PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC (PEG) Risk Factors
This page reproduces the company's own Item 1A Risk Factors text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
Informational only - not investment advice. See Disclaimer.
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
The following factors should be considered when reviewing our business. These factors could have a material adverse impact on our business, prospects, financial position, results of operations or cash flows and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed elsewhere in this report.
GENERAL OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL RISKS
Inability to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval for, or construct T&D, and our nuclear generation projects could adversely impact our businesses.
Our business plan calls for extensive investment in capital improvements and additions, including the construction of T&D facilities, modernizing and expanding existing infrastructure pursuant to investment programs that provide for current recovery in rates, addressing needs of new customers and increasing demand on the system, and our CEF programs, particularly our energy efficiency program which provides incentives for customers to install high-efficiency equipment at their premises and transmission capital investments outside of our utility service territory, as well as uprates and other potential investments at our nuclear facilities. Currently, we have several significant capital investments underway or being contemplated.
The successful construction and development of these projects will depend, in part, on our ability to:
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obtain necessary governmental and regulatory approvals;
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obtain environmental permits and approvals;
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obtain governmental and community support for such projects to avoid delays in the receipt of permits and approvals from regulatory authorities;
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obtain customer support for investments made at their premises;
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obtain property/land rights in property-constrained areas and for greenfield locations, and at a reasonable cost;
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complete such projects within budgets and on commercially reasonable terms and conditions;
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complete supporting information technology (IT), cybersecurity and physical security upgrades;
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obtain any necessary debt financing on acceptable terms and/or necessary governmental financial incentives;
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ensure that contracting parties, including suppliers, perform under their contracts in a timely and cost-effective manner; and
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timely recovery of these investments through rates.
Failure to obtain regulatory or other approvals, delays, cost escalations or otherwise unsuccessful construction and development could materially affect our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.
Macroeconomic considerations, including inflationary levels, gas and electric supply prices that are passed through to customers and other pressures could factor into our regulators’ assessment in approving the size, duration and timing of cost recovery of certain of these programs. Further, certain negative public and political views by certain stakeholders on energy infrastructure could result in diminishing support for those investments.
In addition, the successful operation of new facilities or transmission or distribution projects is subject to risks relating to supply interruptions; labor availability, work stoppages and labor disputes; weather interferences; unforeseen engineering and environmental problems, including those related to climate change; opposition from local communities, and the other risks described herein.
Any of these risks could cause the amounts of our investments and/or our return on these investments to be lower than expected, which could adversely impact our financial condition and results of operations through lower investment opportunities and/or lower returns.
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Significant resource adequacy challenges present affordability and reliability concerns that could cause policymakers to implement responsive measures that could have a material, adverse impact on our business, strategy, growth rates, cash flows, results of operation, and financial condition and increase regulatory uncertainty for utility investment initiatives and programs.
PJM continues to face significant resource adequacy challenges, driven by a lack of sufficient supply to meet electric demand, which has increased significantly over the past several years and is expected to continue to increase going forward. Increasing demand is caused by data centers, EV adoption, electrification and other factors. Insufficient supply to meet forecasted demand has caused increases in energy and capacity prices which, in turn, have caused the customer rates by which we recover electric supply costs to materially increase. This has resulted in continuing affordability concerns that have caused regulators and other policymakers to consider ways to reduce utility rates, including proposing to mitigate electric rate increases, and create increased regulatory uncertainty for utility investment initiatives and programs. Actions that policymakers could implement in response to these affordability concerns could have a material, adverse impact on our business, strategy, growth rates, cash flows, results of operation, and financial condition.
In addition, both lack of supply and increasing demand pose reliability risk for customers. Substantial investments in generation, transmission and distribution will be required to meet current projections of increasing customer demand. Sustained distribution grid modernization will also be required to accommodate increased EE, EV infrastructure, increased penetration of distributed energy resources on the electric system, such as on-site solar generation and also potential deployment of energy storage, fuel cells, and distributed resources technologies. In addition, inability of PJM to procure sufficient capacity to meet demand plus its reserve margin increase future risk of blackouts and load reduction, which may in turn result in litigation, political and regulatory scrutiny and reputational impacts.
We are subject to physical, financial and transition risks related to climate change, including potentially increased legislative and regulatory burdens and changing customer preferences, and we may be subject to lawsuits, all of which could impact our businesses and results of operations.
Climate change may drive change to existing or additional legislation and regulation that may impact our business and shape our customers’ energy preference and sustainability goals, including impacts of potential changes in use of natural gas and electricity due to electrification over the long-term and the impact on need for additional generation to meet those electric needs. These factors could impact the need to invest in our electric and gas T&D systems and, therefore, our growth rate.
Severe weather or acts of nature, including hurricanes, winter storms, earthquakes, floods, wildfires and other natural disasters can stress systems, disrupt operation of our facilities and cause service outages, and property damage that require incurring additional expenses. In addition, the effects of climate change will have increased the physical risks to our facilities and operations resulting from such climate hazards as more severe weather events (extreme wind, rainfall and flooding), such as experienced from Superstorm Sandy and Tropical Storms Isaias and Ida, sea level rise, and extreme heat and drought.
These and other physical changes could result in changes in customer demand, increased costs associated with repairing and maintaining generation facilities and T&D systems, resulting in increased maintenance and capital costs (and potentially increased financing needs), increased regulatory oversight, and lower customer satisfaction. Where recovery of costs to restore service and repair damaged equipment and facilities is available, any determination by the regulator not to permit timely and full recovery of the costs incurred could have a material adverse effect on our businesses, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
To the extent financial markets view climate change and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as a financial risk, our ability to access capital markets could be negatively affected or cause us to receive less than favorable terms and conditions.
While the CIP protects PSE&G’s margin variances against changes in customer usage of gas and electricity, climate change-related state policy goals, including but not limited to those related to GHG emissions reductions, energy efficiency targets, solar targets, energy storage targets, encouragement of electrification through EV adoption, policies to encourage electrification of end use equipment currently fueled by natural gas, and the associated legislative and regulatory responses, may create additional costs for our customers and/or our business, which could be material.
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We may be subject to climate change lawsuits that may seek injunctive relief, monetary compensation, penalties, and punitive damages, including but not limited to, for liabilities for damages related to mitigate harm caused by climate change. An adverse outcome could require substantial capital expenditures and possibly require payment of substantial penalties or damages. Defense costs associated with such litigation can also be significant and could affect results of operations, financial condition or cash flows if such costs are not recovered through regulated rates.
Further, our business is subject to policy, regulatory, technology and economic uncertainties and contingencies, including regulatory approvals required for our various investments, many of which are beyond our control and may affect planned investments and our ability to meet GHG emissions reduction or climate-related goals that we may set from time to time, in a cost-effective manner or at all.
We may be adversely affected by asset and equipment failures, gas explosions, accidents, critical operating technology or business system failures, natural disasters, severe weather events, acts of war or terrorism or other acts of violence, sabotage, physical attacks or security breaches, cyberattacks, or other incidents, including pandemics, that impact our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our customers and remain competitive and could result in substantial financial losses.
The success of our businesses is dependent on our ability to continue providing safe and reliable service to our customers while minimizing service disruptions. We are exposed to the risk of asset and equipment failures, gas explosions or leaks, accidents, pandemics, natural disasters, severe weather events, acts of war or terrorism or other acts of violence, including active shooter situations, sabotage, physical attacks or security breaches, cyberattacks or other incidents, which could result in damage to or destruction of our substations or other facilities or infrastructure, or damage to persons or property, fire, loss of life, outages, mechanical problems, environmental pollution, electric and gas supply interruptions or other adverse impacts to our business. Further, a major failure of availability or performance of a critical operating technology or business system, and inadequate preparation or execution of business continuity or disaster recovery plans for the loss of one or several critical systems, could result in extended disruption to operations or business processes, damage to systems and/or loss of data. We have historically benefited from access to mutual aid, a voluntary and reciprocal arrangement with other utilities that provides access to a trained and flexible labor force which has helped to reduce outage restoration times during extreme weather events. There is no guarantee that we will have continued access to mutual aid as the frequency of severe weather events rises.
These events could result in increased political, economic, financial and insurance market instability, a lack of available insurance or the availability of insurance on commercially reasonable terms, and volatility in power and fuel markets, which could materially adversely affect our business and results of operations, including our ability to access capital on terms and conditions acceptable to us.
Any of the issues described above, if experienced at our facilities or otherwise in our business, or by others in our industry, could adversely impact our revenues; increase costs to repair and maintain our systems; subject us to potential litigation and/or damage claims, fines or penalties; and increase the level of oversight of our utility and generation operations and infrastructure through investigations or through the imposition of additional regulatory or legislative requirements. Such actions could adversely affect our costs, competitiveness, future investments and customer rates, which could be material to our financial position, results of operations and cash flow. For our T&D business, the cost of storm restoration efforts may not be fully recoverable through the regulatory process. In addition, the inability to restore power to our customers on a timely basis could result in negative publicity and materially damage our reputation.
Any inability to recover the carrying amount of our long-lived assets could result in future impairment charges which could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
Long-lived assets represent approximately 73% and 80% of the total assets of PSEG and PSE&G, respectively, as of December 31, 2025. Management evaluates long-lived assets for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances, such as significant adverse changes in regulation, including a disallowance of certain costs, a potential sale or disposition of an asset significantly before the end of its useful life, business climate or market conditions, including prolonged periods of adverse commodity and capacity prices, could potentially indicate an asset’s or group of assets’ carrying amount may not be recoverable. Significant reductions in our expected revenues or cash flows for an extended period of time resulting from such
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events could result in future asset impairment charges, which could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations.
Disruptions or cost increases in our supply chain, including labor shortages, could materially impact our business.
The supply chain of goods and services could be impacted by several factors, including sanctions, tariffs, manufacturing labor shortages, domestic and international shipping constraints, increases in demand, physical alterations in technologies that create cyber risks, and shortages of raw materials and specialty components. This could cause price increases in some areas and delivery delays of certain goods, which could increase our costs and impact our operations.
Inability to maintain sufficient liquidity in the amounts and at the times needed or access sufficient capital at reasonable rates or on commercially reasonable terms could adversely impact our business.
Funding for our investments in capital improvement and additions, scheduled payments of principal and interest on our existing indebtedness and the extension and refinancing of such indebtedness has been provided primarily by internally-generated cash flow and external debt financings. We have significant capital requirements and depend on our ability to generate cash in the future from our operations and continued access to capital and bank markets to efficiently fund our cash flow needs. Our ability to generate cash flow is dependent upon, among other things, industry conditions and general economic, financial, competitive, legislative, regulatory and other factors. The ability to arrange financing and to refinance existing debt and the costs of such financing or refinancing depend on numerous factors including, among other things:
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general economic and capital market conditions, including but not limited to, prevailing interest rates;
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the availability of credit from banks and other financial institutions;
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tax, regulatory and securities law developments;
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for PSE&G, our ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals for the incurrence of additional indebtedness;
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investor confidence in us, our regulatory environment and our industry;
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our current level of indebtedness and compliance with covenants in our debt instruments and credit agreements;
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the success of current projects and the quality of new projects;
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the predictability of our cash flows;
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our current and future capital structure;
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our financial performance and the continued reliable operation of our business; and
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maintenance of our investment grade credit ratings.
Market disruptions, such as economic downturns experienced in the U.S. and abroad, the bankruptcy of an unrelated energy company or a systemically important financial institution, changes in market prices for electricity and gas, and actual or threatened acts of war or terrorist attacks, may increase our cost of borrowing or adversely affect our ability to access capital. As a result, no assurance can be given that we will be successful in obtaining financing for projects and investments, extending or refinancing maturing debt or meeting our other cash flow needs on acceptable terms or at all, which could materially adversely impact our financial position, results of operations and future growth.
During periods of rising energy prices, hedged positions could be out-of-the-money, increasing PSEG Power’s collateral requirements. In addition, if PSEG Power were to lose its investment grade credit rating from S&P or Moody’s, it would be required under certain agreements to provide a significant amount of additional collateral in the form of letters of credit or cash, which would have a material adverse effect on our liquidity and cash flows.
Cybersecurity attacks, data breaches, or intrusions or other disruptions to our IT, operational or other systems could adversely impact our businesses.
Cybersecurity threats to the energy market infrastructure are increasing in sophistication, magnitude and frequency. Because of the inherent vulnerability of infrastructure and technology and operational systems to disability or failure due to hacking, viruses, malicious or destructive code, phishing and other social engineering attacks, denial of service attacks, ransomware,
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acts of war or terrorism, or other cybersecurity incidents, we face increased risk of cyberattack. We rely on information and operational technology systems and network infrastructure to operate our generation and T&D systems and to conduct power marketing and hedging activities. We also store sensitive data, intellectual property and proprietary or personally identifiable information regarding our business, infrastructure, employees, shareholders, customers and vendors on our IT systems. In addition, the operation of our business is dependent upon the IT systems of Nth parties (i.e., our third parties and other business relationships, including fourth parties, etc.), including our vendors, regulators, RTOs and ISOs, among others. Our and Nth-party operational and IT systems and products may be vulnerable to cybersecurity attacks involving fraud, malice or oversight on the part of our employees, other insiders or Nth parties, whether domestic or foreign sources. Further, new types of cyberattacks, whether directed at our own infrastructure and technology and operational systems or that of third parties, may be generated or enhanced through the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and/or cloud-based infrastructure. A successful cybersecurity attack may result in unauthorized use of our systems to cause disruptions at an Nth party. Cybersecurity risks to our operations include:
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disruption of the operation of our assets, the fuel supply chain, the power grid and gas T&D,
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theft of confidential company, employee, shareholder, vendor or customer information, and critical energy infrastructure information, which may cause us to be in breach of certain covenants and contractual, legal or regulatory obligations and pose risk to our system and our customers,
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general business system and process interruption or compromise, including preventing us from servicing our customers, working remotely, collecting revenues or recording, processing and/or reporting financial information correctly, and
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breaches of vendors’ infrastructures where our confidential information is stored.
We and our Nth-party vendors have been and will continue to be subject to cybersecurity attacks, including but not limited to ransomware, denial of service, business email compromises, and malware attacks. To date, there has been no material impact or reasonably likely material impact on our business strategy, results of operations or financial condition from these attacks or other cybersecurity incidents, including as a result of prior cybersecurity incidents. However, we may be unable to prevent all such attacks in the future from having such a material impact as such attacks continue to increase in sophistication and frequency. If a significant cybersecurity event or breach occurs within our company or with one of our material vendors, we could be exposed to loss of revenue, repair costs to intellectual and physical property, fines and penalties if determined that we were in non-compliance with existing laws and regulations, litigation costs, increased costs to finance our businesses, negative publicity, damage to our reputation and loss of confidence from our customers, regulators, investors, vendors and employees. The misappropriation, corruption or loss of personally identifiable information and other confidential data from us or one of our vendors could lead to breach notification expenses, mitigation expenses such as credit monitoring, and legal and regulatory fines and penalties. Moreover, new or updated security laws or regulations, including laws and regulations that respond to evolving application of AI, or unforeseen threat sources could require changes in current measures taken by us and our business operations, which could result in increased costs. Similarly, a significant cybersecurity event or breach experienced by a competitor, regulatory authority, RTO, ISO, or vendor could also materially impact our business and results of operations via enhanced legal and regulatory requirements. The amount and scope of insurance we maintain against losses that result from cybersecurity incidents may not be sufficient to cover losses or adequately compensate for resulting business disruptions. To address the risks to our information and operational technology systems, we maintain a cybersecurity program that includes policies and controls, cybersecurity insurance, cybersecurity governance and compliance, awareness and training, table-top exercises, logging and monitoring, and testing. These preventative actions reduce the likelihood and potential impact of cybersecurity breaches. For a discussion of state and federal cybersecurity regulatory requirements and information regarding our cybersecurity program, see Item 1C. Cybersecurity. Further, we are subject to changing data protection laws in the U.S. and abroad. Legal requirements and regulatory scrutiny for the collection, storage, handling, use, disclosure, transfer, and security of personal data continue to evolve and expand, which may present material obligations and risks to our business, including expanded compliance burdens, restrictions on transfer of personal data, costs, and enforcement risks.
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Failure to attract and retain a qualified workforce could have an adverse effect on our business.
Certain events such as an aging workforce looking to retire without an opportunity to transfer knowledge to a successor, inadequate workforce plans and replacements, lack of skill set to meet current and evolving business needs, a culture that does not foster inclusion leading to turnover, a failure to successfully negotiate new collective bargaining agreements with our labor unions on mutually acceptable terms or at all, acts of violence in the workplace, inadequate training and a workforce that is not engaged may lead to operating challenges, safety concerns and increased costs. The challenges include loss of knowledge and a lengthy time period associated with skill development, increased turnover, costs for contractors to replace employees, poor productivity, and a lack of innovation. Specialized knowledge and experience are required of employees across PSEG and its affiliates. There is competition for these skilled employees. Failure to hire and adequately train and retain employees, including the transfer of significant historical knowledge and expertise to new employees, may adversely affect our results of operations, financial position and cash flows.
Inflation, including increases in the costs of equipment and materials, fuel, services and labor could adversely affect our operating results.
Higher costs from suppliers of equipment and materials, fuel and services and labor and health care costs to attract and retain our workforce, as well as policy matters such as tax rates, tariffs and other policies impacting costs, could lead to increased costs. Also, seeking recovery of higher costs in future distribution base rate cases could pressure customer rates, resulting in a potentially adverse outcome of such proceedings, or in other proceedings, including the proposal of certain investment programs or other proceedings that impact customer rates.
Covenants in our debt instruments and credit agreements may adversely affect our business.
PSEG’s, PSE&G’s and PSEG Power’s debt instruments contain events of default customary for financings of their type, including cross accelerations to other debt of that entity. PSEG’s, PSE&G’s and PSEG Power’s bank credit agreements contain events of default customary for financings of their type, including cross defaults and accelerations and, in the case of PSEG’s and PSEG Power’s bank credit agreements, certain change of control events. PSEG’s, PSE&G’s and PSEG Power’s bank credit agreements, and PSEG Power’s debt instruments contain certain limitations on the incurrence of liens and PSEG Power’s bank credit agreements and debt instruments also contain limitations on the incurrence of certain subsidiary debt. PSEG Power’s bank credit agreements contain limitations on sales of assets and PSEG Power’s debt instruments contain limitations on certain sale and leaseback transactions. PSEG Power's term loan agreements contain a change-of-control clause, which includes under certain circumstances, PSEG Power ceasing to be a wholly owned subsidiary of PSEG. Our ability to comply with these and future covenants may be affected by events beyond our control. If we fail to comply with the covenants and are unable to obtain a waiver or amendment, or a default exists and is continuing under such debt, the lenders or the holders or trustee of such debt, as applicable, could give notice and declare outstanding borrowings and other obligations under such debt immediately due and payable. We may not be able to obtain waivers, amendments or alternative financing, or if obtainable, it could be on terms that are not acceptable to us. Any of these events could adversely impact our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Financial market performance directly affects the asset values of our defined benefit plan trust funds and Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund. Market performance and other factors could decrease the value of trust assets and could result in the need for significant additional funding.
The performance of the financial markets will affect the value of the assets that are held in trust to satisfy our future obligations under our defined benefit plan and to decommission our nuclear generating plants. A decline in the market value of the defined benefit plan trust funds could increase our pension plan funding requirements and result in increased pension costs in future years. The market value of our defined benefit plan trusts could be negatively impacted by adverse financial market conditions that reduce the return on trust assets, decreased interest rates used to measure the required minimum funding levels, and future government regulation. Additional funding requirements for our defined benefit plan could be caused by changes in required or voluntary contributions, an increase in the number of employees becoming eligible to retire and changes in life expectancy assumptions. A decline in the market value of our NDT Fund could increase PSEG Power’s funding requirements to decommission its nuclear plants. An increase in projected costs could also lead to additional funding requirements for our decommissioning trust. Failure to adequately manage our investments in our defined benefit plan trusts
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and NDT Fund could result in the need for us to make significant cash contributions in the future to maintain our funding at sufficient levels, which would negatively impact our results of operations, cash flows and financial position.
If we are unable to enter into or extend certain significant contracts, this may negatively affect our financial condition and operating results
We are party to, and are also exploring opportunities to enter into, several contracts from which we currently or may in the future derive significant revenues.
PSEG Power sells wholesale natural gas, primarily through a full-requirements BGSS contract with PSE&G to meet the needs of PSE&G’s default gas supply service customers. In 2022, the BPU approved an extension of the long-term BGSS contract to March 31, 2027, and thereafter the contract remains in effect unless terminated by either party with a two-year notice. PSEG LI has an OSA with LIPA to operate LIPA’s electric T&D system in Long Island which was recently extended through 2030. Any discontinuation of these contracts may negatively affect our financial condition and operating results.
In addition, we are exploring opportunities for the potential sale of power from our nuclear facilities pursuant to long-term agreements with large power users, such as data centers. It is uncertain whether we will be successful in entering into any of such contracts, including without limitation in connection with various ongoing regulatory proceedings.
Artificial Intelligence is an emerging area of technology that has the potential to impact various aspects of our business operations and customer interactions.
AI, including Generative AI and Post-Quantum Cryptography, has the potential to change the way we operate by creating efficiencies and improving processes and customer experiences. The development, adoption, and use for generative AI technologies are still in their early stages and ineffective or inadequate AI development or deployment practices by PSEG or Nth-party vendors could result in unintended consequences. We contract third-party vendors that use AI in products and/or services they provide and we may not have full control or visibility over the quality, performance, security or compliance of the products and services that incorporate AI-related technology. AI algorithms that we or our Nth-party vendors use may be flawed or may be based on data sets that are biased or insufficient. These limitations or failures could result in reputational damage, unauthorized disclosure of data, and legal liabilities. Developing, testing, and deploying resource-intensive AI systems may require additional investment and increase our costs. In addition, the evolving nature of AI may cause new laws and regulations to be enacted which may require significant resources to modify and maintain business practices to comply with the new laws and regulations, the nature of which cannot be determined at this time. Further, inaccurate results generated as a result of our employees’, contractors’ or vendors’ use of generative AI technologies could lead to operational interruptions or reputational harm.
RISKS RELATED TO OUR GENERATION BUSINESS
Fluctuations in the wholesale power and natural gas markets could negatively affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
In the competitive markets where we operate, participants are not guaranteed any specific rate of return on their capital investments and natural gas prices have a major impact on the price that generators receive for their output. The natural gas market and energy markets have been, and may continue to be, volatile due to higher domestic demand, increased natural gas exports and impacts from the global liquefied natural gas market, weather and other factors. Lower natural gas prices often result in lower electricity prices, which could reduce our margins where our nuclear generation costs may not have declined similarly.
Changes in prevailing market prices could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. Factors that may cause market price fluctuations include:
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changes in demand on the system, which could be impacted by new large customers, including data centers, electrification and other factors;
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increases and decreases in generation capacity, including the addition of new supplies of power as a result of the development of new power plants, expansion of existing power plants, continuing retirement of existing generation units, inability of, or delay in, new generating units being placed online, the retention of power plants that were expected to be
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retired or recently retired units being returned to service, the extent to which those generating units are firm or intermittent, or additional transmission capacity;
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severe weather conditions;
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power supply disruptions, including power plant outages and transmission disruptions;
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climate change, and weather conditions, particularly unusually mild summers or warm winters in our market areas;
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seasonal fluctuations;
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economic and political conditions that could negatively impact the demand for power or PTCs on our nuclear generation units;
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changes in the supply of, and demand for, energy commodities;
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development of new fuels or new technologies for the production or storage of power;
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incurring penalties due to generation performance failure when called on by PJM during emergency situations;
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federal and state regulations and actions of PJM and changing PJM market rules, including capacity market auction delays and/or rule changes that could materially impact prices; and
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federal and state power, market and environmental regulation and legislation, including financial incentives for new renewable energy generation capacity that could lead to oversupply and price suppression.
Our generation business currently involves the establishment of forward sale positions in the wholesale energy markets on long-term and short-term bases. If the realized value of our generation falls outside of the level at which we would receive PTCs, to the extent that we have contracted obligations in excess of energy we have produced, an increase in market prices could reduce profitability. If the strategy we utilize to hedge our exposure to these various risks or if our internal policies and procedures designed to monitor the exposure to these various risks are not effective, we could incur material losses. Our market positions can also be adversely affected by the level of volatility in the energy markets that, in turn, depends on various factors, including weather in various geographical areas, short-term supply and demand imbalances, and pricing differentials at various geographic locations. These risks cannot be predicted with certainty.
In addition, the volatility and potential for higher natural gas or energy prices may have a material impact on collateral requirements related to the forward value of our open futures contracts. Higher collateral requirements reduce available short-term liquidity and increase working capital costs and may affect our ability to hedge generation output and fuel.
We may be unable to obtain an adequate nuclear fuel supply in the future.
We obtain substantially all of our nuclear fuel supply from third parties pursuant to arrangements that vary in term, pricing structure, firmness and delivery flexibility. Our fuel supply arrangements must be coordinated with storage services and other contracts to ensure that the nuclear fuel is delivered to our power plants at the times, in the quantities and otherwise in a manner that meets the needs of our generation portfolio and our customers. We must also comply with laws and regulations governing the transportation of such fuels.
We are exposed to increases in the price of nuclear fuel, and significant changes in the price of nuclear fuel could affect our cash flow, future results and impact our liquidity needs. In addition, we face risks with regard to the delivery to, and the use of nuclear fuel by, our power plants including the following:
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creditworthiness of third-party suppliers, defaults by third-party suppliers on supply obligations and our ability to replace supplies currently under contract may delay or prevent timely delivery;
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market liquidity for physical supplies of such fuels or availability of related services (e.g., fabrication) may be insufficient or available only at prices that are not acceptable to us;
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variation in the quality of such fuels may adversely affect our power plant operations;
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domestic and foreign legislative or regulatory actions or requirements may impact the availability of and/or increase the cost of such fuels; and
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the loss of critical infrastructure, acts of war or terrorist attacks (including cybersecurity breaches) or catastrophic events such as fires, earthquakes, explosions, floods, severe storms or other similar occurrences could impede the delivery of such fuels.
The nuclear units we operate have a diversified portfolio of contracts and inventory that provide a substantial portion of our fuel raw material needs over the next several years. However, each of the nuclear units we operate has contracted with a single fuel fabrication services provider, and transitioning to an alternative provider could take an extended period of time. This could have a material adverse impact on our business, the financial results of specific plants and on our results of operations.
Although our fuel contract portfolio provides a degree of hedging against these market risks, such hedging may not be effective and future increases in our fuel costs could materially and adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.
The introduction or expansion of technologies related to energy generation, distribution and consumption and changes in customer usage patterns could adversely impact us.
Federal and state incentives for the development and operation of renewable sources of power have facilitated the penetration of competing technologies, such as wind, solar, and commercial-sized power storage. Additionally, the development of demand side management (DSM) and EE programs can impact demand requirements for electricity and natural gas markets. The development of competing on-site power generation could also result in a reduction in anticipated growth which could negatively impact our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
Advances in distributed generation technologies, such as fuel cells, micro turbines, micro grids, windmills and net-metered solar installations, coupled with subsidies, could (i) affect the price of energy, (ii) reduce energy deliveries as customer-owned generation becomes more cost-effective, (iii) require further improvements to our distribution systems to address changing load demands, and (iv) make portions of our transmission and/or distribution facilities obsolete prior to the end of their useful lives. These technologies could also result in further declines in commodity prices or demand for delivered energy.
Some or all of these factors could result in a lack of growth or decline in customer demand for electricity or natural gas or of customers, and may cause us to fail to fully realize anticipated benefits from significant capital investments and expenditures, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows. These factors could also materially affect our results of operations, cash flows or financial positions through, among other things, reduced operating revenues, increased O&M expenses, and increased capital expenditures, as well as potential asset impairment charges or accelerated depreciation and decommissioning expenses over shortened remaining asset useful lives.
We are subject to third-party credit risk relating to our sale of nuclear generation output.
In the spot markets, we are exposed to the risks of the default sharing mechanisms that exist in those markets, some of which attempt to spread the risk across all participants. Therefore, a default by a third party could increase our costs, which could negatively impact our results of operations and cash flows. We hedge generation output through the execution of bilateral contracts. These contracts are subject to credit risk, which relates to the ability of our counterparties to meet their contractual obligations to us. Any failure of these counterparties to perform could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations, cash flows and financial position.
There may be periods when PSEG Power generation may not operate and/or may not be able to meet its commitments under forward sale obligations and PJM rules at a reasonable cost or at all.
A portion of PSEG Power’s nuclear generation output has been sold forward under fixed price financial power sales contracts. Forward financial sales offset physical sales in the PJM RTO spot market. Our forward sales of energy and capacity assume sustained, acceptable levels of operating performance. Operations at any of our plants could degrade to the point where the plant has to shut down or operate at less than full capacity. Some issues that could impact the operation of our facilities are:
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breakdown or failure of equipment, IT, processes or management effectiveness;
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disruptions in the transmission of electricity;
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labor disputes or work stoppages;
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fuel supply interruptions;
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limitations which may be imposed by environmental or other regulatory requirements; and
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operator error, acts of war or terrorist attacks (including physical or cybersecurity breaches) or catastrophic events such as fires, earthquakes, explosions, floods, severe weather or other similar occurrences.
Identifying and correcting any of these issues may require significant time and expense. Depending on the materiality of the issue, we may choose to close a plant rather than incur the expense of restarting it or returning it to full capacity.
Because the obligations under most of these forward sale agreements are not contingent on a unit being available to generate power, PSEG Power’s results of operations and cash flows are at risk even in the event of a plant outage, or a reduction in the available capacity of the unit. To the extent that PSEG Power does not meet its expected nuclear generation output, PSEG Power would be required to pay the difference between the market price and the contract price on its financial contracts without receiving the physical spot energy revenue or be required to purchase energy at higher prices to cover its shortfall. In addition, as capacity performance resources in PJM, PSEG’s nuclear units have been and will in the future be required to pay penalties if a forced outage at a plant occurs during a declared emergency event within PJM as defined by PJM's rules and that plant’s expected performance exceeds its actual performance during such event. The amount of such payments could be substantial and could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
In addition, changing market design rules, including capacity performance rules and the design and timing of capacity market auctions, and/or failure to follow existing rules by PJM or market participants, as well as any future supply/demand imbalance in PJM, creates regulatory uncertainty and reliability risk.
Generation activities at the Peach Bottom plants present risks similar to those to which nuclear generation plants that we operate are subject.
Generation activities at, and the operation of, the Peach Bottom plants present risks similar to those described above in GENERAL OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL RISKS and RISKS RELATED TO OUR GENERATION BUSINESS and below in REGULATORY, LEGISLATIVE AND LEGAL RISKS.
While we have a 50% ownership interest in the Peach Bottom nuclear generation plants, these plants are operated by a third party and, therefore, we have limited control over the risks associated with these plants.
REGULATORY, LEGISLATIVE AND LEGAL RISKS
PSE&G’s revenues, earnings and results of operations are dependent upon state laws and regulations that affect distribution and related activities.
PSE&G is subject to regulation by the BPU. Such regulation affects almost every aspect of its businesses, including its retail rates. Failure to comply with these regulations could have a material adverse impact on PSE&G’s ability to operate its business and could result in fines, penalties or sanctions. The retail rates for electric and gas distribution services are established in a distribution base rate proceeding and remain in effect until a new distribution base rate proceeding is filed and concluded. PSE&G's base rates were most recently approved in October 2024. In addition, our utility has received approval for several clause recovery mechanisms, some of which provide for recovery of costs and earn returns on authorized investments. These clause mechanisms require periodic financial reviews to update rates charged to customers which are independent of base rate proceedings and are subject to prudency reviews by the BPU. Inability to obtain fair or timely recovery of all our costs pursuant to the distribution base rate case and/or these clause recovery mechanisms, including a return of, or on, our investments in rates, could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations and cash flows. In addition, if legislative and regulatory structures were to evolve in such a way that PSE&G’s exclusive rights to serve its regulated customers were eroded, its future earnings could be negatively impacted.
The BPU also conducts periodic combined management/competitive service audits of New Jersey utilities related to affiliate standard requirements, competitive services, cross-subsidization, cost allocation and other issues. A finding by the BPU of
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non-compliance with these requirements could potentially impact our business, results of operations and cash flows. For information regarding PSE&G’s most recent affiliate and management audit, see Item 8. Note 12. Commitments and Contingent Liabilities.
In addition, PSE&G procures the supply requirements of its default service BGSS gas customers through a full-requirements contract with PSEG Power. Government officials, legislators and advocacy groups are aware of the affiliation between PSE&G and PSEG Power. In periods of rising utility rates, those officials and advocacy groups may question or challenge costs and transactions incurred by PSE&G with PSEG Power, irrespective of any previous regulatory processes or approvals underlying those transactions. The occurrence of such challenges may subject PSEG Power to a level of scrutiny not faced by other unaffiliated competitors in those markets and could even adversely affect retail rates received by PSE&G.
PSE&G’s proposed investment projects or programs may not be fully approved by regulators and actual capital investment by PSE&G may be lower than planned, which would cause lower than anticipated rate base.
PSE&G is a regulated public utility that operates and invests in an electric T&D system and a gas distribution system as well as certain regulated clean energy investments, including solar and EE within New Jersey. PSE&G invests in capital projects to maintain and improve its existing T&D system and to address various public policy goals and meet customer expectations. Transmission projects are subject to the rules governing PJM's FERC-approved transmission expansion planning process which may be challenged in the future as well as other FERC rules, while distribution and clean energy projects are subject to approval by the BPU. The costs of PSE&G’s transmission projects are subject to prudency challenge at FERC and PSE&G’s rates themselves may also be challenged at FERC. FERC has also proposed elimination of certain transmission rate incentives, including the incentive that PSE&G receives for being a transmission owner member of PJM and accepting the related risk of RTO membership.
We cannot be certain that any proposed project or program will be approved as requested or at all. If the projects or programs that PSE&G may file from time to time are only approved in part, or not at all, or if the approval fails to allow for the timely recovery of all of PSE&G’s costs, including a return of, or on, its investment, PSE&G will have a lower than anticipated rate base, thus causing its future earnings to be lower than anticipated. Further, the BPU could take positions to exclude or limit utility participation in certain areas, such as renewable generation, EE, EV infrastructure, or energy storage programs, renewable natural gas or hydrogen projects, which would limit our relationship with customers and narrow our future growth prospects. In addition, PSE&G’s Clean Energy Future – Energy Efficiency II Program provides nearly $1 billion of funding to continue the on-bill repayment program, which allows customers to repay their cost of equipment upgrades over time directly through their PSE&G bill. While the deployment of this capital in the form of on-bill repayment is subject to customers meeting acceptable credit standard and bad debt expense is a recoverable cost in this program, any such recovery is subject to prudency review and approval by the BPU.
We are subject to comprehensive federal regulation that affects, or may affect, our businesses.
We are subject to regulation by federal authorities. Such regulation affects almost every aspect of our businesses, including management and operations; the terms and rates of transmission services; the rules governing the payments we receive from PJM markets; investment strategies; the financing of our operations and the payment of dividends. Failure to comply with these regulations could have a material adverse impact on our ability to operate our business and could result in fines, penalties or sanctions.
Hazardous Substance Liability—PSEG’s operations involve substances and byproducts classified by environmental regulations as hazardous. These regulations impose handling, storage and disposal requirements for hazardous materials. They can also impose strict and joint and several liability for damages to the environment, including cash penalties. Federal and state environmental laws and regulations require the cleanup of discharged hazardous substances.
Recovery of wholesale transmission rates—PSE&G’s wholesale transmission rates are regulated by FERC and our project costs are recovered through a FERC-approved formula rate. The revenue requirements are reset each year through this formula. Our formula rate and its components can be challenged at FERC in the future.
In April 2021, FERC issued a supplemental notice of proposed rulemaking to eliminate the incentive for RTO membership for transmitting utilities that have already received the incentive for three or more years. PSE&G began receiving a 50 basis
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point adder for RTO membership in 2008. Elimination of the adder for RTO membership would reduce PSE&G’s annual Net Income and annual cash inflows by approximately $40 million.
Transmission Planning—FERC Order 1000 generally opened transmission development to competition from independent developers, allowing such developers to compete with incumbent utilities for the construction and operation of transmission facilities in its service territory. While Order 1000 retains limited carve-outs for certain projects that will continue to default to incumbents for construction responsibility, increased competition for transmission projects could decrease the value of new investments that would be subject to recovery by PSE&G under its rate base, which could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations. FERC has considered, and may in the future consider, whether to modify - either limit or expand - Order 1000’s competition rules. FERC is also examining whether additional oversight is needed to control transmission costs.
A significant input into PJM’s transmission planning process is its regional load forecast, which is adjusted on an annual basis. PJM’s regional load forecast has increased significantly over the past few years, reflecting increased expectations of large customer growth and in January 2026, PJM provided an annual update of its load forecast in the PSEG zone and across PJM to reflect continued expectations of large customer growth. Developing an accurate load forecast that reflects customer demand of the state – and other states in PJM – is critical to ensure that transmission is planned and built where it is needed to maintain reliability and that sufficient generation is procured in the capacity market.
NERC Compliance—NERC, at the direction of FERC, has implemented mandatory NERC Operations and Planning and Critical Infrastructure Protection standards to ensure the reliability of the North American Bulk Electric System, which includes electric transmission and generation systems, and to prevent major system blackouts. NERC Critical Infrastructure Protection standards establish cybersecurity and physical security protections for critical systems and facilities. We have been, and will continue to be, periodically audited by NERC for compliance with both Operations and Planning and Critical Infrastructure Protection standards and are subject to penalties for non-compliance with applicable NERC standards. Failure to comply with applicable NERC standards could result in penalties or increased costs to bring such facilities into compliance. Such penalties and costs could materially adversely impact our business, results of operations and cash flows. Adverse audit findings and/or penalties for non-compliance could also pose reputational risk to us.
MBR Authority and Other Regulatory Approvals—Under FERC regulations, public utilities that sell power at market rates must receive MBR authority before making power sales, and the majority of our businesses operate with such authority. Failure to maintain MBR authorization, or the effects of any severe mitigation measures that would be required if market power was evaluated differently in the future, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In December 2025, all of PSEG’s operating companies with MBR authority filed at FERC for acceptance of the companies’ updated triennial market power analysis. This filing remains pending at FERC.
Oversight by the CFTC relating to derivative transactions—The CFTC has regulatory oversight of the swap and futures markets and options, including energy trading, and licensed futures professionals such as brokers, clearing members and large traders. Changes to regulations or adoption of additional regulations by the CFTC, including any regulations relating to futures and other derivatives or margin for derivatives and increased investigations by the CFTC, could negatively impact PSEG Power’s ability to hedge its portfolio in an efficient, cost-effective manner by, among other things, potentially decreasing liquidity in the forward commodity and derivatives markets or limiting PSEG Power’s ability to utilize non-cash collateral for derivatives transactions.
We may also be required to obtain various other regulatory approvals to, among other things, buy or sell assets, engage in transactions between our public utility and our other subsidiaries, and, in some cases, enter into financing arrangements, issue securities and allow our subsidiaries to pay dividends. Failure to obtain these approvals on a timely basis could materially adversely affect our results of operations and cash flows.
The markets, and/or PTC may not provide sufficient financial support for our New Jersey nuclear plants which could result in the retirement of all of these nuclear plants.
As further described in Item 7. MD&A—Executive Overview of 2025 and Future Outlook, PSEG Power’s Salem 1, Salem 2 and Hope Creek nuclear plants were awarded ZECs by the BPU through May 2025.
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In August 2022, the IRA was signed into law expanding incentives promoting carbon-free generation. The enacted legislation established a PTC for electricity generation using nuclear energy which begins January 1, 2024 and continues through 2032. The expected PTC rate is up to $15/MWh subject to adjustment based upon a facility’s gross receipts. The PTC rate and the gross receipts threshold are subject to annual inflation adjustments. The U.S. Treasury has not yet defined gross receipts. The ZEC payment will be adjusted by the BPU to offset environmental or fuel diversity payments that a selected nuclear plant may receive from another source. We continue to estimate the PTC while we await additional guidance from the U.S. Treasury. The U.S. Treasury may issue guidance related to the PTC and/or the Federal government could amend the IRA, either of which could have an adverse impact on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
If the markets or PTC do not provide sufficient financial support, or, in the case of the Salem nuclear plants, decisions by the EPA and state environmental regulators regarding the implementation of Section 316(b) of the CWA and related state regulations, or other factors, PSEG Power may take all necessary steps to cease to operate all of these plants and will incur associated costs and accounting charges in the event that the financial condition of the plants is materially adversely impacted in the future. Ceasing operations of these plants would result in a material adverse impact on PSEG’s results of operations.
We may be adversely affected by changes in energy regulatory policies, including energy and capacity market design rules and developments affecting transmission.
The energy industry continues to be regulated and the rules to which our businesses are subject are always at risk of being changed. PJM’s capacity market design rules continue to evolve and change, including in response to projections of higher demand, lack of sufficient generation capacity and extreme weather events. These changes have led to capacity market auction delays and rules changes that have created regulatory and business uncertainty. For a discussion of recent changes in energy regulatory policies that may affect our business and results of operations, see Item 1. Business—Regulatory Issues—Federal Regulation.
Our ownership and operation of nuclear power plants involve regulatory risks as well as financial, environmental and health and safety risks.
We are exposed to risks related to the continued successful operation of our nuclear facilities and issues that may adversely affect the nuclear generation industry. In addition to the risk of retirement discussed below, risks associated with the operation of nuclear facilities include:
Storage and Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel—Federal law requires the United States Department of Energy (DOE) to provide for the permanent storage of spent nuclear fuel. The DOE has not yet begun accepting spent nuclear fuel. Until a federal site is available, we use on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel, which is reimbursed by the DOE. However, future capital expenditures may be required to increase spent fuel storage capacity at our nuclear facilities. Once a federal site is available, the DOE may impose fees to support a permanent repository. Further, the on-site storage for spent nuclear fuel may significantly increase our nuclear unit decommissioning costs.
Regulatory and Legal Risk—We may be required to substantially increase capital expenditures or operating or decommissioning costs at our nuclear facilities if there is a change in the Atomic Energy Act or the applicable regulations, trade controls or the environmental rules and regulations applicable to nuclear facilities; a modification, suspension or revocation of licenses issued by the NRC; the imposition of civil penalties for failure to comply with the Atomic Energy Act, related regulations, trade controls or the terms and conditions of the licenses for nuclear generating facilities; or the shutdown of one of our nuclear facilities. Any such event could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
Operational Risk—Operations and equipment reliability at any of our nuclear facilities, whether operated by us or our co-owner, could degrade to the point where an affected unit needs to be shut down or operated at less than full capacity. If this were to happen, identifying and correcting the causes could require significant time and expense and a significant outage could result in reduced earnings as we would have less electric output to sell and would be required to deliver on our forward sale commitments.
In addition, if a unit cannot be operated through the end of its current estimated useful life, our results of operations could be adversely affected by increased depreciation rates, impairment charges and accelerated future decommissioning costs.
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Nuclear Incident or Accident Risk—Accidents and other unforeseen problems have occurred at nuclear stations, both in the U.S. and elsewhere. The consequences of an accident can be severe and may include loss of life, significant property damage and/or a change in the regulatory climate. We have nuclear units at two sites. It is possible that an accident or other incident at a nuclear generating unit could adversely affect our ability to continue to operate unaffected units located at the same site, which would further affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. An accident or incident at a nuclear unit not owned by us could lead to increased regulation, which could affect our ability to continue to economically operate our units. Any resulting financial impact from a nuclear accident may exceed our resources, including insurance coverages. Further, as a licensed nuclear operator subject to the Price-Anderson Act and a member of a nuclear industry mutual insurance company, PSEG Power is subject to potential retroactive assessments as a result of an industry nuclear incident or retrospective premiums due to adverse industry loss experience and such assessments may be material.
In the event of non-compliance with applicable legislation, regulation and licenses, the NRC may increase oversight, impose fines, and/or shut down a unit, depending on its assessment of the severity of the non-compliance. If a serious nuclear incident were to occur, our business, reputation, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. In each case, the amount and types of insurance available to cover losses that might arise in connection with the operation of our nuclear fleet are limited and may be insufficient to cover any costs we may incur.
Decommissioning—NRC regulations require that licensees of nuclear generating facilities demonstrate reasonable assurance that funds will be available to decommission a nuclear facility at the end of its useful life. PSEG Nuclear has established an NDT Fund to satisfy these obligations. However, forecasting trust fund investment earnings and costs to decommission nuclear generating stations requires significant judgment, and actual results could differ significantly from current estimates. If we determine that it is necessary to retire one of our nuclear generating stations before the end of its useful life, there is a higher risk that it will no longer meet the NRC minimum funding requirements due to the earlier commencement of decommissioning activities and a shorter time period over which the NDT investments could appreciate in value. A shortfall could require PSEG to post parental guarantees or make additional cash contributions to ensure that the NDT Fund continues to satisfy the NRC minimum funding requirements. As a result, our financial position or cash flows could be significantly adversely affected.
We are subject to numerous federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations that may significantly limit or affect our businesses, result in significant litigation, adversely impact our business plans and/or expose us to significant environmental fines, costs and other liabilities.
We are subject to extensive federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations regarding air quality, water quality, site remediation, land use, waste disposal, climate change impact, natural resource damages and other matters. These laws and regulations affect how we conduct our operations and make capital expenditures. Over the past several years, there have been various changes to make existing environmental laws and regulations stricter and this trend may continue. Changes in these laws, or violations of laws, could result in significant increases in our compliance costs, capital expenditures to bring facilities into compliance, operating costs for remediation and clean-up actions, civil penalties or damages from actions brought by third parties for alleged health or property damages. Any such increase in our costs could have a material impact on our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows and could require further economic review to determine whether to continue operations or decommission an affected facility. We may also be unable to successfully recover certain of these cost increases through our existing regulatory rate structures, in the case of PSE&G, or our contracts with our customers, in the case of PSEG Power.
PSE&G recovers certain remediation and legal costs associated with its manufactured gas plant sites through Remediation Adjustment Charge (RAC) filings with the BPU. Continued future recoveries through the RAC are not guaranteed. Any failure to make future recoveries could materially impact our financial condition.
In addition, PSEG Power retained ownership of certain liabilities excluded from the sale of its fossil generation portfolio. These primarily relate to obligations under environmental regulations, including remediation obligations under the New Jersey Industrial Site Recovery Act and the Connecticut Transfer Act. It will require multiple years and comprehensive environmental sampling to understand the extent of and to carry out the required remediation. At this stage of the remediation process, the full remediation costs are not estimable, but given the number and operating history of the facilities in the
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portfolio, the full remediation costs will likely be material in the aggregate. The costs could potentially include costs for, among other things, excavating soil, implementation of institutional controls, and the construction, operation and maintenance of engineering controls.
Environmental laws and regulations have generally become more stringent over time, and this trend is likely to continue. For further discussion of environmental laws and regulations impacting our business, results of operations and financial condition, including the impact of federal and state laws and regulations relating to remediation of environmental contamination, see Item 8. Note 12. Commitments and Contingent Liabilities.
We may not receive necessary licenses, permits and siting approvals in a timely manner or at all, which could adversely impact our business and results of operations.
We must periodically apply for licenses and permits from various regulatory authorities, including environmental regulatory authorities, and siting/permitting approvals for our transmission investments, and abide by their respective orders. Delay in obtaining, or failure to obtain and maintain, any permits or approvals, including environmental permits or approvals, or delay in or failure to satisfy any applicable regulatory requirements, could:
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prevent construction of new facilities,
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limit or prevent continued operation of existing facilities,
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limit or prevent the sale of energy from these facilities, or
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result in significant additional costs,
each of which could materially affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. In addition, the process of obtaining licenses and permits from regulatory authorities may be delayed or defeated by concerted community opposition and such delay or defeat could have a material effect on our business.
Changes in tax laws and regulations may adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
The enactment, amendment or repeal of federal or state tax legislation and/or the clarification of previously enacted tax laws, including U.S. Treasury guidance relating to the 15% CAMT, the nuclear PTC and other energy tax credit provisions, could have a material impact on our effective tax rate and cash tax position.