment named homegenius, effective for the year ended December 31, 2024, the individual results of operations for these immaterial businesses, as well as the results of our Mortgage Conduit business (our other operating segment that does not meet the reportable quantitative thresholds) is presented in the All Other category, along with certain corporate and other activities. We have not presented separate year-over-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022 for these immaterial businesses in the All Other category because, in management’s judgment, they are not necessary to an understanding of the business.

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. The increase in net premiums earned for 2024 compared to 2023 is primarily due to growth in IIF and a corresponding increase in direct premiums earned in 2024. For more information, see “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” under “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance.”

Net Investment Income. The increase in net investment income for 2024 compared to 2023 is primarily attributable to higher balances of residential mortgage loans held for sale and short-term investments. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for comparative detail about net investment income. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance—Revenues—Net Investment Income” and “Results of Operations—All Other” for more information.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about our net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments by investment category.

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The change in the provision for losses for 2024 compared to 2023 is primarily driven by a reduction in favorable development on prior year defaults and an increase in current year new primary defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance reserves. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance—Expenses—Provision for Losses” for more information.

Other Operating Expenses. The slight increase in other operating expenses for 2024 compared to 2023 is primarily due to impairments of other long-lived assets and other non-operating expenses of $23 million in 2024 as compared to $13 million in 2023. These items were mostly offset by: (i) a decrease in other general operating expenses and (ii) an increase in ceding commissions. For more information, see “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” and “Results of Operations—All Other.”

Interest Expense. The increase in interest expense for 2024, as compared to 2023, is primarily due to: (i) an increase in secured borrowings under our mortgage loan financing facilities and (ii) the net impact of the March 2024 issuance and redemption of the Senior Notes due 2029 and Senior Notes due 2025, respectively, including the impact of a $4 million loss on extinguishment of debt related to the redemption of the Senior Notes due 2025. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail about our interest expense.

Income Tax Provision

Our 2024 effective tax rate was 21.6%, generally consistent with the federal statutory rate of 21%. State income taxes and certain permanent book-to-tax adjustments were the primary drivers of minor differences in the effective tax rate compared to the federal statutory rate. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a reconciliation of our provision for income taxes.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis, adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and

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adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies.

Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for those investments and other financial instruments attributable to our Mortgage Conduit business; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

The following table provides a reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted pretax operating income.

Reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to adjusted pretax operating income
December 31,
(In thousands)202420232022
Consolidated pretax income$771,290$767,487$952,779
Less: income (expense) items
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (1)(4,316)9,427(80,780)
Amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets(15,285)(4,308)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (2)(27,399)(13,082)(14,850)
Total adjusted pretax operating income (3)$803,005$786,427$1,052,717

(1)
Excludes net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments that are attributable to our Mortgage Conduit business, which are included in adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

(2)
Related primarily to impairments of other long-lived assets that are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

(3)
Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage Insurance segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.

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Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share
Years Ended December 31,
202420232022
Diluted net income per share$3.92$3.77$4.35
Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(0.03)0.06(0.47)
Amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets(0.09)(0.03)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.17)(0.08)(0.09)
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1)0.040.020.12
Difference between statutory and effective tax rates(0.03)(0.02)(0.05)
Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items(0.19)(0.11)(0.52)
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1)$4.11$3.88$4.87

(1)
Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%.

Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted net operating return on equity.

Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity
Years Ended December 31,
202420232022
Return on equity (1)13.4%14.5%18.2%
Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2)
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(0.1)%0.2%(2.0)%
Amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets%(0.3)%(0.1)%
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.6)%(0.3)%(0.4)%
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3)0.1%0.1%0.5%
Difference between statutory and effective tax rates(0.1)%(0.1)%(0.1)%
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items(0.7)%(0.4)%(2.1)%
Adjusted net operating return on equity (3)14.1%14.9%20.3%

(1)
Calculated by dividing net income by average stockholders’ equity.

(2)
As a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)
Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rates of 21%.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance

The following table summarizes our Mortgage Insurance segment’s results of operations for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - Mortgage Insurance
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Revenues
Net premiums written$930,149$904,240$959,872$25,909$(55,632)
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums9,0885,123(2,659)3,9657,782
Net premiums earned939,237909,363957,21329,874(47,850)
Services revenue1,0251,0887,390(63)(6,302)
Net investment income201,453195,077171,2216,37623,856
Other income5,6495,3722,3762772,996
Total revenues1,147,3641,110,9001,138,20036,464(27,300)
Expenses
Provision for losses(2,248)(42,136)(339,374)(39,888)(297,238)
Policy acquisition costs27,31624,57823,918(2,738)(660)
Cost of services5347135,9511795,238
Other operating expenses210,668211,733231,3221,06519,589
Interest expense83,73186,18884,4402,457(1,748)
Total expenses320,001281,0766,257(38,925)(274,819)
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$827,363$829,824$1,131,943$(2,461)$(302,119)

(1)
Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased for 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to an increase in direct premiums earned resulting from higher IIF. As further discussed in “Overview of Business Operating Environment” above, in 2025 our IIF is expected to continue to benefit from a slightly larger mortgage origination market as compared to 2024.

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The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.

Net premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands, except as otherwise indicated)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Direct
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations$1,040,678$1,015,238$991,556$25,440$23,682
Single Premium Policy cancellations8,33614,70334,051(6,367)(19,348)
Direct1,049,0141,029,9411,025,60719,0734,334
Assumed4,025(4,025)
Ceded
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations(164,055)(165,870)(130,556)1,815(35,314)
Single Premium Policy cancellations (1)2,390(3,903)(9,677)6,2935,774
Profit commission—other (2)51,88849,19567,8142,693(18,619)
Ceded premiums, net of profit commission(109,777)(120,578)(72,419)10,801(48,159)
Total net premiums earned$939,237$909,363$957,213$29,874$(47,850)
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (3)38.238.239.3(1.1)
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (4)38.538.840.6(0.3)(1.8)
Net premium yield (in basis points) (5)34.534.337.80.2(3.5)
Average primary IIF (in billions) (6)$272.6$265.5$253.5$7.1$12.0

(1)
Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(2)
Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program and 2022, 2023 and 2024 QSR Agreements, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(3)
Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.

(4)
Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.

(5)
Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

(6)
The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.

Our in force portfolio premium yield was stable for 2024, as compared to 2023. Based on current NIW pricing and the impact of higher Persistency Rates we have been experiencing, we currently expect our in force portfolio premium yield in 2025 to remain stable; however, due to the potential impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may continue to fluctuate from period to period.

The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our Mortgage Insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage Insurance—IIF and Persistency” for more information.

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The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.

Ceded premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,
($ in thousands)202420232022
XOL Program
Mortgage insurance-linked notes$38,797$76,926$76,988
Traditional reinsurance8,624
Total XOL Program47,42176,92676,988
Other QSR Agreements (1)53,99234,41010,810
Single Premium QSR Program (2)8,3649,242(15,379)
Total ceded premiums earned (3)$109,777$120,578$72,419
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned10.5%11.7%6.8%

(1)
Consists primarily of the 2022, 2023 and 2024 QSR Agreements.

(2)
Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves. See “Expenses—Provision for Losses” below for additional information on our favorable reserve development, particularly in 2022.

(3)
Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Net Investment Income. Increasing yields from higher interest rates and higher investment balances were the primary driver of the increases in net investment income for 2024 compared to 2023.

The following table provides information related to our Mortgage Insurance subsidiaries’ investment balances and investment yields for the periods indicated.

Investment balances and yields
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Investment income$211,363$202,219$177,478$9,144$24,741
Investment expenses(9,910)(7,142)(6,257)(2,768)(885)
Net investment income$201,453$195,077$171,221$6,376$23,856
Average investments (1)$5,399,675$5,358,882$5,546,198$40,793$(187,316)
Average investment yield (2)3.7%3.6%3.1%0.1%0.5%

(1)
The average of the beginning and ending amortized cost, for each period presented, of investments held by our Mortgage Insurance subsidiaries.

(2)
Calculated by dividing net investment income by average investments balance.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.

Provision for losses
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except reserve per new default)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Current year defaults (1)$197,719$178,664$160,049$(19,055)$(18,615)
Prior year defaults (2)(199,967)(220,800)(499,423)(20,833)(278,623)
Total provision for losses$(2,248)$(42,136)$(339,374)$(39,888)$(297,238)
Loss ratio (3)(0.2)%(4.6)%(35.5)%(4.4)%(30.9)%
Reserve per new default (4)$3,913$4,060$4,241$147$181

(1)
Related to defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.

(2)
Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a year earlier than the year indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.

(3)
Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.

(4)
Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by the number of new primary defaults for each period.

Current year new primary defaults increased by 15% for 2024, as compared to 2023, consistent with the natural seasoning of the portfolio given the increase in our IIF in recent years. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 7.5% at December 31, 2024, compared to 8.0% at December 31, 2023. We continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.

Our provision for losses during 2024, 2023 and 2022 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.

Our primary default rate at December 31, 2024, was 2.4% compared to 2.2% at December 31, 2023. The following table shows a rollforward of the number of our primary loans in default.

Rollforward of primary loans in default
Years Ended December 31,
202420232022
Beginning default inventory22,02121,91329,061
New defaults50,53544,00737,738
Cures (1)(47,830)(43,354)(44,136)
Claims paid(524)(419)(659)
Rescissions and Claim Denials (2)(147)(126)(91)
Ending default inventory24,05522,02121,913

(1)
Includes submitted claims that resolved without a claim payment.

(2)
Net of any previous Rescission and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

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Part II. Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following tables show additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.

Primary loans in default - additional information
December 31, 2024
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less12,69952.8%2637.5%$103,07830.6%
Four to eleven payments7,83332.6%31625.9%130,26738.7%
Twelve payments or more3,23013.4%71916.1%87,16325.9%
Pending claims2931.2%N/A34.1%16,0464.8%
Total24,055100.0%1,061336,554100.0%
LAE11,641
IBNR1,757
Total primary reserve (1)$349,952
December 31, 2023
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less11,05450.2%2536.2%$94,85627.5%
Four to eleven payments7,14732.5%29827.2%119,33034.7%
Twelve payments or more3,43815.6%69917.3%111,14132.3%
Pending claims3821.7%N/A30.6%18,9085.5%
Total22,021100.0%1,022344,235100.0%
LAE10,397
IBNR1,780
Total primary reserve (1)$356,412

N/A – Not applicable

(1)
Excludes pool and other reserves. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates on defaulted loans based on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary defaulted loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 23% and 25%, at December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. This decrease was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2024, given the larger proportion of more recent defaults and loans with fewer missed payments, as well as reduced claim rate assumptions for prior period defaults due to more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding our reserve for losses and a reconciliation of our Mortgage Insurance segment’s beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE.

Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter, based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors, including the impact of foreclosure moratoriums (as further described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Defaults and Claims”), which make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.

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The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.

Claims paid
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202420232022
Net claims paid (1)
Primary$11,012$9,301$12,012
Pool and other(206)(925)(1,453)
Subtotal10,8068,37610,559
LAE4,2544,5354,400
Commutations and settlements (2)2,2541,3325,899
Total net claims paid$17,314$14,243$20,858
Average net primary claim paid (1) (3)$28.0$22.5$27.4
Average direct primary claim paid (3) (4)$32.0$27.2$33.4

(1)
Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)
Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans.

(3)
Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) LAE; (ii) commutations and settlements; and (iii) claims resolved without payment, including claims subsequently withdrawn by the servicer.

(4)
Before reinsurance recoveries.

Hurricanes Helene and Milton made landfall in September and October 2024, respectively, causing extensive property damage in Florida and certain other states, as well as other general disruptions including power outages and flooding. Although the Primary Mortgage Insurance we write protects lenders from a portion of losses resulting from mortgage defaults, it generally does not provide protection against property loss or physical damage, including damage caused by hurricanes or other severe weather events or natural disasters. As expected, new defaults from the affected areas increased in the fourth quarter of 2024. Absent a prolonged negative impact on the local economies in these areas, as of December 31, 2024, we do not expect to incur any material losses due to current or future defaults in FEMA Designated Areas related to these hurricanes.

Other Operating Expenses. The decrease in other operating expenses for 2024, as compared to 2023, is primarily related to: (i) an increase in ceding commissions under Radian Guaranty’s QSR Program and (ii) a reduction in other general operating expenses related to expense savings actions implemented for the segment during the past year. These items were partially offset by: (i) an increase in severance related expenses, incurred primarily in the first half of the year and (ii) an increase in performance-based variable compensation in 2024.

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The following tables show additional information about other operating expenses for our Mortgage Insurance segment for the periods indicated.

Other operating expenses
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$41,789$41,534$51,537$(255)$10,003
Variable and share-based incentive compensation20,95617,29416,937(3,662)(357)
Other general operating expenses28,16932,25540,4464,0868,191
Ceding commissions(24,497)(19,933)(16,164)4,5643,769
Total direct66,41771,15092,7564,73321,606
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses51,80646,06046,955(5,746)895
Variable and share-based incentive compensation36,20337,75831,8891,555(5,869)
Other general operating expenses56,24256,76559,7225232,957
Total allocated144,251140,583138,566(3,668)(2,017)
Total other operating expenses$210,668$211,733$231,322$1,065$19,589
Expense ratio (2)25.3%26.0%26.7%0.7%0.7%

(1)
See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

(2)
Operating expenses (which consist of policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses, as well as allocated corporate operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.

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Results of Operations—All Other

The following table summarizes our results of operations for our All Other activities for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - All Other
Years Ended December 31,Change Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2024202320222024 vs. 20232023 vs. 2022
Revenues
Net premiums earned$12,046$10,215$23,918$1,831$(13,703)
Services revenue49,64645,39485,1584,252(39,764)
Net investment income91,24063,35324,43727,88738,916
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(5,798)81447(6,612)767
Income (loss) on consolidated VIEs(2)(2)
Other income58227248555(221)
Total revenues147,714119,803133,80827,911(14,005)
Expenses
Provision for losses(266)(390)1,135(124)1,525
Cost of services37,73737,77876,4074138,629
Other operating expenses114,593122,305135,4787,71213,173
Interest expense20,0083,50714(16,501)(3,493)
Total expenses172,072163,200213,034(8,872)49,834
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1)$(24,358)$(43,397)$(79,226)$19,039$35,829

(1)
Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Our All Other results include income from investments held at Radian Group, which have benefited from rising interest rates over the past year as well as from rising balances resulting from distributions by Radian Guaranty.

All Other also includes the financial results of our other immaterial operating segments, comprising our Mortgage Conduit, Title, Real Estate Services and Real Estate Technology businesses. In particular, Radian Mortgage Capital contributed to the increase in net investment income, net losses on investments and other financial instruments and interest expense during 2024, as our residential mortgage loan and securitization activities increased.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Consolidated Cash Flows

The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.

Summary cash flows - Consolidated
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202420232022
Net cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities$(663,572)$529,434$388,298
Investing activities327,746(300,842)(5,175)
Financing activities357,233(265,087)(479,183)
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash$21,407$(36,495)$(96,060)

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Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows have typically been for our operating expenses, taxes and claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies. In addition, our operating activities also include Radian Mortgage Capital’s purchases, sales and principal payments related to residential mortgage loans held for sale, which can fluctuate from period to period. The increase in cash used in operating activities in 2024, as compared to cash provided by operating activities in 2023 or 2022, is primarily due to increases in net purchases of residential mortgage loans held for sale, which increased from $31 million in 2023 to $1.3 billion in 2024.

Investing Activities. Net cash provided by investing activities increased for 2024, as compared to cash used in investing activities in 2023. This increase was primarily from sales and redemptions, net of purchases, of short-term investments and fixed-maturities available for sale, which helped to fund certain of our financing activities described below.

Financing Activities. For 2024, our primary financing activities impacting cash included proceeds from the issuance of securitized nonrecourse debt as well as an increase in secured borrowings, primarily related to funding from mortgage loan financing facilities. These increases were partially offset by: (i) net changes in our senior notes; (ii) repurchases of our common stock; and (iii) payment of dividends. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our borrowings and share repurchases, respectively.

See “Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data—Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows” for additional information.

Investment Portfolio

At December 31, 2024 and 2023, the following tables include $139 million and $204 million, respectively, of securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, which are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our investment portfolio, including our securities lending agreements.

The composition of our investment portfolio, other than our retained interests in Radian Mortgage Capital’s mortgage loan securitizations, is presented below as a percentage of overall fair value as of the dates indicated. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on our Radian Mortgage Capital securitizations.

Investment portfolio diversification
December 31,
20242023
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Corporate bonds and commercial paper$2,74942.4%$2,93846.8%
RMBS1,01515.7%1,02016.2%
Residential mortgage loans5208.0%330.5%
CMBS4176.4%5649.0%
CLO4116.3%4887.8%
Other ABS4557.0%2864.5%
Money market instruments and certificates of deposit3866.0%3776.0%
State and municipal obligations (1)2013.1%2163.4%
U.S. government and agency securities1282.0%1442.3%
Equity securities1472.3%1652.6%
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (2)470.7%490.8%
Other investments80.1%90.1%
Total$6,484100.0%$6,289100.0%

(1)
Primarily consists of taxable state and municipal investments.

(2)
Includes mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the XOL Program. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

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The following table shows the scheduled maturities of the securities held in our investment portfolio as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio scheduled maturity
December 31,
20242023
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Short-term investments$5228.0%$66110.5%
Due in one year or less (1)1352.1%1191.9%
Due after one year through five years (1)1,06816.5%1,24819.9%
Due after five years through 10 years (1)96414.9%87613.9%
Due after 10 years (1)79112.2%77412.3%
Asset-backed securities and mortgage-related assets (2)2,84943.9%2,43738.8%
Equity securities (3)1472.3%1652.6%
Other invested assets (3)80.1%90.1%
Total$6,484100.0%$6,289100.0%

(1)
Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.

(2)
Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS, mortgage insurance-linked notes and residential mortgage loans, which are not due at a single maturity date.

(3)
No stated maturity date.

The following table provides the ratings of our investment portfolio, from a nationally recognized statistical ratings organization, presented as a percentage of overall fair value, as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio by rating
December 31,
20242023
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
U.S. government / AAA$2,55439.4%$2,45639.0%
AA75011.6%90514.4%
A1,66225.6%1,79528.6%
BBB80612.4%84213.4%
BB and below270.4%751.2%
Not rated (1)68510.6%2163.4%
Total$6,484100.0%$6,289100.0%

(1)
Primarily consists of residential mortgage loans and equity securities.

Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2024, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $885 million. Total liquidity, which includes our undrawn $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $1.2 billion as of December 31, 2024.

During 2024, Radian Group’s available liquidity decreased by $107 million, due to the net impact of the redemption of the Senior Notes due 2025 and 2024 and the issuance of the Senior Notes due 2029, plus payments for dividends and share repurchases, as described below, partially offset by $675 million in ordinary dividends received from Radian Guaranty.

In addition to available cash and marketable securities, including net investment income earned on such investments, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements and (ii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries.

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Radian Group has in place a $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders. The revolving credit facility matures in December 2026, although under certain conditions Radian Group may be required to offer to repay any outstanding amounts and terminate lender commitments earlier than the maturity date. Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and other subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2024, the full $275 million remains undrawn and available under the facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.

In connection with our Mortgage Conduit business, Radian Mortgage Capital has entered into three Master Repurchase Agreements. As of December 31, 2024, Radian Group has entered into three separate Parent Guarantees to guaranty the obligations under the Master Repurchase Agreements. Under these Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is subject to negative and affirmative covenants customary for this type of financing transaction, including compliance with financial covenants that are generally consistent with the comparable covenants in the Company’s revolving credit facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. Radian Mortgage Capital plans to continue to make use of this type of financing arrangement in the future, which may include extending the termination dates of the Master Repurchase Agreements, increasing the amount available for borrowing thereunder, and entering into agreements with additional lenders. In addition to financing the acquisition of mortgage loan assets under the Master Repurchase Agreements, Radian Mortgage Capital may fund such purchases directly using capital contributed from Radian Group.

We expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (ii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations; (iii) the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which were $0.245 per share in 2024 and subsequently increased to $0.255 per share for the first quarterly dividend in 2025, and which remain subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies; (iv) the potential continued repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below; and (v) investments to support our business strategy, including capital contributions to our subsidiaries.

In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $1.1 billion aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years. See “Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile.

Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations and (ii) potential payments pursuant to the Parent Guarantees.

For additional information about related risks and uncertainties, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” including “Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations.” and “Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity.” See also “Overview of Business Operating Environment” above and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

In addition to Radian Group’s existing sources of liquidity to fund its obligations, we may decide to seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity, or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.

Share Repurchases. During 2024 and 2023, the Company repurchased 7.0 million shares and 5.3 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $224 million and $133 million, respectively, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.

Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2024 and 2023, our quarterly dividend was $0.245 and $0.225 per share, respectively. In February 2025, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to our quarterly dividend from $0.245 to $0.255 per share. Based on our outstanding shares of common stock and our current dividend level, which our board of directors may change as discussed above, we would require approximately $151 million in the aggregate to pay dividends for the next 12 months, plus an incremental amount for dividend equivalents that will fluctuate based on final shares vested under our performance-based RSU programs. So long as no default or event of default exists under our revolving credit facility or the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. Delaware corporation law provides that dividends are only payable out of a corporation’s capital surplus or (subject to certain limitations) recent net profits. As of December 31, 2024, our capital surplus was $4 billion, representing our dividend limitation under Delaware law.

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The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ discretion and determination.

Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2024 of $169 million and $81 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements. The expense-sharing arrangements between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.

Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. During 2024, Radian Group received $1 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its subsidiaries.

Capitalization—Holding Company

The following table presents our holding company capital structure.

Capital structure
December 31,
(In thousands, except per-share amounts and ratios)20242023
Debt
Senior Notes due 2024$$450,000
Senior Notes due 2025525,000
Senior Notes due 2027450,000450,000
Senior Notes due 2029625,000
Unamortized discount and debt issuance costs(9,663)(7,219)
Revolving credit facility
Total1,065,3371,417,781
Stockholders’ equity4,623,8584,397,805
Total capitalization$5,689,195$5,815,586
Holding company debt-to-capital ratio (1)18.7%24.4%
Shares outstanding147,569153,179
Book value per share$31.33$28.71

(1)
Calculated as carrying value of senior notes, which were issued and are owed by our holding company, divided by carrying value of senior notes and stockholders’ equity. This holding company ratio does not include the effects of amounts owed by our subsidiaries related to secured borrowings.

Stockholders’ equity increased by $226 million from December 31, 2023, to December 31, 2024. The net increase in stockholders’ equity for 2024 resulted primarily from our net income of $604 million. This item was partially offset by: (i) share repurchases of $224 million, excluding related excise taxes due, and (ii) dividends and dividend equivalents of $153 million.

The increase in book value per share from $28.71 at December 31, 2023, to $31.33 at December 31, 2024, was primarily due to an increase of $3.95 per share attributable to our net income for 2024. This increase was partially offset by a decrease of $1.00 per share attributable to dividends and dividend equivalents.

We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders. We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving

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credit facilities. In the past we have repurchased or exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.

Mortgage Insurance

Historically, one of the primary demands for liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business is the payment of claims, net of reinsurance, including from commutations and settlements. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information on our mortgage insurance reserve for losses and LAE, which represents our best estimate for the costs of settling future claims on currently defaulted mortgage loans.

Other principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business are expected to include: (i) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (ii) repayments of FHLB advances; (iii) distributions from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, including returns of capital or recurring ordinary dividends, as discussed below; and (iv) taxes, including potential additional purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds. See Notes 10 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information related to these non-interest-bearing instruments.

The principal sources of liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities; (ii) FHLB advances; and (iii) if necessary, capital contributions from Radian Group. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by Radian Guaranty, as well as our additional immaterial mortgage insurance subsidiaries, will provide them with the funds necessary to satisfy their needs for the foreseeable future.

As of December 31, 2024, Radian Guaranty maintained claims paying resources of $6.2 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2024, was 10.2 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2024, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $723 million. This balance includes a $921 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At December 31, 2024, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $6.0 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $2.2 billion, or 56%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs Cushion of $5.9 billion and $2.3 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2023.

Despite holding assets above the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.

Radian Guaranty paid ordinary dividends to Radian Group of $675 million during 2024. Radian Guaranty expects to distribute $200 million to Radian Group prior to end of February 2025, and to have the ability to continue paying ordinary dividends in 2025 and for the foreseeable future. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our statutory dividend restrictions and contingency reserve requirements.

Radian Guaranty is a member of the FHLB. As a member, it may borrow from the FHLB subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB

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may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management and liquidity purposes. As of December 31, 2024, there were $46 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

All Other

Additional capital support may also be required for potential investments in our other business initiatives to support our strategy of growing our businesses. During 2024 and 2023, Radian Group made $72 million and $100 million, respectively, of additional equity contributions to support our Title, Real Estate Services and Real Estate Technology businesses. During those same periods, Radian Group also made $83 million and $45 million, respectively, of net additional equity contributions to facilitate the growth of our Mortgage Conduit business.

In the event the cash flows from operations of our All Other businesses continue to be insufficient to fund all of their needs, Radian Group may continue to provide additional funds in the form of additional capital contributions or other support. See “Investments to grow our existing businesses, pursue new lines of business or develop new products and services within existing lines of business subject us to additional risks and uncertainties” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.

Ratings

Ratings independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations often are considered in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. Radian Group, Radian Guaranty and Radian Title Insurance are currently assigned the financial strength ratings set forth in the chart below, which are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change. See “Potential downgrades by rating agencies to the current financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty and/or the credit ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors.”

Ratings
SubsidiaryDemotech, Inc.Fitch (1)Moody’s (1)S&P (1)
Radian Group (2)N/ABBBBaa3BBB-
Radian GuarantyN/AAA3A-
Radian Title InsuranceAN/AN/AN/A

(1)
Fitch Ratings, Moody’s and S&P each currently rate the outlook for both Radian Group and Radian Guaranty as Stable.

(2)
Senior debt ratings.

Critical Accounting Estimates

SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operations of the registrant. These items require the application of management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain and that may change in subsequent periods. In preparing our consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management has made estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods.

In preparing these financial statements, management has utilized available information, including our past history, industry standards and the current and projected economic and housing environments, among other factors, in forming its estimates, assumptions and judgments, giving due consideration to materiality. Because the use of estimates is inherent in GAAP, actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, other companies may utilize different estimates, which may impact comparability of our results of operations to those of companies in similar businesses. A summary of the accounting estimates that management believes are critical to the preparation of our consolidated financial statements is set forth below. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional disclosures regarding our significant accounting policies.

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Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

Reserve for Losses and LAE

We establish reserves to provide for losses and LAE, which include the estimated costs of settling claims in our mortgage insurance portfolio, in accordance with the accounting standard regarding accounting and reporting by insurance enterprises. In our Mortgage Insurance business, the default and claim cycle begins with the receipt of a default notice from the loan servicer that a borrower has missed two consecutive monthly mortgage payments. We maintain an extensive database of default and claim payment history, and use models based on a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status.

With respect to loans that are in default, considerable judgment is exercised as to the adequacy of reserve levels. We use an actuarial projection methodology referred to as a “roll rate” analysis that uses historical claim frequency information to determine the projected ultimate Default to Claim Rates based on the Stage of Default and Time in Default as well as the date that a loan goes into default. The Default to Claim Rate also includes our estimates with respect to expected Rescissions and Claim Denials, which have the effect of reducing our Default to Claim Rates. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the table detailing our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

After estimating the Default to Claim Rate, beginning in 2024, we estimate Claim Severity by applying observed severity rates for past paid claims within cohorts based on both Time in Default and estimated borrower equity, as adjusted to account for anticipated differences and risks in future results compared to past trends, including potential declines in estimated borrower equity. These severity estimates are then applied to individual loan coverage amounts to determine reserves. Similar to the Default to Claim Rate, Claim Severity also is impacted by the length of time that loans are in default. For claims under our Primary Mortgage Insurance, the coverage percentage is applied to the claim amount, which consists of the unpaid loan principal, plus past due interest (for which our liability is contractually capped in accordance with the terms of our Master Policies) and certain expenses associated with the default, to determine our maximum liability. Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default.

We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2024, by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance. For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 89% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2024), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $4 million at December 31, 2024. Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to be 23% at December 31, 2024, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated an approximate $15 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2024.

Senior management regularly reviews the modeled frequency, Claim Severity and Loss Mitigation Activity estimates, which are based on historical trends, as described above. If recent emerging or projected trends, including related to current and future macroeconomic conditions, differ significantly from the historical trends used to develop the modeled estimates, management evaluates these trends and determines how they should be considered in its reserve estimates.

Estimating our case reserve for losses involves significant reliance upon assumptions and estimates with regard to the likelihood, magnitude and timing of each potential loss. The models, assumptions and estimates we use to establish loss reserves may prove to be inaccurate, especially during an extended economic downturn or a period of market volatility and economic uncertainty. These assumptions require management to use considerable judgment in estimating the rate at which these loans will result in claims and the amount of such claims. As such, there is uncertainty around our reserve estimate.

Premium Revenue Recognition

Premiums on mortgage insurance products are written on a recurring basis, either as monthly or annual premiums, or on a multi-year basis as a single premium. Monthly premiums written are earned as coverage is provided each month. For certain monthly policies where the billing is deferred for the first month’s coverage period, currently to the end of the policy, we record a net premium receivable representing the present value of such deferred premiums that we estimate will be collected at that future date.

We recognize changes in this receivable based on changes in the estimated amount and timing of such collections, including as a result of changes in observed trends as well as our periodic review of our servicing guide and our operations

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and collections practices. Key assumptions supporting our estimate of this net premium receivable, which equaled $38 million and $36 million as of December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively, include a collection rate and average life. During both 2024 and 2023, we made no changes to these assumptions.

Single premiums written are initially recorded as unearned premiums and earned over time based on the anticipated loss pattern and the estimated period of risk exposure, which is primarily derived from historical experience and other factors such as projected losses, premium type and projected contractual periods of risk based on original LTV. Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk. There were no changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2024 and 2023.

Actual future experience that is different than expected loss development or policy cancellations could result in further material increases or decreases in the recognition of net premiums earned. Based on historical experience, losses are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates. If the timing of losses were to shift, it could accelerate or decelerate our recognition of net premiums earned and could have a material impact on our results of operations.

Financial Instruments

Fair Value

Our estimated fair value measurements are intended to reflect the assumptions market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability based on the best information available. Assumptions include the risks inherent in a particular valuation technique (such as a pricing model) and the risks inherent in the inputs to the model. Changes in economic conditions and capital market conditions, including but not limited to, benchmark interest rate changes, credit spread changes, market volatility and changes in the value of underlying collateral, could cause actual results to differ materially from our estimated fair value measurements.

Nearly all of our financial instruments recorded at fair value relate to our investment portfolio which, including residential mortgage loans held for sale in our Mortgage Conduit business and securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, totaled $6.5 billion as of December 31, 2024. The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities and residential mortgage loans to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. For additional information regarding the sensitivity of our investment portfolio to these inputs, see “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

See also Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information pertaining to financial instruments at fair value and our valuation methodologies.

Credit Losses and Other Impairments

We perform an evaluation of fixed-maturity securities available for sale each quarter to assess whether any decline in their fair value below cost is deemed to be a credit impairment recognized in earnings. Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2024, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities were $460 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding impairments related to investments.

Income Taxes

We are required to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that all or some portion of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. At each balance sheet date, we assess our need for a valuation allowance and this assessment is based on all available evidence, both positive and negative, and requires management to exercise judgment and make assumptions regarding whether such deferred tax assets will be realized in future periods. Future realization of our deferred tax assets will ultimately depend on the existence of sufficient taxable income of the appropriate character (ordinary income or capital gains) within the applicable carryback and carryforward periods provided under the tax

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law. In making our assessment of the more likely than not standard, the weight assigned to the effect of both positive and negative evidence is commensurate with the extent to which such evidence can be objectively verified.

We have determined that certain non-insurance entities within Radian may continue to generate taxable losses on a separate company basis in the near term and may not be able to fully utilize certain state and local NOLs on their state and local tax returns. Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $67 million and $63 million at December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes. An amount up to the total valuation allowance currently recorded could be recognized if our assessment of realizability changes. Our assumptions around these items and the weight assigned to them have remained consistent in recent periods. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

FY 2023 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0000890926-24-000006.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Published MD&A gate trimmed front/tail over-capture. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2024-02-23. Report date: 2023-12-31.

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.

Some of the information in this discussion and analysis or included elsewhere in this report, including information with respect to our projections, plans and strategy for our business, are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including those discussed under “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” and in the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

INDEX TO ITEM 7Page
Overview65
Key Factors Affecting Our Results67
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio70
Results of Operations—Consolidated76
Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance81
Results of Operations—homegenius87
Results of Operations—All Other88
Liquidity and Capital Resources89
Critical Accounting Estimates95

Overview

We are a mortgage and real estate company with two reportable business segments—Mortgage Insurance and homegenius.

Our Mortgage Insurance segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also offers other credit risk management solutions, including contract underwriting, to our customers. Our homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and real estate technology products and services primarily to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, the GSEs, real estate brokers and agents, and corporations for their employees.

See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our businesses. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” below for information about the key drivers that affect our performance.

Current Operating Environment

As a mortgage and real estate company, our business results are subject to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and residential real estate markets and the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio, as well as seasonal fluctuations impacting mortgage and real estate markets. Among others, these factors may include home prices and housing supply, inflationary pressures, interest rate changes, unemployment levels, the volume of mortgage originations and the availability of credit, national and regional economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments and other events, including macroeconomic stresses and uncertainties resulting from global conflicts and other geopolitical events. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for a discussion of material risks that could impact our business results.

As further discussed below, the following economic and market conditions represent the primary factors affecting the current operating environment for our businesses.

Inflationary Pressures and Elevated Interest Rates. Annual inflation in the U.S. reached a 40-year high in 2022. To reduce inflation, the U.S. Federal Reserve has increased interest rates significantly since 2021, resulting in a sharp and

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significant increase in mortgage interest rates. Among other negative impacts on our business, these macroeconomic conditions have reduced the overall volume of mortgage transactions taking place, which in turn, has reduced the amount of NIW we are writing. Conversely, the higher interest rate environment also has benefited our financial performance through higher Persistency Rates, which has resulted in continued growth in our IIF despite lower NIW, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income. More recently, mortgage rates have decreased from their peak in the third quarter of 2023, and with inflation beginning to moderate, the U.S. Federal Reserve has indicated that it could begin to reduce interest rates in 2024. Although in recent years the inflationary pressures and higher interest rate environment discussed above have negatively impacted the U.S. housing market, including broadly reducing refinance activity, longer-term, we continue to believe that the housing market fundamentals and outlook remain favorable, including demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers and a constrained supply of homes available for sale with available homes near historical lows. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio” for additional details on our NIW and IIF. The same inflationary pressures and interest rate environment discussed above have also negatively impacted our homegenius businesses, due primarily to the rapid decline in industry-wide purchase and refinance volumes, which has resulted in a continued decline in homegenius revenues since the beginning of 2022 and ongoing losses for that business segment.

Home Price Appreciation and Limited Housing Supply. Our mortgage insurance business generally benefits from increases in housing demand, home prices and the volume of home purchases, all of which are influenced by the current market imbalance between a constrained housing supply and strong market demand. While the housing shortage combined with strong market demand has created affordability challenges for many first-time homebuyers, the same dynamic benefits our existing insurance written by mitigating against the risks of loss to us associated with a decrease in home values. As a result, paid claim volumes and severity in our mortgage insurance business have been positively affected by the current environment. Further, as discussed below, we believe the embedded equity borrowers have in their homes as a result of strong home price appreciation in recent years is a factor that is positively impacting our loan default and Cure trends, and importantly, the strong demographics supporting continued demand from first-time homebuyers are likely to continue to support home prices and drive further growth in purchase originations that is expected to grow our IIF. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written” for expectations on mortgage origination volumes.

Strong Credit Environment, Positively Impacting Default and Cure Trends. In 2020, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a significant increase in unemployment and had a negative impact on the economy. As a result, we experienced a material increase in new defaults beginning in the second quarter of 2020, substantially all of which related to loans subject to mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This increase in new defaults resulted in an increase in our reserve for losses and had a negative effect on our results of operations for that year. Since 2020 and continuing through December 31, 2023, subsequent trends in Cures have been more favorable than original expectations, resulting in favorable loss reserve development in 2022 and 2023 on prior period defaults due to stable and low levels of unemployment and the strong home price appreciation in recent years. As of December 31, 2023, based on a home price index-based approach using industry averages, we estimate that 86% of our total IIF had at least 10% embedded equity and 82% of defaulted loans had at least 20% embedded equity. The significant embedded equity that borrowers in our insured portfolio have in their homes has helped to mitigate our risk of loss by decreasing both the frequency and severity of our paid claims. These positive trends have also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. While the recent credit and housing trends have been favorable, the number of defaults that ultimately result in claims in the future is difficult to predict and will depend on a variety of factors, including the overall economic environment and the natural seasoning of our growing IIF portfolio. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reserve for losses.

Improvements in Mortgage Finance System and Mortgage Insurance Fundamentals. Despite risks and uncertainties, we believe that mortgage industry fundamentals remain strong and have benefited from improvements to the mortgage and real estate ecosystem since the great financial crisis in 2008, including more stringent underwriting and product standards, higher-quality borrowers with strong credit profiles and strengthened servicing standards and government support to help borrowers stay in their homes. In addition, enhancements in the mortgage insurance industry since the great financial crisis in 2008, including the implementation of strong capital and operating standards under the PMIERs, the implementation of greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and the increased use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, have increased returns on our NIW, provided capital relief under the PMIERs and have helped position our mortgage insurance business to better withstand the negative effects from macroeconomic stresses discussed above, including those resulting from the higher rates of inflation and higher interest rates, as well as the other risks described in “Item 1A. Risk Factors.”

Our current business structure is highly dependent on the GSEs, as the GSEs are the primary beneficiaries of most of our mortgage insurance policies, and mortgage insurers such as Radian Guaranty must meet the GSEs’ eligibility requirements to be eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs. The FHFA and GSEs have significant discretion under the PMIERs and may amend the PMIERs at any time. Changes in the PMIERs or business practices of the GSEs can significantly impact our business. In addition, our businesses operate within the housing finance system and a change in government administrations can significantly alter the strategic direction of housing finance in the U.S. and impact our businesses and financial performance. Our businesses are subject to and may be impacted by many federal and state lending, insurance and consumer laws and regulations. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation.”

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Key Factors Affecting Our Results

The following sections discuss certain key drivers affecting our Mortgage Insurance and homegenius businesses, as well as other key factors affecting our results.

Mortgage Insurance

NIW and Related Drivers

NIW increases our IIF and our premiums written and earned. NIW is affected by the overall size of the mortgage origination market, the penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance into the overall mortgage origination market and our market share of the private mortgage insurance market.

The overall mortgage origination market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as household formation, household composition, home affordability, interest rates, housing markets in general (which are subject to seasonality), credit availability and the impact of various legislative and regulatory actions that may influence the housing and mortgage finance industries.

The penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance is mainly influenced by: (i) the competitiveness of private mortgage insurance for GSE conforming loans compared to FHA and VA insured loans and (ii) the relative percentage of mortgage originations that are for purchased homes versus refinances. We believe, for example, that given current pricing levels, which are subject to change, the generally better execution available through the GSEs for borrowers with higher FICO scores and lender preferences are factors that currently provide a competitive advantage for private mortgage insurers. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written.”

Private mortgage insurance penetration in the insurable market has generally been higher on new mortgages for purchased homes than on the refinance of existing mortgages, because average LTVs are typically higher on home purchases, and therefore, these lower down payment loans are more likely to require mortgage insurance. Radian Guaranty’s share of the private mortgage insurance market is influenced by competition in that market. See “Item 1. Business—Competition.”

For a historical perspective on key market drivers, see the charts entitled “Mortgage origination market” and “Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market” in “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written.”

IIF and Related Drivers

Our IIF is one of the primary drivers of our future premiums that we expect to earn over time. Although not reflected in the current period financial statements, nor in our reported book value, we expect our IIF to generate substantial earnings in future periods due to the high credit quality of our current mortgage insurance portfolio and our expectations for future Persistency Rates.

The ultimate profitability of our mortgage insurance business is affected by the impact of mortgage prepayment speeds on the mix of business we write. The measure for assessing the impact of policy cancellations on our IIF is our Persistency Rate, defined as the percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time. Assuming all other factors remain constant, over the life of the policies, prepayment speeds have an inverse impact on IIF and the expected revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Slower loan prepayment speeds, demonstrated by a higher Persistency Rate, result in more IIF remaining in place, providing increased revenue from Monthly Premium Policies over time as premium payments continue. Earlier than anticipated loan prepayments, demonstrated by a lower Persistency Rate, reduce IIF and the revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Among other factors, prepayment speeds may be affected by changes in interest rates and other macroeconomic factors. A rising interest rate environment generally will reduce refinancing activity and result in lower prepayments, whereas a declining interest rate environment generally will increase the level of refinancing activity and therefore increase prepayments.

In contrast to Monthly Premium Policies, when Single Premium Policies are canceled by the insured because the loan has been paid off or otherwise, we accelerate the recognition of any remaining unearned premiums, net of any refunds that may be owed to the borrower. Although these cancellations reduce IIF, assuming all other factors remain constant, the profitability of our Single Premium business increases when Persistency Rates are lower. As a result, we believe that writing a mix of Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies has the potential to moderate the overall impact on our results if actual prepayment speeds are significantly different from expectations. However, the impact of this moderating effect may be affected by the amount of reinsurance we obtain on portions of our portfolio, with the Single Premium QSR Program currently reducing the proportion of retained Single Premium Policies in our portfolio.

At December 31, 2023, approximately 89% of our total Primary Mortgage RIF are Monthly and Other Recurring Premium Policies. Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase in IIF generally has a corresponding positive impact on premiums earned, while a decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding negative impact on premiums earned.

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Cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments and other reductions of IIF, such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force” for more information about the levels and characteristics of our IIF.

Premiums

The premium rates we charge for our insurance are based on a number of borrower, loan and property characteristics. The mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and private mortgage insurers compete with each other and with the FHA and VA with respect to price and other factors.

Our pricing is risk-based and is intended to generally align with the capital requirements under the PMIERs, while also considering pricing trends within the private mortgage insurance industry among other factors. As a result, our pricing is expected to generate relatively consistent returns across the credit spectrum. In developing our pricing strategies, we monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to maximize the long-term economic value of our portfolio by balancing credit risk, lender and geographic concentration risk, profitability and volume considerations, and aim to achieve an overall risk-adjusted rate of return on capital given our modeled performance expectations. Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital we hold, including amounts that may be in excess of minimum PMIERs financial and statutory capital requirements.

Our pricing actions gradually affect our results over time, as existing IIF cancels and is replaced with NIW at current pricing. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written” and “Liquidity and Capital Resources—Mortgage Insurance” for additional information.

As described above, premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” As discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “IIF and Related Drivers” above.

Monthly Premium Policies typically provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter. Generally, a borrower is able to cancel the policy when the LTV reaches 80% of the original value, and the servicer is required to review the policy for automatic cancellation on the date the LTV is scheduled to reach 78% of the original value. As a result, the volume of loans that remain insured after 10 years and would be subject to the premium reset is generally not material in relation to the total loans originated. However, to the extent the volume of loans resetting from year to year varies significantly, the trend in earned premiums may also vary.

Losses

Incurred losses represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in our estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans. Other factors influencing incurred losses include:

■The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims). See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force;”

■The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses);

■The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses;

■Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied);

■The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and

■Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us. In “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “Our Loss Mitigation Activity could negatively impact our customer relationships.”

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Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk. We have distributed risk through traditional quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as to investors through the capital markets using mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions. See “IIF and Related Drivers” above.

When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. These arrangements reduce our earned premiums but also reduce our net RIF, which provides capital relief, including under the PMIERs financial requirements. In addition, our incurred losses are reduced by any incurred losses ceded in accordance with the reinsurance agreement, which reduces the volatility of our provision for losses in certain stressed economic environments, and we often receive ceding commissions from the reinsurer as part of the transaction, which, in turn, reduce our reported operating expenses and policy acquisition costs.

Our XOL Program accesses reinsurance coverage through traditional excess-of-loss reinsurance arrangements, as well as through the capital markets through the Eagle Re Issuers’ mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions. Our XOL Program reduces our earned premiums, but also reduces our net RIF and PMIERs financial requirements, and potentially our incurred losses, which are allocated in accordance with the structure of the transaction. The Eagle Re Issuers are special purpose VIEs that are not consolidated in our consolidated financial statements because we do not have the unilateral power to direct those activities that are significant to their economic performance.

See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance arrangements, including the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers.

Investment Income

Investment income is determined primarily by the investment balances held and the average yield on our overall investment portfolio.

Other Operating Expenses

Our other operating expenses include salaries and other base employee costs, variable and share-based incentive compensation and other general operating expenses, such as fees for professional and consulting services, software, rent and depreciation, among other costs. Employee related expenses are driven by our headcount, which can fluctuate due to the amount of our NIW and IIF, as well as our plans for other business initiatives. Our other operating expenses may also fluctuate due to the impact of performance on our incentive compensation programs, as a result of our pay-for-performance approach to compensation that is based on the level of achievement of both short-term and long-term goals.

These operating expenses are reported net of ceding commissions associated with our QSR Program. As a result, changes to our QSR Program and the amount of our ceded premiums earned also can impact our other operating expenses.

homegenius

Premiums

We earn net premiums on title insurance through Radian Title Insurance. Demand for title insurance may be impacted by general marketplace competition in the real estate title industry, coupled with housing market related conditions such as new home sales, the sizes of the real estate purchase and refinance markets and interest rate fluctuations.

Services Revenue

Our homegenius segment is dependent upon overall activity in the mortgage finance and real estate markets, as well as market receptivity to the products we offer. Due, in part, to the transactional nature of the business, revenues for our homegenius segment are subject to fluctuations from period to period, including seasonal fluctuations that reflect the activities in these markets. Sales volume is also affected by the number of competing companies and alternative products offered in the market. We believe the diversity of services we offer has the potential to produce fee income from the homegenius segment throughout various mortgage finance environments and economic cycles, although market conditions can significantly impact the mix and amount of fee income we generate in any particular period. See “Item 1. Business—homegenius—Overview” for more information on our homegenius services.

The homegenius segment is dependent on a limited number of large customers that represent a significant portion of its revenues. Generally, our contracts do not contain volume commitments and may be terminated by clients at any time. While access to Radian Guaranty’s mortgage insurance customer base provides additional opportunities to expand the homegenius segment’s existing customers, an unexpected loss of a major customer could significantly impact the level of homegenius revenue.

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Our homegenius revenue is primarily generated under fixed-price contracts. Under fixed-price contracts, we agree to perform the specified services and deliverables for a predetermined per-unit price. To the extent our actual direct and allocated indirect costs decrease or increase from the estimates upon which the price was negotiated, we will generate more or less profit, respectively, or could incur a loss. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on revenue recognition policies for our homegenius segment.

Cost of Services

Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing products and services for our homegenius businesses. Our cost of services primarily consists of employee compensation and related payroll benefits, and to a lesser extent, other costs of providing services such as travel and related expenses incurred in providing client services, costs paid to outside vendors, data acquisition costs and other costs to maintain software platforms that directly support our businesses. The level of these costs may fluctuate as market rates of compensation change, or if there is decreased availability or a loss of qualified employees.

Operating Expenses

Our operating expenses primarily consist of salaries and benefits not classified as cost of services because they are related to employees, such as sales and corporate employees, who are not directly involved in providing client services. Operating expenses also include other selling, general and administrative expenses, depreciation and allocations of corporate general and administrative expenses.

See “Item 1. Business—homegenius—Overview” and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding the homegenius segment.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments

In addition, net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments also may impact our consolidated results in the ordinary course. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods, as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Unrealized gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading or equity securities, as well as changes in the value of mortgage loans held by Radian Mortgage Capital. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in realized economic gains or losses.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

New Insurance Written

A key component of our current business strategy is to write NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio’s health, balance and profitability. Consistent with this objective, we wrote $52.7 billion of primary new mortgage insurance in 2023, compared to $68.0 billion of NIW in 2022. Our NIW decreased by 22% in 2023 as compared to 2022, due to a broad decline in U.S. housing market activity primarily resulting from higher mortgage interest rates, partially offset by an increase in our market share in 2023.

Among other factors, private mortgage insurance industry volumes are impacted by total mortgage origination volumes and the mix between mortgage originations that are for home purchases versus refinancings of existing mortgages. Historically, the penetration rate for private mortgage insurance generally has been three to five times higher for purchase transactions than for refinancings. However, with significant home price appreciation in recent years, penetration on purchase transactions has increased while penetration on refinancings has decreased, and the penetration rate for private mortgage insurance has shifted to 10 to 14 times higher for purchase transactions than for refinancings.

The following charts provide a historical perspective on certain key market drivers, including:

■the mortgage origination volume from home purchases and refinancings; and

■private mortgage insurance penetration as a percentage of the mortgage origination market.

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Mortgage origination market (1)

Origination Market (In billions)Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023
¢Refinance$896$650$606$539$347$195$100$67$63$82$73$63
¢Purchase377531526489384487419341273364350301
Total$1,273$1,181$1,132$1,028$731$682$519$408$336$446$423$364

Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market (1)

Market Penetration (%)Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023
òPurchase (2)25.5%24.3%25.5%24.4%25.3%24.2%24.4%21.9%23.1%22.0%22.0%19.3%
òOverall (2)11.7%13.4%13.1%12.6%14.2%17.7%20.1%18.6%19.2%18.3%18.5%16.2%
òRefinance (2)5.8%4.5%2.4%1.9%1.9%1.5%1.7%2.1%2.3%1.8%1.5%1.8%

(1)Based on actual dollars generated in the credit enhanced market as reported by HUD and publicly reported industry information. Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.

(2)Excluding originations under HARP.

According to industry estimates, total mortgage origination volume was significantly lower in 2023 as compared to 2022 due to a significant decline in mortgage refinance activity and a smaller decline in home purchases. Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections for 2024 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $2.0 trillion, which would represent an increase in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 27% as compared to 2023.

Factoring in our projections of private mortgage insurance penetration in the overall insurable mortgage market, we estimate that the private mortgage insurance market will be between $300 billion and $350 billion in 2024 as compared to a reported market of approximately $285 billion in 2023. There is an industry-wide consensus that we should expect a healthy purchase market in 2024 driven by ongoing homebuyer demand and an expected decline in interest rates, which is a positive for mortgage insurers given the higher likelihood that purchase loans will utilize private mortgage insurance as compared to refinance loans. This outlook also anticipates an increase in refinance originations in 2024 resulting from reduced interest rates.

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The following table provides selected information for the periods indicated related to our mortgage insurance NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

NIW
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202320222021
NIW$52,670$67,954$91,830
Primary risk written$13,533$17,368$22,591
Average coverage percentage25.7%25.6%24.6%
NIW by loan purpose
Purchases98.5%96.1%80.5%
Refinances1.5%3.9%19.5%
NIW by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums96.0%95.1%92.8%
Direct single premiums4.0%4.9%7.2%
NIW by FICO score (1)
=74065.4%59.8%58.6%
680-73928.9%32.4%34.2%
620-6795.7%7.8%7.2%
=6190.0%0.0%0.0%
NIW by LTV
95.01% and above16.9%16.6%12.0%
90.01% to 95.00%39.4%39.9%40.7%
85.01% to 90.00%29.9%28.4%28.3%
85.00% and below13.8%15.1%19.0%

(1)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

Insurance and Risk in Force

Year of origination - IIF (1)
($ in billions)IIF as of:
By vintage:December 31, 2023December 31, 2022December 31, 2021
2023$50.618.7%$%$%
202260.522.465.225.0
202165.724.377.329.687.435.5
202045.116.757.722.174.330.2
201914.75.417.96.824.09.8
20187.42.89.03.512.45.0
2009 - 201718.36.824.99.536.514.9
2008 & Prior (2)7.72.99.03.511.44.6
Total$270.0100.0%$261.0100.0%$246.0100.0%

(1)Policy years represent the original policy years and have not been adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under HARP.

(2)Includes loans that were subsequently refinanced under HARP.

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Our IIF is the primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time. IIF increased to $270.0 billion at December 31, 2023, from $261.0 billion at December 31, 2022, reflecting the impact of our NIW offset by policy cancellations and amortization. Our IIF at December 31, 2023, increased 3% as compared to the same period last year, reflecting a 6% increase in Monthly Premium Policies in force partially offset by a 10% decline in Single Premium Policies in force.

Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Higher interest rate environments generally decrease refinancings, which decrease the cancellation rate of our insurance and positively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table below, our 12-month Persistency Rate at December 31, 2023, increased as compared to the same period in 2022. The increase in our Persistency Rate in 2023 was primarily attributable to decreased refinance activity due to increases in mortgage interest rates, as compared to the prior year. As of December 31, 2023, 81% of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate of 6.0% or less and 69% of our IIF had a mortgage note rate of 5.0% or less. Given the increase in market mortgage interest rates, which, based on reported industry averages, now exceed these levels, we would expect a continued positive impact on our Persistency Rates. If refinance volume increases, we would expect the Persistency Rate for our portfolio to decrease, reducing the size of our IIF portfolio. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

As discussed above, our earnings in future periods are subject to elevated risks and uncertainties related to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing finance and real estate markets, including housing prices, inflationary pressures, unemployment levels, interest rate changes and the availability of credit. For additional information, in “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “The credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio is impacted by macroeconomic conditions and specific events that affect the ability of borrowers to pay their mortgages.”

While these risks and uncertainties are elevated in the near-term, we continue to believe that the long-term housing market fundamentals and outlook remain positive, including demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers and a relatively constrained supply of homes available for sale. In addition, historical loan performance data indicates that credit scores and underwriting quality are key drivers of credit performance, and loan originations after 2008 have consisted primarily of high credit quality loans with significantly better credit performance than loans originated during 2008 and prior periods.

The following table illustrates the trends of our cumulative incurred loss ratios by year of origination and development year.

Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1)
VintageDec 2014Dec 2015Dec 2016Dec 2017Dec 2018Dec 2019Dec2020 (2)Dec2021 (2)Dec 2022Dec 2023
20142.7%4.1%4.9%5.0%5.1%5.2%6.9%6.8%4.5%3.9%
20152.1%4.8%5.2%5.0%4.7%7.4%6.8%3.8%2.9%
20162.9%5.0%4.8%4.7%9.7%8.0%3.7%2.7%
20174.7%5.1%6.1%14.3%11.9%5.1%3.7%
20183.0%6.4%22.8%19.0%7.2%4.9%
20192.8%35.6%23.5%6.8%4.6%
202025.6%14.9%6.0%3.8%
20217.9%10.9%9.1%
20229.4%15.2%
20237.1%

(1)Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(2)Losses incurred in 2021 and 2020 across all vintages were elevated due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

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The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to mortgage insurance IIF and RIF.

IIF and RIF
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202320222021
Primary IIF$269,979$260,994$245,972
Primary RIF$69,710$66,094$60,913
Average coverage percentage25.8%25.3%24.8%
Persistency Rate (12 months ended)84.0%79.6%64.3%
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1)85.8%84.1%71.7%
Primary RIF by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums88.9%87.1%83.9%
Direct single premiums11.1%12.9%16.1%
Primary RIF by FICO score (2)
=74058.5%57.4%56.9%
680-73933.9%34.6%35.0%
620-6797.3%7.6%7.6%
=6190.3%0.4%0.5%
Primary RIF by LTV
95.01% and above18.6%17.1%15.1%
90.01% to 95.00%48.2%48.4%48.9%
85.01% to 90.00%27.1%27.2%27.7%
85.00% and below6.1%7.3%8.3%

(1)The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

(2)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary RIF by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

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The following table shows our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF by year of origination and selected information related to that risk as of the dates indicated.

Year of origination - RIF
December 31,
20232022
($ in millions)RIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for LossesRIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for Losses
2023$13,0085840.4%1.6%$%%
202215,5892,8991.613.916,6979650.52.5
202117,0653,6301.617.019,5282,8651.111.3
202011,5962,1111.29.214,2552,2921.110.1
20193,7401,9042.77.94,4392,2792.79.7
20181,9392,0765.18.52,3192,5125.211.7
2009 - 20174,8364,0823.918.06,5795,3087.925.5
2008 and prior1,9374,7358.723.92,2775,6929.029.2
Total$69,71022,021100.0%$66,09421,913100.0%

Geographic Dispersion

The following table shows, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 states in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2023).

Top 10 U.S. states - RIF
December 31,
20232022
Top 10 StatesRIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
Texas10.0%9.5%9.4%8.4%
California8.59.38.79.3
Florida5.88.56.39.1
Illinois5.06.04.76.0
New York4.29.44.510.0
Virginia4.22.23.92.3
Pennsylvania3.83.53.83.3
New Jersey3.74.73.85.3
Maryland3.73.53.53.6
Washington3.62.23.61.7
Total52.5%58.8%52.2%59.0%

The following table shows, as of the dates indicated, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2023).

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Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF
December 31,
20232022
Top 10 CBSAs (1)RIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA5.3%10.7%5.5%12.2%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI4.65.64.35.7
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV4.33.14.03.4
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX3.43.03.12.7
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX2.93.22.73.0
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2.72.62.72.5
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA2.32.52.42.6
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO2.21.01.90.9
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI2.21.52.31.5
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA2.11.12.10.9
Total32.0%34.3%31.0%35.4%

(1)CBSAs are metropolitan areas and may include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. When we enter into a reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, insures an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. While these arrangements reduce our earned premiums, they also reduce our required capital and are expected to increase our return on required capital for the related policies.

The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage Insurance—Risk Distribution” and Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance transactions.

The table below provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.

PMIERs benefit from risk distribution
December 31,
($ in thousands)202320222021
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets
XOL Program (1)$988,629$665,617$995,171
Other QSR Agreements (2)420,989241,88912,541
Single Premium QSR Program193,807231,339314,183
Total PMIERs impact$1,603,425$1,138,845$1,321,895
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets30.6%22.9%28.4%

(1)The tender offers in the second quarter of 2023 conducted by Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. had no effect on the benefit to Minimum Required Assets. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on these tender offers and related impacts.

(2)Consists primarily of 2022 and 2023 QSR Agreements, which include both single and monthly premium policies.

Results of Operations—Consolidated

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for 2023 primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our two reportable segments—Mortgage Insurance and homegenius. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance,” and “Results of Operations—homegenius” for the operating results of these business segments.

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In addition to the results of our operating segments, pretax income (loss) is also affected by other factors. See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below and “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments” for more information regarding items that are excluded from the operating results of our operating segments.

The following table highlights selected information related to our consolidated results of operations for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - Consolidated
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Revenues
Net premiums earned$919,578$981,131$1,037,183$(61,553)$(56,052)
Services revenue46,09292,216125,825(46,124)(33,609)
Net investment income258,430195,658147,90962,77247,749
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments10,241(80,733)15,60390,974(96,336)
Other income6,2472,4543,4123,793(958)
Total revenues1,240,5881,190,7261,329,93249,862(139,206)
Expenses
Provision for losses(42,526)(338,239)20,877(295,713)359,116
Policy acquisition costs24,57823,91829,029(660)5,111
Cost of services38,49182,358103,71443,86721,356
Other operating expenses347,578381,148323,68633,570(57,462)
Interest expense89,69584,45484,344(5,241)(110)
Impairment of goodwill9,802(9,802)
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets5,4834,3083,450(1,175)(858)
Total expenses473,101237,947565,100(235,154)327,153
Pretax income767,487952,779764,832(185,292)187,947
Income tax provision164,368209,845164,16145,477(45,684)
Net income$603,119$742,934$600,671$(139,815)$142,263
Diluted net income per share$3.77$4.35$3.16$(0.58)$1.19
Return on equity14.5%18.2%14.1%(3.7)%4.1%
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1)
Adjusted pretax operating income$786,427$1,052,717$757,749$(266,290)$294,968
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share$3.88$4.87$3.15$(0.99)$1.72
Adjusted net operating return on equity14.9%20.3%14.0%(5.4)%6.3%

(1)See “Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

This section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, and a year-over-year comparison between 2023 and 2022. Detailed discussions of our consolidated results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2022, including the year-over-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021, that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, filed with the SEC on February 24, 2023.

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Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. The decrease in net premiums earned for 2023 compared to 2022 is primarily driven by decreases in net premiums earned in both our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses in 2023. For more information, see “Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” under both “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance” and “Results of Operations—homegenius.”

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2023 decreased compared to 2022, primarily driven by the general market decline in mortgage origination volume as well as other market and macroeconomic conditions, as further described above in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” For more information, see “Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022—Revenues—Services Revenue” under both ““Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance” and “Results of Operations—homegenius.”

Net Investment Income. The increase in net investment income for 2023 compared to 2022 is primarily attributable to higher yields in 2023 driven by increased market interest rates on new purchases. See “Overview—Current Operating Environment” and “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance—Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022—Revenues—Net Investment Income” for more information.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. The favorable change in net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments for 2023, as compared to 2022, is primarily due to: (i) the general positive movement in equity markets in 2023, compared to 2022, and (ii) moderately lower market interest rates in 2023, compared to the sharp rise in market interest rates in 2022, as further discussed above in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments by investment category.

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The reduced benefit of the provision for losses for 2023 compared to 2022 is primarily driven by a reduction in favorable development on prior year defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance reserves. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance—Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022—Expenses—Provision for Losses” for more information.

Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2023 decreased as compared to 2022, primarily driven by the decrease in services revenue as discussed above. For more information, see “Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022—Expenses—Cost of Services” under both “Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance” and “Results of Operations—homegenius.”

Other Operating Expenses. The decrease in other operating expenses for 2023 compared to 2022 is primarily due to: (i) a decrease in salaries and other base employee expenses and (ii) a decrease in other general operating expenses. These decreases were partially offset by a net increase in variable and share-based compensation expense. Our other operating expenses include impairments of other long-lived assets and other non-operating expenses of $13 million in 2023, primarily related to our lease agreements and impairment of internal-use software, and $15 million in 2022, primarily related to our lease agreements. For more information, see “Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” under both ““Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance” and “Results of Operations—homegenius.”

Interest Expense. The following table shows additional information about interest expense for the periods indicated.

Interest expense
December 31,
(In thousands)202320222021
Senior notes$81,246$80,999$80,767
Mortgage loan financing facilities3,50714
FHLB advances3,4541,9231,622
Revolving credit facility1,3741,2822,067
Other114236(112)
Total$89,695$84,454$84,344

Impairment of Goodwill. As part of our annual goodwill impairment testing in 2023, we fully impaired our remaining goodwill balance. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional detail.

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Income Tax Provision

Our 2023 effective tax rate was 21.4%, generally consistent with the federal statutory rate of 21%. State income taxes and certain permanent book-to-tax adjustments were the primary drivers of minor differences in the effective tax rate compared to the federal statutory rate. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a reconciliation of our provision for income taxes.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis, adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies.

Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments and other financial instruments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iii) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, if any, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business, acquisition-related income and expenses and gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

The following table provides a reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted pretax operating income.

Reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to adjusted pretax operating income
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202320222021
Consolidated pretax income$767,487$952,779$764,832
Less: income (expense) items
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (1)9,427(80,780)14,094
Impairment of goodwill(9,802)
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets(5,483)(4,308)(3,450)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (2)(13,082)(14,850)(3,561)
Total adjusted pretax operating income (3)$786,427$1,052,717$757,749

(1)Excludes certain net gains (losses), if any, on investments and other financial instruments that are attributable to specific operating segments and therefore included in adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

(2)Amounts primarily relate to impairments of other long-lived assets that are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 9 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

(3)Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage Insurance segment, homegenius segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.

Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share
Years Ended December 31,
202320222021
Diluted net income per share$3.77$4.35$3.16
Less: per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments0.06(0.47)0.08
Impairment of goodwill(0.06)
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets(0.03)(0.03)(0.02)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.08)(0.09)(0.02)
Income tax (provision) benefit on other income (expense) items (1)0.020.12(0.01)
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate(0.02)(0.05)(0.02)
Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items(0.11)(0.52)0.01
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1)$3.88$4.87$3.15

(1)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted net operating return on equity.

Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity
Years Ended December 31,
202320222021
Return on equity (1)14.5%18.2%14.1%
Less: impact of reconciling income (expense) items (2)
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments0.2(2.0)0.4
Impairment of goodwill(0.2)
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets(0.1)(0.1)(0.1)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.3)(0.4)(0.1)
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3)0.10.5
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate(0.1)(0.1)(0.1)
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items(0.4)(2.1)0.1
Adjusted net operating return on equity (3)14.9%20.3%14.0%

(1)Calculated by dividing net income by average stockholders’ equity.

(2)As a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rates of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

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Results of Operations—Mortgage Insurance

The following table summarizes our Mortgage Insurance segment’s results of operations for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - Mortgage Insurance
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Revenues
Net premiums written$904,240$959,872$944,546$(55,632)$15,326
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums5,123(2,659)53,7367,782(56,395)
Net premiums earned909,363957,213998,282(47,850)(41,069)
Services revenue1,0887,39017,670(6,302)(10,280)
Net investment income195,077171,221132,92923,85638,292
Other income5,3722,3762,6782,996(302)
Total revenues1,110,9001,138,2001,151,559(27,300)(13,359)
Expenses
Provision for losses(42,136)(339,374)19,437(297,238)358,811
Policy acquisition costs24,57823,91829,029(660)5,111
Cost of services7135,95113,9285,2387,977
Other operating expenses211,733231,322223,27519,589(8,047)
Interest expense86,18884,44084,344(1,748)(96)
Total expenses281,0766,257370,013(274,819)363,756
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$829,824$1,131,943$781,546$(302,119)$350,397

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned decreased for 2023 compared to 2022, primarily due to: (i) a decrease in the profit commission retained by the Company under our reinsurance programs, due to less favorable reserve development in 2023; (ii) an increase in ceded premiums earned under the 2022 QSR Agreement, which began ceding a portion of NIW in the third quarter of 2022, as well as the 2023 QSR Agreement, which began ceding a portion of NIW in the third quarter of 2023; and (iii) a decrease in the benefit, net of reinsurance, from Single Premium Policy cancellations due to lower refinance activity. These impacts were partially offset by an increase in direct premiums earned excluding revenue from cancellations, which benefited 2023 as compared to 2022 due primarily to higher IIF.

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The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.

Net premiums earned
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except as otherwise indicated)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Direct
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations$1,015,238$991,556$988,472$23,682$3,084
Single Premium Policy cancellations14,70334,051116,224(19,348)(82,173)
Direct1,029,9411,025,6071,104,6964,334(79,089)
Assumed (1)4,0257,066(4,025)(3,041)
Ceded
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations(165,870)(130,556)(108,692)(35,314)(21,864)
Single Premium Policy cancellations (2)(3,903)(9,677)(33,388)5,77423,711
Profit commission—other (3)49,19567,81428,600(18,619)39,214
Ceded premiums, net of profit commission(120,578)(72,419)(113,480)(48,159)41,061
Total net premiums earned$909,363$957,213$998,282$(47,850)$(41,069)
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (4)38.239.340.5(1.1)(1.2)
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (5)38.840.645.2(1.8)(4.6)
Net premium yield (in basis points) (6)34.337.840.6(3.5)(2.8)
Average primary IIF (in billions) (7)$265.5$253.5$246.1$12.0$7.4

(1)Includes premiums earned primarily from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs. In December 2022, we novated this insured risk to an unrelated third-party reinsurer, which assumed all rights, interests, liabilities and obligations related to our participation in these programs on a prospective basis.

(2)Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(3)Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program and 2022 and 2023 QSR Agreements, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(4)Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.

(5)Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.

(6)Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

(7)The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.

Our in force portfolio premium yield was relatively stable for 2023, as compared to 2022. Based on current NIW pricing and the impact of higher Persistency Rates we have been experiencing, we currently expect our in force portfolio premium yield in 2024 to remain stable; however, due to the potential impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may continue to fluctuate from period to period.

The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage Insurance—IIF and Related Drivers” for more information.

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The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.

Ceded premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,
($ in thousands)202320222021
XOL Program$76,926$76,988$62,153
Other QSR Agreements (1)34,41010,8104,101
Single Premium QSR Program (2)9,242(15,379)47,226
Total ceded premiums earned (3)$120,578$72,419$113,480
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned11.7%6.8%9.9%

(1)Consists primarily of 2022 and 2023 QSR Agreements.

(2)Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves. See “Expenses—Provision for Losses” below for additional information on the favorable reserve development, particularly in 2022.

(3)Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2023 decreased as compared to 2022, primarily driven by the termination of a large mortgage fulfillment services contract with a customer in the second quarter of 2022, as well as a decrease in demand for our contract underwriting services as a result of the general market decline in mortgage origination volume.

Net Investment Income. Increasing yields from higher interest rates were the primary driver of the increases in net investment income for 2023 compared to 2022.

The following table provides information related to our Mortgage Insurance subsidiaries’ investment balances and investment yields for the periods indicated.

Investment balances and yields
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Investment income$202,219$177,478$139,208$24,741$38,270
Investment expenses(7,142)(6,257)(6,279)(885)22
Net investment income$195,077$171,221$132,929$23,856$38,292
Average investments (1)$5,358,882$5,546,198$5,595,270$(187,316)$(49,072)
Average investment yield (2)3.6%3.1%2.4%0.5%0.7%

(1)    The average of the beginning and ending amortized cost, for each period presented, of investments held by our Mortgage Insurance subsidiaries.

(2)    Calculated by dividing net investment income by average investments balance.

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.

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Provision for losses
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except reserve per new default)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Current year defaults (1)$178,664$160,049$160,565$(18,615)$516
Prior year defaults (2)(220,800)(499,423)(141,128)(278,623)358,295
Total provision for losses$(42,136)$(339,374)$19,437$(297,238)$358,811
Loss ratio (3)(4.6)%(35.5)%1.9%(30.9)%37.4%
Reserve per new default (4)$4,060$4,241$4,285$181$44

(1)Related to defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.

(2)Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a year earlier than the year indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.

(3)Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.

(4)Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by the number of new primary defaults for each period.

Current year new primary defaults increased by 17% for 2023, as compared to 2022, consistent with our expectations regarding the natural seasoning of the portfolio given the increase in our IIF in recent years. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 8.0% at both December 31, 2023 and 2022. We continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.

Our provision for losses during 2023 and 2022 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. These Cures have been due primarily to favorable outcomes resulting from mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as positive trends in home price appreciation, which has also contributed to a higher rate of claims that result in no ultimate loss and that are withdrawn by servicers as a result. These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate and other reserve adjustments for prior year default notices. See Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.

Our primary default rate at both December 31, 2023 and 2022, was 2.2%. The following table shows a rollforward of the number of our primary loans in default.

Rollforward of primary loans in default
Years Ended December 31,
202320222021
Beginning default inventory21,91329,06155,537
New defaults44,00737,73837,470
Cures (1)(43,354)(44,136)(62,970)
Claims paid(419)(659)(937)
Rescissions and Claim Denials (2)(126)(91)(39)
Ending default inventory22,02121,91329,061

(1)Includes submitted claims that resolved without a claim payment.

(2)Net of any previous Rescission and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

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The following tables show additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.

Primary loans in default - additional information
December 31, 2023
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less11,05450.2%2536.2%$94,85627.5%
Four to eleven payments7,14732.529827.2119,33034.7
Twelve payments or more3,43815.669917.3111,14132.3
Pending claims3821.7N/A30.618,9085.5
Total22,021100.0%1,022344,235100.0%
LAE10,397
IBNR1,780
Total primary reserve (1)$356,412
December 31, 2022
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less9,58443.7%835.5%$77,98719.6%
Four to eleven payments6,84231.218927.4114,53728.7
Twelve payments or more5,15823.675022.9190,14847.7
Pending claims3291.5N/A23.516,2024.0
Total21,913100.0%947398,874100.0%
LAE10,041
IBNR2,128
Total primary reserve (1)$411,043

N/A – Not applicable

(1)    Excludes pool and other reserves. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates on defaulted loans based on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary defaulted loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was 25% and 30%, at December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. This decrease was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2023, given the larger proportion of loans with fewer missed payments, as well as reduced claim rate assumptions for prior period defaults due to more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding our reserve for losses and a reconciliation of our Mortgage Insurance segment’s beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE.

Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter, based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors, including the impact of foreclosure moratoriums (as further described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage Insurance—Defaults and Claims”), which make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.

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The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.

Claims paid
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202320222021
Net claims paid (1)
Primary$9,301$12,012$16,630
Pool and other(925)(1,453)(612)
Subtotal8,37610,55916,018
LAE4,5354,4004,835
Commutations and settlements (2)1,3325,89914,464
Total net claims paid$14,243$20,858$35,317
Average net primary claim paid (1) (3)$22.5$27.4$32.8
Average direct primary claim paid (3) (4)$27.2$33.4$36.7

(1)Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans.

(3)Calculated excluding the impact of: (i) LAE; (ii) commutations and settlements; and (iii) claims resolved without payment, including claims subsequently withdrawn by the servicer.

(4)Before reinsurance recoveries.

Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2023 decreased compared to 2022, primarily due to the decrease in services revenue, as discussed above. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue.

Other Operating Expenses. The decrease in other operating expenses for 2023, as compared to 2022, is primarily related to reductions in headcount and other expense savings actions implemented for the segment during the past year. These items were partially offset by an increase in performance-based variable and share-based compensation expense in 2023, primarily as a part of allocated corporate operating expenses.

The following tables show additional information about other operating expenses for our Mortgage Insurance segment for the periods indicated.

Other operating expenses
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$41,534$51,537$50,076$10,003$(1,461)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation17,29416,93719,672(357)2,735
Other general operating expenses32,25540,44650,7528,19110,306
Ceding commissions(19,933)(16,164)(24,707)3,769(8,543)
Total direct71,15092,75695,79321,6063,037
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses46,06046,95542,081895(4,874)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation37,75831,88934,303(5,869)2,414
Other general operating expenses56,76559,72251,0982,957(8,624)
Total allocated140,583138,566127,482(2,017)(11,084)
Total other operating expenses$211,733$231,322$223,275$19,589$(8,047)
Expense ratio (2)26.0%26.7%25.3%0.7%(1.4)%

(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

(2)Operating expenses (which consist of policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.

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Results of Operations—homegenius

The following table summarizes our homegenius segment’s results of operations for the periods indicated. As discussed in “Overview—Current Operating Environment,” the macroeconomic stresses beginning in the second quarter of 2022 have continued to impact our homegenius businesses, including in particular a decrease in our title revenues due to the rapid decline in industrywide refinance volumes. We expect this trend to continue to impact the results of our homegenius segment in at least the near-term based on current market conditions and our expectation that overall refinance volumes will remain low.

Summary results of operations - homegenius
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Revenues
Net premiums earned$10,215$23,918$38,901$(13,703)$(14,983)
Services revenue45,39485,158108,282(39,764)(23,124)
Net investment income2,0317293581,302371
Net gains (losses) on investments1,509(1,509)
Other income170(170)170
Total revenues57,640109,975149,050(52,335)(39,075)
Expenses
Provision for losses(390)1,1351,5401,525405
Cost of services37,77876,40789,72238,62913,315
Other operating expenses106,522120,63185,11214,109(35,519)
Total expenses143,910198,173176,37454,263(21,799)
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1)$(86,270)$(88,198)$(27,324)$1,928$(60,874)

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Year Ended December 31, 2023, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2022

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned for 2023 decreased compared to 2022, primarily due to a decrease in new title policies written in our title insurance business given the decline in industrywide refinance volumes.

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2023 decreased compared to 2022, primarily due to a decrease in real estate and title services revenues resulting from macroeconomic stresses, as described above. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the disaggregation of services revenue by revenue type.

Expenses

Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2023 decreased compared to 2022, primarily due to the decrease in services revenue. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing those services. The number of employees was reduced in 2023 as compared to 2022, as a result of steps taken primarily in 2022 to better align our workforce with the current and expected needs of our business.

Other Operating Expenses. The following tables show additional information about homegenius’s other operating expenses for the periods indicated. The decrease in other operating expenses for 2023 as compared to 2022 reflects: (i) a decrease in salaries and other base employee expenses, driven primarily by steps taken to align our workforce to the current and expected needs of this business and (ii) a decrease in other general operating expenses in 2023, as a result of additional expense saving actions implemented in 2023. Included in the results for 2023 are severance expenses of $2 million related to additional reductions in headcount in response to the ongoing challenging macroeconomic environment for the homegenius segment’s products and services, as compared to $6 million of severance expense in 2022.

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The following tables show additional information about homegenius’s other operating expenses for the periods indicated.

Other operating expenses
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$41,072$45,504$23,783$4,432$(21,721)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation13,34413,72714,7903831,063
Other general operating expenses28,86832,71721,3013,849(11,416)
Title agent commissions4,4555,8276,7561,372929
Total direct87,73997,77566,63010,036(31,145)
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses6,2007,8646,1761,664(1,688)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation5,1425,1484,9966(152)
Other general operating expenses7,4419,8447,3102,403(2,534)
Total allocated18,78322,85618,4824,073(4,374)
Total other operating expenses$106,522$120,631$85,112$14,109$(35,519)

(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

Results of Operations—All Other

The following table summarizes our results of operations for our All Other activities for the periods indicated.

Summary results of operations - All Other
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2023202220212023 vs. 20222022 vs. 2021
Revenues
Services revenue$$$154$$(154)
Net investment income61,32223,70814,62237,6149,086
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments8144776747
Other income2778734(51)(656)
Total revenues62,16323,83315,51038,3308,323
Expenses
Cost of services6464
Other operating expenses15,78314,84711,919(936)(2,928)
Interest expense3,50714(3,493)(14)
Total expenses19,29014,86111,983(4,429)(2,878)
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$42,873$8,972$3,527$33,901$5,445

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Our All Other results include income from investments held at Radian Group, which have benefited from rising interest rates over the past year as well as from rising balances resulting from distributions by Radian Guaranty.

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All Other also includes the financial results of Radian Mortgage Capital. In light of current market conditions, we have been measured in our approach with our mortgage conduit. Radian Mortgage Capital purchased $221 million and $4 million of mortgage loans during 2023 and 2022, respectively, and, to date, has executed the distribution of loans through whole loan sales. As of December 31, 2023, Radian Mortgage Capital had $33 million of mortgage loans held for sale. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our mortgage loans held for sale.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Consolidated Cash Flows

The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.

Summary cash flows - Consolidated
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202320222021
Net cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities$529,434$388,298$557,112
Investing activities(300,842)(5,175)(1,862)
Financing activities(265,087)(479,183)(496,776)
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash$(36,495)$(96,060)$58,474

Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are typically for our operating expenses, claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies and taxes. In addition, beginning with the launch of Radian Mortgage Capital in 2022, our operating activities also include purchases, sales and repayments of mortgage loans held for sale, which can fluctuate from period to period. The $141 million increase in cash provided by operating activities for 2023, as compared to 2022, was principally due to lower purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds and lower other operating expenses, partially offset by increases in net purchases of mortgage loans held for sale.

Investing Activities. Net cash used in investing activities increased in 2023, compared to 2022, primarily as a result of the combination of increased cash provided by operating activities and reduced cash used in financing activities, resulting in more cash available to invest. This increase in available cash to invest was primarily deployed in 2023 for purchases, net of sales and redemptions, of short-term investments.

Financing Activities. For 2023 and 2022, our primary financing activities included: (i) payments of dividends and (ii) repurchases of our common shares. The $214 million decrease in cash used in financing activities in 2023, as compared to 2022, was primarily due to lower share repurchases, partially offset by an increase in secured borrowings, primarily to help fund the increase in net purchases of mortgage loans held for sale. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our borrowings and share repurchases, respectively.

See “Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data—Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows” for additional information.

Investment Portfolio

At December 31, 2023 and 2022, the following tables include $204 million and $112 million, respectively, of securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, which are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our investment portfolio, including our securities lending agreements.

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The composition of our investment portfolio, presented as a percentage of overall fair value as of the dates indicated was as follows.

Investment portfolio diversification
December 31,
20232022
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Corporate bonds and commercial paper$2,93846.8%$2,72847.0%
RMBS1,02016.293516.1
CMBS5649.059910.3
CLO4887.84988.6
Money market instruments and certificates of deposit3776.02424.1
Other ABS2864.51612.8
State and municipal obligations (1)2163.42163.7
Equity securities1652.62143.7
U.S. government and agency securities1442.31452.5
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (2)490.8530.9
Mortgage loans held for sale330.540.1
Other investments90.1110.2
Total$6,289100.0%$5,806100.0%

(1)Primarily consists of taxable state and municipal investments.

(2)Consists of mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the XOL Program. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

The following table shows the scheduled maturities of the securities held in our investment portfolio as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio scheduled maturity
December 31,
20232022
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Short-term investments$66110.5%$4036.9%
Due in one year or less (1)1191.91101.9
Due after one year through five years (1)1,24819.91,21120.8
Due after five years through 10 years (1)87613.987215.0
Due after 10 years (1)77412.374112.8
Asset-backed securities and mortgage-related assets (2)2,43738.82,25038.8
Equity securities (3)1652.62143.7
Other invested assets (3)90.150.1
Total$6,289100.0%$5,806100.0%

(1)Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.

(2)Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS, mortgage insurance-linked notes and mortgage loans, which are not due at a single maturity date.

(3)No stated maturity date.

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The following table provides the ratings of our investment portfolio, from a nationally recognized statistical ratings organization, presented as a percentage of overall fair value, as of the dates indicated.

Investment portfolio by rating
December 31,
20232022
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
U.S. government / AAA$2,45639.0%$2,20838.0%
AA90514.488515.2
A1,79528.61,60927.7
BBB84213.480713.9
BB and below751.2651.1
Not rated (1)2163.42324.1
Total$6,289100.0%$5,806100.0%

(1)Primarily consists of equity securities.

Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2023, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $992 million. Available liquidity at December 31, 2023, excludes certain additional cash and liquid investments that have been advanced to Radian Group from our subsidiaries to pay for corporate expenses and interest payments. Total liquidity, which includes our undrawn $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $1.3 billion as of December 31, 2023.

During 2023, Radian Group’s available liquidity increased by $90 million, due primarily to $400 million of ordinary dividends received from Radian Guaranty during the year, partially offset primarily by payments for dividends and share repurchases, as described below.

In addition to available cash and marketable securities, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) net investment income earned on its cash and marketable securities; and (iii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries.

Radian Group has in place a $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders. The revolving credit facility matures in December 2026, although under certain conditions Radian Group may be required to offer to repay any outstanding amounts and terminate lender commitments earlier than the maturity date. Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance and other subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2023, the full $275 million remains undrawn and available under the facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.

In connection with our mortgage conduit, Radian Mortgage Capital has entered into the BMO Master Repurchase Agreement and the Goldman Sachs Master Repurchase Agreement, which, as of December 31, 2023, provide a combined uncommitted $250 million in mortgage loan repurchase facilities to finance the acquisition of residential mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets. Most recently, in January 2024, Radian Mortgage Capital entered into the Flagstar Master Repurchase Agreement, increasing the uncommitted loan repurchase facilities to a combined $400 million through the Master Repurchase Agreements. Radian Group has entered into three separate Parent Guarantees to guaranty the obligations under the Master Repurchase Agreements. Under these Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is subject to negative and affirmative covenants customary for this type of financing transaction, including compliance with financial covenants that are generally consistent with the comparable covenants in the Company’s revolving credit facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. In addition to financing the acquisition of mortgage loan assets under the Master Repurchase Agreements, Radian Mortgage Capital may fund such purchases directly using capital contributed from Radian Group.

We expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (ii) the payment of $450 million principal amount of our outstanding Senior Notes due 2024; (iii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations; (iv) the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which were $0.225 per share in 2023 and subsequently increased to $0.245 for the first quarterly dividend in 2024, and which remain subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related

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to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies; (v) the potential continued repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below; and (vi) investments to support our business strategy, including capital contributions to our subsidiaries. Liquidity demands may also include potential payments pursuant to the Parent Guarantees.

In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $975 million aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years, including $525 million principal amount due in March 2025. See “Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile. Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations and (ii) additional investments to support our business strategy, including additional capital contributions to Radian Group’s subsidiaries. For additional information about related risks and uncertainties, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” including “Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations.” and “Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity.” See also “Overview—Current Operating Environment” and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

In addition to Radian Group’s existing sources of liquidity to fund its obligations, we may decide to seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity, or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.

Share Repurchases. During 2023 and 2022, the Company repurchased 5.3 million shares and 19.5 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $133 million and $400 million, respectively, including commissions. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.

Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2023 and 2022, our quarterly dividend was $0.225 and $0.20 per share, respectively. In February 2024, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to our quarterly dividend from $0.225 to $0.245 per share. Based on our outstanding shares of common stock and RSUs, as of December 31, 2023, we expect to require approximately $150 million in the aggregate to pay dividends and dividend equivalents for the next 12 months. So long as no default or event of default exists under our revolving credit facility or the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. Delaware corporation law provides that dividends are only payable out of a corporation’s capital surplus or (subject to certain limitations) recent net profits. As of December 31, 2023, our capital surplus was $4.3 billion, representing our dividend limitation under Delaware law. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ discretion and determination.

Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2023 of $164 million and $83 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements. The expense-sharing arrangements between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.

Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. During 2023, Radian Group received $16 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its operating subsidiaries.

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Capitalization—Holding Company

The following table presents our holding company capital structure.

Capital structure
December 31,
(In thousands, except per-share amounts and ratios)20232022
Debt
Senior Notes due 2024$450,000$450,000
Senior Notes due 2025525,000525,000
Senior Notes due 2027450,000450,000
Deferred debt costs on senior notes(7,219)(11,496)
Revolving credit facility
Total1,417,7811,413,504
Stockholders’ equity4,397,8053,919,327
Total capitalization$5,815,586$5,332,831
Holding company debt-to-capital ratio (1)24.4%26.5%
Shares outstanding153,179157,056
Book value per share$28.71$24.95

(1)Calculated as carrying value of senior notes, which were issued and are owed by our holding company, divided by carrying value of senior notes and stockholders’ equity. This holding company ratio does not include the effects of amounts owed by our subsidiaries related to secured borrowings.

Stockholders’ equity increased by $478 million from December 31, 2022, to December 31, 2023. The net increase in stockholders’ equity resulted primarily from: (i) our net income of $603 million and (ii) net unrealized gains on investments of $126 million. These items were partially offset by: (i) dividends of $146 million and (ii) share repurchases of $133 million, excluding related excise taxes due.

The increase in book value per share from $24.95 at December 31, 2022, to $28.71 at December 31, 2023, is primarily due to: (i) an increase of $3.84 per share attributable to our net income for 2023 and (ii) an increase of $0.80 per share due to an increase in unrealized gains in our available for sale securities, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income. These increases were partially offset by a decrease of $0.93 per share attributable to dividends and dividend equivalents.

We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders. We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving credit facilities. In the past we have repurchased or exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.

Mortgage Insurance

Historically, one of the primary demands for liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business is the payment of claims, net of reinsurance, including from commutations and settlements. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information on our mortgage insurance reserve for losses and LAE, which represents our best estimate for the costs of settling future claims on currently defaulted mortgage loans.

Other principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business include: (i) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (ii) repayments of FHLB advances; and (iii) taxes, including potential additional purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds. See Notes 10 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information related to these non-interest-bearing instruments. In addition to the foregoing liquidity demands, other payments have

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included, and in the future could include, distributions from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, including returns of capital or recurring ordinary dividends, as discussed below.

The principal sources of liquidity in our Mortgage Insurance business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities; (ii) FHLB advances; and (iii) if necessary, capital contributions from Radian Group. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with the funds necessary to satisfy their needs for the foreseeable future.

As of December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty maintained claims paying resources of $6.1 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2023, was 10.4 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $620 million. This balance includes a $750 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled $5.9 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $2.3 billion, or 62%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs cushion of $5.6 billion and $1.7 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2022.

Our PMIERs Cushion as of December 31, 2023, includes the benefit from our reinsurance agreements through that date. Our PMIERs Cushion at December 31, 2023, also includes a benefit from the current broad-based application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge that has reduced the total amount of Minimum Required Assets that Radian Guaranty otherwise would have been required to hold against pandemic-related defaults by approximately $85 million and $200 million as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, taking into consideration our risk distribution structures in effect as of those dates. The application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge has reduced Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Minimum Required Assets, but we expect this benefit will continue to diminish over time.

See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility” and “Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity” under “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information about the Disaster Related Capital Charge.

Despite holding assets above the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.

Aided by the positive impacts of its merger with Radian Reinsurance in December 2022, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $258 million as of December 31, 2022, and continued to maintain positive unassigned surplus throughout 2023. As a result, beginning with the first quarter of 2023, Radian Guaranty had the ability to pay ordinary dividends, and paid total ordinary dividends of $400 million in cash and marketable securities in 2023. Subsequent to the payment of these dividends, as of December 31, 2023, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $120 million, and in February 2024, Radian Guaranty paid an ordinary dividend of $100 million in cash and marketable securities to Radian Group. Radian Guaranty expects to have the ability to continue paying ordinary dividends in 2024. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our statutory dividend restrictions and contingency reserve requirements.

Radian Guaranty is a member of the FHLB. As a member, it may borrow from the FHLB, subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management and liquidity purposes. As of December 31, 2023, there were $95 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

homegenius

As of December 31, 2023, our homegenius segment maintained cash and liquid investments totaling $64 million, including $46 million held by Radian Title Insurance.

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Title insurance companies, including Radian Title Insurance, are subject to comprehensive state regulations, including minimum net worth requirements. Radian Title Insurance was in compliance with all of its minimum net worth requirements at December 31, 2023. In the event the cash flows from operations of the homegenius segment are not adequate to fund all of its needs, including the regulatory capital needs of Radian Title Insurance, Radian Group may provide additional funds to the homegenius segment in the form of an intercompany note or other capital contribution, and if needed for Radian Title Insurance, subject to the approval of the Ohio Department of Insurance. Additional capital support may also be required for potential investments in new business initiatives to support our strategy of growing our businesses. During 2023 and 2022, Radian Group made $100 million and $65 million, respectively, of additional equity contributions to support its homegenius subsidiaries.

Liquidity levels may fluctuate depending on the levels and contractual timing of our invoicing and the payment practices of our homegenius clients, in combination with the timing of our homegenius segment’s payments for expenses. The amount, if any, and timing of the homegenius segment’s dividend paying capacity will depend primarily on the amount of excess cash flow generated by the segment.

Ratings

We believe that ratings independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations often are considered by others in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. Radian Group, Radian Guaranty and Radian Title Insurance are currently assigned the financial strength ratings set forth in the chart below, which are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change. In “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “The current financial strength ratings assigned to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries could weaken our competitive position and potential downgrades by rating agencies to these ratings and the ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company.”

Ratings
SubsidiaryDemotech, Inc.Fitch (1)Moody’s (1)S&P (1)
Radian GroupN/ABBB-Baa3BBB-
Radian GuarantyN/AA-A3A-
Radian Title InsuranceAN/AN/AN/A

(1)Fitch Ratings (“Fitch”), Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) and S&P Global Ratings (“S&P”) each currently rate the outlook for both Radian Group and Radian Guaranty as Stable.

Critical Accounting Estimates

SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operations of the registrant. These items require the application of management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain and that may change in subsequent periods. In preparing our consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management has made estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods.

In preparing these financial statements, management has utilized available information, including our past history, industry standards and the current and projected economic and housing environments, among other factors, in forming its estimates, assumptions and judgments, giving due consideration to materiality. Because the use of estimates is inherent in GAAP, actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, other companies may utilize different estimates, which may impact comparability of our results of operations to those of companies in similar businesses. A summary of the accounting estimates that management believes are critical to the preparation of our consolidated financial statements is set forth below. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional disclosures regarding our significant accounting policies.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

Reserve for Losses and LAE

We establish reserves to provide for losses and LAE, which include the estimated costs of settling claims in our mortgage insurance portfolio, in accordance with the accounting standard regarding accounting and reporting by insurance enterprises. In our mortgage insurance business, the default and claim cycle begins with the receipt of a default notice from the loan servicer that a borrower has missed two consecutive monthly mortgage payments. We maintain an extensive

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database of default and claim payment history, and use models based on a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status.

With respect to loans that are in default, considerable judgment is exercised as to the adequacy of reserve levels. We use an actuarial projection methodology referred to as a “roll rate” analysis that uses historical claim frequency information to determine the projected ultimate Default to Claim Rates based on the Stage of Default and Time in Default as well as the date that a loan goes into default. The Default to Claim Rate also includes our estimates with respect to expected Rescissions and Claim Denials, which have the effect of reducing our Default to Claim Rates. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the table detailing our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

After estimating the Default to Claim Rate, we estimate Claim Severity based on recently observed severity rates within product type, type of insurance and Time in Default cohorts, as adjusted to account for anticipated differences in future results compared to recent trends. These severity estimates are then applied to individual loan coverage amounts to determine reserves. Similar to the Default to Claim Rate, Claim Severity also is impacted by the length of time that loans are in default and by our Loss Mitigation Activity. For claims under our Primary Mortgage Insurance, the coverage percentage is applied to the claim amount, which consists of the unpaid loan principal, plus past due interest (for which our liability is contractually capped in accordance with the terms of our Master Policies) and certain expenses associated with the default, to determine our maximum liability. Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default.

We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2023, by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance. For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 98% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2023), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $4 million at December 31, 2023. Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to be 25% at December 31, 2023, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated a $14 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2023.

Senior management regularly reviews the modeled frequency, Claim Severity and Loss Mitigation Activity estimates, which are based on historical trends, as described above. If recent emerging or projected trends, including related to current and future macroeconomic conditions, differ significantly from the historical trends used to develop the modeled estimates, management evaluates these trends and determines how they should be considered in its reserve estimates.

Estimating our case reserve for losses involves significant reliance upon assumptions and estimates with regard to the likelihood, magnitude and timing of each potential loss. The models, assumptions and estimates we use to establish loss reserves may prove to be inaccurate, especially during an extended economic downturn or a period of market volatility and economic uncertainty. These assumptions require management to use considerable judgment in estimating the rate at which these loans will result in claims and the amount of such claims. As such, there is uncertainty around our reserve estimate.

Premium Revenue Recognition

Premiums on mortgage insurance products are written on a recurring basis, either as monthly or annual premiums, or on a multi-year basis as a single premium. Monthly premiums written are earned as coverage is provided each month. For certain monthly policies where the billing is deferred for the first month’s coverage period, currently to the end of the policy, we record a net premium receivable representing the present value of such deferred premiums that we estimate will be collected at that future date.

We recognize changes in this receivable based on changes in the estimated amount and timing of such collections, including as a result of changes in observed trends as well as our periodic review of our servicing guide and our operations and collections practices. Key assumptions supporting our estimate of this net premium receivable, which equaled $36 million and $32 million as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, include a collection rate and average life. During both 2023 and 2022, we made no changes to these assumptions.

Single premiums written are initially recorded as unearned premiums and earned over time based on the anticipated loss pattern and the estimated period of risk exposure, which is primarily derived from historical experience and other factors such as projected losses, premium type and projected contractual periods of risk based on original LTV. Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk. There were no significant changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2023 and 2022.

Actual future experience that is different than expected loss development or policy cancellations could result in further material increases or decreases in the recognition of net premiums earned. Based on historical experience, losses are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates. If the timing of losses were to shift, it could accelerate or decelerate our recognition of net premiums earned and could have a material impact on our results of operations.

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Financial Instruments

Fair Value

Our estimated fair value measurements are intended to reflect the assumptions market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability based on the best information available. Assumptions include the risks inherent in a particular valuation technique (such as a pricing model) and the risks inherent in the inputs to the model. Changes in economic conditions and capital market conditions, including but not limited to, benchmark interest rate changes, credit spread changes, market volatility and changes in the value of underlying collateral, could cause actual results to differ materially from our estimated fair value measurements.

Nearly all of our financial instruments recorded at fair value relate to our investment portfolio which, including securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, totaled $6.3 billion as of December 31, 2023. The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. For additional information regarding the sensitivity of our investment portfolio to these inputs, see “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

See also Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information pertaining to financial instruments at fair value and our valuation methodologies.

Credit Losses and Other Impairments

We perform an evaluation of fixed-maturity securities available for sale each quarter to assess whether any decline in their fair value below cost is deemed to be a credit impairment recognized in earnings. Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2023, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities were $444 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding impairments related to investments.

Income Taxes

We are required to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that all or some portion of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. At each balance sheet date, we assess our need for a valuation allowance and this assessment is based on all available evidence, both positive and negative, and requires management to exercise judgment and make assumptions regarding whether such deferred tax assets will be realized in future periods. Future realization of our deferred tax assets will ultimately depend on the existence of sufficient taxable income of the appropriate character (ordinary income or capital gains) within the applicable carryback and carryforward periods provided under the tax law. In making our assessment of the more likely than not standard, the weight assigned to the effect of both positive and negative evidence is commensurate with the extent to which such evidence can be objectively verified.

We have determined that certain non-insurance entities within Radian may continue to generate taxable losses on a separate company basis in the near term and may not be able to fully utilize certain state and local NOLs on their state and local tax returns. Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $63 million and $70 million at December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.

Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes. An amount up to the total valuation allowance currently recorded could be recognized if our assessment of realizability changes. Our assumptions around these items and the weight assigned to them have remained consistent in recent periods. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

FY 2022 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0000890926-23-000007.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2023-02-24. Report date: 2022-12-31.

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.

Some of the information in this discussion and analysis or included elsewhere in this report, including information with respect to our projections, plans and strategy for our business, are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including those discussed under “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” and in the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Index to Item 7

ItemPage
Overview66
Key Factors Affecting Our Results68
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio72
Results of Operations—Consolidated78
Results of Operations—Mortgage83
Results of Operations—homegenius89
Results of Operations—All Other91
Liquidity and Capital Resources91
Critical Accounting Estimates97

Overview

We are a diversified mortgage and real estate business with two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius.

Our Mortgage segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk for the benefit of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also provides contract underwriting and other credit risk management solutions to our customers. Our homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents.

See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our reportable segments. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” below for information about current business conditions and other factors that affect the performance of our Mortgage and homegenius businesses.

Current Operating Environment

As a seller of mortgage credit protection and other mortgage and credit risk management solutions and real estate products and services, our business results are subject to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing, housing finance and related real estate markets, the credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio and our future business opportunities, as well as seasonal fluctuations that specifically affect the mortgage origination and real estate environments. The performance of our Mortgage business is particularly influenced by housing prices, inflationary pressures, interest rate changes, unemployment levels, mortgage originations and the availability of credit, national and regional economic conditions and other events that impact housing and real estate markets and the ability of borrowers to remain current on their mortgages, most of which are beyond our control.

The U.S. economy is currently experiencing a high rate of inflation, with annual inflation reaching a 40-year high in 2022, as well as slower economic growth, declining home prices and the risks of a recession and of higher unemployment rates.

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Recent actions taken by the U.S. Federal Reserve to increase interest rates in response to the inflationary trends that started in 2021 resulted in a sharp and significant increase in mortgage interest rates during 2022, with mortgage rates more than doubling to nearly 7% at the end of 2022. The U.S. Federal Reserve raised rates further in the first quarter of 2023 and has signaled that it expects to continue to increase rates in future periods. These economic conditions have negatively impacted the U.S. housing market, broadly reducing refinance activity and new purchase transactions and resulting in decreasing home prices in recent months in many markets. As further discussed below, we expect that the current economic environment will continue to negatively impact certain aspects of our results, including lower NIW, lower homegenius revenues, higher mortgage insurance defaults and lower investment fair values. At the same time, we also expect to benefit from the higher interest rate environment through higher Persistency Rates that will favorably impact our IIF, as well as through the recognition of higher net investment income, as further discussed below.

In light of the current economic and operating environments, throughout 2022 we have taken steps to align our workforce to the current and expected needs of the business. As such, as of February 22, 2023, we had approximately 30% fewer employees than we had at year end 2021. See “Results of Operations—Consolidated—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” for additional information.

The cooling effect of current economic conditions on U.S. housing markets throughout 2022 has resulted in a smaller insurable market compared to 2021, reducing our NIW. We wrote NIW of $68.0 billion in 2022, a decrease of 26% compared to our NIW in 2021. We expect these conditions to continue to negatively impact our NIW volumes in future periods. Longer-term, however, we continue to believe that the housing market fundamentals and outlook remain favorable, including demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers and a constrained supply of homes available for sale. While the recent increases in mortgage interest rates have significantly reduced refinance demand, they have also resulted in a decrease in policy cancellations, which has increased our Persistency Rate, and in turn contributed to growth in our IIF. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio” below for additional details on our NIW and IIF.

The same inflationary pressures and higher interest rate environment that are impacting mortgage refinance demand and our NIW are also impacting our homegenius businesses, including a significant decrease in our title revenues beginning in the second quarter of 2022, due to the rapid decline in industry-wide refinance volumes. The current macroeconomic trends, and the corresponding softening in demand for home sales and mortgage refinancings, have also impacted the market demand for our new proprietary real estate technology products and services, which in some cases have been delayed by longer than anticipated launch timelines.

The recent sharp increases in interest rates also materially affected the fair value of our investment portfolio in 2022, resulting in significant unrealized losses on investments. Given our intent and ability as of December 31, 2022, to hold these securities until recovery of their amortized cost basis, we do not expect to realize a loss on any of our investments in an unrealized loss position. The decrease in the fair value of our investments due to higher market interest rates negatively affected our net income and stockholders’ equity during 2022. Conversely, this higher interest rate environment resulted in the recognition of higher net investment income in 2022, which is expected to continue in future periods. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our investments.

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a significant increase in unemployment, which had a negative impact on the economy. As a result, we experienced a material increase in new defaults in 2020, substantially all of which related to defaults of loans subject to mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Beginning in the second quarter of 2020, the increase in the number of new mortgage defaults resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic had a negative effect on our results of operations and our reserve for losses for that year. However, subsequent trends in Cures have been more favorable than original expectations, resulting in favorable loss reserve development on prior period defaults in 2021 and in 2022. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reserve for losses.

As noted above, at the start of the pandemic, we experienced a material increase in new defaults and our primary default rate increased sharply to 6.5% at June 30, 2020. Since then, favorable trends in the number of new defaults and Cures have led to a decline in our default inventory and default rate, resulting in a primary default rate of 2.2% at December 31, 2022. However, deteriorating economic conditions, including declining home prices and the risks of a recession and of higher unemployment rates, have increased the likelihood that we will experience higher levels of new default activity and lower levels of Cures in our mortgage insurance portfolio. The number, timing and duration of new defaults and, in turn, the number of defaults that ultimately result in claims will depend on a variety of factors, including the overall economic environment and on the number and timing of Cures and the net impact on IIF from our Persistency Rate and future NIW. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional discussion of these factors and other risks and uncertainties.

Despite risks and uncertainties, we believe that the steps we have taken in recent years, including by improving our capital and liquidity positions, enhancing our financial flexibility, implementing greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and increasing our use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, have helped position the Company to better withstand the negative effects from the macroeconomic stresses discussed above, including those resulting from the high rate of inflation and higher interest rates, as well as the other risks described in “Item 1A. Risk Factors.”

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In particular, we believe that the range of risk distribution transactions and strategies that we utilize have increased our financial strength and flexibility by mitigating credit risk and financial volatility through varying economic cycles. As of December 31, 2022, 70% of our primary RIF is subject to a form of risk distribution and our estimated reinsurance recoverable related to our mortgage insurance portfolio was $25 million. Our use of risk distribution structures has reduced our required capital and enhanced our projected return on capital, and we expect these structures to provide a level of credit protection in periods of economic stress. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Risk Distribution” for additional information.

Key Factors Affecting Our Results

The following sections discuss certain key drivers affecting our Mortgage and homegenius businesses, as well as other key factors affecting our results.

Mortgage

IIF and Related Drivers

Our IIF is one of the primary drivers of our future premiums that we expect to earn over time. Although not reflected in the current period financial statements, nor in our reported book value, we expect our IIF to generate substantial earnings in future periods due to the high credit quality of our current mortgage insurance portfolio and our expectations for future Persistency Rates.

The ultimate profitability of our mortgage insurance business is affected by the impact of mortgage prepayment speeds on the mix of business we write. The measure for assessing the impact of policy cancellations on our IIF is our Persistency Rate, defined as the percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time. Assuming all other factors remain constant, over the life of the policies, prepayment speeds have an inverse impact on IIF and the expected revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Slower loan prepayment speeds, demonstrated by a higher Persistency Rate, result in more IIF remaining in place, providing increased revenue from Monthly Premium Policies over time as premium payments continue. Earlier than anticipated loan prepayments, demonstrated by a lower Persistency Rate, reduce IIF and the revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Among other factors, prepayment speeds may be affected by changes in interest rates and other macroeconomic factors. A rising interest rate environment generally will reduce refinancing activity and result in lower prepayments, whereas a declining interest rate environment generally will increase the level of refinancing activity and therefore increase prepayments.

In contrast to Monthly Premium Policies, when Single Premium Policies are cancelled by the insured because the loan has been paid off or otherwise, we accelerate the recognition of any remaining unearned premiums, net of any refunds that may be owed to the borrower. Although these cancellations reduce IIF, assuming all other factors remain constant, the profitability of our Single Premium business increases when Persistency Rates are lower. As a result, we believe that writing a mix of Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies has the potential to moderate the overall impact on our results if actual prepayment speeds are significantly different from expectations. However, the impact of this moderating effect may be affected by the amount of reinsurance we obtain on portions of our portfolio, with the Single Premium QSR Program currently reducing the proportion of retained Single Premium Policies in our portfolio.

Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase or decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding positive (increase in IIF) or negative (decrease in IIF) impact on premiums earned. Cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments and other reductions of IIF, such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force” for more information about the levels and characteristics of our IIF.

NIW and Related Drivers

NIW increases our IIF and our premiums written and earned. NIW is affected by the overall size of the mortgage origination market, the penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance into the overall mortgage origination market and our market share of the private mortgage insurance market. The overall mortgage origination market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as household formation, household composition, home affordability, interest rates, housing markets in general, which are subject to seasonality, credit availability and the impact of various legislative and regulatory actions that may influence the housing and mortgage finance industries. The penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance is mainly influenced by: (i) the competitiveness of private mortgage insurance for GSE conforming loans compared to FHA and VA insured loans and (ii) the relative percentage of mortgage originations that are for purchased homes versus refinances. We believe, for example, that given current pricing levels, which are subject to change, the generally better execution available through the GSEs for borrowers with higher FICO scores, lender preferences and the inability to cancel FHA insurance for certain loans are factors that currently provide a competitive advantage for private mortgage insurers. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written.”

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Private mortgage insurance penetration in the insurable market has generally been higher on new mortgages for purchased homes than on the refinance of existing mortgages, because average LTVs are typically higher on home purchases, and therefore, these lower down payment loans are more likely to require mortgage insurance. Radian Guaranty’s share of the private mortgage insurance market is influenced by competition in that market. See “Item 1. Business—Competition.”

The following charts provide a historical perspective on certain key market drivers, including:

■the mortgage origination volume from home purchases and refinancings; and

■private mortgage insurance penetration as a percentage of the mortgage origination market.

Mortgage origination market (1)

Origination Market ($ in billions)Q1 2020Q2 2020Q3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022
¢Refinance$412$699$773$876$896$650$606$539$330$186$95$66
¢Purchase$284$353$466$444$377$532$527$489$388$492$411$330
Total$696$1,052$1,239$1,320$1,273$1,182$1,133$1,028$718$678$506$396

Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market (1)

Market Penetration (%)Q1 2020Q2 2020Q3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022
òPurchase (2)22.7%24.3%26.9%27.0%25.5%24.3%25.5%24.4%25.1%24.0%24.9%22.7%
òOverall (2)13.5%14.0%14.6%13.4%11.7%13.4%13.1%12.6%14.5%17.9%20.6%19.2%
òRefinance (2)7.2%8.9%7.1%6.5%5.8%4.5%2.4%1.9%2.0%1.6%1.8%2.0%

(1)Based on actual dollars generated in the credit enhanced market as reported by HUD and publicly reported industry information. Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.

(2)Excluding originations under HARP.

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Premiums

The premium rates we charge for our insurance are based on a number of borrower, loan and property characteristics. The mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and private mortgage insurers compete with each other and with the FHA and VA with respect to price and other factors.

Our pricing is risk-based and is intended to generally align with the capital requirements under the PMIERs, while also considering pricing trends within the private mortgage insurance industry among other factors. As a result, our pricing is expected to generate relatively consistent returns across the credit spectrum. In developing our pricing strategies, we monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to maximize the long-term economic value of our portfolio by balancing credit risk, lender and geographic concentration risk, profitability and volume considerations, and aim to achieve an overall risk-adjusted rate of return on capital given our modeled performance expectations. Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital required under the PMIERs financial requirements.

Our pricing actions gradually affect our results over time, as existing IIF cancels and is replaced with NIW at current pricing. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written” and “Liquidity and Capital Resources—Mortgage” below for additional information.

As described above, premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” Our expected premium yield on our Single Premium Policies is lower than on our Monthly Premium Policies because our premium rates for the life of the policy are generally lower for our Single Premium Policies. However, as discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “—IIF and Related Drivers” above.

Approximately 82% of the loans in our total Primary Mortgage Insurance portfolio at December 31, 2022, are Monthly Premium Policies that provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter. For loans that have been refinanced under HARP, the initial 10-year period is reset. Generally, a borrower is able to cancel the policy when the LTV reaches 80% of the original value, and the servicer is required to review the policy for automatic cancellation on the date the LTV is scheduled to reach 78% of the original value. As a result, the volume of loans that remain insured after 10 years and would be subject to the premium reset is generally not material in relation to the total loans originated. However, to the extent the volume of loans resetting from year to year varies significantly, the trend in earned premiums may also vary.

Losses

Incurred losses represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in our estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans. Other factors influencing incurred losses include:

■The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims). See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force;”

■The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses);

■The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses;

■Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied);

■The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and

■Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us. In “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “—Our Loss Mitigation Activity could negatively impact our customer relationships.”

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Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk. See “—IIF and Related Drivers” above. Currently, we distribute risk in our mortgage insurance portfolio through quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance programs.

When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. These arrangements reduce our earned premiums but also reduce our net RIF, which provides capital relief, including under the PMIERs financial requirements. Our incurred losses are reduced by any incurred losses ceded in accordance with the reinsurance agreement, and we often receive ceding commissions from the reinsurer as part of the transaction, which, in turn, reduce our reported operating expenses and policy acquisition costs.

Our Excess-of-Loss Program primarily accesses the capital markets through the Eagle Re Issuers’ issuance of mortgage insurance-linked notes. Our Excess-of-Loss Program reduces our earned premiums, but also reduces our net RIF and PMIERs financial requirements, and potentially our incurred losses, which are allocated in accordance with the structure of the transaction. The Eagle Re Issuers are special purpose VIEs that are not consolidated in our consolidated financial statements because we do not have the unilateral power to direct those activities that are significant to their economic performance.

See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance arrangements, including the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers.

Investment Income

Investment income is determined primarily by the investment balances held and the average yield on our overall investment portfolio.

Other Operating Expenses

Our other operating expenses include salaries and other base employee costs, variable and share-based incentive compensation and other general operating expenses, such as fees for professional and consulting services, software, rent and depreciation, among other costs. Employee related expenses are driven by our headcount, which can fluctuate due to the amount of our NIW and IIF, as well as our plans for other business initiatives. Our other operating expenses may also fluctuate due to the impact of performance on our incentive compensation programs, as a result of our pay-for-performance approach to compensation that is based on the level of achievement of both short-term and long-term goals.

These operating expenses are reported net of ceding commissions associated with our QSR Program. As a result, changes to our QSR Program and the amount of our ceded premiums earned also can impact our other operating expenses.

homegenius

Premiums

We earn net premiums on title insurance through Radian Title Insurance. Demand for title insurance may be impacted by general marketplace competition in the real estate title industry, coupled with housing market related conditions such as new home sales, the sizes of the real estate purchase and refinance markets and interest rate fluctuations.

Services Revenue

Our homegenius segment is dependent upon overall activity in the mortgage finance and real estate markets, as well as market receptivity to the products we offer. Due, in part, to the transactional nature of the business, revenues for our homegenius segment are subject to fluctuations from period to period, including seasonal fluctuations that reflect the activities in these markets. Sales volume is also affected by the number of competing companies and alternative products offered in the market. We believe the diversity of services we offer has the potential to produce fee income from the homegenius segment throughout various mortgage finance environments and economic cycles, although market conditions can significantly impact the mix and amount of fee income we generate in any particular period. See “Item 1. Business—homegenius—Overview” for more information on our homegenius services.

The homegenius segment is dependent on a limited number of large customers that represent a significant portion of its revenues. Generally, our contracts do not contain volume commitments and may be terminated by clients at any time. While access to Radian Guaranty’s mortgage insurance customer base provides additional opportunities to expand the homegenius segment’s existing customers, an unexpected loss of a major customer could significantly impact the level of homegenius revenue.

Our homegenius revenue is primarily generated under fixed-price contracts. Under fixed-price contracts, we agree to perform the specified services and deliverables for a predetermined per-unit price. To the extent our actual direct and allocated indirect costs decrease or increase from the estimates upon which the price was negotiated, we will generate more or less

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profit, respectively, or could incur a loss. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on revenue recognition policies for our homegenius segment.

Cost of Services

Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing products and services for our homegenius businesses. Our cost of services primarily consists of employee compensation and related payroll benefits, and to a lesser extent, other costs of providing services such as travel and related expenses incurred in providing client services, costs paid to outside vendors, data acquisition costs and other compensation-related expenses to maintain software application platforms that directly support our businesses. The level of these costs may fluctuate as market rates of compensation change, or if there is decreased availability or a loss of qualified employees.

Operating Expenses

Our operating expenses primarily consist of salaries and benefits not classified as cost of services because they are related to employees, such as sales and corporate employees, who are not directly involved in providing client services. Operating expenses also include other selling, general and administrative expenses, depreciation and allocations of corporate general and administrative expenses.

See “Item 1. Business—homegenius—Overview” and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding the homegenius segment.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments

In addition, net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments also may impact our consolidated results in the ordinary course. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods, as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Unrealized gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading or equity securities. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in realized economic gains or losses.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

Insurance in Force

IIF by origination vintage (1)

Insurance in Force as of:
Vintage written in: ($ in billions)December 31, 2022December 31, 2021December 31, 2020
¢2022$65.225.0%$—%$—%
¢202177.329.687.435.5
¢202057.722.174.330.298.840.2
¢201917.96.824.09.844.618.1
¢20189.03.512.45.023.59.5
¢20178.23.111.54.721.28.6
¢2009 - 201616.76.425.010.243.217.6
¢2008 & Prior (2)9.03.511.44.614.86.0
Total$261.0100.0%$246.0100.0%$246.1100.0%

(1)Policy years represent the original policy years and have not been adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under HARP.

(2)Includes loans that were subsequently refinanced under HARP.

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New Insurance Written

A key component of our current business strategy is to write NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio’s health, balance and profitability. Consistent with this objective, we wrote $68.0 billion of primary new mortgage insurance in 2022, compared to $91.8 billion of NIW in 2021.

Our 2022 NIW, offset by policy cancellations and amortization within our existing portfolio, resulted in IIF of $261.0 billion at December 31, 2022, compared to $246.0 billion at December 31, 2021, as shown in the chart above. Our NIW decreased by 26% in 2022 as compared to 2021, due primarily to lower refinance originations and a reduction in the size of the overall insurable market, partially offset by an increase in our market share in 2022.

Among other factors, private mortgage insurance industry volumes are impacted by total mortgage origination volumes and the mix between mortgage originations that are for home purchases versus refinancings of existing mortgages. Historically, the penetration rate for private mortgage insurance generally has been three to five times higher for purchase transactions than for refinancings. However, with significant home price appreciation in recent years, penetration on purchase transactions has increased while penetration on refinancings has decreased, and the penetration rate for private mortgage insurance has shifted to 12 to 16 times higher for purchase transactions than for refinancings.

According to industry estimates, total mortgage origination volume was significantly lower in 2022 as compared to 2021 due to a significant decline in refinance activity and a smaller decline in home purchases. Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent industry projections for 2023 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $1.8 trillion, which would represent a decline in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 23% as compared to 2022. Factoring in our projections of private mortgage insurance penetration in the overall insurable mortgage market, we estimate that the private mortgage insurance market will be between $275 billion and $325 billion in 2023. This outlook anticipates a further decrease in refinance originations in 2023 resulting from increased interest rates. While expectations for refinance volume vary, there is an industry-wide consensus that we should expect a healthy purchase market in 2023 driven by ongoing homebuyer demand, which is a positive for mortgage insurers given the higher likelihood that purchase loans will utilize private mortgage insurance as compared to refinance loans. If refinance volume declines, we would expect the Persistency Rate for our portfolio to increase, benefiting the size of our IIF portfolio. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

Our total mix of Single Premium Policies decreased to 5% of our NIW for 2022, compared to 7% for 2021. Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 96% of our total direct Single Premium NIW for both 2022 and 2021. We expect our production level for Single Premium Policies to fluctuate over time based on various factors, which include risk/return considerations and market conditions.

The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to our mortgage insurance NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

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NIW
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202220212020
NIW$67,954$91,830$105,024
Primary risk written$17,368$22,591$24,540
Average coverage percentage25.6%24.6%23.4%
NIW by loan purpose
Purchases96.1%80.5%64.8%
Refinances3.9%19.5%35.2%
Total borrower-paid NIW99.2%99.2%98.2%
NIW by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums95.1%92.8%87.7%
Direct single premiums (1)4.9%7.2%12.3%
NIW by FICO score (2)
=74059.8%58.6%66.0%
680-73932.4%34.2%30.8%
620-6797.8%7.2%3.2%
NIW by LTV
95.01% and above16.6%12.0%9.2%
90.01% to 95.00%39.9%40.7%37.1%
85.01% to 90.00%28.4%28.3%29.4%
85.00% and below15.1%19.0%24.3%

(1)Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 4.7%, 6.9% and 11.1% of NIW for the periods indicated, respectively. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility” for additional information.

(2)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

Insurance and Risk in Force

Our IIF is the primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time.

IIF at December 31, 2022, increased as compared to the same period last year, due to the positive impact from our NIW in 2022 and higher Persistency Rates, as further discussed below. Historically, there has been a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Higher interest rate environments generally decrease refinancings, which decrease the cancellation rate of our insurance and positively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table below, our 12-month Persistency Rate at December 31, 2022, increased as compared to the same period in 2021. The increase in our Persistency Rate in 2022 was primarily attributable to the decline in refinance activity due to increases in mortgage interest rates, as compared to the prior year. As of December 31, 2022, 5% of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate greater than 6.0%. Excluding the 2022 vintage, less than 1% of our IIF had a mortgage note interest rate greater than 6.0%. Given the recent increase in market mortgage interest rates, which, based on reported industry averages, now exceed that level, we would expect a continued positive impact on our Persistency Rates.

As discussed above, our earnings in future periods are subject to elevated risks and uncertainties related to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing finance and real estate markets, including housing prices, inflationary pressures, unemployment levels, interest rate changes and the availability of credit. For additional information, in “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “—The credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio is impacted by macroeconomic conditions and specific events that affect the ability of borrowers to pay their mortgages.”

While these risks and uncertainties are elevated in the near-term, we continue to believe that the long-term housing market fundamentals and outlook remain positive, including demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time

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homebuyers and a relatively constrained supply of homes available for sale. In addition, historical loan performance data indicates that credit scores and underwriting quality are key drivers of credit performance, and loan originations after 2008 have consisted primarily of high credit quality loans with significantly better credit performance than loans originated during 2008 and prior periods.

The following table illustrates the trends of our cumulative incurred loss ratios by year of origination and development year.

Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1)
VintageDec 2013Dec 2014Dec 2015Dec 2016Dec 2017Dec 2018Dec 2019Dec2020 (2)Dec2021 (2)Dec 2022
20132.5%4.0%3.4%3.7%3.5%3.4%3.3%4.2%4.1%2.9%
20142.7%4.1%4.9%5.0%5.1%5.2%6.9%6.8%4.5%
20152.1%4.8%5.2%5.0%4.7%7.4%6.8%3.8%
20162.9%5.0%4.8%4.7%9.7%8.0%3.7%
20174.7%5.1%6.1%14.3%11.9%5.1%
20183.0%6.4%22.8%19.0%7.2%
20192.8%35.6%23.5%6.8%
202025.6%14.9%6.0%
20217.9%10.9%
20229.4%

(1)Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(2)Losses incurred in 2021 and 2020 across all vintages were elevated due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

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The following tables provide selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to mortgage insurance IIF and RIF.

IIF and RIF
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202220212020
Primary IIF$260,994$245,972$246,144
Primary RIF$66,094$60,913$60,656
Average coverage percentage25.3%24.8%24.6%
Persistency Rate (12 months ended)79.6%64.3%61.2%
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1)84.1%71.7%60.4%
Total borrower-paid RIF93.3%90.6%86.3%
Primary RIF by Premium Type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums87.1%83.9%79.1%
Direct single premiums (2)12.9%16.1%20.9%
Primary RIF by FICO score (3)
=74057.4%56.9%57.5%
680-73934.6%35.0%34.6%
620-6797.6%7.6%7.3%
=6190.4%0.5%0.6%
Primary RIF by LTV
95.01% and above17.1%15.1%14.4%
90.01% to 95.00%48.4%48.9%49.3%
85.01% to 90.00%27.2%27.7%28.0%
85.00% and below7.3%8.3%8.3%

(1)The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

(2)Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 7.7%, 8.5% and 9.4% of primary RIF for the periods indicated, respectively.

(3)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary RIF by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

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The following table shows our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF by year of origination and selected information related to that risk as of December 31, 2022 and 2021.

Year of origination - RIF
December 31,
20222021
($ in millions)RIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for LossesRIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for Losses
2008 and prior$2,2775,6929.0%29.2%$2,8657,3859.3%24.5%
2009-20164,4063,3423.516.96,5885,9744.422.2
20172,1731,9664.48.62,9983,3995.712.2
20182,3192,5125.211.73,1584,3426.816.4
20194,4392,2792.79.75,8924,0783.715.0
202014,2552,2921.110.117,7892,9381.18.3
202119,5282,8651.111.321,6239450.31.4
202216,6979650.52.5
Total$66,09421,913100.0%$60,91329,061100.0%

Geographic Dispersion

The following table shows, as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 states in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2022).

Top 10 U.S. states - RIF
December 31,
20222021
Top 10 StatesRIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
Texas9.4%8.4%8.5%9.7%
California8.79.39.311.0
Florida6.39.16.910.8
Illinois4.76.04.65.3
New York4.510.04.47.7
Virginia3.92.33.82.7
New Jersey3.85.33.85.1
Pennsylvania3.83.33.62.6
Washington3.61.73.52.0
Maryland3.53.63.33.9
Total52.2%59.0%51.7%60.8%

The following table shows, as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2022).

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Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF
December 31,
20222021
Top 10 CBSAs (1)RIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA5.5%12.2%5.4%10.0%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI4.35.74.25.2
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV4.03.44.04.1
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX3.12.72.93.4
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2.72.52.62.3
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX2.73.02.53.3
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA2.42.62.63.3
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI2.31.52.31.3
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA2.10.92.11.3
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL2.03.32.24.4
Total31.1%37.8%30.8%38.6%

(1)CBSAs are metropolitan areas and may include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. When we enter into a reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, insures an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. While these arrangements have the impact of reducing our earned premiums, they also reduce our required capital, potentially mitigate losses, and are expected to increase our return on required capital for the related policies.

The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—Risk Distribution” above and Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance transactions.

The table below provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.

PMIERs benefit from risk distribution
December 31,
($ in thousands)202220212020
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets
Excess-of-Loss Program$665,617$995,171$912,734
Single Premium QSR Program231,339314,183423,712
2022 QSR Agreement233,532
2012 QSR Agreements8,35712,54122,712
Total PMIERs impact$1,138,845$1,321,895$1,359,158
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets22.9%28.4%28.8%

Results of Operations—Consolidated

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for 2022 primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our two business segments—Mortgage and homegenius. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage,” and “Results of Operations—homegenius” for the operating results of these business segments.

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In addition to the results of our operating segments, pretax income (loss) is also affected by other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments” above and “—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below for more information regarding items that are excluded from the operating results of our operating segments.

The following table highlights selected information related to our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020.

Summary results of operations - Consolidated
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except per-share amounts)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Revenues
Net premiums earned$981,131$1,037,183$1,115,321$(56,052)$(78,138)
Services revenue92,216125,825105,385(33,609)20,440
Net investment income195,658147,909154,03747,749(6,128)
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(80,733)15,60360,277(96,336)(44,674)
Other income2,4543,4123,597(958)(185)
Total revenues1,190,7261,329,9321,438,617(139,206)(108,685)
Expenses
Provision for losses(338,239)20,877485,117359,116464,240
Policy acquisition costs23,91829,02930,9895,1111,960
Cost of services82,358103,71486,06621,356(17,648)
Other operating expenses381,148323,686280,710(57,462)(42,976)
Interest expense84,45484,34471,150(110)(13,194)
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets4,3083,4505,144(858)1,694
Total expenses237,947565,100959,176327,153394,076
Pretax income952,779764,832479,441187,947285,391
Income tax provision209,845164,16185,815(45,684)(78,346)
Net income$742,934$600,671$393,626$142,263$207,045
Diluted net income per share$4.35$3.16$2.00$1.19$1.16
Return on equity18.2%14.1%9.4%4.1%4.7%
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1)
Adjusted pretax operating income$1,052,717$757,749$432,067$294,968$325,682
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share$4.87$3.15$1.74$1.72$1.41
Adjusted net operating return on equity20.3%14.0%8.2%6.3%5.8%

(1)See “—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

This section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, and a year-over-year comparison between 2022 and 2021. Detailed discussions of our consolidated results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2021, including the year-over-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020, that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, filed with the SEC on February 25, 2022.

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Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. The decrease in net premiums earned for 2022 compared to 2021 is primarily driven by a decrease in net premiums earned in both our mortgage insurance and title insurance businesses in 2022. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” for more information.

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2022 decreased compared to 2021, primarily driven by the general market decline in mortgage origination volume as well as other market and macroeconomic conditions, as further described above in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Services Revenue” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Revenues—Services Revenue” for more information.

Net Investment Income. The increase in net investment income for 2022 compared to 2021 is primarily attributable to higher market interest rates in 2022. See “Overview—Current Operating Environment” and “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Revenues—Net Investment Income” for more information.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. The net losses on investments and other financial instruments for 2022, as compared to net gains in 2021, is primarily due to the impact of higher interest rates in 2022, as well as other market and macroeconomic conditions, as further discussed above in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments by investment category.

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The change in provision for losses for 2022 compared to 2021 is primarily driven by favorable development on prior year defaults, which impacted our mortgage insurance reserves. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Expenses—Provision for Losses” for more information.

Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2022 decreased as compared to 2021, primarily driven by the decrease in services revenue as discussed above in “Overview—Current Operating Environment.” See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Expenses—Cost of Services” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Expenses—Cost of Services” for more information.

Other Operating Expenses. The increase in other operating expenses for 2022 compared to 2021 is primarily due to: (i) an increase in salaries and other base employee expenses, including $14.7 million of severance and related expenses in 2022; (ii) an increase in other general operating expenses; (iii) an increase in impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items including $14.9 million in 2022, primarily related to our lease agreements; and (iv) a decrease in ceding commissions. These increases in other operating expenses were partially offset by a net decrease in variable and share-based incentive compensation expense. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” and “Results of Operations—homegenius—Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021—Expenses—Other Operating Expenses” for more information.

Income Tax Provision

Our 2022 effective tax rate was 22%, higher than the statutory rate of 21% primarily due to the impact of state income taxes and certain permanent book-to-tax adjustments. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a reconciliation of our provision for income taxes.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis, adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.

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Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies.

Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments attributable to our reportable segments and All Other activities; (ii) gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt; (iii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iv) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, such as impairment of internal-use software, gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business and acquisition-related income and expenses.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

The following table provides a reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted pretax operating income.

Reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to adjusted pretax operating income
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202220212020
Consolidated pretax income$952,779$764,832$479,441
Less income (expense) items:
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments (1)(80,780)14,09460,277
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets(4,308)(3,450)(5,144)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (2)(14,850)(3,561)(7,759)
Total adjusted pretax operating income (3)$1,052,717$757,749$432,067

(1)For 2022 and 2021, excludes certain net gains (losses) on investments that are attributable to specific operating segments and therefore included in adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

(2)Amounts primarily relate to impairment of other long-lived assets and are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 9 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

(3)Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage segment, homegenius segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.

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Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share
Years Ended December 31,
202220212020
Diluted net income per share$4.35$3.16$2.00
Less per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items:
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(0.47)0.080.31
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets(0.03)(0.02)(0.03)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.09)(0.02)(0.04)
Income tax (provision) benefit on other income (expense) items (1)0.12(0.01)(0.05)
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate(0.05)(0.02)0.07
Per-share impact of other income (expense) items(0.52)0.010.26
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1)$4.87$3.15$1.74

(1)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted net operating return on equity.

Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity
Years Ended December 31,
202220212020
Return on equity (1)18.2%14.1%9.4%
Less impact of reconciling income (expense) items: (2)
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments(2.0)0.41.4
Amortization of other acquired intangible assets(0.1)(0.1)(0.1)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.4)(0.1)(0.2)
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3)0.5(0.2)
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate(0.1)(0.1)0.3
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items(2.1)0.11.2
Adjusted net operating return on equity (3)20.3%14.0%8.2%

(1)Calculated by dividing net income by average stockholders’ equity.

(2)As a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rates of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

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Results of Operations—Mortgage

The following table summarizes our Mortgage segment’s results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020.

Summary results of operations - Mortgage
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Revenues
Net premiums written$959,872$944,546$1,010,954$15,326$(66,408)
(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums(2,659)53,73681,813(56,395)(28,077)
Net premiums earned957,213998,2821,092,767(41,069)(94,485)
Services revenue7,39017,67014,765(10,280)2,905
Net investment income171,221132,929137,19538,292(4,266)
Other income2,3762,6782,816(302)(138)
Total revenues1,138,2001,151,5591,247,543(13,359)(95,984)
Expenses
Provision for losses(339,374)19,437483,332358,811463,895
Policy acquisition costs23,91829,02930,9895,1111,960
Cost of services5,95113,92810,0437,977(3,885)
Other operating expenses231,322223,275198,735(8,047)(24,540)
Interest expense84,44084,34471,150(96)(13,194)
Total expenses6,257370,013794,249363,756424,236
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$1,131,943$781,546$453,294$350,397$328,252

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned decreased for 2022 compared to 2021, primarily due to: (i) a decrease in the impact, net of reinsurance, from Single Premium Policy cancellations due to lower refinance activity and (ii) a decrease in premiums earned on our Monthly Premium Policies due to lower average premium yields. These items were partially offset by an increase in the profit commission retained by the Company under our reinsurance programs, due to favorable reserve development in 2022.

The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.

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Net premiums earned
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except as otherwise indicated)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Direct
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations$991,556$988,472$1,070,335$3,084$(81,863)
Single Premium Policy cancellations34,051116,224193,349(82,173)(77,125)
Direct1,025,6071,104,6961,263,684(79,089)(158,988)
Assumed (1)4,0257,06612,214(3,041)(5,148)
Ceded
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations(130,556)(108,692)(107,451)(21,864)(1,241)
Single Premium Policy cancellations (2)(9,677)(33,388)(55,483)23,71122,095
Profit commission—other (3)67,81428,600(20,197)39,21448,797
Ceded premiums, net of profit commission(72,419)(113,480)(183,131)41,06169,651
Total net premiums earned$957,213$998,282$1,092,767$(41,069)$(94,485)
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (4)39.340.544.5(1.2)(4.0)
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (5)40.645.252.4(4.6)(7.2)
Net premium yield (in basis points) (6)37.840.644.9(2.8)(4.3)
Average primary IIF (in billions) (7)$253.5$246.1$243.4$7.4$2.7

(1)Includes premiums earned primarily from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs. In December 2022, we novated this insured risk to an unrelated third-party reinsurer, which assumed all rights, interests, liabilities and obligations related to our participation in these programs on a prospective basis. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about this novation.

(2)Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(3)Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program and 2022 QSR Agreement, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(4)Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.

(5)Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.

(6)Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our reinsurance programs. For the year ended December 31, 2020, these profit commission adjustments were significantly impacted by the increased ceded losses in 2020. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

(7)The average of beginning and ending balances of primary IIF, for each period presented.

Over the past several years, we have experienced a decline in our in force portfolio premium yield due to a number of factors, including the pricing and credit mix of recent NIW compared to the policies that have been cancelled. Based on current NIW pricing and the impact of higher Persistency Rates we have been experiencing, we currently expect our in force portfolio premium yield in 2023 to be relatively stable; however, due to the potential impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may continue to fluctuate from period to period.

The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—IIF and Related Drivers” above for more information.

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The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.

Ceded premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,
($ in thousands)202220212020
Excess-of-Loss Program$76,988$62,153$37,053
Single Premium QSR Program(15,379)(1)47,226137,198
2022 QSR Agreement8,947
Other1,8634,1018,880
Total ceded premiums earned (2)$72,419$113,480$183,131
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned6.8%9.9%14.2%

(1)Includes the impact of changes in the profit commission retained by the Company due to changes in loss reserves. See “—Expenses—Provision for Losses” below for additional information on the favorable reserve development.

(2)Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions from the reinsurance agreements in our QSR Program, which is primarily included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2022 decreased as compared to 2021, primarily driven by the termination of a large mortgage fulfillment services contract with a customer as well as a decrease in demand for our contract underwriting services as a result of the general market decline in mortgage origination volume.

Net Investment Income. Increasing yields from higher interest rates were the primary driver of the increases in net investment income for 2022 compared to 2021.

The following table provides information related to our Mortgage subsidiaries’ investment balances and investment yields.

Investment balances and yields
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Investment income$177,478$139,208$142,910$38,270$(3,702)
Investment expenses(6,257)(6,279)(5,715)22(564)
Net investment income$171,221$132,929$137,195$38,292$(4,266)
Average investments (1)$5,546,198$5,595,270$5,148,896$(49,072)$446,374
Average investment yield (2)3.1%2.4%2.7%0.7%(0.3)%

(1)    The average of the beginning and ending amortized cost, for each period presented, of investments held by our Mortgage subsidiaries.

(2)    Calculated by dividing net investment income by average investments balance.

Expenses

Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.

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Provision for losses
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands, except reserve per new default)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Current year defaults (1)$160,049$160,565$517,807$516$357,242
Prior year defaults (2)(499,423)(141,128)(34,475)358,295106,653
Provision for losses$(339,374)$19,437$483,332$358,811$463,895
Loss ratio (3)(35.5)%1.9%44.2%37.4%42.3%
Reserve per new default (4)$4,241$4,285$4,793$44$508

(1)Related to defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.

(2)Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a year earlier than the year indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.

(3)Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.

(4)Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by the number of new primary defaults for each period.

Our mortgage insurance provision for losses improved by $358.8 million during 2022 compared to 2021, resulting in a benefit of $339.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. Current year new primary defaults were relatively flat for 2022, as compared to 2021, as shown below. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 8.0% at both December 31, 2022 and 2021, as we continue to closely monitor the trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory, while also weighing the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment.

Our provision for losses during 2022 and 2021 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated due to favorable outcomes resulting from mortgage forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as positive trends in home price appreciation. These favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate assumptions for prior year default notices, particularly for those defaults first reported in 2020 following the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. See Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.

Our primary default rate at December 31, 2022, was 2.2% compared to 2.9% at December 31, 2021. The following table shows a rollforward of the number of our primary loans in default.

Rollforward of primary loans in default
Years Ended December 31,
202220212020
Beginning default inventory29,06155,53721,266
New defaults37,73837,470108,025
Cures(44,136)(62,970)(72,404)
Claims paid(659)(937)(1,330)
Rescissions and Claim Denials, net of (Reinstatements) (1)(91)(39)(20)
Ending default inventory21,91329,06155,537

(1)Net of any previous Rescission and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

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The following tables show additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.

Primary loans in default - additional information
December 31, 2022
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less9,58443.7%835.5%$77,98719.5%
Four to eleven payments6,84231.218927.4114,53728.7
Twelve payments or more5,15823.675022.9190,14847.7
Pending claims3291.5N/A23.516,2024.1
Total21,913100.0%947398,874100.0%
LAE10,041
IBNR2,128
Total primary reserve (1)$411,043
December 31, 2021
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less7,26725.0%4739.4%$62,1037.9%
Four to eleven payments8,08827.88427.6146,87218.6
Twelve payments or more13,38946.178429.0565,19271.5
Pending claims3171.1N/A10.416,2132.0
Total29,061100.0%915790,380100.0%
LAE19,859
IBNR2,886
Total primary reserve (1)$813,125

N/A – Not applicable

(1)    Excludes pool and other reserves. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates on defaulted loans based on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details about our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary defaulted loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was approximately 30% and 46%, at December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. This decrease was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2022, given the larger proportion of loans with fewer missed payments. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding our reserve for losses and a reconciliation of our Mortgage segment’s beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE.

Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter, based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors, including the impact of foreclosure moratoriums (as further described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage—Defaults and Claims”), which make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.

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The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.

Claims paid
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202220212020
Net claims paid (1)
Primary$16,239$21,111$66,186
Pool and other(1,280)(258)(432)
Subtotal14,95920,85365,754
Impact of commutations and settlements (2)5,89914,46431,847
Total net claims paid$20,858$35,317$97,601
Total average net primary claim paid (1) (3)$44.4$44.8$46.7
Average direct primary claim paid (3) (4)$44.9$46.3$49.4

(1)Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans. For the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily includes payments made to settle certain previously disclosed legal proceedings.

(3)Calculated without giving effect to the impact of commutations and settlements.

(4)Before reinsurance recoveries.

Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2022 decreased compared to 2021, primarily due to the decrease in services revenue, as discussed above. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue.

Other Operating Expenses. The increase in other operating expenses for 2022, as compared to 2021, is primarily due to: (i) a decrease in ceding commissions, due primarily to a decline in Single Premium Policy cancellations covered by our Single Premium QSR Program and (ii) an increase in salaries and other base employee expenses primarily driven by $8.2 million in severance-related expenses in 2022, most notably in the fourth quarter. These items were partially offset by a decrease in performance-based variable and share-based compensation expense in 2022.

The following tables show additional information about Mortgage other operating expenses.

Other operating expenses
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in thousands)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$51,537$50,076$56,712$(1,461)$6,636
Variable and share-based incentive compensation16,93719,67214,6522,735(5,020)
Other general operating expenses40,44650,75253,71510,3062,963
Ceding commissions(16,164)(24,707)(41,146)(8,543)(16,439)
Total direct92,75695,79383,9333,037(11,860)
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses$46,955$42,081$37,396$(4,874)$(4,685)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation31,88934,30323,8192,414(10,484)
Other general operating expenses59,72251,09853,587(8,624)2,489
Total allocated138,566127,482114,802(11,084)(12,680)
Total Mortgage$231,322$223,275$198,735$(8,047)$(24,540)
Expense ratio (2)26.7%25.3%21.0%(1.4)%(4.3)%

(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

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(2)Operating expenses (which include policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses, as well as allocated corporate operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. See “—Revenues—Net Premiums Earned” above for additional information on the changes in net premiums earned.

Results of Operations—homegenius

The following table summarizes our homegenius segment’s results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020. As discussed in “Overview—Current Operating Environment,” the macroeconomic stresses beginning in the second quarter of 2022 impacted our homegenius businesses, including in particular a decrease in our title revenues due to the rapid decline in industrywide refinance volumes. We expect this trend to continue to impact the results of our homegenius segment in at least the near-term based on current market conditions and our expectation that overall refinance volumes will remain low.

Summary results of operations - homegenius
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Revenues
Net premiums earned$23,918$38,901$22,554$(14,983)$16,347
Services revenue85,158108,28279,524(23,124)28,758
Net investment income729358361371(3)
Net gains (losses) on investments1,509(1,509)1,509
Other income170170
Total revenues109,975149,050102,439(39,075)46,611
Expenses
Provision for losses1,1351,5401,931405391
Cost of services76,40789,72261,46113,315(28,261)
Other operating expenses120,63185,11262,287(35,519)(22,825)
Total expenses198,173176,374125,679(21,799)(50,695)
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1)$(88,198)$(27,324)$(23,240)$(60,874)$(4,084)

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Year Ended December 31, 2022, Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2021

Revenues

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned for 2022 decreased compared to 2021, primarily due to a decrease in new title policies written in our title insurance business.

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2022 decreased compared to 2021, primarily due to a decrease in title services revenues resulting from the recent macroeconomic stresses, as described above.

Expenses

Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2022 decreased compared to 2021, primarily due to the decrease in services revenue. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing those services.

Other Operating Expenses. The increase in other operating expenses for 2022 as compared to 2021 reflects an increase in salaries and other base employee expenses, driven primarily: (i) through the first half of the year by higher staffing levels and (ii) beginning in the second half of the year, and in light of the current economic and operating environments, by steps taken to align our workforce to the current and expected needs of this business, which resulted in $6.4 million of

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severance-related expenses in 2022, most notably in the fourth quarter of 2022. In addition, other general operating expenses were also higher in 2022 as compared to 2021 as a result of additional strategic investments in 2022 focused on title and real estate technology businesses.

The following tables show additional information about homegenius other operating expenses.

Other operating expenses
Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$45,504$23,783$20,893$(21,721)$(2,890)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation13,72714,7907,3641,063(7,426)
Other general operating expenses32,71721,30116,043(11,416)(5,258)
Title agent commissions5,8276,7565,180929(1,576)
Total direct97,77566,63049,480(31,145)(17,150)
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses$7,864$6,176$3,750$(1,688)$(2,426)
Variable and share-based incentive compensation5,1484,9963,125(152)(1,871)
Other general operating expenses9,8447,3105,932(2,534)(1,378)
Total allocated22,85618,48212,807(4,374)(5,675)
Total homegenius$120,631$85,112$62,287$(35,519)$(22,825)

(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

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Results of Operations—All Other

The following table summarizes our results of operations for our All Other activities for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020.

Summary results of operations - All Other
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In thousands)2022202120202022 vs. 20212021 vs. 2020
Revenues
Services revenue$$154$12,535$(154)$(12,381)
Net investment income23,70814,62216,4819,086(1,859)
Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments4747
Other income78734534(656)200
Total revenues23,83315,51029,5508,323(14,040)
Expenses
Cost of services6415,6396415,575
Other operating expenses14,84711,91911,898(2,928)(21)
Interest expense14(14)
Total expenses14,86111,98327,537(2,878)15,554
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$8,972$3,527$2,013$5,445$1,514

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of the Company’s business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Consolidated Cash Flows

The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.

Summary cash flows - Consolidated
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202220212020
Net cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities$388,298$557,112$658,434
Investing activities(5,175)(1,862)(883,180)
Financing activities(479,183)(496,776)222,618
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash$(96,060)$58,474$(2,128)

Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are typically for our operating expenses, claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies and taxes. The $169 million decline in cash provided by operating activities for 2022, as compared to the same period in 2021, was principally due to higher purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds and higher other operating expenses.

Investing Activities. Net cash used in investing activities increased in 2022, compared to 2021, primarily as a result of a decrease in sales and redemptions, net of purchases, on fixed-maturity investments available for sale, partially offset by: (i) an

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increase in sales and redemptions of trading securities; (ii) an increase in sales and redemptions, net of purchases, of short-term investments; and (iii) a decrease in purchases of equity securities.

Financing Activities. For 2022, our primary financing activities included: (i) repurchases of our common shares; (ii) payment of dividends; and (iii) net changes in secured borrowings. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our borrowings and share repurchases, respectively.

See “Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data—Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows” for additional information.

Investment Portfolio

At December 31, 2022 and 2021, the following tables include $112.1 million and $104.0 million, respectively, of securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, which are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our investment portfolio, including our securities lending agreements.

The composition of our investment portfolio, presented as a percentage of overall fair value at December 31, 2022, and December 31, 2021, was as follows.

Investment portfolio diversification
December 31,
20222021
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Corporate bonds and commercial paper$2,727.847.0%$3,261.449.3%
RMBS935.216.1714.510.8
CMBS598.910.3745.511.3
CLO498.28.6530.08.0
Money market instruments and certificates of deposit242.54.1275.64.2
State and municipal obligations (1)215.73.7284.24.3
Equity securities213.53.7222.23.3
Other ABS161.42.8211.23.2
U.S. government and agency securities145.42.5316.44.8
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (2)53.00.947.00.7
Mortgage loans held for sale3.50.1
Other investments10.50.29.50.1
Total$5,805.6100.0%$6,617.5100.0%

(1)Primarily consists of taxable state and municipal investments.

(2)Includes mortgage insurance-linked notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

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The following table shows the scheduled maturities of the securities held in our investment portfolio at December 31, 2022, and December 31, 2021.

Investment portfolio scheduled maturity
December 31,
20222021
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Short-term investments$402.56.9%$551.58.3%
Due in one year or less (1)110.41.9254.33.8
Due after one year through five years (1)1,210.720.81,176.917.8
Due after five years through 10 years (1)871.515.01,246.618.8
Due after 10 years (1)741.312.8916.513.9
Asset-backed securities and mortgage-related assets (2)2,250.238.82,245.333.9
Equity securities (3)213.53.7222.23.4
Other invested assets (3)5.50.14.20.1
Total$5,805.6100.0%$6,617.5100.0%

(1)Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.

(2)Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS, mortgage insurance-linked notes and mortgage loans, which are not due at a single maturity date.

(3)No stated maturity date.

The following table provides the ratings of our investment portfolio, from a nationally recognized statistical ratings organization, presented as a percentage of overall fair value, as of December 31, 2022, and December 31, 2021.

Investment portfolio by rating
December 31,
20222021
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
U.S. government / AAA$2,208.538.0%$2,476.437.4%
AA885.015.21,016.015.3
A1,609.527.71,940.229.3
BBB806.813.9894.613.5
BB and below64.71.163.91.0
Not rated (1)231.14.1226.43.5
Total$5,805.6100.0%$6,617.5100.0%

(1)Primarily consists of equity securities.

Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2022, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $903 million. Available liquidity at December 31, 2022, excludes certain additional cash and liquid investments that have been advanced to Radian Group from our subsidiaries to pay for corporate expenses and interest payments. Total liquidity, which includes our undrawn $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $1.2 billion as of December 31, 2022.

During 2022, Radian Group’s available liquidity increased by $298 million, due primarily to: (i) the return of capital from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group of $500 million and $282 million paid in February 2022 and December 2022, respectively, and (ii) the $100 million repayment in December 2022 by Radian Guaranty to Radian Group of the Surplus Note due 2027. These increases were partially offset by payments for share repurchases and dividends. See Notes 14 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for addition information.

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In addition to available cash and marketable securities, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) net investment income earned on its cash and marketable securities; and (iii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries.

Radian Group has in place a $275 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders. The revolving credit facility matures in December 2026, although under certain conditions Radian Group may need to offer to repay any outstanding amounts and terminate lender commitments earlier than the maturity date. Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2022, the full $275 million remains undrawn and available under the facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.

In connection with our new mortgage conduit, Radian Mortgage Capital has entered into the Master Repurchase Agreements, each of which is an uncommitted $300 million mortgage loan repurchase facility to finance the acquisition of residential mortgage loans and related mortgage loan assets. Radian Group has entered into separate Parent Guarantees to guaranty the obligations under the Master Repurchase Agreements. Under these Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is subject to negative and affirmative covenants customary for this type of financing transaction, including compliance with financial covenants that are generally consistent with the comparable covenants in the Company’s revolving credit facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. In addition to financing the acquisition of mortgage loan assets under the Master Repurchase Agreements, Radian Mortgage Capital may fund such purchases directly using capital contributed from Radian Group.

We expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (ii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations; (iii) the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which were $0.20 per share in 2022 and subsequently increased to $0.225 per share for the first quarterly dividend in 2023, and which remain subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies; (iv) the potential continued repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below; (v) investments to support our business strategy, including capital contributions to our subsidiaries; and (vi) potential payments pursuant to the Parent Guarantees.

In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $1.4 billion aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years. See “—Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile. Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations and (ii) additional investments to support our business strategy, including additional capital contributions to its subsidiaries. For additional information about related risks and uncertainties, see “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” including “—Our sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund our obligations.” and “—Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity.” See also “Overview” above and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

We believe that Radian Group has sufficient current sources of liquidity to fund its obligations. If we otherwise decide to increase our liquidity position, Radian Group may seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity, or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.

Share Repurchases. During 2022 and 2021, the Company repurchased 19.5 million shares and 17.8 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $400 million and $399 million, respectively, including commissions. No purchase authority remains available under these programs. In January 2023, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a new share repurchase program authorizing the Company to spend up to $300 million, excluding commissions, to repurchase Radian Group common stock through January 2025. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.

Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2022, our quarterly common stock dividend was $0.20 per share. On February 15, 2023, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to our quarterly dividend from $0.20 to $0.225 per share. Based on our current outstanding shares of common stock and RSUs, we expect to require approximately $141 million in the aggregate to pay dividends and dividend equivalents for the next 12 months. So long as no default or event of default exists under our revolving credit facility or the Parent Guarantees, Radian Group is not subject to any legal or contractual limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. Delaware corporation law provides that dividends are only payable out of a corporation’s capital surplus or (subject to certain limitations) recent net profits. As of December 31, 2022, our capital surplus was $3.8 billion, representing our dividend limitation under Delaware law. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ discretion and determination.

Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest

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expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2022 of $163 million and $83 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements. The expense-sharing arrangements between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.

Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. During 2022, Radian Group received $15 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its operating subsidiaries.

Capitalization—Holding Company

The following table presents our holding company capital structure.

Capital structure
December 31,
(In thousands, except per-share amounts and ratios)20222021
Debt
Senior Notes due 2024$450,000$450,000
Senior Notes due 2025525,000525,000
Senior Notes due 2027450,000450,000
Deferred debt costs on senior notes(11,496)(15,527)
Revolving credit facility
Total1,413,5041,409,473
Stockholders’ equity3,919,3274,258,796
Total capitalization$5,332,831$5,668,269
Debt-to-capital ratio26.5%24.9%
Shares outstanding157,056175,421
Book value per share$24.95$24.28

Stockholders’ equity decreased by $339 million from December 31, 2021, to December 31, 2022. The net decrease in stockholders’ equity resulted primarily from net unrealized losses on investments of $577 million, primarily as a result of an increase in market interest rates during the year, share repurchases of $400 million, and dividends of $137 million, partially offset by our net income of $743 million. Given our intent and ability as of December 31, 2022, to hold these investments until recovery of their amortized cost basis, we do not expect to realize a loss on any of our investments in an unrealized loss position.

We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders. We also regularly consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. Among other things, these measures may include borrowing agreements or arrangements, such as securities or other master repurchase agreements and revolving credit facilities. In the past we have repurchased and exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.

Mortgage

Historically, one of the primary demands for liquidity in our Mortgage business is the payment of claims, net of reinsurance, including from commutations and settlements. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information on our mortgage insurance reserve for losses and LAE, which represents our best estimate for the costs of settling

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future claims on currently defaulted mortgage loans. Other principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage business include: (i) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (ii) repayments of FHLB advances; and (iii) taxes, including potential additional purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds. See Notes 10 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information related to these non-interest-bearing instruments. In addition to the foregoing liquidity demands, other payments have included and, in the future could include, distributions from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, including returns of capital or recurring ordinary dividends, as discussed below.

The principal sources of liquidity in our Mortgage business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities; (ii) FHLB advances; and (iii) if necessary, capital contributions from Radian Group. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our mortgage subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with the funds necessary to satisfy their needs for the foreseeable future.

As of December 31, 2022, our mortgage insurance subsidiaries maintained claims paying resources of $5.7 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2022, was 10.7 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2022, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $758 million. This balance includes a $596 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At December 31, 2022, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled approximately $5.6 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $1.7 billion, or 45%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs cushion of $5.4 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2021.

The primary driver of the decrease in Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion during 2022 is the increase in Minimum Required Assets, partially offset by the increase in Available Assets, reflecting positive cash flows from operating activities. During 2022, Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets increased primarily as a result of an increase in primary RIF.

Our PMIERs Cushion at December 31, 2022, also includes a benefit from the current broad-based application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge that has reduced the total amount of Minimum Required Assets that Radian Guaranty otherwise would have been required to hold against pandemic-related defaults by approximately $200 million and $300 million as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, taking into consideration our risk distribution structures in effect as of those dates. The application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge has reduced Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Minimum Required Assets, but we expect this impact will diminish over time.

See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility” for more information about the Disaster Related Capital Charge.

Despite holding assets above the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. As a result of Radian Guaranty’s negative unassigned surplus position in recent years, any distributions to Radian Group required the prior approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Radian Guaranty sought and received such approval during 2022 to return capital by paying Extraordinary Distributions to Radian Group, including a $500 million distribution in February 2022 and a $282 million distribution in December 2022, which were paid in cash and marketable securities in the form of returns of paid-in capital.

Aided by the positive impacts of its merger with Radian Reinsurance in December 2022, Radian Guaranty had positive unassigned surplus of $258 million as of December 31, 2022. As a result, Radian Guaranty now has the ability to pay ordinary dividends beginning in the first quarter of 2023, subject to the preceding year’s statutory net income and other limitations under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on Radian Guaranty’s merger with Radian Reinsurance and statutory dividend restrictions.

Radian Guaranty is a member of the FHLB. As a member, it may borrow from the FHLB, subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management and liquidity purposes. As of December 31, 2022, there were $154 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

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homegenius

As of December 31, 2022, our homegenius segment maintained cash and liquid investments totaling $63 million, including $44 million held by Radian Title Insurance.

Title insurance companies, including Radian Title Insurance, are subject to comprehensive state regulations, including minimum net worth requirements. Radian Title Insurance was in compliance with all of its minimum net worth requirements at December 31, 2022. In the event the cash flows from operations of the homegenius segment are not adequate to fund all of its needs, including the regulatory capital needs of Radian Title Insurance, Radian Group may provide additional funds to the homegenius segment in the form of an intercompany note or other capital contribution, and if needed for Radian Title Insurance, subject to the approval of the Ohio Department of Insurance. Additional capital support may also be required for potential investments in new business initiatives to support our strategy of growing our businesses.

Liquidity levels may fluctuate depending on the levels and contractual timing of our invoicing and the payment practices of our homegenius clients, in combination with the timing of our homegenius segment’s payments for employee compensation and to external vendors. The amount, if any, and timing of the homegenius segment’s dividend paying capacity will depend primarily on the amount of excess cash flow generated by the segment.

Ratings

Radian Group, Radian Guaranty and Radian Title Insurance have been assigned the financial strength ratings set forth in the chart below. We believe that ratings often are considered by others in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. The following ratings have been independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations, are for informational purposes only and are subject to change. In “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” see “—The current financial strength ratings assigned to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries could weaken our competitive position and potential downgrades by rating agencies to these ratings and the ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company.”

Ratings
SubsidiaryMoody’s (1)S&P (2)Fitch (3)Demotech (4)
Radian GroupBaa3BB+BBB-N/A
Radian GuarantyA3BBB+A-N/A
Radian Title InsuranceN/AN/AN/AA

(1)Based on the July 2022 report, Moody’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty currently is Stable.

(2)Based on the November 2022 report, S&P’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty is currently Stable.

(3)Based on the May 2022 report, Fitch’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty is currently Stable.

(4)Based on the December 2022 report.

Critical Accounting Estimates

SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operation of the registrant. These items require the application of management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain and that may change in subsequent periods. In preparing our consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management has made estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods.

In preparing these financial statements, management has utilized available information, including our past history, industry standards and the current and projected economic and housing environments, among other factors, in forming its estimates, assumptions and judgments, giving due consideration to materiality. Because the use of estimates is inherent in GAAP, actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, other companies may utilize different estimates, which may impact comparability of our results of operations to those of companies in similar businesses. A summary of the accounting estimates that management believes are critical to the preparation of our consolidated financial statements is set forth below. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional disclosures regarding our significant accounting policies.

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Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

Reserve for Losses and LAE

We establish reserves to provide for losses and LAE, which include the estimated costs of settling claims in our mortgage insurance portfolio, in accordance with the accounting standard regarding accounting and reporting by insurance enterprises. In our mortgage insurance business, the default and claim cycle begins with the receipt of a default notice from the loan servicer that a borrower has missed two consecutive monthly mortgage payments. We maintain an extensive database of default and claim payment history, and use models based on a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status.

With respect to loans that are in default, considerable judgment is exercised as to the adequacy of reserve levels. We use an actuarial projection methodology referred to as a “roll rate” analysis that uses historical claim frequency information to determine the projected ultimate Default to Claim Rates based on the Stage of Default and Time in Default as well as the date that a loan goes into default. The Default to Claim Rate also includes our estimates with respect to expected Rescissions and Claim Denials, which have the effect of reducing our Default to Claim Rates. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the table detailing our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

After estimating the Default to Claim Rate, we estimate Claim Severity based on recently observed severity rates within product type, type of insurance and Time in Default cohorts, as adjusted to account for anticipated differences in future results compared to recent trends. These severity estimates are then applied to individual loan coverage amounts to determine reserves. Similar to the Default to Claim Rate, Claim Severity also is impacted by the length of time that loans are in default and by our Loss Mitigation Activity. For claims under our Primary Mortgage Insurance, the coverage percentage is applied to the claim amount, which consists of the unpaid loan principal, plus past due interest (for which our liability is contractually capped in accordance with the terms of our Master Policies) and certain expenses associated with the default, to determine our maximum liability. Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default.

We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2022, by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance. For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 98% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2022), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $4 million at December 31, 2022. Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to be 30% at December 31, 2022, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated a $13 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2022.

Senior management regularly reviews the modeled frequency, Claim Severity and Loss Mitigation Activity estimates, which are based on historical trends, as described above. If recent emerging or projected trends, including related to current and future macroeconomic conditions, differ significantly from the historical trends used to develop the modeled estimates, management evaluates these trends and determines how they should be considered in its reserve estimates.

Estimating our case reserve for losses involves significant reliance upon assumptions and estimates with regard to the likelihood, magnitude and timing of each potential loss. The models, assumptions and estimates we use to establish loss reserves may prove to be inaccurate, especially during an extended economic downturn or a period of market volatility and economic uncertainty. These assumptions require management to use considerable judgment in estimating the rate at which these loans will result in claims and the amount of such claims. As such, there is uncertainty around our reserve estimate.

Premium Revenue Recognition

Premiums on mortgage insurance products are written on a recurring basis, either as monthly or annual premiums, or on a multi-year basis as a single premium. Monthly premiums written are earned as coverage is provided each month. For certain monthly policies where the billing is deferred for the first month’s coverage period, currently to the end of the policy, we record a net premium receivable representing the present value of such deferred premiums that we estimate will be collected at that future date. We recognize changes in this receivable based on changes in the estimated amount and timing of such collections, including as a result of changes in observed trends as well as our periodic review of our servicing guide and our operations and collections practices.

Key assumptions supporting our estimate of this receivable include a collection rate and average life. During 2022, we made no changes to these assumptions. During 2021, we adjusted our assumptions for collectability and average life, which had an impact of increasing each of the net premium receivable and net premiums earned by $2 million. If the collection rate assumption increased or decreased by 500 basis points, it would result in a $4 million increase or decrease, respectively, in the net premium receivable and net premiums earned. If the average life assumption increased or decreased by one year, it would result in an approximate $3 million decrease or increase, respectively, in the net premium receivable and net premiums earned.

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Single premiums written are initially recorded as unearned premiums and earned over time based on the anticipated loss pattern and the estimated period of risk exposure, which is primarily derived from historical experience and other factors such as projected losses, premium type and projected contractual periods of risk based on original LTV. Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk. There were no changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2022 or 2021.

Actual future experience that is different than expected loss development or policy cancellations could result in further material increases or decreases in the recognition of net premiums earned. Based on historical experience, losses are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates. If the timing of losses were to shift, it could accelerate or decelerate our recognition of net premiums earned and could have a material impact on our results of operations.

Credit Losses and Other Impairments

Investments

We perform an evaluation of fixed-maturity securities available for sale each quarter to assess whether any decline in their fair value below cost is deemed to be a credit impairment recognized in earnings. Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2022, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities were $581 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding impairments related to investments.

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

Our estimated fair value measurements are intended to reflect the assumptions market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability based on the best information available. Assumptions include the risks inherent in a particular valuation technique (such as a pricing model) and the risks inherent in the inputs to the model. Changes in economic conditions and capital market conditions, including but not limited to, benchmark interest rate changes, credit spread changes, market volatility and changes in the value of underlying collateral, could cause actual results to differ materially from our estimated fair value measurements.

Nearly all of our financial instruments recorded at fair value relate to our investment portfolio which, including securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, totaled $5.8 billion as of December 31, 2022. The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. For additional information regarding the sensitivity of our investment portfolio to these inputs, see “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

See also Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information pertaining to financial instruments at fair value and our valuation methodologies.

Income Taxes

We are required to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that all or some portion of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. At each balance sheet date, we assess our need for a valuation allowance and this assessment is based on all available evidence, both positive and negative, and requires management to exercise judgment and make assumptions regarding whether such deferred tax assets will be realized in future periods. Future realization of our deferred tax assets will ultimately depend on the existence of sufficient taxable income of the appropriate character (ordinary income or capital gains) within the applicable carryback and carryforward periods provided under the tax law. In making our assessment of the more likely than not standard, the weight assigned to the effect of both positive and negative evidence is commensurate with the extent to which such evidence can be objectively verified.

We have determined that certain non-insurance entities within Radian may continue to generate taxable losses on a separate company basis in the near term and may not be able to fully utilize certain state and local NOLs on their state and local tax returns. Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $70 million and $83 million at December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.

Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes. An amount up to the total valuation allowance currently recorded could be recognized if our assessment of realizability changes. Our assumptions around these items and the weight assigned to them have remained consistent in recent periods. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

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Table of ContentsGlossary

FY 2021 10-K MD&A

SEC filing source: 0000890926-22-000007.

Extracted structurally from real Item 7 body heading to real Item 7A/8 boundary. Confidence: high. Filing date: 2022-02-25. Report date: 2021-12-31.

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto included in Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Certain terms and acronyms used throughout this report are defined in the Glossary of Abbreviations and Acronyms included as part of this report.

Some of the information in this discussion and analysis or included elsewhere in this report, including information with respect to our projections, plans and strategy for our business, are forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements as a result of many factors, including those discussed under “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements—Safe Harbor Provisions” and in the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Index to Item 7

ItemPage
Overview65
Key Factors Affecting Our Results66
Mortgage Insurance Portfolio71
Results of Operations—Consolidated77
Results of Operations—Mortgage81
Results of Operations—homegenius87
Results of Operations—All Other88
Liquidity and Capital Resources89
Critical Accounting Estimates95

Overview

We are a diversified mortgage and real estate business with two reportable business segments—Mortgage and homegenius.

Our Mortgage segment aggregates, manages and distributes U.S. mortgage credit risk on behalf of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also provides other credit risk management, contract underwriting and fulfillment solutions to our customers. Our homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs and real estate brokers and agents.

See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our reportable segments, including the renaming of the homegenius segment in 2021 to align with updates to our brand strategy. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results” for information about current business conditions and other factors that affect the performance of our Mortgage and homegenius businesses.

COVID-19 Impacts

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic created periods of significant economic disruption, high unemployment, volatility and disruption in financial markets and required adjustments in the housing finance system and real estate markets. In addition, the pandemic has resulted in travel restrictions, temporary business shutdowns, and stay-at-home, quarantine, and similar orders, all of which contributed to a rapid and significant rise in unemployment that peaked in the second quarter of 2020.

Many of these restrictions have been lifted and businesses have been reopening, but numerous limitations, such as extensive health and safety measures and overall supply constraints and labor shortages, continue to limit operations. Further, while unemployment levels have declined from their peak, they continue to remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, and may remain elevated or may rise depending on the pandemic’s scope, severity and duration, and its resulting impact on the economy. See Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The COVID-19

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pandemic adversely impacted us and, in the future, could again adversely affect our business, results of operations or financial condition.”

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the economy, including the significant increase in unemployment, we experienced a material increase in new defaults in 2020, substantially all of which related to defaults of loans subject to forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Beginning in the second quarter of 2020, the increase in the number of new mortgage defaults resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic had a negative effect on our results of operations and our reserve for losses. However, more recent trends in Cures have been more favorable than original expectations, resulting in favorable loss reserve development in 2021. See Note 11 for details on reserve development trends.

Our primary default rate was 2.9% at December 31, 2021, down from a peak of 6.5% at June 30, 2020 reflecting the material increase in new defaults in the three months ended June 30, 2020. Favorable trends in the number of new defaults and Cures were the primary drivers of the decline in our default inventory and default rate, compared to their peaks at June 30, 2020.

The number, timing and duration of new defaults and, in turn, the number of defaults that ultimately result in claims will depend on a variety of factors, including the scope, severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic, the resulting impact on the economy, including with respect to unemployment and housing prices, and the effectiveness of forbearance and other government efforts such as financial stimulus programs, to provide long-term economic and individual relief to assist homeowners. Consequently, the number and rate of total defaults is difficult to predict and will depend on the foregoing and other factors, including the number and timing of Cures and claims paid and the net impact on IIF from our Persistency Rate and future NIW. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional discussion of these factors and other risks and uncertainties.

Increases in new defaults may affect our ability to remain compliant with the PMIERs financial requirements. Once two missed payments have occurred on an insured loan, the PMIERs characterize the loan as “non-performing” and require us to establish an increased Minimum Required Asset factor for that loan regardless of the reason for the missed payments. During the COVID-19 Crisis Period, pursuant to the COVID-19 Amendment to the PMIERs, a Disaster Related Capital Charge that effectively reduces the Minimum Required Asset factor by 70% has been applied nationwide to all COVID-19 Defaulted Loans. For more information about the application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge see “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility” for more information. The reduction in Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets from this Disaster Related Capital Charge was approximately $300 million as of December 31, 2021, compared to approximately $650 million at December 31, 2020. Inclusive of this benefit in both periods, Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion increased to $2.1 billion as of December 31, 2021, from $1.3 billion as of December 31, 2020. While we expect Radian Guaranty to continue to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, there are possible scenarios in which the number of new defaults could impact Radian Guaranty’s ability to comply with the PMIERs financial requirements. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors—Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity.”

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we raised additional capital, temporarily suspended purchases under our share repurchase program, aligned our business with the temporary origination and servicing guidelines announced by the GSEs, and made adjustments to our pricing and our underwriting guidelines to account for the increased risk and uncertainty associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, we took a number of actions to focus on protecting and supporting our workforce, while continuing to serve our customers effectively and support our communities. We activated our business continuity program by transitioning to a work-from-home virtual workforce model with certain essential activities supported by limited staff in office environments that comply with CDC guidelines and applicable state and local requirements. Based on our successful transition to a virtual work environment, we made the decision to reduce our office space and exit our former corporate headquarters in Philadelphia. See Note 9 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our lease right-of-use assets.

In order to support our communities during this unprecedented time, we have, among other things, pledged financial support to certain charitable organizations focused on assisting first responders, health care workers and their families. Further actions to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic and comply with governmental regulations and government and GSE programs adopted in response to the pandemic may be necessary as conditions continue to evolve.

Despite the risks and uncertainties posed by COVID-19, we believe that the steps we have taken in recent years, such as improving our debt maturity profile, enhancing our financial flexibility, implementing greater risk-based granularity into our pricing methodologies and increasing our use of risk distribution strategies to lower the risk profile and financial volatility of our mortgage insurance portfolio, has helped position the Company to better withstand the negative effects from macroeconomic stresses such as those that resulted from the COVID-19 pandemic.

Key Factors Affecting Our Results

The following sections discuss certain key drivers affecting our Mortgage and homegenius businesses, as well as other key factors affecting our results.

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Mortgage

IIF and Related Drivers

Our IIF is one of the primary drivers of our future premiums that we expect to earn over time. Although not reflected in the current period financial statements, nor in our reported book value, we expect our IIF to generate substantial earnings in future periods, due to the high credit quality of our current mortgage insurance portfolio and expected Persistency Rate over multiple years.

Based on the current composition of our mortgage insurance portfolio, with Monthly Premium Policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than Single Premium Policies, an increase or decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding impact on premiums earned. Cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments and other reductions of IIF, such as Rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned over time. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force” for more information about the levels and characteristics of our IIF.

The ultimate profitability of our mortgage insurance business is affected by the impact of mortgage prepayment speeds on the mix of business we write. The measure for assessing the impact of policy cancellations on our IIF is our Persistency Rate, defined as the percentage of IIF that remains in force over a period of time. Assuming all other factors remain constant, over the life of the policies, prepayment speeds have an inverse impact on IIF and the expected revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Slower loan prepayment speeds, demonstrated by a higher Persistency Rate, result in more IIF remaining in place, providing increased revenue from Monthly Premium Policies over time as premium payments continue. Earlier than anticipated loan prepayments, demonstrated by a lower Persistency Rate, reduce IIF and the revenue from our Monthly Premium Policies. Among other factors, prepayment speeds may be affected by changes in interest rates and other macroeconomic factors. A rising interest rate environment generally will reduce refinancing activity and result in lower prepayments, whereas a declining interest rate environment generally will increase the level of refinancing activity and therefore increase prepayments.

In contrast to Monthly Premium Policies, when Single Premium Policies are cancelled by the insured because the loan has been paid off or otherwise, we accelerate the recognition of any remaining unearned premiums, net of any refunds that may be owed to the borrower. Although these cancellations reduce IIF, assuming all other factors remain constant, the profitability of our Single Premium business increases when Persistency Rates are lower. As a result, we believe that writing a mix of Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies has the potential to moderate the overall impact on our results if actual prepayment speeds are significantly different from expectations. However, the impact of this moderating effect may be affected by the amount of reinsurance we obtain on portions of our portfolio, with the Single Premium QSR Program currently reducing the proportion of retained Single Premium Policies in our portfolio.

NIW and Related Drivers

NIW increases our IIF and our premiums written and earned. NIW is affected by the overall size of the mortgage origination market, the penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance into the overall mortgage origination market and our market share of the private mortgage insurance market. The overall mortgage origination market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as household formation, household composition, home affordability, interest rates, housing markets in general, credit availability and the impact of various legislative and regulatory actions that may influence the housing and mortgage finance industries. The penetration percentage of private mortgage insurance is mainly influenced by: (i) the competitiveness of private mortgage insurance for GSE conforming loans compared to FHA and VA insured loans and (ii) the relative percentage of mortgage originations that are for purchased homes versus refinances. We believe, for example, that better execution for borrowers with higher FICO scores, lender preference and the inability to cancel FHA insurance for certain loans are factors that currently provide a competitive advantage for private mortgage insurers. See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written.”

Private mortgage insurance penetration in the insurable market has generally been significantly higher on new mortgages for purchased homes than on the refinance of existing mortgages, because average LTVs are typically higher on home purchases and therefore these lower down payment loans are more likely to require mortgage insurance. Radian Guaranty’s share of the private mortgage insurance market is influenced by competition in that market. See “Item 1. Business—Competition.”

The following charts provide a historical perspective on certain key market drivers, including:

■the mortgage origination volume from home purchases and refinancings; and

■private mortgage insurance penetration as a percentage of the mortgage origination market.

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Mortgage origination market (1)

Origination Market ($ in billions)Q1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019Q4 2019Q1 2020Q2 2020Q3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2021
¢Refinance$120$193$350$435$412$699$773$876$858$645$579$472
¢Purchase$230$365$371$319$284$353$466$444$354$492$505$454
Total$350$558$721$754$696$1,052$1,239$1,320$1,212$1,137$1,084$926

Private mortgage insurance penetration of mortgage origination market (1)

Market Penetration (%)Q1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019Q4 2019Q1 2020Q2 2020Q3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021Q2 2021Q3 2021Q4 2021
òPurchase (2)23.5%23.2%25.1%24.1%22.7%24.3%26.9%27.0%27.2%26.2%26.6%26.3%
òOverall (2)17.0%17.3%16.4%14.5%13.5%14.0%14.6%13.4%12.2%13.9%13.7%14.0%
òRefinance (2)4.6%6.1%7.1%7.5%7.2%8.9%7.1%6.5%6.1%4.5%2.5%2.1%

(1)Based on actual dollars generated in the credit enhanced market as reported by HUD and publicly reported industry information. Mortgage originations are based upon the average of originations reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in their most recent published industry reports.

(2)Excluding originations under HARP.

Premiums

The premium rates we charge for our insurance are based on a number of borrower, loan and property characteristics. The mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and private mortgage insurers compete with each other and with the FHA and VA with respect to price and other factors. We expect price competition to continue throughout the mortgage insurance industry and future price changes from private mortgage insurers or the FHA could impact our future premium rates or our ability to compete.

Our pricing is risk-based and is intended to generally align with the capital requirements under the PMIERs, while also considering pricing trends within the private mortgage insurance industry. As a result, our pricing is expected to generate relatively consistent returns across the credit spectrum and to provide stable expected loss ratios regardless of further credit expansion or contraction. In developing our pricing strategies, we monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to maximize the long-term economic value of our portfolio by balancing credit risk, profitability and volume

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considerations, and aim to achieve an overall risk-adjusted rate of return on capital given our modeled performance expectations. Our actual portfolio returns will depend on a number of factors, including economic conditions, the mix of NIW that we are able to write, our pricing, the amount of reinsurance we use and the level of capital required under the PMIERs financial requirements.

Our pricing actions gradually affect our results over time, as existing IIF cancels and is replaced with NIW at current pricing. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources—Mortgage” and “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—New Insurance Written” for additional information.

As described above, premiums on our mortgage insurance products are generally paid either on an installment basis, pursuant to Monthly Premium Policies, or in a single payment at the time of loan origination, pursuant to Single Premium Policies. See “Item 1. Business—Mortgage—Pricing—Primary Mortgage Insurance Premiums.” Our expected premium yield on our Single Premium Policies is lower than on our Monthly Premium Policies because our premium rates for the life of the policy are generally lower for our Single Premium Policies. However, as discussed above, the ultimate profitability of Single Premium Policies may be higher or lower than expected due to the impact of prepayment speeds. See “—IIF and Related Drivers” above.

Approximately 78.6% of the loans in our total Primary Mortgage Insurance portfolio at December 31, 2021 are Monthly Premium Policies that provide a level monthly premium for the first 10 years of the policy, followed by a lower level monthly premium thereafter. For loans that have been refinanced under HARP, the initial 10-year period is reset. Generally, a borrower is able to cancel the policy when the LTV reaches 80% of the original value, and the policy automatically cancels on the date the LTV is scheduled to reach 78% of the original value. As a result, the volume of loans that remain insured after 10 years and would be subject to the premium reset is generally not material in relation to the total loans originated. However, to the extent the volume of loans resetting from year to year varies significantly, the trend in earned premiums may also vary.

Losses

Incurred losses represent the estimated future claim payments on newly defaulted insured loans as well as any change in our claim estimates for existing defaults, including changes in the estimates we use to determine our expected losses, and estimates with respect to the frequency, magnitude and timing of anticipated losses on defaulted loans. Other factors influencing incurred losses include:

■The mix of credit characteristics in our total direct RIF (e.g., loans with higher risk characteristics, or loans with layered risk that combine multiple higher-risk attributes within the same loan, generally result in more delinquencies and claims). See “Mortgage Insurance Portfolio—Insurance and Risk in Force;”

■The average loan size (relatively higher priced properties with larger average loan amounts may result in higher incurred losses);

■The percentage of coverage on insured loans (higher percentages of insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses) and the presence of structural mitigants such as deductibles or stop losses;

■Changes in housing values (declines in housing values generally make it more difficult for borrowers to sell a home to avoid default or for the property to be sold to mitigate a claim, and also may negatively affect a borrower’s willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the home value is less than the mortgage balance; conversely, increases in housing values tend to reduce the level of defaults as well as make it more likely that foreclosures will result in the loan being satisfied);

■The distribution of claims over the life cycle of a portfolio (historically, claims are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates); and

■Our ability to mitigate potential losses through Rescissions, Claim Denials, cancellations and Claim Curtailments on claims submitted to us. These actions all reduce our incurred losses. However, if these Loss Mitigation Activities are successfully challenged at rates that are higher than expected or we agree to settle disputes related to our Loss Mitigation Activities, our incurred losses will increase. We may enter into specific agreements that govern activities such as claims decisions, claim payments, Loss Mitigation Activities and insurance coverage. As our portfolio originated through 2008 has become a smaller percentage of our overall insured portfolio, there has been a decrease in the amount of Loss Mitigation Activity with respect to the claims we receive, and we expect this trend to continue, particularly given the limitations on our Loss Mitigation Activities imposed in both the 2014 Master Policy and 2020 Master Policy. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on Loss Mitigation Activities and “Item 1A. Risk Factors—Our Loss Mitigation Activity is not expected to mitigate mortgage insurance losses to the same extent as in prior years; Loss Mitigation Activity could continue to negatively impact our customer relationships.”

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Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business to manage capital and risk in an effort to optimize the amounts and types of capital and risk distribution deployed against insured risk. See “—IIF and Related Drivers” above. Currently, we distribute risk in our mortgage insurance portfolio through quota share and excess-of-loss reinsurance programs.

When we enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, agrees to insure an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. These arrangements reduce our earned premiums but also reduce our net RIF, which provides capital relief, including under the PMIERs financial requirements. Our incurred losses are reduced by any incurred losses ceded in accordance with the reinsurance agreement, and we often receive ceding commissions from the reinsurer as part of the transaction, which, in turn, reduce our reported operating expenses and policy acquisition costs.

Our Excess-of-Loss Program primarily accesses the capital markets (through the Eagle Re Issuers’ issuance of mortgage insurance-linked notes). Our Excess-of-Loss Program reduces our earned premiums, but also reduces our net RIF, PMIERs financial requirements and incurred losses, which are allocated in accordance with the structure of the transaction. The Eagle Re Issuers are special purpose VIEs that are not consolidated in our consolidated financial statements because we do not have the unilateral power to direct those activities that are significant to their economic performance.

Our use of risk distribution structures has reduced our required capital and enhanced our projected return on capital, and we expect these structures to provide a level of credit protection in periods of economic stress. As of December 31, 2021, 73% of our primary RIF is subject to a form of risk distribution and our estimated reinsurance recoverables related to our mortgage insurance portfolio was $66.7 million. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance arrangements, including the total assets and liabilities of the Eagle Re Issuers.

Investment Income

Investment income is determined primarily by the investment balances held and the average yield on our overall investment portfolio.

Other Operating Expenses

Our other operating expenses are affected by the amount of our NIW, as well as the amount of IIF. Our other operating expenses may also be affected by the impact of performance on our incentive compensation programs, as a result of our pay-for-performance approach to compensation that is based on the level of achievement of both short-term and long-term goals.

homegenius

Premiums

We earn net premiums on title insurance through Radian Title Insurance. Demand for title insurance may be impacted by general marketplace competition in the real estate title industry, coupled with housing market related conditions such as new home sales, the sizes of the real estate purchase and refinance markets and interest rate fluctuations.

Services Revenue

Our homegenius segment is dependent upon overall activity in the mortgage, real estate and mortgage finance markets, as well as the overall health of the related industries. Due, in part, to the transactional nature of the business, revenues for our homegenius segment are subject to fluctuations from period to period, including seasonal fluctuations that reflect the activities in these markets. Sales volume is also affected by the number of competing companies and alternative products offered in the market. We believe the diversity of services we offer has the potential to produce fee income from the homegenius segment throughout various mortgage finance environments and economic cycles, although market conditions can significantly impact the mix and amount of fee income we generate in any particular period. See “Item 1. Business—homegenius—homegenius Business Overview” for more information on our homegenius services.

The homegenius segment is dependent on a limited number of large customers that represent a significant portion of its revenues. Generally, our contracts do not contain volume commitments and may be terminated by clients at any time. While access to Radian Guaranty’s mortgage insurance customer base provides additional opportunities to expand the homegenius segment’s existing customers, an unexpected loss of a major customer could significantly impact the level of homegenius revenue. Access to Radian Guaranty’s mortgage insurance customer base provides additional opportunities to expand the homegenius segment’s existing customers.

Our homegenius revenue is primarily generated under fixed-price contracts. Under fixed-price contracts, we agree to perform the specified services and deliverables for a predetermined per-unit price. To the extent our actual direct and allocated indirect costs decrease or increase from the estimates upon which the price was negotiated, we will generate more or less profit, respectively, or could incur a loss. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on revenue recognition policies for our homegenius segment.

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Cost of Services

Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing products and services for our homegenius businesses. Our cost of services primarily consists of employee compensation and related payroll benefits, and to a lesser extent, other costs of providing services such as travel and related expenses incurred in providing client services, costs paid to outside vendors, data acquisition costs and other compensation-related expenses to maintain software application platforms that directly support our businesses. The level of these costs may fluctuate as market rates of compensation change, or if there is decreased availability or a loss of qualified employees.

Operating Expenses

Our operating expenses primarily consist of salaries and benefits not classified as cost of services because they are related to employees, such as sales and corporate employees, who are not directly involved in providing client services. Operating expenses also include other selling, general and administrative expenses, depreciation and allocations of corporate general and administrative expenses.

See “Item 1. Business—homegenius—homegenius Business Overview” and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding the homegenius segment.

Other Factors Affecting Consolidated Results

In addition, the following items also may impact our consolidated results in the ordinary course. The items listed are not representative of all potential items impacting our consolidated results. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information on the risks affecting our business.

Net Gains (Losses) on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods, as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Unrealized gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading or equity securities. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in realized economic gains or losses.

Loss on Extinguishment of Debt. Gains or losses on early extinguishment of debt and losses incurred to purchase our debt prior to maturity are discretionary activities that are undertaken in order to take advantage of market opportunities to strengthen our financial and capital positions.

Impairment of Goodwill or Other Acquired Intangible Assets. The periodic review of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets for potential impairment may impact consolidated results. Our goodwill and other acquired intangible assets analysis is based on management’s assumptions, which are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties. See Note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

IIF by origination vintage (1)

Insurance in Force as of:
Vintage written in: ($ in billions)December 31, 2021December 31, 2020December 31, 2019
¢2021$87.435.5%$—%$—%
¢202074.330.298.840.2
¢201924.09.844.618.167.328.0
¢201812.45.023.59.542.917.8
¢201711.54.721.28.637.915.8
¢201610.14.117.57.129.512.2
¢2009 - 201514.96.125.710.544.018.3
¢2008 & Prior (2)11.44.614.86.019.07.9
Total$246.0100.0%$246.1100.0%$240.6100.0%

(1)Policy years represent the original policy years and have not been adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under HARP.

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(2)Adjusted to reflect subsequent refinancing activity under HARP, this percentage would decrease to 3.0%, 3.7%, and 4.7% as of December 31, 2021, December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively.

New Insurance Written

A key component of our current business strategy is to write NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio’s health, balance and profitability. Consistent with this objective, we wrote $91.8 billion of primary new mortgage insurance in 2021, compared to $105.0 billion of NIW in 2020. The NIW written in 2021 was Radian’s second highest volume in its history.

Our 2021 NIW, offset by cancellations and amortization within our existing portfolio, resulted in IIF of $246.0 billion at December 31, 2021, compared to $246.1 billion at December 31, 2020, as shown in the chart above. Our NIW decreased by 12.6% in 2021 as compared to 2020, due to lower refinance activity and lower private mortgage insurance penetration on refinances as well as lower market share, partially offset by increased purchase originations.

Among other factors, private mortgage insurance industry volumes are impacted by total mortgage origination volumes and the mix between mortgage originations that are for home purchases versus refinancings of existing mortgages. Historically, the penetration rate for private mortgage insurance was generally three to five times higher for purchase transactions than for refinancings. However, with significant home price appreciation in the past year, penetration on purchase transactions has increased while penetration on refinancings has decreased, and the penetration rate for private mortgage insurance has shifted to six to ten times higher for purchase transactions than for refinancings.

According to industry estimates, total mortgage origination volume was slightly lower in 2021 as compared to 2020 due to lower refinance activity, partially offset by a strong purchase market. Although it is difficult to project future volumes, recent market projections for 2022 estimate total mortgage originations of approximately $3.0 trillion, which would represent a decline in the total annual mortgage origination market of approximately 31% as compared to 2021, with a private mortgage insurance market of $500 to $550 billion. This outlook anticipates a decrease in refinance originations in 2022 resulting from expected increases in interest rates. While expectations for refinance volume vary, there is consensus around a large purchase market driven by increased home sales, which is a positive for mortgage insurers given the higher likelihood that purchase loans will utilize private mortgage insurance as compared to refinance loans. If refinance volume declines, we would expect the Persistency Rate for our portfolio to increase, benefiting the size of our IIF portfolio. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

Our total mix of Single Premium Policies decreased to 7.2% of our NIW for 2021, compared to 12.3% for 2020. Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 96.3% of our total direct Single Premium NIW for 2021 compared to 90.2% for 2020. We expect our production level for Single Premium Policies to fluctuate over time based on various factors, which include risk/return considerations and market conditions.

The following table provides selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to our mortgage insurance NIW. For direct Single Premium Policies, NIW includes policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

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NIW
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202120202019
NIW$91,830$105,024$71,327
Primary risk written$22,591$24,540$17,163
Average coverage percentage24.6%23.4%24.1%
NIW by loan purpose
Purchases80.5%64.8%81.1%
Refinances19.5%35.2%18.9%
Total borrower-paid99.2%98.2%96.7%
NIW by premium type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums92.8%87.7%83.5%
Direct single premiums (1)7.2%12.3%16.5%
NIW by FICO score (2)
=74058.6%66.0%63.3%
680-73934.2%30.8%31.9%
620-6797.2%3.2%4.8%
NIW by LTV
95.01% and above12.0%9.2%16.7%
90.01% to 95.00%40.7%37.1%37.7%
85.01% to 90.00%28.3%29.4%28.0%
85.00% and below19.0%24.3%17.6%

(1)Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 6.9%, 11.1% and 14.2% of NIW for the periods indicated, respectively. See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility” for additional information.

(2)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

Insurance and Risk in Force

Our IIF is the primary driver of the future premiums that we expect to earn over time. IIF at December 31, 2021 was flat as compared to the same period last year, as the positive impact from our NIW in 2021 was offset primarily by cancellations of existing policies associated with refinancings, as reflected in our Persistency Rates and further discussed below.

Historically, there is a close correlation between interest rates and Persistency Rates. Lower interest rate environments generally increase refinancings, which increase the cancellation rate of our insurance and negatively affect our Persistency Rates. As shown in the table further below, our 12-month Persistency Rate at December 31, 2021 increased as compared to the same period in 2020 but remains lower than Persistency Rates experienced prior to the pandemic. The increase in our Persistency Rate in 2021 was primarily attributable to the decline in refinance activity as compared to the prior year. As refinance activity began to moderate in the second half of 2021, those trends contributed to the increase in our Persistency Rate at December 31, 2021 as compared to the same period in 2020, as well as growth in our IIF in the second half of 2021.

The net change in our IIF during 2021 reflects a 5.8% increase in Monthly Premium Policies in force, offset by a 21.1% decline in Single Premium Policies in force. Single Premium Policy cancellations were the primary driver of the decrease in unearned premiums on our consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2021 as compared to December 31, 2020.

We continue to believe that the long-term housing market fundamentals and outlook remain positive, including low interest rates, demographics supporting growth in the population of first-time homebuyers and a relatively constrained supply of homes available for sale. However, our earnings in future periods are subject to elevated risks and uncertainties related to macroeconomic conditions and specific events that impact the housing finance and real estate markets, including housing prices, inflationary pressures, unemployment levels, interest rate changes and the availability of credit, as well as the potential impact of the unprecedented and continually evolving social and economic impacts associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

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For additional information about the COVID-19 pandemic, see “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts,” Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The credit performance of our mortgage insurance portfolio is impacted by macroeconomic conditions and specific events that affect the ability of borrowers to pay their mortgages.”

Historical loan performance data indicates that credit scores and underwriting quality are key drivers of credit performance. As of December 31, 2021, our portfolio of business written subsequent to 2008, including refinancings under HARP, represented approximately 97.0% of our total primary RIF. Loan originations after 2008 have consisted primarily of high credit quality loans with significantly better credit performance than loans originated during 2008 and prior periods. However, the impact to our future losses from, among other things, the COVID-19 pandemic remains uncertain, although trends in 2021 have been positive.

The following table illustrates the trends of our cumulative incurred loss ratios by year of origination and development year.

Cumulative incurred loss ratio by vintage (1)
VintageDec 2012Dec 2013Dec 2014Dec 2015Dec 2016Dec 2017Dec 2018Dec 2019Dec2020 (2)Dec2021 (2)
20122.0%3.2%3.6%2.7%2.9%2.8%2.8%2.8%3.2%3.0%
20132.5%4.0%3.4%3.7%3.5%3.4%3.3%4.2%4.1%
20142.7%4.1%4.9%5.0%5.1%5.2%6.9%6.8%
20152.1%4.8%5.2%5.0%4.7%7.4%6.8%
20162.9%5.0%4.8%4.7%9.7%8.0%
20174.7%5.1%6.1%14.3%11.9%
20183.0%6.4%22.8%19.0%
20192.8%35.6%23.5%
202025.6%14.9%
20217.9%

(1)Represents inception-to-date losses incurred as a percentage of net premiums earned.

(2)Losses incurred in 2020 and 2021 across all vintages were elevated due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Throughout this report, unless otherwise noted, RIF is presented on a gross basis and includes the amount ceded under reinsurance. RIF and IIF for direct Single Premium Policies include policies written on an individual basis (as each loan is originated) and on an aggregated basis (in which each individual loan in a group of loans is insured in a single transaction, typically after the loans have been originated).

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The following tables provide selected information as of and for the periods indicated related to mortgage insurance IIF and RIF.

IIF and RIF
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions)202120202019
Primary IIF$245,972$246,144$240,558
Primary RIF$60,913$60,656$60,921
Average coverage percentage24.8%24.6%25.3%
Persistency Rate (12 months ended)64.3%61.2%78.2%
Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (1)71.7%60.4%75.0%
Total borrower-paid RIF90.6%86.3%78.9%
Primary RIF by Premium Type
Direct Monthly and Other Recurring Premiums83.9%79.1%72.4%
Direct single premiums (2)16.1%20.9%27.6%
Primary RIF by FICO score (3)
=74056.9%57.5%56.9%
680-73935.0%34.6%34.2%
620-6797.6%7.3%8.2%
=6190.5%0.6%0.7%
Primary RIF by LTV
95.01% and above15.1%14.4%14.2%
90.01% to 95.00%48.9%49.3%51.3%
85.01% to 90.00%27.7%28.0%27.9%
85.00% and below8.3%8.3%6.6%

(1)The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

(2)Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies were 8.5%, 9.4% and 9.1% of primary RIF for the periods indicated, respectively.

(3)For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary RIF by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

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The following table shows our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF by year of origination and selected information related to that risk as of December 31, 2021 and 2020.

Year of origination - RIF
December 31,
20212020
($ in millions)RIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for LossesRIFNumber of DefaultsDelinquency RatePercentage of Reserve for Losses
2008 and prior$2,8657,3859.3%24.5%$3,73312,04612.1%26.2%
2009-20153,9043,7194.413.76,8407,9485.714.3
20162,6842,2554.38.54,6165,2436.29.6
20172,9983,3995.712.25,4957,6527.513.1
20183,1584,3426.816.45,9739,9749.016.7
20195,8924,0783.715.010,8329,7415.315.5
202017,7892,9381.18.323,1672,9330.94.6
202121,6239450.31.4
Total$60,91329,061100.0%$60,65655,537100.0%

Geographic Dispersion

The following table shows, as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 states in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2021).

Top 10 U.S. states - RIF
December 31,
20212020
Top 10 StatesRIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
California9.3%11.0%9.9%11.2%
Texas8.59.78.710.0
Florida6.910.87.511.4
Illinois4.65.34.44.9
New York4.47.73.87.0
Virginia3.82.73.82.6
New Jersey3.85.13.44.9
Pennsylvania3.62.63.32.5
Washington3.52.03.31.9
Maryland3.33.93.43.4
Total51.7%60.8%51.5%59.8%

The following table shows, as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, the percentage of our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF and the associated percentage of our mortgage insurance reserve for losses (by location of property) for the top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas, referred to as “CBSAs,” in the U.S. (as measured by our direct Primary Mortgage Insurance RIF as of December 31, 2021).

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Top 10 Core Based Statistical Areas - RIF
December 31,
20212020
Top 10 CBSAs (1)RIFReserve for LossesRIFReserve for Losses
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA5.4%10.0%4.7%9.1%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI4.25.24.14.7
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV4.04.14.03.7
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX2.93.43.23.5
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA2.63.32.63.4
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2.62.32.52.1
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX2.53.32.33.3
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI2.31.32.11.2
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL2.24.42.24.8
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA2.13.32.53.6
Total30.8%40.6%30.2%39.4%

(1)CBSAs are metropolitan areas and include a portion of adjoining states as noted above.

Risk Distribution

We use third-party reinsurance in our mortgage insurance business as part of our risk distribution strategy, including to manage our capital position and risk profile. When we enter into a reinsurance agreement, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, insures an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. While these arrangements have the impact of reducing our earned premiums, they also reduce our required capital and are expected to increase our return on required capital for the related policies.

The impact of these programs on our financial results will vary depending on the level of ceded RIF, as well as the levels of prepayments and incurred losses on the reinsured portfolios, among other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—Risk Distribution” and Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance transactions.

The table below provides information about the amounts by which Radian Guaranty’s reinsurance programs reduced its Minimum Required Assets as of the dates indicated.

PMIERs benefit from risk distribution
December 31,
($ in thousands)202120202019
PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets (1)
Excess-of-Loss Program$995,171$912,734$738,386
Single Premium QSR Program314,183423,712511,695
QSR Program12,54122,71235,382
Total PMIERs impact$1,321,895$1,359,158$1,285,463
Percentage of gross Minimum Required Assets28.4%28.8%27.4%

(1)Excludes the impact of intercompany reinsurance agreement with Radian Reinsurance, which was terminated in January 2020.

Results of Operations—Consolidated

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. Our consolidated operating results for 2021 primarily reflect the financial results and performance of our two business segments—Mortgage and homegenius. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage,” and “Results of Operations—homegenius” for the operating results of these business segments.

In addition to the results of our operating segments, pretax income (loss) is also affected by other factors. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Other Factors Affecting Consolidated Results” and “—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below for more information regarding items that are excluded from the operating results of our operating segments.

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The following table highlights selected information related to our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019.

Summary results of operations - Consolidated
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
($ in millions, except per-share amounts)2021202020192021 vs. 20202020 vs. 2019
Pretax income$764.8$479.4$849.0$285.4$(369.6)
Net income600.7393.6672.3207.1(278.7)
Diluted net income per share3.162.003.201.16(1.20)
Book value per share at December 3124.2822.3620.131.922.23
Net premiums earned (1)1,037.21,115.31,145.3(78.1)(30.0)
Services revenue (2)125.8105.4154.620.4(49.2)
Net investment income (1)147.9154.0171.8(6.1)(17.8)
Net gains on investments and other financial instruments15.660.351.7(44.7)8.6
Provision for losses (1)20.9485.1132.0464.2(353.1)
Cost of services (2)103.786.1108.3(17.6)22.2
Other operating expenses (3)323.7280.7306.1(43.0)25.4
Interest expense (1)84.371.256.3(13.1)(14.9)
Loss on extinguishment of debt22.722.7
Impairment of goodwill4.84.8
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets3.55.122.31.617.2
Income tax provision164.285.8176.7(78.4)90.9
Adjusted pretax operating income (4)757.7432.1854.6325.6(422.5)
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (4)3.151.743.211.41(1.47)
Return on equity14.1%9.4%17.8%4.7%(8.4)%
Adjusted net operating return on equity (4)14.0%8.2%17.9%5.8%(9.7)%

(1)Relates primarily to the Mortgage segment. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage” for more information.

(2)Relates primarily to our homegenius segment. See “Results of Operations—homegenius” and “Results of Operations—All Other” for more information.

(3)See “Results of Operations—Mortgage,” “Results of Operations—homegenius” and “Results of Operations—All Other” for more information on both direct and allocated operating expenses.

(4)See “—Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

This section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K generally discusses our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 and a year-over-year comparison between 2021 and 2020. Detailed discussions of our consolidated results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2019, including the year-over-year comparisons between 2020 and 2019, that are not included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K can be found in “Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020 filed with the SEC on February 26, 2021.

Net Income. As discussed in more detail below, our net income increased for 2021 compared to 2020, primarily reflecting a decrease in provision for losses related to our Mortgage segment. Partially offsetting this item was: (i) an increase in our income tax provision; (ii) a decrease in our Mortgage segment net premiums earned; (iii) a decrease in net gains on investments and other financial instruments; and (iv) an increase in other operating expenses.

Diluted Net Income Per Share. The increase in diluted net income per share for 2021 compared to 2020 is primarily due to the change in net income, as discussed above.

Adjusted Diluted Net Operating Income Per Share. The increase in adjusted diluted net operating income per share for 2021 compared to 2020 is primarily due to the increase in our Mortgage segment’s adjusted pretax operating income, which increased to $781.5 million in 2021, from $453.3 million in 2020. See “Results of Operations—Mortgage—Year Ended December 31, 2021 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2020—Adjusted Pretax Operating Income” for more information on our Mortgage segment’s results.

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Book Value Per Share. The increase in book value per share from $22.36 at December 31, 2020 to $24.28 at December 31, 2021, is primarily due to our net income for the year ended December 31, 2021. Partially offsetting this item is: (i) a decrease of $0.75 per share due to unrealized losses in our available for sale securities, recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income and (ii) a decrease of $0.54 per share from the impact of dividends and dividend equivalents.

Return on Equity. The changes in return on equity across all periods presented are primarily due to the changes in net income and, to a lesser extent, changes in stockholders’ equity. See “—Net Income” above for more information on the changes in net income.

Adjusted Net Operating Return on Equity. The changes in adjusted net operating return on equity across all periods presented are primarily due to the changes in our adjusted pretax operating income.

Net Gains on Investments and Other Financial Instruments. Net gains on investments and other financial instruments for 2021 decreased as compared to 2020 primarily due to: (i) a decrease in net realized gains on our fixed-maturities available for sale; (ii) a decrease in net unrealized gains on our trading securities; (iii) a decrease in gains on other financial instruments; and (iv) a decrease in the fair value of our embedded derivatives. These decreases were partially offset by: (i) an increase in net realized gains on equity securities and (ii) a decrease in impairments recorded in earnings. The primary driver of the decreased gains on our fixed-income securities in 2021 was the impact of the rising interest rate environment experienced during the year, as compared to the positive effects of a declining interest rate environment in 2020. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our net gains on investments.

Income Tax Provision. Variations in our effective tax rates, combined with differences in pretax income, were the drivers of the changes in our income tax provision between periods. Our 2021 effective tax rate was 21.5%, which approximated the federal statutory rate of 21%, as compared to 17.9% for 2020. Our effective tax rate in 2020 was lower than the federal statutory tax rate of 21% primarily due to decreases in our liability for uncertain tax positions.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures. In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity,” which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity” are non-GAAP financial measures, for the reasons discussed above we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity are not measures of overall profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share or return on equity. Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, as discussed and reconciled below to the most comparable respective GAAP measures, may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.

Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of the Company’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments, except for certain investments attributable to our reportable segments; (ii) loss on extinguishment of debt; (iii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iv) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, such as impairment of internal-use software, gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business and acquisition-related income and expenses.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

The following table provides a reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted pretax operating income.

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Reconciliation of consolidated pretax income to adjusted pretax operating income
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202120202019
Consolidated pretax income$764,832$479,441$848,993
Less income (expense) items:
Net gains on investments and other financial instruments14,09460,27751,719
Loss on extinguishment of debt(22,738)
Impairment of goodwill(4,828)
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets(3,450)(5,144)(22,288)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(3,561)(7,759)(7,507)
Total adjusted pretax operating income (1)$757,749$432,067$854,635

(1)Total adjusted pretax operating income on a consolidated basis consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for our Mortgage segment, homegenius segment and All Other activities, as further detailed in Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. The following table provides a reconciliation of diluted net income (loss) per share to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share.

Reconciliation of diluted net income per share to adjusted diluted net operating income per share
Years Ended December 31,
202120202019
Diluted net income per share$3.16$2.00$3.20
Less per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items:
Net gains on investments and other financial instruments0.080.310.25
Loss on extinguishment of debt(0.11)
Impairment of goodwill(0.02)
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets(0.02)(0.03)(0.11)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.02)(0.04)(0.04)
Income tax (provision) benefit on other income (expense) items (1)(0.01)(0.05)0.01
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate(0.02)0.070.01
Per-share impact of other income (expense) items0.010.26(0.01)
Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (1)$3.15$1.74$3.21

(1)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented. The following table provides a reconciliation of return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measure for the consolidated Company of adjusted net operating return on equity.

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Reconciliation of return on equity to adjusted net operating return on equity
Years Ended December 31,
202120202019
Return on equity (1)14.1%9.4%17.8%
Less impact of reconciling income (expense) items: (2)
Net gains on investments and other financial instruments0.41.41.4
Loss on extinguishment of debt(0.6)
Impairment of goodwill(0.1)
Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets(0.1)(0.1)(0.6)
Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items(0.1)(0.2)(0.2)
Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3)(0.2)
Difference between statutory and effective tax rate (3)(0.1)0.3
Impact of reconciling income (expense) items0.11.2(0.1)
Adjusted net operating return on equity14.0%8.2%17.9%

(1)Calculated by dividing net income by average stockholders’ equity.

(2)As a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)Calculated using the Company’s federal statutory tax rates of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

Results of Operations—Mortgage

The following table summarizes our Mortgage segment’s results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019.

Summary results of operations - Mortgage
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In millions)2021202020192021 vs. 20202020 vs. 2019
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$781.5$453.3$852.9$328.2$(399.6)
Net premiums written944.51,011.01,075.5(66.5)(64.5)
Decrease in unearned premiums53.781.858.8(28.1)23.0
Net premiums earned998.31,092.81,134.2(94.5)(41.4)
Services revenue17.714.88.12.96.7
Net investment income132.9137.2151.5(4.3)(14.3)
Provision for losses19.4483.3131.5463.9(351.8)
Policy acquisition costs29.031.025.32.0(5.7)
Cost of services13.910.05.0(3.9)(5.0)
Other operating expenses223.3198.7225.7(24.6)27.0
Interest expense84.371.256.3(13.1)(14.9)

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information.

Year Ended December 31, 2021 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2020

Adjusted Pretax Operating Income. The increase in our Mortgage segment’s adjusted pretax operating income for 2021, compared to 2020, primarily reflects a decrease in provision for losses. Partially offsetting this item is: (i) a decrease in net premiums earned; (ii) an increase in other operating expenses and (iii) an increase in interest expense.

Net Premiums Written and Earned. Net premiums written for 2021 decreased compared to 2020. This decrease primarily reflects lower direct premium rates on our IIF portfolio compared to 2020, as well as a lower proportion of Single Premium Policies, partially offset by improvement in accrued profit commissions in 2021. For 2020, higher recorded ceded

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losses resulted in elevated ceded premiums due to a reduction in accrued profit commissions, which lowered net premiums written in that period.

Net premiums earned decreased for 2021 compared to 2020, primarily due to: (i) a decrease in premiums earned on our in-force Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies and (ii) a decrease in the impact, net of reinsurance, from Single Premium Policy cancellations, due to decreased refinance activity as compared to 2020. These decreases were partially offset by a decrease in ceded premiums, which were elevated in 2020 due to reduced profit commissions as a result of higher ceded losses in 2020.

The table below provides additional information about the components of mortgage insurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated, including the effects of our reinsurance programs.

Net premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,
($ in thousands, except as otherwise indicated)202120202019
Direct
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations$988,472$1,070,335$1,154,045(1)
Single Premium Policy cancellations116,224193,34979,483
Direct1,104,6961,263,6841,233,528(1)
Assumed (2)7,06612,21410,382
Ceded
Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations(108,692)(107,451)(134,946)(1)
Single Premium Policy cancellations (3)(33,388)(55,483)(23,766)
Profit commission—other (4)28,600(20,197)49,016(1)
Ceded premiums, net of profit commission(113,480)(183,131)(109,696)(1)
Total net premiums earned$998,282$1,092,767$1,134,214(1)
In force portfolio premium yield (in basis points) (5)40.544.550.4(1)
Direct premium yield (in basis points) (6)45.252.453.8(1)
Net premium yield (in basis points) (7)40.644.949.1(1)
Average primary IIF (in billions)$246.1$243.4$231.0

(1)Includes a cumulative adjustment to unearned premiums recorded in the second quarter of 2019 related to an update to the amortization rates used to recognize revenue for Single Premium Policies. This adjustment increased the 2019 direct premium yield and net premium yield by 1.9 and 1.4 basis points, respectively. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

(2)Primarily includes premiums from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs.

(3)Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(4)Represents the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(5)Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue and excluding revenue from cancellations, by average primary IIF.

(6)Calculated by dividing direct premiums earned, including assumed revenue, by average primary IIF.

(7)Calculated by dividing net premiums earned by average primary IIF. The calculation for all periods presented incorporates the impact of profit commission adjustments related to our Single Premium QSR Program. For the year ended December 31, 2020, these profit commission adjustments were significantly impacted by the increased ceded losses in 2020. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

Over the past several years, we have experienced a decline in our in force portfolio premium yield due to a number of factors, including the pricing and credit mix of recent NIW compared to the policies that have cancelled. Based on the characteristics of more recent vintages in our portfolio coupled with expectations for higher interest rates that we believe will increase Persistency Rates, we currently expect a decline in our in force portfolio premium yield in 2022 of approximately two basis points, which is a slower rate of decline than we have experienced in recent years. Assuming current pricing levels and our current expectations for future NIW, Persistency Rates and other assumptions, which could change over time, we expect the rate of any future declines in the in force portfolio premium yield after 2022 to further diminish. Due to the impacts of Single Premium Policy cancellations and reinsurance, among other things, the net premium yield may continue to fluctuate from period to period.

The level of mortgage prepayments affects the revenue ultimately produced by our mortgage insurance business and is influenced by the mix of business we write. We believe that writing a mix of Single Premium Policies and Monthly Premium Policies has the potential to moderate the overall impact on our results if actual prepayments are significantly different from expectations. However, the impact of this moderating effect is affected by the amount of reinsurance we obtain on portions of

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our portfolio, with the Single Premium QSR Program currently reducing the proportion of retained Single Premium Policies in our portfolio. See “Key Factors Affecting Our Results—Mortgage—IIF and Related Drivers” for more information.

The following table provides information related to the impact of our reinsurance transactions on premiums earned. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our reinsurance programs.

Ceded premiums earned
Years Ended December 31,
($ in thousands)202120202019
Excess-of-Loss Program$62,153$37,053$25,483
Single Premium QSR Program47,226137,19869,632
QSR Program3,6758,41813,979
Other426462602
Total ceded premiums earned (1)$113,480$183,131$109,696
Percentage of total direct and assumed premiums earned9.9%14.2%8.8%

(1)Does not include the benefit from ceding commissions on our Single Premium QSR Programs, which are included in other operating expenses on the consolidated statements of operations. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Net Investment Income. Lower investment yields, partially offset by higher average investment balances, resulted in decreases in net investment income for 2021 compared to 2020. Our higher investment balances were a result of investing our positive cash flows from operations.

Provision for Losses. The following table details the financial impact of the significant components of our provision for losses for the periods indicated.

Provision for losses
Years Ended December 31,
($ in millions, except reserve per new default)202120202019
Current year defaults (1)$160.5$517.8$146.7
Prior year defaults (2)(141.1)(34.5)(14.7)
Second-lien mortgage loan PDR and other(0.5)
Provision for losses$19.4$483.3$131.5
Loss ratio (3)1.9%44.2%11.6%
Reserve per new default (4)$4,283$4,793$3,579

(1)Related to defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default.

(2)Related to defaulted loans with a default notice dated in a year earlier than the year indicated, which have been continuously in default since that time.

(3)Provision for losses as a percentage of net premiums earned. See below and “—Net Premiums Written and Earned” for further discussion of the components of this ratio.

(4)Calculated by dividing provision for losses for new defaults, net of reinsurance, by new primary defaults for each period.

Our mortgage insurance provision for losses for 2021 decreased by $463.9 million as compared to 2020. Reserves established for new default notices were the primary driver of our total incurred losses for 2021 and 2020. Current year new primary defaults decreased significantly for 2021, compared to 2020, as shown below. The decreases primarily relate to a decrease in the number of new default notices related to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, as compared to last year. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption for new primary defaults was 8.0% at December 31, 2021, compared to 8.5% as of December 31, 2020.

Our provision for losses during 2021, most notably in the fourth quarter, benefited from favorable reserve development on prior period defaults, primarily as a result of more favorable trends in Cures than originally estimated, due to favorable outcomes resulting from forbearance programs implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as well as positive trends in home price appreciation. Among other assumption changes, these favorable observed trends resulted in reductions in our Default to Claim Rate assumptions for prior year default notices, particularly for those defaults first reported in 2020 following the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. See Notes 1 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for additional information.

To a lesser extent, our provision for losses during 2020 also benefited from favorable reserve development on prior period defaults, primarily due to favorable cure activity.

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Our primary default rate at December 31, 2021 was 2.9% compared to 5.2% at December 31, 2020. The following table shows a rollforward of the number of our primary loans in default.

Rollforward of primary loans in default
Years Ended December 31,
202120202019
Beginning default inventory55,53721,26621,093
New defaults37,470108,02540,985
Cures(62,970)(72,404)(38,005)
Claims paid (1)(937)(1,330)(2,747)
Rescissions and Claim Denials, net of (Reinstatements) (2)(39)(20)(60)
Ending default inventory29,06155,53721,266

(1)Includes those charged to a deductible under Pool Mortgage Insurance arrangements as well as commutations. Excludes the impact of claims settled related to certain previously disclosed legal proceedings.

(2)Net of any previous Rescission and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

We develop our Default to Claim Rate estimates on defaulted loans based on models that use a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status. Our gross Default to Claim Rate estimates on defaulted loans are mainly developed based on the Stage of Default and Time in Default of the underlying defaulted loans, as measured by the progress toward foreclosure sale and the number of months in default. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the table detailing our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

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The following tables show additional information about our primary loans in default as of the dates indicated.

Primary loans in default - additional information
December 31, 2021
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less7,26725.0%4739.4%$62,1037.9%
Four to eleven payments8,08827.88427.6146,87218.6
Twelve payments or more13,38946.178429.0565,19271.5
Pending claims3171.1N/A10.416,2132.0
Total29,061100.0%915790,380100.0%
IBNR and other2,886
LAE19,859
Total primary reserves$813,125
December 31, 2020
TotalForeclosure Stage Defaulted LoansCure % During the 4th QuarterReserve for Losses% of Reserve
($ in thousands)#%#%$%
Missed payments
Three payments or less12,50422.5%6436.5%$99,49112.4%
Four to eleven payments37,69167.919026.3512,24864.1
Twelve payments or more5,0679.18615.4172,16121.5
Pending claims2750.5N/A8.215,6142.0
Total55,537100.0%1,115799,514100.0%
IBNR and other9,966
LAE20,172
Total primary reserves$829,652

N/A – Not applicable

Our aggregate weighted-average net Default to Claim Rate assumption for our primary loans used in estimating our reserve for losses, which is net of estimated Claim Denials and Rescissions, was approximately 46% and 24%, at December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. This increase was primarily due to a shift in the mix of defaults as of December 31, 2021, given the larger proportion of loans with more missed payments.

Our net Default to Claim Rate and loss reserve estimate incorporate our expectations with respect to future Rescissions, Claim Denials and Claim Curtailments. Our estimate of such net future Loss Mitigation Activities, inclusive of claim withdrawals, reduced our loss reserve as of December 31, 2021 and 2020 by $27.3 million and $29.1 million, respectively. These expectations are based primarily on recent claim withdrawal activity and our recent experience with respect to the number of claims that have been denied due to the policyholder’s failure to submit sufficient documentation to perfect a claim within the time period permitted under our Master Policies, as well as our recent experience with respect to the number of insurance certificates that have been rescinded due to fraud, underwriter negligence or other factors.

Our reported Rescission, Claim Denial and Claim Curtailments activity in any given period is subject to challenge by our lender and servicer customers through our claims rebuttal process. In addition, we are at times engaged in discussions with our lender and servicer customers regarding our Loss Mitigation Activities. Unless a liability associated with such activities or discussions becomes probable and can be reasonably estimated, we consider our claim payments and our Rescissions, Claim Denials and Claim Curtailments to be resolved for financial reporting purposes. In accordance with the accounting standard regarding contingencies, we accrue for an estimated loss when we determine that the loss is probable and can be reasonably estimated.

We expect that a portion of previously rescinded policies will be reinstated and previously denied claims will be resubmitted with the required documentation and ultimately paid; therefore, we have incorporated this expectation into our

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IBNR reserve estimate. Our IBNR reserve estimate was $2.9 million and $10.0 million at December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Factors that impact the severity of a claim include, but are not limited to: (i) the size of the loan; (ii) the amount of mortgage insurance coverage placed on the loan; (iii) the amount of time between default and claim during which we are expected to cover interest (capped at two years under our Prior Master Policy and capped at three years under our 2014 Master Policy and 2020 Master Policy) and certain expenses; and (iv) the impact of certain loss management activities with respect to the loan. The average Claim Severity experienced for loans covered by our primary insurance was 83.2% for 2021, compared to 101.4% in 2020. Given the low volume of claims paid in 2021 due to the ongoing effects of foreclosure moratoriums, our average Claim Severity for claims paid in 2021 may not be indicative of future results.

Our mortgage insurance total loss reserve as a percentage of our mortgage insurance total RIF was 1.4% at both December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding our reserves for losses and a reconciliation of our Mortgage segment’s beginning and ending reserves for losses and LAE.

Total mortgage insurance claims paid in 2021 of $35.3 million have decreased from claims paid of $97.6 million in 2020. The decrease in claims paid is primarily attributable to COVID-19-related forbearance plans and moratoriums suspending foreclosures and evictions. Claims paid in both periods also include the impact of commutations and settlements, including for payments made in 2021 and 2020 to settle certain previously disclosed legal proceedings. Although expected claims are included in our reserve for losses, the timing of claims paid is subject to fluctuation from quarter to quarter, based on the rate that defaults cure and other factors, including the impact of foreclosure moratoriums (as further described in “Item 1. Business—Mortgage—Defaults and Claims”), that make the timing of paid claims difficult to predict.

The following table shows net claims paid by product and the average claim paid by product for the periods indicated.

Claims paid
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202120202019
Net claims paid (1)
Total primary claims paid$21,111$66,186$118,548
Total pool and other(258)(432)3,162
Subtotal20,85365,754121,710
Impact of commutations and settlements (2)14,46431,84710,517
Total net claims paid$35,317$97,601$132,227
Total average net primary claim paid (1) (3)$44.8$46.7$49.0
Average direct primary claim paid (3) (4)$46.3$49.4$50.0

(1)Net of reinsurance recoveries.

(2)Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans. For the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily includes payments made to settle certain previously disclosed legal proceedings.

(3)Calculated without giving effect to the impact of commutations and settlements.

(4)Before reinsurance recoveries.

Other Operating Expenses. The increase in other operating expenses for 2021, as compared to 2020, is primarily due to: (i) an increase in variable and share-based compensation expense in 2021, including as part of allocated corporate operating expenses and (ii) a decrease in ceding commissions.

Our expense ratio on a net premiums earned basis represents our Mortgage segment’s operating expenses (which include policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses, as well as allocated corporate operating expenses), expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Our expense ratio on this basis was 25.3% for 2021, compared to 21.0% for 2020. The increase in the expense ratio for 2021 as compared to 2020 was driven by: (i) an increase in total other operating expenses and (ii) a decrease in net premiums earned during 2021, both as compared to 2020.

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The following tables show additional information about Mortgage other operating expenses.

Other operating expenses
Years Ended December 31,
(In millions)202120202019
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$52.5$57.6$60.3
Variable and share-based incentive compensation17.213.721.5
Other general operating expenses50.853.774.0
Ceding commissions(24.7)(41.1)(34.2)
Total direct95.883.9121.6
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses$42.5$37.5$31.0
Variable and share-based incentive compensation33.923.726.5
Other general operating expenses51.153.646.6
Total allocated127.5114.8104.1
Total Mortgage$223.3$198.7$225.7

(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

Interest Expense. The increase in interest expense for 2021, as compared to 2020, primarily reflects an increase in our average senior notes outstanding for the full year in 2021 compared to 2020. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our senior notes.

Results of Operations—homegenius

The following table summarizes our homegenius segment’s results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019.

Summary results of operations - homegenius
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In millions)2021202020192021 vs. 20202020 vs. 2019
Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (1)$(27.3)$(23.2)$(18.0)$(4.1)$(5.2)
Net premiums earned38.922.612.016.310.6
Services revenue108.379.576.928.82.6
Cost of services89.761.556.6(28.2)(4.9)
Other operating expenses85.162.350.2(22.8)(12.1)

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of our business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Year Ended December 31, 2021 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2020

Adjusted Pretax Operating Loss. As described in more detail below, the increase in our homegenius segment’s adjusted pretax operating loss for 2021, compared to 2020, primarily reflects increases in: (i) cost of services and (ii) other operating expenses. Partially offsetting these items were increases in: (i) services revenue and (ii) net premiums earned.

Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned for 2021 increased compared to 2020. This increase reflects an increase in new title policies written and closed orders in our title insurance business.

Services Revenue. Services revenue for 2021 increased compared to 2020, primarily due to the increase in closed orders in our title services business. In addition, we increased revenue in our real estate services, including increases from valuation and single family rental products and services, as compared to 2020.

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Cost of Services. Cost of services for 2021 increased compared to 2020, primarily due to the increase in services revenue and a corresponding increase in staffing levels to help build capacity to accommodate the growing demand for our homegenius products and services. Our cost of services is primarily affected by our level of services revenue and the number of employees providing those services.

Other Operating Expenses. The increase in other operating expenses for 2021, as compared to 2020, primarily reflects: (i) an increase in variable and share-based incentive compensation expense in 2021, including as part of allocated corporate operating expenses; (ii) continued strategic investments focused on our title and digital real estate businesses, including an increase in staffing levels; and (iii) an increase in title agent commissions.

The following tables show additional information about homegenius other operating expenses.

Other operating expenses
Years Ended December 31,
(In millions)202120202019
Direct
Salaries and other base employee expenses$24.0$21.1$14.9
Variable and share-based incentive compensation14.67.26.6
Other general operating expenses21.316.014.4
Title agent commissions6.75.24.1
Total direct66.649.540.0
Allocated (1)
Salaries and other base employee expenses$6.3$3.8$1.5
Variable and share-based incentive compensation4.93.14.1
Other general operating expenses7.35.94.6
Total allocated18.512.810.2
Total homegenius$85.1$62.3$50.2

(1)See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our allocation of corporate operating expenses.

Results of Operations—All Other

The following table summarizes our All Other results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019.

Summary results of operations - All Other
$ Change
Years Ended December 31,Favorable (Unfavorable)
(In millions)2021202020192021 vs. 20202020 vs. 2019
Adjusted pretax operating income (1)$3.5$2.0$19.8$1.5$(17.8)
Services revenue0.212.571.0(12.3)(58.5)
Net investment income14.616.519.6(1.9)(3.1)
Cost of services0.115.647.615.532.0
Other operating expenses11.911.923.011.1

(1)Our senior management uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of each of the Company’s business segments. See Note 4 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

Year Ended December 31, 2021 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2020

Adjusted pretax operating income increased in 2021 as compared to 2020 primarily as a result of the net changes in services revenue and cost of services due to the sale of Clayton in 2020 as well as the wind down of the traditional appraisal business starting in the fourth quarter of 2020, among other adjustments that impacted services revenue. Partially offsetting these items was a decrease in net investment income, resulting from lower investment yields in 2021 compared to 2020.

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Liquidity and Capital Resources

Consolidated Cash Flows

The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities.

Summary cash flows - Consolidated
Years Ended December 31,
(In thousands)202120202019
Net cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities$557,112$658,434$694,431
Investing activities(1,862)(883,180)(302,049)
Financing activities(496,776)222,618(403,106)
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and restricted cash(4)
Increase (decrease) in cash and restricted cash$58,474$(2,128)$(10,728)

Operating Activities. Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our mortgage insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are for our operating expenses and claims paid on our mortgage insurance policies. Net cash provided by operating activities totaled $557.1 million for 2021, compared to $658.4 million in 2020. This decrease was principally due to lower direct premiums written, partially offset by a reduction in claims paid. See Notes 8 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on direct premiums written and claims paid, respectively.

Investing Activities. Net cash used in investing activities decreased in 2021, compared to 2020, primarily as a result of: (i) a decrease in purchases of fixed-maturity investments available for sale and (ii) an increase in sales and redemptions, net of purchases, of short-term investments.

Financing Activities. Net cash used in financing activities for 2021 was $496.8 million, as compared to net cash provided by financing activities for 2020 of $222.6 million. For 2021, our primary financing activities included: (i) repurchases of our common shares; (ii) payment of dividends; and (iii) net changes in secured borrowings. For 2020, cash provided by financing activities included the issuance of Senior Notes due 2025, partially offset by: (i) repurchases of our common shares and (ii) payments of dividends. See Notes 12 and 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our borrowings and share repurchases, respectively.

See “Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data—Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows” for additional information.

Investment Portfolio

At December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, the following tables include $104.0 million and $57.5 million, respectively, of securities loaned to third-party borrowers under securities lending agreements, which are classified as other assets in our consolidated balance sheets. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for more information about our investment portfolio, including our securities lending agreements.

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The composition of our investment portfolio, presented as a percentage of overall fair value at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, was as follows.

Investment portfolio diversification
December 31,
20212020
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Corporate bonds and commercial paper$3,261.449.3%$3,527.751.5%
RMBS714.510.8846.912.4
CMBS745.511.3715.510.5
CLO530.08.0568.68.3
State and municipal obligations (1)284.24.3307.54.5
Money market instruments and certificates of deposit275.64.2270.03.9
Other ABS211.23.2252.73.7
U.S. government and agency securities316.44.8174.12.5
Equity securities222.23.3172.52.5
Mortgage insurance-linked notes (2)47.00.7
Other investments9.50.110.40.2
Total$6,617.5100.0%$6,845.9100.0%

(1)Primarily consists of taxable state and municipal investments.

(2)Comprises the notes purchased by Radian Group in connection with the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Note 8 for more information about our reinsurance programs.

The following table shows the scheduled maturities of the securities held in our investment portfolio at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020.

Investment portfolio scheduled maturity
December 31,
20212020
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
Short-term investments$551.58.3%$618.09.0%
Due in one year or less (1)254.33.8132.51.9
Due after one year through five years (1)1,176.917.81,165.017.0
Due after five years through 10 years (1)1,246.618.81,357.519.8
Due after 10 years (1)916.513.91,014.914.8
Asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities (2)2,245.333.92,383.534.9
Equity securities (3)222.23.4172.52.5
Other investments (3)4.20.12.00.1
Total$6,617.5100.0%$6,845.9100.0%

(1)Actual maturities may differ as a result of calls before scheduled maturity.

(2)Includes RMBS, CMBS, CLO, Other ABS and mortgage insurance-linked notes, which are not due at a single maturity date.

(3)No stated maturity date.

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The following table provides the ratings of our investment portfolio, from a nationally recognized statistical ratings organization, presented as a percentage of overall fair value, as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020.

Investment portfolio by rating
December 31,
20212020
($ in millions)Fair ValuePercentFair ValuePercent
U.S. government / AAA$2,476.437.4%$2,420.635.4%
AA1,016.015.31,095.516.0
A1,940.229.32,128.631.1
BBB894.613.5999.714.6
BB and below63.91.024.00.3
Equity securities222.23.4172.52.5
Other invested assets4.20.15.00.1
Total$6,617.5100.0%$6,845.9100.0%

Liquidity Analysis—Holding Company

Radian Group serves as the holding company for our operating subsidiaries and does not have any operations of its own. At December 31, 2021, Radian Group had available, either directly or through unregulated subsidiaries, unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $604.9 million. Available liquidity at December 31, 2021 excludes certain additional cash and liquid investments that have been advanced to Radian Group from our subsidiaries to pay for corporate expenses and interest payments. In addition, available liquidity at December 31, 2021 does not take into consideration transactions subsequent to December 31, 2021, including a $500 million return of capital from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group paid in February 2022. Total liquidity, which includes our undrawn $275.0 million unsecured revolving credit facility, as described below, was $879.9 million as of December 31, 2021.

During 2021, Radian Group’s available liquidity decreased by $497.8 million, due primarily to payments for share repurchases and dividends, as described below.

In addition to available cash and marketable securities, Radian Group’s principal sources of cash to fund future liquidity needs include: (i) payments made to Radian Group by its subsidiaries under expense- and tax-sharing arrangements; (ii) net investment income earned on its cash and marketable securities; (iii) to the extent available, dividends or other distributions from its subsidiaries; and (iv) amounts, if any, that Radian Guaranty is able to repay under the Surplus Note due 2027.

In December 2021, Radian Group entered into a new $275.0 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders. The revolving credit facility has a five year term, provided that under certain conditions Radian Group is required to offer to terminate the facility earlier than the maturity date. This facility replaced Radian Group’s $267.5 million unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of bank lenders, which had a maturity date of January 2022. Subject to certain limitations, borrowings under the credit facility may be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, including, without limitation, capital contributions to our insurance subsidiaries as well as growth initiatives. At December 31, 2021, the full $275.0 million remains undrawn and available under the facility. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the unsecured revolving credit facility.

We expect Radian Group’s principal liquidity demands for the next 12 months to be: (i) the payment of corporate expenses, including taxes; (ii) interest payments on our outstanding debt obligations; (iii) subject to approval by our board of directors and our ongoing assessment of our financial condition and potential needs related to the execution and implementation of our business plans and strategies, the payment of quarterly dividends on our common stock, which we increased in May 2021 from $0.125 to $0.14 per share and in February 2022 to $0.20 per share; and (iv) the potential continued repurchases of shares of our common stock pursuant to share repurchase authorizations, as described below.

In addition to our ongoing short-term liquidity needs discussed above, our most significant need for liquidity beyond the next 12 months is the repayment of $1.4 billion aggregate principal amount of our senior debt due in future years. See “—Capitalization—Holding Company” below for details of our debt maturity profile. Radian Group’s liquidity demands for the next 12 months or in future periods could also include: (i) early repurchases or redemptions of portions of our debt obligations; (ii) additional investments to support our business strategy; and (iii) additional capital contributions to its subsidiaries. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors,” including “—Radian Group’s sources of liquidity may be insufficient to fund its obligations.” and “—Radian Guaranty may fail to maintain its eligibility status with the GSEs, and the additional capital required to support Radian Guaranty’s eligibility could reduce our available liquidity.” See also Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” for further information.

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We believe that Radian Group has sufficient current sources of liquidity to fund its obligations. If we otherwise decide to increase our liquidity position, Radian Group may seek additional capital, including by incurring additional debt, issuing additional equity, or selling assets, which we may not be able to do on favorable terms, if at all.

Share Repurchases. During 2021 and 2020, the Company repurchased 17.8 million shares and 11.0 million shares of Radian Group common stock, respectively, under programs authorized by Radian Group’s board of directors, at a total cost of $399.1 million and $226.3 million, respectively, including commissions. No purchase authority remains available under these programs. On February 9, 2022, Radian Group’s board of directors approved a new share repurchase program authorizing the company to spend up to $400 million, excluding commissions, to repurchase Radian Group common stock. See Note 14 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional details on our share repurchase programs.

Dividends and Dividend Equivalents. Throughout 2020, and for the first quarter of 2021, our quarterly common stock dividend was $0.125 per share. Effective May 4, 2021, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase in the Company’s quarterly dividend to $0.14 per share. On February 9, 2022, Radian Group’s board of directors authorized an increase to the Company’s quarterly dividend from $0.14 to $0.20 per share. Based on our current outstanding shares of common stock and RSUs, we expect to require approximately $140 million in the aggregate to pay dividends and dividend equivalents for the next 12 months. Radian Group is not subject to any limitations on its ability to pay dividends except those generally applicable to corporations that are incorporated in Delaware. Delaware corporation law provides that dividends are only payable out of a corporation’s capital surplus or (subject to certain limitations) recent net profits. As of December 31, 2021, our capital surplus was $4.2 billion, representing our dividend limitation under Delaware law. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains subject to the board of directors’ determination.

Corporate Expenses and Interest Expense. Radian Group has expense-sharing arrangements in place with its principal operating subsidiaries that require those subsidiaries to pay their allocated share of certain holding-company-level expenses, including interest payments on Radian Group’s outstanding debt obligations. Corporate expenses and interest expense on Radian Group’s debt obligations allocated under these arrangements during 2021 of $147.4 million and $82.8 million, respectively, were substantially all reimbursed by its subsidiaries. We expect substantially all of our holding company expenses to continue to be reimbursed by our subsidiaries under our expense-sharing arrangements. The expense-sharing arrangements between Radian Group and its mortgage insurance subsidiaries, as amended, have been approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, but such approval may be modified or revoked at any time.

Taxes. Pursuant to our tax-sharing agreements, our operating subsidiaries pay Radian Group an amount equal to any federal income tax the subsidiary would have paid on a standalone basis if they were not part of our consolidated tax return. As a result, from time to time, under the provisions of our tax-sharing agreements, Radian Group may pay to or receive from its operating subsidiaries amounts that differ from Radian Group’s consolidated federal tax payment obligation. During 2021, Radian Group received $11.7 million of tax-sharing agreement payments from its operating subsidiaries.

Capitalization—Holding Company

The following table presents our holding company capital structure.

Capital structure
December 31,
($ in thousands)20212020
Debt
Senior Notes due 2024$450,000$450,000
Senior Notes due 2025525,000525,000
Senior Notes due 2027450,000450,000
Deferred debt costs on senior notes(15,527)(19,326)
Revolving credit facility
Total1,409,4731,405,674
Stockholders’ equity4,258,7964,284,353
Total capitalization$5,668,269$5,690,027
Debt-to-capital ratio24.9%24.7%

Stockholders’ equity decreased by $25.6 million from December 31, 2020 to December 31, 2021. The net decrease in stockholders’ equity resulted primarily from share repurchases of $399.1 million, net unrealized losses on investments of $143.6 million primarily as a result of an increase in market interest rates during the year, and dividends of $104.4 million, partially offset by our net income of $600.7 million.

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We regularly evaluate opportunities, based on market conditions, to finance our operations by accessing the capital markets or entering into other types of financing arrangements with institutional and other lenders and financing sources, and consider various measures to improve our capital and liquidity positions, as well as to strengthen our balance sheet, improve Radian Group’s debt maturity profile and maintain adequate liquidity for our operations. In the past we have repurchased and exchanged, prior to maturity, some of our outstanding debt, and in the future, we may from time to time seek to redeem, repurchase or exchange for other securities, or otherwise restructure or refinance some or all of our outstanding debt prior to maturity in the open market through other public or private transactions, including pursuant to one or more tender offers or through any combination of the foregoing, as circumstances may allow. The timing or amount of any potential transactions will depend on a number of factors, including market opportunities and our views regarding our capital and liquidity positions and potential future needs. There can be no assurance that any such transactions will be completed on favorable terms, or at all.

Mortgage

The principal demands for liquidity in our Mortgage business currently include: (i) the payment of claims and potential claim settlement transactions, net of reinsurance; (ii) expenses (including those allocated from Radian Group); (iii) repayments of FHLB advances; (iv) repayments, if any, associated with the Surplus Note due 2027; and (v) taxes, including potential additional purchases of U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds. See Notes 10 and 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information related to these non-interest bearing instruments. In addition to the foregoing liquidity demands, other payments have included and, in the future could include, returns of capital from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, subject to approval by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department, as discussed below.

The principal sources of liquidity in our mortgage insurance business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from: (i) investment sales and maturities; (ii) FHLB advances; and (iii) capital contributions from Radian Group. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with a substantial portion of the funds necessary to satisfy their needs for the foreseeable future. However, see “Overview—COVID-19 Impacts” and Note 1 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for discussion about the elevated risks and uncertainties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, including the impact on our PMIERs Cushion.

As of December 31, 2021, our mortgage insurance subsidiaries maintained claims paying resources of $5.9 billion on a statutory basis, which consist of contingency reserves, statutory policyholders’ surplus, premiums received but not yet earned and loss reserves. In addition, our reinsurance programs are designed to provide additional claims-paying resources during times of economic stress and elevated losses. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Radian Guaranty’s Risk-to-capital as of December 31, 2021 was 11.1 to 1. Radian Guaranty is not expected to need additional capital to satisfy state insurance regulatory requirements in their current form. At December 31, 2021, Radian Guaranty had statutory policyholders’ surplus of $778.1 million. This balance includes a $354.1 million benefit from U.S. Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, which mortgage guaranty insurers such as Radian Guaranty may purchase in order to be eligible for a tax deduction, subject to certain limitations, related to amounts required to be set aside in statutory contingency reserves. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements and “Item 1A. Risk Factors” for more information.

Radian Guaranty currently is an approved mortgage insurer under the PMIERs. Private mortgage insurers, including Radian Guaranty, are required to comply with the PMIERs to remain approved insurers of loans purchased by the GSEs. At December 31, 2021, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under the PMIERs financial requirements totaled approximately $5.4 billion, resulting in a PMIERs Cushion of $2.1 billion, or 62%, over its Minimum Required Assets. Those amounts compare to Available Assets and a PMIERs cushion of $4.7 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively, at December 31, 2020.

The primary driver of the increase in Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Cushion during 2021 is the increase in Available Assets, reflecting positive cash flows from operating activities, combined with a decrease in Minimum Required Assets. During 2021, Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets decreased primarily as a result of a decrease in the number of primary loans in default. Radian Guaranty’s Minimum Required Assets include a benefit as a result of reinsurance agreements, including the addition of the Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2021-2 Ltd. reinsurance agreements in April 2021 and November 2021, respectively. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our reinsurance agreements.

Our PMIERs Cushion at December 31, 2021 also includes a benefit from the current broad-based application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge that has reduced the total amount of Minimum Required Assets that Radian Guaranty otherwise would have been required to hold against pandemic-related defaults by approximately $300 million and $650 million as of December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively, taking into consideration our risk distribution structures in effect as of those dates. We expect that application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge will continue to reduce Radian Guaranty’s PMIERs Minimum Required Assets, but this impact will diminish over time.

Notwithstanding the continued application of the Disaster Related Capital Charge, the total amount of Minimum Required Assets we may be required to hold against defaulted loans will increase over time, because the 0.30 multiplier is applied to a higher base factor for the defaulting loans (including those in forbearance) as they age, with increases taking place upon four,

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six and 12 missed monthly payments. Additionally, given the lack of an expiration date under the CARES Act, it is difficult to estimate how long the GSEs may continue to offer COVID-19 forbearance programs for new defaults. It is also difficult to assess how long the GSEs may continue to apply the COVID-19 Amendment to loans in a COVID-19-related forbearance program. The COVID-19 Crisis Period expired March 31, 2021.

See “Item 1. Business—Regulation—Federal Regulation—GSE Requirements for Mortgage Insurance Eligibility.” for more information about the Disaster Related Capital Charge, and for further information, including on the expiration of the COVID-19 Crisis Period.

Even though they hold assets in excess of the minimum statutory capital thresholds and PMIERs financial requirements, the ability of Radian’s mortgage insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends on their common stock is restricted by certain provisions of the insurance laws of Pennsylvania, their state of domicile. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, ordinary dividends and other distributions may only be paid out of an insurer’s positive unassigned surplus unless the Pennsylvania Insurance Department approves the payment of dividends or other distributions from another source.

In light of Radian Guaranty’s negative unassigned surplus related to operating losses in prior periods, the ongoing need to set aside contingency reserves, and the current ongoing economic uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic, which increased losses in 2020 and could cause losses in future periods, we do not anticipate that Radian Guaranty will be permitted under applicable insurance laws to pay dividends or other distributions for the next several years without prior approval from the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. Under Pennsylvania’s insurance laws, an insurer must obtain the Pennsylvania Insurance Department’s approval to pay an Extraordinary Distribution. Radian Guaranty has sought and received such approval to return capital by paying Extraordinary Distributions to Radian Group, most recently in February 2022. See Note 16 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on our Extraordinary Distributions, statutory dividend restrictions and contingency reserve requirements.

Radian Guaranty and Radian Reinsurance are both members of the FHLB. As members, they may borrow from the FHLB, subject to certain conditions, which include requirements to post collateral and to maintain a minimum investment in FHLB stock. Advances from the FHLB may be used to provide low-cost, supplemental liquidity for various purposes, including to fund incremental investments. Radian’s current strategy includes using FHLB advances as financing for general cash management purposes and for purchases of additional investment securities that have similar durations, for the purpose of generating additional earnings from our investment securities portfolio with limited incremental risk. As of December 31, 2021, there were $151.0 million of FHLB advances outstanding. See Note 12 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

homegenius

As of December 31, 2021, our homegenius segment maintained cash and liquid investments totaling $79.3 million, primarily held by Radian Title Insurance.

Title insurance companies, including Radian Title Insurance, are subject to comprehensive state regulations, including minimum net worth requirements. Radian Title Insurance was in compliance with all of its minimum net worth requirements at December 31, 2021. In the event the cash flows from operations of the homegenius segment are not adequate to fund all of its needs, including the regulatory capital needs of Radian Title Insurance, Radian Group may provide additional funds to the homegenius segment in the form of an intercompany note or other capital contribution, and if needed for Radian Title Insurance, subject to the approval of the Ohio Department of Insurance. Additional capital support may also be required for potential investments in new business initiatives to support our strategy of growing our businesses.

Liquidity levels may fluctuate depending on the levels and contractual timing of our invoicing and the payment practices of our homegenius clients, in combination with the timing of our homegenius segment’s payments for employee compensation and to external vendors. The amount, if any, and timing of the homegenius segment’s dividend paying capacity will depend primarily on the amount of excess cash flow generated by the segment.

Ratings

Radian Group, Radian Guaranty, Radian Reinsurance and Radian Title Insurance have been assigned the financial strength ratings set forth in the chart below. We believe that ratings often are considered by others in assessing our credit strength and the financial strength of our primary insurance subsidiaries. The following ratings have been independently assigned by third-party statistical rating organizations, are for informational purposes only and are subject to change. See “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The current financial strength ratings assigned to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries could weaken our competitive position and potential downgrades by rating agencies to these ratings and the ratings assigned to Radian Group could adversely affect the Company.”

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Ratings
SubsidiaryMoody’s (1)S&P (2)Fitch (3)Demotech (4)
Radian GroupBa1BB+BBB-N/A
Radian GuarantyBaa1BBB+A-N/A
Radian ReinsuranceN/ABBB+N/AN/A
Radian Title InsuranceN/AN/AN/AA

(1)Based on the August 27, 2021 update, Moody’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty currently is Stable.

(2)Based on the April 28, 2021 update, S&P’s outlook for Radian Group, Radian Guaranty and Radian Reinsurance is currently Stable.

(3)Based on the May 3, 2021 release, Fitch’s outlook for Radian Group and Radian Guaranty is currently Stable.

(4)Based on the December 1, 2021 release.

Critical Accounting Estimates

SEC guidance defines Critical Accounting Estimates as those estimates made in accordance with GAAP that involve a significant level of estimation uncertainty and have had or are reasonably likely to have a material impact on the financial condition or results of operation of the registrant. These items require the application of management’s most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often because of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain and that may change in subsequent periods. In preparing our consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP, management has made estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods.

In preparing these financial statements, management has utilized available information, including our past history, industry standards and the current and projected economic and housing environments, among other factors, in forming its estimates, assumptions and judgments, giving due consideration to materiality. Because the use of estimates is inherent in GAAP, actual results could differ from those estimates. In addition, other companies may utilize different estimates, which may impact comparability of our results of operations to those of companies in similar businesses. A summary of the accounting estimates that management believes are critical to the preparation of our consolidated financial statements is set forth below. See Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional disclosures regarding our significant accounting policies.

Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

Reserve for Losses and LAE

We establish reserves to provide for losses and LAE, which include the estimated costs of settling claims in our mortgage insurance portfolio, in accordance with the accounting standard regarding accounting and reporting by insurance enterprises. In our mortgage insurance business, the default and claim cycle begins with the receipt of a default notice from the loan servicer. We maintain an extensive database of default and claim payment history, and use models based on a variety of loan characteristics to determine the likelihood that a default will reach claim status.

With respect to loans that are in default, considerable judgment is exercised as to the adequacy of reserve levels. We use an actuarial projection methodology referred to as a “roll rate” analysis that uses historical claim frequency information to determine the projected ultimate Default to Claim Rates based on the Stage of Default and Time in Default as well as the date that a loan goes into default. The Default to Claim Rate also includes our estimates with respect to expected Rescissions and Claim Denials, which have the effect of reducing our Default to Claim Rates. See Note 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for the table detailing our Default to Claim Rate assumptions.

After estimating the Default to Claim Rate, we estimate Claim Severity based on recently observed severity rates within product type, type of insurance and Time in Default cohorts, as adjusted to account for anticipated differences in future results compared to recent trends. These severity estimates are then applied to individual loan coverage amounts to determine reserves. Similar to the Default to Claim Rate, Claim Severity also is impacted by the length of time that loans are in default and by our Loss Mitigation Activity. For claims under our Primary Mortgage Insurance, the coverage percentage is applied to the claim amount, which consists of the unpaid loan principal, plus past due interest (for which our liability is contractually capped in accordance with the terms of our Master Policies) and certain expenses associated with the default, to determine our maximum liability. Therefore, Claim Severity generally increases the longer that a loan is in default.

We considered the sensitivity of first-lien loss reserve estimates at December 31, 2021 by assessing the potential changes resulting from a parallel shift in Claim Severity and Default to Claim Rate estimates for primary loans, excluding any potential benefits from reinsurance. For example, assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in primary Claim Severity (which we estimate to be 98.7% of defaulted risk exposure at December 31, 2021), we estimated that our loss reserves would change by approximately $8.0 million at December 31, 2021. Assuming all other factors remain constant, for every one percentage point change in our overall primary net Default to Claim Rate (which we estimate to

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be 46% at December 31, 2021, including our assumptions related to Loss Mitigation Activities), we estimated a $17.1 million change in our loss reserves at December 31, 2021.

Senior management regularly reviews the modeled frequency, Claim Severity and Loss Mitigation Activity estimates, which are based on historical trends, as described above. If recent emerging or projected trends differ significantly from the historical trends used to develop the modeled estimates, management evaluates these trends and determines how they should be considered in its reserve estimates.

Estimating our case reserve for losses involves significant reliance upon assumptions and estimates with regard to the likelihood, magnitude and timing of each potential loss. The models, assumptions and estimates we use to establish loss reserves may prove to be inaccurate, especially during an extended economic downturn or a period of market volatility and economic uncertainty such as we have experienced due to the COVID-19 pandemic. These assumptions require management to use considerable judgment in estimating the rate at which these loans will result in claims. As such, given the current environment, there is significant uncertainty around our reserve estimate.

Premium Revenue Recognition

Premiums on mortgage insurance products are written on a recurring basis, either as monthly or annual premiums, or on a multi-year basis as a single premium. Monthly premiums written are earned as coverage is provided each month. For certain monthly policies where the billing is deferred for the first month’s coverage period, currently to the end of the policy, we record a net premium receivable representing the present value of such deferred premiums that we estimate will be collected at that future date. We recognize changes in this receivable based on changes in the estimated amount and timing of such collections, including as a result of changes in observed trends as well as our periodic review of our servicing guide and our operations and collections practices.

Key assumptions supporting our estimate include a collection rate and average life. During 2021 and 2020, we adjusted our assumptions for collectability and average life, which had an impact of increasing the net premium receivable and net premiums earned by $2.3 million and $11.3 million, respectively. If the collection rate assumption increased or decreased by 500 basis points, it would result in a $2.5 million increase or decrease, respectively, in the net premium receivable and net premiums earned. If the average life assumption increased or decreased by one year, it would result in an approximate $2.5 million decrease or increase, respectively, in the net premium receivable and net premiums earned. Additionally, given the difference between the present value of the net premium receivable recorded and the contractual premiums due, changes in our servicing guide, operations or collection practices could have up to a $43.7 million pre-tax benefit to our results of operations in periods when any changes are implemented.

Single premiums written are initially recorded as unearned premiums and earned over time based on the anticipated loss pattern and the estimated period of risk exposure, which is primarily derived from historical experience and other factors such as projected losses, premium type and projected contractual periods of risk based on original LTV. Our estimate for the single premium earnings pattern is updated periodically and subject to change given uncertainty as to the underlying loss development and duration of risk.

During 2019, we updated our estimated period of risk exposure due to the continuing increase in the significance of borrower-paid Single Premium Policies as well as our estimated anticipated loss pattern due to changes in observed and projected losses. During 2019, this change in estimate resulted in a $32.9 million increase in net premiums earned. There were no changes to our single premium earnings pattern estimate in 2020 or 2021.

Actual future experience that is different than expected loss development or policy cancellations could result in further material increases or decreases in the recognition of net premiums earned. Based on historical experience, losses are relatively low during the first two years after a loan is originated and then increase over a period of several years before declining; however, several factors can impact and change this cycle, including the economic environment, the quality of the underwriting of the loan, characteristics of the mortgage loan, the credit profile of the borrower, housing prices and unemployment rates. If the timing of losses were to shift, it could accelerate or decelerate our recognition of net premiums earned and could have a material impact on our results of operations.

Credit Losses and Other Impairments

Investments

We perform an evaluation of fixed-maturity securities available for sale each quarter to assess whether any decline in their fair value below cost is deemed to be a credit impairment recognized in earnings. Factors considered in our assessment for impairment include the extent to which the amortized cost basis is greater than fair value and the reasons for the decline in value. As of December 31, 2021, our gross unrealized losses on available for sale securities was $38.0 million, which can fluctuate materially over time based on changes in market conditions. During 2021 and 2020, we recognized a $0.7 million credit recovery and a $1.0 million credit loss, respectively, related to our fixed-maturity securities available for sale. See Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding impairments related to investments.

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Fair Value of Financial Instruments

Our estimated fair value measurements are intended to reflect the assumptions market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability based on the best information available. Assumptions include the risks inherent in a particular valuation technique (such as a pricing model) and the risks inherent in the inputs to the model. Changes in economic conditions and capital market conditions, including but not limited to, benchmark interest rate changes, credit spread changes, market volatility and changes in the value of underlying collateral, could cause actual results to differ materially from our estimated fair value measurements.

Nearly all of our financial instruments recorded at fair value relate to our investment portfolio, which totaled $6.5 billion as of December 31, 2021. The primary risks in our investment portfolio are interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk, namely the fair value sensitivity of our fixed income securities to changes in interest rates and credit spreads, respectively. We regularly analyze our exposure to interest-rate risk and credit-spread risk and have determined that the fair value of our investments is materially exposed to changes in both interest rates and credit spreads. For additional information regarding the sensitivity of our investment portfolio to these inputs, see “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.”

See also Note 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information pertaining to financial instruments at fair value and our valuation methodologies.

Liability for Legal Contingencies

As discussed in Note 13 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, we are subject to various legal proceedings and claims that arise in the ordinary course of business. We establish accruals only when we determine both that it is probable that a loss has been incurred and the amount of the loss is reasonably estimable, which requires significant judgment.

As described in Note 13 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, we believe there was not at least a reasonable possibility we may have incurred a material loss, or a material loss greater than a recorded accrual, concerning loss contingencies for asserted legal and other claims. Due to the inherently subjective nature of these estimates and the uncertainty and unpredictability surrounding the outcome of legal and other proceedings, actual results may differ materially from any amounts that have been accrued. If one or more legal matters were resolved against the Company in a reporting period for amounts above management’s expectations, actual results could differ materially from any amounts that have been accrued.

Income Taxes

We are required to establish a valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets when it is more likely than not that all or some portion of our deferred tax assets will not be realized. At each balance sheet date, we assess our need for a valuation allowance and this assessment is based on all available evidence, both positive and negative, and requires management to exercise judgment and make assumptions regarding whether such deferred tax assets will be realized in future periods. Future realization of our deferred tax assets will ultimately depend on the existence of sufficient taxable income of the appropriate character (ordinary income or capital gains) within the applicable carryback and carryforward periods provided under the tax law. In making our assessment of the more likely than not standard, the weight assigned to the effect of both positive and negative evidence is commensurate with the extent to which such evidence can be objectively verified.

We have determined that certain non-insurance entities within Radian may continue to generate taxable losses on a separate company basis in the near term and may not be able to fully utilize certain state and local NOLs on their state and local tax returns. Therefore, with respect to deferred tax assets relating to these state and local NOLs and other state timing adjustments, we retained a valuation allowance of $83.4 million at December 31, 2021 and $77.7 million at December 31, 2020.

Estimated factors in this assessment include, but are not limited to, forecasts of future income and actual and planned business and operational changes. An amount up to the total valuation allowance currently recorded could be recognized if our assessment of realizability changes. Our assumptions around these items and the weight assigned to them have remained consistent in recent periods. See Note 10 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

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