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USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Risk Factors

Verbatim Item 1A Risk Factors from USA Rare Earth, Inc.'s latest 10-K. Filing date: 2026-03-30. Accession: 0001970622-26-000021.

This page reproduces the company's own Item 1A Risk Factors text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.

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Extracted from Item 1A Risk Factors to the first Item 1B/1C/2 boundary after HTML sanitization. Confidence: high. Source form: 10-K. Character span: 123548-255223.

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Item 1A — Risk Factors

The following discussion sets forth what management currently believes could be the most significant risks and uncertainties that could impact our business, results of operations, and financial condition. You should consider carefully the risks and uncertainties described below, together with all of the other information contained in this Annual Report. If any of the following events occur, our business, results of operations, and financial condition may be materially adversely affected. In that event, the trading price of our securities could decline, and you could lose all or part of your investment. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face. Additional risks and uncertainties that we are unaware of, or that we currently believe are not material, may also become important factors that adversely affect our business or results of operations. References to past events are provided by way of example only and they or the lack of reference to any past event or example are not intended to be a representation as to whether or not such factors have occurred in the past or their likelihood of occurring in the future.

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Risks Related to Manufacturing and Production

The Stillwater Facility is under development and is not yet completed, we have not commenced producing and selling neo magnets, and we have no history in commercial operations and the lack of commercial operations limits the accuracy of any forward-looking forecasts, prospects or business outlook or plans.

We have not commenced production of neo magnets at our Stillwater Facility, and we may not be able to secure the necessary feedstock, offtake, or equipment in order to economically produce neo magnets, including from the Round Top Project. We have not realized any revenues to date from the sale of neo magnets or critical minerals, rare earth minerals, or lithium, and our operating cash flow needs have been financed through the incurrence of debt and equity raises and not through cash flows derived from our operations. As a result, we have little historical financial and operating information available to help you evaluate our performance. Any profitability in the future from our business will be dependent upon economical development of the Stillwater Facility and production of neo magnets, which is subject to numerous risk factors. Accordingly, we may not realize profits, including in the medium to long term. Additional expenditures are required to construct, complete and install additional neo magnet production equipment and our neo magnet production capabilities might not be able to fully utilize the nameplate capacity of the equipment. In addition, we have no operating history upon which to base estimates of future operating costs and capital requirements. Actual operating costs and economic returns of any and all of our Projects may materially differ from the costs and returns estimated, and accordingly our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows may be negatively affected. In the near term, our development and growth depends on our ability to: (i) successfully produce magnets at the Stillwater Facility; (ii) secure one or more reliable sources of rare earth feedstock at prices that are acceptable and attractive to us; and (iii) secure one or more neo magnet customers that are willing and able to purchase our neo magnets at prices that are expected to be profitable for us. Delays in the completion of the Stillwater Facility or the Round Top Project could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

The Round Top Project is at the exploration stage and we have not commenced construction or commission of the mine nor related facilities, and the development of the Round Top Project into a producing mine is subject to a variety of risks, any number of which may cause the development of the Round Top Project into a producing mine to not occur, be delayed, or not result in the commercial extraction of minerals.

We do not have declared mineral resources as defined under Item 1300 of Regulation S-K and have not yet begun to extract minerals from the Round Top Project. The Round Top Deposit might not be able to be commercially mined and our ongoing exploration programs may not result in the development of profitable commercial mining operations. Few properties or deposits that are explored are ultimately developed into producing mines. Major expenses will be required to complete the Round Top Project. We may not be able to develop the Round Top Project into an operating mine and doing so may not result in the commercial extraction of mineral deposits. There are many factors that may result in the Round Top Project not reaching completion or production, including failure to obtain adequate funding, failure to successfully complete a pre-or a definitive feasibility study that the project could profitably produce rare earth minerals, failure to meet lease related timelines, failure to satisfy other operational risks regarding obtaining adequate power, water, expertise and human resources, failure to obtain and sustain the necessary permits for operations and other aspects of the business of operating the Round Top Project. We may never reach commercial or profitable production of rare earth minerals. Even if the Round Top Project is mined, we may not realize profits from our exploration or development activities in the short, medium, or long term. The actual risks that we will face in the future in connection with the Round Top Project are unknown at this time, but may include:

•The preliminary and definitive feasibility studies, when delivered, may not support the economic viability of the Round Top Project moving forward, and the assumptions used in the studies to underpin the viability of the Round Top Project (including, but not limited to, the prices of critical minerals, rare earth minerals or lithium) may not remain accurate in the future.

•We are in the process of developing a flow sheet with respect to the processing of rare earth minerals from our assets in the Round Top Project, but we may not be able to do so. If we are unable to develop a flow sheet that results in profitable production, our business and results of operations may be harmed.

•An increase in the global supply of rare earth magnets or critical and rare earth minerals and lithium related products, dumping, predatory pricing and other tactics by our competitors or state actors may adversely affect our profitability.

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•When compared to many industrial and commercial operations, mining exploration and development projects are high risk and subject to uncertainties. Each mineral resource is unique and the nature of the mineralization, and the occurrence and grade of the minerals, as well as behavior of the mineral resource during mining, are unpredictable. Any mineral resource estimates may be materially different from mineral quantities we may recover, any life-of-mine estimates may prove inaccurate and market price fluctuations and changes in operating and capital costs may render mineral resources uneconomic to mine. Uncertainty and/or error in our estimates of minerals in the Round Top Deposit could result in lower-than-expected revenues and higher-than-expected costs.

•The mining and production of rare earth and critical minerals and lithium and related products is a highly competitive industry in a high demand and growth environment and additional rare earth and critical mineral and lithium manufacturing, refining and mining competitors could result in a reduction in revenue.

•The imposition of tariffs related to rare earths and other critical minerals and a resulting trade dispute could disrupt the market for our products.

•The mining and production of rare earth and critical minerals and lithium and related products is a capital-intensive business that requires the commitment of substantial resources; if we do not have sufficient capital or resources to provide for such activities, it could negatively impact our business.

•The performance of the Round Top Project will depend on its ability to reach favorable production rates for the separation of rare earths.

•The revenue generated by the Round Top Project may be negatively impacted by possible competition from substitutions for critical and rare earth minerals and lithium.

•Our continued growth depends on our ability to obtain commercial deployment of our mineral processing and purification technology, or the identification of third-party technologies or processes, and the ability of any such technology and/or processes to efficiently process and purify one or more feedstocks of mixed rare earth mineral concentrates.

•Actual capital costs, operating costs, production and economic returns may differ significantly from those we have anticipated, and future development activities may not result in profitable mining, processing or production operations.

•The Round Top Project has no operating history on which to base estimates of future operating costs and capital requirements. Before operations commence, any projections we may produce are based upon estimates and assumptions made at the time they were prepared. If these estimates or assumptions prove to be incorrect or inaccurate, our actual operating results may differ materially from any forecasted results.

•Our resource estimates, if any, may change significantly when new information or techniques become available. In addition, by their very nature, resource estimates are imprecise and depend to some extent on interpretations, which may prove to be inaccurate. As further information becomes available through additional fieldwork and analysis, our estimates, if any, are likely to change and these changes may result in a reduction in our resources. These changes may also result in alterations to our development and mining plans, which may, in turn, adversely affect our operations.

•We face opposition from organizations that oppose mining which may disrupt or delay our Round Top Project.

•We will be required to obtain and sustain governmental permits and approvals to develop and operate the Round Top Project, a process which is often costly, time-consuming and somewhat uncertain as to outcome. These permits may include permits related to disposal of radioactive mineral waste, which will depend on how we conduct our processing operations in the future as well as what thresholds (regarding whether a permit is required or not) are set by the government at that point in time. Failure to obtain or retain any necessary permits or approvals for our planned operations may negatively impact our business.

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•Our mining rights are held by one of our subsidiaries, which as of December 31, 2025, is owned approximately 81.3% by us and approximately 18.7% by a minority member of the applicable subsidiary. If the minority member does not meet its capital contribution requirements, then we would need to raise additional funds to cover the minority member’s shortfall in connection with the Round Top Project in exchange for additional equity in the subsidiary. Additionally, if the value of the equity of the minority member increases then the rate of dilution of the minority member’s equity in the subsidiary will decrease. Further, our interests may not align at all times with such minority member and divergence of interests may negatively impact our business.

•A third-party has obtained prospecting permits from the Texas General Land Office (“GLO”) for land in close proximity to our Round Top Project, including land for which we have an active surface lease. There is a possibility for the third-party to convert such prospecting permits into mineral leases and, if converted, such mineral leases would potentially impact our ability to conduct our operations as currently planned.

•Land reclamation and mine closure may be burdensome and costly.

•Because of the dangers involved in the mining of minerals, there is a risk that we may incur liability or damages as we conduct our business.

•We and our management do not have experience operating a mine and may not have a complete or accurate understanding of the risks we may face in the future related to the Round Top Project.

We may experience time delays, unforeseen expenses, increased capital costs, and other complications while developing our Projects, these could delay the start of revenue-generating activities and increase development costs.

The production of neo magnets and mineral exploration and mining by their nature involve significant risks and hazards, including environmental hazards, as well as industrial and mining accidents. These include, for example, occupational hazards, leaks, ruptures, explosions, chemical spills, seismic events, fires, cave-ins and blockages, flooding, discharges of gasses and toxic substances, contamination of water, air or soil resources, unusual and unexpected rock formation affecting mineralization or wall rock characteristics, ground or slope failures, rock bursts, wildfires, radioactivity and other accidents, incidents, or conditions resulting from mining or manufacturing activities, including, among others, blasting and the transport, storage and handling of hazardous materials. In particular, the production of neo magnets involves the use of heavy equipment and operations at high temperatures. These operations can be dangerous and safety incidents in these operations may cause damage to and loss of equipment, injury or death, monetary losses and potential legal liabilities. Any such incidents could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition. Furthermore, there is the risk that relevant regulators may impose fines and work stoppages for non-compliant production or mining operating procedures and activities, which could reduce or halt production or mining until lifted. The occurrence of any of these events could delay or halt production, increase production costs and result in financial and regulatory liability for us, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. In addition, the relevant environmental authorities have issued and may issue administrative directives and compliance notices in the future, to enforce the provisions of the relevant statutes to take specific anti-pollution measures, continue with those measures and/or to complete those measures. The authorities may also order the suspension of part, or all of, our operations if there is non-compliance with legislation. Contravention of some of these statutes may also constitute a criminal offense and an offender may be liable for a fine or imprisonment, or both, in addition to administrative penalties. As a result, the occurrence of any of these events may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

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Our research and development programs may not succeed in achieving their technological objectives, which could impair our ability to establish commercially viable extraction, separation, and magnet manufacturing operations.

Our business model and long-term commercial success depend heavily on the successful outcome of our research and development activities across two distinct programs: (i) our Colorado Facility, focused on developing proprietary extraction and separation technologies; and (ii) our in-house Innovations Lab and R&D Program at the Stillwater Facility, focused on developing the intellectual property, technologies, and processes for manufacturing of sintered NdFeB permanent magnets. There is no assurance that either program will yield commercially viable, scalable results. The Colorado Facility is a development and demonstration facility, not a commercial production facility, and the technologies developed there may prove insufficient or prohibitively costly to scale. Similarly, our Innovations Lab may fail to develop magnet formulations and processes that are competitive in performance and cost, or that satisfy the exacting qualification requirements of defense and commercial customers. If our research and development programs fail to achieve their objectives, or if successful results cannot be translated into scalable commercial processes in a timely manner, our business, results of operations, and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.

Until our Round Top Project is capable of satisfying our feedstock needs, if ever, our business is subject to the availability of rare earth oxide and metal feedstock, in quantities and prices that allow us to develop and commercially operate our Stillwater Facility.

Our Round Top Project is in its exploration stage and is not currently able to satisfy the feedstock needs necessary for the development and commercial operation of our Stillwater Facility and may never be able to do so. Unless and until our Round Top Project is capable of satisfying our feedstock needs, we will be required to enter into feedstock supply agreements with third-parties. We are in the process of pursuing feedstock supply and offtake arrangements with potential counterparties in an effort to provide adequate sources of feedstock for the purchase of all or substantially all of our production from our Stillwater Facility, once operational, on terms favorable to us. As discussed elsewhere in this Annual Report, we have executed feedstock supply agreements with certain counterparties. However, they may not be able to provide all of the feedstock which we may require or at economical prices. If we are unable to secure supply agreements that ensure that all of our feedstock needs are met or if we are able to secure such agreements but the counterparties fail to meet their obligations, we may not achieve our goals. If this happens, our results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.

The production of neo magnets is a capital-intensive business that requires the commitment of substantial resources; if we do not have sufficient capital or other resources necessary to provide for such production, it could negatively impact our business.

Neo magnet production requires large amounts of capital, and long-term production and processing requires significant capital investment, working capital, and ongoing maintenance expenditure. We expect to materially increase our capital expenditures and working capital requirements to begin production of neo magnets and support the growth of our business and operations. To support this growth, we may need to raise additional capital (debt or equity) from time-to-time to complete or fund our long-range Projects. Our long-term business plan is based on, among other things, expectations as to capital expenditures and if we are unable to fund those long-term capital expenditures or the level of necessary capital expenditures increases above our current expectations, we will not achieve the long-term targets set forth in our business plan or be able to develop currently contemplated or future capital projects or be able to continue production at cost-effective levels. Furthermore, any such reduction in long-term capital expenditures may cause us to forego some of the benefits of any future increases in commodity prices, as it is generally costly or impossible to resume production immediately or complete a deferred expansionary capital expenditure project once delayed, which may adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition.

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We will need to produce our products to exacting specifications in order to provide future customers with a consistently high-quality product. An inability to meet individual customer specifications would negatively impact our business.

Upon commencing commercial operations at our Stillwater Facility, we need to produce neo magnets to meet customer needs and specifications and to provide customers with a consistently high-quality product and to meet ever-stricter purity requirements. An inability to perfect the neo magnet production process to the level necessary in order to meet individual customer specifications may have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations. In addition, customer needs and specifications may change with time. Any delay or failure in developing processes to meet changing customer needs and specifications may have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.

We may be adversely affected by fluctuations in demand for, and prices of, neo magnets, magnet materials, and necessary feedstock.

Because our revenue is, and will for the foreseeable future be, derived from the production and sale of neo magnets, changes in demand for, and the market price of, and taxes and other tariffs and fees imposed upon such products and their inputs could significantly affect our profitability. Our financial results may be significantly adversely affected by declines in the prices of neo magnets or increases in the prices of necessary feedstock. Neo magnet prices may fluctuate and are affected by numerous factors beyond our control such as interest rates, exchange rates, taxes, tariffs, inflation or deflation, currency fluctuations, shipping and other transportation and logistics costs, global and regional supply and demand for neo magnets, potential industry trends, such as competitor consolidation or other integration methodologies, and the political and economic conditions of countries that produce and procure neo magnets. Furthermore, supply side factors have a significant influence on price volatility for critical and rare earth minerals, necessary feedstock, and neo magnet prices. Supply of rare earth minerals, necessary feedstock, and neo magnets is currently dominated by Chinese producers. The Chinese Central Government regulates production via quotas and environmental standards and has and may continue to change such production quotas and environmental standards. Periods of over supply or speculative trading of critical and rare earth minerals can lead to significant fluctuations in their market price .

In contrast, extended periods of high commodity prices may create economic dislocations that may be destabilizing to critical and rare earth minerals supply and demand and ultimately to the broader markets. While some periods of high critical and rare earth mineral market prices generally are beneficial to our financial performance if we are producing rare earth minerals, if ever, or if magnet prices rise in concert with such higher mineral prices, strong critical and rare earth mineral prices however also create economic pressure to identify or create alternate technologies that ultimately could depress future long-term demand for neo magnets or increase our feedstock costs, and at the same time may incentivize development of competing mining properties.

Additionally, because we are heavily dependent on third parties for feedstock, changes in the demand for, the market price of, or taxes, tariffs, or other fees imposed on such feedstock may affect our ability to acquire our supply needs at an economical price. Changes in the price of feedstock could materially and adversely affect our operations and ultimate financial results.

Risks Related to Business Operations

Since our inception, we have generated negative operating cash flows and we may experience negative cash flow from operations in the future. We may not be successful in achieving profitability.

We are an early-stage company with a limited operating history. Since our inception, we have generated negative operating cash flows and we may experience negative cash flow from operations in the future. We incurred a net loss of $298.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2025 and had an accumulated deficit of $387.4 million as of December 31, 2025. Our 2025 revenues were derived solely from our Less Common Metals business for a portion of the year following the Less Common Metals acquisition, and we have not yet generated revenues from neo magnet manufacturing or mineral production. We expect to sustain substantial operating expenses without generating sufficient revenues to cover those expenditures for the foreseeable future. Our future operations and strategic plans may be dependent upon the identification and successful completion of equity or debt financings. We may not be successful in completing equity or debt financings or in achieving profitability.

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We may not be able to generate positive cashflow from our expected future business operations. Our long-term success will depend on implementing our business strategy and operational plan, as well as our ability to generate revenues, achieve and maintain profitability and develop positive cash flows from our magnet production.

Our ability to continue with our business plan to produce and sell neo magnets and our future plans regarding the Round Top Project, ultimately depends on our ability to generate revenues, achieve and maintain profitability, and generate positive cash flow from our operations. We cannot assure you that our Projects will result in achieving and maintaining profitability and developing positive cash flows. The economic viability of our future business activities has many risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to:

•a significant, prolonged decrease in the price of neo magnets;

•difficulty in marketing and/or selling neo magnets;

•significantly higher than expected capital costs to construct and commission our Projects;

•significantly higher than expected feedstock costs to support magnet production in the near term until the Round Top Project is capable of satisfying our feedstock needs;

•significant delays, reductions or stoppages of production activities;

•shortages of adequate and skilled labor or a significant increase in labor costs;

•the introduction of significantly more stringent regulatory laws and regulations and associated delays in permitting; and

•delays in the availability of necessary equipment, including construction or production equipment.

Our future business activities may change as a result of any one or more of these risks and uncertainties.

We may not be able to convert current commercial discussions and/or memorandums of understanding with customers for the sale of our neo magnets and other products into definitive contracts, which may have a negative effect on our business.

We do not currently have any contractually committed customers for the planned output and delivery of neo magnets. We are actively working on completing our Stillwater Facility. Our success depends on our ability to generate revenue and operate profitably, which depends in part on our ability to identify target customers and convert such contacts into meaningful orders or expand on current customer relationships. We do not currently have any revenue or definitive off-take or sales agreements with customers in place. Although we are in periodic discussions with potential customers regarding potential offtake agreements, there is no assurance that the parties will be able to reach an agreement or that we will be able to produce and deliver the required neo magnets in accordance with the customer’s required specifications and timing requirements. If we are unable to negotiate, finalize and maintain such agreements and satisfy the conditions thereto in order to enter into definitive agreements, or are only able to do so on terms that are unfavorable to us, we will not be able to generate any revenue, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, operating results and financial condition.

We anticipate that in some cases our products will be delivered to certain customers on an early trial deployment basis for customer evaluation. If our targeted customers do not commit to making meaningful orders, it could adversely affect our business, prospects and results of operations. Our customers may require protections in the form of price reductions and other remedies for late delivery or performance problems. Delays in delivery of our products, unexpected performance problems or other events could cause us to fail to meet these contractual commitments, resulting in delays in obtaining necessary materials used in our production process, defects in material or workmanship or unexpected problems in our manufacturing process, which could lead to unanticipated revenue and earnings losses and financial penalties. The occurrence of any of these events could harm our business, prospects, results of operations and financial results.

Prior to reaching expected production rates at the Stillwater Facility, we intend to enter into short-and long-term sales contracts with new customers. However, there can be no assurance that these customers will enter into sales contracts for our products. Even if we do enter into offtake and/or sales agreements, we may fail to deliver the product required by such agreements or may experience production costs in excess of the fixed price to be paid to us under such agreements. The failure to enter into such contracts may have a material adverse effect on our financial position and results of operations.

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The success of our business will depend, in part, on the growth of existing and emerging uses for neo magnets.

Our strategy is to produce and sell neo magnets, which are used in existing and emerging technologies, such as hybrid and electric vehicles, wind turbines, robotics, medical equipment, military equipment and other high-growth, advanced motion technologies. The success of our business accordingly depends on the continued growth of these end markets and successfully commercializing neo magnets, in such markets. If the market for these existing and emerging technologies does not grow as we expect, grows more slowly than we expect, or if the demand for our products in these markets decreases, then our business, prospects, financial condition and operating results could be harmed. In addition, the market for these technologies, particularly in the automotive and wind turbine industry, tends to be cyclical, which exposes us to increased volatility, and it is uncertain as to how such macroeconomic factors will impact our business.

Although certain restrictions are expected in the future to prohibit the Department of War from procuring samarium-cobalt and NdFeB permanent magnets mined, refined, separated, melted, or produced in China or other covered countries, there can be no assurance that these restrictions will result in increased demand for our products. Implementation of the restrictions may be delayed, waived, or modified, and the anticipated growth in demand for non-Chinese rare earth magnets may not occur on the timelines currently expected, or at all. Even if the Department of War procurement requirements for compliant magnet supply increase as anticipated, we may not be positioned to benefit from such demand.

Further, a prolonged or significant economic contraction in the U.S. or worldwide could put downward pressure on market prices of neo magnets. Protracted periods of low prices for neo magnets could significantly reduce revenues and the availability of required development funds in the future. This could cause substantial reductions to, or a suspension of, magnet production operations, impair asset values and reduce our results of operations and financial condition.

An increase in the global supply of neo magnets or, dumping, predatory pricing and other tactics by our competitors or state actors may adversely affect our profitability.

The pricing and demand for neo magnets is affected by a number of factors beyond our control, including growth of economic development and the global supply and demand for neo magnets. China is projected to continue to account for a substantial portion of global neo production in the near future. China dominates the manufacture of metals and neo magnets from rare earths, capabilities that are not currently materially present in the United States, and the Chinese Central Government regulates production via quotas and environmental standards. Over the past few years, there has been significant restructuring of the Chinese markets in line with China Central Government policy. Assuming that we reach anticipated production rates for neo magnets and other planned downstream products and subsequently become fully operational and integrated, increased competition may lead our competitors to engage in predatory pricing or other behaviors designed to inhibit our further downstream integration. Any increase in the amount of neo magnets or related products available in the market, including those exported from other nations would result in increased competition and may result in price reductions, reduced margins or loss of potential market share, any of which could materially adversely affect our profitability. As a result of these factors, we may not be able to compete effectively against current and future competitors.

We operate in a highly competitive industry in a high demand and growth environment and additional manufacturing, refining and mining competitors could result in a reduction in revenue.

The rare earth magnet production and critical and rare earth minerals mining and processing markets are capital intensive and competitive. Production of neo magnets, and critical and rare earth minerals is dominated by our Chinese competitors. These competitors may have greater financial resources, as well as other strategic advantages to operate, maintain, improve and possibly expand their facilities. Additionally, our Chinese competitors have historically been able to produce at relatively low costs due to domestic economic and regulatory factors, including less stringent environmental and other governmental regulations and lower labor and benefit costs. For instance, many of our Chinese competitors dispose of the waste material from beneficiation in wet tailings dams, which are significantly less expensive to operate and potentially more harmful to the environment than the dry tailings method that we would expect to employ. Even upon successful completion of our planned business stages and/or Projects, if we are not able to achieve our anticipated costs of production, then any strategic advantages that our competitors may have over us, including, without limitation, lower labor, compliance and production costs, could have a material adverse effect on our business.

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Some of our competitors have made, or may make, acquisitions or enter into partnerships or other strategic relationships to achieve competitive advantages. In addition, new entrants not currently considered competitors may enter our market through acquisitions, partnerships or strategic relationships. We expect these trends to continue as demand for neo magnets and critical and rare earth materials increases. Industry consolidation may result in competitors with more compelling product offerings or greater pricing flexibility than we have, or business practices that make it more difficult for us to compete effectively, including on the basis of price, sales, technology or supply. These competitive pressures could have a material adverse effect on our business.

Changes in China’s or the United States’ political environment and policies, including changes in export/import policy may adversely affect our business.

Because of the current dominance of China in the critical and rare earth minerals industry, the possibility of adverse changes in trade or political relations with China as well as political instability in China could severely interfere with our industry and would have a material adverse effect on our operations.

Our sales may be adversely affected by the current and future political environment in China and the policies of the China Central Government. China could oversupply our markets in the U.S. and elsewhere with either cheaper magnet products or rare earth minerals or feedstock. China has historically heavily subsidized its domestic rare earth producers with respect to both rare earth feedstock and magnets. The U.S. government has called for substantial changes to foreign trade policy with China and has from time to time raised (as well as has proposed to further raise in the future), tariffs on several Chinese goods. China has at times retaliated with increased tariffs on U.S. goods, or the ban of exports of rare earth technologies and feedstock to other countries such as the U.S. While some impacts of Chinese trade policy may be beneficial for our business, any changes in U.S. trade policy could trigger retaliatory actions by affected countries, including China, resulting in trade wars which could likely result in increased volatility in the prices of rare earth and critical minerals, necessary feedstock, and neo magnets. Furthermore, unless and until these dynamic changes in favor of the increased competitiveness of domestic production, domestic production may not be economically viable in the global market place. As we are heavily dependent upon third-party feedstock unless and until our Round Top Project becomes a producing mine capable of satisfying our feedstock needs, if ever, and as China currently dominates the global supply of rare earth feedstock necessary for the production of neo magnets, any changes in U.S. and China relations, including through changes in policies by the Chinese government could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations, including: changes in laws, regulations or the interpretation thereof, confiscatory taxation, governmental royalties, restrictions on currency conversion, imports or sources of supplies, or the expropriation or nationalization of private enterprises.

The amount of capital required for completion and build-out of our Projects may increase materially from our current estimates, and we expect to raise further funds through equity or debt financing, joint ventures, production sharing arrangements or other means. Consequently, we depend on our ability to successfully access the capital and financial markets. Any inability to access the capital or financial markets may limit our ability to fund our ongoing operations, execute our business plan or pursue investments that we may rely on for future growth.

Until commercial production is achieved from our Projects, we will continue to incur operating and investing net cash outflows associated with including, but not limited to, build out and growth of our Stillwater Facility, maintaining and acquiring properties, undertaking ongoing activities and the funding obligations to develop the assets of our Projects. We will require additional capital to fund our ongoing operations, complete our Stillwater Facility, and — in connection with our Round Top Project — explore and define rare earth mineralization and establish any future mining or rare earth manufacturing operations. Such additional funding may not be available to us on satisfactory terms, or at all.

In order to finance our future ongoing operations and future capital needs, we will require additional funds through the issuance of additional equity or debt securities. Depending on the type and terms of any financing we pursue, shareholders’ rights and the value of their investment in our ordinary shares could be reduced. Any additional equity financing will dilute shareholdings. If the issuance of new securities results in diminished rights to holders of our ordinary shares, the market price of our ordinary shares could be negatively impacted. New or additional debt financing, if available, may involve restrictions on financing and operating activities. In addition, if we issue secured debt, the holders of the debt would have a claim to our assets that would be prior to the rights of shareholders until the debt is paid. Interest on such debt would increase costs and negatively impact operating results.

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If we are unable to obtain additional financing, as needed, at competitive rates, our ability to fund our current operations and implement our business plan and strategy will be affected, and we would be required to reduce the scope of our operations and scale back our exploration, development and mining programs. There is, however, no guarantee that we will be able to secure any additional funding or be able to secure funding which will provide us with sufficient funds to meet our objectives, which may adversely affect our business and financial position. Certain market disruptions may increase our cost of borrowing or affect our ability to access one or more financial markets. Such market disruptions could result from:

•adverse economic conditions, including inflationary factors and recessionary fears;

•adverse general capital market conditions, including rising interest rates;

•poor performance and health of the neo magnets industry in general;

•bankruptcy or financial distress of neo magnet companies or marketers;

•significant decrease in the demand for neo magnets; or

•adverse regulatory actions that affect our exploration and construction plans or the use of our current and planned products generally.

If additional capital is not available in sufficient amounts or on a timely basis, we will experience liquidity problems, and we could face the need to significantly curtail current operations, change our planned business strategies and pursue other remedial measures. Any curtailment of business operations would have a material negative effect on operating results, the value of our outstanding common and preferred shares.

Any failure by management to manage growth properly could negatively impact our business.

Future growth may place strains on our financial, technical, operational and administrative resources and cause us to rely more on project partners and independent contractors, thus, potentially adversely affecting our financial position and results of operations. We may not be successful in upgrading our technical, operational and administrative resources or increasing our internal resources sufficiently to provide certain of our services currently provided by third parties or which will be necessary in the future. Our inability to achieve or manage growth may materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

A power or other utility disruption or shortage at our Projects could temporarily delay operations and increase costs, which may negatively impact our business.

Our facilities currently rely on electricity and other utilities each provided by a single utility company in West Texas and North-Central Oklahoma, respectively. Instability in electrical or other utility supply could cause sporadic outages and brownouts. Any such outages or brownouts could have a negative impact on our production. As a result, our revenue could be adversely impacted and our relationships with our customers could suffer, adversely impacting our ability to generate future revenue and otherwise perform our contractual obligations. In addition, if power to any of our Projects is disrupted during certain phases of our production processes, we may incur significant expenses that may adversely affect our business.

Increasing costs, including rising electricity and other utility costs, or limited access to raw materials may adversely affect our profitability.

We use significant amounts of electricity and other utilities, including water, in our operations at our Projects and such usage will increase as we increase production. We also use significant amounts of raw materials, whether rare earth feedstock or other raw materials such as chemical reagents used to process rare earth oxides. We will need to purchase utilities and raw materials in the open market and as a result, we could be subject to significant volatility in cost and availability. We may not be able to pass increased prices of such utilities or raw materials through to our customers in the form of price increases. If the Round Top Project is not completed, operative, and commercial, we will be wholly reliant on third-party sources for feedstock for neo production which could be costly and damaging to our results of operations. A significant increase in the price or decrease in the availability of these utilities or raw materials, could materially increase our operating costs and adversely affect our profit margins and production volumes.

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Fluctuations in transportation costs or disruptions in transportation services or damage or loss during transport could decrease our competitiveness or impair our ability to deliver products to our customers.

We will need to transport our products to our future customers wherever they may be located. Finding affordable and dependable transportation is important because it allows us to supply customers around the world. Labor disputes, embargos, government restrictions, work stoppages, pandemics, derailments, damage or loss events, adverse weather conditions, other environmental events, changes to rail or ocean freight systems or other events and activities beyond our control could interrupt or limit available transport services, which could result in customer dissatisfaction and loss of sales potential and could materially adversely affect our results of operations.

Diminished access to water may adversely affect our operations.

Processing of rare earth oxides requires significant amounts of water. Any disruption in the process or loss of access to adequate water sources could prompt the need for significant access to fresh water. Additionally, once we complete the Round Top Project and our Stillwater Facility, we will require an even greater amount of water for our separation and extraction operations, including additional fresh water. With respect to the Round Top Project, we maintain and operate one water supply well field, which currently contains two wells, for potable and process water and own and/or lease land and wells in another water supply well field that we may be able to operate in the future. Any disruption to our current process or decrease in available water supply may have a material adverse effect on our operations and our financial condition or results of operations. In addition, future regulation or industry best practices may require more complex water reuse and recycling processes, which may increase operating costs.

We are subject to certain agreements with government entities that have provided us with certain incentives and favorable financing and contain conditions and obligations, including local investment, job creation, and repayment terms, that, if not complied with, could negatively impact our business or require us to repay that financing or lose access to those incentives.

We have been offered incentives by the State of Oklahoma, as well as the city of Stillwater, Oklahoma, to locate and operate our Projects, especially our Stillwater Facility. These incentives include cash grants, development financing at favorable terms, certain tax exemptions and rights to participate in government-subsidized jobs programs, among other things. If we do not comply with certain conditions and obligations in any such agreements, the governmental entities may terminate the respective agreement under which the incentives are to be provided, potentially resulting in our being required to repay certain funds and/or losing access to the applicable incentives and subsidized jobs programs. For more information on these agreements with government entities, see Note 9, “Government Grants,” of the Notes.

Our business may be adversely affected by force majeure events outside our control, including labor unrest, civil disorder, war, subversive activities or sabotage, extreme weather conditions, fires, floods, tornados, earthquakes, explosions or other catastrophes, epidemics, like COVID-19, or quarantine restrictions.

We may be impacted by natural disasters, wars, health epidemics or pandemics or other events outside of our control. For example, our Stillwater Facility is located in Stillwater, Oklahoma, which is in the geographical area known as “tornado alley.” If major disasters such as tornados, earthquakes, wildfires, health epidemics or pandemics, floods or other events occur, or our information system or communications network breaks down or operates improperly, our ability to continue operations at our Projects may be seriously damaged, or we may have to stop or delay production and shipment of our products. We may incur expenses or delays relating to such events outside of our control, which could have a material adverse impact on our business, operating results and financial condition.

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We are dependent upon information technology systems, which are subject to cyber threats, disruption, damage and failure. Any unauthorized access to, disclosure, or theft of personal information we gather, store, or use could harm our reputation and subject us to claims or litigation. Further, a failure of our information technology and data security infrastructure could adversely affect our business and operations.

We maintain information necessary to conduct our businesses, including confidential and proprietary information as well as personal information regarding our customers and employees, in digital form. We also use computer systems to deliver our products and services and operate our businesses. Data maintained in digital form is subject to the risk of unauthorized access, modification, exfiltration, destruction or denial of access and our computer systems are subject to cyberattacks that may result in disruptions in service. We use many third-party systems and software, which are also subject to supply chain and other cyberattacks. We attempt to develop and maintain information security programs to identify and mitigate cyber risks but the development and maintenance of these programs is costly and requires ongoing monitoring and updating as technology changes and efforts to overcome security measures become more sophisticated. Accordingly, despite our efforts, the risk of unauthorized access, modification, exfiltration, destruction or denial of access with respect to data or systems and other cybersecurity attacks cannot be eliminated entirely, and the risks associated with a potentially material incident remain. In addition, we provide some confidential, proprietary and personal information to third parties in certain cases when it is necessary to pursue business objectives. While we obtain assurances that these third parties will protect this information and, where we believe appropriate, monitor the protections employed by these third parties, there is a risk the confidentiality of data held by third parties may be compromised.

If our information or cyber security systems or data are compromised in a material way, our ability to conduct our businesses may be impaired, we may lose profitable opportunities or the value of those opportunities may be diminished and, as described above, we may lose revenue as a result of unlicensed use of our intellectual property. If personal information of our customers or employees is misappropriated, our reputation with our customers and employees may be damaged, resulting in loss of business or morale, and we may incur costs to remediate possible harm to our customers and employees or damages arising from litigation and/or to pay fines or take other action with respect to judicial or regulatory actions arising out of the incident. Insurance we obtain may not cover losses or damages associated with such attacks or events.

We rely on various information technology systems. These systems remain vulnerable to disruption, damage or failure from a variety of sources, including, but not limited to, errors by employees or contractors, computer viruses, cyberattacks, including phishing, ransomware, and similar malware, misappropriation of data by outside parties, and various other threats. Techniques used to obtain unauthorized access to or sabotage our systems are under continuous and rapid evolution, and we may be unable to detect efforts to disrupt our data and systems in advance. Breaches and unauthorized access carry the potential to cause losses of assets or production, operational delays, equipment failure that could cause other risks to be realized, inaccurate recordkeeping, or disclosure of confidential information, any of which could result in financial losses and regulatory or legal exposure, and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations. We may incur material losses relating to cyberattacks or other information security breaches in the future. Our risk and exposure to these matters cannot be fully mitigated because of, among other things, the evolving nature of these threats. As such threats continue to evolve, we may be required to expend additional resources to modify or enhance any protective measures or to investigate and remediate any security vulnerabilities.

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Risks Related to Human Capital and Community

We depend on key personnel for the success of our business. If we fail to retain our key personnel or if we fail to attract additional qualified personnel, we may not be able to achieve our desired level of growth and our business could suffer.

We highly value and depend on the contributions of our senior management and key personnel, particularly our experts with respect to magnet production. Our success continues to depend largely upon the performance of key officers, employees and consultants. The market for qualified talent has become increasingly competitive, with shortages of qualified talent relative to the number of available opportunities being experienced in all markets where we conduct our operations. The ability to remain competitive by offering higher compensation packages and programs for growth and development of personnel, with a view to retaining existing talent and attracting new talent, has become increasingly important to us. We may not be able to replace our senior management or key personnel (including personnel that are key to magnet production) with persons of equivalent expertise and experience within a reasonable period of time or at all if one or more of our senior management and key personnel are not retained, and we may incur additional expenses to recruit, train and retain additional personnel. Any prolonged inability to retain or attract key individuals could have a material adverse effect upon our growth potential and prospects. Additionally, we have not purchased any “key-man” insurance for our directors, officers or key employees.

Work stoppages or similar difficulties, breakdown in labor relations, or a shortage of skilled technicians and engineers could significantly disrupt our operations and reduce our revenues.

A work stoppage by any of the third-parties providing services in connection with construction at our Projects could significantly delay our Projects, especially our Stillwater Facility, and disrupt our operations, reduce our revenues and materially adversely affect our results of operations. Efficient production of critical minerals and rare earth products using modern techniques and equipment requires skilled technicians and engineers. In addition, our optimization and eventual downstream efforts will significantly increase the number of skilled operators, maintenance technicians, engineers and other personnel required to successfully operate our business. In the event that we are unable to hire, train and retain the necessary number of skilled technicians, engineers and other personnel there could be an adverse impact on our labor costs and our ability to reach anticipated production levels in a timely manner, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.

Our success depends on developing and maintaining relationships with local communities and stakeholders.

Our ongoing and future success depends on developing and maintaining productive relationships with the communities surrounding our Projects, including those people who may have rights or may assert rights to certain of our properties and other stakeholders in our operating locations. Local communities and stakeholders may be dissatisfied with our activities or the level of benefits provided, which may result in legal or administrative proceedings, civil unrest, protests, direct action or campaigns against us. Any such occurrence could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations, as well as our ability to commence or continue exploration or mine development activities.

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Risks Related to Acquisitions and Strategic Transactions

We are or may be subject to risks associated with acquisitions and strategic transactions.

As part of our ongoing business strategy, we regularly evaluate potential acquisition opportunities in the ordinary course of business as well as other types of strategic transactions. We may, from time to time, engage in discussions and negotiations with potential acquisition targets, partners or others, and we may enter into letters of intent, term sheets, or other non-binding or binding preliminary agreements with respect to potential acquisitions or other strategic transactions. These discussions and negotiations could subject us to a number of risks, including risks associated with sharing proprietary information, non-performance by a third party and increased expenses.

Any particular acquisition or other strategic opportunity we pursue may be material to our business, financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows. Acquisitions, if consummated, may be structured in a variety of ways and may be funded through cash on hand, borrowings, the issuance of equity or equity-linked securities (including shares of our common stock), or a combination thereof. The consideration paid in any acquisition may include cash, stock, assumption of liabilities, earnout arrangements, or other forms of consideration, or any combination of the foregoing.

In addition, we may acquire additional assets, products, technologies or businesses, which may require shareholder approval and approvals and licenses from relevant government authorities for the acquisitions and to comply with any applicable laws and regulations, which could result in increased delay and costs. Failure to obtain necessary approval may derail our business strategy. For example, our recent LCM Acquisition required approval from the U.K. Secretary of State under the National Security and Investment Act 2021 (“NSIA”).

We cannot provide any assurance that any discussions, negotiations, or letters of intent will result in a definitive agreement or that any proposed transaction will be consummated on the terms contemplated, or at all. Further, future acquisitions and the subsequent integration of new assets and businesses into us (including Less Common Metals) may require significant attention from our management and could result in a diversion of resources from our existing business, which in turn could have an adverse effect on our business operations. Acquired assets or businesses may not generate the expected financial results and may require additional investments in the acquired business after closing. Acquisitions could result in the use of substantial amounts of cash, the incurrence of substantial indebtedness, potentially dilutive issuances of equity securities, the occurrence of significant goodwill impairment charges, amortization expenses for other intangible assets and exposure to potential unknown liabilities of the acquired business. Moreover, the costs of identifying and consummating acquisitions may be significant.

We may fail to realize all of the anticipated benefits of the acquisition of Less Common Metals, including the anticipated acceleration of our mine-to-magnet strategy, on the anticipated timeline or at all.

We believe that there are significant benefits and synergies that may be realized through combining our existing business and the business of Less Common Metals, including accelerating our mine-to-magnet strategy and securing our access to high-quality rare-earth metal and strip cast alloy. However, the effort to realize these benefits and synergies is a complex process and may disrupt our and/or Less Common Metals’ operations if not implemented in a timely and efficient manner. The full benefits of the acquisition of Less Common Metals, including the anticipated synergies, growth opportunities and supply-chain benefits, may not be achieved within the time frame we anticipate or at all. Failure to achieve the anticipated benefits of the LCM Acquisition or to identify all the risks associated with the LCM Acquisition could adversely affect our results of operations or cash flows, decrease or delay any accretive effect of the LCM Acquisition, and negatively impact the price of our Common Stock and our long-term value.

In addition, we are required to devote significant attention and resources to successfully align our and Less Common Metals’ respective business practices and operations. This process and other integration challenges may disrupt our business and limit the anticipated benefits of the LCM Acquisition.

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Our success following completion of the LCM Acquisition depends on the ability to retain Less Common Metals’ existing customers and suppliers, as well as our ability to build relationships with new customers and suppliers.

Our success following the completion of the LCM Acquisition depends on our ability to retain Less Common Metals’ existing customers and suppliers, as well as our ability to build relationships with new customers and suppliers. The LCM Acquisition may create uncertainty among the Less Common Metals’ customers and suppliers, leading them to re-evaluate their business relationships. Customers may be concerned about potential changes in product offerings, pricing, service quality, or the combined company’s ability to meet their needs. Suppliers may have concerns about changes in purchasing volumes, payment terms, or the combined company’s financial stability.

If Less Common Metals’ customers decide to reduce or discontinue their business with the combined company, it could result in a significant loss of revenue. Similarly, if suppliers decide to terminate or renegotiate their agreements, it could lead to increased costs or disruptions in the supply chain. Furthermore, having closed the LCM Acquisition, we may face challenges in integrating and harmonizing customer service and supplier management processes, which could impact the quality of relationships and the ability to achieve operational efficiencies.

Less Common Metals and our ability to build or maintain strong relationships with customers and suppliers is critical to long-term success. Any failure to retain Less Common Metals’ customers and suppliers, or to establish and maintain effective relationships with new and existing customers and suppliers, could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.

The proposed TMRC Mergers may not be completed on the anticipated timeline or at all, and failure to complete the transaction could adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.

Completion of the proposed TMRC Mergers is subject to a number of conditions, including the requisite approval of TMRC's stockholders, required Nasdaq listing authorization (if applicable), the absence of any law or order prohibiting the transaction, and the effectiveness of a registration statement on Form S-4, which will include a prospectus relating to our shares to be issued as merger consideration and a proxy statement relating to TMRC’s stockholder meeting to approve the proposed transactions. In addition, either party may terminate the TMRC Merger Agreement under certain circumstances, including if the closing has not occurred within nine months of signing or if TMRC's stockholders do not approve the transaction. There is no assurance that these conditions will be satisfied, that the required approvals will be obtained, or that the TMRC Mergers will be completed on the anticipated timeline or at all.

Even if the proposed acquisition is completed, we may not realize the anticipated strategic or financial benefits. As of December 31, 2025, we held an 81.3% interest and TMRC held the remaining 18.7% interest in RTMD, and the TMRC Mergers are intended to consolidate our ownership of RTMD. However, there can be no assurance that consolidating 100% ownership will result in improved operating outcomes, accelerated development of the Round Top Project, or other anticipated benefits.

Upon completion of the transaction, TMRC stockholders will receive shares of our common stock, which will result in dilution to our existing stockholders.

Risks Related to Intellectual Property

If we infringe, or are accused of infringing, the intellectual property rights of third parties, it may increase our costs or prevent us from being able to commercialize new products.

There is a risk that we may infringe, or may be accused of infringing, the proprietary rights of third parties under patents and pending patent applications belonging to third parties that may exist in the U.S. and elsewhere in the world that relate to our rare earth products and processes. Because the patent application process can take several years to complete, there may be currently pending applications that may later result in issued patents that cover our products and processes. In addition, our products and processes may infringe existing patents.

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Defending ourselves against third-party claims, including litigation in particular, would be costly and time consuming and would divert management’s attention from our business, which could lead to delays in the completion of our Projects and our downstream expansion plans. If third parties are successful in their claims, we might have to pay substantial damages or take other actions that are adverse to our business. As a result of intellectual property infringement claims, or to avoid potential claims, we might:

•be prohibited from, or delayed in, selling or licensing some of our products or using some of our processes unless the patent holder licenses the patent to us, which it is not required to do;

•be required to pay substantial royalties or grant a cross license to our patents to another patent holder; or

•be required to redesign a product or process so it does not infringe a third party’s patent, which may not be possible or could require substantial funds and time.

In addition, we could be subject to claims that our employees, or we, have inadvertently or otherwise used or disclosed trade secrets or other proprietary information of third parties. If we are unable to resolve claims that may be brought against us by third parties related to their intellectual property rights on terms acceptable to us, we may be precluded from offering some of our products or using some of our processes.

We may not be able to adequately protect our intellectual property rights. If we fail to adequately enforce or defend our intellectual property rights, our business may be harmed.

Much of the technology used in the markets in which we compete is protected by patents and trade secrets, and our commercial success will depend in significant part on our ability to obtain and maintain patent and trade secret protection for our products and methods. To compete in these markets, we rely or may rely on a combination of trade secret protection, nondisclosure and licensing agreements, patents and trademarks to establish and protect our proprietary intellectual property rights, including our proprietary rare earth oxide and magnet production processes that are not currently patented. Our intellectual property rights may be challenged or infringed upon by third parties or we may be unable to maintain, renew or enter into new license agreements with third-party owners of intellectual property on reasonable terms. In addition, our intellectual property may be subject to infringement or other unauthorized use outside of the U.S. In such case, our ability to protect our intellectual property rights by legal recourse or otherwise may be limited, particularly in countries where laws or enforcement practices are undeveloped or do not recognize or protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as the United States. Unauthorized use of our intellectual property rights or our inability to preserve existing intellectual property rights could adversely impact our competitive position and results of operations. The loss of our patents, if and once received, could reduce the value of the related products. In addition, the cost to litigate infringements of our patents (if and once received) or other intellectual property, or the cost to defend ourselves against patent or other intellectual policy infringement actions by others, could be substantial and, if incurred, could materially affect our business and financial condition.

Proprietary trade secrets and unpatented know-how are also very important to our business. We rely on trade secrets to protect certain aspects of our technology, especially where we do not believe that patent protection is appropriate or obtainable. However, trade secrets are difficult to protect. Our employees, consultants, contractors, outside scientific collaborators and other advisors may unintentionally or willfully disclose our confidential information to competitors, and confidentiality agreements may not provide an adequate remedy in the event of unauthorized disclosure of confidential or proprietary information. Enforcing a claim that a third party illegally obtained and is using our trade secrets is expensive and time consuming, and the outcome is unpredictable. Moreover, our competitors may independently develop equivalent knowledge, methods and know-how. Failure to obtain or maintain trade secret protection could adversely affect our competitive business position.

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Risks Related to Legal and Regulatory Matters

We will be required to obtain and maintain governmental permits and approvals to develop and operate the Projects, a process which is often costly and time-consuming. Failure to obtain or retain any necessary permits or approvals for our planned operations may negatively impact our business.

We are required to obtain and renew governmental permits and approvals for our Projects in connection with any exploration and development activities that we may in the future undertake and, prior to mining any mineralization that we discover, we may be required to obtain additional governmental permits and approvals that we do not currently possess or anticipate. Obtaining and renewing any of these governmental permits is a complex, time-consuming and uncertain process involving numerous jurisdictions, multiple government agencies, public hearings and possibly costly undertakings. The timeliness and success of permitting efforts are contingent upon many variables, some of which are not within our control, including the interpretation of approval requirements administered by the applicable governmental authority as well as the time required for, and the outcome of, any necessary environmental impact assessment.

We may not be able to obtain or renew permits or approvals that are necessary to our planned operations, or we may discover that the cost and time required to obtain or renew such permits and approvals exceeds our expectations. Any unexpected delays, costs or conditions associated with the governmental approval process could delay our planned exploration, development and mining operations, which in turn could materially adversely affect our prospects, revenues and profitability. In addition, our prospects may be adversely affected by the revocation or suspension of permits or by changes in the scope or conditions for use of any permits obtained.

For example, while many of the permits required for development of the Round Top Project come, or are expected to come, from the State of Texas, it is possible that the project will require a permit from the federal government, such as a permit under Section 404 of the Clean Water Act. If the project requires a federal permit, the project will be subject to environmental review under the NEPA. In that circumstance, in addition to additional permitting review, NEPA also provides an additional avenue for opponents to challenge the project.

In addition, we are required to obtain other permits and approvals before construction or operations related to zoning, rezoning, construction mining, mineral concentration and chemical manufacturing. To obtain certain permits, we may be required to conduct environmental studies and collect and present data to governmental authorities pertaining to the potential impact of our current and future operations upon the environment and to take steps to avoid or mitigate those impacts. The permitting rules, and interpretation thereof, are complex and have generally become more stringent over time. In some cases, the public (including environmental interest groups) has rights to comment upon, and submit objections to, permit applications and environmental impact statements prepared in connection therewith, and otherwise participate in the permitting process. Accordingly, permits required for our operations, including our Projects, may not be issued in a timely fashion or at all, or may be issued or renewed upon conditions that restrict our ability to conduct our operations economically. Any such failure to obtain, maintain, exchange, amend or renew permits, or other permitting delays or conditions, including in connection with any environmental impact analyses, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.

Private parties, such as environmental organizations and local residents, frequently attempt to intervene in the permitting process to persuade regulators to deny necessary permits or seek to overturn permits that have been issued. These third-party actions can materially increase the costs of and cause delays in the permitting process and could cause us not to proceed with the development or operation of a property. In addition, our ability to successfully obtain key permits and approvals to explore for, develop, operate and expand operations will likely depend on our ability to undertake such activities in a manner consistent with the creation of social and economic benefits in the surrounding communities, which may or may not be required by law. Our ability to obtain permits and approvals and to successfully operate in particular communities may be adversely affected by real or perceived detrimental events associated with our activities.

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Tariffs by the United States, counter-tariffs by other countries and future changes in tariff policies could adversely affect our results of operations.

The U.S. has imposed, and could impose in the future, broad-ranging tariffs on imports from some of its largest trading partners. In retaliation, many countries have imposed, and could impose in the future, counter-tariffs on U.S.-produced items. Tariffs have spurred, and could continue to spur, additional retaliatory moves by affected countries, including by China and the European Union member states.

We also face material risks with respect to tariff policies and the uncertainties and potential changes in such policies. For example, if tariffs are modified or changed in the future or our preliminary information is incorrect regarding the impact of tariffs on us, our consolidated results of operations could be materially negatively impacted. In addition, for purposes of our operations, we seek to acquire various materials, supplies and components imported into the U.S., including certain equipment utilized in metal-making, magnet making, and magnet finishing and as a result, we have been adversely impacted by the imposition of trade restrictions on such goods. We may also be adversely impacted if tariffs significantly hurt the economic outlook and negatively impact consumer demand and our ability to raise capital in the future.

Our operations are subject, or may become subject, to environmental, health and safety regulations, which could impose additional costs and compliance requirements or could limit or prevent our ability to continue our current operations or to undertake new operations, and we may face claims and liability for breaches, or alleged breaches, of such regulations and other applicable laws.

Our operations are subject to compliance with various federal, state and local environmental, health and safety laws, regulations, permitting requirements and standards.

We are subject to environmental laws, regulations and permits in the various jurisdictions in which we operate. These environmental laws, regulations, and permits present greater risks if we progress our mining operations. Such regulations would include those relating to, among other things, the removal and extraction of natural resources, water usage and pollution, land use, procurement of certain materials used in our operations, the emission and discharge of materials into the environment, GHG emissions, air quality standards, plant and wildlife protection, remediation of soil and groundwater contamination, reclamation, restoration and closure of properties, including waste storage facilities, groundwater quality and availability, and the handling, storage, transport and disposal of wastes and hazardous materials and radioactive substances. These requirements may result in significant costs, liabilities and obligations, impose conditions that are difficult to achieve or otherwise delay, limit or prohibit current or planned operations. Pursuant to such requirements, we may be subject to inspections or reviews by governmental authorities. Failure to comply with these laws, including as they evolve, may result in the assessment of administrative, civil and criminal penalties, the issuance of injunctions to limit or cease operations, fines, the suspension or revocation of permits and other sanctions or the loss of support from key stakeholders. We expect to continue to incur significant capital and other compliance costs related to such requirements. These laws, regulations and permits, and the enforcement and interpretation thereof, change frequently and generally have become more stringent over time. If our noncompliance with such regulations were to result in a release of hazardous materials into the environment, such as soil or groundwater, we could be required to remediate such contamination, which could be costly. Moreover, noncompliance could subject us to private claims for property damage or personal injury based on exposure to hazardous materials or unsafe working conditions. In addition, changes in applicable requirements or stricter interpretation of existing requirements may result in costly compliance requirements or otherwise subject us to future liabilities. These requirements may in the future result in the exploration and development in connection with our Round Top Project being delayed, limited or prevented, and development operations may be curtailed. The occurrence of any of the foregoing, as well as any new environmental, health and safety laws and regulations applicable to our business or stricter interpretation or enforcement of existing laws and regulations, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

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We also could be liable for any environmental contamination at, under or released from our or our predecessors’ currently or formerly owned or operated properties or third-party waste disposal sites. Certain environmental laws impose joint and several strict liability for releases of hazardous substances at such properties or sites, without regard to fault or the legality of the original conduct. A generator of waste can be held responsible for contamination resulting from the treatment or disposal of such waste at any off-site location (such as a landfill), regardless of whether the generator arranged for the treatment or disposal of the waste in compliance with applicable laws. Costs associated with liability for removal or remediation of contamination or damage to natural resources could be substantial and liability under these laws may attach without regard to whether the responsible party knew of, or was responsible for, the presence of the contaminants. Accordingly, we may be held responsible for more than our share of the contamination or other damages, up to and including the entire amount of such damages. In addition to potentially significant investigation and remediation costs, such matters can give rise to claims from governmental authorities and other third parties, including for orders, inspections, fines or penalties, natural resource damages, personal injury, property damage, toxic torts and other damages. Our costs, liabilities and obligations relating to environmental matters could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial position and results of operations. Additionally, due to the nature of our operations, our employees and contractors are exposed to varying degrees of risk in the workplace. These risks may include exposure to dangerous situations, machinery or materials and/or health hazards and have the potential to result in disease, personal injury or death. We are subject to laws and regulations concerning the health, safety and security of our employees (including third-party personnel) working at sites and persons who are not employed by us but may be directly affected by our operations under our management and, accordingly, must implement adequate health and safety systems and procedures. Health and safety incidents can result in loss of life, losses and liabilities, work stoppages, serious damage to equipment or property or environmental damage. These risk factors can, singularly or in combination, have a material effect on our reputation, results of operations and financial condition. In the event of disease, injury or death arising out of the negligence of an employer or its employees, a risk of civil and, in certain circumstances, criminal litigation exists. In the case of a work-related fatality, an employer may be subjected to criminal charges in a court of law. Furthermore, such incidents can result in citations for violation of various health and safety laws and regulations that could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition and/or prospects.

Our failure to comply with applicable anti-corruption, anti-bribery, anti-money laundering and similar laws and regulations could negatively impact our reputation and results of operations.

Our governance and compliance policies and processes may not prevent potential breaches of law or accounting or other governance practices. Our operating and ethical codes, among other standards and guidance, may not prevent instances of fraudulent behavior and dishonesty, nor guarantee compliance with legal and regulatory requirements.

We are required to comply with anti-corruption laws and regulations imposed by governments around the world with jurisdiction over our operations, which may include Australian anti-bribery and corruption legislation, as well as the laws of the other countries (for example, the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the U.K.’s Bribery Act 2010) where we do business or have a close connection. These laws and regulations may restrict our operations, trade practices, investment decisions, and partnering activities. We are subject to the jurisdiction of various governments and regulatory agencies around the world, which may bring our personnel and representatives into contact with “foreign officials” responsible for issuing or renewing permits, licenses or approvals or for enforcing other governmental regulations.

Our failure to successfully comply with these laws and regulations may expose us to reputational harm, as well as significant sanctions, including criminal fines, imprisonment, civil penalties, disgorgement of profits, injunctions and debarment from government contracts, as well as other remedial measures. Investigations of alleged violations can be expensive and disruptive. Compliance, on the other hand, often adds cost and complexity to the permitting process and subsequent operations. We continuously develop and maintain policies and procedures designed to comply with applicable anti-corruption, anti-bribery, anti-money laundering and similar areas. However, there can be no guarantee that our policies and procedures will effectively prevent violations by our employees or business partners acting on our behalf, for which we may be held responsible, and any such violation could adversely affect our reputation, business, results of operations and financial condition.

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The impacts of climate change may adversely affect our operations and/or result in increased costs to comply with changes in regulations.

Climate change is an international and community concern which may directly or indirectly affect our business and current and future activities. The continuing rise in global average temperatures has created varying changes to regional climates across the world, and extreme weather events have the potential to delay or hinder our exploration activities at our mineral projects, and to delay or cease operations at any future mine. This may require us to make additional expenditures to mitigate the impact of such events which may materially and adversely increase our costs and/or reduce production at a future mine. Governments at all levels are amending or enacting additional legislation to address climate change by regulating, among other things, carbon emissions and energy efficiency, or where legislation has already been enacted, regulation regarding emission levels and energy efficiency are becoming more stringent. As a significant emitter of GHG emissions, the mining industry is particularly exposed to such laws and regulations. Compliance with such legislation and regulations, including the associated costs, may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, prospects and our ability to commence or continue our exploration and future development and mining operations.

Changing climate patterns may also affect the availability of water. If the effects of climate change cause prolonged disruption in the delivery of essential commodities, then production efficiency may be reduced, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.

In addition, climate change is perceived as a threat to communities and governments globally and stakeholders may demand reductions in emissions or call upon companies to better manage their consumption of climate-relevant resources. A number of governments have already introduced or are moving to introduce climate change legislation and treaties at the international, national, state/provincial and local levels. Regulations relating to emission levels (such as carbon taxes) and energy efficiency are becoming more stringent. If the current regulatory trend continues, this may result in increased costs at our Round Top Project.

We are exposed to possible litigation risks, including permit disputes (including in respect of access and/or validity of tenure), environmental claims, occupational health and safety claims and employee claims. Further, we may be involved in disputes with other parties in the future that may result in litigation. Current or future litigation or administrative proceedings could have a negative impact on our business.

We may become involved in, named as a party to, or be the subject of, various legal proceedings, including regulatory proceedings, tax proceedings and legal actions, relating to personal injuries, property damage, property taxes, land rights, the environment and contract disputes. The outcome of outstanding, pending or future proceedings cannot be predicted with certainty and may be determined adversely to us and as a result, could have a material adverse effect on our assets, liabilities, business, financial condition or results of operations. Even if we prevail in any such legal proceeding, the proceedings could be costly, time-consuming and may divert the attention of management and key personnel from our business operations, which could adversely affect our financial condition.

If we take federal monies, we could become subject to federal regulations. This could delay timing and increase costs.

To date, we have not accepted any federal grants or other monies. Our acceptance of federal monies would make us and our operations subject to continued compliance with various federal regulations to which we are not currently subject. The imposition of any additional federal regulations as a result of accepting any federal monies could delay timing of the expected completion of our Projects and increase our costs. Any such delays or increased costs could harm our business and operations.

Changes in tax laws could have a material adverse effect on our business, cash flow, results of operations or financial conditions.

The tax regimes we are subject to or operate under, including income and non-income taxes, are unsettled and may be subject to significant change. Changes in tax laws, regulations, or rulings, or changes in interpretations of existing laws and regulations, could materially affect our financial position and results of operations.

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For example, the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, or Tax Act, made broad and complex changes to the U.S. tax code, including changes to U.S. federal tax rates, additional limitations on the deductibility of interest, both positive and negative changes to the utilization of future NOL carryforwards, and allowing for the expensing of certain capital expenditures. The 2020 Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act, or CARES Act, modified certain provisions of the Tax Act. In addition, on August 16, 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, or IR Act, among other provisions, imposes a 15% minimum tax on the adjusted financial statement income of certain large corporations and a 1% excise tax on corporate stock repurchases by U.S. publicly traded corporations and certain U.S. subsidiaries of non-U.S. publicly traded corporations, as well as significant enhancements of U.S. tax incentives relating to climate and energy investments. The exact impact of the Tax Act, the CARES Act and the IR Act for future years is difficult to quantify, but these changes could materially affect our effective tax rate in future periods, in addition to any changes made by new tax legislation.

As we expand the scale of our business activities, changes to the taxation of our activities could increase our overall effective tax rate, increase the amount of taxes imposed on our business, and harm our financial position. Such changes may also apply retroactively to our historical operations and result in taxes greater than the amounts estimated and recorded in our financial statements.

Risks Related to the Expected U.S. Government Transaction

The Expected U.S. Government Transaction is expected to be funded in phases over time and is subject to our achieving milestones, and there can be no assurance that such milestones will be achieved on the expected timeline or at all.

The Letter of Intent for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction provides, and the Definitive Agreements for such collaboration will provide, that the grant and debt financing from the government will be released to us in phases over time subject to our achievement of specified business milestones related to the development of the Round Top deposit, development and expansion of processing and separation facilities, development and expansion of metal making and strip casting facilities, development and expansion of the magnet manufacturing facility, and obtaining additional equity and debt financing. There are four milestones related to Round Top with targeted achievement dates from December 2026 to December 2028: design, scale-up and completion of a definitive feasibility study; early works; solvent extraction; and completion of construction. There are two milestones related to our metal making and strip casting facilities with targeted achievement dates from March 2027 to December 2027: supply, technical feasibility, and construction; and qualification for production and commercialization. There are four milestones related to the development and expansion of our magnet manufacturing facilities with targeted achievement dates from June 2026 to March 2028: initial production capability and demand validation; and incremental production capability and demand validation. In addition, to meet certain milestones to obtain funding awards and debt under the Expected U.S. Government Transaction and execute on our current business plan, we will be required to i) raise at least $600 million of additional equity by December 31, 2027 to satisfy our estimated $4.1 billion of required long-term capital expenditures; and ii) establish a $250 million revolving credit facility by December 31, 2026. There can be no assurance that such milestones will be achieved on the expected timeline, or at all. If we are unable to meet such milestones, the corresponding funding will not be released to us. Our satisfaction of any given milestone, and receipt of the associated funding, does not guarantee that we will be able to meet any subsequent milestones. Further, our satisfaction of one or more milestones for one project, does not guarantee that we will be able to meet any milestones for the other projects. Construction, development, and expansion of our planned facilities and projects are subject to risks of delays, cost overruns, supply chain disruptions, labor availability constraints, permitting challenges, and other execution risks, which could increase required capital, delay milestone achievement, and adversely affect our financial condition and project economics.

If we do not receive the financing contemplated by the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, or any part of it, due to delays in meeting or failure to meet one or more milestones, our ability to fund our current operations and implement our business plan and strategy will be affected, and we may be required to reduce the scope of our operations and scale back our exploration, development and mining programs unless we are able to obtain alternative financing. Any curtailment of business operations would have a material negative effect on operating results and the value of our outstanding securities.

In addition, if we are unable to meet certain final milestones within two years of the target completion dates, any funding released to us prior to that date will be subject to clawback, which would adversely affect our liquidity, capital resources, and project economics.

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The Expected U.S. Government Transaction is currently contemplated pursuant to a non-binding letter of intent and remains subject to the negotiation and execution of definitive documentation, satisfaction of conditions precedent, and final government approvals, and there can be no assurance that such documentation will be executed or that the collaboration will be consummated on the anticipated terms or at all.

The Letter of Intent for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction is non-binding and remains subject to negotiation and execution of Definitive Agreements, satisfaction of conditions precedent, and final government approvals. There can be no assurance that:

•the Letter of Intent will result in Definitive Agreements, or if Definitive Agreements are reached, that the Expected U.S. Government Transaction will be made on the terms anticipated by the Letter of Intent;

•we will be able to satisfy the conditions precedent to entering into Definitive Agreements for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction; or

•that final government approvals will be obtained for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction on the terms anticipated by the Letter of Intent or at all.

While we may execute Definitive Agreements with the government and receive funding thereafter, there can be no assurances that the authorization and continued support for the transactions contemplated by the Definitive Agreements will not be modified, challenged or impaired in the future, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operation.

We expect to enter into Definitive Agreements for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction on substantially the terms set forth in the Letter of Intent. However, given the heightened sensitivity and complexity of contracting with a government entity, particularly in a high profile industry implicating national security, there can be no assurances that terms of the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, including the Definitive Agreements once executed, will not be modified, challenged or impaired in the future, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. We believe there are multiple factors that may contribute to this uncertainty, including, but not limited to, the interpretation of current and future, and enactment of future, federal and international laws, regulations, administrative actions and rulings, and interpretations and changes to interpretations thereof, whether by a court or within the legislative or executive branches of the federal government; our ability to comply with any conditions or other requirements imposed by such laws, regulations, actions and rulings, and changes thereto; a determination by the legislative, judicial, or executive branches of the federal government that any aspect of Expected U.S. Government Transaction, or the related Definitive Agreements, was unauthorized, void, or voidable; future changes in federal administration and related executive and legislative priorities; the continued availability of Congressional appropriations and Department of Commerce funding; geopolitical developments; and the legal and strategic challenges associated with enforcing the obligations of and seeking performance from a government counterparty, especially in conjunction with the unique defenses and remedies available to the federal government. Furthermore, while the Department of Commerce is expected to be contractually bound under the Definitive Agreements, if reached, for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, no other agency, office or branch of the federal government has made any assurances or will have any obligations under the such Definitive Agreements to actively support, accede to or refrain from challenging, investigating or otherwise impeding the commitments and obligations of the parties to the Definitive Agreements, whether now or in the future. The Expected U.S. Government Transaction may also be challenged by other third parties and are subject to the risk of litigation, both the cost and result of which could materially adversely affect our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.

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Future funding will be required to meet milestones. Our ability to raise additional equity or debt financing may be adversely affected by market conditions, interest rates, investor risk appetite, or macroeconomic factors beyond our control.

Our business plan requires significant additional capital, which may include equity and/or debt financing, beyond the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, and our ability to obtain such capital will depend on market conditions and our operating performance, and may result in higher costs of capital, increased leverage, or dilution to existing stockholders. To meet certain milestones to obtain funding awards and debt under the Expected U.S. Government Transaction and execute on our current business plan, we will be required to i) raise at least $600 million of additional equity by December 31, 2027 to satisfy our estimated $4.1 billion of required long-term capital expenditures; and ii) establish a $250 million revolving credit facility by December 31, 2026. Depending on the type and terms of any financing we pursue, stockholders’ rights and the value of their investment in our common stock could be reduced. Any additional equity financing will dilute shareholdings. If the issuance of new securities results in diminished rights to holders of common stock, the market price of our common stock could be negatively impacted. New or additional debt financing, if available, may involve restrictions on financing and operating activities. Interest on such debt would increase costs and negatively impact operating results. In addition, as the debt financing component of the Expected U.S. Government Transaction will be secured, issue secured debt, the government will have a claim to our assets that would be prior to the rights of shareholders until the debt is paid. This may make it more difficult for us to raise additional debt financing on attractive terms, or at all.

If we are unable to obtain additional financing, as needed, at competitive rates, our ability to fund our current operations and implement our business plan and strategy will be affected, and we would be required to reduce the scope of our operations and scale back our exploration, development and mining programs. There is, however, no guarantee that we will be able to secure any additional funding or be able to secure funding which will provide us with sufficient funds to meet our objectives, which may adversely affect our business and financial position. Certain market disruptions may increase our cost of borrowing or affect our ability to access one or more financial markets. Such market disruptions could result from:

•adverse economic conditions, including inflationary factors and recessionary fears;

•adverse general capital market conditions, including rising interest rates;

•poor performance and health of the metals and neo magnets industry in general;

•bankruptcy or financial distress of metals or neo magnet companies or marketers;

•significant decrease in the demand for metals or neo magnets; or

•adverse regulatory actions that affect our exploration and construction plans or the use of our current and planned products generally.

Revenues, EBITDA, Free Cash Flows, capacity and production targets are illustrative and are based on assumptions regarding the execution of our operational plans, including production volumes, ramp timing, operating performance and pricing. In addition, target revenues, EBITDA and Free Cash Flows are based on assumed pricing and costs used in our business plan.

We have set certain targets for revenues; earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”); free cash flows; capacity; and production. Such targets were prepared based on numerous variables and assumptions which are inherently uncertain and may be beyond our control and exclude, among other things, transaction-related expenses. There are significant risks associated with the assumptions used in developing such targets. Investors should make their own assessment of the reasonableness and risks of the assumptions made by management. Operational execution, and the achievement of financial, capacity and production targets, are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially. Any of the risks described herein may affect our actual results or could lead to such targets not being achieved on the timeframe specified, or at all. As such, these targets may be inaccurate and should not be relied upon as an indicator of actual past or future results. There can be no assurance that we will achieve these targets even if we complete our planned capital expenditures.

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Because the government will keep 100% of the equity securities that it is receiving whether or not the Expected U.S. Government Transaction is funded in full or at all, if all or part of the Expected U.S. Government Transaction is not funded for any reason, or if the funding is received but subsequently clawed back, and the effective dilution of our other equity holders will be increased materially.

Pursuant to the Letter of Intent, as a condition to entry into Definitive Agreements for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, we will be required to issue approximately 16.1 million shares of Common Stock and a warrant to purchase approximately 17.5 million shares of Common Stock with an exercise price per share of $17.17 and a 10-year exercise period. The warrant will be exercisable at any time and from time to time for a term of ten years. As these issuances are being made at an implied price of $17.17 per share, existing common stockholders will experience substantial dilution of their ownership positions. Further, the government’s anticipated equity position in us reduces the voting and other governance rights of stockholders and may limit potential future transactions that may be beneficial to stockholders.

Under the Letter of Intent, the government will retain 100% of such equity securities whether or not the Expected U.S. Government Transaction is funded in full or at all, if all or part of the Expected U.S. Government Transaction is not funded for any reason, or if the funding is received but subsequently clawed back, and the effective dilution to our other equity holders will be increased materially.

In addition, the sale of a substantial number of shares of Common Stock in the public market, or the perception that these sales might occur, including of the shares issuable upon exercise of the warrant, could depress the market price of the Common Stock and could impair our ability to raise capital through the sale of additional equity securities. We are unable to predict the effect that sales may have on the prevailing market price of our Common Stock.

The financial, tax and accounting treatment of the government contemplated by the Definitive Agreements remains uncertain and subject to change.

Given both the novelty and complexity of the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, and the ongoing negotiation of Definitive Agreements, our initial analysis of the financial, tax and accounting implications of our commitments and obligations in connection with the Expected U.S. Government Transaction has not been completed and may take considerable time and require significant attention from management. Additionally, no assurance can be provided that this initial assessment will not require adjustment or amendment over time due to changes in tax law or regulations, accounting practices and requirements and unforeseen developments in the course of performing under the Definitive Agreements, particularly with respect characterization of payments received from the Department of Commerce, among other considerations. The Definitive Agreements for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction are also expected to be highly integrated, and certain of the obligations under each agreement are expected to contingent upon or impacted by the terms and obligations of the others. If one or more of such agreements, or one or more elements of the transactions, were to be altered, amended or terminated, management would need to assess the financial, tax and accounting implications of such changes, which could be significant, together with any related remedies available to us and the present condition of our business and operations. We are unable to predict, and may not be able to anticipate, either these changes or the impact thereof. Any of the foregoing may have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations, including, but not limited to, material changes to our financial outlook, recharacterizations, restatements or other modifications of our financial statements or adjustments to previously provided estimates or guidance.

The Definitive Agreements are expected to contain affirmative and negative covenants that may restrict our ability and the ability of our subsidiaries to take actions management believes are important to our long-term strategy.

The Definitive Agreements for the Expected U.S. Government Transaction are expected to contain affirmative covenants requiring us to take certain actions and negative covenants restricting our ability to take certain actions.

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In addition, the Expected U.S. Government Transaction will be subject to comprehensive, ongoing reporting and disclosure obligations, including financial, operational, cybersecurity, and supply chain information. We also may be required to comply with evolving national security “guardrails,” including restrictions on expansion, collaboration, or technology transfer involving certain foreign entities and restrictions on operations, capital allocation, indebtedness, or strategic transactions. These requirements may be subject to broad or changing interpretation, and any violations of such requirements, whether due to administrative error or misunderstanding, could result in suspension, clawback, or termination of funding. Further, the government may require rights to certain intellectual property or data developed with government funding, which could affect our ability to commercialize or protect proprietary technology and information.

Compliance with the affirmative and negative covenants contained in the Definitive Agreements could restrict our ability to take actions that management believes are important to our long-term strategy. If strategic transactions we wish to undertake are prohibited by the Definitive Agreements, our ability to execute our long-term strategy could be materially adversely affected, which could in turn have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition, or results of operations. For example, any requirement to obtain government approval or consent, or to provide notification, could delay or limit future financings, mergers, acquisitions, or asset dispositions.

Given the scarcity of U.S. precedents for transactions such as those contemplated under the Expected U.S. Government Transaction and the government becoming a significant stockholder of ours, we may experience other adverse consequences resulting from the potential announcement or completion of the Expected U.S. Government Transaction.

Given the scarcity of recent U.S. precedents for transactions such as those contemplated by Expected U.S. Government Transaction and of the government becoming a significant stockholder of ours, it is difficult to foresee all the potential consequences. Among other things, there could be adverse reactions, immediately or over time, from investors, employees, customers, suppliers, other business or commercial partners, foreign governments or competitors. There may also be litigation related to the transaction or otherwise and increased public or political scrutiny with respect our operations.

Risks Related to our Securities

The issuance of additional shares of our common stock or equity-linked securities could result in significant dilution to our existing stockholders and adversely affect the market price of our common stock.

We have issued, and expect to continue to issue, shares of our common stock and equity-linked securities in connection with various transactions and financing activities. Any such issuances could result in significant dilution to the ownership interests, voting power, and earnings per share of our existing stockholders and have other significant consequences.

In connection with the Expected U.S. Government Transaction, we expect to issue approximately 16.1 million shares of our common stock and warrants to purchase approximately 17.5 million additional shares. Further, we expect to require substantial additional capital to fund our operations and project development, and we may seek to raise such capital through the issuance of additional shares of common stock, preferred stock, warrants, convertible notes, or other equity or equity-linked securities.

If the TMRC Mergers are completed, we expect to issue approximately 3.82 million shares of our common stock as merger consideration. More broadly, we regularly evaluate potential acquisitions and other strategic transactions that may be funded, in whole or in part, through the issuance of shares of our common stock or other equity-linked securities.

In addition, certain of our outstanding securities, including our Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and Preferred Investor Warrants, contain "full ratchet" anti-dilution provisions, which may result in a greater number of shares of our common stock being issued. See “- The Certificate of Designation for our Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and the Preferred Investor Warrants each contain “full ratchet” anti-dilution provisions applicable to the conversion price and exercise price, respectively, which may result in a greater number of shares of Common Stock being issued upon conversions or exercises in the case of the Series A Preferred Stock and the Preferred Investor Warrants than if the conversions or exercises were effected at the conversion price or exercise price in effect currently.”

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The effect of any of the above described issuances or other transactions we may undertake could result in significant dilution to the ownership interests, voting power, and earnings per share of our existing stockholders as well as impair our ability to raise capital on favorable terms and adversely affect the market price of our common stock.

As an “emerging growth company,” we cannot be certain if the reduced disclosure requirements applicable to “emerging growth companies” will make our Common Stock less attractive to investors.

As an “emerging growth company,” we may take advantage of certain exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies, including not being required to obtain an assessment of the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting from our independent registered public accounting firm pursuant to Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements, and exemptions from the requirements of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. In addition, the JOBS Act provides that an emerging growth company can take advantage of an extended transition period for complying with new or revised accounting standards, which we have elected to do.

We cannot predict if investors will find our Common Stock less attractive because we rely on these exemptions. If some investors find our Common Stock less attractive as a result, there may be a less active market for our Common Stock, our share price may be more volatile and the price at which our securities trade could be less than if we did not use these exemptions.

The Certificate of Designation for our Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock and the Preferred Investor Warrants each contain “full ratchet” anti-dilution provisions applicable to the conversion price and exercise price, respectively, which may result in a greater number of shares of Common Stock being issued upon conversions or exercises in the case of the Series A Preferred Stock and the Preferred Investor Warrants than if the conversions or exercises were effected at the conversion price or exercise price in effect currently.

The Certificate of Designations of Preferences, Rights and Limitations of 12% Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (the “Series A Preferred Stock Certificate of Designation”) for our Series A Preferred Stock (the “Series A Preferred Stock”) contains “full ratchet” anti-dilution provisions applicable to the conversion prices used in voluntary conversions of Series A Preferred Stock by the holders thereof which provisions require the lowering of the applicable conversion price, as then in effect, to the purchase price of equity or equity-linked securities issued in subsequent offerings at prices less than $10.00 per share. The exercise price of the preferred investor warrants (the “Preferred Investor Warrants”) was $12.00 per share of Common Stock, subject to the same anti-dilution and other adjustments as the Series A Preferred Stock.On May 2, 2025, in connection with the closing of the $75M PIPE, the conversion price of the Series A Preferred Stock, and the exercise price of the Preferred Investor Warrants, were reduced to $7.00 per share. When the exercise price of the Preferred Investor Warrants is reduced, the number of shares of Common Stock that may be purchased upon exercise of such Preferred Investor Warrants is increased proportionately, so that after such adjustment, the aggregate exercise price payable thereunder for the adjusted number of shares of Common Stock is the same as the aggregate exercise price in effect immediately prior to such adjustment.

If in the future, while any of our Series A Preferred Stock or Preferred Investor Warrants are outstanding, we issue securities at an effective Common Stock purchase price that is less than the applicable conversion price of our Series A Preferred Stock or exercise price of our Preferred Investor Warrants, as then in effect, we will be required, subject to certain limitations and adjustments as provided in the Series A Preferred Stock Certificate of Designation and the Preferred Investor Warrants, to further reduce the relevant conversion price, which, in the case of the Series A Preferred Stock or Preferred Investor Warrants, will result in a greater number of shares of Common Stock being issuable upon conversion or exercise of the Series A Preferred Stock or Preferred Investor Warrants, as applicable, which in turn will have a greater dilutive effect on our stockholders. Further, because the Series A Preferred Stock votes, together with the Common Stock, on an as-converted basis, a reduction in the conversion price will immediately dilute the voting interest of our Common Stock, even if the Series A Preferred Stock is not converted. The potential for such additional issuances may depress the price of our Common Stock regardless of our business performance. We may find it more difficult to raise additional equity capital while any of our Series A Preferred Stock or Preferred Investor Warrants are outstanding.

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Further, it is possible that we will not have a sufficient number of available shares to satisfy the conversion of the Series A Preferred Stock and exercise of the Preferred Investor Warrants if the applicable conversion price or exercise price is reduced. If we do not have a sufficient number of available shares for such conversions or exercises, we will be required to increase our authorized shares, which may not be possible and will be time consuming and expensive.

Delaware law and our Certificate of Incorporation and Bylaws contain certain provisions, including anti-takeover provisions, that limit the ability of stockholders to take certain actions and could delay or discourage takeover attempts that stockholders may consider favorable.

The provisions of our Certificate of Incorporation, our Bylaws and the DGCL summarized below may have an anti-takeover effect and may delay, defer or prevent a tender offer or takeover attempt that you might consider in your best interest, including an attempt that might result in your receipt of a premium over the market price for your shares of Common Stock.

Our Certificate of Incorporation and Bylaws contain certain provisions that are intended to enhance the likelihood of continuity and stability in the composition of our board of directors and that may have the effect of delaying, deferring or preventing a future takeover or change in control of us unless such takeover or change in control is approved by our board of directors.

These provisions include:

•Authorized but Unissued Capital Stock. The authorized but unissued shares of our preferred stock will be available for future issuance without stockholder approval. These additional shares may be utilized for a variety of corporate purposes, including future public offerings to raise additional capital, corporate acquisitions and employee benefit plans. The existence of authorized but unissued shares of our preferred stock could render more difficult or discourage an attempt to obtain control of a majority of Common Stock by means of a proxy contest, tender offer, merger or otherwise.

•No Cumulative Voting for Directors. The DGCL provides that stockholders are not entitled to cumulate votes in the election of directors unless a corporation’s certificate of incorporation provides otherwise. Our Certificate of Incorporation does not provide for cumulative voting. As a result, the holders of our Common Stock representing a majority of the voting power of all of the outstanding shares of our capital stock will be able to elect all of the directors then standing for election.

•Quorum. Our Bylaws provide that at all meetings of our board of directors, a majority of the Whole Board (as defined therein) will constitute a quorum for the transaction of business.

•Action by Written Consent. Any action required or permitted to be taken by our stockholders must be effected at a duly called annual or special meeting of such holders and may not be effected by any consent in lieu of a meeting of stockholders by such holders; provided, however, that any action required or permitted to be taken by the holders of our preferred stock, voting separately as a series or separately as a class with one or more other such series, may be taken without a meeting, without prior notice and without a vote, to the extent expressly so provided by the applicable certificate(s) of designation relating to such series of preferred stock.

•Special Meetings of Stockholders. Our Certificate of Incorporation provides that, except as otherwise required by law and subject to the rights of the holders of any series of our preferred stock, special meetings of stockholders for any purpose or purposes may be called at any time only by or at the direction of the Chair of our board of directors or by a resolution adopted by the affirmative vote of a majority of the total number of directors that we would have if there were no vacancies on our board of directors, but such special meetings may not be called by stockholders or any other person or persons.

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•Advance Notice Procedures. Our Bylaws establish an advance notice procedure for stockholder proposals to be brought before an annual meeting of the stockholders, and for stockholder nominations of persons for election to our board of directors to be brought before an annual or special meeting of stockholders. Stockholders at an annual meeting will only be able to consider proposals or nominations specified in the notice of meeting or brought before the meeting by or at the direction of our board of directors or by a stockholder who was a stockholder of record on the record date for the meeting, who is entitled to vote at the meeting and who has given our secretary timely written notice, in proper form, of the stockholder’s intention to bring that business or nomination before the meeting. Although our Bylaws do not give the board of directors the power to approve or disapprove stockholder nominations of candidates or proposals regarding other business to be conducted at a special or annual meeting, as applicable, our Bylaws may have the effect of precluding the conduct of certain business at a meeting if the proper procedures are not followed or may discourage or deter a potential acquirer from conducting a solicitation of proxies to elect its own slate of directors or otherwise attempting to obtain control of us.

Our Certificate of Incorporation provides, subject to limited exceptions, that the courts of the State of Delaware are the sole and exclusive forum for certain stockholder litigation matters, which could limit our stockholders’ ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or stockholders.

Our Certificate of Incorporation requires, to the fullest extent permitted by law, that derivative actions brought in our name, actions against directors, officers and employees for breach of fiduciary duty and other similar actions be brought in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware or, if that court does not have jurisdiction, a state court located within the State of Delaware or the federal district court for the District of Delaware. Any person or entity purchasing or otherwise acquiring any interest in shares of our capital stock shall be deemed to have notice of and consented to the forum provisions in our Certificate of Incorporation. In addition, our Certificate of Incorporation provides that this choice of forum does not apply to any complaint asserting a cause of action under the Securities Act and the Exchange Act. Finally, our Certificate of Incorporation provides that federal district courts of the United States are the exclusive forum for the resolution of any complaint asserting a cause of action under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act.

While the Delaware Supreme Court has upheld provisions of the certificates of incorporation of other Delaware corporations that are similar to the exclusive forum provision in our Certificate of Incorporation, a court of a state other than the State of Delaware could decide that such provisions are not enforceable under the laws of that state.

The choice of forum provision may limit a stockholder’s ability to bring a claim in a judicial forum that it finds favorable for disputes with us or any of our directors, officers, other employees or stockholders, which may discourage lawsuits with respect to such claims. Alternatively, if a court were to find the choice of forum provision contained in our Certificate of Incorporation to be inapplicable or unenforceable in an action, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such action in other jurisdictions, which could harm our business, operating results and financial condition.

The market price of our securities may decline, and we may be the target of securities litigation.

If we do not meet the expectations of investors or securities analysts, the market price of our securities may decline. The trading price of shares of our Common Stock following the Merger has been volatile and subject to wide fluctuations in response to various factors, some of which are beyond our control. Inflationary pressures, increases in interest rates and other adverse economic and market forces may contribute to potential downward pressures in the trading price of shares of Common Stock. Additionally, any of the risk factors discussed in this Annual Report could have a material adverse effect on your investment, and shares of Common Stock may trade at prices significantly below the price you paid for them. In such circumstances, the trading price of shares of Common Stock may not recover and may experience a further decline.

USA Rare Earth, Inc. | 2025 Annual Report (Form 10-K) | 45

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Broad market and industry factors may materially harm the market price of shares of Common Stock irrespective of our operating performance. The stock market in general, and Nasdaq specifically, has experienced extreme volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. As a result of this volatility, you may not be able to sell your securities at or above the price at which they were acquired. A loss of investor confidence in the market for the stocks of other companies which investors perceive to be similar to us could depress our share price regardless of our business, prospects, financial conditions or results of operations. A decline in the market price of our securities also could adversely affect our ability to issue additional securities and our ability to obtain additional financing in the future.

As a result of the foregoing or other factors, we may be the target of securities litigation, which could result in substantial costs and diversion of management’s attention and resources and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Any adverse determination in litigation could also subject us to significant liabilities.