Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) FY 2023 MD&A

ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

You should read the following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes thereto included in "Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." This discussion may contain forward-looking statements based upon current expectations that involve risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including those described in "Item 1A. Risk Factors" or set forth in other sections of this report.

For discussion related to the results of operations and changes in financial condition for fiscal 2022 compared to fiscal 2021 refer to "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in Part II of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.

We operate on a fiscal year that ends on the Saturday closest to December 31st each year. References to fiscal 2023, fiscal 2022, and fiscal 2021 refer to the fiscal years ended December 30, 2023, December 31, 2022, and January 1, 2022, respectively. Our 2023, 2022 and 2021 fiscal years all consisted of 52 weeks.

As used in this report, references to "Grocery Outlet," "the Company," "the registrant," "we," "us" and "our," refer to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. and its consolidated subsidiary unless otherwise indicated or the context requires otherwise.

OVERVIEW

We are a high-growth, extreme value retailer of quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products sold through a network of independently operated stores. Our flexible buying model allows us to offer quality, name-brand opportunistic products at prices generally 40% to 70% below those of conventional retailers. Entrepreneurial independent operators ("IOs") run our stores and create a neighborhood feel through personalized customer service and a localized product offering. As of December 30, 2023, we had 468 stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Idaho, Nevada, Maryland, New Jersey and Ohio.

Macroeconomic Conditions and Recent Developments

Over the past several years, and to a lesser extent recently, our business has been and continues to be impacted by macroeconomic conditions including supply chain and labor challenges, inflation and subsequent disinflation, and changes in consumer behavior, and our IOs have been impacted by staffing challenges, increased labor costs and utility costs within their businesses. Furthermore, planned construction and opening of new stores has been, and may continue to be, negatively impacted due to both increased lead times to acquire materials, obtain permits and licenses as well as higher construction and development related costs, causing our new store growth in fiscal 2022 and 2023 to be below our long-term strategic goal of 10% annualized store growth on average. The extent of the continuing impact of these factors on our operational and financial performance will depend on many factors, including certain factors outside of our control.

Our new store growth efforts for fiscal 2024 and beyond are focused on organic growth and new real estate opportunities that align with our long-term geographic expansion and store growth strategies. Complementary growth opportunities may include expanding strategic relationships with large property owners, evaluating acquisitions of opportunistic real estate that become available through consolidation in the retail sector, and exploring strategic regional acquisitions of operating businesses. On February 14, 2024 we entered into a stock purchase agreement to acquire United Grocery Outlet, which includes 40 stores in six adjacent states we do not operate in currently (Tennessee, North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Kentucky and Virginia) and a company-operated distribution center. We expect this transaction to close early in the second quarter of fiscal 2024. In addition to the newly acquired United Grocery Outlet stores, we plan to open approximately 15 to 20 stores in existing markets in fiscal 2024, for a planned total of 55 to 60 net new stores in fiscal 2024.

In late August 2023, we replaced components of our enterprise resource planning system, including our financial ledger, inventory management platform and product data warehouse system. The implementation of these system upgrades resulted in disruption to our business operations, including ordering and inventory disruptions, which impacted our results of operations during the remainder of fiscal 2023, as more fully described below in “Comparison of fiscal 2023 to fiscal 2022." Some of these disruptions are still ongoing as of the date of this filing and are expected to negatively impact the first quarter of fiscal 2024 results.

For additional information regarding the risks related to our business and operations, see "Item 1A. Risk Factors" of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

48

Table of Contents

Key Factors and Measures We Use to Evaluate Our Business

We consider a variety of financial and operating measures in assessing the performance of our business. The key generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") financial measures we use are net sales, gross profit and gross margin, selling, general and administrative expenses ("SG&A") and operating income. The key operational metrics and non-GAAP financial measures we use are number of new stores, comparable store sales, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share.

Fiscal 2023 Overview

Key financial and operating performance results for our fiscal 2023 compared to our fiscal 2022 were as follows:

•Net sales increased 10.9% to $3.97 billion for fiscal 2023 from $3.58 billion for fiscal 2022.

•Comparable store sales increased by 7.5% in fiscal 2023, driven by a 8.3% increase in the number of transactions partially offset by a 0.8% decrease in average transaction size.

•Gross margin increased by 80 basis points to 31.3%, compared to gross margin of 30.5% for fiscal 2022.

•In late August, we implemented new technology platforms and, as a result, experienced disruptions which are estimated to have negatively impacted comparable store sales by approximately 90 basis points and gross margin by 50 basis points in fiscal 2023.

•We opened 28 new stores and closed one, ending fiscal 2023 with 468 stores in nine states.

•Net income increased 22.1% to $79.4 million, or $0.79 per diluted share for fiscal 2023, compared to net income of $65.1 million, or $0.65 per diluted share, for fiscal 2022.

•Adjusted EBITDA(1) increased 17.7% to $252.6 million for fiscal 2023 compared to $214.7 million for fiscal 2022.

•Adjusted net income(1) increased 15.2% to $108.1 million, or $1.07 per adjusted diluted share(1) for fiscal 2023 compared to $93.9 million, or $0.94 per adjusted diluted share, for fiscal 2022.

_______________________

(1)Adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share are non-GAAP financial measures, which exclude the impact of certain special items. Please note that our non-GAAP financial measures should be considered as a supplement to, and not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. See the "Operating Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures" section below for additional information about these items, including their definitions, how the non-GAAP measures provide useful information to investors and how management utilizes them, and reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures and the most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Key Components of Results of Operations

Net Sales

We recognize revenues from the sale of products at the point of sale, net of any taxes or deposits collected and remitted to governmental authorities. Discounts provided to customers by us are recognized at the time of sale as a reduction in net sales as the products are sold. Discounts that are funded solely by IOs are not recognized as a reduction in net sales as the IO bears the incidental costs arising from the discount. We do not accept manufacturer coupons. Net sales consist of net sales from comparable stores, described below under "Comparable Store Sales," and non-comparable stores. Growth of our net sales is generally driven by expansion of our store base in existing and new markets as well as comparable store sales growth. Net sales are impacted by the spending habits of our customers, product mix and supply, as well as promotional and competitive activities. Our ever-changing selection of offerings across diverse product categories supports growth in net sales by attracting new customers and encouraging repeat visits from our existing customers. The spending habits of our customers are affected by changes in macroeconomic conditions, governmental benefit programs such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program and discretionary income. Our customers' discretionary income is impacted by wages, fuel and other cost-of-living increases including food-at-home inflation, as well as consumer trends and preferences, which fluctuate depending on the environment. Because we offer a broad selection of merchandise at extreme values, historically our business has benefited from periods of economic uncertainty.

Cost of Sales, Gross Profit and Gross Margin

Cost of sales includes, among other things, merchandise costs, inventory markdowns, inventory losses, transportation costs and distribution and warehousing costs, including depreciation. Gross profit is equal to our net sales less our cost of sales. Gross margin is gross profit as a percentage of our net sales. Gross margin is a measure used by

49

Table of Contents

management to indicate whether we are selling merchandise at an appropriate gross profit. Gross margin is impacted by product mix and availability, as some products generally provide higher gross margins, and by our merchandise costs, which can vary. Gross margin is also impacted by the costs of distributing and transporting product to our stores, which can vary. Our gross profit is variable in nature and generally follows changes in net sales. While our disciplined buying approach has produced consistent gross margins throughout economic cycles, which we believe has helped to mitigate adverse impacts on gross profit and results of operations, changes in consumer demand as a result of macroeconomic conditions, including inflationary cost increases for goods, labor and transportation, supply chain constraints and changes in discretionary income, have resulted and could continue to result in higher variability to our gross margins. The components of our cost of sales, as well as our gross profit and gross margin, may not be comparable to the same or similar measures of our competitors and other retailers.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

SG&A are comprised of both store-related expenses and corporate expenses. Our store-related expenses include commissions paid to IOs, occupancy and our portion of maintenance costs, depreciation and amortization of store-related assets and the cost of opening new IO stores. Company-operated store-related expenses also include payroll, benefits, supplies and utilities. Corporate expenses include payroll and benefits for corporate and field support, share-based compensation, marketing and advertising, insurance and professional services, depreciation and amortization of corporate assets and operator recruiting and training costs. We continue to closely manage our expenses and monitor SG&A as a percentage of net sales. SG&A generally increases as we grow our store base and invest in our corporate infrastructure. SG&A related to commissions paid to IOs are variable in nature and generally increase as gross profits rise and decrease as gross profits decline. We expect that our SG&A will continue to increase in future periods as we continue to grow our net sales and gross profits. The components of our SG&A may not be comparable to the components of similar measures of our competitors and other retailers.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2023, in order to enhance the comparability of our results with our peers, we updated our presentation of the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income to include depreciation and amortization expenses and share-based compensation expenses within selling, general and administrative expenses. Prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to current period presentation. The reclassification of these items had no impact on net income, earnings per share, or retained earnings in the current or prior periods.

Operating Income

Operating income is gross profit less SG&A. Operating income excludes interest expense, net, gain on insurance recoveries, loss on debt extinguishment and modification and income tax expense. We use operating income as an indicator of the productivity of our business and our ability to manage expenses.

50

Table of Contents

Results of Operations

The following tables summarize key components of our results of operations both in dollars and as a percentage of net sales (amounts in thousands, except for percentages):

_______________________

(1)Components may not sum to totals due to rounding.

51

Table of Contents

Operating Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Number of New Stores

The number of new stores reflects the number of stores opened during a particular reporting period. New stores require an initial capital investment from us for store build-outs, fixtures and equipment that we amortize over time as well as cash required for inventory and pre-opening expenses.

We expect new store growth to be the primary driver of our net sales growth over the long term. We lease substantially all of our store locations. Our initial lease terms on stores are typically ten years with options to renew for two or three successive five-year periods.

Comparable Store Sales

We use comparable store sales as an operating metric to measure performance of a store during the current reporting period against the performance of the same store in the corresponding period of the previous year. Comparable store sales are impacted by the same factors that impact net sales.

Comparable store sales consists of net sales from our stores beginning on the first day of the fourteenth full fiscal month following the store's opening, which is when we believe comparability is achieved. Included in our comparable store definition are those stores that have been remodeled, expanded, or relocated in their existing location or respective trade areas. Excluded from our comparable store definition are those stores that have been temporarily closed for an extended period, those that have had their business materially disrupted for both planned projects as well as due to unforeseen circumstances, permanent store closures and dispositions. When applicable, as was the case with fiscal 2020 and will be the case with fiscal 2025, we exclude the net sales in the non-comparable week of a 53-week year from the same store sales calculation after comparing the current and prior year weekly periods that are most closely aligned.

Opening new stores is a primary component of our growth strategy and, as we continue to execute on our growth strategy, we expect that a significant portion of our net sales growth will be attributable to non-comparable store net sales. Accordingly, comparable store sales is only one of many measures we use to assess the success of our growth strategy.

EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Earnings Per Share

EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share are supplemental key metrics used by management and our Board of Directors to assess our financial performance. EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share are also frequently used by analysts, investors and other interested parties to evaluate us and other companies in our industry. Management believes it is useful to investors and analysts to evaluate these non-GAAP measures on the same basis as management uses to evaluate our operating results. We use EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share to supplement GAAP measures of performance to evaluate the effectiveness of our business strategies, to make budgeting decisions and to compare our performance against that of other peer companies using similar measures. In addition, we use adjusted EBITDA to supplement GAAP measures of performance to evaluate our performance in connection with compensation decisions. We believe that excluding items from operating income, net income and net income per diluted share that may not be indicative of, or are unrelated to, our core operating results, and that may vary in frequency or magnitude, enhances the comparability of our results and provides additional information for analyzing trends in our business.

We define EBITDA as net income before net interest expense, income taxes and depreciation and amortization expenses. Adjusted EBITDA represents EBITDA adjusted to exclude share-based compensation expense, loss on debt extinguishment and modification, asset impairment and gain or loss on disposition, acquisition costs and certain other expenses that may not be indicative of, or are unrelated to, our core operating results, and that may vary in frequency or magnitude. Adjusted net income represents net income adjusted for the previously mentioned adjusted EBITDA adjustments, further adjusted for costs related to amortization of purchase accounting assets and deferred financing costs, tax adjustment to normalize the effective tax rate, and tax effect of total adjustments. Basic adjusted earnings per share is calculated using adjusted net income, as defined above, and basic weighted average shares outstanding. Diluted adjusted earnings per share is calculated using adjusted net income, as defined above, and diluted weighted average shares outstanding. EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share are non-GAAP measures and may not be comparable to similar measures reported by other companies. EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share have limitations as analytical tools, and you should not consider them in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. We address the limitations of the non-GAAP measures through the use of various GAAP measures. In the future, we will incur expenses or charges such as those added back to calculate adjusted EBITDA or adjusted net income. Our presentation of EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net

52

Table of Contents

income and adjusted earnings per share should not be construed as an inference that our future results will be unaffected by the adjustments we have used to derive our non-GAAP measures.

The following table summarizes key operating metrics and non-GAAP financial measures for the periods presented (amounts in thousands, except for percentages and store counts):

_______________________

(1)Comparable store sales consist of net sales from our stores beginning on the first day of the fourteenth full fiscal month following the store's opening, which is when we believe comparability is achieved.

(2)See "—GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations" section below for the applicable reconciliations.

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations

The following tables provide a reconciliation from our GAAP net income to EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA, GAAP net income to adjusted net income, and our GAAP earnings per share to adjusted earnings per share for the periods presented (amounts in thousands, except per share data):

53

Table of Contents

___________________________

(1)Includes non-cash share-based compensation expense and less than $0.1 million, $0.1 million, and $0.2 million of cash dividends paid in fiscal 2023, 2022, and 2021 respectively, on vested share-based awards as a result of dividends declared in connection with recapitalizations that occurred in fiscal 2018 and 2016.

(2)Represents the write-off of debt issuance costs and debt discounts as well as debt modification costs related to refinancing and/or repayment of our credit facilities. See NOTE 6—Long-term Debt to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

(3)Represents asset impairment charges and gains or losses on dispositions of assets.

(4)Represents costs related to the acquisition of United Grocery Outlet, including due diligence, legal, and other consulting expenses.

(5)Represents other non-recurring, non-cash or non-operational items, such as technology upgrade implementation costs, strategic project costs, costs related to employer payroll taxes associated with equity awards, legal settlements and other legal expenses, store closing costs, certain personnel-related costs and miscellaneous costs.

(6)Represents the amortization of debt issuance costs as well as the incremental amortization of an asset step-up resulting from purchase price accounting related to our acquisition in 2014 by an investment fund affiliated with Hellman & Friedman LLC, which included trademarks, customer lists, and below-market leases.

(7)Represents adjustments to normalize the effective tax rate for the impact of unusual or infrequent tax items that we do not consider in our evaluation of ongoing performance, including excess tax expenses or benefits related to stock option exercises and vesting of restricted stock units that are recorded in earnings as discrete items in the reporting period in which they occur.

(8)Represents the tax effect of the total adjustments. We calculate the tax effect of the total adjustments on a discrete basis excluding any non-recurring and unusual tax items.

54

Table of Contents

Comparison of fiscal 2023 to fiscal 2022 (amounts in thousands, except percentages)

Net Sales

The increase in net sales for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily attributable to an increase in comparable store sales as well as non-comparable store net sales growth primarily from the 27 net new stores opened during fiscal 2023, partially offset by disruptions related to our aforementioned system upgrades.

Comparable store sales increased 7.5% for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022. The increase was driven by an 8.3% increase in the number of transactions combined with a 0.8% decrease in average transaction size.

Cost of Sales

The increase in cost of sales for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily the result of an increase in comparable store sales combined with non-comparable sales from 27 net new stores opened during fiscal 2023.

Costs as a percentage of net sales decreased for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 primarily due to our changing assortment along with generally strong purchasing and inventory management in fiscal 2023, partially offset by the late third quarter and fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 impacts related to our system upgrades.

Gross Profit and Gross Margin

The increase in gross profit for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily the result of an increase in comparable store sales combined with non-comparable sales from 27 net new stores opened during fiscal 2023, partially offset by the late third quarter and fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 impacts related to our system upgrades.

Gross margin increased for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 primarily due to our changing assortment along with generally strong purchasing and inventory management during fiscal 2023, partially offset by impacts related to our system upgrades.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

The increase in SG&A for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was driven by $98.0 million in higher store-related expenses and $20.8 million in higher corporate-related expenses. Store-related expenses primarily increased as a result of higher commission payments to IOs, reflecting gross profit growth together with incremental support we elected to provide

55

Table of Contents

to our IOs in connection with our system upgrades, as well as higher store occupancy costs due to 27 net new stores opened during 2023, partially offset by the recognition of e-commerce vendor obligations. Corporate-related expenses increased largely due to increased personnel and professional service costs to support the continued growth of the business as well as increased corporate-related depreciation and amortization expense driven by investments in general and administrative infrastructure.

As a percentage of net sales, SG&A increased slightly for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 primarily due to the aforementioned factors.

Interest Expense, net

The decrease in net interest expense for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily driven by increased interest income from IO notes and cash and cash equivalents as well as $2.1 million in capitalized interest in fiscal 2023, partially offset by increased interest expense on loans. The increased interest expense on loans was due to increases in the effective borrowing rate on loans, partially offset by a decrease in principal debt outstanding over fiscal 2023.

See NOTE 6—Long-term Debt to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Loss on Debt Extinguishment and Modification

During fiscal 2023, we recorded a $5.3 million loss on debt extinguishment related to the payoff of $385.0 million of principal on the senior term loan outstanding under our prior credit facilities. During fiscal 2022, we recorded a $1.3 million loss on debt extinguishment related to the prepayment of $75.0 million of principal on the senior term loan outstanding under our prior credit facilities.

See NOTE 6—Long-term Debt to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

Income Tax Expense

The increase in income tax expense for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily driven by higher pre-tax income.

The increase in our effective income tax rate for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily driven by lower excess tax benefits related to the exercise of stock options as well as non-deductible executive compensation under Internal Revenue Code Section 162(m) during fiscal 2023, which was not applicable during fiscal 2022.

See NOTE 10—Income Taxes to our Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information.

56

Table of Contents

Net Income

As a result of the foregoing factors, net income increased in fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022.

Adjusted EBITDA

The increase in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily attributable to an increase in comparable store sales of 7.5% for fiscal 2023 as well as higher net sales resulting from new store growth, combined with increased gross margin.

Adjusted Net Income

The increase in adjusted net income for fiscal 2023 compared to fiscal 2022 was primarily attributable to an increase in comparable store sales of 7.5% for fiscal 2023 as well as higher net sales resulting from new store growth, combined with increased gross margin.

57

Table of Contents

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Sources of Liquidity

Based on our current operations and new store growth plans, we expect to satisfy our short-term and long-term cash requirements through a combination of our existing cash and cash equivalents position, funds generated from operating activities, and the borrowing capacity available in the revolving credit facility under our credit agreement, dated as of February 21, 2023 (the "2023 Credit Agreement"). If cash generated from our operations and borrowings under our revolving credit facility are not sufficient or available to meet our liquidity requirements, then we will be required to obtain additional equity or debt financing in the future. There can be no assurance equity or debt financing will be available to us when we need it or, if available, the terms will be satisfactory to us and not dilutive to our then-current stockholders. Additionally, we may seek to take advantage of market opportunities to refinance our existing debt instruments with new debt instruments at interest rates, maturities and terms we deem attractive.

As of December 30, 2023, we had cash and cash equivalents of $115.0 million, which consisted primarily of cash held in checking and money market accounts with financial institutions. In addition, we have a revolving credit facility with $400.0 million in borrowing capacity under our 2023 Credit Agreement. As of December 30, 2023, we had no borrowings outstanding under the revolving credit facility and $4.2 million of outstanding standby letters of credit, resulting in $395.8 million of remaining borrowing capacity available under this revolving credit facility.

On February 21, 2023, we entered into the 2023 Credit Agreement, which provides for senior secured credit facilities consisting of (i) a senior secured term loan facility (the "senior term loan") in an original aggregate principal amount of $300.0 million and (ii) a senior secured revolving credit facility (the "revolving credit facility" and, together with the senior term loan, the "new credit facilities") in an aggregate principal amount of $400.0 million. The senior term loan was borrowed in full on such date, and $25.0 million of the revolving credit facility was borrowed on such date. Also on February 21, 2023, we repaid all of the outstanding indebtedness under our prior first lien credit agreement, as well as fees and expenses in connection therewith. See NOTE 6—Long-term Debt to our Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail regarding the 2023 Credit Agreement and our prior first lien credit agreement.

We may also, from time to time, at our sole discretion, prepay or retire all or a portion of our outstanding debt. On April 21, 2023, we repaid the $25.0 million of principal on our revolving credit facility. Since the April 21, 2023 repayment, no amounts were borrowed under this revolving credit facility.

The senior secured credit facilities of the 2023 Credit Agreement permit us to add incremental term loan facilities, increase any existing term loan facility, increase revolving commitments, and/or add incremental replacement revolving credit facility tranches. The aggregate principal amount of such incremental facilities are limited to (a) an amount not in excess of the sum of the greater of $200.0 million and 100% of Consolidated EBITDA (as defined in the 2023 Credit Agreement), subject to certain limitations, plus (b) voluntary prepayments of the term loan facility, voluntary permanent reductions of the commitments for the revolving credit facility and voluntary prepayments of indebtedness secured by liens on the collateral securing the credit facilities, subject to certain exceptions, plus (c) an amount such that (assuming that the full amount of any such incremental revolving increase and/or incremental replacement revolving credit facility was drawn, and after giving effect to any appropriate pro forma adjustment events) we would be in compliance, on a pro forma basis (but excluding the cash proceeds of such incurrence), with a Total Net Leverage Ratio (as defined in the 2023 Credit Agreement) of 3.00 to 1.00.

Material Cash Requirements

Leases

We have operating and finance lease arrangements for substantially all store locations, distribution centers, and certain office space and equipment. As of December 30, 2023, total lease assets and lease liabilities were $952.1 million and $1.1 billion, respectively, and we had executed leases for 41 store locations that we had not yet taken possession of with total undiscounted future lease payments of $229.5 million and lease terms through 2043. See NOTE 4—Leases to our Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail of our lease obligations and the timing of lease liability maturities.

Debt Obligations and Interest Payments

See NOTE 6—Long-term Debt to our Consolidated Financial Statements for further detail of our 2023 Credit Agreement, which consists of a senior term loan with $294.4 million of principal outstanding as of December 30, 2023 and a revolving credit facility for an amount up to $400.0 million, and the timing of principal maturities. As of December 30, 2023, based on the then-current interest rate of 7.46%, expected future interest payments associated with our debt totaled $85.5 million, with $22.0 million payable during fiscal 2024. The 2023 Credit Agreement requires us to make scheduled quarterly amortization payments on the senior term loan. Such payments total $50.6 million over the remaining term of the

58

Table of Contents

senior term loan, with $5.6 million payable in fiscal 2024. The remaining senior term loan principal balance will become due in February 2028 at maturity.

Capital Expenditures

Our capital expenditures are primarily related to new store openings, ongoing store maintenance and improvements, expenditures related to our distribution centers and infrastructure-related investments, including investments related to upgrading and maintaining our information technology systems and corporate offices. We expect to fund capital expenditures through cash generated from our operations. As compared to capital expenditures of $175.6 million, net of tenant improvement allowances, in fiscal 2023, we expect to incur capital expenditures of approximately $170.0 million, net of tenant improvement allowances, in fiscal 2024, primarily related to new store openings, ongoing store maintenance and improvements and systems and infrastructure investments.

Working Capital and Purchase Commitments

Our primary working capital requirements are for the purchase of inventory, payroll, rent, issuance of IO notes, other store facilities costs, distribution costs and general and administrative costs. Our working capital requirements fluctuate during the year, driven primarily by the timing of inventory fluctuations, new store openings and capital spending.

Our purchase commitments consist of non-cancelable obligations under service and supply contracts. As of December 30, 2023, we had total purchase obligations of $4.9 million, with $4.6 million payable during fiscal 2024.

Share Repurchases and Dividends

We may repurchase our common stock pursuant to programs approved by our Board of Directors. As of December 30, 2023, we had $89.8 million of repurchase authority remaining under the current share repurchase program. See "Item 5. Market For Registrant's Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities—Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities" for discussion about our Board-authorized share repurchase program.

As of December 30, 2023, we currently do not expect to declare any dividends on our common stock in the foreseeable future.

Acquisition of United Grocery Outlet

On February 14, 2024, Grocery Outlet Inc., our wholly owned subsidiary, entered into a stock purchase agreement to acquire BBGO Acquisition, Inc., a holding company that owns all of the outstanding capital stock of The Bargain Barn Inc., which does business as United Grocery Outlet, for approximately $62.0 million in cash, subject to customary purchase price adjustments. This transaction is expected to close early in the second quarter of fiscal 2024 and remains subject to customary closing conditions. We expect to finance the transaction with available cash. See "Acquisition of United Grocery Outlet" in "Item 1. Business" of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further detail.

Debt Covenants

The 2023 Credit Agreement contains certain customary representations and warranties, subject to limitations and exceptions, and affirmative and customary covenants. The 2023 Credit Agreement contains certain covenants that, among other things, limit the our ability and the ability of our restricted subsidiary to: pay dividends or distributions, repurchase equity, prepay junior debt and make certain investments; incur additional debt or issue certain disqualified stock and preferred stock; incur liens on assets; merge or consolidate with another company or sell, assign, transfer, lease, convey or otherwise dispose of all or substantially all of its assets; enter into transactions with affiliates; and allow to exist certain restrictions on the ability of our subsidiary to pay dividends or make other payments to the borrower. The 2023 Credit Agreement also contains financial performance covenants requiring us to satisfy a maximum total net leverage ratio test and a minimum interest coverage ratio test as of the last day of each fiscal quarter. The maximum total net leverage ratio test requires us to be in compliance with a Total Net Leverage Ratio no greater than 3.50 to 1.00 as of the last day of each test period ending prior to the test period ending on or about December 31, 2025, and no greater than 3.25 to 1.00 as of the last day of each test period ending thereafter, subject to certain adjustments set forth in the 2023 Credit Agreement. The minimum interest coverage ratio test requires us to be in compliance with a Consolidated Interest Coverage Ratio (as defined in the 2023 Credit Agreement) no less than 1.75 to 1.00 as of the last day of each test period.

As of December 30, 2023, we were in compliance with all applicable financial covenant requirements for our 2023 Credit Agreement.

59

Table of Contents

Cash Flows

The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods presented (amounts in thousands):

Cash Provided by Operating Activities

Net cash provided by operating activities was $303.4 million for fiscal 2023 compared to $185.5 million for fiscal 2022. The $117.9 million increase was primarily driven by higher trade accounts payable, higher accrued expenses and changes in merchandise inventory levels, combined with increased net sales driven by comparable stores sales and new store growth, partially offset by increases in prepaid expenses. The changes in trade accounts payable and accrued expenses were partially attributable to disruptions related to our aforementioned system upgrades.

Cash Used in Investing Activities

Net cash used in investing activities was $194.2 million for fiscal 2023 compared to $149.9 million for fiscal 2022. The $44.2 million increase was primarily due to increased spending on property and equipment due to higher store count and accelerated payments made to construction vendors near the end of fiscal 2023, as well as increased investments in computer software intangible assets related to upgrading components of our enterprise resource planning system, including our financial ledger, inventory management platform and product data warehouse system.

Cash Provided by (Used in) Financing Activities

Net cash used in financing activities of $97.0 million for fiscal 2023 was primarily due to the payoff of $385.0 million of principal on the prior senior term loan outstanding under our prior credit facilities, repayment of the $25.0 million of principal on our revolving credit facility under our new credit facilities, $4.5 million in debt issuance costs paid, the repurchase of $5.9 million worth of common stock, and $5.6 million in scheduled principal payments on the senior term loan under our new current credit facilities, partially offset by $325.0 million in proceeds from the new credit facilities. Net cash used in financing activities of $72.9 million for fiscal 2022 was primarily due to the prepayment of $75.0 million of principal on the senior term loan outstanding under our prior credit facilities as well as the repurchase of $3.5 million worth of common stock, partially offset by $6.9 million in proceeds from the exercise of stock options.

60

Table of Contents

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Our consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. A summary of our significant accounting policies can be found in NOTE 1—Organization and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies to our Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation of our consolidated financial statements requires us to make judgments and estimates that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses and related disclosures. We evaluate our estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis. Our judgments and estimates are based on historical experience and other factors believed to be reasonable under the circumstances.

Management evaluated the development and selection of our critical accounting policies and estimates and believes that the following involves a higher degree of judgment or complexity and is most significant to reporting our results of operations and financial position, and is therefore discussed as critical. With respect to critical accounting policies, even a relatively minor variance between actual and expected results can potentially have a materially favorable or unfavorable impact on subsequent results of operations.

Long-lived asset impairment

We evaluate long-lived assets, including property and equipment and lease right-of-use assets, for impairment when events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value of such assets may not be recoverable. For purposes of this evaluation, long-lived assets are grouped with other assets and liabilities at the lowest level for which identifiable cash flows are largely independent of the cash flows of other assets. Our retail stores are evaluated for impairment at the store level. A long-lived asset or asset group may be impaired if its carrying value exceeds its estimated undiscounted future cash flows over its remaining useful life. The total amount of property and equipment, including store assets, and operating lease right-of-use assets as of December 30, 2023 were $642.5 million and $945.7 million, respectively.

Our impairment calculations contain uncertainties because they require us to make assumptions and to apply judgment to estimate future cash flows. Key assumptions used in estimating future cash flows include projected sales growth, gross margin and operating expenses. Estimates of sales growth, gross margin and operating expenses are based on internal projections and consider the store’s historical performance, length of time the store has been open, the local market economics and the business environment impacting the store’s performance. These estimates are subjective and our ability to realize future cash flows is affected by factors such as ongoing maintenance and improvement of the assets, changes in economic conditions and changes in operating performance. We have not made any material changes in the accounting methodology used to evaluate the impairment of long-lived assets during fiscal 2023. If actual results are not consistent with our estimates and assumptions used to calculate estimated future cash flows, we may be exposed to impairment losses that could be material.

If a long-lived asset or asset group is determined to be impaired, we record an impairment loss for the amount by which the carrying value of the asset or asset group exceeds its fair value. The estimated fair value of the asset or asset group is based on the estimated discounted future cash flows of the asset or asset group using a discount rate commensurate with the related risk.

There were no adjustments to the carrying value of long-lived assets due to impairment charges during fiscal 2023, 2022 and 2021.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements

Refer to NOTE 1—Organization and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies to our Consolidated Financial Statements.

61

Table of Contents