Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) FY 2023 MD&A
This page reproduces the company's own Item 7 MD&A text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements, the accompanying notes and other information included elsewhere in this Annual Report. This discussion and analysis below includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors described in the “Risk Factors” section that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Additionally, our historical results are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for any period in the future. A discussion of the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended December 31, 2021 has been reported previously under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022 filed with the SEC on March 3, 2023 (the “2022 Annual Report’”).
In this Annual Report, unless we indicate otherwise or the context requires, "Lemonade, Inc.," "Lemonade," "the Company," "we," "our," "ours" and "us" refer to Lemonade, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, including Lemonade Insurance Company, Lemonade Insurance Agency, LLC, and Metromile, Inc.
Overview
Lemonade is rebuilding insurance from the ground up on a digital substrate and an innovative business model. By leveraging technology, data, artificial intelligence, contemporary design, and social impact, we believe we are making insurance more delightful, more affordable, and more precise. To that end, we have built a vertically-integrated company with wholly-owned insurance carriers in the United States and Europe, including the United Kingdom and the full technology stack to power them.
A brief chat with our bot, AI Maya, is all it takes to get covered with renters, homeowners, pet, car or life insurance, and we expect to offer a similar experience for other insurance products over time. Claims are filed by chatting with another bot, AI Jim, who pays claims in as little as two seconds. This breezy experience belies the extraordinary technology that enables it: a state-of-the-art platform that spans marketing to underwriting, customer care to claims processing, finance to regulation. Our architecture melds artificial intelligence with the human kind, and learns from the prodigious data it generates to become even better at delighting customers and evaluating risks.
In addition to digitizing insurance end-to-end, we also reimagined the underlying business model to minimize volatility while maximizing trust and social impact. To lessen the volatility inherent in an industry directly impacted by the weather, we utilize several forms of reinsurance, with the goal of dampening the impact on our gross margin. The result is that excess claims are generally offloaded to reinsurers, while excess premiums can be donated to nonprofits selected by our customers as part of our annual "Giveback". These two ballasts, reinsurance and Giveback, reduce volatility, while creating an aligned, trustful, and values-rich relationship with our customers. See “Business - Our Business Model” and “Business - Our Product Offerings - Giveback Feature.”
Acquisition of Metromile
On July 28, 2022 (the “Acquisition Date”), we completed the acquisition of Metromile, Inc. (“Metromile"), a leading digital insurance platform in the United States that offers real-time, personalized car insurance policies by the mile. We acquired 100% of Metromile's equity through an all-stock transaction based upon the exchange ratio of 0.05263 shares of Lemonade for each outstanding share of Metromile (the “Metromile Acquisition”). As a result of the Metromile Acquisition, Metromile stockholders received 6,901,934 shares of Lemonade's common stock, with minimal cash paid in lieu of fractional shares. In addition, we assumed all outstanding and unexercised options, and outstanding restricted stock units as of the Acquisition Date, which were converted into corresponding awards with substantially identical terms and conditions prior to the Acquisition Date, at the same exchange ratio of 0.05263. Our results of operations include those of Metromile from the Acquisition Date through December 31, 2023.
Customer Investment Agreement
On June 28, 2023, we entered into a Customer Investment Agreement (the “Agreement”), with GC Customer Value Arranger, LLC (a General Catalyst company) ("GC"). Under the Agreement, up to $150 million of financing will be provided for our sales and marketing growth efforts. The Agreement has a commitment period of 18 months which expires on December 31, 2024 (“Original Commitment End Date”). Under the Agreement, subject to certain terms and conditions specified therein, at the start of each growth period, an Investment Amount of up to 80% of our growth spend (the "Investment Amount") will be advanced by GC. During each growth period, we will repay each
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Investment Amount including a 16% rate of return based upon an agreed schedule. Once fully repaid, we will retain all future reference income related to each respective Investment Amount.
On January 8, 2024, we entered into an Amended and Restated Customer Investment Agreement (“Amended Agreement”) where GC will provide up to an additional $140 million of financing for our sales and marketing growth efforts beginning from the Original Commitment End Date through December 31, 2025. All other material terms and condition from the Agreement remain unchanged. The Amended Agreement contains standard customary representations, warranties and covenants by the parties, and will continue in effect unless terminated by any party pursuant to its terms.
We had $14.9 million of outstanding borrowings under the financing agreement and incurred interest expense of $0.4 million as of and for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Key Factors and Trends Affecting our Operating Results
Our financial condition and results of operations have been, and will continue to be, affected by a number of factors, including the following:
Seasonality
Seasonal patterns can impact both our rate of customer acquisition and the incurrence of claims and losses.
Based on historical experience, existing and potential customers move more frequently in the third quarter, compared to the rest of the calendar year. As a result, we may see greater demand for new or expanded insurance coverage, and increased online engagement resulting in proportionately more growth during the third quarter. We expect that as we grow our customers, expand geographically and launch new products, the impact of seasonal variability on our rate of growth may decrease.
Additionally, seasonal weather patterns impact the level and amount of claims we receive. These patterns include hurricanes, wildfires, and coastal storms in the fall, cold weather patterns and changing home heating needs in the winter, and tornados and hailstorms in the spring and summer. The mix of geographic exposure and products within our customer base impacts our exposure to these weather patterns. For additional information, see "Risk Factors — Risks Relating to our Industry — Severe weather events and other catastrophes, including the effects of climate change and global pandemics, are inherently unpredictable and may have a material adverse effect on our financial results and financial condition."
Current Macroeconomic Environment
General economic inflation has increased and there is a risk of inflation remaining elevated for an extended period. We anticipate the effects of inflation impacting our investment portfolio, pricing of our products, and in estimating reserves for unpaid claims and claim expenses. The actual effects of the current and potential future increase in inflation on our results remains to be unknown and cannot be estimated with precision.
We conduct certain of our operations in Israel and therefore our results may be adversely affected by political, economic and military instability in Israel and the region, including the evolving conflict in Israel and surrounding region. The conflict between Israel and Hamas, primarily within Gaza, has increased global economic and political uncertainty. There is still uncertainty regarding the extent to which the war and its broader macroeconomic implications will impact our operations in Israel. We will continue to evaluate the extent to which this may impact our business, financial condition, or results of operations. These and other uncertainties could result in changes to our current expectations. For additional information, see “Risk Factors - Risks Relating to our Business - We conduct certain of our operations in Israel and therefore our results may be adversely affected by political, economic and military instability in Israel and the surrounding region.”
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Reinsurance
We obtain reinsurance to help manage our exposure to property and casualty insurance risks. Although our reinsurance counterparties are liable to us according to the terms of the reinsurance policies, we remain primarily liable to our policyholders as the direct insurers on all risks reinsured, see "Risk Factors - Risks Relating to Our Business” and “Risks Relating to Our Industry.” As a result, reinsurance does not eliminate the obligation of our insurance subsidiaries to pay all claims, and we are subject to the risk that one or more of our reinsurers will be unable or unwilling to honor its obligations, that the reinsurers will not pay in a timely fashion, or that our losses are so large that they exceed the limits inherent in our reinsurance contracts, each of which could have a material effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Furthermore, reinsurance may be unavailable at current levels and prices, which may limit our ability to write new business.
We maintain proportional reinsurance contracts which cover all of the Company's products and geographies, and transferred, or “ceded,” a specified percentage of the premium to reinsurers ("Proportional Reinsurance Contracts"). In exchange, these reinsurers pay a ceding commission for every dollar ceded, in addition to funding all of the corresponding claims at the same specified percentage as applied to premium. We opted to manage the remaining percentage of the business with alternative forms of reinsurance through non-proportional reinsurance contracts ("Non-Proportional Reinsurance Contracts").
We decreased the overall share of proportional reinsurance from 75% of the premium to 70% effective July 1, 2021, and to 55% effective July 1, 2022. In addition, we purchased a reinsurance program to protect us against natural catastrophe risk in the U.S. that exceeds $80 million in losses effective July 1, 2022, and expired on June 30, 2023. Other non-proportional reinsurance contracts were renewed with terms similar to the expiring contracts. The proportional reinsurance and other non-proportional reinsurance contracts expired on June 30, 2023.
Metromile entered into a Quota Share reinsurance agreement effective January 1, 2022 which expired on June 30, 2023. Under the terms of the agreement, the Company ceded 30% of premiums and losses to reinsurers.
Effective July 1, 2023 through June 30, 2024, we agreed to the terms of our reinsurance program which includes Whole Account Quota Share Reinsurance Contracts by and among the Company, Lemonade Insurance Company ("LIC"), Metromile Insurance Company and Lemonade Insurance N.V. ("Lemonade Insurance"), and each of Hannover Ruck SE, MAPFRE Re, and Swiss Reinsurance America Corporation (collectively referred to as “Reinsurers”) ("Reinsurance Program"). Under the Reinsurance Program, which covers all products and geographies, the Company transfers, or "cedes," a share of premium to the Reinsurers. In exchange, these Reinsurers pay us a ceding commission on all premiums ceded to the Reinsurers, in addition to funding the corresponding claims, subject to certain limitations, including but not limited to, the exclusion of hurricane losses, and a limit of $5,000,000 per occurrence for non-hurricane catastrophe losses. The overall share of proportional reinsurance under the Reinsurance Program is approximately 55% of premium. The Per Risk Cap across the contracts is $750,000. Additionally, the contracts are subject to loss ratio caps and variable ceding commission levels, which align our interests with those of its Reinsurers.
In addition, LIC and Lemonade Insurance agreed to the terms of a Property Per Risk Excess of Loss Reinsurance Contract with a panel of reinsurance companies (the "PPR Contract"), and LIC agreed to the terms of an Automatic Facultative Property Per Risk Excess of Loss Reinsurance Contract with Arch Re (the "Automatic Facultative PPR Contract"), each effective from July 1, 2023 until June 30, 2024. Under the PPR Contract, claims in excess of $750,000 are 100% ceded up to a maximum recovery of $2,250,000, subject to certain limitations. Under the Automatic Facultative PPR Contract, claims in excess of $3,000,000 are 100% ceded with a potential recovery of at least $10,000,000, subject to certain limitations.
We also purchased an Excess of Loss ("XOL") Reinsurance Contract through a captive in Bermuda to cover catastrophe risk over the initial $50,000,000 limit for each loss occurrence, which is further subject to a limit of $80,000,000 for each loss occurrence and in aggregate, primarily on property and auto business underwritten by LIC. This XOL reinsurance contract became effective July 1, 2023 and will expire on June 30, 2024. We are also exposed to some risks from MIC ceded through the Quota Share ("QS") Reinsurance Contract which is retained in a captive subsidiary, Lemonade Re SPC in the Cayman Islands. This QS reinsurance contract became effective July 1, 2023 and shall remain in force for an indefinite period until terminated by either party. Through our captives, we are exposed to the risk of natural catastrophe events and other covered risks under the reinsurance agreements from assumed risks from policies underwritten by both LIC and MIC.
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Components of our Results of Operations
Revenue
Gross Written Premium
Gross written premium is the amount received, or to be received, for insurance policies written by us during a specific period of time without reduction for premiums ceded to reinsurance. Gross written premium includes direct and assumed premium. In December 2022, we began assuming premium related to car insurance policies written in Texas, in connection with our fronting arrangement with a third party carrier in Texas. Following the Metromile Acquisition, we also include gross written premium from the sale of pay-per-mile car insurance policies within the United States. The volume of our gross written premium in any given period is generally influenced by new business submissions, binding of new business submissions into policies, renewals of existing policies, and average size and premium rate of bound policies.
Ceded Written Premium
Ceded written premium is the amount of gross written premium ceded to reinsurers. We enter into reinsurance contracts to limit our exposure to potential losses as well as to provide additional capacity for growth. Ceded written premium is earned over the reinsurance contract period in proportion to the period of risk covered. The volume of our ceded written premium is impacted by the level of our gross written premium and any decision we make to increase or decrease in reinsurance limits, retention levels and co-participation. Our ceded written premium can also be impacted significantly in certain periods due to changes in reinsurance agreements. In periods where we start or stop ceding a large volume of our premium, ceded written premium may increase or decrease significantly compared to prior periods and these fluctuations may not be indicative of future trends.
Gross Earned Premium
Gross earned premium represents the earned portion of our gross written premium. Gross earned premium includes direct and assumed premium. Our insurance policies generally have a term of one year and premium is earned pro rata over the term of the policy. In addition, following the Metromile Acquisition, we also include earned premiums from the pay-per-mile car insurance policies which are written for six-month terms. Premium for the policy provides a base rate per month for the entire policy term upon binding of the policy plus a per-mile rate multiplied by the miles driven each day (based on data from the telematics device, subject to a daily maximum).
Ceded Earned Premium
Ceded earned premium is the amount of gross earned premium ceded to reinsurers.
Net Earned Premium
Net earned premium represents the earned portion of our gross written premium, less the earned portion that is ceded to third-party reinsurers under our reinsurance agreements. Premium is earned pro rata over the term of the policy, which is generally one year. Net earned premiums from the pay-per-mile car insurance policies are earned over the term of the policy which is written for six-month terms.
Ceding Commission Income
Ceding commission income is commission we receive based on the premium ceded to third-party reinsurers to reimburse us for acquisition and underwriting expenses. We earn commissions on reinsurance premium ceded in a manner consistent with the recognition of the earned premium on the underlying insurance policies, on a pro-rata basis over the terms of the policies reinsured. The portion of ceding commission income which represents reimbursement of successful acquisition costs related to the underlying policies is recorded as an offset to other insurance expense.
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Net Investment Income
Net investment income represents interest earned from fixed maturity securities, short term and other investments, net of investment fees paid to the Company’s investment manager. Our cash and invested assets are primarily comprised of fixed maturity securities, and may also include cash and cash equivalents, equity securities, and short-term investments. The principal factors that influence net investment income are the size of our investment portfolio and the yield on that portfolio. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair value, such as changes in interest rates), the size of our investment portfolio is mainly a function of our invested equity capital along with premium we receive from our customers less payments on customer claims. Over time, we expect that net investment income will represent a more meaningful component of our results of operations.
Commission and Other Income
Commission income consists of commissions earned for policies placed with third-party insurance companies where we have no exposure to the insured risk. Such commission is recognized on the effective date of the associated policy which is when the performance obligation is completed. Other income primarily consists of fees collected from policyholders relating to installment premiums. These fees are recognized at the time each policy installment is billed. Other income also includes net realized gains or losses from sale of investments and sublease income.
Expense
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense, Net
Loss and loss adjustment expense (“LAE”), net represent the costs incurred for losses net of amounts ceded to reinsurers. We enter into reinsurance contracts to limit our exposure to potential losses as well as to provide additional capacity for growth. These expenses are a function of the size and term of the insurance policies we write and the loss experience associated with the underlying risks. Loss and LAE are based on an actuarial analysis of the estimated losses, including losses incurred during the period and changes in estimates from prior periods. Loss and LAE may be paid out over a period of years. Certain policies we write are subject to catastrophe losses. Catastrophe losses are losses resulting from events involving claims and policyholders, including earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, storms, terrorist acts or other aggregating events that are designated by internationally recognized organizations, such as Property Claims Services, that track and report on insured losses resulting from catastrophic events.
Other Insurance Expense
Other insurance expense consists primarily of amortization of commissions and premium taxes incurred on the successful acquisition of business written on a direct basis, and credit card processing fees not charged to our customers. Other insurance expense also includes employee compensation, including stock-based compensation and benefits, of our underwriting teams as well as allocated occupancy costs and related overhead based on headcount. Other insurance expense is offset by the portion of ceding commission income which represents reimbursement of successful acquisition costs related to the underlying policies.
Sales and Marketing
Sales and marketing includes third-party marketing, advertising, branding, public relations and sales expenses. Sales and marketing also includes associated employee compensation, including employee and non employee stock-based compensation and benefits, as well as allocated occupancy costs and related overhead based on headcount. Sales and marketing costs are expensed as incurred.
We plan to continue to invest in sales and marketing to attract and acquire new customers and increase our brand awareness. We expect that, in the long-term, our sales and marketing costs will decrease as a percentage of revenue as we continue to drive customer acquisition efficiencies and as the proportion of renewals to our total business increases.
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Technology Development
Technology development consists of employee compensation, including stock-based compensation and benefits, and expenses related to vendors engaged in product management, design, development and testing of our websites and products. Technology development also includes allocated occupancy costs and related overhead based on headcount. We expense technology development costs as incurred, except for costs that are capitalized related to internal-use software development projects and subsequently depreciated over the expected useful life of the developed software.
We expect to continue to incur product technology development costs, a portion of which will be capitalized, to continue to grow in the foreseeable future as we identify opportunities to invest in the development of new products and internal tools and enhancement of our existing products and technologies that we believe will drive the long-term profitability of the business.
General and Administrative
General and administrative includes employee compensation, including stock-based compensation and benefits for executive, finance, accounting, legal, business operations, and other administrative personnel. In addition, general and administrative includes outside professional services, non-income based taxes, insurance, charitable donations, bad debt expense and allocated occupancy costs and related overhead based on headcount. Depreciation and amortization expense, interest expense on borrowings under the financing agreement, and non-recurring items, if any are also recorded as a component of general and administrative.
We expect to continue to incur incremental general and administrative costs to support our global operational growth and enhancements to support our reporting and planning functions.
We have incurred and expect to continue to incur significant additional general and administrative expense as a result of operating as a public company, including expenses related to compliance with the rules and regulations of the SEC and the listing standards of the NYSE and NYSE American, additional corporate, director and officer insurance expenses, greater investor relations expenses and increased legal, audit and consulting fees.
Income Tax Expense
Our provision for income taxes consists primarily of foreign income taxes related to income generated by our subsidiaries organized under the laws of the Netherlands and Israel. As we expand the scale of our international business activities, any changes in the U.S. and foreign taxation of such activities may increase our overall provision for income taxes in the future.
We have a valuation allowance for our U.S. deferred tax assets, including federal and state net operating losses. We expect to maintain this valuation allowance until it becomes more likely than not that the benefit of our federal and state deferred tax assets will be realized through expected future taxable income in the U.S..
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Key Operating and Financial Metrics
We regularly review a number of metrics, including the following key operating and financial metrics, to evaluate our business, measure our performance, identify trends in our business, prepare financial projections and make strategic decisions. We believe these non-GAAP and operational measures are useful in evaluating our performance, in addition to our financial results prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). See "— Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for additional information on non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation to the most directly comparable financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
The following table sets forth these metrics as of and for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | ||||
| ($ in millions, except Premium per customer) | |||||
| Customers (end of period) | 2,026,918 | 1,807,548 | |||
| In force premium (end of period) | $ | 747.3 | $ | 625.1 | |
| Premium per customer (end of period) | $ | 369 | $ | 346 | |
| Annual dollar retention (end of period) (1) | 87 | % | 86 | % | |
| Total revenue | $ | 429.8 | $ | 256.7 | |
| Gross earned premium | $ | 672.3 | $ | 490.5 | |
| Gross profit | $ | 84.1 | $ | 42.3 | |
| Adjusted gross profit | $ | 97.4 | $ | 64.9 | |
| Net loss | $ | (236.9) | $ | (297.8) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $ | (172.6) | $ | (225.1) | |
| Gross profit margin | 20 | % | 16 | % | |
| Adjusted gross profit margin | 23 | % | 25 | % | |
| Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium | 14 | % | 13 | % | |
| Gross loss ratio | 85 | % | 90 | % | |
| Net loss ratio | 89 | % | 97 | % |
(1) Includes Metromile beginning in the third quarter of 2023.
Customers
We define customers as the number of current policyholders underwritten by us or placed by us with third party insurance partners (who pay us recurring commissions) as of the period end date. A customer that has more than one policy counts as a single customer for the purposes of this metric. We view customers as an important metric to assess our financial performance because customer growth drives our revenue, expands brand awareness, deepens our market penetration, creates additional upsell and cross-sell opportunities, and generates additional data to continue to improve the functioning of our platform.
In Force Premium
We define in force premium (“IFP”) as the aggregate annualized premium for customers as of the period end date. At each period end date, we calculate IFP as the sum of:
i)In force written premium — the annualized premium of in force policies underwritten by us; and
ii)In force placed premium — the annualized premium of in force policies placed with third party insurance companies for which we earn a recurring commission payment. In force placed premium currently reflects approximately 1% of IFP.
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The annualized value of premiums is a legal and contractual determination made by assessing the contractual terms with our customers. The annualized value of contracts is not determined by reference to historical revenues, deferred revenues, or any other GAAP financial measure over any period. IFP is not a forecast of future revenues nor is it a reliable indicator of revenue expected to be earned in any given period. We believe that our calculation of IFP is useful to analysts and investors because it captures the impact of growth in customers and premium per customer at the end of each reported period, without adjusting for known or projected policy updates, cancellations, rescissions, and non-renewals. We use IFP because we believe it gives our management useful insight into the total reach of our platform by showing all in force policies underwritten and placed by us. Other companies, including companies in our industry, may calculate IFP differently or not at all, which reduces the usefulness of IFP as a tool for comparison.
Premium per customer
We define premium per customer as the average annualized premium customers pay for products underwritten by us or placed by us with third-party insurance partners. We calculate premium per customer by dividing IFP by customers. We view premium per customer as an important metric to assess our financial performance because premium per customer reflects the average amount of money our customers spend on our products, which helps drive strategic initiatives.
Annual Dollar Retention
We define Annual Dollar Retention (“ADR”), as the percentage of IFP retained over a twelve month period, inclusive of changes in policy value, changes in number of policies, changes in policy type, and churn. To calculate ADR we first aggregate the IFP from all active customers at the beginning of the period and then aggregate the IFP from those same customers at the end of the period. ADR is then equal to the ratio of ending IFP to beginning IFP. We believe that our calculation of ADR is useful to analysts and investors because it captures our ability to retain customers and sell additional products and coverage to them over time. We view ADR as an important metric to measure our ability to provide a delightful end-to-end customer experience, satisfy our customers’ evolving insurance needs and maintain our customers’ trust in our products. Our customers become more valuable to us every year they continue to subscribe to our products. Other companies, including companies in our industry, may calculate ADR differently or not at all, which reduces the usefulness of ADR as a tool for comparison.
Gross Earned Premium
Gross earned premium is the earned portion of our gross written premium. Gross earned premium includes direct and assumed premium. In December 2022, we began assuming premium related to car insurance policies written in Texas, in connection with our fronting arrangement with a third party carrier in Texas, and this did not impact the key performance indicators for periods prior to the fourth quarter of 2022.
We use this operating metric as we believe it gives our management and other users of our financial information useful insight into the gross economic benefit generated by our business operations and allows us to evaluate our underwriting performance without regard to changes in our underlying reinsurance structure. See ‘‘— Components of Our Results of Operations — Revenue — Gross Earned Premium.’’
Unlike net earned premium, gross earned premium excludes the impact of premiums ceded to reinsurers, and therefore should not be used as a substitute for net earned premium, total revenue, or any other measure presented in accordance with GAAP.
Gross Profit
Gross profit is calculated in accordance with GAAP as total revenue less loss and loss adjustment expense, net, other insurance expense, and depreciation and amortization (allocated to cost of revenue).
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Adjusted Gross Profit
We define adjusted gross profit, a non-GAAP financial measure, as:
•Gross profit, excluding net investment income and interest income and expense, and net realized gains and losses on sale of investments, plus
•Employee-related expense, plus
•Professional fees and other, plus
•Depreciation and amortization (allocated to cost of revenue).
See — “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of total revenue to adjusted gross profit.
Adjusted EBITDA
We define adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, as net loss excluding the impact of income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, interest income and expense, net investment income, net realized gains and losses on sale of investments, change in fair value of warrants liability, amortization of fair value adjustment on insurance contract intangible liability relating to the Metromile Acquisition, interest expense on borrowings under the financing agreement and other non-cash adjustments and other transactions that we consider to be unique in nature. See “- Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a reconciliation of net loss to adjusted EBITDA in accordance with GAAP.
Gross Profit Margin
We define gross profit margin, expressed as a percentage, as the ratio of gross profit to total revenue.
Adjusted Gross Profit Margin
We define adjusted gross profit margin, a non-GAAP financial measure, expressed as a percentage, as the ratio of adjusted gross profit to total revenue. See "— Non-GAAP Financial Measures."
Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium
We define Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium, a non-GAAP financial measure, expressed as a percentage, as the ratio of adjusted gross profit to gross earned premium. Our Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium provides management with useful insight into our operating performance. See ‘‘— Non-GAAP Financial Measures.’’
Gross Loss Ratio
We define gross loss ratio, expressed as a percentage, as the ratio of losses and loss adjustment expense to gross earned premium.
Net Loss Ratio
We define net loss ratio, expressed as a percentage, as the ratio of losses and loss adjustment expense, less amounts ceded to reinsurers, to net earned premium.
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Results of Operations
The following table presents our results of operations for the periods indicated:
| Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | Change | % Change | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||||||||||
| Revenue | ||||||||||||||
| Net earned premium | $ | 315.2 | $ | 172.4 | $ | 142.8 | 83 | % | ||||||
| Ceding commission income | 69.8 | 64.1 | 5.7 | 9 | % | |||||||||
| Net investment income | 24.7 | 8.4 | 16.3 | 194 | % | |||||||||
| Commission and other income | 20.1 | 11.8 | 8.3 | 70 | % | |||||||||
| Total revenue | 429.8 | 256.7 | 173.1 | 67 | % | |||||||||
| Expense | ||||||||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expense, net | 280.4 | 167.3 | 113.1 | 68 | % | |||||||||
| Other insurance expense | 59.2 | 44.0 | 15.2 | 35 | % | |||||||||
| Sales and marketing | 101.9 | 138.3 | (36.4) | (26) | % | |||||||||
| Technology development | 88.8 | 79.6 | 9.2 | 12 | % | |||||||||
| General and administrative | 129.3 | 122.3 | 7.0 | 6 | % | |||||||||
| Total expense | 659.6 | 551.5 | 108.1 | 20 | % | |||||||||
| Loss before income taxes | (229.8) | (294.8) | 65.0 | (22) | % | |||||||||
| Income tax expense | 7.1 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 137 | % | |||||||||
| Net loss | $ | (236.9) | $ | (297.8) | $ | 60.9 | (20) | % |
Comparison of the Years Ended December 31, 2023 and 2022
Net Earned Premium
Net earned premium increased by $142.8 million, or 83%, to $315.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022 primarily due to the earning of increased gross written premium, and decrease in cession of ceded written premium under our Proportional Reinsurance Contracts as discussed in detail above under “Reinsurance.”
| Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | Change | % Change | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||||||||||
| Gross written premium | $ | 738.4 | $ | 555.7 | $ | 182.7 | 33 | % | ||||||
| Ceded written premium | (389.1) | (333.1) | (56.0) | 17 | % | |||||||||
| Net written premium | $ | 349.3 | $ | 222.6 | $ | 126.7 | 57 | % |
Gross written premium increased $182.7 million, or 33%, to $738.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. The increase was primarily due to a 12% increase in net added customers year over year driven by the success of our digital advertising campaigns and partnerships. We also continued to expand our geographic footprint and product offerings. We also saw a 7% increase in premiums per customer year over year due to an increasing prevalence of multiple policies per customer, growth in the overall average policy value, and continued shift in the mix of underlying products toward higher value policies. Assumed premium related to car insurance policies written in Texas from our fronting arrangement with a third party carrier in Texas which began in December 2022 also contributed to the increase in gross written premium during the period.
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Ceded written premium increased $56.0 million, or 17%, to $389.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily due to growth in business across all products and the impact of our reinsurance arrangements. Under the terms of our Reinsurance Program which became effective July 1, 2023, our overall share under the proportional reinsurance is approximately 55% of premium. The Per Risk Cap across the contracts is $750,000 and contracts are subject to loss ratio caps and variable commission levels. In 2022, we decreased the overall share of proportional reinsurance from 70% of premiums to 55% effective July 1, 2022. We also purchased a new reinsurance program to protect against natural catastrophe risk in the U.S. that exceed $80 million in losses effective July 1, 2022. Other non-proportional reinsurance contracts were renewed with terms similar to expired contracts. See "Reinsurance" above for further information.
Net written premium increased $126.7 million, or 57%, to $349.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. The increase was primarily due to the $182.7 million, or 33% increase in gross written premium offset by the increase in ceded written premium of $56.0 million, or 17% for the year ended December 31, 2023, as compared to year ended December 31, 2022.
The table below shows the amount of premium we earned on a gross and net basis. Ceded earned premium as a percentage of gross earned premium decreased to 53% for the year ended December 31, 2023, as compared to 65% for the year ended December 31, 2022 primarily due to the change in total participation under the proportional reinsurance contracts, as discussed above.
| Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | Change | % Change | |||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||||||||||
| Gross earned premium | $ | 672.3 | $ | 490.5 | $ | 181.8 | 37 | % | ||||||
| Ceded earned premium | (357.1) | (318.1) | (39.0) | 12 | % | |||||||||
| Net earned premium | $ | 315.2 | $ | 172.4 | $ | 142.8 | 83 | % |
Ceding Commission Income
Ceding commission income increased $5.7 million, or 9% to $69.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, consistent with the increase in ceded earned premium related to the proportional reinsurance contracts with third-party reinsurance companies during the year.
Net Investment Income
Net investment income increased $16.3 million, or 194%, to $24.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. The increase was primarily driven by the diversification of the Company’s investment portfolio with higher returns in comparison to prior year, offset by investment expenses of $0.3 million. We mainly invest in cash, money market funds, U.S. Treasury bills, corporate debt securities, asset-backed securities, notes and other obligations issued or guaranteed by the U.S. Government.
Commission and Other Income
Commission and other income increased $8.3 million, or 70% to $20.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to year ended December 31, 2022, due to growth in premiums placed with third-party insurance companies and an increase in installment fees.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense, Net
Loss and LAE, net increased $113.1 million, or 68%, to $280.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. The increase was primarily in line with growth in premium, increase in net retained losses due to change in participation under the proportional reinsurance contract and increased claims costs due to impact of inflation. Net incurred losses included $10.4 million from winter storm Elliott and $4.2 million from the hail storm that impacted our customers in Texas.
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Other Insurance Expense
Other insurance expense increased $15.2 million, or 35%, to $59.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. Professional fees, and other increased by $5.2 million, or 41%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily in support of growth and expansion initiatives. Amortization of deferred acquisition costs, net of ceded commissions also increased by $4.3 million, or 77% as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, consistent with growth in business. Credit card processing fees increased $3.4 million, or 35%, as a result of the increase in customers and associated premium. Employee-related expense, including stock based compensation, increased by $2.3 million, or 14%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, driven by an increase in underwriting staff to support our continued growth.
Sales and Marketing
Sales and marketing expenses decreased $36.4 million, or 26%, to $101.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. Expense related to brand and performance advertising decreased by $33.3 million, or 38%, as a result of reduced spending on search advertising and other customer acquisition channels. Employee-related expense, including stock-based compensation decreased by $1.7 million or 5%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, due to reduced headcount.
Technology
Technology development expenses increased $9.2 million, or 12%, to $88.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. Employee-related expense, including stock based compensation, net of capitalized costs for the development of internal-use software, increased $3.3 million, or 5%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, driven by an increase in payroll expense for product, engineering, design and quality assurance personnel to support our continued growth and product development initiatives, including automation, improvement in machine learning, new products, and geographic expansion. Hosting and development costs also increased by $3.0 million, or 49%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022 consistent with growth of business. Fees paid to contractors increased by $2.5 million, or 179%, as compared to December 31, 2022, due to the integration of Metromile.
General and Administrative
General and administrative expenses increased $7.0 million, or 6%, to $129.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. Depreciation and amortization increased by $7.8 million or 64%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, mainly due to acquired assets from Metromile. Employee related expense, including stock-based compensation, increased by $2.9 million, or 6%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, as we increased finance, legal, business operations and administrative personnel. An asset impairment on the right-of-use asset related to the San Francisco office in the amount of $3.7 million and an accrual for a potential liability claim of $3.0 million related to Metromile were recorded during the third quarter of 2023. Allocated occupancy and related costs increased by $2.7 million, or 57%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022, and was primarily related to the integration of Metromile. Nonrecurring transaction and integration costs of $8.4 million incurred in 2022 primarily relates to legal and other professional fees and employee retention and severance costs were incurred relating to the Metromile Acquisition. Insurance expense decreased $3.6 million or 42%, as compared to the year ended December 31, 2022. Legal and Professional fees decreased $2.5 million or 21%.
Income tax
Income tax expense increased $4.1 million, or 137%, to $7.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022 due to change in transfer pricing methodology and uncertain tax positions.
Net loss
Net loss decreased $60.9 million, or 20%, to $236.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 2022 due to the factors described above.
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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The non-GAAP financial measures below have not been calculated in accordance with GAAP and should be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be considered as a substitute for, or superior to, GAAP results. In addition, adjusted gross profit, adjusted gross profit margin, ratio of adjusted gross profit to gross earned premium, and adjusted EBITDA should not be construed as indicators of our operating performance, liquidity or cash flows generated by operating, investing and financing activities, as there may be significant factors or trends that they fail to address. We caution investors that non-GAAP financial information, by its nature, departs from traditional accounting conventions. Therefore, its use can make it difficult to compare our current results with our results from other reporting periods and with the results of other companies.
Our management uses these non-GAAP financial measures, in conjunction with GAAP financial measures, as an integral part of managing our business and to, among other things: (i) monitor and evaluate the performance of our business operations and financial performance; (ii) facilitate internal comparisons of the historical operating performance of our business operations; (iii) facilitate external comparisons of the results of our overall business to the historical operating performance of other companies that may have different capital structures and debt levels; (iv) review and assess the operating performance of our management team; (v) analyze and evaluate financial and strategic planning decisions regarding future operating investments; and (vi) plan for and prepare future annual operating budgets and determine appropriate levels of operating investments.
Adjusted Gross Profit and Adjusted Gross Profit Margin
We define adjusted gross profit, a non-GAAP financial measure, as gross profit excluding net investment income, interest income and other income, net realized gains and losses on sale of investments, plus fixed costs and overhead associated with our underwriting operations including employee-related expense, professional fees and other, and depreciation and amortization allocated to cost of revenue, and other adjustments that we would consider to be unique in nature. After these adjustments, the resulting calculation is inclusive of only those variable costs of revenue incurred on the successful acquisition of business and without the volatility of investment income. We use adjusted gross profit as a key measure of our progress towards profitability and to consistently evaluate the variable contribution to our business from underwriting operations from period to period.
We define adjusted gross profit margin, a non-GAAP financial measure, expressed as a percentage, as the ratio of adjusted gross profit to total revenue.
The following table provides a reconciliation of total revenue and gross profit margin to adjusted gross profit and the related adjusted gross profit margin, respectively, for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||
| Total revenue | $ | 429.8 | $ | 256.7 | ||
| Adjustments: | ||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment expense, net | $ | (280.4) | $ | (167.3) | ||
| Other insurance expense | (59.2) | (44.0) | ||||
| Depreciation and amortization | (6.1) | (3.1) | ||||
| Gross profit | $ | 84.1 | $ | 42.3 | ||
| Gross profit margin (% of total revenue) | 20 | % | 16 | % | ||
| Adjustments: | ||||||
| Net investment income | $ | (24.7) | $ | (8.4) | ||
| Interest income and other income | (4.1) | (0.7) | ||||
| Employee related expense | 18.2 | 15.9 | ||||
| Professional fees and other | 17.8 | 12.7 | ||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 6.1 | 3.1 | ||||
| Adjusted gross profit | $ | 97.4 | $ | 64.9 | ||
| Adjusted gross profit margin (% of total revenue) | 23 | % | 25 | % |
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Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium
We define the Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium as the ratio of adjusted gross profit to gross earned premium. The Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium measures the relationship between the underlying business volume and gross economic benefit generated by our underwriting operations, on the one hand, and our underlying profitability trends, on the other. We rely on this measure, which supplements our gross profit ratio as calculated in accordance with GAAP, because it provides management with insight into our underlying profitability trends over time.
We use gross earned premium as the denominator in calculating this ratio, which excludes the impact of premiums ceded to reinsurers, because we believe that it reflects the business volume and the gross economic benefit generated by our underlying underwriting operations, which in turn are the key drivers of our future profit opportunities. We exclude the impact of ceded premiums from the denominator because ceded premiums can change rapidly and significantly based on the type and mix of reinsurance structures we use and, therefore, add volatility that is not indicative of our underlying profitability. For example, a shift to a proportional reinsurance arrangement would result in an increase in ceded premium, with offsetting benefits to gross profit from ceded losses and ceding commissions earned, resulting in a nominal overall economic impact. This shift would result in a steep decline in total revenue with a corresponding spike in gross margin, whereas we expect that the Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium would remain relatively unchanged. We expect our reinsurance structure to evolve along with our costs and capital requirements, and we believe that our reinsurance structure at a given time does not reflect the performance of our underlying underwriting operations, which we expect to be the key driver of our costs of reinsurance over time.
On the other hand, the numerator, which is adjusted gross profit, includes the net impact of all reinsurance, including ceded premiums and the benefits of ceded losses and ceding commissions earned. Because our reinsurance structure is a key component of our risk management and a key driver of our profitability or loss in a given period, we believe this is meaningful.
Therefore, by providing this Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium for a given period, we are able to assess the relationship between business volume and profitability, while eliminating the volatility from the cost of our then-current reinsurance structure, which is driven primarily by the performance of our insurance underwriting platform rather than our business volume.
The following table sets forth our calculation of the Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||
| Numerator: Adjusted gross profit | $ | 97.4 | $ | 64.9 | ||
| Denominator: Gross earned premium | $ | 672.3 | $ | 490.5 | ||
| Ratio of Adjusted Gross Profit to Gross Earned Premium | 14 | % | 13 | % |
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Adjusted EBITDA
We define adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, as net loss excluding income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation, interest income and others, net investment income, net realized gains and losses on sale of investments, change in fair value of warrants liability, amortization of fair value adjustment on insurance contract intangible liability relating to the Metromile Acquisition, interest expense on borrowings under the financing agreement, and other non-cash adjustments and other transactions that we would consider to be unique in nature. We exclude these items from Adjusted EBITDA because we do not consider them to be directly attributable to our underlying operating performance. We use Adjusted EBITDA as an internal performance measure in the management of our operations because we believe it gives our management and other customers of our financial information useful insight into our results of operations and our underlying business performance. Adjusted EBITDA should not be viewed as substitute for net loss calculated in accordance with GAAP, and other companies may define adjusted EBITDA differently.
The following table provides a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net loss for the periods presented.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||
| Net loss | $ | (236.9) | $ | (297.8) | ||
| Adjustments: | ||||||
| Income tax expense | 7.1 | 3.0 | ||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 20.0 | 12.2 | ||||
| Stock-based compensation (1) | 59.9 | 58.5 | ||||
| Transaction and integration costs from Metromile acquisition | — | 8.4 | ||||
| Interest income and others | (3.2) | (0.8) | ||||
| Net investment income | (24.7) | (8.4) | ||||
| Change in fair value of warrants liability | (0.3) | (0.2) | ||||
| Amortization of fair value adjustment on insurance contract intangible liability relating to the Metromile acquisition | (1.2) | — | ||||
| Other adjustments (2) | 6.7 | — | ||||
| Adjusted EBITDA | $ | (172.6) | $ | (225.1) |
(1) Includes compensation expense related to warrant shares of $2.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2023.
(2) Includes impairment charge of $3.7 million related to the San Francisco office sublease and $3.0 million accrual for a potential liability claim, both related to Metromile.
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Liquidity and Capital Resources
As of December 31, 2023, we had $271.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, and $673.2 million in investments. From the date we commenced operations, we have generated negative cash flows from operations, and we have financed our operations primarily through private and public sales of equity securities. On January 14, 2021, we issued and sold 3,300,000 shares of common stock, and generated net proceeds to us of $525.7 million after deducting underwriting discounts and other offering costs. On February 1, 2021, the underwriters exercised their option to purchase additional shares, which resulted in the issuance and sale of an additional 718,647 shares of common stock by us, and generated additional net proceeds of $114.6 million. Excluding capital raises, our principal sources of funds are insurance premiums, investment income, reinsurance recoveries and proceeds from maturity and sale of invested assets. These funds are primarily used to pay claims, operating expenses and taxes. We believe our existing cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2023 will be sufficient to meet our working capital,liquidity and capital expenditures needs over at least the next 12 months and for the foreseeable future. However, this is subject, to a certain extent, on general economic, financial, competitive, regulatory and other factors that are beyond our control.
Our cash flows used in operations may differ substantially from our net loss due to non-cash charges or due to changes in balance sheet accounts.
The timing of our cash flows from operating activities can also vary among periods due to the timing of payments made or received. Some of our payments and receipts, including loss settlements and subsequent reinsurance receipts, can be significant. Therefore, their timing can influence cash flows from operating activities in any given period. The potential for a large claim under an insurance or reinsurance contract means that our insurance subsidiaries may need to make substantial payments within relatively short periods of time, which would have a negative impact on our operating cash flows.
We are a holding company that transacts a majority of our business through operating subsidiaries. Consequently, our ability to pay dividends to stockholders, meet debt payment obligations and pay taxes and operating expenses is largely dependent on dividends or other distributions from our subsidiaries and affiliates, whose ability to pay us is highly regulated.
Our U.S. and Dutch insurance company subsidiaries, and our Dutch insurance holding company, are restricted by statute as to the amount of dividends that they may pay without the prior approval of their respective competent regulatory authorities. As of December 31, 2023, cash and investments held by these companies was $423.8 million, of which $181.6 million is held as regulatory surplus.
Insurance companies in the United States are also required by state law to maintain a minimum level of policyholder's surplus. Insurance regulators in the states in which we operate have a risk-based capital standard designed to identify property and casualty insurers that may be inadequately capitalized based on inherent risks of the insurer's assets and liabilities and its mix of net written premium. Insurers falling below a calculated threshold may be subject to varying degrees of regulatory action. As of December 31, 2023, the total adjusted capital of our U.S. insurance subsidiaries was in excess of its respective prescribed risk-based capital requirements.
The following table summarizes our cash flow data for the periods presented:
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | |||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||
| Net cash used in operating activities | $ | (119.1) | $ | (163.0) | ||
| Net cash provided by investing activities | $ | 88.7 | $ | 181.1 | ||
| Net cash provided by financing activities | $ | 15.4 | $ | 3.6 |
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Operating Activities
Cash used in operating activities was $119.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, a decrease of $43.9 million from $163.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. This reflected the $60.9 million decrease in our net loss, primarily offset by changes in our operating assets and liabilities. The decrease in cash used in operating activities from year ended December 31, 2023 compared to year ended December 31, 2022 was primarily due to claims payments, settlements with our reinsurance partners, and decreased spend related to growth and expansion, offset by collection of premiums and recoveries from reinsurance partners.
Cash used in operating activities was $163.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $18.4 million from $144.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2021. This reflected the $56.5 million increase in our net loss, primarily offset by increases in unearned premium, funds held, and unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense that exceeded the increase in prepaid reinsurance premium, premiums receivable and amounts expected to be recovered from our reinsurance partners.
Investing Activities
Cash provided by investing activities was $88.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 primarily due to proceeds from sales and maturities of U.S. government obligations, corporate debt securities, asset-backed securities, short term investments, offset by purchases of U.S. government obligations, corporate debt securities, asset-backed securities, short term investments. We also purchased property and equipment during the year.
Cash provided by investing activities was $181.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022 primarily due to cash from the Metromile Acquisition, sales and maturities of U.S. government obligations, corporate debt securities, asset-backed securities, short term investments, offset by purchases, and property and equipment purchased during the year.
Financing Activities
Cash provided by financing activities was $15.4 million for the year ended December 31, 2023 primarily due to borrowings under the financing agreement and proceeds from stock exercises.
Cash provided by financing activities was $3.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2022 primarily due to proceeds from stock exercises.
We do not have any current plans for material capital expenditures other than current operating requirements. We currently have a financing agreement with GC (see “Note 14 - Borrowings under financing agreement”). To the extent our future operating cash flows are insufficient to cover our net losses from catastrophic events, we had $937.7 million in cash and cash equivalents, and investments available at December 31, 2023. We may also seek to raise additional capital through third-party borrowings, sales of our equity, issuance of debt securities or entrance into new reinsurance arrangements. There can be no assurance that we will be able to raise additional
capital on favorable terms or at all.
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The following table summarizes the Company’s contractual obligations and commitments as of December 31, 2023, and the effect of such obligations are expected to have on our liquidity and cash flows in the future periods.
| Payments Due by Period | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Less than 1 Year | 1 to 3 Years | 4 to 5 Years | More than 5 Years | ||||||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expense(1) | $ | 262.3 | $ | 184.7 | $ | 63.2 | $ | 9.1 | $ | 5.3 | ||||||||
| Borrowings under financing agreement | 14.9 | 14.9 | — | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Operating lease commitments | 32.3 | 10.1 | 16.1 | 2.7 | 3.4 | |||||||||||||
| Total | $ | 309.5 | $ | 209.7 | $ | 79.3 | $ | 11.8 | $ | 8.7 |
___________
(1)The reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses represent management's estimate of the ultimate cost of settling losses. As more fully discussed in "— Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates — Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses", the estimation of the unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is based on various complex and subjective judgments. Actual losses paid may differ, perhaps significantly, from the reserve estimates reflected in our consolidated financial statements. Similarly, the timing of payment of our estimated losses is not fixed and there may be significant changes in actual payment activity. The assumptions used in estimating the likely payments due by period are based on our historical claims payment experience and industry payment patterns, but due to the inherent uncertainty in the process of estimating the timing of such payments, there is a risk that the amounts paid can be significantly different from the amounts disclosed.
The amounts in the above table represent our gross estimates of known liabilities as of December 31, 2023 and do not include any allowance for claims for future events within the time period specified. Accordingly, we expect that the total amounts of obligations paid by us in the time periods shown will be greater than those indicated in the table.
We also have the ability to access additional capital through pursuing third-party borrowings, sales of our equity, issuance of debt securities or entrance into new reinsurance arrangements. There can be no assurance that we will be able to raise additional capital on favorable terms or at all.
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Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP in the United States. The preparation of the consolidated financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States requires our management to make a number of estimates and assumptions relating to the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the period. We evaluate our significant estimates on an ongoing basis, including, but not limited to, estimates related to unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense, reinsurance assets, intangible assets, stock-based compensation, income tax assets and liabilities, including recoverability of our net deferred tax asset, income tax provisions and certain non-income tax accruals. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying value of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results could differ from those estimates.
We believe that the accounting policies described below involve a significant degree of judgment and complexity. Accordingly, we believe these are the most critical to aid in fully understanding and evaluating our consolidated financial condition and results of operations. For further information, see “Note 4 — Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Annual Report.
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense
The reserves for loss and LAE represent management's best estimate of the ultimate cost of all reported and unreported losses and LAE incurred through the balance sheet date. Unpaid losses and LAE are based on the assumption that past developments are an appropriate indicator of future events. The incurred but not reported portion of unpaid losses and LAE is based on past experience and other factors.
The estimate of the unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense relies on several key judgments:
•the determination of the actuarial models used as the basis for these estimates;
•the relative weights given to these models;
•the underlying assumptions used in these models; and
•the determination of the appropriate groupings of similar product lines and, in some cases, the disaggregation of dissimilar losses.
Because actual experience can differ from key assumptions used in establishing reserves, there is potential for significant variation in the development of loss reserves.
For property coverage, the nature of claims is generally a short reporting period with volatility arising from occasional severe events. The process for estimating and recording unpaid losses and LAE is dependent on historical reported claims, industry information, the frequency and latency of claims reported, and assumptions of current environmental factors.
The following tables summarize our gross and net reserves for unpaid loss and LAE as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively:
| December 31, 2023 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross | % of total | Net | % of Total | ||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment reserves | |||||||||||||
| Case reserve | $ | 93.3 | 36 | % | $ | 46.7 | 33 | % | |||||
| IBNR | 169.0 | 64 | % | 95.4 | 67 | % | |||||||
| Total reserves | $ | 262.3 | 100 | % | $ | 142.1 | 100 | % |
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| December 31, 2022 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross | % of total | Net | % of Total | ||||||||||
| ($ in millions) | |||||||||||||
| Loss and loss adjustment reserves | |||||||||||||
| Case reserve | $ | 89.0 | 35 | % | $ | 44.3 | 34 | % | |||||
| IBNR | 167.2 | 65 | % | 87.3 | 66 | % | |||||||
| Total reserves | $ | 256.2 | 100 | % | $ | 131.6 | 100 | % |
We have assessed the impact of potential reserve deviations from our carried reserve at December 31, 2023. We applied sensitivity factors to incurred losses for the three most recent accident years and to the carried reserve for all prior accident years combined. Due to our contractual arrangements with our reinsurers, the sensitivity analysis results in no change to our previous income or stockholders' equity.
The amount by which estimated losses differ from those originally reported for a period is known as "Development."
Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved, or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable development of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.
The following tables summarize our Gross Ultimate Losses and LAE, and Net Ultimate Losses and LAE as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
| Gross Ultimate Losses and LAE | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | ||||||||||
| Calendar Year | Development | |||||||||
| Accident Year | 2023 | 2.9 | 2022 | 2022 to 2023 | ||||||
| 2016 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | — | ||||
| 2017 | 4.5 | 5.1 | (0.6) | |||||||
| 2018 | 22.5 | 23.2 | (0.7) | |||||||
| 2019 | 61.5 | 59.9 | 1.6 | |||||||
| 2020 | 121.0 | 119.4 | 1.6 | |||||||
| 2021 | 264.1 | 263.6 | 0.5 | |||||||
| 2022 | 431.3 | 439.9 | (8.6) | |||||||
| 2023 | 578.3 | N/A | N/A | |||||||
| $ | (6.2) |
| Net Ultimate Losses and LAE | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ($ in millions) | ||||||||||
| Calendar Year | Development | |||||||||
| Accident Year | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 to 2023 | |||||||
| 2016 | $ | 2.3 | $ | 2.0 | $ | 0.3 | ||||
| 2017 | 26.1 | 34.2 | (8.1) | |||||||
| 2018 | 39.6 | 47.3 | (7.7) | |||||||
| 2019 | 71.5 | 70.9 | 0.6 | |||||||
| 2020 | 72.1 | 64.3 | 7.8 | |||||||
| 2021 | 154.7 | 140.9 | 13.8 | |||||||
| 2022 | 209.9 | 207.0 | 2.9 | |||||||
| 2023 | 274.2 | N/A | N/A | |||||||
| $ | 9.6 |
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Reinsurance assets
The estimation of reinsurance recoverable involves a significant amount of judgment. Reinsurance assets include reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses that are estimated as part of our loss reserving process and, consequently, are subject to similar judgments and uncertainties. This estimate requires significant judgment for which key considerations include:
•paid and unpaid amounts recoverable;
•whether the balance is in dispute or subject to legal collection;
•the financial condition of a reinsurer (i.e., liquidated, insolvent, in receivership or otherwise subject to formal or informal regulatory restriction); and
•the collectability of the reinsurance recovery for factors such as, amounts outstanding, length of collection periods, disputes, any collateral or letters of credit held and other relevant factors.
Income tax assets and liabilities, including recoverability of our net deferred tax asset
The evaluation of the recoverability of our deferred tax asset and the need for a valuation allowance requires us to weigh all positive and negative evidence to reach a conclusion that it is more likely than not that all or some portion of the deferred tax asset will not be realized. The weight given to the evidence is commensurate with the extent to which it can be objectively verified. The more negative evidence that exists, the more positive evidence is necessary and the more difficult it is to support a conclusion that a valuation allowance is not needed.
We consider a number of factors to reliably estimate future taxable income so we can determine the extent of our ability to realize NOLs, foreign tax credits, realized capital loss and other carryforwards. These factors include forecasts of future income for each of our businesses and actual and planned business and operational changes, both of which include assumptions about future macroeconomic and company-specific conditions and events. We subject the forecasts to stresses of key assumptions and evaluate the effect on tax attribute utilization.
Intangible Assets and Goodwill
Intangible assets are recorded at their acquisition date fair values which involves the use of valuation methodologies and various assumptions that are inherently subjective. Identifiable intangible assets consist of value of business acquired and technology, which are subject to amortization, and insurance licenses and trademark, and are not subject to amortization. These intangible assets were acquired as part of the Metromile Acquisition except for trademark associated with the Company’s name, which was acquired in 2019. Finite-lived intangible assets, which are amortized over their estimated economic lives, are reviewed for impairment only when events occur or there are changes in circumstances indicating that their carrying value may exceed fair value. Impairment exists when the carrying value of intangible assets exceeds fair value. Indefinite-lived intangible assets are not amortized but are rather reviewed for potential impairment on an annual basis, or whenever indications of potential impairment exist.
Goodwill represents the excess of purchase price over the fair value of net assets acquired from our acquisition. Goodwill is not amortized, but instead is reviewed for impairment at the reporting unit level on an annual basis, during the fourth quarter, or more frequently if indicators of impairment exist. The annual impairment test for goodwill is initially completed through a qualitative assessment to determine if it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. If facts and circumstances determine that it is not more likely than not that a reporting unit fair value is less than its carrying amount, then additional testing of goodwill is not required. However, if we determine that it is more likely than not that the value of a reporting unit is less than the carrying amount, then we will perform a quantitative analysis. The quantitative analysis compares the estimated fair value of a reporting unit to its book value, including goodwill. If the fair value exceeds the book value, goodwill is considered not the be impaired. However, if the book value exceeds the fair value of a reporting unit, an impairment loss will be recognized in the amount of the excess book value over fair value limited by the total amount of goodwill for the reporting unit.
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Stock-based compensation
We account for stock-based compensation in accordance with ASC Topic 718, "Compensation — Stock Compensation." Stock options are mainly awarded to employees and members of our board of directors and measured at fair value at each grant date. We calculate the fair value of share options on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model and the expense is recognized over the requisite service period for awards expected to vest using the straight-line method. The requisite service period for share options is generally four years. We recognize forfeitures as they occur.
See “Note 17 - Stock-based compensation” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Annual Report for a complete description of the accounting for stock-based awards.
Recently Issued and Adopted Accounting Pronouncements
See "Note 4 — Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Annual Report for a discussion of accounting pronouncements recently issued and pending adoption.
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