RLI CORP (RLI)
SIC breadcrumb: Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate > Insurance Carriers > SIC 6331 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
SEC company page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=84246. Latest filing source: 0001104659-26-018013.
Informational only - descriptive public-record data, not investment advice.
Business
Read RLI's verbatim Item 1 Business section from its latest 10-K: Business.
Risk Factors
Read RLI's verbatim Item 1A Risk Factors from its latest 10-K: Risk Factors.
Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,882,448,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-20 |
| Net income | 403,337,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-20 |
| Assets | 6,161,486,000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-20 |
Financials
Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-20. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000084246.json. Derived margins, ratios, and free cash flow are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 816,328,000 | 797,224,000 | 818,123,000 | 1,003,591,000 | 983,626,000 | 1,179,245,000 | 1,697,992,000 | 1,511,994,000 | 1,770,384,000 | 1,882,448,000 |
| Net income | 114,920,000 | 105,028,000 | 64,179,000 | 191,642,000 | 157,091,000 | 279,354,000 | 583,411,000 | 304,611,000 | 345,779,000 | 403,337,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 2.59 | 2.36 | 1.43 | 4.23 | 3.46 | 6.11 | 6.37 | 3.31 | 3.74 | 4.37 |
| Operating cash flow | 174,463,000 | 197,525,000 | 217,102,000 | 276,917,000 | 263,259,000 | 384,905,000 | 250,448,000 | 464,257,000 | 560,219,000 | 614,221,000 |
| Capital expenditures | 16,155,000 | 9,238,000 | 6,087,000 | 6,955,000 | 5,768,000 | 8,310,000 | 5,889,000 | 5,913,000 | 4,710,000 | 5,523,000 |
| Dividends paid | 122,488,000 | 113,813,000 | 83,100,000 | 85,591,000 | 87,906,000 | 135,330,000 | 364,848,000 | 140,093,000 | 235,656,000 | 241,562,000 |
| Assets | 2,777,633,000 | 2,947,244,000 | 3,105,065,000 | 3,545,721,000 | 3,938,485,000 | 4,508,302,000 | 4,767,068,000 | 5,180,221,000 | 5,628,802,000 | 6,161,486,000 |
| Liabilities | 1,954,061,000 | 2,093,646,000 | 2,298,223,000 | 2,550,333,000 | 2,802,507,000 | 3,278,941,000 | 3,589,727,000 | 3,766,707,000 | 4,106,835,000 | 4,383,290,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 823,572,000 | 853,598,000 | 806,842,000 | 995,388,000 | 1,135,978,000 | 1,229,361,000 | 1,177,341,000 | 1,413,514,000 | 1,521,967,000 | 1,778,196,000 |
| Free cash flow | 158,308,000 | 188,287,000 | 211,015,000 | 269,962,000 | 257,491,000 | 376,595,000 | 244,559,000 | 458,344,000 | 555,509,000 | 608,698,000 |
Ratios
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net margin | 14.08% | 13.17% | 7.84% | 19.10% | 15.97% | 23.69% | 34.36% | 20.15% | 19.53% | 21.43% |
| Return on equity | 13.95% | 12.30% | 7.95% | 19.25% | 13.83% | 22.72% | 49.55% | 21.55% | 22.72% | 22.68% |
| Return on assets | 4.14% | 3.56% | 2.07% | 5.40% | 3.99% | 6.20% | 12.24% | 5.88% | 6.14% | 6.55% |
| Liabilities / equity | 2.37 | 2.45 | 2.85 | 2.56 | 2.47 | 2.67 | 3.05 | 2.66 | 2.70 | 2.47 |
Industry Peer Context
Net margin peer context
ROE peer context
ROA peer context
Financial Bridges
Free cash flow = operating cash flow - capital expenditures
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts FY 2025. Operating cash flow: accession 0001104659-26-018013; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities | Capital expenditures: accession 0001104659-26-018013; concept PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment; source concepts us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment | Free cash flow: accession 0001104659-26-018013; concept NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment; source concepts us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment
Financial Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: NetIncomeLoss. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock. Source concepts: us-gaap:PaymentsOfDividendsCommonStock.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: Assets. Source concepts: us-gaap:Assets.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: Liabilities. Source concepts: us-gaap:Liabilities.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: StockholdersEquity. Source concepts: us-gaap:StockholdersEquity.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2025 ended 2025-12-31; accession 0001104659-26-018013; filed 2026-02-20. Concept: NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities - PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities; us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment.
Quarterly
Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-07-24. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000084246.json.
| Quarter | End Date | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 | 9.61 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 | 2.15 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 1.69 | reported discrete quarter | ||
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 331,694,000 | 13,536,000 | 0.29 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 433,515,000 | 114,612,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 444,831,000 | 127,900,000 | 2.77 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 416,442,000 | 81,992,000 | 1.78 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 469,995,000 | 95,027,000 | 2.06 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 439,116,000 | 40,860,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 407,665,000 | 63,214,000 | 0.68 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 499,826,000 | 124,336,000 | 1.34 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 509,264,000 | 124,610,000 | 1.35 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 465,693,000 | 91,177,000 | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD | |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 423,870,000 | 54,885,000 | 0.60 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2026-Q2 | 2026-06-30 | 575,569,000 | 168,028,000 | 1.82 | reported discrete quarter |
Quarterly Charts
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001104659-26-086576; filed 2026-07-24. Concept: Revenues. Source concepts: us-gaap:Revenues.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001104659-26-086576; filed 2026-07-24. Concept: NetIncomeLossAvailableToCommonStockholdersBasic. Source concepts: us-gaap:NetIncomeLossAvailableToCommonStockholdersBasic.
Figure provenance: SEC companyfacts. Latest point: FY 2026 ended 2026-06-30; accession 0001104659-26-086576; filed 2026-07-24. Concept: EarningsPerShareDiluted. Source concepts: us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted.
Macro Cross-References
- CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- UNRATE - Unemployment Rate
- FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate
- CES0500000003 - Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- DFEDTARU - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- DFEDTARL - Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- DGS3MO - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- DGS2 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS10 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- DGS30 - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- CPILFESL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- CPIUFDSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- CPIENGSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- CUSR0000SAH1 - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- PCEPI - Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- PCEPILFE - Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- PPIACO - Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- T10YIE - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- U6RATE - Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- CIVPART - Labor Force Participation Rate
- EMRATIO - Employment-Population Ratio
- UNEMPLOY - Unemployed
- CE16OV - Employment Level
- ICSA - Initial Claims
- JTSJOL - Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- JTSQUR - Quits: Total Nonfarm
- GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product
- A191RL1Q225SBEA - Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- INDPRO - Industrial Production: Total Index
- TCU - Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- PERMIT - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- PCE - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- DSPIC96 - Real Disposable Personal Income
- PSAVERT - Personal Saving Rate
- M2SL - M2
- BOPGSTB - U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- MSPUS - Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- HSN1F - New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- RHORUSQ156N - Homeownership Rate in the United States
- TTLCONS - Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- RRVRUSQ156N - Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- TOTALSL - Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- REVOLSL - Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- DRCCLACBS - Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- GDP - Gross Domestic Product
- GPDI - Gross Private Domestic Investment
- GCE - Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- PCEC - Personal Consumption Expenditures
- NETEXP - Net Exports of Goods and Services
- GFDEBTN - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- GFDEGDQ188S - Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- FYFSD - Federal Surplus or Deficit
- FGRECPT - Federal Government Current Receipts
- FGEXPND - Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- MANEMP - All Employees, Manufacturing
- USCONS - All Employees, Construction
- USTRADE - All Employees, Retail Trade
- USFIRE - All Employees, Financial Activities
- USGOVT - All Employees, Government
- AWHAETP - Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- DGORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- NEWORDER - Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- BUSINV - Total Business Inventories
- EXPGS - Exports of Goods and Services
- IMPGS - Imports of Goods and Services
- IR - Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- PPIFIS - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand
Latest quarter (10-Q)
Latest 10-Q source: 0001104659-26-086576.
Item 2.Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 appear throughout this report. These forward-looking statements generally include words such as “expect,” “predict,” “estimate,” “will,” “should,” “anticipate,” “believe” and similar expressions. Such assumptions are, in turn, based on information available and internal estimates and analyses of general economic conditions, competitive factors, conditions specific to the property and casualty insurance, reinsurance and surety industries, claims development and the impact thereof on our loss reserves, the adequacy and financial security of our reinsurance programs, developments in the securities market and the impact on our investment portfolio, regulatory changes and conditions and other factors. These assumptions are subject to various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including, without limitation those set forth in “Item 1A. Risk Factors” within the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and Part II within this report. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s expectations, plans or forecasts of future events and views as of the date of this report. While the Company may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, the Company specifically disclaims any obligation to do so. You should review the various risks, uncertainties and other factors listed from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings.
OVERVIEW
RLI Corp. is a U.S.-based, specialty insurance company that underwrites select property, casualty and surety products through three major subsidiaries. Our focus is on niche markets and developing unique products that are tailored to customers’ needs. We hire underwriters and claim examiners with deep expertise and provide exceptional customer service and support. We maintain a highly diverse product portfolio and underwrite for profit in all market conditions. In 2025, we achieved our 30th consecutive year of underwriting profitability. Over the 30-year period, we averaged an 87.9 combined ratio. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting income itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.
We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: casualty, property and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written, and profitability is analyzed through underwriting income and combined ratios.
The property and casualty insurance business is cyclical and influenced by many factors, including price competition, economic conditions, natural or man-made disasters (for example, earthquakes, hurricanes, pandemics and terrorism), interest rates, state regulations, court decisions, changes in the law and evolving technologies. One of the unique and challenging features of the property and casualty insurance business is that coverages must be priced before costs have fully developed, because premiums are charged before claims are incurred. This requires that liabilities be estimated and recorded in recognition of future loss and settlement obligations. Due to the inherent uncertainty in estimating these liabilities, there can be no assurance that actual liabilities will equal recorded amounts. If actual liabilities differ from recorded amounts, there will either be an adverse or favorable effect on net earnings.
The casualty portion of our business consists largely of commercial excess, personal umbrella, general liability, transportation and management liability coverages, as well as package business and other specialty coverages, such as professional liability and workers’ compensation for office-based professionals. We also assume a limited amount of risks
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through quota share and excess of loss reinsurance agreements. The casualty business is subject to the risk of estimating losses and related loss reserves because the ultimate settlement of a casualty claim may take several years to fully develop.
Our property segment is comprised primarily of commercial fire, hurricane, earthquake, difference in conditions and marine coverages. We also offer homeowners’ coverages in Hawaii. Property insurance results are subject to the variability introduced by perils such as earthquakes, fires, hurricanes and other storms. Our major catastrophe exposure is to losses caused by windstorms, affecting commercial properties in coastal regions of the United States, and earthquakes, primarily on the West Coast. We limit our net aggregate exposure to a catastrophic event by managing the total policy limits written in a particular region, purchasing reinsurance and maintaining policy terms and conditions throughout all insurance cycles. We also use computer-assisted modeling techniques to provide estimates that help the Company carefully manage the concentration of risks exposed to catastrophic events.
The surety segment specializes in writing small to medium-sized contract surety coverages, including payment and performance bonds. We offer a variety of commercial surety bonds for medium to large-sized businesses across a broad spectrum of industries, including the home builders, financial, healthcare, energy and renewable energy industries. We also offer a variety of transactional bonds, including but not limited to license and permit, notary and court bonds. Often, our surety coverages involve a statutory requirement for bonds. While these bonds typically maintain a relatively low loss ratio, losses may fluctuate due to adverse economic conditions affecting the financial viability of our insureds. The contract surety product guarantees commercial contractors’ contractual obligations for a specific construction project. Generally, losses occur due to the deterioration of a contractor’s financial condition.
The insurance marketplace is competitive across all of our segments. However, we believe that our business model is built to create underwriting income by focusing on sound risk selection and discipline. Our primary focus will continue to be on underwriting profitability, with a secondary focus on premium growth where we believe underwriting profit exists, as opposed to general premium growth or market share measurements.
Key Performance Measures
The following is a list of key performance measures found throughout this report with their definitions, relationships to GAAP measures and explanations of their importance to our operations.
Underwriting Income
Underwriting income or profit represents one measure of the pretax profitability of our insurance operations, and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses from net premiums earned, which are all GAAP financial measures. Each of these components are presented in the statements of earnings but are not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 7 to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q, and in note 11 to the consolidated financial statements in our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K, regarding operating segment information. The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains or losses, net unrealized gains or losses on equity securities, general corporate expenses, debt costs and our portion of earnings from unconsolidated investees. A reconciliation of net earnings to underwriting income follows:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | For the Three Months | | For the Six Months | ||||||||
| | | Ended June 30, | | Ended June 30, | ||||||||
| (in thousands) | 2026 | 2025 | 2026 | 2025 | ||||||||
| Net earnings | | $ | 168,028 | | $ | 124,336 | | $ | 222,913 | | $ | 187,550 |
| Income tax expense | | | 42,660 | | | 32,179 | | | 55,116 | | | 47,596 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 210,688 | | $ | 156,515 | | $ | 278,029 | | $ | 235,146 |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | (2,970) | | | (2,467) | | | (5,117) | | | (5,515) |
| General corporate expenses | | | 6,223 | | | 4,754 | | | 8,947 | | | 7,702 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | 4,441 | | | 1,350 | | | 6,794 | | | 2,685 |
| Net unrealized (gains) losses on equity securities | | | (103,024) | | | (43,500) | | | (63,628) | | | (1,182) |
| Net realized gains | | | (9,407) | | | (15,004) | | | (18,966) | | | (29,916) |
| Net investment income | | | (46,042) | | | (39,418) | | | (88,363) | | | (76,144) |
| Net underwriting income | | $ | 59,909 | | $ | 62,230 | | $ | 117,696 | | $ | 132,776 |
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Combined Ratio
The combined ratio, which is derived from components of underwriting income, is a common industry performance measure of profitability for underwriting operations and is calculated in two components. First, the loss ratio is losses and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The second component, the expense ratio, reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses divided by net premiums earned. All items included in these components of the combined ratio are presented in our GAAP consolidated financial statements. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss.
Critical Accounting Policies
In preparing the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.
The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes. For a detailed discussion of each of these policies, refer to our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
There have been no significant changes to critical accounting policies during the year.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Six Months Ended June 30, 2026 Compared to Six Months Ended June 30, 2025
Net premiums earned increased 4 percent, driven primarily by products in our casualty segment. Investment income was up 16 percent, reflecting higher reinvestment rates and an increased average asset base. Market increases resulted in $64 million of unrealized gains on equity securities during the first six months of 2026, compared to $1 million in the same period of 2025. Realized
[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]
Latest 10-K MD&A
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
OVERVIEW
RLI Corp. is a U.S.-based, specialty insurance company that underwrites select property, casualty and surety products through three major subsidiaries collectively known as RLI Insurance Group (Group). Our focus is on niche markets and developing unique products that are tailored to customers’ needs. We hire underwriters and claim examiners with deep expertise and provide exceptional customer service and support. We maintain a highly diverse product portfolio and underwrite for profit in all market conditions. In 2025, we achieved our 30th consecutive year of underwriting profitability. Over the 30-year period, we averaged an 87.9 combined ratio. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting income itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.
We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: property, casualty and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written, and profitability is analyzed through underwriting income and combined ratios.
KEY PERFORMANCE MEASURES
The following is a list of key performance measures found throughout this report, including definitions, relationships to GAAP measures and explanations of their importance to our operations.
Underwriting Income
Underwriting income or profit represents one measure of the pretax profitability of our insurance operations and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses from net premiums earned, which are all GAAP financial measures. Each of these components are presented in the statements of earnings but are not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 11 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains or losses, net unrealized gains or losses on equity securities, general corporate expenses, debt costs and our portion of earnings from unconsolidated investees. A reconciliation of net earnings to underwriting income follows:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
| Net earnings | | $ | 403,337 | | $ | 345,779 |
| Income tax expense | | | 102,644 | | | 81,772 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 505,981 | | $ | 427,551 |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | 3,924 | | | 4,869 |
| General corporate expenses | | | 17,028 | | | 15,880 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | 5,358 | | | 6,331 |
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | | | (43,247) | | | (81,734) |
| Net realized gains | | | (65,116) | | | (19,966) |
| Net investment income | | | (159,739) | | | (142,278) |
| Underwriting income | | $ | 264,189 | | $ | 210,653 |
Combined Ratio
The combined ratio, which is derived from components of underwriting income, is a common industry performance measure of profitability for underwriting operations and is calculated in two components. The loss ratio is loss and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The expense ratio reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses divided by net premiums earned. All items included in these components of the combined ratio are presented in our GAAP consolidated financial statements. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the consolidated financial
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statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.
The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes.
LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
Overview
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves represent our best estimate of ultimate payments for losses and related settlement expenses from claims that have been reported but not paid, and those losses that have been incurred but not yet reported (IBNR) to the Company. Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but instead represent our estimates, generally utilizing individual claim estimates, actuarial expertise and estimation techniques at a given accounting date. The loss reserve estimates are expectations of what ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost upon final resolution. These estimates are based on facts and circumstances then known to the Company, review of historical settlement patterns, estimates of trends in claim frequency and severity, projections of loss costs, expected interpretations of legal theories of liability and many other factors. In establishing reserves, we also consider estimated recoveries from reinsurance as well as salvage and subrogation.
We record two categories of loss and LAE reserves: case-specific reserves and IBNR reserves. Within a reasonable period of time after a claim is reported, our claim department completes an initial investigation and establishes a case reserve. This case-specific reserve is an estimate of the ultimate amount we will have to pay for the claim, including related legal expenses and other costs associated with resolving and settling it. The estimate reflects all of the current information available regarding the claim, the informed judgment of our professional claim personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim and our reserving practices. During the life cycle of a particular claim, as more information becomes available, we may revise the estimate of the ultimate value of the claim either upward or downward. We may determine that it is appropriate to pay portions of the reserve to the claimant or related settlement expenses before final resolution of the claim. The amount of the individual case reserve will be adjusted accordingly and is based on the most recent information available.
We establish IBNR reserves to estimate the amount we will have to pay for claims that have occurred, but have not yet been reported to the Company, claims that have been reported to the Company that may ultimately be paid out differently than reflected in our case-specific reserves and claims that have been closed but may reopen and require future payment.
LAE represents the cost involved in adjusting and administering losses from policies we issued. The LAE reserves are frequently separated into two components: allocated and unallocated. Allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that can be identified with a specific claim. Examples of ALAE would be the hiring of an outside adjuster to investigate a claim or an outside attorney to defend our insured. The claim adjuster typically estimates this cost separately from the loss component in the case reserve. Unallocated loss adjustment expense (ULAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that cannot be identified with a specific claim. An example of ULAE would be the cost of an internal claim examiner to manage or investigate claims.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claim handling procedures, claim personnel, economic inflation, legal trends and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for loss and LAE is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimations also differ significantly by coverage due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the policy limits written, the terms and conditions of the underlying policies, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process. We continually refine our loss reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops and additional claims are reported and settled. We rigorously attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.
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The following is a table of significant risk factors involved in estimating losses grouped by major product line. We distinguish between loss ratio risk and reserve estimation risk. Loss ratio risk refers to the possible dispersion of loss ratios from year to year due to inherent volatility in the business, such as high severity or aggregating exposures. Reserve estimation risk recognizes the difficulty in estimating a given year’s ultimate loss liability. As an example, our property catastrophe business (included below in commercial and other property) has significant variance in year over year results; however, its reserving estimation risk is relatively moderate.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | Expected loss | Reserve | ||||
| | | Length of | | Emergence | | | | ratio | | estimation |
| Product line | reserve tail | patterns relied upon | Other risk factors | variability | variability | |||||
| Commercial excess | Long | Internal | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Personal umbrella | Medium | Internal | Low frequency | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | High severity | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| General liability | Long | Internal | Exposure changes/mix | Medium | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Professional services | Medium | Internal | Highly varied exposures | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial transportation | Medium | Internal | High severity | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Exposure change/mix | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Small commercial | Medium | Internal | Exposure change/mix | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Small volume | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Executive products | Long | Internal & external | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Economic volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth/mix | | | | |
| | | | | | Heavily reinsured | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other casualty | Medium | Internal & external | Small volume | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Marine | Medium | Internal | Exposure growth/mix | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | Aggregation exposure | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial and other property | Short | Internal | Aggregation exposure | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Low frequency | | | | | |
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Surety | Medium | Internal | Economic volatility | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unique exposures | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Runoff including asbestos & environmental | Long | Internal & external | Loss trend volatility | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Mass tort/latent exposure | | | | |
Due to inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, including, but not limited to, the future settlement environment, final resolution of the estimated liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. The amount by which current estimated losses differ from those estimated for a period at a prior valuation date is known as development. Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the levels at which they were reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable development of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.
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Our IBNR reserving process involves three steps: (1) an initial IBNR generation process that is prospective in nature, (2) a loss and LAE reserve estimation process that occurs retrospectively and (3) a subsequent discussion and reconciliation between our prospective and retrospective IBNR estimates, which includes changes in our provisions for IBNR where deemed appropriate.
Initial IBNR Generation Process
Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve generation process. The intent of this process is to establish an initial total reserve that will provide a reasonable provision for the ultimate value of all unpaid loss and ALAE liabilities. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and ALAE ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. The result is our best initial estimate of the expected amount of ultimate loss and ALAE for the period by product. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve.
For certain property products, we use an alternative method of determining an appropriate provision for initial IBNR. Since this segment is characterized by a shorter period of time between claim occurrence and claim settlement, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on expected loss ratios and loss development assumptions. The loss development assumptions are typically based on historical reporting patterns but could consider alternative sources of information. The IBNR percentages are reviewed and updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. This alternative method of determining initial IBNR allows incurred losses and ALAE to react more rapidly to the actual emergence, and is more appropriate for our property products where final claim resolution occurs over a shorter period of time.
We do not reserve for natural or man-made catastrophes until an event has occurred. Shortly after such occurrence, we review insured locations exposed to the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports and onsite reviews of damage to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. These reserves are reviewed frequently to consider actual losses reported and appropriate changes to our estimates are made to reflect the new information.
The initial loss and ALAE ratios that are applied to earned premium are reviewed at least semi-annually. Prospective estimates are made based on historical loss experience adjusted for exposure mix, price change and loss cost trends. The initial loss and ALAE ratios also reflect our judgment as to estimation risk. We consider estimation risk by product and coverage within product, if applicable. A product with greater volatility and uncertainty has greater estimation risk. Products or coverages with higher estimation risk include, but are not limited to, the following characteristics:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Significant changes in underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | A new business or one experiencing significant growth and/or high turnover, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Small volume or lacking internal data requiring significant utilization of external data, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Unique reinsurance features including those with aggregate stop-loss, reinstatement clauses, commutation provisions or clash protection, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Longer emergence patterns with exposures to latent unforeseen mass tort, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Assumed reinsurance businesses where there is an extended reporting lag and/or a heavier utilization of ceding company data and claims and product expertise, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High severity and/or low frequency, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational processes undergoing significant change and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High sensitivity to significant swings in loss trends, economic change or judicial change. |
The historical and prospective loss and ALAE estimates, along with the risks listed, are the basis for determining our initial and subsequent carried reserves. Adjustments in the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors.
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Loss and LAE Reserve Estimation Process
Estimates of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE are derived using standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance.
The process of estimating ultimate payment for claims and claim expenses begins with the collection and analysis of current and historical claim data. Data on individual reported claims, including paid amounts and individual claim adjuster estimates, are grouped by common characteristics. There is judgment involved in this grouping. Considerations when grouping data include the volume of the data available, the credibility of the data available, the homogeneity of the risks in each grouping and both settlement and payment pattern consistency. We use this data to determine historical claim reporting and payment patterns, which are used in the analysis of ultimate claim liabilities. In some analyses, including businesses without sufficiently large numbers of policies or that have not accumulated sufficient historical statistics, our own data is supplemented with external or industry average data as available and when appropriate. For liabilities arising out of directors and officers, management liability and workers’ compensation, we utilize external data extensively.
We also incorporate estimated losses relative to premium (loss ratios) by year into the analysis. The expected loss ratios are based on a review of historical loss performance, trends in frequency and severity and price level changes. The estimates are subject to judgment including consideration given to available internal and industry data, growth and policy turnover, changes in policy limits, changes in underlying policy provisions, changes in legal and regulatory interpretations of policy provisions and changes in reinsurance structure. For the most current year, these are equivalent with the ratios used in the initial IBNR generation process. Increased recognition is given to actual emergence as the years age.
We use historical development patterns, expected loss ratios and standard actuarial methods to derive an estimate of the ultimate level of loss and LAE payments necessary to settle all the claims occurring as of the end of the evaluation period.
Our reserve processes include multiple standard actuarial methods for determining estimates of IBNR reserves. Other supplementary methodologies are incorporated as necessary. Mass tort and latent liabilities are examples of exposures for which supplementary methodologies are used. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed.
The methodologies we have chosen to incorporate are a function of data availability and are reflective of our own book of business. From time to time, we evaluate the need to add supplementary methodologies. New methods are incorporated if it is believed they improve the estimate of our ultimate loss and LAE liability. All of the actuarial methods eventually converge to the same estimate as an accident year matures. Our core methodologies are listed below with a short description and their relative strengths and weaknesses:
Paid Loss Development — Historical payment patterns for prior claims are used to estimate future payment patterns for current claims. These patterns are applied to current payments by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: The method reflects only the claim dollars that have been paid and is not subject to case-basis reserve changes or changes in case reserve practices.
Weaknesses: External claims environment changes can impact the rate at which claims are settled and losses paid (e.g. increase in attorney involvement or change in legal precedent). Adjustments to reflect changes in payment patterns on a prospective basis are difficult to quantify. For losses that have occurred recently, payments can be minimal and thus early estimates are subject to significant instability.
Incurred Loss Development — Historical case-incurred patterns (paid losses plus case reserves) for past claims are used to estimate future case-incurred amounts for current claims. These patterns are applied to current case-incurred losses by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Losses are reported more quickly than paid, therefore, the estimates stabilize sooner. The method reflects more information in the analysis than the paid loss development method.
Weaknesses: Method involves additional estimation risk if significant changes to case reserving practices have occurred.
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Case Reserve Development — Patterns of historical development in reported losses relative to historical case reserves are determined. These patterns are applied to current case reserves by accident year and the result is combined with paid losses to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Like the incurred development method, this method benefits from using the additional information available in case reserves that is not available from paid losses only. It also can provide a more reasonable estimate than other methods when the proportion of claims still open for an accident year is unusually high or low.
Weaknesses: It is subject to the risk of changes in case reserving practices or philosophy. It may provide unstable estimates when an accident year is immature and more of the IBNR is expected to come from unreported claims rather than development on reported claims and when accident years are very mature with infrequent case reserves.
Expected Loss Ratio — Historical loss ratios, in combination with projections of frequency and severity trends, as well as estimates of price and exposure changes, are analyzed to produce an estimate of the expected loss ratio for each accident year. The expected loss ratio is then applied to the earned premium for each year to estimate the expected ultimate losses. The current accident year expected loss ratio is also the prospective loss and ALAE ratio used in our initial IBNR generation process.
Strengths: Reflects an estimate independent of how losses are emerging on either a paid or a case reserve basis. This method is particularly useful in the absence of historical development patterns or where losses take a long time to emerge.
Weaknesses: Ignores how losses are actually emerging and thus produces the same estimate of ultimate loss regardless of favorable/unfavorable emergence.
Paid and Incurred Bornhuetter/Ferguson (BF) — This approach blends the expected loss ratio method with either the paid or incurred loss development method. In effect, the BF methods produce weighted average indications for each accident year. As an example, if the current accident year for commercial automobile liability is estimated to be 20 percent paid, then the paid loss development method would receive a weight of 20 percent and the expected loss ratio method would receive an 80 percent weight. Over time, this method will converge with the ultimate estimated by the respective loss development method.
Strengths: Reflects actual emergence that is favorable/unfavorable, but assumes remaining emergence will continue as previously expected. Does not overreact to the early emergence (or lack of emergence) where patterns are most unstable.
Weaknesses: Could potentially understate favorable or unfavorable development by putting weight on the expected loss ratio.
In most cases, multiple estimation methods will be valid for the particular facts and circumstances of the claim liabilities being evaluated. Each estimation method has its own set of assumption variables and its own advantages and disadvantages, with no single estimation method being better than the others in all situations, and no one set of assumption variables being meaningful for all product line components. The relative strengths and weaknesses of the particular estimation methods, when applied to a particular group of claims, can also change over time. Therefore, the weight given to each estimation method will likely change by accident year and with each evaluation.
The actuarial central estimates typically follow a progression that places significant weight on the BF methods when accident years are younger and claim emergence is immature. As accident years mature and claims emerge over time, increasing weight is placed on the incurred development method, the paid development method and the case reserve development method. For product lines with faster loss emergence, the progression to greater weight on the incurred and paid development methods occurs more quickly.
For our long and medium-tail products, the BF methods are typically given the most weight for more evaluation periods than the short-tailed lines. These methods are also predominant for the first 12 months of evaluation for short-tail lines. Beyond these time periods, our actuaries apply their professional judgment when weighting the estimates from the various methods deployed, but place significant reliance on the expected stage of development in normal circumstances.
Judgment can supersede this natural progression if risk factors and assumptions change, or if a situation occurs that amplifies a particular strength or weakness of a methodology. Extreme projections are critically analyzed and may be adjusted, given less credence or discarded altogether. Internal documentation is maintained that records any substantial changes in methods or assumptions from one loss reserve study to another.
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Our estimates of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are subject to change as additional data emerges. This could occur as a result of change in loss development patterns, a revision in expected loss ratios, the emergence of exceptional loss activity, a change in weightings between actuarial methods, the addition of new actuarial methodologies, new information that merits inclusion or the emergence of internal variables or external factors that would alter our view.
There is uncertainty in the estimates of ultimate losses. Significant risk factors to the reserve estimate include, but are not limited to, unforeseen or unquantifiable changes in:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss payment patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss reporting patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Frequency and severity trends, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Business or exposure mix, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational or internal processes affecting the timing of loss and LAE transactions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Regulatory and legal environment and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Economic environment. |
Our actuaries engage in discussions with senior management, underwriters and the claim department on a regular basis to ascertain any substantial changes in operations or other assumptions that are necessary to consider in the reserving analysis.
A considerable degree of judgment in the evaluation of all these factors is involved in the analysis of reserves. The human element in the application of judgment is unavoidable when faced with uncertainty. Different experts will choose different assumptions based on their individual backgrounds, professional experiences and areas of focus. Hence, the estimates selected by various qualified experts may differ significantly from each other. We consider this uncertainty by examining our historic reserve accuracy and through an internal and external review process.
Given the substantial impact of the reserve estimates on our financial statements, we subject the reserving process to significant diagnostic testing and reasonability checks. In addition, there are data validity checks and balances in our front-end processes. Data anomalies are researched and explained to reach a comfort level with the data and results. Leading indicators such as actual versus expected emergence and other diagnostics are also incorporated into the reserving processes.
Determination of Our Best Estimate
Our best estimate of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are proposed by our lead reserving actuary and then discussed and approved by our Loss Reserve Committee (LRC). The LRC is made up of various members of the management team including the appointed reserving actuary, corporate actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief claim officer, chief legal officer and other selected executives. As part of the discussion with the LRC, the analysis supporting the actuarial central estimate of the IBNR reserve by product is reviewed. The actuaries also present explanations supporting any changes to the underlying assumptions used to calculate the indicated central estimate. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regard to booked reserves that reflect both their analytical assessment and relevant qualitative factors, such as their view of estimation risk. After discussing these analyses with the LRC and considering all relevant risk factors, our actuaries determine whether the reserve balances require further adjustment.
As a predominantly excess and surplus lines and specialty admitted insurer serving niche markets, we believe we are subject to above-average variation in estimates and that this variation is not symmetrical around the actuarial central estimate.
One reason for the variation is the above-average policyholder turnover and changes in the underlying mix of exposures typical of an excess and surplus lines business. This constant change can cause estimates based on prior experience to be less reliable than estimates for more stable, admitted books of business. Also, as a niche market insurer, there is little industry-level information for
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direct comparisons of current and prior experience and other reserving parameters. These unknowns create greater-than-average variation in the actuarial central estimates.
Actuarial methods attempt to quantify future outcomes. However, insurance companies are subject to unique exposures that are difficult to foresee when coverage is initiated. Judicial and regulatory bodies involved in interpretation of insurance contracts have increasingly found opportunities to expand coverage beyond that which was intended or contemplated at the time the policy was issued. Many of these policies offer broad coverages (with named exclusion) and are issued on an occurrence basis. Claimants have at times sought coverage beyond the insurer’s original intent, including seeking to void or limit exclusionary language.
Because of the variation and the likelihood that there are unforeseen and under-quantified liabilities absent from the actuarial estimate, we believe there are circumstances where it is prudent to enhance our normal reserving process. Generally, these are circumstances where we have qualitative information and knowledge of increased risk, but those circumstances have not occurred within the history of our quantitative data. In these situations, we will rely on that qualitative information, usually from our claim team or underwriting staff, and make an enhancement to our normal process. In general, these enhancements will result in an increased overall reserve level compared to reserves based only on observed quantitative information. In the cases where these risks fail to materialize, favorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods. It is also possible that the risks materialize above the enhanced reserve level, in which case unfavorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods.
Our best estimate of loss and LAE reserves may change as a result of a revision in the actuarial central estimate, the actuary’s certainty in the estimates and processes and our overall view of the underlying risks. From time to time, we benchmark our reserving policies and procedures and refine them by adopting industry best practices where appropriate. A detailed, ground-up analysis of the reserve estimation risks associated with each of our products and segments, including an assessment of industry information, is performed annually. This information is used when determining management’s best estimate of booked reserves.
We do not use discounting in reporting our estimated reserves for losses and settlement expenses.
Loss reserve estimates are subject to a high degree of variability due to the inherent uncertainty of ultimate settlement values. Periodic adjustments to these estimates will likely occur as the actual loss emergence reveals itself over time. Our loss reserving processes reflect accepted actuarial practices and our methodologies result in a reasonable provision for reserves as of December 31, 2025.
Reserve Sensitivities
There are three major parameters that have significant influence on our actuarial estimates of ultimate liabilities by product. They are the actual losses that are reported, the expected loss emergence pattern and the expected loss ratios used in the analyses. If the actual losses reported do not emerge as expected, it may cause the Company to challenge all or some of our previous assumptions. We may change expected loss emergence patterns, the expected loss ratios used in our analysis and/or the weights we place on a given actuarial method. The impact will be much greater and more leveraged for products with longer emergence patterns. Our general liability product is an example of a product with a relatively long emergence pattern. The following chart illustrates the sensitivity of our general liability reserve estimates to these key parameters. We believe the scenarios to be reasonable, as similar favorable variations have occurred in recent years. For example, our general liability calendar year emergence on prior accident years has ranged from 12 percent to 27 percent favorable and our transportation emergence has ranged from 30 percent adverse to 40 percent favorable over the last three calendar years, while our overall emergence for all products combined has ranged from 11 percent to 16 percent favorable. The numbers below are the changes in estimated ultimate loss and ALAE in millions of dollars as of December 31, 2025, resulting from the change in the parameters shown. These parameters were applied to a general liability net loss and LAE reserve balance, which was $221 million at December 31, 2025.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Result from favorable | Result from unfavorable | ||||
| (in millions) | | change in parameter | | change in parameter | ||
| +/- 5 point change in expected loss ratio for all accident years | | $ | (20) | | $ | 21 |
| +/- 10% change in expected emergence patterns | | $ | (6) | | $ | 6 |
| +/- 30% change in actual loss emergence over a calendar year | | $ | (8) | | $ | 9 |
| Simultaneous change in expected loss ratio (5pts), expected emergence patterns (10%) and actual loss emergence (30%). | | $ | (34) | | $ | 35 |
There are often significant interrelationships between our reserving assumptions that have offsetting or compounding effects on the reserve estimate. Thus, in almost all cases, it is impossible to discretely measure the effect of a single assumption or construct a meaningful sensitivity expectation that holds true in all cases. The scenario above is representative of general liability, one of our
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largest and longest-tailed products. It is unlikely that all of our products would have variations as wide as illustrated in the example. It is also unlikely that all of our products would simultaneously experience favorable or unfavorable loss development in the same direction or at their extremes during a calendar year. Because our portfolio is made up of a diversified mix of products, there would ordinarily be some offsetting favorable and unfavorable emergence by product as actual losses start to emerge and our loss estimates become more reliable.
INVESTMENT VALUATION
Throughout each year, we and our investment managers buy and sell securities to achieve investment objectives in accordance with investment policies established and monitored by our board of directors and executive officers.
Equity securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded within net earnings. We classify our investments in fixed income securities into one of three categories: trading, held-to-maturity or available-for-sale. We do not hold any securities classified as trading or held-to-maturity. Available-for-sale securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded as a component of comprehensive earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of deferred income taxes.
Fair value is defined as the price in the principal market that would be received for an asset to facilitate an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. We determine the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.
RECOVERABILITY OF REINSURANCE BALANCES
Ceded unearned premiums and reinsurance balances recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve the Company of its liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and actively follow up on any past due or disputed amounts. As part of our monitoring efforts, we review their annual financial statements and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings for reinsurers that are publicly traded. We also review insurance industry developments that may impact the financial condition of our reinsurers. We analyze the credit risk associated with our reinsurance balances recoverable by monitoring the AM Best and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ratings of our reinsurers. Additionally, we perform an in-depth reinsurer financial condition analysis prior to the renewal of our reinsurance placements.
Once regulatory action (such as receivership, finding of insolvency, order of conservation or order of liquidation) is taken against a reinsurer, the paid and unpaid balance recoverable from the reinsurer are specifically identified and charged to earnings in the form of an allowance for uncollectible amounts. We subject our remaining reinsurance balances receivable to detailed recoverability tests, including a segment-based analysis using the average default rating percentage by S&P rating, and record an additional allowance for unrecoverable amounts from reinsurers. This credit allowance is reviewed on an ongoing basis to ensure that the amount makes a reasonable provision for reinsurance balances that we may be unable to recover.
DEFERRED POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS
We defer incremental direct costs that relate to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts, including commissions and premium taxes. Acquisition-related costs may be deemed ineligible for deferral when they are based on contingent or performance criteria beyond the basic acquisition of the insurance contract, or when efforts to obtain or renew the insurance contract are unsuccessful. All eligible costs are capitalized and charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value. This process contemplates the premiums to be earned, anticipated losses and settlement expenses and certain other costs expected to be incurred, but does not consider investment income. Judgments as to the ultimate recoverability of such deferred costs are reviewed on a segment basis and are highly dependent upon estimated future loss costs associated with the premiums written. This deferral methodology applies to both gross and ceded premiums and acquisition costs.
DEFERRED TAXES
We record deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent that temporary differences between the tax basis and GAAP basis of an asset or liability result in future taxable or deductible amounts. Our deferred tax assets relate to expected future tax deductions arising from claim reserves and future taxable income related to changes in our unearned premium and unrealized losses on our fixed income
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portfolio. We also have a significant amount of deferred tax liabilities from unrealized gains on the equity portfolio and deferred acquisition costs.
Periodically, management reviews our deferred tax positions to determine if it is more likely than not that the assets will be realized. These reviews include, among other things, the nature and amount of the taxable income and expense items, the expected timing of when assets will be used or liabilities will be required to be reported, as well as the reliability of historical profitability of businesses expected to provide future earnings. Furthermore, management considers tax planning strategies it can use to increase the likelihood that the tax assets will be realized. After conducting the periodic review, if management determines that the realization of the tax asset does not meet the more likely than not criteria, an offsetting valuation allowance is recorded, thereby reducing net earnings and the deferred tax asset in that period. In addition, management must make estimates of the tax rates expected to apply in the periods in which future taxable items are realized. Such estimates include determinations and judgments as to the expected manner in which certain temporary differences, including deferred amounts related to our equity method investment, will be recovered. These estimates enter into the determination of the applicable tax rates and are subject to change based on the circumstances.
We consider uncertainties in income taxes and recognize those in our financial statements as required. As it relates to uncertainties in income taxes, our unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements. Also, no tax uncertainties are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to unrecognized tax benefits within the next 12-month period. Penalties and interest related to income tax uncertainties, should they occur, would be included in income tax expense in the period in which they are incurred.
Additional discussion of other significant accounting policies may be found in note 1 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2025 and 2024 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2025 and 2024. Discussions of 2023 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2024 and 2023 are not included in this Form 10-K, but can be found in Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, incorporated herein by reference.
Consolidated revenue for 2025 totaled $1.9 billion, up $112 million from 2024. Net premiums earned for the Group increased 6 percent, driven primarily by growth from our casualty segment. Positive equity market returns during 2025 resulted in $43 million of unrealized gains on equity securities, building on a rally that led to $82 million of unrealized gains in our equity portfolio during 2024. Net investment income increased by 12 percent in 2025, primarily due to higher reinvestment rates and a larger average asset base relative to the prior year.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSOLIDATED REVENUE | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
| Net premiums earned | | $ | 1,614,346 | | $ | 1,526,406 |
| Net investment income | | | 159,739 | | | 142,278 |
| Net realized gains | | | 65,116 | | | 19,966 |
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | | | 43,247 | | | 81,734 |
| Total consolidated revenue | | $ | 1,882,448 | | $ | 1,770,384 |
Net earnings for 2025 totaled $403 million, up from $346 million in 2024. Improved underwriting income was bolstered by an increase in investment income.
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| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET EARNINGS | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
| Underwriting income | | $ | 264,189 | | $ | 210,653 |
| Net investment income | | | 159,739 | | | 142,278 |
| Net realized gains | | | 65,116 | | | 19,966 |
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | | | 43,247 | | | 81,734 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | (5,358) | | | (6,331) |
| General corporate expenses | | | (17,028) | | | (15,880) |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | (3,924) | | | (4,869) |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 505,981 | | $ | 427,551 |
| Income tax expense | | | (102,644) | | | (81,772) |
| Net earnings | | $ | 403,337 | | $ | 345,779 |
UNDERWRITING RESULTS
We achieved our 30th consecutive year of underwriting profitability in 2025. Gross premiums written increased 1 percent and net premiums earned increased 6 percent in 2025, when compared to 2024. Our track record of success is built on underwriting discipline and a diversified product portfolio that allows us to navigate evolving market conditions. While we may contract in some products when markets soften, we capitalize on growth opportunities in others.
Underwriting income was $264 million on an 83.6 combined ratio in 2025, compared to $211 million on an 86.2 combined ratio in 2024. Underwriting results for 2025 included $30 million of losses from catastrophe events. Comparatively, 2024 included $76 million of pretax losses from Hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton, as well as $30 million of other storm losses. Results for each period benefited from favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves, which provided additional pretax earnings of $99 million in 2025, compared to $95 million in 2024. Further discussion of reserve development can be found in note 5 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
The loss ratio was 45.0 in 2025, compared to 48.4 in 2024. The decrease reflects lower net retained catastrophe losses in 2025 and higher prior period reserve releases. The expense ratio increased to 38.6 in 2025, from 37.8 in 2024. Increased expenses were driven by continued investments in people and technology, as well as higher acquisition-related costs, which can fluctuate based on our mix of business. Additionally, higher levels of bonus and profit-sharing expense resulted from improved operating performance.
Bonus and profit-sharing amounts earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance including operating earnings, combined ratio and return on capital. Favorable loss development and other drivers of growth in book value would increase bonus and profit-sharing expenses, while catastrophe losses, adverse loss development and negative equity portfolio returns would lead to expense reductions. These performance-related expenses impact policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses.
A large portion of our reinsurance placements renewed on January 1, 2026. We secured 15 to 20 percent rate decreases on our catastrophe programs and more modest relief on our property working layers. With our reduced exposure and continuing soft market conditions, we purchased $150 million less catastrophe limit for 2026. However, we remain prepared to increase our exposure and procure additional reinsurance capacity should conditions improve. The risk-adjusted rate change for our casualty treaties was down approximately 5 percent, depending on the underlying coverage.
As we look ahead to 2026, we remain focused on underwriting for profitability in a competitive and evolving market environment. While loss severity trends remain elevated, particularly for auto-related coverages, we believe the rate increases we are taking across our portfolio have established a strong foundation for underwriting results moving forward. Our underwriters continue to be incentivized and empowered to prioritize underwriting profitability over premium growth, including pulling back from underpriced or volatile sectors when the risk-reward profile does not meet our standards. We continue to invest in technology, data infrastructure and specialized underwriting talent to support granular, real-time decision-making and operational efficiency. Supported by a diversified specialty portfolio, a strong balance sheet and disciplined execution, we are optimistic about our ability to navigate market cycles and pursue profitable underwriting opportunities as conditions evolve.
The following tables and narrative provide a more detailed look at individual segment performance over the last two years.
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GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN AND NET PREMIUMS EARNED
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Gross Premiums Written | | | Net Premiums Earned | | ||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | % Change | 2025 | 2024 | % Change | | |||||||||||
| CASUALTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial excess and personal umbrella | | $ | 584,536 | | $ | 478,144 | | 22 | % | | $ | 447,361 | | $ | 354,847 | | 26 | % |
| Commercial transportation | | | 140,389 | | | 146,733 | | (4) | % | | | 123,413 | | | 120,650 | | 2 | % |
| General liability | | | 116,294 | | | 110,984 | | 5 | % | | | 110,891 | | | 104,423 | | 6 | % |
| Professional services | | | 118,998 | | | 114,163 | | 4 | % | | | 108,090 | | | 103,794 | | 4 | % |
| Small commercial | | | 80,161 | | | 84,637 | | (5) | % | | | 79,064 | | | 78,308 | | 1 | % |
| Executive products | | | 90,898 | | | 90,815 | | 0 | % | | | 22,942 | | | 23,555 | | (3) | % |
| Other casualty | | | 59,978 | | | 82,880 | | (28) | % | | | 62,220 | | | 67,260 | | (7) | % |
| Total casualty | | $ | 1,191,254 | | $ | 1,108,356 | | 7 | % | | $ | 953,981 | | $ | 852,837 | | 12 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PROPERTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial property | | $ | 433,239 | | $ | 519,991 | | (17) | % | | $ | 301,659 | | $ | 345,554 | | (13) | % |
| Marine | | | 175,914 | | | 170,188 | | 3 | % | | | 158,904 | | | 145,706 | | 9 | % |
| Other property | | | 63,754 | | | 53,307 | | 20 | % | | | 51,841 | | | 40,124 | | 29 | % |
| Total property | | $ | 672,907 | | $ | 743,486 | | (9) | % | | $ | 512,404 | | $ | 531,384 | | (4) | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| SURETY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Transactional | | $ | 54,083 | | $ | 52,299 | | 3 | % | | $ | 52,418 | | $ | 49,460 | | 6 | % |
| Commercial | | | 61,540 | | | 59,008 | | 4 | % | | | 50,690 | | | 48,533 | | 4 | % |
| Contract | | | 47,062 | | | 49,899 | | (6) | % | | | 44,853 | | | 44,192 | | 1 | % |
| Total surety | | $ | 162,685 | | $ | 161,206 | | 1 | % | | $ | 147,961 | | $ | 142,185 | | 4 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Grand total | | $ | 2,026,846 | | $ | 2,013,048 | | 1 | % | | $ | 1,614,346 | | $ | 1,526,406 | | 6 | % |
Casualty
Gross premiums written for the casualty segment increased $83 million in 2025. We continued to benefit from positive rate movement across a significant portion of products within the segment. Market conditions in personal umbrella remained favorable as competitors adjusted their appetite and terms in response to loss trends. Our approach to growth reflects reduced new business in challenging states, where we implemented higher underlying limits. Rate increases have been secured, positioning the personal umbrella portfolio for continued growth into 2026.
Premium growth in commercial excess and general liability was driven by expanded marketing efforts and increased construction activity in targeted markets, as some competitors reduced their construction-related exposure. Transportation premiums declined for the year despite higher average rates, reflecting a challenging environment characterized by economic pressures and reduced demand resulting from insured consolidation. Small commercial premium declined as we took actions to improve the quality of the portfolio. Premiums for other casualty lines also decreased during 2025, as we exited from various captive programs and reduced our participation on the reinsurance agreement with Prime.
The casualty segment remains highly diversified, allowing some products to navigate market challenges while others generate profitable growth. We believe ongoing market disruption may present both challenges and opportunities. As with all of our segments, our investments in underwriting talent and strong producer relationships position us to capitalize on favorable market conditions as they arise.
Property
Gross premiums written for the property segment decreased $71 million in 2025. After several consecutive years of rate increases, pricing for commercial property exposures declined during the year as competition intensified among carriers and managing general agents, and some insureds elected to retain more risk. We maintained underwriting discipline by selectively retaining high-quality accounts and forgoing opportunities that did not meet our underwriting standards. We believe this approach to risk selection, together with our focus on securing appropriate pricing and terms, positions us to navigate evolving market conditions and continue to write profitable business.
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Marine premium increased during 2025, supported by new business opportunities, modest rate increases and expanded product offerings. Some competitors have reduced their appetite for select Hawaii homeowner coverages, which, along with rate increases, has allowed our other property premium to grow. We expect continued growth in Hawaii homeowners at a more moderate pace in 2026, through a combination of rate actions, strong local market presence and investments in customer experience.
Surety
Gross premiums written in the surety segment increased by $1 million in 2025. Growth in transactional surety was driven by targeted marketing initiatives and continued investment in our distribution capabilities. Commercial surety premium increased as we secured new accounts through collaboration with our distribution partners. These increases were partially offset by a decline in contract surety premium, reflecting a slowdown in construction spending. We remain well positioned to support future business as infrastructure projects at the federal, state and local levels receive funding. Our underwriters actively monitor the financial condition of principals and work collaboratively with them to support achievable projects. We believe this disciplined approach to underwriting and risk selection across economic cycles will enable us to generate profitable growth over the long term.
UNDERWRITING INCOME
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underwriting Income | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
| Casualty | | $ | 15,867 | | $ | 17,788 |
| Property | | | 219,125 | | | 167,536 |
| Surety | | | 29,197 | | | 25,329 |
| Total | | $ | 264,189 | | $ | 210,653 |
| | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combined Ratio | 2025 | 2024 | ||
| Casualty | 98.3 | 97.9 | ||
| Property | 57.2 | 68.5 | ||
| Surety | 80.3 | 82.2 | ||
| Total | 83.6 | 86.2 |
Casualty
Underwriting income for the casualty segment was $16 million on a 98.3 combined ratio in 2025, compared to $18 million on a 97.9 combined ratio in 2024. The total benefit from favorable development on prior years’ reserves was $33 million for 2025, which was largely attributable to accident years 2019 through 2022 and 2024. Favorable development was widespread, with notable amounts from commercial excess, general liability, executive products, professional services and our mortgage reinsurance program within other casualty. Commercial transportation and small commercial experienced adverse prior accident year development. Comparatively, results for the casualty segment in 2024 included favorable development of $53 million, with the majority attributable to commercial excess, general liability, executive products, professional services and our mortgage reinsurance program across accident years 2019 through 2023. Hurricane and storm losses on casualty-oriented package policies that include property coverage resulted in $2 million of losses in 2025, compared to $5 million of storm losses in 2024.
The segment’s loss ratio was 62.4 in 2025, compared to 61.5 in 2024. The higher loss ratio in 2025 was due to lower amounts of favorable development on prior years’ reserves. The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 35.9 in 2025, compared to 36.4 in 2024, as the growth in the earned premium base exceeded the growth in expense.
Property
Underwriting income from the property segment was $219 million on a 57.2 combined ratio in 2025, compared to $168 million on a 68.5 combined ratio in 2024. Underwriting results for 2025 included $50 million of favorable development on prior years’ attritional and catastrophe loss reserves, largely from the commercial property and marine businesses, as well as $28 million of storm and other catastrophe losses. Results for 2024 included $33 million of favorable development on prior years’ attritional and catastrophe loss reserves, largely from the marine and commercial property businesses; $73 million of losses from Hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton; as well as $28 million of other storm losses.
The segment’s loss ratio was 23.4 in 2025, compared to 37.4 in 2024. Catastrophe losses added 5 points to the loss ratio in 2025, compared to 19 points in 2024. Additionally, increased levels of favorable development on prior accident years improved the loss ratio in 2025, but the impact was partially offset by higher levels of current accident year attritional losses. The expense ratio for the
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property segment increased to 33.8 in 2025, from 31.1 in 2024, as a result of continued investments in people and technology, as well as higher acquisition-related expenses, which can fluctuate between periods.
Surety
Underwriting income for the surety segment totaled $29 million on an 80.3 combined ratio in 2025, compared to $25 million on an 82.2 combined ratio in 2024. Underwriting performance for each year reflects a combination of positive current accident year results and favorable development in prior accident years’ loss reserves. Favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $16 million for 2025 and $9 million for 2024.
The segment’s loss ratio was 7.2 in 2025, compared to 11.2 in 2024. An increase in prior accident year favorable development led to the improved loss ratio for the segment. The expense ratio for the surety segment was 73.1 in 2025, up from 71.0 in 2024, due to continued investments in people and technology, as well as higher policy acquisition expenses.
NET INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS
During 2025, net investment income increased by 12 percent. The increase was primarily due to higher reinvestment rates and an increased asset base relative to the prior year. The average annual yields on our investments were as follows for 2025 and 2024:
| | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 2025 | 2024 | |||
| PRETAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 4.14 | % | 3.82 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.84 | % | 2.87 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.71 | % | 1.97 | % | |
| | | | | | |
| AFTER-TAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 3.27 | % | 3.02 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.69 | % | 2.72 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.49 | % | 1.71 | % |
The after-tax yield reflects the different tax rates applicable to each category of investment. Our taxable fixed income securities were subject to a corporate tax rate of 21 percent, our tax-exempt municipal securities were subject to a tax rate of 5.3 percent and our dividend income was generally subject to a tax rate of 13.1 percent. During 2025, the average after-tax yield on the taxable fixed income portfolio was 3.3 percent, an increase from 3.0 percent in the prior year. The average after-tax yield on the tax-exempt portfolio was 2.7 percent for both 2025 and 2024.
The fixed income portfolio increased by $358 million during the year, as we allocated the majority of available cash flow to investment grade bonds and experienced positive market performance throughout the year. The tax-adjusted total return on a mark-to-market basis was 7.5 percent. Our equity portfolio increased by $163 million to $899 million in 2025 as a result of strong equity market returns during the year. The total return for the year on the equity portfolio was 16.7 percent.
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Our investment results for the last five years are shown in the following table:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | ||||||||
| | | | | | | | | | Pre-tax | ||||||
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Annualized | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Change in | | Return on | | |
| | | Average | | Net | | | | | Unrealized | | Avg. | | |||
| | | Invested | | Investment | | Net Realized | | Appreciation | | Invested | | ||||
| (in thousands) | Assets (1) | Income (2)(3) | Gains (3)(4) | (3)(5) | Assets | ||||||||||
| 2021 | | 3,000,025 | | 68,862 | | 64,222 | | (6,280) | 4.2 | % | |||||
| 2022 | | 3,217,635 | | 86,078 | | 588,515 | | (462,981) | 6.6 | % | |||||
| 2023 | | 3,474,310 | | 120,383 | | 32,518 | | 144,569 | 8.6 | % | |||||
| 2024 | | 3,880,475 | | 142,278 | | 19,966 | | 64,912 | 5.9 | % | |||||
| 2025 | | 4,374,125 | | 159,739 | | 65,116 | | 149,583 | 8.6 | % | |||||
| 5-yr Avg. | | $ | 3,589,314 | | $ | 115,468 | | $ | 154,067 | | $ | (22,039) | 6.8 | % |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (1) | Average market values at beginning and end of year (inclusive of cash and short-term investments). |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (2) | Investment income, net of investment expenses. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (3) | Before income taxes. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (4) | Net realized gains for 2022 include $571 million of gains from the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (5) | Relates to available-for-sale fixed income and equity securities. |
In 2025, we recognized $61 million of net realized gains in the equity portfolio, less than $1 million of net realized gains in the fixed income portfolio and $4 million of other net realized gains. In 2024, we recognized $31 million of net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $5 million of net realized losses in the fixed income portfolio and $6 million of other net realized losses.
While the Federal Reserve began reducing rates in 2025, yields remained attractive relative to recent history, which supported investment income throughout the year. Entering 2026, the Federal Reserve has emphasized that further policy moves will be data-dependent, with projections and market pricing suggesting a measured easing path. A stable rate environment and larger invested asset base should support continued growth in investment income, though a sharper-than-expected decline in yields would limit the pace of that growth.
INVESTMENTS
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio with a prudent mix of fixed income and risk assets. We continually monitor economic conditions, our capital position, the insurance market and relative value in the capital markets to determine our tactical allocation. As of December 31, 2025, the portfolio had a fair value of $4.7 billion, an increase of $579 million from the end of 2024. Excluding U.S. government and agency issues, no single issuer in either the fixed income or equity portfolio represented more than 1 percent of invested assets.
We determined the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value. For additional information, see notes 1 and 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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As of December 31, 2025, our investment portfolio had the following asset allocation breakdown:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Cost or | | | | | Unrealized | | % of Total | | | ||
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Gain/(Loss) | Fair Value | Quality* | ||||||||
| U.S. government | | $ | 331,233 | | $ | 335,223 | | $ | 3,990 | 7.2 | % | AA+ | |
| U.S. agency | | | 37,379 | | | 37,927 | | | 548 | 0.8 | % | AA+ | |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | 13,831 | | | 13,547 | | | (284) | 0.3 | % | A- | |
| Agency MBS | | | 634,349 | | | 610,675 | | | (23,674) | 13.1 | % | AA+ | |
| ABS/CMBS/MBS** | | | 685,126 | | | 672,984 | | | (12,142) | 14.4 | % | AA+ | |
| Corporate | | | 1,502,843 | | | 1,491,506 | | | (11,337) | 32.0 | % | A- | |
| Municipal | | | 437,601 | | | 371,474 | | | (66,127) | 7.9 | % | AA+ | |
| Total fixed income | | $ | 3,642,362 | | $ | 3,533,336 | | $ | (109,026) | 75.7 | % | AA- | |
| Equities | | | 534,311 | | | 898,876 | | | 364,565 | 19.3 | % | | |
| Short-term investments | | | 120,562 | | | 120,562 | | | — | 2.6 | % | | |
| Other invested assets | | | 59,775 | | | 59,281 | | | (494) | | 1.3 | % | |
| Cash | | | 51,565 | | | 51,565 | | | — | 1.1 | % | | |
| Total portfolio | | $ | 4,408,575 | | $ | 4,663,620 | | $ | 255,045 | 100.0 | % | |
*Quality ratings provided by Moody’s, S&P and Fitch
**Non-agency asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed and mortgage-backed securities
Quality in the previous table and in all subsequent tables is an average of each bond’s credit rating, adjusted for its relative weighting in the portfolio.
In selecting the maturity of securities in which we invest, we consider the relationship between the duration of our fixed income investments and the duration of our liabilities, including the expected ultimate payout patterns of our reserves. We believe that both liquidity and interest rate risk can be minimized by such asset/liability management. As of December 31, 2025, our fixed income portfolio’s duration was 4.8 years.
Consistent underwriting income allows a portion of our investment portfolio to be invested in equity securities and other risk asset classes. Equities comprised 19 percent of our total 2025 portfolio, up from 18 percent at the end of 2024, as equity markets rose over the course of the year. Securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index exchange traded funds (ETFs). Our actively managed equity strategy has a preference for dividend income and value-oriented security selection with low turnover, which minimizes transaction costs and taxes throughout our extended investment horizon.
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FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
As of December 31, 2025, our fixed income portfolio had the following rating distributions:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR VALUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Below | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Investment | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | AAA | AA | A | BBB | Grade | No Rating | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. government & agency (GSE) | | $ | — | | $ | 373,150 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 373,150 |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | — | | | 1,407 | | | 4,415 | | | 5,595 | | | — | | | 2,130 | | | 13,547 |
| Corporate - industrial | | | 14,304 | | | 80,685 | | | 271,879 | | | 259,213 | | | 125,768 | | | 3,938 | | | 755,787 |
| Corporate - financial | | | 1,980 | | | 68,757 | | | 254,433 | | | 134,755 | | | 25,486 | | | 2,040 | | | 487,451 |
| Corporate - utilities | | | — | | | 12,822 | | | 80,507 | | | 40,397 | | | 6,365 | | | — | | | 140,091 |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 46,649 | | | 46,649 |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 59,024 | | | 59,024 |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,504 | | | 2,504 |
| Municipal | | | 97,605 | | | 242,600 | | | 30,692 | | | — | | | — | | | 577 | | | 371,474 |
| Structured: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| GSE - RMBS | | | — | | | 571,202 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 571,202 |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 180,785 | | | 1,416 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 182,201 |
| CLO | | | 47,636 | | | 21,180 | | | 46,488 | | | 5,953 | | | — | | | — | | | 121,257 |
| ABS | | | 96,843 | | | 27,077 | | | 67,950 | | | 1,237 | | | — | | | 39,525 | | | 232,632 |
| GSE - CMBS | | | — | | | 39,473 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 39,473 |
| CMBS | | | 130,311 | | | 1,111 | | | 2,308 | | | — | | | 3,164 | | | — | | | 136,894 |
| Total | | $ | 569,464 | | $ | 1,440,880 | | $ | 758,672 | | $ | 447,150 | | $ | 160,783 | | $ | 156,387 | | $ | 3,533,336 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Percent of total fair value | | | 16.1% | | | 40.8% | | | 21.5% | | | 12.7% | | | 4.5% | | | 4.4% | | | 100.0% |
Mortgage-Backed, Asset-Backed and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
We believe mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) add diversification, liquidity, credit quality and additional yield to our portfolio. The following table summarizes the distribution of our MBS portfolio by investment type, as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2025 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 501,065 | | $ | 487,342 | | 79.8 | % |
| Planned amortization class | | 89,380 | | | 83,860 | | 13.7 | % | |
| Sequential | | 43,904 | | | 39,473 | | 6.5 | % | |
| Total | | $ | 634,349 | | $ | 610,675 | 100.0 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2024 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 298,351 | | $ | 270,921 | | 68.4 | % |
| Planned amortization class | | 94,586 | | | 86,035 | | 21.7 | % | |
| Sequential | | 45,608 | | | 39,267 | | 9.9 | % | |
| Total | | $ | 438,545 | | $ | 396,223 | 100.0 | % |
Agency MBS represented 17 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 12 percent as of December 31, 2024. Our objective for the agency MBS portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability where we are compensated for the call risk associated with residential mortgage refinancing. The agency MBS portfolio includes mortgage-backed pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMO), which include planned amortization classes and sequential pay structures. As of December 31, 2025, all the securities in our agency MBS portfolio were rated AA and issued by Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) such as the Governmental National Mortgage Association, Federal National Mortgage Association or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.
Variability in the average life of principal repayment is an inherent risk of owning mortgage-related securities. However, we reduce our portfolio’s exposure to prepayment risk by seeking characteristics that tighten the probable scenarios for expected cash
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flows. As of December 31, 2025, the agency MBS portfolio contained 80 percent of pure pass-throughs, up from 68 percent as of December 31, 2024. An additional 6 percent of the MBS portfolio was invested in sequential payer, down from 10 percent in 2024.
The following table summarizes the distribution of our asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities portfolio as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2025 | | | | | | | | | |
| ABS | | $ | 232,904 | | $ | 232,632 | | 34.6 | % |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 191,625 | | | 182,201 | | 27.1 | % |
| CMBS | | 139,542 | | | 136,894 | | 20.3 | % | |
| CLO | | | 121,055 | | | 121,257 | | 18.0 | % |
| Total | | $ | 685,126 | | $ | 672,984 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2024 | | | | | | | | | |
| ABS | | $ | 137,353 | | $ | 135,309 | | 33.0 | % |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 141,784 | | | 127,930 | | 31.2 | % |
| CMBS | | | 84,927 | | | 79,959 | | 19.5 | % |
| CLO | | | 66,909 | | | 67,050 | | 16.3 | % |
| Total | | $ | 430,973 | | $ | 410,248 | | 100.0 | % |
An ABS, CMBS or non-agency residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) is a securitization collateralized by the cash flows from a specific pool of underlying assets. These asset pools can include items such as credit card payments, auto loans, structured bank loans in the form of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and residential or commercial mortgages. As of December 31, 2025, ABS/CMBS/RMBS investments were 19 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 13 percent as of December 31, 2024. Sixty-eight percent of the securities in the ABS/CMBS/RMBS portfolio were rated AAA as of December 31, 2025, while 93 percent were rated A or better. We believe that ABS/CMBS investments often add superior cash flow stability over mortgage pass-throughs or CMOs.
When making investments in MBS/ABS/CMBS, we evaluate the quality of the underlying collateral, the structure of the transaction, which dictates how any losses in the underlying collateral will be distributed, and prepayment risks. We had $36 million in unrealized losses in these asset classes as of December 31, 2025.
Municipal Fixed Income Securities
As of December 31, 2025, municipal bonds comprised 11 percent of our fixed income portfolio, compared to 14 percent as of December 31, 2024. We believe municipal fixed income securities can provide diversification and additional tax-advantaged yield to our portfolio. Our objective for the municipal fixed income portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability and increased after-tax yield.
Our municipal fixed income portfolio is comprised of general obligation (GO) and revenue securities. The revenue sources include sectors such as sewer and water, public improvement, school, transportation and colleges and universities. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 49 percent of the municipal fixed income securities in the investment portfolio were GO and the remaining 51 percent were revenue based. The municipal portfolio is diversified amongst 222 issues.
Ninety-two percent of our municipal fixed income securities were rated AA or better, while 100 percent were rated A or better. The municipal portfolio includes 73 percent taxable and 27 percent tax-exempt securities.
Corporate Debt Securities
As of December 31, 2025, our corporate debt portfolio comprised 42 percent of the fixed income portfolio, consistent with its 42 percent weight as of December 31, 2024. The corporate allocation includes floating rate bank loans and bonds that are below investment grade in credit quality and offer incremental yield over our core fixed income portfolio. Non-investment grade bonds totaled $158 million while non-rated private placement securities totaled $108 million at the end of 2025. Although these private placement securities are not rated by a traditional nationally recognized statistical rating organization, all but one carry an equivalent
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investment-grade rating from the Securities Valuation Office of the NAIC. The corporate debt portfolio has an overall quality rating of A- diversified among 981 issues.
The table below illustrates our corporate debt exposure as of December 31, 2025. Private placements include securities acquired through private offerings (e.g., Regulation D, Section 4(a)(2) and similar exemptions).
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | |
| Corporate - industrial | | $ | 764,140 | | $ | 755,787 | | 50.7 | % |
| Corporate - financial | | | 489,703 | | | 487,451 | | 32.7 | % |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 139,690 | | | 140,091 | | 9.4 | % |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | 47,234 | | | 46,649 | | 3.0 | % |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | 59,550 | | | 59,024 | | 4.0 | % |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | 2,526 | | | 2,504 | | 0.2 | % |
| Total | | $ | 1,502,843 | | $ | 1,491,506 | | 100.0 | % |
We believe corporate debt investments add diversification and additional yield to our portfolio.
EQUITY SECURITIES
As of December 31, 2025, our equity portfolio comprised 19 percent of the investment portfolio, up from 18 percent at the end of the previous year. The securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index ETFs that represent market indexes similar to the Russell 3000 Index, Russell 1000 Index and S&P 500 Index. The ETF portfolio is congruent with the actively managed equity portfolios and solves for exposures that line up with our overall benchmark index, the Russell 3000. In total, the equity portfolio is comprised of 84 securities.
INTEREST AND GENERAL CORPORATE EXPENSE
We incurred $5 million of interest expense on outstanding debt during 2025 and $6 million in 2024. On December 31, 2025, our debt included $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC Bank, N.A. (PNC). The borrowing may be repaid at any time and carries an adjustable interest rate of 5.33 percent as of the end of 2025. Additionally, we borrowed $50 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago (FHLBC) and pay interest monthly at an annualized rate of 4.21 percent. This borrowing matures on November 12, 2026, but may be repaid early at set quarterly dates. Comparatively, on December 31, 2024, our debt consisted of $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC and carried a floating interest rate of 5.98 percent, as well as $50 million of borrowings from the FHLBC that matured on November 10, 2025 and paid interest monthly at an annualized rate of 4.44 percent.
We incurred $17 million of general corporate expense during 2025 and $16 million during 2024. General corporate expenses include director and shareholder relation costs and other compensation-related expenses incurred for the benefit of the corporation.
INVESTEE EARNINGS
As of December 31, 2025, we had a 23 percent interest in the equity and earnings of Prime Holdings Insurance Services, Inc. (Prime). Prime writes business through two Illinois domiciled insurance carriers, Prime Insurance Company, an excess and surplus lines company, and Prime Property and Casualty Insurance Inc., an admitted insurance company. As a private company, the market for Prime’s stock is limited. While we have certain rights under our shareholder agreement and maintain a position on Prime’s board of directors, we are subject to the decisions of the controlling shareholder, which may impact the value of our investment.
In 2025, we recorded $4 million in investee losses for Prime, compared to $5 million of investee losses in 2024. We perform annual impairment reviews of our investments in unconsolidated investees. During 2025, continued difficult trends for commercial auto exposures, including industry wide increases in loss costs and adverse development, resulted in a $10 million non-cash impairment charge, which was recognized in equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees. The loss in 2024 was reflective of Prime strengthening loss reserves on a number of prior accident years. Additionally, we had a quota share reinsurance treaty with Prime, which contributed $3 million of gross premiums written and $6 million of net premiums earned during 2025, compared to $9 million of gross premiums written and $8 million of net premiums earned during 2024. The decrease in premiums earned is attributable to a reduction of our participation in the quota share reinsurance treaty, as well as the competitive market in which Prime operates. Beginning in 2026, we will no longer be a participant on Prime’s reinsurance treaty.
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We received dividends of $3 million from Prime in 2024, while no dividends were received from Prime in 2025. Dividends from our equity method investees have been irregular in nature, and while they provide added liquidity when received, we do not rely on those dividends to meet our liquidity needs.
INCOME TAXES
Our effective tax rates were 20.3 percent and 19.1 percent for 2025 and 2024, respectively. Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings and the related tax effects. The effective rate was higher in 2025 due to lower levels of tax-favored adjustments, such as excess tax benefits on share-based compensation, and higher levels of pretax earnings, which decreased the percentage impact of the tax-favored adjustments.
NET UNPAID LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
The primary liability on our balance sheet relates to unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which represents our estimated liability for losses and related settlement expenses before considering offsetting reinsurance balances recoverable. The largest asset on our balance sheet, outside of investments, is the reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which serves to offset this liability. The liability can be split into two parts: (1) case reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on known claims and (2) IBNR reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. Our gross liability for both case and IBNR reserves is reduced by reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses to calculate our net reserve balance. This net reserve balance increased to $2.1 billion at December 31, 2025, from $1.9 billion as of December 31, 2024. This reflects net incurred losses of $726 million in 2025 offset by paid losses of $524 million, compared to net incurred losses of $739 million offset by $490 million paid in 2024. For more information on the changes in loss and LAE reserves by segment, see note 5 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Gross reserves (liability) and the reinsurance balances recoverable (asset) are generally subject to the same influences that affect net reserves, though changes to our reinsurance agreements can cause reinsurance balances recoverable to behave differently. Total gross loss and LAE reserves increased to $2.9 billion at December 31, 2025, from $2.7 billion at December 31, 2024, while ceded loss and LAE reserves decreased to $747 million from $755 million over the same period.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
OVERVIEW
We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) operating cash flows, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) investing cash flows related to the purchase, sale and maturity of investments and (3) financing cash flows that impact our capital structure, such as changes in debt, issuance of common stock and dividend payments. The following table summarizes these three cash flows over the last two years:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | ||||
| Net cash provided by operating activities | | $ | 614,221 | | $ | 560,219 |
| Net cash used in investing activities | | | (362,128) | | | (318,870) |
| Net cash used in financing activities | | | (240,318) | | | (237,983) |
We have posted positive operating cash flow in the last two years. Variations in operating cash flow between periods are largely driven by the volume and timing of premium receipt, claim payments, reinsurance and taxes. In addition, fluctuations in insurance operating expenses impact operating cash flow. During 2025, the majority of cash outflows were associated with the net purchase of fixed income securities, classified as investing activities, and the payment of our regular quarterly dividends and $2.00 per share special dividend, classified as financing activities.
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We have entered into certain contractual obligations that require the Company to make recurring payments. The following table summarizes our contractual obligations as of December 31, 2025:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments due by period | | | | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | Less than 1 year | 1-3 years | 3-5 years | More than 5 years | Total | ||||||||||
| Loss and settlement expense reserves | | $ | 815,833 | | $ | 1,023,182 | | $ | 558,672 | | $ | 489,132 | | $ | 2,886,819 |
| Debt | | | 100,000 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 100,000 |
| Interest on debt | | | 3,140 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 3,140 |
| Operating leases | | | 4,332 | | | 5,033 | | | 3,300 | | | 4,111 | | | 16,776 |
| Other invested assets | | | 7,776 | | | 7,027 | | | 68 | | | 115 | | | 14,986 |
| Total | | $ | 931,081 | | $ | 1,035,242 | | $ | 562,040 | | $ | 493,358 | | $ | 3,021,721 |
Loss and settlement expense reserves represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling reported and unreported claims and related expenses. As discussed previously, the estimation of loss and loss expense reserves is based on various complex and subjective judgments. Actual losses and settlement expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements. Similarly, the timing for payment of our estimated losses is not fixed and is not determinable on an individual or aggregate basis. The assumptions used in estimating the payments due by periods are based on our historical claims payment experience. Due to the uncertainty inherent in the process of estimating the timing of such payments, there is a risk that the amounts paid in any period could be significantly different than the amounts disclosed above. Amounts disclosed above are gross of anticipated amounts recoverable from reinsurers. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves are reported separately as assets, instead of being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not discharge the Company of its liability to policyholders. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves totaled $747 million on December 31, 2025, compared to $755 million in 2024.
The next largest contractual obligation relates to debt outstanding. On September 15, 2023, we accessed $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC Bank, N.A. (PNC). The borrowing may be repaid at any time prior to the facilities expiration on May 29, 2026 and carried an adjustable interest rate of 5.33 percent as of the end of 2025. Additionally, on November 12, 2025 we borrowed $50 million from the FHLBC and pay interest monthly at an annualized rate of 4.21 percent. The borrowing matures on November 12, 2026, but may be repaid early at set quarterly dates. We are not party to any off-balance sheet arrangements. See note 3 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for more information on our debt. Additionally, see note 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for information on our obligations for other invested assets.
On December 31, 2025, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments maturing within one year of approximately $414 million and an additional $752 million of investments maturing between 1 to 5 years. Our revolving line of credit with PNC permits us to borrow up to an aggregate principal amount of $100 million, but may be increased up to an aggregate principal amount of $130 million under certain conditions. The facility has a three-year term that expires on May 29, 2026. As of December 31, 2025, $50 million was outstanding on this facility. Additionally, based on qualifying assets and the $50 million borrowing outstanding with the FHLBC as of year-end, additional immediate borrowing capacity from the FHLBC is approximately $15 million. However, under certain circumstances, that capacity may be increased based on additional FHLBC stock purchased and available collateral. Our membership allows each insurance subsidiary member to determine tenor and structure at the time of borrowing.
Our primary objective in managing our capital is to preserve and grow shareholders’ equity and statutory surplus to improve our competitive position and allow for expansion of our insurance operations. Our insurance subsidiaries must maintain certain minimum capital levels in order to meet the requirements of the states in which we are regulated. Our insurance companies are also evaluated by rating agencies that assign financial strength ratings that measure our ability to meet our obligations to policyholders over an extended period of time.
We have historically grown our total capital as a result of three sources of funds: (1) earnings on underwriting and investing activities, (2) appreciation in the value of our investments and (3) the issuance of common stock and debt. We believe that cash generated by operations, cash generated by investments and cash available from financing activities will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months. We have consistently generated positive operating cash flow. The primary factor in our ability to generate positive operating cash flow is underwriting profitability, which we have achieved for 30 consecutive years.
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OPERATING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from operating activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Premiums received | Claims | |
| Loss payments from reinsurers | Ceded premium to reinsurers | |
| Investment income (interest and dividends) | Commissions paid | |
| Funds held | Operating expenses | |
| | Interest expense | |
| | | Income taxes |
| | Funds held |
Premiums received from customers are our largest source of cash, which we receive at the beginning of the coverage period for most policies. Our largest cash outflow is for claim payments that arise when a policyholder incurs an insured loss. Because the payment of claims occurs after the receipt of the premium, often years later, we invest the cash in various investment securities that earn interest and dividends. We use cash to pay commissions to brokers and agents, as well as to pay for ongoing operating expenses such as salaries, rent, taxes and interest expense. We also utilize reinsurance to manage the risk that we take on our policies. We cede, or pay out, part of the premiums we receive to our reinsurers and collect cash back when losses subject to our reinsurance coverage are paid.
The timing of our cash flows from operating activities can vary among periods due to the timing by which payments are made or received. Some of our payments and receipts, including loss settlements and subsequent reinsurance receipts, can be significant, so their timing can influence cash flows from operating activities in any given period. We are subject to the risk of incurring significant losses on catastrophes, both natural (such as earthquakes and hurricanes) and man-made (such as terrorism). If we were to incur such losses, we would have to make significant claim payments in a relatively concentrated period of time.
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from investing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from sale, call or maturity of bonds | Purchase of bonds | |
| Proceeds from sale of stocks | Purchase of stocks | |
| Proceeds from sale of other invested assets | | Purchase of other invested assets |
| | Acquisitions | |
| | Purchase of property and equipment |
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio representing policyholder funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our shareholders. As of December 31, 2025, our portfolio had a carrying value of $4.7 billion. Portfolio assets on December 31, 2025 increased by $579 million, or 14 percent, from December 31, 2024.
Our overall investment philosophy is designed to first protect policyholders by maintaining sufficient funds to meet corporate and policyholder obligations and then generate long-term growth in shareholders’ equity. Because our existing and projected liabilities are sufficiently funded by the fixed income portfolio, we can improve returns by investing a portion of the surplus (within limits) in a risk assets portfolio largely made up of equities. As of December 31, 2025, 51 percent of our shareholders’ equity was invested in equities versus 48 percent at year-end 2024.
The fixed income portfolio is structured to meet policyholder obligations and optimize the generation of after-tax investment income and total return.
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FINANCING ACTIVITIES
In addition to the previously discussed operating and investing activities, we also engage in financing activities to manage our capital structure. The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from financing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from stock offerings | Shareholder dividends | |
| Proceeds from debt offerings | Debt repayment | |
| Shares issued under stock option plans | Share buy-backs |
Our capital structure is comprised of equity and debt obligations. As of December 31, 2025, our capital structure consisted of $100 million in debt and $1.8 billion of shareholders’ equity. Debt outstanding comprised 5 percent of total capital as of December 31, 2025.
At the holding company (RLI Corp.) level, we rely largely on dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations for paying principal and interest on outstanding debt, corporate expenses and dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. As discussed further below, dividend payments to RLI Corp. from our principal insurance subsidiary are restricted by state insurance laws as to the amount that may be paid without prior approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of Illinois. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from such subsidiary at times and in amounts necessary to pay desired dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. On a GAAP basis, as of December 31, 2025, our holding company had $1.8 billion in equity. This includes amounts related to the equity of our insurance subsidiaries, which is subject to regulatory restrictions under state insurance laws. The unrestricted portion of holding company net assets is comprised primarily of investments and cash, including $72 million in liquid investment assets, which exceeds our normal annual holding company expenditures. Unrestricted funds at the holding company level are available to fund debt interest, general corporate obligations and regular dividend payments to our shareholders. If necessary, the holding company also has other potential sources of liquidity that could provide for additional funding to meet corporate obligations or pay shareholder dividends, which include a revolving line of credit, as well as access to the capital markets.
Ordinary dividends, which may be paid by our principal insurance subsidiary without prior regulatory approval, are subject to certain limitations based upon statutory income, surplus and earned surplus. The maximum ordinary dividend distribution from our principal insurance subsidiary in a rolling 12-month period is limited by Illinois law to the greater of 10 percent of RLI Ins. policyholder surplus, as of December 31 of the preceding year, or the net income of RLI Ins. for the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year. Ordinary dividends are further restricted by the requirement that they be paid from earned surplus.
In 2025 and 2024, RLI Ins. paid ordinary dividends totaling $139 million and $152 million, respectively, to RLI Corp. Any dividend distribution in excess of the ordinary dividend limits is deemed extraordinary and requires prior approval from the IDOI. In 2025, our principal insurance subsidiary sought and received regulatory approval prior to the payment of extraordinary dividends totaling $151 million. No extraordinary dividends were paid in 2024. As of January 1, 2026, $19 million of the net assets of our principal insurance subsidiary were not restricted and could be distributed to RLI Corp. as ordinary dividends. A total of $309 million in ordinary dividend capacity will be available over the course of 2026. In addition to restrictions from our principal subsidiary’s insurance regulator, we also consider internal models and how capital adequacy is defined by our rating agencies in determining amounts available for distribution.
Our 199th consecutive dividend payment was declared in February 2026 and will be paid on March 16, 2026, in the amount of $0.16 per share. Since the inception of cash dividends in 1976, we have increased our annual ordinary dividend every year.
PROSPECTIVE ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Prospective accounting standards are those which we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of relevant prospective accounting standards, see note 1.D. to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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MD&A history
Prior-year 10-K MD&A spans are extracted from SEC filings with the same bounded parser used for the latest filing. The latest 10-K appears above; prior years are below.
FY 2024 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-25-001301.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
OVERVIEW
RLI Corp. is a U.S. based, specialty insurance company that underwrites select property, casualty and surety products through three major subsidiaries collectively known as RLI Insurance Group (Group). Our focus is on niche markets and developing unique products that are tailored to customers’ needs. We hire underwriters and claim examiners with deep expertise and provide exceptional customer service and support. We maintain a highly diverse product portfolio and underwrite for profit in all market conditions. In 2024, we achieved our 29th consecutive year of underwriting profitability. Over the 29-year period, we averaged an 88.1 combined ratio. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting income itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.
On December 15, 2025, RLI Corp. effected a two-for-one split of its common stock and a proportionate increase in the number of authorized shares. All share and per share information throughout this report has been retroactively adjusted to reflect the stock split.
We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: property, casualty and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written, and profitability is analyzed through underwriting income and combined ratios.
KEY PERFORMANCE MEASURES
Following is a list of key performance measures found throughout this report with their definitions, relationships to GAAP measures and explanations of their importance to our operations.
Underwriting Income
Underwriting income or profit represents one measure of the pretax profitability of our insurance operations and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses from net premiums earned, which are all GAAP financial measures. Each of these components are presented in the statements of earnings but are not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 11 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains or losses, net unrealized gains or losses on equity securities, general corporate expenses, debt costs and our portion of earnings from unconsolidated investees. A reconciliation of net earnings to underwriting income follows:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
| Net earnings | | $ | 345,779 | | $ | 304,611 |
| Income tax expense | | | 81,772 | | | 72,654 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 427,551 | | $ | 377,265 |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | 4,869 | | | (9,610) |
| General corporate expenses | | | 15,880 | | | 15,917 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | 6,331 | | | 7,301 |
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | | | (81,734) | | | (64,787) |
| Net realized gains | | | (19,966) | | | (32,518) |
| Net investment income | | | (142,278) | | | (120,383) |
| Underwriting income | | $ | 210,653 | | $ | 173,185 |
Combined Ratio
The combined ratio, which is derived from components of underwriting income, is a common industry performance measure of profitability for underwriting operations and is calculated in two components. The loss ratio is loss and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The expense ratio reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses divided by net premiums earned. All items included in these components of the combined ratio are presented in our GAAP consolidated financial statements. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.
The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes.
LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
Overview
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves represent our best estimate of ultimate payments for losses and related settlement expenses from claims that have been reported but not paid, and those losses that have been incurred but not yet reported (IBNR) to the Company. Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but instead represent our estimates, generally utilizing individual claim estimates, actuarial expertise and estimation techniques at a given accounting date. The loss reserve estimates are expectations of what ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost upon final resolution. These estimates are based on facts and circumstances then known to the Company, review of historical settlement patterns, estimates of trends in claim frequency and severity, projections of loss costs, expected interpretations of legal theories of liability and many other factors. In establishing reserves, we also consider estimated recoveries from reinsurance as well as salvage and subrogation.
We record two categories of loss and LAE reserves: case-specific reserves and IBNR reserves. Within a reasonable period of time after a claim is reported, our claim department completes an initial investigation and establishes a case reserve. This case-specific reserve is an estimate of the ultimate amount we will have to pay for the claim, including related legal expenses and other costs associated with resolving and settling it. The estimate reflects all of the current information available regarding the claim, the informed judgment of our professional claim personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim and our reserving practices. During the life cycle of a particular claim, as more information becomes available, we may revise the estimate of the ultimate value of the claim either upward or downward. We may determine that it is appropriate to pay portions of the reserve to the claimant or related settlement expenses before final resolution of the claim. The amount of the individual case reserve will be adjusted accordingly and is based on the most recent information available.
We establish IBNR reserves to estimate the amount we will have to pay for claims that have occurred, but have not yet been reported to the Company, claims that have been reported to the Company that may ultimately be paid out differently than reflected in our case-specific reserves and claims that have been closed but may reopen and require future payment.
LAE represents the cost involved in adjusting and administering losses from policies we issued. The LAE reserves are frequently separated into two components: allocated and unallocated. Allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that can be identified with a specific claim. Examples of ALAE would be the hiring of an outside adjuster to investigate a claim or an outside attorney to defend our insured. The claim adjuster typically estimates this cost separately from the loss component in the case reserve. Unallocated loss adjustment expense (ULAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that cannot be identified with a specific claim. An example of ULAE would be the cost of an internal claim examiner to manage or investigate claims.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claim handling procedures, claim personnel, economic inflation, legal trends and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for loss and LAE is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimations also differ significantly by coverage due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the policy limits written, the terms and conditions of the underlying policies, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process. We continually refine our loss reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops and additional claims are reported and settled. We rigorously attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.
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Following is a table of significant risk factors involved in estimating losses grouped by major product line. We distinguish between loss ratio risk and reserve estimation risk. Loss ratio risk refers to the possible dispersion of loss ratios from year to year due to inherent volatility in the business, such as high severity or aggregating exposures. Reserve estimation risk recognizes the difficulty in estimating a given year’s ultimate loss liability. As an example, our property catastrophe business (included below in commercial and other property) has significant variance in year over year results; however, its reserving estimation risk is relatively moderate.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | Expected loss | Reserve | ||||
| | | Length of | | Emergence | | | | ratio | | estimation |
| Product line | reserve tail | patterns relied upon | Other risk factors | variability | variability | |||||
| Commercial excess | Long | Internal | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Personal umbrella | Medium | Internal | Low frequency | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | High severity | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| General liability | Long | Internal | Exposure changes/mix | Medium | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Professional services | Medium | Internal | Highly varied exposures | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial transportation | Medium | Internal | High severity | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Exposure change/mix | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Small commercial | Medium | Internal | Exposure change/mix | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Small volume | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Executive products | Long | Internal & external | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Economic volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth/mix | | | | |
| | | | | | Heavily reinsured | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other casualty | Medium | Internal & external | Small volume | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Marine | Medium | Internal & external | Exposure growth/mix | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | Aggregation exposure | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial and other property | Short | Internal | Aggregation exposure | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Low frequency | | | | | |
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Surety | Medium | Internal | Economic volatility | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unique exposures | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Runoff including asbestos & environmental | Long | Internal & external | Loss trend volatility | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Mass tort/latent exposure | | | | |
Due to inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, including, but not limited to, the future settlement environment, final resolution of the estimated liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. The amount by which current estimated losses differ from those estimated for a period at a prior valuation date is known as development. Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the levels at which they were reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable development of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.
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Our IBNR reserving process involves three steps: (1) an initial IBNR generation process that is prospective in nature, (2) a loss and LAE reserve estimation process that occurs retrospectively and (3) a subsequent discussion and reconciliation between our prospective and retrospective IBNR estimates, which includes changes in our provisions for IBNR where deemed appropriate.
Initial IBNR Generation Process
Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve generation process. The intent of this process is to establish an initial total reserve that will provide a reasonable provision for the ultimate value of all unpaid loss and ALAE liabilities. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and ALAE ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. The result is our best initial estimate of the expected amount of ultimate loss and ALAE for the period by product. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve.
For certain property products, we use an alternative method of determining an appropriate provision for initial IBNR. Since this segment is characterized by a shorter period of time between claim occurrence and claim settlement, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on expected loss ratios and loss development assumptions. The loss development assumptions are typically based on historical reporting patterns but could consider alternative sources of information. The IBNR percentages are reviewed and updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. This alternative method of determining initial IBNR allows incurred losses and ALAE to react more rapidly to the actual emergence, and is more appropriate for our property products where final claim resolution occurs over a shorter period of time.
We do not reserve for natural or man-made catastrophes until an event has occurred. Shortly after such occurrence, we review insured locations exposed to the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports and onsite reviews of damage to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. These reserves are reviewed frequently to consider actual losses reported and appropriate changes to our estimates are made to reflect the new information.
The initial loss and ALAE ratios that are applied to earned premium are reviewed at least semi-annually. Prospective estimates are made based on historical loss experience adjusted for exposure mix, price change and loss cost trends. The initial loss and ALAE ratios also reflect our judgment as to estimation risk. We consider estimation risk by product and coverage within product, if applicable. A product with greater volatility and uncertainty has greater estimation risk. Products or coverages with higher estimation risk include, but are not limited to, the following characteristics:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Significant changes in underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | A new business or one experiencing significant growth and/or high turnover, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Small volume or lacking internal data requiring significant utilization of external data, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Unique reinsurance features including those with aggregate stop-loss, reinstatement clauses, commutation provisions or clash protection, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Longer emergence patterns with exposures to latent unforeseen mass tort, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Assumed reinsurance businesses where there is an extended reporting lag and/or a heavier utilization of ceding company data and claims and product expertise, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High severity and/or low frequency, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational processes undergoing significant change and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High sensitivity to significant swings in loss trends, economic change or judicial change. |
The historical and prospective loss and ALAE estimates, along with the risks listed, are the basis for determining our initial and subsequent carried reserves. Adjustments in the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors.
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Loss and LAE Reserve Estimation Process
Estimates of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE are derived using standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance.
The process of estimating ultimate payment for claims and claim expenses begins with the collection and analysis of current and historical claim data. Data on individual reported claims, including paid amounts and individual claim adjuster estimates, are grouped by common characteristics. There is judgment involved in this grouping. Considerations when grouping data include the volume of the data available, the credibility of the data available, the homogeneity of the risks in each grouping and both settlement and payment pattern consistency. We use this data to determine historical claim reporting and payment patterns, which are used in the analysis of ultimate claim liabilities. In some analyses, including businesses without sufficiently large numbers of policies or that have not accumulated sufficient historical statistics, our own data is supplemented with external or industry average data as available and when appropriate. For liabilities arising out of directors and officers, management liability and workers’ compensation, we utilize external data extensively.
We also incorporate estimated losses relative to premium (loss ratios) by year into the analysis. The expected loss ratios are based on a review of historical loss performance, trends in frequency and severity and price level changes. The estimates are subject to judgment including consideration given to available internal and industry data, growth and policy turnover, changes in policy limits, changes in underlying policy provisions, changes in legal and regulatory interpretations of policy provisions and changes in reinsurance structure. For the most current year, these are equivalent with the ratios used in the initial IBNR generation process. Increased recognition is given to actual emergence as the years age.
We use historical development patterns, expected loss ratios and standard actuarial methods to derive an estimate of the ultimate level of loss and LAE payments necessary to settle all the claims occurring as of the end of the evaluation period.
Our reserve processes include multiple standard actuarial methods for determining estimates of IBNR reserves. Other supplementary methodologies are incorporated as necessary. Mass tort and latent liabilities are examples of exposures for which supplementary methodologies are used. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed.
The methodologies we have chosen to incorporate are a function of data availability and are reflective of our own book of business. From time to time, we evaluate the need to add supplementary methodologies. New methods are incorporated if it is believed they improve the estimate of our ultimate loss and LAE liability. All of the actuarial methods eventually converge to the same estimate as an accident year matures. Our core methodologies are listed below with a short description and their relative strengths and weaknesses:
Paid Loss Development — Historical payment patterns for prior claims are used to estimate future payment patterns for current claims. These patterns are applied to current payments by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: The method reflects only the claim dollars that have been paid and is not subject to case-basis reserve changes or changes in case reserve practices.
Weaknesses: External claims environment changes can impact the rate at which claims are settled and losses paid (e.g. increase in attorney involvement or change in legal precedent). Adjustments to reflect changes in payment patterns on a prospective basis are difficult to quantify. For losses that have occurred recently, payments can be minimal and thus early estimates are subject to significant instability.
Incurred Loss Development — Historical case-incurred patterns (paid losses plus case reserves) for past claims are used to estimate future case-incurred amounts for current claims. These patterns are applied to current case-incurred losses by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Losses are reported more quickly than paid, therefore, the estimates stabilize sooner. The method reflects more information in the analysis than the paid loss development method.
Weaknesses: Method involves additional estimation risk if significant changes to case reserving practices have occurred.
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Case Reserve Development — Patterns of historical development in reported losses relative to historical case reserves are determined. These patterns are applied to current case reserves by accident year and the result is combined with paid losses to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Like the incurred development method, this method benefits from using the additional information available in case reserves that is not available from paid losses only. It also can provide a more reasonable estimate than other methods when the proportion of claims still open for an accident year is unusually high or low.
Weaknesses: It is subject to the risk of changes in case reserving practices or philosophy. It may provide unstable estimates when an accident year is immature and more of the IBNR is expected to come from unreported claims rather than development on reported claims and when accident years are very mature with infrequent case reserves.
Expected Loss Ratio — Historical loss ratios, in combination with projections of frequency and severity trends, as well as estimates of price and exposure changes, are analyzed to produce an estimate of the expected loss ratio for each accident year. The expected loss ratio is then applied to the earned premium for each year to estimate the expected ultimate losses. The current accident year expected loss ratio is also the prospective loss and ALAE ratio used in our initial IBNR generation process.
Strengths: Reflects an estimate independent of how losses are emerging on either a paid or a case reserve basis. This method is particularly useful in the absence of historical development patterns or where losses take a long time to emerge.
Weaknesses: Ignores how losses are actually emerging and thus produces the same estimate of ultimate loss regardless of favorable/unfavorable emergence.
Paid and Incurred Bornhuetter/Ferguson (BF) — This approach blends the expected loss ratio method with either the paid or incurred loss development method. In effect, the BF methods produce weighted average indications for each accident year. As an example, if the current accident year for commercial automobile liability is estimated to be 20 percent paid, then the paid loss development method would receive a weight of 20 percent and the expected loss ratio method would receive an 80 percent weight. Over time, this method will converge with the ultimate estimated by the respective loss development method.
Strengths: Reflects actual emergence that is favorable/unfavorable, but assumes remaining emergence will continue as previously expected. Does not overreact to the early emergence (or lack of emergence) where patterns are most unstable.
Weaknesses: Could potentially understate favorable or unfavorable development by putting weight on the expected loss ratio.
In most cases, multiple estimation methods will be valid for the particular facts and circumstances of the claim liabilities being evaluated. Each estimation method has its own set of assumption variables and its own advantages and disadvantages, with no single estimation method being better than the others in all situations, and no one set of assumption variables being meaningful for all product line components. The relative strengths and weaknesses of the particular estimation methods, when applied to a particular group of claims, can also change over time. Therefore, the weight given to each estimation method will likely change by accident year and with each evaluation.
The actuarial central estimates typically follow a progression that places significant weight on the BF methods when accident years are younger and claim emergence is immature. As accident years mature and claims emerge over time, increasing weight is placed on the incurred development method, the paid development method and the case reserve development method. For product lines with faster loss emergence, the progression to greater weight on the incurred and paid development methods occurs more quickly.
For our long and medium-tail products, the BF methods are typically given the most weight for more evaluation periods than the short-tailed lines. These methods are also predominant for the first 12 months of evaluation for short-tail lines. Beyond these time periods, our actuaries apply their professional judgment when weighting the estimates from the various methods deployed, but place significant reliance on the expected stage of development in normal circumstances.
Judgment can supersede this natural progression if risk factors and assumptions change, or if a situation occurs that amplifies a particular strength or weakness of a methodology. Extreme projections are critically analyzed and may be adjusted, given less credence or discarded altogether. Internal documentation is maintained that records any substantial changes in methods or assumptions from one loss reserve study to another.
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Our estimates of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are subject to change as additional data emerges. This could occur as a result of change in loss development patterns, a revision in expected loss ratios, the emergence of exceptional loss activity, a change in weightings between actuarial methods, the addition of new actuarial methodologies, new information that merits inclusion or the emergence of internal variables or external factors that would alter our view.
There is uncertainty in the estimates of ultimate losses. Significant risk factors to the reserve estimate include, but are not limited to, unforeseen or unquantifiable changes in:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss payment patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss reporting patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Frequency and severity trends, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Business or exposure mix, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational or internal processes affecting the timing of loss and LAE transactions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Regulatory and legal environment and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Economic environment. |
Our actuaries engage in discussions with senior management, underwriters and the claim department on a regular basis to ascertain any substantial changes in operations or other assumptions that are necessary to consider in the reserving analysis.
A considerable degree of judgment in the evaluation of all these factors is involved in the analysis of reserves. The human element in the application of judgment is unavoidable when faced with uncertainty. Different experts will choose different assumptions based on their individual backgrounds, professional experiences and areas of focus. Hence, the estimates selected by various qualified experts may differ significantly from each other. We consider this uncertainty by examining our historic reserve accuracy and through an internal and external review process.
Given the substantial impact of the reserve estimates on our financial statements, we subject the reserving process to significant diagnostic testing and reasonability checks. In addition, there are data validity checks and balances in our front-end processes. Data anomalies are researched and explained to reach a comfort level with the data and results. Leading indicators such as actual versus expected emergence and other diagnostics are also incorporated into the reserving processes.
Determination of Our Best Estimate
Our best estimate of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are proposed by our lead reserving actuary and then discussed and approved by our Loss Reserve Committee (LRC). The LRC is made up of various members of the management team including the lead reserving actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief claim officer, chief legal officer and other selected executives. As part of the discussion with the LRC, the analysis supporting the actuarial central estimate of the IBNR reserve by product is reviewed. The actuaries also present explanations supporting any changes to the underlying assumptions used to calculate the indicated central estimate. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regard to booked reserves that reflect both their analytical assessment and relevant qualitative factors, such as their view of estimation risk. After discussion of these analyses, recommendations and all relevant risk factors among the LRC, our actuaries determine whether the reserve balances require further adjustment.
As a predominantly excess and surplus lines and specialty admitted insurer serving niche markets, we believe we are subject to above-average variation in estimates and that this variation is not symmetrical around the actuarial central estimate.
One reason for the variation is the above-average policyholder turnover and changes in the underlying mix of exposures typical of an excess and surplus lines business. This constant change can cause estimates based on prior experience to be less reliable than estimates for more stable, admitted books of business. Also, as a niche market insurer, there is little industry-level information for
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direct comparisons of current and prior experience and other reserving parameters. These unknowns create greater-than-average variation in the actuarial central estimates.
Actuarial methods attempt to quantify future outcomes. However, insurance companies are subject to unique exposures that are difficult to foresee when coverage is initiated. Judicial and regulatory bodies involved in interpretation of insurance contracts have increasingly found opportunities to expand coverage beyond that which was intended or contemplated at the time the policy was issued. Many of these policies offer broad coverages (with named exclusion) and are issued on an occurrence basis. Claimants have at times sought coverage beyond the insurer’s original intent, including seeking to void or limit exclusionary language.
Because of the variation and the likelihood that there are unforeseen and under-quantified liabilities absent from the actuarial estimate, we believe there are circumstances where it is prudent to enhance our normal reserving process. Generally, these are circumstances where we have qualitative information and knowledge of increased risk, but those circumstances have not occurred within the history of our quantitative data. In these situations, we will rely on that qualitative information, usually from our claim team or underwriting staff, and make an enhancement to our normal process. In general, these enhancements will result in an increased overall reserve level compared to reserves based only on observed quantitative information. In the cases where these risks fail to materialize, favorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods. It is also possible that the risks materialize above the enhanced reserve level, in which case unfavorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods.
Our best estimate of loss and LAE reserves may change as a result of a revision in the actuarial central estimate, the actuary’s certainty in the estimates and processes and our overall view of the underlying risks. From time to time, we benchmark our reserving policies and procedures and refine them by adopting industry best practices where appropriate. A detailed, ground-up analysis of the reserve estimation risks associated with each of our products and segments, including an assessment of industry information, is performed annually. This information is used when determining management’s best estimate of booked reserves.
We do not use discounting in reporting our estimated reserves for losses and settlement expenses.
Loss reserve estimates are subject to a high degree of variability due to the inherent uncertainty of ultimate settlement values. Periodic adjustments to these estimates will likely occur as the actual loss emergence reveals itself over time. Our loss reserving processes reflect accepted actuarial practices and our methodologies result in a reasonable provision for reserves as of December 31, 2024.
Reserve Sensitivities
There are three major parameters that have significant influence on our actuarial estimates of ultimate liabilities by product. They are the actual losses that are reported, the expected loss emergence pattern and the expected loss ratios used in the analyses. If the actual losses reported do not emerge as expected, it may cause the Company to challenge all or some of our previous assumptions. We may change expected loss emergence patterns, the expected loss ratios used in our analysis and/or the weights we place on a given actuarial method. The impact will be much greater and more leveraged for products with longer emergence patterns. Our general liability product is an example of a product with a relatively long emergence pattern. The following chart illustrates the sensitivity of our general liability reserve estimates to these key parameters. We believe the scenarios to be reasonable, as similar favorable variations have occurred in recent years. For example, our general liability calendar year emergence on prior accident years has ranged from 17 percent to 27 percent favorable and our transportation emergence has ranged from 30 percent adverse to 40 percent favorable over the last three calendar years, while our overall emergence for all products combined has ranged from 13 percent to 25 percent favorable. The numbers below are the changes in estimated ultimate loss and ALAE in millions of dollars as of December 31, 2024, resulting from the change in the parameters shown. These parameters were applied to a general liability net loss and LAE reserve balance, which was $209 million at December 31, 2024.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Result from favorable | Result from unfavorable | ||||
| (in millions) | | change in parameter | | change in parameter | ||
| +/- 5 point change in expected loss ratio for all accident years | | $ | (18) | | $ | 18 |
| +/- 10% change in expected emergence patterns | | $ | (5) | | $ | 6 |
| +/- 30% change in actual loss emergence over a calendar year | | $ | (7) | | $ | 8 |
| Simultaneous change in expected loss ratio (5pts), expected emergence patterns (10%) and actual loss emergence (30%). | | $ | (30) | | $ | 32 |
There are often significant interrelationships between our reserving assumptions that have offsetting or compounding effects on the reserve estimate. Thus, in almost all cases, it is impossible to discretely measure the effect of a single assumption or construct a meaningful sensitivity expectation that holds true in all cases. The scenario above is representative of general liability, one of our
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largest and longest-tailed products. It is unlikely that all of our products would have variations as wide as illustrated in the example. It is also unlikely that all of our products would simultaneously experience favorable or unfavorable loss development in the same direction or at their extremes during a calendar year. Because our portfolio is made up of a diversified mix of products, there would ordinarily be some offsetting favorable and unfavorable emergence by product as actual losses start to emerge and our loss estimates become more reliable.
INVESTMENT VALUATION
Throughout each year, we and our investment managers buy and sell securities to achieve investment objectives in accordance with investment policies established and monitored by our board of directors and executive officers.
Equity securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded within net earnings. We classify our investments in fixed income securities into one of three categories: trading, held-to-maturity or available-for-sale. We do not hold any securities classified as trading or held-to-maturity. Available-for-sale securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded as a component of comprehensive earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of deferred income taxes.
Fair value is defined as the price in the principal market that would be received for an asset to facilitate an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. We determine the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.
RECOVERABILITY OF REINSURANCE BALANCES
Ceded unearned premiums and reinsurance balances recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve the Company of its liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and actively follow up on any past due or disputed amounts. As part of our monitoring efforts, we review their annual financial statements and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings for reinsurers that are publicly traded. We also review insurance industry developments that may impact the financial condition of our reinsurers. We analyze the credit risk associated with our reinsurance balances recoverable by monitoring the AM Best and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ratings of our reinsurers. Additionally, we perform an in-depth reinsurer financial condition analysis prior to the renewal of our reinsurance placements.
Once regulatory action (such as receivership, finding of insolvency, order of conservation or order of liquidation) is taken against a reinsurer, the paid and unpaid balance recoverable from the reinsurer are specifically identified and charged to earnings in the form of an allowance for uncollectible amounts. We subject our remaining reinsurance balances receivable to detailed recoverability tests, including a segment-based analysis using the average default rating percentage by S&P rating, and record an additional allowance for unrecoverable amounts from reinsurers. This credit allowance is reviewed on an ongoing basis to ensure that the amount makes a reasonable provision for reinsurance balances that we may be unable to recover.
DEFERRED POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS
We defer incremental direct costs that relate to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts, including commissions and premium taxes. Acquisition-related costs may be deemed ineligible for deferral when they are based on contingent or performance criteria beyond the basic acquisition of the insurance contract, or when efforts to obtain or renew the insurance contract are unsuccessful. All eligible costs are capitalized and charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value. This process contemplates the premiums to be earned, anticipated losses and settlement expenses and certain other costs expected to be incurred, but does not consider investment income. Judgments as to the ultimate recoverability of such deferred costs are reviewed on a segment basis and are highly dependent upon estimated future loss costs associated with the premiums written. This deferral methodology applies to both gross and ceded premiums and acquisition costs.
DEFERRED TAXES
We record deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent that temporary differences between the tax basis and GAAP basis of an asset or liability result in future taxable or deductible amounts. Our deferred tax assets relate to expected future tax deductions arising from claim reserves and future taxable income related to changes in our unearned premium and unrealized losses on our fixed income
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portfolio. We also have a significant amount of deferred tax liabilities from unrealized gains on the equity portfolio and deferred acquisition costs.
Periodically, management reviews our deferred tax positions to determine if it is more likely than not that the assets will be realized. These reviews include, among other things, the nature and amount of the taxable income and expense items, the expected timing of when assets will be used or liabilities will be required to be reported, as well as the reliability of historical profitability of businesses expected to provide future earnings. Furthermore, management considers tax planning strategies it can use to increase the likelihood that the tax assets will be realized. After conducting the periodic review, if management determines that the realization of the tax asset does not meet the more likely than not criteria, an offsetting valuation allowance is recorded, thereby reducing net earnings and the deferred tax asset in that period. In addition, management must make estimates of the tax rates expected to apply in the periods in which future taxable items are realized. Such estimates include determinations and judgments as to the expected manner in which certain temporary differences, including deferred amounts related to our equity method investment, will be recovered. These estimates enter into the determination of the applicable tax rates and are subject to change based on the circumstances.
We consider uncertainties in income taxes and recognize those in our financial statements as required. As it relates to uncertainties in income taxes, our unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements. Also, no tax uncertainties are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to unrecognized tax benefits within the next 12-month period. Penalties and interest related to income tax uncertainties, should they occur, would be included in income tax expense in the period in which they are incurred.
Additional discussion of other significant accounting policies may be found in note 1 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2024 and 2023 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2024 and 2023. Discussions of 2022 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, incorporated herein by reference.
Consolidated revenue for 2024 totaled $1.8 billion, up $258 million from 2023. Net premiums earned for the Group increased 18 percent, driven primarily by growth from our property and casualty segments. Positive equity market returns during 2024 resulted in $82 million of unrealized gains on equity securities, building on a rally that led to $65 million of unrealized gains in our equity portfolio during 2023. Net investment income increased by 18 percent in 2024, primarily due to higher reinvestment rates and a larger average asset base relative to the prior year.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSOLIDATED REVENUE | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
| Net premiums earned | | $ | 1,526,406 | | $ | 1,294,306 |
| Net investment income | | | 142,278 | | | 120,383 |
| Net realized gains | | | 19,966 | | | 32,518 |
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | | | 81,734 | | | 64,787 |
| Total consolidated revenue | | $ | 1,770,384 | | $ | 1,511,994 |
Net earnings for 2024 totaled $346 million, up from $305 million in 2023. Improved underwriting income was bolstered by an increase in investment income and larger unrealized gains on equity securities.
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| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET EARNINGS | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
| Underwriting income | | $ | 210,653 | | $ | 173,185 |
| Net investment income | | | 142,278 | | | 120,383 |
| Net realized gains | | | 19,966 | | | 32,518 |
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | | | 81,734 | | | 64,787 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | (6,331) | | | (7,301) |
| General corporate expenses | | | (15,880) | | | (15,917) |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | (4,869) | | | 9,610 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 427,551 | | $ | 377,265 |
| Income tax expense | | | (81,772) | | | (72,654) |
| Net earnings | | $ | 345,779 | | $ | 304,611 |
UNDERWRITING RESULTS
We surpassed $2 billion in gross premiums written for the first time and achieved our 29th consecutive year of underwriting profitability in 2024. Our track record of success is built on underwriting discipline and our diversified product portfolio, which allow us to navigate various markets.
Gross premiums written increased $206 million, or 11 percent, in 2024 when compared to 2023, with all three segments contributing. Despite competitive conditions, a relatively strong economy and positive rate movement benefited much of the insurance portfolio. Net premiums earned were up 18 percent in 2024.
Underwriting income was $211 million on an 86.2 combined ratio in 2024, compared to $173 million on an 86.6 combined ratio in 2023. Underwriting results for 2024 included $76 million of pretax losses from Hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton, as well as $30 million of other storm losses. Comparatively, 2023 included $49 million of pretax losses and $12 million of reinsurance reinstatement premium from the Hawaiian wildfires, as well as $31 million of other storm losses. Results for each period benefited from favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves, which provided additional pretax earnings of $95 million in 2024, compared to $109 million in 2023. Further discussion of reserve development can be found in note 5 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
The loss ratio was 48.4 in 2024, compared to 46.7 in 2023. The increase reflects higher net retained catastrophe losses in 2024, lower prior period reserve releases and the strengthening of current accident year casualty reserves, primarily on auto exposures. An offsetting loss ratio benefit was a modest improvement in the property segment’s current accident year attritional, non-catastrophe loss ratio. The expense ratio decreased to 37.8 in 2024, from 39.9 in 2023. Growth of net premiums earned allowed for improved leveraging of our expense base, despite continued investments in our people and technology, as well as higher levels of bonus and profit-sharing expense that resulted from improved operating performance.
Bonus and profit-sharing amounts earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance including operating earnings, combined ratio and return on capital. Favorable loss development and other drivers of growth in book value would increase bonus and profit-sharing expenses, while catastrophe losses, adverse loss development and negative equity portfolio returns would lead to expense reductions. These performance-related expenses impact policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses.
A large portion of our reinsurance placements renewed on January 1, 2025. For our property treaties, the risk-adjusted rate change was down 10 percent to 20 percent, with greater decreases in the higher layers. Prepaid reinstatements were added back to the bottom half of the catastrophe tower, which reduces the net loss impact on catastrophe events. The risk-adjusted rate change for our casualty treaties was plus or minus 5 percent, depending on the underlying coverage.
Like most of the industry, we are closely monitoring the severity of auto losses, which adversely impacted our current and prior accident year losses in 2024. The goal of our business model has always been to underwrite for profit and our underwriters are incentivized to walk away from underpriced risks. We obtained rate increases across most of our insurance portfolio in 2024. However, we are not solely reliant on rate to pursue profitable underwriting. We utilize our in-house loss control team to encourage our commercial auto insureds to follow safe practices, work with producers to balance growth and exit classes of business or individual accounts that are driving loss severity. We have a strong feedback loop between our underwriting, claim and analytical teams that address new or prevailing topics, like legal system abuse. Overall, we remain optimistic about the potential underlying profitability of our product portfolio. Our investments in technology and specialized underwriting staff should put us in a position to take advantage of opportunities as we move forward.
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The following tables and narrative provide a more detailed look at individual segment performance over the last two years.
GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN AND NET PREMIUMS EARNED
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Gross Premiums Written | | | Net Premiums Earned | | ||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | % Change | 2024 | 2023 | % Change | | |||||||||||
| CASUALTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial excess and personal umbrella | | $ | 478,144 | | $ | 370,571 | | 29 | % | | $ | 354,847 | | $ | 286,178 | | 24 | % |
| Commercial transportation | | | 146,733 | | | 125,434 | | 17 | % | | | 120,650 | | | 103,719 | | 16 | % |
| General liability | | | 110,984 | | | 106,032 | | 5 | % | | | 104,423 | | | 103,066 | | 1 | % |
| Professional services | | | 114,163 | | | 108,503 | | 5 | % | | | 103,794 | | | 99,596 | | 4 | % |
| Small commercial | | | 84,637 | | | 76,644 | | 10 | % | | | 78,308 | | | 72,920 | | 7 | % |
| Executive products | | | 90,815 | | | 95,356 | | (5) | % | | | 23,555 | | | 24,687 | | (5) | % |
| Other casualty | | | 82,880 | | | 79,125 | | 5 | % | | | 67,260 | | | 68,180 | | (1) | % |
| Total casualty | | $ | 1,108,356 | | $ | 961,665 | | 15 | % | | $ | 852,837 | | $ | 758,346 | | 12 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PROPERTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial property | | $ | 519,991 | | $ | 505,413 | | 3 | % | | $ | 345,554 | | $ | 244,798 | | 41 | % |
| Marine | | | 170,188 | | | 148,829 | | 14 | % | | | 145,706 | | | 129,428 | | 13 | % |
| Other property | | | 53,307 | | | 43,130 | | 24 | % | | | 40,124 | | | 27,304 | | 47 | % |
| Total property | | $ | 743,486 | | $ | 697,372 | | 7 | % | | $ | 531,384 | | $ | 401,530 | | 32 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| SURETY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Transactional | | $ | 52,299 | | $ | 49,624 | | 5 | % | | $ | 49,460 | | $ | 47,983 | | 3 | % |
| Commercial | | | 59,008 | | | 57,704 | | 2 | % | | | 48,533 | | | 49,707 | | (2) | % |
| Contract | | | 49,899 | | | 40,295 | | 24 | % | | | 44,192 | | | 36,740 | | 20 | % |
| Total surety | | $ | 161,206 | | $ | 147,623 | | 9 | % | | $ | 142,185 | | $ | 134,430 | | 6 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Grand total | | $ | 2,013,048 | | $ | 1,806,660 | | 11 | % | | $ | 1,526,406 | | $ | 1,294,306 | | 18 | % |
Casualty
Gross premiums written for casualty were up $147 million in 2024. We continued to benefit from positive rate movement across a large portion of our casualty segment, as well as from new business growth within our personal umbrella and small commercial distribution channels. The commercial excess product grew as new project work resulted in more business opportunities and renewal retention improved. Commercial transportation benefited from an increase in new business submissions and new products, including moving and storage as well as an excess and surplus lines offering. Our executive products premium decreased, largely due to a continued soft management liability marketplace.
The casualty segment remains highly diversified, allowing select products to work through challenges, while the success of other products allows us to achieve positive overall results. Rate filings for personal umbrella were approved in the second half of 2024, and where increases can be justified, we will be pursuing further rate increases for auto-exposed lines. With the broader industry experiencing higher loss severity trends, we see potential for ongoing market disruption. As with all our segments, our investments in underwriting talent and strong relationships with producers should put us in position to take advantage of market opportunities as they arise. However, our underwriters are incentivized and empowered to shrink our top line revenue to protect our bottom-line profitability when necessary.
Property
Gross premiums written for the property segment were up $46 million in 2024, with commercial property contributing $15 million of that growth. Property lines within the excess and surplus market are in transition and conditions began to change mid-year. Rates for wind coverages were down in the second half of the year after multiple years of double-digit rate increases. We have started to see more competition and the deterioration of terms and conditions, but are willing to forgo opportunities that do not meet our underwriting standards. The earthquake market has also been affected by intense competition and some businesses deciding not to procure coverage.
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We leverage our underwriting expertise by acting as a Lloyd’s coverholder and write coastal wind and earthquake exposures on a syndicated policy. While allowing us to diversify risk through a mechanism outside of reinsurance, this approach also allows us to generate fee income that offsets underwriting expense. Combined with the challenging property market, an increased percentage of premium being written by our syndicated partner resulted in a decline in earthquake and wind exposures for the Company. However, our fire and other peril coverage offerings experienced growth, resulting in overall premium expansion for commercial property. All coverages remain well priced and we believe there is opportunity to continue writing profitable business in these spaces.
A strong construction market and an expansion of newer offerings led to increased submissions and $21 million of premium growth for our marine product. Additionally, some competitors have reduced their appetite for select Hawaii homeowner coverages, which, along with rate increases that became effective during the fourth quarter, has allowed our other property premium to grow.
Surety
Gross premiums written for the surety segment were up $14 million in 2024 and we continue to invest in infrastructure to support long-term growth. Contract surety benefited from new agency relationships, new construction projects and elevated material costs, while transactional surety grew organically by leveraging existing relationships from complementary products. Despite a highly competitive commercial surety market, the expansion of existing accounts and new business also allowed for premium growth. Industry loss ratios have increased, particularly in the contract surety space. However, our underwriters monitor the financial condition of principals and partner with them to support achievable projects, which has helped us avoid material losses in the past. We believe this collaborative approach will help us write profitable business going forward.
UNDERWRITING INCOME
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underwriting Income | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
| Casualty | | $ | 17,788 | | $ | 59,479 |
| Property | | | 167,536 | | | 86,316 |
| Surety | | | 25,329 | | | 27,390 |
| Total | | $ | 210,653 | | $ | 173,185 |
| | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combined Ratio | 2024 | 2023 | ||
| Casualty | 97.9 | 92.2 | ||
| Property | 68.5 | 78.5 | ||
| Surety | 82.2 | 79.6 | ||
| Total | 86.2 | 86.6 |
Casualty
Underwriting income for the casualty segment was $18 million on a 97.9 combined ratio in 2024, compared to $59 million on a 92.2 combined ratio in 2023. The decline was the result of decreased favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves and an increase in current accident year losses, primarily on auto related exposures.
Favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves contributed to underwriting earnings in each of the past two years. The total benefit from favorable development on prior years’ reserves was $53 million for 2024, which was largely attributable to accident years 2019 through 2023. Favorable development was widespread, with notable amounts from commercial excess, general liability, executive products, professional services and our mortgage reinsurance program within other casualty. Commercial transportation and small commercial experienced adverse prior accident year development, largely related to auto exposures. Comparatively, results for the casualty segment in 2023 included favorable development of $78 million, with the majority attributable to commercial excess, general liability, personal umbrella, executive products and professional services across accident years 2015 through 2022. Hurricane and storm losses on casualty-oriented package policies that include property coverage resulted in $5 million of losses in 2024, compared to $2 million of storm losses in 2023.
The segment’s loss ratio was 61.5 in 2024, compared to 55.1 in 2023. The higher loss ratio in 2024 was due to lower amounts of favorable development on prior years’ reserves and strengthening our current accident year reserves for our personal umbrella, transportation and professional services products. The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 36.4 in 2024, compared to 37.1 in 2023.
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Property
Underwriting income from the property segment was $168 million on a 68.5 combined ratio in 2024, compared to $86 million on a 78.5 combined ratio in 2023. Underwriting results for 2024 included $33 million of favorable development on prior years’ attritional and catastrophe loss reserves, largely from the marine and commercial property businesses; $73 million of losses from Hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton; as well as $28 million of other storm losses. Results for 2023 included $21 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss and catastrophe reserves, primarily from the commercial property business; $49 million of losses and $12 million of reinsurance reinstatement premium from Hawaiian wildfires; as well as $29 million of other storm losses.
A larger earned premium base resulted in higher levels of underwriting income as well as a lower expense ratio. The segment’s loss ratio was 37.4 in 2024, compared to 42.9 in 2023. Catastrophe losses added 19 points to the loss ratio in 2024, compared to 20 points of impact in 2023. Additionally, the current accident year attritional loss ratio improved in 2024. The expense ratio for the property segment declined to 31.1 in 2024, from 35.6 in 2023, as the growth in the earned premium base exceeded the growth in expense. Furthermore, the expense ratio benefited from an increase in fee income, which was the result of producing more premium for our syndicated partner.
Surety
Underwriting income for the surety segment totaled $25 million on an 82.2 combined ratio in 2024, compared to $27 million on a 79.6 combined ratio in 2023. Underwriting performance for each year reflects a combination of positive current accident year results and favorable development in prior accident years’ loss reserves. Favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $9 million for 2024 and 2023.
The segment’s loss ratio was 11.2 in 2024, compared to 10.7 in 2023. An increase in the current accident year loss ratio led to the slightly higher overall loss ratio for the segment. The expense ratio for the surety segment was 71.0 in 2024, up from 68.9 in 2023, due to increases in select policy acquisition costs, as well as continued investments in technology and people to support growth and improve the customer experience.
NET INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS
During 2024, net investment income increased by 18 percent. The increase was primarily due to higher interest rates and an increased asset base relative to the prior year. The average annual yields on our investments were as follows for 2024 and 2023:
| | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 2024 | 2023 | |||
| PRETAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 3.82 | % | 3.51 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.87 | % | 2.80 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.97 | % | 2.27 | % | |
| | | | | | |
| AFTER-TAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 3.02 | % | 2.77 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.72 | % | 2.65 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.71 | % | 1.97 | % |
The after-tax yield reflects the different tax rates applicable to each category of investment. Our taxable fixed income securities were subject to a corporate tax rate of 21 percent, our tax-exempt municipal securities were subject to a tax rate of 5.3 percent and our dividend income was generally subject to a tax rate of 13.1 percent. During 2024, the average after-tax yield on the taxable fixed income portfolio was 3.0 percent, an increase from 2.8 percent in the prior year. The average after-tax yield on the tax-exempt portfolio was 2.7 percent for both 2024 and 2023.
The fixed income portfolio increased by $320 million during the year, as we allocated the majority of available cash flow to investment grade bonds and experienced positive market performance throughout the year. The tax-adjusted total return on a mark-to-market basis was 3.4 percent. Our equity portfolio increased by $146 million to $736 million in 2024 as a result of strong equity market returns during the year. The total return for the year on the equity portfolio was 21.1 percent.
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Our investment results for the last five years are shown in the following table:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | Tax | |||||||||
| | | | | | | | | | Pre-tax | Equivalent | |||||||
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Annualized | | Annualized | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Change in | | Return on | | Return on | ||
| | | Average | | Net | | | | | Unrealized | | Avg. | | Avg. | ||||
| | | Invested | | Investment | | Net Realized | | Appreciation | | Invested | | Invested | |||||
| (in thousands) | Assets (1) | Income (2)(3) | Gains (3)(4) | (3)(5) | Assets | Assets | |||||||||||
| 2020 | | 2,698,721 | | 67,893 | | 17,885 | | 99,451 | 6.9 | % | 6.9 | % | |||||
| 2021 | | 3,000,025 | | 68,862 | | 64,222 | | (6,280) | 4.2 | % | 4.3 | % | |||||
| 2022 | | 3,217,635 | | 86,078 | | 588,515 | | (462,981) | 6.6 | % | 6.6 | % | |||||
| 2023 | | 3,474,310 | | 120,383 | | 32,518 | | 144,569 | 8.6 | % | 8.6 | % | |||||
| 2024 | | 3,880,475 | | 142,278 | | 19,966 | | 64,912 | 5.9 | % | 5.9 | % | |||||
| 5-yr Avg. | | $ | 3,254,233 | | $ | 97,099 | | $ | 144,621 | | $ | (32,066) | 6.4 | % | 6.5 | % |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (1) | Average market values at beginning and end of year (inclusive of cash and short-term investments). |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (2) | Investment income, net of investment expenses. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (3) | Before income taxes. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (4) | Net realized gains for 2022 include $571 million of gains from the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (5) | Relates to available-for-sale fixed income and equity securities. |
In 2024, we recognized $31 million of net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $5 million of net realized losses in the fixed income portfolio and $6 million of other net realized losses. In 2023, we recognized $22 million of net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $3 million of net realized losses in the fixed income portfolio and $14 million of other net realized gains, primarily from the payout of the working capital escrow associated with our sale of Maui Jim.
Investment income was aided by higher interest rates in 2024, as the Federal Reserve kept the Fed Funds target high relative to recent history. Entering 2025, consensus is the Federal Reserve’s current policy will continue balancing price stability against maximum employment, and result in two to three rate cuts over the coming year. A stable interest rate environment and a larger invested asset base should offer continued investment income growth. However, if yields decline dramatically from current levels, investment income growth may be limited.
INVESTMENTS
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio with a prudent mix of fixed income and risk assets. We continually monitor economic conditions, our capital position, the insurance market and relative value in the capital markets to determine our tactical allocation. As of December 31, 2024, the portfolio had a fair value of $4.1 billion, an increase of $408 million from the end of 2023. Excluding U.S. government and agency issues, no single issuer in either the fixed income or equity portfolio represented more than 1 percent of invested assets.
We determined the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value. For additional information, see notes 1 and 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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As of December 31, 2024, our investment portfolio had the following asset allocation breakdown:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Cost or | | | | | Unrealized | | % of Total | | | ||
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Gain/(Loss) | Fair Value | Quality* | ||||||||
| U.S. government | | $ | 525,608 | | $ | 515,635 | | $ | (9,973) | 12.6 | % | AA+ | |
| U.S. agency | | | 55,921 | | | 54,338 | | | (1,583) | 1.3 | % | AA+ | |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | 8,959 | | | 7,871 | | | (1,088) | 0.2 | % | A | |
| Agency MBS | | | 438,545 | | | 396,223 | | | (42,322) | 9.7 | % | AA+ | |
| ABS/CMBS/MBS** | | | 430,973 | | | 410,248 | | | (20,725) | 10.1 | % | AA | |
| Corporate | | | 1,397,676 | | | 1,346,521 | | | (51,155) | 33.0 | % | A- | |
| Municipal | | | 533,477 | | | 444,960 | | | (88,517) | 10.9 | % | AA+ | |
| Total fixed income | | $ | 3,391,159 | | $ | 3,175,796 | | $ | (215,363) | 77.8 | % | AA- | |
| Equities | | | 417,897 | | | 736,191 | | | 318,294 | 18.0 | % | | |
| Short-term investments | | | 74,915 | | | 74,915 | | | — | 1.8 | % | | |
| Other invested assets | | | 55,408 | | | 57,939 | | | 2,531 | | 1.4 | % | |
| Cash | | | 39,790 | | | 39,790 | | | — | 1.0 | % | | |
| Total portfolio | | $ | 3,979,169 | | $ | 4,084,631 | | $ | 105,462 | 100.0 | % | |
*Quality ratings provided by Moody’s, S&P and Fitch
**Non-agency asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed and mortgage-backed securities
Quality in the previous table and in all subsequent tables is an average of each bond’s credit rating, adjusted for its relative weighting in the portfolio.
In selecting the maturity of securities in which we invest, we consider the relationship between the duration of our fixed income investments and the duration of our liabilities, including the expected ultimate payout patterns of our reserves. We believe that both liquidity and interest rate risk can be minimized by such asset/liability management. As of December 31, 2024, our fixed income portfolio’s duration was 4.9 years.
Consistent underwriting income allows a portion of our investment portfolio to be invested in equity securities and other risk asset classes. Equities comprised 18 percent of our total 2024 portfolio, up from 16 percent at the end of 2023, as equity markets rose over the course of the year. Securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index exchange traded funds (ETFs). Our actively managed equity strategy has a preference for dividend income and value-oriented security selection with low turnover, which minimizes transaction costs and taxes throughout our extended investment horizon.
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FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
As of December 31, 2024, our fixed income portfolio had the following rating distributions:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR VALUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Below | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Investment | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | AAA | AA | A | BBB | Grade | No Rating | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. government & agency (GSE) | | $ | — | | $ | 569,973 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 569,973 |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | — | | | 1,351 | | | 3,450 | | | 2,097 | | | — | | | 973 | | | 7,871 |
| Corporate - industrial | | | 21,544 | | | 80,880 | | | 284,092 | | | 232,755 | | | 119,868 | | | — | | | 739,139 |
| Corporate - financial | | | 10,838 | | | 56,878 | | | 229,982 | | | 95,147 | | | 23,165 | | | — | | | 416,010 |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 1,069 | | | 10,413 | | | 55,107 | | | 30,290 | | | 4,963 | | | — | | | 101,842 |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 38,532 | | | 38,532 |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 48,497 | | | 48,497 |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,501 | | | 2,501 |
| Municipal | | | 131,318 | | | 281,356 | | | 31,493 | | | — | | | — | | | 793 | | | 444,960 |
| Structured: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| GSE - RMBS | | | — | | | 356,956 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 356,956 |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 124,186 | | | 3,744 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 127,930 |
| CLO | | | 15,020 | | | 18,059 | | | 27,971 | | | — | | | — | | | 6,000 | | | 67,050 |
| ABS | | | 18,582 | | | 13,172 | | | 57,523 | | | — | | | — | | | 46,032 | | | 135,309 |
| GSE - CMBS | | | — | | | 39,267 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 39,267 |
| CMBS | | | 67,702 | | | 1,130 | | | 2,231 | | | 8,896 | | | — | | | — | | | 79,959 |
| Total | | $ | 390,259 | | $ | 1,433,179 | | $ | 691,849 | | $ | 369,185 | | $ | 147,996 | | $ | 143,328 | | $ | 3,175,796 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Percent of total fair value | | | 12.3% | | | 45.1% | | | 21.8% | | | 11.6% | | | 4.7% | | | 4.5% | | | 100.0% |
Mortgage-Backed, Asset-Backed and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
We believe mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) add diversification, liquidity, credit quality and additional yield to our portfolio. The following table summarizes the distribution of our MBS portfolio by investment type, as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2024 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 298,351 | | $ | 270,921 | | 68.4 | % |
| Planned amortization class | | 94,586 | | | 86,035 | | 21.7 | % | |
| Sequential | | 45,608 | | | 39,267 | | 9.9 | % | |
| Total | | $ | 438,545 | | $ | 396,223 | 100.0 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2023 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 295,060 | | $ | 275,113 | | 64.7 | % |
| Planned amortization class | | 102,726 | | | 94,188 | | 22.1 | % | |
| Sequential | | 62,765 | | | 55,984 | | 13.2 | % | |
| Total | | $ | 460,551 | | $ | 425,285 | 100.0 | % |
Agency MBS represented 12 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 15 percent as of December 31, 2023. Our objective for the agency MBS portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability where we are compensated for the call risk associated with residential mortgage refinancing. The agency MBS portfolio includes mortgage-backed pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMO), which include planned amortization classes and sequential pay structures. As of December 31, 2024, all the securities in our agency MBS portfolio were rated AA and issued by Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) such as the Governmental National Mortgage Association, Federal National Mortgage Association or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.
Variability in the average life of principal repayment is an inherent risk of owning mortgage-related securities. However, we reduce our portfolio’s exposure to prepayment risk by seeking characteristics that tighten the probable scenarios for expected cash
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flows. As of December 31, 2024, the agency MBS portfolio contained 68 percent of pure pass-throughs, up from 65 percent as of December 31, 2023. An additional 10 percent of the MBS portfolio was invested in sequential payer, down from 13 percent in 2023.
The following table summarizes the distribution of our asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities portfolio as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2024 | | | | | | | | | |
| ABS | | $ | 137,353 | | $ | 135,309 | | 33.0 | % |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 141,784 | | | 127,930 | | 31.2 | % |
| CMBS | | 84,927 | | | 79,959 | | 19.5 | % | |
| CLO | | | 66,909 | | | 67,050 | | 16.3 | % |
| Total | | $ | 430,973 | | $ | 410,248 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2023 | | | | | | | | | |
| ABS | | $ | 96,586 | | $ | 91,137 | | 32.5 | % |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 119,374 | | | 104,887 | | 37.3 | % |
| CMBS | | | 61,878 | | | 54,689 | | 19.4 | % |
| CLO | | | 30,620 | | | 30,469 | | 10.8 | % |
| Total | | $ | 308,458 | | $ | 281,182 | | 100.0 | % |
An ABS, CMBS or non-agency residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) is a securitization collateralized by the cash flows from a specific pool of underlying assets. These asset pools can include items such as credit card payments, auto loans, structured bank loans in the form of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and residential or commercial mortgages. As of December 31, 2024, ABS/CMBS/RMBS investments were 13 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 10 percent as of December 31, 2023. Fifty-five percent of the securities in the ABS/CMBS/RMBS portfolio were rated AAA as of December 31, 2024, while 85 percent were rated A or better. We believe that ABS/CMBS investments often add superior cash flow stability over mortgage pass-throughs or CMOs.
When making investments in MBS/ABS/CMBS, we evaluate the quality of the underlying collateral, the structure of the transaction, which dictates how any losses in the underlying collateral will be distributed, and prepayment risks. We had $63 million in unrealized losses in these asset classes as of December 31, 2024.
Municipal Fixed Income Securities
As of December 31, 2024, municipal bonds comprised 14 percent of our fixed income portfolio, compared to 19 percent as of December 31, 2023. We believe municipal fixed income securities can provide diversification and additional tax-advantaged yield to our portfolio. Our objective for the municipal fixed income portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability and increased after-tax yield.
Our municipal fixed income portfolio is comprised of general obligation (GO) and revenue securities. The revenue sources include sectors such as sewer and water, public improvement, school, transportation and colleges and universities. As of December 31, 2024, approximately 50 percent of the municipal fixed income securities in the investment portfolio were GO and the remaining 50 percent were revenue based. The municipal portfolio is diversified amongst 282 issues.
Ninety-three percent of our municipal fixed income securities were rated AA or better, while 99 percent were rated A or better. The municipal portfolio includes 66 percent taxable and 34 percent tax-exempt securities.
Corporate Debt Securities
As of December 31, 2024, our corporate debt portfolio comprised 42 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 43 percent as of December 31, 2023. The corporate allocation includes floating rate bank loans and bonds that are below investment grade in credit quality and offer incremental yield over our core fixed income portfolio. Non-investment grade bonds totaled $148 million while non-rated Regulation D securities totaled $90 million at the end of 2024. While these Regulation D securities are not rated by a traditional nationally recognized statistical rating organization, all but one carry an equivalent investment-grade rating from
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the Securities Valuation Office of the NAIC. The corporate debt portfolio has an overall quality rating of A- diversified among 954 issues.
The table below illustrates our corporate debt exposure as of December 31, 2024. Private placements include bank loan and Regulation D securities.
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | |
| Corporate - industrial | | $ | 767,987 | | $ | 739,139 | | 54.9 | % |
| Corporate - financial | | | 431,079 | | | 416,010 | | 30.9 | % |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 104,975 | | | 101,842 | | 7.6 | % |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | 40,474 | | | 38,532 | | 2.8 | % |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | 50,635 | | | 48,497 | | 3.6 | % |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | 2,526 | | | 2,501 | | 0.2 | % |
| Total | | $ | 1,397,676 | | $ | 1,346,521 | | 100.0 | % |
We believe corporate debt investments add diversification and additional yield to our portfolio.
EQUITY SECURITIES
As of December 31, 2024, our equity portfolio comprised 18 percent of the investment portfolio, up from 16 percent at the end of the previous year. The securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index ETFs that represent market indexes similar to the Russell 3000 Index, Russell 1000 Index and S&P 500 Index. The ETF portfolio is congruent with the actively managed equity portfolios and solves for exposures that line up with our overall benchmark index, the Russell 3000. In total, the equity portfolio is comprised of 89 securities.
INTEREST AND GENERAL CORPORATE EXPENSE
We incurred $6 million of interest expense on outstanding debt during 2024 and $7 million in 2023. At December 31, 2024, our debt included $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC Bank, N.A. (PNC). The borrowing may be repaid at any time and carries an adjustable interest rate of 5.98 percent as of the end of 2024. Additionally, we borrowed $50 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago (FHLBC) that matures on November 12, 2025 and pays interest monthly at an annualized rate of 4.44 percent. Comparatively, at December 31, 2023, our debt consisted of $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC and carried a floating interest rate of 7.07 percent, as well as $50 million of borrowings from the FHLBC that matured on November 10, 2024 and paid interest monthly at an annualized rate of 5.44 percent.
We incurred $16 million of general corporate expense during 2024 and 2023. General corporate expenses include director and shareholder relation costs and other compensation-related expenses incurred for the benefit of the corporation.
INVESTEE EARNINGS
As of December 31, 2024, we had a 23 percent interest in the equity and earnings of Prime Holdings Insurance Services, Inc. (Prime). Prime writes business through two Illinois domiciled insurance carriers, Prime Insurance Company, an excess and surplus lines company, and Prime Property and Casualty Insurance Inc., an admitted insurance company. As a private company, the market for Prime’s stock is limited. While we have certain rights under our shareholder agreement and maintain a position on Prime’s board of directors, we are subject to the decisions of the controlling shareholder, which may impact the value of our investment. In 2024, we recorded $5 million in investee losses for Prime, compared to $10 million of investee earnings in 2023. The loss in 2024 is reflective of Prime strengthening loss reserves on a number of prior accident years. Additionally, we maintain a quota share reinsurance treaty with Prime, which contributed $9 million of gross premiums written and $8 million of net premiums earned during 2024, compared to $7 million of gross premiums written and $13 million of net premiums earned during 2023. The decrease in premiums earned is attributable to a reduction of our participation in the quota share reinsurance treaty, as well as the competitive market in which Prime operates.
We received dividends of $3 million from Prime in 2024, while no dividends were received from Prime in 2023. Dividends from our equity method investees have been irregular in nature, and while they provide added liquidity when received, we do not rely on those dividends to meet our liquidity needs.
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INCOME TAXES
Our effective tax rates were 19.1 percent and 19.3 percent for 2024 and 2023, respectively. Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings, which is impacted by the volatility of unrealized gains and losses in equity securities, and the related tax effects. The effective rate was slightly lower in 2024 due to higher levels of tax-favored adjustments, such as excess tax benefits on share-based compensation.
Dividends paid to our ESOP result in a tax deduction. Dividends paid to the ESOP in 2024 and 2023 resulted in tax benefits of $3 million and $2 million, respectively. These tax benefits reduced the effective tax rate for 2024 and 2023 by 0.6 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively.
NET UNPAID LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
The primary liability on our balance sheet relates to unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which represents our estimated liability for losses and related settlement expenses before considering offsetting reinsurance balances recoverable. The largest asset on our balance sheet, outside of investments, is the reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which serves to offset this liability. The liability can be split into two parts: (1) case reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on known claims and (2) IBNR reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. Our gross liability for both case and IBNR reserves is reduced by reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses to calculate our net reserve balance. This net reserve balance increased to $1.9 billion at December 31, 2024, from $1.7 billion as of December 31, 2023. This reflects net incurred losses of $739 million in 2024 offset by paid losses of $490 million, compared to net incurred losses of $604 million offset by $491 million paid in 2023. For more information on the changes in loss and LAE reserves by segment, see note 5 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Gross reserves (liability) and the reinsurance balances recoverable (asset) are generally subject to the same influences that affect net reserves, though changes to our reinsurance agreements can cause reinsurance balances recoverable to behave differently. Total gross loss and LAE reserves increased to $2.7 billion at December 31, 2024, from $2.4 billion at December 31, 2023, while ceded loss and LAE reserves decreased to $755 million from $757 million over the same period.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
OVERVIEW
We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) operating cash flows, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) investing cash flows related to the purchase, sale and maturity of investments and (3) financing cash flows that impact our capital structure, such as changes in debt, issuance of common stock and dividend payments. The following table summarizes these three cash flows over the last two years:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2024 | 2023 | ||||
| Net cash provided by operating activities | | $ | 560,219 | | $ | 464,257 |
| Net cash used in investing activities | | | (318,870) | | | (211,803) |
| Net cash used in financing activities | | | (237,983) | | | (238,848) |
We have posted positive operating cash flow in the last two years. Variations in operating cash flow between periods are largely driven by the volume and timing of premium receipt, claim payments, reinsurance and taxes. In addition, fluctuations in insurance operating expenses impact operating cash flow. During 2024, the majority of cash outflows were associated with the net purchase of fixed income securities, classified as investing activities, and the payment of our regular quarterly dividends and $2.00 per share special dividend, classified as financing activities.
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We have entered into certain contractual obligations that require the Company to make recurring payments. The following table summarizes our contractual obligations as of December 31, 2024:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments due by period | | | | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | Less than 1 year | 1-3 years | 3-5 years | More than 5 years | Total | ||||||||||
| Loss and settlement expense reserves | | $ | 811,855 | | $ | 938,144 | | $ | 510,232 | | $ | 433,239 | | $ | 2,693,470 |
| Debt | | | 100,000 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 100,000 |
| Interest on debt | | | 2,242 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,242 |
| Operating leases | | | 4,373 | | | 6,001 | | | 3,060 | | | 4,489 | | | 17,923 |
| Other invested assets | | | 1,373 | | | 5,765 | | | 948 | | | 60 | | | 8,146 |
| Total | | $ | 919,843 | | $ | 949,910 | | $ | 514,240 | | $ | 437,788 | | $ | 2,821,781 |
Loss and settlement expense reserves represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling reported and unreported claims and related expenses. As discussed previously, the estimation of loss and loss expense reserves is based on various complex and subjective judgments. Actual losses and settlement expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements. Similarly, the timing for payment of our estimated losses is not fixed and is not determinable on an individual or aggregate basis. The assumptions used in estimating the payments due by periods are based on our historical claims payment experience. Due to the uncertainty inherent in the process of estimating the timing of such payments, there is a risk that the amounts paid in any period can be significantly different than the amounts disclosed above. Amounts disclosed above are gross of anticipated amounts recoverable from reinsurers. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves are reported separately as assets, instead of being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not discharge the Company of its liability to policyholders. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves totaled $755 million at December 31, 2024, compared to $757 million in 2023.
The next largest contractual obligation relates to debt outstanding. On September 15, 2023, we accessed $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC Bank, N.A. (PNC). As the borrowing may be repaid at any time and carries an adjustable interest rate of 5.98 percent as of the end of 2024, interest on this $50 million borrowing is excluded from the table above. Additionally, on November 12, 2024 we borrowed $50 million from the FHLBC. The borrowing matures on November 12, 2025 and monthly interest is paid at an annualized rate of 4.44 percent. We are not party to any off-balance sheet arrangements. See note 3 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for more information on our debt. Additionally, see note 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for information on our obligations for other invested assets.
At December 31, 2024, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments maturing within one year of approximately $372 million and an additional $739 million of investments maturing between 1 to 5 years. Our revolving line of credit with PNC permits us to borrow up to an aggregate principal amount of $100 million, but may be increased up to an aggregate principal amount of $130 million under certain conditions. The facility has a three-year term that expires on May 29, 2026. As of December 31, 2024, $50 million was outstanding on this facility. Additionally, based on qualifying assets and the $50 million borrowing outstanding with the FHLBC as of year-end, additional immediate borrowing capacity from the FHBLC is approximately $15 million. However, under certain circumstances, that capacity may be increased based on additional FHLBC stock purchased and available collateral. Our membership allows each insurance subsidiary to determine tenor and structure at the time of borrowing.
Our primary objective in managing our capital is to preserve and grow shareholders’ equity and statutory surplus to improve our competitive position and allow for expansion of our insurance operations. Our insurance subsidiaries must maintain certain minimum capital levels in order to meet the requirements of the states in which we are regulated. Our insurance companies are also evaluated by rating agencies that assign financial strength ratings that measure our ability to meet our obligations to policyholders over an extended period of time.
We have historically grown our total capital as a result of three sources of funds: (1) earnings on underwriting and investing activities, (2) appreciation in the value of our investments and (3) the issuance of common stock and debt. We believe that cash generated by operations, cash generated by investments and cash available from financing activities will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months. We have consistently generated positive operating cash flow. The primary factor in our ability to generate positive operating cash flow is underwriting profitability, which we have achieved for 29 consecutive years.
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OPERATING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from operating activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Premiums received | Claims | |
| Loss payments from reinsurers | Ceded premium to reinsurers | |
| Investment income (interest and dividends) | Commissions paid | |
| Funds held | Operating expenses | |
| | Interest expense | |
| | | Income taxes |
| | Funds held |
Our largest source of cash is from premiums received from our customers, which we receive at the beginning of the coverage period for most policies. Our largest cash outflow is for claims that arise when a policyholder incurs an insured loss. Because the payment of claims occurs after the receipt of the premium, often years later, we invest the cash in various investment securities that earn interest and dividends. We use cash to pay commissions to brokers and agents, as well as to pay for ongoing operating expenses such as salaries, rent, taxes and interest expense. We also utilize reinsurance to manage the risk that we take on our policies. We cede, or pay out, part of the premiums we receive to our reinsurers and collect cash back when losses subject to our reinsurance coverage are paid.
The timing of our cash flows from operating activities can vary among periods due to the timing by which payments are made or received. Some of our payments and receipts, including loss settlements and subsequent reinsurance receipts, can be significant, so their timing can influence cash flows from operating activities in any given period. We are subject to the risk of incurring significant losses on catastrophes, both natural (such as earthquakes and hurricanes) and man-made (such as terrorism). If we were to incur such losses, we would have to make significant claim payments in a relatively concentrated period of time.
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from investing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from sale, call or maturity of bonds | Purchase of bonds | |
| Proceeds from sale of stocks | Purchase of stocks | |
| Proceeds from sale of other invested assets | | Purchase of other invested assets |
| | Acquisitions | |
| | Purchase of property and equipment |
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio representing policyholder funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our shareholders. As of December 31, 2024, our portfolio had a carrying value of $4.1 billion. Portfolio assets at December 31, 2024 increased by $408 million, or 11 percent, from December 31, 2023.
Our overall investment philosophy is designed to first protect policyholders by maintaining sufficient funds to meet corporate and policyholder obligations and then generate long-term growth in shareholders’ equity. Because our existing and projected liabilities are sufficiently funded by the fixed income portfolio, we can improve returns by investing a portion of the surplus (within limits) in a risk assets portfolio largely made up of equities. As of December 31, 2024, 48 percent of our shareholders’ equity was invested in equities versus 42 percent at year-end 2023.
The fixed income portfolio is structured to meet policyholder obligations and optimize the generation of after-tax investment income and total return.
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FINANCING ACTIVITIES
In addition to the previously discussed operating and investing activities, we also engage in financing activities to manage our capital structure. The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from financing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from stock offerings | Shareholder dividends | |
| Proceeds from debt offerings | Debt repayment | |
| Shares issued under stock option plans | Share buy-backs |
Our capital structure is comprised of equity and debt obligations. As of December 31, 2024, our capital structure consisted of $100 million in debt and $1.5 billion of shareholders’ equity. Debt outstanding comprised 6 percent of total capital as of December 31, 2024.
At the holding company (RLI Corp.) level, we rely largely on dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations for paying principal and interest on outstanding debt, corporate expenses and dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. As discussed further below, dividend payments to RLI Corp. from our principal insurance subsidiary are restricted by state insurance laws as to the amount that may be paid without prior approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of Illinois. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from such subsidiary at times and in amounts necessary to pay desired dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. On a GAAP basis, as of December 31, 2024, our holding company had $1.5 billion in equity. This includes amounts related to the equity of our insurance subsidiaries, which is subject to regulatory restrictions under state insurance laws. The unrestricted portion of holding company net assets is comprised primarily of investments and cash, including $39 million in liquid investment assets, which approximates two-thirds of our normal annual holding company expenditures. Unrestricted funds at the holding company level are available to fund debt interest, general corporate obligations and regular dividend payments to our shareholders. If necessary, the holding company also has other potential sources of liquidity that could provide for additional funding to meet corporate obligations or pay shareholder dividends, which include a revolving line of credit, as well as access to the capital markets.
Ordinary dividends, which may be paid by our principal insurance subsidiary without prior regulatory approval, are subject to certain limitations based upon statutory income, surplus and earned surplus. The maximum ordinary dividend distribution from our principal insurance subsidiary in a rolling 12-month period is limited by Illinois law to the greater of 10 percent of RLI Ins. policyholder surplus, as of December 31 of the preceding year, or the net income of RLI Ins. for the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year. Ordinary dividends are further restricted by the requirement that they be paid from earned surplus. In 2024 and 2023, RLI Ins. paid ordinary dividends totaling $152 million and $145 million, respectively, to RLI Corp. Any dividend distribution in excess of the ordinary dividend limits is deemed extraordinary and requires prior approval from the IDOI. No extraordinary dividends were paid in 2024 or 2023. Although RLI Ins. was restricted from distributing ordinary dividends to RLI Corp. as of December 31, 2024, the rolling 12-month limitations reset as of January 1st. A total of $241 million in ordinary dividend capacity will be available over the course of 2025. In addition to restrictions from our principal subsidiary’s insurance regulator, we also consider internal models and how capital adequacy is defined by our rating agencies in determining amounts available for distribution.
Our 195th consecutive dividend payment was declared in February 2025 and will be paid on March 20, 2025, in the amount of $0.15 per share. Since the inception of cash dividends in 1976, we have increased our annual dividend every year.
PROSPECTIVE ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Prospective accounting standards are those which we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of relevant prospective accounting standards, see note 1.D. to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
FY 2023 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-24-001599.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
OVERVIEW
RLI Corp. is a U.S. based, specialty insurance company that underwrites select property, casualty and surety products through major subsidiaries collectively known as RLI Insurance Group (Group). Our focus is on niche markets and developing unique products that are tailored to customers’ needs. We hire underwriters and claim examiners with deep expertise and provide exceptional customer service and support. We maintain a highly diverse product portfolio and underwrite for profit in all market conditions. In 2023, we achieved our 28th consecutive year of underwriting profitability. Over the 28-year period, we averaged an 88.2 combined ratio. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting income itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.
We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: casualty, property and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written, and profitability is analyzed through combined ratios, which are further subdivided into their respective loss and expense components.
KEY PERFORMANCE MEASURES
Following is a list of key performance measures found throughout this report with their definitions, relationships to GAAP measures and explanations of their importance to our operations.
Underwriting Income
Underwriting income or profit represents one measure of the pretax profitability of our insurance operations and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses from net premiums earned, which are all GAAP financial measures. Each of these components are presented in the statements of earnings but is not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 12 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains or losses, net unrealized gains or losses on equity securities, general corporate expenses, debt costs and our portion of earnings from unconsolidated investees. A reconciliation of net earnings to underwriting income follows:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| Net earnings | | $ | 304,611 | | $ | 583,411 |
| Income tax expense | | | 72,654 | | | 137,267 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 377,265 | | $ | 720,678 |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | (9,610) | | | (9,853) |
| General corporate expenses | | | 15,917 | | | 12,900 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | 7,301 | | | 8,047 |
| Net unrealized (gains) losses on equity securities | | | (64,787) | | | 121,037 |
| Net realized gains | | | (32,518) | | | (588,515) |
| Net investment income | | | (120,383) | | | (86,078) |
| Underwriting income | | $ | 173,185 | | $ | 178,216 |
Combined Ratio
The combined ratio, which is derived from components of underwriting income, is a common industry performance measure of profitability for underwriting operations and is calculated in two components. First, the loss ratio is loss and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The second component, the expense ratio, reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses divided by net premiums earned. All items included in these components of the combined ratio are presented in our GAAP consolidated financial statements. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the consolidated financial
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statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.
The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes.
LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
Overview
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves represent our best estimate of ultimate payments for losses and related settlement expenses from claims that have been reported but not paid, and those losses that have been incurred but not yet reported (IBNR) to the Company. Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but instead represent our estimates, generally utilizing individual claim estimates, actuarial expertise and estimation techniques at a given accounting date. The loss reserve estimates are expectations of what ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost upon final resolution. These estimates are based on facts and circumstances then known to the Company, review of historical settlement patterns, estimates of trends in claim frequency and severity, projections of loss costs, expected interpretations of legal theories of liability and many other factors. In establishing reserves, we also consider estimated recoveries from reinsurance as well as salvage and subrogation.
We record two categories of loss and LAE reserves: case-specific reserves and IBNR reserves. Within a reasonable period of time after a claim is reported, our claim department completes an initial investigation and establishes a case reserve. This case-specific reserve is an estimate of the ultimate amount we will have to pay for the claim, including related legal expenses and other costs associated with resolving and settling it. The estimate reflects all of the current information available regarding the claim, the informed judgment of our professional claim personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim and our reserving practices. During the life cycle of a particular claim, as more information becomes available, we may revise the estimate of the ultimate value of the claim either upward or downward. We may determine that it is appropriate to pay portions of the reserve to the claimant or related settlement expenses before final resolution of the claim. The amount of the individual case reserve will be adjusted accordingly and is based on the most recent information available.
We establish IBNR reserves to estimate the amount we will have to pay for claims that have occurred, but have not yet been reported to the Company, claims that have been reported to the Company that may ultimately be paid out differently than reflected in our case-specific reserves and claims that have been closed but may reopen and require future payment.
LAE represents the cost involved in adjusting and administering losses from policies we issued. The LAE reserves are frequently separated into two components: allocated and unallocated. Allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that can be identified with a specific claim. Examples of ALAE would be the hiring of an outside adjuster to investigate a claim or an outside attorney to defend our insured. The claim adjuster typically estimates this cost separately from the loss component in the case reserve. Unallocated loss adjustment expense (ULAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that cannot be identified with a specific claim. An example of ULAE would be the cost of an internal claim examiner to manage or investigate claims.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claim handling procedures, claim personnel, economic inflation, legal trends and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for loss and LAE is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimations also differ significantly by coverage due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the policy limits written, the terms and conditions of the underlying policies, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process. We continually refine our loss reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops and additional claims are reported and settled. We rigorously attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.
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Following is a table of significant risk factors involved in estimating losses grouped by major product line. We distinguish between loss ratio risk and reserve estimation risk. Loss ratio risk refers to the possible dispersion of loss ratios from year to year due to inherent volatility in the business, such as high severity or aggregating exposures. Reserve estimation risk recognizes the difficulty in estimating a given year’s ultimate loss liability. As an example, our property catastrophe business (included below in other property) has significant variance in year over year results; however, its reserving estimation risk is relatively moderate.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | Expected loss | Reserve | ||||
| | | Length of | | Emergence | | | | ratio | | estimation |
| Product line | reserve tail | patterns relied upon | Other risk factors | variability | variability | |||||
| Commercial excess | Long | Internal | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Personal umbrella | Medium | Internal | Low frequency | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | High severity | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| General liability | Long | Internal | Exposure changes/mix | Medium | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Professional services | Medium | Internal | Highly varied exposures | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial transportation | Medium | Internal | High severity | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Exposure change/mix | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Small commercial | Medium | Internal | Exposure change/mix | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Small volume | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Executive products | Long | Internal & external | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Economic volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth/mix | | | | |
| | | | | | Heavily reinsured | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other casualty | Medium | Internal & external | Small volume | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Marine | Medium | Internal & external | Exposure growth/mix | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | Aggregation exposure | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other property | Short | Internal | Aggregation exposure | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Low frequency | | | | | |
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Surety | Medium | Internal | Economic volatility | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unique exposures | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Runoff including asbestos & environmental | Long | Internal & external | Loss trend volatility | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Mass tort/latent exposure | | | | |
Due to inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, including, but not limited to, the future settlement environment, final resolution of the estimated liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. The amount by which current estimated losses differ from those estimated for a period at a prior valuation date is known as development. Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the levels at which they were reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable development of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.
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Our IBNR reserving process involves three steps: (1) an initial IBNR generation process that is prospective in nature, (2) a loss and LAE reserve estimation process that occurs retrospectively and (3) a subsequent discussion and reconciliation between our prospective and retrospective IBNR estimates, which includes changes in our provisions for IBNR where deemed appropriate.
Initial IBNR Generation Process
Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve generation process. The intent of this process is to establish an initial total reserve that will provide a reasonable provision for the ultimate value of all unpaid loss and ALAE liabilities. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and ALAE ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. The result is our best initial estimate of the expected amount of ultimate loss and ALAE for the period by product. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve.
For certain property products, we use an alternative method of determining an appropriate provision for initial IBNR. Since this segment is characterized by a shorter period of time between claim occurrence and claim settlement, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on expected loss ratios and loss development assumptions. The loss development assumptions are typically based on historical reporting patterns but could consider alternative sources of information. The IBNR percentages are reviewed and updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. This alternative method of determining initial IBNR allows incurred losses and ALAE to react more rapidly to the actual emergence, and is more appropriate for our property products where final claim resolution occurs over a shorter period of time.
We do not reserve for natural or man-made catastrophes until an event has occurred. Shortly after such occurrence, we review insured locations exposed to the event and industry loss estimates of the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. These reserves are reviewed frequently to consider actual losses reported and appropriate changes to our estimates are made to reflect the new information.
The initial loss and ALAE ratios that are applied to earned premium are reviewed at least semi-annually. Prospective estimates are made based on historical loss experience adjusted for exposure mix, price change and loss cost trends. The initial loss and ALAE ratios also reflect our judgment as to estimation risk. We consider estimation risk by product and coverage within product, if applicable. A product with greater volatility and uncertainty has greater estimation risk. Products or coverages with higher estimation risk include, but are not limited to, the following characteristics:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Significant changes in underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | A new business or one experiencing significant growth and/or high turnover, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Small volume or lacking internal data requiring significant utilization of external data, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Unique reinsurance features including those with aggregate stop-loss, reinstatement clauses, commutation provisions or clash protection, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Longer emergence patterns with exposures to latent unforeseen mass tort, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Assumed reinsurance businesses where there is an extended reporting lag and/or a heavier utilization of ceding company data and claims and product expertise, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High severity and/or low frequency, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational processes undergoing significant change and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High sensitivity to significant swings in loss trends, economic change or judicial change. |
The historical and prospective loss and ALAE estimates, along with the risks listed, are the basis for determining our initial and subsequent carried reserves. Adjustments in the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors.
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Loss and LAE Reserve Estimation Process
Estimates of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE are derived using standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance.
The process of estimating ultimate payment for claims and claim expenses begins with the collection and analysis of current and historical claim data. Data on individual reported claims, including paid amounts and individual claim adjuster estimates, are grouped by common characteristics. There is judgment involved in this grouping. Considerations when grouping data include the volume of the data available, the credibility of the data available, the homogeneity of the risks in each grouping and both settlement and payment pattern consistency. We use this data to determine historical claim reporting and payment patterns, which are used in the analysis of ultimate claim liabilities. In some analyses, including businesses without sufficiently large numbers of policies or that have not accumulated sufficient historical statistics, our own data is supplemented with external or industry average data as available and when appropriate. For liabilities arising out of directors and officers, management liability and workers’ compensation, we utilize external data extensively.
We also incorporate estimated losses relative to premium (loss ratios) by year into the analysis. The expected loss ratios are based on a review of historical loss performance, trends in frequency and severity and price level changes. The estimates are subject to judgment including consideration given to available internal and industry data, growth and policy turnover, changes in policy limits, changes in underlying policy provisions, changes in legal and regulatory interpretations of policy provisions and changes in reinsurance structure. For the most current year, these are equivalent with the ratios used in the initial IBNR generation process. Increased recognition is given to actual emergence as the years age.
We use historical development patterns, expected loss ratios and standard actuarial methods to derive an estimate of the ultimate level of loss and LAE payments necessary to settle all the claims occurring as of the end of the evaluation period.
Our reserve processes include multiple standard actuarial methods for determining estimates of IBNR reserves. Other supplementary methodologies are incorporated as necessary. Mass tort and latent liabilities are examples of exposures for which supplementary methodologies are used. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed.
The methodologies we have chosen to incorporate are a function of data availability and are reflective of our own book of business. From time to time, we evaluate the need to add supplementary methodologies. New methods are incorporated if it is believed they improve the estimate of our ultimate loss and LAE liability. All of the actuarial methods eventually converge to the same estimate as an accident year matures. Our core methodologies are listed below with a short description and their relative strengths and weaknesses:
Paid Loss Development — Historical payment patterns for prior claims are used to estimate future payment patterns for current claims. These patterns are applied to current payments by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: The method reflects only the claim dollars that have been paid and is not subject to case-basis reserve changes or changes in case reserve practices.
Weaknesses: External claims environment changes can impact the rate at which claims are settled and losses paid (e.g. increase in attorney involvement or change in legal precedent). Adjustments to reflect changes in payment patterns on a prospective basis are difficult to quantify. For losses that have occurred recently, payments can be minimal and thus early estimates are subject to significant instability.
Incurred Loss Development — Historical case-incurred patterns (paid losses plus case reserves) for past claims are used to estimate future case-incurred amounts for current claims. These patterns are applied to current case-incurred losses by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Losses are reported more quickly than paid, therefore, the estimates stabilize sooner. The method reflects more information in the analysis than the paid loss development method.
Weaknesses: Method involves additional estimation risk if significant changes to case reserving practices have occurred.
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Case Reserve Development — Patterns of historical development in reported losses relative to historical case reserves are determined. These patterns are applied to current case reserves by accident year and the result is combined with paid losses to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Like the incurred development method, this method benefits from using the additional information available in case reserves that is not available from paid losses only. It also can provide a more reasonable estimate than other methods when the proportion of claims still open for an accident year is unusually high or low.
Weaknesses: It is subject to the risk of changes in case reserving practices or philosophy. It may provide unstable estimates when an accident year is immature and more of the IBNR is expected to come from unreported claims rather than development on reported claims and when accident years are very mature with infrequent case reserves.
Expected Loss Ratio — Historical loss ratios, in combination with projections of frequency and severity trends, as well as estimates of price and exposure changes, are analyzed to produce an estimate of the expected loss ratio for each accident year. The expected loss ratio is then applied to the earned premium for each year to estimate the expected ultimate losses. The current accident year expected loss ratio is also the prospective loss and ALAE ratio used in our initial IBNR generation process.
Strengths: Reflects an estimate independent of how losses are emerging on either a paid or a case reserve basis. This method is particularly useful in the absence of historical development patterns or where losses take a long time to emerge.
Weaknesses: Ignores how losses are actually emerging and thus produces the same estimate of ultimate loss regardless of favorable/unfavorable emergence.
Paid and Incurred Bornhuetter/Ferguson (BF) — This approach blends the expected loss ratio method with either the paid or incurred loss development method. In effect, the BF methods produce weighted average indications for each accident year. As an example, if the current accident year for commercial automobile liability is estimated to be 20 percent paid, then the paid loss development method would receive a weight of 20 percent and the expected loss ratio method would receive an 80 percent weight. Over time, this method will converge with the ultimate estimated by the respective loss development method.
Strengths: Reflects actual emergence that is favorable/unfavorable, but assumes remaining emergence will continue as previously expected. Does not overreact to the early emergence (or lack of emergence) where patterns are most unstable.
Weaknesses: Could potentially understate favorable or unfavorable development by putting weight on the expected loss ratio.
In most cases, multiple estimation methods will be valid for the particular facts and circumstances of the claim liabilities being evaluated. Each estimation method has its own set of assumption variables and its own advantages and disadvantages, with no single estimation method being better than the others in all situations, and no one set of assumption variables being meaningful for all product line components. The relative strengths and weaknesses of the particular estimation methods, when applied to a particular group of claims, can also change over time. Therefore, the weight given to each estimation method will likely change by accident year and with each evaluation.
The actuarial central estimates typically follow a progression that places significant weight on the BF methods when accident years are younger and claim emergence is immature. As accident years mature and claims emerge over time, increasing weight is placed on the incurred development method, the paid development method and the case reserve development method. For product lines with faster loss emergence, the progression to greater weight on the incurred and paid development methods occurs more quickly.
For our long and medium-tail products, the BF methods are typically given the most weight for more evaluation periods than the short-tailed lines. These methods are also predominant for the first 12 months of evaluation for short-tail lines. Beyond these time periods, our actuaries apply their professional judgment when weighting the estimates from the various methods deployed, but place significant reliance on the expected stage of development in normal circumstances.
Judgment can supersede this natural progression if risk factors and assumptions change, or if a situation occurs that amplifies a particular strength or weakness of a methodology. Extreme projections are critically analyzed and may be adjusted, given less credence or discarded altogether. Internal documentation is maintained that records any substantial changes in methods or assumptions from one loss reserve study to another.
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Our estimates of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are subject to change as additional data emerges. This could occur as a result of change in loss development patterns, a revision in expected loss ratios, the emergence of exceptional loss activity, a change in weightings between actuarial methods, the addition of new actuarial methodologies, new information that merits inclusion or the emergence of internal variables or external factors that would alter our view.
There is uncertainty in the estimates of ultimate losses. Significant risk factors to the reserve estimate include, but are not limited to, unforeseen or unquantifiable changes in:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss payment patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss reporting patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Frequency and severity trends, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Business or exposure mix, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational or internal processes affecting the timing of loss and LAE transactions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Regulatory and legal environment and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Economic environment. |
Our actuaries engage in discussions with senior management, underwriters and the claim department on a regular basis to ascertain any substantial changes in operations or other assumptions that are necessary to consider in the reserving analysis.
A considerable degree of judgment in the evaluation of all these factors is involved in the analysis of reserves. The human element in the application of judgment is unavoidable when faced with uncertainty. Different experts will choose different assumptions based on their individual backgrounds, professional experiences and areas of focus. Hence, the estimates selected by various qualified experts may differ significantly from each other. We consider this uncertainty by examining our historic reserve accuracy and through an internal and external review process.
Given the substantial impact of the reserve estimates on our financial statements, we subject the reserving process to significant diagnostic testing and reasonability checks. In addition, there are data validity checks and balances in our front-end processes. Data anomalies are researched and explained to reach a comfort level with the data and results. Leading indicators such as actual versus expected emergence and other diagnostics are also incorporated into the reserving processes.
Determination of Our Best Estimate
Our best estimate of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are proposed by our lead reserving actuary and then discussed and approved by our Loss Reserve Committee (LRC). The LRC is made up of various members of the management team including the lead reserving actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief legal officer and other selected executives. As part of the discussion with the LRC, the analysis supporting the actuarial central estimate of the IBNR reserve by product is reviewed. The actuaries also present explanations supporting any changes to the underlying assumptions used to calculate the indicated central estimate. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regard to booked reserves that reflect both their analytical assessment and relevant qualitative factors, such as their view of estimation risk. After discussion of these analyses, recommendations and all relevant risk factors among the LRC, our actuaries determine whether the reserve balances require further adjustment.
As a predominantly excess and surplus lines and specialty admitted insurer serving niche markets, we believe we are subject to above-average variation in estimates and that this variation is not symmetrical around the actuarial central estimate.
One reason for the variation is the above-average policyholder turnover and changes in the underlying mix of exposures typical of an excess and surplus lines business. This constant change can cause estimates based on prior experience to be less reliable than estimates for more stable, admitted books of business. Also, as a niche market insurer, there is little industry-level information for
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direct comparisons of current and prior experience and other reserving parameters. These unknowns create greater-than-average variation in the actuarial central estimates.
Actuarial methods attempt to quantify future outcomes. However, insurance companies are subject to unique exposures that are difficult to foresee when coverage is initiated. Judicial and regulatory bodies involved in interpretation of insurance contracts have increasingly found opportunities to expand coverage beyond that which was intended or contemplated at the time the policy was issued. Many of these policies offer broad coverages (with named exclusion) and are issued on an occurrence basis. Claimants have at times sought coverage beyond the insurer’s original intent, including seeking to void or limit exclusionary language.
Because of the variation and the likelihood that there are unforeseen and under-quantified liabilities absent from the actuarial estimate, we believe there are circumstances where it is prudent to enhance our normal reserving process. Generally, these are circumstances where we have qualitative information and knowledge of increased risk, but those circumstances have not occurred within the history of our quantitative data. In these situations, we will rely on that qualitative information, usually from our claim team or underwriting staff, and make an enhancement to our normal process. In general, these enhancements will result in an increased overall reserve level compared to reserves based only on observed quantitative information. In the cases where these risks fail to materialize, favorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods. It is also possible that the risks materialize above the enhanced reserve level, in which case unfavorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods.
Our best estimate of loss and LAE reserves may change as a result of a revision in the actuarial central estimate, the actuary’s certainty in the estimates and processes and our overall view of the underlying risks. From time to time, we benchmark our reserving policies and procedures and refine them by adopting industry best practices where appropriate. A detailed, ground-up analysis of the reserve estimation risks associated with each of our products and segments, including an assessment of industry information, is performed annually. This information is used when determining management’s best estimate of booked reserves.
We do not use discounting (recognition of the time value of money) in reporting our estimated reserves for losses and settlement expenses.
Loss reserve estimates are subject to a high degree of variability due to the inherent uncertainty of ultimate settlement values. Periodic adjustments to these estimates will likely occur as the actual loss emergence reveals itself over time. Our loss reserving processes reflect accepted actuarial practices and our methodologies result in a reasonable provision for reserves as of December 31, 2023.
Reserve Sensitivities
There are three major parameters that have significant influence on our actuarial estimates of ultimate liabilities by product. They are the actual losses that are reported, the expected loss emergence pattern and the expected loss ratios used in the analyses. If the actual losses reported do not emerge as expected, it may cause the Company to challenge all or some of our previous assumptions. We may change expected loss emergence patterns, the expected loss ratios used in our analysis and/or the weights we place on a given actuarial method. The impact will be much greater and more leveraged for products with longer emergence patterns. Our general liability product is an example of a product with a relatively long emergence pattern. The following chart illustrates the sensitivity of our general liability reserve estimates to these key parameters. We believe the scenarios to be reasonable, as similar favorable variations have occurred in recent years. For example, our general liability emergence has ranged from 17 percent to 20 percent favorable and our small commercial emergence has ranged from 27 percent adverse to 9 percent favorable over the last three years, while our overall emergence for all products combined has ranged from 16 percent to 27 percent favorable. The numbers below are the changes in estimated ultimate loss and ALAE in millions of dollars as of December 31, 2023, resulting from the change in the parameters shown. These parameters were applied to a general liability net loss and LAE reserve balance of $215 million, in addition to associated ULAE and latent liability reserves, at December 31, 2023.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Result from favorable | Result from unfavorable | ||||
| (in millions) | | change in parameter | | change in parameter | ||
| +/- 5 point change in expected loss ratio for all accident years | | $ | (18.7) | | $ | 16.9 |
| +/- 10% change in expected emergence patterns | | $ | (6.5) | | $ | 4.4 |
| +/- 30% change in actual loss emergence over a calendar year | | $ | (10.0) | | $ | 8.2 |
| Simultaneous change in expected loss ratio (5pts), expected emergence patterns (10%) and actual loss emergence (30%). | | $ | (32.8) | | $ | 31.8 |
There are often significant interrelationships between our reserving assumptions that have offsetting or compounding effects on the reserve estimate. Thus, in almost all cases, it is impossible to discretely measure the effect of a single assumption or construct a
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meaningful sensitivity expectation that holds true in all cases. The scenario above is representative of general liability, one of our largest and longest-tailed products. It is unlikely that all of our products would have variations as wide as illustrated in the example. It is also unlikely that all of our products would simultaneously experience favorable or unfavorable loss development in the same direction or at their extremes during a calendar year. Because our portfolio is made up of a diversified mix of products, there would ordinarily be some offsetting favorable and unfavorable emergence by product as actual losses start to emerge and our loss estimates become more reliable.
INVESTMENT VALUATION
Throughout each year, we and our investment managers buy and sell securities to achieve investment objectives in accordance with investment policies established and monitored by our board of directors and executive officers.
Equity securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded within net earnings. We classify our investments in fixed income securities into one of three categories: trading, held-to-maturity or available-for-sale. We do not hold any securities classified as trading or held-to-maturity. Available-for-sale securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded as a component of comprehensive earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of deferred income taxes.
Fair value is defined as the price in the principal market that would be received for an asset to facilitate an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. We determine the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.
RECOVERABILITY OF REINSURANCE BALANCES
Ceded unearned premiums and reinsurance balances recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve the Company of its liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and actively follow up on any past due or disputed amounts. As part of our monitoring efforts, we review their annual financial statements and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings for reinsurers that are publicly traded. We also review insurance industry developments that may impact the financial condition of our reinsurers. We analyze the credit risk associated with our reinsurance balances recoverable by monitoring the AM Best and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ratings of our reinsurers. Additionally, we perform an in-depth reinsurer financial condition analysis prior to the renewal of our reinsurance placements.
Once regulatory action (such as receivership, finding of insolvency, order of conservation or order of liquidation) is taken against a reinsurer, the paid and unpaid balance recoverable from the reinsurer are specifically identified and charged to earnings in the form of an allowance for uncollectible amounts. We subject our remaining reinsurance balances receivable to detailed recoverability tests, including a segment-based analysis using the average default rating percentage by S&P rating, and record an additional allowance for unrecoverable amounts from reinsurers. This credit allowance is reviewed on an ongoing basis to ensure that the amount makes a reasonable provision for reinsurance balances that we may be unable to recover.
DEFERRED POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS
We defer incremental direct costs that relate to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts, including commissions and premium taxes. Acquisition-related costs may be deemed ineligible for deferral when they are based on contingent or performance criteria beyond the basic acquisition of the insurance contract, or when efforts to obtain or renew the insurance contract are unsuccessful. All eligible costs are capitalized and charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value. This process contemplates the premiums to be earned, anticipated losses and settlement expenses and certain other costs expected to be incurred, but does not consider investment income. Judgments as to the ultimate recoverability of such deferred costs are reviewed on a segment basis and are highly dependent upon estimated future loss costs associated with the premiums written. This deferral methodology applies to both gross and ceded premiums and acquisition costs.
DEFERRED TAXES
We record deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent that temporary differences between the tax basis and GAAP basis of an asset or liability result in future taxable or deductible amounts. Our deferred tax assets relate to expected future tax deductions arising from claim reserves and future taxable income related to changes in our unearned premium and unrealized losses on our fixed income
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portfolio. We also have a significant amount of deferred tax liabilities from unrealized gains on the equity portfolio and deferred acquisition costs.
Periodically, management reviews our deferred tax positions to determine if it is more likely than not that the assets will be realized. These reviews include, among other things, the nature and amount of the taxable income and expense items, the expected timing of when assets will be used or liabilities will be required to be reported, as well as the reliability of historical profitability of businesses expected to provide future earnings. Furthermore, management considers tax planning strategies it can use to increase the likelihood that the tax assets will be realized. After conducting the periodic review, if management determines that the realization of the tax asset does not meet the more likely than not criteria, an offsetting valuation allowance is recorded, thereby reducing net earnings and the deferred tax asset in that period. In addition, management must make estimates of the tax rates expected to apply in the periods in which future taxable items are realized. Such estimates include determinations and judgments as to the expected manner in which certain temporary differences, including deferred amounts related to our equity method investment, will be recovered. These estimates enter into the determination of the applicable tax rates and are subject to change based on the circumstances.
We consider uncertainties in income taxes and recognize those in our financial statements as required. As it relates to uncertainties in income taxes, our unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements. Also, no tax uncertainties are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to unrecognized tax benefits within the next 12-month period. Penalties and interest related to income tax uncertainties, should they occur, would be included in income tax expense in the period in which they are incurred.
Additional discussion of other significant accounting policies may be found in note 1 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2023 and 2022 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2023 and 2022. Discussions of 2021 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, incorporated herein by reference.
Consolidated revenue for 2023 totaled $1.5 billion, down $186 million from 2022 as the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim, Inc. (Maui Jim) resulted in $571 million of realized gains in the prior year. Net premiums earned for the Group increased 13 percent, driven by growth from our property and casualty segments. A rally in equity markets during 2023 resulted in $65 million of unrealized gains on equity securities, while market declines in 2022 resulted in $121 million of unrealized losses in our equity portfolio. Net investment income increased by 40 percent in 2023, primarily due to higher reinvestment rates and a larger average asset base relative to the prior year.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSOLIDATED REVENUE | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| Net premiums earned | | $ | 1,294,306 | | $ | 1,144,436 |
| Net investment income | | | 120,383 | | | 86,078 |
| Net realized gains | | | 32,518 | | | 588,515 |
| Net unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities | | | 64,787 | | | (121,037) |
| Total consolidated revenue | | $ | 1,511,994 | | $ | 1,697,992 |
Net earnings for 2023 totaled $305 million, down from $583 million in 2022, as the comparable period was elevated by the gain recognized on the sale of our interest in Maui Jim in 2022.
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| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET EARNINGS | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| Underwriting income | | $ | 173,185 | | $ | 178,216 |
| Net investment income | | | 120,383 | | | 86,078 |
| Net realized gains | | | 32,518 | | | 588,515 |
| Net unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities | | | 64,787 | | | (121,037) |
| Interest expense on debt | | | (7,301) | | | (8,047) |
| General corporate expenses | | | (15,917) | | | (12,900) |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | 9,610 | | | 9,853 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 377,265 | | $ | 720,678 |
| Income tax expense | | | (72,654) | | | (137,267) |
| Net earnings | | $ | 304,611 | | $ | 583,411 |
UNDERWRITING RESULTS
We achieved our 28th consecutive year of underwriting profitability in 2023. Our track record is built on our diversified product portfolio and underwriting discipline in all markets.
Gross premiums written increased $241 million, or 15 percent, in 2023 when compared to 2022, with all three segments contributing. Positive rate momentum continued in 2023 for much of the property and casualty portfolio and our investments in technology and underwriting staff should put us in a position to take advantage of opportunities in 2024. Net premiums earned were up 13 percent in 2023, when compared to 2022, reflecting the broadly positive environment over the last twelve months. We anticipate healthy market conditions should support profitable growth across much of our diverse product portfolio in 2024.
In total, underwriting income was $173 million on an 86.6 combined ratio in 2023, compared to $178 million on an 84.4 combined ratio in 2022. Underwriting results for 2023 included $49 million of pretax losses and $12 million of reinsurance reinstatement premium from the Hawaiian wildfires, as well as $31 million of other storm losses. Comparatively, 2022 included $38 million of pretax losses from Hurricane Ian and $13 million of other storm losses. Results for each period benefited from favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves, which provided additional pretax earnings of $109 million in 2023, compared to $123 million in 2022. Further discussion of reserve development can be found in note 6 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
The loss ratio was 46.7 in 2023, compared to 44.9 in 2022. Higher net retained catastrophe losses in 2023 were partially offset by modest improvements in the current accident year’s attritional, non-catastrophe loss ratio. The expense ratio increased to 39.9 in 2023, from 39.5 in 2022, as operating performance and a larger growth in book value led to higher levels of bonus and profit-sharing expenses in 2023. Additionally, we continue to invest in our people and technology to support growth, improve customer experiences and drive efficiencies, which impacted all segments.
Bonus and profit-sharing amounts earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance including operating earnings, combined ratio and return on capital. Favorable development and other drivers of growth in book value would increase bonus and profit-sharing expenses, while catastrophe losses, adverse development and decreased investment portfolio returns would lead to expense reductions. These performance-related expenses impact policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses.
We remain optimistic about the potential underlying profitability of our portfolio. The January 1, 2024 reinsurance renewals were more orderly than in the 2023 renewal cycle. For our casualty treaties, the risk-adjusted rate change will be up mid-to high single digits, with similar structures and retentions. For our property treaties, the risk-adjusted rate change will be flat to slightly down and we increased our co-participations on our non-catastrophe cover, for which the combined effect should be an increased level of property premium retention in 2024 as compared to 2023.
The following tables and narrative provide a more detailed look at individual segment performance over the last two years.
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GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN AND NET PREMIUMS EARNED
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Gross Premiums Written | | | Net Premiums Earned | | ||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | % Change | 2023 | 2022 | % Change | | |||||||||||
| CASUALTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial excess and personal umbrella | | $ | 370,571 | | $ | 325,218 | | 14 | % | | $ | 286,178 | | $ | 253,921 | | 13 | % |
| Commercial transportation | | | 125,434 | | | 123,099 | | 2 | % | | | 103,719 | | | 96,992 | | 7 | % |
| General liability | | | 106,032 | | | 110,659 | | (4) | % | | | 103,066 | | | 100,374 | | 3 | % |
| Professional services | | | 108,503 | | | 103,922 | | 4 | % | | | 99,596 | | | 95,187 | | 5 | % |
| Small commercial | | | 76,644 | | | 72,347 | | 6 | % | | | 72,920 | | | 67,673 | | 8 | % |
| Executive products | | | 95,356 | | | 103,742 | | (8) | % | | | 24,687 | | | 26,606 | | (7) | % |
| Other casualty | | | 79,125 | | | 87,244 | | (9) | % | | | 68,180 | | | 71,079 | | (4) | % |
| Total casualty | | $ | 961,665 | | $ | 926,231 | | 4 | % | | $ | 758,346 | | $ | 711,832 | | 7 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PROPERTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial property | | $ | 505,413 | | $ | 326,609 | | 55 | % | | $ | 244,798 | | $ | 163,078 | | 50 | % |
| Marine | | | 148,829 | | | 133,539 | | 11 | % | | | 129,428 | | | 113,208 | | 14 | % |
| Other property | | | 43,130 | | | 39,313 | | 10 | % | | | 27,304 | | | 31,600 | | (14) | % |
| Total property | | $ | 697,372 | | $ | 499,461 | | 40 | % | | $ | 401,530 | | $ | 307,886 | | 30 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| SURETY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial | | $ | 57,704 | | $ | 55,026 | | 5 | % | | $ | 49,707 | | $ | 47,652 | | 4 | % |
| Transactional | | | 49,624 | | | 48,926 | | 1 | % | | | 47,983 | | | 45,826 | | 5 | % |
| Contract | | | 40,295 | | | 35,842 | | 12 | % | | | 36,740 | | | 31,240 | | 18 | % |
| Total surety | | $ | 147,623 | | $ | 139,794 | | 6 | % | | $ | 134,430 | | $ | 124,718 | | 8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Grand total | | $ | 1,806,660 | | $ | 1,565,486 | | 15 | % | | $ | 1,294,306 | | $ | 1,144,436 | | 13 | % |
Casualty
Gross premiums written for casualty were up $35 million in 2023. Continued new business growth of our personal umbrella and small commercial distribution channels, as well as positive rate movement across a large portion of our casualty segment, offset headwinds in several lines. We slowed writing business in our loss-challenged energy liability business in late 2022 and suspended this line in late 2023, which resulted in a $22 million decrease within the commercial excess and general liability products. Additionally, executive products premium decreased as a result of a more competitive market, particularly with public directors and officers coverages.
Commercial transportation premium experienced limited growth during the year and remains a highly competitive line despite some loss severity for the industry. We continue to apply for rate increases to cover loss costs, will bring our underwriting discipline to bear where necessary and look to avoid binding business that we believe is underpriced.
The casualty segment remains highly diversified, allowing select products to work through challenges, while the success of other products allows us to achieve positive overall results. Product level market conditions will influence opportunities for near-term growth. Rate adequacy is dependent on regulatory approval in the admitted markets and our personal umbrella product has received authorizations that we expect will accelerate rate increases in 2024. As with all our segments, our investments in underwriting talent, as well as strong relationships with producers, should provide continued growth opportunities.
Property
Gross premiums written for the property segment were up $198 million in 2023, principally driven by wind-exposed commercial property business, which is written on an excess and surplus basis. This business has experienced favorable market conditions over several consecutive years due to market disruption and a lack of capacity. As competition in the market has recently increased, we have moderated the growth in our hurricane exposure while we assess near-term market conditions. Our underwriters are empowered with the flexibility to navigate the market and achieve profitable growth. We expect rates to increase at a slower pace in 2024, but to maintain a level of adequacy sought by our underwriters.
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Rate increases and new opportunities led to $15 million of premium growth for our marine product. Additionally, other property premium grew as a result of underwriting efforts within our Hawaii homeowners product, which continues to benefit from our strong relationships with local producers and competitors reducing their appetite for condominium coverages.
Surety
Gross premiums written for the surety segment were up $8 million in 2023. Contract surety benefited from new agency relationships and construction projects. The expansion of existing accounts and new business resulted in increased premium for commercial surety. We continue to invest in people and technology to support long-term growth in the surety segment, but believe that actively moderating the trajectory of growth may be prudent in the current economic and competitive environment.
UNDERWRITING INCOME
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underwriting Income | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| Casualty | | $ | 59,479 | | $ | 73,789 |
| Property | | | 86,316 | | | 72,522 |
| Surety | | | 27,390 | | | 31,905 |
| Total | | $ | 173,185 | | $ | 178,216 |
| | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combined Ratio | 2023 | 2022 | ||
| Casualty | 92.2 | 89.6 | ||
| Property | 78.5 | 76.4 | ||
| Surety | 79.6 | 74.4 | ||
| Total | 86.6 | 84.4 |
Casualty
Underwriting income for the casualty segment was $59 million on a 92.2 combined ratio in 2023, compared to $74 million on an 89.6 combined ratio in 2022. The decline was the result of decreased favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves and a slight increase in current accident year losses and expenses.
Favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves contributed to underwriting earnings in each of the past two years. The total benefit from favorable development on prior years’ reserves was $78 million for 2023, which was broadly attributable to accident years 2015 through 2022. Favorable development was widespread, with notable amounts from commercial excess, general liability, personal umbrella, executive products, professional services, and transportation. Comparatively, results for the casualty segment in 2022 included favorable development of $87 million, with the bulk of the development attributable to general liability, professional services, commercial excess, transportation, small commercial and executive products across accident years 2016 and 2018 through 2021. Storm losses on casualty-oriented package policies that include property coverage resulted in $2 million of losses in 2023, compared to $8 million of hurricane and storm losses in 2022.
The segment’s loss ratio was 55.1 in 2023, compared to 53.6 in 2022. The higher loss ratio in 2023 was due to lower amounts of favorable development on prior years’ reserves and strengthening our current accident year reserves for our personal umbrella and transportation products. The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 37.1 in 2023, compared to 36.0 in 2022.
Property
Underwriting income from the property segment was $86 million on a 78.5 combined ratio in 2023, compared to $73 million on a 76.4 combined ratio in 2022. Underwriting results for 2023 included $21 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss and catastrophe reserves, largely from the commercial property business, $49 million of losses and $12 million of reinstatement premium from Hawaiian wildfires, as well as $29 million of other storm losses. Results for 2022 included $25 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss and catastrophe reserves, primarily from the marine business, $31 million of hurricane losses and $12 million of other storm losses.
A larger earned premium base resulted in higher levels of underwriting income as well as a lower expense ratio. The segment’s loss ratio was 42.9 in 2023, compared to 39.2 in 2022. Catastrophe losses added 20 points to the loss ratio in 2023, compared to 14 points of impact in 2022. However, the current accident year attritional loss ratio improved in 2023, which partially offset the increase in net retained catastrophe activity. The expense ratio for the property segment declined to 35.6 in 2023, from 37.2 in 2022.
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Surety
Underwriting income for the surety segment totaled $27 million on a 79.6 combined ratio in 2023, compared to $32 million on a 74.4 combined ratio in 2022. Underwriting performance for each year reflects a combination of positive current accident year results and favorable development in prior accident years’ loss reserves. Results for 2023 included favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves, which decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $9 million. Comparatively, 2022 results included favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves, which decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $10 million.
The segment’s loss ratio was 10.7 in 2023, compared to 9.8 in 2022. A decreased amount of favorable development on prior years’ reserves in 2023 led to a higher loss ratio. The expense ratio for the surety segment was 68.9 in 2023, up from 64.6 in 2022, as we increased investments in our people and technology to support long-term growth and improve customer experiences. We also recorded $2 million of non-recurring expense during 2023.
NET INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS
During 2023, net investment income increased by 40 percent. The increase was primarily due to higher interest rates and an increased asset base relative to the prior year. The average annual yields on our investments were as follows for 2023 and 2022:
| | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 2023 | 2022 | |||
| PRETAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 3.51 | % | 2.94 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.80 | % | 2.71 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 2.27 | % | 2.20 | % | |
| | | | | | |
| AFTER-TAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 2.77 | % | 2.32 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.65 | % | 2.57 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.97 | % | 1.91 | % |
The after-tax yield reflects the different tax rates applicable to each category of investment. Our taxable fixed income securities were subject to a corporate tax rate of 21 percent, our tax-exempt municipal securities were subject to a tax rate of 5.3 percent and our dividend income was generally subject to a tax rate of 13.1 percent. During 2023, the average after-tax yield on the taxable fixed income portfolio was 2.8 percent, an increase from 2.3 percent in the prior year. The average after-tax yield on the tax-exempt portfolio increased slightly to 2.7 percent.
The fixed income portfolio increased by $189 million during the year, as we allocated the majority of available cash flow to investment grade bonds and experienced strong market performance throughout the year. The tax-adjusted total return on a mark-to-market basis was 6.7 percent. Our equity portfolio increased by $92 million to $590 million in 2023 as a result of strong equity market returns during the year. The total return for the year on the equity portfolio was 19.3 percent.
Our investment results for the last five years are shown in the following table:
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | Tax | |||||||||
| | | | | | | | | | Pre-tax | Equivalent | |||||||
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Annualized | | Annualized | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Change in | | Return on | | Return on | ||
| | | Average | | Net | | | | | Unrealized | | Avg. | | Avg. | ||||
| | | Invested | | Investment | | Net Realized | | Appreciation | | Invested | | Invested | |||||
| (in thousands) | Assets (1) | Income (2)(3) | Gains (3)(4) | (3)(5) | Assets | Assets | |||||||||||
| 2019 | | $ | 2,377,295 | | $ | 68,870 | | $ | 17,520 | | $ | 161,848 | 10.4 | % | 10.5 | % | |
| 2020 | | 2,698,721 | | 67,893 | | 17,885 | | 99,451 | 6.9 | % | 6.9 | % | |||||
| 2021 | | 3,000,025 | | 68,862 | | 64,222 | | (6,280) | 4.2 | % | 4.3 | % | |||||
| 2022 | | 3,217,635 | | 86,078 | | 588,515 | | (462,981) | 6.6 | % | 6.6 | % | |||||
| 2023 | | 3,474,310 | | 120,383 | | 32,518 | | 144,569 | 8.6 | % | 8.6 | % | |||||
| 5-yr Avg. | | $ | 2,953,597 | | $ | 82,417 | | $ | 144,132 | | $ | (12,679) | 7.3 | % | 7.4 | % |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (1) | Average market values at beginning and end of year (inclusive of cash and short-term investments). |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (2) | Investment income, net of investment expenses. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (3) | Before income taxes. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (4) | Net realized gains for 2022 include $571 million of gains from the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (5) | Relates to available-for-sale fixed income and equity securities. |
In 2023, we recognized $22 million of net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $3 million of net realized losses in the fixed income portfolio and $14 million of other net realized gains, primarily from the payout of the working capital escrow associated with our sale of Maui Jim. In 2022, we recognized $20 million of net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $3 million of net realized gains in the fixed income portfolio and $571 million of other net realized gains, primarily from our sale of Maui Jim.
Investment income was aided by higher interest rates in 2023, as the Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds target to fight inflation. Entering 2024, consensus is the Federal Reserve has made enough progress in tightening policy and there remains a low probability for further rate increases. A stable interest rate environment and a larger invested asset base should offer continued investment income growth. However, if yields decline dramatically from current levels, investment income growth may be limited.
INVESTMENTS
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio with a prudent mix of fixed income and risk assets. We continually monitor economic conditions, our capital position, the insurance market and relative value in the capital markets to determine our tactical allocation. As of December 31, 2023, the portfolio had a fair value of $3.7 billion, an increase of $404 million from the end of 2022. Excluding U.S. government and agency issues, no single issuer in either the fixed income or equity portfolio represented more than 1 percent of invested assets.
We determined the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value. For additional information, see notes 1 and 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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As of December 31, 2023, our investment portfolio had the following asset allocation breakdown:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Cost or | | | | | Unrealized | | % of Total | | | ||
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Gain/(Loss) | Fair Value | Quality* | ||||||||
| U.S. government | | $ | 312,632 | | $ | 308,031 | | $ | (4,601) | 8.4 | % | AA+ | |
| U.S. agency | | | 60,763 | | | 59,826 | | | (937) | 1.6 | % | AA+ | |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | 4,800 | | | 3,882 | | | (918) | 0.1 | % | BBB+ | |
| Agency MBS | | | 460,551 | | | 425,285 | | | (35,266) | 11.6 | % | AA+ | |
| ABS/CMBS/MBS** | | | 308,458 | | | 281,182 | | | (27,276) | 7.7 | % | AA+ | |
| Corporate | | | 1,273,187 | | | 1,225,019 | | | (48,168) | 33.3 | % | A- | |
| Municipal | | | 634,000 | | | 552,624 | | | (81,376) | 15.0 | % | AA | |
| Total fixed income | | $ | 3,054,391 | | $ | 2,855,849 | | $ | (198,542) | 77.7 | % | AA- | |
| Equities | | | 354,022 | | | 590,041 | | | 236,019 | 16.0 | % | | |
| Short-term investments | | | 134,923 | | | 134,923 | | | — | 3.7 | % | | |
| Other invested assets | | | 56,009 | | | 59,081 | | | 3,072 | | 1.6 | % | |
| Cash | | | 36,424 | | | 36,424 | | | — | 1.0 | % | | |
| Total portfolio | | $ | 3,635,769 | | $ | 3,676,318 | | $ | 40,549 | 100.0 | % | |
*Quality ratings provided by Moody’s, S&P and Fitch
**Non-agency asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed and mortgage-backed securities
Quality in the previous table and in all subsequent tables is an average of each bond’s credit rating, adjusted for its relative weighting in the portfolio.
In selecting the maturity of securities in which we invest, we consider the relationship between the duration of our fixed income investments and the duration of our liabilities, including the expected ultimate payout patterns of our reserves. We believe that both liquidity and interest rate risk can be minimized by such asset/liability management. As of December 31, 2023, our fixed income portfolio’s duration was 4.6 years.
Consistent underwriting income allows a portion of our investment portfolio to be invested in equity securities and other risk asset classes. Equities comprised 16 percent of our total 2023 portfolio, up from 15 percent at the end of 2022, as equity markets rose over the course of the year. Securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index exchange traded funds (ETFs). Our actively managed equity strategy has a preference for dividend income and value-oriented security selection with low turnover, which minimizes transaction costs and taxes throughout our extended investment horizon.
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FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
As of December 31, 2023, our fixed income portfolio had the following rating distributions:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR VALUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Below | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Investment | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | AAA | AA | A | BBB | Grade | No Rating | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. government & agency (GSE) | | $ | — | | $ | 367,857 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 367,857 |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | — | | | — | | | 1,698 | | | 2,184 | | | — | | | — | | | 3,882 |
| Corporate - industrial | | | 20,228 | | | 77,638 | | | 246,974 | | | 210,245 | | | 35,358 | | | 5,157 | | | 595,600 |
| Corporate - financial | | | 9,820 | | | 42,103 | | | 227,822 | | | 82,881 | | | 12,480 | | | 2,262 | | | 377,368 |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 1,082 | | | 5,524 | | | 56,840 | | | 30,561 | | | 3,850 | | | — | | | 97,857 |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | 1,681 | | | 1,191 | | | 81,616 | | | 24,447 | | | 108,935 |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 10,430 | | | 34,343 | | | 44,773 |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 486 | | | — | | | 486 |
| Municipal | | | 145,011 | | | 353,902 | | | 53,369 | | | — | | | — | | | 342 | | | 552,624 |
| Structured: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| GSE - RMBS | | | — | | | 369,301 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 369,301 |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 93,897 | | | 10,990 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 104,887 |
| CLO | | | 24,044 | | | 3,984 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,441 | | | 30,469 |
| ABS - auto loans | | | 10,408 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 10,408 |
| ABS - railcars | | | — | | | — | | | 12,997 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 12,997 |
| All other ABS/MBS | | | 18,001 | | | 1,991 | | | 31,569 | | | — | | | — | | | 16,171 | | | 67,732 |
| GSE - CMBS | | | — | | | 55,984 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 55,984 |
| CMBS | | | 33,946 | | | 6,545 | | | 14,198 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 54,689 |
| Total | | $ | 356,437 | | $ | 1,295,819 | | $ | 647,148 | | $ | 327,062 | | $ | 144,220 | | $ | 85,163 | | $ | 2,855,849 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Percent of total fair value | | | 12.5% | | | 45.4% | | | 22.7% | | | 11.4% | | | 5.0% | | | 3.0% | | | 100.0% |
Mortgage-Backed, Asset-Backed and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
We believe mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) add diversification, liquidity, credit quality and additional yield to our portfolio. The following table summarizes the distribution of our mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio by investment type, as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2023 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 295,060 | | $ | 275,113 | | 64.7 | % |
| Planned amortization class | | 102,726 | | | 94,188 | | 22.1 | % | |
| Sequential | | 62,765 | | | 55,984 | | 13.2 | % | |
| Total | | $ | 460,551 | | $ | 425,285 | 100.0 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2022 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 238,259 | | $ | 214,226 | 64.6 | % | |
| Planned amortization class | | 71,051 | | 59,806 | 18.0 | % | |||
| Sequential | | 64,377 | | 57,774 | 17.4 | % | |||
| Total | | $ | 373,687 | | $ | 331,806 | 100.0 | % |
Agency MBS represented 15 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 12 percent as of December 31, 2022. Our objective for the agency MBS portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability where we are compensated for the call risk associated with residential mortgage refinancing. The agency MBS portfolio includes mortgage-backed pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMO), which include planned amortization classes and sequential pay structures. As of December 31, 2023, all of the securities in our agency MBS portfolio were rated AA and issued by Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) such as the Governmental National Mortgage Association, Federal National Mortgage Association or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.
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Variability in the average life of principal repayment is an inherent risk of owning mortgage-related securities. However, we reduce our portfolio’s exposure to prepayment risk by seeking characteristics that tighten the probable scenarios for expected cash flows. As of December 31, 2023, the agency MBS portfolio contained 65 percent of pure pass-throughs, the same as of December 31, 2022. An additional 13 percent of the MBS portfolio was invested in sequential payer, down from 17 percent in 2022.
The following table summarizes the distribution of our asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities portfolio as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2023 | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | $ | 119,374 | | $ | 104,887 | | 37.3 | % |
| CMBS | | 61,878 | | | 54,689 | | 19.4 | % | |
| CLO | | | 30,620 | | | 30,469 | | 10.8 | % |
| Railcars | | 14,415 | | | 12,997 | | 4.6 | % | |
| Auto | | | 10,748 | | | 10,408 | | 3.7 | % |
| Marine | | | 11,657 | | | 10,338 | | 3.7 | % |
| Consumers | | 11,067 | | | 10,268 | | 3.7 | % | |
| Other | | | 48,699 | | | 47,126 | | 16.8 | % |
| Total | | $ | 308,458 | | $ | 281,182 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2022 | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | $ | 109,852 | | $ | 92,321 | | 38.4 | % |
| CMBS | | | 49,333 | | 41,593 | | 17.3 | % | |
| CLO | | | 31,393 | | | 30,407 | | 12.6 | % |
| Railcars | | | 16,072 | | | 13,923 | | 5.8 | % |
| Auto | | 17,194 | | 16,198 | | 6.7 | % | ||
| Marine | | 8,554 | | 7,319 | | 3.0 | % | ||
| Consumers | | | 12,241 | | | 10,904 | | 4.5 | % |
| Other | | | 31,487 | | | 28,071 | | 11.7 | % |
| Total | | $ | 276,126 | | $ | 240,736 | | 100.0 | % |
An ABS, CMBS or non-agency residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) is a securitization collateralized by the cash flows from a specific pool of underlying assets. These asset pools can include items such as credit card payments, auto loans, structured bank loans in the form of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and residential or commercial mortgages. As of December 31, 2023, ABS/CMBS/RMBS investments were 10 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 9 percent as of December 31, 2022. Sixty-four percent of the securities in the ABS/CMBS/RMBS portfolio were rated AAA as of December 31, 2023, while 93 percent were rated A or better. We believe that ABS/CMBS investments often add superior cash flow stability over mortgage pass-throughs or CMOs.
When making investments in MBS/ABS/CMBS, we evaluate the quality of the underlying collateral, the structure of the transaction, which dictates how any losses in the underlying collateral will be distributed, and prepayment risks. We had $63 million in unrealized losses in these asset classes as of December 31, 2023.
Municipal Fixed Income Securities
As of December 31, 2023, municipal bonds composed 19 percent of our fixed income portfolio, compared to 20 percent as of December 31, 2022. We believe municipal fixed income securities can provide diversification and additional tax-advantaged yield to our portfolio. Our objective for the municipal fixed income portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability and increased after-tax yield.
Our municipal fixed income portfolio is comprised of general obligation (GO) and revenue securities. The revenue sources include sectors such as sewer and water, public improvement, school, transportation and colleges and universities. As of December 31, 2023, approximately 46 percent of the municipal fixed income securities in the investment portfolio were GO and the remaining 54 percent were revenue based. The municipal portfolio is diversified amongst 326 issues.
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Ninety percent of our municipal fixed income securities were rated AA or better, while 99 percent were rated A or better. The municipal portfolio includes 58 percent taxable and 42 percent tax-exempt securities.
Corporate Debt Securities
As of December 31, 2023, our corporate debt portfolio comprised 43 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 39 percent as of December 31, 2022. The corporate allocation includes floating rate bank loans and bonds that are below investment grade in credit quality and offer incremental yield over our core fixed income portfolio. Non-investment grade bonds totaled $144 million while non-rated Regulation D securities totaled $60 million at the end of 2023. While these Regulation D securities are not rated by a traditional nationally recognized statistical rating organization, they all carry an equivalent investment-grade rating from the Securities Valuation Office of the NAIC. The corporate debt portfolio has an overall quality rating of A- diversified among 904 issues.
The table below illustrates our corporate debt exposure as of December 31, 2023. Private placements include bank loan and Regulation D securities.
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | |
| Corporate - industrial | | $ | 617,745 | | $ | 595,600 | | 48.6 | % |
| Corporate - financial | | | 395,745 | | | 377,368 | | 30.8 | % |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 100,561 | | | 97,857 | | 8.0 | % |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | 111,121 | | | 108,935 | | 8.9 | % |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | 47,531 | | | 44,773 | | 3.7 | % |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | 484 | | | 486 | | - | % |
| Total | | $ | 1,273,187 | | $ | 1,225,019 | | 100.0 | % |
We believe corporate debt investments add diversification and additional yield to our portfolio.
EQUITY SECURITIES
As of December 31, 2023, our equity portfolio comprised 16 percent of the investment portfolio, up from 15 percent at the end of the previous year. The securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index ETFs that represent market indexes similar to the Russell 3000 Index, Russell 1000 Index, S&P 500 Index and S&P 600 Index. The ETF portfolio is congruent with the actively managed equity portfolios and solves for exposures that line up with our overall benchmark index, the Russell 3000. In total, the equity portfolio is comprised of 88 securities.
INTEREST AND GENERAL CORPORATE EXPENSE
We incurred $7 million of interest expense on outstanding debt during 2023 and $8 million in 2022. At December 31, 2023, our debt consisted of $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC Bank, N.A. (PNC). The borrowing may be repaid at any time and carries a floating interest rate of 7.07 percent, which will reset during the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, we borrowed $50 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago (FHLBC) that matures on November 12, 2024 and pays interest monthly at an annualized rate of 5.44 percent. Comparatively, at December 31, 2022, our debt consisted of $150 million in senior notes that matured on September 15, 2023 and paid interest semi-annually at a rate of 4.875 percent, as well as $50 million of borrowings from the FHLBC that matured on November 10, 2023 and paid interest monthly at an annualized rate of 0.84 percent.
We incurred $16 million of general corporate expense during 2023 and $13 million in 2022. As discussed previously, general corporate expenses tend to fluctuate relative to our incentive compensation plans. Our compensation model measures components of comprehensive earnings against a minimum required return on our capital. Bonuses are earned as we generate earnings in excess of this required return. In 2023 and 2022, we exceeded the required return, resulting in the accrual of executive bonuses. Positive market returns and book value growth in 2023 resulted in higher variable compensation earned than in 2022.
INVESTEE EARNINGS
As of December 31, 2023, we had a 23 percent interest in the equity and earnings of Prime Holdings Insurance Services, Inc. (Prime). Prime writes business through two Illinois domiciled insurance carriers, Prime Insurance Company, an excess and surplus lines company, and Prime Property and Casualty Insurance Inc., an admitted insurance company. As a private company, the market for Prime’s stock is limited. While we have certain rights under our shareholder agreement, we are subject to the decisions of the
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controlling shareholder, which may impact the value of our investment. In 2023, we recorded $10 million in investee earnings for Prime, compared to $13 million in 2022. Additionally, we maintain a quota share reinsurance treaty with Prime, which contributed $7 million of gross premiums written and $13 million of net premiums earned during 2023, compared to $21 million of gross premiums written and $23 million of net premiums earned during 2022. The decrease in premiums is attributable to a reduction of our participation in the quota share reinsurance treaty in 2023, as well as the competitive market in which Prime operates.
We owned a 40 percent equity interest in Maui Jim, a manufacturer of high-quality sunglasses, but sold our interest in 2022. For more information on the sale, see note 13 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. Our investment in Maui Jim was carried at the RLI Corp. holding company level, as it was not core to our insurance operations. We did not recognize investee earnings from Maui Jim in 2023 and recorded less than $1 million in 2022.
We did not receive a dividend from our equity method investments in 2023 or 2022. Dividends from our equity method investees have been irregular in nature, and while they provide added liquidity when received, we do not rely on those dividends to meet our liquidity needs.
INCOME TAXES
Our effective tax rates were 19.3 percent and 19.0 percent for 2023 and 2022, respectively. Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings, which is impacted by the volatility of unrealized gains and losses in equity securities, and the related tax effects. The effective rate was higher in 2023 due to lower levels of tax-favored adjustments, such as dividends paid to our Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP), tax credits and excess tax benefits on share-based compensation.
Dividends paid to our ESOP result in a tax deduction. Dividends paid to the ESOP in 2023 and 2022 resulted in tax benefits of $1.6 million and $4.2 million, respectively. These tax benefits reduced the effective tax rate for 2023 and 2022 by 0.4 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively.
NET UNPAID LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
The primary liability on our balance sheet relates to unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which represents our estimated liability for losses and related settlement expenses before considering offsetting reinsurance balances recoverable. The largest asset on our balance sheet, outside of investments, is the reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which serves to offset this liability. The liability can be split into two parts: (1) case reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on known claims and (2) IBNR reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. Our gross liability for both case and IBNR reserves is reduced by reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses to calculate our net reserve balance. This net reserve balance increased to $1.7 billion at December 31, 2023, from $1.6 billion as of December 31, 2022. This reflects incurred losses of $604 million in 2023 offset by paid losses of $491 million, compared to incurred losses of $514 million offset by $374 million paid in 2022. For more information on the changes in loss and LAE reserves by segment, see note 6 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Gross reserves (liability) and the reinsurance balances recoverable (asset) are generally subject to the same influences that affect net reserves, though changes to our reinsurance agreements can cause reinsurance balances recoverable to behave differently. Total gross loss and LAE reserves increased to $2.4 billion at December 31, 2023, from $2.3 billion at December 31, 2022, while ceded loss and LAE reserves increased to $757 million from $740 million over the same period.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
OVERVIEW
We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) operating cash flows, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) investing cash flows related to the purchase, sale and maturity of investments and (3) financing cash flows that impact our capital structure, such as changes in debt, issuance of common stock and dividend payments. The following table summarizes these three cash flows over the last two years:
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| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| Net cash provided by operating activities | | $ | 464,257 | | $ | 250,448 |
| Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | | | (211,803) | | | 48,879 |
| Net cash used in financing activities | | | (238,848) | | | (365,313) |
We have posted positive operating cash flow in the last two years. Variations in operating cash flow between periods are largely driven by the volume and timing of premium receipt, claim payments, reinsurance and taxes. In addition, fluctuations in insurance operating expenses impact operating cash flow. During 2022, we received $687 million of cash proceeds from the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim, which were classified as investing cash flows. However, tax payments associated with Maui Jim were classified as operating activities and totaled $142 million. During 2023, the majority of cash outflows were associated with the net purchase of fixed income securities, classified as investing activities, and the payment of our regular quarterly dividends and $2.00 per share special dividend, classified as financing activities. During 2022, we used a portion of the proceeds from the sale of Maui Jim to pay a $7.00 special dividend.
We have entered into certain contractual obligations that require the Company to make recurring payments. The following table summarizes our contractual obligations as of December 31, 2023:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments due by period | | | | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | Less than 1 year | 1-3 years | 3-5 years | More than 5 years | Total | ||||||||||
| Loss and settlement expense reserves | | $ | 720,303 | | $ | 861,838 | | $ | 458,414 | | $ | 405,470 | | $ | 2,446,025 |
| Debt | | | 100,000 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 100,000 |
| Interest on debt | | | 2,388 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,388 |
| Operating leases | | | 4,090 | | | 5,515 | | | 2,810 | | | 4,503 | | | 16,918 |
| Other invested assets | | | 2,136 | | | 2,395 | | | 38 | | | 65 | | | 4,634 |
| Total | | $ | 828,917 | | $ | 869,748 | | $ | 461,262 | | $ | 410,038 | | $ | 2,569,965 |
Loss and settlement expense reserves represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling reported and unreported claims and related expenses. As discussed previously, the estimation of loss and loss expense reserves is based on various complex and subjective judgments. Actual losses and settlement expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements. Similarly, the timing for payment of our estimated losses is not fixed and is not determinable on an individual or aggregate basis. The assumptions used in estimating the payments due by periods are based on our historical claims payment experience. Due to the uncertainty inherent in the process of estimating the timing of such payments, there is a risk that the amounts paid in any period can be significantly different than the amounts disclosed above. Amounts disclosed above are gross of anticipated amounts recoverable from reinsurers. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves are reported separately as assets, instead of being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not discharge the Company of its liability to policyholders. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves totaled $757 million at December 31, 2023, compared to $740 million in 2022.
The next largest contractual obligation relates to debt outstanding. On September 15, 2023, we accessed $50 million from our revolving line of credit with PNC Bank, N.A. (PNC). As the borrowing may be repaid at any time and carries a floating interest rate of 7.07 percent, which will reset during the first quarter of 2024, interest on this $50 million borrowing is excluded from the table above. Additionally, on November 10, 2023 we borrowed $50 million from the FHLBC. The borrowing matures on November 12, 2024 and monthly interest is paid at an annualized rate of 5.44 percent. We are not party to any off-balance sheet arrangements. See note 4 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for more information on our debt. Additionally, see note 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for information on our obligations for other invested assets.
At December 31, 2023, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments maturing within one year of approximately $328 million and an additional $911 million of investments maturing between 1 to 5 years. Our revolving line of credit with PNC permits us to borrow up to an aggregate principal amount of $100 million, but may be increased up to an aggregate principal amount of $130 million under certain conditions. The facility has a three-year term that expires on May 29, 2026. As of December 31, 2023, $50 million was outstanding on this facility. Additionally, based on qualifying assets and the $50 million borrowing outstanding with the FHLBC as of year-end, additional aggregate borrowing capacity from the FHBLC is approximately $15 million. However, under certain circumstances, that capacity may be increased based on additional FHLBC stock purchased and available collateral. Our membership allows each insurance subsidiary to determine tenor and structure at the time of borrowing.
Our primary objective in managing our capital is to preserve and grow shareholders’ equity and statutory surplus to improve our competitive position and allow for expansion of our insurance operations. Our insurance subsidiaries must maintain certain minimum
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capital levels in order to meet the requirements of the states in which we are regulated. Our insurance companies are also evaluated by rating agencies that assign financial strength ratings that measure our ability to meet our obligations to policyholders over an extended period of time.
We have historically grown our total capital as a result of three sources of funds: (1) earnings on underwriting and investing activities, (2) appreciation in the value of our investments and (3) the issuance of common stock and debt. We believe that cash generated by operations, cash generated by investments and cash available from financing activities will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months. We have consistently generated positive operating cash flow. The primary factor in our ability to generate positive operating cash flow is underwriting profitability, which we have achieved for 28 consecutive years.
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from operating activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Premiums received | Claims | |
| Loss payments from reinsurers | Ceded premium to reinsurers | |
| Investment income (interest and dividends) | Commissions paid | |
| Funds held | Operating expenses | |
| | Interest expense | |
| | | Income taxes |
| | Funds held |
Our largest source of cash is from premiums received from our customers, which we receive at the beginning of the coverage period for most policies. Our largest cash outflow is for claims that arise when a policyholder incurs an insured loss. Because the payment of claims occurs after the receipt of the premium, often years later, we invest the cash in various investment securities that earn interest and dividends. We use cash to pay commissions to brokers and agents, as well as to pay for ongoing operating expenses such as salaries, rent, taxes and interest expense. We also utilize reinsurance to manage the risk that we take on our policies. We cede, or pay out, part of the premiums we receive to our reinsurers and collect cash back when losses subject to our reinsurance coverage are paid.
The timing of our cash flows from operating activities can vary among periods due to the timing by which payments are made or received. Some of our payments and receipts, including loss settlements and subsequent reinsurance receipts, can be significant, so their timing can influence cash flows from operating activities in any given period. We are subject to the risk of incurring significant losses on catastrophes, both natural (such as earthquakes and hurricanes) and man-made (such as terrorism). If we were to incur such losses, we would have to make significant claim payments in a relatively concentrated period of time.
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from investing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from sale, call or maturity of bonds | Purchase of bonds | |
| Proceeds from sale of stocks | Purchase of stocks | |
| Proceeds from sale of other invested assets | | Purchase of other invested assets |
| | Acquisitions | |
| | Purchase of property and equipment |
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio representing policyholder funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our shareholders. As of December 31, 2023, our portfolio had a carrying value of $3.7 billion. Portfolio assets at December 31, 2023, increased by $404 million, or 12 percent, from December 31, 2022.
Our overall investment philosophy is designed to first protect policyholders by maintaining sufficient funds to meet corporate and policyholder obligations and then generate long-term growth in shareholders’ equity. Because our existing and projected liabilities are sufficiently funded by the fixed income portfolio, we can improve returns by investing a portion of the surplus (within limits) in a risk assets portfolio largely made up of equities. As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, 42 percent of our shareholders’ equity was invested in equities.
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The fixed income portfolio is structured to meet policyholder obligations and optimize the generation of after-tax investment income and total return.
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
In addition to the previously discussed operating and investing activities, we also engage in financing activities to manage our capital structure. The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from financing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from stock offerings | Shareholder dividends | |
| Proceeds from debt offerings | Debt repayment | |
| Shares issued under stock option plans | Share buy-backs |
Our capital structure is comprised of equity and debt obligations. As of December 31, 2023, our capital structure consisted of $100 million in debt and $1.4 billion of shareholders’ equity. Debt outstanding comprised 7 percent of total capital as of December 31, 2023.
At the holding company (RLI Corp.) level, we rely largely on dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations for paying principal and interest on outstanding debt, corporate expenses and dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. As discussed further below, dividend payments to RLI Corp. from our principal insurance subsidiary are restricted by state insurance laws as to the amount that may be paid without prior approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of Illinois. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from such subsidiary at times and in amounts necessary to pay desired dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. On a GAAP basis, as of December 31, 2023, our holding company had $1.4 billion in equity. This includes amounts related to the equity of our insurance subsidiaries, which is subject to regulatory restrictions under state insurance laws. The unrestricted portion of holding company net assets is comprised primarily of investments and cash, including $145 million in liquid investment assets, which exceeds our normal annual holding company expenditures. Unrestricted funds at the holding company level are available to fund debt interest, general corporate obligations and regular dividend payments to our shareholders. If necessary, the holding company also has other potential sources of liquidity that could provide for additional funding to meet corporate obligations or pay shareholder dividends, which include a revolving line of credit, as well as access to the capital markets.
Ordinary dividends, which may be paid by our principal insurance subsidiary without prior regulatory approval, are subject to certain limitations based upon statutory income, surplus and earned surplus. The maximum ordinary dividend distribution from our principal insurance subsidiary in a rolling 12-month period is limited by Illinois law to the greater of 10 percent of RLI Ins. policyholder surplus, as of December 31 of the preceding year, or the net income of RLI Ins. for the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year. Ordinary dividends are further restricted by the requirement that they be paid from earned surplus. In 2023 and 2022, our principal insurance subsidiary paid ordinary dividends totaling $145 million and $13 million, respectively, to RLI Corp. Any dividend distribution in excess of the ordinary dividend limits is deemed extraordinary and requires prior approval from the IDOI. No extraordinary dividends were paid in 2023 or 2022. As of December 31, 2023, $7 million of the net assets of our principal insurance subsidiary were not restricted and could be distributed to RLI Corp. as ordinary dividends. Because the limitations are based upon a rolling 12-month period, the amount and impact of these restrictions vary over time. In addition to restrictions from our principal subsidiary’s insurance regulator, we also consider internal models and how capital adequacy is defined by our rating agencies in determining amounts available for distribution.
Our 191st consecutive dividend payment was declared in February 2024 and will be paid on March 20, 2024, in the amount of $0.27 per share. Since the inception of cash dividends in 1976, we have increased our annual dividend every year.
PROSPECTIVE ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Prospective accounting standards are those which we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of relevant prospective accounting standards, see note 1.D. to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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FY 2022 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001558370-23-002011.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
OVERVIEW
RLI Corp. is a U.S. based, specialty insurance company that underwrites select property and casualty insurance through major subsidiaries collectively known as RLI Insurance Group (Group). Our focus is on niche markets and developing unique products that are tailored to customers’ needs. We hire underwriters and claim examiners with deep expertise and provide exceptional customer service and support. We maintain a highly diverse product portfolio and underwrite for profit in all market conditions. In 2022, we achieved our 27th consecutive year of underwriting profitability. Over the 27-year period, we averaged an 88.2 combined ratio. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting income itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.
We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: casualty, property and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written, and profitability is analyzed through combined ratios, which are further subdivided into their respective loss and expense components.
KEY PERFORMANCE MEASURES
Following is a list of key performance measures found throughout this report with their definitions, relationships to GAAP measures and explanations of their importance to our operations.
Underwriting Income
Underwriting income or profit represents one measure of the pretax profitability of our insurance operations and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses from net premiums earned, which are all GAAP financial measures. Each of these captions is presented in the statements of earnings but is not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 12 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains or losses, net unrealized gains or losses on equity securities, general corporate expenses, debt costs and our portion of earnings from unconsolidated investees. A reconciliation of net earnings to underwriting income follows:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Net earnings | | $ | 583,411 | | $ | 279,354 |
| Income tax expense | | | 137,267 | | | 64,967 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 720,678 | | $ | 344,321 |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | (9,853) | | | (37,060) |
| General corporate expenses | | | 12,900 | | | 13,330 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | 8,047 | | | 7,677 |
| Net unrealized (gains) losses on equity securities | | | 121,037 | | | (65,258) |
| Net realized gains | | | (588,515) | | | (64,222) |
| Net investment income | | | (86,078) | | | (68,862) |
| Underwriting income | | $ | 178,216 | | $ | 129,926 |
Combined Ratio
The combined ratio, which is derived from components of underwriting income, is a common industry performance measure of profitability for underwriting operations and is calculated in two components. First, the loss ratio is losses and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The second component, the expense ratio, reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses divided by net premiums earned. All items included in these components of the combined ratio are presented in our GAAP consolidated financial statements. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.
The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes.
LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
Overview
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves represent our best estimate of ultimate payments for losses and related settlement expenses from claims that have been reported but not paid, and those losses that have been incurred but not yet reported (IBNR) to the Company. Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but instead represent our estimates, generally utilizing individual claim estimates, actuarial expertise and estimation techniques at a given accounting date. The loss reserve estimates are expectations of what ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost upon final resolution. These estimates are based on facts and circumstances then known to the Company, review of historical settlement patterns, estimates of trends in claims frequency and severity, projections of loss costs, expected interpretations of legal theories of liability and many other factors. In establishing reserves, we also consider estimated recoveries from reinsurance as well as salvage and subrogation.
We record two categories of loss and LAE reserves: case-specific reserves and IBNR reserves. Within a reasonable period of time after a claim is reported, our claim department completes an initial investigation and establishes a case reserve. This case-specific reserve is an estimate of the ultimate amount we will have to pay for the claim, including related legal expenses and other costs associated with resolving and settling it. The estimate reflects all of the current information available regarding the claim, the informed judgment of our professional claim personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim and our reserving practices. During the life cycle of a particular claim, as more information becomes available, we may revise the estimate of the ultimate value of the claim either upward or downward. We may determine that it is appropriate to pay portions of the reserve to the claimant or related settlement expenses before final resolution of the claim. The amount of the individual case reserve will be adjusted accordingly and is based on the most recent information available.
We establish IBNR reserves to estimate the amount we will have to pay for claims that have occurred, but have not yet been reported to the Company, claims that have been reported to the Company that may ultimately be paid out differently than reflected in our case-specific reserves and claims that have been closed but may reopen and require future payment.
LAE represents the cost involved in adjusting and administering losses from policies we issued. The LAE reserves are frequently separated into two components: allocated and unallocated. Allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that can be identified with a specific claim or case. Examples of ALAE would be the hiring of an outside adjuster to investigate a claim or an outside attorney to defend our insured. The claim adjuster typically estimates this cost separately from the loss component in the case reserve. Unallocated loss adjustment expense (ULAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that cannot be identified with a specific claim. An example of ULAE would be the cost of an internal claim examiner to manage or investigate claims.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claim handling procedures, claim personnel, economic inflation, legal trends and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for loss and LAE is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimations also differ significantly by coverage due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the policy limits written, the terms and conditions of the underlying policies, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process. We continually refine our loss reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops and additional claims are reported and settled. We rigorously attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.
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Following is a table of significant risk factors involved in estimating losses grouped by major product line. We distinguish between loss ratio risk and reserve estimation risk. Loss ratio risk refers to the possible dispersion of loss ratios from year to year due to inherent volatility in the business, such as high severity or aggregating exposures. Reserve estimation risk recognizes the difficulty in estimating a given year’s ultimate loss liability. As an example, our property catastrophe business (included below in other property) has significant variance in year over year results; however, its reserving estimation risk is relatively moderate.
| | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | Expected loss | Reserve | ||||
| | | Length of | | Emergence | | | | ratio | | estimation |
| Product line | reserve tail | patterns relied upon | Other risk factors | variability | variability | |||||
| Commercial excess | Long | Internal | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Personal umbrella | Medium | Internal | Low frequency | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | High severity | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| General liability | Long | Internal | Exposure changes/mix | Medium | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Professional services | Medium | Internal | Highly varied exposures | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial transportation | Medium | Internal | High severity | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Exposure change/mix | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | |
| | | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Small commercial | Medium | Internal | Exposure change/mix | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Small volume | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Executive products | Long | Internal & external | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | Loss trend volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Economic volatility | | | | | |
| | | | | | Unforeseen tort potential | | | | | |
| | | | | | | Exposure growth/mix | | | | |
| | | | | | Heavily reinsured | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other casualty | Medium | Internal & external | Small volume | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Marine | Medium | Internal & external | Exposure growth/mix | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | | Aggregation exposure | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Other property | Short | Internal | Aggregation exposure | High | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Low frequency | | | | | |
| | | | | | High severity | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Surety | Medium | Internal | Economic volatility | Medium | Medium | |||||
| | | | | | Unique exposures | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| Runoff including asbestos & environmental | Long | Internal & external | Loss trend volatility | High | High | |||||
| | | | | | | Mass tort/latent exposure | | | | |
Due to inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, including, but not limited to, the future settlement environment, final resolution of the estimated liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. The amount by which current estimated losses differ from those estimated for a period at a prior valuation date is known as development. Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the levels at which they were reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable development of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.
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Our IBNR reserving process involves three steps: (1) an initial IBNR generation process that is prospective in nature, (2) a loss and LAE reserve estimation process that occurs retrospectively and (3) a subsequent discussion and reconciliation between our prospective and retrospective IBNR estimates, which includes changes in our provisions for IBNR where deemed appropriate.
Initial IBNR Generation Process
Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve generation process. The intent of this process is to establish an initial total reserve that will provide a reasonable provision for the ultimate value of all unpaid loss and ALAE liabilities. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and ALAE ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. The result is our best initial estimate of the expected amount of ultimate loss and ALAE for the period by product. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve.
For certain property products, we use an alternative method of determining an appropriate provision for initial IBNR. Since this segment is characterized by a shorter period of time between claim occurrence and claim settlement, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on expected loss ratios and loss development assumptions. The loss development assumptions are typically based on historical reporting patterns but could consider alternative sources of information. The IBNR percentages are reviewed and updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. This alternative method of determining initial IBNR allows incurred losses and ALAE to react more rapidly to the actual emergence, and is more appropriate for our property products where final claim resolution occurs over a shorter period of time.
We do not reserve for natural or man-made catastrophes until an event has occurred. Shortly after such occurrence, we review insured locations exposed to the event and industry loss estimates of the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. These reserves are reviewed frequently to consider actual losses reported and appropriate changes to our estimates are made to reflect the new information.
The initial loss and ALAE ratios that are applied to earned premium are reviewed at least semi-annually. Prospective estimates are made based on historical loss experience adjusted for exposure mix, price change and loss cost trends. The initial loss and ALAE ratios also reflect our judgment as to estimation risk. We consider estimation risk by product and coverage within product, if applicable. A product with greater volatility and uncertainty has greater estimation risk. Products or coverages with higher estimation risk include, but are not limited to, the following characteristics:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Significant changes in underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | A new business or one experiencing significant growth and/or high turnover, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Small volume or lacking internal data requiring significant utilization of external data, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Unique reinsurance features including those with aggregate stop-loss, reinstatement clauses, commutation provisions or clash protection, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Longer emergence patterns with exposures to latent unforeseen mass tort, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Assumed reinsurance businesses where there is an extended reporting lag and/or a heavier utilization of ceding company data and claims and product expertise, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High severity and/or low frequency, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational processes undergoing significant change and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | High sensitivity to significant swings in loss trends, economic change or judicial change. |
The historical and prospective loss and ALAE estimates, along with the risks listed, are the basis for determining our initial and subsequent carried reserves. Adjustments in the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors.
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Loss and LAE Reserve Estimation Process
Estimates of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE are derived using standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance.
The process of estimating ultimate payment for claims and claim expenses begins with the collection and analysis of current and historical claim data. Data on individual reported claims, including paid amounts and individual claim adjuster estimates, are grouped by common characteristics. There is judgment involved in this grouping. Considerations when grouping data include the volume of the data available, the credibility of the data available, the homogeneity of the risks in each grouping and both settlement and payment pattern consistency. We use this data to determine historical claim reporting and payment patterns, which are used in the analysis of ultimate claim liabilities. In some analyses, including businesses without sufficiently large numbers of policies or that have not accumulated sufficient historical statistics, our own data is supplemented with external or industry average data as available and when appropriate. For liabilities arising out of directors and officers, management liability, workers’ compensation and medical errors and omissions exposures, we utilize external data extensively.
We also incorporate estimated losses relative to premium (loss ratios) by year into the analysis. The expected loss ratios are based on a review of historical loss performance, trends in frequency and severity and price level changes. The estimates are subject to judgment including consideration given to available internal and industry data, growth and policy turnover, changes in policy limits, changes in underlying policy provisions, changes in legal and regulatory interpretations of policy provisions and changes in reinsurance structure. For the most current year, these are equivalent with the ratios used in the initial IBNR generation process. Increased recognition is given to actual emergence as the years age.
We use historical development patterns, expected loss ratios and standard actuarial methods to derive an estimate of the ultimate level of loss and LAE payments necessary to settle all the claims occurring as of the end of the evaluation period.
Our reserve processes include multiple standard actuarial methods for determining estimates of IBNR reserves. Other supplementary methodologies are incorporated as necessary. Mass tort and latent liabilities are examples of exposures for which supplementary methodologies are used. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed.
The methodologies we have chosen to incorporate are a function of data availability and are reflective of our own book of business. From time to time, we evaluate the need to add supplementary methodologies. New methods are incorporated if it is believed they improve the estimate of our ultimate loss and LAE liability. All of the actuarial methods eventually converge to the same estimate as an accident year matures. Our core methodologies are listed below with a short description and their relative strengths and weaknesses:
Paid Loss Development — Historical payment patterns for prior claims are used to estimate future payment patterns for current claims. These patterns are applied to current payments by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: The method reflects only the claim dollars that have been paid and is not subject to case-basis reserve changes or changes in case reserve practices.
Weaknesses: External claims environment changes can impact the rate at which claims are settled and losses paid (e.g. increase in attorney involvement or change in legal precedent). Adjustments to reflect changes in payment patterns on a prospective basis are difficult to quantify. For losses that have occurred recently, payments can be minimal and thus early estimates are subject to significant instability.
Incurred Loss Development — Historical case-incurred patterns (paid losses plus case reserves) for past claims are used to estimate future case-incurred amounts for current claims. These patterns are applied to current case-incurred losses by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Losses are reported more quickly than paid, therefore, the estimates stabilize sooner. The method reflects more information in the analysis than the paid loss development method.
Weaknesses: Method involves additional estimation risk if significant changes to case reserving practices have occurred.
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Case Reserve Development — Patterns of historical development in reported losses relative to historical case reserves are determined. These patterns are applied to current case reserves by accident year and the result is combined with paid losses to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Like the incurred development method, this method benefits from using the additional information available in case reserves that is not available from paid losses only. It also can provide a more reasonable estimate than other methods when the proportion of claims still open for an accident year is unusually high or low.
Weaknesses: It is subject to the risk of changes in case reserving practices or philosophy. It may provide unstable estimates when an accident year is immature and more of the IBNR is expected to come from unreported claims rather than development on reported claims and when accident years are very mature with infrequent case reserves.
Expected Loss Ratio — Historical loss ratios, in combination with projections of frequency and severity trends, as well as estimates of price and exposure changes, are analyzed to produce an estimate of the expected loss ratio for each accident year. The expected loss ratio is then applied to the earned premium for each year to estimate the expected ultimate losses. The current accident year expected loss ratio is also the prospective loss and ALAE ratio used in our initial IBNR generation process.
Strengths: Reflects an estimate independent of how losses are emerging on either a paid or a case reserve basis. This method is particularly useful in the absence of historical development patterns or where losses take a long time to emerge.
Weaknesses: Ignores how losses are actually emerging and thus produces the same estimate of ultimate loss regardless of favorable/unfavorable emergence.
Paid and Incurred Bornhuetter/Ferguson (BF) — This approach blends the expected loss ratio method with either the paid or incurred loss development method. In effect, the BF methods produce weighted average indications for each accident year. As an example, if the current accident year for commercial automobile liability is estimated to be 20 percent paid, then the paid loss development method would receive a weight of 20 percent and the expected loss ratio method would receive an 80 percent weight. Over time, this method will converge with the ultimate estimated by the respective loss development method.
Strengths: Reflects actual emergence that is favorable/unfavorable, but assumes remaining emergence will continue as previously expected. Does not overreact to the early emergence (or lack of emergence) where patterns are most unstable.
Weaknesses: Could potentially understate favorable or unfavorable development by putting weight on the expected loss ratio.
In most cases, multiple estimation methods will be valid for the particular facts and circumstances of the claim liabilities being evaluated. Each estimation method has its own set of assumption variables and its own advantages and disadvantages, with no single estimation method being better than the others in all situations, and no one set of assumption variables being meaningful for all product line components. The relative strengths and weaknesses of the particular estimation methods, when applied to a particular group of claims, can also change over time. Therefore, the weight given to each estimation method will likely change by accident year and with each evaluation.
The actuarial central estimates typically follow a progression that places significant weight on the BF methods when accident years are younger and claim emergence is immature. As accident years mature and claims emerge over time, increasing weight is placed on the incurred development method, the paid development method and the case reserve development method. For product lines with faster loss emergence, the progression to greater weight on the incurred and paid development methods occurs more quickly.
For our long and medium-tail products, the BF methods are typically given the most weight for more evaluation periods than the short-tailed lines. These methods are also predominant for the first 12 months of evaluation for short-tail lines. Beyond these time periods, our actuaries apply their professional judgment when weighting the estimates from the various methods deployed, but place significant reliance on the expected stage of development in normal circumstances.
Judgment can supersede this natural progression if risk factors and assumptions change, or if a situation occurs that amplifies a particular strength or weakness of a methodology. Extreme projections are critically analyzed and may be adjusted, given less credence or discarded altogether. Internal documentation is maintained that records any substantial changes in methods or assumptions from one loss reserve study to another.
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Our estimates of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are subject to change as additional data emerges. This could occur as a result of change in loss development patterns, a revision in expected loss ratios, the emergence of exceptional loss activity, a change in weightings between actuarial methods, the addition of new actuarial methodologies, new information that merits inclusion or the emergence of internal variables or external factors that would alter our view.
There is uncertainty in the estimates of ultimate losses. Significant risk factors to the reserve estimate include, but are not limited to, unforeseen or unquantifiable changes in:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss payment patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Loss reporting patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Frequency and severity trends, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Business or exposure mix, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Operational or internal processes affecting the timing of loss and LAE transactions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Regulatory and legal environment and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| ● | Economic environment. |
Our actuaries engage in discussions with senior management, underwriters and the claim department on a regular basis to ascertain any substantial changes in operations or other assumptions that are necessary to consider in the reserving analysis.
A considerable degree of judgment in the evaluation of all these factors is involved in the analysis of reserves. The human element in the application of judgment is unavoidable when faced with uncertainty. Different experts will choose different assumptions based on their individual backgrounds, professional experiences and areas of focus. Hence, the estimates selected by various qualified experts may differ significantly from each other. We consider this uncertainty by examining our historic reserve accuracy and through an internal and external review process.
Given the substantial impact of the reserve estimates on our financial statements, we subject the reserving process to significant diagnostic testing and reasonability checks. In addition, there are data validity checks and balances in our front-end processes. Data anomalies are researched and explained to reach a comfort level with the data and results. Leading indicators such as actual versus expected emergence and other diagnostics are also incorporated into the reserving processes.
Determination of Our Best Estimate
Our best estimate of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are proposed by our lead reserving actuary and then discussed and approved by our Loss Reserve Committee (LRC). The LRC is made up of various members of the management team including the lead reserving actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief legal officer and other selected executives. As part of the discussion with the LRC, the analysis supporting the actuarial central estimate of the IBNR reserve by product is reviewed. The actuaries also present explanations supporting any changes to the underlying assumptions used to calculate the indicated central estimate. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regard to booked reserves that reflect both their analytical assessment and relevant qualitative factors, such as their view of estimation risk. After discussion of these analyses, recommendations and all relevant risk factors among the LRC, our actuaries determine whether the reserve balances require further adjustment.
As a predominantly excess and surplus lines and specialty admitted insurer serving niche markets, we believe we are subject to above-average variation in estimates and that this variation is not symmetrical around the actuarial central estimate.
One reason for the variation is the above-average policyholder turnover and changes in the underlying mix of exposures typical of an excess and surplus lines business. This constant change can cause estimates based on prior experience to be less reliable than estimates for more stable, admitted books of business. Also, as a niche market insurer, there is little industry-level information for
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direct comparisons of current and prior experience and other reserving parameters. These unknowns create greater-than-average variation in the actuarial central estimates.
Actuarial methods attempt to quantify future outcomes. However, insurance companies are subject to unique exposures that are difficult to foresee when coverage is initiated. Judicial and regulatory bodies involved in interpretation of insurance contracts have increasingly found opportunities to expand coverage beyond that which was intended or contemplated at the time the policy was issued. Many of these policies offer broad coverages (with named exclusion) and are issued on an occurrence basis. Claimants have at times sought coverage beyond the insurer’s original intent, including seeking to void or limit exclusionary language.
Because of the variation and the likelihood that there are unforeseen and under-quantified liabilities absent from the actuarial estimate, we believe there are circumstances where it is prudent to enhance our normal reserving process. Generally, these are circumstances where we have qualitative information and knowledge of increased risk, but those circumstances have not occurred within the history of our quantitative data. In these situations, we will rely on that qualitative information, usually from our claim team or underwriting staff, and make an enhancement to our normal process. In general, these enhancements will result in an increased overall reserve level compared to reserves based only on observed quantitative information. In the cases where these risks fail to materialize, favorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods. It is also possible that the risks materialize above the enhanced reserve level, in which case unfavorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods.
Our best estimate of loss and LAE reserves may change as a result of a revision in the actuarial central estimate, the actuary’s certainty in the estimates and processes and our overall view of the underlying risks. From time to time, we benchmark our reserving policies and procedures and refine them by adopting industry best practices where appropriate. A detailed, ground-up analysis of the reserve estimation risks associated with each of our products and segments, including an assessment of industry information, is performed annually. This information is used when determining management’s best estimate of booked reserves.
We do not use discounting (recognition of the time value of money) in reporting our estimated reserves for losses and settlement expenses.
Loss reserve estimates are subject to a high degree of variability due to the inherent uncertainty of ultimate settlement values. Periodic adjustments to these estimates will likely occur as the actual loss emergence reveals itself over time. Our loss reserving processes reflect accepted actuarial practices and our methodologies result in a reasonable provision for reserves as of December 31, 2022.
Reserve Sensitivities
There are three major parameters that have significant influence on our actuarial estimates of ultimate liabilities by product. They are the actual losses that are reported, the expected loss emergence pattern and the expected loss ratios used in the analyses. If the actual losses reported do not emerge as expected, it may cause the Company to challenge all or some of our previous assumptions. We may change expected loss emergence patterns, the expected loss ratios used in our analysis and/or the weights we place on a given actuarial method. The impact will be much greater and more leveraged for products with longer emergence patterns. Our general liability product is an example of a product with a relatively long emergence pattern. The following chart illustrates the sensitivity of our general liability reserve estimates to these key parameters. We believe the scenarios to be reasonable, as similar favorable variations have occurred in recent years. For example, our general liability emergence has ranged from 16 percent to 20 percent favorable and our management liability emergence has ranged from 13 percent adverse to 61 percent favorable over the last three years, while our overall emergence for all products combined has ranged from 9 percent to 30 percent favorable. The numbers below are the changes in estimated ultimate loss and ALAE in millions of dollars as of December 31, 2022, resulting from the change in the parameters shown. These parameters were applied to a general liability net loss and LAE reserve balance of $212.2 million, in addition to associated ULAE and latent liability reserves, at December 31, 2022.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Result from favorable | Result from unfavorable | ||||
| (in millions) | | change in parameter | | change in parameter | ||
| +/- 5 point change in expected loss ratio for all accident years | | $ | (16.0) | | $ | 16.7 |
| +/- 10% change in expected emergence patterns | | $ | (5.2) | | $ | 5.6 |
| +/- 30% change in actual loss emergence over a calendar year | | $ | (7.8) | | $ | 8.6 |
| Simultaneous change in expected loss ratio (5pts), expected emergence patterns (10%) and actual loss emergence (30%). | | $ | (29.2) | | $ | 30.6 |
There are often significant interrelationships between our reserving assumptions that have offsetting or compounding effects on the reserve estimate. Thus, in almost all cases, it is impossible to discretely measure the effect of a single assumption or construct a
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meaningful sensitivity expectation that holds true in all cases. The scenario above is representative of general liability, one of our largest and longest-tailed products. It is unlikely that all of our products would have variations as wide as illustrated in the example. It is also unlikely that all of our products would simultaneously experience favorable or unfavorable loss development in the same direction or at their extremes during a calendar year. Because our portfolio is made up of a diversified mix of products, there would ordinarily be some offsetting favorable and unfavorable emergence by product as actual losses start to emerge and our loss estimates become more reliable.
INVESTMENT VALUATION
Throughout each year, we and our investment managers buy and sell securities to achieve investment objectives in accordance with investment policies established and monitored by our board of directors and executive officers.
Equity securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded within net earnings. We classify our investments in fixed income securities into one of three categories: trading, held-to-maturity or available-for-sale. We do not hold any securities classified as trading or held-to-maturity. Available-for-sale securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded as a component of comprehensive earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of deferred income taxes.
Fair value is defined as the price in the principal market that would be received for an asset to facilitate an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. We determine the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.
RECOVERABILITY OF REINSURANCE BALANCES
Ceded unearned premiums and reinsurance balances recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve the Company of its liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and actively follow up on any past due or disputed amounts. As part of our monitoring efforts, we review their annual financial statements and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings for reinsurers that are publicly traded. We also review insurance industry developments that may impact the financial condition of our reinsurers. We analyze the credit risk associated with our reinsurance balances recoverable by monitoring the AM Best and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ratings of our reinsurers. Additionally, we perform an in-depth reinsurer financial condition analysis prior to the renewal of our reinsurance placements.
Once regulatory action (such as receivership, finding of insolvency, order of conservation or order of liquidation) is taken against a reinsurer, the paid and unpaid balance recoverable from the reinsurer are specifically identified and charged to earnings in the form of an allowance for uncollectible amounts. We subject our remaining reinsurance balances receivable to detailed recoverability tests, including a segment-based analysis using the average default rating percentage by S&P rating, and record an additional allowance for unrecoverable amounts from reinsurers. This credit allowance is reviewed on an ongoing basis to ensure that the amount makes a reasonable provision for reinsurance balances that we may be unable to recover.
DEFERRED POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS
We defer incremental direct costs that relate to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts, including commissions and premium taxes. Acquisition-related costs may be deemed ineligible for deferral when they are based on contingent or performance criteria beyond the basic acquisition of the insurance contract, or when efforts to obtain or renew the insurance contract are unsuccessful. All eligible costs are capitalized and charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value. This process contemplates the premiums to be earned, anticipated losses and settlement expenses and certain other costs expected to be incurred, but does not consider investment income. Judgments as to the ultimate recoverability of such deferred costs are reviewed on a segment basis and are highly dependent upon estimated future loss costs associated with the premiums written. This deferral methodology applies to both gross and ceded premiums and acquisition costs.
DEFERRED TAXES
We record deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent that temporary differences between the tax basis and GAAP basis of an asset or liability result in future taxable or deductible amounts. Our deferred tax assets relate to expected future tax deductions arising from claim reserves and future taxable income related to changes in our unearned premium and unrealized losses on our fixed income
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portfolio. We also have a significant amount of deferred tax liabilities from unrealized gains on the equity portfolio and deferred acquisition costs.
Periodically, management reviews our deferred tax positions to determine if it is more likely than not that the assets will be realized. These reviews include, among other things, the nature and amount of the taxable income and expense items, the expected timing of when assets will be used or liabilities will be required to be reported, as well as the reliability of historical profitability of businesses expected to provide future earnings. Furthermore, management considers tax planning strategies it can use to increase the likelihood that the tax assets will be realized. After conducting the periodic review, if management determines that the realization of the tax asset does not meet the more likely than not criteria, an offsetting valuation allowance is recorded, thereby reducing net earnings and the deferred tax asset in that period. In addition, management must make estimates of the tax rates expected to apply in the periods in which future taxable items are realized. Such estimates include determinations and judgments as to the expected manner in which certain temporary differences, including deferred amounts related to our equity method investment, will be recovered. These estimates enter into the determination of the applicable tax rates and are subject to change based on the circumstances.
We consider uncertainties in income taxes and recognize those in our financial statements as required. As it relates to uncertainties in income taxes, our unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements. Also, no tax uncertainties are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to unrecognized tax benefits within the next 12-month period. Penalties and interest related to income tax uncertainties, should they occur, would be included in income tax expense in the period in which they are incurred.
Additional discussion of other significant accounting policies may be found in note 1 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
IMPACT OF COVID-19
Our processes and controls continue to operate effectively and we have been able to maintain high service and support levels for our customers throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, our premium production was not materially affected by the direct impacts of the pandemic. We expect there will be impacts to the timing of loss emergence and ultimate loss ratios for certain coverages. The industry experienced new issues throughout the pandemic, including the postponement of civil court cases, the extension of various statutes of limitations, claim uncertainty due to supply shortages and changes in settlement trends. Our booked reserves include consideration of these factors, but the duration and degree to which these issues persist, along with potential legislative, regulatory or judicial actions, could result in loss reserve deficiencies and reduce earnings in future periods.
We continue to evaluate all aspects of our operations and are making necessary adjustments to manage our business as the economic environment evolves.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2022 and 2021 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2022 and 2021. Discussions of 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2021, incorporated herein by reference.
Consolidated revenue for 2022 increased $518.7 million from 2021 to $1.7 billion. Net premiums earned for the Group increased 17 percent, driven by growth from our property and casualty segments. Overall market declines resulted in $121.0 million of unrealized losses on equity securities in 2022, while positive market performance resulted in $65.3 million of unrealized gains in our equity portfolio in 2021. Net investment income increased by 25 percent in 2022, primarily due to a larger average asset base and higher interest rates relative to the prior year. The sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim, Inc. (Maui Jim) resulted in $571.0 million of realized gains in 2022. Additionally, we recorded net realized gains in the normal course of rebalancing our investment portfolio for both years.
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| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSOLIDATED REVENUE | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Net premiums earned | | $ | 1,144,436 | | $ | 980,903 |
| Net investment income | | | 86,078 | | | 68,862 |
| Net realized gains | | | 588,515 | | | 64,222 |
| Net unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities | | | (121,037) | | | 65,258 |
| Total consolidated revenue | | $ | 1,697,992 | | $ | 1,179,245 |
Net earnings for 2022 totaled $583.4 million, up from $279.4 million in 2021. Improved underwriting income was bolstered by an increase in investment income and the gain recognized on the sale of our interest in Maui Jim.
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET EARNINGS | | Year ended December 31, | ||||
| (in thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Underwriting income | | $ | 178,216 | | $ | 129,926 |
| Net investment income | | | 86,078 | | | 68,862 |
| Net realized gains | | | 588,515 | | | 64,222 |
| Net unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities | | | (121,037) | | | 65,258 |
| Interest expense on debt | | | (8,047) | | | (7,677) |
| General corporate expenses | | | (12,900) | | | (13,330) |
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | | | 9,853 | | | 37,060 |
| Earnings before income taxes | | $ | 720,678 | | $ | 344,321 |
| Income tax expense | | | (137,267) | | | (64,967) |
| Net earnings | | $ | 583,411 | | $ | 279,354 |
UNDERWRITING RESULTS
We achieved our 27th consecutive year of underwriting profit in 2022. Our ability to continue to produce underwriting income, and do so at margins which have consistently outperformed the broader industry, is a testament to our underwriters’ discipline throughout the insurance cycle and our continued commitment to underwriting for a profit. We believe our underwriting discipline can differentiate the Company from the broader insurance market by ensuring sound risk selection and appropriate pricing.
Gross premiums written increased $218.1 million, or 16 percent, in 2022 when compared to 2021. Growth was achieved in all three segments. Positive rate movement across most of the casualty and property portfolio and expanded distribution provided for growth opportunities across most lines. Net premiums earned increased $163.5 million, or 17 percent, in 2022 when compared to 2021. Assuming the competitive environment responds rationally to current trends, we anticipate continued rate increases and further disruption that should create new opportunities for profitable growth into 2023.
Underwriting results for 2022 included $38.0 million of pretax losses from Hurricane Ian, as well as $13.0 million of other storm losses. Comparatively, 2021 included $33.6 million of pretax losses and $0.4 million of reinstatement premium from hurricanes, as well as $25.0 million of other storm losses. Results for each period benefited from favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves, which provided additional pretax earnings of $122.6 million in 2022, compared to $125.5 million in 2021. Further discussion of reserve development can be found in note 6 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Bonus and profit-sharing amounts earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance including operating earnings, combined ratio and return on capital. Favorable development and other drivers of growth in book value would increase bonus and profit-sharing expenses, while catastrophe losses, adverse development and decreased investment portfolio returns would lead to expense reductions. These performance-related expenses impact policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses.
In total, underwriting income was $178.2 million on an 84.4 combined ratio in 2022, compared to $129.9 million on an 86.8 combined ratio in 2021. The loss ratio was 44.9 in 2022, compared to 46.5 in 2021. In addition to lower storm losses in 2022, the current accident year improved modestly due to lower attritional, non-catastrophe losses and mix changes. The expense ratio decreased to 39.5 in 2022, from 40.3 in 2021. The decrease was reflective of improved leveraging of our expense base, as net premiums earned continued to grow, and lower levels of bonus and profit-sharing expenses, resulting from negative investment returns during the year.
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We remain optimistic about the expected underlying profitability of our portfolio. However, the January 1, 2023 reinsurance renewals did result in changes to the reinsurance structures in place for 2023. In the past, we have been able to access low attaching earnings protection from high-quality reinsurers at favorable prices. We evaluate the risk-reward equation carefully at each reinsurance renewal and our strong capital base provides the option to take more net exposure where the expected reinsurance ceded margins exceed a fair return. As a result of the current property reinsurance market, we increased our retentions, changed from prepaid to paid reinstatements on most layers and took mid-double-digit rate increases, on a risk-adjusted basis, on our property and catastrophe treaties. For our casualty treaties, co-participations increased and risk-adjusted rate change will be flat to up low double digits, depending on the line of business. Given increased reinsurance prices, we believe retaining more of our gross portfolio is an efficient use of our capital. We expect our reinsurance strategy going forward to primarily focus on buying traditional reinsurance from financially secure partners who support concurrent terms and have high regard for our business model of disciplined underwriting.
The following tables and narrative provide a more detailed look at individual segment performance over the last two years.
GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN AND NET PREMIUMS EARNED
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Gross Premiums Written | | | Net Premiums Earned | | ||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | % Change | 2022 | 2021 | % Change | | |||||||||||
| CASUALTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial excess and personal umbrella | | $ | 325,218 | | $ | 283,242 | | 15 | % | | $ | 253,921 | | $ | 219,437 | | 16 | % |
| General liability | | | 110,659 | | | 99,017 | | 12 | % | | | 100,374 | | | 90,853 | | 10 | % |
| Commercial transportation | | | 123,099 | | | 106,432 | | 16 | % | | | 96,992 | | | 83,352 | | 16 | % |
| Professional services | | | 103,922 | | | 96,735 | | 7 | % | | | 95,187 | | | 88,855 | | 7 | % |
| Small commercial | | | 72,347 | | | 68,475 | | 6 | % | | | 67,673 | | | 64,660 | | 5 | % |
| Executive products | | | 103,742 | | | 136,078 | | (24) | % | | | 26,606 | | | 21,873 | | 22 | % |
| Other casualty | | | 87,244 | | | 81,605 | | 7 | % | | | 71,079 | | | 64,609 | | 10 | % |
| Total casualty | | $ | 926,231 | | $ | 871,584 | | 6 | % | | $ | 711,832 | | $ | 633,639 | | 12 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| PROPERTY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial property | | $ | 326,609 | | $ | 202,855 | | 61 | % | | $ | 163,078 | | $ | 107,941 | | 51 | % |
| Marine | | | 133,539 | | | 112,721 | | 18 | % | | | 113,208 | | | 97,745 | | 16 | % |
| Other property | | | 39,313 | | | 32,290 | | 22 | % | | | 31,600 | | | 26,151 | | 21 | % |
| Total property | | $ | 499,461 | | $ | 347,866 | | 44 | % | | $ | 307,886 | | $ | 231,837 | | 33 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| SURETY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Commercial | | $ | 55,026 | | $ | 51,529 | | 7 | % | | $ | 47,652 | | $ | 43,738 | | 9 | % |
| Miscellaneous | | | 48,926 | | | 46,599 | | 5 | % | | | 45,826 | | | 43,982 | | 4 | % |
| Contract | | | 35,842 | | | 29,776 | | 20 | % | | | 31,240 | | | 27,707 | | 13 | % |
| Total surety | | $ | 139,794 | | $ | 127,904 | | 9 | % | | $ | 124,718 | | $ | 115,427 | | 8 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Grand total | | $ | 1,565,486 | | $ | 1,347,354 | | 16 | % | | $ | 1,144,436 | | $ | 980,903 | | 17 | % |
Casualty
Gross premiums written for the casualty segment were up $54.6 million in 2022. Gross premiums from commercial excess and personal umbrella increased $42.0 million, due to rate increases and an expanded distribution base. The personal umbrella market continues to be disrupted, as many of our competitors for standalone umbrella have reduced their appetite or left the space altogether. Within the commercial excess category, we wrote $13.8 million of excess energy liability business, which we have decided to run off throughout 2023.
Increases in new construction projects, outside of the competitive New York City construction market, led to the increase in general liability premium. Commercial transportation premium increased by $16.7 million, driven by our public transportation line, where customers put vehicles back in service on policies that were suspended throughout the first two years of the pandemic. Executive products premium decreased as a result of a more competitive market and the exit from our large account cyber and representations and warranties programs.
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Property
Gross premiums written for the property segment were up $151.6 million in 2022. Our commercial property business was up $123.8 million, as rates on wind exposures continued to increase, building valuations rose and market disruption provided an opportunity to grow while strengthening terms and conditions. We believe the trend of increasing hurricane rate will continue given the disorderly market conditions that are further supported by increased reinsurance costs.
Rate increases, improved retention and new opportunities in the inland marine space led to $20.8 million of premium growth for our marine product. Other property premium grew as a result of local underwriting efforts for our Hawaii homeowners product, which helped us obtain new accounts, and rate increases on property-exposed GBA business.
Surety
Gross premiums written for the surety segment were up $11.9 million in 2022. Contract surety benefited from new construction opportunities and larger contract values, driven by the inflation of material prices and increased public spending on infrastructure projects. The expansion of existing accounts and new business resulted in increased premium for commercial surety. The growth in miscellaneous surety was broad based and has been supported by our focus on customer experience and technology. We continue to carefully pursue growth opportunities, while monitoring the financial results of our principals closely, given the evolving economic environment.
UNDERWRITING INCOME
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underwriting Income | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Casualty | | $ | 73,789 | | $ | 95,519 |
| Property | | | 72,522 | | | 11,300 |
| Surety | | | 31,905 | | | 23,107 |
| Total | | $ | 178,216 | | $ | 129,926 |
| | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combined Ratio | 2022 | 2021 | ||
| Casualty | 89.6 | 84.9 | ||
| Property | 76.4 | 95.1 | ||
| Surety | 74.4 | 80.0 | ||
| Total | 84.4 | 86.8 |
Casualty
Underwriting income for the casualty segment was $73.8 million on an 89.6 combined ratio in 2022, compared to $95.5 million on an 84.9 combined ratio in 2021. The decline was the result of decreased favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves, which was partially offset by improved current accident year performance.
Favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves contributed to underwriting earnings in each of the past two years. The total benefit from favorable development on prior years’ reserves was $87.2 million for 2022, which was experienced across accident years 2016 and 2018 through 2021. Favorable development was widespread, with notable amounts from general liability, professional services, commercial excess, transportation, small commercial and executive products. No product experienced significant adverse development. Comparatively, results for the casualty segment in 2021 included favorable development of $108.6 million, with the bulk of the development attributable to general liability, transportation, professional services, commercial excess and personal umbrella across accident years 2014 through 2020. Hurricane and storm losses on casualty-oriented package policies that include property coverage resulted in $8.3 million of losses in 2022, compared to $4.1 million in 2021.
The segment’s loss ratio was 53.6 in 2022, compared to 49.2 in 2021. The higher loss ratio in 2022 was due to the lower amounts of favorable development on prior years’ reserves and increased current year hurricane and storm losses on casualty-oriented package policies. The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 36.0 in 2022, compared to 35.7 in 2021.
Property
Underwriting income from the property segment was $72.5 million on a 76.4 combined ratio in 2022, compared to $11.3 million on a 95.1 combined ratio in 2021. Underwriting results for 2022 included $24.9 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss
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and catastrophe reserves, largely from the marine business, $31.2 million of hurricane losses and $11.5 million of other storm losses. Comparatively, results for 2021 included $11.0 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss and catastrophe reserves, primarily from the marine business, $32.2 million of hurricane losses and $22.3 million of other storm losses.
A larger earned premium base resulted in higher levels of underwriting income as well as lower loss and expense ratios. The segment’s loss ratio was 39.2 in 2022, compared to 56.0 in 2021. Catastrophe losses added 14 points to the loss ratio in 2022, compared to 24 points of impact in 2021. Lower attritional losses in the current accident year also led to an improved loss ratio in 2022. The expense ratio for the property segment declined to 37.2 in 2022, from 39.1 in 2021.
Surety
Underwriting income for the surety segment totaled $31.9 million on a 74.4 combined ratio in 2022, compared to $23.1 million on an 80.0 combined ratio in 2021. Underwriting performance for each year reflects a combination of positive current accident year results and favorable development in prior accident years’ loss reserves. The current accident year combined ratio for each period has been in the low to mid 80s. Results for 2022 included favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves, which decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $10.4 million. Comparatively, 2021 results included favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves, which decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $5.9 million.
The segment’s loss ratio was 9.8 in 2022, compared to 13.0 in 2021. An increased amount of favorable development on prior years’ reserves in 2022 led to a lower loss ratio. The expense ratio for the surety segment was 64.6 in 2022, down from 67.0 in 2021, as 2022 had a higher earned premium base that allowed for a better leveraging of expenses.
NET INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS
During 2022, net investment income increased by 25 percent. The increase was primarily due to an increased asset base and higher interest rates relative to the prior year. The average annual yields on our investments were as follows for 2022 and 2021:
| | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 2022 | 2021 | |||
| PRETAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 2.94 | % | 2.76 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.71 | % | 2.63 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 2.20 | % | 2.07 | % | |
| | | | | | |
| AFTER-TAX YIELD | | | | | |
| Taxable (on book value) | 2.32 | % | 2.18 | % | |
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.57 | % | 2.49 | % | |
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.91 | % | 1.80 | % |
The after-tax yield reflects the different tax rates applicable to each category of investment. Our taxable fixed income securities were subject to a corporate tax rate of 21.0 percent, our tax-exempt municipal securities were subject to a tax rate of 5.3 percent and our dividend income was generally subject to a tax rate of 13.1 percent. During 2022, the average after-tax yield on the taxable fixed income portfolio was 2.3 percent, an increase from 2.2 percent in the prior year. The average after-tax yield on the tax-exempt portfolio increased slightly to 2.6 percent.
The fixed income portfolio increased by $257.1 million during the year, as the majority of operating cash flows were allocated to the fixed income portfolio. The tax-adjusted total return on a mark-to-market basis was -11.1 percent. Our equity portfolio decreased by $115.4 million to $498.4 million in 2022 as a result of a decline in equity market returns during the year. The total return for the year on the equity portfolio was -13.8 percent.
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Our investment results for the last five years are shown in the following table:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | | | | | | | Tax | |||||||||
| | | | | | | | | | Pre-tax | Equivalent | |||||||
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Annualized | | Annualized | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Change in | | Return on | | Return on | ||
| | | Average | | Net | | | | | Unrealized | | Avg. | | Avg. | ||||
| | | Invested | | Investment | | Net Realized | | Appreciation | | Invested | | Invested | |||||
| (in thousands) | Assets (1) | Income (2)(3) | Gains (3)(4) | (3)(5) | Assets | Assets | |||||||||||
| 2018 | | $ | 2,167,510 | | $ | 62,085 | | $ | 63,407 | | $ | (140,513) | (0.7) | % | (0.6) | % | |
| 2019 | | 2,377,295 | | 68,870 | | 17,520 | | 161,848 | 10.4 | % | 10.5 | % | |||||
| 2020 | | 2,698,721 | | 67,893 | | 17,885 | | 99,451 | 6.9 | % | 6.9 | % | |||||
| 2021 | | 3,000,025 | | 68,862 | | 64,222 | | (6,280) | 4.2 | % | 4.3 | % | |||||
| 2022 | | 3,217,635 | | 86,078 | | 588,515 | | (462,981) | 6.6 | % | 6.6 | % | |||||
| 5-yr Avg. | | $ | 2,692,237 | | $ | 70,758 | | $ | 150,310 | | $ | (69,695) | 5.5 | % | 5.5 | % |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (1) | Average amounts at beginning and end of year (inclusive of cash and short-term investments). |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (2) | Investment income, net of investment expenses. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (3) | Before income taxes. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (4) | Net realized gains for 2022 include $571.0 million of gain from the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (5) | Relates to available-for-sale fixed income and equity securities. |
In 2022, we recognized $20.3 million in net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $3.0 million in net realized losses in the fixed income portfolio and $571.2 million in other net realized gains, primarily from our sale of Maui Jim. In 2021, we recognized $62.5 million in net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $1.9 million in net realized gains in the fixed income portfolio and $0.2 million in other net realized losses.
Investment income was aided by higher interest rates in 2022, as the Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds target to fight inflation. As we enter 2023, the path of rates remains uncertain as policy makers try to cap inflation without sending the economy into recession. Should current yields increase or simply hold for most of the year, investment income will likely increase in 2023. However, if shorter term rates decline, investment income growth may be limited.
INVESTMENTS
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio with a prudent mix of fixed income and risk assets. We continually monitor economic conditions, our capital position and the insurance market to determine our tactical allocation. As of December 31, 2022, the portfolio had a fair value of $3.3 billion, an increase of $109.3 million from the end of 2021. Excluding U.S. government and agency issues, no single issuer in either the fixed income or equity portfolio represented more than 1 percent of invested assets.
We determined the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value. For additional information, see notes 1 and 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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As of December 31, 2022, our investment portfolio had the following asset allocation breakdown:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Cost or | | | | | Unrealized | | % of Total | | | ||
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Gain/(Loss) | Fair Value | Quality* | ||||||||
| U.S. government | | $ | 462,884 | | $ | 454,021 | | $ | (8,863) | 13.9 | % | AAA | |
| U.S. agency | | | 75,074 | | | 73,063 | | | (2,011) | 2.2 | % | AA+ | |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | 6,798 | | | 5,847 | | | (951) | 0.2 | % | BBB+ | |
| Agency MBS | | | 373,687 | | | 331,806 | | | (41,881) | 10.1 | % | AAA | |
| ABS/CMBS/MBS** | | | 276,126 | | | 240,736 | | | (35,390) | 7.4 | % | AA+ | |
| Corporate | | | 1,122,097 | | | 1,034,330 | | | (87,767) | 31.6 | % | A- | |
| Municipal | | | 628,607 | | | 527,147 | | | (101,460) | 16.1 | % | AA | |
| Total fixed income | | $ | 2,945,273 | | $ | 2,666,950 | | $ | (278,323) | 81.5 | % | AA- | |
| Equities | | | 328,019 | | | 498,382 | | | 170,363 | 15.2 | % | | |
| Short-term investments | | | 36,229 | | | 36,229 | | | — | 1.1 | % | | |
| Other invested assets | | | 43,980 | | | 47,922 | | | 3,942 | | 1.5 | % | |
| Cash | | | 22,818 | | | 22,818 | | | — | 0.7 | % | | |
| Total portfolio | | $ | 3,376,319 | | $ | 3,272,301 | | $ | (104,018) | 100.0 | % | |
*Quality ratings provided by Moody’s, S&P and Fitch
**Non-agency asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed and mortgage-backed securities
Quality in the previous table and in all subsequent tables is an average of each bond’s credit rating, adjusted for its relative weighting in the portfolio.
Fixed income represented 82 percent of our total 2022 portfolio, up from 76 percent in 2021. As of December 31, 2022, the fair value of our fixed income portfolio consisted of 42 percent AAA-rated securities, 19 percent AA-rated securities, 20 percent A-rated securities, 11 percent BBB-rated securities and 8 percent non-investment grade or non-rated securities. This compares to 36 percent AAA-rated securities, 23 percent AA-rated securities, 20 percent A-rated securities, 13 percent BBB-rated securities and 8 percent non-investment grade or non-rated securities in 2021.
In selecting the maturity of securities in which we invest, we consider the relationship between the duration of our fixed income investments and the duration of our liabilities, including the expected ultimate payout patterns of our reserves. We believe that both liquidity and interest rate risk can be minimized by such asset/liability management. As of December 31, 2022, our fixed income portfolio’s duration was 4.2 years.
Consistent underwriting income allows a portion of our investment portfolio to be invested in equity securities and other risk asset classes. Equities comprised 15 percent of our total 2022 portfolio, down from 19 percent at the end of 2021, as we reduced our risk asset profile and equity markets declined over the course of the year. Securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index exchange traded funds (ETFs). Our actively managed equity strategy has a preference for dividend income and value-oriented security selection with low turnover, which minimizes transaction costs and taxes throughout our long investment horizon.
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FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
As of December 31, 2022, our fixed income portfolio had the following rating distributions:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR VALUE | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Below | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Investment | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | AAA | AA | A | BBB | Grade | No Rating | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| U.S. government & agency (GSE) | | $ | 475,159 | | $ | 51,925 | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | — | | $ | 527,084 |
| Non-U.S. government & agency | | | — | | | — | | | 1,677 | | | 4,170 | | | — | | | — | | | 5,847 |
| Corporate - industrial | | | 19,840 | | | 49,528 | | | 170,110 | | | 197,396 | | | 36,438 | | | 3,027 | | | 476,339 |
| Corporate - financial | | | 9,628 | | | 43,221 | | | 223,638 | | | 72,586 | | | 12,202 | | | — | | | 361,275 |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 1,036 | | | 928 | | | 28,502 | | | 25,231 | | | 4,419 | | | — | | | 60,116 |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 3,291 | | | 70,377 | | | 20,729 | | | 94,397 |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 8,791 | | | 31,915 | | | 40,706 |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 485 | | | 1,012 | | | 1,497 |
| Municipal | | | 126,973 | | | 334,961 | | | 64,768 | | | — | | | — | | | 445 | | | 527,147 |
| Structured: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| GSE - RMBS | | | 274,032 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 274,032 |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | | 76,626 | | | 14,249 | | | 1,446 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 92,321 |
| CLO | | | 24,251 | | | 3,820 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 2,336 | | | 30,407 |
| ABS - auto loans | | | 5,207 | | | 10,991 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 16,198 |
| ABS - railcars | | | — | | | — | | | 13,923 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 13,923 |
| All other ABS/MBS | | | 11,370 | | | 1,873 | | | 21,919 | | | — | | | — | | | 11,132 | | | 46,294 |
| GSE - CMBS | | | 57,774 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 57,774 |
| CMBS | | | 26,997 | | | 3,273 | | | 11,323 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 41,593 |
| Total | | $ | 1,108,893 | | $ | 514,769 | | $ | 537,306 | | $ | 302,674 | | $ | 132,712 | | $ | 70,596 | | $ | 2,666,950 |
Mortgage-Backed, Asset-Backed and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
We believe mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) add diversification, liquidity, credit quality and additional yield to our portfolio. The following table summarizes the distribution of our mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio by investment type, as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2022 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 238,259 | | $ | 214,226 | | 64.6 | % |
| Planned amortization class | | 71,051 | | | 59,806 | | 18.0 | % | |
| Sequential | | 64,377 | | | 57,774 | | 17.4 | % | |
| Total | | $ | 373,687 | | $ | 331,806 | 100.0 | % | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2021 | | | | | | | | | |
| Pass-throughs | | $ | 187,456 | | $ | 190,512 | 51.9 | % | |
| Planned amortization class | | 95,182 | | 93,095 | 25.3 | % | |||
| Sequential | | 80,223 | | 83,580 | 22.8 | % | |||
| Total | | $ | 362,861 | | $ | 367,187 | 100.0 | % |
Agency MBS represented 12 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 15 percent as of December 31, 2021. Our objective for the agency MBS portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability where we are compensated for the call risk associated with residential refinancing. The agency MBS portfolio includes mortgage-backed pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMO), which include planned amortization classes and sequential pay structures. As of December 31, 2022, all of the securities in our agency MBS portfolio were rated AAA and issued by Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) such as the Governmental National Mortgage Association, Federal National Mortgage Association or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.
Variability in the average life of principal repayment is an inherent risk of owning mortgage-related securities. However, we reduce our portfolio’s exposure to prepayment risk by seeking characteristics that tighten the probable scenarios for expected cash
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flows. As of December 31, 2022, the agency MBS portfolio contained 65 percent of pure pass-throughs, compared to 52 percent as of December 31, 2021. An additional 17 percent of the MBS portfolio was invested in sequential payer, down from 23 percent in 2021.
The following table summarizes the distribution of our asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities portfolio as of December 31:
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| 2022 | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | $ | 109,852 | | $ | 92,321 | | 38.4 | % |
| CMBS | | 49,333 | | | 41,593 | | 17.3 | % | |
| CLO | | | 31,393 | | | 30,407 | | 12.6 | % |
| Auto | | 17,194 | | | 16,198 | | 6.7 | % | |
| Railcars | | | 16,072 | | | 13,923 | | 5.8 | % |
| Consumers | | | 12,241 | | | 10,904 | | 4.5 | % |
| Marine | | 8,554 | | | 7,319 | | 3.0 | % | |
| Other | | | 31,487 | | | 28,071 | | 11.7 | % |
| Total | | $ | 276,126 | | $ | 240,736 | | 100.0 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| 2021 | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-GSE RMBS | | $ | 79,281 | | $ | 78,497 | | 29.7 | % |
| CMBS | | | 55,293 | | 55,592 | | 21.1 | % | |
| CLO | | | 34,305 | | | 34,362 | | 13.0 | % |
| Auto | | 17,401 | | 17,491 | | 6.6 | % | ||
| Railcars | | | 15,383 | | | 15,245 | | 5.8 | % |
| Consumers | | | 12,242 | | | 12,442 | | 4.7 | % |
| Marine | | 9,353 | | 9,253 | | 3.5 | % | ||
| Other | | | 41,015 | | | 41,172 | | 15.6 | % |
| Total | | $ | 264,273 | | $ | 264,054 | | 100.0 | % |
An ABS, CMBS or non-agency residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) is a securitization collateralized by the cash flows from a specific pool of underlying assets. These asset pools can include items such as credit card payments, auto loans, structured bank loans in the form of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and residential or commercial mortgages. As of December 31, 2022, ABS/CMBS/RMBS investments were 9 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 11 percent as of December 31, 2021. Sixty percent of the securities in the ABS/CMBS/RMBS portfolio were rated AAA as of December 31, 2022, while 94 percent were rated A or better. We believe that ABS/CMBS investments often add superior cash flow stability over mortgage pass-throughs or CMOs.
When making investments in MBS/ABS/CMBS, we evaluate the quality of the underlying collateral, the structure of the transaction, which dictates how any losses in the underlying collateral will be distributed, and prepayment risks. We had $77.3 million in unrealized losses in these asset classes as of December 31, 2022.
Municipal Fixed Income Securities
As of December 31, 2022, municipal bonds composed 20 percent of our fixed income portfolio, compared to 27 percent as of December 31, 2021. We believe municipal fixed income securities can provide diversification and additional tax-advantaged yield to our portfolio. Our objective for the municipal fixed income portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability and increased after-tax yield.
Our municipal fixed income portfolio is comprised of general obligation (GO) and revenue securities. The revenue sources include sectors such as sewer and water, public improvement, school, transportation and colleges and universities. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 46 percent of the municipal fixed income securities in the investment portfolio were GO and the remaining 54 percent were revenue based. The municipal portfolio is diversified amongst 324 issues.
Eighty-eight percent of our municipal fixed income securities were rated AA or better, while 99 percent were rated A or better. The municipal portfolio includes 52 percent taxable and 48 percent tax-exempt securities.
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Corporate Debt Securities
As of December 31, 2022, our corporate debt portfolio comprised 39 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 40 percent as of December 31, 2021. The corporate allocation includes floating rate bank loans and bonds that are below investment grade in credit quality and offer incremental yield over our core fixed income portfolio. Non-investment grade bonds totaled $132.7 million while non-rated Regulation D securities totaled $53.7 million at the end of 2022. While these Regulation D securities are not rated by a traditional nationally recognized statistical rating organization, they all carry an equivalent investment-grade rating from the Securities Valuation Office of the NAIC. The corporate debt portfolio has an overall quality rating of A- diversified among 830 issues.
The table below illustrates our corporate debt exposure as of December 31, 2022. Private placements include bank loan and Regulation D securities.
| | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Amortized | | | | | | | |
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||
| Bonds: | | | | | | | | | |
| Corporate - industrial | | $ | 516,841 | | $ | 476,339 | | 46.1 | % |
| Corporate - financial | | | 393,330 | | | 361,275 | | 34.9 | % |
| Corporate - utilities | | | 65,636 | | | 60,116 | | 5.8 | % |
| Corporate industrial - private placements | | | 99,696 | | | 94,397 | | 9.1 | % |
| Corporate financial - private placements | | | 45,005 | | | 40,706 | | 4.0 | % |
| Corporate utilities - private placements | | | 1,589 | | | 1,497 | | 0.1 | % |
| Total | | $ | 1,122,097 | | $ | 1,034,330 | | 100.0 | % |
We believe corporate debt investments add diversification and additional yield to our portfolio.
EQUITY SECURITIES
As of December 31, 2022, our equity portfolio comprised 15 percent of the investment portfolio, down from 19 percent at the end of the previous year. The securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index ETFs that represent market indexes similar to the Russell 1000 Index, Russell 3000 Index, S&P 500 Index and S&P 600 Index. The ETF portfolio is congruent with the actively managed equity portfolios and solves for exposures that line up with our overall benchmark index, the Russell 3000. In total, the equity portfolio is comprised of 90 securities.
INTEREST AND GENERAL CORPORATE EXPENSE
We incurred $8.0 million of interest expense on outstanding debt during 2022 and $7.7 million in 2021. At December 31, 2022 and 2021, our long-term debt consisted of $150.0 million in senior notes maturing September 15, 2023 and paying interest semi-annually at a rate of 4.875 percent. Additionally, RLI Ins. borrowed $50.0 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago that matures on November 10, 2023 and pays interest monthly at an annualized rate of 0.84 percent.
We incurred $12.9 million of general corporate expense during 2022 and $13.3 million in 2021. As discussed previously, general corporate expenses tend to fluctuate relative to our incentive compensation plans. Our compensation model measures components of comprehensive earnings against a minimum required return on our capital. Bonuses are earned as we generate earnings in excess of this required return. In 2022 and 2021, we exceeded the required return, resulting in the accrual of executive bonuses. Market declines in 2022 resulted in lower variable compensation earned than in 2021.
INVESTEE EARNINGS
We owned a 40 percent equity interest in Maui Jim, a manufacturer of high-quality sunglasses, but sold our interest in 2022. For more information on the sale, see note 13 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. Our investment in Maui Jim was carried at the RLI Corp. holding company level, as it was not core to our insurance operations. In 2022, we recorded $0.4 million in earnings from this investment, compared to $22.8 million in 2021. The decrease in 2022 was attributable to transaction costs associated with the sale.
As of December 31, 2022, we had a 23 percent interest in the equity and earnings of Prime. Prime writes business through two Illinois domiciled insurance carriers, Prime Insurance Company, an excess and surplus lines company, and Prime Property and Casualty Insurance Inc., an admitted insurance company. As a private company, the market for Prime’s stock is limited. While we have certain rights under our shareholder agreement, we are subject to the decisions of the controlling shareholder, which may impact
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the value of our investment. In 2022, we recorded $13.0 million in investee earnings for Prime, compared to $17.0 million in 2021. Additionally, we maintain a quota share reinsurance treaty with Prime, which contributed $20.6 million of gross premiums written and $22.6 million of net premiums earned during 2022, compared to $22.2 million of gross premiums written and $19.1 million of net premiums earned during 2021.
We did not receive a dividend from our equity method investments in 2022 or 2021. Dividends from our equity method investees have been irregular in nature, and while they provide added liquidity when received, we do not rely on those dividends to meet our liquidity needs.
INCOME TAXES
Our effective tax rates were 19.0 percent and 18.9 percent for 2022 and 2021, respectively. Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings, which is impacted by the volatility of unrealized gains and losses, and the related tax effects. The effective rate was higher in 2022 due to higher levels of pretax earnings, which decreased the impact of tax-favored adjustments, such as investment tax credits and excess tax benefits on share-based compensation.
Dividends paid to our Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) result in a tax deduction. Dividends paid to the ESOP in 2022 and 2021 resulted in tax benefits of $4.2 million and $1.6 million, respectively. These tax benefits reduced the effective tax rate for 2022 and 2021 by 0.6 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively.
NET UNPAID LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
The primary liability on our balance sheet relates to unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which represents our estimated liability for losses and related settlement expenses before considering offsetting reinsurance balances recoverable. The largest asset on our balance sheet, outside of investments, is the reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which serves to offset this liability. The liability can be split into two parts: (1) case reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on known claims and (2) IBNR reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. Our gross liability for both case and IBNR reserves is reduced by reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses to calculate our net reserve balance. This net reserve balance increased to $1.6 billion at December 31, 2022, from $1.4 billion as of December 31, 2021. This reflects incurred losses of $514.4 million in 2022 offset by paid losses of $374.3 million, compared to incurred losses of $456.6 million offset by $327.5 million paid in 2021. For more information on the changes in loss and LAE reserves by segment, see note 6 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Gross reserves (liability) and the reinsurance balances recoverable (asset) are generally subject to the same influences that affect net reserves, though changes to our reinsurance agreements can cause reinsurance balances recoverable to behave differently. Total gross loss and LAE reserves increased to $2.3 billion at December 31, 2022, from $2.0 billion at December 31, 2021, while ceded loss and LAE reserves increased to $740.1 million from $608.1 million over the same period.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
OVERVIEW
We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) operating cash flows, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) investing cash flows related to the purchase, sale and maturity of investments and (3) financing cash flows that impact our capital structure, such as changes in debt, issuance of common stock and dividend payments. The following table summarizes these three cash flows over the last two years:
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2022 | 2021 | ||||
| Net cash provided by operating activities | | $ | 250,448 | | $ | 384,905 |
| Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities | | | 48,879 | | | (274,826) |
| Net cash used in financing activities | | | (365,313) | | | (83,492) |
We have posted positive operating cash flow in the last two years. Variations in operating cash flow between periods are largely driven by the volume and timing of premium receipt, claim payments, reinsurance and taxes. In addition, fluctuations in insurance operating expenses impact operating cash flow. During 2022, we received $686.6 million of cash proceeds from the sale of our equity method investment in Maui Jim, which were classified as investing cash flows. However, tax payments associated with Maui Jim were classified as operating activities and totaled $141.5 million. Excluding the tax payments related to Maui Jim, operating cash flows in
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2022 would have been similar to 2021. During 2022, the majority of cash outflows were associated with the net purchase of fixed income securities, classified as investing activities, and the payment of our regular quarterly dividends and $7.00 per share special dividend, classified as financing activities.
We have entered into certain contractual obligations that require the Company to make recurring payments. The following table summarizes our contractual obligations as of December 31, 2022:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | | Payments due by period | | | | ||||||||||
| (in thousands) | Less than 1 year | 1-3 years | 3-5 years | More than 5 years | Total | ||||||||||
| Loss and settlement expense reserves | | $ | 680,563 | | $ | 811,265 | | $ | 433,770 | | $ | 390,039 | | $ | 2,315,637 |
| Current portion of long-term debt | | | 200,000 | | | — | | | — | | | — | | | 200,000 |
| Interest on debt | | | 7,735 | | | | | | — | | | — | | | 7,735 |
| Operating leases | | | 5,578 | | | 5,844 | | | 2,137 | | | 1,587 | | | 15,146 |
| Other invested assets and equity method investees | | | 10,493 | | | 2,894 | | | 38 | | | 71 | | | 13,496 |
| Total | | $ | 904,369 | | $ | 820,003 | | $ | 435,945 | | $ | 391,697 | | $ | 2,552,014 |
Loss and settlement expense reserves represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling reported and unreported claims and related expenses. As discussed previously, the estimation of loss and loss expense reserves is based on various complex and subjective judgments. Actual losses and settlement expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements. Similarly, the timing for payment of our estimated losses is not fixed and is not determinable on an individual or aggregate basis. The assumptions used in estimating the payments due by periods are based on our historical claims payment experience. Due to the uncertainty inherent in the process of estimating the timing of such payments, there is a risk that the amounts paid in any period can be significantly different than the amounts disclosed above. Amounts disclosed above are gross of anticipated amounts recoverable from reinsurers. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves are reported separately as assets, instead of being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not discharge the Company of its liability to policyholders. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves totaled $740.1 million at December 31, 2022, compared to $608.1 million in 2021.
The next largest contractual obligation relates to debt outstanding. On October 2, 2013, we completed a public debt offering of $150.0 million in senior notes maturing September 15, 2023, (a 10-year maturity) and paying interest semi-annually at the rate of 4.875 percent. The notes were issued at a discount resulting in proceeds, net of discount and commission, of $148.6 million. Additionally, RLI Ins. borrowed $50.0 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago on November 10, 2021. The borrowing matures on November 10, 2023 and has an option to pay off the debt early beginning on November 10, 2022. Interest is paid monthly at an annualized rate of 0.84 percent. We are not party to any off-balance sheet arrangements. See note 4 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for more information on our long-term debt. Additionally, see note 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for information on our obligations for other invested assets.
Our primary objective in managing our capital is to preserve and grow shareholders’ equity and statutory surplus to improve our competitive position and allow for expansion of our insurance operations. Our insurance subsidiaries must maintain certain minimum capital levels in order to meet the requirements of the states in which we are regulated. Our insurance companies are also evaluated by rating agencies that assign financial strength ratings that measure our ability to meet our obligations to policyholders over an extended period of time.
We have historically grown our total capital as a result of three sources of funds: (1) earnings on underwriting and investing activities, (2) appreciation in the value of our investments and (3) the issuance of common stock and debt.
At December 31, 2022, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments maturing within one year of approximately $390.9 million and an additional $908.5 million of investments maturing between 1 to 5 years. We maintain a revolving line of credit with Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, which permits us to borrow up to an aggregate principal amount of $60.0 million. Under certain conditions, the line may be increased up to an aggregate principal amount of $120.0 million. The facility has a three-year term that expires on March 27, 2023. This facility replaced the previous $50.0 million facility with JP Morgan Chase Bank N.A., which was set to expire on May 24, 2020. As of and during the year ended December 31, 2022, no amounts were outstanding on these facilities.
Additionally, two of our insurance companies, RLI Ins. and Mt. Hawley, are members of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago (FHLBC). Membership in the Federal Home Loan Bank system provides both companies with access to an additional source of liquidity via a secured lending facility. Based on qualifying assets and the $50.0 million borrowing outstanding at year-end,
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additional aggregate borrowing capacity is approximately $14.9 million. However, under certain circumstances, that capacity may be increased based on additional FHLBC stock purchased and available collateral. Our membership allows each insurance subsidiary to determine tenor and structure at the time of borrowing.
We believe that cash generated by operations, cash generated by investments and cash available from financing activities will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months. We have consistently generated positive operating cash flow. The primary factor in our ability to generate positive operating cash flow is underwriting profitability, which we have achieved for 27 consecutive years.
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from operating activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Premiums received | Claims | |
| Loss payments from reinsurers | Ceded premium to reinsurers | |
| Investment income (interest and dividends) | Commissions paid | |
| Funds held | Operating expenses | |
| | Interest expense | |
| | | Income taxes |
| | Funds held |
Our largest source of cash is from premiums received from our customers, which we receive at the beginning of the coverage period for most policies. Our largest cash outflow is for claims that arise when a policyholder incurs an insured loss. Because the payment of claims occurs after the receipt of the premium, often years later, we invest the cash in various investment securities that earn interest and dividends. We use cash to pay commissions to brokers and agents, as well as to pay for ongoing operating expenses such as salaries, rent, taxes and interest expense. We also utilize reinsurance to manage the risk that we take on our policies. We cede, or pay out, part of the premiums we receive to our reinsurers and collect cash back when losses subject to our reinsurance coverage are paid.
The timing of our cash flows from operating activities can vary among periods due to the timing by which payments are made or received. Some of our payments and receipts, including loss settlements and subsequent reinsurance receipts, can be significant, so their timing can influence cash flows from operating activities in any given period. We are subject to the risk of incurring significant losses on catastrophes, both natural (such as earthquakes and hurricanes) and man-made (such as terrorism). If we were to incur such losses, we would have to make significant claims payments in a relatively concentrated period of time.
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from investing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from sale, call or maturity of bonds | Purchase of bonds | |
| Proceeds from sale of stocks | Purchase of stocks | |
| Proceeds from sale of other invested assets | | Purchase of other invested assets |
| | Acquisitions | |
| | Purchase of property and equipment |
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio representing policyholder funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our shareholders. As of December 31, 2022, our portfolio had a carrying value of $3.3 billion. Portfolio assets at December 31, 2022, increased by $109.3 million, or 3 percent, from December 31, 2021.
Our overall investment philosophy is designed to first protect policyholders by maintaining sufficient funds to meet corporate and policyholder obligations and then generate long-term growth in shareholders’ equity. Because our existing and projected liabilities are sufficiently funded by the fixed income portfolio, we can improve returns by investing a portion of the surplus (within limits) in a risk assets portfolio largely made up of equities. As of December 31, 2022, 42 percent of our shareholders’ equity was invested in equities, a decrease from 50 percent at December 31, 2021.
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The fixed income portfolio is structured to meet policyholder obligations and optimize the generation of after-tax investment income and total return.
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
In addition to the previously discussed operating and investing activities, we also engage in financing activities to manage our capital structure. The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from financing activities:
| | | |
|---|---|---|
| Sources | Uses | |
| Proceeds from stock offerings | Shareholder dividends | |
| Proceeds from debt offerings | Debt repayment | |
| Short-term borrowing | Share buy-backs | |
| Shares issued under stock option plans | | |
Our capital structure is comprised of equity and debt obligations. As of December 31, 2022, our capital structure consisted of $199.9 million in debt and $1.2 billion of shareholders’ equity. Debt outstanding comprised 15 percent of total capital as of December 31, 2022.
At the holding company (RLI Corp.) level, we rely largely on dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations for paying principal and interest on outstanding debt, corporate expenses and dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. As discussed further below, dividend payments to RLI Corp. from our principal insurance subsidiary are restricted by state insurance laws as to the amount that may be paid without prior approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of Illinois. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from such subsidiary at times and in amounts necessary to pay desired dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. On a GAAP basis, as of December 31, 2022, our holding company had $1.2 billion in equity. This includes amounts related to the equity of our insurance subsidiaries, which is subject to regulatory restrictions under state insurance laws. The unrestricted portion of holding company net assets is comprised primarily of investments and cash, including $240.6 million in liquid investment assets, which was elevated by the cash proceeds received from the sale of Maui Jim. Unrestricted funds at the holding company level are available to fund debt interest, general corporate obligations and regular dividend payments to our shareholders. If necessary, the holding company also has other potential sources of liquidity that could provide for additional funding to meet corporate obligations or pay shareholder dividends, which include a revolving line of credit, as well as access to the capital markets.
Ordinary dividends, which may be paid by our principal insurance subsidiary without prior regulatory approval, are subject to certain limitations based upon statutory income, surplus and earned surplus. The maximum ordinary dividend distribution from our principal insurance subsidiary in a rolling 12-month period is limited by Illinois law to the greater of 10 percent of RLI Ins. policyholder surplus, as of December 31 of the preceding year, or the net income of RLI Ins. for the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year. Ordinary dividends are further restricted by the requirement that they be paid from earned surplus. In 2022 and 2021, our principal insurance subsidiary paid ordinary dividends totaling $13.0 million and $70.0 million, respectively, to RLI Corp. Any dividend distribution in excess of the ordinary dividend limits is deemed extraordinary and requires prior approval from the IDOI. In 2021, our principal insurance subsidiary sought and received regulatory approval prior to the payment of extraordinary dividends totaling $110.0 million. No extraordinary dividends were paid in 2022. As of December 31, 2022, $136.9 million of the net assets of our principal insurance subsidiary were not restricted and could be distributed to RLI Corp. as ordinary dividends. Because the limitations are based upon a rolling 12-month period, the amount and impact of these restrictions vary over time. In addition to restrictions from our principal subsidiary’s insurance regulator, we also consider internal models and how capital adequacy is defined by our rating agencies in determining amounts available for distribution.
Our 187th consecutive dividend payment was declared in February 2023 and will be paid on March 20, 2023, in the amount of $0.26 per share. Since the inception of cash dividends in 1976, we have increased our annual dividend every year.
PROSPECTIVE ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Prospective accounting standards are those which we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of relevant prospective accounting standards, see note 1.D. to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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FY 2021 10-K MD&A
SEC filing source: 0001564590-22-005648.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
OVERVIEW
RLI Corp. is a U.S. based, specialty insurance company that underwrites select property and casualty insurance through major subsidiaries collectively known as RLI Insurance Group (Group). Our focus is on niche markets and developing unique products that are tailored to customers’ needs. We hire underwriters and claim examiners with deep expertise and provide exceptional customer service and support. We maintain a highly diverse product portfolio and underwrite for profit in all market conditions. In 2021, we achieved our 26th consecutive year of underwriting profitability. Over the 26-year period, we averaged an 88.4 combined ratio. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting income itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.
We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: casualty, property and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written, and profitability is analyzed through combined ratios, which are further subdivided into their respective loss and expense components.
GAAP, NON-GAAP AND PERFORMANCE MEASURES
Throughout this annual report, we include certain non-generally accepted accounting principles (non-GAAP) financial measures. Management believes that these non-GAAP measures further explain the Company’s results of operations and allow for a more complete understanding of the underlying trends in the Company’s business. These measures should not be viewed as a substitute for those determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America (GAAP). In addition, our definitions of these items may not be comparable to the definitions used by other companies.
Following is a list of non-GAAP measures found throughout this report with their definitions, relationships to GAAP measures and explanations of their importance to our operations.
Underwriting Income
Underwriting income or profit represents one measure of the pretax profitability of our insurance operations and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses from net premiums earned, which are all GAAP financial measures. Each of these captions is presented in the statements of earnings but is not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 12 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains or losses, net unrealized gains or losses on equity securities, general corporate expenses, debt costs and our portion of earnings from unconsolidated investees. A reconciliation of net earnings to underwriting income follows:
| Year ended December 31, | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 279,354 | $ | 157,091 | ||||
| Income tax expense | 64,967 | 32,750 | ||||||
| Earnings before income taxes | $ | 344,321 | $ | 189,841 | ||||
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | (37,060 | ) | (20,233 | ) | ||||
| General corporate expenses | 13,330 | 10,265 | ||||||
| Interest expense on debt | 7,677 | 7,603 | ||||||
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | (65,258 | ) | (32,101 | ) | ||||
| Net realized gains | (64,222 | ) | (17,885 | ) | ||||
| Net investment income | (68,862 | ) | (67,893 | ) | ||||
| Underwriting income | $ | 129,926 | $ | 69,597 |
Combined Ratio
The combined ratio, which is derived from components of underwriting income, is a common industry performance measure of profitability for underwriting operations and is calculated in two components. First, the loss ratio is losses and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The second component, the expense ratio, reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance operating expenses divided by net premiums earned. All items included in these components of the combined ratio are presented in our GAAP consolidated financial statements. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
In preparing the consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.
The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes.
LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
Overview
Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves represent our best estimate of ultimate payments for losses and related settlement expenses from claims that have been reported but not paid, and those losses that have been incurred but not yet reported (IBNR) to the Company. Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but instead represent our estimates, generally utilizing individual claim estimates, actuarial expertise and estimation techniques at a given accounting date. The loss reserve estimates are expectations of what ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost upon final resolution. These estimates are based on facts and circumstances then known to the Company, review of historical settlement patterns, estimates of trends in claims frequency and severity, projections of loss costs, expected interpretations of legal theories of liability and many other factors. In establishing reserves, we also take into account estimated recoveries from reinsurance, salvage and subrogation.
We record two categories of loss and LAE reserves: case-specific reserves and IBNR reserves.
Within a reasonable period of time after a claim is reported, our claim department completes an initial investigation and establishes a case reserve. This case-specific reserve is an estimate of the ultimate amount we will have to pay for the claim, including related legal expenses and other costs associated with resolving and settling it. The estimate reflects all of the current information available regarding the claim, the informed judgment of our professional claim personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim and our reserving practices. During the life cycle of a particular claim, as more information becomes available, we may revise the estimate of the ultimate value of the claim either upward or downward. We may determine that it is appropriate to pay portions of the reserve to the claimant or related settlement expenses before final resolution of the claim. The amount of the individual case reserve will be adjusted accordingly and is based on the most recent information available.
We establish IBNR reserves to estimate the amount we will have to pay for claims that have occurred, but have not yet been reported to the Company, claims that have been reported to the Company that may ultimately be paid out differently than reflected in our case-specific reserves and claims that have been closed but may reopen and require future payment.
LAE represents the cost involved in adjusting and administering losses from policies we issued. The LAE reserves are frequently separated into two components: allocated and unallocated. Allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that can be identified with a specific claim or case. Examples of ALAE would be the hiring of an outside adjuster to investigate a claim or an outside attorney to defend our insured. The claim adjuster typically estimates this cost separately from the loss component in the case reserve. Unallocated loss adjustment expense (ULAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that cannot be identified with a specific claim. An example of ULAE would be the cost of an internal claim examiner to manage or investigate claims.
The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claim handling procedures, claim personnel, economic inflation, legal trends and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for loss and LAE is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimations also differ significantly by coverage due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the policy limits written, the terms and conditions of the underlying policies, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer). Informed judgment is applied throughout the process. We continually refine our loss reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops and additional claims are reported and settled. We rigorously attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.
Following is a table of significant risk factors involved in estimating losses grouped by major product line. We distinguish between loss ratio risk and reserve estimation risk. Loss ratio risk refers to the possible dispersion of loss ratios from year to year due to inherent volatility in the business, such as high severity or aggregating exposures. Reserve estimation risk recognizes the difficulty
28
in estimating a given year’s ultimate loss liability. As an example, our property catastrophe business (included below in other property) has significant variance in year over year results; however, its reserving estimation risk is relatively moderate.
| Emergence | Expected loss | Reserve | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Length of | patterns relied | ratio | estimation | |||||||
| Product line | reserve tail | upon | Other risk factors | variability | variability | |||||
| Commercial excess | Long | Internal | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| High severity | ||||||||||
| Loss trend volatility | ||||||||||
| Exposure growth | ||||||||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| Exposure changes/mix | ||||||||||
| Personal umbrella | Medium | Internal | Low frequency | Medium | Medium | |||||
| High severity | ||||||||||
| Loss trend volatility | ||||||||||
| Exposure growth | ||||||||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| General liability | Long | Internal | Exposure changes/mix | Medium | High | |||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| Professional services | Medium | Internal & external | Highly varied exposures | Medium | Medium | |||||
| Loss trend volatility | ||||||||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| Commercial transportation | Medium | Internal | High severity | Medium | Medium | |||||
| Exposure change/mix | ||||||||||
| Loss trend volatility | ||||||||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| Small commercial | Long | Internal | Exposure growth/mix | Medium | Medium | |||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| Small volume | ||||||||||
| Executive products | Long | Internal & significant external | Low frequency | High | High | |||||
| High severity | ||||||||||
| Loss trend volatility | ||||||||||
| Economic volatility | ||||||||||
| Unforeseen tort potential | ||||||||||
| Exposure growth/mix | ||||||||||
| Heavily reinsured | ||||||||||
| Other casualty | Medium | Internal & external | Small volume | Medium | Medium | |||||
| Marine | Medium | Internal & external | Exposure growth/mix | High | High | |||||
| Other property | Short | Internal | CAT aggregation exposure | High | Medium | |||||
| Low frequency | ||||||||||
| High severity | ||||||||||
| Surety | Medium | Internal | Economic volatility | Medium | Medium | |||||
| Unique exposures | ||||||||||
| Runoff including asbestos & environmental | Long | Internal & external | Loss trend volatility | High | High | |||||
| Mass tort/latent exposure |
Due to inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, including, but not limited to, the future settlement environment, final resolution of the estimated liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid losses in the future may yield a significantly different amount than currently reserved — favorable or unfavorable.
The amount by which current estimated losses differ from those estimated for a period at a prior valuation date is known as development. Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the levels at which they were reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable development of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.
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Our IBNR reserving process involves three steps: (1) an initial IBNR generation process that is prospective in nature, (2) a loss and LAE reserve estimation process that occurs retrospectively and (3) a subsequent discussion and reconciliation between our prospective and retrospective IBNR estimates, which includes changes in our provisions for IBNR where deemed appropriate.
Initial IBNR Generation Process
Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve generation process. The intent of this process is to establish an initial total reserve that will provide a reasonable provision for the ultimate value of all unpaid loss and ALAE liabilities. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and ALAE ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. The result is our best initial estimate of the expected amount of ultimate loss and ALAE for the period by product. Payments and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve.
For certain property products, we use an alternative method of determining an appropriate provision for initial IBNR. Since this segment is characterized by a shorter period of time between claim occurrence and claim settlement, the IBNR reserves are determined by IBNR percentages applied to premium earned. The percentages are determined based on expected loss ratios and loss development assumptions. The loss development assumptions are typically based on historical reporting patterns but could consider alternative sources of information. The IBNR percentages are reviewed and updated periodically. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. This alternative method of determining initial IBNR allows incurred losses and ALAE to react more rapidly to the actual emergence, and is more appropriate for our property products where final claim resolution occurs over a shorter period of time.
We do not reserve for natural or man-made catastrophes until an event has occurred. Shortly after such occurrence, we review insured locations exposed to the event and industry loss estimates of the event. We also consider our knowledge of frequency and severity from early claim reports to determine an appropriate reserve for the catastrophe. These reserves are reviewed frequently to consider actual losses reported and appropriate changes to our estimates are made to reflect the new information.
The initial loss and ALAE ratios that are applied to earned premium are reviewed at least semi-annually. Prospective estimates are made based on historical loss experience adjusted for exposure mix, price change and loss cost trends. The initial loss and ALAE ratios also reflect our judgment as to estimation risk. We consider estimation risk by product and coverage within product, if applicable. A product with greater volatility and uncertainty has greater estimation risk. Products or coverages with higher estimation risk include, but are not limited to, the following characteristics:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Significant changes in underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | A new business or one experiencing significant growth and/or high turnover, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Small volume or lacking internal data requiring significant utilization of external data, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Unique reinsurance features including those with aggregate stop-loss, reinstatement clauses, commutation provisions or clash protection, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Longer emergence patterns with exposures to latent unforeseen mass tort, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Assumed reinsurance businesses where there is an extended reporting lag and/or a heavier utilization of ceding company data and claims and product expertise, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | High severity and/or low frequency, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Operational processes undergoing significant change and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | High sensitivity to significant swings in loss trends, economic change or judicial change. |
The historical and prospective loss and ALAE estimates, along with the risks listed, are the basis for determining our initial and subsequent carried reserves. Adjustments in the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes and prevailing risk factors.
Loss and LAE Reserve Estimation Process
Estimates of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE are derived using standard actuarial methodologies on a quarterly basis. In addition, an emergence analysis is completed quarterly to determine if further adjustments are necessary. These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance.
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The process of estimating ultimate payment for claims and claim expenses begins with the collection and analysis of current and historical claim data. Data on individual reported claims, including paid amounts and individual claim adjuster estimates, are grouped by common characteristics. There is judgment involved in this grouping. Considerations when grouping data include the volume of the data available, the credibility of the data available, the homogeneity of the risks in each cohort and both settlement and payment pattern consistency. We use this data to determine historical claim reporting and payment patterns, which are used in the analysis of ultimate claim liabilities. In some analyses, including business without sufficiently large numbers of policies or that have not accumulated sufficient historical statistics, our own data is supplemented with external or industry average data as available and when appropriate. For liabilities arising out of directors and officers, management liability, workers’ compensation and medical errors and omissions exposures, we utilize external data extensively.
We also incorporate estimated losses relative to premium (loss ratios) by year into the analysis. The expected loss ratios are based on a review of historical loss performance, trends in frequency and severity and price level changes. The estimates are subject to judgment including consideration given to available internal and industry data, growth and policy turnover, changes in policy limits, changes in underlying policy provisions, changes in legal and regulatory interpretations of policy provisions and changes in reinsurance structure. For the most current year, these are equivalent with the ratios used in the initial IBNR generation process. Increased recognition is given to actual emergence as the years age.
We use historical development patterns, expected loss ratios and standard actuarial methods to derive an estimate of the ultimate level of loss and LAE payments necessary to settle all the claims occurring as of the end of the evaluation period.
Our reserve processes include multiple standard actuarial methods for determining estimates of IBNR reserves. Other supplementary methodologies are incorporated as necessary. Mass tort and latent liabilities are examples of exposures for which supplementary methodologies are used. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and assign weights to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed.
The methodologies we have chosen to incorporate are a function of data availability and are reflective of our own book of business. From time to time, we evaluate the need to add supplementary methodologies. New methods are incorporated if it is believed they improve the estimate of our ultimate loss and LAE liability. All of the actuarial methods eventually converge to the same estimate as an accident year matures. Our core methodologies are listed below with a short description and their relative strengths and weaknesses:
Paid Loss Development — Historical payment patterns for prior claims are used to estimate future payment patterns for current claims. These patterns are applied to current payments by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: The method reflects only the claim dollars that have been paid and is not subject to case-basis reserve changes or changes in case reserve practices.
Weaknesses: External claims environment changes can impact the rate at which claims are settled and losses paid (e.g. increase in attorney involvement or change in legal precedent). Adjustments to reflect changes in payment patterns on a prospective basis are difficult to quantify. For losses that have occurred recently, payments can be minimal and thus early estimates are subject to significant instability.
Incurred Loss Development — Historical case-incurred patterns (paid losses plus case reserves) for past claims are used to estimate future case-incurred amounts for current claims. These patterns are applied to current case-incurred losses by accident year to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Losses are reported more quickly than paid, therefore, the estimates stabilize sooner. The method reflects more information in the analysis than the paid loss development method.
Weaknesses: Method involves additional estimation risk if significant changes to case reserving practices have occurred.
Case Reserve Development — Patterns of historical development in reported losses relative to historical case reserves are determined. These patterns are applied to current case reserves by accident year and the result is combined with paid losses to yield an expected ultimate loss.
Strengths: Like the incurred development method, this method benefits from using the additional information available in case reserves that is not available from paid losses only. It also can provide a more reasonable estimate than other methods when the proportion of claims still open for an accident year is unusually high or low.
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Weaknesses: It is subject to the risk of changes in case reserving practices or philosophy. It may provide unstable estimates when an accident year is immature and more of the IBNR is expected to come from unreported claims rather than development on reported claims and when accident years are very mature with infrequent case reserves.
Expected Loss Ratio — Historical loss ratios, in combination with projections of frequency and severity trends, as well as estimates of price and exposure changes, are analyzed to produce an estimate of the expected loss ratio for each accident year. The expected loss ratio is then applied to the earned premium for each year to estimate the expected ultimate losses. The current accident year expected loss ratio is also the prospective loss and ALAE ratio used in our initial IBNR generation process.
Strengths: Reflects an estimate independent of how losses are emerging on either a paid or a case reserve basis. This method is particularly useful in the absence of historical development patterns or where losses take a long time to emerge.
Weaknesses: Ignores how losses are actually emerging and thus produces the same estimate of ultimate loss regardless of favorable/unfavorable emergence.
Paid and Incurred Bornhuetter/Ferguson (BF) — This approach blends the expected loss ratio method with either the paid or incurred loss development method. In effect, the BF methods produce weighted average indications for each accident year. As an example, if the current accident year for commercial automobile liability is estimated to be 20 percent paid, then the paid loss development method would receive a weight of 20 percent and the expected loss ratio method would receive an 80 percent weight. Over time, this method will converge with the ultimate estimated by the respective loss development method.
Strengths: Reflects actual emergence that is favorable/unfavorable, but assumes remaining emergence will continue as previously expected. Does not overreact to the early emergence (or lack of emergence) where patterns are most unstable.
Weaknesses: Could potentially understate favorable or unfavorable development by putting weight on the expected loss ratio.
In most cases, multiple estimation methods will be valid for the particular facts and circumstances of the claim liabilities being evaluated. Each estimation method has its own set of assumption variables and its own advantages and disadvantages, with no single estimation method being better than the others in all situations, and no one set of assumption variables being meaningful for all product line components. The relative strengths and weaknesses of the particular estimation methods, when applied to a particular group of claims, can also change over time. Therefore, the weight given to each estimation method will likely change by accident year and with each evaluation.
The actuarial central estimates typically follow a progression that places significant weight on the BF methods when accident years are younger and claim emergence is immature. As accident years mature and claims emerge over time, increasing weight is placed on the incurred development method, the paid development method and the case reserve development method. For product lines with faster loss emergence, the progression to greater weight on the incurred and paid development methods occurs more quickly.
For our long and medium-tail products, the BF methods are typically given the most weight for more evaluation periods than the short-tailed lines. These methods are also predominant for the first 12 months of evaluation for short-tail lines. Beyond these time periods, our actuaries apply their professional judgment when weighting the estimates from the various methods deployed, but place significant reliance on the expected stage of development in normal circumstances.
Judgment can supersede this natural progression if risk factors and assumptions change, or if a situation occurs that amplifies a particular strength or weakness of a methodology. Extreme projections are critically analyzed and may be adjusted, given less credence or discarded altogether. Internal documentation is maintained that records any substantial changes in methods or assumptions from one loss reserve study to another.
Our estimates of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are subject to change as additional data emerges. This could occur as a result of change in loss development patterns, a revision in expected loss ratios, the emergence of exceptional loss activity, a change in weightings between actuarial methods, the addition of new actuarial methodologies, new information that merits inclusion or the emergence of internal variables or external factors that would alter our view.
There is uncertainty in the estimates of ultimate losses. Significant risk factors to the reserve estimate include, but are not limited to, unforeseen or unquantifiable changes in:
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Loss payment patterns, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Loss reporting patterns, |
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| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Frequency and severity trends, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Underlying policy terms and conditions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Business or exposure mix, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Operational or internal processes affecting the timing of loss and LAE transactions, |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Regulatory and legal environment and/or |
| Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 |
|---|---|---|
| • | Economic environment. |
Our actuaries engage in discussions with senior management, underwriters and the claim department on a regular basis to ascertain any substantial changes in operations or other assumptions that are necessary to consider in the reserving analysis.
A considerable degree of judgment in the evaluation of all these factors is involved in the analysis of reserves. The human element in the application of judgment is unavoidable when faced with uncertainty. Different experts will choose different assumptions based on their individual backgrounds, professional experiences and areas of focus. Hence, the estimates selected by various qualified experts may differ significantly from each other. We consider this uncertainty by examining our historic reserve accuracy and through an internal and external review process.
Given the substantial impact of the reserve estimates on our financial statements, we subject the reserving process to significant diagnostic testing and reasonability checks. In addition, there are data validity checks and balances in our front-end processes. Data anomalies are researched and explained to reach a comfort level with the data and results. Leading indicators such as actual versus expected emergence and other diagnostics are also incorporated into the reserving processes.
Determination of Our Best Estimate
Our best estimate of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are proposed by our lead reserving actuary and then discussed and approved by our Loss Reserve Committee (LRC). The LRC is made up of various members of the management team including the lead reserving actuary, chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief legal officer and other selected executives. As part of the discussion with the LRC, the analysis supporting the actuarial central estimate of the IBNR reserve by product is reviewed. The actuaries also present explanations supporting any changes to the underlying assumptions used to calculate the indicated central estimate. A review of the resulting variance between the indicated reserves and the carried reserves takes place. Our actuaries make a recommendation to management in regards to booked reserves that reflect both their analytical assessment and relevant qualitative factors, such as their view of estimation risk. After discussion of these analyses, recommendations and all relevant risk factors, the LRC determines whether the reserve balances require adjustment. Resulting reserve balances have always fallen within our actuaries’ reasonable range of estimates.
As a predominantly excess and surplus lines and specialty admitted insurer serving niche markets, we believe we are subject to above-average variation in estimates and that this variation is not symmetrical around the actuarial central estimate.
One reason for the variation is the above-average policyholder turnover and changes in the underlying mix of exposures typical of an excess and surplus lines business. This constant change can cause estimates based on prior experience to be less reliable than estimates for more stable, admitted books of business. Also, as a niche market insurer, there is little industry-level information for direct comparisons of current and prior experience and other reserving parameters. These unknowns create greater-than-average variation in the actuarial central estimates.
Actuarial methods attempt to quantify future outcomes. However, insurance companies are subject to unique exposures that are difficult to foresee when coverage is initiated. Judicial and regulatory bodies involved in interpretation of insurance contracts have increasingly found opportunities to expand coverage beyond that which was intended or contemplated at the time the policy was issued. Many of these policies offer broad coverages (with named exclusion) and are issued on an occurrence basis. Claimants have at times sought coverage beyond the insurer’s original intent, including seeking to void or limit exclusionary language.
Because of the variation and the likelihood that there are unforeseen and under-quantified liabilities absent from the actuarial estimate, we believe there are circumstances where it is prudent to enhance our normal reserving process. Generally, these are circumstances where we have qualitative information and knowledge of increased risk, but those circumstances have not occurred within the history of our quantitative data. In these situations, we will rely on that qualitative information, usually from our claim team or underwriting staff, and make an enhancement to our normal process. In general, these enhancements will result in an increased overall reserve level compared to reserves based only on quantitative information. In the cases where these risks fail to materialize,
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favorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods. It is also possible that the risks materialize above the enhanced reserve level, in which case unfavorable loss development will likely occur in subsequent periods.
Our best estimate of loss and LAE reserves may change as a result of a revision in the actuarial central estimate, the actuary’s certainty in the estimates and processes and our overall view of the underlying risks. From time to time, we benchmark our reserving policies and procedures and refine them by adopting industry best practices where appropriate. A detailed, ground-up analysis of the reserve estimation risks associated with each of our products and segments, including an assessment of industry information, is performed annually. This information is used when determining management’s best estimate of booked reserves.
We do not use discounting (recognition of the time value of money) in reporting our estimated reserves for losses and settlement expenses.
Loss reserve estimates are subject to a high degree of variability due to the inherent uncertainty of ultimate settlement values. Periodic adjustments to these estimates will likely occur as the actual loss emergence reveals itself over time. Our loss reserving processes reflect accepted actuarial practices and our methodologies result in a reasonable provision for reserves as of December 31, 2021.
Reserve Sensitivities
There are three major parameters that have significant influence on our actuarial estimates of ultimate liabilities by product. They are the actual losses that are reported, the expected loss emergence pattern and the expected loss ratios used in the analyses. If the actual losses reported do not emerge as expected, it may cause the Company to challenge all or some of our previous assumptions. We may change expected loss emergence patterns, the expected loss ratios used in our analysis and/or the weights we place on a given actuarial method. The impact will be much greater and more leveraged for products with longer emergence patterns. Our general liability product is an example of a product with a relatively long emergence pattern. The following chart illustrates the sensitivity of our general liability reserve estimates to these key parameters. We believe the scenarios to be reasonable, as similar favorable variations have occurred in recent years. For example, our general liability emergence has ranged from 16 percent to 22 percent favorable and our management liability emergence has ranged from 34 percent adverse to 61 percent favorable over the last three years, while our overall emergence for all products combined has ranged from 27 percent to 33 percent favorable. The numbers below are the changes in estimated ultimate loss and ALAE in millions of dollars as of December 31, 2021, resulting from the change in the parameters shown. These parameters were applied to a general liability net loss and LAE reserve balance of $227.7 million, in addition to associated ULAE and latent liability reserves, at December 31, 2021.
| Result from favorable | Result from unfavorable | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | change in parameter | change in parameter | |||||
| +/-5 point change in expected loss ratio for all accident years | $ | (12.6 | ) | $ | 13.0 | ||
| +/-10% change in expected emergence patterns | $ | (5.9 | ) | $ | 6.0 | ||
| +/-30% change in actual loss emergence over a calendar year | $ | (8.0 | ) | $ | 8.4 | ||
| Simultaneous change in expected loss ratio (5pts), expected emergence patterns (10%) and actual loss emergence (30%). | $ | (26.6 | ) | $ | 27.4 |
There are often significant interrelationships between our reserving assumptions that have offsetting or compounding effects on the reserve estimate. Thus, in almost all cases, it is impossible to discretely measure the effect of a single assumption or construct a meaningful sensitivity expectation that holds true in all cases. The scenario above is representative of general liability, one of our largest and longest-tailed products. It is unlikely that all of our products would have variations as wide as illustrated in the example. It is also unlikely that all of our products would simultaneously experience favorable or unfavorable loss development in the same direction or at their extremes during a calendar year. Because our portfolio is made up of a diversified mix of products, there would ordinarily be some offsetting favorable and unfavorable emergence by product as actual losses start to emerge and our loss estimates become more reliable.
INVESTMENT VALUATION
Throughout each year, we and our investment managers buy and sell securities to achieve investment objectives in accordance with investment policies established and monitored by our board of directors and executive officers.
Equity securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded within net earnings. We classify our investments in fixed income securities into one of three categories: trading, held-to-maturity or available-for-sale. We do not hold any securities classified as trading or held-to-maturity. Available-for-sale securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses recorded as a component of comprehensive earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of deferred income taxes.
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Fair value is defined as the price in the principal market that would be received for an asset to facilitate an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. We determined the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.
RECOVERABILITY OF REINSURANCE BALANCES
Ceded unearned premiums and reinsurance balances recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve the Company of its liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and actively follow up on any past due or disputed amounts. As part of our monitoring efforts, we review their annual financial statements and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings for reinsurers that are publicly traded. We also review insurance industry developments that may impact the financial condition of our reinsurers. We analyze the credit risk associated with our reinsurance balances recoverable by monitoring the AM Best and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ratings of our reinsurers. Additionally, we perform an in-depth reinsurer financial condition analysis prior to the renewal of our reinsurance placements.
Once regulatory action (such as receivership, finding of insolvency, order of conservation or order of liquidation) is taken against a reinsurer, the paid and unpaid balance recoverable from the reinsurer are specifically identified and charged to earnings in the form of an allowance for uncollectible amounts. We subject our remaining reinsurance balances receivable to detailed recoverability tests, including a segment-based analysis using the average default rating percentage by S&P rating, and record an additional allowance for unrecoverable amounts from reinsurers. This credit allowance is reviewed on an ongoing basis to ensure that the amount makes a reasonable provision for reinsurance balances that we may be unable to recover.
DEFERRED POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS
We defer incremental direct costs that relate to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts, including commissions and premium taxes. Acquisition-related costs may be deemed ineligible for deferral when they are based on contingent or performance criteria beyond the basic acquisition of the insurance contract, or when efforts to obtain or renew the insurance contract are unsuccessful. All eligible costs are capitalized and charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value. This process contemplates the premiums to be earned, anticipated losses and settlement expenses and certain other costs expected to be incurred, but does not consider investment income. Judgments as to the ultimate recoverability of such deferred costs are reviewed on a segment basis and are highly dependent upon estimated future loss costs associated with the premiums written. This deferral methodology applies to both gross and ceded premiums and acquisition costs.
DEFERRED TAXES
We record deferred tax assets and liabilities to the extent that temporary differences between the tax basis and GAAP basis of an asset or liability result in future taxable or deductible amounts. Our deferred tax assets relate to expected future tax deductions arising from claim reserves and future taxable income related to changes in our unearned premium. We also have a significant amount of deferred tax liabilities from unrealized gains on the investment portfolio and deferred acquisition costs.
Periodically, management reviews our deferred tax positions to determine if it is more likely than not that the assets will be realized. These reviews include, among other things, the nature and amount of the taxable income and expense items, the expected timing of when assets will be used or liabilities will be required to be reported, as well as the reliability of historical profitability of businesses expected to provide future earnings. Furthermore, management considers tax planning strategies it can use to increase the likelihood that the tax assets will be realized. After conducting the periodic review, if management determines that the realization of the tax asset does not meet the more likely than not criteria, an offsetting valuation allowance is recorded, thereby reducing net earnings and the deferred tax asset in that period. In addition, management must make estimates of the tax rates expected to apply in the periods in which future taxable items are realized. Such estimates include determinations and judgments as to the expected manner in which certain temporary differences, including deferred amounts related to our equity method investment, will be recovered. These estimates enter into the determination of the applicable tax rates and are subject to change based on the circumstances.
We consider uncertainties in income taxes and recognize those in our financial statements as required. As it relates to uncertainties in income taxes, our unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalty accruals, are not considered material to the consolidated financial statements. Also, no tax uncertainties are expected to result in significant increases or decreases to unrecognized tax benefits within the next 12-month period. Penalties and interest related to income tax uncertainties, should they occur, would be included in income tax expense in the period in which they are incurred.
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Additional discussion of other significant accounting policies may be found in note 1 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
IMPACT OF COVID-19
Our processes and controls continue to operate effectively and we have been able to maintain the highest service and support levels possible for our customers throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. It is difficult to predict how and to what extent COVID-19, and its effects on the economy, will impact our revenues in the coming quarters. In 2020, the product line that experienced the greatest impact was public transportation. Many of our passenger transportation customers were unable to effectively operate under social-distancing protocols and stay-at-home orders. Although transportation premium was up from pre-pandemic levels in total in 2021, public transportation may continue to be challenged. Additionally, a number of our products support the construction industry, and revenues may be impacted if disruption in this sector does not continue to ease.
The loss exposure arising out of the spread of COVID-19 and the resulting shutdown will take time to resolve. We do not offer event cancellation, travel, trade credit or pandemic-related coverages, which would be more directly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The derivative implications that COVID-19 had on the economy may have negative implications on products that are correlated with the credit cycle, including, but not limited to, some of our surety and executive products offerings. Additionally, the professional services and executive product groups may be affected by claims made against companies who are reopening or returning to work.
Actuarial models base future emergence on historic experience, with adjustments for current trends, and the appropriateness of these assumptions involved greater uncertainty as of December 31, 2021. We expect there will be impacts to the timing of loss emergence and ultimate loss ratios for certain coverages. The industry experienced new issues, including the postponement of civil court cases, the extension of various statutes of limitations and changes in settlement trends. Our booked reserves include consideration of these factors, but the duration and degree to which these issues persist, along with potential legislative, regulatory or judicial actions, could result in loss reserve deficiencies and reduce earnings in future periods.
Investment yields decreased throughout 2020, which resulted in lower reinvestment rates through most of 2021. As investment yields rise, the fair value of the fixed income portfolio will decline, as we observed with our $58.9 million of after-tax other comprehensive loss during 2021.
We produced solid operating results in 2021 and our financial position remains strong. We generated $384.9 million of net operating cash inflows and believe we have sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months. Our revolving credit facility provides for a borrowing capacity of $60.0 million, which can be increased to $120.0 million under certain circumstances. Furthermore, our membership in the Federal Home Loan Bank system provides a secured lending facility with additional borrowing capacity.
Ultimately, the extent to which COVID-19 will affect our business will be influenced by its impact on the economy. We continue to evaluate all aspects of our operations and are making necessary adjustments to manage our business. Our diversified portfolio of products and financial strength have allowed us to remain on solid footing. We believe we have a strong and sustainable underwriting approach that will allow us to weather the economic environment and uncertainty we continue to experience.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2021 and 2020 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2021 and 2020. Discussions of 2019 items and year-to-year comparisons between 2020 and 2019 that are not included in this Form 10-K can be found in Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, incorporated herein by reference.
Consolidated revenue for 2021 increased $195.6 million from 2020. Net premiums earned for the Group increased 13 percent, driven by growth from our casualty and property segments, while performance in the equity portfolio also surpassed the return generated in 2020. Net investment income increased by 1 percent in 2021, primarily due to a larger asset base. Additionally, in the normal course of portfolio rebalancing, we recorded net realized gains on our investment portfolio in both 2021 and 2020.
| CONSOLIDATED REVENUE | Year ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
| Net premiums earned | $ | 980,903 | $ | 865,747 | |||
| Net investment income | 68,862 | 67,893 | |||||
| Net realized gains | 64,222 | 17,885 | |||||
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | 65,258 | 32,101 | |||||
| Total consolidated revenue | $ | 1,179,245 | $ | 983,626 |
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Net earnings for 2021 totaled $279.4 million, up from $157.1 million in 2020. Improved underwriting income was bolstered by an increase in unrealized gains on equity securities.
| NET EARNINGS | Year ended December 31, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Underwriting income | $ | 129,926 | $ | 69,597 | ||||
| Net investment income | 68,862 | 67,893 | ||||||
| Net realized gains | 64,222 | 17,885 | ||||||
| Net unrealized gains on equity securities | 65,258 | 32,101 | ||||||
| Interest expense on debt | (7,677 | ) | (7,603 | ) | ||||
| General corporate expenses | (13,330 | ) | (10,265 | ) | ||||
| Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees | 37,060 | 20,233 | ||||||
| Earnings before income taxes | $ | 344,321 | $ | 189,841 | ||||
| Income tax expense | (64,967 | ) | (32,750 | ) | ||||
| Net earnings | $ | 279,354 | $ | 157,091 |
UNDERWRITING RESULTS
Gross premiums written increased $210.9 million, or 19 percent, in 2021 when compared to 2020. Growth was achieved in all three segments, though the increase was driven by products in the casualty and property segments. Positive rate movement across most of the casualty and property portfolio and expanded distribution provided for growth opportunities in established lines. Net premiums earned increased $115.2 million, or 13 percent, in 2021 when compared to 2020.
Underwriting results for 2021 included $33.6 million of pretax losses and $0.4 million of reinstatement premium from hurricanes, as well as $25.0 million of other storm losses. Comparatively, 2020 included $51.5 million of pretax losses and $1.5 million of reinstatement premium from hurricanes, as well as $6.5 million of other storm and civil unrest losses. Additionally, $18.3 million of COVID-19 related loss and defense reserves were established in 2020. Results for each period benefited, however, from favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves, which provided additional pretax earnings of $125.5 million in 2021, compared to $101.1 million in 2020. Further discussion of reserve development can be found in note 6 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Incentive and profit-sharing amounts earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance including operating return on equity, combined ratio and Market Value Potential (MVP). MVP is a compensation model that measures components of comprehensive earnings against a minimum required return on capital. MVP is the primary measure of executive bonus achievement and a significant component of manager and associate incentive targets. Incentive and profit-sharing related expenses attributable to the favorable reserve developments totaled $18.3 million and $14.2 million for 2021 and 2020, respectively. These performance-related expenses impact policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses line items in the financial statements. Partially offsetting the 2021 and 2020 increases were $8.5 million and $11.2 million, respectively, in reductions to incentive and profit-sharing amounts earned due to losses associated with catastrophe activity, as well as the reserves that were established for COVID-19 in 2020.
In total, underwriting income was $129.9 million on an 86.8 combined ratio in 2021, compared to $69.6 million on a 92.0 combined ratio in 2020. The loss ratio was 46.5 in 2021, compared to 51.2 in 2020. The expense ratio decreased to 40.3 in 2021, from 40.8 in 2020. While higher levels of underwriting income and net earnings led to larger levels of bonus and profit-sharing expenses, the expense ratio declined as a result of a larger earned premium base.
We achieved our 26th consecutive year of underwriting profit in 2021. Our ability to continue to produce underwriting income, and to do so at margins which have consistently outperformed the broader industry, is a testament to our underwriters’ discipline throughout the insurance cycle and our continued commitment to underwriting for a profit. We believe our underwriting discipline can differentiate the Company from the broader insurance market by ensuring sound risk selection and appropriate pricing.
The following tables and narrative provide a more detailed look at individual segment performance over the last two years.
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GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN AND NET PREMIUMS EARNED
| Gross Premiums Written | Net Premiums Earned | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | % Change | 2021 | 2020 | % Change | ||||||||||||||||||||
| CASUALTY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial excess and personal umbrella | $ | 283,242 | $ | 237,239 | 19 | % | $ | 219,437 | $ | 178,214 | 23 | % | ||||||||||||||
| General liability | 99,017 | 94,307 | 5 | % | 90,853 | 91,653 | (1 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||||
| Professional services | 96,735 | 91,300 | 6 | % | 88,855 | 85,196 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial transportation | 106,432 | 63,345 | 68 | % | 83,352 | 64,624 | 29 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Small commercial | 68,475 | 65,843 | 4 | % | 64,660 | 63,357 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Executive products | 136,078 | 121,653 | 12 | % | 21,873 | 26,509 | (17 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||||
| Other casualty | 81,605 | 75,722 | 8 | % | 64,609 | 59,968 | 8 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total casualty | $ | 871,584 | $ | 749,409 | 16 | % | $ | 633,639 | $ | 569,521 | 11 | % | ||||||||||||||
| PROPERTY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial property | $ | 202,855 | $ | 145,371 | 40 | % | $ | 107,941 | $ | 79,406 | 36 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Marine | 112,721 | 98,027 | 15 | % | 97,745 | 81,852 | 19 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Specialty personal | 24,672 | 20,962 | 18 | % | 21,385 | 19,596 | 9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Other property | 7,618 | 4,409 | 73 | % | 4,766 | 2,866 | 66 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total property | $ | 347,866 | $ | 268,769 | 29 | % | $ | 231,837 | $ | 183,720 | 26 | % | ||||||||||||||
| SURETY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Miscellaneous | $ | 46,599 | $ | 43,174 | 8 | % | $ | 43,982 | $ | 42,292 | 4 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Commercial | 51,529 | 46,426 | 11 | % | 43,738 | 42,872 | 2 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Contract | 29,776 | 28,654 | 4 | % | 27,707 | 27,342 | 1 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total surety | $ | 127,904 | $ | 118,254 | 8 | % | $ | 115,427 | $ | 112,506 | 3 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Grand total | $ | 1,347,354 | $ | 1,136,432 | 19 | % | $ | 980,903 | $ | 865,747 | 13 | % |
Casualty
Gross premiums written for the casualty segment were up $122.2 million for 2021. Gross premiums from commercial excess and personal umbrella increased $46.0 million, due to rate increases and an expanded distribution base. Rate increases led to a 12 percent increase in premiums for our executive products group. Growth in the amount of business written by Prime, with whom we maintain a quota share reinsurance treaty, led to an increase in other casualty premium.
Commercial transportation was meaningfully affected by the stay-at-home orders associated with COVID-19, which resulted in a significant decrease in premium in 2020. Transportation premiums were up $43.1 million in 2021, when compared to 2020, and were up from pre-pandemic levels.
Property
Gross premiums written from our property segment were up $79.1 million in 2021. Our commercial property business was up $57.5 million, as rates on wind and earthquake exposures continued to increase, building valuations rose and market disruption provided an opportunity to increase market share. Rate increases and improved retention led to $14.7 million of growth for our marine product. Other property premium increased as a result of property-exposed GBA business that continued to gain scale.
Surety
Gross premiums written from our surety segment were up $9.7 million in 2021. The expansion of existing accounts and new business resulted in increased premium for commercial surety. The increase in miscellaneous surety premium is attributable to growth in existing programs and new opportunities from market disruption. Contract surety benefited from new construction opportunities.
| UNDERWRITING INCOME | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
| Casualty | $ | 95,519 | $ | 44,427 | ||||
| Property | 11,300 | (3,182 | ) | |||||
| Surety | 23,107 | 28,352 | ||||||
| Total | $ | 129,926 | $ | 69,597 |
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| COMBINED RATIO | 2021 | 2020 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casualty | 84.9 | 92.2 | |||||
| Property | 95.1 | 101.7 | |||||
| Surety | 80.0 | 74.8 | |||||
| Total | 86.8 | 92.0 |
Casualty
Underwriting income for the casualty segment was $95.5 million on an 84.9 combined ratio in 2021, compared to $44.4 million on a 92.2 combined ratio in 2020. The improvement is the result of increased favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves and improved current accident year performance.
Favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves contributed to underwriting earnings in each of the past two years. The total benefit from favorable development on prior years’ reserves was $108.6 million for 2021, which was experienced across accident years 2014 through 2020. Products which generated the majority of the favorable development include general liability, transportation, professional services, commercial excess and personal umbrella. No product experienced significant adverse development. Comparatively, results for the casualty segment in 2020 included favorable development of $75.1 million, with the bulk of the development attributable to transportation, general liability, commercial excess and professional services across accident years 2016 through 2019. Hurricane and storm losses on casualty-oriented package policies that include property coverage resulted in $4.1 million of losses in 2021. Comparatively, $4.4 million of hurricane losses were incurred in 2020 and $12.9 million of reserves were established for COVID-19 loss and defense costs on financial-related product lines.
The segment’s loss ratio was 49.2 in 2021, compared to 56.6 in 2020. The lower loss ratio in 2021 was due to the higher amounts of favorable development on prior years’ reserves. The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 35.7 in 2021, compared to 35.6 in 2020.
Property
Underwriting income from the property segment was $11.3 million on a 95.1 combined ratio in 2021, compared to $3.2 million of underwriting loss on a 101.7 combined ratio in 2020. Underwriting results for 2021 included $11.0 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss and catastrophe reserves, primarily from the marine business, $32.2 million of hurricane losses and $22.3 million of other storm losses. Comparatively, results for 2020 included $13.0 million of favorable development in prior years’ reserves, largely from marine, $5.0 million of storm and civil unrest losses and $2.0 million of reserves related to COVID-19 investigative and defense costs. Additionally, hurricane activity resulted in $47.2 million of losses and $1.5 million of ceded reinstatement premium.
A larger earned premium base resulted in higher levels of underwriting income as well as lower loss and expense ratios. The segment’s loss ratio was 56.0 in 2021, compared to 60.6 in 2020. Catastrophe losses added 24 points to the loss ratio in 2021, compared to 30 points of impact from catastrophe losses in 2020. The expense ratio for the property segment declined to 39.1 in 2021, from 41.1 in 2020.
Surety
Underwriting income for the surety segment totaled $23.1 million on an 80.0 combined ratio in 2021, compared to $28.4 million on a 74.8 combined ratio in 2020. Underwriting performance for each year reflects a combination of positive current accident year results and favorable development in prior accident years’ loss reserves. The current accident year combined ratio for each period has been in the low to mid 80s. Results for 2021 included favorable development on prior accident years’ reserves, which decreased loss and settlement expenses for the segment by $5.9 million. Comparatively, 2020 results included favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves, which decreased the segment’s loss and settlement expenses by $13.0 million, and offset $3.4 million in reserves established for COVID-19 related losses.
The segment’s loss ratio was 13.0 in 2021, compared to 8.4 in 2020. A decreased amount of favorable development on prior years’ reserves in 2021 led to a higher loss ratio. The expense ratio for the surety segment was 67.0 in 2021, compared to 66.4 in 2020.
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NET INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS
During 2021, net investment income increased by 1 percent. The increase was primarily due to a larger asset base. The average annual yields on our investments were as follows for 2021 and 2020:
| 2021 | 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRETAX YIELD | ||||||||||
| Taxable (on book value) | 2.76 | % | 3.10 | % | ||||||
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.63 | % | 2.69 | % | ||||||
| Equities (on fair value) | 2.07 | % | 2.33 | % | ||||||
| AFTER-TAX YIELD | ||||||||||
| Taxable (on book value) | 2.18 | % | 2.45 | % | ||||||
| Tax-exempt (on book value) | 2.49 | % | 2.55 | % | ||||||
| Equities (on fair value) | 1.80 | % | 2.02 | % |
The after-tax yield reflects the different tax rates applicable to each category of investment. Our taxable fixed income securities were subject to a corporate tax rate of 21.0 percent, our tax-exempt municipal securities were subject to a tax rate of 5.3 percent and our dividend income was generally subject to a tax rate of 13.1 percent. During 2021, the average after-tax yield on the taxable fixed income portfolio was 2.2 percent, a decrease from 2.5 percent in the prior year. The average after-tax yield on the tax-exempt portfolio declined slightly to 2.5 percent.
The fixed income portfolio increased by $213.3 million during the year, as the majority of operating cash flows were allocated to the fixed income portfolio. The tax-adjusted total return on a mark-to-market basis was -0.3 percent. Our equity portfolio increased by $89.8 million to $613.8 million in 2021 as a result of the strong equity market returns during the year. The total return for the year on the equity portfolio was 26.4 percent.
Our investment results for the last five years are shown in the following table:
| Tax | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-tax | Equivalent | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Annualized | Annualized | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Change in | Return on | Return on | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Average | Net | Unrealized | Avg. | Avg. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Invested | Investment | Net Realized | Appreciation | Invested | Invested | |||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | Assets (1) | Income (2)(3) | Gains (3) | (3)(4) | Assets | Assets | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | $ | 2,081,309 | $ | 54,876 | $ | 4,411 | $ | 53,719 | 5.4 | % | 5.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 2,167,510 | 62,085 | 63,407 | (140,513 | ) | (0.7 | ) | % | (0.6 | ) | % | |||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 2,377,295 | 68,870 | 17,520 | 161,848 | 10.4 | % | 10.5 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | 2,698,721 | 67,893 | 17,885 | 99,451 | 6.9 | % | 6.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 3,000,025 | 68,862 | 64,222 | (6,280 | ) | 4.2 | % | 4.3 | % | |||||||||||||||||
| 5-yr Avg. | $ | 2,464,972 | $ | 64,517 | $ | 33,489 | $ | 33,645 | 5.2 | % | 5.4 | % |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (1) | Average amounts at beginning and end of year (inclusive of cash and short-term investments). |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (2) | Investment income, net of investment expenses. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (3) | Before income taxes. |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| (4) | Relates to available-for-sale fixed income and equity securities. |
In 2021, we recognized $62.5 million in net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $1.9 million in net realized gains in the fixed income portfolio and $0.2 million in other net realized losses. In 2020, we recognized $15.8 million in net realized gains in the equity portfolio, $3.9 million in net realized gains in the fixed income portfolio and $1.8 million in other net realized losses.
INVESTMENTS
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio with a prudent mix of fixed income and risk assets. We continually monitor economic conditions, our capital position and the insurance market to determine our tactical allocation. As of December 31, 2021, the portfolio had a fair value of $3.2 billion, an increase of $325.9 million from the end of 2020.
We determined the fair value of certain financial instruments based on their underlying characteristics and relevant transactions in the marketplace. We maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair
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value. For additional information, see notes 1 and 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
As of December 31, 2021, our investment portfolio had the following asset allocation breakdown:
| Cost or | Unrealized | % of Total | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | Gain/(Loss) | Fair Value | Quality* | ||||||||||||||
| U. S. government | $ | 127,752 | $ | 134,554 | $ | 6,802 | 4.3 | % | AAA | ||||||||||
| U.S. agency | 30,403 | 32,760 | 2,357 | 1.0 | % | AAA | |||||||||||||
| Non-U.S. government & agency | 8,297 | 8,481 | 184 | 0.3 | % | BBB+ | |||||||||||||
| Agency MBS | 362,861 | 367,187 | 4,326 | 11.6 | % | AAA | |||||||||||||
| ABS/CMBS/MBS** | 264,273 | 264,054 | (219 | ) | 8.3 | % | AA | ||||||||||||
| Corporate | 925,394 | 957,095 | 31,701 | 30.3 | % | BBB+ | |||||||||||||
| Municipal | 627,287 | 645,756 | 18,469 | 20.4 | % | AA | |||||||||||||
| Total fixed income | $ | 2,346,267 | $ | 2,409,887 | $ | 63,620 | 76.2 | % | AA- | ||||||||||
| Equities | 324,501 | 613,776 | 289,275 | 19.4 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Other invested assets | 44,435 | 50,501 | 6,066 | 1.6 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Cash | 88,804 | 88,804 | — | 2.8 | % | ||||||||||||||
| Total portfolio | $ | 2,804,007 | $ | 3,162,968 | $ | 358,961 | 100.0 | % |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| * | Quality ratings provided by Moody’s, S&P and Fitch |
| Column 1 | Column 2 |
|---|---|
| ** | Non-agency asset-backed, commercial mortgage-backed and mortgage-backed securities |
Quality in the previous table and in all subsequent tables is an average of each bond’s credit rating, adjusted for its relative weighting in the portfolio.
Fixed income represented 76 percent of our total 2021 portfolio, down from 77 percent in 2020. As of December 31, 2021, the fair value of our fixed income portfolio consisted of 36 percent AAA-rated securities, 23 percent AA-rated securities, 20 percent A-rated securities, 13 percent BBB-rated securities and 8 percent non-investment grade or non-rated securities. This compares to 44 percent AAA-rated securities, 19 percent AA-rated securities, 21 percent A-rated securities, 10 percent BBB-rated securities and 6 percent non-investment grade or non-rated securities in 2020.
In selecting the maturity of securities in which we invest, we consider the relationship between the duration of our fixed income investments and the duration of our liabilities, including the expected ultimate payout patterns of our reserves. We believe that both liquidity and interest rate risk can be minimized by such asset/liability management. As of December 31, 2021, our fixed income portfolio’s duration was 5.0 years.
Consistent underwriting income allows a portion of our investment portfolio to be invested in equity securities and other risk asset classes. Equities comprised 19 percent of our total 2021 portfolio, the same as 2020. Securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index exchange traded funds (ETFs). Our actively managed equity strategy has a preference for dividend income and value oriented security selection with low turnover which minimizes transaction costs and taxes throughout our long investment horizon.
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FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
As of December 31, 2021, our fixed income portfolio had the following rating distributions:
| FAIR VALUE | Below | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (in thousands) | AAA | AA | A | BBB | Grade | No Rating | Fair Value | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Bonds: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| U.S. government & agency (GSE) | $ | 156,604 | $ | 10,710 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 167,314 | |||||||||||||
| Non-U.S. government & agency | — | — | 1,940 | 6,541 | — | 8,481 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate - industrial | 21,126 | 43,343 | 124,150 | 195,645 | 41,606 | — | 425,870 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate - financial | 3,133 | 38,750 | 215,804 | 68,119 | 11,370 | — | 337,176 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate - utilities | 1,281 | 1,039 | 28,909 | 30,443 | 4,246 | — | 65,918 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate industrial - private placements | — | — | 2,937 | 73,992 | 19,564 | 96,493 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate financial - private placements | — | — | 6,899 | 22,797 | 29,696 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate utilities - private placements | — | — | 784 | 1,158 | 1,942 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Municipal | 169,426 | 414,360 | 59,842 | — | — | 2,128 | 645,756 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Structured: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GSE - RMBS | 283,607 | — | — | — | — | — | 283,607 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Non-GSE RMBS | 62,488 | 16,009 | — | — | — | 78,497 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| CLO | 27,362 | 7,000 | — | — | — | — | 34,362 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ABS - credit cards | 567 | — | 21,289 | — | — | — | 21,856 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ABS - auto loans | 9,187 | 4,293 | 4,011 | — | — | 17,491 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| All other ABS/MBS | 21,381 | 7,430 | 18,813 | — | — | 8,632 | 56,256 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| GSE - CMBS | 83,580 | — | — | — | — | — | 83,580 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| CMBS | 38,435 | 3,647 | 13,510 | — | — | — | 55,592 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 878,177 | $ | 546,581 | $ | 488,268 | $ | 303,685 | $ | 138,897 | $ | 54,279 | $ | 2,409,887 |
Mortgage-Backed, Asset-Backed and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
We believe mortgage-backed securities (MBS), asset-backed securities (ABS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) add diversification, liquidity, credit quality and additional yield to our portfolio. The following table summarizes the distribution of our mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio by investment type, as of December 31:
| (in thousands) | Amortized Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | |||||||||||||
| Pass-throughs | $ | 187,456 | $ | 190,512 | 51.9 | % | |||||||
| Planned amortization class | 95,182 | 93,095 | 25.3 | % | |||||||||
| Sequential | 80,223 | 83,580 | 22.8 | % | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 362,861 | $ | 367,187 | 100.0 | % | |||||||
| 2020 | |||||||||||||
| Pass-throughs | $ | 220,516 | $ | 230,610 | 57.3 | % | |||||||
| Planned amortization class | 67,185 | 67,377 | 16.8 | % | |||||||||
| Sequential | 96,314 | 104,084 | 25.9 | % | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 384,015 | $ | 402,071 | 100.0 | % |
Agency MBS represented 15 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 18 percent as of December 31, 2020. Our objective for the agency MBS portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability where we are compensated for the call risk associated with residential refinancing. The agency MBS portfolio includes mortgage-backed pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMO), which include planned amortization classes (PACs) and sequential pay structures. As of December 31, 2021, all of the securities in our agency MBS portfolio were rated AAA and issued by Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) such as the Governmental National Mortgage Association (GNMA), Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC).
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Variability in the average life of principal repayment is an inherent risk of owning mortgage-related securities. However, we reduce our portfolio’s exposure to prepayment risk by seeking characteristics that tighten the probable scenarios for expected cash flows. As of December 31, 2021, the agency MBS portfolio contained 52 percent of pure pass-throughs, compared to 57 percent as of December 31, 2020. An additional 23 percent of the MBS portfolio was invested in sequential payer, down from 26 percent in 2020.
The following table summarizes the distribution of our asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities portfolio as of December 31:
| Amortized | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||
| 2021 | |||||||||||||
| Non-GSE RMBS | $ | 79,281 | $ | 78,497 | 29.7 | % | |||||||
| CMBS | 55,293 | 55,592 | 21.1 | % | |||||||||
| CLO | 34,305 | 34,362 | 13.0 | % | |||||||||
| Equipment | 22,134 | 21,856 | 8.3 | % | |||||||||
| Auto | 17,401 | 17,491 | 6.6 | % | |||||||||
| Consumers | 12,242 | 12,442 | 4.7 | % | |||||||||
| Railcars | 10,066 | 10,037 | 3.8 | % | |||||||||
| Credit card | 4,919 | 5,135 | 1.9 | % | |||||||||
| Other | 28,632 | 28,642 | 10.8 | % | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 264,273 | $ | 264,054 | 100.0 | % | |||||||
| 2020 | |||||||||||||
| Non-GSE RMBS | $ | 54,271 | $ | 55,074 | 25.2 | % | |||||||
| CMBS | 23,927 | 25,941 | 11.9 | % | |||||||||
| CLO | 39,315 | 39,244 | 18.0 | % | |||||||||
| Equipment | 9,348 | 9,448 | 4.3 | % | |||||||||
| Auto | 28,093 | 28,739 | 13.2 | % | |||||||||
| Consumers | 6,502 | 6,912 | 3.2 | % | |||||||||
| Railcars | 3,601 | 3,741 | 1.7 | % | |||||||||
| Credit card | 24,218 | 24,746 | 11.3 | % | |||||||||
| Other | 23,948 | 24,528 | 11.2 | % | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 213,223 | $ | 218,373 | 100.0 | % |
An ABS, CMBS or non-agency residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) is a securitization collateralized by the cash flows from a specific pool of underlying assets. These asset pools can include items such as credit card payments, auto loans, structured bank loans in the form of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and residential or commercial mortgages. As of December 31, 2021, ABS/CMBS/RMBS investments were 11 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 10 percent as of December 31, 2020. Sixty percent of the securities in the ABS/CMBS/RMBS portfolio were rated AAA as of December 31, 2021, while 97 percent were rated A or better. We believe that ABS/CMBS investments often add superior cash flow stability over mortgage pass-throughs or CMOs.
When making investments in MBS/ABS/CMBS, we evaluate the quality of the underlying collateral, the structure of the transaction, which dictates how any losses in the underlying collateral will be distributed, and prepayment risks. We had $7.3 million in unrealized losses in these asset classes as of December 31, 2021.
Municipal Fixed Income Securities
As of December 31, 2021, municipal bonds composed 27 percent of our fixed income portfolio, compared to 24 percent as of December 31, 2020. We believe municipal fixed income securities can provide diversification and additional tax-advantaged yield to our portfolio. Our objective for the municipal fixed income portfolio is to provide reasonable cash flow stability and increased after-tax yield.
Our municipal fixed income portfolio is comprised of general obligation (GO) and revenue securities. The revenue sources include sectors such as sewer and water, public improvement, school, transportation and colleges and universities. As of December 31, 2021, approximately 48 percent of the municipal fixed income securities in the investment portfolio were GO and the remaining 52 percent were revenue based. The municipal portfolio is diversified amongst 336 issues with the largest single issuer representing less than 1 percent of invested assets.
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Ninety percent of our municipal fixed income securities were rated AA or better, while 99 percent were rated A or better. The municipal portfolio includes 55 percent taxable and 45 percent tax-exempt securities.
Corporate Debt Securities
As of December 31, 2021, our corporate debt portfolio comprised 40 percent of the fixed income portfolio, compared to 37 percent as of December 31, 2020. The corporate allocation includes floating rate bank loans and bonds that are below investment grade in credit quality and offer incremental yield over our core fixed income portfolio. Non-investment grade bonds totaled $123.4 while non-rated Regulation D securities totaled $43.5 million at the end of 2021. The corporate debt portfolio has an overall quality rating of BBB+ diversified among 776 issues.
The table below illustrates our corporate debt exposure as of December 31, 2021. Private placements include bank loan and Regulation D securities.
| Amortized | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Cost | Fair Value | % of Total | ||||||||||
| Bonds: | |||||||||||||
| Corporate - industrial | $ | 409,056 | $ | 425,870 | 44.5 | % | |||||||
| Corporate - financial | 324,652 | 337,176 | 35.2 | % | |||||||||
| Corporate - utilities | 63,913 | 65,918 | 6.9 | % | |||||||||
| Corporate industrial - private placements | 96,056 | 96,493 | 10.1 | % | |||||||||
| Corporate financial - private placements | 29,830 | 29,696 | 3.1 | % | |||||||||
| Corporate utilities - private placements | 1,887 | 1,942 | 0.2 | % | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 925,394 | $ | 957,095 | 100.0 | % |
We believe corporate debt investments add diversification and additional yield to our portfolio. Because corporates make up a large portion of the fixed income opportunity set, the corporate debt investments will continue to be a significant part of our investment program.
EQUITY SECURITIES
As of December 31, 2021, our equity portfolio comprised 19 percent of the investment portfolio, the same as the previous year. The securities within the equity portfolio are well diversified and are primarily invested in broad index ETFs that represent market indexes similar to the Russell 1000 Index, Russell 3000 Index, S&P 500 Index and S&P 600 Index. The ETF portfolio is congruent with the actively managed equity portfolios and solves for exposures that line up with our overall benchmark index, the Russell 3000. In total, the equity portfolio is comprised of 87 securities with the largest single company exposure representing less than 1 percent of invested assets.
INTEREST AND GENERAL CORPORATE EXPENSE
We incurred $7.7 million of interest expense on outstanding debt during 2021 and $7.6 million in 2020. At December 31, 2021 and 2020, our long-term debt consisted of $150.0 million in senior notes maturing September 15, 2023 and paying interest semi-annually at a rate of 4.875 percent. Additionally, RLI Ins. borrowed $50.0 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago on November 10, 2021. The borrowing matures on November 10, 2023 and interest is paid monthly at an annualized rate of 0.84 percent.
As discussed previously, general corporate expenses tend to fluctuate relative to our incentive compensation plans. Our compensation model measures components of comprehensive earnings against a minimum required return on our capital. Bonuses are earned as we generate earnings in excess of this required return. In 2021 and 2020, we exceeded the required return, resulting in the accrual of executive bonuses. Increased levels of net earnings in 2021 resulted in higher variable compensation earned than in 2020.
INVESTEE EARNINGS
We maintain a 40 percent equity interest in Maui Jim, a manufacturer of high-quality sunglasses. As a private company, the market for Maui Jim’s stock is limited. Our investment in Maui Jim is carried at the RLI Corp. holding company level, as it is not core to our insurance operations. While we have certain rights under our shareholder agreement with Maui Jim as a minority shareholder, we are subject to the decisions of the controlling shareholder, which may impact the value of our investment. In 2021, we recorded $22.8 million in earnings from this investment, compared to $10.4 million in 2020. Sales recovered from the shutdown the traditional retail sector experienced during 2020.
As of December 31, 2021, we had a 23 percent interest in the equity and earnings of Prime. Prime writes business through two Illinois domiciled insurance carriers, Prime Insurance Company, an excess and surplus lines company, and Prime Property and
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Casualty Insurance Inc., an admitted insurance company. As a private company, the market for Prime’s stock is limited. While we have certain rights under our shareholder agreement, we are subject to the decisions of the controlling shareholder, which may impact the value of our investment. In 2021, we recorded $17.0 million in investee earnings for Prime, compared to $10.8 million in 2020, reflective of their growth in revenue. Additionally, we maintain a quota share reinsurance treaty with Prime, which contributed $22.2 million of gross premiums written and $19.1 million of net premiums earned during 2021, compared to $15.7 million of gross premiums written and $14.3 million of net premiums earned during 2020.
We did not receive a dividend from our equity method investments in 2021, but received a dividend from Prime in 2020. Dividends from Maui Jim and Prime have been irregular in nature and while they provide added liquidity when received, we do not rely on those dividends to meet our liquidity needs. While these dividends do not flow through the investee earnings line, they do result in the recognition of a tax benefit, which is discussed in the income tax section that follows.
INCOME TAXES
Our effective tax rates were 18.9 percent and 17.3 percent for 2021 and 2020, respectively. Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings, which is impacted by the volatility of unrealized gains and losses, and the related tax effects. The effective rate was higher in 2021 due to higher levels of pretax earnings, which decreased the impact of tax-favored adjustments on a percentage basis.
Our net earnings include equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees, Maui Jim and Prime. The investees do not have a policy or pattern of paying dividends. As a result, we record a deferred tax liability on the earnings at the corporate capital gains rate of 21 percent in anticipation of recovering our investments through means other than through the receipt of dividends, such as a sale. We received a $4.7 million dividend from Prime in 2020 and recognized a $0.5 million tax benefit from applying the lower tax rate applicable to affiliated dividends paid to an insurance company (10.8 percent in 2020), as compared to the corporate capital gains rate on which the deferred tax liabilities were based. Standing alone, the dividend resulted in a 0.2 percent reduction to the 2020 effective tax rate. No dividends were declared from unconsolidated investees in 2021, therefore having no impact to the 2021 effective tax rate.
Dividends paid to our Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) also result in a tax deduction. Dividends paid to the ESOP in 2021 and 2020 resulted in tax benefits of $1.6 million and $1.1 million, respectively. These tax benefits reduced the effective tax rate for 2021 and 2020 by 0.5 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively.
NET UNPAID LOSSES AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSES
The primary liability on our balance sheet relates to unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which represents our estimated liability for losses and related settlement expenses before considering offsetting reinsurance balances recoverable. The largest asset on our balance sheet, outside of investments, is the reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses, which serves to offset this liability. The liability can be split into two parts: (1) case reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on known claims and (2) IBNR reserves representing estimates of losses and settlement expenses on claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to the Company. Our gross liability for both case and IBNR reserves is reduced by reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expenses to calculate our net reserve balance. This net reserve balance increased to $1.4 billion at December 31, 2021, from $1.3 billion as of December 31, 2020. This reflects incurred losses of $456.6 million in 2021 offset by paid losses of $327.5 million, compared to incurred losses of $442.9 million offset by $325.1 million paid in 2020. For more information on the changes in loss and LAE reserves by segment, see note 6 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
Gross reserves (liability) and the reinsurance balances recoverable (asset) are generally subject to the same influences that affect net reserves, though changes to our reinsurance agreements can cause reinsurance balances recoverable to behave differently. Total gross loss and LAE reserves increased to $2.0 billion at December 31, 2021, from $1.8 billion at December 31, 2020, while ceded loss and LAE reserves increased to $608.1 million from $443.7 million over the same period.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
OVERVIEW
We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) operating cash flows, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) investing cash flows related to the purchase, sale and
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maturity of investments and (3) financing cash flows that impact our capital structure, such as changes in debt, issuance of common stock and dividend payments. The following table summarizes these three cash flows over the last two years:
| (in thousands) | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flows | $ | 384,905 | $ | 263,259 | ||||
| Investing cash flows (uses) | (274,826 | ) | (167,987 | ) | ||||
| Financing cash flows (uses) | (83,492 | ) | (79,258 | ) |
We have posted positive operating cash flow in the last two years. Variations in operating cash flow between periods are largely driven by the volume and timing of premium receipt, claim payments, reinsurance and taxes. In addition, fluctuations in insurance operating expenses impact operating cash flow. During 2021, the majority of cash flow uses were related to financing and investing activities and associated with the payments of dividends and net purchases of investments, respectively.
We have entered into certain contractual obligations that require the Company to make recurring payments. The following table summarizes our contractual obligations as of December 31, 2021:
| Payments due by period | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in thousands) | Less than 1 year | 1-3 years | 3-5 years | More than 5 years | Total | ||||||||||||||
| Loss and settlement expense reserves | $ | 580,730 | $ | 735,027 | $ | 391,900 | $ | 335,898 | $ | 2,043,555 | |||||||||
| Long-term debt | — | 200,000 | — | — | 200,000 | ||||||||||||||
| Interest on long-term debt | 7,733 | 5,546 | — | — | 13,279 | ||||||||||||||
| Operating leases | 5,353 | 7,670 | 2,365 | 2,283 | 17,671 | ||||||||||||||
| Other invested assets and equity method investees | 13,135 | 6,762 | 131 | 103 | 20,131 | ||||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 606,951 | $ | 955,005 | $ | 394,396 | $ | 338,284 | $ | 2,294,636 |
Loss and settlement expense reserves represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling reported and unreported claims and related expenses. As discussed previously, the estimation of loss and loss expense reserves is based on various complex and subjective judgments. Actual losses and settlement expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements. Similarly, the timing for payment of our estimated losses is not fixed and is not determinable on an individual or aggregate basis. The assumptions used in estimating the payments due by periods are based on our historical claims payment experience. Due to the uncertainty inherent in the process of estimating the timing of such payments, there is a risk that the amounts paid in any period can be significantly different than the amounts disclosed above. Amounts disclosed above are gross of anticipated amounts recoverable from reinsurers. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves are reported separately as assets, instead of being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not discharge the Company of our liability to policyholders. Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid loss and settlement reserves totaled $608.1 million at December 31, 2021, compared to $443.7 million in 2020.
The next largest contractual obligation relates to long-term debt outstanding. On October 2, 2013, we completed a public debt offering of $150.0 million in senior notes maturing September 15, 2023, (a 10-year maturity) and paying interest semi-annually at the rate of 4.875 percent. The notes were issued at a discount resulting in proceeds, net of discount and commission, of $148.6 million. Additionally, RLI Ins. borrowed $50.0 million from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago on November 10, 2021. The borrowing matures on November 10, 2023 and has an option to pay off the debt early on November 10, 2022. Interest is paid monthly at an annualized rate of 0.84 percent. We are not party to any off-balance sheet arrangements. See note 4 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for more information on our long-term debt. Additionally, see note 2 to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data for information on our obligations for other invested assets.
Our primary objective in managing our capital is to preserve and grow shareholders’ equity and statutory surplus to improve our competitive position and allow for expansion of our insurance operations. Our insurance subsidiaries must maintain certain minimum capital levels in order to meet the requirements of the states in which we are regulated. Our insurance companies are also evaluated by rating agencies that assign financial strength ratings that measure our ability to meet our obligations to policyholders over an extended period of time.
We have historically grown our total capital as a result of three sources of funds: (1) earnings on underwriting and investing activities, (2) appreciation in the value of our investments and (3) the issuance of common stock and debt.
At December 31, 2021, we had cash, short-term investments and other investments maturing within one year of approximately $146.9 million and an additional $672.9 million of investments maturing between 1 to 5 years. We maintain a revolving line of credit with Bank of Montreal, Chicago Branch, which permits us to borrow up to an aggregate principal amount of $60.0 million. Under certain conditions, the line may be increased up to an aggregate principal amount of $120.0 million. The facility has a three-year term
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that expires on March 27, 2023. This facility replaced the previous $50.0 million facility with JP Morgan Chase Bank N.A., which was set to expire on May 24, 2020. As of and during the year ended December 31, 2021, no amounts were outstanding on these facilities.
Additionally, two of our insurance companies, RLI Ins. and Mt. Hawley, are members of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago (FHLBC). Membership in the Federal Home Loan Bank system provides both companies with access to an additional source of liquidity via a secured lending facility. Based on qualifying assets and the $50.0 million borrowing outstanding at year-end, additional aggregate borrowing capacity is approximately $14.9 million. However, under certain circumstances, that capacity may be increased based on additional FHLBC stock purchased and available collateral. Our membership allows each insurance subsidiary to determine tenor and structure at the time of borrowing.
We believe that cash generated by operations, cash generated by investments and cash available from financing activities will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months. We have consistently generated positive operating cash flow. The primary factor in our ability to generate positive operating cash flow is underwriting profitability, which we have achieved for 26 consecutive years.
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from operating activities:
| Sources | Uses | |
|---|---|---|
| Premiums received | Claims | |
| Loss payments from reinsurers | Ceded premium to reinsurers | |
| Investment income (interest and dividends) | Commissions paid | |
| Unconsolidated investee dividends from affiliates | Operating expenses | |
| Funds held | Interest expense | |
| Income taxes | ||
| Funds held |
Our largest source of cash is from premiums received from our customers, which we receive at the beginning of the coverage period for most policies. Our largest cash outflow is for claims that arise when a policyholder incurs an insured loss. Because the payment of claims occurs after the receipt of the premium, often years later, we invest the cash in various investment securities that earn interest and dividends. We use cash to pay commissions to brokers and agents, as well as to pay for ongoing operating expenses such as salaries, rent, taxes and interest expense. We also utilize reinsurance to manage the risk that we take on our policies. We cede, or pay out, part of the premiums we receive to our reinsurers and collect cash back when losses subject to our reinsurance coverage are paid.
The timing of our cash flows from operating activities can vary among periods due to the timing by which payments are made or received. Some of our payments and receipts, including loss settlements and subsequent reinsurance receipts, can be significant, so their timing can influence cash flows from operating activities in any given period. We are subject to the risk of incurring significant losses on catastrophes, both natural (such as earthquakes and hurricanes) and man-made (such as terrorism). If we were to incur such losses, we would have to make significant claims payments in a relatively concentrated period of time.
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from investing activities:
| Sources | Uses | |
|---|---|---|
| Proceeds from sale, call or maturity of bonds | Purchase of bonds | |
| Proceeds from sale of stocks | Purchase of stocks | |
| Proceeds from sale of other invested assets | Purchase of other invested assets | |
| Acquisitions | ||
| Purchase of property and equipment |
We maintain a diversified investment portfolio representing policyholder funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our shareholders. As of December 31, 2021, our portfolio had a carrying value of $3.2 billion. Portfolio assets at December 31, 2021, increased by $325.9 million, or 11 percent, from December 31, 2020.
Our overall investment philosophy is designed to first protect policyholders by maintaining sufficient funds to meet corporate and policyholder obligations and then generate long-term growth in shareholders’ equity. Because our existing and projected liabilities
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are sufficiently funded by the fixed income portfolio, we can improve returns by investing a portion of the surplus (within limits) in a risk assets portfolio largely made up of equities. As of December 31, 2021, 50 percent of our shareholders’ equity was invested in equities, an increase from 46 percent at December 31, 2020.
The fixed income portfolio is structured to meet policyholder obligations and optimize the generation of after-tax investment income and total return.
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
In addition to the previously discussed operating and investing activities, we also engage in financing activities to manage our capital structure. The following list highlights some of the major sources and uses of cash flow from financing activities:
| Sources | Uses | |
|---|---|---|
| Proceeds from stock offerings | Shareholder dividends | |
| Proceeds from debt offerings | Debt repayment | |
| Short-term borrowing | Share buy-backs | |
| Shares issued under stock option plans |
Our capital structure is comprised of equity and debt obligations. As of December 31, 2021, our capital structure consisted of $199.7 million in long-term debt and $1.2 billion of shareholders’ equity. Debt outstanding comprised 14 percent of total capital as of December 31, 2021.
At the holding company (RLI Corp.) level, we rely largely on dividends from our insurance company subsidiaries to meet our obligations for paying principal and interest on outstanding debt, corporate expenses and dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. As discussed further below, dividend payments to RLI Corp. from our principal insurance subsidiary are restricted by state insurance laws as to the amount that may be paid without prior approval of the insurance regulatory authorities of Illinois. As a result, we may not be able to receive dividends from such subsidiary at times and in amounts necessary to pay desired dividends to RLI Corp. shareholders. On a GAAP basis, as of December 31, 2021, our holding company had $1.2 billion in equity. This includes amounts related to the equity of our insurance subsidiaries, which is subject to regulatory restrictions under state insurance laws. The unrestricted portion of holding company net assets is comprised primarily of investments and cash, including $87.9 million in liquid investment assets, which exceeds our normal annual holding company expenditures. Unrestricted funds at the holding company level are available to fund debt interest, general corporate obligations and regular dividend payments to our shareholders. If necessary, the holding company also has other potential sources of liquidity that could provide for additional funding to meet corporate obligations or pay shareholder dividends, which include a revolving line of credit, as well as access to the capital markets.
Ordinary dividends, which may be paid by our principal insurance subsidiary without prior regulatory approval, are subject to certain limitations based upon statutory income, surplus and earned surplus. The maximum ordinary dividend distribution from our principal insurance subsidiary in a rolling 12-month period is limited by Illinois law to the greater of 10 percent of RLI Ins. policyholder surplus, as of December 31 of the preceding year, or the net income of RLI Ins. for the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year. Ordinary dividends are further restricted by the requirement that they be paid from earned surplus. In 2021 and 2020, our principal insurance subsidiary paid ordinary dividends totaling $70.0 million and $110.0 million, respectively, to RLI Corp. Any dividend distribution in excess of the ordinary dividend limits is deemed extraordinary and requires prior approval from the IDOI. In 2021, our principal insurance subsidiary sought and received regulatory approval prior to the payment of extraordinary dividends totaling $110.0 million. No extraordinary dividends were paid in 2020. As of December 31, 2021, $26.1 million of the net assets of our principal insurance subsidiary are not restricted and could be distributed to RLI Corp. as ordinary dividends. Because the limitations are based upon a rolling 12-month period, the amount and impact of these restrictions vary over time. In addition to restrictions from our principal subsidiary’s insurance regulator, we also consider internal models and how capital adequacy is defined by our rating agencies in determining amounts available for distribution.
Our 183rd consecutive dividend payment was declared in February 2022 and will be paid on March 18, 2022, in the amount of $0.25 per share. Since the inception of cash dividends in 1976, we have increased our annual dividend every year.
OUTLOOK FOR 2022
The pandemic’s impact on the industry was more moderate in 2021, and it was a year of transition, with broad-based momentum fueling growth across most business lines. The current hard market cycle is being sustained by several factors, including: resurgent core inflation, significant catastrophe activity, continued low interest rates and higher reinsurance costs. Market participants are acting rationally by reducing capacity in more volatile segments and the persistent uncertainty of the frequency and severity of losses remains, especially for longer tailed exposures. Our diverse portfolio of specialty products and focus on surplus lines has afforded us the flexibility to meet the needs of insureds and navigate changing market environments.
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GDP growth should be a foundation for our industry over time, with commercial coverages expanding alongside the economy. The property and casualty industry is expected to exceed GDP growth, as market conditions continue to make up for the soft cycle in the mid-2010s. With positive rate increases entering a third or fourth year, the compounding effects for our industry are significant, and likely a reason that many carriers are citing rate in excess of loss costs. Growth through positive rate momentum should benefit industry loss ratios, and scale is an important contributor to helping absorb the fixed costs of embedded expenses.
RLI experienced a transition in 2021 as well, with leadership changes that ushered in Craig Kliethermes as Chief Executive Officer, the third such conferment in our 56-year history. For RLI however, a change in leadership does not mean a change in philosophy and our underwriting discipline remains a cornerstone of our ownership culture.
Our underwriting team continues to focus on improving the experience with our distribution partners, making it easier and more efficient for brokers and agents to do business with us. We recognize the importance of maintaining strong personal relationships with producers, especially in light of significant consolidation among our distribution partners and the virtual nature of today’s business interactions. As we invest in technology to enhance the submission and binding of new business, we would expect written premium to increase alongside expenses. We anticipate that this would minimize any increase, and should eventually result in a decrease, to our expense ratio.
Capital markets were rational in 2021, with accommodative monetary policy and fiscal stimulus supporting asset prices and consumers respectively. The prospect of continued inflation will likely require the Federal Reserve to change course in 2022, an expectation that led to higher bond yields at year-end. We anticipate that yields will continue to move up throughout 2022, which will offer support to investment income, especially when coupled with a larger invested asset base. As of February 2022, equity prices may be in a transition of their own, as tighter financial conditions and a higher discount rate may impact future earnings. Absent a recession, those earnings should be supportive over the long term, but we expect bouts of volatility in the new year.
The economy is stable with strong demand for labor, household balance sheets in a de-levered state and consumers poised to re-engage the service sector as the country continues to re-open. Supply chain issues, labor shortages and inflation in the cost of materials may offer a challenging backdrop for industries like construction, where activity might be stunted. About one third of RLI’s business lines touch the construction industry, and we are watching the trends in this market closely.
CASUALTY
The casualty segment remains highly influenced by long term trends, inflation and the prospect for increasing damage awards for liability losses. We have seen continued momentum in rates across nearly all casualty businesses, a trend we expect to continue into 2022. The growth rate was particularly robust for our transportation and personal umbrella products in 2021, but is expected to be more temperate and closer to the growth rate of the rest of our casualty business moving forward. Supportive environments will depend on the broader capacity for risk transfer from the industry and the cadence and magnitude of loss activity. Economic activity can be correlated with more frequent losses, especially for commercial auto coverages, and we expect this trend to play out over the course of the year. Social inflation has been less prominent in recent quarters, but we are watchful for resurgent influence on court outcomes. We believe our balance sheet and underwriting model have the strength and flexibility to navigate the nuanced nature of the casualty business and growth should continue for most lines in 2022.
PROPERTY
The industry has experienced elevated property losses, with significant levels of catastrophe activity in the last several years. This has restrained some capacity and created opportunity for RLI to continue growing. Reinsurance cost increases, wage and materials inflation, and rising building valuations have increased the probability of continued growth and rate improvement into 2022. Storm activity will be the primary driver of profitability in the near term. The industry will continue to evaluate the impacts of climate change on the frequency and severity of weather-based events. However, our approach of mitigating climate and catastrophe-related risks through aggregation management, reinsurance and pricing will remain unchanged.
SURETY
In 2021, our surety business experienced meaningful growth, largely attributable to investments in technology and a growing economy. Several recession-related industry losses resulted in disruption to the market, allowing for greater opportunity in the commercial space. In contrast, smaller miscellaneous exposure remains very competitive and we expect continued demand for higher commissions in this market segment over the course of the next year. The construction industry is a large part of our surety business, and labor and materials shortages are significantly impacting the market. As the economy normalizes, these constraints should improve and we anticipate continued growth will occur.
***
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We marked our 26th consecutive year of underwriting profitability in 2021. The consistent results and value that we have delivered to our stakeholders is directly correlated to our customer focus, hallmark underwriting discipline and ownership culture. We believe this is a market we can thrive in, as rates are still moving up broadly. Achieving strong results for 2022 will require deep expertise and knowledge of the markets and insured that we serve. We believe the strong collaboration between our underwriters, claims and analytical teams will result in risk selection advantages in our favor.
PROSPECTIVE ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
Prospective accounting standards are those which we have not implemented because the implementation date has not yet occurred. For a discussion of relevant prospective accounting standards, see note 1.D. to the consolidated financial statements within Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.
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