Guardant Health, Inc. (GH)
SIC breadcrumb: Services > SIC Major Group 80 > SIC 8071 Services-Medical Laboratories
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1576280. Latest filing source: 0001576280-26-000013.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Business
Read GH's verbatim Item 1 Business section from its latest 10-K: Business.
Risk Factors
Read GH's verbatim Item 1A Risk Factors from its latest 10-K: Risk Factors.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 982,021,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-19 |
| Net income | -416,277,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-19 |
| Assets | 2,013,659,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-19 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-19. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001576280.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 49,842,000 | 90,639,000 | 214,375,000 | 286,730,000 | 373,653,000 | 449,538,000 | 563,948,000 | 739,016,000 | 982,021,000 | |
| Net income | -83,221,000 | -85,063,000 | -75,651,000 | -384,770,000 | -654,588,000 | -479,449,000 | -436,373,000 | -416,277,000 | ||
| Operating income | -76,612,000 | -92,942,000 | -82,371,000 | -254,950,000 | -411,001,000 | -544,378,000 | -564,725,000 | -443,594,000 | -437,248,000 | |
| Diluted EPS | -0.84 | -2.60 | -4.00 | -6.41 | -4.28 | -3.56 | -3.32 | |||
| Operating cash flow | -72,235,000 | -72,185,000 | -47,134,000 | -103,927,000 | -209,017,000 | -309,463,000 | -324,975,000 | -239,858,000 | -184,760,000 | |
| Capital expenditures | 6,681,000 | 20,203,000 | 18,717,000 | 36,173,000 | 75,035,000 | 77,461,000 | 20,486,000 | 35,085,000 | 48,306,000 | |
| Share buybacks | 7,222,000 | 172,000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45,010,000 | |||
| Assets | 587,403,000 | 962,535,000 | 2,271,781,000 | 2,204,499,000 | 1,609,985,000 | 1,786,421,000 | 1,485,609,000 | 2,013,659,000 | ||
| Liabilities | 62,451,000 | 114,542,000 | 916,186,000 | 1,559,494,000 | 1,549,805,000 | 1,627,737,000 | 1,625,256,000 | 2,112,966,000 | ||
| Stockholders' equity | 79,696,000 | 308,606,000 | 483,152,000 | 798,393,000 | 1,298,495,000 | 645,005,000 | 60,180,000 | 158,684,000 | -139,647,000 | -99,307,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 140,544,000 | 143,228,000 | 832,977,000 | 492,202,000 | 141,647,000 | 1,133,537,000 | 525,540,000 | 378,203,000 | ||
| Free cash flow | -78,916,000 | -92,388,000 | -65,851,000 | -140,100,000 | -284,052,000 | -386,924,000 | -345,461,000 | -274,943,000 | -233,066,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | -93.85% | -35.29% | -102.98% | -145.61% | -85.02% | -59.05% | -42.39% | |||
| Operating margin | -102.54% | -38.42% | -88.92% | -110.00% | -121.10% | -100.14% | -60.02% | -44.53% | ||
| Return on assets | -14.48% | -7.86% | -17.45% | -40.66% | -26.84% | -29.37% | -20.67% | |||
| Current ratio | 9.99 | 8.21 | 28.27 | 5.72 | 6.17 | 6.54 | 4.68 | 4.84 |
Industry Peer Context
Net margin peer context
Operating margin peer context
ROA peer context
Financial Bridges
Free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditures
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts FY 2025. Operating cash flow: accession 0001576280-26-000013; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | Capital expenditures: accession 0001576280-26-000013; concept PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment; source concepts us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | Free cash flow: accession 0001576280-26-000013; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment
Financial Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: OperatingIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: Assets. Source concepts: us-gaap:Assets.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: Liabilities. Source concepts: us-gaap:Liabilities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: StockholdersEquity. Source concepts: us-gaap:StockholdersEquity.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue. Source concepts: us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001576280-26-000013; filed 2026-02-19. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment.
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-07-30. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001576280.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | -1.58 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | -1.30 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | -0.67 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 143,030,000 | -86,102,000 | -0.73 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 155,054,000 | -187,043,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 168,491,000 | -114,985,000 | -0.94 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 177,235,000 | -102,628,000 | -0.84 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 191,476,000 | -107,754,000 | -0.88 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 201,814,000 | -111,006,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 203,471,000 | -95,159,000 | -0.77 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 232,088,000 | -99,899,000 | -0.80 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 265,196,000 | -92,725,000 | -0.74 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 281,266,000 | -128,494,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 301,665,000 | -112,075,000 | -0.85 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2026-Q2 | 2026-06-30 | 334,978,000 | -120,142,000 | -0.90 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001576280-26-000037; filed 2026-07-30. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001576280-26-000037; filed 2026-07-30. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001576280-26-000037; filed 2026-07-30. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0001576280-26-000037.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
You should read the following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations together with the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. This discussion and other parts of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, such as statements of our plans, objectives, beliefs, expectations and intentions. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and in Part II, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Overview
We are a leading precision oncology company focused on guarding wellness and giving every person more time free from cancer. We are transforming patient care by providing critical insights into what drives disease through our advanced blood and tissue tests, real-world data and AI analytics. Our tests help improve outcomes across all stages of care, including screening to find cancer early, monitoring for recurrence in early-stage cancer, and treatment selection for patients with advanced cancer. For patients with advanced-stage cancer, we offer the Guardant360 Liquid test and the Guardant360 CDx test, the first comprehensive liquid biopsy test approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, to provide tumor mutation profiling with solid tumors and to be used as a companion diagnostic in connection with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC, colorectal cancer and breast cancer. In addition, in the second quarter of 2026, we received FDA approval of our Guardant360 Liquid CDx test, advancing blood-based comprehensive genomic testing by the integration of genomic and epigenomic insights. We also offer the Guardant360 Tissue test for advanced-stage cancer and the Guardant Reveal test to detect residual and recurring disease in early-stage colorectal, breast and lung cancer patients. We have also expanded the Guardant Reveal test to include late-stage therapy response monitoring for patients with solid tumors. Our product portfolio is now powered by our Smart Platform, which utilizes methylation technology with genomic, epigenomic, and RNA-based data, to unlock multi-modal biology with proprietary chemistry, advanced algorithms and our InfinityAI learning engine.
We also collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in clinical studies by providing the above-mentioned tests, as well as the GuardantINFINITY blood test, also powered by our Smart Platform, which provides new, multi-dimensional insights into the complexities of tumor molecular profiles and immune response to advance cancer research and therapy development, and the GuardantOMNI blood test for advanced-stage cancer. Using data collected from our tests and through AI-enabled analytical tools, we have also developed our GuardantINFORM platform to help biopharmaceutical companies accelerate precision oncology drug development through the use of this in-silico research platform to unlock further insights into tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers.
For early cancer detection, we offer the Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening in adults age 45 and older who are at average risk for the disease. Shield is the first blood test approved by the FDA for primary colorectal cancer screening and also the first blood test for colorectal cancer screening that meets coverage requirements by Medicare. In addition, our Shield blood test is included in the National Comprehensive Cancer Network and American Cancer Society colorectal cancer screening guidelines. We also expect to expand into lung cancer screening and multi-cancer detection, or MCD, with our Shield platform. The FDA has granted Breakthrough Device designation to our Shield MCD test to provide patients and healthcare providers with timely access to medical devices by speeding up their development, assessment and review. In addition, we have expanded our Shield blood test to include an MCD results report with a data collection effort to better understand the clinical impact of MCD results in the United States. And we have launched the Shield MCD test in multiple markets in Asia.
We currently perform clinical, research use only, and investigation use only tests in our laboratory located in Redwood City, California. Our Redwood City laboratory is licensed pursuant to the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, accredited by the College of American Pathologists, or CAP, permitted by the New York State Department of Health, or NYSDOH, and licensed in California and four other states. We also perform clinical tests in our laboratory located in Long Island City, New York, for which we have received a clinical laboratory license from New York State, and research use only tests in our laboratory located in San Diego, California. In addition, our Redwood City, San Diego and Palo Alto, California laboratories are currently operated as centers for our research and technology development, and our Palo Alto laboratory is also CLIA licensed.
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We generated total revenue of $335.0 million and $232.1 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, and 2025, respectively, and $636.6 million and $435.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, and 2025, respectively. We also incurred net losses of $120.1 million and $99.9 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, and 2025, respectively, and $232.2 million and $195.1 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, and 2025, respectively. We have funded our operations to date principally from the sales of our common stock, issuances of convertible senior notes, and generation of our revenue. See Note 7, Debt, and Note 10, Common Stock, to the condensed consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for additional information on our convertible senior notes and common stock. As of June 30, 2026, we had cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash of approximately $1.2 billion.
Factors affecting our performance
We believe there are several important factors that have impacted and that we expect will impact our operating performance and results of operations, including:
•Testing volume, pricing, and product and customer mix. Our revenue and cost of revenue are affected by the volume of tests, and average selling price per sample and cost per sample in relation to the mix of products and customers from period to period. We evaluate the volume of tests performed both for patients on behalf of clinicians and for biopharmaceutical companies, including tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. Our performance depends on our ability to retain and broaden adoption of our existing and new products, with existing customers, as well as attract new customers.
•Payer coverage and reimbursement. Our revenue depends on achieving broad coverage and reimbursement for our tests from third-party payers, including both commercial and government payers. Our oncology and screening revenue is calculated based on our expected cash collections, using the estimated variable consideration. The variable consideration is estimated based on historical collection patterns as well as the potential for changes in future reimbursement behavior by one or more payers. Estimation of the impact of the potential for changes in reimbursement requires significant judgment and considers payers' past patterns of changes in reimbursement as well as any stated plans to implement changes. Any cash collections over the expected reimbursement period exceeding the estimated variable consideration are recorded in future periods based on actual cash received. Payment from commercial payers can vary depending on whether we have entered into a contract with the payers as a “participating provider” or do not have a contract and are considered a “non-participating provider”. Payers often reimburse non-participating providers, if at all, at a lower amount than participating providers. Because we are not contracted with these payers, they determine the amount that they are willing to reimburse us for any of our tests and they can prospectively and retrospectively adjust the amount of reimbursement, adding to the complexity in estimating the variable consideration. When we contract with a payer to serve as a participating provider, reimbursements by the payer are generally made pursuant to a negotiated fee schedule and are limited to only covered indications or where prior approval has been obtained. Becoming a participating provider can result in higher reimbursement amounts for covered uses of our tests and, potentially, no reimbursement for non-covered uses identified under the payer’s policies or the contract. As a result, the potential for more favorable reimbursement associated with becoming a participating provider may be offset by a potential loss of reimbursement for non-covered uses of our tests. Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, coding plays a significant role in how our tests are reimbursed both from commercial and governmental payers. In addition, Z-Code Identifiers are used by certain payers, including under Medicare's Molecular Diagnostic Services Program, or MolDx, to supplement CPT codes for our molecular diagnostics tests. Changes to the codes used to report to payers may result in significant changes in its reimbursement. If their policies were to change in the future to cover additional cancer indications, we anticipate that our total reimbursement would increase.
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In March 2021, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, approved advanced diagnostic laboratory test, or ADLT, status to our Guardant360 CDx test, based on which Medicare paid us at the lowest available commercial rate per test, from April 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. Effective January 1, 2022, Medicare started to reimburse Guardant360 CDx services at the median rate of claims paid by commercial payers. In March 2022, Palmetto GBA, the Medicare administrative contractor for MolDX, conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 Tissue test under the existing local coverage determination. The policy covers our Guardant360 Tissue test for Medicare fee-for-service patients with advanced solid tumor cancers. In July 2022, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant Reveal test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the United States with stage II or III colorectal cancer whose testing is initiated within three months following curative intent therapy, with an effective date of December 2021. Effective January 1, 2024, Medicare has increased the reimbursement rate for our Guardant360 Liquid test to the same rate as our Guardant360 CDx test. In January 2025, Palmetto GBA granted coverage for our Guardant Reveal test to monitor disease recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer in the surveillance setting following curative intent therapy. This represents an expansion from the prior Medicare coverage of our Guardant Reveal test for colorectal cancer in the early post-surgical setting only. In May 2025, the coverage for our upgraded Guardant360 Tissue test was expanded by Medicare to include both DNA and RNA testing. In the second quarter of 2026, following the FDA approval, our Guardant360 Liquid CDx test met the coverage requirements by Medicare based on the criteria established in its National Coverage Determination for molecular diagnostic tests.
In August 2024, following the FDA approval, our Shield blood test met the coverag
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
You should read the following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations together with the consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion and other parts of this Annual Report on Form 10-K contain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, such as statements of our plans, objectives, beliefs, expectations and intentions. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
The following generally compares our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024. A detailed discussion comparing our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023 can be found in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024.
In 2025, we started to present revenue and cost of revenue in a single line on the accompanying consolidated statement of operations. Accordingly, we recast our presentation of revenue and cost of revenue for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023 to conform with the current year presentation. See Revenue Recognition section of Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information related to the disaggregation of revenue. In addition, we included in this section a detailed discussion comparing our revenue and cost of revenue under the recast presentation for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023.
Overview
We are a leading precision oncology company focused on guarding wellness and giving every person more time free from cancer. We are transforming patient care by providing critical insights into what drives disease through our advanced blood and tissue tests, real-world data and AI analytics. Our tests help improve outcomes across all stages of care, including screening to find cancer early, monitoring for recurrence in early-stage cancer, and treatment selection for patients with advanced cancer. For patients with advanced-stage cancer, we offer the Guardant360 Liquid test, formerly known as the Guardant360 LDT test, and the Guardant360 CDx test, the first comprehensive liquid biopsy test approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, to provide tumor mutation profiling with solid tumors and to be used as a companion diagnostic in connection with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC, colorectal cancer and breast cancer. We also offer the Guardant360 Tissue test for advanced-stage cancer and the Guardant Reveal test to detect residual and recurring disease in early-stage colorectal, breast and lung cancer patients. We have also expanded the Guardant Reveal test to include late-stage therapy response monitoring for patients with solid tumors. Our product portfolio is now powered by our Smart Platform, which utilizes methylation technology with genomic, epigenomic, and RNA-based data, to unlock multi-modal biology with proprietary chemistry, advanced algorithms and our InfinityAI learning engine.
We also collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in clinical studies by providing the above-mentioned tests, as well as the GuardantINFINITY blood test, also powered by our Smart Platform, which provides new, multi-dimensional insights into the complexities of tumor molecular profiles and immune response to advance cancer research and therapy development, and the GuardantOMNI blood test for advanced-stage cancer. Using data collected from our tests and through AI-enabled analytical tools, we have also developed our GuardantINFORM platform to help biopharmaceutical companies accelerate precision oncology drug development through the use of this in-silico research platform to unlock further insights into tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers.
For early cancer detection, we offer the Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening in adults age 45 and older who are at average risk for the disease. Shield is the first blood test approved by the FDA for primary colorectal cancer screening and also the first blood test for colorectal cancer screening that meets coverage requirements by Medicare. In addition, our Shield blood test is included in the National Comprehensive Cancer Network colorectal cancer screening guidelines. We also expect to expand into lung cancer screening and multi-cancer detection, or MCD, with our Shield platform. The FDA has granted Breakthrough Device designation to our Shield MCD test to provide patients and healthcare providers with timely access to medical devices by speeding up their development, assessment and review. In addition, we have expanded our Shield blood test to include an MCD results report with a data collection effort to better understand the clinical impact of MCD results.
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We currently perform clinical, research use only, and investigation use only tests in our laboratory located in Redwood City, California. Our Redwood City laboratory is licensed pursuant to the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, accredited by the College of American Pathologists, or CAP, permitted by the New York State Department of Health, or NYSDOH, and licensed in California and four other states. We also perform clinical tests in our laboratory located in Long Island City, New York, for which we have received a clinical laboratory license from New York State, and research use only tests in our laboratory located in San Diego, California. In addition, our Redwood City, San Diego and Palo Alto, California laboratories are currently operated as centers for our research and technology development, and our Palo Alto laboratory is also CLIA licensed.
We generated total revenue of $982.0 million, $739.0 million and $563.9 million for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively. We also incurred net losses of $416.3 million, $436.4 million and $479.4 million in the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively. We have funded our operations to date principally from the sales of our common stock, issuances of convertible senior notes, and generation of our revenue. See Note 7, Debt, and Note 10, Common Stock, to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information on our convertible senior notes and common stock. As of December 31, 2025, we had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities of approximately $1.3 billion.
Factors affecting our performance
We believe there are several important factors that have impacted and that we expect will impact our operating performance and results of operations, including:
•Testing volume, pricing, and product and customer mix. Our revenue and cost of revenue are affected by the volume of tests, and average selling price per sample and cost per sample in relation to the mix of products and customers from period to period. We evaluate the volume of tests performed both for patients on behalf of clinicians and for biopharmaceutical companies, including tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. Our performance depends on our ability to retain and broaden adoption of our existing and new products, with existing customers, as well as attract new customers.
•Payer coverage and reimbursement. Our revenue depends on achieving broad coverage and reimbursement for our tests from third-party payers, including both commercial and government payers. Our oncology and screening revenue is calculated based on our expected cash collections, using the estimated variable consideration. The variable consideration is estimated based on historical collection patterns as well as the potential for changes in future reimbursement behavior by one or more payers. Estimation of the impact of the potential for changes in reimbursement requires significant judgment and considers payers' past patterns of changes in reimbursement as well as any stated plans to implement changes. Any cash collections over the expected reimbursement period exceeding the estimated variable consideration are recorded in future periods based on actual cash received. Payment from commercial payers can vary depending on whether we have entered into a contract with the payers as a “participating provider” or do not have a contract and are considered a “non-participating provider”. Payers often reimburse non-participating providers, if at all, at a lower amount than participating providers. Because we are not contracted with these payers, they determine the amount that they are willing to reimburse us for any of our tests and they can prospectively and retrospectively adjust the amount of reimbursement, adding to the complexity in estimating the variable consideration. When we contract with a payer to serve as a participating provider, reimbursements by the payer are generally made pursuant to a negotiated fee schedule and are limited to only covered indications or where prior approval has been obtained. Becoming a participating provider can result in higher reimbursement amounts for covered uses of our tests and, potentially, no reimbursement for non-covered uses identified under the payer’s policies or the contract. As a result, the potential for more favorable reimbursement associated with becoming a participating provider may be offset by a potential loss of reimbursement for non-covered uses of our tests. Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, coding plays a significant role in how our tests are reimbursed both from commercial and governmental payers. In addition, Z-Code Identifiers are used by certain payers, including under Medicare's Molecular Diagnostic Services Program, or MolDx, to supplement CPT codes for our molecular diagnostics tests. Changes to the codes used to report to payers may result in significant changes in its reimbursement. If their policies were to change in the future to cover additional cancer indications, we anticipate that our total reimbursement would increase.
In March 2021, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, approved advanced diagnostic laboratory test, or ADLT, status to our Guardant360 CDx test, based on which Medicare paid us at the lowest available commercial rate per test, from April 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. Effective January 1, 2022, Medicare started to reimburse Guardant360 CDx services at the median rate of claims paid by commercial
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payers. In March 2022, Palmetto GBA, the Medicare administrative contractor for MolDX, conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 Tissue test under the existing local coverage determination. The policy covers our Guardant360 Tissue test for Medicare fee-for-service patients with advanced solid tumor cancers. In July 2022, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant Reveal test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the United States with stage II or III colorectal cancer whose testing is initiated within three months following curative intent therapy, with an effective date of December 2021. Effective January 1, 2024, Medicare has increased the reimbursement rate for our Guardant360 Liquid test to the same rate as our Guardant360 CDx test. In January 2025, Palmetto GBA granted coverage for our Guardant Reveal test to monitor disease recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer in the surveillance setting following curative intent therapy. This represents an expansion from the prior Medicare coverage of our Guardant Reveal test for colorectal cancer in the early post-surgical setting only. In May 2025, the coverage for our upgraded Guardant360 Tissue test was expanded by Medicare to include both DNA and RNA testing.
In August 2024, following the FDA approval, our Shield blood test met the coverage requirements by Medicare based on the criteria established in its National Coverage Determination for blood-based colorectal cancer screening tests. The test is covered once every three years for eligible Medicare beneficiaries. In March 2025, CMS approved ADLT status for our Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening, which initiated a specific, market-based approach to pricing the test for Medicare patients. In March 2025, our Shield blood test received coverage for patients receiving community care authorized by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, or VA, as an in-network benefit, with no copay for average-risk individuals who are age 45 or older. Following Medicare coverage for our Shield blood test in August 2024, the VA network coverage is the first for individuals between the ages of 45 and 64. In addition, in January 2026, our Shield blood test received coverage for active-duty service members and their families through TRICARE, the U.S. military’s health insurance coverage, with no copay for average-risk individuals ages 45 and older.
Due to the inherent variability and unpredictability of the reimbursement landscape, including related to the amount that payers reimburse us for any of our tests, we estimate the amount of our oncology and screening revenue to be recognized at the time a test is provided and record revenue adjustments if and when the cash subsequently received differs from the revenue recorded. Due to this variability and unpredictability, previously recorded revenue adjustments are not indicative of future revenue adjustments from actual cash collections, which may fluctuate significantly. Additionally, if coding changes were to occur, payments for certain uses of our tests could be reduced, put on hold, or eliminated. This variability and unpredictability could increase the risk of future revenue reversal and result in our failing to meet any previously publicly stated guidance we may provide.
•Biopharmaceutical customers. Our revenue also depends on our ability to attract, maintain and expand relationships with biopharmaceutical customers. As we continue to develop these relationships, we expect to support a growing number of clinical studies globally and continue to have opportunities to offer our services to such customers, primarily including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, monitoring and maintenance, GuardantINFORM data services and GuardantConnect referral services.
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•Research and development. A significant aspect of our business is our investment in research and development, including the development of new products. In particular, we have invested heavily in clinical studies as we believe these studies are critical to gaining physician adoption and driving favorable coverage decisions by payers. With respect to Guardant Reveal, in October 2021, we initiated a 1,000-patient prospective, observational, multi-center study, which we refer to as the ORACLE study, designed to evaluate the performance of our Guardant Reveal liquid biopsy test to predict cancer recurrence after curative intent treatment, across 11 solid tumor types. In addition, with respect to Guardant Reveal, in December 2022, we entered into a partnership with Susan G. Komen®, the world’s leading breast cancer organization, to bring the patient perspective to the development of clinical studies that help identify early-stage breast cancer patients who are at high risk of disease recurrence and may benefit from additional monitoring or therapy. With respect to Shield, in December 2022, we announced that the ECLIPSE study, a registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults, met co-primary endpoints. The test demonstrated 83% sensitivity in detecting individuals with colorectal cancer. Specificity was 90% in both individuals without advanced neoplasia and in those who had a negative colonoscopy result. These results exceed the performance criteria set forth by the CMS for reimbursement. This test also demonstrated 13% sensitivity in detecting advanced adenomas. Based on these study results, in March 2023, we submitted a PMA to the FDA for our Shield blood test. In July 2024, we received FDA approval of our Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening in adults age 45 and older who are at average risk for the disease, and in August 2024, our Shield blood test became commercially available in the U.S. as the first blood test approved by the FDA for primary colorectal cancer screening, meaning healthcare providers can offer Shield in a manner similar to all other non-invasive methods recommended in screening guidelines. Shield is also the first blood test for colorectal cancer screening that meets coverage requirements by Medicare. In addition, in June 2025, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network included our Shield blood test in its updated colorectal cancer screening guidelines. In July 2025, we initiated patient enrollment for the required Shield post FDA-approval study with the goal of assessing our Shield blood test performance, which we refer to as the SOLAR study. The SOLAR study will continue patient enrollment into 2026, and we aim to conclude the SOLAR study by 2031. To clinically validate the performance of our next-generation Shield blood test in lung cancer screening in high-risk individuals ages 50-80, in January 2022, we initiated a nearly 10,000-patient prospective, registrational study, which we refer to as the SHIELD LUNG study. In addition, in January 2025, our Shield multi-cancer detection, or MCD, test was selected for the Vanguard study funded by the National Cancer Institute, part of the National Institutes of Health. The Vanguard study is a four-year pilot study which initiated patient enrollment in June 2025 and will enroll up to 24,000 people to inform the design of a randomized controlled trial evaluating the use of MCD tests for cancer screening. In June 2025, the FDA also granted Breakthrough Device designation to our Shield MCD test to provide patients and healthcare providers with timely access to medical devices by speeding up their development, assessment and review. We have expended considerable resources, and expect to increase such expenditures over the next few years, to support our research and development programs with the goal of fueling further innovation.
•International expansion. A component of our long-term growth strategy is to expand our commercial footprint internationally, and we expect to increase our sales and marketing expense to execute on this strategy. We currently offer our oncology and screening tests in countries outside the United States primarily through distributor relationships, direct contracts with hospitals, and partnerships with local research organizations and laboratory companies.
In July 2023, Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare granted national reimbursement approval for our Guardant360 CDx test for patients with advanced or metastatic solid tumor cancers in Japan.
In December 2020, we signed our first public private partnership agreement with Vall D'Hebron Institute of Oncology, or VHIO, one of Europe’s leading cancer research institutions, and in May 2022, the first blood-based cancer testing services in Europe based on our digital sequencing platform became available at the VHIO testing facility in Spain. In October 2021, we signed a partnership agreement with The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, or Royal Marsden, a premier cancer center within the United Kingdom, or the UK, for patient care, research and teaching of all types of cancer, and in April 2023, the blood-based cancer testing services based on our digital sequencing platform became available at Royal Marsden testing facility in the UK. In September 2024, we signed a partnership agreement with Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, or Policlinico Gemelli, one of Italy’s largest and most renowned hospitals known for its advanced oncology services, including diagnostics, treatment, and research, to establish an in-house liquid biopsy testing service within its hospital system, and in December 2025, the liquid biopsy testing service based on our proprietary Guardant360® CDx technology became available at the Policlinico Gemelli facility in Italy.
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In June 2022, we signed a strategic partnership agreement with Adicon Holdings Limited, or Adicon, a leading independent clinical laboratory company based in China, and in December 2023, the blood-based cancer testing services based on our digital sequencing platform became available at Adicon's testing facility, which offers our industry-leading comprehensive genomic profiling tests to biopharmaceutical companies to advance clinical research and the development of new cancer therapies in China.
The success of our international expansion strategy depends on a number of factors, including the internal and external constraints placed on our international laboratory partners and biopharmaceutical companies in the context of broader global, regional and U.S. economic and geopolitical conditions. For example, deterioration in the bilateral relationship between the United States and China may impact international trade, government spending, regional stability and macroeconomic conditions. The impact of these potential developments, including any resulting sanctions, export controls or other restrictive actions that may be imposed against governmental or other entities in, for example, China, may contribute to disruption of our international partnerships and instability and volatility in the global markets, which in turn could adversely impact our operations and weaken our financial results.
•Sales and marketing expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our sales and marketing expense, increase in headcount, and in particular, our various marketing programs around existing and new product introductions.
•General and administrative expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our general and administrative expense, and in particular, our stock-based compensation expense. Our equity awards, including performance-based restricted stock units, are intended to retain and incentivize employees to lead us to sustained, long-term superior financial and operational performance.
•Other operating expense. Our financial results might fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our other operating expense, and in particular, our legal reserves, which could potentially decrease or increase significantly.
While each of these areas presents significant opportunities for us, they also pose significant risks and challenges that we must address. See Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
Components of results of operations
Revenue
We derive our revenue from four major sources, including oncology, biopharma and data, screening, and licensing and other.
Oncology. Oncology revenue was previously presented as precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers. Oncology revenue includes amounts derived from the delivery of our oncology tests for clinical customers, including hospitals, cancer centers, research institutions and patients, and oncology tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. In the United States, we submit claims to Medicare and private payers for reimbursement for our Guardant360 CDx, Guardant360 Liquid, Guardant360 Tissue, and Guardant Reveal tests performed for qualifying patients.
Biopharma and data. Biopharma and data revenue includes amounts derived from the delivery of our tests for biopharmaceutical customers, previously presented as precision oncology revenue from tests for biopharmaceutical customers. Biopharma and data revenue also includes amounts derived from the performance of our service agreements with biopharmaceutical customers, previously presented as a component of development services and other revenue, primarily comprised of companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, monitoring and maintenance, GuardantINFORM data services and GuardantConnect referral services.
Screening. Screening revenue, previously included in other revenue, includes amounts derived from the delivery of our Shield screening tests. In August 2024, following the FDA approval, our Shield screening test met the coverage requirements by Medicare, and we submit claims to Medicare for reimbursement for our Shield screening tests performed for qualifying patients. We also submit claims to private payers for reimbursement for qualifying patients covered under Medicare Advantage program. In addition, in March 2025, our Shield screening test received coverage for patients receiving community care authorized by the U.S. Department of VA, as an in-network benefit, with no copay for average-risk individuals who are age 45 or older. Following Medicare coverage for our Shield screening test in August 2024, the VA network coverage is the first for individuals between the ages of 45 and 64.
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Licensing and other. We also derive revenue from licensing our technologies, previously included in other revenue.
Costs and operating expenses
Cost of revenue. Costs associated with performing our tests generally consists of cost of materials, including inventory write-downs; cost of labor, including employee benefits, bonus, and stock-based compensation; equipment and infrastructure expenses associated with processing test samples, such as sample preparation, library preparation, sequencing, and quality control analyses; freight; curation of test results for physicians; phlebotomy; and license fees due to third parties. Infrastructure expenses include depreciation of laboratory equipment, rent costs, depreciation of leasehold improvements and information technology costs. Costs associated with performing our tests are recorded as the tests are performed regardless of whether revenue was recognized with respect to the tests. We expect the costs associated with performing our tests to generally increase in line with the increase in the number of tests we perform, but we expect the cost per test to decrease modestly over time due to the efficiencies we may gain as test volume increases, and from automation and other cost reductions.
Cost of revenue also includes costs incurred for the performance of our service agreements and partnership agreements with biopharmaceutical customers and strategic partners, which comprise of labor and material costs. Costs associated with our service agreements and partnership agreements will vary depending on the nature, timing and scope of customer projects.
Research and development expense. Research and development expenses consist of costs incurred to develop technology and include salaries and benefits including stock-based compensation, reagents and supplies used in research and development laboratory work, infrastructure expenses, including facility occupancy and information technology costs, contract services, other outside costs and costs to develop our technology capabilities. Research and development expenses also include costs related to activities performed under contracts with biopharmaceutical companies before technological feasibility has been achieved. Research and development costs are expensed as incurred. Payments made prior to the receipt of goods or services to be used in research and development are deferred and recognized as an expense in the period in which the related goods are received or services are rendered. Costs to develop our technology capabilities are recorded as research and development unless they meet the criteria to be capitalized as internal-use software costs. We expect that our research and development expenses will continue to increase in absolute dollars as we continue to innovate and develop additional products, expand our genomic and medical data management resources and conduct our ongoing and new clinical studies.
Sales and marketing expense. Our sales and marketing expenses are expensed as incurred and include costs associated with our sales organization, including our direct sales force and sales management, client services, marketing and reimbursement, medical affairs, as well as business development personnel who are focused on our biopharmaceutical customers. These expenses consist primarily of salaries, commissions, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as marketing, sales incentives, and educational activities and overhead expenses. We expect our sales and marketing expenses to increase in absolute dollars as we expand our sales force, increase our presence within and outside of the United States, and increase our marketing activities to drive further awareness and adoption of our tests.
General and administrative expense. Our general and administrative expenses include costs for our executive, accounting and finance, information technology, legal and human resources functions. These expenses consist principally of salaries, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as professional services fees such as consulting, audit, tax and legal fees, and general corporate costs and overhead expenses. In addition, our general and administrative expenses also include severance costs related to workforce reduction. We expect that our general and administrative expenses will continue to increase as we incur additional costs to support the growth of our business. These expenses, though expected to increase in absolute dollars, are expected to decrease modestly as a percentage of revenue in the long term, though they may fluctuate as a percentage of revenue from period to period due to the timing and extent of these expenses being incurred.
Interest income
Interest income consists of interest earned on our cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities.
Interest expense
Interest expense consists of coupon interest expense and amortization of debt issuance costs, net of amortization of debt premium.
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Other income (expense), net
Other income (expense), net consists of foreign currency exchange gains and losses, unrealized and realized gains and losses on marketable equity securities, gain on extinguishment of convertible notes, and impairment of non-marketable equity securities and other related assets. We expect our foreign currency gains and losses to continue to fluctuate in the future due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
Provision for (benefit from) income tax
Income taxes are recorded using an asset and liability approach. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases using enacted tax rates in effect for the year in which the differences are expected to affect taxable income. Tax benefits are recognized when it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained during an audit. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if current evidence indicates that it is considered more likely than not that these benefits will not be realized.
Our tax positions are subject to income tax audits. We recognize the tax benefit of an uncertain tax position only if it is more likely than not that the position is sustainable upon examination by the taxing authority, based on the technical merits. The tax benefit recognized is measured as the largest amount of benefit which is more likely than not to be realized upon settlement with the taxing authority. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in its tax provision. We evaluate uncertain tax positions on a regular basis. The evaluations are based on a number of factors, including changes in facts and circumstances, changes in tax law, correspondence with tax authorities during the course of the audit, and effective settlement of audit issues. The provision for (benefit from) income taxes includes the effects of any accruals that we believe are appropriate, as well as the related net interest and penalties.
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Results of operations
The following tables set forth the significant components of our results of operations for the periods presented.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Revenue | $ | 982,021 | $ | 739,016 | ||
| Costs and operating expenses: | ||||||
| Cost of revenue(1) | 349,007 | 289,799 | ||||
| Research and development expense(1) | 364,191 | 347,753 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense(1) | 494,661 | 364,935 | ||||
| General and administrative expense(1) | 211,410 | 180,123 | ||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 1,419,269 | 1,182,610 | ||||
| Loss from operations | (437,248) | (443,594) | ||||
| Interest income | 34,095 | 53,691 | ||||
| Interest expense | (3,897) | (2,581) | ||||
| Other income (expense), net | (10,490) | (42,605) | ||||
| Loss before (benefit from) provision for income taxes | (417,540) | (435,089) | ||||
| (Benefit from) provision for income taxes | (1,263) | 1,284 | ||||
| Net loss | $ | (416,277) | $ | (436,373) |
(1)Amounts include stock-based compensation expense as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Cost of revenue | $ | 10,699 | $ | 9,365 | ||
| Research and development expense | 50,937 | 50,566 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 44,724 | 36,479 | ||||
| General and administrative expense | 59,857 | 44,001 | ||||
| Total stock-based compensation expense | $ | 166,217 | $ | 140,411 |
In November 2020 and May 2021, we granted restricted stock units with certain performance metrics, or PSUs, consisting of a performance period of 4 years combined with an additional service period requirement of six months should the vesting criteria be met, with a grant date fair value of $113.40 per share and $148.19 per share, respectively. Before 2024, no compensation expense for these PSUs had been recorded since the achievement of the performance metrics did not meet the criteria for accrual. In 2024, the performance metrics of these PSUs were considered to be achieved; as such we recorded $24.8 million in stock-based compensation expense related to these PSUs, based on 219,161 shares granted with fair values of $113.40 per share and $148.19 per share, of which $2.4 million was recorded to cost of revenue, and $11.8 million, $6.5 million and $4.1 million was recorded as components of research and development expense, sales and marketing expense, and general and administrative expense, respectively. In the first quarter of 2025, these PSUs were vested after the additional six months service requirements were fulfilled.
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Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2025 and 2024
Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Oncology | $ | 683,595 | $ | 542,827 | $ | 140,768 | 26 | % | ||||||
| Biopharma & data | 210,132 | 177,579 | 32,553 | 18 | % | |||||||||
| Screening | 79,732 | 5,124 | 74,608 | * | ||||||||||
| Licensing and other | 8,562 | 13,486 | (4,924) | (37) | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 982,021 | $ | 739,016 | $ | 243,005 | 33 | % |
*Not meaningful
Total revenue was $982.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $739.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $243.0 million, or 33%.
Oncology revenue was $683.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $542.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $140.8 million, or 26%. This increase was driven primarily by an increase in oncology test volume to approximately 276,000 for the year ended December 31, 2025, from approximately 206,700 for the year ended December 31, 2024.
Biopharma and data revenue was $210.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $177.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $32.6 million, or 18%. This increase was driven primarily by an increase in volume of our GuardantINFINITY test, as well as an increase in revenue derived from the achievement of certain milestones of our companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval service agreements and revenue derived from our data services.
Screening revenue was $79.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, generated from the delivery of approximately 87,000 of our Shield screening tests.
Licensing and other revenue was $8.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $13.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, a decrease of $4.9 million, primarily due to nonrecurring milestone revenue recorded related to one of our partnership agreements for the year ended December 31, 2024.
Cost of Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Cost of revenue | $ | 349,007 | $ | 289,799 | $ | 59,208 | 20 | % |
Cost of revenue was $349.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $289.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $59.2 million, or 20%. This increase in cost of revenue was driven primarily by an increase in sample volume of our oncology, biopharma and screening tests, partially offset by reduced cost per sample of our tests, primarily Guardant Reveal, Guardant360 Liquid and Shield screening tests.
Operating Expenses
Research and development expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Research and development expense | $ | 364,191 | $ | 347,753 | $ | 16,438 | 5 | % |
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Research and development expenses were $364.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $347.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $16.4 million, or 5%. This increase was related to continued investment in the development of our technologies and products, primarily including an increase of $9.6 million in personnel costs, an increase of $6.7 million in material costs, and an increase of $3.8 million in information technology infrastructure costs; partially offset by a decrease of $6.5 million in outside services costs related to clinical studies.
Sales and marketing expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing expense | $ | 494,661 | $ | 364,935 | $ | 129,726 | 36 | % |
Sales and marketing expenses were $494.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $364.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $129.7 million, or 36%. This increase was related to commercial team expansion and marketing activities to support both the Shield product launch and existing products growth, primarily resulting in an increase of $77.0 million in personnel costs, an increase of $35.1 million in marketing activity related costs, an increase of $8.2 million in stock-based compensation, an increase of $4.8 million in office and administrative costs, and an increase of $4.7 million in information technology infrastructure costs.
General and administrative expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| General and administrative expense | $ | 211,410 | $ | 180,123 | $ | 31,287 | 17 | % |
General and administrative expenses were $211.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $180.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $31.3 million, or 17%. This increase was primarily due to an increase of $15.9 million in stock-based compensation, an increase of $13.9 million in information technology infrastructure costs, and an increase of $4.0 million in outside service costs; partially offset by a decrease of $5.6 million in legal expenses.
Interest income
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest income | $ | 34,095 | $ | 53,691 | $ | (19,596) | (36) | % |
Interest income was $34.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, compared to $53.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, a decrease of $19.6 million, or 36%. This decrease was primarily due to reduced average investment balances and lower available market rates of return on our investment portfolio.
Interest expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | $ | (3,897) | $ | (2,581) | $ | (1,316) | 51 | % |
Interest expense was primarily related to the coupon interest, amortization of debt issuance costs, net of amortization of debt premium of our convertible senior notes for the years ended December 31, 2025, and 2024. See Note 7, Debt to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information on our convertible senior notes.
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Other income (expense), net
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | $ | (10,490) | $ | (42,605) | $ | 32,115 | (75) | % |
Other income (expense), net was a $10.5 million expense for the year ended December 31, 2025, primarily attributable to an impairment of $18.6 million recorded for our non-marketable equity security investments, partially offset by a gain on extinguishment of convertible notes of $13.7 million related to the convertible notes exchange transaction completed in February 2025. Other income (expense), net was a $42.6 million expense for the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily due to $44.4 million of net unrealized and realized losses recorded for our marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc. during the period.
(Benefit from) provision for income taxes
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| (Benefit from) provision for income taxes | $ | (1,263) | $ | 1,284 | $ | (2,547) | (198) | % |
The (benefit from) provision for income taxes for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024 was insignificant.
Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2024 and 2023
Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Oncology | $ | 542,827 | $ | 403,876 | $ | 138,951 | 34 | % | ||||||
| Biopharma & data | 177,579 | 136,351 | 41,228 | 30 | % | |||||||||
| Screening | 5,124 | — | 5,124 | * | ||||||||||
| Licensing and other | 13,486 | 23,721 | (10,235) | (43) | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 739,016 | $ | 563,948 | $ | 175,068 | 31 | % |
* Not meaningful
Total revenue was $739.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $563.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $175.1 million, or 31%.
Oncology revenue was $542.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $403.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $139.0 million, or 34%. This increase was driven primarily by an increase in oncology test volume and an increase in reimbursement for our oncology tests. Total oncology test volume increased to approximately 206,700 for the year ended December 31, 2024, from approximately 172,900 for the year ended December 31, 2023. The increase in reimbursement for our tests for the year ended December 31, 2024 was primarily attributable to an increase in Medicare reimbursement for our Guardant360 Liquid test to $5,000, effective January 1, 2024; and increases in Medicare Advantage and commercial payer reimbursement.
Biopharma and data revenue was $177.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $136.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $41.2 million, or 30%. This increase was driven primarily by an increase in volume of our GuardantINFINITY test, as well as an increase in revenue derived from the achievement of certain milestones of our companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval service agreements.
Screening revenue was $5.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily generated from the delivery of approximately 6,400 of our Shield screening tests for the three months ended December 31, 2024, following the FDA approval.
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Licensing and other revenue was $13.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $23.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, a decrease of $10.2 million, or 43%, primarily due to a decrease of $7.2 million associated with our partnership agreements and a reduction of $3.2 million in royalty revenue.
Cost of Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Cost of revenue | $ | 289,799 | $ | 227,052 | $ | 62,747 | 28 | % |
Cost of revenue was $289.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $227.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $62.7 million, or 28%. This increase in cost of revenue was driven primarily by an increase in sample volume of our oncology, biopharma and screening tests.
Liquidity and capital resources
We have incurred losses and negative cash flows from operations since our inception, and as of December 31, 2025, we had an accumulated deficit of $3.0 billion. We expect to incur additional operating losses in the near future and our operating expenses will increase as we continue to invest in clinical studies and develop new products, expand our sales organization, and increase our marketing efforts to drive market adoption of our tests. As demand for our tests are expected to continue to increase from physicians and biopharmaceutical companies, we anticipate that our capital expenditure requirements could also increase if we require additional laboratory capacity.
We have funded our operations to date principally from the sales of our common stock, issuances of convertible notes and generation of our revenue. As of December 31, 2025, we had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities of $1.3 billion. Cash in excess of immediate requirements is invested in accordance with our investment policy, primarily with a view to provide liquidity while ensuring capital preservation. Additionally, we have investments held in marketable debt securities consisting primarily of commercial paper and U.S. treasury securities that can be immediately liquid.
Based on our current business plan, we believe our current cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations, will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash requirements for more than 12 months from the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We may consider raising additional capital to expand our business, to pursue strategic investments, to take advantage of financing opportunities or for other reasons. As our revenue is expected to grow long-term, we expect our accounts receivable and inventory balances to increase. Any increase in accounts receivable and inventory may not be completely offset by increases in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, which could impact our working capital balances.
If our available cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations are insufficient to satisfy our liquidity requirements because of lower demand for our products as a result of lower than currently expected rates of reimbursement from our customers or other risks described in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we may seek to sell additional common or preferred equity or convertible debt securities, enter into a credit facility or another form of third-party funding or seek other debt financing. The sale of equity and convertible debt securities may result in dilution to our stockholders and, in the case of preferred equity securities or convertible debt, those securities could provide for rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our common stock. The terms of debt securities issued or borrowings pursuant to a credit agreement could impose significant restrictions on our operations. If we raise funds through collaborations and licensing arrangements, we might be required to relinquish significant rights to our platform technologies or products or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to us. Additional capital may not be available to us on reasonable terms, or at all. See Note 7, Debt, and Note 10, Common Stock, to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information on our convertible senior notes and common stock.
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Cash flows
The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Net cash used in operating activities | $ | (184,760) | $ | (239,858) | ||
| Net cash used in investing activities | (627,202) | (261,308) | ||||
| Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | $ | 671,133 | $ | (996) |
Operating activities
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2025 was $184.8 million, which resulted from a net loss of $416.3 million and changes in our operating assets and liabilities of $14.4 million, partially offset by reconciliation adjustments of $245.9 million. Reconciliation adjustments primarily consisted of $166.2 million of stock-based compensation, $39.7 million of depreciation and amortization, $33.6 million of operating lease costs, and $18.6 million of impairment on nonmarketable equity security investments; partially offset by $13.7 million of gain on extinguishment of convertible notes. The changes in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $37.5 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $28.2 million increase in accounts receivable, net, a $14.8 million increase in inventory, net, and a $6.4 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, net; partially offset by a $52.7 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, and a $19.5 million increase in deferred revenue.
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2024 was $239.9 million, which resulted from a net loss of $436.4 million and changes in our operating assets and liabilities of $60.9 million, partially offset by reconciliation adjustments of $257.4 million. Reconciliation adjustments primarily consisted of $140.4 million of stock-based compensation, $44.4 million of net unrealized and realized losses on marketable equity security investment in Lunit, inc., $42.4 million of depreciation and amortization, and $31.1 million of operating lease costs; partially offset by $6.8 million of amortization of discount on marketable debt securities. The changes in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $36.1 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $21.4 million increase in accounts receivable, net, a $9.1 million increase in inventory, net, a $7.7 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, net, and a $2.8 million decrease in accounts payable and accrued liabilities; partially offset by a $18.7 million increase in deferred revenue.
Investing activities
Cash used in investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2025 was $627.2 million, which resulted primarily from purchases of marketable debt securities of $818.2 million, business acquisition net of cash acquired of $59.0 million, purchases of property and equipment of $48.3 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity security investments of $9.0 million; partially offset by maturities of marketable debt securities of $307.3 million.
Cash used in investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2024 was $261.3 million, which resulted primarily from purchases of marketable debt securities of $307.3 million, purchases of property and equipment of $35.1 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity security investments of $7.5 million; partially offset by sales of marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc. of $53.6 million and maturities of marketable debt securities of $35.0 million.
Financing activities
Cash provided by financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2025 was $671.1 million, which was primarily attributable to proceeds from issuance of convertible senior notes of $402.5 million, proceeds from equity offering of $257.1 million, proceeds from treasury stock reissuance upon equity offering of $87.9 million, proceeds from exercise of stock options of $19.2 million, and proceeds from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan of $13.6 million; partially offset by repurchase of treasury stock of $45.0 million, employee taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $30.5 million, payment of debt issuance costs of $24.6 million, and payment of equity offering costs of $17.7 million.
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Cash used in financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2024 was $1.0 million, which was primarily attributable to employee taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $15.7 million, partially offset by proceeds from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan of $11.7 million and proceeds from exercise of stock options of $3.1 million.
Critical accounting policies and estimates
We have prepared our consolidated financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or GAAP. Our preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, expenses and related disclosures at the date of the consolidated financial statements, as well as revenue and expenses recorded during the reporting periods. We evaluate our estimates and judgments on an ongoing basis. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other factors that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could therefore differ materially from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.
While our significant accounting policies are described in more detail in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we believe the following accounting policies to be critical to the judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Revenue recognition
We derive revenue from four major sources, including oncology, biopharma and data, screening, and licensing and other. We currently receive payments from third-party commercial and governmental payers, certain hospitals and oncology centers, and individual patients, as well as biopharmaceutical companies, research institutes, international laboratory partners and distributors.
Revenues are recognized when control of services is transferred to customers, in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled to in exchange for those services. FASB ASC Topic 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, provides for a five-step model that includes identifying the contract with a customer, identifying the performance obligations in the contract, determining the transaction price, allocating the transaction price to the performance obligations, and recognizing revenue when, or as, an entity satisfies a performance obligation.
Oncology
Oncology revenue was previously presented as precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers. Oncology revenue includes amounts derived from the delivery of our oncology tests for clinical customers, including hospitals, cancer centers, research institutions and patients, and oncology tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners.
Oncology revenue is recognized at the time results of the test are reported to physicians. Most oncology tests requested by clinical customers are sold without a written agreement; however, we determine an implied contract exists with our clinical customers. We identify each sale of our test to a clinical customer as a single performance obligation. With the exception of certain limited contracted arrangements with insurance carriers and other institutions where the transaction price is fixed, a stated contract price does not exist and the transaction price for each implied contract with clinical customers represents variable consideration. We estimate the variable consideration under the portfolio approach and consider the historical reimbursement data from third-party commercial and governmental payers and patients, as well as known or anticipated reimbursement trends not reflected in the historical data. We monitor the estimated amount to be collected in the portfolio at each reporting period based on actual cash collections in order to assess whether a revision to the estimate is required. Both the estimate and any subsequent revision contain uncertainty and require the use of significant judgment in the estimation of the variable consideration and application of the constraint for such variable consideration. We analyze the actual cash collections over the expected reimbursement period and compare it with the estimated variable consideration for each portfolio and any difference is recognized as an adjustment to estimated revenue, subject to assessment of the risk of cumulative future revenue reversal.
Biopharma and data
Biopharma and data revenue includes amounts derived from the delivery of our tests for biopharmaceutical customers, previously presented as precision oncology revenue from tests for biopharmaceutical customers. Biopharma and data revenue also includes amounts derived from the performance of our service agreements with
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biopharmaceutical customers, previously presented as a component of development services and other revenue, primarily comprised of companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, monitoring and maintenance, GuardantINFORM data services and GuardantConnect referral services.
Revenue from the delivery of our tests for biopharmaceutical customers are based on a negotiated price per test or on the basis of an agreement to provide certain testing volume over a defined period. We identify our promise to transfer a series of distinct tests to biopharmaceutical customers as a single performance obligation. Tests for biopharmaceutical customers are generally billed at a fixed price for each test performed. For agreements involving testing volume to be satisfied over a defined period, revenue is recognized over time based on the number of tests performed as the performance obligation is satisfied over time. Results of our tests are delivered electronically, and as such there are no shipping or handling fees incurred by us or billed to customers.
In addition, we collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our testing panels. Under these collaborations, we generate revenue from achievement of milestones. The transaction price of these contracts typically represents variable consideration. Application of the constraint for variable consideration to milestone payments is an area that requires significant judgment. We evaluate factors such as the scientific, clinical, regulatory, commercial, and other risks that must be managed to achieve the respective milestone and the level of effort and investment required to achieve the respective milestone. The constraint for variable consideration is applied to the contract price such that it is probable a significant cumulative reversal of revenue will not occur when the uncertainty associated with the contingency is resolved. We also provide other services to our biopharmaceutical customers, such as monitoring and maintenance, GuardantINFORM data services and GuardantConnect referral services. These revenues are generally recognized over time based on an input method to measure progress in the service period, utilizing costs incurred to-date relative to total expected costs as its measure of progress.
Screening
Screening revenue, previously included in other revenue, includes amounts derived from the delivery of our Shield screening tests. As is the case with our Oncology revenue, we recognize our Screening revenue at the time the results of the tests are reported. Due to consistencies with our Oncology revenue, we apply the concepts of variable consideration under the portfolio approach to our Screening revenue in a manner consistent with that of our Oncology revenue, described above.
Licensing and other
We also derive revenue from licensing our technologies, previously included in other revenue. We recognize licensing and other revenue based on the nature and terms of the technology licensing arrangements.
Contracts with multiple performance obligations
Our contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners may include multiple distinct performance obligations, such as delivery of our tests, performance of the above-mentioned services, and licensing our technologies, among others. We evaluate the terms and conditions included within our contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners to ensure appropriate revenue recognition. We first identify material promises, in contrast to immaterial promises or administrative tasks, under the contract, and then evaluate whether these promises are both capable of being distinct and distinct within the context of the contract. In assessing whether a promised service is capable of being distinct, we consider whether the customer could benefit from the service either on its own or together with other resources that are readily available to the customer, including factors such as the research, development, and commercialization capabilities of a third party as well as the availability of the associated expertise in the general marketplace. In assessing whether a promised service is distinct within the context of the contract, we consider whether we provide a significant integration of the services, whether the services significantly modify or customize one another, or whether the services are highly interdependent or interrelated.
For contracts with multiple performance obligations, the transaction price is allocated to the separate performance obligations on a relative standalone selling price basis. We determine standalone selling price by considering the historical selling price of these performance obligations in similar transactions as well as other factors, including, but not limited to, the price that customers in the market would be willing to pay, competitive pricing of other vendors, industry publications and current pricing practices, and expected costs of satisfying each performance obligation plus appropriate margin; or by using the residual approach if standalone selling price is not observable, by reference to the total transaction price less the sum of the observable standalone selling prices of other performance obligations promised in the contract.
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Stock-based compensation
We measure the grant date fair value of our service-based and performance-based restricted stock units issued to employees and non-employees based on the closing market price of the common stock on the date of grant. For restricted stock units with only service-based vesting conditions, compensation expense is recognized on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period. Compensation expense for restricted stock units with performance metrics, or PSUs, is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant, and is recognized using an accelerated attribution model over the requisite service period for each separately vesting portion of the award. No stock-based compensation expense is recorded for PSUs, unless it is determined to be probable that the related performance metrics will be met. In addition, a cumulative adjustment will be recorded in the period when the probability of achieving the related performance metrics is adjusted. For awards granted with a market condition, we derive the grant date fair value using the Monte Carlo simulation model and the related compensation expense is recognized over the requisite service period using an accelerated attribution model commencing on the grant date. Any awards that remain unvested at the end of the performance period will be forfeited. Forfeitures are accounted for as they occur.
We measure stock-based compensation expense for stock options granted to our employees, directors, and non-employees on the date of grant based on the fair value of the awards and recognize the corresponding compensation expense of those awards over the requisite service period, which is generally the vesting period of the respective awards. Compensation expense for stock options with performance metrics is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant.
We estimate the fair value of our stock options on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our stock options, were:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of our common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
Expected Term
The expected term represents the period that the stock options granted are expected to be outstanding and is determined using the simplified method (based on the mid-point between the vesting date and the end of the contractual term) as we have concluded that our stock option exercise history does not provide a reasonable basis upon which to estimate expected term.
Expected Volatility
Prior to the commencement of trading of our common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on October 4, 2018 in connection with our IPO, there was no active trading market for our common stock. Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, for awards granted prior to fiscal year 2025, expected volatility was estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty. As sufficient trading data became available, for awards granted since fiscal year 2025, we estimate expected volatility based on its own historical stock price volatility.
Risk-Free Interest Rate
The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury rate, with maturities similar to the expected term of the stock options.
Expected Dividend Yield
We do not anticipate paying any dividends in the foreseeable future and, therefore, use an expected dividend yield of zero.
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Black-Scholes Assumptions
The weighted-average assumptions used in our Black-Scholes option-pricing model were as follows for stock option granted to our employees, directors and non-employees for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |||
| Expected term (in years) | 5.50 – 6.10 | 5.50 – 6.09 | 5.50 – 6.10 | ||
| Expected volatility | 65.4% – 67.2% | 67.4% – 69.4% | 69.3% – 70.5% | ||
| Risk-free interest rate | 3.7% – 4.3% | 3.8% – 4.5% | 3.4% – 4.5% | ||
| Expected dividend yield | —% | —% | —% |
We will continue to use judgment in evaluating the assumptions related to our stock-based compensation on a prospective basis, including probabilities of meeting performance metrics for our PSUs. As we continue to accumulate additional data related to our common stock, we may have refinements to our estimates, which could materially impact our future stock-based compensation expense.
Recent accounting pronouncements
See Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001576280-25-000044.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
You should read the following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations together with the consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion and other parts of this Annual Report on Form 10-K contain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, such as statements of our plans, objectives, beliefs, expectations and intentions. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
The following generally compares our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023. A detailed discussion comparing our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022 can be found in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Overview
We are a leading precision oncology company focused on guarding wellness and giving every person more time free from cancer. We are transforming patient care by providing critical insights into what drives disease through our advanced blood and tissue tests, and real-world data. Our tests help improve outcomes across all stages of care, including screening to find cancer early, monitoring for recurrence in early-stage cancer, and helping doctors select the best treatment for patients with advanced cancer. For patients with advanced-stage cancer, we have commercially launched Guardant360 laboratory developed test, or LDT, and Guardant360 CDx, the first comprehensive liquid biopsy test approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, to provide tumor mutation profiling with solid tumors and to be used as a companion diagnostic in connection with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC, and breast cancer. We have also launched the Guardant360 TissueNext tissue test for advanced-stage cancer, Guardant Reveal blood test to detect residual and recurring disease in early-stage colorectal, breast and lung cancer patients, and Guardant360 Response blood test to predict patient response to immunotherapy or targeted therapy eight weeks earlier than current standard-of-care imaging.
We also collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in clinical studies by providing the above-mentioned tests, as well as the GuardantOMNI blood test for advanced-stage cancer, and the GuardantINFINITY blood test, a next-generation Smart Liquid Biopsy that provides new, multi-dimensional insights into the complexities of tumor molecular profiles and immune response to advance cancer research and therapy development. Using data collected from our tests, we have also developed our GuardantINFORM platform to help biopharmaceutical companies accelerate precision oncology drug development through the use of this in-silico research platform to unlock further insights into tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers.
For early cancer detection, in May 2022, we launched the Shield LDT test to address the needs of individuals eligible for colorectal cancer screening. From a simple blood draw, Shield uses a novel multimodal approach to detect colorectal cancer signals in the bloodstream, including DNA that is shed by tumors. In December 2022, we announced that the ECLIPSE study, a registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults, met co-primary endpoints. In addition, in March 2023, we submitted a premarket approval application, or PMA, for our Shield blood test to the FDA. In July 2024, we received FDA approval of our Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening in adults age 45 and older who are at average risk for the disease, and in August 2024, our Shield blood test became commercially available in the U.S. as the first blood test approved by the FDA for primary colorectal cancer screening, meaning healthcare providers can offer Shield in a manner similar to all other non-invasive methods recommended in screening guidelines. Shield is also the first blood test for colorectal cancer screening that meets coverage requirements by Medicare. We also expect to expand into lung cancer screening and multi-cancer detection with our Shield platform.
We currently perform clinical, research use only, and investigation use only tests in our laboratory located in Redwood City, California. Our Redwood City laboratory is certified pursuant to the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, accredited by the College of American Pathologists, or CAP, permitted by the New York State Department of Health, or NYSDOH, and licensed in California and four other states. We also perform research use only tests in our laboratory located in San Diego, California. In addition, our Redwood City, San Diego and Palo Alto, California laboratories are currently operated as centers for our research and technology development.
We generated total revenue of $739.0 million, $563.9 million and $449.5 million for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively. We also incurred net losses of $436.4 million, $479.4 million and $654.6 million in the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively. We have funded our operations to date
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principally from the sale of our stock, convertible senior notes, and revenue from our precision oncology testing and development services and other. In May 2023, we completed a follow-on underwritten public offering, in which we issued and sold 14,375,000 shares of our common stock at a price of $28.00 per share, and received net proceeds of $381.4 million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and other offering costs of $21.1 million. In December 2023, we completed a registered direct offering with an investment management firm, in which we issued and sold 3,387,446 shares of our common stock at a price of $26.77 per share, and received net proceeds of $90.6 million. As of December 31, 2024, we had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities of approximately $944.2 million.
Factors affecting our performance
We believe there are several important factors that have impacted and that we expect will impact our operating performance and results of operations, including:
•Testing volume, pricing and customer mix. Our revenue and costs are affected by the volume of testing and mix of customers from period to period. We evaluate both the volume of tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians and the number of tests we perform for biopharmaceutical companies. Our performance depends on our ability to retain and broaden adoption with existing customers, as well as attract new customers. We believe that the test volume we receive from clinicians and biopharmaceutical companies are indicators of growth in each of these customer verticals. Customer mix for our tests has the potential to significantly affect our results of operations, as the average selling price for biopharmaceutical sample testing is currently higher than our average reimbursement for clinical tests because we are not a contracted provider for, or our tests are not covered by clinical patients’ insurance for, the majority of the tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians. Precision oncology revenue from clinical tests for patients covered and administered by Medicare represented approximately 39%, 43% and 45% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
•Payer coverage and reimbursement. Our revenue depends on achieving broad coverage and reimbursement for our tests from third-party payers, including both commercial and government payers. Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers is calculated based on our expected cash collections, using the estimated variable consideration. The variable consideration is estimated based on historical collection patterns as well as the potential for changes in future reimbursement behavior by one or more payers. Estimation of the impact of the potential for changes in reimbursement requires significant judgment and considers payers' past patterns of changes in reimbursement as well as any stated plans to implement changes. Any cash collections over the expected reimbursement period exceeding the estimated variable consideration are recorded in future periods based on actual cash received. Payment from commercial payers can vary depending on whether we have entered into a contract with the payers as a “participating provider” or do not have a contract and are considered a “non-participating provider”. Payers often reimburse non-participating providers, if at all, at a lower amount than participating providers. Because we are not contracted with these payers, they determine the amount that they are willing to reimburse us for any of our tests and they can prospectively and retrospectively adjust the amount of reimbursement, adding to the complexity in estimating the variable consideration. When we contract with a payer to serve as a participating provider, reimbursements by the payer are generally made pursuant to a negotiated fee schedule and are limited to only covered indications or where prior approval has been obtained. Becoming a participating provider can result in higher reimbursement amounts for covered uses of our tests and, potentially, no reimbursement for non-covered uses identified under the payer’s policies or the contract. As a result, the potential for more favorable reimbursement associated with becoming a participating provider may be offset by a potential loss of reimbursement for non-covered uses of our tests. Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, coding plays a significant role in how our tests are reimbursed both from commercial and governmental payers. In addition, Z-Code Identifiers are used by certain payers, including under Medicare's Molecular Diagnostic Services Program, or MolDx, to supplement CPT codes for our molecular diagnostics tests. Changes to the codes used to report to payers may result in significant changes in its reimbursement. If their policies were to change in the future to cover additional cancer indications, we anticipate that our total reimbursement would increase.
In March 2021, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, approved advanced diagnostic laboratory test, or ADLT, status to our Guardant360 CDx test, based on which Medicare paid us at the lowest available commercial rate per test, from April 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. Effective January 1, 2022, Medicare started to reimburse Guardant360 CDx services at the median rate of claims paid by commercial payers. In March 2022, Palmetto GBA, the Medicare administrative contractor for MolDX, conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 TissueNext test under the existing local coverage determination. The policy covers our Guardant360 TissueNext test for Medicare fee-for-service patients with advanced solid tumor cancers. In July
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2022, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant Reveal test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the United States with stage II or III colorectal cancer whose testing is initiated within three months following curative intent therapy, with an effective date of December 2021. In April 2023, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 Response test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the U.S. with metastatic or inoperable solid tumors who are on an immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy, tested four to ten weeks from therapy initiation. Effective January 1, 2024, Medicare has increased the reimbursement rate for our Guardant360 LDT test to the same rate as our Guardant360 CDx test. In January 2025, Palmetto GBA granted coverage for our Guardant Reveal test to monitor disease recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer in the surveillance setting following curative intent therapy. This represents an expansion from the prior Medicare coverage of our Guardant Reveal test for colorectal cancer in the early post-surgical setting only.
In August 2024, following the FDA approval, our Shield blood test met the coverage requirements by Medicare based on the criteria established in its National Coverage Determination for blood-based colorectal cancer screening tests. The test is covered once every three years for eligible Medicare beneficiaries.
Due to the inherent variability and unpredictability of the reimbursement landscape, including related to the amount that payers reimburse us for any of our tests, we estimate the amount of revenue to be recognized at the time a test is provided and record revenue adjustments if and when the cash subsequently received differs from the revenue recorded. Due to this variability and unpredictability, previously recorded revenue adjustments are not indicative of future revenue adjustments from actual cash collections, which may fluctuate significantly. Additionally, if coding changes were to occur, payments for certain uses of our tests could be reduced, put on hold, or eliminated. This variability and unpredictability could increase the risk of future revenue reversal and result in our failing to meet any previously publicly stated guidance we may provide.
•Biopharmaceutical customers. Our revenue also depends on our ability to attract, maintain and expand relationships with biopharmaceutical customers. As we continue to develop these relationships, we expect to support a growing number of clinical studies globally and continue to have opportunities to offer our platform to such customers for development services, including companion diagnostic development, novel target discovery and validation, as well as clinical study enrollment. For example, our tests are being developed as companion diagnostics under collaborations with biopharmaceutical companies.
•Research and development. A significant aspect of our business is our investment in research and development, including the development of new products. In particular, we have invested heavily in clinical studies as we believe these studies are critical to gaining physician adoption and driving favorable coverage decisions by payers. With respect to Guardant Reveal, in October 2021, we initiated a 1,000-patient prospective, observational, multi-center study, which we refer to as the ORACLE study, designed to evaluate the performance of our Guardant Reveal liquid biopsy test to predict cancer recurrence after curative intent treatment, across 11 solid tumor types. In addition, with respect to Guardant Reveal, in December 2022, we entered into a partnership with Susan G. Komen®, the world’s leading breast cancer organization, to bring the patient perspective to the development of clinical studies that help identify early-stage breast cancer patients who are at high risk of disease recurrence and may benefit from additional monitoring or therapy. With respect to Shield, in December 2022, we announced that the ECLIPSE study, a registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults, met co-primary endpoints. The test demonstrated 83% sensitivity in detecting individuals with colorectal cancer. Specificity was 90% in both individuals without advanced neoplasia and in those who had a negative colonoscopy result. These results exceed the performance criteria set forth by the CMS for reimbursement. This test also demonstrated 13% sensitivity in detecting advanced adenomas. Based on these study results, in March 2023, we submitted a PMA to the FDA for our Shield blood test. In July 2024, we received FDA approval of our Shield blood test for colorectal cancer screening in adults age 45 and older who are at average risk for the disease, and in August 2024, our Shield blood test became commercially available in the U.S. as the first blood test approved by the FDA for primary colorectal cancer screening, meaning healthcare providers can offer Shield in a manner similar to all other non-invasive methods recommended in screening guidelines. Shield is also the first blood test for colorectal cancer screening that meets coverage requirements by Medicare. To clinically validate the performance of our next-generation Shield blood test in lung cancer screening in high-risk individuals ages 50-80, in January 2022, we initiated a nearly 10,000-patient prospective, registrational study, which we refer to as the SHIELD LUNG study. In addition, in January 2025, our Shield multi-cancer detection, or MCD, test was selected for the Vanguard study funded by the National Cancer Institute, part of the National Institutes of Health. The Vanguard study is a four-year pilot study which will enroll up to 24,000 people to inform the design of a randomized controlled trial evaluating the use of MCD tests for cancer screening. We have expended considerable resources, and expect to increase such expenditures over the next few years, to support our research and development programs with the goal of fueling further innovation.
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•International expansion. A component of our long-term growth strategy is to expand our commercial footprint internationally, and we expect to increase our sales and marketing expense to execute on this strategy. We currently offer our tests in countries outside the United States primarily through distributor relationships, direct contracts with hospitals, and partnerships with local research organizations and laboratory companies.
In May 2018, we formed and capitalized Guardant Health AMEA, Inc., with SoftBank, relating to the sale, marketing and distribution of our tests generally outside the Americas and Europe, and to accelerate commercialization of our products in Asia, the Middle East and Africa. In June 2022, we purchased all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates, and upon completion of the transaction, we obtained full control over operations of Guardant Health AMEA, Inc. In July 2023, Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare granted national reimbursement approval for our Guardant360 CDx test for patients with advanced or metastatic solid tumor cancers in Japan.
In December 2020, we signed our first public private partnership agreement with Vall D'Hebron Institute of Oncology, or VHIO, one of Europe’s leading cancer research institutions, and in May 2022, the first blood-based cancer testing services in Europe based on our digital sequencing platform became available at the VHIO testing facility in Spain. In October 2021, we signed a partnership agreement with The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, or Royal Marsden, a premier cancer center within the United Kingdom, or the UK, for patient care, research and teaching of all types of cancer, and in April 2023, the blood-based cancer testing services based on our digital sequencing platform became available at Royal Marsden testing facility in the UK. In September 2024, we signed a partnership agreement with the Agostino Gemelli University Polyclinic Foundation IRCCS, one of Italy’s largest and most renowned hospitals known for its advanced oncology services, including diagnostics, treatment, and research, to establish an in-house liquid biopsy testing service within its hospital system.
In June 2022, we signed a strategic partnership agreement with Adicon Holdings Limited, or Adicon, a leading independent clinical laboratory company based in China, and in December 2023, the blood-based cancer testing services based on our digital sequencing platform became available at Adicon's testing facility, which offers our industry-leading comprehensive genomic profiling tests to biopharmaceutical companies to advance clinical research and the development of new cancer therapies in China.
The success of our international expansion strategy depends on a number of factors, including the internal and external constraints placed on our international laboratory partners and biopharmaceutical companies in the context of broader global, regional and U.S. economic and geopolitical conditions. For example, deterioration in the bilateral relationship between the United States and China may impact international trade, government spending, regional stability and macroeconomic conditions. The impact of these potential developments, including any resulting sanctions, export controls or other restrictive actions that may be imposed against governmental or other entities in, for example, China, may contribute to disruption of our international partnerships and instability and volatility in the global markets, which in turn could adversely impact our operations and weaken our financial results.
•Sales and marketing expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our sales and marketing expense, increase in headcount, and in particular, our various marketing programs around existing and new product introductions.
•General and administrative expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our general and administrative expense, and in particular, our stock-based compensation expense. Our equity awards, including market-based and performance-based restricted stock units, are intended to retain and incentivize employees to lead us to sustained, long-term superior financial and operational performance.
•Other operating expense. Our financial results might fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our other operating expense, and in particular, our legal settlement costs, which could potentially decrease or increase significantly.
While each of these areas presents significant opportunities for us, they also pose significant risks and challenges that we must address. See Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
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Components of results of operations
Revenue
We derive our revenue from two sources: (i) precision oncology testing, and (ii) development services and other.
Precision oncology testing. Precision oncology testing revenue is generated from sales of our tests to clinical and biopharmaceutical customers, including those tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. In the United States, through December 31, 2024, we generally performed tests as an out-of-network service provider without contracts with health insurance companies. We submit claims for payment for tests performed for patients covered by U.S. private payers. We also submit claims to Medicare for reimbursement for our Guardant360 CDx, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 TissueNext, Guardant Reveal and Guardant360 Response clinical testing performed for qualifying patients. Precision oncology revenue from clinical tests for patients covered and administered by Medicare represented approximately 39%, 43% and 45% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
Development services and other. Development services revenue primarily represents services that we provide to biopharmaceutical companies, large medical institutions and international laboratory partners. We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development and clinical studies of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our test panels. Under these arrangements, we generate revenue from progression of our collaboration efforts, as well as from provision of on-going support. In addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services, we also provide other development services, including clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect and GuardantINFORM. Other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our technologies, kit fulfillment and delivery of our Shield screening tests.
Costs and operating expenses
Cost of precision oncology testing. Cost of precision oncology testing generally consists of cost of materials, including inventory write-downs; cost of labor, including employee benefits, bonus, and stock-based compensation; equipment and infrastructure expenses associated with processing test samples, such as sample accessioning, library preparation, sequencing, and quality control analyses; freight; curation of test results for physicians; phlebotomy; and license fees due to third parties. Infrastructure expenses include depreciation of laboratory equipment, rent costs, depreciation of leasehold improvements and information technology costs. Costs associated with performing our tests are recorded as the tests are performed regardless of whether revenue was recognized with respect to the tests. While we do not believe the technologies underlying the third-party licenses are necessary to permit us to provide our tests, we do believe these technologies are potentially valuable and of possible strategic importance to us or our competitors.
We expect the cost of precision oncology testing to generally increase in line with the increase in the number of tests we perform, but we expect the cost per test to decrease modestly over time due to the efficiencies we may gain as test volume increases, and from automation and other cost reductions.
Cost of development services and other. Cost of development services and other primarily includes costs incurred for the performance of development services requested by our biopharmaceutical customers, and costs associated with our partnership agreements and delivery of Shield screening tests, which comprise of labor and material costs including any inventory write-downs. For development of new products, costs incurred before technological feasibility has been achieved are reported as research and development expenses, while costs incurred thereafter are reported as cost of revenue. Cost of development services and other will vary depending on the nature, timing and scope of customer projects.
Research and development expense. Research and development expenses consist of costs incurred to develop technology and include salaries and benefits including stock-based compensation, reagents and supplies used in research and development laboratory work, infrastructure expenses, including facility occupancy and information technology costs, contract services, other outside costs and costs to develop our technology capabilities. Research and development expenses also include costs related to activities performed under contracts with biopharmaceutical companies before technological feasibility has been achieved. Research and development costs are expensed as incurred. Payments made prior to the receipt of goods or services to be used in research and development are deferred and recognized as expense in the period in which the related goods are received or services are rendered. Costs to develop our technology capabilities are recorded as research and development unless they meet the criteria to be capitalized as internal-use software costs. We expect that our research and development expenses will continue to increase in absolute dollars as we continue to innovate and develop additional products, expand our genomic and medical data management resources and conduct our ongoing and new clinical studies.
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Sales and marketing expense. Our sales and marketing expenses are expensed as incurred and include costs associated with our sales organization, including our direct sales force and sales management, client services, marketing and reimbursement, medical affairs, as well as business development personnel who are focused on our biopharmaceutical customers. These expenses consist primarily of salaries, commissions, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as marketing, sales incentives, and educational activities and overhead expenses. We expect our sales and marketing expenses to increase in absolute dollars as we expand our sales force, increase our presence within and outside of the United States, and increase our marketing activities to drive further awareness and adoption of our tests.
General and administrative expense. Our general and administrative expenses include costs for our executive, accounting and finance, information technology, legal and human resources functions. These expenses consist principally of salaries, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as professional services fees such as consulting, audit, tax and legal fees, and general corporate costs and overhead expenses. In addition, our general and administrative expenses also include severance costs related to workforce reduction. We expect that our general and administrative expenses will continue to increase as we incur additional costs to support the growth of our business. These expenses, though expected to increase in absolute dollars, are expected to decrease modestly as a percentage of revenue in the long term, though they may fluctuate as a percentage of revenue from period to period due to the timing and extent of these expenses being incurred.
Interest income
Interest income consists of interest earned on our cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities.
Interest expense
Interest expense consists primarily of charges relating to amortization of debt issuance costs.
Other income (expense), net
Other income (expense), net consists of foreign currency exchange gains and losses, unrealized and realized gains and losses of marketable equity securities, and impairment of non-marketable equity securities and other related assets. We expect our foreign currency gains and losses to continue to fluctuate in the future due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
Provision for income tax
Income taxes are recorded using an asset and liability approach. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases using enacted tax rates in effect for the year in which the differences are expected to affect taxable income. Tax benefits are recognized when it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained during an audit. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if current evidence indicates that it is considered more likely than not that these benefits will not be realized.
Our tax positions are subject to income tax audits. We recognize the tax benefit of an uncertain tax position only if it is more likely than not that the position is sustainable upon examination by the taxing authority, based on the technical merits. The tax benefit recognized is measured as the largest amount of benefit which is more likely than not to be realized upon settlement with the taxing authority. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in its tax provision. We evaluate uncertain tax positions on a regular basis. The evaluations are based on a number of factors, including changes in facts and circumstances, changes in tax law, correspondence with tax authorities during the course of the audit, and effective settlement of audit issues. The provision for income taxes includes the effects of any accruals that we believe are appropriate, as well as the related net interest and penalties.
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Results of operations
The following tables set forth the significant components of our results of operations for the periods presented.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Revenue: | ||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 687,936 | $ | 514,249 | ||
| Development services and other | 51,080 | 49,699 | ||||
| Total revenue | 739,016 | 563,948 | ||||
| Costs and operating expenses: | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing(1) | 260,581 | 205,528 | ||||
| Cost of development services and other(1) | 29,218 | 21,524 | ||||
| Research and development expense(1) | 347,753 | 367,194 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense(1) | 364,935 | 295,227 | ||||
| General and administrative expense(1) | 180,123 | 155,800 | ||||
| Other operating expense | — | 83,400 | ||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 1,182,610 | 1,128,673 | ||||
| Loss from operations | (443,594) | (564,725) | ||||
| Interest income | 53,691 | 35,365 | ||||
| Interest expense | (2,581) | (2,578) | ||||
| Other income (expense), net | (42,605) | 53,174 | ||||
| Loss before provision for income taxes | (435,089) | (478,764) | ||||
| Provision for income taxes | 1,284 | 685 | ||||
| Net loss | $ | (436,373) | $ | (479,449) |
(1)Amounts include stock-based compensation expense as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 5,315 | $ | 4,614 | ||
| Cost of development services and other | 4,050 | 1,851 | ||||
| Research and development expense | 50,566 | 34,682 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 36,479 | 24,764 | ||||
| General and administrative expense | 44,001 | 24,848 | ||||
| Total stock-based compensation expense | $ | 140,411 | $ | 90,759 |
In November 2020 and May 2021, we granted restricted stock units with certain performance metrics, or PSUs, consisting of a performance period of 4 years combined with an additional service period requirement of six months should the vesting criteria be met, with a grant date fair value of $113.40 per share and $148.19 per share, respectively. Before 2024, no compensation expense for these PSUs had been recorded since the achievement of the performance metrics did not meet the criteria for accrual. In 2024, the performance metrics of these PSUs were considered to be achieved; as such we recorded $24.8 million in stock-based compensation expense related to these PSUs, based on 219,161 shares granted with fair values of $113.40 per share and $148.19 per share, of which $2.4 million was recorded to cost of development services and other, and $11.8 million, $6.5 million and $4.1 million was recorded as components of research and development expense, sales and marketing expense, and general and administrative expense, respectively.
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Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2024 and 2023
Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 687,936 | $ | 514,249 | $ | 173,687 | 34 | % | ||||||
| Development services and other | 51,080 | 49,699 | 1,381 | 3 | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 739,016 | $ | 563,948 | $ | 175,068 | 31 | % |
Total revenue was $739.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $563.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $175.1 million, or 31%.
Precision oncology testing revenue increased to $687.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, from $514.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $173.7 million, or 34%.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers was $542.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, up 34% from $403.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023. This increase in clinical testing revenue was driven primarily by an increase in sample volume and an increase in reimbursement for our tests. Total tests for clinical customers increased to approximately 206,700 for the year ended December 31, 2024, from approximately 172,900 for the year ended December 31, 2023. The increase in reimbursement for our tests for the year ended December 31, 2024 was primarily attributable to an increase in Medicare reimbursement for our Guardant360 LDT test to $5,000, effective January 1, 2024; and increases in Medicare Advantage and commercial payer reimbursement.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for biopharmaceutical customers was $145.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, up 31% from $110.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023. This increase in revenue was primarily due to an increase in sample volume. Total tests for biopharmaceutical customers increased to approximately 40,500 for the year ended December 31, 2024, from approximately 29,900 for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Development services and other revenue increased to $51.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, from $49.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $1.4 million, or 3%. This increase in development services and other revenue was primarily due to an increase of $9.1 million associated with our companion diagnostics collaboration projects and other service agreements with biopharmaceutical customers, partially offset by a decrease of $7.2 million associated with our partnership agreements, and a reduction of $3.2 million in royalty revenue. The increase in other revenue was also attributable to $4.1 million derived from the delivery of approximately 6,400 of our Shield screening tests for the three months ended December 31, 2024, following the FDA approval.
Cost of Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 260,581 | $ | 205,528 | $ | 55,053 | 27 | % | ||||||
| Cost of development services and other | 29,218 | 21,524 | 7,694 | 36 | % | |||||||||
| Total cost of revenue | $ | 289,799 | $ | 227,052 | $ | 62,747 | 28 | % |
Total cost of revenue was $289.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $227.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $62.7 million, or 28%.
Cost of precision oncology testing was $260.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $205.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $55.1 million, or 27%. This increase in cost of precision oncology testing was primarily attributable to an increase in sample volumes and an increase in average cost per sample primarily due to changes in product mix, resulting in a $44.7 million increase in material costs, a $4.7 million increase in production labor and overhead costs, and a $4.6 million increase in other costs, including costs related to collection kits, freight and professional services.
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Cost of development services and other was $29.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $21.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $7.7 million, or 36%. This increase in cost of development services and other was primarily due to an increase of $4.3 million associated with our companion diagnostics collaboration projects and other service agreements with biopharmaceutical customers, and an increase of $3.3 million associated with providing Shield screening tests during the year ended December 31, 2024.
Operating Expenses
Research and development expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Research and development expense | $ | 347,753 | $ | 367,194 | $ | (19,441) | (5) | % |
Research and development expenses were $347.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $367.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, a decrease of $19.4 million, or 5%. This decrease was primarily due to a decrease of $31.8 million in outside services costs primarily driven by a reduction in the ECLIPSE clinical study costs as the study nears completion, a decrease of $9.7 million in material costs, and a decrease of $3.7 million in information technology infrastructure costs; partially offset by an increase of $15.9 million in stock-based compensation, primarily related to the PSUs of $11.8 million discussed in the Results of operations section above; and an increase of $10.0 million in other personnel costs.
Sales and marketing expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing expense | $ | 364,935 | $ | 295,227 | $ | 69,708 | 24 | % |
Sales and marketing expenses were $364.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $295.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $69.7 million, or 24%. This increase was related to commercial team expansion and marketing activities to support existing products and the Shield product launch, primarily resulting in an increase of $34.1 million in other personnel costs; an increase of $14.9 million in marketing activity related costs; an increase of $11.7 million in stock-based compensation, including $6.5 million related to the PSUs discussed in the Result of operations section above; and an increase of $10.5 million in information technology infrastructure costs.
General and administrative expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| General and administrative expense | $ | 180,123 | $ | 155,800 | $ | 24,323 | 16 | % |
General and administrative expenses were $180.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $155.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $24.3 million, or 16%. This increase was primarily due to an increase of $19.2 million in stock-based compensation, including $4.1 million related to the PSUs discussed in the Results of operation section above; and an increase of $12.4 million in other personnel costs; partially offset by a decrease of $7.5 million in severance costs related to a workforce reduction in the first quarter of 2023, and a decrease of $3.1 million in legal expenses.
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Other operating expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Other operating expense | $ | — | $ | 83,400 | $ | (83,400) | (100) | % |
Other operating expense for the year ended December 31, 2023 was related to a legal accrual in connection with a jury verdict related to TwinStrand Biosciences, Inc. and the University of Washington entered into in November 2023. See "Commitments and Contingencies - Legal Proceedings" in Note 9 to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Interest income
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest income | $ | 53,691 | $ | 35,365 | $ | 18,326 | 52 | % |
Interest income was $53.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $35.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $18.3 million, or 52%, primarily attributable to higher rates of return on our investments.
Interest expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | $ | (2,581) | $ | (2,578) | $ | (3) | — | % |
Interest expense was primarily attributable to the amortization of debt issuance costs related to our convertible senior notes issued in November 2020, for the years ended December 31, 2024, and 2023.
Other income (expense), net
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | $ | (42,605) | $ | 53,174 | $ | (95,779) | (180) | % |
Other income (expense), net was a $42.6 million expense for the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily attributable to $44.4 million of net unrealized and realized losses recorded for our marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc. during the period. Other income (expense), net was a $53.2 million income for the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to $79.7 million of unrealized gains recorded for our marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc., partially offset by $29.1 million of impairment recorded for our non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets during the period.
Provision for income taxes
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Provision for income taxes | $ | 1,284 | $ | 685 | $ | 599 | 87 | % |
The change in the provision for income taxes between the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023 was insignificant.
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Liquidity and capital resources
We have incurred losses and negative cash flows from operations since our inception, and as of December 31, 2024, we had an accumulated deficit of $2.6 billion. We expect to incur additional operating losses in the near future and our operating expenses will increase as we continue to invest in clinical studies and develop new products, expand our sales organization, and increase our marketing efforts to drive market adoption of our tests. As demand for our tests are expected to continue to increase from physicians and biopharmaceutical companies, we anticipate that our capital expenditure requirements could also increase if we require additional laboratory capacity.
We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of stock, convertible debt and through revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other. As of December 31, 2024, we had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities of $944.2 million. Cash in excess of immediate requirements is invested in accordance with our investment policy, primarily with a view to provide liquidity while ensuring capital preservation. Additionally, we have investments held in marketable debt securities consisting primarily of United States treasury securities that can be immediately liquid.
Based on our current business plan, we believe our current cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations, will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash requirements for more than 12 months from the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We may consider raising additional capital to expand our business, to pursue strategic investments, to take advantage of financing opportunities or for other reasons. As revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other is expected to grow long-term, we expect our accounts receivable and inventory balances to increase. Any increase in accounts receivable and inventory may not be completely offset by increases in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, which could impact our working capital balances.
If our available cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations are insufficient to satisfy our liquidity requirements because of lower demand for our products as a result of lower than currently expected rates of reimbursement from our customers or other risks described in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we may seek to sell additional common or preferred equity or convertible debt securities, enter into a credit facility or another form of third-party funding or seek other debt financing. The sale of equity and convertible debt securities may result in dilution to our stockholders and, in the case of preferred equity securities or convertible debt, those securities could provide for rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our common stock. The terms of debt securities issued or borrowings pursuant to a credit agreement could impose significant restrictions on our operations. If we raise funds through collaborations and licensing arrangements, we might be required to relinquish significant rights to our platform technologies or products or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to us. Additional capital may not be available to us on reasonable terms, or at all.
At-The-Market Offering Program
In August 2024, we entered into an Open Market Sales Agreement, or the Sales Agreement, with Jefferies LLC, or the Agent, with respect to an at-the-market offering program under which we may offer and sell, from time to time at our sole discretion, shares of our common stock, having aggregate gross proceeds of up to $400.0 million through the Agent, subject to the terms and conditions of the Sales Agreement. During the year ended December 31, 2024, no shares of our common stock were sold under the Sales Agreement.
Convertible Notes Exchange
In February 2025, we entered into privately negotiated exchange agreements with certain holders of our convertible senior notes due 2027. See Note 17, Subsequent Events, to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information related to this transaction. The transaction will be accounted for under FASB ASC Topic 470, Debt, and relevant accounting guidance, based on which and due to the nature of the transaction, a gain is currently expected to be recorded for the three months ended March 31, 2025.
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Cash flows
The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Net cash used in operating activities | $ | (239,858) | $ | (324,975) | ||
| Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities | (261,308) | 840,250 | ||||
| Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities | (996) | 477,375 |
Operating activities
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2024 was $239.9 million, which resulted from a net loss of $436.4 million and changes in our operating assets and liabilities of $60.9 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $257.4 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $140.4 million of stock-based compensation, $44.4 million of net unrealized and realized losses on marketable equity security investment in Lunit, inc., $42.4 million of depreciation and amortization, and $31.1 million of operating lease costs, partially offset by $6.8 million of amortization of discount on marketable debt securities. The changes in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $36.1 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $21.4 million increase in accounts receivable, net, a $9.1 million increase in inventory, net, a $7.7 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, net, and a $2.8 million decrease in accounts payable and accrued liabilities; partially offset by a $18.7 million increase in deferred revenue.
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2023 was $325.0 million, which resulted from a net loss of $479.4 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $100.6 million and changes in our operating assets and liabilities of $53.8 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $90.8 million of stock-based compensation, $42.9 million of depreciation and amortization, $29.7 million of operating lease costs, and $29.1 million of impairment on non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets; partially offset by $79.7 million of unrealized gains on marketable equity security investment in Lunit, inc., and $13.6 million of amortization of discount on marketable debt securities. The changes in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a legal accrual of $83.4 million in connection with a jury verdict entered in favor of TwinStrand Biosciences, Inc. and the University of Washington in November 2023, a $8.4 million decrease in accounts receivable, net, and a $5.2 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities; partially offset by a $31.5 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $10.4 million increase in inventory, net due to forecasted higher testing volumes, and a $4.3 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, net.
Investing activities
Cash used in investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2024 was $261.3 million, which resulted primarily from purchases of marketable debt securities of $307.3 million, purchases of property and equipment of $35.1 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity security investments of $7.5 million; partially offset by sales of marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc. of $53.6 million and maturities of marketable debt securities of $35.0 million.
Cash provided by investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2023 was $840.3 million, which resulted primarily from maturities of marketable debt securities of $1.5 billion; partially offset by purchases of marketable debt securities of $629.9 million, purchases of property and equipment of $20.5 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets of $5.6 million.
Financing activities
Cash used in financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2024 was $1.0 million, which was primarily attributable to employee taxes paid related to settlement of restricted stock units of $15.7 million, partially offset by proceeds from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan of $11.7 million and proceeds from exercise of stock options of $3.1 million.
Cash provided by financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2023 was $477.4 million, which was primarily attributable to proceeds from equity offerings of $493.1 million, and proceeds from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan of $10.2 million; partially offset by payment of equity offering costs of $21.1 million, and employee taxes paid related to settlement of restricted stock units of $11.2 million.
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Critical accounting policies and estimates
We have prepared our consolidated financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or GAAP. Our preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, expenses and related disclosures at the date of the consolidated financial statements, as well as revenue and expenses recorded during the reporting periods. We evaluate our estimates and judgments on an ongoing basis. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other factors that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could therefore differ materially from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.
While our significant accounting policies are described in more detail in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we believe the following accounting policies to be critical to the judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Revenue recognition
We derive revenue from the provision of precision oncology testing services, as well as from development services and other. Precision oncology testing revenue includes amounts derived from the delivery of our precision oncology tests, including those tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. Development services include companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect and GuardantINFORM. Other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our technologies, kit fulfillment, and delivery of our Shield screening tests. We currently receive payments from third-party commercial and governmental payers, certain hospitals and oncology centers and individual patients, as well as biopharmaceutical companies, research institutes, international laboratory partners and distributors.
Revenues are recognized when control of services is transferred to customers, in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled to in exchange for those services. FASB ASC Topic 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, provides for a five-step model that includes identifying the contract with a customer, identifying the performance obligations in the contract, determining the transaction price, allocating the transaction price to the performance obligations, and recognizing revenue when, or as, an entity satisfies a performance obligation.
Precision oncology testing
We recognize revenue from the sale of our precision oncology tests for clinical customers, including certain hospitals, cancer centers, other institutions and patients, at the time results of the test are reported to physicians. Most precision oncology tests requested by clinical customers are sold without a written agreement; however, we determine an implied contract exists with our clinical customers. We identify each sale of our test to a clinical customer as a single performance obligation. With the exception of certain limited contracted arrangements with insurance carriers and other institutions where the transaction price is fixed, a stated contract price does not exist and the transaction price for each implied contract with our clinical customers represents variable consideration. We estimate the variable consideration under the portfolio approach and consider the historical reimbursement data from third-party commercial and governmental payers and patients, as well as known or anticipated reimbursement trends not reflected in the historical data. We monitor the estimated amount to be collected in the portfolio at each reporting period based on actual cash collections in order to assess whether a revision to the estimate is required. Both the estimate and any subsequent revision contain uncertainty and require the use of significant judgment in the estimation of the variable consideration and application of the constraint for such variable consideration. We analyze actual cash collections over the expected reimbursement period and compare it with the estimated variable consideration for each portfolio and any difference is recognized as an adjustment to estimated revenue after the expected reimbursement period, subject to assessment of the risk of cumulative future revenue reversal.
Revenue from sales of precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are based on a negotiated price per test or on the basis of an agreement to provide certain testing volume over a defined period. We identify our promise to transfer a number of distinct tests to biopharmaceutical customers as a single performance obligation. Precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are generally billed at a fixed price for each test performed. For agreements involving testing volume to be satisfied over a defined period, revenue is recognized over time based on the number of tests performed as the performance obligation is satisfied over time. Results of our precision oncology services are delivered electronically, and as such there are no shipping or handling fees incurred by us or billed to customers.
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Development services and other
We perform development services for our biopharmaceutical customers utilizing our precision oncology information platform. Development services typically represent a single performance obligation as we perform a significant integration service, such as analytical validation and regulatory submissions. The individual promises are not separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, are not distinct. However, under certain contracts, a biopharmaceutical customer may engage us for multiple distinct development services which are both capable of being distinct and separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, distinct performance obligations.
We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our testing panels. Under these collaborations, we generate revenue from achievement of milestones, as well as provision of on-going support. For the companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services performed, we are compensated through a combination of an upfront fee and performance-based, non-refundable regulatory and other developmental milestone payments. The transaction price of these contracts typically represents variable consideration. Application of the constraint for variable consideration to milestone payments is an area that requires significant judgment. We evaluate factors such as the scientific, clinical, regulatory, commercial, and other risks that must be managed to achieve the respective milestone and the level of effort and investment required to achieve the respective milestone. In making this assessment, we consider our historical experience with similar milestones, the degree of complexity and uncertainty associated with each milestone, and whether achievement of the milestone is dependent on parties other than us. The constraint for variable consideration is applied to the transaction price such that it is probable a significant cumulative reversal of revenue will not occur when the uncertainty associated with the contingency is resolved. Application of the constraint for variable consideration is assessed and updated at each reporting period as a revision to the estimated transaction price.
We recognize companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services revenue over the period in which biopharmaceutical research and development services are provided. Specifically, we recognize revenue using an input method to measure progress, utilizing costs incurred to-date relative to total expected costs as its measure of progress. We assess the changes to the total expected cost estimates as well as any incremental fees negotiated resulting from changes to the scope of the original contract in determining the revenue recognition at each reporting period. For development of new products or services under these arrangements, costs incurred before technological feasibility is reached are included as research and development expenses in our consolidated statements of operations, while costs incurred thereafter are recorded as cost of development services and other.
We also recognize revenue from other development services, in addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services noted above, such as clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect, and GuardantINFORM. These revenues are generally recognized over time based on an input method to measure progress in the period when the associated services have been performed.
In addition, we license our digital sequencing technologies to our domestic customers and international laboratory partners. For the licensed technology, we are compensated through royalty-based payments, non-refundable upfront payments, guaranteed minimum payments, and/or sample milestone payments. Depending on the nature of the technology licensing arrangements, and considering factors including but not limited to enforceable right to payment and payment terms, and if an asset with alternative use is created, these technology licensing revenues are recognized in the period when royalty-bearing sales occur, when the technology transfer is complete, or over the technology transfer period. Other revenue also includes kit fulfillment, which is recognized when such products are delivered. In addition, other revenue includes amounts derived from delivery of our Shield screening tests.
Contracts with multiple performance obligations
Contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners may include multiple distinct performance obligations, such as provision of precision oncology testing, the above-mentioned development services, and digital sequencing technology licensing, among others. We evaluate the terms and conditions included within our contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners to ensure appropriate revenue recognition, including whether services are considered distinct performance obligations that should be accounted for separately versus together. We first identify material promises, in contrast to immaterial promises or administrative tasks, under the contract, and then evaluate whether these promises are both capable of being distinct and distinct within the context of the contract. In assessing whether a promised service is capable of being distinct, we consider whether the customer could benefit from the service either on its own or together with other resources that are readily available to the customer, including factors such as the research, development, and commercialization capabilities of a third party as well as the availability of the associated expertise in the general
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marketplace. In assessing whether a promised service is distinct within the context of the contract, we consider whether we provide a significant integration of the services, whether the services significantly modify or customize one another, or whether the services are highly interdependent or interrelated.
For contracts with multiple performance obligations, the transaction price is allocated to the separate performance obligations on a relative standalone selling price basis. We determine standalone selling price by considering the historical selling price of these performance obligations in similar transactions as well as other factors, including, but not limited to, the price that customers in the market would be willing to pay, competitive pricing of other vendors, industry publications and current pricing practices, and expected costs of satisfying each performance obligation plus appropriate margin; or by using the residual approach if standalone selling price is not observable, by reference to the total transaction price less the sum of the observable standalone selling prices of other performance obligations promised in the contract.
Stock-based compensation
We measure the grant date fair value of our service-based and performance-based restricted stock units issued to employees and non-employees based on the closing market price of the common stock on the date of grant. For restricted stock units with only service-based vesting conditions, compensation expense is recognized on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period. Compensation expense for restricted stock units with performance metrics, or PSUs, is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant, and is recognized using an accelerated attribution model over the requisite service period for each separately vesting portion of the award. No stock-based compensation expense is recorded for PSUs, unless it is determined to be probable that the related performance metrics will be met. In addition, a cumulative adjustment will be recorded in the period when the probability of achieving the related performance metrics is adjusted. Any PSUs that remain unvested at the end of the performance period will be forfeited. Forfeitures are accounted for as they occur.
We measure stock-based compensation expense for stock options granted to our employees, directors, and non-employees on the date of grant based on the fair value of the awards and recognize the corresponding compensation expense of those awards over the requisite service period, which is generally the vesting period of the respective awards. Compensation expense for stock options with performance metrics is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant.
We estimate the fair value of our stock options on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our stock options, were:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of our common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
Expected Term
The expected term represents the period that the stock options granted are expected to be outstanding and is determined using the simplified method (based on the mid-point between the vesting date and the end of the contractual term) as we have concluded that our stock option exercise history does not provide a reasonable basis upon which to estimate expected term.
Expected Volatility
Prior to the commencement of trading of our common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on October 4, 2018 in connection with our initial public offering, there was no active trading market for our common stock. Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, expected volatility is estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty.
Risk-Free Interest Rate
The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury rate, with maturities similar to the expected term of the stock options.
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Expected Dividend Yield
We do not anticipate paying any dividends in the foreseeable future and, therefore, use an expected dividend yield of zero.
Black-Scholes Assumptions
The weighted-average assumptions used in our Black-Scholes option-pricing model were as follows for stock option granted to our employees, directors and non-employees for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |||
| Expected term (in years) | 5.50 – 6.09 | 5.50 – 6.10 | 5.50 – 6.10 | ||
| Expected volatility | 67.4% – 69.4% | 69.3% – 70.5% | 63.3% – 67.6% | ||
| Risk-free interest rate | 3.8% – 4.5% | 3.4% – 4.5% | 1.9% – 4.4% | ||
| Expected dividend yield | —% | —% | —% |
We will continue to use judgment in evaluating the assumptions related to our stock-based compensation on a prospective basis, including probabilities of meeting performance metrics for our PSUs. As we continue to accumulate additional data related to our common stock, we may have refinements to our estimates, which could materially impact our future stock-based compensation expense.
Recent accounting pronouncements
See Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001576280-24-000043.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
You should read the following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations together with the consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion and other parts of this Annual Report on Form 10-K contain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, such as statements of our plans, objectives, beliefs, expectations and intentions. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
The following generally compares our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022. A detailed discussion comparing our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021 can be found in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Overview
We are a leading precision oncology company focused on guarding wellness and giving every person more time free from cancer. We are transforming patient care by providing critical insights into what drives disease through our advanced blood and tissue tests, and real-world data. Our tests help improve outcomes across all stages of care, including screening to find cancer early, monitoring for recurrence in early-stage cancer, and helping doctors select the best treatment for patients with advanced cancer. For patients with advanced-stage cancer, we have commercially launched Guardant360 laboratory developed test, or LDT, and Guardant360 CDx, the first comprehensive liquid biopsy test approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, to provide tumor mutation profiling with solid tumors and to be used as a companion diagnostic in connection with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC, and breast cancer. We have also launched the Guardant360 TissueNext tissue test for advanced-stage cancer, Guardant Reveal blood test to detect residual and recurring disease in early-stage colorectal, breast and lung cancer patients, and Guardant360 Response blood test to predict patient response to immunotherapy or targeted therapy eight weeks earlier than current standard-of-care imaging.
We also collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in clinical studies by providing the above-mentioned tests, as well as the GuardantOMNI blood test for advanced-stage cancer, and the GuardantINFINITY blood test, a next-generation smart liquid biopsy that provides new, multi-dimensional insights into the complexities of tumor molecular profiles and immune response to advance cancer research and therapy development. Using data collected from our tests, we have also developed our GuardantINFORM platform to help biopharmaceutical companies accelerate precision oncology drug development through the use of this in-silico research platform to unlock further insights into tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers.
For early cancer detection, in May 2022, we launched the Shield LDT test to address the needs of individuals eligible for colorectal cancer screening. From a simple blood draw, Shield uses a novel multimodal approach to detect colorectal cancer signals in the bloodstream, including DNA that is shed by tumors. In December 2022, we announced that the ECLIPSE study, a registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults, met co-primary endpoints. In addition, in March 2023, we submitted a premarket approval application, or PMA, for our Shield blood test to the FDA. The FDA’s Molecular and Clinical Genetics Panel of the Medical Devices Advisory Committee intends to review the PMA. We also expect to expand into lung and multi-cancer screening with our investigational, next-generation Shield assay.
We currently perform our tests in our laboratories located in Redwood City, California, and San Diego, California. Our Redwood City laboratory is certified pursuant to the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, accredited by the College of American Pathologists, or CAP, permitted by the New York State Department of Health, or NYSDOH, and licensed in California and four other states. Our San Diego laboratory is CAP-accredited, CLIA-certified, and licensed in California. In addition, our Palo Alto, California laboratory is currently operated as a center for our research and technology development. We have also received CAP accreditation and In Vitro Diagnostic, or IVD, sample processing approval from Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, or the MHLW, for our laboratory in Japan.
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We generated total revenue of $563.9 million, $449.5 million and $373.7 million for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively. We also incurred net losses of $479.4 million, $654.6 million and $384.8 million in the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively. We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of our stock, convertible senior notes, and revenue from our precision oncology testing and development services and other. In May 2023, we completed a follow-on underwritten public offering, in which we issued and sold 14,375,000 shares of our common stock at a price of $28.00 per share, and received net proceeds of $381.4 million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and other offering costs of $21.1 million. In December 2023, we completed a registered direct offering with an investment management firm, in which we issued and sold 3,387,446 shares of our common stock at a price of $26.77 per share, and received net proceeds of $90.6 million. As of December 31, 2023, we had cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities of approximately $1.2 billion.
Factors affecting our performance
We believe there are several important factors that have impacted and that we expect will impact our operating performance and results of operations, including:
•Testing volume, pricing and customer mix. Our revenue and costs are affected by the volume of testing and mix of customers from period to period. We evaluate both the volume of tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians and the number of tests we perform for biopharmaceutical companies. Our performance depends on our ability to retain and broaden adoption with existing customers, as well as attract new customers. We believe that the test volume we receive from clinicians and biopharmaceutical companies are indicators of growth in each of these customer verticals. Customer mix for our tests has the potential to significantly affect our results of operations, as the average selling price for biopharmaceutical sample testing is currently higher than our average reimbursement for clinical tests because we are not a contracted provider for, or our tests are not covered by clinical patients’ insurance for, the majority of the tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians. Revenue from clinical tests for patients covered by Medicare represented approximately 43%, 45% and 45% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
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•Payer coverage and reimbursement. Our revenue depends on achieving broad coverage and reimbursement for our tests from third-party payers, including both commercial and government payers. Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers is calculated based on our expected cash collections, using the estimated variable consideration. The variable consideration is estimated based on historical collection patterns as well as the potential for changes in future reimbursement behavior by one or more payers. Estimation of the impact of the potential for changes in reimbursement requires significant judgment and considers payers' past patterns of changes in reimbursement as well as any stated plans to implement changes. Any cash collections over the expected reimbursement period exceeding the estimated variable consideration are recorded in future periods based on actual cash received. Payment from commercial payers can vary depending on whether we have entered into a contract with the payers as a “participating provider” or do not have a contract and are considered a “non-participating provider”. Payers often reimburse non-participating providers, if at all, at a lower amount than participating providers. Because we are not contracted with these payers, they determine the amount that they are willing to reimburse us for any of our tests and they can prospectively and retrospectively adjust the amount of reimbursement, adding to the complexity in estimating the variable consideration. When we contract with a payer to serve as a participating provider, reimbursements by the payer are generally made pursuant to a negotiated fee schedule and are limited to only covered indications or where prior approval has been obtained. Becoming a participating provider can result in higher reimbursement amounts for covered uses of our tests and, potentially, no reimbursement for non-covered uses identified under the payer’s policies or the contract. As a result, the potential for more favorable reimbursement associated with becoming a participating provider may be offset by a potential loss of reimbursement for non-covered uses of our tests. Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, coding plays a significant role in how our tests are reimbursed both from commercial and governmental payers. In addition, Z-Code Identifiers are used by certain payers, including under Medicare's Molecular Diagnostic Services Program, or MolDx, to supplement CPT codes for our molecular diagnostics tests. Changes to the codes used to report to payers may result in significant changes in its reimbursement. If their policies were to change in the future to cover additional cancer indications, we anticipate that our total reimbursement would increase. In January 2021, a proprietary laboratory analyses, or PLA code was issued for our Guardant360 CDx with an effective date in April 2021. Additionally, based on this new PLA code, we applied to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, for our Guardant360 CDx test to become an advanced diagnostic laboratory test, or ADLT. In March 2021, CMS approved ADLT status to the Guardant360 CDx test, based on which Medicare paid us at the lowest available commercial rate per test, from April 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. Effective January 1, 2022, Medicare started to reimburse Guardant360 CDx services at the median rate of claims paid by commercial payers and this rate will apply until December 2023. In March 2022, Palmetto GBA, the Medicare administrative contractor for MolDX, has conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 TissueNext test under the existing local coverage determination. The policy covers our Guardant360 TissueNext test for Medicare fee-for-service patients with advanced solid tumor cancers. In July 2022, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant Reveal test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the United States with stage II or III colorectal cancer whose testing is initiated within three months following curative intent therapy, with an effective date of December 2021. In April 2023, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 Response test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the U.S. with metastatic or inoperable solid tumors who are on an immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy, tested four to ten weeks from therapy initiation. Effective January 1, 2024, Medicare has increased the reimbursement rate for our Guardant360 LDT test to the same rate as our Guardant360 CDx test. Due to the inherent variability and unpredictability of the reimbursement landscape, including related to the amount that payers reimburse us for any of our tests, we estimate the amount of revenue to be recognized at the time a test is provided and record revenue adjustments if and when the cash subsequently received differs from the revenue recorded. Due to this variability and unpredictability, previously recorded revenue adjustments are not indicative of future revenue adjustments from actual cash collections, which may fluctuate significantly. Additionally, if coding changes were to occur, payments for certain uses of our tests could be reduced, put on hold, or eliminated. This variability and unpredictability could increase the risk of future revenue reversal and result in our failing to meet any previously publicly stated guidance we may provide.
•Biopharmaceutical customers. Our revenue also depends on our ability to attract, maintain and expand relationships with biopharmaceutical customers. As we continue to develop these relationships, we expect to support a growing number of clinical studies globally and continue to have opportunities to offer our platform to such customers for development services, including companion diagnostic development, novel target discovery and validation, as well as clinical study enrollment. For example, our tests are being developed as companion diagnostics under collaborations with biopharmaceutical companies.
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•Research and development. A significant aspect of our business is our investment in research and development, including the development of new products. In particular, we have invested heavily in clinical studies as we believe these studies are critical to gaining physician adoption and driving favorable coverage decisions by payers. With respect to Guardant Reveal, in October 2021, we initiated a 1,000-patient prospective, observational, multi-center study, which we refer to as the ORACLE study, designed to evaluate the performance of our Guardant Reveal liquid biopsy test to predict cancer recurrence after curative intent treatment, across 11 solid tumor types. In addition, with respect to Guardant Reveal, in December 2022, we entered into a partnership with Susan G. Komen®, the world’s leading breast cancer organization, to bring the patient perspective to the development of clinical studies that help identify early-stage breast cancer patients who are at high risk of disease recurrence and may benefit from additional monitoring or therapy. With respect to Shield, in December 2022, we announced that the ECLIPSE study, a registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults, met co-primary endpoints. The test demonstrated 83% sensitivity in detecting individuals with colorectal cancer. Specificity was 90% in both individuals without advanced neoplasia and in those who had a negative colonoscopy result. These results exceed the performance criteria set forth by the CMS for reimbursement. This test also demonstrated 13% sensitivity in detecting advanced adenomas. Based on these study results, in March 2023, we submitted a PMA to the FDA for our Shield blood test. The FDA’s Molecular and Clinical Genetics Panel of the Medical Devices Advisory Committee intends to review the PMA. In addition, to evaluate the performance of our investigational, next-generation Shield assay in detecting lung cancer in high-risk individuals ages 50-80, in January 2022, we enrolled the first patient in a nearly 10,000-patient prospective, registrational study, which we refer to as the SHIELD LUNG study. We have expended considerable resources, and expect to increase such expenditures over the next few years, to support our research and development programs with the goal of fueling further innovation.
•International expansion. A component of our long-term growth strategy is to expand our commercial footprint internationally, and we expect to increase our sales and marketing expense to execute on this strategy. We currently offer our tests in countries outside the United States primarily through distributor relationships, direct contracts with hospitals, and partnerships with local research organizations and laboratory companies.
In May 2018, we formed and capitalized Guardant Health AMEA, Inc., with SoftBank, relating to the sale, marketing and distribution of our tests generally outside the Americas and Europe, and to accelerate commercialization of our products in Asia, the Middle East and Africa. In June 2022, we purchased all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates, and upon completion of the transaction, we obtained full control over operations of Guardant Health AMEA, Inc. throughout the Asia, Middle East and Africa region. In February 2022, we received CAP accreditation, and in October 2022, we received IVD sample processing approval from the MHLW for our laboratory in Japan. In addition, in July 2023, the MHLW granted national reimbursement approval for our Guardant360 CDx test for patients with advanced or metastatic solid tumor cancers in Japan.
In December 2020, we signed our first public private partnership agreement with Vall D'Hebron Institute of Oncology, or VHIO, one of Europe’s leading cancer research institutions, and in May 2022, the first blood-based cancer testing services in Europe based on our digital sequencing platform became available at the VHIO testing facility in Spain. In October 2021, we signed a partnership agreement with The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, or Royal Marsden, a premier cancer center within the United Kingdom, or the UK, for patient care, research and teaching of all types of cancer, and in April 2023, the blood-based cancer testing services based on our digital sequencing platform became available at Royal Marsden testing facility in the UK.
In June 2022, we signed a strategic partnership agreement with Adicon Holdings Limited, or Adicon, a leading independent clinical laboratory company based in China, and in December 2023, the blood-based cancer testing services based on our digital sequencing platform became available at Adicon's testing facility, which offers our industry-leading comprehensive genomic profiling tests to biopharmaceutical companies to advance clinical research and the development of new cancer therapies in China.
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The success of our international expansion strategy depends on a number of factors, including the internal and external constraints placed on our international laboratory partners and biopharmaceutical companies in the context of broader global, regional and U.S. economic and geopolitical conditions. For example, deterioration in the bilateral relationship between the United States and China may impact international trade, government spending, regional stability and macroeconomic conditions. The impact of these potential developments, including any resulting sanctions, export controls or other restrictive actions that may be imposed against governmental or other entities in, for example, China, may contribute to disruption of our international partnerships and instability and volatility in the global markets, which in turn could adversely impact our operations and weaken our financial results.
•Sales and marketing expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our sales and marketing expense, increase in headcount, and in particular, our various marketing programs around existing and new product introductions.
•General and administrative expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our general and administrative expense, and in particular, our stock-based compensation expense. Our equity awards, including market-based and performance-based restricted stock units, are intended to retain and incentivize employees to lead us to sustained, long-term superior financial and operational performance.
•Other operating expense. Our financial results might fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our other operating expense, and in particular, our legal settlement costs, which could potentially decrease or increase significantly.
While each of these areas presents significant opportunities for us, they also pose significant risks and challenges that we must address. See Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
Components of results of operations
Revenue
We derive our revenue from two sources: (i) precision oncology testing, and (ii) development services and other.
Precision oncology testing. Precision oncology testing revenue is generated from sales of our tests to clinical and biopharmaceutical customers, including those tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. In the United States, through December 31, 2023, we generally performed tests as an out-of-network service provider without contracts with health insurance companies. We submit claims for payment for tests performed for patients covered by U.S. private payers. We also submit claims to Medicare for reimbursement for our Guardant360 CDx, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 TissueNext, Guardant Reveal and Guardant360 Response clinical testing performed for qualifying patients. Revenue from clinical tests for patients covered by Medicare represented approximately 43%, 45% and 45% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Development services and other. Development services revenue primarily represents services that we provide to biopharmaceutical companies, large medical institutions and international laboratory partners. We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development and clinical studies of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our test panels. Under these arrangements, we generate revenue from progression of our collaboration efforts, as well as from provision of on-going support. In addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services, we also provide other development services, including clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect and GuardantINFORM. Other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our technologies and kit fulfillment.
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Costs and operating expenses
Cost of precision oncology testing. Cost of precision oncology testing generally consists of cost of materials, including inventory write-downs; cost of labor, including employee benefits, bonus, and stock-based compensation; equipment and infrastructure expenses associated with processing test samples, such as sample accessioning, library preparation, sequencing, and quality control analyses; freight; curation of test results for physicians; phlebotomy; and license fees due to third parties. Infrastructure expenses include depreciation of laboratory equipment, rent costs, depreciation of leasehold improvements and information technology costs. Costs associated with performing our tests are recorded as the tests are performed regardless of whether revenue was recognized with respect to the tests. While we do not believe the technologies underlying the third-party licenses are necessary to permit us to provide our tests, we do believe these technologies are potentially valuable and of possible strategic importance to us or our competitors.
We expect the cost of precision oncology testing to generally increase in line with the increase in the number of tests we perform, but we expect the cost per test to decrease modestly over time due to the efficiencies we may gain as test volume increases, and from automation and other cost reductions.
Cost of development services and other. Cost of development services and other primarily includes costs incurred for the performance of development services requested by our biopharmaceutical customers, and costs associated with our partnership agreements and delivery of screening tests, which comprise of labor and material costs including any inventory write-downs. For development of new products, costs incurred before technological feasibility has been achieved are reported as research and development expenses, while costs incurred thereafter are reported as cost of revenue. Cost of development services and other will vary depending on the nature, timing and scope of customer projects.
Research and development expense. Research and development expenses consist of costs incurred to develop technology and include salaries and benefits including stock-based compensation, reagents and supplies used in research and development laboratory work, infrastructure expenses, including facility occupancy and information technology costs, contract services, other outside costs and costs to develop our technology capabilities. Research and development expenses also include costs related to activities performed under contracts with biopharmaceutical companies before technological feasibility has been achieved. Research and development costs are expensed as incurred. Payments made prior to the receipt of goods or services to be used in research and development are deferred and recognized as expense in the period in which the related goods are received or services are rendered. Costs to develop our technology capabilities are recorded as research and development unless they meet the criteria to be capitalized as internal-use software costs. We expect that our research and development expenses will continue to increase in absolute dollars as we continue to innovate and develop additional products, expand our genomic and medical data management resources and conduct our ongoing and new clinical studies.
Sales and marketing expense. Our sales and marketing expenses are expensed as incurred and include costs associated with our sales organization, including our direct sales force and sales management, client services, marketing and reimbursement, medical affairs, as well as business development personnel who are focused on our biopharmaceutical customers. These expenses consist primarily of salaries, commissions, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as marketing, sales incentives, and educational activities and overhead expenses. We expect our sales and marketing expenses to increase in absolute dollars as we expand our sales force, increase our presence within and outside of the United States, and increase our marketing activities to drive further awareness and adoption of our tests.
General and administrative expense. Our general and administrative expenses include costs for our executive, accounting and finance, information technology, legal and human resources functions. These expenses consist principally of salaries, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as professional services fees such as consulting, audit, tax and legal fees, and general corporate costs and overhead expenses. In addition, our general and administrative expenses also include severance costs related to workforce reduction. We expect that our general and administrative expenses will continue to increase as we incur additional costs to support the growth of our business. These expenses, though expected to increase in absolute dollars, are expected to decrease modestly as a percentage of revenue in the long term, though they may fluctuate as a percentage of revenue from period to period due to the timing and extent of these expenses being incurred.
Interest income
Interest income consists of interest earned on our cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities.
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Interest expense
Interest expense consists primarily of charges relating to amortization of debt issuance costs.
Other income (expense), net
Other income (expense), net consists of foreign currency exchange gains and losses, fair value adjustments of marketable equity securities, and impairment of non-marketable equity securities and other related assets. We expect our foreign currency gains and losses to continue to fluctuate in the future due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
Provision for income tax
Income taxes are recorded using an asset and liability approach. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases using enacted tax rates in effect for the year in which the differences are expected to affect taxable income. Tax benefits are recognized when it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained during an audit. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if current evidence indicates that it is considered more likely than not that these benefits will not be realized.
Our tax positions are subject to income tax audits. We recognize the tax benefit of an uncertain tax position only if it is more likely than not that the position is sustainable upon examination by the taxing authority, based on the technical merits. The tax benefit recognized is measured as the largest amount of benefit which is more likely than not to be realized upon settlement with the taxing authority. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in its tax provision. We evaluate uncertain tax positions on a regular basis. The evaluations are based on a number of factors, including changes in facts and circumstances, changes in tax law, correspondence with tax authorities during the course of the audit, and effective settlement of audit issues. The provision for income taxes includes the effects of any accruals that we believe are appropriate, as well as the related net interest and penalties.
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Results of operations
The following tables set forth the significant components of our results of operations for the periods presented.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Revenue: | ||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 514,249 | $ | 392,049 | ||
| Development services and other | 49,699 | 57,489 | ||||
| Total revenue | 563,948 | 449,538 | ||||
| Costs and operating expenses: | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing(1) | 205,528 | 148,199 | ||||
| Cost of development services and other(1) | 21,524 | 8,126 | ||||
| Research and development expense(1) | 367,194 | 373,807 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense(1) | 295,227 | 299,828 | ||||
| General and administrative expense(1) | 155,800 | 163,956 | ||||
| Other operating expense | 83,400 | — | ||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 1,128,673 | 993,916 | ||||
| Loss from operations | (564,725) | (544,378) | ||||
| Interest income | 35,365 | 6,069 | ||||
| Interest expense | (2,578) | (2,577) | ||||
| Other income (expense), net | 53,174 | (12,778) | ||||
| Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability | — | (99,785) | ||||
| Loss before provision for income taxes | (478,764) | (653,449) | ||||
| Provision for income taxes | 685 | 1,139 | ||||
| Net loss | $ | (479,449) | $ | (654,588) |
(1)Amounts include stock-based compensation expense as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 4,614 | $ | 5,498 | ||
| Cost of development services and other | 1,851 | — | ||||
| Research and development expense | 34,682 | 26,630 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 24,764 | 25,442 | ||||
| General and administrative expense | 24,848 | 37,115 | ||||
| Total stock-based compensation expense | $ | 90,759 | $ | 94,685 |
In November 2020, we granted restricted stock units with certain performance metrics, or PSUs, consisting of a performance period of 4 years combined with an additional service period requirement of six months should the vesting criteria be met. As of December 31, 2023, these PSUs had a grant-date fair value of approximately $25.7 million, net of forfeitures, however no compensation expense for these PSUs has been recorded to-date since the achievement of the performance metrics did not meet the criteria for accrual as of December 31, 2023. At each reporting date, we will continue to assess the likelihood of the performance criteria being met and will record a cumulative catch-up adjustment should the achievement of the performance metrics be determined to be probable. For example, had the achievement of the performance metrics been determined to be probable as of December 31, 2023, we would have recorded a total charge of $18.1 million, of which $1.7 million would have been recorded to cost of development services and other, and $6.8 million, $5.8 million and $3.8 million would have been recorded as components of research and development expense, sales and marketing expense, and general and administrative expense, respectively, in the consolidated statements of operations for the year ended December 31, 2023. In addition, any of these PSUs that remain unvested at the end of the performance period will be forfeited.
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Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2023 and 2022
Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 514,249 | $ | 392,049 | $ | 122,200 | 31 | % | ||||||
| Development services and other | 49,699 | 57,489 | (7,790) | (14) | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 563,948 | $ | 449,538 | $ | 114,410 | 25 | % |
Total revenue was $563.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $449.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $114.4 million, or 25%.
Precision oncology testing revenue increased to $514.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, from $392.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $122.2 million, or 31%.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers was $403.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, up 35% from $298.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. This increase in clinical testing revenue was driven primarily by an increase in sample volume. Total tests for clinical customers increased to approximately 172,900 for the year ended December 31, 2023, from approximately 124,800 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for biopharmaceutical customers was $110.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, up 17% from $94.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. This increase in revenue was primarily due to an increase in sample volume. Total tests for biopharmaceutical customers increased to approximately 29,900 for the year ended December 31, 2023, from approximately 26,000 for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Development services and other revenue decreased to $49.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, from $57.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, a decrease of $7.8 million, or 14%. This decrease in development services and other revenue was primarily due to revenue decrease of $6.9 million associated with our companion diagnostics collaboration projects and other service agreements with biopharmaceutical customers, and a reduction in royalty revenue of $3.8 million, partially offset by revenue increase from our data services of $2.4 million and partnership agreements of $1.4 million during the year ended December 31, 2023.
Cost of Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 205,528 | $ | 148,199 | $ | 57,329 | 39 | % | ||||||
| Cost of development services and other | 21,524 | 8,126 | 13,398 | 165 | % | |||||||||
| Total cost of revenue | $ | 227,052 | $ | 156,325 | $ | 70,727 | 45 | % |
Total cost of revenue was $227.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $156.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $70.7 million, or 45%.
Cost of precision oncology testing was $205.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $148.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $57.3 million, or 39%. This increase in cost of precision oncology testing was primarily attributable to an increase in sample volumes, resulting in a $33.0 million increase in material costs, a $19.9 million increase in production labor and overhead costs, and a $4.0 million increase in other costs, including costs related to collection kits, freight, professional services and reporting of test results for physicians.
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Cost of development services and other was $21.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $8.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $13.4 million. This increase in cost of development services and other was primarily due to costs associated with providing screening testing services which increased to $13.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, from $2.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $11.5 million. The increase was also related to cost increase of $4.5 million associated with our partnership agreements, partially offset by cost decrease of $2.7 million associated with our companion diagnostics collaboration projects with biopharmaceutical customers during the year ended December 31, 2023.
Operating Expenses
Research and development expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Research and development expense | $ | 367,194 | $ | 373,807 | $ | (6,613) | (2) | % |
Research and development expenses were $367.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $373.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, a decrease of $6.6 million, or 2%. This decrease was primarily due to a decrease of $11.2 million in material costs, a decrease of $5.6 million in information technology infrastructure costs, and a decrease of $3.1 million in post-acquisition contingent consideration, partially offset by an increase of $8.1 million in stock-based compensation, an increase of $3.3 million in personnel costs, and an increase of $2.7 million in depreciation and amortization.
Sales and marketing expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing expense | $ | 295,227 | $ | 299,828 | $ | (4,601) | (2) | % |
Selling and marketing expenses were $295.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $299.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, a decrease of $4.6 million, or 2%. This decrease was primarily due to a decrease of $2.1 million in personnel costs, and a decrease of $1.8 million in information technology infrastructure costs.
General and administrative expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| General and administrative expense | $ | 155,800 | $ | 163,956 | $ | (8,156) | (5) | % |
General and administrative expenses were $155.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $164.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, a decrease of $8.2 million, or 5%. This decrease was primarily due to a decrease of $12.3 million in stock-based compensation, a decrease of $4.2 million in acquisition-related contingent consideration, a decrease of $2.7 million in information technology infrastructure costs, and a decrease of $1.9 million in office and administrative costs, partially offset by an increase of $7.5 million in severance costs related to a workforce reduction incurred in the first quarter of 2023, and an increase of $5.0 million in personnel costs.
Other operating expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Other operating expense | $ | 83,400 | $ | — | $ | 83,400 | * |
* Not applicable
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Other operating expense for the year ended December 31, 2023 was related to a legal accrual in connection with a jury verdict related to TwinStrand Biosciences, Inc. and the University of Washington entered into in November 2023. See "Commitments and Contingencies - Legal Proceedings" in Note 9 to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Interest income
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest income | $ | 35,365 | $ | 6,069 | $ | 29,296 | 483 | % |
Interest income was $35.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $6.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $29.3 million, or 483%, primarily due to higher interest rates, and increase in cash and cash equivalents and marketable debt securities balances.
Interest expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | $ | (2,578) | $ | (2,577) | $ | (1) | — | % |
Interest expense was primarily attributable to the amortization of debt issuance costs related to our convertible senior notes issued in November 2020, for the years ended December 31, 2023, and 2022.
Other income (expense), net
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | $ | 53,174 | $ | (12,778) | $ | 65,952 | * |
* Not meaningful
Other income (expense), net was a $53.2 million income for the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily attributable to $79.7 million of unrealized gains recorded for our marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc., partially offset by $29.1 million of impairment recorded for our non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets during the period. Other income (expense), net was a $12.8 million expense for the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to $7.8 million of unrealized losses recorded for our marketable equity security investment in Lunit, Inc., and $5.3 million of impairment recorded for our non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets during the period.
Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability | $ | — | $ | (99,785) | $ | 99,785 | * |
* Not meaningful
Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability for the year ended December 31, 2022 was made as a result of the Joint Venture Acquisition completed in June 2022.
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Provision for income taxes
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Provision for income taxes | $ | 685 | $ | 1,139 | $ | (454) | (40) | % |
The change in the provision for income taxes between the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022 was insignificant.
Liquidity and capital resources
We have incurred losses and negative cash flows from operations since our inception, and as of December 31, 2023, we had an accumulated deficit of $2.1 billion. We expect to incur additional operating losses in the near future and our operating expenses will increase as we continue to invest in clinical studies and develop new products, expand our sales organization, and increase our marketing efforts to drive market adoption of our tests. As demand for our tests are expected to continue to increase from physicians and biopharmaceutical companies, we anticipate that our capital expenditure requirements could also increase if we require additional laboratory capacity.
We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of stock, convertible debt and through revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other. As of December 31, 2023, we had cash and cash equivalents of $1.1 billion and marketable debt securities of $35.1 million. Cash in excess of immediate requirements is invested in accordance with our investment policy, primarily with a view to provide liquidity while ensuring capital preservation. Additionally, we have investments held in marketable debt securities consisting primarily of United States treasury securities that can be immediately liquid.
Based on our current business plan, we believe our current cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations, will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash requirements for more than 12 months from the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We may consider raising additional capital to expand our business, to pursue strategic investments, to take advantage of financing opportunities or for other reasons. As revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other is expected to grow long-term, we expect our accounts receivable and inventory balances to increase. Any increase in accounts receivable and inventory may not be completely offset by increases in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, which could impact our working capital balances.
If our available cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations are insufficient to satisfy our liquidity requirements because of lower demand for our products as a result of lower than currently expected rates of reimbursement from our customers or other risks described in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we may seek to sell additional common or preferred equity or convertible debt securities, enter into a credit facility or another form of third-party funding or seek other debt financing. The sale of equity and convertible debt securities may result in dilution to our stockholders and, in the case of preferred equity securities or convertible debt, those securities could provide for rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our common stock. The terms of debt securities issued or borrowings pursuant to a credit agreement could impose significant restrictions on our operations. If we raise funds through collaborations and licensing arrangements, we might be required to relinquish significant rights to our platform technologies or products or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to us. Additional capital may not be available to us on reasonable terms, or at all.
Cash flows
The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Net cash used in operating activities | $ | (324,975) | $ | (309,463) | ||
| Net cash provided by investing activities | 840,250 | 149,816 | ||||
| Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | 477,375 | (189,093) |
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Operating activities
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2023 was $325.0 million, which resulted from a net loss of $479.4 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $100.6 million and cash effect of changes in our operating assets and liabilities of $53.8 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $90.8 million of stock-based compensation, $42.9 million of depreciation and amortization, $29.7 million of operating lease costs, and $29.1 million of impairment on non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets, partially offset by $79.7 million of unrealized gains on marketable equity security investment in Lunit, inc., and $13.6 million of amortization of discount on marketable debt securities. The cash effect of changes in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $88.6 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, primarily due to a legal accrual of $83.4 million in connection with a jury verdict entered in favor of TwinStrand Biosciences, Inc. and the University of Washington in November 2023, and a $8.4 million decrease in accounts receivable, net, partially offset by a $31.5 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $10.4 million increase in inventory, net due to forecasted higher testing volumes, and a $4.3 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, net.
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2022 was $309.5 million, which resulted from a net loss of $654.6 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $283.6 million and cash effect of changes in our operating assets and liabilities of $61.6 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $99.8 million of fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability in connection with the Joint Venture Acquisition, $94.7 million of stock-based compensation, $36.0 million of depreciation and amortization, $28.6 million of operating lease costs, $7.8 million of unrealized losses on marketable equity security investment in Lunit, inc., $5.3 million of impairment on non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets, $4.6 million of amortization of premium on marketable debt securities, and $4.3 million of acquisition-related contingent consideration. The cash effect of changes in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $60.3 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, primarily due to increase in purchases of goods and services, increased personnel and increase in accrued and other liabilities, a $20.4 million decrease in prepaid expenses and other current assets, net primarily driven by a $25.0 million one-time payment pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021, a $11.7 million decrease in other assets, net and a $9.9 million increase in deferred revenue primarily due to upfront payments from international laboratory partners, partially offset by a $20.9 million increase in inventory, net due to forecasted higher testing volumes, and increased inventory level to offset potential disruption in supply chain, and a $20.2 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance.
Investing activities
Cash provided by investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2023 was $840.3 million, which resulted primarily from maturities of marketable debt securities of $1.5 billion, partially offset by purchases of marketable debt securities of $629.9 million, purchases of property and equipment of $20.5 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets of $5.6 million.
Cash provided by investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2022 was $149.8 million, which resulted primarily from maturities of marketable debt securities of $555.0 million, partially offset by purchases of marketable debt securities of $303.8 million, purchases of property and equipment of $77.5 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity security investments and other related assets of $24.0 million.
Financing activities
Cash provided by financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2023 was $477.4 million, which was primarily attributable to proceeds of $493.1 million from equity offerings, and proceeds of $10.2 million from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan, partially offset by payment of equity offering costs of $21.1 million, and taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $11.2 million.
Cash used in financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2022 was $189.1 million, which was primarily attributable to consideration payment for the Joint Venture Acquisition of $177.8 million, payment for the tender offer in connection with the Joint Venture Acquisition and acquisition related costs of $14.2 million, and taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $7.9 million, partially offset by proceeds of $9.3 million from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan.
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Critical accounting policies and estimates
We have prepared our consolidated financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or GAAP. Our preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, expenses and related disclosures at the date of the consolidated financial statements, as well as revenue and expenses recorded during the reporting periods. We evaluate our estimates and judgments on an ongoing basis. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other factors that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could therefore differ materially from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.
While our significant accounting policies are described in more detail in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we believe the following accounting policies to be critical to the judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Revenue recognition
We derive revenue from the provision of precision oncology testing services, as well as from development services and other. Precision oncology testing revenue includes amount derived from the delivery of our precision oncology tests, including those tests delivered by labs operated by our strategic partners. Development services include companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect and GuardantINFORM. Other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our technologies, and kit fulfillment. We currently receive payments from third-party commercial and governmental payers, certain hospitals and oncology centers and individual patients, as well as biopharmaceutical companies, research institutes, international laboratory partners and distributors.
Revenues are recognized when control of services is transferred to customers, in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled to in exchange for those services. FASB ASC Topic 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, provides for a five-step model that includes identifying the contract with a customer, identifying the performance obligations in the contract, determining the transaction price, allocating the transaction price to the performance obligations, and recognizing revenue when, or as, an entity satisfies a performance obligation.
Precision oncology testing
We recognize revenue from the sale of our precision oncology tests for clinical customers, including certain hospitals, cancer centers, other institutions and patients, at the time results of the test are reported to physicians. Most precision oncology tests requested by clinical customers are sold without a written agreement; however, we determine an implied contract exists with our clinical customers. We identify each sale of our test to a clinical customer as a single performance obligation. With the exception of certain limited contracted arrangements with insurance carriers and other institutions where the transaction price is fixed, a stated contract price does not exist and the transaction price for each implied contract with our clinical customers represents variable consideration. We estimate the variable consideration under the portfolio approach and consider the historical reimbursement data from third-party commercial and governmental payers and patients, as well as known or anticipated reimbursement trends not reflected in the historical data. We monitor the estimated amount to be collected in the portfolio at each reporting period based on actual cash collections in order to assess whether a revision to the estimate is required. Both the estimate and any subsequent revision contain uncertainty and require the use of significant judgment in the estimation of the variable consideration and application of the constraint for such variable consideration. We analyze actual cash collections over the expected reimbursement period and compare it with the estimated variable consideration for each portfolio and any difference is recognized as an adjustment to estimated revenue after the expected reimbursement period, subject to assessment of the risk of future revenue reversal.
Revenue from sales of precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are based on a negotiated price per test or on the basis of an agreement to provide certain testing volume over a defined period. We identify our promise to transfer a series of distinct tests to biopharmaceutical customers as a single performance obligation. Precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are generally billed at a fixed price for each test performed. For agreements involving testing volume to be satisfied over a defined period, revenue is recognized over time based on the number of tests performed as the performance obligation is satisfied over time. Results of our precision oncology services are delivered electronically, and as such there are no shipping or handling fees incurred by us or billed to customers.
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Development services and other
We perform development services for our biopharmaceutical customers utilizing our precision oncology information platform. Development services typically represent a single performance obligation as we perform a significant integration service, such as analytical validation and regulatory submissions. The individual promises are not separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, are not distinct. However, under certain contracts, a biopharmaceutical customer may engage us for multiple distinct development services which are both capable of being distinct and separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, distinct performance obligations.
We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our testing panels. Under these collaborations, we generate revenue from achievement of milestones, as well as provision of on-going support. For the companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services performed, we are compensated through a combination of an upfront fee and performance-based, non-refundable regulatory and other developmental milestone payments. The transaction price of these contracts typically represents variable consideration. Application of the constraint for variable consideration to milestone payments is an area that requires significant judgment. We evaluate factors such as the scientific, clinical, regulatory, commercial, and other risks that must be managed to achieve the respective milestone and the level of effort and investment required to achieve the respective milestone. In making this assessment, we consider our historical experience with similar milestones, the degree of complexity and uncertainty associated with each milestone, and whether achievement of the milestone is dependent on parties other than us. The constraint for variable consideration is applied such that it is probable a significant reversal of revenue will not occur when the uncertainty associated with the contingency is resolved. Application of the constraint for variable consideration is assessed and updated at each reporting period as a revision to the estimated transaction price.
We recognize companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services revenue over the period in which biopharmaceutical research and development services are provided. Specifically, we recognize revenue using an input method to measure progress, utilizing costs incurred to-date relative to total expected costs as its measure of progress. We assess the changes to the total expected cost estimates as well as any incremental fees negotiated resulting from changes to the scope of the original contract in determining the revenue recognition at each reporting period. For development of new products or services under these arrangements, costs incurred before technological feasibility is reached are included as research and development expenses in our consolidated statements of operations, while costs incurred thereafter are recorded as cost of development services and other.
We also recognize revenue from other development services, in addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services noted above, such as clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect, and GuardantINFORM. These revenues are generally recognized over time based on an input method to measure progress in the period when the associated services have been performed.
In addition, we license our digital sequencing technologies to our domestic customers and international laboratory partners. For the licensed technology, we are compensated through royalty-based payments, non-refundable upfront payments, guaranteed minimum payments, and/or sample milestone payments. Depending on the nature of the technology licensing arrangements, and considering factors including but not limited to enforceable right to payment and payment terms, and if an asset with alternative use is created, these technology licensing revenues are recognized in the period when royalty-bearing sales occur, when the technology transfer is complete or over the technology transfer period. Other revenue also includes kit fulfillment which is recognized when such products are delivered.
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Contracts with multiple performance obligations
Contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners may include multiple distinct performance obligations, such as provision of precision oncology testing, the above-mentioned development services, and digital sequencing technology licensing, among others. We evaluate the terms and conditions included within our contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners to ensure appropriate revenue recognition, including whether services are considered distinct performance obligations that should be accounted for separately versus together. We first identify material promises, in contrast to immaterial promises or administrative tasks, under the contract, and then evaluate whether these promises are both capable of being distinct and distinct within the context of the contract. In assessing whether a promised service is capable of being distinct, we consider whether the customer could benefit from the service either on its own or together with other resources that are readily available to the customer, including factors such as the research, development, and commercialization capabilities of a third party as well as the availability of the associated expertise in the general marketplace. In assessing whether a promised service is distinct within the context of the contract, we consider whether we provide a significant integration of the services, whether the services significantly modify or customize one another, or whether the services are highly interdependent or interrelated.
For contracts with multiple performance obligations, the transaction price is allocated to the separate performance obligations on a relative standalone selling price basis. We determine standalone selling price by considering the historical selling price of these performance obligations in similar transactions as well as other factors, including, but not limited to, the price that customers in the market would be willing to pay, competitive pricing of other vendors, industry publications and current pricing practices, and expected costs of satisfying each performance obligation plus appropriate margin; or by using the residual approach if standalone selling price is not observable, by reference to the total transaction price less the sum of the observable standalone selling prices of other performance obligations promised in the contract.
Stock-based compensation
We measure the grant date fair value of our service-based and performance-based restricted stock units issued to employees and non-employees based on the closing market price of the common stock on the date of grant. For restricted stock units with only service-based vesting conditions, compensation expense is recognized on a straight-line basis over the requisite service period. Compensation expense for restricted stock units with performance metrics, or PSUs, is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant, and is recognized using an accelerated attribution model over the requisite service period for each separately vesting portion of the award. No stock-based compensation expense is recorded for PSUs, unless it is determined to be probable that the related performance metrics will be met. Any PSUs that remain unvested at the end of the performance period will be forfeited. Forfeitures are accounted for as they occur.
We measure stock-based compensation expense for stock options granted to our employees, directors, and non-employee consultants on the date of grant based on the fair value of the awards and recognize the corresponding compensation expense of those awards over the requisite service period, which is generally the vesting period of the respective awards. Compensation expense for stock options with performance metrics is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant.
We estimate the fair value of our stock options on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our stock options, including the Joint Venture, were:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of our common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
The grant date fair value of the Joint Venture's common stock was determined by the board of directors of the Joint Venture, using valuation methodologies which utilize certain assumptions including probability weighting of events, volatility, time to liquidation, a risk-free interest rate and an assumption for a discount for lack of marketability. The methodologies used to estimate the enterprise value of the Joint Venture were performed using methodologies, approaches, and assumptions consistent with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately-Held-Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation.
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Expected Term
The expected term represents the period that the stock options granted are expected to be outstanding and is determined using the simplified method (based on the mid-point between the vesting date and the end of the contractual term) as we have concluded that our stock option exercise history does not provide a reasonable basis upon which to estimate expected term.
Expected Volatility
Prior to the commencement of trading of our common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on October 4, 2018 in connection with our initial public offering, there was no active trading market for our common stock. Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, expected volatility is estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty.
The Joint Venture derived the expected volatility from the average historical volatility over a period approximately equal to the expected term of comparable publicly traded companies within its peer group that were deemed to be representative of future stock price trends as the Joint Venture did not have any trading history for its common stock.
Risk-Free Interest Rate
The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury rate, with maturities similar to the expected term of the stock options.
Expected Dividend Yield
We do not anticipate paying any dividends in the foreseeable future and, therefore, use an expected dividend yield of zero.
The Joint Venture did not anticipate paying any dividends, therefore used an expected dividend yield of zero.
Black-Scholes Assumptions
The weighted-average assumptions used in our Black-Scholes option-pricing model, including the Joint Venture, were as follows for stock option granted to our employees, directors and non-employees for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |||
| Expected term (in years) | 5.50 – 6.10 | 5.50 – 6.10 | 5.49 – 6.06 | ||
| Expected volatility | 69.3% – 70.5% | 63.3% – 67.6% | 63.6% – 66.7% | ||
| Risk-free interest rate | 3.4% – 4.5% | 1.9% – 4.4% | 0.3% – 1.3% | ||
| Expected dividend yield | —% | —% | —% |
We will continue to use judgment in evaluating the assumptions related to our stock-based compensation on a prospective basis, including probabilities of meeting performance metrics for our PSUs. As we continue to accumulate additional data related to our common stock, we may have refinements to our estimates, which could materially impact our future stock-based compensation expense.
Recent accounting pronouncements
See Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001576280-23-000020.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
You should read the following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations together with the consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion and other parts of this Annual Report on Form 10-K contain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, such as statements of our plans, objectives, beliefs, expectations and intentions. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
The following generally compares our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021. A detailed discussion comparing our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 can be found in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Overview
We are a leading precision oncology company focused on helping conquer cancer globally through the use of our proprietary tests, vast data sets and advanced analytics. We believe our tests can transform cancer care by unlocking insights that will help patients at all stages of the disease, including at its earliest stages, when it’s most treatable. For patients with advanced-stage cancer, we have commercially launched Guardant360 LDT and Guardant360 CDx, the first comprehensive liquid biopsy test approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, to provide tumor mutation profiling with solid tumors and to be used as a companion diagnostic in connection with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC, and breast cancer. We have also launched the Guardant360 TissueNext tissue test for advanced-stage cancer, Guardant Reveal blood test to detect residual and recurring disease in early-stage colorectal, breast and lung cancer patients, and Guardant360 Response blood test to predict patient response to immunotherapy or targeted therapy eight weeks earlier than current standard-of-care imaging.
We also collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in clinical studies by providing the above-mentioned tests, as well as the GuardantOMNI blood test for advanced-stage cancer, and the GuardantINFINITY blood test, launched in September 2022, which is a next-generation smart liquid biopsy that provides new, multi-dimensional insights into the complexities of tumor molecular profiles and immune response to advance cancer research and therapy development. Using data collected from our tests, we have also developed our GuardantINFORM platform to help biopharmaceutical companies accelerate precision oncology drug development through the use of this in-silico research platform to unlock further insights into tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers.
In May 2022, we launched the Shield LDT test to address the needs of individuals eligible for colorectal cancer screening. From a simple blood draw, Shield uses a novel multimodal approach to detect colorectal cancer signals in the bloodstream, including DNA that is shed by tumors. In addition, in December 2022, we announced positive results from ECLIPSE, an over 20,000 patient registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults. We also expect to expand into lung and multi-cancer screening with our investigational, next-generation Shield assay.
We currently perform our tests in our laboratories located in Redwood City, California, and San Diego, California. Our Redwood City laboratory is certified pursuant to the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, accredited by the College of American Pathologists, or CAP, permitted by the New York State Department of Health, or NYSDOH, and licensed in California and four other states. Our San Diego laboratory is CAP-accredited and CLIA-certified. In addition, our Palo Alto, California laboratory is currently operated as a center for our research and technology development. In February 2022, we received CAP accreditation for our laboratory in Japan where we expect to commence processing samples following receipt of additional certification for processing In Vitro Diagnostic, or IVD, samples and reimbursement approval.
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We generated total revenue of $449.5 million, $373.7 million and $286.7 million for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. We also incurred net losses of $654.6 million, $384.8 million and $246.3 million in the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of our stock, convertible senior notes, and revenue from our precision oncology testing and development services and other. In June 2020, we completed an underwritten public offering of a total of 4,312,500 shares of our common stock, through which we received net proceeds of $354.6 million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and offering expenses payable by us. In November 2020, we issued our convertible senior notes with an aggregate principal amount of $1.15 billion. As of December 31, 2022, we had cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities of approximately $1.0 billion.
Factors affecting our performance
We believe there are several important factors that have impacted and that we expect will impact our operating performance and results of operations, including:
•Testing volume, pricing and customer mix. Our revenue and costs are affected by the volume of testing and mix of customers from period to period. We evaluate both the volume of tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians and the number of tests we perform for biopharmaceutical companies. Our performance depends on our ability to retain and broaden adoption with existing customers, as well as attract new customers. We believe that the test volume we receive from clinicians and biopharmaceutical companies are indicators of growth in each of these customer verticals. Customer mix for our tests has the potential to significantly affect our results of operations, as the average selling price for biopharmaceutical sample testing is currently higher than our average reimbursement for clinical tests because we are not a contracted provider for, or our tests are not covered by clinical patients’ insurance for, the majority of the tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians. Revenue from clinical tests for patients covered by Medicare represented approximately 45%, 45% and 42% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
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•Payer coverage and reimbursement. Our revenue depends on achieving broad coverage and reimbursement for our tests from third-party payers, including both commercial and government payers. Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers is calculated based on our expected cash collections, using the estimated variable consideration. The variable consideration is estimated based on historical collection patterns as well as the potential for changes in future reimbursement behavior by one or more payers. Estimation of the impact of the potential for changes in reimbursement requires significant judgment and considers payers' past patterns of changes in reimbursement as well as any stated plans to implement changes. Any cash collections over the expected reimbursement period exceeding the estimated variable consideration are recorded in future periods based on actual cash received. Payment from commercial payers can vary depending on whether we have entered into a contract with the payers as a “participating provider” or do not have a contract and are considered a “non-participating provider”. Payers often reimburse non-participating providers, if at all, at a lower amount than participating providers. Because we are not contracted with these payers, they determine the amount that they are willing to reimburse us for any of our tests and they can prospectively and retrospectively adjust the amount of reimbursement, adding to the complexity in estimating the variable consideration. When we contract with a payer to serve as a participating provider, reimbursements by the payer are generally made pursuant to a negotiated fee schedule and are limited to only covered indications or where prior approval has been obtained. Becoming a participating provider can result in higher reimbursement amounts for covered uses of our tests and, potentially, no reimbursement for non-covered uses identified under the payer’s policies or the contract. As a result, the potential for more favorable reimbursement associated with becoming a participating provider may be offset by a potential loss of reimbursement for non-covered uses of our tests. Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, coding plays a significant role in how our tests are reimbursed both from commercial and governmental payers. In addition, Z-Code Identifiers are used by certain payers, including under Medicare's Molecular Diagnostic Services Program, or MolDx, to supplement CPT codes for our molecular diagnostics tests. Changes to the codes used to report to payers may result in significant changes in its reimbursement. If their policies were to change in the future to cover additional cancer indications, we anticipate that our total reimbursement would increase. In January 2021, a proprietary laboratory analyses, or PLA code was issued for our Guardant360 CDx with an effective date in April 2021. Additionally, based on this new PLA code, we applied to the CMS for our Guardant360 CDx test to become an advanced diagnostic laboratory test, or ADLT. In March 2021, CMS approved ADLT status to the Guardant360 CDx test, based on which Medicare paid us at the lowest available commercial rate per test, from April 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. Effective January 1, 2022, Medicare has started to reimburse Guardant360 CDx services at the median rate of claims paid by commercial payers and this rate will apply until December 2023. In March 2022, Palmetto GBA, the Medicare administrative contractor for MolDX, has conveyed coverage for our Guardant360 TissueNext test under the existing local coverage determination. The policy covers our Guardant360 TissueNext test for Medicare fee-for-service patients with advanced solid tumor cancers. In July 2022, Palmetto GBA conveyed coverage for our Guardant Reveal test for fee-for-service Medicare patients in the United States with stage II or III colorectal cancer whose testing is initiated within three months following curative intent therapy, with an effective date of December 2021. Due to the inherent variability and unpredictability of the reimbursement landscape, including related to the amount that payers reimburse us for any of our tests, we estimate the amount of revenue to be recognized at the time a test is provided and record revenue adjustments if and when the cash subsequently received differs from the revenue recorded. Due to this variability and unpredictability, previously recorded revenue adjustments are not indicative of future revenue adjustments from actual cash collections, which may fluctuate significantly. Additionally, if coding changes were to occur, payments for certain uses of our tests could be reduced, put on hold, or eliminated. This variability and unpredictability could increase the risk of future revenue reversal and result in our failing to meet any previously publicly stated guidance we may provide.
•Biopharmaceutical customers. Our revenue also depends on our ability to attract, maintain and expand relationships with biopharmaceutical customers. As we continue to develop these relationships, we expect to support a growing number of clinical studies globally and continue to have opportunities to offer our platform to such customers for development services, including companion diagnostic development, novel target discovery and validation, as well as clinical study enrollment. For example, our tests are being developed as companion diagnostics under collaborations with biopharmaceutical companies.
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•Research and development. A significant aspect of our business is our investment in research and development, including the development of new products. In particular, we have invested heavily in clinical studies as we believe these studies are critical to gaining physician adoption and driving favorable coverage decisions by payers. With respect to Guardant Reveal, in October 2021, we initiated a 1,000-patient prospective, observational, multi-center study, which we refer to as the ORACLE study, designed to evaluate the performance of our Guardant Reveal liquid biopsy test to predict cancer recurrence after curative intent treatment, across 11 solid tumor types. In addition, with respect to Guardant Reveal, in December 2022, we entered into a partnership with Susan G. Komen®, the world’s leading breast cancer organization, to bring the patient perspective to the development of clinical studies that help identify early-stage breast cancer patients who are at high risk of disease recurrence and may benefit from additional monitoring or therapy. With respect to Shield, in December 2022, we announced positive results from ECLIPSE, an over 20,000 patient registrational study evaluating the performance of our Shield blood test for detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults. The test demonstrated 83% sensitivity in detecting individuals with colorectal cancer. Specificity was 90% in both individuals without advanced neoplasia and in those who had a negative colonoscopy result. These results exceed the performance criteria set forth by the CMS for reimbursement. This test also demonstrated 13% sensitivity in detecting advanced adenomas. Based on these study results, we plan to complete our premarket approval submission to the FDA in the first quarter of 2023. In addition, to evaluate the performance of our investigational, next-generation Shield assay in detecting lung cancer in high-risk individuals ages 50-80, in January 2022, we enrolled the first patient in a nearly 10,000-patient prospective, registrational study, which we refer to as the SHIELD LUNG study. The study is anticipated to run in approximately 100 centers in the United States and Europe. We are continuing to enroll more patients for these on-going studies, and have expended considerable resources, and expect to increase such expenditures over the next few years, to support our research and development programs with the goal of fueling further innovation.
•International expansion. A component of our long-term growth strategy is to expand our commercial footprint internationally, and we expect to increase our sales and marketing expense to execute on this strategy. We currently offer our tests in countries outside the United States primarily through distributor relationships, direct contracts with hospitals or partnerships with research organizations. In May 2018, we formed and capitalized a joint venture, Guardant Health AMEA, Inc., with SoftBank, which we refer to as the Joint Venture or Guardant AMEA, relating to the sale, marketing and distribution of our tests generally outside the Americas and Europe, and to accelerate commercialization of our products in Asia, the Middle East and Africa. In November 2021, we exercised our call right contained in the joint venture agreement with SoftBank to purchase all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates in consideration for the payment of the aggregate purchase price to be determined based on an independent third-party valuation. Upon our exercise of the call right in November 2021, SoftBank no longer had the option to exercise its put right. In June 2022, we purchased all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates in consideration for a cash payment of the aggregate purchase price of $177.8 million, as determined by an independent valuation firm, which resulted in $99.8 million of fair value adjustments to the noncontrolling interest liability for the year ended December 31, 2022. Upon completion of the transaction, we obtained full control over operations throughout the Asia, Middle East and Africa region.
In December 2020, we signed our first public private partnership agreement with Vall D'Hebron Institute of Oncology, or VHIO, one of Europe’s leading cancer research institutions, and in May 2022, the first blood-based cancer testing services in Europe based on our industry-leading digital sequencing platform became available at the VHIO testing facility in Spain. In October 2021, we signed a partnership agreement with The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, a premier cancer center within the United Kingdom for patient care, research and teaching of all types of cancer. We expect these partnerships will lead to the establishment of our testing services at the partner laboratories, using our digital sequencing technology, as well as generation of clinical and economic evidence to support commissioning in other areas of Europe.
In June 2022, we signed a strategic partnership agreement with Adicon Holdings Limited, a leading independent clinical laboratory company based in China, to offer our industry-leading comprehensive genomic profiling tests to biopharmaceutical companies conducting clinical studies in China. We expect the partnership to help biopharmaceutical companies bring the next generation of cancer therapies to patients in the region.
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The success of our international expansion strategy depends on a number of factors, including the internal and external constraints placed on our international laboratory partners and biopharmaceutical companies in the context of broader global, regional and U.S. economic and geopolitical conditions. For example, deterioration in the bilateral relationship between the United States and China may impact international trade, government spending, regional stability and macroeconomic conditions. The impact of these potential developments, including any resulting sanctions, export controls or other restrictive actions that may be imposed against governmental or other entities in, for example, China, may contribute to disruption of our international partnerships and instability and volatility in the global markets, which in turn could adversely impact our operations and weaken our financial results.
•Sales and marketing expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our sales and marketing expense, increase in headcount, and in particular, our various marketing programs around existing and new product introductions.
•General and administrative expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our general and administrative expense, and in particular, our stock-based compensation expense. Our equity awards, including market-based and performance-based restricted stock units, are intended to retain and incentivize employees to lead us to sustained, long-term superior financial and operational performance.
•COVID-19 Global Pandemic. The global coronavirus 2019, or COVID-19, pandemic has negatively affected, and we expect will continue to negatively affect, our revenue and our clinical studies. For example, our biopharmaceutical customers are facing challenges in recruiting patients and in conducting clinical studies to advance their pipelines, for which our tests could be utilized. In addition, disruptions caused by the pandemic have adversely affected the quantity and quality of certain sequencers, reagents, blood tubes and other similar materials that are critical to our commercial and research and development programs. We currently have a limited amount of stock of these components. Failure in the future to secure sufficient supply of critical components could materially and adversely affect our ability to manufacture or supply marketed products and product candidates or complete our ongoing research and development programs on the timelines previously established, which could materially and adversely affect our business and future prospects. The severity of the impact on our business will depend on a number of factors, including the duration and severity of the pandemic and the impact of any variants of the virus on us, our customers, and our suppliers. In August 2020, we launched our Guardant-19 test and received the FDA’s emergency use authorization for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus. The test was being offered to our employees and to select partner organizations via our CLIA-certified clinical laboratory. Effective August 2021, we have discontinued offering the test to third parties.
While each of these areas presents significant opportunities for us, they also pose significant risks and challenges that we must address. See Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
Components of results of operations
Revenue
We derive our revenue from two sources: (i) precision oncology testing, and (ii) development services and other.
Precision oncology testing. Precision oncology testing revenue is generated from sales of our tests to clinical and biopharmaceutical customers. In the United States, through December 31, 2022, we generally performed tests as an out-of-network service provider without contracts with health insurance companies. We submit claims for payment for tests performed for patients covered by U.S. private payers. We also submit claims to Medicare for reimbursement for our Guardant360 CDx, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 TissueNext and Guardant Reveal clinical testing performed for qualifying patients. Revenue from clinical tests for patients covered by Medicare represented approximately 45%, 45% and 42% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
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Development services and other. Development services revenue primarily represents services that we provide to biopharmaceutical companies, large medical institutions and international laboratory partners. We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development and clinical studies of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our test panels. Under these arrangements, we generate revenue from progression of our collaboration efforts, as well as from provision of on-going support. In addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services, we also provide other development services, including clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect and GuardantINFORM. Other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our technologies, and kit fulfillment.
Costs and operating expenses
Cost of precision oncology testing. Cost of precision oncology testing generally consists of cost of materials, including inventory write-downs; cost of labor, including employee benefits, bonus, and stock-based compensation; equipment and infrastructure expenses associated with processing test samples, such as sample accessioning, library preparation, sequencing, and quality control analyses; freight; curation of test results for physicians; phlebotomy; and license fees due to third parties. Infrastructure expenses include depreciation of laboratory equipment, rent costs, depreciation of leasehold improvements and information technology costs. Costs associated with performing our tests are recorded as the tests are performed regardless of whether revenue was recognized with respect to the tests. While we do not believe the technologies underlying the third-party licenses are necessary to permit us to provide our tests, we do believe these technologies are potentially valuable and of possible strategic importance to us or our competitors.
We expect the cost of precision oncology testing to generally increase in line with the increase in the number of tests we perform, but we expect the cost per test to decrease modestly over time due to the efficiencies we may gain as test volume increases, and from automation and other cost reductions.
Cost of development services and other. Cost of development services and other primarily includes costs incurred for the performance of development services and other requested by our customers comprising of labor and material costs including any inventory write-downs. For development of new products, costs incurred before technological feasibility has been achieved are reported as research and development expenses, while costs incurred thereafter are reported as cost of revenue. Cost of development services and other will vary depending on the nature, timing and scope of customer projects.
Research and development expense. Research and development expenses consist of costs incurred to develop technology and include salaries and benefits including stock-based compensation, reagents and supplies used in research and development laboratory work, infrastructure expenses, including allocated facility occupancy and information technology costs, contract services, other outside costs and costs to develop our technology capabilities. Research and development expenses also include costs related to activities performed under contracts with biopharmaceutical companies before technological feasibility has been achieved. Research and development costs are expensed as incurred. Payments made prior to the receipt of goods or services to be used in research and development are deferred and recognized as expense in the period in which the related goods are received or services are rendered. Costs to develop our technology capabilities are recorded as research and development unless they meet the criteria to be capitalized as internal-use software costs. We expect that our research and development expenses will continue to increase in absolute dollars as we continue to innovate and develop additional products, expand our genomic and medical data management resources and conduct our ongoing and new clinical studies.
Sales and marketing expense. Our sales and marketing expenses are expensed as incurred and include costs associated with our sales organization, including our direct sales force and sales management, client services, marketing and reimbursement, medical affairs, as well as business development personnel who are focused on our biopharmaceutical customers. These expenses consist primarily of salaries, commissions, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as marketing, sales incentives, and educational activities and allocated overhead expenses. We expect our sales and marketing expenses to increase in absolute dollars as we expand our sales force, increase our presence within and outside of the United States, and increase our marketing activities to drive further awareness and adoption of our tests.
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General and administrative expense. Our general and administrative expenses include costs for our executive, accounting and finance, information technology, legal and human resources functions. These expenses consist principally of salaries, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as professional services fees such as consulting, audit, tax and legal fees, and general corporate costs and allocated overhead expenses. We expect that our general and administrative expenses will continue to increase as we incur additional costs to support the growth of our business. These expenses, though expected to increase in absolute dollars, are expected to decrease modestly as a percentage of revenue in the long term, though they may fluctuate as a percentage of revenue from period to period due to the timing and extent of these expenses being incurred.
Interest income
Interest income consists of interest earned on our cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities.
Interest expense
Interest expense consists primarily of charges relating to amortization of debt issuance costs.
Other income (expense), net
Other income (expense), net consists of foreign currency exchange gains and losses, fair value adjustments of marketable equity securities, impairment of other assets, non-recurring payments due and received in relation to the settlement of license and patent disputes, net of credit losses, and the relief fund grant from the Department of Health and Human Services, or HHS, under the U.S. Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act, or the CARES Act. We expect our foreign currency gains and losses to continue to fluctuate in the future due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
Provision for income tax
Income taxes are recorded using an asset and liability approach. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases using enacted tax rates in effect for the year in which the differences are expected to affect taxable income. Tax benefits are recognized when it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained during an audit. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if current evidence indicates that it is considered more likely than not that these benefits will not be realized.
Our tax positions are subject to income tax audits. We recognize the tax benefit of an uncertain tax position only if it is more likely than not that the position is sustainable upon examination by the taxing authority, based on the technical merits. The tax benefit recognized is measured as the largest amount of benefit which is more likely than not to be realized upon settlement with the taxing authority. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in its tax provision. We evaluate uncertain tax positions on a regular basis. The evaluations are based on a number of factors, including changes in facts and circumstances, changes in tax law, correspondence with tax authorities during the course of the audit, and effective settlement of audit issues. The provision for income taxes includes the effects of any accruals that we believe are appropriate, as well as the related net interest and penalties.
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Results of operations
The following tables set forth the significant components of our results of operations for the periods presented.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Revenue: | ||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 392,049 | $ | 304,312 | ||
| Development services and other | 57,489 | 69,341 | ||||
| Total revenue | 449,538 | 373,653 | ||||
| Costs and operating expenses: | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing(1) | 148,199 | 110,396 | ||||
| Cost of development services and other | 8,126 | 12,516 | ||||
| Research and development expense(1) | 373,807 | 263,221 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense(1) | 299,828 | 191,881 | ||||
| General and administrative expense(1) | 163,956 | 206,640 | ||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 993,916 | 784,654 | ||||
| Loss from operations | (544,378) | (411,001) | ||||
| Interest income | 6,069 | 3,930 | ||||
| Interest expense | (2,577) | (2,577) | ||||
| Other income (expense), net | (12,778) | 25,178 | ||||
| Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability | (99,785) | — | ||||
| Loss before provision for income taxes | (653,449) | (384,470) | ||||
| Provision for income taxes | 1,139 | 300 | ||||
| Net loss | $ | (654,588) | $ | (384,770) |
(1)Amounts include stock-based compensation expense as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 5,498 | $ | 3,468 | ||
| Research and development expense | 26,630 | 18,907 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 25,442 | 15,479 | ||||
| General and administrative expense | 37,115 | 113,595 | ||||
| Total stock-based compensation expense | $ | 94,685 | $ | 151,449 |
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Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2022 and 2021
Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 392,049 | $ | 304,312 | $ | 87,737 | 29 | % | ||||||
| Development services and other | 57,489 | 69,341 | (11,852) | (17) | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 449,538 | $ | 373,653 | $ | 75,885 | 20 | % |
Total revenue was $449.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $373.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $75.9 million, or 20%.
Precision oncology testing revenue increased to $392.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, from $304.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $87.7 million, or 29%.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers was $298.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, up 26% from $236.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2021. This increase in clinical testing revenue was driven primarily by an increase in sample volume related to our Guardant360 CDx and Guardant360 LDT tests, and revenue from products launched in 2021, including Guardant Reveal, Guardant360 Response and Guardant 360 TissueNext. Total tests for clinical customers increased to approximately 124,800 for year ended December 31, 2022, from approximately 87,600 for the year ended December 31, 2021.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for biopharmaceutical customers was $94.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, and $67.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, respectively. This increase in revenue was primarily due to an increase in sample volume, including our GuardantINFINITY test launched in 2022. Total tests for biopharmaceutical customers increased to approximately 26,000 for the year ended December 31, 2022, from approximately 18,600 for the year ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to an increase in the number of biopharmaceutical customers and their contracted projects.
Development services and other revenue decreased to $57.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, from $69.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, a decrease of $11.9 million, or 17%. This decrease in development services and other revenue was primarily due to the change in collaboration projects with biopharmaceutical customers for companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services, and discontinuation of our Guardant-19 tests in August 2021, partially offset by revenues earned from licensing our technologies, and providing data services during the year ended December 31, 2022.
Cost of Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 148,199 | $ | 110,396 | $ | 37,803 | 34 | % | ||||||
| Cost of development services and other | 8,126 | 12,516 | (4,390) | (35) | % | |||||||||
| Total cost of revenue | $ | 156,325 | $ | 122,912 | $ | 33,413 | 27 | % |
Total cost of revenue was $156.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $122.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $33.4 million, or 27%.
Cost of precision oncology testing was $148.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $110.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $37.8 million, or 34%. This increase in cost of precision oncology testing was primarily attributable to an increase in sample volumes, resulting in a $16.7 million increase in material costs, a $11.2 million increase in production labor and overhead costs, and a $10.0 million increase in other costs, including costs related to kits, freight and curation of test results for physicians.
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Cost of development services and other was $8.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $12.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, a decrease of $4.4 million, or 35%. This decrease in cost of development services and other was primarily due to a decrease in labor and material costs, related to the discontinuation of our Guardant-19 tests in August 2021, and the change in companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval service contracts, partially offset by costs associated with providing screening testing services and licensing our technologies.
Operating Expenses
Research and development expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Research and development | $ | 373,807 | $ | 263,221 | $ | 110,586 | 42 | % |
Research and development expenses were $373.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $263.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $110.6 million, or 42%. This increase in research and development expense was primarily related to continued investment in the development of our technologies and products, and our clinical studies, resulting in an increase of $48.8 million in outside service fees, an increase of $36.4 million in personnel-related costs for employees in our research and development group, including a $7.7 million increase in stock-based compensation, an increase of $25.3 million related to allocated facilities and information technology infrastructure costs, an increase of $5.2 million in post-acquisition related contingent consideration, and an increase of $4.1 million in depreciation and amortization, partially offset by a decrease of $11.5 million in material costs.
Sales and marketing expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing | $ | 299,828 | $ | 191,881 | $ | 107,947 | 56 | % |
Selling and marketing expenses were $299.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $191.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $107.9 million, or 56%. This increase was primarily related to commercial infrastructure buildout and marketing activities to support existing products and new product launch, resulting in an increase of $74.0 million in personnel-related costs, including a $10.0 million increase in stock-based compensation, an increase of $14.2 million related to marketing activities, an increase of $9.8 million in office administrative costs, and an increase of $9.4 million related to allocated facilities and information technology infrastructure costs.
General and administrative expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| General and administrative | $ | 163,956 | $ | 206,640 | $ | (42,684) | (21) | % |
General and administrative expenses were $164.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $206.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, a decrease of $42.7 million, or 21%. This decrease was primarily due to a decrease of $76.5 million in stock-based compensation, as the market-based restricted stock units issued to our Co-Chief Executive Officers were fully expensed as of June 2022, partially offset by an increase of $17.6 million in professional service expenses related to outside legal, accounting, consulting and IT services, an increase of $7.1 million in personnel costs, in line with our business expansion, and an increase of $5.5 million related to allocated facilities and information technology infrastructure costs.
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Interest income
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest income | $ | 6,069 | $ | 3,930 | $ | 2,139 | 54 | % |
Interest income was $6.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared to $3.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, an increase of $2.1 million, or 54%, primarily due to higher U.S. treasury interest rates, partially offset by a decrease in cash and cash equivalents and marketable debt securities balances.
Interest expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | $ | (2,577) | $ | (2,577) | $ | — | — | % |
Interest expense was primarily attributable to the amortization of debt issuance costs related to our convertible senior notes issued in November 2020, for the years ended December 31, 2022, and 2021.
Other income (expense), net
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | $ | (12,778) | $ | 25,178 | $ | (37,956) | * |
* Not meaningful
For the year ended December 31, 2022, other income (expense), net was primarily related to $7.8 million of unrealized loss recorded for our marketable equity securities, and $5.3 million of impairment for the rights to purchase one of our non-marketable security investees. For the year ended December 31, 2021, other income (expense), net primarily included $25.0 million related to the one-time payment pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021.
Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability | $ | (99,785) | $ | — | $ | (99,785) | * |
* Not meaningful
Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability for the year ended December 31, 2022 was made as a result of the Joint Venture Acquisition completed in June 2022.
Provision for income taxes
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Provision for income taxes | $ | 1,139 | $ | 300 | $ | 839 | 280 | % |
The change in the provision for income taxes between the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021 was insignificant.
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Quarterly results of operations
The following tables set forth our unaudited quarterly consolidated statements of operations data for each of the eight quarters in the 24-month period ended December 31, 2022. The information for each of these quarters has been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America and on the same basis as our audited consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. In the opinion of management, reflect all adjustments, which include only normal recurring adjustments, necessary for the fair presentation of our results of operations. This data should be read in conjunction with our audited financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. These quarterly operating results are not necessarily indicative of our operating results for the full year or any future period.
| Three Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2022 | September 30, 2022 | June 30, 2022 | March 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | September 30, 2021 | June 30, 2021 | March 31, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (unaudited) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Revenue: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 113,797 | $ | 102,054 | $ | 92,062 | $ | 84,136 | $ | 88,707 | $ | 79,272 | $ | 72,604 | $ | 63,729 | |||||||||||||||
| Development services and other | 13,094 | 15,350 | 17,082 | 11,963 | 19,401 | 15,507 | 19,497 | 14,936 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total revenue | 126,891 | 117,404 | 109,144 | 96,099 | 108,108 | 94,779 | 92,101 | 78,665 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Costs and operating expenses: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | 43,706 | 39,434 | 34,375 | 30,684 | 32,254 | 29,665 | 24,887 | 23,590 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost of development services and other | 3,415 | 1,062 | 2,352 | 1,297 | 1,168 | 1,151 | 5,040 | 5,157 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Research and development expense | 106,578 | 100,017 | 85,455 | 81,757 | 73,021 | 70,968 | 63,724 | 55,508 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 81,423 | 80,370 | 73,603 | 64,432 | 59,599 | 50,228 | 47,716 | 34,338 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| General and administrative expense | 37,888 | 41,121 | 43,680 | 41,267 | 40,274 | 50,055 | 48,376 | 67,935 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 273,010 | 262,004 | 239,465 | 219,437 | 206,316 | 202,067 | 189,743 | 186,528 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss from operations | (146,119) | (144,600) | (130,321) | (123,338) | (98,208) | (107,288) | (97,642) | (107,863) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest income | 2,150 | 1,754 | 1,387 | 778 | 653 | 689 | 1,037 | 1,551 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | (644) | (644) | (645) | (644) | (643) | (644) | (644) | (646) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | 5,281 | (18,389) | 378 | (48) | 25,898 | (187) | (243) | (290) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability | — | — | (99,785) | — | — | — | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss before provision for income taxes | (139,332) | (161,879) | (228,986) | (123,252) | (72,300) | (107,430) | (97,492) | (107,248) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Provision for (benefit from) income taxes | 602 | 115 | 446 | (24) | 11 | 96 | 83 | 110 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net loss | (139,934) | (161,994) | (229,432) | (123,228) | (72,311) | (107,526) | (97,575) | (107,358) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Adjustment of redeemable noncontrolling interest | — | — | — | — | (18,600) | — | — | (2,300) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net loss attributable to Guardant Health, Inc. common stockholders | $ | (139,934) | $ | (161,994) | $ | (229,432) | $ | (123,228) | $ | (90,911) | $ | (107,526) | $ | (97,575) | $ | (109,658) | |||||||||||||||
| Net loss per share attributable to Guardant Health, Inc. common stockholders, basic and diluted | $ | (1.36) | $ | (1.58) | $ | (2.25) | $ | (1.21) | $ | (0.89) | $ | (1.06) | $ | (0.96) | $ | (1.09) | |||||||||||||||
| Weighted-average shares used in computing net loss per share attributable to Guardant Health, Inc. common stockholders, basic and diluted | 102,516 | 102,289 | 102,047 | 101,853 | 101,697 | 101,420 | 101,172 | 100,955 |
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Liquidity and capital resources
We have incurred losses and negative cash flows from operations since our inception, and as of December 31, 2022, we had an accumulated deficit of $1.7 billion. We expect to incur additional operating losses in the near future and our operating expenses will increase as we continue to invest in clinical studies and develop new products, expand our sales organization, and increase our marketing efforts to drive market adoption of our tests. As demand for our tests are expected to continue to increase from physicians and biopharmaceutical companies, we anticipate that our capital expenditure requirements could also increase if we require additional laboratory capacity.
We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of stock, convertible debt and through revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other. As of December 31, 2022, we had cash and cash equivalents of $141.6 million and marketable debt securities of $869.6 million. Cash in excess of immediate requirements is invested in accordance with our investment policy, primarily with a view to provide liquidity while ensuring capital preservation. Additionally, we have investments held in marketable debt securities consisting of United States treasury securities that can be immediately liquid.
Based on our current business plan, we believe our current cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations, will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash requirements for more than 12 months from the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We may consider raising additional capital to expand our business, to pursue strategic investments, to take advantage of financing opportunities or for other reasons. As revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other is expected to grow long-term, we expect our accounts receivable and inventory balances to increase. Any increase in accounts receivable and inventory may not be completely offset by increases in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, which could impact our working capital balances.
If our available cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities and anticipated cash flows from operations are insufficient to satisfy our liquidity requirements including because of lower demand for our products as a result of lower than currently expected rates of reimbursement from our customers or other risks described in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we may seek to sell additional common or preferred equity or convertible debt securities, enter into a credit facility or another form of third-party funding or seek other debt financing. The sale of equity and convertible debt securities may result in dilution to our stockholders and, in the case of preferred equity securities or convertible debt, those securities could provide for rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our common stock. The terms of debt securities issued or borrowings pursuant to a credit agreement could impose significant restrictions on our operations. If we raise funds through collaborations and licensing arrangements, we might be required to relinquish significant rights to our platform technologies or products or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to us. Additional capital may not be available to us on reasonable terms, or at all.
Cash flows
The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Net cash used in operating activities | $ | (309,463) | $ | (209,017) | ||
| Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | 149,816 | (63,155) | ||||
| Net cash used in financing activities | (189,093) | (66,824) |
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Operating activities
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2022 was $309.5 million, which resulted from a net loss of $654.6 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $283.6 million and net change in our operating assets and liabilities of $61.6 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $99.8 million of fair value adjustments of noncontrolling interest liability in connection with the Joint Venture Acquisition, $94.7 million of stock-based compensation, $36.0 million of depreciation and amortization, $28.6 million of non-cash operating lease costs, $7.8 million of unrealized losses on marketable equity securities, $5.3 million of impairment on the rights to purchase one of our non-marketable security investees, $4.6 million of amortization of premium on marketable debt security investments, $4.3 million of revaluation adjustments to contingent consideration, and $2.6 million of amortization of debt issuance costs. The net change in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $60.3 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, primarily due to increase in purchases of goods and services, increased personnel and increase in accrued and other liabilities, a $20.4 million decrease in prepaid expenses and other current assets, primarily driven by a $25.0 million one-time payment pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021, a $11.7 million decrease in other assets, and a $9.9 million increase in deferred revenue primarily due to upfront payments from international laboratory partners, partially offset by a $20.9 million increase in inventory, net due to forecasted higher testing volumes, and increased inventory level to offset potential disruption in supply chain, and a $20.2 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance.
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2021 was $209.0 million, which resulted from a net loss of $384.8 million and net change in our operating assets and liabilities of $40.5 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $216.2 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $151.4 million of stock-based compensation, $24.7 million of non-cash operating lease costs, $22.3 million of depreciation and amortization, $12.8 million of amortization of premium on investment, $2.6 million of amortization of debt issuance costs, and $2.4 million of revaluation adjustments to contingent consideration. The net change in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $44.4 million increase in accounts receivables driven by increased sales to clinical and biopharmaceutical customers, and royalty revenues earned pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021, a $35.8 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, primarily driven by a $25.0 million one-time payment pursuant the above-mentioned settlement and license agreement, a $8.0 million increase in inventory, net due to higher testing volumes, and a $4.2 million increase in other assets, partially offset by a $34.8 million increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, primarily due to increase in purchases of goods and services, increased personnel and increase in accrued and other liabilities, a $14.2 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, and a $2.8 million increase in deferred revenue.
Investing activities
Cash provided by investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2022 was $149.8 million, which resulted primarily from maturities of marketable debt securities of $555.0 million, partially offset by purchases of marketable debt securities of $303.8 million, purchases of property and equipment of $77.5 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity and other related assets of $24.0 million.
Cash used in investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2021 was $63.2 million, which resulted primarily from purchases of marketable debt securities of $900.8 million, purchases of property and equipment of $75.0 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity and other related investments of $39.4 million, partially offset by maturities of marketable debt securities of $952.1 million.
Financing activities
Cash used in financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2022 was $189.1 million, which was primarily due to consideration payment for the Joint Venture Acquisition of $177.8 million, payment for the tender offer in connection with the Joint Venture Acquisition and acquisition related costs of $14.2 million, and taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $7.9 million, partially offset by proceeds of $9.3 million from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan, and proceeds of $2.6 million from exercise of stock options.
Cash used in financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2021 was $66.8 million, which was primarily due to taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $83.8 million, partially offset by proceeds of $9.8 million from issuances of common stock under our employee stock purchase plan, and proceeds of $8.1 million from exercise of stock options.
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Critical accounting policies and estimates
We have prepared our consolidated financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or GAAP. Our preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, expenses and related disclosures at the date of the consolidated financial statements, as well as revenue and expenses recorded during the reporting periods. We evaluate our estimates and judgments on an ongoing basis. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other factors that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could therefore differ materially from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.
While our significant accounting policies are described in more detail in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we believe the following accounting policies to be critical to the judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Revenue recognition
We derive revenue from the provision of precision oncology testing services, as well as from development services and other. Precision oncology testing services include genomic profiling and the delivery of other genomic information derived from our platform. Development services include companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect and GuardantINFORM. Other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our technologies, and kit fulfillment. We currently receive payments from third-party commercial and governmental payers, certain hospitals and oncology centers and individual patients, as well as biopharmaceutical companies, research institutes, international laboratory partners and distributors.
Revenues are recognized when control of services is transferred to customers, in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled to in exchange for those services. FASB ASC Topic 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, provides for a five-step model that includes identifying the contract with a customer, identifying the performance obligations in the contract, determining the transaction price, allocating the transaction price to the performance obligations, and recognizing revenue when, or as, an entity satisfies a performance obligation.
Precision oncology testing
We recognize revenue from the sale of our precision oncology tests for clinical customers, including certain hospitals, cancer centers, other institutions and patients, at the time results of the test are reported to physicians. Most precision oncology tests requested by clinical customers are sold without a written agreement; however, we determine an implied contract exists with our clinical customers. We identify each sale of our test to a clinical customer as a single performance obligation. With the exception of certain limited contracted arrangements with insurance carriers and other institutions where the transaction price is fixed, a stated contract price does not exist and the transaction price for each implied contract with our clinical customers represents variable consideration. We estimate the variable consideration under the portfolio approach and consider the historical reimbursement data from third-party commercial and governmental payers and patients, as well as known or anticipated reimbursement trends not reflected in the historical data. We monitor the estimated amount to be collected in the portfolio at each reporting period based on actual cash collections in order to assess whether a revision to the estimate is required. Both the estimate and any subsequent revision contain uncertainty and require the use of significant judgment in the estimation of the variable consideration and application of the constraint for such variable consideration. We analyze actual cash collections over the expected reimbursement period and compare it with the estimated variable consideration for each portfolio and any difference is recognized as an adjustment to estimated revenue after the expected reimbursement period, subject to assessment of the risk of future revenue reversal.
Revenue from sales of precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are based on a negotiated price per test or on the basis of an agreement to provide certain testing volume over a defined period. We identify our promise to transfer a series of distinct tests to biopharmaceutical customers as a single performance obligation. Precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are generally billed at a fixed price for each test performed. For agreements involving testing volume to be satisfied over a defined period, revenue is recognized over time based on the number of tests performed as the performance obligation is satisfied over time.
Results of our precision oncology services are delivered electronically, and as such there are no shipping or handling fees incurred by us or billed to customers.
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Development services and other
We perform development services for our biopharmaceutical customers utilizing our precision oncology information platform. Development services typically represent a single performance obligation as we perform a significant integration service, such as analytical validation and regulatory submissions. The individual promises are not separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, are not distinct. However, under certain contracts, a biopharmaceutical customer may engage us for multiple distinct development services which are both capable of being distinct and separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, distinct performance obligations.
We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our testing panels. Under these collaborations, we generate revenue from achievement of milestones, as well as provision of on-going support. For the companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services performed, we are compensated through a combination of an upfront fee and performance-based, non-refundable regulatory and other developmental milestone payments. The transaction price of these contracts typically represents variable consideration. Application of the constraint for variable consideration to milestone payments is an area that requires significant judgment. We evaluate factors such as the scientific, clinical, regulatory, commercial, and other risks that must be managed to achieve the respective milestone and the level of effort and investment required to achieve the respective milestone. In making this assessment, we consider our historical experience with similar milestones, the degree of complexity and uncertainty associated with each milestone, and whether achievement of the milestone is dependent on parties other than us. The constraint for variable consideration is applied such that it is probable a significant reversal of revenue will not occur when the uncertainty associated with the contingency is resolved. Application of the constraint for variable consideration is assessed and updated at each reporting period as a revision to the estimated transaction price.
We recognize companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services revenue over the period in which biopharmaceutical research and development services are provided. Specifically, we recognize revenue using an input method to measure progress, utilizing costs incurred to-date relative to total expected costs as its measure of progress. We assess the changes to the total expected cost estimates as well as any incremental fees negotiated resulting from changes to the scope of the original contract in determining the revenue recognition at each reporting period. For development of new products or services under these arrangements, costs incurred before technological feasibility is reached are included as research and development expenses in our consolidated statements of operations, while costs incurred thereafter are recorded as cost of development services and other.
We also recognize revenue from other development services, in addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services noted above, such as clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect, and GuardantINFORM. These revenues are generally recognized over time based on an input method to measure progress in the period when the associated services have been performed.
In addition, other revenue includes amounts derived from licensing our digital sequencing technologies to our domestic customers and international laboratory partners, and kit fulfillment. For the licensed technology, we are compensated through royalty-based payments, non-refundable upfront payments, guaranteed minimum payments, and/or sample milestone payments. Depending on the nature of the technology licensing arrangements, and considering factors including but not limited to enforceable right to payment and payment terms, and if an asset with alternative use is created, these revenues are recognized in the period when royalty-bearing sales occur, when the technology transfer is complete, or during the technology transfer period. Kit fulfillment related revenues are recognized when such products are delivered.
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Contracts with multiple performance obligations
Contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners may include multiple distinct performance obligations, such as provision of precision oncology testing, the above-mentioned development services, and digital sequencing technology licensing, among others. We evaluate the terms and conditions included within our contracts with biopharmaceutical customers and international laboratory partners to ensure appropriate revenue recognition, including whether services are considered distinct performance obligations that should be accounted for separately versus together. We first identify material promises, in contrast to immaterial promises or administrative tasks, under the contract, and then evaluate whether these promises are both capable of being distinct and distinct within the context of the contract. In assessing whether a promised service is capable of being distinct, we consider whether the customer could benefit from the service either on its own or together with other resources that are readily available to the customer, including factors such as the research, development, and commercialization capabilities of a third party as well as the availability of the associated expertise in the general marketplace. In assessing whether a promised service is distinct within the context of the contract, we consider whether we provide a significant integration of the services, whether the services significantly modify or customize one another, or whether the services are highly interdependent or interrelated.
For contracts with multiple performance obligations, the transaction price is allocated to the separate performance obligations on a relative standalone selling price basis. We determine standalone selling price by considering the historical selling price of these performance obligations in similar transactions as well as other factors, including, but not limited to, the price that customers in the market would be willing to pay, competitive pricing of other vendors, industry publications and current pricing practices, and expected costs of satisfying each performance obligation plus appropriate margin; or by using the residual approach if standalone selling price is not observable, by reference to the total transaction price less the sum of the observable standalone selling prices of other performance obligations promised in the contract.
Variable interest entity
We review agreements we enter into with third party entities, pursuant to which we may have a variable interest in the entity, in order to determine if the entity is a variable interest entity, or VIE. If the entity is a VIE, we assess whether or not we are the primary beneficiary of that entity. In determining whether we are the primary beneficiary of an entity, we apply a qualitative approach that determines whether we have both (1) the power to direct the economically significant activities of the entity and (2) the obligation to absorb losses of, or the right to receive benefits from, the entity that could potentially be significant to that entity. If we determine we are the primary beneficiary of a VIE, we consolidate the statements of operations and financial condition of the VIE into our consolidated financial statements. Accounting for the consolidation is based on our determination if the VIE meets the definition of a business or and asset. Assets, liabilities and noncontrolling interests, excluding goodwill, of VIEs that are not determined to be businesses are recorded at fair value in our financial statements upon consolidation. Assets and liabilities that we have transferred to a VIE, after, or shortly before the date we became the primary beneficiary are recorded at the same amount at which the assets and liabilities would have been measured if they had not been transferred. Our determination about whether we should consolidate such VIEs is made continuously as changes to existing relationships or future transactions may result in a consolidation or deconsolidation event.
In May 2018, we and an affiliate of SoftBank formed and capitalized the Joint Venture for the sale, marketing and distribution of our tests generally outside the Americas and Europe. The Joint Venture was deemed to be a VIE and we were identified as the primary beneficiary of the VIE. Consequently, we had consolidated the financial position, results of operations and cash flows of the Joint Venture in our financial statements and all intercompany balances had been eliminated in consolidation.
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Prior to November 2021, the noncontrolling interest held by SoftBank contained embedded put-call redemption features that were not solely within our control and had been classified outside of permanent equity in the consolidated balance sheets. The noncontrolling interest was considered probable of becoming redeemable as SoftBank had the option to exercise its put right to sell its equity ownership in the Joint Venture to us on or after the seventh anniversary of the formation of the Joint Venture, on each subsequent anniversary of the IPO and under certain other circumstances. We elected to recognize the changes in redemption value immediately as they occur as if the put-call redemption feature were exercisable at the end of the reporting period. In November 2021, we exercised our call right contained in the joint venture agreement with SoftBank to purchase all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates in consideration for the payment of the aggregate purchase price to be determined based on an independent third-party valuation. Upon our exercise of the call right in November 2021, SoftBank no longer had the option to exercise its put right. In connection with exercising the call right, we reclassified $78.0 million from redeemable noncontrolling interest to noncontrolling interest liability. In June 2022, we purchased all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates in consideration for a cash payment of the aggregate purchase price of $177.8 million, which resulted in $99.8 million of fair value adjustments to the noncontrolling interest liability for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Stock-based compensation
We measure stock-based compensation expense for stock options granted to our employees, directors, and nonemployee consultants on the date of grant based on the fair value of the awards and recognize the corresponding compensation expense of those awards over the requisite service period, which is generally the vesting period of the respective awards. Compensation expense for stock options with performance metrics is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant.
We estimate the fair value of stock options granted under the 2012 Stock Plan, the 2018 Incentive Award Plan, and under the former Guardant Health AMEA, Inc.'s 2020 Equity Incentive Plan for the Joint Venture (see Note 12, Stock-Based Compensation), and stock purchase rights granted under our 2018 Employee Stock Purchase Plan on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our stock options were:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of its common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. The board of directors of the Joint Venture determined the fair value of common stock of the Joint Venture. The grant date fair value of the Joint Venture’s common stock was determined using valuation methodologies which utilizes certain assumptions including probability weighting of events, volatility, time to liquidation, a risk-free interest rate and an assumption for a discount for lack of marketability. In determining the fair value of the Joint Venture’s common stock, the methodologies used to estimate the enterprise value of the Joint Venture were performed using methodologies, approaches, and assumptions consistent with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately-Held-Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation.
Expected Term
Our expected term represents the period that our stock options are expected to be outstanding. The expected term of stock options issued to employees, directors and nonemployee consultants is determined using the simplified method (based on the mid-point between the vesting date and the end of the contractual term), as we do not have sufficient historical data to use any other method to estimate expected term.
Expected Volatility
Prior to the commencement of trading of our common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on October 4, 2018 in connection with the IPO, there was no active trading market for our common stock. Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, expected volatility is estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty.
The Joint Venture derived the expected volatility from the average historical volatility over a period approximately equal to the expected term of comparable publicly traded companies within its peer group that were deemed to be representative of future stock price trends as the Joint Venture does not have any trading history for its common stock.
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Risk-Free Interest Rate
The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. treasury zero coupon issues in effect at the time of grant for periods corresponding with the expected term of the stock option grants.
Expected Dividend Yield
We have never paid dividends on our common stock and have no plans to pay dividends on our common stock. Therefore, we use an expected dividend yield of zero.
Black-Scholes Assumptions
The weighted-average assumptions used in our Black-Scholes option-pricing model, including the Joint Venture, were as follows for stock option granted to our employees, directors and nonemployees for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |||
| Expected term (in years) | 5.50 – 6.10 | 5.49 – 6.06 | 5.50 – 6.10 | ||
| Expected volatility | 63.3% – 67.6% | 63.6% – 66.7% | 63.6% – 73.3% | ||
| Risk-free interest rate | 1.9% – 4.4% | 0.3% – 1.3% | 0.3% – 1.6% | ||
| Expected dividend yield | —% | —% | —% |
For market-based restricted stock units, we derive the requisite service period using the Monte Carlo simulation model. The estimated fair value of the market-based restricted stock units was determined using a Monte Carlo simulation model which requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. Stock-based compensation expense will be recorded regardless of achieving the market conditions or not. If the related market condition is achieved earlier than its expected derived service period, the stock-based compensation expense will be recognized as a cumulative catch-up expense from the grant date to that point in time in achieving the share price goal.
The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our market-based restricted stock units were as follows:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of its common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
Expected Volatility
Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, expected volatility is estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies and implied volatility of publicly traded options in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty.
Expected Term
The expected term represents the derived service period for the respective tranches which has been estimated using the Monte Carlo simulation model.
Risk-Free Interest Rate
The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury rate, with maturities similar to the expected term of the market-based restricted stock units.
Risky Rate
The risky rate represents our cost of equity.
Expected Dividend Yield
We do not anticipate paying any dividends in the foreseeable future and, therefore, uses an expected dividend yield of zero.
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Discount for Lack of Marketability
The discount for lack of marketability represents the discount applied for post vest term restrictions and has been derived using the Monte Carlo simulation model.
The following assumptions were used to calculate the stock-based compensation for market-based restricted stock units: a weighted-average expected term of 0.83 – 2.07 years; expected volatility of 65.5%; a risk-free interest rate of 0.53%; a zero dividend yield; a risky rate (cost of equity) of 16%; and a discount for post-vesting restrictions of 10.4% – 14.5%.
We recognize stock-based compensation expense net of forfeitures as they occur.
We will continue to use judgment in evaluating the assumptions related to our stock-based compensation on a prospective basis. As we continue to accumulate additional data related to our common stock, we may have refinements to our estimates, which could materially impact our future stock-based compensation expense.
Recent accounting pronouncements
Not applicable.
FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001576280-22-000015.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
You should read the following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations together with the consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion and other parts of this Annual Report on Form 10-K contain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, such as statements of our plans, objectives, beliefs, expectations and intentions. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
The following generally compares our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020. A detailed discussion comparing our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019 can be found in Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.
Overview
We are a leading precision oncology company focused on helping conquer cancer globally through use of our proprietary tests, vast data sets and advanced analytics. Today our proprietary tests are helping to realize the full potential of precision oncology by providing patients and their doctors critical insights that can inform decisions at all stages of the disease, from screening, to monitoring cancer recurrence, to treatment decisions. We believe that the key to conquering cancer is unprecedented access to its molecular information throughout all stages of the disease, which we intend to enable by our tests. By looking at the unique dimensions of cancer found in blood, including genomic alterations, methylation, and fragmentomics, we are unlocking insights that can increasingly help patients across all stages of cancer, including at its earliest, when it’s most treatable. To help identify cancer at the earliest stages, we are developing Guardant SHIELD, a blood test for cancer screening in average-risk adults without symptoms, that detects very early signs of cancer by interrogating genomic alterations, methylation, and fragmentomic signals from a simple blood draw. In pursuit of our goal to manage cancer across all stages of the disease, we provide our Guardant360, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 CDx and GuardantOMNI liquid biopsy-based tests for advanced stage cancer. Our Guardant360 CDx test was the first comprehensive liquid biopsy test approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, to provide tumor mutation profiling with solid tumors and to be used as a companion diagnostic in connection with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC. In February 2021, we launched our Guardant Reveal liquid biopsy-based tests for residual and recurring cancer to first address the need in Stage II-III colorectal cancer. In June 2021, we launched Guardant360 TissueNext, our first tissue-based test which will be used to identify patients with advanced cancer who may benefit from biomarker-informed treatment, and Guardant360 Response which will be used to measure early indications to patients' response to treatment up to eight weeks earlier than response evaluation criteria in solid tumors. We have also developed our GuardantINFORM platform to further accelerate precision oncology drug development by biopharmaceutical companies by offering them an in-silico research platform to unlock further insights into tumor evolution and treatment resistance across various biomarker-driven cancers.
We perform our tests in our clinical laboratory located in Redwood City, California. Our laboratory is certified pursuant to the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988, or CLIA, accredited by the College of American Pathologists, or CAP, permitted by the New York State Department of Health, or NYSDOH, and licensed in California and four other states.
We generated total revenue of $373.7 million, $286.7 million and $214.4 million for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. We also incurred net losses of $384.8 million, $246.3 million and $67.9 million in the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of our stock, convertible senior notes, and revenue from our precision oncology testing and development services and other. In May 2019, we completed an underwritten public offering of a total of 5,175,000 shares of our common stock, through which we received net proceeds of $349.7 million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and offering expenses payable by us. In June 2020, we completed an underwritten public offering of a total of 4,312,500 shares of our common stock, through which we received net proceeds of $354.6 million after deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and offering expenses payable by us. In November 2020, we issued our convertible senior notes with an aggregate principal amount of $1.15
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billion. As of December 31, 2021, we had cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of approximately $1.6 billion.
Factors affecting our performance
We believe there are several important factors that have impacted and that we expect will impact our operating performance and results of operations, including:
•Testing volume, pricing and customer mix. Our revenue and costs are affected by the volume of testing and mix of customers from period to period. We evaluate both the volume of tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians and the number of tests we perform for biopharmaceutical companies. Our performance depends on our ability to retain and broaden adoption with existing customers, as well as attract new customers. We believe that the test volume we receive from clinicians and biopharmaceutical companies are indicators of growth in each of these customer verticals. Customer mix for our tests has the potential to significantly affect our results of operations, as the average selling price for biopharmaceutical sample testing is currently higher than our average reimbursement for clinical tests because we are not a contracted provider for, or our tests are not covered by clinical patients’ insurance for, the majority of the tests that we perform for patients on behalf of clinicians. Revenue from clinical tests for patients covered by Medicare represented approximately 45%, 42% and 29% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively.
•Payer coverage and reimbursement. Our revenue depends on achieving broad coverage and reimbursement for our tests from third-party payers, including both commercial and government payers. Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers is calculated based on our expected cash collections, using the estimated variable consideration. The variable consideration is estimated based on historical collection patterns as well as the potential for changes in future reimbursement behavior by one or more payers. Estimation of the impact of the potential for changes in reimbursement requires significant judgment and considers payers' past patterns of changes in reimbursement as well as any stated plans to implement changes. Any cash collections over the expected reimbursement period exceeding the estimated variable consideration is recorded in future periods based on actual cash received. Payment from commercial payers can vary depending on whether we have entered into a contract with the payers as a “participating provider” or do not have a contract and are considered a “non-participating provider”. Payers often reimburse non-participating providers, if at all, at a lower amount than participating providers. Because we are not contracted with these payers, they determine the amount that they are willing to reimburse us for any of our tests and they can prospectively and retrospectively adjust the amount of reimbursement, adding to the complexity in estimating the variable consideration. When we contract with a payer to serve as a participating provider, reimbursements by the payer are generally made pursuant to a negotiated fee schedule and are limited to only covered indications or where prior approval has been obtained. Becoming a participating provider can result in higher reimbursement amounts for covered uses of our tests and, potentially, no reimbursement for non-covered uses identified under the payer’s policies or the contract. As a result, the potential for more favorable reimbursement associated with becoming a participating provider may be offset by a potential loss of reimbursement for non-covered uses of our tests. Current Procedural Terminology, or CPT, coding plays a significant role in how our tests are reimbursed both from commercial and governmental payers. In addition, Z-Code Identifiers are used by certain payers, including under Medicare's Molecular Diagnostic Services Program, or MolDx, to supplement CPT codes for our molecular diagnostics tests. Changes to the codes used to report to payers may result in significant changes in its reimbursement. If their policies were to change in the future to cover additional cancer indications, we anticipate that our total reimbursement would increase. In March 2020, we began to receive reimbursement from Medicare for claims submitted, with respect to Guardant360 clinical tests performed for qualifying patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers of non-central nervous system origin other than NSCLC. In May 2020, Noridian issued a coverage article and confirmed limited Medicare coverage for our Guardant360 test for qualifying patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers of non-central nervous system origin who meet the criteria of Medicare’s National Coverage Determination for Next Generation Sequencing established in March 2018. Following the FDA approval of our Guardant360 CDx test, a new Z-Code Identifier was issued in August 2020. In January 2021, a proprietary laboratory analyses, or PLA code was issued for our Guardant360 CDx with an effective date in April 2021. Additionally, based on this new PLA code, we applied to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services or CMS for our Guardant360 CDx test to become an advanced diagnostic laboratory test, or ADLT. In March 2021, CMS approved ADLT status to the Guardant360 CDx test, based on which Medicare paid us at the lowest available commercial rate per test, from April 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021. After this period, Medicare would reimburse Guardant360 CDx services at the median rate of claims paid by commercial payers. We are in the process of negotiating reimbursement for our Guardant Reveal, Guardant Response and Guardant360 TissueNext tests from commercial and governmental payers. Due to the inherent
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variability and unpredictability of the reimbursement landscape, including related to the amount that payers reimburse us for any of our tests, we estimate the amount of revenue to be recognized at the time a test is provided and record revenue adjustments if and when the cash subsequently received for a test differs from the revenue recorded for the test. Due to this variability and unpredictability, previously recorded revenue adjustments are not indicative of future revenue adjustments from actual cash collections, which may fluctuate significantly. Additionally, if coding changes were to occur, payments for certain uses of our tests could be reduced, put on hold, or eliminated. This variability and unpredictability could increase the risk of future revenue reversal and result in our failing to meet any previously publicly stated guidance we may provide.
•Biopharmaceutical customers. Our revenue also depends on our ability to attract, maintain and expand relationships with biopharmaceutical customers. As we continue to develop these relationships, we expect to support a growing number of clinical studies globally and continue to have opportunities to offer our platform to such customers for development services, including companion diagnostic development, novel target discovery and validation, as well as clinical study enrollment. For example, our tests are being developed as companion diagnostics under collaborations with biopharmaceutical companies, including AstraZeneca, Amgen, Daiichi Sankyo, Janssen Biotech and Radius Health.
•Research and development. A significant aspect of our business is our investment in research and development, including the development of new products. In particular, we have invested heavily in clinical studies as we believe these studies are critical to gaining physician adoption and driving favorable coverage decisions by payers. With respect to Guardant Reveal, in 2021, we initiated a 1,000-patient prospective, observational, multi-center study, which we refer to as the ORACLE study, designed to evaluate the performance of our Guardant Reveal liquid biopsy test to predict cancer recurrence after curative intent treatment, across 11 solid tumor types. With respect to Guardant SHIELD, we completed enrollment toward a prospective screening study, which we refer to as the ECLIPSE study, aiming to evaluate the performance of our Guardant SHIELD assay in detecting colorectal cancer in average-risk adults. In addition, in early 2022, we enrolled the first patient in a nearly 10,000-patient prospective, registrational study, which we refer to as the SHIELD study, to evaluate the performance of our next-generation Guardant SHIELD assay in detecting lung cancer in high-risk individuals ages 50-80 and the study is anticipated to run in approximately 100 centers in the United States and Europe. We have expended considerable resources, and expect to increase such expenditures over the next few years, to support our research and development programs with the goal of fueling further innovation.
•International expansion. A component of our long-term growth strategy is to expand our commercial footprint internationally, and we expect to increase our sales and marketing expense to execute on this strategy. We currently offer our tests in countries outside the United States primarily through distributor relationships, direct contracts with hospitals or partnerships with research organizations. In May 2018, we formed and capitalized a joint venture, Guardant Health AMEA, Inc., which we refer to as the Joint Venture, with SoftBank, relating to the sale, marketing and distribution of our tests generally outside the Americas and Europe. We expect to rely on the Joint Venture to accelerate commercialization of our products in Asia, the Middle East and Africa. In November 2021, we exercised our call right contained in the joint venture agreement with SoftBank to purchase all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates in consideration for the payment of the aggregate purchase price to be determined based on an independent third-party valuation. The aggregate purchase price will be no less than an amount that yields a 20% internal rate of return on the $41.0 million of capital invested by SoftBank in May 2018 as stipulated in the joint venture agreement. SoftBank and us have initiated a process to determine the independent valuation of the Joint Venture, which includes the appointment of independent appraisers by both SoftBank and us. We expect to complete this transaction before the end of the second quarter of 2022.
•Sales and marketing expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our sales and marketing expense, increase in headcount, and in particular, our various marketing programs around existing and new product introductions.
•General and administrative expense. Our financial results have historically, and will likely continue to, fluctuate significantly based upon the impact of our general and administrative expense, and in particular, our stock-based compensation expense. Our equity awards, including market-based and performance-based restricted stock units, are intended to retain and incentivize employees to lead us to sustained, long-term superior financial and operational performance.
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•COVID-19 Global Pandemic. The global outbreak of coronavirus 2019, or COVID-19, has disrupted, and we expect will continue to disrupt, our operations. To protect the health and well-being of our workforce, partners, vendors and customers, we have provided free COVID-19 testing for all of our employees, contractors and their dependents, implemented social distance and building entry policies at work, and followed California’s public health orders and the guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The COVID-19 global pandemic has negatively affected, and we expect will continue to negatively affect, our revenue and our clinical studies. For example, our biopharmaceutical customers are facing challenges in recruiting patients and in conducting clinical studies to advance their pipelines, for which our tests could be utilized. In addition, disruptions caused by the pandemic have adversely affected the quantity and quality of certain sequencers, reagents, blood tubes and other similar materials that are critical to our commercial and research and development programs. We currently have a limited amount of stock of these components. Failure in the future to secure sufficient supply of critical components could materially and adversely affect our ability to manufacture or supply marketed products and product candidates or complete our ongoing research and development programs on the timelines previously established, which could materially and adversely affect our business and future prospects. The severity of the impact on our business will depend on a number of factors, including the duration and severity of the pandemic and the impact of any variants of the virus on us, our customers, and our suppliers. In August 2020, we launched our Guardant-19 test and received the FDA’s emergency use authorization for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus. The test was being offered to our employees and to select partner organizations via our CLIA-certified clinical laboratory. Effective August 2021, we have discontinued offering the test to third parties.
While each of these areas presents significant opportunities for us, they also pose significant risks and challenges that we must address. See Part I, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
Components of results of operations
Revenue
We derive our revenue from two sources: (i) precision oncology testing and (ii) development services and other.
Precision oncology testing. Precision oncology testing revenue is generated from sales of our tests to clinical and biopharmaceutical customers. In the United States, through December 31, 2021, we generally performed tests as an out-of-network service provider without contracts with health insurance companies. We submit claims for payment for tests performed for patients covered by U.S. private payers. We submit claims to Medicare for reimbursement for Guardant360 clinical testing performed for qualifying patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers of non-central nervous system origin and for Guardant360 CDx clinical testing performed for qualifying patients diagnosed with solid tumor cancers who meet the criteria of Medicare’s National Coverage Determination for Next Generation Sequencing established since March 2018. Revenue from clinical tests for patients covered by Medicare represented approximately 45%, 42% and 29% of our precision oncology revenue from clinical customers for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively.
Development services and other. Development services and other revenue primarily represents services, other than precision oncology testing, that we provide to biopharmaceutical companies and large medical institutions. We collaborate with biopharmaceutical companies in the development and clinical studies of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our test panels. Under these arrangements, we generate revenue from progression of our collaboration efforts, as well as from provision of on-going support. In addition to companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval services, we also provide clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect, GuardantINFORM, and kits fulfillment related services for our biopharmaceutical customers. In addition, we derive royalty revenues from licensing our technology. Development services and other revenue can vary over time as different projects start and complete.
Costs and operating expenses
Cost of precision oncology testing. Cost of precision oncology testing generally consists of cost of materials, inventory write-downs, direct labor, including employee benefits, bonus, and stock-based compensation; equipment and infrastructure expenses associated with processing test samples, such as sample accessioning, library preparation, sequencing, quality control analyses and shipping charges to transport blood samples; freight; curation of test results for physicians; and license fees due to third parties. Infrastructure expenses include depreciation of laboratory equipment, rent costs, depreciation of leasehold improvements and information technology costs. Costs associated with performing our tests are recorded as the tests are performed regardless of whether revenue was
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recognized with respect to the tests. Royalties for licensed technology are calculated as a percentage of revenues generated using the associated technology and recorded as expense at the time the related revenue is recognized. One-time royalty payments related to signing of license agreements or other milestones, such as issuance of new patents, are amortized to expense over the expected useful life of the patents. While we do not believe the technologies underlying these licenses are necessary to permit us to provide our tests, we do believe these technologies are potentially valuable and of possible strategic importance to us or our competitors.
We expect the cost of precision oncology testing to generally increase in line with the increase in the number of tests we perform, but we expect the cost per test to decrease modestly over time due to the efficiencies we may gain as test volume increases, and from automation and other cost reductions.
Cost of development services and other. Cost of development services and other primarily includes costs incurred for the performance of development services requested by our customers comprising of direct labor and material costs including any inventory write-downs. For development of new products, costs incurred before technological feasibility has been achieved are reported as research and development expenses, while costs incurred thereafter are reported as cost of revenue. Cost of development services and other will vary depending on the nature, timing and scope of customer projects.
Research and development expense. Research and development expenses consist of costs incurred to develop technology and include salaries and benefits including stock-based compensation, reagents and supplies used in research and development laboratory work, infrastructure expenses, including allocated facility occupancy and information technology costs, contract services, other outside costs and costs to develop our technology capabilities. Research and development expenses also include costs related to activities performed under contracts with biopharmaceutical companies before technological feasibility has been achieved. Research and development costs are expensed as incurred. Payments made prior to the receipt of goods or services to be used in research and development are deferred and recognized as expense in the period in which the related goods are received or services are rendered. Costs to develop our technology capabilities are recorded as research and development unless they meet the criteria to be capitalized as internal-use software costs. We expect that our research and development expenses will continue to increase in absolute dollars as we continue to innovate and develop additional products, expand our genomic and medical data management resources and conduct our ongoing and new clinical studies.
Sales and marketing expense. Our sales and marketing expenses are expensed as incurred and include costs associated with our sales organization, including our direct sales force and sales management, client services, marketing and reimbursement, medical affairs, as well as business development personnel who are focused on our biopharmaceutical customers. These expenses consist primarily of salaries, commissions, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as marketing, sales incentives, and educational activities and allocated overhead expenses. We expect our sales and marketing expenses to increase in absolute dollars as we expand our sales force, increase our presence within and outside of the United States, and increase our marketing activities to drive further awareness and adoption of our tests.
General and administrative expense. Our general and administrative expenses include costs for our executive, accounting and finance, information technology, legal and human resources functions. These expenses consist principally of salaries, bonuses, employee benefits, travel expenses and stock-based compensation, as well as professional services fees such as consulting, audit, tax and legal fees, and general corporate costs and allocated overhead expenses.
We expect that our general and administrative expenses will continue to increase in absolute dollars, primarily due to increased stock-based compensation expense, including resulting from the market-based restricted stock units granted to our Co-Chief Executive Officers in May 2020. These expenses, though expected to increase in absolute dollars, are expected to decrease modestly as a percentage of revenue in the long term, though they may fluctuate as a percentage of revenue from period to period due to the timing and extent of these expenses being incurred.
Interest income
Interest income consists of interest earned on our cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities.
Interest expense
Interest expense consists primarily of charges relating to amortization of debt issuance costs.
Other income (expense), net
Other income (expense), net consists of foreign currency exchange gains and losses, non-recurring payments due and received in relation to the settlement of license and patent disputes, net of credit losses, and the relief fund grant
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from the Department of Health and Human Services, or HHS, under the U.S. Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act, or the CARES Act. We expect our foreign currency gains and losses to continue to fluctuate in the future due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates.
Provision for (Benefit from) income tax
Income taxes are recorded using an asset and liability approach. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases using enacted tax rates in effect for the year in which the differences are expected to affect taxable income. Tax benefits are recognized when it is more likely than not that a tax position will be sustained during an audit. Deferred tax assets are reduced by a valuation allowance if current evidence indicates that it is considered more likely than not that these benefits will not be realized.
Our tax positions are subject to income tax audits. We recognize the tax benefit of an uncertain tax position only if it is more likely than not that the position is sustainable upon examination by the taxing authority, based on the technical merits. The tax benefit recognized is measured as the largest amount of benefit which is more likely than not to be realized upon settlement with the taxing authority. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in its tax provision. We evaluate uncertain tax positions on a regular basis. The evaluations are based on a number of factors, including changes in facts and circumstances, changes in tax law, correspondence with tax authorities during the course of the audit, and effective settlement of audit issues. The provision for (benefit from) income taxes includes the effects of any accruals that we believe are appropriate, as well as the related net interest and penalties.
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Results of operations
The following tables set forth the significant components of our results of operations for the periods presented.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Revenue: | ||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 304,312 | $ | 236,324 | ||
| Development services and other | 69,341 | 50,406 | ||||
| Total revenue | 373,653 | 286,730 | ||||
| Costs and operating expenses: | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing(1) | 110,396 | 74,769 | ||||
| Cost of development services and other | 12,516 | 17,766 | ||||
| Research and development expense(1) | 263,221 | 149,862 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense(1) | 191,881 | 106,513 | ||||
| General and administrative expense(1) | 206,640 | 192,770 | ||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 784,654 | 541,680 | ||||
| Loss from operations | (411,001) | (254,950) | ||||
| Interest income | 3,930 | 10,171 | ||||
| Interest expense | (2,577) | (4,766) | ||||
| Other income (expense), net | 25,178 | 3,641 | ||||
| Loss before provision for income taxes | (384,470) | (245,904) | ||||
| Provision for income taxes | 300 | 379 | ||||
| Net loss | $ | (384,770) | $ | (246,283) |
(1)Amounts include stock-based compensation expense as follows:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | $ | 3,468 | $ | 1,839 | ||
| Research and development expense | 18,907 | 10,024 | ||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 15,479 | 9,279 | ||||
| General and administrative expense | 113,595 | 122,971 | ||||
| Total stock-based compensation expense | $ | 151,449 | $ | 144,113 |
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Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2021 and 2020
Revenue
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 304,312 | $ | 236,324 | $ | 67,988 | 29 | % | ||||||
| Development services and other | 69,341 | 50,406 | 18,935 | 38 | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 373,653 | $ | 286,730 | $ | 86,923 | 30 | % |
Total revenue was $373.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $286.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $86.9 million, or 30%.
Precision oncology testing revenue increased to $304.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, from $236.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $68.0 million, or 29%.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for clinical customers was $236.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, up 38% from $171.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2020. This increase in clinical testing revenue was driven primarily by an increase in sample volume related to our Guardant360 LDT and Guardant360 CDx tests, and an overall increase in the average selling price per Guardant360 CDx test primarily due to ADLT status being received from Medicare effective April 1, 2021. Tests for clinical customers increased to 87,600 for year ended December 31, 2021, from 63,254 for the year ended December 31, 2020.
Precision oncology revenue from tests for biopharmaceutical customers was $67.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, and $64.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, respectively. The increase in revenue was primarily due to an increase in tests, partially offset by a decrease in average selling price per test primarily due to a greater proportion of such tests being the Guardant360 tests, which have a lower average selling price than the GuardantOMNI tests. Tests for biopharmaceutical customers increased to 18,600 for the year ended December 31, 2021, from 15,983 for the year ended December 31, 2020, primarily due to an increase in the number of biopharmaceutical customers and their contracted projects.
Development services and other revenue increased to $69.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, from $50.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $18.9 million, or 38%. This increase in development services and other revenue was primarily due to the progression of collaboration projects with biopharmaceutical customers for companion diagnostic development services, including receipt of milestone payments for regulatory approval of two of our companion diagnostic programs during the year ended December 31, 2021, and royalty revenues earned during the year ended December 31, 2021, pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021.
Our revenue may be adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in future periods depending on the duration and severity of the pandemic and the impact of any variants of the virus.
Costs of Revenue and Gross Margin
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Cost of revenue | $ | 122,912 | $ | 92,535 | $ | 30,377 | 33 | % | ||||||
| Gross profit | $ | 250,741 | $ | 194,195 | ||||||||||
| Gross margin | 67 | % | 68 | % |
Cost of revenue was $122.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $92.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $30.4 million, or 33%.
Cost of precision oncology testing revenue was $110.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $74.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $35.6 million, or 48%. This increase in cost of precision oncology testing was primarily attributable to an increase in sample volumes, resulting in a $20.3 million increase in material costs, a $12.4 million increase in production labor and overhead costs, and a $3.3 million increase in other costs, including costs related to kits, freight and curation of test results for physicians.
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Cost of development services and other was $12.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $17.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, a decrease of $5.3 million, or 30%. This decrease in cost of development services and other was primarily due to a decrease in labor costs and materials, related to the progression of companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval service contracts.
Gross margin for the year ended December 31, 2021 was 67%, compared to 68% for the year ended December 31, 2020. The decrease in gross margin was primarily due to lower average selling price and higher average cost per test resulting from the varied product mix of precision oncology testing, partially offset by gross margin improvement of development services and other. The improvement of development services and other gross margin was primarily attributable to royalty revenues earned pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021, and receipt of milestone payments for regulatory approval of two for our companion diagnostic programs in 2021. Our gross margin may be adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic depending on how long the pandemic lasts and the severity of the situation in coming quarters.
Operating Expenses
Research and development expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Research and development | $ | 263,221 | $ | 149,862 | $ | 113,359 | 76 | % |
Research and development expenses were $263.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $149.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $113.4 million, or 76%. This increase in research and development expense was primarily due to an increase of $49.7 million in personnel-related costs for employees in our research and development group, including a $8.9 million increase in stock-based compensation, as we increased our headcount to support continued investment in our technology. The increase was also attributable to an increase of $32.7 million in material costs related to various programs, an increase of $21.2 million in development consulting fees, an increase of $12.3 million related to allocated facility and information technology infrastructure costs, and an increase of $4.9 million in depreciation and amortization costs, partially offset by a decrease of $8.5 million relating to in-process research and development (IPR&D) technology expensed in connection with a patent license acquisition that occurred in March 2020.
Sales and marketing expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing | $ | 191,881 | $ | 106,513 | $ | 85,368 | 80 | % |
Selling and marketing expenses were $191.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $106.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $85.4 million, or 80%. This increase was primarily due to an increase of $58.9 million in personnel-related costs, including a $6.2 million increase in stock-based compensation, associated with the expansion of our commercial organization, an increase of $12.0 million related to allocated facilities and information technology infrastructure costs, an increase of $10.6 million in professional service expenses related to marketing activities, and an increase of $3.5 million in office administrative costs.
General and administrative expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| General and administrative | $ | 206,640 | $ | 192,770 | $ | 13,870 | 7 | % |
General and administrative expenses were $206.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $192.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, an increase of $13.9 million, or 7%. This increase was primarily due to an increase of $9.0 million in personnel-related costs, as we increased our headcount to support the
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business growth, an increase of $7.4 million in professional service expenses related to outside legal, accounting, consulting and IT services, an increase of $5.3 million related to allocated facilities and information technology infrastructure costs, and an increase of $2.0 million in office administrative costs, partially offset by a decrease of $9.4 million in stock-based compensation, as tranche 1 of the market-based restricted stock units issued to our Co-Chief Executive Officers were fully vested as of January 1, 2021, and a decrease of $1.2 million related to settlement costs in connection with a patent license acquisition that occurred in March 2020.
Interest income
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest income | $ | 3,930 | $ | 10,171 | $ | (6,241) | (61) | % |
Interest income was $3.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $10.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, a decrease of $6.2 million, or 61%. This decrease was primarily due to a significant decrease in interest rate as the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered the risk-free interest rate to nearly zero, offset by a significant increase in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities related to the receipt of cash proceeds from our follow-on public offering completed in June 2020 and borrowings on our convertible senior notes issued in November 2020.
Interest expense
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | $ | (2,577) | $ | (4,766) | $ | 2,189 | (46) | % |
Interest expense was $2.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2021, compared to $4.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2020, a decrease of $2.2 million, or 46%. For the year ended December 31, 2021, interest expense was primarily attributable to amortization of issuance costs, and for the year ended December 31, 2020, interest expense was primarily attributable to amortization of debt discount and debt issuance costs, related to our convertible senior notes issued in November 2020. The decrease was due to the impact of adopting ASU 2020-06 in 2021.
Other income (expense), net
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | $ | 25,178 | $ | 3,641 | $ | 21,537 | * |
* Not meaningful
For the year ended December 31, 2021, other income (expense), net primarily included $25.0 million related to the one-time payment pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021. For the year ended December 31, 2020, other income (expense), net primarily included $1.8 million received from HHS’s relief fund under the CARES Act, and $1.0 million received in connection with settlement of a patent dispute.
Provision for income taxes
| Year Ended December 31, | Change | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | $ | % | |||||||||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||||||||||
| Provision for income taxes | $ | 300 | $ | 379 | $ | (79) | (21) | % |
Provision for income taxes was immaterial for both of the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020.
Quarterly results of operations
The following tables set forth our unaudited quarterly consolidated statements of operations data for each of the
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eight quarters in the 24-month period ended December 31, 2021. The information for each of these quarters has been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America and on the same basis as our audited consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. In the opinion of management, reflect all adjustments, which include only normal recurring adjustments, necessary for the fair presentation of our results of operations. This data should be read in conjunction with our audited financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. These quarterly operating results are not necessarily indicative of our operating results for the full year or any future period.
| Three Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2021 | September 30, 2021 | June 30, 2021 | March 31, 2021 | December 31, 2020 | September 30, 2020 | June 30, 2020 | March 31, 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (unaudited) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Revenue: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Precision oncology testing | $ | 88,707 | $ | 79,272 | $ | 72,604 | $ | 63,729 | $ | 64,703 | $ | 60,384 | $ | 50,991 | $ | 60,246 | |||||||||||||||
| Development services and other | 19,401 | 15,507 | 19,497 | 14,936 | 13,613 | 14,185 | 15,344 | 7,264 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total revenue | 108,108 | 94,779 | 92,101 | 78,665 | 78,316 | 74,569 | 66,335 | 67,510 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Costs and operating expenses: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost of precision oncology testing | 32,254 | 29,665 | 24,887 | 23,590 | 22,070 | 16,699 | 17,809 | 18,191 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cost of development services and other | 1,168 | 1,151 | 5,040 | 5,157 | 6,337 | 4,488 | 4,626 | 2,315 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Research and development expense | 73,021 | 70,968 | 63,724 | 55,508 | 40,282 | 36,245 | 36,319 | 37,016 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sales and marketing expense | 59,599 | 50,228 | 47,716 | 34,338 | 31,288 | 25,095 | 25,015 | 25,115 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| General and administrative expense | 40,274 | 50,055 | 48,376 | 67,935 | 69,505 | 66,294 | 37,186 | 19,785 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total costs and operating expenses | 206,316 | 202,067 | 189,743 | 186,528 | 169,482 | 148,821 | 120,955 | 102,422 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss from operations | (98,208) | (107,288) | (97,642) | (107,863) | (91,166) | (74,252) | (54,620) | (34,912) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest income | 653 | 689 | 1,037 | 1,551 | 1,900 | 2,313 | 2,640 | 3,318 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | (643) | (644) | (644) | (646) | (4,736) | (8) | (10) | (12) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other income (expense), net | 25,898 | (187) | (243) | (290) | 1,220 | 345 | 2,285 | (209) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Loss before provision for income taxes | (72,300) | (107,430) | (97,492) | (107,248) | (92,782) | (71,602) | (49,705) | (31,815) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Provision for (benefit from) income taxes | 11 | 96 | 83 | 110 | 263 | 68 | 34 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net loss | (72,311) | (107,526) | (97,575) | (107,358) | (93,045) | (71,670) | (49,739) | (31,829) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Adjustment of redeemable noncontrolling interest | (18,600) | — | — | (2,300) | (700) | (6,000) | (4,900) | 4,100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net loss attributable to Guardant Health, Inc. common stockholders | $ | (90,911) | $ | (107,526) | $ | (97,575) | $ | (109,658) | $ | (93,745) | $ | (77,670) | $ | (54,639) | $ | (27,729) | |||||||||||||||
| Net loss per share attributable to Guardant Health, Inc. common stockholders, basic and diluted | $ | (0.89) | $ | (1.06) | $ | (0.96) | $ | (1.09) | $ | (0.94) | $ | (0.78) | $ | (0.57) | $ | (0.29) | |||||||||||||||
| Weighted-average shares used in computing net loss per share attributable to Guardant Health, Inc. common stockholders, basic and diluted | 101,697 | 101,420 | 101,172 | 100,955 | 100,018 | 99,554 | 96,011 | 94,382 |
Liquidity and capital resources
We have incurred losses and negative cash flows from operations since our inception, and as of December 31, 2021, we had an accumulated deficit of $1.0 billion. We expect to incur additional operating losses in the near future and our operating expenses will increase as we continue to invest in clinical studies and develop new products, expand our sales organization, and increase our marketing efforts to drive market adoption of our tests. As demand for our tests are expected to continue to increase from physicians and biopharmaceutical companies, we anticipate that our capital expenditure requirements could also increase if we require additional laboratory capacity.
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We have funded our operations to date principally from the sale of stock, convertible debt and through revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other. As of December 31, 2021, we had cash and cash equivalents of $492.2 million and marketable securities of $1.1 billion. Cash in excess of immediate requirements is invested in accordance with our investment policy, primarily with a view to provide liquidity while ensuring capital preservation. Additionally, we have investments held in marketable securities consisting of United States treasury securities that can be immediately liquid.
Based on our current business plan, we believe our current cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities and anticipated cash flows from operations, will be sufficient to meet our anticipated cash requirements for more than 12 months from the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We may consider raising additional capital to expand our business, to pursue strategic investments, to take advantage of financing opportunities or for other reasons. As revenue from precision oncology testing and development services and other is expected to grow long-term, we expect our accounts receivable and inventory balances to increase. Any increase in accounts receivable and inventory may not be completely offset by increases in accounts payable and accrued expenses, which could result in greater working capital requirements.
If our available cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities and anticipated cash flows from operations are insufficient to satisfy our liquidity requirements including because of lower demand for our products as a result of lower than currently expected rates of reimbursement from our customers or other risks described in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we may seek to sell additional common or preferred equity or convertible debt securities, enter into a credit facility or another form of third-party funding or seek other debt financing. The sale of equity and convertible debt securities may result in dilution to our stockholders and, in the case of preferred equity securities or convertible debt, those securities could provide for rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our common stock. The terms of debt securities issued or borrowings pursuant to a credit agreement could impose significant restrictions on our operations. If we raise funds through collaborations and licensing arrangements, we might be required to relinquish significant rights to our platform technologies or products or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to us. Additional capital may not be available to us on reasonable terms, or at all.
Cash flows
The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| (in thousands) | ||||||
| Net cash used in operating activities | $ | (209,017) | $ | (103,927) | ||
| Net cash used in investing activities | (63,155) | (617,086) | ||||
| Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities | (66,824) | 1,410,307 |
Operating activities
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2021 was $209.0 million, which resulted from a net loss of $384.8 million and net change in our operating assets and liabilities of $40.5 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $216.2 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $151.4 million of stock-based compensation, $24.7 million of non-cash operating lease costs, $22.3 million of depreciation and amortization, $12.8 million of amortization of premium on investment, $2.6 million of amortization of debt issuance costs, and $2.4 million of revaluation adjustments to contingent consideration. The net change in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $44.4 million increase in accounts receivables driven by increased sales to clinical and biopharmaceutical customers, and royalty revenues earned pursuant to a settlement and license agreement entered into in December 2021, a $35.8 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, primarily driven by a $25.0 million one-time payment pursuant the above-mentioned settlement and license agreement, a $8.0 million increase in inventory due to higher testing volumes, and a $4.2 million increase in other assets, partially offset by a $14.2 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $14.2 million increase in accrued compensation due to increased personnel, a $11.9 million increase in accrued expense and other liabilities, a $8.6 million increase in accounts payable, and a $2.8 million increase in deferred revenue.
Cash used in operating activities during the year ended December 31, 2020 was $103.9 million, which resulted from a net loss of $246.3 million and net change in our operating assets and liabilities of $47.7 million, partially offset by non-cash charges of $190.0 million. Non-cash charges primarily consisted of $144.1 million of stock-based compensation, $16.1 million of depreciation and amortization, $8.5 million of charge of in-process research and
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development costs with no alternative future use, $7.2 million of credit loss adjustment and others, $5.6 million of non-cash operating lease costs, $4.7 million of amortization of debt discount and debt issuance costs, and $4.0 million of amortization of premium on investment. The net change in our operating assets and liabilities was primarily the result of a $19.3 million increase in other assets for security deposits relating to new leases we entered into in 2020, a $7.9 million decrease in accounts payable, a $7.5 million increase in inventory due to higher testing volumes, a $6.1 million increase in prepaid expenses and other current assets, a $6.0 million payment of operating lease liabilities net of receipt of tenant improvement allowance, a $5.5 million increase in accounts receivables driven by increased sales to biopharmaceutical customers, and a $3.7 million decrease in deferred revenue, partially offset by a $9.7 million increase in accrued compensation due to increased personnel.
Investing activities
Cash used in investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2021 was $63.2 million, which resulted primarily from purchases of marketable securities of $900.8 million, purchases of property and equipment of $75.0 million, and purchases of non-marketable equity and other related investments of $39.4 million, partially offset by proceeds from the maturities of marketable securities of $952.1 million.
Cash used in investing activities during the year ended December 31, 2020 was $617.1 million, which resulted primarily from purchases of marketable securities of $1.1 billion, purchases of property and equipment of $36.2 million, and purchase of intangible assets of $17.9 million, partially offset by proceeds from the maturities of marketable securities of $562.5 million.
Financing activities
Cash used in financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2021 was $66.8 million, which was primarily due to taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $83.8 million, partially offset by proceeds of $9.8 million from issuances under employee stock purchase plan, and proceeds of $8.1 million from exercise of stock options.
Cash provided by financing activities during the year ended December 31, 2020 was $1.4 billion, which was primarily due to net proceeds of $1.1 billion from borrowings on convertible senior notes, proceeds of $354.6 million from a follow-on offering of our common stock, net of underwriting discounts and commissions and offering expenses payable by us, proceeds of $9.5 million from exercise of stock options, and proceeds of $7.1 million from issuances under employee stock purchase plan, partially offset by purchases of note hedges relating to the convertible senior notes of $90.0 million, and taxes paid related to net share settlement of restricted stock units of $3.4 million.
Critical accounting policies and estimates
We have prepared our consolidated financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or GAAP. Our preparation of these consolidated financial statements requires us to make estimates, assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, expenses and related disclosures at the date of the consolidated financial statements, as well as revenue and expenses recorded during the reporting periods. We evaluate our estimates and judgments on an ongoing basis. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other factors that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could therefore differ materially from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.
While our significant accounting policies are described in more detail in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we believe the following accounting policies to be critical to the judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements.
Revenue recognition
We derive revenue from the provision of precision oncology testing services provided to our ordering physicians and biopharmaceutical customers, as well as from biopharmaceutical research and development services provided to our biopharmaceutical customers. Precision oncology testing services include genomic profiling and the delivery of other genomic information derived from our platform. Development services and other include companion diagnostic development, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, information solutions and laboratory services, and other miscellaneous revenue streams. We currently receive payments from third-party commercial and governmental payers, certain hospitals and oncology centers and individual patients, as well as biopharmaceutical companies, research institutes and international distributors.
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Effective January 1, 2019, we adopted the new revenue recognition standard, Financial Accounting Standards Board, or FASB, ASC Topic 606, Revenue from Contracts with Customers, or ASC 606. Revenues are recognized when control of services is transferred to customers, in an amount that reflects the consideration we expect to be entitled to in exchange for those services. ASC 606 provides for a five-step model that includes identifying the contract with a customer, identifying the performance obligations in the contract, determining the transaction price, allocating the transaction price to the performance obligations, and recognizing revenue when, or as, an entity satisfies a performance obligation.
Precision oncology testing
We recognize revenue from the sale of our precision oncology tests for clinical customers, including certain hospitals, cancer centers, other institutions and patients, at the time results of the test are reported to physicians. Most precision oncology tests requested by clinical customers are sold without a written agreement; however, we determine an implied contract exists with our clinical customers. We identify each sale of our test to a clinical customer as a single performance obligation. With the exception of certain limited contracted arrangements with insurance carriers and other institutions where the transaction price is fixed, a stated contract price does not exist and the transaction price for each implied contract with our clinical customers represents variable consideration. We estimate the variable consideration under the portfolio approach and consider the historical reimbursement data from third-party commercial and governmental payers and patients, as well as known or anticipated reimbursement trends not reflected in the historical data. We monitor the estimated amount to be collected in the portfolio at each reporting period based on actual cash collections in order to assess whether a revision to the estimate is required. Both the estimate and any subsequent revision contain uncertainty and require the use of significant judgment in the estimation of the variable consideration and application of the constraint for such variable consideration. We analyze actual cash collections over the expected reimbursement period and compare it with the estimated variable consideration for each portfolio and any difference is recognized as an adjustment to estimated revenue after the expected reimbursement period, subject to assessment of the risk of future revenue reversal.
Revenue from sales of precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are based on a negotiated price per test or on the basis of an agreement to provide certain testing volume over a defined period. We identify our promise to transfer a series of distinct tests to biopharmaceutical customers as a single performance obligation. Precision oncology tests to biopharmaceutical customers are generally billed at a fixed price for each test performed. For agreements involving testing volume to be satisfied over a defined period, revenue is recognized over time based on the number of tests performed as the performance obligation is satisfied over time.
Results of our precision oncology services are delivered electronically, and as such there are no shipping or handling fees incurred by us or billed to customers.
Development services and other
We perform development services for our biopharmaceutical customers utilizing our precision oncology information platform. Development services typically represent a single performance obligation as we perform a significant integration service, such as analytical validation and regulatory submissions. The individual promises are not separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, are not distinct. However, under certain contracts, a biopharmaceutical customer may engage us for multiple distinct development services which are both capable of being distinct and separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and, therefore, distinct performance obligations.
We collaborate with pharmaceutical companies in the development of new drugs. As part of these collaborations, we provide services related to regulatory filings to support companion diagnostic device submissions for our liquid biopsy panels. Under these collaborations, we generate revenue from achievement of milestones, as well as provision of on-going support. For development services performed, we are compensated through a combination of an upfront fee and performance-based, non-refundable regulatory and other developmental milestone payments. The transaction price of our development services contracts typically represents variable consideration. Application of the constraint for variable consideration to milestone payments is an area that requires significant judgment. We evaluate factors such as the scientific, clinical, regulatory, commercial, and other risks that must be managed to achieve the respective milestone and the level of effort and investment required to achieve the respective milestone. In making this assessment, we consider our historical experience with similar milestones, the degree of complexity and uncertainty associated with each milestone, and whether achievement of the milestone is dependent on parties other than us. The constraint for variable consideration is applied such that it is probable a significant reversal of revenue will not occur when the uncertainty associated with the contingency is resolved. Application of the constraint for variable consideration is assessed and updated at each reporting period as a revision to the estimated transaction price.
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We recognize development services and other revenue over the period in which biopharmaceutical research and development services are provided. Specifically, we recognize revenue using an input method to measure progress, utilizing costs incurred to-date relative to total expected costs as its measure of progress. We also assess the changes to the total expected cost estimates as well as any incremental fees negotiated resulting from changes to the scope of the original contract in determining the revenue recognition at each reporting period. For development of new products or services under these arrangements, costs incurred before technological feasibility is reached are included as research and development expenses in our consolidated statements of operations, while costs incurred thereafter are recorded as cost of development services and other.
We also have other miscellaneous revenue streams that are recognized in addition to development services noted above such as clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect, GuardantINFORM, and kits fulfillment related revenues. In addition, we derive sales-based royalty revenues from licensing our technologies. Revenues related to clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, GuardantConnect, GuardantINFORM are generally recognized over time based on an input method to measure progress in the period when the associated services have been performed. Kits fulfillment related revenues are recognized when such products are delivered. Royalty revenues are recognized when actual sales incur.
Contracts with multiple performance obligations
Contracts with biopharmaceutical customers may include multiple distinct performance obligations, such as provision of precision oncology testing, biopharmaceutical research and development services, and clinical study enrollment assistance, among others. We evaluate the terms and conditions included within our contracts with biopharmaceutical customers to ensure appropriate revenue recognition, including whether services are considered distinct performance obligations that should be accounted for separately versus together. We first identify material promises, in contrast to immaterial promises or administrative tasks, under the contract and then evaluates whether these promises are both capable of being distinct and distinct within the context of the contract. In assessing whether a promised service is capable of being distinct, we consider whether the customer could benefit from the service either on its own or together with other resources that are readily available to the customer, including factors such as the research, development, and commercialization capabilities of a third party as well as the availability of the associated expertise in the general marketplace. In assessing whether a promised service is distinct within the context of the contract, we consider whether we provide a significant integration of the services, whether the services significantly modify or customize one another, or whether the services are highly interdependent or interrelated.
For contracts with multiple performance obligations, the transaction price is allocated to the separate performance obligations on a relative standalone selling price basis. We determine standalone selling price by considering the historical selling price of these performance obligations in similar transactions as well as other factors, including, but not limited to, the price that customers in the market would be willing to pay, competitive pricing of other vendors, industry publications and current pricing practices, and expected costs of satisfying each performance obligation plus appropriate margin.
Variable interest entity
We review agreements we enter into with third party entities, pursuant to which we may have a variable interest in the entity, in order to determine if the entity is a variable interest entity, or VIE. If the entity is a VIE, we assess whether or not we are the primary beneficiary of that entity. In determining whether we are the primary beneficiary of an entity, we apply a qualitative approach that determines whether we have both (1) the power to direct the economically significant activities of the entity and (2) the obligation to absorb losses of, or the right to receive benefits from, the entity that could potentially be significant to that entity. If we determine we are the primary beneficiary of a VIE, we consolidate the statements of operations and financial condition of the VIE into our consolidated financial statements. Accounting for the consolidation is based on our determination if the VIE meets the definition of a business or and asset. Assets, liabilities and noncontrolling interests, excluding goodwill, of VIEs that are not determined to be businesses are recorded at fair value in our financial statements upon consolidation. Assets and liabilities that we have transferred to a VIE, after, or shortly before the date we became the primary beneficiary are recorded at the same amount at which the assets and liabilities would have been measured if they had not been transferred. Our determination about whether we should consolidate such VIEs is made continuously as changes to existing relationships or future transactions may result in a consolidation or deconsolidation event.
In May 2018, we and an affiliate of SoftBank formed and capitalized the Joint Venture for the sale, marketing and distribution of our tests in the JV Territory. We expect to rely on the Joint Venture to accelerate commercialization of our products in Asia, the Middle East and Africa. The Joint Venture is deemed to be a VIE and we are identified
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as the primary beneficiary of the VIE. Consequently, we have consolidated the financial position, results of operations and cash flows of the Joint Venture in our financial statements and all intercompany balances have been eliminated in consolidation.
The joint venture agreement also includes a put-call arrangement with respect to the shares of the Joint Venture held by SoftBank and its affiliates. The noncontrolling interest held by SoftBank contains embedded put-call redemption features that are not solely within our control and has been classified outside of permanent equity in our consolidated balance sheets. The put-call feature embedded in the redeemable noncontrolling interest do not currently require bifurcation as it does not meet the definition of a derivative and is considered to be clearly and closely related to the redeemable noncontrolling interest. The noncontrolling interest is considered probable of becoming redeemable as SoftBank has the option to exercise its put right to sell its equity ownership in the Joint Venture to us on or after the seventh anniversary of the formation of the Joint Venture, on each subsequent anniversary of the IPO and under certain other circumstances. We elected to recognize the change in redemption value immediately as they occur as if the put-call redemption feature were exercisable at the end of the reporting period. In November 2021, we exercised our call right contained in the joint venture agreement with SoftBank to purchase all of the shares held by SoftBank and its affiliates in consideration for the payment of the aggregate purchase price to be determined based on an independent third party valuation. The aggregate purchase price will be no less than an amount that yields a 20% internal rate of return on the $41.0 million of capital invested by SoftBank in May 2018 as stipulated in the joint venture agreement. As a result of exercising the call right, the noncontrolling interest has been recorded as a current liability in our consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2021, and future adjustments to the noncontrolling interest liability will be recorded in net loss in our consolidated statement of operations.
Stock-based compensation
After the adoption of Accounting Standards Update 2018-07, Compensation—Stock Compensation (Topic 718): Improvements to Nonemployee Share-Based Payment Accounting on January 1, 2019, we measure stock-based compensation expense for stock options granted to our employees, directors, and nonemployee consultants on the date of grant based on the fair value of the awards and recognize the corresponding compensation expense of those awards over the requisite service period, which is generally the vesting period of the respective awards. Compensation expense for stock options with performance metrics is calculated based upon expected achievement of the metrics specified in the grant.
We estimate the fair value of stock options granted under the 2012 Stock Plan, the 2018 Incentive Award Plan, and under the Guardant Health AMEA, Inc.'s 2020 Equity Incentive Plan for the Joint Venture, and stock purchase rights granted under our 2018 Employee Stock Purchase Plan on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. The Black-Scholes option-pricing model requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our stock options were:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of its common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market. The board of directors of the Joint Venture has determined the fair value of common stock of the Joint Venture. The grant date fair value of the Joint Venture’s common stock was determined using valuation methodologies which utilizes certain assumptions including probability weighting of events, volatility, time to liquidation, a risk-free interest rate and an assumption for a discount for lack of marketability. In determining the fair value of the Joint Venture’s common stock, the methodologies used to estimate the enterprise value of the Joint Venture were performed using methodologies, approaches, and assumptions consistent with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately-Held-Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation.
Expected term
Our expected term represents the period that our stock options are expected to be outstanding. After the adoption of Accounting Standards Update 2018-07, Compensation—Stock Compensation (Topic 718): Improvements to Nonemployee Share-Based Payment Accounting on January 1, 2019, the expected term of stock options issued to employees, directors and nonemployee consultants is determined using the simplified method (based on the mid-point between the vesting date and the end of the contractual term), as we do not have sufficient historical data to use any other method to estimate expected term.
Expected volatility
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Prior to the commencement of trading of our common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on October 4, 2018 in connection with the IPO, there was no active trading market for our common stock. Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, expected volatility is estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty.
The Joint Venture derived the expected volatility from the average historical volatility over a period approximately equal to the expected term of comparable publicly traded companies within its peer group that were deemed to be representative of future stock price trends as the Joint Venture does not have any trading history for its common stock. The Joint Venture will continue to apply this process until a sufficient amount of historical information regarding the volatility of its own stock price becomes available.
Risk-free interest rate
The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. treasury zero coupon issues in effect at the time of grant for periods corresponding with the expected term of the stock option grants.
Expected dividend yield
We have never paid dividends on our common stock and have no plans to pay dividends on our common stock. Therefore, we use an expected dividend yield of zero.
Black-Scholes assumptions
The weighted-average assumptions used in our Black-Scholes option-pricing model, including the Joint Venture, were as follows for stock option granted to our employees, directors and nonemployees for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |||
| Expected term (in years) | 5.49 – 6.06 | 5.50 – 6.10 | 5.50 – 6.22 | ||
| Expected volatility | 63.6% – 66.7% | 63.6% – 73.3% | 63.2% – 68.7% | ||
| Risk-free interest rate | 0.3% – 1.3% | 0.3% – 1.6% | 1.6% – 2.7% | ||
| Expected dividend yield | —% | —% | —% |
For market-based restricted stock units, we derive the requisite service period using the Monte Carlo simulation model. The estimated fair value of the market-based restricted stock units was determined using a Monte Carlo simulation model which requires the use of assumptions regarding a number of variables that are complex, subjective and generally require significant judgment to determine. Stock-based compensation expense will be recorded regardless of achieving the market conditions or not. If the related market condition is achieved earlier than its expected derived service period, the stock-based compensation expense will be recognized as a cumulative catch-up expense from the grant date to that point in time in achieving the share price goal.
The assumptions used to calculate the fair value of our market-based restricted stock units were as follows:
Fair Value of Common Stock
The fair value of our common stock is determined by the closing price, on the date of grant, of its common stock, which is traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market.
Expected Volatility
Due to limited historical data for the trading of our common stock, expected volatility is estimated based on the average volatility for comparable publicly traded peer group companies and implied volatility of publicly traded options in the same industry plus our expected volatility for the available periods. The comparable companies are chosen based on their similar size, stage in the life cycle or area of specialty.
Expected Term
The expected term represents the derived service period for the respective tranches which has been estimated using the Monte Carlo simulation model.
Risk-Free Interest Rate
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The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury rate, with maturities similar to the expected term of the market-based restricted stock units.
Risky Rate
The risky rate represents our cost of equity.
Expected Dividend Yield
We do not anticipate paying any dividends in the foreseeable future and, therefore, uses an expected dividend yield of zero.
Discount for Lack of Marketability
The discount for lack of marketability represents the discount applied for post vest term restrictions and has been derived using the Monte Carlo simulation model.
The following assumptions were used to calculate the stock-based compensation for market-based restricted stock units: a weighted-average expected term of 0.83 – 2.07 years; expected volatility of 65.5%; a risk-free interest rate of 0.53%; a zero dividend yield; a risky rate (cost of equity) of 16%; and a discount for post-vesting restrictions of 10.4% – 14.5%.
We recognize stock-based compensation expense net of forfeitures as they occur.
We will continue to use judgment in evaluating the assumptions related to our stock-based compensation on a prospective basis. As we continue to accumulate additional data related to our common stock, we may have refinements to our estimates, which could materially impact our future stock-based compensation expense.
Recent accounting pronouncements
See Note 2, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, to our consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.