HBT Financial, Inc. (HBT) FY 2024 MD&A

ITEM 7.    MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Unless the context requires otherwise, references in this report to the “Company,” “we,” “us” and “our” refer to HBT Financial, Inc. and its subsidiaries.

Management’s discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the following parts of this Annual Report on Form 10-K: Part I, Item 1 “Business”, Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”, and Part II, Item 8 “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data”. Detailed discussion and analysis of the financial condition and results of operation for 2024 as compared to 2023 can be found below. Detailed discussion and analysis of the financial condition and results of operation for 2023 as compared to 2022 can be found in Part II, Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, under the caption “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.”

OVERVIEW

HBT Financial, Inc., headquartered in Bloomington, Illinois, is the holding company for Heartland Bank and Trust Company, and has banking roots that can be traced back to 1920. We provide a comprehensive suite of financial products and services to consumers, businesses, and municipal entities throughout Illinois and eastern Iowa. As of December 31, 2024, the Company had total assets of $5.0 billion, loans held for investment of $3.5 billion, and total deposits of $4.3 billion.

Market Area

As of December 31, 2024, our branch network included 66 full-service branch locations throughout Illinois and eastern Iowa. We hold a leading deposit share in many of our central Illinois markets, which we define as a top three deposit share rank, providing the foundation for our strong deposit base. The stability provided by this low-cost funding is a key driver of our strong track record of financial performance. Below is a summary of our loan and deposit balances by geographic region:

Town and Country Financial Corporation Acquisition

On February 1, 2023, HBT Financial completed its acquisition of Town and Country, the holding company for Town and Country Bank. The acquisition of Town and Country further enhanced HBT Financial’s footprint in central Illinois and expanded our footprint into metro-east St. Louis. At the time of acquisition, Town and Country Bank operated 10 full-service branch locations which began operating as branches of Heartland Bank. The core system conversion was successfully completed in April 2023. After considering business combination accounting adjustments, Town and Country added total assets of $937.2 million, total loans held for investment of $635.4 million, and total deposits of $720.4 million.

Total consideration consisted of 3.4 million shares of HBT Financial’s common stock and $38.0 million in cash. Based upon the closing price of HBT Financial common stock of $21.12 on February 1, 2023, the aggregate consideration was approximately $109.4 million. Goodwill of $30.5 million was recorded in the acquisition. Total acquisition-related expenses were $13.7 million, including the recognition of an allowance for credit losses on non-purchased credit deteriorated loans (“non-PCD loans”) of $5.2 million and an allowance for credit losses on unfunded commitments of $0.7 million through provision for credit losses, during the year ended December 31, 2023 and were $1.1 million during the year ended December 31, 2022. There were no acquisition-related expenses during the year ended December 31, 2024.

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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Overview of Recent Financial Results

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(1)See "Non-GAAP Financial Information" for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to their most closely comparable GAAP measures.

(2)On a tax-equivalent basis assuming a federal income tax rate of 21% and a state income tax rate of 9.5%.

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Comparison of the Year Ended December 31, 2024 to the Year Ended December 31, 2023

For the year ended December 31, 2024, net income was $71.8 million, increasing by $5.9 million, or 9.0%, when compared to net income for the year ended December 31, 2023. Notable changes include the following:

•There were no Town and Country acquisition-related expenses during the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $13.7 million of acquisition-related expenses incurred during the year ended December 31, 2023;

•Net losses of $3.7 million were realized on the sale of debt securities during the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to net losses of $1.8 million realized during the year ended December 31, 2023;

•A $2.2 million decrease in net interest income, primarily attributable to higher funding costs which were partially offset by higher asset yields and an increase in interest-earning assets;

•A $0.2 million negative mortgage servicing rights fair value adjustment included in the 2024 results, compared to a $1.6 million negative mortgage servicing rights fair value adjustment included in the 2023 results; and

•A $2.9 million increase in income tax expense, primarily reflecting higher pre-tax income resulting from the above items as well as an additional $0.5 million for a deferred tax expense write-down, primarily as a result of an Illinois tax change. This increased our effective tax rate to 26.3% during the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to 25.7% during the year ended December 31, 2023.

Net Interest Income

Net interest income equals the excess of interest income on interest earning assets (including discount accretion on acquired loans plus certain loan fees) over interest expense incurred on interest-bearing liabilities. Net interest margin, which is expressed as the percentage of net interest income to average interest-earning assets, is utilized to measure and explain changes in net interest income.

The following table sets forth average balances, average yields and costs, and certain other information. Average balances are daily average balances. Nonaccrual loans are included in the computation of average balances but have been reflected in the table as loans carrying a zero yield. The yields set forth below include the effect of deferred fees and costs, discounts and premiums, as well as purchase accounting adjustments that are accreted or amortized to interest income or expense.

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(1)Net interest margin represents net interest income divided by average total interest-earning assets.

(2)On a tax-equivalent basis assuming a federal income tax rate of 21% and a state income tax rate of 9.5%.

(3)See "Non-GAAP Financial Information" for reconciliation of non-GAAP measure to their most closely comparable GAAP measures.

(4)Net interest rate spread represents the difference between the yield on average interest-earning assets and the cost of average interest-bearing liabilities.

(5)Net interest-earning assets represents total interest-earning assets less total interest-bearing liabilities.

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The following table sets forth the components of loan interest income and their contributions to the total loan yield.

The following table sets forth the components of net interest income and their contributions to the net interest margin.

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(1)On a tax-equivalent basis assuming a federal income tax rate of 21% and a state income tax rate of 9.5%.

(2)See "Non-GAAP Financial Information" for reconciliation of non-GAAP measure to their most closely comparable GAAP measures.

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Rate/Volume Analysis

The following table sets forth the dollar amount of changes in interest income and interest expense for the major categories of our interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities. Information is provided for each category of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities with respect to changes attributable to volume (i.e., changes in average balances multiplied by the prior-period average rate), and changes attributable to rate (i.e., changes in average rate multiplied by prior-period average balances). For purposes of this table, changes attributable to both volume and rate that cannot be segregated have been allocated proportionately to the change due to volume and the change due to rate.

Comparison of the Year Ended December 31, 2024 to the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Net interest income for the year ended December 31, 2024 was $188.9 million, decreasing $2.2 million, or 1.2%, when compared to the year ended December 31, 2023. The decrease is primarily attributable to an increase in funding costs which were partially offset by higher yields on interest-earning assets and higher interest-earning asset balances following the Town and Country merger.

Net interest margin decreased to 3.96% for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to 4.09% for the year ended December 31, 2023. The decrease was primarily attributable to increases in funding costs outpacing increases in interest-earning asset yields. Additionally, the contribution of acquired loan discount accretion to net interest margin was 9 basis points for each of the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023.

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The quarterly net interest margins were as follows:

The FOMC began raising the target range for the federal funds rate in March 2022 and continued raising interest rates until its July 2023 meeting. As a result, market interest rates also rose during this time which led to improvements in our net interest margin through the first quarter of 2023. Our net interest margin decreased modestly beginning in the second quarter of 2023, as increased competition for deposits drove an increase in our funding costs. This continued during the remainder of 2023 with increases in funding costs outpacing increases in interest-earning asset yields. Our deposit balances and funding costs began to stabilize during the first quarter of 2024 while yields on loans continued to increase and debt securities continued to reprice at higher rates.

The FOMC began lowering interest rates in September 2024, with the target range for the federal funds rate decreasing by 100 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% by the end of 2024. This decrease, and potential future decreases, may put downward pressure on our net interest margin, as the negative impact on floating rate loans may not be fully offset by the positive impacts of maturing fixed rate loans and securities repricing at higher rates or potential decreases in deposit costs. Generally, we expect increases in market interest rates will increase our net interest income and net interest margin in future periods, while decreases in market interest rates may decrease our net interest income and net interest margin in future periods; however, this depends upon the timing and extent of interest rate fluctuations and may not always be the case.

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Provision for Credit Losses

The following table sets forth the components of provision for credit losses for the years indicated:

Comparison of the Year Ended December 31, 2024 to the Year Ended December 31, 2023

The Company recorded a provision for credit losses of $3.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2024. The 2024 provision for credit losses primarily reflects a $4.0 million increase in required reserves resulting from changes in qualitative factors; an $0.8 million increase in required reserves driven by changes within the loan portfolio; a $1.2 million decrease in specific reserves on individually evaluated loans; and a $0.6 million decrease in required reserves resulting from improvements in economic forecasts.

Additionally, the 2023 results included the recognition of an allowance for credit losses on non-PCD loans of $5.2 million and an allowance for credit losses on unfunded commitments of $0.7 million through provision for credit losses which were related to the Town and Country acquisition.

Credit losses are highly dependent on current and forecast economic conditions. Potential deterioration of economic conditions may lead to higher credit losses and adversely impact our financial condition and results of operations. The economic forecasts utilized in estimating the allowance for credit losses on loans and lending-related unfunded commitments include the unemployment rate and changes in gross domestic product ("GDP") as macroeconomic variables, although other economic metrics are considered on a qualitative basis.

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Noninterest Income

The following table sets forth the major categories of noninterest income for the years indicated:

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NM    Not meaningful.

Comparison of the Year Ended December 31, 2024 to the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Total noninterest income for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $35.6 million, a decrease of $0.5 million, or 1.3%, from the year ended December 31, 2023. Notable changes in noninterest income include the following:

•Net losses of $3.7 million were realized on the sale of debt securities during the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to net losses of $1.8 million realized during the year ended December 31, 2023;

•A $0.2 million negative mortgage servicing rights fair value adjustment included in the 2024 results, compared to a $1.6 million negative mortgage servicing rights fair value adjustment included in the 2023 results;

•A $1.1 million increase in wealth management fees, driven by higher values of assets under management, partially offset by lower farm management fees as a result of lower commodity prices;

•Impairment losses on bank premises of $0.6 million related to the closure of two branch premises were recognized during 2024, compared to a $0.1 million gain on sales of closed branch premises recognized during 2023; and

•A $0.3 million increase in income on bank owned life insurance, primarily attributable to a $0.2 million gain on life insurance proceeds.

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Noninterest Expense

The following table sets forth the major categories of noninterest expense for the years indicated:

Comparison of the Year Ended December 31, 2024 to the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Total noninterest expense for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $124.0 million, a decrease of $7.0 million, or 5.3%, from the year ended December 31, 2023. Notable changes in noninterest expense include the following:

•There were no Town and Country acquisition-related noninterest expenses for the year ended December 31, 2024, but acquisition-related noninterest expenses totaled $7.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2023;

•Excluding Town and Country acquisition-related expenses, the $1.3 million increase in salaries expense was primarily driven by annual merit increases;

•The $1.3 million increase in employee benefits expense was primarily attributable to higher medical benefits expenses; and

•Excluding Town and Country acquisition-related expenses, the $2.3 million decrease in other noninterest expense primarily reflects the absence of $0.8 million of legal fees and $1.0 million of accruals related to litigation matters disclosed in Note 23 to the Company's Consolidated Financial Statements in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Income Taxes

During the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, we recorded income tax expense of $25.6 million, or an effective tax rate of 26.3%, and $22.7 million, or an effective tax rate of 25.7%, respectively. The increase in effective tax rate during 2024 was primarily attributable to an additional $0.5 million of tax expense for a deferred tax asset write-down, as a result of an Illinois tax change, as well as changes in the proportion of federally tax-exempt interest income to pre-tax income.

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FINANCIAL CONDITION

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(1)See "Non-GAAP Financial Information" for reconciliation of non-GAAP measure to their most closely comparable GAAP measures.

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Notable changes in our consolidated balance sheet include the following:

•Debt securities decreased $83.0 million, largely due to the sale of $69.2 million of municipal securities with sales proceeds primarily used to reduce wholesale funding. Additionally, paydowns, maturities, and calls of debt securities generated another $126.3 million of cash proceeds with $105.1 million being reinvested into debt securities at higher yields;

•Loans increased by $61.7 million, primarily attributable to new originations to recurring customers; and

•Total deposits decreased by $83.2 million, primarily attributable to a $144.9 million decrease in brokered deposits. Deposit balances continued to shift towards higher cost deposit products, such as time deposits, which increased $158.2 million, including the addition of $65.0 million of time deposits from a State of Illinois loan matching program.

Loan Portfolio

The following table sets forth the composition of the loan portfolio, excluding loans held-for-sale, by type of loan.

Loans, before allowance for credit losses were $3.47 billion at December 31, 2024, an increase of $61.7 million, or 1.8%, from December 31, 2023. Notable changes include the following:

•A $10.7 million increase in construction loans primarily attributable to draws on existing construction projects and new construction loans to existing customers which were mostly offset by transfers of completed projects into other categories.

•An $18.9 million increase in commercial real estate – non-owner occupied loans and a $13.6 million increase in multi-family loans, primarily attributable to completed construction projects transferred from the construction and land development category, partially offset by early payoffs; and

•During 2024, we purchased pools of commercial and industrial loans totaling $14.6 million. One pool included equipment finance loans purchased from a bank that originated the loans through its equipment finance division to borrowers across multiple industries and geographic regions. The remaining pool consisted of loans originated by a financial services company with a long-standing history of originating loans to healthcare and professional service borrowers across multiple geographic regions.

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Commercial Real Estate Portfolios

Commercial real estate – owner occupied loans are primarily made based on the identified cash flows of the borrower and secondarily on the underlying collateral provided by the borrower. The commercial real estate – owner occupied portfolio composition, segmented by the owner’s business classification, as of December 31, 2024 was as follows:

Commercial real estate – non-owner occupied loans are primarily made based on projected cash flows from the rental or sale of the underlying collateral. The commercial real estate – non-owner occupied portfolio composition, segmented by the property type, as of December 31, 2024 was as follows:

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(1)     Weighted average LTV is based on the most recent appraisals available, which are generally obtained at the time of origination.

Multi-family loans totaled $431.5 million as of December 31, 2024, and are primarily made based on projected cash flows from the rental or sale of the underlying collateral. As of December 31, 2024, multi-family loans had a weighted average LTV of 57%, based on the most recent appraisals available, which are generally obtained at the time of origination.

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Management’s disciplined approach to credit risk management is exercised through portfolio diversification, robust underwriting policies, and routine loan monitoring practices in order to identify and mitigate any credit weakness as early as possible. Management continually monitors and evaluates commercial real estate concentrations by property class, industry, and relative to the Bank’s regulatory capital to remain in line with board-established limits and adapt to changing industry conditions. A centralized credit underwriting group, independent of the originating lender, evaluates a vast majority of the commercial exposures over $750 thousand annually, if not more frequently, through a standardized credit review process to ensure uniform application of policies and procedures as well as analyze credit performance. All loans require appropriate internal approval, with a centralized credit approval group reviewing all exposures over $500 thousand. Additionally, a robust internal review process reviews more than 45% of loan commitments on a rolling 24 month basis that is in addition to an annual third-party review of a sample of the portfolio.

Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2022 in response to the rapid increase in interest rates, we have prepared quarterly cash flow stress tests for our commercial real estate – non-owner occupied and multi-family loans. For commercial real estate – non-owner occupied and multi-family loans over $1 million, we evaluate the impact of current interest rates on the underlying cash flows of the properties securing these loans, based on the most recent cash flow data available. This testing is completed in addition to the various sensitivity testing completed at the initial extension of credit. Individual credits with a maturity scheduled within the next five quarters that are presenting stress under current renewal terms are identified, so that ample time is available to develop solutions to manage credit risk.

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Loan Portfolio Maturities

The following table summarizes the scheduled maturities of the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2024. Demand loans (loans having no stated repayment schedule or maturity) and overdraft loans are reported as being due in one year or less.

The following table summarizes loans maturing after one year, segregated into variable and fixed interest rates.

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Nonperforming Assets

Our nonperforming loans and nonperforming assets were as follows:

Total nonperforming assets were $8.0 million at December 31, 2024, a slight decrease when compared to $8.7 million at December 31, 2023. The slight decrease was primarily attributable to sales of foreclosed assets and a decrease in nonaccrual one-to-four family residential loans. Additionally, of the $7.7 million of nonperforming loans held as of December 31, 2024, $1.6 million are either wholly or partially guaranteed by the U.S. Government.

Risk Classification of Loans

Our risk classifications of loans were as follows:

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(1)    In June 2024, the Company updated its risk rating categories to add the special mention category to provide another level of granularity in distinguishing risk levels of loans. As of June 30, 2024, $19.5 million of the special mention loans would have been considered pass-watch and $10.6 million would have been considered substandard under the previous risk rating categories.

Loans rated pass-watch or worse increased $39.2 million, or 24.1%, from December 31, 2023 to December 31, 2024, primarily attributable to downgrades within the agricultural and farmland, commercial and industrial, and construction and land development segments.

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Net Charge-offs (Recoveries)

The following table summarizes net charge-offs (recoveries) to average loans by loan category.

The net charge-offs (recoveries) to average total loans ratio has remained low for several years. While we believe our continuous credit monitoring and collection efforts have resulted in lower levels of credit losses, we also recognize that substantial federal economic stimulus during the COVID-19 pandemic and the relatively stable economic conditions after the pandemic have also contributed to reduced credit losses.

Additionally, heightened net charge-offs within the commercial and industrial segment are primarily related to equipment finance loans which were purchased as part of a pool of loans during 2023.

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Securities

The Company’s investment policy emphasizes safety of the principal, liquidity needs, expected returns, cash flow targets, and consistency with our interest rate risk management strategy. The composition and maturities of the debt securities portfolio as of December 31, 2024, are summarized in the following table. Maturities are based on the final contractual payment dates, and do not reflect the impact of prepayments or early redemptions that may occur. Security yields have not been adjusted to a tax-equivalent basis.