ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) FY 2022 MD&A
This page reproduces the company's own Item 7 MD&A text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Financial Measures — Constant Currency And Organic Constant Currency
Changes in our financial results include the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates, acquisitions and dispositions. We provide “constant currency” and “organic constant currency” calculations in this report to remove the impact of these items. We express year-over-year variances that are calculated in constant currency and organic constant currency as a percentage.
When we use the term “constant currency,” it means that we have translated financial data for a period into United States dollars using the same foreign currency exchange rates that we used to translate financial data for the previous period. We believe that this calculation is a useful measure, indicating the actual growth of our operations. We use constant currency results in our analysis of subsidiary or segment performance. We also use constant currency when analyzing our performance against that of our competitors. Substantially all of our subsidiaries derive revenues and incur expenses within a single country and, consequently, do not generally incur currency risks in connection with the conduct of their normal business operations. Changes in foreign currency exchange rates primarily impact reported earnings and not our actual cash flow unless earnings are repatriated.
When we use the term “organic constant currency,” it means that we have further removed the impact of acquisitions in the current period and dispositions from the prior period from our constant currency calculation. We believe that this calculation is useful because it allows us to show the actual growth of our ongoing business.
The constant currency and organic constant currency financial measures are used to supplement those measures that are in accordance with United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”). These Non-GAAP financial measures may not provide information that is directly comparable to that provided by other companies in our industry, as other companies may calculate such financial results differently. These Non-GAAP financial measures are not measurements of financial performance under GAAP, and should not be considered as alternatives to measures presented in accordance with GAAP.
Constant currency and organic constant currency percent variances, along with a reconciliation of these amounts to certain of our reported results, are included in the Financial Measures section found in Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations."
Results of Operations - For Years of Operation Ending December 31, 2022 and 2021
The financial discussion that follows focuses on 2022 results compared to 2021. For a discussion of 2021 results compared to 2020, see the company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021.
During 2022, revenues decreased -4.3% in 2022 compared to 2021. Our 2022 results reflected the negative impact of foreign currency translation, partially offset by increased demand for our services in most of our key markets. However, we also believe that downside risks to the global economic outlook have increased significantly in Europe and North America. This economic risk is particularly high in Europe, driven by elevated inflation, rising energy prices, the Russia-Ukraine war and higher interest rates. Within Europe, Germany's industrial economy is especially sensitive to increases in energy costs, which could impact other countries given the importance of the German economy. Our France operation has an outsized exposure to the Russia-Ukraine war due to the impact of supply chain constraints on demand for our services in certain sectors, primarily automotive and construction, and to a lesser degree, logistics. As Europe represents a significant portion of our operations, we continue to monitor economic conditions in our Southern Europe and Northern Europe regions.
During 2022, the United States dollar was stronger, on average, relative to the currencies in our European markets, which therefore had an unfavorable impact on our reported results. The changes in the foreign currency exchange rates had a -9.2% unfavorable impact on revenues from services and an approximately $0.88 per share unfavorable impact on net earnings per share – diluted in 2022. Substantially all of our subsidiaries derive revenues from services and incur expenses within the same local currency and generally do not have cross-currency transactions, and therefore, changes in foreign currency exchange rates primarily impact reported earnings and not our actual cash flow unless earnings are repatriated. To understand the performance of our underlying business, we utilize constant currency or organic constant currency variances for our consolidated and segment results.
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During 2022, we experienced the following quarterly changes to our consolidated revenues compared to 2021: a 4.4% increase in revenue in the first quarter due to the impact of acquisitions and increased demand, partially offset by the unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates; a revenue decrease of -3.8% in the second quarter due to the significant strengthening of the dollar causing an unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates, partially offset by the impact of acquisitions and slightly more billing days; -6.6% decrease in revenues in the third quarter due to the continued unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates, partially offset by increased demand for our staffing/interim services in key markets and the impact of acquisitions; and ending the year with a -10.6% revenue decrease in the fourth quarter of 2022 reflecting a deteriorating economic environment during the quarter, particularly across Europe and North America, and the unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates.
During 2022 compared to 2021, most of our markets experienced revenue decreases due to the strengthening of the dollar, partially offset by strong labor markets and continued solid demand. We experienced a -8.7% revenue decrease in Southern Europe, mainly driven by the unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates, offset by increased demand in France and Italy. We experienced a -13.3% revenue decrease in Northern Europe primarily due to the unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates, partially offset by increased demand in our permanent recruitment business. Revenues increased 15.8% in the Americas primarily driven by our acquisition of the ettain group in the United States in the fourth quarter of 2021, which now operates as part of our Experis brand, increased demand for our staffing/interim services and increased demand for our permanent recruitment business. We refer to the ettain group acquisition as the "Experis acquisition". We experienced a -3.8% revenue decrease in APME primarily due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates.
From a brand perspective, we experienced a revenue decrease in Manpower, and revenue increases in Experis and Talent Solutions during 2022 compared to 2021. The revenue decrease in our Manpower brand was due to the unfavorable currency exchange rate impact, partially offset by increased demand for staffing services and solid demand in our permanent recruitment business. In our Experis brand, the revenue increase was primarily due to the Experis acquisition in the United States, improved demand for our interim services and increased demand in our permanent recruitment business, partially offset by unfavorable exchange rates. On an overall basis, the revenue increase in our Talent Solutions brand, which includes Recruitment Process Outsourcing (RPO), TAPFIN - Managed Service Provider (MSP) and our Right Management offerings, was driven mostly by increased demand for our RPO services as the permanent recruitment environment was strong during the year.
Our gross profit margin improved in 2022 compared to 2021 primarily due to a favorable change in business mix as our higher-margin permanent recruitment business, which experienced a 22.5% increase (32.3% in constant currency and 31.0% in organic constant currency) during 2022 as a result of stronger hiring activity, represented a higher percentage of the revenue mix in our largest markets. The increase was also due to the improvement in our staffing/interim margin in all of our major markets, margin improvement in our Experis managed services business in Europe, and a higher percentage of revenue mix coming from our higher-margin consulting and MSP services. These increases were partially offset by a lower mix of revenues coming from our higher-margin Right Management career transition business.
We recorded a $50.0 million goodwill impairment charge related to our Netherlands reporting unit in the fourth quarter of 2022. We recorded restructuring costs of $3.6 million in 2022, compared to $15.2 million in 2021. We recorded integration costs of $14.7 million in 2022 relating to our Experis acquisition in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to Experis acquisition and integration costs of $18.8 million in 2021. We recorded a net loss on the sale of our Russia business of $8.0 million, which was comprised of a $9.7 million loss in selling and administrative expenses, offset by a $1.7 million gain in interest and other expenses representing a cumulative translation adjustment. We recorded a net loss on the sale of our Hungary business of $2.0 million, which was comprised of a $0.8 million loss in selling and administrative expenses and a $1.2 million loss in interest and other expenses representing cumulative translation adjustments. We also recognized a one-time gain of $10.0 million related to a long-term obligation in Northern Europe in 2021.
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Our operating profit decreased -0.6% in 2022 while our operating profit margin increased 10 basis points compared to 2021. Excluding the effects of currency exchange rates, a goodwill impairment charge incurred in 2022 related to our Netherlands reporting unit, a loss from the disposition of subsidiaries incurred in 2022, the one-time gain related to a Northern Europe long-term obligation in 2021, restructuring costs incurred in 2022 and 2021, and acquisition integration costs incurred in 2022 and 2021, our operating profit was up 20.8%. Excluding the impact of the items previously listed, our operating profit margin increased 50 basis points compared to 2021. The operating profit margin increased mostly due to the improvement in our gross profit margin and our ability to support an increase in revenues without a similar increase in selling and administrative expenses.
We continue to monitor expenses closely to ensure we maintain the benefit of our efforts to optimize our organizational and cost structures, while investing appropriately to support the ability of the business to grow in the future and enhance our productivity, technology and digital capabilities. We are focused on managing costs as efficiently as possible in the short-term while continuing to progress transformational actions aligned with our strategic priorities.
Consolidated Results - 2022 compared to 2021
The following table presents selected consolidated financial data for 2022 as compared to 2021.
| (in millions, except per share data) | 2022 | 2021 | Reported Variance | Variance in Constant Currency | Variance in Organic Constant Currency | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues from services | $ | 19,827.5 | $ | 20,724.4 | (4.3 | )% | 4.9 | % | 2.6 | % | ||||||||||
| Cost of services | 16,255.1 | 17,316.9 | (6.1 | ) | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||
| Gross profit | 3,572.4 | 3,407.5 | 4.8 | 13.8 | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||
| Gross profit margin | 18.0 | % | 16.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Selling and administrative expenses, excluding goodwill impairment charges | 2,940.7 | 2,822.1 | 4.2 | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||
| Goodwill impairment charges | 50.0 | — | ||||||||||||||||||
| Selling and administrative expenses | 2,990.7 | 2,822.1 | 6.0 | 14.3 | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||
| Selling and administrative expenses as a % of revenues | 15.1 | % | 13.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Operating profit | 581.7 | 585.4 | (0.6 | ) | 11.7 | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Operating profit margin | 2.9 | % | 2.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Net interest expense | 29.0 | 26.8 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Other expenses (income), net | (4.4 | ) | (9.5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
| Earnings before income taxes | 557.1 | 568.1 | (1.9 | ) | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||
| Provision for income taxes | 183.3 | 185.7 | (1.3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
| Effective income tax rate | 32.9 | % | 32.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
| Net earnings | $ | 373.8 | $ | 382.4 | (2.2 | ) | 9.9 | |||||||||||||
| Net earnings per share - diluted | $ | 7.08 | $ | 6.91 | 2.6 | 15.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Weighted average shares - diluted | 52.8 | 55.4 | (4.7 | )% |
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The year-over-year decrease in revenues from services of -4.3% (increase of 4.9% in constant currency and 2.6% in organic constant currency) was attributed to:
•
a revenue decrease in Southern Europe of -8.7% (increase of 2.0% in constant currency and 1.7% in organic constant currency). France, the largest market in Southern Europe, experienced a revenue decrease of -7.5% (increase of 4.0% in constant currency and 3.6% in organic constant currency), which was primarily due to the unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates, partially offset by increased demand for our Manpower staffing services and a 8.2% increase (21.7% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business. Italy, also part of Southern Europe, experienced a revenue decrease of -4.9% (increase of 6.8% in constant currency), which was primarily due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates, partially offset by increased demand for our Manpower staffing services and Experis interim services and a 12.4% increase (26.4% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business;
•
a revenue decrease in Northern Europe of -13.3% (-2.5% in constant currency and 0.0% in organic constant currency) primarily due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates and the decreased demand for our staffing/interim services, partially offset by the 22.0% increase (37.9% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business. We experienced revenue decreases in the United Kingdom, the Nordics, Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium of -13.9%, -5.1%, -18.0%, -15.7% and -8.8%, respectively (-4.3%, +8.6%, -8.0%, -5.5% and +2.6%, respectively, in constant currency);
•
a revenue decrease in APME of -3.8% (increase of 9.0% in constant currency) primarily due to the decrease in our Experis business, and the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates; partially offset by the 4.7% increase (15.7% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business; and
•
a revenue increase in the United States of 27.6% (6.5% on an organic basis) primarily driven by increased demand for our Experis staffing/interim services including the significant contribution to revenues from our Experis acquisition and increased demand in our permanent recruitment business of 41.6% (34.3% on an organic basis).
The year-over-year 160 basis point increase in gross profit margin was primarily attributed to:
•
a 60 basis point favorable change in business mix as the higher-margin permanent recruitment and Talent Solutions businesses saw increased hiring activity contribute to an increase in gross profit;
•
a 40 basis point favorable impact from the improvement in the staffing/interim margins driven by our Manpower businesses;
•
a 40 basis point favorable impact from the Experis acquisition and the margin improvement and other solutions related services within Experis managed services; and
•
a 20 basis point favorable impact from changes in currency exchange rates.
The 6.0% increase in selling and administrative expenses in the year ended December 31, 2022 (14.3% in constant currency; 10.9% in organic constant currency) was primarily attributed to:
•
a goodwill impairment charge of $50.0 million incurred in the year ended December 31, 2022 which was related to our Netherlands reporting unit;
•
a 5.9% increase (14.2% in constant currency and 11.1% in organic constant currency) in personnel costs due to the increase in salary costs related to additional headcount as we invested in incremental recruiters and sales talent to support revenue. The increase in salary costs was also due to an increase in variable incentive costs as a result of increased profitability in most markets;
•
the $10.5 million loss on the disposition of subsidiaries in the year ended December 31, 2022;
•
the anniversary of a gain of $10.0 million related to a long-term obligation in Northern Europe in 2021; partially offset by
•
the $14.7 million of acquisition transaction and integration costs incurred in the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to $18.8 million in the year ended December 31, 2021;
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•
a -1.0% decrease (increase of 7.0% in constant currency and 5.0% in organic constant currency) in non-personnel related costs, excluding acquisition transaction and integration costs, restructuring costs, goodwill and other impairment charges, loss on disposition of subsidiaries and gain related to a long-term obligation in Northern Europe, primarily to support the increase in revenues;
•
a decrease in restructuring costs to $3.6 million incurred in the year ended December 31, 2022 from $15.2 million in the year ended December 31, 2021; and
•
a -8.3% decrease due to the impact of changes in currency exchange rates in markets.
Selling and administrative expenses as a percent of revenues increased 150 basis points in the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021 due primarily to:
•
a 100 basis point unfavorable impact as personnel costs increased, due to the investment in incremental recruiters and sales talent based on increased market activity, without a similar rate of increase in revenues. The increase in salary costs was also due to an increase in variable incentive costs as a result of increased profitability in most markets;
•
a 30 basis point unfavorable impact as a result of the increase in goodwill;
•
a 30 basis point unfavorable impact from changes in currency exchange rates; partially offset by
•
a 10 basis point favorable impact as a result of the decrease in restructuring costs in the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021.
Interest and other expenses, net is comprised of interest, foreign exchange gains and losses and other miscellaneous non-operating income and expenses, including noncontrolling interests. Interest and other expenses, net was $24.6 million in 2022 compared to $17.3 million in 2021. Net interest expense increased $8.1 million in 2022 to $46.9 million from $38.8 million in 2021 primarily due to the higher interest rate on our €400.0 million notes offered and sold in June 2022 compared to the interest rate on the €400.0 million notes due September 2022 that were repaid in July 2022. Miscellaneous income was $16.3 million in 2022 compared to miscellaneous expense of $14.7 million in 2021.
We recorded income tax expense at an effective rate of 32.9% for 2022, as compared to an effective rate of 32.7% for 2021. The 2022 rate was higher than the 2021 rate due to the non-deductible goodwill impairment charge in the Netherlands. This was partially offset by the scheduled reduction in the French corporate tax rate to 25%. The 32.9% effective tax rate for 2022 was higher than the United States Federal statutory rate of 21% primarily due to the French business tax, tax losses in certain countries for which we did not recognize a corresponding tax benefit due to valuation allowances, the Netherlands non-deductible goodwill impairment charge and the overall mix of earnings.
Net earnings per share - diluted was $7.08 in 2022 compared to $6.91 in 2021. Foreign currency exchange rates unfavorably impacted net earnings per share - diluted by approximately $0.88 per share in 2022. Goodwill and other impairment charges recorded in 2022 negatively impacted net loss per share - diluted by approximately $0.93. The acquisition transaction and integration costs recorded in 2022 and 2021 negatively impacted net earnings per share - diluted by approximately $0.22 and $0.27, net of tax, in 2022 and 2021, respectively. The loss from the disposition of subsidiaries recorded in 2022 negatively impacted net earnings per share - diluted by approximately $0.19 per share, net of tax, in 2022 . Restructuring costs recorded in 2022 and 2021 negatively impacted net earnings per share - diluted by approximately $0.05 and $0.07 per share, net of tax, in 2022 and 2021, respectively. The pension settlement expense recorded in 2022 negatively impacted net loss per share - diluted by approximately $0.05, net of tax, in 2022.
Weighted average shares - diluted decreased to 52.8 million in 2022 from 55.4 million in 2021. This decrease was due to the impact of share repurchases completed in 2021 and 2022 and the full year weighting of the repurchases completed in 2021, partially offset by shares issued as a result of exercises and vesting of share-based awards since 2021.
Segment Results
We evaluate performance based on operating unit profit (“OUP”), which is equal to segment revenues less direct costs and branch and national headquarters operating costs. This profit measure does not include goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges or amortization of intangible assets related to acquisitions, corporate expenses, interest and other income and expense amounts or income taxes.
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Americas
In the Americas, revenues from services increased 15.8% (18.1% in constant currency and 4.5% in organic constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021. In the United States, revenues from services increased 27.6% (6.5% on an organic basis) in 2022 compared to 2021, primarily driven by increased demand for our Experis staffing/interim services including the significant contribution to revenues from our Experis acquisition and increased demand in our permanent recruitment business of 41.6% (34.3% on an organic basis). In Other Americas, revenues from services decreased -5.5% (increase of 0.9% in constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021 primarily due to decreased demand for our staffing/interim services and the unfavorable impact of currency exchange rates, partially offset by increased demand in our permanent recruitment business of 41.5% (47.3% in constant currency). This decline was driven by a decrease in Mexico of -46.9% (-47.4% in constant currency) primarily due to labor legislation implemented in the third quarter of 2021.The decline was partially offset by increases in Canada, Argentina, Colombia, Peru and Brazil of 3.4%, 21.9%, 3.9%, 5.2% and 8.1%, respectively (7.2%, 64.5%, 17.5%, 4.0% and 3.3%, respectively, in constant currency), with the increase in Argentina being primarily due to inflation.
Gross profit margin increased in 2022 compared to 2021 primarily due to the increased demand in our permanent recruitment business, improvement in the staffing/interim margin, the Experis acquisition and increases in revenues from our higher-margin professional staffing and Talent Solutions offerings in the United States.
In 2022, selling and administrative expenses increased 20.3% (21.4% in constant currency and 11.5% in organic constant currency) primarily due to the Experis acquisition and an increase in salary-related costs due to higher headcount as we invested in incremental recruiters and sales talent based on increased market activity. The increases were partially offset by the decrease in restructuring costs to $1.0 million in 2022 compared to $5.2 million in 2021, and a decrease in Experis acquisition and integration costs of $14.7 million in 2022 compared to Experis acquisition and integration costs of $18.8 million in 2021.
Operating Unit Profit (“OUP”) margin in the Americas was 5.7% and 4.6% for 2022 and 2021, respectively. In the United States, OUP margin increased to 6.3% in 2022 from 5.0% in 2021 primarily due to increased demand in our permanent recruitment business, the Experis acquisition, increased operating leverage, an increase in the gross profit margin due to a favorable business mix and a decrease in Experis acquisition and integration costs incurred in 2022 compared to 2021, partially offset by an increase in salary-related costs due to higher headcount. Other Americas OUP margin increased to 4.4% in 2022 from 3.9% in 2021 primarily due to the gross profit margin improvement and a decrease in restructuring costs.
Southern Europe
In Southern Europe, which includes operations in France and Italy, revenues from services decreased -8.7% (increase of 2.0% in constant currency and 1.7% in organic constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021. In 2022, revenues from services decreased -7.5% (increase of 4.0% in constant currency and 3.6% in organic constant currency) in France and decreased -4.9% (increase of 6.8% in constant currency) in Italy. The decrease in France is primarily due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates, partially offset by the increased demand for our Manpower staffing services, although supply chain constraints have negatively impacted the demand for our services in certain sectors, primarily automotive and construction, and to a lesser degree, logistics. The decrease was also offset by an 8.2% increase (21.7% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business. The decrease in Italy was primarily due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates, partially offset by the increased demand for our Manpower staffing services and Experis interim services and a 12.4% increase (26.4% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business. In Other Southern Europe, revenues from services decreased -14.1% (-6.2% in constant currency and -6.2% in organic constant currency) during 2022 compared to 2021, due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates and decreased demand for our Manpower staffing services, partially offset by increased demand for our Experis business services and increased demand in our permanent recruitment business of 19.4% (33.4% in constant currency and 33.4% in organic constant currency).
Gross profit margin increased in 2022 compared to 2021. The increases were primarily due to the increased demand in our permanent recruitment business and increases in our staffing/interim margin across our key markets.
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Selling and administrative expenses decreased -4.0% (increase of 7.1% in constant currency) during 2022 compared to 2021 primarily due to the favorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates, partially offset by an increase in salary-related costs due to higher headcount to support an increase in revenues in the period and an increase in variable incentive costs as a result of increased profitability in certain markets. The decreases were also partially offset by the increase in restructuring costs to $0.9 million in 2022 from zero in 2021.
OUP margin in Southern Europe was 4.8% for 2022 compared to 4.5% for 2021. In France, the OUP margin increased to 4.7% for 2022 from 4.5% in 2021 primarily due to the increase in the gross profit margin. In Italy, the OUP margin increased to 7.2% for 2022 from 6.4% for 2021 primarily due to the increase in the gross profit margin. Other Southern Europe’s OUP margin increased to 3.1% in 2022 from 2.8% in 2021 primarily due to an increase in the gross profit margin.
Northern Europe
In Northern Europe, which includes operations in the United Kingdom, the Nordics, Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium (comprising 37%, 24%, 13%, 10%, and 7%, respectively, of Northern Europe’s revenues), revenues from services decreased -13.3% (-2.5% in constant currency and 0.0% in organic constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021. We experienced revenue decreases in the United Kingdom, the Nordics, Germany, the Netherlands and Belgium of -13.9%, -5.1%, -18.0%, -15.7% and -8.8%, respectively (-4.3%, +8.6%, -8.0%, -5.5% and +2.6%, respectively, in constant currency). The revenue decreases in Northern Europe were primarily due to the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates and the decreased demand for our staffing/interim services, partially offset by the 22.0% increase (37.9% in constant currency) in the permanent recruitment business.
Gross profit margin increased in 2022 compared to 2021 due to the increases in staffing/interim margin, the increased demand in our permanent recruitment business and the underlying business mix.
Selling and administrative expenses decreased -1.1% (increase of 11.3% in constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021. The decreases are primarily due to the favorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates, partially offset by an increase in salary-related costs due to higher headcount.
OUP margin for Northern Europe decreased to 1.0% in 2022 from 1.5% in 2021. The decrease was primarily due to the loss on the sale of our Russia business, partially offset by the increase in gross profit margin.
APME
Revenues from services decreased -3.8% (increase 9.0% in constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021. In Japan (which represents 46% of APME's revenues), revenues from services decreased -6.1% (increase of 12.0% in constant currency) primarily due to the unfavorable impact of the change in currency exchange rates, partially offset by an increase in our Experis business and an increased demand for our Manpower staffing services. In Australia (which represents 12% of APME's revenues), revenues from services decreased -13.7% (-6.7% in constant currency) primarily due to the exit of a low margin client arrangement in 2021 and the unfavorable impact of the change in currency exchange rates, partially offset by increased demand for our staffing/interim business. The revenue increase in the remaining markets in APME is due to the increase in demand for our staffing/interim business and our Experis business, partially offset by the unfavorable impact of changes in currency exchange rates.
Gross profit margin increased in 2022 compared to 2021 due to the increases in our staffing/interim margin and the increased demand in our permanent recruitment business.
Selling and administrative expenses decreased -2.7% (increase of 9.6% in constant currency) in 2022 compared to 2021. The decreases are primarily due to the favorable impact of the change in currency exchange rates, partially offset by higher salary-related costs due to higher headcount to support increases in revenues, increases in variable incentive costs as a result of increases in profitability in certain markets, and the increases in non-personnel related costs to support the increases in revenues.
OUP margin increased to 3.7% in 2022 from 3.4% in 2021 primarily due to the improvements in the gross profit margin.
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Financial Measures
Constant Currency And Organic Constant Currency Reconciliation
Certain constant currency and organic constant currency percent variances are discussed throughout this report. A reconciliation of these Non-GAAP percent variances to the percent variances calculated based on our annual GAAP financial results is provided below. (See Constant Currency and Organic Constant Currency on page 30 for information.)
| Amounts represent 2022 Percentages represent 2022 compared to 2021 | Reported Amount (in millions) | Reported Variance | Impact of Currency | Variance in Constant Currency | Impact of Acquisitions and Dispositions (in Constant Currency) | Organic Constant Currency Variance | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues from Services | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Americas: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| United States | $ | 3,499.3 | 27.6 | % | — | 27.6 | % | 21.1 | % | 6.5 | % | |||||||||||||
| Other Americas | 1,436.4 | (5.5 | ) | (6.4 | ) | 0.9 | — | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4,935.7 | 15.8 | (2.3 | ) | 18.1 | 13.6 | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Southern Europe: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| France | 4,785.0 | (7.5 | ) | (11.5 | ) | 4.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| Italy | 1,706.9 | (4.9 | ) | (11.7 | ) | 6.8 | — | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||
| Other Southern Europe | 2,044.4 | (14.1 | ) | (7.9 | ) | (6.2 | ) | — | (6.2 | ) | ||||||||||||||
| 8,536.3 | (8.7 | ) | (10.6 | ) | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Northern Europe | 4,048.3 | (13.3 | ) | (10.9 | ) | (2.5 | ) | (2.5 | ) | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
| APME | 2,387.3 | (3.8 | ) | (12.8 | ) | 9.0 | — | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 19,907.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Intercompany Eliminations | (80.1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| ManpowerGroup | $ | 19,827.5 | (4.3 | )% | (9.2 | )% | 4.9 | % | 2.3 | % | 2.6 | % | ||||||||||||
| Gross Profit - ManpowerGroup | $ | 3,572.4 | 4.8 | % | (9.0 | )% | 13.8 | % | 4.0 | % | 9.8 | % | ||||||||||||
| Operating Unit Profit | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Americas: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| United States | $ | 219.2 | 61.2 | % | — | 61.2 | % | 45.2 | % | 16.0 | % | |||||||||||||
| Other Americas | 63.4 | 7.0 | (9.5 | ) | 16.5 | — | 16.5 | |||||||||||||||||
| 282.6 | 44.8 | (2.9 | ) | 47.7 | 31.5 | 16.2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Southern Europe: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| France | 226.7 | (2.9 | ) | (12.4 | ) | 9.4 | 0.6 | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||
| Italy | 122.9 | 6.6 | (13.4 | ) | 20.0 | — | 20.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other Southern Europe | 63.4 | (6.1 | ) | (7.6 | ) | 1.6 | — | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| 413.0 | (0.8 | ) | (11.9 | ) | 11.1 | 0.4 | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||
| Northern Europe | 42.4 | (37.4 | ) | (11.1 | ) | (26.2 | ) | (3.9 | ) | (22.3 | ) | |||||||||||||
| APME | 87.8 | 3.6 | (16.2 | ) | 19.8 | — | 19.8 | |||||||||||||||||
| Operating Unit Profit - ManpowerGroup | $ | 581.7 | (0.6 | )% | (12.3 | )% | 11.7 | % | 7.1 | % | 4.6 | % |
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Cash Sources and Uses
Cash used to fund our operations is primarily generated through operating activities and provided by our existing credit facilities. We believe our available cash and existing credit facilities are sufficient to cover our cash needs for the foreseeable future. We assess and monitor our liquidity and capital resources globally. We use a global cash pooling arrangement, intercompany lending, and some local credit lines to meet funding needs and allocate our capital resources among our various entities. As of December 31, 2022, we had $554.3 million of cash held by foreign subsidiaries. We have historically made and anticipate future cash repatriations to the United States from certain foreign subsidiaries to fund corporate activities. As of December 31, 2022, deferred taxes related to non-United States withholding and other taxes were provided on $1,277.8 million of accumulated unremitted earnings of non-United States subsidiaries that may be remitted to the United States. As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, we have recorded a deferred tax liability of $18.4 million and $16.1 million, respectively, related to these non-United States earnings that may be remitted. As of December 31, 2022, we had an additional $339.9 million of accumulated unremitted earnings of non-United States subsidiaries for which we have not currently provided deferred taxes as amounts are deemed indefinitely reinvested. We have not estimated the deferred tax liability on these earnings as such estimation is not practicable to determine or immaterial to the financial statements.
Our principal ongoing cash needs are to finance working capital, capital expenditures, debt payments, interest expense, dividends, share repurchases and acquisitions. Working capital is primarily in the form of trade receivables, which generally increase as revenues increase. The amount of financing necessary to support revenue growth depends on receivables turnover, which differs in each market where we operate.
Cash provided by operating activities was $423.3 million, $644.8 million and $936.4 million for 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Changes in operating assets and liabilities utilized $139.7 million, compared to $135.6 million and $703.6 million of cash generated in 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The change in 2022 from 2021 was primarily attributable to a decrease in accounts payable due to timing. The change in 2021 from 2020 was primarily attributable to an increase in accounts receivable due to the stronger market environment as the impact of the COVID-19 crisis had stabilized in many parts of the world by 2021, offset by an increase in accounts payable due to timing. In 2021, these improvements in our cash flows were partially offset by the decrease in our payroll-related liabilities due to lower activity.
Accounts receivable decreased to $5,137.4 million as of December 31, 2022 from $5,448.2 million as of December 31, 2021. This decrease was primarily due to the impact of changes in currency exchange rates. DSO increased by one day from December 31, 2021 to 56 days as of December 31, 2022 due to unfavorable mix changes, with higher growth in countries with a higher average DSO.
Capital expenditures were $75.6 million, $64.2 million and $50.7 million during 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. These expenditures were comprised of purchases of computer equipment, office furniture and other costs related to office openings and refurbishments, as well as capitalized software costs of $34.2 million, $26.9 million and $14.0 million in 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The year-over-year increases in expenditures were primarily due to additional technology investments and the timing of capital expenditures.
Net debt repayments were $58.7 million in 2022 as compared to net borrowings of $70.3 million in 2021 and net debt payments of $38.5 million in 2020. The change in 2022 from 2021 is mainly due to the $75.0 million repayment we made into our revolving credit facility during 2022 to clear the outstanding borrowings as of December 31, 2021 related to the Experis acquisition. The acquisition was funded through cash on hand and a $150.0 million draw on our revolving credit facility on October 1, 2021.
The Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of 4.0 million, 6.0 million and 6.0 million shares of our common stock in August 2021, August 2019 and August 2018. Share repurchases may be made from time to time through a variety of methods, including open market purchases, block transactions, privately negotiated transactions or similar facilities. In 2022, we repurchased a total of 3.2 million shares comprised of 1.2 million shares under the 2019 authorization and 2.0 million shares under the 2021 authorization, at a total cost of $270.0 million. In 2021, we repurchased 2.1 million shares under the 2019 authorization at a total cost of $210.0 million. In 2020, we repurchased a total of 3.4 million shares comprised of 0.8 million shares under the 2018 authorization and 2.6 million shares under the 2019 authorization, at a total cost of $264.7 million. As of December 31, 2022, there were 2.0 million shares remaining authorized for repurchase under the 2021 authorization and no shares remaining authorized for repurchase under the 2019 or 2018 authorization.
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During 2022, 2021 and 2020, the Board of Directors declared total cash dividends of $2.72, $2.52 and $2.26 per share, respectively, resulting in total dividend payments of $139.9 million, $136.6 million and $129.1 million, respectively.
We have aggregate commitments of $1,961.2 million related to debt, operating leases, restructuring costs, transition tax resulting from the Tax Act and certain other commitments, as follows:
| (in millions) | Total | 2023 | 2024-2025 | 2026-2027 | Thereafter | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-term debt including interest | $ | 1,081.7 | $ | 9.4 | $ | 48.7 | $ | 1,008.6 | $ | 15.0 | |||||||||
| Short-term borrowings | 26.6 | 26.6 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Operating leases | 383.4 | 113.9 | 136.8 | 69.1 | 63.6 | ||||||||||||||
| Restructuring costs | 13.2 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | — | ||||||||||||||
| Transition tax resulting from the Tax Act | 89.3 | 22.3 | 67.0 | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Other | 367.0 | 183.4 | 107.5 | 31.2 | 44.9 | ||||||||||||||
| $ | 1,961.2 | $ | 364.4 | $ | 363.1 | $ | 1,110.2 | $ | 123.5 |
Our liability for unrecognized tax benefits, including related interest and penalties, of $59.1 million is excluded from the commitments above as we cannot determine the years in which these positions might ultimately be settled.
We recorded net restructuring costs of $3.6 million, $15.2 million and $110.7 million during 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively, in selling and administrative expenses, primarily related to severances and office closures and consolidations in multiple countries and territories. The costs paid out of our restructuring reserve were $13.7 million during 2022.
We have entered into guarantee contracts and stand-by letters of credit that total $840.2 million as of December 31, 2022 ($793.0 million for guarantees and $47.2 million for stand-by letters of credit). The guarantees primarily relate to staffing license requirements, operating leases and indebtedness. The stand-by letters of credit mainly relate to workers’ compensation in the United States. If certain conditions were met under these arrangements, we would be required to satisfy our obligation in cash. Due to the nature of these arrangements and our historical experience, we do not expect to make any significant payments under these arrangements. Therefore, they have been excluded from our aggregate commitments identified above. The cost of these guarantees and letters of credit was $1.7 million for 2022.
Total capitalization as of December 31, 2022 was $3,444.6 million, comprised of $986.5 million in debt and $2,458.1 million in equity. Debt as a percentage of total capitalization was 29%, 31% and 31% as of December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
Acquisitions
On October 1, 2021, we acquired ettain group, one of the largest privately held IT resourcing and services providers in North America. Effective that date, ettain group became part of our Experis business in the Americas segment. The acquisition is intended to accelerate our strategy of diversifying our business mix into higher growth and higher value services. The aggregate cash consideration paid was $930.9 million. Of the total consideration paid, $925.0 million was for the acquired interests and the remaining $5.9 million was for excess working capital and cash. The transaction was funded through cash on hand and a $150.0 million draw on our revolving debt facility on October 1, 2021. We finalized the purchase accounting during the third quarter of 2022 and recognized post-closing working capital adjustments of $3.4 million and income tax adjustments of $3.1 million with a corresponding offset to goodwill.
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The acquisition of ettain group was accounted for as a business combination, and the assets and liabilities of ettain group were included in the Consolidated Balance Sheets as of the acquisition date and the results of its operations have been included in the Consolidated Statements of Operations subsequent to the acquisition date. The customer relationship intangible asset is amortized over a 15-year useful life. The customer relationship intangible asset and goodwill from the acquisition are partially deductible for income tax purposes. As of December 31, 2022, the carrying value of intangible assets and goodwill was $330.0 million and $513.1 million, respectively. As of December 31, 2021, the carrying value of intangible assets and goodwill was $354.0 million and $519.6 million, respectively. The $6.5 million decrease in goodwill during 2022 resulted from the post-closing working capital adjustments discussed above. The goodwill is included within the United States reporting unit and is attributable to the workforce of the acquired business and expected synergies to occur post-acquisition as a result of diversifying the business into higher growth and higher value services.
From time to time, we acquire and invest in companies throughout the world, including franchises. The total cash consideration paid for acquisitions excluding ettain group, net of cash acquired, for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020 was $20.2 million, $8.1 million and $2.6 million, respectively. The 2022 payments primarily represent a consideration payment for the acquisition of Tingari, a talent solutions company in France. The 2022, 2021 and 2020 balances include consideration payments for franchises in the United States and contingent consideration payments related to previous acquisitions, of which $3.8 million, $6.3 million and $1.9 million, respectively, had been recognized as a liability at the acquisition date.
As of December 31, 2022, goodwill and intangible assets resulting from the 2022 acquisitions were $8.8 million and $5.3 million, respectively. As of December 31, 2021, goodwill and intangible assets resulting from the 2021 acquisitions, excluding ettain group, were $3.1 million and $0.6 million, respectively. No goodwill and intangible assets resulted from acquisitions in 2020.
Dispositions
Occasionally, we dispose of parts of our operations based on risk considerations and to optimize our global strategic and geographic footprint and overall efficiency. On January 17, 2022, we disposed of our Russia business in our Northern Europe segment for cash proceeds of $3.2 million. In connection with the disposition, we recognized a one-time net loss on disposition of $8.0 million, of which $9.7 million was included in selling and administrative expenses and a gain of $1.7 million was included in interest and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the year ended December 31, 2022. On September 30, 2022, our Belgium business disposed of its Service Voucher Division and recognized a one-time gain of $4.1 million, which was included in selling and administrative expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the year ended December 31, 2022. On December 15, 2022, we disposed of our Hungary business in our Southern Europe segment and recognized a one-time loss of $2.1 million, of which $0.9 million was included in selling and administrative expenses and $1.2 million was included in interest and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the year ended December 31, 2022.
In November 2021, we disposed of our Tunisia business in our Southern Europe segment and recognized a one-time loss of $1.2 million, which was included in selling and administrative expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the year ended December 31, 2021.
On September 30, 2020, we disposed of four businesses (Serbia, Croatia, Slovenia, Bulgaria) in our Southern Europe segment for cash proceeds of $5.8 million, subject to normal post close working capital adjustments, and simultaneously entered into franchise agreements with the new ownership of these businesses. In connection with the disposition, we recognized a one-time loss on disposition of $5.8 million, which was included in selling and administrative expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations in the year ended December 31, 2020.
Euro Notes
On June 30, 2022, we offered and sold €400.0 million aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 3.50% notes due June 30, 2027 (the “€400.0 million notes”). The proceeds from the €400.0 million notes were used in July 2022 to repay our €400.0 million 1.875% notes due September 11, 2022. The €400.0 million notes were issued at a price of 99.465% to yield an effective interest rate of 3.514%, net of a favorable impact of a forward starting interest rate swap. Interest on the €400.0 million notes is payable in arrears on June 30 of each year. The Notes are unsecured senior obligations and rank equally with all of the Company’s existing and future senior unsecured debt and other liabilities.
On June 22, 2018, we offered and sold €500.0 million aggregate principal amount of the Company’s 1.750% notes due June 2026 (the “€500.0 million notes”). The net proceeds from the €500.0 million notes of €495.7 million were used to repay our €350.0 million notes due June 22, 2018, with the remaining balance used for general corporate purposes, which included share repurchases. The €500.0 million notes were issued at a price of 99.564% to yield an effective interest rate of 1.809%. Interest on the €500.0 million notes is payable in arrears on June 22 of each year. The €500.0 million notes are unsecured senior obligations and rank equally with all of the Company’s existing and future senior unsecured debt and other liabilities.
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Both the €500.0 million notes and €400.0 million notes contain certain customary non-financial restrictive covenants and events of default and are unsecured senior obligations and rank equally with all of our existing and future senior unsecured debt and other liabilities. These notes have been designated as a hedge of our net investment in subsidiaries with a Euro-functional currency as of December 31, 2022. Since our net investment in these subsidiaries exceeds the respective amount of the designated borrowings, the related translation gains or losses are included as a component of accumulated other comprehensive loss. (See the Significant Matters Affecting Results of Operations section and Notes 8 and 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements found in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" for further information.)
Revolving Credit Agreement
On May 27, 2022, we entered into a new Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) with a syndicate of commercial banks with a termination date of May 27, 2027 to replace our previous $600.0 million revolving credit facility. The Credit Agreement includes terms generally consistent with our previous 5-year credit facility, except the Credit Agreement uses Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) as the base rate index instead of London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). The Credit Agreement allows for borrowing of $600.0 million in various currencies, and up to $150.0 million may be used for the issuance of stand-by letters of credit. We had no borrowings under this facility as of December 31, 2022 and $75.0 million as of December 31, 2021 under the previous facility. Outstanding letters of credit issued totaled $0.4 million and $0.5 million as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Additional borrowings of $599.6 million and $524.5 million were available to us under the facility as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Under the Credit Agreement, a credit ratings-based pricing grid determines the facility fee and the credit spread that we add to the applicable interbank borrowing rate on all borrowings. At our current credit rating, the annual facility fee is 10 basis points paid on the entire facility and the credit spread is 102.5 basis points on any borrowings. A downgrade from both credit agencies would unfavorably impact our interest and facility fees and result in additional costs ranging from approximately $0.2 million to $0.5 million annually.
The Credit Agreement contains customary restrictive covenants pertaining to our management and operations, including limitations on the amount of subsidiary debt that we may incur and limitations on our ability to pledge assets, as well as financial covenants requiring, among other things, that we comply with a leverage ratio (Net Debt-to-Net Earnings before interest and other expenses, provision for income taxes, intangible asset amortization expense, depreciation and amortization expense ("EBITDA")) of not greater than 3.5 to 1 and a fixed charge coverage ratio of not less than 1.5 to 1. In the Credit Agreement, Net Debt is defined as total debt less cash in excess of $400.0 million. The Credit Agreement also contains customary events of default, including, among others, payment defaults, material inaccuracy of representations and warranties, covenant defaults, bankruptcy or involuntary proceedings, certain monetary and non-monetary judgements, change of control and customary ERISA defaults.
As defined in the Credit Agreement, we had a net Debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.01 to 1 (compared to the maximum allowable ratio of 3.5 to 1) and a Fixed Charge Coverage ratio of 5.66 to 1 (compared to the minimum required ratio of 1.5 to 1) as of December 31, 2022.
Other
In addition to the previously mentioned facilities, we maintain separate bank credit lines with financial institutions to meet working capital needs of our subsidiary operations. As of December 31, 2022, such uncommitted credit lines totaled $318.4 million, of which $288.5 million was unused. Under the Credit Agreement, total subsidiary borrowings cannot exceed $300.0 million in the first, second and fourth quarters, and $600.0 million in the third quarter of each year. Due to these limitations, additional borrowings of $270.1 million could have been made under these lines as of December 31, 2021.
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Our long-term debt has a rating of Baa1 from Moody's Investor Services and BBB from Standard and Poor's, both with a stable outlook. Both of the credit ratings are investment grade. Rating agencies use proprietary methodology in determining their ratings and outlook which includes, among other things, financial ratios based upon debt levels and earnings performance.
Assessment of the Liquidity Position
We have assessed our liquidity position as of December 31, 2022 and for the near future. As of December 31, 2022, our cash and cash equivalents balance was $639.0 million. We also have access to the previously mentioned revolving credit facility that could have immediately provided us with up to $600.0 million of additional cash, less any outstanding borrowings and letters of credit, and we have an option to request an increase to the total availability under the revolving credit facility by an additional $300.0 million and each lender may participate in the requested increase at their discretion. In addition, we have access to the previously mentioned credit lines of up to $300.0 million ($600.0 million in the third quarter) to meet the working capital needs of our subsidiaries, of which $270.1 million was available to use as of December 31, 2022. Our €500.0 ($532.7) million notes mature in June 2026, and our €400.0 ($423.9) million notes mature in June 2027. Based on the above, we believe we have sufficient liquidity and capital resources to satisfy future requirements and meet our obligations currently and in the near future.
Application of Critical Accounting Policies
The preparation of our financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts. A discussion of the more significant estimates follows. Management has discussed the development, selection and disclosure of these estimates and assumptions with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors.
Business Combinations
Assets acquired and liabilities assumed as part of a business acquisition are generally recorded at their fair value at the date of acquisition. The excess of purchase price over the fair value of assets acquired and liabilities assumed is recorded as goodwill. Determining fair value of identifiable assets, particularly intangibles, requires management to make estimates, which are based on all available information and in some cases assumptions with respect to the timing and amount of future revenues and expenses associated with an asset. On October 1, 2021, we acquired ettain group (see Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information). As part of the accounting for the acquisition, we identified and recorded a customer relationship intangible asset of $360.0 million which is amortized over a 15 year useful life. We utilized the discounted cash flow method to estimate the fair value of the customer relationship asset, which required management to make significant assumptions in the model, but was calculated based on the historical customer sales of the acquired company. A change in the customer attrition rate of 250 basis points would result in a decrease of $66.0 million or an increase of $87.0 million in intangible assets, respectively, but would not result in a material change to future amortization expense.
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Defined Benefit Pension Plans
We sponsor several qualified and nonqualified pension plans covering permanent employees. The most significant plans are located in Switzerland, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Germany and France. Annual expense relating to these plans was $18.6, $22.2 million and $34.1 million in 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The decrease in 2021 pension expense from 2020 was primarily due to the settlement of a U.S. pension plan in the first quarter of 2020. Pension expense is estimated to be approximately $15.0 million in 2023.
The calculations of annual pension expense and the pension liability required at year-end include various actuarial assumptions such as discount rates, expected rate of return on plan assets, compensation increases and employee turnover rates. We review the actuarial assumptions on an annual basis and make modifications to the assumptions as necessary. We review market data and historical rates, on a country-by-country basis, to check for reasonableness in setting both the discount rate and the expected return on plan assets. We determine the discount rate based on an index of high-quality corporate bond yields and matched-funding yield curve analysis as of the end of each fiscal year. The expected return on plan assets is determined based on the expected returns of the various investment asset classes held in the plans. We estimate compensation increases and employee turnover rates for each plan based on the historical rates and the expected future rates for each respective country. Changes to any of these assumptions will impact annual expense recorded related to the plans.
In determining the estimated 2023 pension expense for non-United States plans, we used a weighted-average discount rate of 3.2% compared to 1.0% for 2022, reflecting the current interest rate environment. We have selected a weighted-average expected return on plan assets of 3.5% for the non-United States plans in determining the 2023 estimated pension expense compared to 2.2% used for the calculation of the 2022 pension expense. Absent any other changes, a 25 basis point increase and decrease in the weighted-average discount rate would decrease or increase our 2023 consolidated pension expense by $0.6 million. Absent any other changes, a 25 basis point increase or decrease in the weighted-average expected return on plan assets would decrease or increase our 2023 consolidated pension expense by $1.3 million. Changes to these assumptions have historically not been significant in any jurisdiction for any reporting period, and no significant adjustments to the amounts recorded have been required in the past or are expected in the future. (See Note 9 to the Consolidated Financial Statements found in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" for further information.)
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Income Taxes
The accounting guidance related to uncertain tax positions requires an evaluation process for all tax positions taken that involves a review of probability for sustaining a tax position. If the probability for sustaining a tax position is more likely than not, which is a 50% threshold, then the tax position is warranted and the largest amount, based on cumulative probability, that is greater than 50% likely of being realized upon settlement is recognized. An uncertain tax position, one which does not exceed the 50% threshold, will not be recognized in the financial statements.
We provide for income taxes on a quarterly basis based on an estimated annual tax rate. In determining this rate, we make estimates about taxable income for each of our largest locations worldwide, as well as the tax rate that will be in effect for each location. To the extent these estimates change during the year, or actual results differ from these estimates, our estimated annual tax rate may change between quarterly periods and may differ from the actual effective tax rate for the year.
Goodwill Impairment
We perform an annual impairment test of goodwill at our reporting unit level during the third quarter, or more frequently if events or circumstances change that would more likely than not reduce the fair value of our reporting units below their carrying value.
We evaluate the recoverability of goodwill utilizing an income approach that estimates the fair value of the future discounted cash flows to which the goodwill relates. This approach reflects management’s outlook of the reporting units, which is believed to be the best determination of value due to management’s insight and experience with the reporting units. Significant assumptions used in our goodwill impairment tests include: expected future revenue growth rates, operating unit profit margins, working capital levels, discount rates, and a terminal value multiple.
We performed our annual impairment test of our goodwill during the third quarter of 2022 and determined that there was no impairment.
The table below provides estimated fair values and carrying values for our reporting units with the largest goodwill balances, determined as part of our annual goodwill impairment test performed in the third quarter, representing approximately 85% of our consolidated goodwill balance as of September 30, 2022 (measurement date of July 1, 2022).
| (in millions) | United States | France | United Kingdom | Canada | Netherlands | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated fair values | $ | 2,650.4 | $ | 2,372.2 | $ | 359.0 | $ | 240.7 | $ | 115.1 | |||||||||
| Carrying values | 1,758.5 | 841.4 | 249.9 | 127.1 | 115.0 |
The fair value of each reporting unit at the time of our annual impairment test was at least 20% in excess of the respective reporting unit’s carrying value with the exception of the Netherlands reporting unit, which is part of the Northern Europe segment. The Netherlands reporting unit had a fair value that approximated its carrying value. Key assumptions included in the Netherlands discounted cash flow valuation performed during the third quarter of 2022 included a discount rate of 12.5%, revenue growth for the next 10 years ranging from 3.0% to 8.4%, a terminal value revenue growth rate of 2.0%, and a terminal value OUP margin of 4.0%.
During the fourth quarter of 2022, in connection with the preparation of our annual financial statements, we assessed the changes in circumstances that occurred during the quarter to determine if it was more likely than not that the fair value of any reporting unit was below its carrying amount.
Since the assessment conducted in the third quarter of 2022, we identified several factors related to our Netherlands reporting unit that led us to conclude that it was more likely than not that the fair value of the reporting unit was below its carrying amount which triggered us to perform an interim impairment assessment. These factors included further deterioration of the macroeconomic conditions, including downward revisions to projected Netherlands economic expansion in 2023, an increasing interest rate environment and financial performance that came in below management's planned revenue and OUP expectations for the fourth quarter of 2022.
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During the fourth quarter of 2022, we wrote the carrying value of the Netherlands reporting unit down to its estimated fair value and recognized a non-cash impairment charge loss of $50.0 million.
Key assumptions included in the Netherlands discounted cash flow valuation performed during the fourth quarter of 2022 included a discount rate of 13.5%, revenue growth for the next 10 years ranging from 0.0% to 3.0%, a terminal value revenue growth rate of 2.0%, and a terminal value OUP margin of 4.0%.
Management continues to closely monitor the results of the reporting unit and comparisons to the key assumptions used in our fair value estimate, in addition to operational initiatives and macroeconomic conditions, which may impact the results of the reporting unit. The performance of the Netherlands reporting unit and the potential for future developments in the global economic environment, including the prospect of higher interest rates, introduces a heightened risk for additional impairment in the Netherlands reporting unit. If the Netherlands reporting unit cannot improve from its current operating levels and meet its operating targets to achieve the growth and margin assumptions noted above, or if there is continued deterioration in the market due to macroeconomic conditions, some or all of the recorded goodwill for the Netherlands reporting unit, which was $55.1 million as of December 31, 2022, could be subject to further impairment.
While our other reporting units' fair values exceeded 20% or more of their respective carrying values, there could be significant further decreases in the operating results of our reporting units for a sustained period, which may result in a recognition of goodwill impairment that could be material to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
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