Niagen Bioscience, Inc. (NAGE) Risk Factors
This page reproduces the company's own Item 1A Risk Factors text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
Informational only - not investment advice. See Disclaimer.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
Investing in our common stock involves a high degree of risk. Current investors and potential investors should consider carefully the risks and uncertainties described below together with all other information contained in this Form 10-K, including our financial statements, the related notes and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” before making investment decisions with respect to our common stock. If any of the following risks occur, our business, financial condition, results of operations and our future growth prospects would likely be materially and adversely affected. Under these circumstances, the trading price and value of our common stock could decline, resulting in a loss of all or part of your investment. The risks and uncertainties described in this Form 10-K are not the only ones facing our Company. Additional risks and uncertainties of which we are not presently aware, or that we currently consider immaterial, may also affect our business operations.
Summary of Risk Factors
We are providing the following summary of the risk factors contained in this Annual Report on Form 10-K to enhance the readability and accessibility of our risk factor disclosures. This summary does not address all of the risks that we face. We encourage our stockholders to carefully review the risk factors contained in this Annual Report on Form 10-K in their entirety for additional information regarding the risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to vary materially from recent results or from our anticipated future results.
Risks Related to our Company and Business:
•Interruptions in our relationships or declines in our business with major customers could materially harm our business and financial results.
•Global, market and economic conditions may negatively impact our business, financial condition and share price.
•Our future success largely depends on sales of our Tru Niagen® product.
•The success of our consumer product and ingredient business is linked to the size and growth rate of the wellness industry market and an adverse change in the size or growth rate of that market could have a material adverse effect on us.
•The future growth and profitability of our consumer product business will depend in large part upon the effectiveness and efficiency of our marketing efforts and our ability to select effective markets and media in which to market and advertise.
•Many of our competitors are larger and have greater financial and other resources than we do.
•We have a history of operating losses, may need additional financing to meet our future long-term capital requirements and may be unable to raise sufficient capital on favorable terms or at all.
Risks Related to our Operations:
•Our operating results may fluctuate significantly, which could make our future results difficult to predict and could cause our operating results to fall below expectations.
•If we are unable to maintain or develop sales, marketing and distribution capabilities or maintain or develop arrangements with third parties to sell, market and distribute our products, our business may be harmed.
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•Our business could be negatively impacted by cyber security incidents or threats, which could lead to data breaches, material interruption to our operations, manufacturing or laboratory systems, clinical trials, and IT systems, and violations of statutory and contractual privacy, confidentiality and data security obligations. This could result in significant fines, penalties, litigation, and liabilities, regulatory investigations or lawsuits, including class actions, reputational harm, and loss of revenue, customers or sales.
Risks Related to our Products:
•We rely on a single supplier, W.R. Grace, for NRC and a limited number of third-party suppliers for the raw materials required to produce our products.
•Unfavorable publicity or consumer perception of our products and any similar products distributed by other companies could have a material adverse effect on our business.
•We may incur material product liability claims or class action litigation, which could increase our costs and adversely affect our reputation, revenues and operating income.
•We utilize ingredients and components for our products from foreign suppliers, and may be negatively affected by the risks associated with international trade and importation issues.
•We are subject to potential payment processing risk.
Risks Related to our Intellectual Property:
•Our ability to protect our intellectual property and proprietary technology through patents and other means is uncertain and may be inadequate, which may have a material and adverse effect on us.
•Our patents and licenses may be subject to challenge on validity grounds, and our patent applications may be rejected.
•We may become subject to claims of infringement or misappropriation of the intellectual property rights of others, which could prohibit us from developing our products, require us to obtain licenses from third parties or to develop non-infringing alternatives and subject us to substantial monetary damages.
Risks Related to Regulatory Approval of our Products and Other Government Regulations:
•Changes in government regulation or in practices relating to the pharmaceutical, dietary supplement, food and cosmetic industry could affect our ability to comply and the demand for our products and services.
•Compliance with stringent and changing global privacy and data security laws and regulations may increase our operating costs, expose us to liability, and restrict our ability to collect, use, transfer, and otherwise process data critical to our business. Any actual or perceived failure to comply could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, or operations.
Risks Related to the Securities Markets and Ownership of our Equity Securities:
•The market price of our common stock may be volatile and adversely affected by several factors.
•We have not paid cash dividends in the past and do not expect to pay cash dividends in the foreseeable future. Any return on investment may be limited to the value of our common stock.
•We have a significant number of outstanding options and unvested restricted stock units. Future sales of these shares could adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
General Risks:
•We may become involved in securities class action litigation that could divert management’s attention and harm our business.
•Our failure to establish and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could result in material misstatements in our financial statements, result in our failure to meet our reporting obligations and cause investors to lose confidence in our reported financial information, which in turn could cause the trading price of our common stock to decline.
•We have a limited operating history in China and our ability to develop successful channels in China is subject to legal, political, economic and social uncertainties.
•Environmental, social and governance matters and any related reporting obligations may impact our business and reputation.
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Risks Related to our Company and Business
Interruptions in our relationships or declines in our business with major customers could materially harm our business and financial results.
Any interruption in our relationship or decline in our business with key customers upon whom we become highly dependent could cause harm to our business. Factors that could influence our relationship with our customers upon whom we may become highly dependent include:
•our ability to maintain our products at prices and quality that are competitive with those of our competitors, and the potential for new competitors or more aggressive actions by our existing competitors;
•our ability to maintain quality levels for our products sufficient to meet the expectations of our customers;
•our ability to produce, ship and deliver a sufficient quantity of our products in a timely manner to meet the needs of our customers;
•our ability to continue to develop and launch new products that our customers feel meet their needs and requirements, with respect to cost, timeliness, features, performance and other factors;
•our ability to develop new sales and distribution channels for our new products;
•our ability to successfully develop relationships with clinics and other third-party providers of our pharmaceutical-grade products;
•our ability to provide timely, responsive and accurate customer support to our customers; and
•the ability of our customers to effectively deliver, market and increase sales of their own products based on ours.
Global, market and economic conditions may negatively impact our business, financial condition and share price.
Concerns over inflation, tariffs, import/export regulations, trade disputes, geopolitical issues, the U.S. financial markets, higher interest rates, foreign exchange rates, capital and exchange controls, unstable global credit markets and financial conditions, have led to periods of significant economic instability, declines in consumer confidence and discretionary spending and diminished expectations for the global economy and expectations of slower global economic growth going forward. Our general business strategy may be adversely affected by any such economic downturns, volatile business environments and unstable or unpredictable economic and market conditions. If these conditions continue to deteriorate or do not improve, it may make any necessary debt or equity financing more difficult to complete, more costly and more dilutive. In addition, there is a risk that one or more of our current or future service providers, manufacturers, suppliers and other partners could be negatively affected by difficult economic times, which could adversely affect our ability to attain our operating goals on schedule and on budget or meet our business and financial objectives. Specifically, the impact of these volatile and negative conditions may include, but are not limited to, decreased demand for our products and services as consumers may consider the purchase of nutritional products discretionary, a decrease in our ability to accurately forecast future product trends and demand, and a negative impact on our ability to timely collect receivables from our customers. The foregoing economic conditions may lead to increased levels of bankruptcies, restructurings and liquidations for our customers, scaling back of research and development expenditures, delays in planned projects and shifts in business strategies for many of our customers. Such events could, in turn, adversely affect our business through loss of sales.
In addition, we face several risks associated with international business and are subject to global events beyond our control, including war, public health crises, such as pandemics and epidemics, trade disputes, economic sanctions, trade wars and their collateral impacts and other international events. Any of these changes could have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, financial condition or results of operations. There may be changes to our business if there is instability, disruption or destruction in a significant geographic region, regardless of cause, including war, terrorism and related sanctions and countermeasures, riot, civil insurrection or social unrest; and natural or man-made disasters, including extreme weather events due to climate change, famine, flood, fire, earthquake, storm or disease. The effects of rising global inflation, are difficult to predict, but could adversely impact geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, the global economy, and contribute to increased market volatility, which may in turn adversely affect our business and operations.
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Our future success largely depends on sales of our Tru Niagen® product.
We expect to generate a significant percentage of our future revenue from sales of our Tru Niagen® product. As a result, the market acceptance of Tru Niagen® is critical to our continued success, and if we are unable to expand market acceptance and increase consumer awareness of Tru Niagen® our business, results of operations, financial condition, liquidity and growth prospects would be materially adversely affected.
The success of our consumer product and ingredient business is linked to the size and growth rate of the wellness industry market and an adverse change in the size or growth rate of that market could have a material adverse effect on us.
An adverse change in the size or growth rate of the wellness industry market, particularly the dietary supplement market, could have a material adverse effect on our business. The success of our pharmaceutical-grade Niagen® ingredient offering is dependent on the continued growth of the intravenous hydration therapy and spa markets and our ability to reach those markets. Underlying market conditions are subject to change based on economic conditions, consumer preferences and other factors that are beyond our control, including media attention and scientific research, which may be positive or negative.
The future growth and profitability of our consumer product business will depend in large part upon the effectiveness and efficiency of our marketing efforts and our ability to select effective markets and media in which to market and advertise.
Our consumer products business success depends on our ability to attract and retain customers, which significantly depends on our marketing practices. Our future growth and profitability will depend in large part upon the effectiveness and efficiency of our marketing efforts, including our ability to:
•create greater awareness of our brand;
•identify the most effective and efficient levels of spending in each market, media and specific media vehicle;
•determine the appropriate creative messages and media mix for advertising, marketing and promotional expenditures;
•effectively manage marketing costs (including creative and media) to maintain acceptable customer acquisition costs;
•select the most effective markets, media and specific media vehicles in which to market and advertise; and
•convert consumer inquiries into actual orders.
Many of our competitors are larger and have greater financial and other resources than we do.
Our products compete and will compete with other similar products produced by our competitors. These competitive products are and may in the future be marketed by well-established, successful companies that possess greater financial, marketing, distributional, personnel and other resources than we possess. Using these resources, these companies can implement extensive advertising and promotional campaigns, both generally and in response to specific marketing efforts by competitors, and enter into new markets more rapidly to introduce new products. In certain instances, competitors with greater financial resources also may be able to enter a market in direct competition with us, offering attractive marketing tools to encourage the sale of products that compete with our products or present cost features that consumers may find attractive.
Our material cash requirements will depend on many factors.
Our material cash requirements will depend on many factors, including:
•the revenues generated by sales of our products;
•the costs associated with expanding our sales and marketing efforts, including efforts to hire independent agents and sales representatives;
•our business costs, including increased costs as a result of inflation;
•the expenses we incur in developing and commercializing our products, including the cost of obtaining and maintaining regulatory approvals and developing new distribution channels; and
•unanticipated general and administrative expenses.
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Because of these factors, we may seek to raise additional capital within the next twelve months both to meet our projected operating plans after the next twelve months and to fund our longer-term strategic objectives. Additional capital may come from public and private equity or debt offerings, borrowings under lines of credit or other sources. These additional funds may not be available on favorable terms, or at all. There can be no assurance we will be successful in raising these additional funds. Furthermore, if we issue equity or debt securities to raise additional funds, our existing stockholders may experience dilution and the new equity or debt securities we issue may have rights, preferences and privileges senior to those of our existing stockholders. In addition, if we raise additional funds through collaboration, licensing or other similar arrangements, it may be necessary to relinquish valuable rights to our products or proprietary technologies, or grant licenses on terms that are not favorable to us. If we cannot raise funds on acceptable terms, we may not be able to develop or enhance our products, obtain the required regulatory clearances or approvals, execute our business plan, take advantage of future opportunities, or respond to competitive pressures or unanticipated customer requirements. Any of these events could adversely affect our ability to achieve our development and commercialization goals, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Changes in our business strategy, including entering new consumer product markets, restructuring our businesses or other factors may increase our costs or otherwise affect the profitability of our businesses.
As changes in our business environment occur we may adjust our business strategies to meet these changes or we may otherwise decide to restructure our operations or businesses or assets. In addition, external events including changing technology, changing consumer patterns and changes in macroeconomic conditions, including inflationary pressures, may impair the value of our assets and increase our costs. When these changes or events occur, we may incur costs to change our business strategy and may need to write down the value of assets. In any of these events, our costs may increase, we may have significant charges associated with the write-down of assets or returns on new investments may be lower than prior to the change in strategy or restructuring. For example, we may not be successful in developing our consumer product business for sales of Tru Niagen® products or sales of our Niagen® ingredient products, and our sales may decrease despite us incurring increased costs related to marketing or otherwise developing such products.
We face significant competition, including changes in pricing.
The markets for our products and services are both competitive and price-sensitive. Many of our competitors have significant financial, operations, sales and marketing resources and experience in research and development. Competitors could develop new technologies that compete with our products and services or even render our products obsolete. If a competitor develops superior technology or cost-effective alternatives to our products and services, our business could be seriously harmed. In September 2025, the FDA determined that nicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN) may be lawfully marketed as a dietary ingredient. If this determination is not overturned or superseded, it may introduce additional channels of competition in certain product categories.
Additionally, some competitors may engage in misleading marketing practices, including mislabeling their products by overstating ingredient levels or making claims that their products provide benefits similar to ours without scientific support. These practices may mislead consumers into purchasing inferior or ineffective alternatives, thereby eroding our market share and damaging the credibility of the product category as a whole. If such competitors gain traction in the marketplace, our ability to differentiate our scientifically validated products may be diminished, negatively impacting our sales and overall business.
Furthermore, the markets for some of our products are also subject to specific competitive risks because these markets are highly price competitive. Our competitors have competed in the past by lowering prices on certain products. If they do so again, we may be forced to respond by lowering our prices. This would reduce sales revenues and increase losses. Failure to anticipate and respond to price competition may also impact sales and aggravate losses. Our commercial opportunity could be reduced if our competitors develop and commercialize products that are more effective or convenient than our products. Our competitors also may obtain regulatory approval for their products in markets we have not yet entered or before we are able to obtain approval for ours, which could result in our competitors establishing a strong market position before we are able to enter that market. To the extent we are not the first to develop, offer and/or supply new products, customers may buy from our competitors or make materials themselves, causing our competitive position to suffer.
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Litigation may harm our business.
Substantial, complex or extended litigation could cause us to incur significant costs and distract our management. For example, lawsuits by employees, stockholders, collaborators, distributors, customers, competitors or others could be very costly and substantially disrupt our business. Disputes from time to time with such companies, organizations or individuals are not uncommon, and we cannot assure you that we will always be able to resolve such disputes on terms favorable to us. Refer to Note 15, Commitments and Contingencies in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements, included in Part II, Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, for more detail. Unexpected results could cause us to have financial exposure in these matters in excess of recorded reserves and insurance coverage, requiring us to provide additional reserves to address these liabilities, therefore impacting profits.
We have a history of operating losses, may need additional financing to meet our future long-term capital requirements and may be unable to raise sufficient capital on favorable terms or at all.
While we have recorded a net income in both 2025 and 2024, we may not be able to sustain profitability in future periods. Our history of net losses and negative cash flow have had, and may continue to have, an adverse effect on our stockholders’ equity and working capital, and if we are not able to sustain profitability in the future, our stock price may be depressed. We expect to continue to incur increasing expenses as we develop our sales, marketing distribution and other commercial infrastructure and continue to develop and commercialize our products, including the cost of obtaining and maintaining regulatory approvals, and establishing new distribution channels for pharmaceutical-grade Niagen®.
As of December 31, 2025, our cash and cash equivalents totaled approximately $64.8 million, of which $64.6 million was unrestricted, and we had no borrowings outstanding under our line of credit up to $10.0 million, subject to certain terms and conditions, with Western Alliance Bank. We believe that our existing cash resources and available borrowings are sufficient to fund our current operating plans for at least the next twelve months. However, we may require additional funds beyond that period, either through additional equity or debt financings, including pursuant to the At Market Issuance Sales Agreement with Raymond James & Associates, Inc. and Roth Capital Partners, LLC (ATM Facility), or collaborative agreements, lines of credit from other banks, or other sources. We have no commitments to obtain such additional financing, and we may not be able to obtain any such additional financing on terms favorable to us, or at all. Further, in recent years, as a result of various factors including global instability, increased interest rates, and inflationary conditions, among other factors, the global credit and financial markets have experienced extreme volatility, including diminished liquidity and credit availability and uncertainty about economic stability. There can be no assurance that further deterioration in credit and financial markets and confidence in economic conditions will not occur. If equity and credit markets deteriorate, it may make any necessary debt or equity financing more difficult to obtain, more costly and/or more dilutive. If adequate financing is not available, the Company will delay, postpone or terminate product and service expansion and curtail certain selling, general and administrative operations. The inability to raise additional financing may have a material adverse effect on the future performance of the Company.
Risks Related to our Operations
Our operating results may fluctuate significantly, which could make our future results difficult to predict and could cause our operating results to fall below expectations.
Our operating results may fluctuate due to a variety of factors, a portion of which are outside of our control. Factors that are difficult to predict and that could cause our operating results to fluctuate include:
•the timing and magnitude of orders, shipments and acceptance of our products, including product returns, order rescheduling and cancellations by our customers;
•our ability to control the costs of the parts and materials we use or to timely adopt subsequent generations of parts and materials;
•our ability to control the costs of the development, sales and distribution of our products;
•disruption in our supply chains, shipping logistics, component availability and related procurement costs;
•the impact of tariffs or changes in trade policies, which could increase our costs and affect pricing or demand for our products;
•our ability to develop, introduce and distribute new products or product enhancements that meet customer requirements and to effectively manage product transitions;
•our reliance on third-party partners involved in the development and supply of new or existing products;
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•changes in the competitive dynamics of our markets, including new entrants, new products, or discounting of product prices;
•our ability to control or mitigate costs, including our operating expenses, to support business growth and our continued expansion;
•our ability to upgrade and develop our systems and infrastructure to accommodate growth;
•the impact of inflation on labor and other costs, other adverse economic conditions including the impact of public health epidemics or pandemics;
•disputes and litigation;
•our ability to attract and retain key personnel in a timely and cost-effective manner;
•information technology related costs, disruptions and hindrances;
•our ability to effectively incorporate artificial intelligence (AI) solutions into our operations, services, and systems;
•future regulation by federal, state or local governments; and
•general economic conditions as well as economic conditions specific to the dietary supplement industry.
Our revenues and operating results are and will remain difficult to forecast due to the foregoing factors as the occurrence of any one of these factors could negatively affect our operating results in any particular quarter.
If we are unable to maintain or develop sales, marketing and distribution capabilities or maintain or develop arrangements with third parties to sell, market and distribute our products, our business may be harmed.
To achieve commercial success for our products, we must sell our product lines and/or technologies at favorable prices. In addition to being expensive, maintaining such a sales force is time-consuming. Qualified direct sales personnel with experience in the dietary supplement industry are in high demand, and there can be no assurance that we will be able to hire or retain an effective direct sales team. Similarly, qualified independent sales representatives both within and outside the United States are in high demand, and we may not be able to build an effective network for the distribution of our product through such representatives. There can be no assurance that we will be able to enter into contracts with representatives on terms acceptable to us. Furthermore, there can be no assurance that we will be able to build an alternate distribution framework should we attempt to do so.
We may also need to contract with third parties in order to market our products. To the extent that we enter into arrangements with third parties to perform marketing and distribution services, our product revenue could be lower and our costs higher than if we directly marketed our products. Furthermore, to the extent that we enter into co-promotion or other marketing and sales arrangements with other companies, any revenue received will depend on the skills and efforts of others, and we do not know whether these efforts will be successful. If we are unable to establish and maintain adequate sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, independently or with others, we will not be able to generate product revenue, and may not become profitable.
Our business could be negatively impacted by cyber security incidents or threats, which could lead to data breaches, material interruptions to our operations, manufacturing or laboratory systems, clinical trials, and IT systems, and violations of statutory and contractual privacy, confidentiality and data security obligations. This could result in significant fines, penalties, litigation, and liabilities, regulatory investigations or lawsuits, including class actions, reputational harm, and loss of revenue, customers or sales.
In the ordinary course of our business, we may collect, process, store and transmit proprietary, confidential and sensitive information, including personal information (including health information), intellectual property, trade secrets, and proprietary business information owned or controlled by us or other parties. We use our data centers and our networks, and those of third parties, to store and access our proprietary business and other sensitive information. We and the third parties upon which we rely may face various cyber security threats, which are prevalent and continue to increase, including, without limitation, cyber security attacks on our information technology infrastructure and attempts by others to gain access to our proprietary or sensitive information and other similar threats, including ransomware, supply-chain compromises, criminal or nation-state activity, and emerging attack vectors increasingly enhanced by automation and artificial intelligence. We rely upon third-party service providers and technologies to operate critical business systems to process confidential and personal information in a variety of contexts, including, without limitation, third-party providers of cloud-based infrastructure, employee email, and other functions. Our ability to monitor these third-party providers information security practices is limited, and these third parties may not have adequate information security measures in place. Ransomware attacks, including those from organized criminal threat actors, nation-states and nation-state supported actors, are becoming increasingly prevalent and can lead to significant interruptions, delays, or outages in our operations, loss of data, loss of income, significant extra expenses to restore data or
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systems, reputational loss and the diversion of funds. Similarly, supply-chain attacks have increased in frequency and severity, and we cannot guarantee that third parties and infrastructure in our supply chain or our third-party partners’ supply-chains have not been compromised or that they do not contain exploitable defects or bugs that could result in a breach of or disruption to our information technology systems or the third-party information technology systems that support us and our services. There may be additional cyber security threats as our employees have the ability to work from home, utilizing network connections outside of the Company premises. Any of the previously identified or similar threats could cause a security incident or other interruption and could result in unauthorized, unlawful, or accidental acquisition, modification, destruction, loss, alteration, encryption, disclosure of, or access to data. A security incident or other interruption could disrupt our ability (and that of third parties upon whom we rely) to provide our products and services. Despite our efforts to identify and remediate vulnerabilities, if any, in our information technology systems (including our products), our efforts may not be successful. Further, we may experience delays in developing and deploying remedial measures designed to address any such identified vulnerabilities.
An actual or perceived cyber security incident could result in disrupted operations, including suspension of our clinical trial activities, lost opportunities, misstated financial data, liability for stolen assets or information, theft of our intellectual property, loss of data and other personally identifiable or sensitive information, increased costs arising from the implementation of additional security protective measures, litigation (including class actions), reputational damage, government enforcement actions that could include investigations, fines, penalties, audits and inspections, additional reporting requirements and/or oversight, temporary or permanent bans on all or some processing of personal data (which could impact clinical trials), interruptions in our operations (including availability of data) financial loss, and other similar harms. Further, individuals, clinical trial participants or other relevant stakeholders could sue us for our actual or perceived failure to comply with our security obligations, including, without limitation, in class action litigation. We may expend significant resources, fundamentally change our business activities and practices, or modify our operations, including our clinical trial activities, or information technology in an effort to protect against security incidents and to mitigate, detect, and remediate actual and potential vulnerabilities.
Additionally, some applicable federal, state and foreign laws may require companies to notify individuals, government regulators, including state attorneys general, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Office of Civil Rights, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, credit agencies and the media, of security breaches involving particular personally identifiable information, which could result from breaches experienced by us or by our vendors, contractors, or organizations with which we have relationships. Notifications and follow-up actions related to a security breach are costly, and the disclosures or the failure to comply with such requirements could lead to adverse consequences and could impact our reputation or cause us to incur significant costs, including legal expenses and remediation costs.
Any remedial costs or other liabilities related to security incidents may not be fully insured or indemnified by other means. Our contracts may not contain limitations of liability; however, even where they do, there can be no assurance that limitations of liability in our contracts are sufficient to protect us from liabilities, damages, or claims related to our data privacy and security obligations. Although we maintain cyber insurance, we cannot be sure that our insurance coverage will be adequate or sufficient to protect us from or to mitigate liabilities arising out of our privacy and security practices, that such coverage will continue to be available on commercially reasonable terms or at all, or that such coverage will pay future claims.
We may need to increase the size of our organization, and we can provide no assurance that we will successfully expand operations or manage growth effectively.
Our increase in the scope and the scale of our product launches, including entrance into new markets, has resulted in significantly higher operating expenses for increased personnel and fees for regulatory approvals, among other expenses. As a result, we anticipate that our operating expenses will continue to increase. Expansion of our operations may also cause a significant demand on our management, finances and other resources. Our ability to manage the anticipated future growth, should it occur, will depend upon a significant expansion of our accounting and other internal management systems and the implementation and subsequent improvement of a variety of systems, procedures and controls. There can be no assurance that significant problems in these areas will not occur. Any failure to expand these areas and implement and improve such systems, procedures and controls in an efficient manner at a pace consistent with our business could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. There can be no assurance that our attempts to expand our marketing, sales, manufacturing and customer support efforts will be successful or will result in additional sales or profitability in any future period. As a result of the expansion of our operations and the anticipated increase in our operating expenses, as well as the difficulty in forecasting revenue levels, we expect to continue to experience significant fluctuations in our results of operations.
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The insurance industry has previously and may again become more selective in offering some types of coverage and we may not be able to obtain insurance coverage in the future.
The insurance industry has previously experienced periods of increased selectivity in providing certain types of coverage, including product liability, cyber, property, and directors' and officers' liability insurance. It is possible that such trends may recur in the future. We currently maintain insurance coverage that aligns with our historical levels and risk management policies. However, we cannot guarantee the availability of comparable insurance coverage on favorable terms, or at all, in the future. Furthermore, some of our customers, as well as prospective customers, stipulate that we maintain specific minimum levels of coverage for our products. Failure to meet these required coverage levels could lead to material changes in business terms or the potential loss of business relationships.
We depend on key personnel, the loss of any of which could negatively affect our business.
Our business depends greatly on the expertise and contributions of several key individuals, including our senior leadership team and other critical team members and professionals in scientific research and marketing. The development of our products and services and the effective marketing of our offerings necessitate individuals with specialized skills and experience. Moreover, certain positions within our organization, such as those in manufacturing, quality control, safety and compliance, information technology, sales, and e-commerce, are highly technical and require qualified personnel. We operate within highly competitive markets, and the demand for skilled professionals in our industry is high. Competitors, customers, marketing partners, and other companies in our industry also seek these same talented individuals. Therefore, our ability to succeed is intrinsically linked to our capacity to attract and retain skilled personnel, which will necessitate substantial financial resources. There can be no guarantee that we will successfully identify and attract additional qualified employees or retain our existing team members. Any inability to recruit qualified personnel, the loss of key individuals' services, including our executive officers, or the potential loss of future executive officers or key personnel, may have a material and adverse effect on our business.
We may not be able to monetize our products for use in pharmaceuticals through partnerships, licensing, or other arrangements, and we may not receive regulatory approval to commercialize a pharmaceutical product.
As part of our business strategy, we may seek to develop partnerships or licensing arrangements to monetize our proprietary molecules for pharmaceutical applications. However, there is no guarantee that we will be able to identify suitable partners, negotiate favorable terms, or successfully execute such partnerships. Even if we enter into agreements with third parties, our ability to generate revenue from these arrangements will depend on various factors, including our partners' willingness and ability to invest in research, development, and commercialization efforts.
Additionally, the development and commercialization of pharmaceutical products are subject to extensive regulatory requirements, including approval by the U.S. FDA and other global regulatory authorities. If we or our partners are unable to obtain the necessary approvals or face delays in the regulatory process, our ability to generate revenue from pharmaceutical applications of our molecules may be significantly limited.
We may not be successful in acquiring complementary businesses or products on favorable terms or enter into joint venture or similar arrangements.
As part of our business strategy, we intend to consider acquisitions of similar or complementary businesses or products. No assurance can be given that we will be successful in identifying attractive acquisition candidates or completing acquisitions, joint ventures or other arrangements on favorable terms. In addition, any future acquisitions will be accompanied by the risks commonly associated with acquisitions. These risks include potential exposure to unknown liabilities of acquired companies or to acquisition costs and expenses, the difficulty and expense of integrating the operations and personnel of the acquired companies, the potential disruption to the business of the combined company and potential diversion of our management's time and attention, the impairment of relationships with and the possible loss of key employees and clients as a result of the changes in management, the incurrence of amortization expenses and write-downs and dilution to the shareholders of the combined company if the acquisition is made for stock of the combined company. In addition, successful completion of an acquisition may depend on consents from third parties, including regulatory authorities and private parties, which consents are beyond our control. If we enter into future joint ventures or other collaborative arrangements, disruptions in our relationships with our collaborators could also impact the success of our joint venture, and the anticipated benefits may not materialize. There can be no assurance that products, technologies or businesses of acquired companies will be effectively assimilated into the business or product offerings of the combined company or will have a positive effect on the combined company's revenues or earnings. Further, the combined company may incur significant expense to complete acquisitions and to support the acquired products and businesses. Any such acquisitions may be funded with cash, debt or equity, which could have the effect of diluting or otherwise adversely affecting the holdings or the rights of our existing stockholders.
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If we experience a significant disruption in our information technology systems or if we fail to implement new systems and software successfully, our business could be adversely affected.
We depend on information systems throughout our company, as well as those of our contractors, consultants, vendors and other third parties, to control our manufacturing processes, process orders, manage inventory, process and bill shipments and collect cash from our customers, respond to customer inquiries, contribute to our overall internal control processes, maintain records of our property, plant and equipment, and record and pay amounts due vendors and other creditors. If we were to experience a prolonged disruption in our information systems that involve interactions amongst employees as well as with customers and suppliers, it could result in the loss of sales and customers and/or increased costs, which could adversely affect our overall business operation.
We are subject to financial and operating covenants in our business financing agreement with Western Alliance Bank, as amended (Credit Agreement) and any failure to comply with such covenants, or obtain waivers in the event of non-compliance, could limit our borrowing availability under the Credit Agreement, resulting in our being unable to borrow under the Credit Agreement and materially adversely impact our liquidity. In addition, our operations may not provide sufficient cash to meet the repayment obligations of debt incurred under the Credit Agreement.
The Credit Agreement contains affirmative and restrictive covenants, including covenants regarding delivery of financial statements, the amount of cash maintained at Western Alliance Bank, maintenance of inventory, payment of taxes, maintenance of insurance, dispositions of property, business combinations or acquisitions and incurrence of additional indebtedness, and use of cash, among other customary covenants, in each case subject to limited exceptions.
There can be no assurance that we will be able to comply with the financial and other covenants in the Credit Agreement. Our failure to comply with these covenants could cause us to be unable to borrow under the Credit Agreement and may constitute an event of default which, if not cured or waived, could result in the acceleration of the maturity of any indebtedness then outstanding under the Credit Agreement, which would require us to pay all amounts then outstanding. If we are unable to repay those amounts, Western Alliance Bank could proceed against the collateral granted to them to secure that debt, which would seriously harm our business. Such an event could materially adversely affect our financial condition and liquidity. Additionally, such events of non-compliance could impact the terms of any additional borrowings and/or any credit renewal terms. Any failure to comply with such covenants may be a disclosable event and may be perceived negatively. Such perception could adversely affect the market price for our common stock and our ability to obtain financing in the future.
We are subject to potential payment processing risk.
Our customers pay for consumer products using a variety of different payment methods, including credit and debit cards, gift cards and online wallets. Our offerings may be eligible for purchase using health savings account (HSA) or flexible spending account (FSA) funds. We rely on internal systems, as well as those of third parties, to process payment. Acceptance and processing of these payment methods are subject to certain rules and regulations and require the payment of interchange and other fees. We depend on contractors, vendors and other third parties to process HSA/FSA purchases and to make eligibility determinations in accordance with applicable IRS and health insurance plan requirements. To the extent there are disruptions in our payment processing systems, increases in payment processing fees, material changes in the payment ecosystem, such as large re-issuances of payment cards, delays in receiving payments from payment processors, or changes to rules or regulations concerning payment processing or HSA/FSA eligibility, our revenue, operating expenses and results of operation could be adversely impacted. Compliance with the Payment Card Industry Data Security Standard and implementing related procedures, technology and information security measures requires significant resources and ongoing attention, and any security incident involving cardholder data could subject us to significant penalties and liability. We leverage our third-party payment processors to bill customers on our behalf. If these third parties become unwilling or unable to continue processing payments on our behalf, we will have to find alternative methods of collecting payments, which could adversely impact customer acquisition and retention. In addition, from time to time, we encounter fraudulent use of payment methods, which could impact results of operations
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Risks Related to Our Products
We rely on a single supplier, W.R. Grace, for NRC and a limited number of third-party suppliers for the raw materials required to produce our products. Any failure by or loss of a third-party supplier could result in delays and increased costs, which may adversely affect our business.
Our dependence on a limited number of third-party suppliers or on a single supplier, and the challenges we may face in obtaining adequate supplies of raw materials, including NRC, involve several risks, including limited control over pricing, availability, quality and delivery schedules. We cannot be certain that our current suppliers will continue to provide us with the quantities of these raw materials that we require or satisfy our anticipated specifications and quality requirements. Any supply interruption in limited or sole sourced raw materials, including supply shortages, supplier production disruptions, quantity issues, or disruption to our suppliers, could materially harm our ability to manufacture our products until a new source of supply, if any, could be identified and qualified. Additionally, our suppliers may fail inspection or have other compliance issues with regulatory authorities that, even if unrelated to our supply chain and materials, may impact or cause delays in their ability to deliver agreed upon supplies in a timely manner which can have negative impacts on our business plans. We may be unable to find a sufficient alternative supply channel in a reasonable time or on commercially reasonable terms. Any performance failure on the part of our suppliers could delay the development and commercialization of our products, or interrupt production of then existing products that are already marketed, which would have a material adverse effect on our business. In particular, W.R. Grace & Co.-Conn. (Grace) is our single source for the supply of food-grade NRC. Our supply of NRC is subject to periodic renewals and these renewals are not guaranteed. In January 2019, Grace obtained patents related to the crystalline form of NRC which limit our ability to find alternatives for supply if we are unable to further extend our agreement with Grace. There is no guarantee that we will be able to continue to contract with Grace for the supply of NRC, or that such terms will be favorable to us.
Failure by outsourcing facilities that produce pharmaceutical-grade Niagen® and related finish products to adequately perform their obligations could harm our business or financial results.
We rely on contract manufacturers to manufacture pharmaceutical-grade Niagen® and 503B outsourcing facilities to compound and distribute pharmaceutical-grade Niagen® into intravenous, injectable and intravenous-push forms and then distribute the same. We do not control or direct the compounding process used by these outsourcing facilities. We rely on those manufacturers and outsourcing facilities for compliance with the applicable regulatory requirements. We have no control over the ability of third parties to maintain adequate quality control, quality assurance and qualified personnel. If the FDA or a comparable international regulatory authority does not approve these facilities for the manufacturing or compounding of these ingredients and products, respectively, or if it withdraws any such approval in the future, we may need to identify alternative manufacturing and compounding facilities, which would significantly impact our ability to meet consumer demand. In addition, our inability to identify or enter into satisfactory arrangements with any such alternative manufacturing and compounding facilities may result in a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. Further, our reliance on third-party manufacturers entails risks, including:
•inability to meet certain product specifications and quality requirements consistently;
•delay or inability to procure or expand sufficient manufacturing capacity;
•issues related to scale-up of manufacturing;
•costs and validation of new equipment and facilities required for scale-up;
•third-party manufacturers may not be able to execute necessary manufacturing procedures and other logistical support requirements appropriately;
•third-party manufacturers may fail to comply with cGMP requirements and other requirements by the FDA or other comparable regulatory authorities;
•inability for us to negotiate manufacturing agreements with third parties under commercially reasonable terms, if at all;
•breach, termination or non-renewal of manufacturing agreements with third parties in a manner or at a time that is costly or damaging to us the clinics with which we partner;
•third-party manufacturers may not devote sufficient resources to our products;
•we may not own, or may have to share, the intellectual property rights to any improvements made by third-party manufacturers in the manufacturing process;
•operations of third-party manufacturers or our suppliers could be disrupted by conditions unrelated to our business or operations, including the bankruptcy of the manufacturer or supplier; and
•logistics carrier disruptions or increased costs that are beyond our control.
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Any adverse developments affecting manufacturing operations may result in lot failures, inventory shortages, shipment delays, product withdrawals or recalls or other interruptions in the supply of these products, which could prevent their delivery to clinics or other third parties administering or distributing pharmaceutical-grade Niagen®. We may also have to write off inventory, incur other charges and expenses to replace ingredients or dietary supplements that fail to meet specifications, undertake costly remediation efforts, or seek more costly manufacturing alternatives.
Any of these events could impact our ability to successfully commercialize any future products. Some of these events could be the basis for FDA action, including injunction, request for recall, seizure, total or partial suspension of production, or issuance of a Form 483 or Warning Letter.
Any failure by clinics administering Niagen Plus products could adversely affect our brand and reputation.
Although we are independent from the clinics that administer Niagen Plus products, which feature pharmaceutical-grade Niagen®, our brand may be negatively affected by issues arising at the clinic level. We advertise locations where consumers can receive Niagen Plus products, which may create an association between our brand and the services provided by these third-party clinics.
If clinics administering Niagen Plus products fail to adhere to proper medical protocols, engage in misleading marketing practices, or face regulatory scrutiny, our brand reputation could suffer, even if we are not directly responsible for their actions. Additionally, any adverse events or negative customer experiences at these clinics could erode consumer trust in our products and impact demand. While we seek to partner with reputable clinics, we cannot control their operations, and any issues at the clinic level could have a material adverse effect on our business and reputation.
Unfavorable publicity or consumer perception of our products and any similar products distributed by other companies could have a material adverse effect on our business.
We believe the dietary supplement and intravenous therapies market are highly dependent upon consumer perception regarding the safety, efficacy and quality of dietary supplements generally, as well as of products distributed specifically by us. Consumer perception of our products can be significantly influenced by scientific research or findings, regulatory investigations, litigation, national media attention, social media and other publicity regarding the consumption of dietary supplements. We cannot assure you that future scientific research, findings, regulatory proceedings, litigation, media attention or other research findings or publicity will be favorable to the dietary supplement market or any product, or consistent with earlier publicity. Future research reports, findings, regulatory proceedings, litigation, media attention or other publicity that are perceived as less favorable than, or that question, such earlier research reports, findings or publicity could have a material adverse effect on the demand for our products and consequently on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
Our dependence upon consumer perceptions means that adverse scientific research reports, findings, regulatory proceedings, litigation, media attention or other publicity, if accurate or with merit, could have a material adverse effect on the demand for our products, the availability and pricing of our ingredients, and our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. For example, negative publicity or consumer concerns regarding competitors’ products — such as nicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN) or similar ingredients — could reduce consumer confidence in dietary supplements generally or in products within the same category, which could in turn adversely affect demand of our products. Further, adverse public reports or other media attention regarding the safety, efficacy and quality of dietary supplements in general, or our products specifically, or associating the consumption of dietary supplements with illness, could have such a material adverse effect. Even media attention that is immaterial or inaccurate can have an impact on our sales or financial results if widely disseminated to our customers. Any such adverse public reports or other media attention could arise even if the adverse effects associated with such products resulted from consumers’ failure to consume such products appropriately or as directed and the content of such public reports and other media attention may be beyond our control.
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We may incur material product liability claims or class action litigation, which could increase our costs and adversely affect our reputation, revenues and operating income.
As a consumer product and ingredient supplier we market and manufacture products designed for human and animal consumption. We are subject to product liability claims if the use of our products is alleged to have resulted in injury. Our products include ingredients classified as dietary supplements, or natural health products, and, in most cases, are not subject to pre-market regulatory approval in the United States. Previously unknown adverse reactions resulting from human consumption of these ingredients could occur. In addition, the products we sell are produced by third-party manufacturers and outsourcing facilities. As a marketer of products manufactured by third parties, we also may be liable for various product liability claims for products we do not manufacture. We have, and may in the future, be subject to various class action lawsuits and product liability claims, including, among others, that our products include inadequate instructions for use or inadequate warnings concerning possible side effects and interactions with other substances. A product liability claim or class action litigation against us could result in increased costs and could adversely affect our reputation with our customers, which, in turn, could have a materially adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
We utilize ingredients and components for our products from foreign suppliers, and may be negatively affected by the risks associated with international trade and importation issues.
The key ingredient in our products, Niagen®, is manufactured in the United States, however, we utilize ingredients and components for a number of our products from suppliers outside of the United States. Accordingly, the acquisition of these ingredients is subject to the risks generally associated with importing raw materials, including, among other factors, delays in shipments, changes in economic and political conditions, supply chain disruptions, quality assurance, health epidemics affecting the region of such suppliers, global instability, nonconformity to specifications or laws and regulations, tariffs, trade and/or labor disputes and foreign currency fluctuations. While we have a supplier certification program and audit and inspect our suppliers’ facilities as necessary both in the United States and internationally, we cannot assure you that raw materials received from suppliers outside of the United States will conform to all specifications, laws and regulations. There have in the past been quality and safety issues in our industry with certain items imported from overseas. We may incur additional expenses and experience shipment delays due to preventative measures adopted by the U.S. governments, our suppliers and our company.
We may experience delays in the development in, or may never develop, any additional products to commercialize.
We have invested a substantial amount of our time and resources in developing various new products. Commercialization of these products will require additional development, clinical evaluation, regulatory approval, significant marketing efforts and substantial additional investment before they can provide us with any revenue. Despite our efforts, these products may not become commercially successful products for a number of reasons, including but not limited to:
•we may not be able to obtain or maintain regulatory approvals for our products, or the approved indication may be narrower than we seek;
•our products may not prove to be safe and effective in clinical trials;
•we may experience delays in our development program;
•we may rely on third-parties to develop and produce our products, which could lead to increased costs, unanticipated delays, or other negative impacts;
•any products that are approved may not be accepted in the marketplace;
•we may not be able to partner with clinics willing to distribute our products;
•prescriptions for our pharmaceutical-grade products, which require a prescription, may not be available;
•we may not have adequate financial or other resources to complete the development or to commence the commercialization of our products or will not have adequate financial or other resources to achieve significant commercialization of our products;
•we may not be able to manufacture any of our products in commercial quantities or at an acceptable cost;
•rapid technological change may make our products obsolete;
•we may be unable to effectively protect our intellectual property rights or we may become subject to claims that our activities have infringed the intellectual property rights of others; and
•we may be unable to obtain or defend patent rights for our products.
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We may not be able to partner with others for technological capabilities and new products and services.
Our ability to remain competitive may depend, in part, on our ability to continue to seek partners that can offer technological improvements and improve existing products and services that are offered to our customers. We are committed to attempting to keep pace with technological change, to stay abreast of technology changes and to look for partners that will develop new products and services for our customer base. We cannot assure prospective or existing investors that we will be successful in finding partners or be able to continue to incorporate new developments in technology, to improve existing products and services, or to develop successful new products and services, nor can we be certain that newly developed products and services will perform satisfactorily or be widely accepted in the marketplace or that the costs involved in these efforts will not be substantial.
If we fail to maintain adequate quality standards for our products and services, our business may be adversely affected and our reputation harmed.
Dietary supplement, nutraceutical, food and beverage, functional food, analytical laboratories, pharmaceutical and cosmetic customers are often subject to rigorous quality standards to obtain and maintain regulatory approval of their products and the manufacturing processes that generate them. A failure to maintain, or, in some instances, upgrade our quality standards to meet our customers’ needs, could cause damage to our reputation and potentially result in substantial sales losses.
If we experience product recalls, we may incur significant and unexpected costs, and our business reputation could be adversely affected.
We may be exposed to product recalls and adverse public relations if our products are alleged to be mislabeled or to cause injury or illness, or if we are alleged to have violated governmental regulations. A product recall could result in substantial and unexpected expenditures, which would reduce operating profit and cash flow. In addition, a product recall may require significant management attention. Product recalls may hurt the value of our brands and lead to decreased demand for our products. Product recalls also may lead to increased scrutiny by federal, state or international regulatory agencies of our operations and increased litigation and could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
Demand for our products and services are subject to the commercial success of our customers’ products, which may vary for reasons outside our control.
Even if we are successful in securing utilization of our products in a customer’s manufacturing process, sales of many of our products and services remain dependent on the timing and volume of the customer’s production, over which we have no control. The demand for our products depends on regulatory approvals and/or notifications and frequently depends on the commercial success of the customer’s supported product. Regulatory processes are complex, lengthy, expensive, and can often take years to complete.
Risks Related to our Intellectual Property
Our ability to protect our intellectual property and proprietary technology through patents and other means is uncertain and may be inadequate, which may have a material and adverse effect on us.
Our success depends significantly on our ability to protect our proprietary rights to the technologies used in our products. We rely on patent protection, as well as a combination of copyright, trade secret and trademark laws and nondisclosure, confidentiality and other contractual restrictions to protect our proprietary technology, including our licensed technology. However, these legal means afford only limited protection and may not adequately protect our rights or permit us to gain or keep any competitive advantage. For example, our pending United States and foreign patent applications may not issue as patents in a form that will be advantageous to us or may issue and be subsequently successfully challenged by others and invalidated. In addition, our pending patent applications include claims to material aspects of our products and procedures that are not currently protected by issued patents. Both the patent application process and the process of managing patent disputes can be time consuming and expensive. Competitors may be able to design around our patents or develop products which provide outcomes which are comparable or even superior to ours. Steps that we have taken to protect our intellectual property and proprietary technology, including entering into confidentiality agreements and intellectual property assignment agreements with some of our officers, employees, consultants and advisors, may not provide us with meaningful protection for our trade secrets or other proprietary information in the event of unauthorized use or disclosure or other breaches of the agreements. Furthermore, the laws of foreign countries may not protect our intellectual property rights to the same extent as do the laws of the United States.
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In the event a competitor infringes our licensed or pending patent or other intellectual property rights, enforcing those rights may be costly, uncertain, difficult and time consuming. Even if successful, litigation to enforce our intellectual property rights or to defend our patents against challenge could be expensive and time consuming and could divert our management’s attention. In particular, the final outcome of our litigation with Elysium Health, Inc. and Elysium Health LLC (collectively, “Elysium”) may have an adverse effect on our financial condition. See Note 15, Commitments and Contingencies, Legal Proceedings in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements, included in Item 8 of Part II of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We may not have sufficient resources to enforce our intellectual property rights or to defend our patents rights against a challenge. The failure to obtain patents and/or protect our intellectual property rights could have a material and adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Our patents and licenses may be subject to challenge on validity grounds, and our patent applications may be rejected.
We rely on our patents, patent applications, licenses and other intellectual property rights to give us a competitive advantage. Whether a patent is valid, or whether a patent application should be granted, is a complex matter of science and law, and therefore we cannot be certain that, if challenged, our patents, patent applications and/or other intellectual property rights would be upheld nor can we be certain we will prevail in an appeal. If one or more of those patents, patent applications, licenses and other intellectual property rights are invalidated, rejected or found unenforceable and we are unable to reverse that finding through an appeal, that could reduce or eliminate any competitive advantage we might otherwise have had.
We may become subject to claims of infringement or misappropriation of the intellectual property rights of others, which could prohibit us from developing our products, require us to obtain licenses from third parties or to develop non-infringing alternatives and subject us to substantial monetary damages.
Third parties could, in the future, assert infringement or misappropriation claims against us with respect to products we develop. Whether a product infringes a patent or misappropriates other intellectual property involves complex legal and factual issues, the determination of which is often uncertain. Therefore, we cannot be certain that we have not infringed the intellectual property rights of others. There may be third-party patents or patent applications with claims to materials, formulations, methods of manufacture or methods for use related to the use or manufacture of our products, and our potential competitors may assert that some aspect of our product infringes their patents. Because patent applications may take years to issue, there also may be applications now pending of which we are unaware that may later result in issued patents upon which our products could infringe. There also may be existing patents or pending patent applications of which we are unaware upon which our products may inadvertently infringe.
Any infringement or misappropriation claim could cause us to incur significant costs, place significant strain on our financial resources, divert management’s attention from our business and harm our reputation. If the relevant patents in such claim were upheld as valid and enforceable and we were found to infringe them, we could be prohibited from manufacturing or selling any product that is found to infringe unless we could obtain licenses to use the technology covered by the patent or are able to design around the patent. We may be unable to obtain such a license on terms acceptable to us, if at all, and we may not be able to redesign our products to avoid infringement, which could materially impact our revenue. A court could also order us to pay compensatory damages for such infringement, plus prejudgment interest and could, in addition, treble the compensatory damages and award attorney fees. These damages could be substantial and could harm our reputation, business, financial condition and operating results. A court also could enter orders that temporarily, preliminarily or permanently enjoin us and our customers from making, using, or selling products, and could enter an order mandating that we undertake certain remedial activities. Depending on the nature of the relief ordered by the court, we could become liable for additional damages to third parties.
The prosecution and enforcement of patents licensed to us by third parties are not within our control. Without these technologies, our products may not be successful and our business would be harmed if the patents were infringed on or misappropriated without action by such third parties.
We have obtained licenses from third parties for patents and patent application rights related to ingredients and/or the products we are developing, allowing us to use intellectual property rights owned by or licensed to these third parties. We do not control the maintenance, prosecution, enforcement or strategy for many of these patents or patent application rights and as such are dependent in part on the owners of the intellectual property rights to maintain their viability. If any third-party licensor is unable to successfully maintain, prosecute or enforce the licensed patents and/or patent application rights related to our products, we may become subject to infringement or misappropriate claims or lose our competitive advantage. Without access to these technologies or suitable design-around or alternative technology options, our ability to conduct our business could be impaired significantly.
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We may be subject to damages resulting from claims that we, our employees, or our independent contractors have wrongfully used or disclosed alleged trade secrets of others.
Some of our employees were previously employed at other dietary supplement, nutraceutical, food and beverage, functional food, analytical laboratories, pharmaceutical and cosmetic companies. We may also hire additional employees who are currently employed at other such companies, including our competitors. Additionally, consultants or other independent agents with which we may contract may be or have been in a contractual arrangement with one or more of our competitors. We may be subject to claims that these employees or independent contractors have used or disclosed such other party’s trade secrets or other proprietary information. Litigation may be necessary to defend against these claims. Even if we are successful in defending against these claims, litigation could result in substantial costs and be a distraction to our management. If we fail to defend such claims, in addition to paying monetary damages, we may lose valuable intellectual property rights or personnel. A loss of key personnel or their work product could hamper or prevent our ability to market existing or new products, which could severely harm our business.
Risks Related to Regulatory Approval of Our Products and Other Government Regulations
Changes in government regulation, priorities or practices relating to the pharmaceutical, dietary supplement, food and cosmetic industry could affect our ability to comply with certain regulations and the demand for our products and services.
Governmental agencies throughout the world, including in the United States, strictly regulate the pharmaceutical, dietary supplement, food and cosmetic industries. Changes in regulation or regulatory priorities, such as a relaxation in regulatory requirements or the introduction of simplified drug approval procedures, or an increase in regulatory requirements that we may have difficulty satisfying or that make our services less competitive, could eliminate or substantially reduce the demand for our services or adversely impact our ability to comply with the new regulations. For example, recent FDA decisions, including the determination that nicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN) may be lawfully marketed as a dietary ingredient, if not overturned or superseded, may reflect a relaxation of prior regulatory positions and could result in additional competition or reduced demand for our products and services. Also, if the government makes efforts to contain drug costs and pharmaceutical and biotechnology company profits from new drugs, or if health insurers were to change their practices with respect to reimbursements for pharmaceutical products, our customers may spend less, or reduce their spending on research and development. For example, recent executive orders have sought to implement “most-favored nation” pricing policies for certain drug and pharmaceutical manufacturers, although the mechanisms by which these policies may be implemented have not yet been determined.
Compliance with stringent and changing global privacy and data security laws and regulations may increase our operating costs, expose us to liability, and restrict our ability to collect, use, transfer, and otherwise process data critical to our business. Any actual or perceived failure to comply could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, or operations.
We process personal information and other sensitive information (including proprietary and confidential business information, trade secrets, intellectual property, patient and clinical trial data, genetic and health-related data, and sensitive third-party information) to operate our business. Accordingly, we are, or may become, subject to numerous federal, state, local, and foreign privacy and data security laws, regulations, guidance and industry standards as well as contracts and other obligations that apply to the processing of personal data by us and on our behalf. The legal framework for the processing of information worldwide is dynamic and complex, and we expect additional changes in laws, regulations, and regulatory interpretations. While we believe we have substantially compliant programs and controls in place to comply with privacy laws domestically and internationally, our efforts to comply with data privacy and cybersecurity laws is likely to impose additional costs on us, and we cannot predict whether the interpretations of the requirements, or changes in our practices in response to new requirements or interpretations of the requirements, could have a material adverse effect on our business.
We are subject to stringent and evolving global data protection laws, including the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the United Kingdom’s GDPR (UK GDPR), which impose significant obligations and restrictions on the processing and cross-border transfer of personal data and may result in increased compliance costs, regulatory scrutiny, and liability. Following the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EEA and the EU, we also have to comply with the UK-specific requirements related to data protection, including with respect to the transfer of personal data outside of the UK, which increases our regulatory compliance burden. Legal developments in Europe have increased the complexity and uncertainty regarding transfers of personal data from the European Economic Area (“EEA”) and the UK to the United States. Although we use recognized transfer mechanisms, evolving regulatory guidance or enforcement actions could restrict or prohibit certain transfers and necessitate localized data processing at significant expense.
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Other data privacy and security laws have been proposed at the federal, state, and local levels in recent years, which could further complicate compliance efforts and increase the risk of enforcement action against us because we may become subject to additional obligations, and the number of individuals or entities that can initiate actions against us may increase (including individuals, via a private right of action, and state actors).
Our use of personal information in connection with data analytics and emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence, may be subject to additional privacy constraints, including requirements relating to lawful bases for processing, transparency obligations, limitations on secondary uses, and automated decision-making oversight. Regulators in multiple jurisdictions have implemented or are considering new privacy and AI-specific legal frameworks, and any failure or perceived failure by us to comply with such requirements could lead to regulatory investigations, enforcement actions, fines, or restrictions on data use. We may also face enforcement risk where our partners, vendors, or service providers leverage AI in ways that involve personal data, even if we do not control the underlying technology.
We are subject to regulation by various federal, state, and local and foreign agencies that require us to comply with a wide variety of laws and regulations, including those regarding the manufacture of products, advertising and product label claims, the distribution of our products and environmental matters. Failure to comply with these laws and regulations could subject us to fines, penalties and additional costs.
Some of our operations are subject to regulation by various United States federal agencies and similar state and international agencies, including the Department of Commerce, the FDA, the FTC, the Department of Transportation and the Department of Agriculture, the California State Board of Pharmacy and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. These laws and regulations govern a wide variety of product activities, from design and development to labeling, manufacturing, handling, sales, distribution of products, and promoting and advertising products. If we fail to comply with any of these laws or regulations, we may be subject to fines or penalties, have to recall products and/or cease their manufacture and distribution, which would increase our costs and reduce our sales. We rely on outsourcing facilities for compounding our pharmaceutical-grade Niagen® ingredient. The bulk drug substances must appear on the FDA’s “interim” list of bulk substances that may be used in compounding under Section 503B which are those bulk drug substances for which the FDA has determined there is a clinical need. If certain conditions are met, the FDA will exercise enforcement discretion concerning use of “interim” Category 1 substances pending evaluation of the substances for inclusion on the FDA’s final list of bulk drug substances for which there is a clinical need. If the substances used in manufacturing and compounding our products are removed from this interim list or if the FDA determines not to place NRC on the final list of bulk drug substances for which there is a clinical need, it may subject us and our third-party partners to additional regulatory scrutiny.
We are pursuing an investigational new drug (IND) application with the FDA with respect to the potential for one of our patented NAD precursors to be used as a treatment for Ataxia telangiectasia (AT), a rare disease with less than 200,000 cases diagnosed in the U.S. per year, and have obtained Orphan Drug Designation (ODD) and Rare Pediatric Disease (RPD) designation from the FDA. There is no guarantee that our IND application will be successful, or that we will be able to successfully complete clinical trials or a new drug application for FDA approval for the use of our patented NAD precursor as a treatment for AT.
We are also subject to various federal, state, local and international laws and regulations that govern the handling, storage, transportation, disposal, manufacture, use and sale of substances that are or could be classified as toxic or hazardous substances. Some risk of contamination or injury from toxic or hazardous substances is inherent in our operations and the products we manufacture, sell, or distribute, for which we could be held liable. In addition, we may incur substantial costs to comply with current or future environmental, health and safety laws and regulations. Current or future environmental, health and safety laws and regulations may impair our research, development or production efforts. In addition, failure to comply with these laws and regulations may result in fines and penalties product recalls or the imposition of restrictions on our ability to carry on with or expand a portion or all of our operations, which could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
Government regulations of our customers’ business are extensive and are constantly changing. Changes in these regulations can significantly affect customer demand for our products and services.
The process by which our customers’ industries are regulated is controlled by government agencies and depending on the market segment can be very expensive, time consuming, and uncertain. Changes in regulations or the enforcement practices of current regulations could have a negative impact on our customers and, in turn, our business. The FDA has broad authority to enforce provisions of federal law and related regulations, including cGMPs, and other regulations that will likely affect many of our customers. The FDA’s discretionary enforcement authority may have a material impact on our results of operations, as lack of enforcement or an interpretation of the regulations that lessens the burden of compliance for the dietary supplement marketplace may cause a reduced demand for our products and services.
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Changes in government regulation related to regulatory approvals to market and sell our goods could adversely affect our ability to generate revenues.
The industries within which we operate are subject to stringent and constantly evolving regulations by a wide range of authorities worldwide. We believe our products are following all applicable regulations in those jurisdictions within which they are sold or marketed. We cannot predict how regulations will evolve or what new requirements may arise in the future and, if so, whether or how such changes may affect any products that we are developing or may attempt to develop. Depending on how regulations evolve, our goods may be suspended or may not be able to be marketed and sold in the United States or in other markets until we have achieved appropriate regulatory compliance, as implemented by the FDA or other regulatory body. In certain markets and product categories, regulatory approval is a prerequisite for marketing and selling our products. These markets and categories may require adherence to specific regulatory standards, and any failure to obtain or maintain necessary approvals or changes in requirements in these regions could adversely impact our ability to sell our goods there. Satisfaction of regulatory requirements may take many years, is dependent upon the type, complexity and novelty of the product or service and would require the expenditure of substantial resources.
If regulatory clearance of a good that we propose to market and sell is granted, this clearance may be limited to those particular countries, states and conditions for which the good is demonstrated to be safe and effective, which could limit our ability to generate revenue. We cannot ensure that any good that we develop will meet all of the applicable regulatory requirements needed to receive marketing clearance. Failure to obtain regulatory approval will prevent commercialization of our goods where such clearance is necessary. There can be no assurance that we will obtain regulatory approval of our proposed goods that may require it.
Risks Related to the Securities Markets and Ownership of our Equity Securities
The market price of our common stock may be volatile and adversely affected by several factors.
The market price of our common stock could fluctuate significantly in response to various factors and events, including, but not limited to:
•our ability to develop and commercialize our products;
•our ability to integrate operations, technology, products and services;
•our ability to execute our business plan;
•our operating results are below expectations;
•our issuance of additional securities, including debt or equity or a combination thereof;
•announcements of technological innovations or new products by us or our competitors;
•acceptance of and demand for our products by consumers;
•media coverage or social media attention regarding our industry or us;
•litigation, arbitration, or other adverse non-judicial proceedings;
•disputes with or our inability to collect from significant customers;
•loss of any strategic relationship;
•industry developments, including, without limitation, changes in healthcare policies or practices;
•economic and other external factors, including effects of inflationary pressures or higher interest rates;
•reductions in purchases from our large customers;
•sales of our common stock by us, our insiders or other stockholders;
•short positions, hedging, or other transactions in our securities;
•period-to-period fluctuations in our financial results; and
•whether an active trading market in our common stock develops and is maintained.
In addition, the securities markets have from time to time experienced significant price and volume fluctuations that are unrelated to the operating performance of particular companies. These market fluctuations may also materially and adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
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We have not paid cash dividends in the past and do not expect to pay cash dividends in the foreseeable future. Any return on investment may be limited to the value of our common stock.
We have never paid cash dividends on our capital stock and do not anticipate paying cash dividends on our capital stock in the foreseeable future. The payment of dividends on our capital stock will depend on our earnings, financial condition and other business and economic factors affecting us at such time as the board of directors may consider relevant. Our board has approved a stock repurchase program under which we may repurchase shares of our common stock, depending on our financial condition and the price of our common stock, but there is no guarantee that we will purchase additional shares in the future under this program, or the amounts we may repurchase, if any. If we do not pay dividends, our common stock may be less valuable because a return on your investment will only occur if the common stock price appreciates.
We have a significant number of outstanding options, unvested restricted stock units and unvested market performance stock units. Future sales of these shares could adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
As of December 31, 2025, we had outstanding options for an aggregate of approximately 9.2 million shares of common stock at a weighted average exercise price of $3.68 per share and unvested restricted stock units and market performance stock units of approximately 0.3 million shares and 1.5 million shares, respectively.
Once these awards vest and in the case of stock options, once they are exercised - the resulting shares may be sold in the public market, subject to compliance with our insider trading policies and any applicable requirements under our equity incentive plans. While these policies and plans impose certain restrictions on the timing and method of sale, they generally permit holders to sell shares in the open market.
If our stock price increases, additional outstanding options may become in-the-money, which could result in increased option exercises and subsequent sales of shares. Sales of a significant number of shares, or the perception that such sales may occur, could adversely affect the market price of our common stock.
Our ability to use our net operating loss (NOL) carryforwards and certain other tax attributes may be limited.
Our federal net operating losses (NOLs) generated in taxable years beginning on or prior to December 31, 2017 could expire unused. Under current law, federal NOLs incurred in taxable years beginning after December 31, 2017, may be carried forward indefinitely, but the deductibility of such federal NOLs in tax years beginning after December 31, 2017, is limited to 80% of taxable income. It is uncertain if and to what extent various states will conform to federal tax laws. In addition, under Sections 382 and 383 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, and corresponding provisions of state law, if a corporation undergoes an “ownership change,” which is generally defined as a greater than 50% change (by value) in its equity ownership over a three-year period, the corporation’s ability to use its pre-change NOL carryforwards and other pre-change tax attributes (such as research tax credits) to offset its post-change income or taxes may be limited. We may experience ownership changes in the future as a result of subsequent shifts in our stock ownership, some of which may be outside of our control. As a result, if we earn net taxable income, our ability to use our pre-ownership change NOL carryforwards to offset U.S. federal taxable income may be subject to limitations, which could potentially result in increased future tax liability to us. In addition, at the state level, there may be periods during which the use of NOLs is suspended or otherwise limited, which could accelerate or permanently increase state taxes owed.
Our bylaws, as amended (Bylaws) provide that the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware is the exclusive forum for certain disputes between us and our stockholders, which could limit our stockholders’ ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers or employees.
Our Bylaws provide that the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware will be the sole and exclusive forum for the following types of actions or proceedings under Delaware statutory or common law: (i) any derivative action or proceeding brought on our behalf, (ii) any action asserting a claim of breach of a fiduciary duty owed by any of our directors or officers to our company or our stockholders, (iii) any action asserting a claim against our company arising pursuant to any provision of the Delaware General Corporation Law or our amended and restated certificate of incorporation or Bylaws, or (iv) any action asserting a claim against our company governed by the internal affairs doctrine.
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This choice of forum provision may limit a stockholder’s ability to bring certain claims in a judicial forum that it finds favorable for disputes with us or any of our directors, officers, other employees or stockholders, which may discourage lawsuits with respect to such claims, although our stockholders will not be deemed to have waived our compliance with federal securities laws and the rules and regulations thereunder. While the Delaware courts have determined that such choice of forum provisions are facially valid and several state trial courts have enforced such provisions, there is no guarantee that courts of appeal will affirm the enforceability of such provisions and a stockholder may nevertheless seek to bring a claim in a venue other than that designated in the exclusive forum provision. If a court were to find this choice of forum provision to be inapplicable or unenforceable in an action, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such action in other jurisdictions, which could adversely affect our business and financial condition.
General Risks
We may become involved in securities class action litigation that could divert management’s attention and harm our business.
The stock market has experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations. These fluctuations have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of the companies involved. If these fluctuations occur in the future, the market price of our shares could fall regardless of our operating performance. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a particular company’s securities, securities class action litigation has often been brought against that company. If the market price or volume of our shares suffers extreme fluctuations, then we may become involved in this type of litigation, which would be expensive and divert management’s attention and resources from managing our business.
As a public company, we may also from time to time make forward-looking statements about future operating results and provide some financial guidance to the public markets. Projections may not be made in a timely manner, or we might fail to reach expected performance levels and could materially affect the price of our shares. Any failure to meet published forward-looking statements that adversely affect the stock price could result in losses to investors, stockholder lawsuits or other litigation, sanctions or restrictions issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Our failure to establish and maintain effective internal control over financial reporting could result in material misstatements in our financial statements, our failure to meet our reporting obligations and cause investors to lose confidence in our reported financial information, which in turn could cause the trading price of our common stock to decline.
Maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting is necessary for us to produce reliable and timely financial statements and disclosures. If we identify material weaknesses in our internal controls and/or fail to establish and maintain effective controls and procedures and internal control over financial reporting, it could result in material misstatements in our financial statements and/or a failure to meet our reporting and financial obligations, each of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and the trading price of our common stock.
Environmental, social and governance matters may impact our business and reputation.
Companies across many industries are facing increased scrutiny, including by consumers, investors, employees and other stakeholders, as well as by governmental and non-governmental organizations surrounding environmental, social and governance (ESG) practices. This increased scrutiny and changing expectations with respect to the Company’s ESG practices as well as new laws and regulations may result in additional costs or risks. The State of California passed the Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act and the Climate-Related Financial Risk Act that, if not overturned or amended, will impose broad climate-related disclosure obligations on certain companies doing business in California, starting in 2026. While we are not currently subject to these disclosure requirements, if we become subject to them in the future they could result in additional compliance costs and risks. New laws and regulations or more stringent interpretations of existing laws and regulations, such as those related to climate change, could affect the operation of our properties or result in significant additional expense and restrictions on our business operations. If we are unable to satisfy such new criteria, investors may conclude that our policies with respect environmental, social, or corporate responsibility are inadequate. We risk damage to our brand and reputation in the event that our ESG procedures or standards do not meet or are perceived to not meet the standards set by various constituencies, which could lead to the loss of existing or potential customers and reduced sales.
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Developing and achieving ESG initiatives may result in increased costs in our supply chain, fulfillment, and/or corporate business operations, and could deviate from our initial estimates and have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Investor advocacy groups, certain institutional investors, investment funds and other influential investors have been increasingly focused on ESG practices and in recent years have placed increasing importance on the non-financial impacts of their investments. Topics taken into account in such assessments include, among others, the company’s efforts and impacts on climate change and human rights, ethics and compliance with law and the role of the Company’s board of directors in supervising various sustainability issues. If we do not achieve publicly announced ESG goals or our competitors’ ESG performance metrics are perceived to be more favorable than ours, our reputation may be harmed, and potential or current investors may elect to invest with our competitors instead. Also in recent years, “anti-ESG” sentiment has gained momentum across the U.S., with several states and Congress having proposed or enacted “anti-ESG” policies, legislation, or initiatives, and the President having issued executive orders opposing diversity equity and inclusion (“DEI”) initiatives in the private sector. Institutional investors and proxy advisory firms have also updated their guidelines and expectations with respect to ESG and DEI initiatives. Such anti-ESG and anti-DEI-related policies, legislation, initiatives, litigation, and scrutiny could result in us facing additional compliance obligations, becoming the subject of investigations and enforcement actions, or sustaining reputational harm, which could adversely impact our financial condition and results of operations. In light of investors’ and other stakeholders’ increased focus on ESG matters, there can be no certainty that we will manage such issues successfully, or that we will meet our investors’ ESG expectations, which continue to evolve, and we may incur additional costs and our brand’s ability to attract and retain qualified employees and business may be harmed.
Changes in tax laws or regulations that are applied adversely to us or our customers may have a material adverse effect on our business, cash flow, financial condition or results of operations.
New income, sales, use or other tax laws, statutes, rules, regulations or ordinances could be enacted at any time, which could adversely affect our business operations and financial performance. Further, existing tax laws, statutes, rules, regulations or ordinances could be interpreted, changed, modified or applied adversely to us. For example, the Trump administration and Congress have proposed various U.S. federal tax law changes, which if enacted could have a material impact on our business, cash flows, financial condition or results of operations. In addition, it is uncertain if and to what extent various states will conform to federal tax laws. Future tax reform legislation could have a material impact on the value of our deferred tax assets, could result in significant one-time charges, and could increase our future U.S. tax expense.
We have a limited operating history in China and our ability to develop successful channels in China will be subject to certain legal, political, economic and social uncertainties.
We intend to seek partners and paths to expand our operations in China, but there is no guarantee that we will be able to do so. Our ability to pursue successful expansion in China is subject to general, as well as industry-specific, economic, political and legal developments and risks in China, including the need to obtain and maintain required regulatory approvals. For example, certain products may require Blue Hat Registration or other regulatory authorizations, and there can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain such approvals in a timely manner, or at all. Failure to obtain required registrations or approvals could limit or prevent our ability to market and sell our products in China.
The Chinese government exercises significant control over the Chinese economy, including but not limited to, controlling capital investments, allocating resources, setting monetary policy, controlling and monitoring foreign exchange rates, implementing and overseeing tax regulations, providing preferential treatment to certain industry segments or companies and issuing necessary licenses to conduct business.
Our operations, whether through a new joint venture or otherwise, will be subject to laws and regulations applicable to foreign investment in China. There are uncertainties regarding the interpretation and enforcement of laws, rules and policies in China. Because many laws and regulations are relatively new, the interpretations of many laws, regulations and rules are not always uniform. Moreover, the interpretation of statutes and regulations may be subject to government policies reflecting domestic political agendas. Enforcement of existing laws or contracts based on existing law may be uncertain and sporadic. As a result of the foregoing, it may be difficult for us to obtain swift or equitable enforcement of laws ostensibly designed to protect companies like ours, which could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
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Our shares of common stock may be thinly traded, so you may be unable to sell at or near ask prices or at all.
We cannot predict the extent to which an active public market for our common stock will develop or be sustained. This situation may be attributable to a number of factors, including the fact that we are a small company that is relatively unknown to stock analysts, stock brokers, institutional investors and others in the investment community who generate or influence sales volume, and that even if we came to the attention of such persons, they tend to be risk averse and would be reluctant to follow an unproven company such as ours or purchase or recommend the purchase of our shares until such time as we have become more seasoned and viable. As a consequence, there may be periods of several days or weeks when trading activity in our shares is minimal or non-existent, as compared to a seasoned issuer which has a large and steady volume of trading activity that will generally support continuous sales without an adverse effect on share price. We cannot assure you that a broader or more active public trading market for our common stock will develop or be sustained, or that current trading levels will be sustained or not diminish.
Stockholders may experience significant dilution if future equity offerings are used to fund operations or acquire complementary businesses.
If future operations or acquisitions are financed through the issuance of additional equity securities, stockholders could experience significant dilution. Securities issued in connection with future financing activities or potential acquisitions may have rights and preferences senior to the rights and preferences of our common stock. In addition, the issuance of shares of our common stock upon the exercise of outstanding options or warrants may result in dilution to our stockholders.