NI Holdings, Inc. (NODK)
SIC breadcrumb: Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate > Insurance Carriers > SIC 6331 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1681206. Latest filing source: 0001174947-26-000305.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Business
Read NODK's verbatim Item 1 Business section from its latest 10-K: Business.
Risk Factors
Read NODK's verbatim Item 1A Risk Factors from its latest 10-K: Risk Factors.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 285,050,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-03-06 |
| Net income | -10,413,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-03-06 |
| Assets | 506,002,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-03-06 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-03-06. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001681206.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 163,747,000 | 189,140,000 | 212,370,000 | 270,779,000 | 306,357,000 | 323,974,000 | 267,782,000 | 304,020,000 | 325,204,000 | 285,050,000 |
| Net income | 4,551,000 | 15,991,000 | 31,081,000 | 26,401,000 | 40,389,000 | 8,416,000 | -53,096,000 | -5,476,000 | -6,060,000 | -10,413,000 |
| Gross profit | 34,248,000 | 56,753,000 | 76,632,000 | 76,728,000 | 115,188,000 | 83,210,000 | 29,990,000 | 105,601,000 | 102,645,000 | 69,867,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 0.71 | 1.39 | 1.19 | 1.84 | 0.39 | -2.49 | -0.26 | -0.29 | -0.50 | |
| Operating cash flow | 7,307,000 | 18,425,000 | 20,955,000 | 25,665,000 | 51,010,000 | 29,168,000 | -15,294,000 | 51,028,000 | 38,506,000 | -15,272,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 548,000 | 1,334,000 | 1,552,000 | 1,290,000 | 616,000 | 739,000 | 878,000 | 661,000 | 991,000 | 217,000 |
| Dividends paid | 8,273,000 | 6,730,000 | ||||||||
| Assets | 278,703,000 | 376,988,000 | 458,492,000 | 508,159,000 | 617,603,000 | 651,782,000 | 614,232,000 | 654,886,000 | 526,545,000 | 506,002,000 |
| Liabilities | 125,285,000 | 121,415,000 | 182,739,000 | 198,356,000 | 268,731,000 | 304,369,000 | 361,025,000 | 404,487,000 | 281,914,000 | 265,665,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 255,573,000 | 275,753,000 | 309,803,000 | 348,872,000 | 347,413,000 | 253,207,000 | 250,399,000 | 244,631,000 | 240,337,000 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 18,318,000 | 27,594,000 | 68,950,000 | 62,132,000 | 101,077,000 | 70,623,000 | 47,002,000 | 41,037,000 | 50,930,000 | 51,715,000 |
| Free cash flow | 6,759,000 | 17,091,000 | 19,403,000 | 24,375,000 | 50,394,000 | 28,429,000 | -16,172,000 | 50,367,000 | 37,515,000 | -15,489,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 2.78% | 8.45% | 14.64% | 9.75% | 13.18% | 2.60% | -19.83% | -1.80% | -1.86% | -3.65% |
| Return on equity | 6.26% | 11.27% | 8.52% | 11.58% | 2.42% | -20.97% | -2.19% | -2.48% | -4.33% | |
| Return on assets | 1.63% | 4.24% | 6.78% | 5.20% | 6.54% | 1.29% | -8.64% | -0.84% | -1.15% | -2.06% |
| Liabilities / equity | 0.48 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.77 | 0.88 | 1.43 | 1.62 | 1.15 | 1.11 |
Industry Peer Context
Net margin peer context
ROE peer context
ROA peer context
Financial Bridges
Free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditures
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts FY 2025. Operating cash flow: accession 0001174947-26-000305; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | Capital expenditures: accession 0001174947-26-000305; concept PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment; source concepts us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | Free cash flow: accession 0001174947-26-000305; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment
Financial Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: GrossProfit. Source concepts: us-gaap:GrossProfit.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: PaymentsOfDividends. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsOfDividends.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: Assets. Source concepts: us-gaap:Assets.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: Liabilities. Source concepts: us-gaap:Liabilities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: StockholdersEquityIncludingPortionAttributableToNoncontrollingInterest. Source concepts: us-gaap:StockholdersEquityIncludingPortionAttributableToNoncontrollingInterest.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue. Source concepts: us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001174947-26-000305; filed 2026-03-06. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment.
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-05-08. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001681206.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 | -2.15 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | -0.47 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | -0.20 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 96,976,000 | -8,122,000 | -0.38 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 92,749,000 | 231,000 | 0.01 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 94,414,000 | 6,625,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 91,350,000 | 6,419,000 | 0.30 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 87,807,000 | -19,622,000 | -0.94 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 88,984,000 | -2,705,000 | -0.13 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 73,914,000 | 9,848,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 71,434,000 | 6,460,000 | 0.31 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 76,057,000 | -12,051,000 | -0.57 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 76,568,000 | -1,666,000 | -0.08 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 60,991,000 | -3,156,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 59,602,000 | 12,508,000 | 0.60 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-03-31; accession 0001174947-26-000570; filed 2026-05-08. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-03-31; accession 0001174947-26-000570; filed 2026-05-08. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-03-31; accession 0001174947-26-000570; filed 2026-05-08. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0001174947-26-000570.
Item 2. - Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion is intended to provide a more comprehensive
review of our operating results and financial condition than can be obtained from reading the unaudited consolidated financial statements
alone. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included
in Part I, Item 1, “Financial Statements.” Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis or set forth
elsewhere in this Form 10-Q constitutes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Please see “Forward-Looking
Statements” included elsewhere in this Form 10-Q. Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” included in our 2025 Annual Report
should also be reviewed for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results described,
or implied by, the forward-looking statements contained herein.
All dollar amounts, except per share data, are in thousands.
Financial Highlights
2026 First Quarter Consolidated Results of Operations
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Net income of $12,508, or $0.60 per share basic and $0.60 per share diluted |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Net premiums earned of $55,113 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Net investment income of $2,655 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Net favorable prior year reserve development of $4,048 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Underwriting gain of $11,221 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Combined ratio of 79.7% |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Operating cash flows of ($1,867) |
2026 First Quarter Consolidated Financial Condition
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Total cash and investments of $374,910 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Total assets of $492,109 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of $123,594 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Total liabilities of $241,913 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| · | Shareholders’ equity of $250,196 |
28
Results of Operations
Our consolidated net income was $12,508 and $6,460 for the three months
ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, respectively.
The major components of our revenues and net income for the two periods
are shown below:
| Three Months Ended March 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | ||||||
| Revenues: | |||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 55,113 | $ | 67,497 | |||
| Net investment income | 2,655 | 2,838 | |||||
| Net investment gains | 1,704 | 869 | |||||
| Fee and other income | 130 | 230 | |||||
| Total revenues | $ | 59,602 | $ | 71,434 | |||
| Components of net income: | |||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 55,113 | $ | 67,497 | |||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 23,356 | 38,525 | |||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses | 20,536 | 25,160 | |||||
| Underwriting gain | 11,221 | 3,812 | |||||
| Net investment income | 2,655 | 2,838 | |||||
| Net investment gains | 1,704 | 869 | |||||
| Fee and other income | 130 | 230 | |||||
| Income before income taxes | 15,710 | 7,749 | |||||
| Income tax expense | 3,202 | 1,289 | |||||
| Net income | $ | 12,508 | $ | 6,460 |
Net Premiums Earned
| Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | |||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||
| Direct premium | $ | 58,391 | $ | 72,161 | ||||
| Assumed premium | 1,983 | 39 | ||||||
| Ceded premium | (5,261 | ) | (4,703 | ) | ||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 55,113 | $ | 67,497 |
Net premiums earned for the three months ended March 31, 2026, decreased
$12,384, or 18.3%, compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025.
| Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | |||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||
| Private Passenger Auto | $ | 22,296 | $ | 22,658 | ||||
| Non-Standard Auto | 2,604 | 18,253 | ||||||
| Home and Farm | 25,694 | 23,721 | ||||||
| Crop | (670 | ) | (376 | ) | ||||
| All Other | 5,189 | 3,241 | ||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 55,113 | $ | 67,497 |
29
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net premiums earned
by business segment:
Private Passenger Auto – Net premiums earned for
the three months ended March 31, 2026, decreased $362, or 1.6%, compared to the same period in 2025. Results were driven by lower renewal
premiums in South Dakota and Nebraska as a result of underwriting actions taken in recent periods, partially offset by new business growth
in North Dakota.
Non-Standard Auto – Net premiums earned for the
three months ended March 31, 2026, decreased $15,649, or 85.7%, compared to the same period in 2025. This decrease was driven by strategic
decision during the third quarter of 2025 to stop writing non-standard auto business in Illinois, Arizona, and South Dakota, with existing
policies being non-renewed. We anticipate further reductions in net earned premiums in the near term as a result of the decisions to run
off these non-standard auto operations.
Home and Farm – Net premiums earned for the three
months ended March 31, 2026, increased $1,973, or 8.3%, compared to the same period in 2025. Results were driven by new business growth
in North Dakota and South Dakota, rate increases, and increased insured property values. These increases were partially offset by lower
homeowners renewal premiums in South Dakota and Nebraska as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
Crop – Net premiums earned for the first quarter
of any year are typically the result of prior crop year premium adjustments that correspond to the current year settlement of prior crop
year claims. The majority of crop insurance premiums are generally written in the second quarter and earned ratably over the remainder
of the calendar year.
All Other – Net premiums earned for the three months
ended March 31, 2026, increased $1,948, or 60.1%, compared to the same period in 2025 primarily driven by the Company’s decision
to participate on the catastrophe reinsurance programs of certain farm bureau insurance companies.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | |||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | ||||||||
| Direct losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 24,069 | $ | 40,379 | ||||
| Assumed losses and loss adjustment expenses | 121 | (233 | ) | |||||
| Ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses | (834 | ) | (1,621 | ) | ||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 23,356 | $ | 38,525 |
30
Our net losses and loss adjustment expenses for the three months ended
March 31, 2026, decreased $15,169, or 39.4%, compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025.
| Three Months Ended March 31, | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | |||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | ||||||||
| Private Passenger Auto | $ | 10,292 | $ | 13,495 | ||||
| Non-Standard Auto | 2,582 | 14,538 | ||||||
| Home and Farm | 10,361 | 9,787 | ||||||
| Crop | (693 | ) | (499 | ) | ||||
| All Other | 814 | 1,204 | ||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 23,356 | $ | 38,525 |
| Three Months Ended March 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | ||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio: | |||||||
| Private Passenger Auto | 46.2% | 59.6% | |||||
| Non-Standard Auto | 99.2% | 79.6% | |||||
| Home and Farm | 40.3% | 41.3% | |||||
| Crop | 103.4% | 132.7% | |||||
| All Other | 15.7% | 37.1% | |||||
| Total loss and loss adjustment expense ratio | 42.4% | 57.1% |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in the net losses
and loss adjustment expenses, and the net loss and loss adjustment expense ratios, by business segment:
Private Passenger Auto – The net loss and loss
adjustment expense ratio decreased 13.4 percentage points in the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period
in 2025. This decrease was driven by lower frequency of losses as well as favorable prior year development on loss reserves in the current
year quarter.
Non-Standard Auto – The net loss and loss adjustment
expense ratio increased 19.6 percentage points in the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. This
increase was primarily driven by significant strategic reductions in net earned premium in the current year quarter while continuing to
incur expenses necessary to adjust and settle claims.
Home and Farm – The net loss and loss adjustment
expense ratio decreased 1.0 percentage point in the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. This
decrease in the current year quarter was driven by favorable prior year development on loss reserves and rate increases impacting net
premiums earned.
Crop – The net losses and loss adjustment expenses
during the first quarter of any year are typically the result of the current year settlement of prior crop year claims. The majority of
crop insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses are generally incurred in the last three quarters of the calendar year.
All Other – The net loss and loss adjustment expense
ratio decreased 21.4 percentage points in the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. This decrease
was primarily driven by the strong results in the current year quarter related to the Company’s decision to participate on the catastrophe
reinsurance programs of certain farm bureau insurance companies.
31
Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio
| Three Months Ended March 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2025 | ||||||
| Underwriting and general expenses: | |||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 11,886 | $ | 16,528 | |||
| Other underwriting and general expenses | 8,650 | 8,632 | |||||
| Total underwriting and general expenses | 20,536 | 25,160 | |||||
| Expense ratio | 37.3% | 37.3% |
The expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and
general expenses and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs by net premiums earned. The expense ratio measures a company’s
operational efficiency in producing, underwriting, and administering its insurance business. The overall expense ratio remained consistent
in the three-month period ended March 31, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. The decrease in the amortization of deferred policy
acquisition costs is due to lower deferrable costs resulting from the strategic reduction in premium for the Non-Standard Auto segment,
which generally pays higher agent commissions than our other segments. Other underwriting and general expenses were consistent with the
prior year quarter and reflect strategic investments in human capital and technology during the current year.
Underwriting Gain (Loss) and Combined Ratio
[[GREPCENT_TABLE]]
[["","","Three Months Ended March 31,"],["","","2026","","","2025"],["Underwriting gain (loss):"],["Private Passenger Auto","","$","4,309","","","$","1,785"],["Non-Standard Auto","","","(1,623",")","","","(4,566",")"],["Home and Farm","","","5,835","","","","6,101"],["Crop","","","6","","","","99"],[
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion is intended to provide a
more comprehensive review of our operating results and financial condition than can be obtained from reading the consolidated financial
statements alone. Unless otherwise noted, the information in the following discussion is being presented for our continuing operations.
The discussion should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in Part II, Item
8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis or set
forth elsewhere in this 2025 Annual Report constitutes forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties. Please see “Forward-Looking
Statements” and Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from the results described, or implied by, the forward-looking statements contained herein.
Our Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in this document discusses 2025 and 2024 items and year-over-year comparisons between
2025 and 2024 as well as discussions of 2023 items and year-over-year comparisons between 2024 and 2023, which were included due to the
impacts of discontinued operations for those prior periods.
All dollar amounts, except per share amounts, are
in thousands.
Financial Highlights
2025 Consolidated Results of Operations
| · | Net loss of $10,413, or ($0.50) per share basic and diluted | |
|---|---|---|
| · | Net premiums earned of $270,655 | |
| · | Net investment income of $11,702 | |
| · | Net unfavorable prior year reserve development of $30,330 | |
| · | Underwriting loss of $26,724 | |
| · | Combined ratio of 109.9% | |
| · | Operating cash flows of ($4,859) |
2025 Consolidated Financial Condition
| · | Total cash and investments of $378,680 | |
|---|---|---|
| · | Total assets of $506,002 | |
| · | Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of $137,855 | |
| · | Total liabilities of $265,665 | |
| · | Shareholders’ equity of $240,337 |
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Results of Continuing Operations
Our consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with
GAAP. Management evaluates our operations by monitoring key measures of growth and profitability, which may include the disclosure of
certain non-GAAP financial measures. Our results of operations are influenced by numerous factors affecting the U.S. property and casualty
insurance industry including competition, weather, catastrophic events, innovation and emerging technologies, changes in regulations,
inflation, general economic conditions, judicial trends, fluctuations in interest rates, and other changes in the financial markets.
Our premium levels and underwriting results have been, and will continue
to be, influenced by market conditions. The property and casualty insurance industry has historically been characterized by soft markets
(periods of relatively high levels of price competition, less restrictive underwriting practices, and generally low premium rates) followed
by hard markets (periods of capital shortages resulting in a lack of insurance availability, relatively low levels of price competition,
more selective underwriting of risks, and relatively high premium rates). During soft markets, we may lose business to other carriers
offering competitive insurance at lower rates. We may also choose to reduce our premiums or limit premium increases leading to a reduction
in profit margins and revenues. Our industry is also influenced by general economic conditions, which could reduce overall premium volume
for us and our competitors. Additionally, the industry is impacted by changes in customer preferences, including customer demand for direct,
point-of-sale, or other non-traditional distribution channels. We regularly monitor our performance and competitive position by line of
business and geographic market to determine appropriate rate actions.
Premiums in the multi-peril crop insurance business are primarily influenced
by the types of crops planted, number of acres insured, and commodity prices because the rates are established by the RMA rather than
individual insurance carriers. The expected experience of this business for the calendar year may also significantly affect the reported
net earned premiums and losses due to the risk-sharing arrangement with the federal government. Multi-peril crop insurance premiums are
generally written in the second quarter, and earned ratably over the period of risk, which generally extends into the fourth quarter.
Premiums in the crop hail insurance business are also generally written in the second quarter and earned ratably until the end of the
third quarter.
Premiums in our other lines of business are written and earned throughout
the year based on their coverage periods. Losses on this business are also incurred throughout the year but are usually more frequent
and/or severe during periods of elevated weather-related activity.
Property Claims Service (“PCS”), a division of the Insurance
Services Office, maintains industry loss data related to catastrophe loss events. PCS defines a catastrophe as an event that causes damage
of $25 million or more in insured property losses and affects a significant number of insureds. When reporting on our losses from catastrophe
events, we may include losses from those events that were defined as a catastrophe by PCS or those events which may include losses that
we believe are, or will be, material to our operations, either in amount or in number of claims made. The frequency and severity of catastrophic
losses we experience in any year may significantly affect our results of operations and financial position. In analyzing the underwriting
performance of our property and casualty insurance business, we evaluate performance both including and excluding catastrophe losses.
Portions of our catastrophe losses may be recoverable under our catastrophe reinsurance agreements.
For more information on the Company’s results of operations
by segment, see Part II, Item 8, Note 21 “Segment Information.”
29
Years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023
The consolidated net loss from continuing operations for the Company
was $10,413 for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to net income of $6,600 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and net income
of $19,831 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
The major components of our revenues and net income (loss) for the
three periods are shown below:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Revenues: | |||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 270,655 | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 | |||||
| Fee and other income | 997 | 1,938 | 1,940 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 11,702 | 10,943 | 8,034 | ||||||||
| Net investment gains | 1,696 | 2,213 | 1,929 | ||||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 285,050 | $ | 325,204 | $ | 304,020 | |||||
| Components of net income (loss): | |||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 270,655 | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 | |||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 200,788 | 207,465 | 186,516 | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses | 96,591 | 104,966 | 96,957 | ||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss) | (26,724 | ) | (2,321 | ) | 8,644 | ||||||
| Fee and other income | 997 | 1,938 | 1,940 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 11,702 | 10,943 | 8,034 | ||||||||
| Net investment gains | 1,696 | 2,213 | 1,929 | ||||||||
| Goodwill impairment charge | — | (2,628 | ) | — | |||||||
| Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes | (12,329 | ) | 10,145 | 20,547 | |||||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) | (1,916 | ) | 3,545 | 716 | |||||||
| Net income (loss) from continuing operations | $ | (10,413 | ) | $ | 6,600 | $ | 19,831 |
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Net Premiums Earned
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||||||
| Direct premium | $ | 309,782 | $ | 341,885 | $ | 325,590 | ||||||
| Assumed premium | 2,627 | 2,984 | 3,570 | |||||||||
| Ceded premium | (41,754 | ) | (34,759 | ) | (37,043 | ) | ||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 270,655 | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 |
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2025 decreased
$39,455, or 12.7%, to $270,655, compared to $310,110 for the year ended December 31, 2024.
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2024 increased
$17,993, or 6.2%, to $310,110, compared to $292,117 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 91,027 | $ | 90,314 | $ | 83,360 | |||||
| Non-Standard auto | 50,000 | 95,225 | 87,760 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 93,920 | 90,761 | 83,389 | ||||||||
| Crop | 21,665 | 21,142 | 25,817 | ||||||||
| All other | 14,043 | 12,668 | 11,791 | ||||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 270,655 | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net premiums earned
by business segment:
Private passenger auto – Net premiums earned for
2025 increased $713, or 0.8%, from 2024. This increase was driven by new business growth in North Dakota, significant rate increases in
South Dakota and Nebraska, and improved retention in North Dakota and Nebraska, partially offset by lower new business and retention levels
in South Dakota. Net premiums earned for 2024 increased $6,954, or 8.3%, from 2023. This increase was driven by new business growth in
North Dakota as well as significant rate increases in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska, partially offset by lower new business
and retention levels in South Dakota and Nebraska as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
Non-Standard auto – Net premiums earned for 2025
decreased $45,225, or 47.5%, from 2024. This decrease was driven by strategic decisions to exit Nevada during 2024 and significantly reduce
written premium in the Chicago market for 2025 as well as the decision during the third quarter of 2025 to ultimately stop writing non-standard
auto business in Illinois, Arizona, and South Dakota, with existing policies being non-renewed. We anticipate further reductions in net
earned premiums over the next twelve months as a result of the decisions to run off these non-standard auto operations. Net premiums earned
for 2024 increased $7,465, or 8.5%, from 2023. Results were driven by prior period new business growth in Illinois and Arizona as well
as significant rate increases in the Chicago market where our non-standard auto business was concentrated, partially offset by lower retention
compared to the prior year and the decision to exit Nevada.
Home and farm – Net premiums earned for 2025 increased
$3,159, or 3.5%, from 2024. Results were driven by new business growth, rate increases, and increased insured property values in North
Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska, partially offset by lower retention rates in South Dakota. In addition, net premiums earned for 2025
were impacted by the recognition of higher ceded premiums earned as a result of reinstatement premium for a significant catastrophe event
in North Dakota during the second quarter of 2025. Net premiums earned for 2024 increased $7,372, or 8.8%, from 2023. This increase was
driven by new business growth in North Dakota, rate increases, and increased insured property values, which were primarily the result
of higher inflationary factors. These increases were partially offset by lower retention rates and new business levels in Nebraska and
South Dakota as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
Crop – Net premiums earned for 2025 increased $523,
or 2.5%, from 2024. The year-over-year increase was driven by the recognition of more favorable premium adjustments, related to the settlement
of prior crop year claims, in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the first quarter of 2024. Net premiums earned for 2024 decreased
$4,675, or 18.1%, from 2023. This decrease was
31
driven by a reduction in acres insured and lower commodity prices, which are a key determinant
of premiums on a Federal multi-peril crop insurance policy, in the current year.
All other – Net premiums earned for 2025 increased
$1,375, or 10.9%, from 2024. This increase was driven by rate and insured value increases for the commercial and excess lines of business.
Net premiums earned for 2024 increased $877, or 7.4%, from 2023. This increase was driven by rate and insured value increases for the
commercial and excess lines of business, partially offset by the continued run-off of our participation in an assumed domestic and international
reinsurance pool of business.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | ||||||||||||
| Direct losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 247,431 | $ | 220,991 | $ | 195,138 | ||||||
| Assumed losses and loss adjustment expenses | 606 | 784 | 1,140 | |||||||||
| Ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses | (47,249 | ) | (14,310 | ) | (9,762 | ) | ||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 200,788 | $ | 207,465 | $ | 186,516 |
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for the
year ended December 31, 2025 decreased $6,677, or 3.2%, to $200,788, compared to $207,465 for the year ended December 31, 2024.
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for the
year ended December 31, 2024 increased $20,949, or 11.2%, to $207,465, compared to $186,516 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 55,258 | $ | 51,869 | $ | 60,204 | |||||
| Non-Standard auto | 67,848 | 76,130 | 63,041 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 61,425 | 64,561 | 50,935 | ||||||||
| Crop | 11,140 | 9,071 | 10,793 | ||||||||
| All other | 5,117 | 5,834 | 1,543 | ||||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 200,788 | $ | 207,465 | $ | 186,516 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 60.7% | 57.4% | 72.2% | ||||||||
| Non-Standard auto | 135.7% | 79.9% | 71.8% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 65.4% | 71.1% | 61.1% | ||||||||
| Crop | 51.4% | 42.9% | 41.8% | ||||||||
| All other | 36.4% | 46.1% | 13.1% | ||||||||
| Total loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio | 74.2% | 66.9% | 63.8% |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net losses and
loss adjustment expenses, and the net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratios by business segment:
Private passenger auto – The net loss and loss
adjustment expenses ratio increased 3.3 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024. This increase was driven by higher severity on bodily
injury liability losses. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio decreased 14.8 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. This
decrease was the result of lower levels of weather-related losses in 2024 due to the mild winter in the Midwest compared to elevated winter
weather-related losses in 2023 as well as favorable prior year loss reserve development. Both periods were positively affected by earned
premium growth.
Non-Standard auto – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 55.8 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024. This increase was driven by higher unfavorable prior year development
on liability loss reserves, primarily related to bodily injury coverage. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio increased 8.1
percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. This increase
32
was driven by unfavorable prior year loss reserve development related to elevated
bodily injury losses, partially offset by earned premium growth resulting from new business growth and significant rate increases.
Home and farm – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio decreased 5.7 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024. The 2025 net loss and loss adjustment expense ratio was impacted
by losses from a significant catastrophe event in North Dakota during the second quarter of 2025 that exceeded the Company’s $20,000
retention as well as the related ceded premiums earned. Although there were no catastrophes during 2024, the net loss and loss adjustment
expense ratio for 2024 was impacted by elevated non-catastrophe weather losses in North Dakota and Nebraska. Catastrophe losses, net
of reinsurance, for the Home and Farm segment accounted for 21.2 percentage points of the net loss and loss adjustment expense ratio
for the year ended December 31, 2025. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio increased 10.0 percentage points in 2024 compared
to 2023. This increase was driven by higher loss severity and higher non-catastrophe weather-related losses in North Dakota and Nebraska
during 2024 compared 2023.
Crop – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio increased 8.5 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024. This increase was driven by higher crop hail losses in the current year
compared to the prior year. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio increased 1.1 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023.
The strong results for 2024 were the result of favorable crop growing conditions, similar to 2023.
All other – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio decreased 9.7 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024. This decrease was driven by lower severity on commercial property losses
as well as the effects of earned premium growth. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio increased 33.0 percentage points in 2024
compared to 2023. This increase was driven by elevated large loss experience compared to 2023 and an inter-segment reclassification of
a large loss during 2023.
Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Underwriting and general expenses: | |||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 59,993 | $ | 71,257 | $ | 67,631 | |||||
| Other underwriting and general expenses | 36,598 | 33,709 | 29,326 | ||||||||
| Total underwriting and general expenses | $ | 96,591 | $ | 104,966 | $ | 96,957 | |||||
| Expense ratio | 35.7% | 33.8% | 33.2% |
The expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and
general expenses and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs by net premiums earned. The expense ratio measures a company’s
operational efficiency in producing, underwriting, and administering its insurance business. The overall expense ratio increased 1.9 percentage
points in the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. The decrease in the amortization of deferred policy acquisition
costs is due to lower deferrable costs resulting from the strategic reduction in premium for the Non-Standard Auto segment, which generally
pays higher agent commissions than our other segments. The increase in the other underwriting and general expenses is due to strategic
investments in human capital and technology during the current year. The overall other underwriting and general expenses for the years
ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, were elevated due to costs associated with separation agreements. The overall expense ratio increased
0.6 percentage points in the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. The increase in the amortization of deferred
policy acquisition costs is due to higher deferrable costs resulting from significant earned premium growth compared to the prior year,
including significant growth in the Non-Standard Auto segment which generally pays higher agent commissions than our other segments. The
increase in the other underwriting and general expenses is due to the costs incurred in 2024 associated with the execution of separation
agreements with our former Chief Executive Officer and former Senior Vice President of Operations.
33
Underwriting Gain (Loss) and Combined Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 5,980 | $ | 10,407 | $ | (1,536 | ) | |||||
| Non-Standard auto | (40,805 | ) | (17,637 | ) | (12,860 | ) | ||||||
| Home and farm | (1,493 | ) | (2,373 | ) | 7,557 | |||||||
| Crop | 5,870 | 7,189 | 8,702 | |||||||||
| All other | 3,724 | 93 | 6,781 | |||||||||
| Total underwriting gain (loss) | $ | (26,724 | ) | $ | (2,321 | ) | $ | 8,644 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Combined ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 93.4% | 88.4% | 101.8% | ||||||||
| Non-Standard auto | 181.6% | 118.5% | 114.6% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 101.6% | 102.6% | 91.0% | ||||||||
| Crop | 72.9% | 66.0% | 66.3% | ||||||||
| All other | 73.4% | 99.3% | 42.5% | ||||||||
| Total combined ratio | 109.9% | 100.7% | 97.0% |
Underwriting gain (loss) measures the pre-tax profitability of our
insurance operations. It is derived by subtracting losses and loss adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs,
and other underwriting and general expenses from net premiums earned. The combined ratio represents the sum of these losses and expenses
as a percentage of net premiums earned and measures our overall underwriting profit.
The total underwriting gain (loss) decreased $24,403, or 1,051%, for
the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. The total underwriting gain (loss) decreased $10,965, or 126.9%,
for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses
and Loss Adjustment Expenses and the Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio sections above.
The overall combined ratio increased 9.2 percentage points in the year
ended December 31, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. The overall combined ratio increased 3.7 percentage points in the year ended
December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses and Loss Adjustment
Expenses and the Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio sections above.
Fee and Other Income
We had fee and other income of $997, $1,938, and $1,940 for the years
ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively. The decrease in the current year was driven by write-offs of uncollectable premiums
receivable as well as strategic reductions in non-standard auto premiums that typically generate the majority of the fee income. Fee and
other income for 2024 was generally consistent with 2023 due to elevated other income in 2023.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
We did not have a goodwill impairment charge for the year ended December
31, 2025, compared to $2,628 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and $6,756 for the year ended December 31, 2023. See Part II, Item
8, Note 10 “Goodwill and Other Intangibles” for additional information.
34
Net Investment Income
The following table shows our average cash and invested assets, net
investment income, and return on average cash and invested assets for the reported periods for continuing operations:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||||||||
| Average cash and invested assets | $ | 386,802 | $ | 371,110 | $ | 335,821 | |||||
| Net investment income | $ | 11,702 | $ | 10,943 | $ | 8,034 | |||||
| Gross return on average cash and invested assets | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Net return on average cash and invested assets | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
Net investment income increased $759 for the year ended December 31,
2025, compared to the year ended December 31, 2024. This increase was primarily driven by the favorable interest rate environment that
resulted in higher net investment income on an increased average fixed income securities balance (measured at fair value), partially offset
by lower interest rates in the current year for cash and cash equivalents. The increase in average cash and invested assets was driven
by changes in the fair value of fixed income securities due to the interest rate environment as well as positive operating cash flows
during the first six months of 2025. Net investment income increased $2,909 for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the year
ended December 31, 2023. This increase was primarily driven by the favorable interest rate environment which resulted in higher reinvestment
rates in our fixed income portfolio as well as higher yields on our cash and cash equivalents, partially offset by higher investment expenses.
Gross and net return on average cash and invested assets remained consistent
year-over-year from 2024 to 2025, primarily driven by the favorable interest rate environment that resulted in slightly higher yields
for fixed income securities, offset by lower interest rates in the current year periods for cash and cash equivalents.
Gross and net return on average cash and invested assets increased
year-over-year from 2023 to 2024, driven by the favorable interest rate environment that resulted in significantly higher net investment
income on an increased average balance of fixed income securities as well as cash and cash equivalents (measured at fair value). In addition,
the increase in investments in high dividend yield equities resulted in relatively consistent year-over-year dividend income despite a
reduction in the average equities balance (measured at fair value). The increase in average cash and invested assets was driven by additional
investments in fixed income securities as a result of positive operating cash flows during 2024.
Net Investment Gains (Losses)
Net investment gains (losses) consisted of the following:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||
| Gross realized gains | $ | 2,386 | $ | 1,341 | $ | 13,841 | ||||||
| Gross realized losses, excluding credit impairment losses | (1,080 | ) | (790 | ) | (1,745 | ) | ||||||
| Net realized gains | 1,306 | 551 | 12,096 | |||||||||
| Change in net unrealized gain on equity securities | 390 | 1,662 | (10,167 | ) | ||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | $ | 1,696 | $ | 2,213 | $ | 1,929 |
We had net realized gains of $1,306 for the year ended December 31,
2025, compared to $551 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and $12,096 for the year ended December 31, 2023. The net realized gains
for the year ended December 31, 2025, were driven by sales of equity securities that were executed as part of the strategic management
of our investment portfolio. The elevated net realized gains for the year ended December 31, 2023, were the result of a strategic liquidation
of a portfolio of equity securities. The gross realized gains from the sale of these securities were largely offset by the elimination
of the unrealized gain position of these securities. No credit impairment losses were reported during any of the periods presented.
We experienced an increase in net unrealized gains on equity securities
of $390 and $1,662 during the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively. These results were driven by the impact of changes
in fair value attributable to overall favorable equity markets during those periods. The change in net unrealized gains on equity securities
for 2023 was driven by the equity portfolio liquidation noted above and the impact of changes in fair value attributable to equity market
volatility. We had net realized gains on the sale of equity securities of $1,646, $750, and $12,619 during the years ended December 31,
2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.
35
Our fixed income securities are classified as available for sale because
we will, from time to time, execute sales of securities that are not impaired, consistent with our investment goals and policies. The
fixed income portion of the portfolio experienced net unrealized gains of $10,180 during the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to
net unrealized losses of $191 during the year ended December 31, 2024. The fixed income portfolio experienced net unrealized losses of
$9,168 during the year ended December 31, 2023. These changes were primarily the result of changes in U.S. interest rates. The change
in the fair value of fixed income securities is not reflected in net income; rather it is reflected as a separate component (net of income
taxes) of other comprehensive income.
Income (Loss) before Income Taxes
We had pre-tax loss of ($12,329) for the year ended December 31, 2025,
a pre-tax income of $10,145 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and pre-tax income of $20,547 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
The year-over-year decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 was largely attributable to higher unfavorable prior year loss reserve development
for Non-Standard Auto and higher expenses associated with investments in human capital and technology, partially offset by higher net
investment income and lower goodwill impairment charges. The year-over-year decrease in 2024 compared to 2023 was largely attributable
to higher loss severity and non-catastrophe weather-related losses for Home and Farm in the states of North Dakota and Nebraska, unfavorable
prior year loss reserve development for Non-Standard Auto, a goodwill impairment charge for Non-Standard Auto, and expenses incurred related
to the separation agreements with our former Chief Executive Officer and former Senior Vice President of Operations, partially offset
by net earned premium growth, improved loss experience for Private Passenger Auto, and higher net investment income.
Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
We recorded income tax benefit of ($1,916) for the year ended December
31, 2025, income tax expense of $3,545 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and an income tax expense of $716 for the year ended December
31, 2023. Including the impacts of discontinued operations and the loss on sale of discontinued operations, we recorded an income tax
benefit of $3,192 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and an income tax expense of $963 for the year ended December 31, 2023. Including
the impacts of discontinued operations and the loss on sale of discontinued operations, our effective tax rate for 2025 was 15.5% compared
to an effective tax rate of 35.2% and (22.6)% for 2024 and 2023, respectively. Our 2025 effective tax rate was impacted by several factors,
but non-taxable compensation-related expenses and prior-year true-ups on the loss on sale of discontinued operations were the most significant
drivers of the variance from the statutory rate. Our 2024 effective tax rate was impacted by several factors, but the loss on sale of
discontinued operations, non-taxable compensation-related expenses, and non-taxable goodwill impairment charge were the most significant
drivers of the variance from the statutory rate. Our 2023 effective tax rate was impacted by several factors, but the 2023 non-taxable
goodwill impairment charge was the most significant driver of the variance from the statutory rate. The valuation allowance against certain
deferred income tax assets was $2,345 as of December 31, 2025, $2,506 as of December 31, 2024, and $505 as of December 31, 2023.
Net Income (Loss)
We had net loss of ($10,413) for the year ended December 31, 2025,
net income of $6,600 for the year ended December 31, 2024, and a net income of $19,831 for the year ended December 31, 2023. The year-over-year
decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 was largely attributable to higher unfavorable prior year loss reserve development for Non-Standard
Auto and higher expenses associated with investments in human capital and technology, partially offset by higher net investment income
and lower goodwill impairment charges. The year-over-year decrease in 2024 compared to 2023 was largely attributable to higher loss severity
and non-catastrophe weather-related losses for Home and Farm in the states of North Dakota and Nebraska, unfavorable prior year loss reserve
development for Non-Standard Auto, a goodwill impairment charge for Non-Standard Auto, and expenses incurred related to the separation
agreements with our former Chief Executive Officer and former Senior Vice President of Operations, partially offset by net earned premium
growth, improved loss experience for Private Passenger Auto, and higher net investment income.
Return on Average Equity
For the year ended December 31, 2025, we had annualized return on average
equity of (4.3%), compared to annualized return on average equity, after non-controlling interest, of 2.8% and 7.9% for the years ended
December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
Average equity is calculated as the average between beginning and ending
equity, excluding non-controlling interest, for the period.
36
Principal Revenue Items
Revenue is primarily derived from net premiums earned, net investment
income, and net investment gains (losses).
Gross and Net Premiums Written
Gross premiums written is equal to direct premiums
written and assumed premiums before the effect of ceded reinsurance. Gross premiums written are recognized upon sale of new insurance
contracts or renewal of existing contracts. Net premiums written is equal to gross premiums written less premiums ceded to reinsurers.
Premiums Earned
Premiums earned is the earned portion of net premiums written. Insurance
premiums on property and casualty policies are recognized in proportion to the underlying risk insured and are earned ratably over the
duration of the policies or, in the case of crop insurance, over the period of risk to the Company. At the end of each accounting period,
the portion of the premiums that is not yet earned is included in unearned premiums and is realized as revenue in subsequent periods over
the remaining term of the policy or period of risk. Our property and casualty policies, other than some of our auto lines and the non-standard
auto policies, typically have a term of twelve months.
Due to the nature of the crop planting and harvesting cycle and the
deadlines for filing and processing claims under the federal crop insurance program, insurance premiums for multi-peril crop insurance
are recognized and earned during the period of risk, which usually begins in spring and ends with harvest in the fall. Under the federal
crop insurance program, farmers must purchase crop insurance with respect to spring planted crops by March 15. By July 15, the farmer
must report the number of acres planted in each crop. On September 1, the insurer bills the farmer for the insurance premium, which is
due and payable by the farmer by October 1. If the farmer does not pay the premium by such date, the insurer will charge interest at a
rate of 15% because the insurer is required to pay the farmer’s portion of the premium to the FCIC by November 15, regardless of
whether the farmer pays the premium to the insurer. Except for claims occurring in the spring (primarily for prevented planting and required
replanting claims), claims are required to be filed with the FCIC by December 15. A different cycle exists for crops planted in the fall,
such as winter wheat, but the vast majority of crop insurance we write covers crops planted in the spring.
Net Investment Income and Net Investment
Gains (Losses)
We invest our excess cash in fixed income and equity securities. Investment
income includes interest and dividends earned on invested assets and is reported net of investment-related expenses. Net investment gains
(losses) are reported separately from net investment income. We recognize realized gains when investments are sold for an amount greater
than their cost or amortized cost (in the case of fixed income securities) and realized losses when investments are sold for an amount
less than their cost or amortized cost or when credit impairments are recorded, as applicable. We recognize changes in unrealized gains
and losses of equity securities in net income as part of net investment gains (losses). These gains and losses may be significant given
the fair market value of the equity portfolio and the inherent volatility in equity markets. The changes in unrealized gains and losses
on fixed income securities are recorded in other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes. Therefore, these changes have no impact
on net income but do impact shareholders’ equity.
The portfolio of investments for NI Holdings and its insurance subsidiaries
is managed by Conning, Inc., which has discretion to buy and sell securities in accordance with the investment policy approved by our
Board of Directors.
Principal Expense Items
Our expenses consist primarily of losses and loss adjustment expenses,
amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, other underwriting and general expenses, and income taxes.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Losses and loss adjustment expenses represent the largest expense item
and include (1) claim payments made, (2) estimates for future claim payments and changes in those estimates from prior periods, and (3)
costs associated with investigating, defending, and adjusting claims, including legal fees.
Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Other Underwriting
and General Expenses
Expenses incurred to underwrite risks are referred to as policy acquisition
costs. Policy acquisition costs consist of commission expenses, state premium taxes, and certain other underwriting expenses that vary
with and are primarily related to the writing and
37
acquisition of new and renewal business. These policy acquisition costs are deferred
and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies. Other underwriting and general expenses consist of salaries,
professional fees, office supplies, depreciation, and all other operating expenses not otherwise classified separately.
Income Taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid or owed
to the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the
Company. The generation of net losses may result in income tax benefits. As noted above, it does not include state premium taxes that
are based purely on the collection of policyholder premiums.
We use the asset and liability method of accounting
for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying
amounts and the income tax bases of its assets and liabilities. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that
some portion of the deferred income tax asset will not be realized. The effect of a change in tax rates is recognized in the period of
the enactment date. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability,
excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
Critical Accounting Policies
General
The preparation of financial statements in accordance
with GAAP requires both the use of estimates and judgment relative to the application of appropriate accounting policies. We are required
to make estimates and assumptions in certain circumstances that affect amounts reported in our consolidated financial statements and related
footnotes. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis based on historical developments, market conditions, industry
trends, and other information that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual results
will conform to these estimates and assumptions and that reported results of operations would not be materially adversely affected by
the need to make accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions from time to time. We believe the following
policies are the most sensitive to estimates and judgments.
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
How reserves are established
With respect to our traditional property and casualty insurance products,
we maintain reserves for the payment of claims (indemnity losses) and expenses related to adjusting those claims (loss adjustment expenses).
Our liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses consists of (1) case reserves, which are reserves for claims that have been
reported to us, and (2) IBNR, which represents reserves for claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported and for the
future development of reported claims. As some claims may not be reported for several years, the liability for unpaid losses and loss
adjustment expenses may include significant estimates for IBNR based on the time necessary to settle the claim.
Loss adjustment expenses consist of two components – allocated
loss adjustment expenses and unallocated loss adjustment expenses. Allocated loss adjustment expenses are the expenses for defense and
cost containment, including legal fees, court costs, and investigation fees, which are linked to the settlement of specific individual
claims or losses. Unallocated loss adjustment expenses are expenses that generally cannot be associated with a specific claim, including
internal costs such as salaries and other overhead costs. Estimates of future costs to administer reported and unreported claims for both
allocated and unallocated expenses are included in IBNR.
When a claim is reported to one of the insurance companies, its claims
personnel or assigned external parties establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment to the extent it can
be determined or estimated. In many cases a default reserve is utilized until the claims personnel can determine a more claim specific
amount. The amount of the loss reserve for the reported claim is based primarily upon an evaluation of coverage, liability, damages suffered,
and any other information considered pertinent to estimating the exposure presented by the claim. Each claim is contested or settled
individually based upon its merits, and some property and casualty claims may take years to resolve, especially in situations where legal
action may be involved. Case reserves are reviewed on a regular basis and are updated as new information becomes available.
When a catastrophe occurs, which in our case usually involves the weather
perils of wind and hail, we utilize mapping technology, through geographic coding of our property risks, to overlay the path of the storm.
This enables us to establish estimated damage amounts based on the wind speed and size of the hail for case or per claim loss amounts.
This process allows us to determine within a
38
reasonable time (5-7 days) an estimated number of claims and estimated losses from the storm.
We have also begun reviewing the results of the predicted cost of the claim generated by the catastrophe models as a reasonability check
on the anticipated cost of the storm. If we estimate the damages to be in excess of half of the retained catastrophe amount, reinsurers
are notified of a potential loss so that we can quickly recover reinsurance payments once the retention is exceeded.
We estimate multi-peril crop insurance losses on a quarterly basis
based upon historical loss patterns, current crop conditions, current weather patterns, input from crop loss adjusters, and other factors.
These estimates have proven to be reasonably accurate indicators of our anticipated losses for this line of business.
Our actuaries assist with the estimation of the liability for unpaid
losses and loss adjustment expenses. The actuaries prepare estimates by first deriving an actuarially based estimate of the ultimate
cost of total losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred as of the financial statement date based on established actuarial methods
as described below or other appropriate methods. We then reduce the estimated ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses by loss and
loss adjustment expenses payments and case reserves carried as of the financial statement date to determine the appropriate IBNR amount.
The actuarially determined estimate is based upon indications from various actuarial methodologies including paid chain-ladder, incurred
chain-ladder, Bornhuetter-Ferguson, weighted averages of the methods, and judgment. The specific method used to estimate the ultimate
losses varies depending on the judgment of the actuaries as to what is the most appropriate for the line of business. Management reviews
these estimates and supplements the actuarial analysis with information not fully incorporated into the actuarially based estimate, such
as changes in the external business environment and internal company processes. Management may adjust the actuarial estimates based on
this supplemental information in order to arrive at the amount recorded in the consolidated financial statements.
A further discussion of the actuarial methodologies used follows:
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method - The Bornhuetter-Ferguson
Method is a blended method that explicitly considers both actual loss development to date and expected future loss emergence. This method
is applied on both a paid loss basis and an incurred loss basis. This method uses selected loss development patterns to calculate the
expected percentage of losses unpaid (or unreported). The expected future loss component of the method is calculated by multiplying earned
premium for the given exposure period by a selected a priori (i.e. deductive) loss ratio. The resulting dollars are then multiplied by
the expected percentage of unpaid (or unreported) losses described above. This provides an estimate of future paid (or reported) losses
that is then added to actual paid (or incurred) loss data to produce the estimated ultimate loss.
Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development (Chain-Ladder) Method
- The Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method utilizes ratios of cumulative paid losses, case incurred losses, or paid loss adjustment
expenses at each age of development as a percent of the preceding development age. Selected ratios are then multiplied together to produce
a set of loss development factors which when applied to the most current data value, by accident period, develop the estimated ultimate
losses or loss adjustment expenses. Ultimate losses or loss adjustment expenses are then selected for each accident year from the various
methods employed.
Ratio of Paid Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses to Paid Loss
Method - The Ratio of Paid Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses to Paid Loss Method utilizes the ratio of paid allocated loss adjustment
expenses to paid losses and is similar to the Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development (Chain-Ladder) Method described above, except that
the data projected are the ratios of paid allocated loss adjustment expenses to paid losses. The projected ultimate ratio is then multiplied
by the selected ultimate losses, by accident year, to yield the ultimate allocated loss adjustment expenses. Allocated loss adjustment
expenses reserves are calculated by subtracting paid losses from ultimate allocated loss adjustment expenses.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment
and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claims
handling procedures/staffing, inflation, weather, legal trends, and regulatory and legislative changes. The impact of many of these items
on ultimate costs for losses and loss adjustment expenses is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimation is also affected by the volume
of claims, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim, and reporting lags (the time
between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout
the process, including the application of various individual experiences and expertise to multiple sets of data and analyses. We continually
refine our estimates of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses in a regular ongoing process as historical loss experience develops
and additional claims are reported and settled. We consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time the liabilities
for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are established.
There is an inherent amount of uncertainty in the establishment of
liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. This uncertainty is greatest in the current and most recent accident years
due to the more recent nature of the claims being reported and relatively small percentage of these claims that have been reported, investigated,
and adjusted by our claims staff. Therefore, the reserves carried in these more recent accident years are generally more conservative
than those carried for older accident years. As we have the opportunity to investigate and adjust the reported claims, both the case and
IBNR reserves are adjusted to more closely reflect the ultimate expected loss.
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Other factors that may have an impact on our case and IBNR reserves
include, but are not limited to, those described below.
Changes in liability law and public attitudes regarding damage awards
Laws governing liability claims and judicial interpretations thereof
can change over time, which can expand the scope of coverage anticipated by insurers when initially establishing reserves for claims.
In addition, public attitudes regarding damage awards can result in judges and juries granting higher recoveries for damages than expected
by claims personnel when reserves are established. In addition, these changes can result in both increased claim frequency and severity
as both plaintiffs and their legal counsel perceive the opportunity for higher damage awards. Reserves established for claims that occurred
in prior years would not have anticipated these legal changes and, therefore, could prove to be inadequate for the ultimate losses paid
by the Company, causing us to experience adverse development and higher loss payments in future years.
Change in claims handling and/or setting case reserves
Changes in Company personnel and/or the approach to how claims are
reported, adjusted, and reserved may affect the reserves we establish. As discussed above, the setting of IBNR reserves is not an exact
science and involves the expert judgment of an actuary. One actuary’s reserve opinion may differ slightly from another actuary’s
opinion. This is the primary reason why the IBNR reserve estimate is customarily reported as a range by a company’s actuary, which
provides a company with an acceptable range to use in establishing its best estimate for IBNR reserves.
Economic inflation
A sudden and extreme increase in the economic inflation rate could
have a significant impact on our case and IBNR reserves. When establishing case reserves, claims personnel generally establish an amount
that in their opinion will provide a conservative amount to settle the loss. If the time to settle the claim extends over a period of
years, which is possible but unlikely as we usually settle claims in less than a year on average, the initial reserve may not anticipate
an economic inflation rate that is significantly higher than the current inflation rate. This can also apply to IBNR reserves. Should
the economic inflation rate increase significantly, we may not anticipate the need to adjust the IBNR reserves accordingly, which could
lead to deficient IBNR reserves.
Increases or decreases in claim severity for reasons other than
inflation
Factors exist that can drive the cost to settle claims for reasons
other than standard inflation. For example, demand surge caused by a significant catastrophe, such as a derecho, has an impact on not
only the availability and cost of building materials such as roofing and other materials, but also the availability and cost of labor.
Numerous other factors could also cause claim severity to increase beyond what our historic reserves would reflect. In addition, unexpected
increases in labor, healthcare, or building material costs and other factors may cause fluctuations in the ultimate development of the
case reserves.
Actual settlement experience different from historical data trends
When establishing IBNR reserves, our actuaries consider many of the
factors discussed above. One of the more important factors that is considered when setting reserves is the past or historical claim settlement
experience. Our actuaries consider factors such as the number of files entering litigation, payment patterns, length of time it takes
our claims personnel to settle the claims, and average payment amounts when estimating reserve amounts. Should future settlement patterns
change due to the legal environment, our claims handling philosophy, or personnel, it may have an impact on the future claims payments,
which could cause existing reserves to either be redundant (excessive) or deficient (below) compared to the actual loss amount.
Change in Reporting Lag
As discussed above, we utilize historical patterns to provide an accurate
estimate of what will take place in the future. Should we experience an unexpected delay in reporting time (claims are slower to be reported
than in the past), we may underestimate the anticipated number of future claims, which could cause the ultimate loss we may experience
to be underestimated. A lag in reporting may be caused by changes in how claims are reported, the types or lines of business we write,
our distribution system, and the geographic area where we choose to insure risk.
Due to the inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates,
final resolution of the estimated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses may be higher or lower than the related loss
reserves at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid losses, as claims are settled in the future, may be materially higher or lower
in amount than current loss reserves. We reflect adjustments to the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses in the results
of operations during the period in which the estimates are changed.
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Investments
Our fixed income securities and equity securities are classified as
available-for-sale and carried at estimated fair value as determined by management based upon quoted market prices or a recognized independent
pricing service at the reporting date for those or similar investments. Changes in unrealized investment gains or losses on the fixed
income securities, net of applicable income taxes, are reflected directly in shareholders’ equity as a component of other comprehensive
income (loss) and, accordingly, have no effect on net income (loss). Changes in unrealized investment gains or losses on equity securities
are reported in net income (loss). Investment income from fixed income securities is recognized when earned, and realized investment gains
(losses) are recognized when investments are sold, the fair value of equity securities change, or credit impairments are recognized.
For additional information on our investments, see
Part II, Item 8, Note 4 “Investments” and Note 5 “Fair Value Measurements.”
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Certain direct policy acquisition costs consisting of commissions,
state premium taxes, and other direct underwriting expenses that vary with and are primarily related to the production of business are
deferred and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies as the underlying policy premiums are earned.
At December 31, 2025 and 2024, deferred policy acquisition
costs (“DAC”) and the related liability for unearned premiums were as follows:
| December 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | ||||||
| Deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 19,209 | $ | 26,300 | |||
| Liability for unearned premiums | 106,498 | 126,498 |
The method followed in computing DAC limits the amount
of deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premium to be earned, related investment income, losses
and loss adjustment expenses, and certain other costs expected to be incurred as the premium is earned. Future changes in estimates, the
most significant of which is expected losses and loss adjustment expenses, may require adjustments to DAC. If the estimation of net realizable
value indicates that DAC are not recoverable, they would be written off or a premium deficiency reserve would be established.
Income Taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid or owed
to the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the
Company. The generation of net losses may result in income tax benefits, a portion of which may be in the form of refunds of prior income
taxes paid to taxing authorities. We use the asset and liability method of accounting for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes
arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the income tax bases of our assets
and liabilities. A valuation allowance is established when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred income tax asset
will not be realized. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability,
excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
We had gross deferred income tax assets of $12,680
at December 31, 2025, and $15,946 at December 31, 2024, arising primarily from unearned premiums, loss reserve discounting, net unrealized
investment losses, and net operating loss carryforwards. A valuation allowance is required to be established for any portion of the deferred
income tax asset for which we believe it is more likely than not that it will not be realized. A valuation allowance of $2,345 and $2,506
was maintained at December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2024, respectively.
We had gross deferred income tax liabilities of $4,190 at December
31, 2025, and $6,116 at December 31, 2024, arising primarily from deferred policy acquisition costs and other intangible assets.
We exercise significant judgment in evaluating the
amount and timing of recognition of the resulting income tax liabilities and assets. These judgments require us to make projections of
future taxable income. The judgments and estimates we make in determining our deferred income tax assets, which are inherently subjective,
are reviewed on a continual basis as regulatory and business factors change. Any reduction in estimated future taxable income may require
us to record a valuation allowance against our deferred income tax assets.
As of December 31, 2025, we had no material unrecognized
income tax benefits or accrued interest and penalties. Federal income tax returns for the years 2021 through 2024 remain subject to examination.
41
Changing Climate Conditions
Longer-term natural catastrophe trends may be changing, and new types
of catastrophe losses may be developing due to climate change, a phenomenon that has been associated with extreme weather events linked
to rising temperatures, and includes effects on global weather patterns, greenhouse gases, sea, land and air temperatures, sea levels,
rain, hail, and snow. The frequency, number, and severity of these losses are unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is
a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Our ability to
effectively manage catastrophe risk is dependent, in part, on our reliance on various catastrophe models, which may produce unreliable
output as a result of inaccurate or incomplete data, along with the inherent uncertainty of future frequency and severity of losses. The
impact of changing climate conditions on the overall insurance industry may also materially affect the availability and cost of reinsurance
to us. In addition, these changes could impact the creditworthiness of issuers of securities in which we invest, subjecting our investment
portfolio to increased credit and interest rate risk, with the potential for reduced investment returns and/or material realized or unrealized
losses.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
We expect to generate sufficient funds from our operations and maintain
a high degree of liquidity in our investment portfolio to meet the demands of claim settlements and operating expenses for the foreseeable
future. Our primary sources of funds are premium collections, investment earnings, and fixed income maturities.
We also have a $3,000 line of credit with Wells Fargo
Bank, N.A. The terms of the line of credit include a floating interest rate of 2.25% above the daily simple secured overnight financing
rate. There were no outstanding amounts during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, or 2023. This line of credit is scheduled to expire
on December 11, 2026.
The changes in cash and cash equivalents for continuing
and discontinued operations for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023 were as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | ||||||||||
| Net cash flows from operating activities | $ | (15,272 | ) | $ | 38,506 | $ | 51,028 | |||||
| Net cash flows from investing activities | 18,839 | (4,541 | ) | (8,813 | ) | |||||||
| Net cash flows from financing activities | (2,782 | ) | (3,643 | ) | (7,466 | ) | ||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | 785 | $ | 30,322 | $ | 34,749 |
For the year ended December 31, 2025, net cash used by operating activities
totaled $15,272 compared to $38,506 net cash provided by operating activities a year ago. This change was primarily driven by reductions
in cash received due to strategic decisions to stop writing non-standard auto in the current year and greater cash received in the prior
year from Westminster’s operations prior to the sale.
For the year ended December 31, 2025, net cash provided by investing
activities totaled $18,839 compared to $4,541 net cash used by investing activities a year ago. This change was primarily attributable
to the decrease in the net cash outflows for fixed income securities in the current year, partially offset by proceeds from the sale of
Westminster in the prior year.
For the year ended December 31, 2025, net cash used by financing activities
totaled $2,782 compared to $3,643 a year ago. This decrease in cash used was attributable to the final pooling settlement between Nodak
Insurance and Westminster in the prior year, partially offset by the resumption of share repurchases in the current year.
For the year ended December 31, 2024, net cash provided by operating
activities totaled $38,506 compared to $51,028 net cash provided by operating activities during 2023. This change was primarily driven
by the severance payments to our former Chief Executive Officer and former Senior Vice President of Operations in the current year as
well as the receipt of a significant income tax refund during 2023.
For the year ended December 31, 2024, net cash used by investing activities
totaled $4,541 compared to $8,813 net cash used by investing activities during 2023. This change was primarily attributable to the proceeds
from the sale of Westminster as well as a decrease in the net cash outflows for fixed income securities in the current year, partially
offset by a decrease in the cash inflows from equity securities in the current year.
42
For the year ended December 31, 2024, net cash used by financing activities
totaled $3,643 compared to $7,466 during 2023. This decrease in cash used was attributable to a reduction in share repurchases in the
current year partially offset by the final pooling settlement between Nodak Insurance and Westminster.
As a holding company, a principal source of long-term liquidity will
be dividend payments from our directly-owned subsidiaries.
Nodak Insurance is restricted by the insurance laws of North Dakota
as to the amount of dividends or other distributions it may pay to NI Holdings. North Dakota law sets the maximum amount of dividends
that may be paid by Nodak Insurance during any twelve-month period after notice to, but without prior approval of, the North Dakota Insurance
Department. This amount cannot exceed the lesser of (i) 10% of the Company’s surplus as regards policyholders as of the preceding
December 31, or (ii) the Company’s statutory net income for the preceding calendar year (excluding realized investment gains), less
any prior dividends paid during such twelve-month period. In addition, any insurance company other than a life insurance company may carry
forward net income from the preceding two calendar years, not including realized investment gains, less any dividends actually paid during
those two calendar years. Dividends in excess of this amount are considered “extraordinary” and are subject to the approval
of the North Dakota Insurance Department.
The amount available for payment of dividends from Nodak Insurance
to NI Holdings during 2026 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $6,730 as of December
31, 2025. No dividends were declared or paid by Nodak Insurance during the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023.
The amount available for payment of dividends from Direct Auto to NI
Holdings during 2026 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $3,829 as of December 31, 2025.
No dividends were declared or paid by Direct Auto during the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023.
Prior to its payment of any dividend, Nodak Insurance will be required
to provide notice of the dividend to the North Dakota Insurance Department. This notice must be provided to the North Dakota Insurance
Department 30 days prior to the payment of an extraordinary dividend and 10 days prior to the payment of an ordinary dividend. The North
Dakota Insurance Department has the power to limit or prohibit dividend payments if an insurance company is in violation of any law or
regulation. These restrictions or any subsequently imposed restrictions may affect our future liquidity.
Westminster was sold on June 30, 2024, and therefore no dividends are
available to be paid to NI Holdings subsequent to that date. No dividends were declared or paid by Westminster during the years ended
December 31, 2024 and 2023. See Part II, Item 8, Note 20 “Discontinued Operations” for additional information.
Contractual Obligations
The primary contractual obligations of the Company
include gross loss and loss adjustment expenses payments as well as operating and finance lease obligations.
The Company’s unpaid losses and loss adjustment
expenses were $137,855 as of December 31, 2025. Historical payment experience indicates that approximately 50% of this amount will be
paid during 2026 and another 34% will be paid over the subsequent two years. The actual timing and amounts of these payments in the future
may vary.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
For a discussion of recent accounting pronouncements,
see Part II, Item 8, Note 2 “Recent Accounting Pronouncements.”
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MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001174947-25-000304.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion is intended to provide
a more comprehensive review of our operating results and financial condition than can be obtained from reading the consolidated financial
statements alone. Unless otherwise noted, the information in the following discussion is being presented for our continuing operations.
The discussion should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in Part II, Item
8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis or set
forth elsewhere in this 2024 Annual Report constitutes forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties. Please see “Forward-Looking
Statements” and Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from the results described, or implied by, the forward-looking statements contained herein.
Our Management’s Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in this document discusses 2024 and 2023 items and year-over-year comparisons
between 2024 and 2023 as well as discussions of 2022 items and year-over-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022, which were included due
to the impacts of discontinued operations for those prior periods.
All dollar amounts, except per share amounts,
are in thousands.
Financial Highlights
2024 Consolidated Results of Continuing Operations
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net income of $6,600, or $0.31 per share basic and diluted |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net premiums earned of $310,110 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net investment income of $10,943 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Net unfavorable prior year reserve development of $13,517 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Underwriting loss of $2,321 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Combined ratio of 100.7% |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operating cash flows of $15,082 |
2024 Consolidated Financial Condition
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Total cash and investments of $385,094 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Total assets of $526,545 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of $137,288 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Total liabilities of $281,914 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Shareholders’ equity of $244,631 |
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Results of Continuing Operations
Our consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance
with GAAP. Management evaluates our operations by monitoring key measures of growth and profitability, which may include the disclosure
of certain non-GAAP financial measures. Our results of operations are influenced by numerous factors affecting the U.S. property and casualty
insurance industry including competition, weather, catastrophic events, innovation and emerging technologies, changes in regulations,
inflation, general economic conditions, judicial trends, fluctuations in interest rates, and other changes in the financial markets.
Our premium levels and underwriting results have been, and will
continue to be, influenced by market conditions. The property and casualty insurance industry has historically been characterized by soft
markets (periods of relatively high levels of price competition, less restrictive underwriting practices, and generally low premium rates)
followed by hard markets (periods of capital shortages resulting in a lack of insurance availability, relatively low levels of price competition,
more selective underwriting of risks, and relatively high premium rates). During soft markets, we may lose business to other carriers
offering competitive insurance at lower rates. We may also choose to reduce our premiums or limit premium increases leading to a reduction
in profit margins and revenues. Our industry is also influenced by general economic conditions, which could reduce overall premium volume
for us and our competitors. Additionally, the industry is impacted by changes in customer preferences, including customer demand for direct,
point-of-sale, or other non-traditional distribution channels. We regularly monitor our performance and competitive position by line of
business and geographic market to determine appropriate rate actions.
Premiums in the multi-peril crop insurance business are primarily
influenced by the types of crops planted, number of acres insured, and commodity prices because the rates are established by the RMA rather
than individual insurance carriers. The expected experience of this business for the calendar year may also significantly affect the reported
net earned premiums and losses due to the risk-sharing arrangement with the federal government. Multi-peril crop insurance premiums are
generally written in the second quarter, and earned ratably over the period of risk, which generally extends into the fourth quarter.
Premiums in the crop hail insurance business are also generally written in the second quarter and earned ratably until the end of the
third quarter.
Premiums in our other lines of business are written and earned throughout
the year based on their coverage periods. Losses on this business are also incurred throughout the year but are usually more frequent
and/or severe during periods of elevated weather-related activity.
Property Claims Service (“PCS”), a division of the Insurance
Services Office, maintains industry loss data related to catastrophe loss events. PCS defines a catastrophe as an event that causes damage
of $25 million or more in insured property losses and affects a significant number of insureds. When reporting on our losses from catastrophe
events, we may include losses from those events that were defined as a catastrophe by PCS or those events which may include losses that
we believe are, or will be, material to our operations, either in amount or in number of claims made. The frequency and severity of catastrophic
losses we experience in any year may significantly affect our results of operations and financial position. In analyzing the underwriting
performance of our property and casualty insurance business, we evaluate performance both including and excluding catastrophe losses.
Portions of our catastrophe losses may be recoverable under our catastrophe reinsurance agreements.
For more information on the Company’s results of operations
by segment, see Part II, Item 8, Note 21 “Segment Information.”
29
Years ended December 31, 2024, 2023, and 2022
The consolidated net income from continuing operations for the Company
was $6,600 for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to net income of $19,831 for the year ended December 31, 2023, and a net loss
of $38,685 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
The major components of our revenues and net income (loss) for the
three periods are shown below:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||
| Revenues: | ||||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 | $ | 271,740 | ||||||
| Fee and other income | 1,938 | 1,940 | 1,381 | |||||||||
| Net investment income | 10,943 | 8,034 | 6,636 | |||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | 2,213 | 1,929 | (11,975 | ) | ||||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 325,204 | $ | 304,020 | $ | 267,782 | ||||||
| Components of net income (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 | $ | 271,740 | ||||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 207,465 | 186,516 | 241,750 | |||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses | 104,966 | 96,957 | 78,908 | |||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss) | (2,321 | ) | 8,644 | (48,918 | ) | |||||||
| Fee and other income | 1,938 | 1,940 | 1,381 | |||||||||
| Net investment income | 10,943 | 8,034 | 6,636 | |||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | 2,213 | 1,929 | (11,975 | ) | ||||||||
| Goodwill impairment charge | (2,628 | ) | — | — | ||||||||
| Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes | 10,145 | 20,547 | (52,876 | ) | ||||||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) | 3,545 | 716 | (14,191 | ) | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) from continuing operations | $ | 6,600 | $ | 19,831 | $ | (38,685 | ) |
30
Net Premiums Earned
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||||||
| Direct premium | $ | 341,885 | $ | 325,590 | $ | 299,607 | ||||||
| Assumed premium | 2,984 | 3,570 | 6,550 | |||||||||
| Ceded premium | (34,759 | ) | (37,043 | ) | (34,417 | ) | ||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 | $ | 271,740 |
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2024 increased
$17,993, or 6.2%, to $310,110, compared to $292,117 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2023 increased
$20,377, or 7.5%, to $292,117, compared to $271,740 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 90,314 | $ | 83,360 | $ | 77,605 | |||||
| Non-Standard auto | 95,225 | 87,760 | 66,911 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 90,761 | 83,389 | 78,381 | ||||||||
| Crop | 21,142 | 25,817 | 34,721 | ||||||||
| All other | 12,668 | 11,791 | 14,122 | ||||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 310,110 | $ | 292,117 | $ | 271,740 |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net premiums
earned by business segment:
Private passenger auto – Net premiums earned
for 2024 increased $6,954, or 8.3%, from 2023. Results were driven by new business growth in North Dakota as well as significant rate
increases in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska, partially offset by lower new business and retention levels in South Dakota and
Nebraska as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability. Net premiums earned for 2023 increased $5,755, or 7.4%, from
2022. This increase was driven by significant rate increases in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska, partially offset by lower new
business production as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
Non-Standard auto – Net premiums earned for
2024 increased $7,465, or 8.5%, from 2023. Results were driven by prior period new business growth in Illinois and Arizona as well as
significant rate increases in the Chicago market where our non-standard auto business is concentrated, partially offset by lower retention
compared to the prior year and the decision to exit Nevada. Net premiums earned for 2023 increased $20,849, or 31.2%, from 2022. This
increase was driven by new business growth, improved retention, and significant rate increases in the Chicago market.
Home and farm – Net premiums earned for 2024
increased $7,372, or 8.8%, from 2023. Results were driven by new business growth in North Dakota, rate increases, and increased insured
property values, which were primarily the result of higher inflationary factors. These increases were partially offset by lower retention
rates and new business levels in Nebraska and South Dakota as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability. Net premiums
earned for 2023 increased $5,008, or 6.4%, from 2022. This increase was driven by rate increases along with increased insured property
values, which were primarily the result of higher inflationary factors. These premium increases were partially offset by lower levels
of new business production as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability
Crop – Net premiums earned for 2024 decreased
$4,675, or 18.1%, from 2023. This decrease was driven by a reduction in acres insured and lower commodity prices, which are a key determinant
of premiums on a Federal multi-peril crop insurance policy, in the current year. Net premiums earned for 2023 decreased $8,904, or 25.6%,
from 2022. This decrease was driven by lower commodity prices and lower muti-peril crop insurance rates in 2023, combined with fewer acres
insured compared to the prior year. In addition, the strong multi-peril crop results for 2023 resulted in higher ceded premiums as required
by the SRA.
All other – Net premiums earned for 2024 increased
$877, or 7.4%, from 2023. Results were driven by rate and insured value increases for the commercial and excess lines of business, partially
offset by the continued run-off of our participation in an assumed domestic and international reinsurance pool of business. Net premiums
earned for 2023 decreased $2,331, or 16.5%, from 2022. This
31
decrease was driven by the decision to non-renew our participation in an assumed
domestic and international reinsurance pool of business as of January 1, 2022.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | ||||||||||||
| Direct losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 220,991 | $ | 195,138 | $ | 255,187 | ||||||
| Assumed losses and loss adjustment expenses | 784 | 1,140 | 2,369 | |||||||||
| Ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses | (14,310 | ) | (9,762 | ) | (15,806 | ) | ||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 207,465 | $ | 186,516 | $ | 241,750 |
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for
the year ended December 31, 2024 increased $20,949, or 11.2%, to $207,465, compared to $186,516 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for
the year ended December 31, 2023 decreased $55,234, or 22.8%, to $186,516, compared to $241,750 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 51,869 | $ | 60,204 | $ | 65,420 | |||||
| Non-Standard auto | 76,130 | 63,041 | 39,400 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 64,561 | 50,935 | 107,823 | ||||||||
| Crop | 9,071 | 10,793 | 19,418 | ||||||||
| All other | 5,834 | 1,543 | 9,689 | ||||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 207,465 | $ | 186,516 | $ | 241,750 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 57.4% | 72.2% | 84.3% | ||||||||
| Non-Standard auto | 79.9% | 71.8% | 58.9% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 71.1% | 61.1% | 137.6% | ||||||||
| Crop | 42.9% | 41.8% | 55.9% | ||||||||
| All other | 46.1% | 13.1% | 68.6% | ||||||||
| Total loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio | 66.9% | 63.8% | 89.0% |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net losses and
loss adjustment expenses, and the net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratios by business segment:
Private passenger auto – The net loss and loss
adjustment expenses ratio decreased 14.8 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. This decrease was driven by lower levels of weather-related
losses in the current year due to the mild winter in the Midwest compared to elevated winter weather-related losses in the prior year
as well as favorable prior year loss reserve development. Both periods were positively affected by earned premium growth. The net loss
and loss adjustment expenses ratio decreased 12.1 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was the result of recent significant
rate increases, lower loss frequency compared to the prior year, and favorable prior year loss reserve development, partially offset by
elevated loss costs due to high levels of inflation.
Non-Standard auto – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 8.1 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. This increase was driven by unfavorable prior year loss reserve
development related to elevated bodily injury losses, partially offset by earned premium growth resulting from new business growth and
significant rate increases. We continue to take significant underwriting actions as a result of these elevated losses and challenging
market conditions. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio increased 12.9 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This increase
was driven by elevated loss severity as a result of inflationary factors as well as unfavorable prior year loss reserve development, partially
offset by significant rate increases.
32
Home and farm – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 10.0 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. This increase was driven by higher loss severity and higher
non-catastrophe weather-related losses in North Dakota and Nebraska during 2024 compared to the prior year, partially offset by earned
premium growth in the current year. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio decreased 76.5 percentage points in 2023 compared
to 2022. This decrease was driven by the much-improved loss experience as a result of having no catastrophe losses during 2023 compared
to 2022, combined with improved non-catastrophe weather losses and the significant rate increases and underwriting actions we implemented
to address the profitability on these lines of business. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, for the Home and Farm segment accounted
for 72.1 percentage points of the net loss and loss adjustment expense ratio for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Crop – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio increased 1.1 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. The strong results for 2024 were the result of favorable crop growing
conditions, similar to the prior year. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio decreased 14.1 percentage points in 2023 compared
to 2022. This decrease was due to improved crop growing conditions in 2023 in comparison to 2022.
All other – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 33.0 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023. This increase was driven by elevated large loss experience compared
to the prior year and an inter-segment reclassification of a large loss during 2023. The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio decreased
55.5 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was driven by improved loss experience related to the commercial and excess
liability lines of business.
Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Underwriting and general expenses: | |||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 71,257 | $ | 67,631 | $ | 53,605 | |||||
| Other underwriting and general expenses | 33,709 | 29,326 | 25,303 | ||||||||
| Total underwriting and general expenses | $ | 104,966 | $ | 96,957 | $ | 78,908 | |||||
| Expense ratio | 33.8% | 33.2% | 29.0% |
The expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and
general expenses and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs by net premiums earned. The expense ratio measures a company’s
operational efficiency in producing, underwriting, and administering its insurance business. The overall expense ratio increased 0.6 percentage
points in the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. The increase in the amortization of deferred policy acquisition
costs is due to higher deferrable costs resulting from significant earned premium growth compared to the prior year, including significant
growth in the Non-Standard Auto segment which generally pays higher agent commissions than our other segments. The increase in the other
underwriting and general expenses is due to the costs incurred in the current year associated with the execution of separation agreements
with our former Chief Executive Officer and former Senior Vice President of Operations. The overall expense ratio increased 4.2 percentage
points in the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. The increase in amortization of deferred policy acquisition
costs was driven by higher deferrable costs resulting from overall premium growth compared to the prior year, including significant growth
in the non-standard auto segment which generally pays higher agent commissions than our other segments. The increase in other underwriting
and general expenses was due to the impact of continued high levels of inflation and 2022 expenses being favorably impacted by multi-peril
crop insurance final settlements.
33
Underwriting Gain (Loss) and Combined Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 10,407 | $ | (1,536 | ) | $ | (9,548 | ) | ||||
| Non-Standard auto | (17,637 | ) | (12,860 | ) | 508 | |||||||
| Home and farm | (2,373 | ) | 7,557 | (52,644 | ) | |||||||
| Crop | 7,189 | 8,702 | 12,236 | |||||||||
| All other | 93 | 6,781 | 530 | |||||||||
| Total underwriting gain (loss) | $ | (2,321 | ) | $ | 8,644 | $ | (48,918 | ) |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||||||||
| Combined ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 88.4% | 101.8% | 112.3% | ||||||||
| Non-Standard auto | 118.5% | 114.6% | 99.3% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 102.6% | 91.0% | 167.2% | ||||||||
| Crop | 66.0% | 66.3% | 64.7% | ||||||||
| All other | 99.3% | 42.5% | 96.2% | ||||||||
| Total combined ratio | 100.7% | 97.0% | 118.0% |
Underwriting gain (loss) measures the pre-tax profitability of our
insurance operations. It is derived by subtracting losses and loss adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs,
and other underwriting and general expenses from net premiums earned. The combined ratio represents the sum of these losses and expenses
as a percentage of net premiums earned and measures our overall underwriting profit.
The total underwriting gain (loss) decreased $10,965, or 126.9%,
for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. The total underwriting gain (loss) increased $57,562, or 117.7%,
for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses
and Loss Adjustment Expenses and the Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio sections above.
The overall combined ratio increased 3.7 percentage points in the
year ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. The overall combined ratio decreased 21.0 percentage points in the
year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses and
Loss Adjustment Expenses and the Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio sections above.
Fee and Other Income
We had fee and other income of $1,938 for the year ended December
31, 2024, compared to $1,940 for the year ended December 31, 2023, and $1,381 for the year ended December 31, 2022. Fee income is largely
attributable to the Non-Standard Auto segment and is a key component in measuring its profitability. Fee and other income on this business
decreased to $1,219 for the year ended December 31, 2024, from $1,293 for the year ended December 31, 2023, due to elevated other income
in the prior year. Fee and other income for non-standard auto increased to $1,293 for the year ended December 31, 2023, from $831 for
the year ended December 31, 2022, due to an increase in policies that generate fee income.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
We had a goodwill impairment charge of $2,628 for the year ended
December 31, 2024, compared to $6,756 for the years ended December 31, 2023, and $0 for the year ended December 31, 2022. See Part II,
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001174947-24-000361.
Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations”, “Liquidity and
Capital Resources”, and Part II, Item 8, Note 21 “Statutory Net Income (Loss), Capital and Surplus, and Dividend Restrictions”.
Even if we receive dividends from Nodak Insurance,
Direct Auto, or Westminster, we may not declare any dividends to our shareholders due to working capital requirements. We are not subject
to regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends to shareholders, but we are subject to the requirements of the North Dakota Business
Corporation Act. This law generally permits dividends or distributions to be paid, to the extent we still have the ability to pay our
debts in the ordinary course of business after making the dividend or distribution payments. This law requires our total assets to exceed
our total liabilities plus the amount that would be needed to satisfy the preferential rights upon dissolution of holders of stock with
senior liquidation rights if we were to be dissolved at the time the dividend or distribution is paid.
27
Unregistered Securities
The Company has not sold any unregistered securities
within the past three years.
Use of Proceeds from Initial Public Offering
On January 17, 2017, our registration statement on
Form S-1 registering our common stock was declared effective by the SEC. On March 13, 2017, the Company completed the IPO of 10,350,000
shares of common stock at a price of $10.00 per share. The Company received net proceeds of $93,145 from the offering, after deducting
the underwriting discounts and offering expenses.
Direct Auto was acquired on August 31, 2018, with
$17,000 of the net proceeds from the IPO.
On January 1, 2020, we acquired Westminster for $40,000. We paid $20,000
at the time of closing. The terms of the acquisition agreement included payment of the remaining $20,000, subject to certain adjustments,
in three equal installments on each of the first and second anniversaries of the closing, and on the first business day of the month preceding
the third anniversary of the closing. The first two installments were paid in January 2021 and January 2022, and the final installment
was paid in December 2022 with no adjustments from the originally anticipated amount. The Company used net proceeds from the IPO to satisfy
these obligations.
From time to time, the Company may also repurchase
its own stock. To date, the Company has used net proceeds from the IPO to fund these share repurchases. For more information, see Part
II, Item 5, “Issuer Stock Purchases”.
There has been no material change in the planned
use of proceeds from our IPO as described in our final prospectus filed with the SEC on January 17, 2017.
28
Issuer Stock Purchases
The Company had no common shares outstanding prior
to March 13, 2017.
On May 4, 2020, our Board of Directors approved an authorization for
the repurchase of up to approximately $10,000 of the Company’s outstanding common stock. During the year ended December 31, 2020,
we completed the repurchase of 454,443 shares of our common stock for $7,238 under this authorization. During the nine months ended September
30, 2021, we repurchased an additional 144,110 shares of our common stock for $2,762 to close out this authorization.
On August 11, 2021, our Board of Directors approved
an authorization for the repurchase of up to approximately $5,000 of the Company’s outstanding common stock. During the year ended
December 31, 2021, we completed the repurchase of 81,095 shares of our common stock for $1,554 under this new authorization. During the
year ended December 31, 2022, we completed the repurchase of 214,937 shares of our common stock for $3,446 to close out this authorization.
On May 9, 2022, our Board of Directors approved an
authorization for the repurchase of up to approximately $10,000 of the Company’s outstanding common stock. During the year ended
December 31, 2022, we completed the repurchase of 54,223 shares of our common stock for $734 under this authorization. During the year
ended December 31, 2023, we repurchased an additional 548,549 shares of our common stock for $7,278, including the effect from applicable
excise taxes. At December 31, 2023, $2,052 remains available under this authorization.
Share repurchase activity during the three months ended December 31,
2023, is presented below:
| Period in 2023 | Total Number of Shares Purchased | Average Price Paid Per Share (3) | Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs (1) | Maximum Approximate Dollar Value of Shares That May Yet Be Purchased Under the Plans or Programs (2)(3) (in thousands) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 1 – 31, 2023 | — | $ | — | — | $ | 2,052 | |||||||||
| November 1 – 30, 2023 | — | — | — | 2,052 | |||||||||||
| December 1 – 31, 2023 | — | — | — | 2,052 | |||||||||||
| Total | — | $ | — | — | $ | 2,052 |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (1) | Shares purchased pursuant to the May 9, 2022, publicly announced share repurchase authorizations of up to approximately $10,000 of the Company’s outstanding common stock. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (2) | Maximum dollar value of shares that may yet be purchased consist of up to approximately $2,052 under the May 9, 2022, publicly announced share repurchase authorization. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (3) | The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 imposed a 1% excise tax on the net value of certain share repurchases made after December 31, 2022. All dollar amounts presented exclude such excise taxes, as applicable. |
Item 6. [Reserved]
29
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion is intended to provide a
more comprehensive review of our operating results and financial condition than can be obtained from reading the consolidated financial
statements alone. The discussion should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included
in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Some of the information contained in this discussion and
analysis or set forth elsewhere in this 2023 Annual Report constitutes forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties.
Please see “Forward-Looking Statements” and Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” for a discussion of important factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results described, or implied by, the forward-looking statements contained
herein.
Our Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in this document generally discusses 2023 and 2022 items and year-to-year comparisons
between 2023 and 2022. Discussions of 2021 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021 that are not included in this document
can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II,
Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, filed with the SEC on March 8, 2023.
All dollar amounts, except per share amounts, are
in thousands.
Results of Operations
Our consolidated financial statements are prepared on the basis of
accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). Management evaluates our operations by
monitoring key measures of growth and profitability, which may include the disclosure of certain non-GAAP financial measures. Our results
of operations are influenced by numerous factors affecting the U.S. property and casualty insurance industry including competition, weather,
catastrophic events, innovation and emerging technologies, changes in regulations, inflation, general economic conditions, judicial trends,
fluctuations in interest rates, and other changes in the financial markets.
Our premium levels and underwriting results have been, and will continue
to be, influenced by market conditions. The property and casualty insurance industry has historically been characterized by soft markets
(periods of relatively high levels of price competition, less restrictive underwriting practices, and generally low premium rates) followed
by hard markets (periods of capital shortages resulting in a lack of insurance availability, relatively low levels of price competition,
more selective underwriting of risks, and relatively high premium rates). During soft markets, we may lose business to other carriers
offering competitive insurance at lower rates. We may also choose to reduce our premiums or limit premium increases leading to a reduction
in profit margins and revenues. Our industry is also influenced by general economic conditions, which could reduce overall premium volume
for us and our competitors. Additionally, the industry is impacted by changes in customer preferences, including customer demand for direct,
point-of-sale, or other non-traditional distribution channels. We regularly monitor our performance and competitive position by line of
business and geographic market to determine appropriate rate actions.
Premiums in the multi-peril crop insurance business are primarily influenced
by the types of crops planted, number of acres insured, and commodity prices because the rates are established by the RMA rather than
individual insurance carriers. The expected experience of this business for the calendar year may also significantly affect the reported
net earned premiums and losses due to the risk-sharing arrangement with the federal government. Multi-peril crop insurance premiums are
generally written in the second quarter, and earned ratably over the period of risk, which generally extends into the fourth quarter.
Premiums in the crop hail insurance business are also generally written in the second quarter and earned ratably until the end of the
third quarter.
Premiums in our other lines of business are written and earned throughout
the year based on their coverage periods. Losses on this business are also incurred throughout the year but are usually more frequent
and/or severe during periods of elevated weather-related activity.
Property Claims Service (“PCS”), a division of the Insurance
Services Office, maintains industry loss data related to catastrophe loss events. PCS defines a catastrophe as an event that causes damage
of $25 million or more in insured property losses and affects a significant number of insureds. When reporting on our losses from catastrophe
events, we may include losses from those events that were defined as a catastrophe by PCS or those events which may include losses that
we believe are, or will be, material to our operations, either in amount or in number of claims made. The frequency and severity of catastrophic
losses we experience in any year may significantly affect our results of operations and financial position. In analyzing the underwriting
performance of our property and casualty insurance business, we evaluate performance both including and excluding catastrophe losses.
Portions of our catastrophe losses may be recoverable under our catastrophe reinsurance agreements.
For more information on the Company’s results of operations
by segment, see Part II, Item 8, Note 20 “Segment Information”.
30
Years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021
The consolidated net loss for the Company was $5,226 for the year
ended December 31, 2023, compared to a net loss of $53,775 for the year ended December 31, 2022, and net income of $8,332 for the year
ended December 31, 2021.
The major components of our revenues and net income (loss) for the
three periods are shown below:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Revenues: | ||||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 351,137 | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 | ||||||
| Fee and other income | 1,978 | 1,453 | 1,775 | |||||||||
| Net investment income | 10,456 | 7,820 | 7,131 | |||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | 2,124 | (13,126 | ) | 15,479 | ||||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 365,695 | $ | 324,437 | $ | 323,974 | ||||||
| Components of net income (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 351,137 | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 | ||||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 244,412 | 294,432 | 216,379 | |||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses | 118,790 | 99,034 | 96,289 | |||||||||
| Underwriting loss | (12,065 | ) | (65,176 | ) | (13,079 | ) | ||||||
| Fee and other income | 1,978 | 1,453 | 1,775 | |||||||||
| Net investment income | 10,456 | 7,820 | 7,131 | |||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | 2,124 | (13,126 | ) | 15,479 | ||||||||
| Goodwill impairment charge | (6,756 | ) | — | — | ||||||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | (4,263 | ) | (69,029 | ) | 11,306 | |||||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) | 963 | (15,254 | ) | 2,974 | ||||||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | (5,226 | ) | $ | (53,775 | ) | $ | 8,332 |
31
Net Premiums Earned
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||||||
| Direct premium | $ | 401,945 | $ | 368,886 | $ | 333,254 | ||||||
| Assumed premium | 3,570 | 6,550 | 8,035 | |||||||||
| Ceded premium | (54,378 | ) | (47,146 | ) | (41,700 | ) | ||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 351,137 | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 |
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2023 increased
$22,847, or 7.0%, to $351,137, compared to $328,290 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2022 increased
$28,701, or 9.6%, to $328,290, compared to $299,589 for the year ended December 31, 2021.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 83,360 | $ | 77,605 | $ | 72,533 | |||||
| Non-standard auto | 87,760 | 66,911 | 58,585 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 83,389 | 78,381 | 73,792 | ||||||||
| Crop | 25,817 | 34,721 | 26,848 | ||||||||
| Commercial | 64,476 | 61,431 | 57,285 | ||||||||
| All other | 6,335 | 9,241 | 10,546 | ||||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 351,137 | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net premiums earned
by business segment:
Private passenger auto – Net premiums earned for
2023 increased $5,755, or 7.4%, from 2022. This increase was driven by significant rate increases in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska,
partially offset by lower new business production as a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
Non-standard auto – Net premiums earned for 2023
increased $20,849, or 31.2%, from 2022. This increase was driven by new business growth, improved retention, and significant rate increases
in the Chicago market where our non-standard auto business is concentrated.
Home and farm – Net premiums earned for 2023 increased
$5,008, or 6.4%, from 2022. This increase was driven by rate increases along with increased insured property values, which were primarily
the result of higher inflationary factors. These premium increases were partially offset by lower levels of new business production as
a result of underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
Crop – Net premiums earned for 2023 decreased $8,904,
or 25.6%, from 2022. This decrease was driven by lower commodity prices and lower muti-peril crop insurance rates, combined with fewer
acres insured in the current year. In addition, the strong multi-peril crop results for the current year resulted in higher ceded premiums
as required by the SRA.
Commercial – Net premiums earned for 2023 increased
$3,045, or 5.0%, from 2022. This increase was driven by prior period new business growth, increased insured values which were primarily
the result of higher inflationary factors, and continued increases in rate, partially offset by higher ceded premiums and the impact of
underwriting actions taken to improve profitability.
All other – Net premiums earned for 2023 decreased
$2,906, or 31.4%, from 2022. This decrease was driven by the decision to non-renew our participation in an assumed domestic and international
reinsurance pool of business as of January 1, 2022.
32
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | ||||||||||||
| Direct losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 293,978 | $ | 333,397 | $ | 280,998 | ||||||
| Assumed losses and loss adjustment expenses | 1,140 | 2,369 | 6,899 | |||||||||
| Ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses | (50,706 | ) | (41,334 | ) | (71,518 | ) | ||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 244,412 | $ | 294,432 | $ | 216,379 |
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for the
year ended December 31, 2023 decreased $50,020, or 17.0%, to $244,412, compared to $294,432 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for the
year ended December 31, 2022 increased $78,053, or 36.1%, to $294,432, compared to $216,379 for the year ended December 31, 2021.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 60,204 | $ | 65,420 | $ | 59,721 | |||||
| Non-standard auto | 63,041 | 39,400 | 34,453 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 50,935 | 107,823 | 52,145 | ||||||||
| Crop | 10,793 | 19,418 | 27,831 | ||||||||
| Commercial | 58,745 | 57,216 | 34,779 | ||||||||
| All other | 694 | 5,155 | 7,450 | ||||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 244,412 | $ | 294,432 | $ | 216,379 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 72.2% | 84.3% | 82.3% | ||||||||
| Non-standard auto | 71.8% | 58.9% | 58.8% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 61.1% | 137.6% | 70.7% | ||||||||
| Crop | 41.8% | 55.9% | 103.7% | ||||||||
| Commercial | 91.1% | 93.1% | 60.7% | ||||||||
| All other | 11.0% | 55.8% | 70.6% | ||||||||
| Total loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio | 69.6% | 89.7% | 72.2% |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net losses and
loss adjustment expenses, and the net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratios by business segment:
Private passenger auto – The net loss and loss
adjustment expenses ratio decreased 12.1 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was the result of recent significant
rate increases, lower loss frequency in the current year, and favorable prior year reserve development, partially offset by elevated loss
costs due to continued high levels of inflation.
Non-standard auto – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 12.9 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This increase was driven by elevated loss severity as a result
of inflationary factors as well as unfavorable prior year loss reserve development, partially offset by recent significant rate increases.
We continue to take significant rate and underwriting actions as a result of these elevated losses and challenging market conditions.
Home and farm – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio decreased 76.5 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was driven by the much-improved loss experience
as a result of having no catastrophe losses during 2023 compared to 2022, combined with improved non-catastrophe weather losses and the
significant rate increases and underwriting actions we have implemented to address the profitability on these lines of business. Catastrophe
losses, net of reinsurance, for the Home and Farm segment accounted for 72.1 percentage points of the net loss and loss adjustment expense
ratio for the year ended December 31, 2022.
33
Crop – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio decreased 14.1 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was due to improved crop growing conditions in 2023 in
comparison to 2022.
Commercial – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio decreased 2.0 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was driven by higher ceded losses in the current year, partially
offset by higher levels of unfavorable prior year reserve development and elevated loss severity in the current year. We continue to take
significant rate and underwriting actions to improve the segment’s profitability.
All other – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio decreased 44.8 percentage points in 2023 compared to 2022. This decrease was driven by improved loss experience related to the excess
liability lines of business.
Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Underwriting and general expenses: | |||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 82,991 | $ | 66,803 | $ | 64,574 | |||||
| Other underwriting and general expenses | 35,799 | 32,231 | 31,715 | ||||||||
| Total underwriting and general expenses | $ | 118,790 | $ | 99,034 | $ | 96,289 | |||||
| Expense ratio | 33.8% | 30.2% | 32.1% |
The expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and
general expenses and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs by net premiums earned. The expense ratio measures a company’s
operational efficiency in producing, underwriting, and administering its insurance business. The overall expense ratio increased 3.6
percentage points in the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. The increase in amortization of deferred
policy acquisition costs was driven by higher deferrable costs resulting from overall premium growth compared to the prior year, including
significant growth in the non-standard auto segment which generally pays higher agent commissions than our other segments. The increase
in other underwriting and general expenses was due to the impact of continued high levels of inflation and 2022 expenses being favorably
impacted by multi-peril crop insurance final settlements.
34
Underwriting Gain (Loss) and Combined Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | (1,341 | ) | $ | (9,416 | ) | $ | (7,704 | ) | |||
| Non-standard auto | (12,654 | ) | 622 | 1,362 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 7,752 | (52,512 | ) | (475 | ) | |||||||
| Crop | 8,762 | 12,294 | (9,195 | ) | ||||||||
| Commercial | (18,576 | ) | (17,958 | ) | 2,506 | |||||||
| All other | 3,992 | 1,794 | 427 | |||||||||
| Total underwriting loss | $ | (12,065 | ) | $ | (65,176 | ) | $ | (13,079 | ) |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Combined ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 101.6% | 112.1% | 110.6% | ||||||||
| Non-standard auto | 114.4% | 99.1% | 97.7% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 90.7% | 167.0% | 100.7% | ||||||||
| Crop | 66.1% | 64.6% | 134.3% | ||||||||
| Commercial | 128.8% | 129.2% | 95.6% | ||||||||
| All other | 37.0% | 80.6% | 95.9% | ||||||||
| Total combined ratio | 103.4% | 119.9% | 104.3% |
Underwriting gain (loss) measures the pre-tax profitability of our
insurance operations. It is derived by subtracting losses and loss adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs,
and other underwriting and general expenses from net premiums earned. The combined ratio represents the sum of these losses and expenses
as a percentage of net premiums earned and measures our overall underwriting profit.
The total underwriting loss decreased $53,111, or 81.5%, for the year
ended December 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses and Loss
Adjustment Expenses section above.
The overall combined ratio decreased 16.5 percentage points in the
year ended December 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses and
Loss Adjustment Expenses section above.
Fee and Other Income
We had fee and other income of $1,978 for the year ended December 31,
2023, compared to $1,453 for the year ended December 31, 2022, and $1,775 for the year ended December 31, 2021. Fee income is largely
attributable to the non-standard auto segment and is a key component in measuring its profitability. Fee and other income for non-standard
auto increased to $1,293 for the year ended December 31, 2023, from $831 for the year ended December 31, 2022, due to an increase in policies
that generate fee income.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
We had a goodwill impairment charge of $6,756 for the year ended December
31, 2023, compared to $0 for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021. See Part II, Item 8, Note 10 “Goodwill and Other Intangibles”
for additional information.
35
Net Investment Income
The following table shows our average cash and invested assets, net
investment income, and return on average cash and invested assets for the reported periods:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||||||||
| Average cash and invested assets | $ | 408,845 | $ | 455,366 | $ | 502,375 | |||||
| Net investment income | $ | 10,456 | $ | 7,820 | $ | 7,131 | |||||
| Gross return on average cash and invested assets | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | ||||||||
| Net return on average cash and invested assets | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
Net investment income increased $2,636 for the year ended December
31, 2023, compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. This increase was primarily driven by higher reinvestment rates as well as a strategic
increased allocation to fixed income securities in our investment portfolio. Net investment income increased $689 for the year ended December
31, 2022, compared to the year ended December 31, 2021.
Gross and net return on average cash and invested assets increased
year-over-year, driven by the higher net investment income and a higher proportion of the equity portfolio being invested in high dividend
yield equities in 2023, along with a decrease in average cash and invested assets (measured at fair value). This decrease in average cash
and invested assets was driven by challenging equity market conditions, particularly during the middle and later stages of 2022, combined
with investment sales as a result of an unusually high number of weather-related losses in 2022.
Net Investment Gains (Losses)
Net investment gains (losses) consisted of the following:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Gross realized gains | $ | 13,975 | $ | 7,195 | $ | 18,130 | ||||||
| Gross realized losses, excluding credit impairment losses | (1,924 | ) | (5,271 | ) | (362 | ) | ||||||
| Net realized gains | 12,051 | 1,924 | 17,768 | |||||||||
| Change in net unrealized gain on equity securities | (9,927 | ) | (15,050 | ) | (2,289 | ) | ||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | $ | 2,124 | $ | (13,126 | ) | $ | 15,479 |
We had net realized gains of $12,051 for the year ended December 31,
2023, compared to $1,924 for the year ended December 31, 2022, and $17,768 for the year ended December 31, 2021. The year-to-date increase
in net realized gains was primarily the result of a strategic liquidation of a portfolio of equity securities in the first quarter of
2023. The gross realized gains from the sale of these securities were largely offset by the elimination of the unrealized gain position
of these securities. No credit impairment losses were reported during any of the periods presented.
We experienced a decrease in net unrealized gains on equity securities
of $9,927 during the year ended December 31, 2023. The current period change in net unrealized gains on equity securities was driven by
the equity portfolio liquidation noted above and the impact of changes in fair value attributable to equity market volatility. The prior
year decreases were driven by the impact of changes in fair value attributable to unfavorable equity markets. We had net realized gains
on the sale of equity securities of $12,633, $2,075, and $17,118 during the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively.
Our fixed income securities are classified as available for sale because
we will, from time to time, execute sales of securities that are not impaired, consistent with our investment goals and policies. The
fixed income portion of the portfolio experienced net unrealized gains of $10,654 during the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to
net unrealized losses of $46,362 during the year ended December 31, 2022. The changes were primarily the result of changes in U.S. interest
rates. The change in the fair value of fixed income securities is not reflected in net income; rather it is reflected as a separate component
(net of income taxes) of other comprehensive income. The fixed income portfolio experienced a decrease in net unrealized gains of $9,796
during the year ended December 31, 2021.
36
Income (Loss) before Income Taxes
We had a pre-tax loss of $4,263 for the year ended December 31, 2023,
a pre-tax loss of $69,029 for the year ended December 31, 2022, and pre-tax income of $11,306 for the year ended December 31, 2021. The
year-over-year improvement in 2023 compared to 2022 was largely attributable to the significant catastrophe losses and significantly higher
investment losses during 2022, partially offset by higher unfavorable prior year reserve development during 2023.
Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
We recorded income tax expense of $963 for the year ended December
31, 2023, an income tax benefit of $15,254 for the year ended December 31, 2022, and income tax expense of $2,974 for the year ended December
31, 2021. Our effective tax rate for 2023 was (22.6)% compared to an effective tax rate of 22.1% and 26.3% for 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Our 2023 effective tax rate was impacted by several factors, but the current year non-taxable goodwill impairment charge was the most
significant driver of the variance from the statutory rate. The valuation allowance against certain deferred income tax assets was $505
as of December 31, 2023 compared to $694 as of December 31, 2022.
Net Income (Loss)
We had a net loss before non-controlling interest of $5,226 for the
year ended December 31, 2023, a net loss of $53,775 for the year ended December 31, 2022, and net income of $8,332 for the year ended
December 31, 2021. The year-over-year improvement in 2023 compared to 2022 was largely attributable to the significant catastrophe losses
and significantly higher investment losses during 2022, partially offset by higher unfavorable prior year reserve development during 2023.
Return on Average Equity
For the year ended December 31, 2023, we had annualized return on
average equity, after non-controlling interest, of (2.2)%, compared to annualized return on average equity, after non-controlling interest,
of (17.9)% and 2.4% for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Average equity is calculated as the average between beginning and
ending equity, excluding non-controlling interest, for the period.
Principal Revenue Items
Revenue is primarily derived from net premiums earned, net investment
income, and net investment gains (losses).
Gross and Net Premiums Written
Gross premiums written is equal to direct premiums
written and assumed premiums before the effect of ceded reinsurance. Gross premiums written are recognized upon sale of new insurance
contracts or renewal of existing contracts. Net premiums written is equal to gross premiums written less premiums ceded to reinsurers.
Premiums Earned
Premiums earned is the earned portion of net premiums written. Gross
premiums written include all premiums recorded by an insurance company during a specified policy period. Insurance premiums on property
and casualty policies are recognized in proportion to the underlying risk insured and are earned ratably over the duration of the policies
or, in the case of crop insurance, over the period of risk to the Company. At the end of each accounting period, the portion of the premiums
that is not yet earned is included in unearned premiums and is realized as revenue in subsequent periods over the remaining term of the
policy or period of risk. Our property and casualty policies, other than some of our auto lines and the non-standard auto policies, typically
have a term of twelve months.
Due to the nature of the crop planting and harvesting cycle and the
deadlines for filing and processing claims under the federal crop insurance program, insurance premiums for multi-peril crop insurance
are recognized and earned during the period of risk, which usually begins in spring and ends with harvest in the fall. Under the federal
crop insurance program, farmers must purchase crop insurance with respect to spring planted crops by March 15. By July 15, the farmer
must report the number of acres planted in each crop. On September 1, the insurer bills the farmer for the insurance premium, which is
due and payable by the farmer by October 1. If the farmer does not pay the premium by such date, the insurer will charge interest at a
rate of 15% because the insurer is required to pay the farmer’s portion of the premium to the FCIC by November 15, regardless of
whether the farmer pays the premium to the insurer. Except for claims occurring in the spring (primarily for prevented planting and required
replanting claims), claims are
37
required to be filed with the FCIC by December 15. A different cycle exists for crops planted in the fall,
such as winter wheat, but the vast majority of crop insurance we write covers crops planted in the spring.
Net Investment Income and Net Investment
Gains (Losses)
We invest our excess cash in fixed income and equity securities. Investment
income includes interest and dividends earned on invested assets and is reported net of investment-related expenses. Net investment gains
(losses) are reported separately from net investment income. We recognize realized gains when investments are sold for an amount greater
than their cost or amortized cost (in the case of fixed income securities) and realized losses when investments are sold for an amount
less than their cost or amortized cost or when credit impairments are recorded, as applicable. We recognize changes in unrealized gains
and losses of equity securities in net income as part of net investment gains (losses). These gains and losses may be significant given
the fair market value of the equity portfolio and the inherent volatility in equity markets. The changes in unrealized gains and losses
on fixed income securities are recorded in other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes. Therefore, these changes have no impact
on net income but do impact shareholders’ equity.
The portfolio of investments for NI Holdings and its insurance subsidiaries
is managed by Conning, Inc., which has discretion to buy and sell securities in accordance with the investment policy approved by our
Board of Directors.
Principal Expense Items
Our expenses consist primarily of losses and loss adjustment expenses,
amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, other underwriting and general expenses, and income taxes.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Losses and loss adjustment expenses represent the largest expense item
and include (1) claim payments made, (2) estimates for future claim payments and changes in those estimates from prior periods, and (3)
costs associated with investigating, defending, and adjusting claims, including legal fees.
Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Other Underwriting
and General Expenses
Expenses incurred to underwrite risks are referred to as policy acquisition
costs. Policy acquisition costs consist of commission expenses, state premium taxes, and certain other underwriting expenses that vary
with and are primarily related to the writing and acquisition of new and renewal business. These policy acquisition costs are deferred
and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies. Other underwriting and general expenses consist of salaries,
professional fees, office supplies, depreciation, and all other operating expenses not otherwise classified separately.
Income Taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid or owed
to the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the
Company. The generation of net losses may result in income tax benefits. As noted above, it does not include state premium taxes that
are based purely on the collection of policyholder premiums.
We use the asset and liability method of accounting
for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying
amounts and the income tax bases of its assets and liabilities. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that
some portion of the deferred income tax asset will not be realized. The effect of a change in tax rates is recognized in the period of
the enactment date. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability,
excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
Critical Accounting Policies
General
The preparation of financial statements in accordance
with GAAP requires both the use of estimates and judgment relative to the application of appropriate accounting policies. We are required
to make estimates and assumptions in certain circumstances that affect amounts reported in our consolidated financial statements and related
footnotes. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis based on historical developments, market conditions, industry
trends, and other information that we believe to be
38
reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual results
will conform to these estimates and assumptions and that reported results of operations would not be materially adversely affected by
the need to make accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions from time to time. We believe the following
policies are the most sensitive to estimates and judgments.
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
How reserves are established
With respect to our traditional property and casualty insurance products,
we maintain reserves for the payment of claims (indemnity losses) and expenses related to adjusting those claims (loss adjustment expenses).
Our liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses consists of (1) case reserves, which are reserves for claims that have been
reported to us, and (2) IBNR, which represents reserves for claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported and for the
future development of reported claims. As some claims may not be reported for several years, the liability for unpaid losses and loss
adjustment expenses includes significant estimates for IBNR.
Loss adjustment expenses consist of two components – allocated
loss adjustment expenses and unallocated loss adjustment expenses. Allocated loss adjustment expenses are defense and cost containment
expenses, including legal fees, court costs, and investigation fees, which are linked to the settlement of specific individual claims
or losses. Unallocated loss adjustment expenses are expenses that generally cannot be associated with a specific claim, including internal
costs such as salaries and other overhead costs, and also represent estimates of future costs to administer claims.
When a claim is reported to one of the insurance companies, its claims
personnel establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment to the extent it can be determined or estimated. The
amount of the loss reserve for the reported claim is based primarily upon an evaluation of coverage, liability, damages suffered, and
any other information considered pertinent to estimating the exposure presented by the claim. Each claim is contested or settled individually
based upon its merits, and some property and casualty claims may take years to resolve, especially in situations where legal action may
be involved. Case reserves are reviewed on a regular basis and are updated as new information becomes available.
When a catastrophe occurs, which in our case usually involves the weather
perils of wind and hail, we utilize mapping technology through geographic coding of our property risks to overlay the path of the storm.
This enables us to establish estimated damage amounts based on the wind speed and size of the hail for case or per claim loss amounts.
This process allows us to determine within a reasonable time (5 – 7 days) an estimated number of claims and estimated losses from
the storm. We have also begun reviewing the results of the predicted cost of the claim generated by the catastrophe models as a reasonability
check on the anticipated cost of the storm. If we estimate the damages to be in excess of the retained catastrophe amount, reinsurers
are notified immediately of a potential loss so that we can quickly recover reinsurance payments once the retention is exceeded.
We estimate multi-peril crop insurance losses on a quarterly basis
based upon historical loss patterns, current crop conditions, current weather patterns, and input from crop loss adjusters. These estimates
have proven to be reasonably accurate indicators of our anticipated losses for this line of business.
Our actuaries assist with the estimation of the liability for unpaid
losses and loss adjustment expenses. The actuaries prepare estimates by first deriving an actuarially based estimate of the ultimate cost
of total losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred as of the financial statement date based on established actuarial methods as described
below. We then reduce the estimated ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses by loss and loss adjustment expenses payments and case
reserves carried as of the financial statement date. The actuarially determined estimate is based upon indications from various actuarial
methodologies including paid chain-ladder, incurred chain-ladder, Bornhuetter-Ferguson, weighted averages of the methods, and judgment.
The specific method used to estimate the ultimate losses varies depending on the judgment of the actuaries as to what is the most appropriate
for the line of business. Management reviews these estimates and supplements the actuarial analysis with information not fully incorporated
into the actuarially based estimate, such as changes in the external business environment and internal company processes. Management may
adjust the actuarial estimates based on this supplemental information in order to arrive at the amount recorded in the consolidated financial
statements.
A further discussion of the actuarial methodologies used follows:
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method — The Bornhuetter-Ferguson
Method is a blended method that explicitly considers both actual loss development to date and expected future loss emergence. This method
is applied on both a paid loss basis and an incurred loss basis. This method uses selected loss development patterns to calculate the
expected percentage of losses unpaid (or unreported). The expected future loss component of the method is calculated by multiplying earned
premium for the given exposure period by a selected a priori (i.e. deductive) loss ratio. The resulting dollars are then multiplied by
the expected percentage of unpaid (or
39
unreported) losses described above. This provides an estimate of future paid (or reported) losses
that is then added to actual paid (or incurred) loss data to produce the estimated ultimate loss.
Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development (Chain-Ladder) Method
— The Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method utilizes ratios of cumulative paid or case incurred losses or loss adjustment
expenses at each age of development as a percent of the preceding development age. Selected ratios are then multiplied together to produce
a set of loss development factors which when applied to the most current data value, by accident year, develop the estimated ultimate
losses or loss adjustment expenses. Ultimate losses or loss adjustment expenses are then selected for each accident year from the various
methods employed.
Ratio of Paid Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses to Paid Loss
Method — The Ratio of Paid Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses to Paid Loss Method utilizes the ratio of paid allocated loss
adjustment expenses to paid losses and is similar to the Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development (Chain-Ladder) Method described above,
except that the data projected are the ratios of paid allocated loss adjustment expenses to paid losses. The projected ultimate ratio
is then multiplied by the selected ultimate losses, by accident year, to yield the ultimate allocated loss adjustment expenses. Allocated
loss adjustment expenses reserves are calculated by subtracting paid losses from ultimate allocated loss adjustment expenses.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment
and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claims
handling procedures/staffing, inflation, weather, legal trends, and regulatory and legislative changes. The impact of many of these items
on ultimate costs for losses and loss adjustment expenses is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimation is also affected by the volume
of claims, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim, and reporting lags (the time
between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout
the process, including the application of various individual experiences and expertise to multiple sets of data and analyses. We continually
refine our estimates of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses in a regular ongoing process as historical loss experience develops
and additional claims are reported and settled. We consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time the liabilities
for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are established.
There is an inherent amount of uncertainty in the establishment of
liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. This uncertainty is greatest in the current and most recent accident years
due to the more recent nature of the claims being reported and relatively small percentage of these claims that have been reported, investigated,
and adjusted by our claims staff. Therefore, the reserves carried in these more recent accident years are generally more conservative
than those carried for older accident years. As we have the opportunity to investigate and adjust the reported claims, both the case and
IBNR reserves are adjusted to more closely reflect the ultimate expected loss.
Other factors that may have an impact on our case and IBNR reserves
include, but are not limited to, those described below.
Changes in liability law and public attitudes regarding damage awards
Laws governing liability claims and judicial interpretations thereof
can change over time, which can expand the scope of coverage anticipated by insurers when initially establishing reserves for claims.
In addition, public attitudes regarding damage awards can result in judges and juries granting higher recoveries for damages than expected
by claims personnel when reserves are established. In addition, these changes can result in both increased claim frequency and severity
as both plaintiffs and their legal counsel perceive the opportunity for higher damage awards. Reserves established for claims that occurred
in prior years would not have anticipated these legal changes and, therefore, could prove to be inadequate for the ultimate losses paid
by the Company, causing us to experience adverse development and higher loss payments in future years.
Change in claims handling and/or setting case reserves
Changes in Company personnel and/or the approach to how claims are
reported, adjusted, and reserved may affect the reserves we establish. As discussed above, the setting of IBNR reserves is not an exact
science and involves the expert judgment of an actuary. One actuary’s reserve opinion may differ slightly from another actuary’s
opinion. This is the primary reason why the IBNR reserve estimate is customarily reported as a range by a company’s actuary, which
provides a company with an acceptable range to use in establishing its best estimate for IBNR reserves.
Economic inflation
A sudden and extreme increase in the economic inflation rate could
have a significant impact on our case and IBNR reserves. When establishing case reserves, claims personnel generally establish an amount
that in their opinion will provide a conservative amount to settle the loss. If the time to settle the claim extends over a period of
years, which is possible but unlikely as we usually settle claims in less than 50 days on average, the initial reserve may not anticipate
an economic inflation rate that is significantly higher than the
40
current inflation rate. This can also apply to IBNR reserves. Should
the economic inflation rate increase significantly, we may not anticipate the need to adjust the IBNR reserves accordingly, which could
lead to deficient IBNR reserves.
Increases or decreases in claim severity for reasons other than
inflation
Factors exist that can drive the cost to settle claims for reasons
other than standard inflation. For example, demand surge caused by a significant catastrophe, such as a hurricane, has an impact on not
only the availability and cost of building materials such as roofing and other materials, but also the availability and cost of labor.
Numerous other factors could also cause claim severity to increase beyond what our historic reserves would reflect. In addition, unexpected
increases in labor, healthcare, or building material costs and other factors may cause fluctuations in the ultimate development of the
case reserves.
Actual settlement experience different from historical data trends
When establishing IBNR reserves, our actuaries consider many of the
factors discussed above. One of the more important factors that is considered when setting reserves is the past or historical claim settlement
experience. Our actuaries consider factors such as the number of files entering litigation, payment patterns, length of time it takes
our claims personnel to settle the claims, and average payment amounts when estimating reserve amounts. Should future settlement patterns
change due to the legal environment, our claims handling philosophy, or personnel, it may have an impact on the future claims payments,
which could cause existing reserves to either be redundant (excessive) or deficient (below) compared to the actual loss amount.
Change in Reporting Lag
As discussed above, we utilize historical patterns to provide an accurate
estimate of what will take place in the future. Should we experience an unexpected delay in reporting time (claims are slower to be reported
than in the past), we may underestimate the anticipated number of future claims, which could cause the ultimate loss we may experience
to be underestimated. A lag in reporting may be caused by changes in how claims are reported, the types or lines of business we write,
our distribution system, and the geographic area where we choose to insure risk.
Due to the inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates,
final resolution of the estimated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses may be higher or lower than the related loss
reserves at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid losses, as claims are settled in the future, may be materially higher or lower
in amount than current loss reserves. We reflect adjustments to the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses in the results
of operations during the period in which the estimates are changed.
Investments
Our fixed income securities and equity securities are classified as
available-for-sale and carried at estimated fair value as determined by management based upon quoted market prices or a recognized independent
pricing service at the reporting date for those or similar investments. Changes in unrealized investment gains or losses on the fixed
income securities, net of applicable income taxes, are reflected directly in shareholders’ equity as a component of other comprehensive
income (loss) and, accordingly, have no effect on net income (loss). Changes in unrealized investment gains or losses on equity securities
are reported in net income (loss). Investment income from fixed income securities is recognized when earned, and realized investment gains
(losses) are recognized when investments are sold, the fair value of equity securities change, or credit impairments are recognized.
For additional information on our investments, see
Part II, Item 8, Note 4 “Investments” and Note 5 “Fair Value Measurements”.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
Certain direct policy acquisition costs consisting of commissions,
state premium taxes, and other direct underwriting expenses that vary with and are primarily related to the production of business are
deferred and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies as the underlying policy premiums are earned.
At December 31, 2023 and 2022, deferred policy acquisition
costs (“DAC”) and the related liability for unearned premiums were as follows:
| December 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||||
| Deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 34,120 | $ | 29,768 | |||
| Liability for unearned premiums | 164,100 | 148,513 |
The method followed in computing DAC limits the amount
of deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premium to be earned, related investment income, losses
and loss adjustment expenses, and certain other costs expected to be
41
incurred as the premium is earned. Future changes in estimates, the
most significant of which is expected losses and loss adjustment expenses, may require adjustments to DAC. If the estimation of net realizable
value indicates that DAC are not recoverable, they would be written off or a premium deficiency reserve would be established.
Income Taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid or owed
to the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the
Company. The generation of net losses may result in income tax benefits, a portion of which may be in the form of refunds of prior income
taxes paid to taxing authorities. We use the asset and liability method of accounting for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes
arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the income tax bases of our assets
and liabilities. A valuation allowance is established when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred income tax asset
will not be realized. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability,
excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
We had gross deferred income tax assets of $18,172
at December 31, 2023, and $17,900 at December 31, 2022, arising primarily from unearned premiums, loss reserve discounting, net unrealized
investment losses, and net operating loss carryforwards. A valuation allowance is required to be established for any portion of the deferred
income tax asset for which we believe it is more likely than not that it will not be realized. A valuation allowance of $505 and $694
was maintained at December 31, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively.
We had gross deferred income tax liabilities of $9,254 at December
31, 2023, and $8,201 at December 31, 2022, arising primarily from deferred policy acquisition costs and other intangible assets.
We exercise significant judgment in evaluating the
amount and timing of recognition of the resulting income tax liabilities and assets. These judgments require us to make projections of
future taxable income. The judgments and estimates we make in determining our deferred income tax assets, which are inherently subjective,
are reviewed on a continual basis as regulatory and business factors change. Any reduction in estimated future taxable income may require
us to record a valuation allowance against our deferred income tax assets.
As of December 31, 2023, we had no material unrecognized
income tax benefits or accrued interest and penalties. Federal income tax returns for the years 2020 through 2022 are open for examination.
Changing Climate Conditions
Longer-term natural catastrophe trends may be changing, and new types
of catastrophe losses may be developing due to climate change, a phenomenon that has been associated with extreme weather events linked
to rising temperatures, and includes effects on global weather patterns, greenhouse gases, sea, land and air temperatures, sea levels,
rain, hail, and snow. The frequency, number, and severity of these losses are unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe
is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Our ability
to effectively manage catastrophe risk is dependent, in part, on our reliance on various catastrophe models, which may produce unreliable
output as a result of inaccurate or incomplete data, along with the inherent uncertainty of future frequency and severity of losses.
The impact of changing climate conditions on the overall insurance industry may also materially affect the availability and cost of reinsurance
to us. In addition, these changes could impact the creditworthiness of issuers of securities in which we invest, subjecting our investment
portfolio to increased credit and interest rate risk, with the potential for reduced investment returns and/or material realized or unrealized
losses.
42
Liquidity and Capital Resources
We expect to generate sufficient funds from our operations and maintain
a high degree of liquidity in our investment portfolio to meet the demands of claim settlements and operating expenses for the foreseeable
future. Our primary sources of funds are premium collections, investment earnings, and fixed income maturities.
We also have a $3,000 line of credit with Wells Fargo
Bank, N.A. The terms of the line of credit include a floating interest rate of 2.50% above the daily simple secured overnight financing
rate. There were no outstanding amounts during the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, or 2021. This line of credit is scheduled to expire
on December 13, 2024.
The changes in cash and cash equivalents for the
years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021 were as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
| Net cash flows from operating activities | $ | 25,970 | $ | (30,388 | ) | $ | 29,168 | |||||
| Net cash flows from investing activities | (8,813 | ) | 25,048 | (48,151 | ) | |||||||
| Net cash flows from financing activities | (7,466 | ) | (18,281 | ) | (11,471 | ) | ||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | 9,691 | $ | (23,621 | ) | $ | (30,454 | ) |
For the year ended December 31, 2023, net cash provided by operating
activities totaled $25,970 compared to $30,388 net cash used by operating activities a year ago. This change was primarily driven by lower
claim payments and the receipt of a significant income tax refund during the current period.
For the year ended December 31, 2023, net cash used by investing activities
totaled $8,813 compared to $25,048 net cash provided by investing activities a year ago. This change was primarily attributable to a decrease
in maturities and sales of fixed income securities and an increase in purchases of fixed income securities in the current year compared
to the prior year, partially offset by an increase in sales of equity securities and a decrease in purchases of equity securities.
For the year ended December 31, 2023, net cash used by financing activities
totaled $7,466 compared to $18,281 a year ago. This decrease in cash used was attributable to installment payments on the Westminster
consideration payable during 2022, partially offset by an increase in share repurchases during 2023 compared to 2022.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, net cash used by operating activities
totaled $30,388 compared to $29,168 net cash provided by operating activities a year ago. This decrease was primarily driven by higher
claim payments related to catastrophe losses during the current year and higher levels of premiums and agents’ balances receivable
and federal income tax recoverable.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, net cash provided by investing
activities totaled $25,048 compared to $48,151 net cash used by investing activities a year ago. This decrease in cash used was attributable
to the significant catastrophe losses in Nebraska and South Dakota, which resulted in more sales of securities to pay losses and less
available cash for investment purchases. The decrease was also attributable to the Company investing a higher level of excess cash during
the first quarter of 2021.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, net cash used by financing activities
totaled $18,281 compared to $11,471 a year ago. This increase in cash used was primarily attributable to the Company making two installment
payments for the Westminster purchase during 2022 for $13,333 compared to one installment payment in 2021 for $6,667.
As a holding company, a principal source of long-term liquidity will
be dividend payments from our directly-owned subsidiaries.
Nodak Insurance is restricted by the insurance laws of North Dakota
as to the amount of dividends or other distributions it may pay to NI Holdings. North Dakota law sets the maximum amount of dividends
that may be paid by Nodak Insurance during any twelve-month period after notice to, but without prior approval of, the North Dakota Insurance
Department. This amount cannot exceed the lesser of (i) 10% of the Company’s surplus as regards policyholders as of the preceding
December 31, or (ii) the Company’s statutory net income for the preceding calendar year (excluding realized investment gains), less
any prior dividends paid during such twelve-month period. In addition, any insurance company other than a life insurance company may carry
forward net income from the preceding two calendar years, not including realized investment gains, less any dividends actually paid during
those two calendar years. Dividends in excess of this amount are considered “extraordinary” and are subject to the approval
of the North Dakota Insurance Department.
There is no amount available for payment of dividends from Nodak Insurance
to NI Holdings during 2024 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department. Prior to its payment of any dividend,
Nodak Insurance will be required to provide notice of the dividend to the North Dakota Insurance Department. This notice must be provided
to the North Dakota Insurance Department
43
30 days prior to the payment of an extraordinary dividend and 10 days prior to the payment of
an ordinary dividend. The North Dakota Insurance Department has the power to limit or prohibit dividend payments if an insurance company
is in violation of any law or regulation. These restrictions or any subsequently imposed restrictions may affect our future liquidity.
The Nodak Insurance Board of Directors declared and paid dividends of $3,000 to NI Holdings during the year ended December 31, 2022. No
dividends were declared or paid by Nodak Insurance during the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2021.
Direct Auto re-domesticated from Illinois to North Dakota during 2021
and is now subject to the same dividend restrictions as Nodak Insurance. The amount available for payment of dividends from Direct Auto
to NI Holdings during 2024 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $90 as of December 31,
2023. No dividends were declared or paid by Direct Auto during the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, or 2021.
Westminster re-domesticated from Maryland to North Dakota during 2021
and is now subject to the same dividend restrictions as Nodak Insurance. The amount available for payment of dividends from Westminster
to NI Holdings during 2024 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $1,200 as of December
31, 2023. No dividends were declared or paid by Westminster during the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 or 2021.
Contractual Obligations
The primary contractual obligations of the Company
include gross loss and loss adjustment expenses payments as well as operating and finance lease obligations.
The Company’s unpaid losses and loss adjustment
expenses were $217,119 as of December 31, 2023. Historical payment experience indicates that approximately 48% of this amount will be
paid during 2024 and another 36% will be paid over the subsequent two years. The actual timing and amounts of these payments in the future
may vary.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
For a discussion of recent accounting pronouncements,
see Part II, Item 8, Note 2 “Recent Accounting Pronouncements”.
44
FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001174947-23-000312.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion is intended to provide
a more comprehensive review of our operating results and financial condition than can be obtained from reading the consolidated financial
statements alone. The discussion should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included
in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Some of the information contained in this discussion and
analysis or set forth elsewhere in this 2022 Annual Report constitutes forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties.
Please see “Forward-Looking Statements” and Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” for a discussion of important factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results described, or implied by, the forward-looking statements contained
herein.
Our Management’s Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in this document generally discusses 2022 and 2021 items and year-to-year comparisons
between 2022 and 2021. Discussions of 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020 that are not included in this document
can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II,
Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, filed with the SEC on March 9, 2022.
All dollar amounts, except per share amounts,
are in thousands.
Results of Operations
Our consolidated financial statements are prepared on the basis
of accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”). Management evaluates our operations
by monitoring key measures of growth and profitability, which may include the disclosure of certain non-GAAP financial measures. Our results
of operations are influenced by numerous factors affecting the U.S. property and casualty insurance industry including competition, weather,
catastrophic events, innovation and emerging technologies, changes in regulations, inflation, general economic conditions, judicial trends,
fluctuations in interest rates, and other changes in the financial markets.
Our premium levels and underwriting results have been, and will
continue to be, influenced by market conditions. Pricing in the property and casualty insurance industry historically has been cyclical.
During a soft market cycle, price competition is more significant than during a hard market cycle and makes it difficult to attract and
retain properly priced business. During a hard market cycle, it is more likely that insurers will be able to increase their rates or profit
margins. A hard market typically has a positive effect on premium growth. The markets that we serve are diversified, which requires us
to regularly monitor our performance and competitive position by line of business and geographic market to determine appropriate rate
actions.
Premiums in the multi-peril crop insurance business are primarily
influenced by the types of crops planted, number of acres insured, and commodity prices because the rates are established by the RMA rather
than individual insurance carriers. The expected experience of this business for the calendar year may also significantly affect the reported
net earned premiums and losses due to the risk-sharing arrangement with the federal government. Multi-peril crop insurance premiums are
generally written in the second quarter, and earned ratably over the period of risk, which generally extends into the fourth quarter.
Premiums in the crop hail insurance business are also generally written in the second quarter and earned ratably until the end of the
third quarter.
Premiums in our other lines of business are written and earned throughout
the year based on their coverage periods. Losses on this business are also incurred throughout the year but are usually more frequent
and/or severe during periods of elevated weather-related activity.
Property Claims Service (“PCS”), a division of the Insurance
Services Office, maintains industry loss data related to catastrophe loss events. PCS defines a catastrophe as an event that causes damage
of $25 million or more in insured property losses and affects a significant number of insureds. When reporting on our losses from catastrophe
events, we may include losses from those events that were defined as a catastrophe by PCS or those events which may include losses that
we believe are, or will be, material to our operations, either in amount or in number of claims made. The frequency and severity of catastrophic
losses we experience in any year may significantly affect our results of operations and financial position. In analyzing the underwriting
performance of our property and casualty insurance business, we evaluate performance both including and excluding catastrophe losses.
Portions of our catastrophe losses may be recoverable under our catastrophe reinsurance agreements.
For more information on the Company’s results of operations
by segment, see Part II, Item 8, Note 20 “Segment Information”.
30
Table of Contents
Years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020
The consolidated net loss for the Company was $53,775 for the year
ended December 31, 2022, compared to net income of $8,332 for the year ended December 31, 2021, and $41,344 for the year ended December
31, 2020.
The major components of our revenues and net income (loss) for the
three periods are shown below:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Revenues: | |||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 | |||||
| Fee and other income | 1,453 | 1,775 | 1,801 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 7,820 | 7,131 | 7,271 | ||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | (13,126 | ) | 15,479 | 13,624 | |||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 324,437 | $ | 323,974 | $ | 306,357 | |||||
| Components of net income (loss): | |||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 | |||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 294,432 | 216,379 | 168,473 | ||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses | 99,034 | 96,289 | 85,068 | ||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss) | (65,176 | ) | (13,079 | ) | 30,120 | ||||||
| Fee and other income | 1,453 | 1,775 | 1,801 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | 7,820 | 7,131 | 7,271 | ||||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | (13,126 | ) | 15,479 | 13,624 | |||||||
| Income (loss) before income taxes | (69,029 | ) | 11,306 | 52,816 | |||||||
| Income tax expense (benefit) | (15,254 | ) | 2,974 | 11,472 | |||||||
| Net income (loss) | $ | (53,775 | ) | $ | 8,332 | $ | 41,344 |
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Net Premiums Earned
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||||||
| Direct premium | $ | 368,886 | $ | 333,254 | $ | 301,061 | ||||||
| Assumed premium | 6,550 | 8,035 | 6,459 | |||||||||
| Ceded premium | (47,146 | ) | (41,700 | ) | (23,859 | ) | ||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 |
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2022 increased
$28,701, or 9.6%, to $328,290, compared to $299,589 for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2021 increased
$15,928, or 5.6%, to $299,589, compared to $283,661 for the year ended December 31, 2020.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 77,605 | $ | 72,533 | $ | 72,009 | |||||
| Non-standard auto | 66,911 | 58,585 | 53,737 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 78,381 | 73,792 | 74,879 | ||||||||
| Crop | 34,721 | 26,848 | 35,718 | ||||||||
| Commercial | 61,431 | 57,285 | 38,288 | ||||||||
| All other | 9,241 | 10,546 | 9,030 | ||||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 328,290 | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net premiums
earned, by business segment:
Private passenger auto – Net premiums earned for 2022
increased $5,072, or 7.0%, from 2021. Results were driven by rate increases in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska.
Non-standard auto – Net premiums earned for 2022 increased
$8,326, or 14.2%, from 2021. Results were driven by new business growth, increased retention, and rate increases in the Chicago market
where our non-standard auto business is concentrated.
Home and farm – Net premiums earned for 2022 increased
$4,589, or 6.2%, from 2021. Results were driven by increased insured property values, which were primarily the result of using higher
inflationary factors, along with rate increases.
Crop – Net premiums earned for 2022 increased $7,873,
or 29.3%, from 2021. Results were driven by the impact of higher commodity prices on our multi-peril crop insurance direct written premiums.
In addition, earned premiums increased as a result of ceding significantly less multi-peril crop insurance business into the Assigned
Risk fund of the SRA in 2022 compared to the prior year.
Commercial – Net premiums earned for 2022 increased
$4,146, or 7.2%, from 2021. Results were driven by increased insured values which were primarily the result of higher inflationary factors
as well as continued growth in rate and new business premiums.
All other – Net premiums earned for 2022 decreased
$1,305, or 12.4%, from 2021. Results were driven by the Company’s decision to non-renew its participation in an assumed domestic
and international reinsurance pool of business as of January 1, 2022.
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Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | ||||||||||||
| Direct losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 333,397 | $ | 280,998 | $ | 185,370 | ||||||
| Assumed losses and loss adjustment expenses | 2,369 | 6,899 | 3,308 | |||||||||
| Ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses | (41,334 | ) | (71,518 | ) | (20,205 | ) | ||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 294,432 | $ | 216,379 | $ | 168,473 |
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for
the year ended December 31, 2022 increased $78,053, or 36.1%, to $294,432, compared to $216,379 for the year ended December 31, 2021.
The Company’s net losses and loss adjustment expenses for
the year ended December 31, 2021 increased $47,906, or 28.4%, to $216,379, compared to $168,473 for the year ended December 31, 2020.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Net losses and loss adjustment expenses: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 65,420 | $ | 59,721 | $ | 45,511 | |||||
| Non-standard auto | 39,400 | 34,453 | 30,347 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 107,823 | 52,145 | 36,745 | ||||||||
| Crop | 19,418 | 27,831 | 31,379 | ||||||||
| Commercial | 57,216 | 34,779 | 20,430 | ||||||||
| All other | 5,155 | 7,450 | 4,061 | ||||||||
| Total net losses and loss adjustment expenses | $ | 294,432 | $ | 216,379 | $ | 168,473 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 84.3% | 82.3% | 63.2% | ||||||||
| Non-standard auto | 58.9% | 58.8% | 56.5% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 137.6% | 70.7% | 49.1% | ||||||||
| Crop | 55.9% | 103.7% | 87.9% | ||||||||
| Commercial | 93.1% | 60.7% | 53.4% | ||||||||
| All other | 55.8% | 70.6% | 45.0% | ||||||||
| Total loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio | 89.7% | 72.2% | 59.4% |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net losses and
loss adjustment expenses, and the net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratios, by business segment:
Private passenger auto – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 2.0 percentage points in 2022 compared to 2021. This increase was driven by elevated loss costs due to continued
high levels of inflation and increased weather-related comprehensive losses in Nebraska and South Dakota. We have addressed this increased
frequency and severity through recent aggressive underwriting actions and rate increases.
Non-standard auto – The net loss and loss adjustment
expenses ratio increased 0.1 percentage points in 2022 compared to 2021. Loss and loss adjustment expenses were once again impacted by
elevated loss costs due to continued high levels of inflation partially offset by successful implementation of various strategic initiatives
in 2022 as well as rate increases taken throughout the year.
Home and farm – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio increased 66.9 percentage points in 2022 compared to 2021. This increase was driven by catastrophe losses in Nebraska, South Dakota,
and North Dakota that occurred during second and third quarters of 2022. Catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, for the segment accounted
for 72.1 percentage points of the net loss and loss adjustment expense ratio for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to 9.9 percentage
points for the same period for 2021. We have addressed the increased loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio through recent aggressive
underwriting actions and rate increases.
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Crop – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses ratio
decreased 47.8 percentage points in 2022 compared to 2021. This improvement was due to more favorable crop growing conditions in 2022
in comparison to the extreme drought conditions faced in 2021.
Commercial – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio increased 32.4 percentage points in 2022 compared to 2021. This increase was driven by increased frequency and severity of fire
losses as well as increased liability claims in our commercial multi-peril line of business. In addition, our results were impacted by
freezing claims from winter storm Elliott. Our North Dakota commercial business also experienced elevated weather-related losses which
contributed to this increase.
All other – The net loss and loss adjustment expenses
ratio decreased 14.8 percentage points in 2022 compared to 2021. The decrease was driven by the Company’s decision to non-renew
its participation in an assumed domestic and international reinsurance pool of business as of January 1, 2022. The loss and loss adjustment
expense ratio was also impacted by favorable prior year development in our assumed domestic and international reinsurance pool of business.
Underwriting and General Expenses and Expense Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Underwriting and general expenses: | |||||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 66,803 | $ | 64,574 | $ | 51,472 | |||||
| Other underwriting and general expenses | 32,231 | 31,715 | 33,596 | ||||||||
| Total underwriting and general expenses | 99,034 | 96,289 | 85,068 | ||||||||
| Expense ratio | 30.2% | 32.1% | 30.0% |
The expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and
general expenses and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs by net premiums earned. The expense ratio measures a company’s
operational efficiency in producing, underwriting, and administering its insurance business. The overall expense ratio decreased 1.9 percentage
points in the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. This decrease was driven by the impact of the significantly
higher multi-peril crop insurance net premiums earned during 2022 in our crop segment, which operates at a significantly lower expense
ratio relative to our other segments. The overall expense ratio increased 2.1 percentage points in the year ended December 31, 2021, compared
to the same period in 2020.
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Underwriting Gain (Loss) and Combined Ratio
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | (9,416 | ) | $ | (7,704 | ) | $ | 6,512 | ||||
| Non-standard auto | 622 | 1,362 | 2,651 | |||||||||
| Home and farm | (52,512 | ) | (475 | ) | 17,260 | |||||||
| Crop | 12,294 | (9,195 | ) | (468 | ) | |||||||
| Commercial | (17,958 | ) | 2,506 | 1,500 | ||||||||
| All other | 1,794 | 427 | 2,665 | |||||||||
| Total underwriting gain (loss) | $ | (65,176 | ) | $ | (13,079 | ) | $ | 30,120 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Combined ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 112.1% | 110.6% | 91.0% | ||||||||
| Non-standard auto | 99.1% | 97.7% | 95.1% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 167.0% | 100.7% | 77.0% | ||||||||
| Crop | 64.6% | 134.3% | 101.4% | ||||||||
| Commercial | 129.2% | 95.6% | 96.1% | ||||||||
| All other | 80.6% | 95.9% | 70.5% | ||||||||
| Total combined ratio | 119.9% | 104.3% | 89.4% |
Underwriting gain (loss) measures the pre-tax profitability of our
insurance operations. It is derived by subtracting losses and loss adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs,
and other underwriting and general expenses from net premiums earned. The combined ratio represents the sum of these losses and expenses
as a percentage of net premiums earned, and measures our overall underwriting profit.
The total underwriting loss increased $52,097, or 398.3%, for the
year ended December 31, 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses and
Loss Adjustment Expenses section above.
The overall combined ratio increased 15.6 percentage points in the
year ended December 31, 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. These results were driven by the factors discussed in the Losses and
Loss Adjustment Expenses section above.
Fee and Other Income
The Company had fee and other income of $1,453 for the year ended
December 31, 2022, compared to $1,775 for the year ended December 31, 2021, and $1,801 for the year ended December 31, 2020. Fee income
attributable to the non-standard auto segment decreased to $831 for the year ended December 31, 2022, from $1,280 for the year ended
December 31, 2021, due to a reduction in policies that generate fee income.
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Net Investment Income
The following table shows our average cash and invested assets,
net investment income, and return on average cash and invested assets for the reported periods:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
| Average cash and invested assets | $ | 455,366 | $ | 502,375 | $ | 449,148 | |||||
| Net investment income | $ | 7,820 | $ | 7,131 | $ | 7,271 | |||||
| Gross return on average cash and invested assets | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | ||||||||
| Net return on average cash and invested assets | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% |
Net investment income increased $689 for the year ended December
31, 2022, compared to the year ended December 31, 2021. This increase was primarily driven by an increase in the fixed income portfolio
average book value (measured at cost or amortized cost), the rising interest rate environment, as well as a higher allocation of invested
assets to private placement securities and high dividend yield equities. Net investment income decreased $140 for the year ended December
31, 2021, compared to the year ended December 31, 2020.
The Company’s gross and net return on average cash and invested
assets increased year-over-year, driven by a decrease in average cash and invested assets (measured at fair value) as a result of unfavorable
market conditions for both fixed income and equity securities as well as higher net investment income.
Net Investment Gains (Losses)
Net investment gains (losses) consisted of the following:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||
| Gross realized gains | $ | 7,195 | $ | 18,130 | $ | 9,740 | ||||||
| Gross realized losses, excluding credit impairment losses | (5,271 | ) | (362 | ) | (1,969 | ) | ||||||
| Net realized gains | 1,924 | 17,768 | 7,771 | |||||||||
| Change in net unrealized gain on equity securities | (15,050 | ) | (2,289 | ) | 5,853 | |||||||
| Net investment gains (losses) | $ | (13,126 | ) | $ | 15,479 | $ | 13,624 |
The Company had net realized gains of $1,924 for the year ended
December 31, 2022, compared to $17,768 for the year ended December 31, 2021, and $7,771 for the year ended December 31, 2020. The Company
reported no credit impairment losses during any of the periods presented.
The Company experienced a decrease in net unrealized gains on equity
securities of $15,050 during the year ended December 31, 2022, driven by changes in fair value attributable to unfavorable equity markets.
In addition, the Company’s sales activity (and resulting gains and losses) impacts the level and direction of the change in the
net unrealized gain or loss of its equity securities portfolio. The Company had net realized gains on the sale of equity securities of
$2,075, $17,118, and $6,868 during the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020, respectively.
The Company’s fixed income securities are classified as available
for sale because it will, from time to time, execute sales of securities that are not impaired to meet liquidity needs or for other strategic
purposes, in accordance with our investment policy. The fixed income portfolio experienced an unfavorable change in net unrealized gains/losses
of $46,362 during the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to a decrease in net unrealized gains of $9,796 during the year ended December
31, 2021. The changes were primarily the result of rising interest rates in the U.S. The change in the fair value of fixed income securities
is not reflected in net income; rather it is reflected as a separate component (net of income taxes) of other comprehensive income. The
fixed income portfolio experienced an increase in net unrealized gains of $9,264 during the year ended December 31, 2020.
Income (Loss) before Income Taxes
For the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company had pre-tax loss
of $69,029, compared to pre-tax income of $11,306 and $52,816 for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The decrease
in pre-tax income was largely attributable to the significant catastrophe losses in Nebraska, South Dakota, and North Dakota, along with
the change in net investment gains/losses that was driven by the impact of unfavorable equity markets during 2022.
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Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The Company recorded income tax benefit of $15,254 for the year
ended December 31, 2022, compared to income tax expense of $2,974 and $11,472 for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
Our effective tax rate for 2022 was 22.1% compared to an effective tax rate of 26.3% and 21.7% for 2021 and 2020, respectively. A portion
of the effective tax rate is due to state income taxes, which drove the higher effective tax rate in 2021. The valuation allowance against
certain deferred income tax assets was $694 as of December 31, 2022 compared to $1,008 as of December 31, 2021.
Net Income (Loss)
For the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company had a net loss
before non-controlling interest of $53,775, compared to income of $8,332 and $41,344 for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
The decrease was largely attributable to the significant catastrophe losses in Nebraska, South Dakota, and North Dakota, along with the
change in net investment gains/losses that was driven by the impact of unfavorable equity markets during 2022.
Return on Average Equity
For the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company had annualized
return on average equity, after non-controlling interest, of (17.9)%, compared to annualized return on average equity, after non-controlling
interest, of 2.4% and 12.4% for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
Average equity is calculated as the average between beginning and
ending shareholders’ equity, excluding non-controlling interest, for the period.
Principal Revenue Items
The Company derives its revenue primarily from net premiums earned,
net investment income, and net investment gains (losses).
Gross and net premiums written
Gross premiums written is equal to direct premiums
written and assumed premiums before the effect of ceded reinsurance. Gross premiums written are recognized upon sale of new insurance
contracts or renewal of existing contracts. Net premiums written is equal to gross premiums written less premiums ceded to reinsurers.
Premiums earned
Premiums earned is the earned portion of net premiums written. Gross
premiums written include all premiums recorded by an insurance company during a specified policy period. Insurance premiums on property
and casualty policies are recognized in proportion to the underlying risk insured and are earned ratably over the duration of the policies
or, in the case of crop insurance, over the period of risk to the Company. At the end of each accounting period, the portion of the premiums
that is not yet earned is included in unearned premiums and is realized as revenue in subsequent periods over the remaining term of the
policy or period of risk. The Company’s property and casualty policies, other than some of our auto lines and the non-standard auto
policies, typically have a term of twelve months.
Due to the nature of the crop planting and harvesting cycle and
the deadlines for filing and processing claims under the federal crop insurance program, insurance premiums for multi-peril crop insurance
are recognized and earned during the period of risk, which usually begins in spring and ends with harvest in the fall. Under the federal
crop insurance program, farmers must purchase crop insurance with respect to spring planted crops by March 15. By July 15, the farmer
must report the number of acres planted in each crop. On September 1, the insurer bills the farmer for the insurance premium, which is
due and payable by the farmer by October 1. If the farmer does not pay the premium by such date, the insurer will charge interest at a
rate of 15% because the insurer is required to pay the farmer’s portion of the premium to the FCIC by November 15, regardless of
whether the farmer pays the premium to the insurer. Except for claims occurring in the spring (primarily for prevented planting and required
replanting claims), claims are required to be filed with the FCIC by December 15. A different cycle exists for crops planted in the fall,
such as winter wheat, but the vast majority of crop insurance written by the Company covers crops planted in the spring.
Net investment income and net investment
gains (losses)
The Company invests its excess cash in fixed income and equity securities.
Investment income includes interest and dividends earned on invested assets, and is reported net of investment-related expenses. Net investment
gains (losses) are reported separately from net investment income. The Company recognizes realized gains when investments are sold for
an amount greater than their cost or
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amortized cost (in the case of fixed income securities) and realized losses when investments are
sold for an amount less than their cost or amortized cost or when credit impairments are recorded, as applicable. The Company recognizes
changes in unrealized gains and losses of equity securities in net income as part of net investment gains (losses). These gains and losses
may be significant given the fair market value of the equity portfolio and the inherent volatility in equity markets. The changes in unrealized
gains and losses on fixed income securities are recorded in other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes. Therefore, these changes
have no impact on net income but do impact shareholders’ equity.
The portfolio of investments for NI Holdings and its insurance
subsidiaries is managed by Conning, Inc. and Disciplined Growth Investors. These investment managers have discretion to buy and sell
securities in accordance with the investment policy approved by our Board of Directors.
Principal Expense Items
The Company’s expenses consist primarily of losses and loss
adjustment expenses, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, other underwriting and general expenses, and income taxes.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Losses and loss adjustment expenses represent the largest expense
item and include (1) claim payments made, (2) estimates for future claim payments and changes in those estimates from prior periods, and
(3) costs associated with investigating, defending, and adjusting claims, including legal fees.
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting
and general expenses
Expenses incurred to underwrite risks are referred to as policy
acquisition costs. Policy acquisition costs consist of commission expenses, state premium taxes, and certain other underwriting expenses
that vary with and are primarily related to the writing and acquisition of new and renewal business. These policy acquisition costs are
deferred and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies. Other underwriting and general expenses consist of
salaries, professional fees, office supplies, depreciation, and all other operating expenses not otherwise classified separately.
Income taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid to
the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the
Company. As noted above, it does not include state premium taxes that are based purely on the collection of policyholder premiums.
We use the asset and liability method of accounting
for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying
amounts and the income tax bases of its assets and liabilities. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that
some portion of the deferred income tax asset will not be realized. The effect of a change in tax rates is recognized in the period of
the enactment date. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability,
excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
Critical Accounting Policies
General
The preparation of financial statements in accordance
with GAAP requires both the use of estimates and judgment relative to the application of appropriate accounting policies. The Company
is required to make estimates and assumptions in certain circumstances that affect amounts reported in its consolidated financial statements
and related footnotes. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis based on historical developments, market conditions,
industry trends, and other information that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual
results will conform to these estimates and assumptions and that reported results of operations would not be materially adversely affected
by the need to make accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions from time to time. We believe the following
policies are the most sensitive to estimates and judgments.
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Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
How reserves are established
With respect to its traditional property and casualty insurance
products, the Company maintains reserves for the payment of claims (indemnity losses) and expenses related to adjusting those claims (loss
adjustment expenses). The Company’s liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses consists of (1) case reserves, which
are reserves for claims that have been reported to the Company, and (2) IBNR, which are reserves for claims that have been incurred but
have not yet been reported and for the future development of reported claims. As some claims may not be reported for several years, the
liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses includes significant estimates for IBNR.
Loss adjustment expenses consist of two components – allocated
loss adjustment expenses and unallocated loss adjustment expenses. Allocated loss adjustment expenses are defense and cost containment
expenses, including legal fees, court costs, and investigation fees, which are linked to the settlement of specific individual claims
or losses. Unallocated loss adjustment expenses are expenses that generally cannot be associated with a specific claim, including internal
costs such as salaries and other overhead costs, and also represent estimates of future costs to administer claims.
When a claim is reported to one of the insurance companies, its
claims personnel establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment to the extent it can be determined or estimated.
The amount of the loss reserve for the reported claim is based primarily upon an evaluation of coverage, liability, damages suffered,
and any other information considered pertinent to estimating the exposure presented by the claim. Each claim is contested or settled individually
based upon its merits, and some property and casualty claims may take years to resolve, especially in situations where legal action may
be involved. Case reserves are reviewed on a regular basis and are updated as new information becomes available.
When a catastrophe occurs, which in the Company’s case usually
involves the weather perils of wind and hail, we utilize mapping technology through geographic coding of its property risks to overlay
the path of the storm. This enables the Company to establish estimated damage amounts based on the wind speed and size of the hail for
case or per claim loss amounts. This process allows us to determine within a reasonable time (5 – 7 days) an estimated number of
claims and estimated losses from the storm. If we estimate the damages to be in excess of the retained catastrophe amount, reinsurers
are notified immediately of a potential loss so that the Company can quickly recover reinsurance payments once the retention is exceeded.
The Company estimates multi-peril crop insurance losses on a quarterly
basis based upon historical loss patterns, current crop conditions, current weather patterns, and input from crop loss adjusters. These
estimates have proven to be reasonably accurate indicators of the Company’s anticipated losses for this line of business.
The Company’s actuaries assist with the estimation of the
liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. The actuaries prepare estimates by first deriving an actuarially based estimate
of the ultimate cost of total losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred as of the financial statement date based on established actuarial
methods as described below. We then reduce the estimated ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses by loss and loss adjustment expenses
payments and case reserves carried as of the financial statement date. The actuarially determined estimate is based upon indications from
one of the following actuarial methodologies, weighted averages of the methods, and judgment. The specific method used to estimate the
ultimate losses varies depending on the judgment of the actuaries as to what is the most appropriate for the property and casualty business.
Management reviews these estimates and supplements the actuarial analysis with information not fully incorporated into the actuarially
based estimate, such as changes in the external business environment and internal company processes. Management may adjust the actuarial
estimates based on this supplemental information in order to arrive at the amount recorded in the consolidated financial statements.
The Company determines its ultimate liability for unpaid losses
and loss adjustment expenses by using the following actuarial methodologies:
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method — The Bornhuetter-Ferguson
Method is a blended method that explicitly considers both actual loss development to date and expected future loss emergence. This method
is applied on both a paid loss basis and an incurred loss basis. This method uses selected loss development patterns to calculate the
expected percentage of losses unpaid (or unreported). The expected future loss component of the method is calculated by multiplying earned
premium for the given exposure period by a selected a priori (i.e. deductive) loss ratio. The resulting dollars are then multiplied by
the expected percentage of unpaid (or unreported) losses described above. This provides an estimate of future paid (or reported) losses
that is then added to actual paid (or incurred) loss data to produce the estimated ultimate loss.
Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method —
The Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method utilizes ratios of cumulative paid or case incurred losses or loss adjustment expenses
at each age of development as a percent of the preceding development age. Selected ratios are then multiplied together to produce a set
of loss development factors which when applied to the
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most current data value, by accident year, develop the estimated ultimate losses
or loss adjustment expenses. Ultimate losses or loss adjustment expenses are then selected for each accident year from the various methods
employed.
Ratio of Paid Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses to Paid Loss
Method — The Ratio of Paid Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses to Paid Loss Method utilizes the ratio of paid allocated loss
adjustment expenses to paid losses and is similar to the Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method described above, except that the
data projected are the ratios of paid allocated loss adjustment expenses to paid losses. The projected ultimate ratio is then multiplied
by the selected ultimate losses, by accident year, to yield the ultimate allocated loss adjustment expenses. Allocated loss adjustment
expenses reserves are calculated by subtracting paid losses from ultimate allocated loss adjustment expenses.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of
judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes
in claims handling procedures, inflation, legal trends, increases in the state-dictated minimum liability limits in the recent cases of
nonstandard auto insurance, weather, and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for losses
and loss adjustment expenses is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimation is also affected by the volume of claims, the potential
severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim, and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of
the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process, including
the application of various individual experiences and expertise to multiple sets of data and analyses. We continually refine our estimates
of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses in a regular ongoing process as historical loss experience develops, and additional claims
are reported and settled. We consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time the liabilities for unpaid losses and
loss adjustment expenses are established.
There is an inherent amount of uncertainty in the establishment
of liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. This uncertainty is greatest in the current and most recent accident years
due to the more recent nature of the claims being reported and relatively small percentage of these claims that have been reported, investigated,
and adjusted by the Company’s claims staff. Therefore, the reserves carried in these more recent accident years are generally more
conservative than those carried for older accident years. As the Company has the opportunity to investigate and adjust the reported claims,
both the case and IBNR reserves are adjusted to more closely reflect the ultimate expected loss.
Other factors that may have an impact on the Company’s case
and IBNR reserves include, but are not limited to, those described below.
Changes in liability law and public attitudes regarding damage
awards
Laws governing liability claims and judicial interpretations thereof
can change over time, which can expand the scope of coverage anticipated by insurers when initially establishing reserves for claims.
In addition, public attitudes regarding damage awards can result in judges and juries granting higher recoveries for damages than expected
by claims personnel when reserves are established. In addition, these changes can result in both increased claim frequency and severity
as both plaintiffs and their legal counsel perceive the opportunity for higher damage awards. Reserves established for claims that occurred
in prior years would not have anticipated these legal changes and, therefore, could prove to be inadequate for the ultimate losses paid
by the Company, causing the Company to experience adverse development and higher loss payments in future years.
Change in claims handling and/or setting case reserves
Changes in Company personnel and/or the approach to how claims are
reported, adjusted, and reserved may affect the reserves established by the Company. As discussed above, the setting of IBNR reserves
is not an exact science and involves the expert judgment of an actuary. One actuary’s reserve opinion may differ slightly from another
actuary’s opinion. This is the primary reason why the IBNR reserve estimate is customarily reported as a range by a company’s
actuary, which provides a company with an acceptable range to use in establishing its best estimate for IBNR reserves.
Economic inflation
A sudden and extreme increase in the economic inflation rate could
have a significant impact on the Company’s case and IBNR reserves. When establishing case reserves, claims personnel generally establish
an amount that in their opinion will provide a conservative amount to settle the loss. If the time to settle the claim extends over a
period of years, which is possible but unlikely as the Company usually settles claims in less than 50 days on average, the initial reserve
may not anticipate an economic inflation rate that is significantly higher than the current inflation rate. This can also apply to IBNR
reserves. Should the economic inflation rate increase significantly, the Company may not anticipate the need to adjust the IBNR reserves
accordingly, which could lead to the Company being deficient in its IBNR reserves.
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Increases or decreases in claim severity for reasons other than
inflation
Factors exist that can drive the cost to settle claims for reasons
other than standard inflation. For example, demand surge caused by a significant catastrophe, such as a hurricane, has an impact on not
only the availability and cost of building materials such as roofing and other materials, but also the availability and cost of labor.
Numerous other factors could also cause claim severity to increase beyond what the Company’s historic reserves would reflect. In
addition, unexpected increases in labor, healthcare, or building material costs and other factors may cause fluctuations in the ultimate
development of the case reserves.
Actual settlement experience different from historical data trends
When establishing IBNR reserves, the Company’s actuaries consider
many of the factors discussed above. One of the more important factors that is considered when setting reserves is the past or historical
claim settlement experience. Our actuaries consider factors such as the number of files entering litigation, payment patterns, length
of time it takes Company claims personnel to settle the claims, and average payment amounts when estimating reserve amounts. Should future
settlement patterns change due to the legal environment, Company claims handling philosophy, or personnel, it may have an impact on the
future claims payments, which could cause existing reserves to either be redundant (excessive) or deficient (below) compared to the actual
loss amount.
Change in Reporting Lag
As discussed above, the Company and its actuaries utilize historical
patterns to provide an accurate estimate of what will take place in the future. Should we experience an unexpected delay in reporting
time (claims are slower to be reported than in the past), we may underestimate the anticipated number of future claims, which could cause
the ultimate loss we may experience to be underestimated. A lag in reporting may be caused by changes in how claims are reported, the
types or lines of business the Company writes, the Company’s distribution system, and the geographic area where the Company chooses
to insure risk.
Due to the inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates,
final resolution of the estimated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses may be higher or lower than the related loss
reserves at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid losses, as claims are settled in the future, may be materially higher or lower
in amount than current loss reserves. The Company reflects adjustments to the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
in the results of operations during the period in which the estimates are changed.
Investments
The Company’s fixed income securities and equity securities
are classified as available-for-sale and carried at estimated fair value as determined by management based upon quoted market prices or
a recognized independent pricing service at the reporting date for those or similar investments. Changes in unrealized investment gains
or losses on the fixed income securities, net of applicable income taxes, are reflected directly in shareholders’ equity as a component
of other comprehensive income (loss) and, accordingly, have no effect on net income (loss). Changes in unrealized investments gains or
losses on equity securities are reported in net income (loss). Investment income from fixed income securities is recognized when earned,
and realized investment gains (losses) are recognized when investments are sold, the fair value of equity securities change, or credit
impairments are recognized.
For additional information on the Company’s
investments, see Part II, Item 8, Note 5 “Investments” and Note 6 “Fair Value Measurements”.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and
Value of Business Acquired
Certain direct policy acquisition costs consisting of commissions,
state premium taxes, and other direct underwriting expenses that vary with and are primarily related to the production of business are
deferred and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies as the underlying policy premiums are earned.
As in the case of previous acquisitions, no deferred policy acquisition
costs (“DAC”) were recorded in the acquisition of Westminster in accordance with purchase accounting guidance. Rather, a separate
intangible asset representing the value of business acquired (“VOBA”) was valued at $4,750 and established at the closing
date. This VOBA intangible asset was amortized into expense as the acquired unearned premiums were reported into income, in the same way
as DAC, and was fully amortized at December 31, 2020. Policy acquisition costs relating to new business written by Westminster were deferred
following the closing date. The release of the VOBA asset and the establishment of new DAC generally offset each other over the twelve
months following the acquisition of Westminster.
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At December 31, 2022 and 2021, deferred policy
acquisition costs and the related liability for unearned premiums were as follows:
| December 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | ||||||
| Deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 29,768 | $ | 24,947 | |||
| Liability for unearned premiums | 148,513 | 127,789 |
There were no VOBA intangible assets remaining
at December 31, 2022 or 2021.
The method followed in computing DAC limits the
amount of deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premium to be earned, related investment income,
losses and loss adjustment expenses, and certain other costs expected to be incurred as the premium is earned. Future changes in estimates,
the most significant of which is expected losses and loss adjustment expenses, may require adjustments to DAC. If the estimation of net
realizable value indicates that DAC are not recoverable, they would be written off or a premium deficiency reserve would be established.
Income Taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid to
the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the
Company. The Company uses the asset and liability method of accounting for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes arise from the
recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the income tax bases of our assets and liabilities.
A valuation allowance is established when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred income tax asset will not be realized.
Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability, excluding amounts
attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
The Company had gross deferred income tax assets
of $17,900 at December 31, 2022, and $10,070 at December 31, 2021, arising primarily from unearned premiums, loss reserve discounting,
net unrealized investment losses, and net operating loss carryforwards. A valuation allowance is required to be established for any portion
of the deferred income tax asset for which the Company believes it is more likely than not that it will not be realized. A valuation allowance
of $694 and $1,008 was maintained at December 31, 2022, and December 31, 2021, respectively.
The Company had gross deferred income tax liabilities of $8,201
at December 31, 2022, and $14,568 at December 31, 2021, arising primarily from deferred policy acquisition costs, net unrealized investment
gains, and other intangible assets.
The Company exercises significant judgment in
evaluating the amount and timing of recognition of the resulting income tax liabilities and assets. These judgments require us to make
projections of future taxable income. The judgments and estimates we make in determining its deferred income tax assets, which are inherently
subjective, are reviewed on a continual basis as regulatory and business factors change. Any reduction in estimated future taxable income
may require the Company to record a valuation allowance against its deferred income tax assets.
As of December 31, 2022, the Company had no material
unrecognized income tax benefits or accrued interest and penalties. Federal income tax returns for the years 2019 through 2021 are open
for examination.
Changing Climate Conditions
Longer-term natural catastrophe trends may be changing, and new
types of catastrophe losses may be developing due to climate change, a phenomenon that has been associated with extreme weather events
linked to rising temperatures, and includes effects on global weather patterns, greenhouse gases, sea, land and air temperatures, sea
levels, rain, hail, and snow. The frequency, number, and severity of these losses are unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe
is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Our ability
to effectively manage catastrophe risk is dependent, in part, on our reliance on various catastrophe models, which may produce unreliable
output as a result of inaccurate or incomplete data, along with the inherent uncertainty of future frequency and severity of losses. The
impact of changing climate conditions on the overall insurance industry may also materially affect the availability and cost of reinsurance
to us. In addition, these changes could impact the creditworthiness of issuers of securities in which the Company invests, subjecting
our investment portfolio to increased credit and interest rate risk, with the potential for reduced investment returns and/or material
realized or unrealized losses.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
The Company generates sufficient funds from its operations and maintains
a high degree of liquidity in its investment portfolio to meet the demands of claim settlements and operating expenses. The primary sources
of funds are premium collections, investment earnings, and fixed income maturities. In 2017, we raised $93,145 in net proceeds from our
IPO, which we planned to use for strategic acquisitions.
In 2018, we used $17,000 for the acquisition of Direct Auto, which
was paid at closing. On January 1, 2020, we acquired Westminster for $40,000. We paid $20,000 at the time of closing. The terms of the
acquisition agreement included payment of the remaining $20,000, subject to certain adjustments, in three equal installments on each of
the first and second anniversaries of the closing, and on the first business day of the month preceding the third anniversary of the closing.
The first two installments were paid in January 2021 and January 2022, and the final installment was paid in December 2022 with no adjustments
from the originally anticipated amount. The Company used net proceeds from the IPO to satisfy these obligations.
We currently anticipate that cash generated from our operations
and available from our investment portfolio, along with the remaining IPO net proceeds, will be sufficient to fund our operations.
The Company’s philosophy is to provide sufficient cash flows
from operations to meet its obligations in order to minimize the forced sales of investments. The Company maintains a portion of its investment
portfolio in relatively short-term and highly liquid assets to ensure the availability of funds.
The changes in cash and cash equivalents for the
years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020 were as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||||
| Net cash flows from operating activities | $ | (30,388 | ) | $ | 29,168 | $ | 51,010 | |||||
| Net cash flows from investing activities | 25,048 | (48,151 | ) | 200 | ||||||||
| Net cash flows from financing activities | (18,281 | ) | (11,471 | ) | (12,265 | ) | ||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (23,621 | ) | $ | (30,454 | ) | $ | 38,945 |
For the year ended December 31, 2022, net cash used by operating
activities totaled $30,388 compared to $29,168 net cash provided by operating activities a year ago. This decrease was primarily driven
by higher claim payments related to catastrophe losses during the current year and higher levels of premiums and agents’ balances
receivable and federal income tax recoverable.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, net cash provided by investing
activities totaled $25,048 compared to $48,151 net cash used by investing activities a year ago. This decrease in cash used was attributable
to the significant catastrophe losses in Nebraska and South Dakota, which resulted in more sales of securities to pay losses and less
available cash for investment purchases. The decrease was also attributable to the Company investing a higher level of excess cash during
the first quarter of 2021.
For the year ended December 31, 2022, net cash used by financing
activities totaled $18,281 compared to $11,471 a year ago. This increase in cash used was primarily attributable to the Company making
two installment payments for the Westminster purchase during 2022 for $13,333 compared to one installment payment in 2021 for $6,667.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net cash provided by operating
activities totaled $29,168 compared to $51,010 in the year prior. The decrease in net cash provided by operating activities was primarily
driven by higher claim payments related to a return to average loss frequency in the private passenger auto segment while pandemic-related
restrictions were removed as well as above average weather-related losses and a catastrophe event in the home and farm segment. The higher
claim payments were partially offset by increased premium receipts due to premium growth.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net cash used by investing
activities totaled $48,151 compared to net cash provided by investing activities of $200 in the year prior. In 2021, the Company invested
excess cash generated from operations and the implementation of the intercompany reinsurance pooling agreement into longer term investments.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net cash used by financing
activities totaled $11,471 compared to $12,265 in the year prior. The Company paid the first installment of $6,667 of the additional consideration
for Westminster during the first quarter of 2021. The Company repurchased shares of its own common stock for $4,316 during 2021 compared
to $12,234 during 2020.
As a standalone entity, and outside of the net proceeds from the
IPO, the Company’s principal source of long-term liquidity will be dividend payments from its directly-owned subsidiaries.
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Nodak Insurance is restricted by the insurance laws of North Dakota
as to the amount of liquid or other distributions it may pay to NI Holdings. North Dakota law sets the maximum amount of dividends that
may be paid by Nodak Insurance during any twelve-month period after notice to, but without prior approval of, the North Dakota Insurance
Department. This amount cannot exceed the lesser of (i) 10% of the Company’s surplus as regards policyholders as of the preceding
December 31, or (ii) the Company’s statutory net income for the preceding calendar year (excluding realized investment gains), less
any prior dividends paid during such twelve-month period. In addition, any insurance company other than a life insurance company may carry
forward net income from the preceding two calendar years, not including realized investment gains, less any dividends actually paid during
those two calendar years. Dividends in excess of this amount are considered “extraordinary” and are subject to the approval
of the North Dakota Insurance Department.
There is no amount available for payment of dividends from Nodak
Insurance to NI Holdings during 2023 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department based upon the net loss of Nodak
Insurance as of December 31, 2022. Prior to its payment of any dividend, Nodak Insurance will be required to provide notice of the dividend
to the North Dakota Insurance Department. This notice must be provided to the North Dakota Insurance Department 30 days prior to the payment
of an extraordinary dividend and 10 days prior to the payment of an ordinary dividend. The North Dakota Insurance Department has the power
to limit or prohibit dividend payments if an insurance company is in violation of any law or regulation. These restrictions or any subsequently
imposed restrictions may affect our future liquidity. The Nodak Insurance Board of Directors declared and paid dividends of $3,000 and
$6,000 to NI Holdings during the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2020, respectively. No dividends were declared or paid by Nodak Insurance
during the year ended December 31, 2021.
Direct Auto re-domesticated from Illinois to North Dakota during
2021, and is now subject to the same dividend restrictions as Nodak Insurance. There is no amount available for payment of dividends from
Direct Auto to NI Holdings during 2023 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department based upon the net loss of
Direct Auto as of December 31, 2022. No dividends were declared or paid by Direct Auto during the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021,
or 2020.
Westminster re-domesticated from Maryland to North Dakota during
2021, and is now subject to the same dividend restrictions as Nodak Insurance. There is no amount available for payment of dividends
from Westminster to NI Holdings during 2023 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department based upon the net loss
of Westminster as of December 31, 2022. No dividends were declared or paid by Westminster during the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021
or 2020.
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Contractual Obligations
The primary contractual obligations of the Company
include gross loss and loss adjustment expenses payments, consideration due relating to the acquisition of Westminster, and operating
lease obligations.
The Company’s unpaid losses and loss adjustment
expenses were $190,459 as of December 31, 2022. Historical payment experience indicates that approximately 49% of this amount will be
paid during 2023 and another 35% will be paid over the subsequent two years. The actual timing and amounts of these payments in the future
may vary.
Westminster was acquired on January 1, 2020,
for a purchase price of $40,000, subject to certain adjustments. The Company paid $20,000 from the net proceeds from the IPO at time
of closing, with another $20,000 payable in three equal installments. We paid the first two installments on the first two anniversaries
of the closing, in January 2021 and January 2022, and paid the final installment in December 2022.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
For a discussion of recent accounting pronouncements,
see Part II, Item 8, Note 2 “Recent Accounting Pronouncements”.
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FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001174947-22-000353.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion is intended to provide a more comprehensive review of our operating results and financial condition than can be obtained from reading the Consolidated Financial Statements alone. The discussion should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto included in Part II, Item 8, “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” Some of the information contained in this discussion and analysis or set forth elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K constitutes forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties. Please see “Forward-Looking Statements” and Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results described, or implied by, the forward-looking statements contained herein.
Our Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in this document generally discusses 2021 and 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020. Discussions of 2019 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2020 and 2019 that are not included in this document can be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, filed with the SEC on March 10, 2021.
All dollar amounts, except per share amounts, are in thousands.
Marketplace Conditions and Trends
The private passenger auto marketplace was impacted by increased loss severity throughout the year, as driving habits and miles driven returned to pre-pandemic levels. Loss severity trends also continued to increase due to numerous factors, including the impacts that supply chain issues, inflation, and technological advancements have had on the automobile market. As a result, elevated loss experience was common across much of the industry during 2021.
The non-standard auto market also remains competitive with many companies seeking growth in this line as a result of the challenging private passenger auto market and the opportunity to cross-sell additional insurance products, such as homeowners or renters insurance, to the growing non-standard auto market.
As opposed to most personal lines, the commercial multi-peril market continued to benefit from significant positive rate changes throughout 2021.
Unlike property and casualty insurance, the total crop insurance premiums written each year vary mainly based on prevailing commodity prices for the type of crops planted, because the aggregate number of acres planted usually does not vary much from year to year. Because the premiums that are charged for crop insurance are established by the RMA, and the policy forms and terms are also established by the RMA, insurers do not compete on price or policy terms and conditions. Moreover, because participation in other federal farm programs by a farmer is conditioned upon participation in the federal crop insurance program, most commercial farmers obtain crop insurance on their plantings each year.
Changing Climate Conditions
Longer-term natural catastrophe trends may be changing, and new types of catastrophe losses may be developing due to climate change, a phenomenon that has been associated with extreme weather events linked to rising temperatures, and includes effects on global weather patterns, greenhouse gases, sea, land and air temperatures, sea levels, rain, hail, and snow. The frequency, number, and severity of these losses are unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Our ability to effectively manage catastrophe risk is dependent, in part, on the reliance of various catastrophe models, which may produce unreliable output as a result of inaccurate or incomplete data, along with the inherent uncertainty of future frequency and severity of losses. The impact of changing climate conditions on the overall insurance industry may also materially affect the availability and cost of reinsurance to us. In addition, these changes could impact the creditworthiness of issuers of securities in which the Company invests, subjecting our investment portfolio to increased credit and interest rate risk, with the potential for reduced investment returns and/or material realized or unrealized losses.
Principal Revenue Items
The Company derives its revenue primarily from net premiums earned, net investment income, and net capital gain on investments.
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Gross and net premiums written
Gross premiums written is equal to direct premiums written and assumed premiums before the effect of ceded reinsurance. Gross premiums written are recognized upon sale of new insurance contracts or renewal of existing contracts. Net premiums written is equal to gross premiums written less premiums ceded to reinsurers.
Premiums earned
Premiums earned is the earned portion of net premiums written. Gross premiums written include all premiums recorded by an insurance company during a specified policy period. Insurance premiums on property and casualty policies are recognized in proportion to the underlying risk insured and are earned ratably over the duration of the policies or, in the case of crop insurance, over the period of risk to the Company. At the end of each accounting period, the portion of the premiums that is not yet earned is included in unearned premiums and is realized as revenue in subsequent periods over the remaining term of the policy or period of risk. The Company’s property and casualty policies, other than some of our auto lines and the non-standard auto policies, typically have a term of twelve months.
Due to the nature of the crop planting and harvesting cycle and the deadlines for filing and processing claims under the federal crop insurance program, insurance premiums for crop insurance are recognized and earned during the period of risk, which usually begins in spring and ends with harvest in the fall. In the case of prevented planting claims, the period of risk is shortened to the date a valid prevented planting claim is filed, as the Company believes the period of risk has ended. Under the federal crop insurance program, farmers must purchase crop insurance with respect to spring planted crops by March 15. By July 15, the farmer must report the number of acres he has planted in each crop. On September 1, the insurer bills the farmer for the insurance premium, which is due and payable by the farmer by October 1. If the farmer does not pay the premium by such date, the insurer must essentially provide a loan to the farmer in an amount equal to the premium at an annual interest rate of 15% because the insurer is required to pay the farmer’s portion of the premium to the FCIC by November 15, regardless of whether the farmer pays the premium to the insurer. Except for claims occurring in the spring (primarily for prevented planting and required replanting claims), claims are required to be filed with the FCIC by December 15. A different cycle exists for crops planted in the fall, such as winter wheat, but the vast majority of crop insurance written by the Company covers crops planted in the spring.
Net investment income and net capital gain (loss) on investments
The Company invests its excess cash in fixed income and equity securities. Investment income includes interest and dividends earned on invested assets, and is reported net of investment-related expenses. Net capital gains and losses on investments are reported separately from net investment income. The Company recognizes realized capital gains when investments are sold for an amount greater than their cost or amortized cost (in the case of fixed income securities) and realized capital losses when investments are written down as a result of an other-than-temporary impairment or are sold for an amount less than their cost or amortized cost, as applicable. The Company recognizes changes in unrealized gains and losses of equity securities in net income as part of net capital gains and losses on investments. These gains and losses may be significant given the fair market value of the equity portfolio and the inherent volatility in equity markets. The changes in unrealized gains and losses on fixed income securities are recorded in other comprehensive income (loss), net of income taxes. Therefore, these change have no impact on net income, but do impact shareholders’ equity.
The portfolio of investments for NI Holdings and its insurance subsidiaries is managed by Conning, Inc. and Disciplined Growth Investors. These investment managers have discretion to buy and sell securities in accordance with the investment policy approved by our Board of Directors.
Principal Expense Items
The Company’s expenses consist primarily of losses and LAE, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, other underwriting and general expenses, and income taxes.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Losses and LAE represent the largest expense item and include (1) claim payments made, (2) estimates for future claim payments and changes in those estimates from prior periods, and (3) costs associated with investigating, defending, and adjusting claims, including legal fees.
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Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses
Expenses incurred to underwrite risks are referred to as policy acquisition costs. Policy acquisition costs consist of commission expenses, state premium taxes, and certain other underwriting expenses that vary with and are primarily related to the writing and acquisition of new and renewal business. These policy acquisition costs are deferred and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies. Other underwriting and general expenses consist of salaries, professional fees, office supplies, depreciation, and all other operating expenses not otherwise classified separately.
Income taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid to the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the Company. As noted above, it does not include state premium taxes that are based purely on the collection of policyholder premiums.
We use the asset and liability method of accounting for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the income tax bases of its assets and liabilities. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred income tax asset will not be realized. The effect of a change in tax rates is recognized in the period of the enactment date. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability, excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
Critical Accounting Policies
General
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) requires both the use of estimates and judgment relative to the application of appropriate accounting policies. The Company is required to make estimates and assumptions in certain circumstances that affect amounts reported in its Consolidated Financial Statements and related footnotes. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis based on historical developments, market conditions, industry trends, and other information that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. There can be no assurance that actual results will conform to these estimates and assumptions and that reported results of operations would not be materially adversely affected by the need to make accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates and assumptions from time to time. We believe the following policies are the most sensitive to estimates and judgments.
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
How reserves are established
With respect to its traditional property and casualty insurance products, the Company maintains reserves for the payment of claims (indemnity losses) and expenses related to adjusting those claims (LAE). The Company’s liability for unpaid losses and LAE consists of (1) case reserves, which are reserves for claims that have been reported to it, and (2) IBNR, which are reserves for claims that have been incurred but have not yet been reported and for the future development of case reserves.
LAE consist of two components – allocated loss adjustment expenses (“ALAE”) and unallocated loss adjustment expenses (“ULAE”). ALAE are defense and cost containment expenses, including legal fees, court costs, and investigation fees, which are linked to the settlement of specific individual claims or losses. ULAE are expenses that generally cannot be associated with a specific claim, including internal costs such as salaries and other overhead costs, and also represent estimates of future costs to administer claims.
When a claim is reported to one of the insurance companies, its claims personnel establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment to the extent it can be determined or estimated. The amount of the loss reserve for the reported claim is based primarily upon an evaluation of coverage, liability, damages suffered, and any other information considered pertinent to estimating the exposure presented by the claim. Each claim is contested or settled individually based upon its merits, and some property and casualty claims may take years to resolve, especially in the unusual situation that legal action is involved. Case reserves are reviewed on a regular basis and are updated as new information becomes available.
When a catastrophe occurs, which in the Company’s case usually involves the weather perils of wind and hail, we utilize mapping technology through geographic coding of its property risks to overlay the path of the storm. This enables the Company to establish estimated damage amounts based on the wind speed and size of the hail for case or per claim loss amounts. This process allows us to determine within a reasonable time (5 – 7 days) an estimated number of claims and estimated losses from the storm. If we estimate the damages to be in excess of the retained catastrophe amount, reinsurers are notified immediately of a potential loss so that the Company can quickly recover reinsurance payments once the retention is exceeded.
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In addition to case reserves, the Company maintains estimates of reserves for losses and LAE incurred but not reported. These reserves include estimates for the future development of case reserves. Some claims may not be reported for several years. As a result, the liability for unpaid losses and LAE includes significant estimates for IBNR.
The Company estimates multi-peril crop insurance losses on a quarterly basis based upon historical loss patterns, current crop conditions, current weather patterns, and input from crop loss adjusters. These estimates have proven to be reasonably accurate indicators of the Company’s anticipated losses for this line of business.
We utilize an independent actuary to assist with the estimation of the liability for unpaid losses and LAE. This actuary prepares estimates by first deriving an actuarially based estimate of the ultimate cost of total losses and LAE incurred as of the financial statement date based on established actuarial methods as described below. We then reduce the estimated ultimate loss and LAE by loss and LAE payments and case reserves carried as of the financial statement date. The actuarially determined estimate is based upon indications from one of the following actuarial methodologies or uses a weighted average of these results. The specific method used to estimate the ultimate losses varies depending on the judgment of the actuary as to what is the most appropriate method for the property and casualty business. Management reviews these estimates and supplements the actuarial analysis with information not fully incorporated into the actuarially based estimate, such as changes in the external business environment and internal company processes. We may adjust the actuarial estimates based on this supplemental information in order to arrive at the amount recorded in the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The Company determines its ultimate liability for unpaid losses and LAE by using the following actuarial methodologies:
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method — The Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method is a blended method that explicitly considers both actual loss development to date and expected future loss emergence. This method is applied on both a paid loss basis and an incurred loss basis. This method uses selected loss development patterns to calculate the expected percentage of losses unpaid (or unreported). The expected future loss component of the method is calculated by multiplying earned premium for the given exposure period by a selected a priori (i.e. deductive) loss ratio. The resulting dollars are then multiplied by the expected percentage of unpaid (or unreported) losses described above. This provides an estimate of future paid (or reported) losses that is then added to actual paid (or incurred) loss data to produce the estimated ultimate loss.
Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method — The Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method utilizes ratios of cumulative paid or case incurred losses or LAE at each age of development as a percent of the preceding development age. Selected ratios are then multiplied together to produce a set of loss development factors which when applied to the most current data value, by accident year, develop the estimated ultimate losses or LAE. Ultimate losses or LAE are then selected for each accident year from the various methods employed.
Ratio of Paid ALAE to Paid Loss Method — The Ratio of Paid ALAE to Paid Loss Method utilizes the ratio of paid ALAE to paid losses and is similar to the Paid and Case Incurred Loss Development Method described above, except that the data projected are the ratios of paid ALAE to paid losses. The projected ultimate ratio is then multiplied by the selected ultimate losses, by accident year, to yield the ultimate ALAE. ALAE reserves are calculated by subtracting paid losses from ultimate ALAE.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claims handling procedures, inflation, legal trends, increases in the state-dictated minimum liability limits in the recent cases of nonstandard auto insurance, and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for losses and loss adjustment expenses is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimation is also affected by the volume of claims, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim, and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process, including the application of various individual experiences and expertise to multiple sets of data and analyses. We continually refine our estimates of unpaid losses and LAE in a regular ongoing process as historical loss experience develops, and additional claims are reported and settled. We consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time the liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE are established.
There is an inherent amount of uncertainty in the establishment of liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE. This uncertainty is greatest in the current and most recent accident years due to the relative newness of the claims being reported and the relatively small percentage of these claims that have been reported, investigated, and adjusted by the Company’s claims staff. Therefore, the reserves carried in these more recent accident years are generally more conservative than those carried for older accident years. As the Company has the opportunity to investigate and adjust the reported claims, both the case and IBNR reserves are adjusted to more closely reflect the ultimate expected loss.
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Other factors that have or can have an impact on the Company’s case and IBNR reserves include but are not limited to those described below.
Changes in liability law and public attitudes regarding damage awards
Laws governing liability claims and judicial interpretations thereof can change over time, which can expand the scope of coverage anticipated by insurers when initially establishing reserves for claims. In addition, public attitudes regarding damage awards can result in judges and juries granting higher recoveries for damages than expected by claims personnel when claims are presented. In addition, these changes can result in both increased claim frequency and severity as both plaintiffs and their legal counsel perceive the opportunity for higher damage awards. Reserves established for claims that occurred in prior years would not have anticipated these legal changes and, therefore, could prove to be inadequate for the ultimate losses paid by the Company, causing the Company to experience adverse development and higher loss payments in future years.
Change in claims handling and/or setting case reserves
Changes in Company personnel and/or the approach to how claims are reported, adjusted, and reserved may affect the reserves established by the Company. As discussed above, the setting of IBNR reserves is not an exact science and involves the expert judgment of an actuary. One actuary’s reserve opinion may differ slightly from another actuary’s opinion. This is the primary reason why the IBNR reserve estimate is customarily reported as a range by a company’s actuary, which provides a company with an acceptable “range” to use in establishing its best estimate for IBNR reserves.
Economic inflation
A sudden and extreme increase in the economic inflation rate could have a significant impact on the Company’s case and IBNR reserves. When establishing case reserves, claims personnel generally establish an amount that in their opinion will provide a conservative amount to settle the loss. If the time to settle the claim extends over a period of years, which is possible but unlikely as the Company usually settles claims in less than 50 days on average, the initial reserve may not anticipate an economic inflation rate that is significantly higher than the current inflation rate. This can also apply to IBNR reserves. Should the economic inflation rate increase significantly, it is likely that the Company may not anticipate the need to adjust the IBNR reserves accordingly, which could lead to the Company being deficient in its IBNR reserves.
Increases or decreases in claim severity for reasons other than inflation
Factors exist that can drive the cost to settle claims for reasons other than standard inflation. For example, demand surge caused by a very large catastrophe, as in the case of a hurricane, has an impact on not only the availability and cost of building materials such as roofing and other materials, but also on the availability and cost of labor. Other factors such as increased vehicle traffic in an area not designed to handle the increased congestion and increased speed limits on busy roads are examples of changes that could cause claim severity to increase beyond what the Company’s historic reserves would reflect. In addition, unexpected increases in the labor costs and healthcare costs that underlie insured risks, changes in costs of building materials, or changes in commodity prices for insured crops may cause fluctuations in the ultimate development of the case reserves.
Actual settlement experience different from historical data trends
When establishing IBNR reserves, the Company’s actuary takes into account many of the factors discussed above. One of the more important factors that is considered when setting reserves is the past or historical claim settlement experience. Our actuary considers factors such as the number of files entering litigation, payment patterns, length of time it takes Company claims personnel to settle the claims, and average payment amounts when estimating reserve amounts. Should future settlement patterns change due to the legal environment, Company claims handling philosophy, or personnel, it may have an impact on the future claims payments, which could cause existing reserves to either be redundant (excessive) or deficient (below) compared to the actual loss amount.
Change in Reporting Lag
As discussed above, NI Holdings and its actuary utilize historical patterns to provide an accurate estimate of what will take place in the future. Should we experience an unexpected delay in reporting time (claims are slower to be reported than in the past), our actuary or we may underestimate the anticipated number of future claims, which could cause the ultimate loss we may experience to be underestimated. A lag in reporting may be caused by changes in how claims are reported (online vs. through company personnel), the type of business or lines of business the Company is writing, the Company’s distribution system (direct writer, independent agent, or captive agent), and the geographic area where the Company chooses to insure risk.
Due to the inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, final resolution of the estimated liability for unpaid losses and LAE may be higher or lower than the related loss reserves at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid losses, as claims are settled in the future, may be materially higher or lower in amount than current loss reserves. The Company reflects adjustments to the liability for unpaid losses and LAE in the results of operations during the period in which the estimates are changed.
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Investments
NI Holdings’ fixed income securities and equity securities are classified as available-for-sale and carried at estimated fair value as determined by management based upon quoted market prices or a recognized pricing service at the reporting date for those or similar investments. Changes in unrealized investment gains or losses on the fixed income securities, net of applicable income taxes, are reflected directly in shareholders’ equity as a component of other comprehensive income (loss) and, accordingly, have no effect on net income (loss). Changes in unrealized investments gains or losses on equity securities are reported in net income (loss). Investment income is recognized when earned, and realized capital gains and losses on investments are recognized when investments are sold, or other-than-temporary impairments are recognized.
For additional information on the Company’s investments, see Part II, Item 8, Note 5 “Investments” and Note 6 “Fair Value Measurements”.
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Value of Business Acquired
Certain direct policy acquisition costs consisting of commissions, state premium taxes, and other direct underwriting expenses that vary with and are primarily related to the production of business are deferred and amortized over the effective period of the related insurance policies as the underlying policy premiums are earned.
As in the case of previous acquisitions, no deferred policy acquisition costs (“DAC”) were recorded in the acquisition of Westminster in accordance with purchase accounting guidance. Rather, a separate intangible asset representing the value of business acquired (“VOBA”) was valued at $4,750 and established at the closing date. This VOBA intangible asset was amortized into expense as the acquired unearned premiums were reported into income, in the same way as DAC, and was fully amortized at December 31, 2020. Policy acquisition costs relating to new business written by Westminster were deferred following the closing date. The release of the VOBA asset and the establishment of new DAC generally offset each other over the twelve months following the acquisition of Westminster.
At December 31, 2021 and 2020, deferred policy acquisition costs and the related liability for unearned premiums were as follows:
| December 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Deferred policy acquisition costs | $ | 24,947 | $ | 23,968 | |||
| Liability for unearned premiums | 127,789 | 119,363 |
There were no VOBA intangible assets remaining at December 31, 2021 or 2020.
The method followed in computing DAC limits the amount of deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premium to be earned, related investment income, losses and LAE, and certain other costs expected to be incurred as the premium is earned. Future changes in estimates, the most significant of which is expected losses and LAE, may require adjustments to DAC. If the estimation of net realizable value indicates that DAC are not recoverable, they would be written off or a premium deficiency reserve would be established.
Income Taxes
Current income taxes represent amounts paid to the federal government and certain states whose payment is based upon net income (subject to regulatory adjustments) generated by the Company. The Company uses the asset and liability method of accounting for deferred income taxes. Deferred income taxes arise from the recognition of temporary differences between financial statement carrying amounts and the income tax bases of our assets and liabilities. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred income tax asset will not be realized. Total income taxes reflect both current income taxes and the change in the net deferred income tax asset or liability, excluding amounts attributed to accumulated other comprehensive income.
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The Company had gross deferred income tax assets of $10,070 at December 31, 2021 and $8,603 at December 31, 2020, arising primarily from unearned premiums, loss reserve discounting, and net operating loss carryforwards. A valuation allowance is required to be established for any portion of the deferred income tax asset for which the Company believes it is more likely than not that it will not be realized. A valuation allowance of $1,008 and $931 was maintained at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively.
The Company had gross deferred income tax liabilities of $14,568 at December 31, 2021 and $16,429 at December 31, 2020, arising primarily from deferred policy acquisition costs, net unrealized capital gains on investments, and other intangible assets.
The Company exercises significant judgment in evaluating the amount and timing of recognition of the resulting income tax liabilities and assets. These judgments require us to make projections of future taxable income. The judgments and estimates we make in determining its deferred income tax assets, which are inherently subjective, are reviewed on a continual basis as regulatory and business factors change. Any reduction in estimated future taxable income may require the Company to record a valuation allowance against its deferred income tax assets.
As of December 31, 2021, the Company had no material unrecognized income tax benefits or accrued interest and penalties. Federal income tax returns for the years 2018 through 2020 are open for examination.
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Results of Operations
Our results of operations are influenced by factors affecting the property and casualty insurance and crop insurance industries in general. The operating results of the United States property and casualty industry and crop insurance industry are subject to significant variations due to competition, weather, catastrophic events, changes in regulations, general economic conditions, rising medical expenses, judicial trends, fluctuations in interest rates, and other changes in the investment environment.
Our premium levels and underwriting results have been, and will continue to be, influenced by market conditions. Pricing in the property and casualty insurance industry historically has been cyclical. During a soft market cycle, price competition is more significant than during a hard market cycle and makes it difficult to attract and retain properly priced business. During a hard market cycle, it is more likely that insurers will be able to increase their rates or profit margins. A hard market typically has a positive effect on premium growth. The markets that we serve are diversified, which requires management to regularly monitor our performance and competitive position by line of business and geographic market to schedule appropriate rate actions.
Premiums in the multi-peril crop insurance business are primarily influenced by the number of acres, commodity prices, and types of crops insured because the rates are established by the RMA rather than individual insurance carriers. The expected experience of this business for the calendar year may also significantly affect the reported net earned premiums and losses due to the risk-sharing arrangement with the federal government. Multi-peril crop insurance premiums are generally written in the second quarter, and earned ratably over the period of risk, which generally extends into the fourth quarter. However, as was the case in 2020, if we experience a higher-than-average number of prevented planting claims early in the season, recognition of earned premiums may be accelerated due to a shortened risk period.
Premiums in the crop hail insurance business are also generally written in the second quarter, but earned over a shorter period of risk than multi-peril crop insurance.
Premiums in our other lines of business are written and earned throughout the year based on their coverage periods. Losses on this business are also incurred throughout the year, but usually are more frequent and/or severe during periods of elevated weather-related activity.
For more information on the Company’s results of operations by segment, see Part II, Item 8, Note 20 “Segment Information”.
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Years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019
The consolidated net income for the Company was $8,332 for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $41,344 for the year ended December 31, 2020 and $26,500 for the year ended December 31, 2019.
The major components of our operating revenues and net income for the three periods are shown below:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||
| Revenues: | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 | $ | 246,438 | ||||
| Fee and other income | 1,775 | 1,801 | 2,125 | |||||||
| Net investment income | 7,131 | 7,271 | 7,433 | |||||||
| Net capital gain on investments | 15,479 | 13,624 | 14,783 | |||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 323,974 | $ | 306,357 | $ | 270,779 | ||||
| Components of net income: | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 | $ | 246,438 | ||||
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 216,379 | 168,473 | 169,710 | |||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs and other underwriting and general expenses | 96,289 | 85,068 | 67,258 | |||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss) | (13,079 | ) | 30,120 | 9,470 | ||||||
| Fee and other income | 1,775 | 1,801 | 2,125 | |||||||
| Net investment income | 7,131 | 7,271 | 7,433 | |||||||
| Net capital gain on investments | 15,479 | 13,624 | 14,783 | |||||||
| Income before income taxes | 11,306 | 52,816 | 33,811 | |||||||
| Income taxes | 2,974 | 11,472 | 7,311 | |||||||
| Net income | $ | 8,332 | $ | 41,344 | $ | 26,500 |
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Net Premiums Earned
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | ||||||||||||
| Direct premium | $ | 333,254 | $ | 301,061 | $ | 257,661 | ||||||
| Assumed premium | 8,035 | 6,459 | 5,897 | |||||||||
| Ceded premium | (41,700 | ) | (23,859 | ) | (17,120 | ) | ||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 | $ | 246,438 |
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2021 increased $15,928, or 5.6%, to $299,589, compared to $283,661 for the year ended December 31, 2020.
Net premiums earned for the year ended December 31, 2020 increased $37,223, or 15.1%, to $283,661, compared to $246,438 for the year ended December 31, 2019.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||
| Net premiums earned: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 72,533 | $ | 72,009 | $ | 67,983 | |||||
| Non-standard auto | 58,585 | 53,737 | 57,114 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 73,792 | 74,879 | 71,171 | ||||||||
| Crop | 26,848 | 35,718 | 38,019 | ||||||||
| Commercial | 57,285 | 38,288 | 4,097 | ||||||||
| All other | 10,546 | 9,030 | 8,054 | ||||||||
| Total net premiums earned | $ | 299,589 | $ | 283,661 | $ | 246,438 |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net premiums earned, by business segment:
Private passenger auto – Net premiums earned for 2021 increased $524, or 0.7%, from 2020. Premiums were impacted by continued soft market conditions in this segment throughout the year.
Non-standard auto – Net premiums earned for 2021 increased $4,848, or 9.0%, from 2020. The segment has benefited from the improved economic environment in the Chicago market where our non-standard auto business is concentrated.
Home and farm – Net premiums earned for 2021 decreased $1,087, or 1.5%, from 2020. The modest decrease was due to competitive market conditions and the related rate reduction taken in early 2021 in the Nodak Insurance farmowners line of business, and a year-over-year increase in ceded written premiums for this business.
Crop – Net premiums earned for 2021 decreased $8,870, or 24.8%, from 2020. Direct earned premiums increased by $3,648 primarily due to higher commodity prices on multi-peril crop business. However, this increase was offset by a large increase in ceded earned premiums as a result of significant multi-peril crop losses from this year’s extreme drought conditions across North and South Dakota. We also placed a higher number of multi-peril crop policies in the assigned risk fund of the SRA for 2021, resulting in higher levels of premiums and losses being ceded to the federal government.
Commercial – Net premiums earned for 2021 increased $18,997, or 49.6%, from 2020. The increase was primarily driven by growth in our Westminster commercial business as a result of a continuation of favorable market conditions, the positive impact of Westminster’s financial size category, and the 2020 AM Best rating upgrade.
All other – Net premiums earned for 2021 increased $1,516, or 16.8%, from 2020. Net premiums earned increased related to our participation in an assumed domestic and international reinsurance pool of business. As of January 1, 2022, the Company made the decision to non-renew its participation in these pools.
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Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||
| Net losses and LAE: | ||||||||||||
| Direct losses and LAE | $ | 280,998 | $ | 185,370 | $ | 173,943 | ||||||
| Assumed losses and LAE | 6,899 | 3,308 | 4,032 | |||||||||
| Ceded losses and LAE | (71,518 | ) | (20,205 | ) | (8,265 | ) | ||||||
| Total net losses and LAE | $ | 216,379 | $ | 168,473 | $ | 169,710 |
Net losses and LAE for the year ended December 31, 2021 increased $47,906, or 28.4%, to $216,379, compared to $168,473 for the year ended December 31, 2020.
Net losses and LAE for the year ended December 31, 2020 decreased $1,237, or 0.7%, to $168,473, compared to $169,710 for the year ended December 31, 2019.
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||
| Net losses and LAE: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | 59,721 | $ | 45,511 | $ | 52,696 | |||||
| Non-standard auto | 34,453 | 30,347 | 32,654 | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 52,145 | 36,745 | 45,601 | ||||||||
| Crop | 27,831 | 31,379 | 32,091 | ||||||||
| Commercial | 34,779 | 20,430 | 2,489 | ||||||||
| All other | 7,450 | 4,061 | 4,179 | ||||||||
| Total net losses and LAE | $ | 216,379 | $ | 168,473 | $ | 169,710 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||
| Loss and LAE ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 82.3% | 63.2% | 77.5% | ||||||||
| Non-standard auto | 58.8% | 56.5% | 57.2% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 70.7% | 49.1% | 64.1% | ||||||||
| Crop | 103.7% | 87.9% | 84.4% | ||||||||
| Commercial | 60.7% | 53.4% | 60.8% | ||||||||
| All other | 70.6% | 45.0% | 51.9% | ||||||||
| Total loss and LAE ratio | 72.2% | 59.4% | 68.9% |
Below are comments regarding significant changes in net losses and LAE, and the net loss and LAE ratios, by business segment:
Private passenger auto – The net loss and LAE ratio deteriorated 19.1 percentage points in 2021 compared to 2020. The increase was a result of a return to average loss frequency due to increased miles driven by our insureds compared to 2020 when pandemic-related restrictions were still in place. Loss experience in 2021 has also been adversely impacted by an increase in uninsured/underinsured motorist liability claims frequency, as well as increased severity due to inflationary factors. We are assessing necessary future rate actions as a result of the increased loss activity.
Non-standard auto – The net loss and LAE ratio deteriorated 2.3 percentage points in 2021 compared to 2020. Direct Auto has experienced modest elevations in loss frequency and severity compared to 2020 despite increased miles being driven compared to 2020. Overall net losses and LAE increased due to strong year-to-date direct written premium growth at Direct Auto. These profitable results have been offset by Primero’s higher loss frequency and severity due largely to the continued economic challenges in the Las Vegas market.
Home and farm – The net loss and LAE ratio deteriorated 21.6 percentage points in 2021 compared to 2020. This increase was driven by above average weather-related losses in 2021. These losses included a severe weather-related catastrophe event in North Dakota during June, along with additional significant weather-related losses in Nebraska and South Dakota during the second half of the year.
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Crop – The net loss and LAE ratio deteriorated 15.8 percentage points in 2021 compared to 2020. The extreme drought conditions across North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota resulted in significantly elevated multi-peril crop losses. However, in anticipation of the dry weather, we placed a higher number of multi-peril crop policies in the assigned risk fund of the SRA for 2021, resulting in increased premiums and losses ceded to the federal government.
Commercial – The net loss and LAE ratio deteriorated 7.3 percentage points in 2021 compared to 2020. This increase was primarily due to increased fire loss frequency in the Westminster book of business during the first and second quarters. Westminster had a strong second half of the year as the Company continued to benefit from favorable market conditions, along with improved loss frequency and severity.
All other – The net loss and LAE ratio deteriorated 25.6 percentage points in 2021 compared to 2020. The increase was primarily due to elevated loss severity in our assumed domestic and international reinsurance pool of business, in particular anticipated losses associated with Hurricane Ida.
Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Other Underwriting and General Expenses
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||
| Underlying expenses | $ | 97,269 | $ | 93,637 | $ | 69,791 | ||||||
| Deferral of policy acquisition costs | (65,554 | ) | (60,041 | ) | (48,721 | ) | ||||||
| Other underwriting and general expenses | 31,715 | 33,596 | 21,070 | |||||||||
| Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs | 64,574 | 51,472 | 46,188 | |||||||||
| Total reported expenses | $ | 96,289 | $ | 85,068 | $ | 67,258 |
Underlying expenses for the year ended December 31, 2021 decreased $3,632, or 3.9%, compared to the year ended December 31, 2020. Underlying expenses for the year ended December 31, 2020 increased $23,846, or 34.2%, compared to the year ended December 31, 2019, primarily due to the acquisition of Westminster.
Expense deferrals were $5,513 higher in the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to 2020, while amortization of those costs was $13,102 higher in 2021. This increase in net expense was primarily due to strong year-over-year growth in our commercial and non-standard auto segments which generally pay higher agent commissions than our other lines, as well as growth in our other segments. In addition, under acquisition accounting, there were no deferred policy acquisition costs reported on the acquisition balance sheet of Westminster, which had the impact of decreasing 2020 amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs relative to future years. Offsetting this impact, the Company recorded an intangible asset, referred to as the VOBA, on its acquisition balance sheet which was amortized during 2020 as a component of other underwriting and general expenses. As our mix of business has shifted and these premiums continue to be earned, the related deferral and amortization of expenses have also changed.
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Underwriting Gain (Loss)
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||
| Underwriting gain (loss): | ||||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | $ | (7,704 | ) | $ | 6,512 | $ | (3,599 | ) | ||||
| Non-standard auto | 1,362 | 2,651 | 3,383 | |||||||||
| Home and farm | (475 | ) | 17,260 | 5,464 | ||||||||
| Crop | (9,195 | ) | (468 | ) | 1,532 | |||||||
| Commercial | 2,506 | 1,500 | 745 | |||||||||
| All other | 427 | 2,665 | 1,945 | |||||||||
| Total underwriting gain (loss) | $ | (13,079 | ) | $ | 30,120 | $ | 9,470 |
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||
| Combined ratio: | |||||||||||
| Private passenger auto | 110.6% | 91.0% | 105.3% | ||||||||
| Non-standard auto | 97.7% | 95.1% | 94.1% | ||||||||
| Home and farm | 100.6% | 76.9% | 92.3% | ||||||||
| Crop | 134.2% | 101.3% | 96.0% | ||||||||
| Commercial | 95.6% | 96.1% | 81.8% | ||||||||
| All other | 96.0% | 70.5% | 75.9% | ||||||||
| Total combined ratio | 104.4% | 89.4% | 96.2% |
Underwriting gain (loss) measures the pre-tax profitability of our insurance operations. It is derived by subtracting losses and LAE, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, and other underwriting and general expenses from net premiums earned. The combined ratio represents the sum of these losses and expenses as a percentage of net premiums earned, and measures our overall underwriting profit. A combined ratio below 100% generally indicates a profitable line of business.
The results from underwriting operations decreased $43,199 for the year ended December 30, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020. The overall combined ratio deteriorated 15.0 percentage points.
The primary drivers behind the elevated combined ratio for the year ended December 31, 2021 were the extreme drought conditions across North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota on our multi-peril crop business; above average weather-related losses in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Nebraska; the return to average frequency, and increased severity due to inflationary factors, of private passenger and non-standard auto physical damage claims; and higher levels of uninsured/underinsured motorist liability claims in private passenger auto.
These elevated losses were partially offset by profitable and strong growth from Direct Auto in the non-standard segment, along with continued profitability and growth from Westminster’s commercial business, particularly during the second half of the year.
Fee and Other Income
The Company had fee and other income of $1,775 for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $1,801 for the year ended December 31, 2020, and $2,125 for the year ended December 31, 2019.
Fee income attributable to Primero’s non-standard auto business is a key component in measuring its profitability. Fee income on this business decreased slightly during 2021 compared to 2020 due to a decreased policy count.
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Net Investment Income
The following table shows our average cash and invested assets, net investment income, and return on average cash and invested assets for the reported periods:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||||||||
| Average cash and invested assets | $ | 502,375 | $ | 449,148 | $ | 394,403 | |||||
| Gross investment income | $ | 10,339 | $ | 10,519 | $ | 9,826 | |||||
| Investment expenses | 3,208 | 3,248 | 2,393 | ||||||||
| Net investment income | $ | 7,131 | $ | 7,271 | $ | 7,433 | |||||
| Gross return on average cash and invested assets | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | ||||||||
| Net return on average cash and invested assets | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% |
Investment income, net of investment expense, decreased $140 for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to the year ended December 31, 2020. This decrease was primarily driven by the continued impact of lower reinvestment rates in the fixed income securities portfolio.
The Company’s net return on average cash and invested assets declined year-over-year, driven by a combination of factors. Interest income decreased primarily due to a persistent low reinvestment rate environment, ongoing maturities of existing holdings with higher embedded yields, and significant cash inflows to the investment portfolio from the Company's business operations. These decreases were partially offset by an increased allocation to high dividend equities within our equity portfolio, which increased the portfolio’s dividend yield compared to the prior year.
Net Capital Gain on Investments
Net capital gain on investments consisted of the following:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||
| Gross realized gains | $ | 18,130 | $ | 9,740 | $ | 4,652 | ||||||
| Gross realized losses, excluding other-than-temporary impairment losses | (362 | ) | (1,969 | ) | (1,406 | ) | ||||||
| Net realized gain on investments | 17,768 | 7,771 | 3,246 | |||||||||
| Change in net unrealized gain on equity securities | (2,289 | ) | 5,853 | 11,537 | ||||||||
| Net capital gain on investments | $ | 15,479 | $ | 13,624 | $ | 14,783 |
The Company had realized capital gains on investment of $17,768 for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $7,771 for the year ended December 31, 2020 and $3,246 for the year ended December 31, 2019. The Company reported no other-than-temporary losses during any of the periods presented.
The Company’s equity portfolio experienced a decrease in net unrealized gains of $2,289 during the year ended December 31, 2021. The net decrease is included in net capital gain on investments in the Company’s Consolidated Statements of Operations. It was primarily driven by $17,118 in net realized gains taken throughout the year, as a result of ongoing portfolio rebalancing as well as a strategic reallocation of equity investment strategies designed to increase exposure to income-oriented equities in order to maintain yield in the portfolio. The resulting net appreciation in the equity securities portfolio of $14,289 in 2021 is indicative of a strong rally in U.S. equity markets during the year.
The Company’s fixed income securities are classified as available for sale because it will, from time to time, make sales of securities that are not impaired, consistent with our investment goals and policies. The fixed income portion of the portfolio experienced a decrease in net unrealized gains of $9,796 during the year ended December 31, 2021. The decrease was primarily the result of an increase in U.S. interest rates, with 5-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields increasing during the year by 90 basis points and 60 basis points, respectively. The rise in rates was partially mitigated by a tightening of credit spreads across fixed-income sectors, given an improvement in capital markets following the volatility affecting invested assets in 2020 due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Income before Income Taxes
For the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company had pre-tax income of $11,306, compared to $52,816 and $33,811 for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. The decrease in pre-tax results was largely attributable to the significant increase in loss experience during 2021.
Income Taxes
The Company recorded income tax expense of $2,974 for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $11,472 and $7,311 for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. Our effective tax rate for 2021 was 26.3% compared to an effective tax rate of 21.7% and 21.6% for 2020 and 2019, respectively.
A portion of the effective tax rate is due to Illinois state income taxes, which led to the increased effective tax rate in 2021 given the higher proportion of these taxes relative to the Company’s overall income tax expense in comparison with 2020 and 2019.
The valuation against certain deferred income tax assets was $1,008 as of December 31, 2021 compared to $931 as of December 31, 2020.
Net Income
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net income before non-controlling interest was $8,332, compared to $41,344 and $26,500 for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively. This decrease in net income was largely attributable to the significant increase in loss experience during 2021.
Return on Average Equity
For the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company had annualized return on average equity, after non-controlling interest, of 2.4%, compared to annualized return on average equity, after non-controlling interest, of 12.4% and 9.1% for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively.
Average equity is calculated as the average between beginning and ending shareholders’ equity excluding non-controlling interest for the period.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
The Company generates sufficient funds from its operations and maintains a high degree of liquidity in its investment portfolio to meet the demands of claim settlements and operating expenses. The primary sources of funds are premium collections, investment earnings, and maturing investments. In 2017, we raised $93,145 in net proceeds from our IPO, which we planned to use for strategic acquisitions.
In 2018, we used $17,000 for the acquisition of Direct Auto. On January 1, 2020, we acquired Westminster for $40,000. We paid $20,000 at the time of closing. The terms of the acquisition agreement included payment of the remaining $20,000, subject to certain adjustments, in three equal installments on each of the first and second anniversaries of the closing, and on the first business day of the month preceding the third anniversary of the closing. The first two installments were paid in January 2021 and January 2022. The Company anticipates using the net proceeds from the IPO to satisfy this obligation in December 2022.
We currently anticipate that cash generated from our operations and available from our investment portfolio, along with the remaining IPO net proceeds, will be sufficient to fund our operations.
The Company’s philosophy is to provide sufficient cash flows from operations to meet its obligations in order to minimize the forced sales of investments. The Company maintains a portion of its investment portfolio in relatively short-term and highly liquid assets to ensure the availability of funds.
The changes in cash and cash equivalents for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||||||||
| Net cash flows from operating activities | $ | 29,168 | $ | 51,010 | $ | 25,665 | ||||||
| Net cash flows from investing activities | (48,151 | ) | 200 | (30,458 | ) | |||||||
| Net cash flows from financing activities | (11,471 | ) | (12,265 | ) | (2,025 | ) | ||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | $ | (30,454 | ) | $ | 38,945 | $ | (6,818 | ) |
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net cash provided by operating activities totaled $29,168 compared to $51,010 a year ago. Consolidated net income of $8,332 for the year ended December 31, 2021 compared to consolidated net income of $41,344 for the same period a year ago. The decrease in consolidated net income, along with changes in reinsurance recoverables on losses, other assets, and unearned premiums, were offset by changes to the FCIC receivable/payable and unpaid losses and LAE.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net cash used by investing activities totaled $48,151 compared to $200 net cash provided by investing activities a year ago. In 2021, the Company invested excess cash generated from operations and the implementation of the intercompany reinsurance pooling agreement into longer term investments.
For the year ended December 31, 2021, net cash used by financing activities totaled $11,471 compared to $12,265 a year ago. The Company paid the first installment of $6,667 of the additional consideration for Westminster during the first quarter of 2021. The Company repurchased shares of its own common stock for $4,316 during 2021, compared to $12,234 during 2020.
For the year ended December 31, 2020, net cash provided by operating activities totaled $51,010 compared to $25,665 for the year ended December 31, 2019. The consolidated net income of $41,344 for the year ended December 31, 2020 compared to consolidated net income of $26,500 for the year ended December 31, 2019. The increase in cash flows from operating activities also reflected differences in the activity between the Company and the FCIC during 2020 and 2019, growth in unearned premiums due to increasing sales of the Westminster commercial business, and lower levels of loss and loss adjustment expenses. During 2019, unrealized gains on investments were offset by increases in unpaid losses and LAE and unearned premiums to serve as the primary reconciling items between net income and net cash flows from operating activities.
For the year ended December 31, 2020, net cash provided by investing activities totaled $200 compared to $30,458 used by investing activities for the year ended December 31, 2019. In 2020, the initial cash payment made at the time of the Westminster acquisition was $703 more than the cash and cash equivalents received in the acquisition. During 2020, the sales and maturities of securities approximated the purchase of new securities. Normally, the excess cash generated from operations would be invested in longer term investments. However, the implementation of the intercompany pooling reinsurance agreement necessitated substantial cash transfers between the insurance company subsidiaries during December 2020, which were not fully reinvested in longer-term investments by year-end. The prior year reflects the impact of investing excess cash generated from operations into longer term investments, partially offset by sales and maturities of fixed income securities.
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For the year ended December 31, 2020, net cash used by financing activities totaled $12,265 compared to $2,025 for the year ended December 31, 2019. The Company repurchased shares of its own common stock for $12,234 and $2,006 during 2020 and 2019, respectively.
As a standalone entity, and outside of the net proceeds from the IPO, the Company’s principal source of long-term liquidity will be dividend payments from its directly-owned subsidiaries.
Nodak Insurance is restricted by the insurance laws of North Dakota as to the amount of liquid or other distributions it may pay to NI Holdings. North Dakota law sets the maximum amount of dividends that may be paid by Nodak Insurance during any twelve-month period after notice to, but without prior approval of, the North Dakota Insurance Department. This amount cannot exceed the lesser of (i) 10% of the Company’s surplus as regards policyholders as of the preceding December 31, or (ii) the Company’s statutory net income for the preceding calendar year (excluding realized capital gains), less any prior dividends paid during such twelve-month period. In addition, any insurance company other than a life insurance company may carry forward net income from the preceding two calendar years, not including realized capital gains, less any dividends actually paid during those two calendar years. Dividends in excess of this amount are considered “extraordinary” and are subject to the approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department.
The amount available for payment of dividends from Nodak Insurance to us during 2022 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $21,493 based upon the surplus of Nodak Insurance at December 31, 2021. Prior to its payment of any dividend, Nodak Insurance will be required to provide notice of the dividend to the North Dakota Insurance Department. This notice must be provided to the North Dakota Insurance Department 30 days prior to the payment of an extraordinary dividend and 10 days prior to the payment of an ordinary dividend. The North Dakota Insurance Department has the power to limit or prohibit dividend payments if an insurance company is in violation of any law or regulation. These restrictions or any subsequently imposed restrictions may affect our future liquidity. The Nodak Insurance Board of Directors declared and paid a $6,000 dividend to NI Holdings during the year ended December 31, 2020. No dividends were declared or paid by Nodak Insurance during the years ended December 31, 2021 or 2019.
Direct Auto re-domesticated from Illinois to North Dakota during 2021, and is now subject to the same dividend restrictions as Nodak Insurance. The amount available for payment of dividends from Direct Auto to us during 2022 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $3,796 based upon the surplus of Direct Auto at December 31, 2021. No dividends were declared or paid by Direct Auto during the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020, or 2019.
Westminster re-domesticated from Maryland to North Dakota during 2021, and is now subject to the same dividend restrictions as Nodak Insurance. The amount available for payment of dividends from Westminster to us during 2022 without the prior approval of the North Dakota Insurance Department is approximately $2,471 based upon the surplus of Westminster at December 31, 2021. No dividends were declared or paid by Westminster during the years ended December 31, 2021 or 2020.
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Contractual Obligations
The primary contractual obligations of the Company include gross loss and LAE payments, consideration due relating to the acquisition of Westminster, and operating lease obligations.
The Company’s unpaid losses and LAE were $139,662 as of December 31, 2021. Historical payment experience indicates that approximately 57% of this amount will be paid during 2022 and another 30% will be paid over the subsequent two years. The actual timing and amounts of these payments in the future may vary.
Westminster was acquired on January 1, 2020 for a purchase price of $40,000, subject to certain adjustments. The Company paid $20,000 from the net proceeds from the IPO at time of closing, with another $20,000 payable in three equal installments. We paid the first two installments on the first two anniversaries of the closing, in January 2021 and January 2022. We will pay the final installment, plus or minus any adjustments, in December 2022.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
For a discussion of recent accounting pronouncements, see Part II, Item 8, Note 4 “Recent Accounting Pronouncements”.
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