VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORP (VLY) Risk Factors
This page reproduces the company's own Item 1A Risk Factors text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
Informational only - not investment advice. See Disclaimer.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
An investment in our securities is subject to risks inherent to our business. The material risks and uncertainties that management believes may affect Valley are described below. Before making an investment decision, you should carefully consider the risks and uncertainties described below together with all of the other information included or incorporated by
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reference in this Report. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones facing Valley. Additional risks and uncertainties that management is not aware of or that management currently believes are immaterial may also impair Valley’s business operations. The value or market price of our securities could decline due to any of these identified or other risks, and you could lose all or part of your investment. This Report is qualified in its entirety by these risk factors.
Risks Related to the Operating Environment
Our financial results and condition may be adversely impacted by changing economic conditions.
Financial institutions are affected by changes in the economic environment, which may be impacted by changing interest rates, changing leadership and policy at the Federal Reserve, volatility in financial markets, and geopolitical instability or conflict. Economic conditions, financial and labor markets and monetary policies may be adversely affected by the impact of inflationary pressures, the impact of current or anticipated fiscal and monetary policies or changes thereto, policies of the current U.S. presidential administration (including trade policies, tariffs/import fees and immigration), the potential for an economic recession, uncertainty regarding the U.S. debt ceiling, government shutdowns, or default by the U.S. government on its obligations, and actual or perceived instability in the U.S. banking system. Changes in global economic conditions and geopolitical matters, including U.S. foreign policy and potential military actions and the conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East, foreign currency exchange volatility, volatility in global capital markets, inflationary pressures, and higher interest rates may meaningfully impact loan production, net interest margin, the value of our securities portfolio, and the measurement of certain significant estimates such as the allowance for credit losses. Moreover, in a period of economic contraction, we may experience elevated levels of credit losses, reduced interest income, impairment of goodwill and other financial assets, diminished access to capital markets and other funding sources, and reduced demand for our products and services. Volatility in the housing markets, real estate values and unemployment levels may result in significant write-downs of asset values by financial institutions. The majority of Valley’s lending is in northern and central New Jersey, the New York City metropolitan area and Florida. As a result of this geographic concentration, a significant broad-based deterioration in economic conditions in these areas could have a material adverse impact on the quality of Valley’s loan portfolio, results of operations and future growth potential.
Although inflation has slowed dramatically from the levels experienced during 2022 and 2023, possible prolonged inflationary pressures and any increases in market interest rates may cause the value of our investment securities, particularly those with longer maturities, to decrease, although this effect can be less pronounced for floating rate instruments. In addition, inflation generally increases the cost of goods and services we use in our business operations, such as electricity and other utilities, which increases our non-interest expenses. Furthermore, our customers are also affected by inflation and the rising costs of goods and services used in their households and businesses, which could have a negative impact on their deposits and/or ability to repay their loans with us.
Any of these effects, if sustained, may impair our capital and liquidity positions, require us to take capital actions, prevent us from satisfying our minimum regulatory capital ratios and other supervisory requirements, or result in downgrades in our credit ratings and the reduction or elimination of our common stock dividend in future periods. The extent to which the economic environment has an impact on our business, results of operations, and financial condition, as well as the regulatory capital and liquidity ratios, will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including the scope and duration of the current economic environment and actions taken by governmental authorities and other third parties in response to geopolitical conflicts, inflationary pressure and other changes in economic and political conditions.
Risks Associated with Our Business Model
A significant portion of our loan portfolio is secured by commercial real estate, and events that negatively impact the real estate market could adversely affect our asset quality and profitability for those loans secured by real property and increase the number of defaults and the level of losses within our loan portfolio.
As of December 31, 2025, total commercial real estate loans, including construction loans, represented 58.3 percent of our loan portfolio. These types of loans generally expose a lender to a higher degree of credit risk of non-payment and loss than residential mortgage loans do because of several factors, including dependence on the successful operation of a business or a project for repayment, and loan terms with a balloon payment rather than full amortization over the loan term. In addition, commercial real estate loans typically involve larger loan balances to single borrowers or groups of related borrowers compared to one-to-four family residential mortgage loans. The value of the real estate collateral that provides an alternate source of repayment in the event of default by the borrower could deteriorate during the time the credit is extended. Underwriting and portfolio management activities cannot completely eliminate all risks related to these loans. Any significant failure to pay on time by our clients or a significant default by our clients would materially and adversely affect us.
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Concentrations in commercial real estate are closely monitored by regulatory agencies and subject to especially heightened scrutiny both on a public and confidential basis. Any formal or informal action by our supervisors may require us to increase our reserves on these loans and adversely impact our earnings.
A downturn in the real estate market in our primary market areas could result in an increase in the number of borrowers who default on their loans and a reduction in the value of the collateral securing their loans, which in turn could have an adverse effect on our profitability and asset quality. If we are required to liquidate the collateral securing a loan to satisfy the debt during a period of reduced real estate values, our earnings and shareholders’ equity could be adversely affected. Any weakening of the commercial real estate market, particularly certain segments in the New York City market, may increase the likelihood of default on these loans, which could negatively impact our loan portfolio’s performance and asset quality. For example, any declines in commercial real estate prices in the New Jersey, New York and Florida markets we primarily serve, along with the unpredictable long-term path of the economy, may result in increases in delinquencies and losses in our loan portfolios. Unexpected decreases in commercial real estate prices coupled with slow economic growth and elevated levels of unemployment could drive losses beyond those which are provided for in our allowance for loan losses. We also may incur losses on commercial real estate loans due to declines in occupancy rates and rental rates, which may decrease property values and may decrease the likelihood that a borrower may find permanent financing alternatives. Any of these events could increase our costs, require management's time and attention, and materially and adversely affect us, and there can be no assurance that our efforts to reduce commercial real estate loan concentration and expand other areas of commercial lending activity will be successful in eliminating or mitigating these effects.
The loss of or decrease in lower-cost funding sources within our deposit base, including our inability to achieve deposit retention targets within our branch network, may adversely impact our net interest income and net income.
Checking and savings, NOW, and money market deposit account balances and other forms of customer deposits can decrease when customers perceive alternative investments, such as the stock market, U.S. Treasury securities, and money market or fixed income mutual funds, as providing a better risk/return trade-off. Additionally, our customers largely bank with us because of our local customer service and convenience. For certain customers, this convenience could be negatively impacted by strategic consolidation or relocation of our branch offices.
Additionally, the adoption of online banking technology could reduce the historical stickiness of our core deposits due to the relative ease with which depositors may transfer deposits to a different depository institution, including in the event that confidence is lost in the Bank. Valley’s vulnerability to a bank run may be heightened by recent trends in depositor behavior. Highly coordinated depositors via social media or other communications can cause unexpectedly high deposit outflows resulting in a liquidity crisis, as happened in the case of the bank failures in early 2023. If customers move money out of bank deposits and into other investments, Valley could lose a low-cost source of funds, increasing its funding costs and reducing Valley’s net interest income and net income.
Our deposit services for businesses in the state licensed cannabis industry could expose us to liabilities and regulatory compliance costs.
In 2020, we implemented specialized deposit services intended for state licensed cannabis business customers. Businesses engaged in the cultivation, manufacture, distribution, and sale of cannabis are legal in numerous states and the District of Columbia, including our primary markets of New Jersey, New York, and Florida. On December 18, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order directing the U.S. Department of Justice to reclassify marijuana as a Schedule III drug under the Controlled Substances Act of 1970. Even once such reclassification occurs, cannabis and cannabis businesses under their existing distribution models generally would not be legal at the federal level absent additional action by federal officials, and as such, we continue to incur anti-money laundering risk when serving customers in the cannabis business. In 2014, FinCEN published guidelines for financial institutions servicing state legal cannabis businesses. We have implemented a comprehensive control framework that includes written policies and procedures related to the on-boarding of such businesses and the ongoing monitoring and maintenance of such business accounts that conforms with the FinCEN guidance. Additionally, our policies call for due diligence review of the cannabis business before the business is on-boarded, including confirmation that the business is properly licensed and maintains the license in good standing in the applicable state. Throughout the relationship, our policies call for continued monitoring of the business, including site visits where appropriate, to determine if the business continues to meet our requirements, including maintenance of required licenses and calls for undertaking periodic financial reviews of the business. In the latter half of 2021, the Bank expanded its cannabis-related business offerings to some limited real estate and other secured lending. The Bank may offer additional banking products and services to such customers in the future.
There can be no assurance that compliance with our policies and procedures designed to allow us to operate in compliance with the FinCEN guidelines will protect us from federal prosecution or other regulatory sanctions. Federal prosecutors have significant discretion and there can be no assurance that the federal prosecutors will not choose to strictly
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enforce the federal laws governing cannabis. Any change in the federal government’s enforcement position could potentially subject us to criminal prosecution and other regulatory sanctions. As a general matter, the medical and recreational cannabis business is considered high-risk, thus increasing the risk of a regulatory action against our BSA/AML Program that has adverse consequences, including, but not limited to, preventing us from undertaking mergers, acquisitions and other expansion activities.
We could incur future goodwill impairment.
If our estimates of the fair value of our goodwill change as a result of changes in our business or other factors, we may determine a goodwill impairment charge is necessary. Estimates of the fair value of goodwill are determined using several factors and assumptions, including, but not limited to, industry pricing multiples and estimated cash flows. Based upon Valley’s 2025 goodwill impairment testing, the fair values of its three reporting units, wealth management, consumer banking, and commercial banking, were in excess of their carrying values. No assurance can be given that we will not record an impairment loss on goodwill in the future and any such impairment loss could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. At December 31, 2025, our goodwill totaled $1.9 billion. See Note 7 to the consolidated financial statements for additional information.
Our market share and income may be adversely affected by our inability to successfully compete against larger and more diverse financial services providers, digital fintech start-up firms and other financial services providers that have advanced technological capabilities. The financial services market is undergoing rapid technological changes, and if we are unable to stay current with those changes, we will not be able to effectively compete.
Valley faces substantial competition in all areas of its operations from a variety of different competitors, many of which are larger and may have more financial resources than Valley to deal with the changes in the financial markets and regulatory landscape, including the rapid technological changes in the industry. Many of these competitors may have fewer regulatory constraints, broader geographic service areas, greater capital, and, in some cases, lower cost structures. Valley competes with other providers of financial services such as commercial and savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, money market and mutual funds, mortgage companies, title agencies, asset managers, insurance companies, and a large list of other local, regional and national institutions which offer financial services.
Additionally, the financial services industry is facing a wave of digital disruption from fintech companies and other financial services providers and technology companies. These competitors provide innovative web-based solutions to traditional retail banking services and products and tend to have stronger operating efficiencies and fewer regulatory burdens than their traditional bank counterparts, including Valley. For example, the adoption and expansion of blockchain technologies and digital currencies, including the potential creation and adoption of central bank digital currencies and stablecoins, as well as the increasing use and mainstream acceptance of such digital currencies, may fundamentally change the business of banking and materially impact our business.
The financial services industry is continually undergoing rapid technological change with frequent introductions of new, technology-driven products and services which increase efficiency and enable financial institutions to better serve customers and to reduce costs and with the use of artificial intelligence, including generative and agentic artificial intelligence, machine learning, and similar tools and technologies that collect, aggregate, analyze or generate data or other materials or content, or that can initiate or execute actions or workflows based on such data (collectively, “AI”). These new technologies may be superior to, or render obsolete, the technologies currently used in our products and services.
Regulatory changes may continue to allow new entrants into the markets in which we operate. The result of these regulatory changes will likely cause other non-traditional financial services companies to compete directly with Valley. Many of the companies have stronger operating efficiencies and fewer regulatory burdens than their traditional bank counterparts, including Valley.
Our future success depends, in part, upon our ability to address the needs of our customers by using technology to provide products and services that will satisfy customer demands, as well as to create additional efficiencies in our operations. Many customers have become more reliant on, and their expectations have increased with respect to, this technology. We may not be able to effectively implement new, technology-driven products and services or be successful in marketing these products and services to our customers. Service interruptions, transaction processing errors and system conversion delays may cause us to fail to comply with applicable laws and fall short of customer expectations. Failure to successfully keep pace with technological change affecting the financial services industry could have a material adverse impact on Valley’s business and, in turn, Valley’s financial condition and results of operations. See the “Technology Risks” section below in this Item 1A for additional information regarding our risks related to technology and use of AI.
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Failure to successfully implement our growth strategies or strategic initiatives could cause us to incur substantial costs and expenses which may not be recouped and adversely affect our future profitability.
From time to time, Valley may implement new lines of business or offer new products and services within existing lines of business. There are substantial risks and uncertainties associated with these efforts, particularly in instances where the markets are not fully developed. Valley may invest significant time and resources to develop and market new lines of business and/or products and services. Initial timetables for the introduction and development of new lines of business and/or new products or services may not be achieved, and price and profitability targets may not prove feasible. External factors, such as compliance with regulations, competitive alternatives, and shifting customer preferences, may also impact the successful implementation of a new line of business or a new product or service. Additionally, any new line of business and/or new product or service could have a significant impact on the effectiveness of Valley’s system of internal controls. We also may not be able to successfully implement strategic initiatives in accordance with our expectations with respect to timing, anticipated operational improvements or returns, or otherwise, which could result in an adverse impact on our business and financial results. We have in the past and may in the future undertake restructuring in connection with strategic initiatives, which may result in significant costs and our ability to achieve the anticipated cost savings other benefits from these actions is subject to many estimates, assumptions and uncertainties, may be disruptive both internally and to our customers, and may result loss of continuity or accumulated knowledge. Strategic initiatives and restructuring can also require a significant amount of time and focus, which may divert attention from operating the business and growth initiatives. Failure to successfully manage any of the foregoing risks could have a material adverse effect on Valley’s business, results of operations and financial condition.
We outsource various operations to third-party service providers, both domestic and foreign, which could adversely impact our operational performance.
We rely on various third-party service providers, both domestic and foreign, to perform certain operational activities. This exposes us to various risks depending on factors such as the type and amount of data these service providers access or process, the concentration of services they provide to us, and the geographies from which they operate. Our outsourcing to foreign-based service providers presents additional risk, including risks relating to economic, social, and political conditions within the service provider’s home country that may impact their provision of services and the cross-border flow of information and services and potential applicability of foreign laws and regulations. Any failure of our service providers to perform can adversely affect our ability to deliver products and services to our customers and conduct our business and may result in increased expenses and loss of business. Management is responsible for ensuring that adequate controls are in place to protect us from the risks associated with our outsourcing arrangements, but these controls may not always prove effective. Replacing or finding alternatives for underperforming service providers can also be difficult and costly, and may not be completed within sufficient timeframes, potentially adversely impacting Valley’s business.
Our investments in certain tax-advantaged projects may not generate returns as anticipated and may have an adverse impact on our results of operations.
We invest in certain tax-advantaged investments that support qualified affordable housing projects, community development and renewable energy resources. Our investments in these projects are designed to generate a return primarily through the realization of federal and state income tax credits, and other tax benefits, over specified time periods. Third parties perform diligence on these investments for us on which we rely both at inception and on an ongoing basis. We are subject to the risk that previously recorded tax credits, which remain subject to recapture by taxing authorities based on compliance features required to be met at the project level, may fail to meet certain government compliance requirements and may not be able to be realized. The possible inability to realize these tax credits and other tax benefits may have a negative impact on our financial results. The risk of not being able to realize the tax credits and other tax benefits depends on many factors outside our control, including changes in the applicable tax code and the ability of the projects to be completed.
We are subject to environmental liability risk associated with lending activities which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
A significant portion of our loan portfolio is secured by real property. During the ordinary course of business, we may foreclose on and take title to properties securing certain loans. In doing so, there is a risk that hazardous or toxic substances could be found on these properties. If hazardous or toxic substances are found, we may be liable for remediation costs, as well as for personal injury and property damage. Environmental laws may require us to incur substantial expenses and may materially reduce the affected property’s value or limit our ability to use or sell the affected property. In addition, future laws or more stringent interpretations or enforcement policies with respect to existing laws may increase our exposure to environmental liability. Although we have policies and procedures to perform an environmental review prior to originating certain commercial real estate loans, as well as before initiating any foreclosure action on real property, these reviews may not be sufficient to
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detect all potential environmental hazards. The remediation costs and any other financial liabilities associated with an environmental hazard could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
We are subject to risks related to originating and selling loans, including repurchase and indemnification obligations.
When loans are sold, it is customary to make representations and warranties to the purchaser about the loans, including the manner in which they were originated, and to agree to repurchase the loans or indemnify the buyer in the event of a breach of the sale agreement, including a breach of these representations or warranties. While the Bank has historically had an immaterial number of repurchase and indemnity demands from purchasers, an increase in such activity could result in losses to us. In addition to repurchase claims from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the we could be subject to indemnification claims from non-government sponsored entity purchasers of our loans. Claims could be made if the loans sold fail to conform to statements about their quality, the manner in which the loans were originated and underwritten, or their compliance with state and federal law. There were no loan repurchases in 2025 and 2024. However, it is possible that our careful loan underwriting and documentation standards may not be sufficient to prevent future requests to repurchase loans or indemnify buyers, and such requests may have a negative financial impact on us.
We face risks as a servicer of loans.
The Bank acts as servicer for loans owned by investors. As servicer for loans, the Bank has certain contractual obligations to the investors or other third parties, including foreclosing on defaulted loans or, to the extent consistent with the applicable investor agreement, considering alternatives to foreclosure such as loan modifications or short sales. Generally, the Bank’s servicing obligations are set by contract, for which the Bank receives a contractual fee. However, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can amend their servicing guidelines unilaterally for certain government guaranteed mortgages, which can increase the scope or costs of the services required without any corresponding increase in the Bank’s servicing fee. Federal and state laws that impose additional servicing requirements could increase the scope and cost of the Bank’s servicing obligations. As a servicer, the Bank also advances expenses on behalf of investors, which it may be unable to collect and result in loss.
Interest rate swap fees within capital markets income are a significant component of our non-interest income and could fluctuate in future periods.
Valley executes interest rate swaps with commercial lending customers to facilitate their respective risk management strategies. Interest rate swap fees reported within capital markets income totaled $21.1 million, or 8 percent, and $13.3 million, or 6 percent, of total non-interest income for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively. Several factors, including, but not limited to, the actual and expected level of market interest rates, can impact the decisions of commercial loan customers to use such interest rate swap products. As a result, we can provide no assurance that our interest rate swap fees will remain at the level reported for the year ended December 31, 2025.
We may not be able to attract, develop and retain skilled people.
Our success depends, in large part, on our ability to attract, develop and retain key people. Competition for the best people in most activities in which we engage can be intense and we may not be able to hire people or retain them. We have been impacted by an extremely competitive labor market, including increased competition for talent across all aspects of our business, as well as increased competition with non-traditional competitors, such as fintech companies. Employers are offering increased compensation and opportunities to work with greater flexibility, including remote work, on a permanent basis. These can be important factors in a current associate’s decision to leave us as well as in a prospective associate’s decision to join us. As competition for skilled professionals remains intense, we may have to devote significant resources to attract and retain qualified personnel, which could negatively impact earnings. The unexpected loss of services of one or more of our key personnel, including, but not limited to, the executive officers disclosed in Item 1. Business of this Report, could have a material adverse impact on our business because we would lose the employees’ skills, knowledge of the market, and years of industry experience and may have difficulty promptly finding qualified replacement personnel.
We are subject to risks relating to corporate social responsibility matters that could adversely affect our reputation, business, financial condition and results of operations, as well as the price of our common and preferred stock.
We are subject to a variety of risks, including reputational risk, associated with corporate social responsibility matters. The public holds diverse and often conflicting views on these matters. We have multiple stakeholders, including our shareholders, clients, associates, federal and state regulatory authorities, and the communities in which we operate, and these stakeholders will often have differing priorities and expectations regarding these issues. If we take action in conflict with one or another of those stakeholders’ expectations, we could experience an increase in client complaints, a loss of business, or reputational harm. For example, there exists negative sentiment among certain stakeholders and government institutions against certain corporate social responsibility practices, and we may face scrutiny, reputational risk, lawsuits or market access
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restrictions from these parties regarding any such initiatives we have adopted. We could also face negative publicity or reputational harm based on the identity of those with whom we choose to do business. If we do not successfully manage expectations across varied stakeholder interests, it could erode stakeholder trust, impact our reputation and constrain our investment opportunities. Any adverse publicity in connection with any corporate social responsibility issues could damage our reputation, ability to attract and retain clients and associates, compete effectively, and grow our business.
In addition, proxy advisory firms and certain institutional investors who manage investments in public companies may take corporate social responsibility factors into their investment analysis. The consideration of these factors in making investment and voting decisions is relatively new. Accordingly, the frameworks and methods for assessing these policies are not fully developed, vary considerably among the investment community, and will likely continue to evolve over time. Moreover, the subjective nature of methods used by various stakeholders to assess a company with respect to criteria could result in erroneous perceptions or a misrepresentation of our actual policies and practices. Organizations that provide ratings information to investors on social responsibility matters may also assign unfavorable ratings to us. Certain of our clients might also require that we implement additional procedures or standards in order to continue to do business with them. If we fail to comply with specific investor or client expectations and standards in this area, or to provide the disclosure relating to social responsibility and governance issues that any third parties may believe are necessary or appropriate (regardless of whether there is a legal requirement to do so), our reputation, business, financial condition, and/or results of operations, as well as the price of our common and preferred stock could be negatively impacted.
Climate change and severe weather could adversely impact our operations, business, and clients.
There is an increasing concern over the risks of climate change and related environmental sustainability matters. Climate change presents (i) physical risks from the direct impacts of changing climate patterns and acute weather events, and (ii) transition risks from changes in regulations, disruptive technologies, and shifting market dynamics towards a lower carbon economy. The physical risks of climate change include discrete events, such as floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, heatwaves, and wildfires, and longer-term shifts in climate patterns, such as higher global average temperatures, extreme heat, sea level rise, and more frequent and prolonged droughts. Examples of transition risks include changes in consumer preferences, additional regulatory requirements or taxes and additional counterparty or client requirements. These risks could have a material adverse impact on asset values and the financial performance of Valley’s businesses, and those of its clients. Ongoing legislative or regulatory uncertainties and changes regarding climate risk management and practices may result in higher regulatory, compliance, credit and reputational risks and costs. Climate change could also present incremental risks to the execution of Valley’s long-term strategy. Additionally, transitioning to a low-carbon economy may entail extensive policy, legal, technology, and market initiatives.
A significant portion of our primary markets is located near coastal waters which could generate naturally occurring severe weather, or do so in response to climate change, which in turn could have a significant impact on our ability to conduct business. Many areas in New Jersey, New York, Florida and Alabama in which the vast majority of our branches and offices operate are subject to severe flooding from time to time and significant disruptions related to the weather may become common events in the future. Heavy storms and hurricanes can also cause severe property damage and result in business closures, negatively impacting both the financial health of retail and commercial customers and our ability to operate our business. The risk of significant disruption and potential losses from future storm activity exists in all of our primary markets.
In addition, our reputation and client relationships may be damaged as a result of our practices related to climate change, including our involvement, or our clients’ involvement, in certain industries or projects, in the absence of mitigation and/or transition measures, associated with causing or exacerbating climate change, as well as any decisions we make to continue to conduct or change our activities in response to considerations relating to climate change. As climate risk is interconnected with all key risk types, Valley continues to embed climate risk considerations into risk management strategies. Due to uncertainty regarding climate change, the Company’s risk management strategies may not be effective in fully mitigating climate risk exposures. The timing and severity of climate change may not be entirely predictable and our risk management processes may not be effective in mitigating climate risk exposure.
Risks Related to Our Industry
Changes in interest rates could reduce our net interest income and earnings.
Valley’s earnings and cash flows are largely dependent upon the Bank’s net interest income. Net interest income is the difference between interest income earned on interest-earning assets, such as loans and investment securities, and interest expense paid on interest bearing liabilities, such as deposits and borrowed funds. Interest rates are sensitive to many factors that are beyond Valley’s control, including general economic conditions, competition, and policies of various governmental and regulatory agencies and, in particular, the policies of the Federal Reserve. Changes in interest rates driven by such factors will influence not only the interest the Bank receives on loans and investment securities and the amount of interest it pays on
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deposits and borrowings, but such changes could also affect (i) the Bank’s ability to originate loans and obtain deposits, (ii) the fair value of Valley’s financial assets, including the HTM and AFS investment securities portfolios, and (iii) the average duration of Valley’s interest-earning assets and liabilities. This also includes the risk that interest-earning assets may be more responsive to changes in interest rates than interest-bearing liabilities, or vice versa (repricing risk), the risk that the individual interest rates or rate indices underlying various interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities may not change in the same degree over a given time period (basis risk), and the risk of changing interest rate relationships across the spectrum of interest-earning asset and interest-bearing liability maturities (yield curve risk). For example, a flat or inverted yield curve, where short-term rates are close to, or above, long-term rates, could adversely affect Valley’s financial condition and results of operations. Any substantial or unexpected change in market interest rates could have a material adverse effect on Valley’s financial condition and results of operations. See additional information in the “Net Interest Income” and “Interest Rate Sensitivity” sections of our MD&A.
We may not be able to detect money laundering and other illegal or improper activities fully or on a timely basis, which could expose us to additional liability and could have a material adverse effect on us.
We are required to comply with anti-money laundering, anti-terrorism and other laws and regulations in the United States. These laws and regulations require us, among other things, to adopt and enforce “know-your-customer” policies and procedures and to report suspicious and large transactions to applicable regulatory authorities. These laws and regulations have become increasingly complex and detailed, require improved systems and sophisticated monitoring and compliance personnel and have become the subject of enhanced government supervision.
The policies and procedures that we have adopted to comply with these requirements and to detect and prevent the use of our banking network for money laundering and related activities may not completely eliminate instances in which we may be used by customers to engage in money laundering and other illegal or improper activities. To the extent we fail to fully comply with applicable laws and regulations, the OCC, along with other banking agencies, have the authority to impose fines and other penalties and sanctions on us. In addition, our business and reputation could suffer if customers use our banking network for money laundering or illegal or improper purposes.
Higher charge-offs and weak credit conditions could require us to further increase our allowance for credit losses through a provision charge to earnings.
The process for determining the amount of the allowance for credit losses is critical to our financial results and conditions. It requires difficult, subjective and complex judgments about the future, including the impact of national and regional economic conditions on the ability of our borrowers to repay their loans. If our judgment proves to be incorrect, our allowance for credit losses may not be sufficient to cover the lifetime credit losses inherent in our loan and HTM debt securities portfolios, as well as unfunded credit commitments. Deterioration in economic conditions affecting borrowers, including as a result of inflationary pressures or other macroeconomic factors, new information regarding existing loans, identification of additional problem loans and other factors, both within and outside of our control, may require an increase in the allowance for credit losses. Additionally, bank regulators review the classification of our loans in their examination of us and we may be required in the future to change the internal classification on certain loans, which may require us to increase our provision for credit losses or loan charge-offs. If actual net charge-offs were to exceed Valley’s allowance, its earnings would be negatively impacted by additional provisions for credit losses. Any increase in our allowance for credit losses or loan charge-offs as required by our regulators or otherwise could have an adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
An increase in our non-performing assets may reduce our interest income and increase our net loan charge-offs, provision for loan losses, and operating expenses.
Non-performing assets (including non-accrual loans, OREO, and other repossessed assets) totaled $439.8 million at December 31, 2025. Our non-accrual loans represented 0.87 percent of total loans at December 31, 2025. These non-performing assets can adversely affect our net income mainly through decreased interest income and increased operating expenses incurred to maintain such assets or loss charges related to subsequent declines in the estimated fair value of foreclosed assets. Adverse changes in the value of our non-performing assets, or the underlying collateral, or in the borrowers’ performance or financial conditions could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. Potential stress in the commercial real estate markets, primarily in New York City metropolitan area, or other factors could also negatively impact the future performance of this portfolio. There can be no assurance that we will not experience increases in non-performing loans in the future, or that our non-performing assets will not result in lower financial returns in the future.
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We may be required to consult with the Federal Reserve before declaring cash dividends on our common stock, which ultimately may delay, reduce, or eliminate such dividends and adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
Holders of our common stock are only entitled to receive such cash dividends as the Board may declare out of funds legally available for such payments. Although we have historically declared cash dividends on our common stock, we are not required to do so. We may reduce or eliminate our common stock cash dividend in the future depending upon our results of operations, financial condition or other metrics, which could be adversely impacted by the factors described in this Item 1A, including uncertain U.S. economic conditions.
Federal Reserve supervisory guidance sets forth an expectation that a bank holding company such as Valley will consult with the Federal Reserve in advance of declaring and paying a dividend that exceeds earnings for the period in which the dividend is being paid. In July 2020, the Federal Reserve updated its supervisory guidance to provide greater clarity regarding the situations in which bank holding companies may expect an expedited consultation. To qualify, amongst other criteria, total commercial real estate loan concentrations cannot represent 300 percent or more of total capital if the outstanding balance of the commercial real estate loan portfolio has increased by 50 percent or more during the prior 36 months. Currently, we believe that Valley does meet the standard for expedited consultation and approval of its dividend, should it be required. However, if we did not qualify for an expedited consultation in the future, Valley could be subject to a lengthier and possibly more burdensome review process by the Federal Reserve when considering paying dividends that exceed quarterly earnings. The delay, reduction or elimination of our quarterly dividend could adversely affect the market price of our common stock. See additional information regarding our quarterly cash dividend and the current rate of earnings retention in the “Capital Adequacy” section of the MD&A.
General Commercial, Operational, Financial and Regulatory Risks
We may be unable to adequately manage our liquidity risk, which could affect our ability to meet our obligations as they become due, capitalize on growth opportunities, pay regular dividends on our common stock and generate adequate earnings.
Liquidity risk is the potential that a financial institution, like Valley, will be unable to meet its obligations as they come due, capitalize on growth opportunities as they arise, or pay regular dividends on our common stock because of an inability to liquidate assets or obtain adequate funding on a timely basis, at a reasonable cost and within acceptable risk tolerances. Liquidity is required to fund various obligations, including withdrawals by depositors, repayment of borrowings, credit commitments to borrowers, mortgage and other loan originations, dividends to shareholders, operating expenses and capital expenditures. Liquidity is derived primarily from commercial and retail deposit growth and retention; principal and interest payments on loans; principal and interest payments on investment securities; sale, maturity and prepayment of investment securities; net cash provided from operations; and access to other funding sources, such as the FHLB and certain brokered deposit channels established by the Bank.
Our access to funding sources, including the FHLB and brokered deposits, in amounts adequate to finance our activities could be impaired by factors that affect us specifically or the financial services industry in general. Unexpected changes to the FHLB’s underwriting guidelines for wholesale borrowings or lending policies may limit or restrict our ability to borrow, and therefore could have a significant adverse impact on our liquidity. Other factors that could have a detrimental impact to our access to liquidity sources include a decrease in the level of our business activity due to persistent weakness, or downturn, in the economy or adverse regulatory action against us. Our ability to borrow could also be impaired by factors that are not necessarily specific to us, such as a severe disruption of the financial markets or negative views and expectations about the prospects for the financial services industry as a whole, including as a result of any future bank failures. In the event of future turmoil in the banking industry or other idiosyncratic events, there is no guarantee that the U.S. government will invoke the systemic risk exception, create additional liquidity programs, or take any other action to stabilize the banking industry or provide liquidity.
Additionally, any inability by Valley to access brokered deposits or other funding sources, such as the FHLB, could require us to pay significantly higher interest rates on our direct customer deposits which would have an adverse impact on our net interest income and net income. Any inability by Valley to monetize liquid assets or to access short-term funding or capital markets could constrain Valley’s ability to make new loans or meet existing lending commitments, pay its regular common stock dividend, jeopardize Valley’s capitalization, and adversely impact Valley’s net interest income and net income.
The CECL model for determining our allowance for credit losses could add volatility to our provision for credit losses and earnings.
The CECL model requires the allowance for credit losses for certain financial assets, including loans, HTM securities and certain off-balance sheet credit exposures, to be calculated based on current expected credit losses over the lives of the assets
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rather than incurred losses as of a point in time. Our estimation process is subject to risks and uncertainties, including a reliance on historical loss and trend information that may not be representative of current conditions and indicative of future performance. Accordingly, our actual lifetime credit losses may be materially different than the amounts reported in the allowance due to the inherent uncertainty in the estimation process, including future loss estimates based upon our reasonable and supportable economic forecasts. Also, future credit losses could differ materially from those estimates due to changes in values and circumstances after the balance sheet date. Changes in such estimates could significantly impact our allowance, provision for credit losses and earnings.
We rely on our systems of controls and procedures, and if our systems fail or are circumvented, our operations could be disrupted, which may result in a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
We face the risk that the design of our controls and procedures, including those to mitigate the risk of fraud by employees or outsiders, may prove to be inadequate or are circumvented, thereby causing delays in detection of errors or inaccuracies in data and information, including personal, confidential, proprietary, and sensitive information. We regularly review and update our internal controls, disclosure controls and procedures, and corporate governance policies and procedures. Any system of controls, however well designed and operated, is based in part on certain assumptions and can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurances that the objectives of the system are met. Any failure or circumvention of our controls and procedures or failure to comply with regulations related to controls and procedures could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Our systems and networks may also be subject to disruptions from events that are wholly or partially beyond our control (including, for example, electrical, telecommunications, or other major service outages, or fraud or operational errors by our employees), which could adversely affect our ability to process transactions, provide services, or otherwise conduct business and may give rise to financial loss or liability.
Additionally, we rely on vendors whose operations may be disrupted by events such as system failures, outages, downtime or other adverse circumstances, whether within or outside of their control, and any such disruption could materially harm our business operations. We maintain a system of comprehensive policies and a control framework designed to monitor vendor risks including, among other things, (i) changes in the vendor’s organizational structure or internal controls, (ii) changes in the vendor’s financial condition, (iii) changes in the vendor’s support for existing products and services and (iv) changes in the vendor’s strategic focus. While we believe these policies and procedures help to mitigate risk, the failure of an external vendor to perform in accordance with the contracted arrangements under service level agreements could be disruptive to our operations, which could have a material adverse impact on our business and, in turn, our financial condition and results of operations.
Our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected by natural disasters, pandemics, acts of terrorism, and other catastrophic events.
The occurrence of natural disasters, extreme weather events, acts of terrorism, health crises, the occurrence or worsening of disease outbreaks or pandemics, or other catastrophic events, as well as government actions or other restrictions in connection with such events, could adversely affect our financial condition or results of operations. The emergence of widespread health emergencies or pandemics, such as COVID-19, could lead to quarantines, business shutdowns, labor shortages, disruptions to supply chains, and overall economic instability. Additionally, potential acts of terrorism may occur in any of the markets in which we operate. Such events could affect the stability of our deposit base, impair the ability of borrowers to repay outstanding loans, impair the value of collateral securing loans, cause significant property damage, result in loss of revenue and/or cause us to incur additional expenses. The occurrence of any such event in the future could have a material adverse effect on our business, which, in turn, could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Our ability to make opportunistic acquisitions is subject to significant risks, including the risk that regulators will not provide the requisite approvals.
We may make opportunistic whole or partial acquisitions of other banks, branches, financial institutions, or related businesses from time to time that we expect may further our business strategy. Any possible acquisition will be subject to regulatory approval, and there can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain such approval in a timely manner or at all. Even if we obtain regulatory approval, these acquisitions could involve numerous risks, including lower than expected performance or higher than expected costs, difficulties related to integration, diversion of management's attention from other business activities, changes in relationships with customers, and the potential loss of key employees. In addition, we may not be successful in identifying acquisition candidates, integrating acquired institutions, or preventing deposit erosion or loan quality deterioration at acquired institutions. Competition for acquisitions can be intense, and we may not be able to acquire other institutions on attractive terms. There can be no assurance that we will be successful in completing or will even pursue future
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acquisitions, or if such transactions are completed, that we will be successful in integrating acquired businesses into operations. Our ability to grow may be limited if we choose not to pursue or are unable to successfully make acquisitions in the future.
Extensive regulation and supervision have a negative impact on our ability to compete in a cost-effective manner and may subject us to material compliance costs and penalties, and changes in regulation could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Valley, primarily through its principal subsidiary and certain non-bank subsidiaries, is subject to extensive federal and state regulation, supervision and examination. Banking laws, regulations, and rules are primarily intended to protect depositors’ funds, federal deposit insurance funds and the banking system as a whole. Many laws and regulations affect Valley’s lending practices, capital structure, investment practices, dividend policy and growth, among other things. They encourage Valley to ensure a satisfactory level of lending in defined areas and establish and maintain comprehensive programs relating to anti-money laundering and customer identification. Congress, state legislatures, and federal and state regulatory agencies continually review banking laws, regulations and policies for possible changes. We expect the current U.S. presidential administration will continue implementing a regulatory reform agenda that is significantly different than that of the prior administration, impacting the rulemaking, supervision, examination and enforcement priorities of the federal banking agencies. Any such changes, including with respect to statutes, regulations or regulatory policies and changes in interpretation or implementation thereof, could affect Valley in substantial and unpredictable ways. Such changes could subject Valley to additional costs, limit the types of financial services and products it may offer and/or increase the ability of non-banks to offer competing financial services and products, or may impact consumer trust in financial institutions, among other things. Failure to comply with laws, regulations or policies could result in sanctions by regulatory agencies, civil money penalties and/or reputational damage, which could have a material adverse effect on Valley’s business, financial condition and results of operations.
Valley’s compliance with certain of these laws will also be considered by banking regulators when reviewing bank merger and bank holding company acquisitions. Valley and its peer institutions generally experienced increased regulatory scrutiny following negative developments in the banking industry in 2023, and this increased scrutiny may continue notwithstanding the Trump Administration’s pursuit of a regulatory reform agenda.
Heightened regulatory scrutiny or the results of an investigation or examination may lead to additional regulatory investigations or enforcement actions. Regulatory enforcement and fines have increased across the banking and financial services sector. There is no assurance that those actions will not result in regulatory settlements or other enforcement actions against Valley or the Bank. Furthermore, a single event involving a potential violation of law or regulation may give rise to numerous and overlapping investigations and proceedings by multiple federal and state agencies and officials. In addition, if one or more financial institutions are found to have violated a law or regulation relating to certain business activities, this could lead to investigations by regulators or other governmental agencies of the same or similar activities by other financial institutions, including Valley, and large fines and remedial measures that may have been imposed in resolving earlier investigations for the same or similar activities at other financial institutions may be used as the basis for future settlements.
We are subject to numerous laws designed to protect consumers, including the CRA and fair lending laws, and failure to comply with these laws could lead to a wide variety of sanctions.
The CRA, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, the Fair Housing Act and other fair lending laws and regulations impose community investment and nondiscriminatory lending requirements on financial institutions. The CFPB, the U.S. Department of Justice and other federal agencies are responsible for enforcing these laws and regulations. A successful regulatory challenge to an institution’s performance under the CRA, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, the Fair Housing Act or other fair lending laws and regulations could result in a wide variety of sanctions, including damages and civil money penalties, injunctive relief, restrictions on mergers and acquisitions, restrictions on expansion and restrictions on entering new business lines. Private parties also may challenge an institution’s performance under fair lending laws in litigation. Such actions could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Changes in accounting policies or accounting standards could cause us to change the manner in which we report our financial results and condition in adverse ways and could subject us to additional costs and expenses.
Valley’s accounting policies are fundamental to understanding its financial results and condition. Some of these policies require the use of estimates and assumptions that may affect the value of Valley’s assets or liabilities and financial results. Valley identified its accounting policies regarding the allowance for credit losses, goodwill and other intangible assets, and income taxes to be critical because they require management to make difficult, subjective and complex judgments about matters that are inherently uncertain. Under each of these policies, it is possible that materially different amounts would be reported under different conditions, using different assumptions, or as new information becomes available.
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From time to time, the FASB and the SEC change their guidance governing the form and content of Valley’s external financial statements. In addition, accounting standard setters and those who interpret GAAP, such as the FASB, SEC and banking regulators may change or even reverse their previous interpretations or positions on how these standards should be applied. Such changes are expected to continue, including in connection with the efforts of the FASB and International Accounting Standards Board to achieve convergence between GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards. Changes in GAAP and changes in current interpretations are beyond Valley’s control, can be hard to predict and could materially impact how Valley reports its financial results and condition. In certain cases, Valley could be required to apply new or revised guidance retroactively or apply existing guidance differently (also retroactively) which may result in Valley restating prior period financial statements for material amounts. Additionally, significant changes to GAAP may require costly technology changes, additional training and personnel, and other expenses that will negatively impact our results of operations.
Legal proceedings could result in significant expenses, losses and damage to our reputation.
We are, and in the future may become, subject to various lawsuits, claims and proceedings. The banking industry is highly regulated and banks have a large number of customers and engage in a high volume of transactions with numerous counterparties. As a result, legal proceedings can arise in the ordinary course of our business, including lawsuits that may involve customers and former customers, borrowers, contractual counterparties, bankruptcy trustees, current and former employees, and other parties, potentially including shareholders, as well as inquiries and investigations involving various regulators. These actions may include claims for monetary damages, penalties, fines and demands for injunctive relief and one single event or issue may give rise to numerous or overlapping investigations or proceedings. If these matters are not resolved in a manner that is favorable to us, we could incur significant financial liability, become subject to restrictions or other changes on how we conduct or business, and suffer significant reputational harm that may adversely affect the market perception of our products and services. In addition, legal and regulatory matters may divert management’s attention and other resources away from our business. Any of these consequences could have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Technology Risks
Cybersecurity incidents and other disruptions to our information systems, as well as those of our third-party service providers, could expose us to liability, losses, operational disruption and escalating operating costs.
Valley regularly collects, transmits, stores and otherwise processes personal, confidential, proprietary or sensitive information regarding its customers, employees and others for whom it services loans. In some cases, this personal, confidential, proprietary or sensitive information is collected, compiled, transmitted, stored or otherwise processed by third parties on Valley’s behalf. Cybersecurity risks have increased because of the proliferation of new technologies, including artificial intelligence, and the increased sophistication and activities of threat actors, including organized criminal groups, “hacktivists,” terrorists, nation states, nation-state supported actors and other external parties. Many financial institutions and companies engaged in data processing have reported significant breaches in the security of their websites or other systems or networks, some of which have involved sophisticated and targeted attacks intended to obtain unauthorized access to personal, confidential, proprietary or sensitive information, destroy data, deny service, or sabotage systems or networks, often through, among other things, the introduction of computer viruses or malware, social engineering attacks (including phishing attacks), credential stuffing, account takeovers and other means. In addition, there have been well-publicized “ransomware” attacks against various U.S. companies with the intent to materially disrupt their computer network and services. Globally, cybersecurity attacks are increasing in number and the attackers are increasingly organized and well-financed, or at times supported by state actors. In addition, geopolitical tensions or conflicts, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, increasing tension with China, U.S. foreign policy and potential military actions, or the unfolding events in the Middle East, may create a heightened risk of cybersecurity attacks. Cybersecurity risks also may derive from fraud, malice, or negligence on the part of our employees or third parties, or may result from human error, mistakes in connection with over-the-air updates, software bugs, server malfunctions, software or hardware failure or other technological failure. Such threats may be difficult to detect for long periods of time and also may become more frequent or effective through threat actors’ use of artificial intelligence.
We, entities that we have acquired, and certain of our third-party service providers have experienced cybersecurity incidents in the past, and may be vulnerable to future security breaches. Breaches of our systems or our vendors’ systems may expose customer data or confidential information or disrupt our services, exposing us to significant damage, operational disruption, ongoing operational and forensic investigation costs, litigation, regulatory inquiries or enforcement actions, fines, penalties, and/or reputational harm. Some of our vendors may store or have access to our data and we rely on these vendors to implement information security programs commensurate with the relevant risk. A vulnerability in our vendors’ software or systems, a failure of our vendors’ safeguards, policies or procedures, or a cyber-attack or other cybersecurity incident affecting any of these third parties could harm our business. Our ability to monitor cybersecurity practices of our vendors may be limited, and we may not be able to prevent a failure or cybersecurity incident by a vendor that may impact us or our customers. In 2023,
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a third party gained unauthorized access to certain Bank customer data through our third-party service providers’ use of the MOVEit file transfer software. While our business has not been materially impacted by this or other cybersecurity incidents, similar incidents could have a material adverse effect on our business in the future.
Cybersecurity risk exposure will remain elevated or increase in the future due to, among other things, the increasing size and prominence of Valley in the financial services industry, our expansion of internet and mobile banking tools and new products based on customer needs, use of new tools like artificial intelligence, and the system and customer account conversions associated with the integration of merger targets. Successful attacks on us or any one of our many third-party service providers may adversely affect our business and result in the loss of, unauthorized access to or disclosure of, or the misuse or misappropriation of, our personal, confidential, proprietary or sensitive information or that of our customers. There can be no assurance that we or our third-party service providers will not suffer a cyber-attack or other cybersecurity incident that exposes us to significant damages, operational costs, litigation, regulatory enforcement, investigations, fines, sanctions or other penalties, or reputational harm.
We are subject to complex and evolving laws, regulations, rules, standards and contractual obligations regarding data privacy, cybersecurity, and artificial intelligence, which could increase the cost of doing business, compliance risks and potential liability.
We are subject to complex and evolving laws, regulations, rules, standards and contractual obligations relating to cybersecurity, data privacy (including relating to the use and security of the personal information of clients, employees or others), and artificial intelligence, and any failure to comply with these laws, regulations, rules, standards and contractual obligations could expose us to liability, regulatory action, fines, and/or reputational damage. The regulatory frameworks for data privacy, cybersecurity, and artificial intelligence are in considerable flux and evolving rapidly, and these laws and regulations may be interpreted and applied differently over time and from jurisdiction to jurisdiction, and federal law may conflict with some state and local laws. As new cybersecurity, data privacy, and artificial intelligence laws, regulations, rules, and standards are implemented, the time and resources needed for us to comply with such laws, regulations, rules and standards, as well as our potential liability for non-compliance and reporting obligations in the case of cyber-attacks, information security breaches or other similar incidents, may significantly increase. Compliance with these laws, regulations, rules, and standards may require us to change our policies, procedures and technology, including for information security, which could, among other things, make us more vulnerable to operational failures and to monetary penalties for breach of such laws, regulations, rules and standards.
In addition to various data privacy and cybersecurity laws and regulations already in place, U.S. states and local governments are increasingly adopting cybersecurity, data privacy, and artificial intelligence laws and regulations that may be more stringent, broader in scope, or offer greater individual rights, with respect to personal information than federal or other state laws and regulations, and such laws and regulations may differ from each other, which may complicate compliance efforts and increase compliance costs. Aspects of federal, state, and local laws and regulations relating to cybersecurity, data privacy and artificial intelligence, as well as their enforcement, remain unclear, and we may be required to modify our practices in an effort to comply with them. See Item 1. Business—"Supervision and Regulation"—"Data Privacy and Cybersecurity Regulation" for more information regarding applicable data privacy and cybersecurity laws and regulations.
Further, we cannot ensure that our privacy policies and other disclosures or statements regarding our practices will be sufficient to protect us from claims, proceedings, liability or adverse publicity relating to data privacy and security. Although we endeavor to comply with our privacy policies, we may at times fail to do so or be alleged to have failed to do so. The publication of our privacy policies and other documentation that provide promises and assurances about data privacy and cybersecurity can subject us to potential government or legal action if they are found to be deceptive, unfair, or misrepresentations of our actual practices. Any concerns about our data privacy and cybersecurity practices, even if unfounded, could damage our reputation and adversely affect our business.
Any failure or perceived failure by us to comply with our privacy policies, or applicable data privacy and cybersecurity laws, regulations, rules, standards or contractual obligations, or any compromise of security that results in unauthorized access to, or unauthorized loss, destruction, use, modification, acquisition, disclosure, release or transfer of personal information, may result in requirements to modify or cease certain operations or practices, the expenditure of substantial costs, time and other resources, proceedings or actions against us, legal liability, costs for notification to affected individuals, governmental investigations, enforcement actions, claims, fines, judgments, awards, penalties, sanctions and costly litigation (including class actions). Any of the foregoing could harm our reputation, distract our management and technical personnel, increase our costs of doing business, adversely affect the demand for our products and services, and ultimately result in the imposition of liability, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
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Adoption of artificial intelligence tools by us and by our third-party vendors and service providers may increase the risk of errors, omissions, bias, unfair treatment or fraudulent behavior by our employees, clients, or counterparties, or other third parties which may result in reputational harm, liability, or impact our results of operations.
We have made, and expect to continue to make investments to integrate artificial intelligence tools into our solutions, including generative artificial intelligence, machine learning, agentic artificial intelligence and similar tools and technologies that collect, aggregate, analyze or generate data or other contents, or that can initiate or execute actions or workflows based on such data (collectively, “AI”), and we expect to continue to adopt such tools responsibly and as appropriate. We also expect our third-party vendors and service providers to increasingly develop and incorporate AI into their product offerings and services faster than we are able to do so independently.
There are significant risks involved in utilizing AI, and we cannot assure that our or our third-party vendors’ or service providers’ use of AI will enhance our products or services or produce the intended results. The adoption and incorporation of these tools can lead to concerns around safety and soundness, fair access to financial services, fair treatment to customers, inaccuracy of results broadly known as "hallucinations" and compliance with applicable laws and regulations. These risks can result from models being poorly designed or faulty and/or biased data being used for training, inadequate model testing or validation, narrow or limited human oversight, inadequate planning or due diligence, inappropriate or controversial data practices by developers or end-users, and other factors adversely affecting public opinion of AI and the acceptance of AI solutions. Additionally, to the extent that we may use AI for customer service communications, if such AI-enabled interactions do not operate as intended, including with respect to human escalation, or are negatively perceived by customers, then customer satisfaction and retention could be impacted and our exposure under applicable consumer protection, banking, and data privacy laws and regulations could also increase.
In an effort to adopt such tools responsibility and appropriately, we have implemented an AI governance, oversight, and strategic facilitation function that includes a risk assessment of internal and vendor AI solutions, due diligence, model validation, and controls, as well as detailed guidelines and policies designed to promote responsible, secure, and ethical use of AI. Our controls, testing and auditing processes may not prevent all errors, bias, unfair treatment or fraud in the use of AI in our services Also, given the rapid pace of adoption of these tools by vendors and service providers, we may not be aware of the addition of AI solutions prior to these tools being introduced into our environment. Failure to adequately manage AI risks can result in erroneous results and decisions made by misinformation, unwanted forms of bias, unauthorized access to sensitive, confidential, proprietary or personal information, and violations of applicable laws and regulations, leading to operational inefficiencies, competitive harm, reputational harm, ethical challenges, legal liability, regulatory findings or enforcement, losses, fines, and other adverse impacts on our business, operations and financial results. Also, if we do not have sufficient rights to use the data or other material or content on which the AI tools we use rely, or to use the outputs of such AI tools, we may incur liability through the violation of applicable laws and regulations, third-party intellectual property, privacy or other rights, or contracts to which we are a party.
To comply with the rapidly evolving legal and regulatory requirements governing the use of AI, we may be required to expend significant resources, and we may have to change our product offerings or business practices, or prevent or limit our use of AI.
Regulation of AI is rapidly evolving as legislators and regulators are increasingly focused on powerful emerging technologies. The technologies underlying AI and its uses are subject to a variety of laws and regulations, including intellectual property, data privacy and cybersecurity, consumer protection, competition, equal opportunity, and fair lending laws, and are expected to be subject to increased regulation and new laws or new applications of existing laws and regulations. AI is the subject of ongoing review by various governmental and regulatory agencies, and various U.S. states are applying, or are considering applying, existing laws and regulations to AI or are considering general legal frameworks for AI. We may not be able to anticipate how to respond to these rapidly evolving frameworks, and we may need to expend resources to adjust our operations or offerings in certain jurisdictions if the legal frameworks are inconsistent across jurisdictions. While we believe we have taken steps to be thoughtful in our development, training, and implementation of AI, it is not guaranteed that regulators will agree with our approach to limiting AI risks or to our compliance more generally. In addition, because AI technology itself is highly complex and rapidly developing, it is not possible to predict all of the legal, operational or technological risks that may arise relating to the use of AI.
Risks Related to an Investment in Our Securities
We may reduce or eliminate the cash dividend on our common stock, which could adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
Holders of our common stock are only entitled to receive such cash dividends as the Board may declare out of funds legally available for such payments. We are not required to continue our historical practice of declaring dividends on our
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common stock and may reduce or eliminate our common stock cash dividend in the future depending upon our results of operations, financial condition or other metrics. This reduction or elimination of our dividend could adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
If our subsidiaries are unable to pay dividends or make distributions to us, we may be unable to make dividend payments to our preferred and common shareholders or interest payments on our long-term borrowings and junior subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts.
Valley National Bancorp is a separate and distinct legal entity from our banking and non-banking subsidiaries and depends on dividends, distributions, and other payments from the Bank and its non-banking subsidiaries to fund cash dividend payments on our preferred and common stock and to fund most payments on our other obligations. Regulations relating to capital requirements affect the ability of the Bank to pay dividends and other distributions to us and to make loans to us. Additionally, if our subsidiaries’ earnings are not sufficient to make dividend payments to us while maintaining adequate capital levels, we may not be able to make dividend payments to our preferred and common shareholders or interest payments on our long-term borrowings and junior subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts. Furthermore, our right to participate in a distribution of assets upon a subsidiary’s liquidation or reorganization is subject to the prior claims of the subsidiary’s creditors.
Future acquisitions may dilute shareholder value.
We regularly evaluate opportunities to acquire other financial institutions. Future mergers or acquisitions involving cash, debt, or equity securities may occur at any time. Acquisitions typically involve the payment of a premium over book and market values, and therefore, some dilution of our tangible book value per common share may occur in connection with any future acquisitions.
Future offerings of common stock, preferred stock, debt or other securities may adversely affect the market price of our stock and dilute the holdings of existing shareholders.
We have increased, and may in the future increase, our capital resources or, if our or the Bank’s actual or projected capital ratios fall below or near the current (Basel III) regulatory required minimums, we or the Bank could be forced to raise additional capital by making additional offerings of common stock, preferred stock or debt securities. Additional equity offerings may dilute the holdings of our existing shareholders or reduce the market price of our common stock, or both. Holders of our common stock are not entitled to preemptive rights or other protections against dilution. Upon liquidation, holders of our debt securities and shares of preferred stock, and lenders with respect to other borrowings will receive distributions of our available assets prior to the holders of our common stock. See Note 18 to the consolidated financial statements for more details on our common and preferred stock, including stock issuances during the second half of 2024.