BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC. (BFH) FY 2022 MD&A
This page reproduces the company's own Item 7 MD&A text from the linked SEC filing. It is filer text, not grepcent analysis, scoring, or investment advice.
OVERVIEW
We are a tech-forward financial services company that provides simple, personalized payment, lending and saving solutions. We create opportunities for our customers and partners through digitally enabled choices that offer ease, empowerment, financial flexibility and exceptional customer experiences. Driven by a digital-first approach, data insights and white-label technology, we deliver growth for our partners through a comprehensive product suite, including private label and co-brand credit cards and buy now, pay later products such as installment loans and our “split-pay” offerings. We also offer direct-to-consumer solutions that give customers more access, choice and freedom through our branded Bread CashbackTM American Express® Credit Card and Bread SavingsTM products.
Effective March 23, 2022, we changed our corporate name to Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. from Alliance Data Systems Corporation, and on April 4, 2022, we changed our ticker to “BFH” from “ADS” on the NYSE. Neither the name change nor the NYSE ticker change affected our legal entity structure, nor did either change have an impact on our Consolidated Financial Statements. On November 5, 2021, our former LoyaltyOne segment was spun off into an independent public company Loyalty Ventures Inc. (traded on The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC under the ticker “LYLT”) and therefore is reflected herein as Discontinued Operations. Our primary source of revenue is from Interest and fees on loans from our various credit card and other loan products, and to a lesser extent from contractual relationships with our brand partners.
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
We prepare our Consolidated Financial Statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). However, certain information included within this Annual Report on Form 10-K, constitutes non-GAAP financial measures. Our calculations of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from the calculations of similarly titled measures by other companies. In particular, Pretax pre-provision earnings (PPNR) is calculated by increasing/decreasing Income from continuing operations before income taxes by the net provision/release in Provision for credit losses. We use PPNR as a metric to evaluate our results of operations before income taxes, excluding the volatility that can occur within Provision for credit losses. Tangible common equity over Tangible assets (TCE/TA) represents Total stockholders’ equity reduced by Goodwill and intangible assets, net, (TCE) divided by Tangible assets (TA), which is Total assets reduced by Goodwill and intangible assets, net. We use TCE/TA as a metric to evaluate the Company’s capital adequacy and estimate its ability to cover potential losses. Tangible book value per common share represents TCE divided by shares outstanding. We use Tangible book value per common share as a metric to estimate the Company’s potential value in relation to tangible assets per share. We believe the use of these non-GAAP financial measures provide additional clarity in understanding our results of operations and trends. For a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, please see “Table 6: Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures” that follows.
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
This Business Environment section provides an overview of our results of operations and financial position for 2022, as well as our related outlook for 2023 and certain of the uncertainties associated with achieving that outlook. This section should be read in conjunction with the other information appearing in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, including “Consolidated Results of Operations”, “Risk Factors”, and “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements”, which provides further discussion of variances in our results of operations over the years of comparison, along with other factors that could impact future results and the Company achieving its outlook.
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2022 was a transformational year in which we rebranded to Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. in March, and executed on our strategic objectives, including expanding our product offerings with the launch of the Bread CashbackTM American Express® Credit Card, securing new diverse program agreements and long-term renewals with iconic brands, and advancing our technology modernization through major enhancements to our core platform and surrounding digital assets.
Credit sales of $32.9 billion were up 11% when compared with 2021, driven by organic growth from our existing brand partners, as well as the addition of our new brand partners and new product offerings. Average credit card and other loans of $17.8 billion grew 13%, with End-of-period loan balances up 23%. Growth in Total net interest and non-interest income of 17% exceeded the growth in average Credit card and other loans, compared with 2021; in particular Total interest income increased from the prior year due to higher average loan balances and improved loan yields. Interchange revenue, net of retailer share arrangements increased year-over-year due in part to cardholder and brand partner engagement initiatives, as well as increases in our brand partners’ share of the economics under new retailer share arrangements, while Other non-interest income decreased primarily due to the write-down of our equity method investment in LVI. Total non-interest expenses increased 15%, driven by portfolio growth and ongoing investments in technology modernization, digital advancement, marketing and product innovation.
Provision for credit losses increased relative to 2021 as a result of a reserve build due to the increase in End-of-period loan balances, including through the acquisition of new portfolios in the year, increased net principal losses and a higher reserve rate. Our Allowance for credit losses increased, with a reserve rate of 11.5% as of December 31, 2022, relative to 10.5% as of December 31, 2021. The reserve rate increased due to continued elevated inflation, increasing consumer debt levels and weakening in macroeconomic indicators, negatively affecting our base case scenario outlook, which was partially offset by the addition of higher quality portfolios throughout the year.
Overall, Income from continuing operations of $224 million was down 72% compared with 2021, reflecting a higher Provision for credit losses as discussed previously. We remained disciplined, generating more than 200 basis points of operating leverage for the year, as we managed our expenses in alignment with our revenue and growth outlook, while continuing to invest in our future. We also strengthened our balance sheet and bolstered our financial resilience through greater product and funding diversification, and growth in capital and increased tangible book value.
Our 2023 financial outlook assumes a more challenging macroeconomic landscape. We are closely monitoring the impact of inflation, rising interest rates and other macroeconomic factors on our consumers and partners, which remain difficult to predict and therefore could have an impact on our 2023 outlook. We are experiencing a shift toward non-discretionary spending with payment rates approaching pre-pandemic levels and expecting the unemployment rate to gradually move to the mid-to-upper 4% range by year-end 2023. Our outlook assumes additional interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve Board which will result in a nominal benefit to Net interest income.
Our outlook for growth in Average credit card and other loans in 2023, based on our new and renewed brand partner announcements, visibility into our pipeline, the sale of BJ’s, and the current economic outlook, is in the mid-single digit range relative to 2022. For the year ended December 31, 2022, BJ’s branded co-brand accounts generated approximately 10% of Total net interest and non-interest income. As of December 31, 2022, BJ’s branded co-brand accounts were responsible for approximately 11% of Total credit card and other loans. We expect Total net interest and non-interest income growth for 2023, excluding the BJ’s portfolio gain on sale, to be aligned with growth in Average credit card and other loans; with a full year 2023 Net interest margin expected to be consistent with the 2022 full year rate of 19.2%.
In 2023, as a result of ongoing investments in technology modernization, digital advancement, marketing, and product innovation, along with continued portfolio growth, we anticipate an increase in Total non-interest expenses relative to 2022. We remain focused on delivering nominal positive operating leverage for 2023 as we manage the pace and timing of our investments to align with our full year revenue and growth outlook.
Our 2023 financial outlook also assumes a net loss rate of approximately 7%, inclusive of impacts from the 2022 transition of our credit card processing services as well as continued pressure on consumers’ ability to pay due to persistent inflation.
Although we recognize the more challenging macroeconomic landscape, we remain focused on executing on our strategic priorities and making the investments that position us to drive sustainable, profitable growth.
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CONSOLIDATED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion provides commentary on the variances in our results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2022, compared with the year ended December 31, 2021, as presented in the accompanying tables. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the discussion under “Business Environment”, above. For a discussion of the financial condition and results of operations for 2021 compared with 2020, please refer to Part II, Item 7. “Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A)” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, filed with the SEC on February 25, 2022, which discussion is incorporated herein by reference.
Table 1: Summary of Our Financial Performance
| Years Ended December 31, | $ Change | % Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
| (Millions, except per share amounts and percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total net interest and non-interest income | $ | 3,826 | $ | 3,272 | $ | 3,298 | $ | 554 | $ | (26) | 17 | (1) | ||||||||||||
| Provision for credit losses | 1,594 | 544 | 1,266 | 1,050 | (722) | 193 | (57) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total non-interest expenses | 1,932 | 1,684 | 1,731 | 248 | (47) | 15 | (3) | |||||||||||||||||
| Income from continuing operations before income taxes | 300 | 1,044 | 301 | (744) | 743 | (71) | nm | |||||||||||||||||
| Provision for income taxes | 76 | 247 | 93 | (171) | 154 | (69) | 168 | |||||||||||||||||
| Income from continuing operations | 224 | 797 | 208 | (573) | 589 | (72) | nm | |||||||||||||||||
| (Loss) income from discontinued operations, net of income taxes | (1) | 4 | 6 | (5) | (2) | (111) | (38) | |||||||||||||||||
| Net income | 223 | 801 | 214 | (578) | 587 | (72) | nm | |||||||||||||||||
| Net income per diluted share | $ | 4.46 | $ | 16.02 | $ | 4.46 | $ | (11.56) | $ | 11.56 | (72) | nm | ||||||||||||
| Income from continuing operations per diluted share | $ | 4.47 | $ | 15.95 | $ | 4.35 | $ | (11.48) | $ | 11.60 | (72) | nm | ||||||||||||
| Net interest margin (1) | 19.2 | % | 18.2 | % | 16.8 | % | 1.0 | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||
| Return on average equity (2) | 9.8 | % | 40.7 | % | 16.7 | % | (30.9) | 24.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| Effective income tax rate - continuing operations | 25.4 | % | 23.7 | % | 30.7 | % | 1.7 | (7.0) |
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(1)Net interest margin represents annualized Net interest income divided by average Total interest-earning assets. See also Table 5: Net Interest Margin.
(2)Return on average equity represents annualized Income from continuing operations divided by average Total stockholders’ equity.
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Table 2: Summary of Total Net Interest and Non-interest Income, After Provision for Credit Losses
| Years Ended December 31, | $ Change | % Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest and fees on loans | $ | 4,615 | $ | 3,861 | $ | 3,931 | $ | 754 | $ | (70) | 20 | (2) | ||||||||||||
| Interest on cash and investment securities | 69 | 7 | 21 | 62 | (14) | nm | (64) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total interest income | 4,684 | 3,868 | 3,952 | 816 | (84) | 21 | (2) | |||||||||||||||||
| Interest expense | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest on deposits | 243 | 167 | 238 | 76 | (71) | 46 | (30) | |||||||||||||||||
| Interest on borrowings | 260 | 216 | 261 | 44 | (45) | 20 | (18) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total interest expense | 503 | 383 | 499 | 120 | (116) | 31 | (23) | |||||||||||||||||
| Net interest income | 4,181 | 3,485 | 3,453 | 696 | 32 | 20 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Non-interest income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interchange revenue, net of retailer share arrangements | (469) | (369) | (332) | (100) | (37) | 27 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 114 | 156 | 177 | (42) | (21) | (27) | (12) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total non-interest income | (355) | (213) | (155) | (142) | (58) | 66 | 38 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total net interest and non-interest income | 3,826 | 3,272 | 3,298 | 554 | (26) | 17 | (1) | |||||||||||||||||
| Provision for credit losses | 1,594 | 544 | 1,266 | 1,050 | (722) | 193 | (57) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total net interest and non-interest income, after provision for credit losses | $ | 2,232 | $ | 2,728 | $ | 2,032 | $ | (496) | $ | 696 | (18) | 34 |
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Total Net Interest and Non-interest Income, After Provision for Credit Losses
Interest income: Total interest income increased for the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily resulting from Interest and fees on loans. The increase during the period, relative to the prior year, was due to increases in Average credit card and other loans driven by new originations and moderation in the consumer payment rate, as well as an increase in finance charge yields of approximately 131 basis points.
Interest expense: Total interest expense increased for the year ended December 31, 2022, due to the following:
•Interest on deposits increased $76 million due to higher average interest rates which increased interest expense by approximately $72 million, as well as higher average balances which increased interest expense by $4 million.
•Interest on borrowings increased $44 million due to higher interest rates which increased funding costs $72 million, offset by lower average borrowings which decreased funding costs by approximately $28 million.
Non-interest income: Total non-interest income increased for the year ended December 31, 2022, due to the following:
•Interchange revenue, net of retailer share arrangements increased due to cardholder and brand partner engagement initiatives, as well as increases in our brand partners’ share of the economics under new retailer share arrangements, partially offset by fees earned from increased credit sales.
•Other decreased primarily due to the write-down of our equity method investment in LVI of $44 million.
Provision for credit losses increased for the year ended December 31, 2022, due primarily to a reserve build of $626 million, driven by a 23% higher End-of-period loan balance, higher net principal losses, and a higher reserve rate due to economic scenario weightings in our credit reserve modeling as a result of weakening in macroeconomic indicators, elevated inflation, and the increased cost of overall consumer debt.
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Table 3: Summary of Total Non-interest Expenses
| Years Ended December 31, | $ Change | % Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Non-interest expenses | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Employee compensation and benefits | $ | 779 | $ | 671 | $ | 609 | $ | 108 | $ | 62 | 16 | 10 | ||||||||||||
| Card and processing expenses | 359 | 323 | 396 | 36 | (73) | 11 | (18) | |||||||||||||||||
| Information processing and communication | 274 | 216 | 191 | 58 | 25 | 27 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||
| Marketing expenses | 180 | 160 | 143 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 113 | 92 | 106 | 21 | (14) | 23 | (13) | |||||||||||||||||
| Other | 227 | 222 | 286 | 5 | (64) | 2 | (23) | |||||||||||||||||
| Total non-interest expenses | $ | 1,932 | $ | 1,684 | $ | 1,731 | $ | 248 | $ | (47) | 15 | (3) |
Total Non-interest Expenses
Non-interest expenses: Total non-interest expenses increased for the year ended December 31, 2022, due to the following:
•Employee compensation and benefits increased due to increased salaries, contract labor, which itself was driven by continued digital and technology modernization-related hiring, and incentive compensation, as well as higher volume-related staffing levels.
•Card and processing expenses increased due to higher volumes, primarily related to the acquisition of the AAA credit card portfolio, and higher fraud losses.
•Information processing and communication increased due to an increase in data processing expense driven by the transition of our credit card processing services.
•Marketing expenses increased due to increased spending associated with higher sales and brand partner joint marketing campaigns, as well as on expanding our new brand, products and direct-to-consumer offerings.
•Depreciation and amortization increased due to increased amortization for developed technology associated with the Lon Inc. acquisition, which was completed in December 2020.
Income Taxes
Provision for income taxes decreased for the year ended December 31, 2022, primarily related to a $744 million decrease in Income from continuing operations before income taxes in 2022. The effective tax rate for the year ended December 31, 2022 was 25.4% as compared to 23.7% for the year ended December 31, 2021. The 2022 effective tax rate was unfavorably impacted by lower Income from continuing operations before income taxes and an increase to the deferred tax asset valuation allowance, offset by favorable settlements with tax authorities. The lower effective tax rate in 2021 included a discrete tax benefit related to a favorable settlement with a state tax authority and a discrete tax benefit triggered by the divestiture of our former LoyaltyOne segment.
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Table 4: Summary Financial Highlights – Continuing Operations
| As of or for the Years Ended December 31, | % Change | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | ||||||||||||
| (Millions, except per share amounts and percentages) | ||||||||||||||||
| Credit sales | $ | 32,883 | $ | 29,603 | $ | 24,707 | 11 | 20 | ||||||||
| PPNR(1) | 1,894 | 1,588 | 1,567 | 19 | 1 | |||||||||||
| Average credit card and other loans | 17,768 | 15,656 | 16,367 | 13 | (4) | |||||||||||
| End-of-period credit card and other loans | 21,365 | 17,399 | 16,784 | 23 | 4 | |||||||||||
| End-of-period direct-to-consumer deposits | 5,466 | 3,180 | 1,700 | 72 | 87 | |||||||||||
| Return on average assets(2) | 1.0 | % | 3.6 | % | 0.9 | % | (2.6) | 2.7 | ||||||||
| Return on average equity(3) | 9.8 | % | 40.7 | % | 16.7 | % | (30.9) | 24.0 | ||||||||
| Net interest margin(4) | 19.2 | % | 18.2 | % | 16.8 | % | 1.0 | 1.4 | ||||||||
| Loan yield(5) | 26.0 | % | 24.7 | % | 24.0 | % | 1.3 | 0.7 | ||||||||
| Efficiency ratio(6) | 50.5 | % | 51.5 | % | 52.5 | % | (1.0) | (1.0) | ||||||||
| Tangible common equity / Tangible assets ratio (TCE/TA)(7) | 6.0 | % | 6.6 | % | 3.7 | % | (0.6) | 2.9 | ||||||||
| Tangible book value per common share (8) | $ | 29.42 | $ | 28.09 | $ | 16.34 | 4.7 | 71.9 | ||||||||
| Cash dividend per common share | $ | 0.84 | $ | 0.84 | $ | 1.26 | — | (33.3) | ||||||||
| Payment rate(9) | 16.4 | % | 17.2 | % | 16.2 | % | (0.8) | 1.0 | ||||||||
| Delinquency rate(10) | 5.5 | % | 3.9 | % | 4.4 | % | 1.6 | (0.5) | ||||||||
| Net loss rate(10) | 5.4 | % | 4.6 | % | 6.6 | % | 0.8 | (2.0) | ||||||||
| Reserve rate | 11.5 | % | 10.5 | % | 12.0 | % | 1.0 | (1.5) |
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(1)PPNR, is calculated by increasing/decreasing Income from continuing operations before income taxes by the net provision/release in Provision for credit losses. PPNR is a non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and Table 6: Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(2)Return on average assets represents annualized Income from continuing operations divided by average Total assets.
(3)Return on average equity represents annualized Income from continuing operations divided by average Total stockholders’ equity.
(4)Net interest margin represents annualized Net interest income divided by average Total interest-earning assets. See also Table 5: Net Interest Margin.
(5)Loan yield represents annualized Interest and fees on loans divided by Average credit card and other loans.
(6)Efficiency ratio represents Total non-interest expenses divided by Total net interest and non-interest income.
(7)Tangible common equity (TCE) represents Total stockholders’ equity reduced by Goodwill and intangible assets, net. Tangible assets (TA) represents Total assets reduced by Goodwill and intangible assets, net. TCE/TA is a non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and Table 6: Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(8)Tangible book value per common share represents TCE divided by shares outstanding and is a non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and Table 6: Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
(9)Payment rate represents consumer payments during the last month of the period, divided by the beginning-of-month credit card and other loans, including held for sale in applicable periods.
(10)Delinquency and Net loss rates as of or for the year ended December 31, 2022 were impacted by the transition of our credit card processing services.
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Table 5: Net Interest Margin
| Year Ended December 31, 2022 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Balance* | Interest Income / Expense | Average Yield / Rate | ||||||||
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||||||
| Cash and investment securities | $ | 3,954 | $ | 69 | 1.75 | % | ||||
| Credit card and other loans | 17,768 | 4,615 | 25.97 | % | ||||||
| Total interest-earning assets | 21,722 | 4,684 | 21.56 | % | ||||||
| Direct-to-consumer (retail) deposits | 4,342 | 81 | 1.87 | % | ||||||
| Wholesale deposits | 7,358 | 162 | 2.21 | % | ||||||
| Interest-bearing deposits | 11,700 | 243 | 2.08 | % | ||||||
| Secured borrowings | 5,089 | 153 | 2.99 | % | ||||||
| Unsecured borrowings | 1,966 | 107 | 5.46 | % | ||||||
| Interest-bearing borrowings | 7,055 | 260 | 3.68 | % | ||||||
| Total interest-bearing liabilities | 18,755 | 503 | 2.68 | % | ||||||
| Net interest income | $ | 4,181 | ||||||||
| Net interest margin (NIM)(1) | 19.2 | % |
| Year Ended December 31, 2021 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Balance* | Interest Income / Expense | Average Yield / Rate | ||||||||
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||||||
| Cash and investment securities | $ | 3,480 | $ | 7 | 0.21 | % | ||||
| Credit card and other loans | 15,656 | 3,861 | 24.66 | % | ||||||
| Total interest-earning assets | 19,136 | 3,868 | 20.21 | % | ||||||
| Direct-to-consumer deposits (retail) | 2,490 | 23 | 0.91 | % | ||||||
| Wholesale deposits | 7,509 | 144 | 1.92 | % | ||||||
| Interest-bearing deposits | 9,999 | 167 | 1.67 | % | ||||||
| Secured borrowings | 4,596 | 112 | 2.43 | % | ||||||
| Unsecured borrowings | 2,699 | 104 | 3.84 | % | ||||||
| Interest-bearing borrowings | 7,295 | 216 | 2.95 | % | ||||||
| Total interest-bearing liabilities | 17,294 | 383 | 2.21 | % | ||||||
| Net interest income | $ | 3,485 | ||||||||
| Net interest margin (NIM)(1) | 18.2 | % |
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(1)Net interest margin represents annualized Net interest income divided by average Total interest-earning assets.
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Table 6: Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
| Years Ended December 31, | % Change | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2022 to 2021 | 2021 to 2020 | ||||||||||||
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||||||||||||
| Pretax pre-provision earnings (PPNR) | ||||||||||||||||
| Income from continuing operations before income taxes | $ | 300 | $ | 1,044 | $ | 301 | (71) | nm | ||||||||
| Provision for credit losses | 1,594 | 544 | 1,266 | 193 | (57) | |||||||||||
| Pretax pre-provision earnings (PPNR) | $ | 1,894 | $ | 1,588 | $ | 1,567 | 19 | 1 | ||||||||
| Tangible common equity (TCE) | ||||||||||||||||
| Total stockholders’ equity | $ | 2,265 | $ | 2,086 | $ | 1,522 | 9 | 37 | ||||||||
| Less: Goodwill and intangible assets, net | (799) | (687) | (710) | 16 | (3) | |||||||||||
| Tangible common equity (TCE) | $ | 1,466 | $ | 1,399 | $ | 812 | 5 | 72 | ||||||||
| Tangible assets (TA) | ||||||||||||||||
| Total assets | $ | 25,407 | $ | 21,746 | $ | 22,547 | 17 | (4) | ||||||||
| Less: Goodwill and intangible assets, net | (799) | (687) | (710) | 16 | (3) | |||||||||||
| Tangible assets (TA) | $ | 24,608 | $ | 21,059 | $ | 21,837 | 17 | (4) |
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ASSET QUALITY
Given the nature of our business, the quality of our assets, in particular our Credit card and other loans, is a key determinant underlying our ongoing financial performance and overall financial condition. When it comes to our Credit card and other loans portfolio, we closely monitor two metrics – Delinquency rates and Net principal loss rates – which reflect, among other factors, our underwriting, the inherent credit risk in our portfolio, the success of our collection and recovery efforts, and more broadly, the general macroeconomic conditions.
Delinquencies: An account is contractually delinquent if we do not receive the minimum payment due by the specified due date. Our policy is to continue to accrue interest and fee income on all accounts, except in limited circumstances, until the balance and all related interest and fees are paid or charged-off. After an account becomes 30 days past due, a proprietary collection scoring algorithm automatically scores the risk of the account becoming further delinquent; based upon the level of risk indicated, a collection strategy is deployed. If after exhausting all in-house collection efforts we are unable to collect on the account, we may engage collection agencies or outside attorneys to continue those efforts, or sell the charged-off balances.
The Delinquency rate is calculated by dividing outstanding balances that are contractually delinquent (i.e., balances greater than 30 days past due) as of the end of the period, by the outstanding principal amount of credit cards and other loans as of the same period-end.
The following table presents the delinquency trends on our Credit card and other loans portfolio based on the principal balances outstanding as of December 31:
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Table 7: Delinquency Trends on Credit Card and Other Loans
| 2022 | % of Total | 2021 | % of Total | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions, except percentages) | |||||||||||||
| Credit card and other loans outstanding ─ principal | $ | 20,107 | 100.0 | % | $ | 16,590 | 100.0 | % | |||||
| Outstanding balances contractually delinquent:(1) | |||||||||||||
| 31 to 60 days | $ | 366 | 1.8 | % | $ | 219 | 1.3 | % | |||||
| 61 to 90 days | 231 | 1.2 | 147 | 0.9 | |||||||||
| 91 or more days | 515 | 2.6 | 281 | 1.7 | |||||||||
| Total | $ | 1,112 | 5.5 | % | $ | 647 | 3.9 | % |
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(1)As of December 31, 2022 the Outstanding balances contractually delinquent, and the related % of Total (i.e., the Delinquency rate), were impacted by the transition of our credit card processing services.
As part of our collections strategy, we may offer temporary, short term (six-months or less) loan modifications in order to improve the likelihood of collections and meet the needs of our customers. Our modifications for customers who have requested assistance and meet certain qualifying requirements, come in the form of reduced or deferred payment requirements, interest rate reductions and late fee waivers. We do not offer programs involving the forgiveness of principal. These temporary loan modifications may assist in cases where we believe the customer will recover from the short-term hardship and resume scheduled payments. Under these forbearance modification programs, those accounts receiving relief may not advance to the next delinquency cycle, including charge-off, in the same time frame that would have occurred had the relief not been granted. We evaluate our loan modification programs to determine if they represent a more than insignificant delay in payment, in which case they would then be considered a troubled debt restructuring. For additional information, see Note 2 “Credit Card and Other Loans – Modified Credit Card Loans”, to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Net Principal Losses: Our net principal losses include the principal amount of losses that are deemed uncollectible, less recoveries, and exclude charged-off interest, fees and third-party fraud losses (including synthetic fraud). Charged-off interest and fees reduce Interest and fees on loans while third-party fraud losses are recorded in Card and processing expenses. Credit card loans, including unpaid interest and fees, are generally charged-off in the month during which an account becomes 180 days past due. BNPL loans, including unpaid interest, are generally charged-off when a loan becomes 120 days past due. However, in the case of a customer bankruptcy or death, credit card and other loans, including unpaid interest and fees, as applicable, are charged-off in each month subsequent to 60 days after receipt of the notification of the bankruptcy or death, but in no case longer than 180 days past due for credit card loans and 120 days past due for BNPL loans.
The net principal loss rate is calculated by dividing net principal losses for the period by the Average credit card and other loans for the same period. Average credit card and other loans represent the average balance of the loans at the beginning and end of each month, averaged over the periods indicated. The following table presents our net principal losses for the years ended December 31:
Table 8: Net Principal Losses on Credit Card and Other Loans
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||||||
| Average credit card and other loans | $ | 17,768 | $ | 15,656 | $ | 16,367 | ||||
| Net principal losses | 968 | 720 | 1,083 | |||||||
| Net principal losses as a percentage of average credit card and other loans(1) | 5.4 | % | 4.6 | % | 6.6 | % |
______________________________
(1)Net principal losses as a percentage of Average credit card and other loans for the year ended December 31, 2022 was impacted by the transition of our credit card processing services.
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CONSOLIDATED LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
We maintain a strong focus on liquidity and capital. Our funding, liquidity and capital policies are designed to ensure that our business has the liquidity and capital resources necessary to support our daily operations, our business growth, our credit ratings related to our secured financings, and meet our regulatory and policy requirements (including capital and leverage ratio requirements applicable to CB and CCB under FDIC regulations) in a cost effective and prudent manner through expected and unexpected market environments.
Our primary sources of liquidity include cash generated from operating activities, our Credit Agreement and issuances of debt securities, and our securitization programs and deposits issued by the Banks, in addition to our ongoing efforts to renew and expand our various sources of liquidity.
Our primary uses of liquidity are for ongoing and varied lending operations, scheduled payments of principal and interest on our debt, operational expenses, capital expenditures, including digital and product innovation and technology enhancements, and dividends.
We may from time to time seek to retire or purchase our outstanding debt through cash purchases or exchanges for other securities, in open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions or otherwise. Such repurchases or exchanges would depend on prevailing market conditions, our liquidity requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors, and may be funded through the issuance of debt securities. The amounts involved may be material.
We will also need additional financing in the future to repay or refinance the existing debt at maturity or otherwise and to fund our growth. Given the maturities of our current outstanding debt and the current macroeconomic conditions, it is possible that we will be required to repay or refinance some or all of our maturing debt in volatile and/or unfavorable markets.
Because of the alternatives available to us as discussed above, we believe our short-term and long-term sources of liquidity are adequate to fund not only our current operations, but also our near-term and long-term funding requirements including dividend payments, debt service obligations and repayment of debt maturities and other amounts that may ultimately be paid in connection with contingencies. However, the adequacy of our liquidity could be impacted by various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and volatility in the financial and capital markets, limiting our access to or increasing our cost of capital, which could make capital unavailable or available on terms that are unfavorable to us. These factors could significantly reduce our financial flexibility and cause us to contract or not grow our business, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
Funding Sources
Credit Agreement
Parent Company, as borrower, and certain of our non-Bank wholly-owned subsidiaries, as guarantors, are party to our Credit Agreement with various agents and lenders dated June 14, 2017, as amended.
As of December 31, 2022, we had $556 million aggregate principal amount of term loans outstanding and a $750 million revolving line of credit under the Credit Agreement; we had no borrowings on our revolving line of credit. The Credit Agreement matures on July 1, 2024.
The Credit Agreement includes various restrictive financial and non-financial covenants. If we do not comply with these covenants, the maturity of amounts outstanding under the Credit Agreement may be accelerated and become payable and the associated commitments may be terminated. As of December 31, 2022, we were in compliance with all financial covenants under the Credit Agreement.
The Credit Agreement was amended in December 2022 to index borrowings to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) with the discontinuation of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). SOFR is based on short-term repurchase agreements that are backed by Treasury securities.
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Deposits
We utilize a variety of deposit products to finance our operating activities, including funding for our non-securitized credit card and other loans, and to fund the securitization enhancement requirements of the Banks. We offer both direct-to-consumer retail deposit products as well as deposits sourced through contractual arrangements with various financial counterparties (often referred to as wholesale or brokered deposits). Across both our retail and wholesale deposits, the Banks offer various non-maturity deposit products that are generally redeemable on demand by the customer, and as such have no scheduled maturity date; the Banks also issue certificates of deposit with scheduled maturity dates ranging between January 2023 and December 2027, in denominations of at least $1,000, on which interest is paid either monthly or at maturity.
The following table summarizes our retail and wholesale deposit products by type and associated attributes, as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021:
Table 9: Deposits
| December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions, except percentages) | ||||||
| Deposits | ||||||
| Direct-to-consumer (retail) | $ | 5,466 | $ | 3,180 | ||
| Wholesale | 8,321 | 7,847 | ||||
| Non-maturity deposit products | ||||||
| Non-maturity deposits | $ | 6,736 | $ | 5,586 | ||
| Interest rate range | 0.70% - 4.70% | 0.05% - 3.50% | ||||
| Weighted-average interest rate | 2.56 | % | 0.68 | % | ||
| Certificates of deposit | ||||||
| Certificates of deposit | $ | 7,051 | $ | 5,441 | ||
| Interest rate range | 0.40% - 4.95% | 0.20% - 3.75% | ||||
| Weighted-average interest rate | 3.11 | % | 1.91 | % |
Securitization Programs and Conduit Facilities
We sell a majority of the credit card loans originated by the Banks to certain of our master trusts (the Trusts). These securitization programs are a principal vehicle through which we finance the Banks’ credit card loans. We use a combination of public term asset-backed notes and private conduit facilities for this purpose. During the year ended December 31, 2022, $1.6 billion of asset-backed term notes matured and were repaid, of which $74 million were previously retained by us and therefore eliminated from the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
During the year ended December 31, 2022, we obtained increased lender commitments under our private conduit facilities of $2.1 billion and extended the various maturities to June 2023 and July 2023. As of December 31, 2022, total capacity under the conduit facilities was $6.5 billion, of which $6.1 billion had been drawn and was included in Debt issued by consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs) in the Consolidated Balance Sheet.
In April 2022, the World Financial Network Credit Card Master Trust III amended its 2009-VFC conduit facility, increasing the capacity from $225 million to $275 million and extending the maturity to July 2023. In addition, in April 2022, the World Financial Capital Master Note Trust amended its 2009-VFN conduit facility, increasing the capacity from $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion and extending the maturity to July 2023. In June 2022, the Comenity Capital Asset Securitization Trust was formed for the purpose of funding a portfolio acquisition completed in October 2022. The capacity was negotiated to be $1.0 billion and the maturity was set as June 2023.
As of December 31, 2022, we had approximately $15.4 billion of securitized credit card loans. Securitizations require credit enhancements in the form of cash, spread deposits, additional loans and subordinated classes. The credit enhancement is
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principally based on the outstanding balances of the series issued by the Trusts and by the performance of the credit card loans in the Trusts.
The following table shows the maturities of borrowing commitments as of December 31, 2022 for the Trusts by year:
Table 10: Borrowing Commitment Maturities
| 2023 | 2024 | Thereafter | Total | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions) | ||||||||||||||
| Conduit facilities (1) | 6,525 | — | — | 6,525 | ||||||||||
| Total (2) | $ | 6,525 | $ | — | $ | — | $ | 6,525 |
______________________________
(1)Amount represents borrowing capacity, not outstanding borrowings.
(2)Total amounts do not include $1.9 billion of debt issued by the Trusts, which was retained by us as a credit enhancement and therefore has been eliminated from the Total.
Early amortization events as defined within each asset-backed securitization transaction are generally driven by asset performance. We do not believe it is reasonably likely that an early amortization event will occur due to asset performance. However, if an early amortization event were declared for a Trust, the trustee of the particular Trust would retain the interest in the loans along with the excess spread that would otherwise be paid to our Bank subsidiary until the investors were fully repaid. The occurrence of an early amortization event would significantly limit or negate our ability to securitize additional credit card loans.
We have secured and continue to secure the necessary commitments to fund our credit card and other loans. However, certain of these commitments are short-term in nature and subject to renewal. There is no guarantee that these funding sources, when they mature, will be renewed on similar terms, or at all, as they are dependent on the availability of the asset-backed securitization and deposit markets at the time.
Regulation RR (Credit Risk Retention) adopted by the FDIC, the SEC, the Federal Reserve and certain other federal regulators mandates a minimum five percent risk retention requirement for securitizations. Such risk retention requirements may limit our liquidity by restricting the amount of asset-backed securities we are able to issue or affecting the timing of future issuances of asset-backed securities. We satisfy such risk retention requirements by maintaining a seller’s interest calculated in accordance with Regulation RR.
Stock Repurchase Programs
On February 28, 2022, the Company’s Board of Directors approved a stock repurchase program to acquire up to 200,000 shares of our outstanding common stock in the open market during the one-year period ending on February 28, 2023. As of March 31, 2022, we had repurchased all 200,000 shares of our common stock available under this program for an aggregate of $12 million. Following their repurchase, these 200,000 shares ceased to be outstanding shares of common stock and are now treated as authorized but unissued shares of common stock.
Dividends
For the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, we paid $43 million, $42 million and $61 million, respectively, in dividends to our shareholders of common stock. On January 26, 2023, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per share on our common stock, payable on March 17, 2023, to stockholders of record at the close of business on February 10, 2023.
Contractual Obligations
In the normal course of business, we enter into various contractual obligations that may require future cash payments, the vast majority of which relate to deposits, debt issued by consolidated VIEs, long-term and other debt and operating leases.
We believe that we will have access to sufficient resources to meet these commitments.
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Cash Flows
The table below summarizes our cash flow activity for the years indicated, followed by a discussion of the variance drivers impacting our Operating, Investing and Financing activities:
Table 11: Cash Flows
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Millions) | ||||||||||
| Total cash provided by (used in): | ||||||||||
| Operating activities | $ | 1,848 | $ | 1,543 | $ | 1,883 | ||||
| Investing activities | (5,111) | (1,691) | 1,774 | |||||||
| Financing activities | 3,267 | 608 | (4,167) | |||||||
| Effect of foreign currency exchange rates | — | — | 15 | |||||||
| Net increase (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash | $ | 4 | $ | 460 | $ | (495) |
Cash Flows from Operating Activities primarily include net income adjusted for (i) non-cash items included in net income, such as provision for credit losses, depreciation and amortization, deferred taxes and other non-cash items, and (ii) changes in the balances of operating assets and liabilities, which can fluctuate in the normal course of business due to the amount and timing of payments. We generated cash flows from operating activities of $1,848 million and $1,543 million for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. For the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, the net cash provided by operating activities was primarily driven by cash generated from net income for the period after adjusting for the provision for credit losses.
Cash Flows from Investing Activities primarily include changes in Credit card and other loans. Cash used in investing activities was $5,111 million and $1,691 million for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respective. For the year ended December 31, 2022, the net cash used in investing activities was primarily due to growth in credit sales and the consequential growth in Credit card and other loans, as well as the acquisition of credit card loan portfolios. For the year ended December 31, 2021, the net cash used in investing activities was primarily due to growth in Credit card and other loans, partially offset by the sale of a credit card loan portfolio.
Cash Flows from Financing Activities primarily include changes in deposits and long-term debt. Cash provided by financing activities was $3,267 million and $608 million for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. For the year ended December 31, 2022, the net cash provided by financing activities was primarily driven by a net increase in deposits and net borrowings under conduit facilities. For the year ended December 31, 2021, the net cash provided by financing activities was driven by a net increase in deposits, partially offset by net repayments of securitizations.
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INFLATION AND SEASONALITY
Although we cannot precisely determine the impact of inflation on our operations, we do not believe, at this time, that we have been significantly affected by inflation. For the most part we have relied on operating efficiencies from scale, technology modernization and digital advancement, and expansion in lower cost jurisdictions, in select circumstances, to offset increased costs of employee compensation and other operating expenses. We also recognize that a customer’s ability and willingness to repay us has been negatively impacted by factors such as inflation, which results in greater delinquencies that could lead to greater credit losses, as reflected in our increased Allowance for credit losses. If the efforts to control inflation in the U.S. and globally are not successful and inflationary pressures continue to persist, they could magnify the slowdown in the domestic and global economies and increase the risk of a recession, which may adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.
With respect to seasonality, our revenues, earnings and cash flows are affected by increased consumer spending patterns leading up to and including the holiday shopping period in the fourth quarter and, to a lesser extent, during the first quarter as Credit card and other loans are paid down.
LEGISLATIVE AND REGULATORY MATTERS
CB is subject to various regulatory capital requirements administered by the State of Delaware and the FDIC. CCB is also subject to various regulatory capital requirements administered by the FDIC, as well as the State of Utah. Failure to meet minimum capital requirements can trigger certain mandatory and possibly additional discretionary actions by our regulators. Under capital adequacy guidelines and the regulatory framework for prompt corrective action, both Banks must meet specific capital guidelines that involve quantitative measures of their assets and liabilities as calculated under regulatory accounting practices. The capital amounts and classification are also subject to qualitative judgments by these regulators about components, risk weightings and other factors. In addition, both Banks are limited in the amounts they can pay as dividends to the Parent Company. For additional information about legislative and regulatory matters impacting us, see “Business–Supervision and Regulation” under Part I of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Quantitative measures, established by regulations to ensure capital adequacy, require the Banks to maintain minimum amounts and ratios of Tier 1 capital to average assets, and Common equity tier 1, Tier 1 capital and Total capital, all to risk weighted assets. Failure to meet these minimum capital requirements can result in certain mandatory, and possibly additional discretionary actions by the Banks’ regulators that if undertaken, could have a direct material effect on CB’s and/or CCB’s operating activities, as well as our operating activities. Based on these regulations, as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, each Bank met all capital requirements to which it was subject, and maintained capital ratios in excess of the minimums required to qualify as well capitalized. The Banks are considered well capitalized and seek to maintain capital levels and ratios in excess of the minimum regulatory requirements inclusive of the 2.5% Capital Conservation Buffer. The actual capital ratios and minimum ratios for each Bank, as well as the Combined Banks, are as follows as of December 31, 2022:
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Table 12: Capital Ratios
| Actual Ratio | Minimum Ratio for Capital Adequacy Purposes | Minimum Ratio to be Well Capitalized under Prompt Corrective Action Provisions | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comenity Bank | ||||||||
| Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio(1) | 18.4 | % | 4.5 | % | 6.5 | % | ||
| Tier 1 capital ratio(2) | 18.4 | 6.0 | 8.0 | |||||
| Total Risk-based capital ratio(3) | 19.7 | 8.0 | 10.0 | |||||
| Tier 1 Leverage capital ratio(4) | 16.7 | 4.0 | 5.0 | |||||
| Comenity Capital Bank | ||||||||
| Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio(1) | 16.1 | % | 4.5 | % | 6.5 | % | ||
| Tier 1 capital ratio(2) | 16.1 | 6.0 | 8.0 | |||||
| Total Risk-based capital ratio(3) | 17.4 | 8.0 | 10.0 | |||||
| Tier 1 Leverage capital ratio(4) | 14.9 | 4.0 | 8.0 | |||||
| Combined Banks | ||||||||
| Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio(1) | 17.0 | % | 4.5 | % | 6.5 | % | ||
| Tier 1 capital ratio(2) | 17.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | |||||
| Total Risk-based capital ratio(3) | 18.3 | 8.0 | 10.0 | |||||
| Tier 1 Leverage capital ratio(4) | 15.6 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
______________________________
(1)The Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio represents common equity tier 1 capital divided by total risk-weighted assets.
(2)The Tier 1 capital ratio represents tier 1 capital divided by total risk-weighted assets.
(3)The Total Risk-based capital ratio represents total capital divided by total risk-weighted assets.
(4)The Tier 1 Leverage capital ratio represents tier 1 capital divided by total average assets, after certain adjustments.
The Banks adopted the option provided by the interim final rule issued by joint federal bank regulatory agencies, which largely delayed the effects of CECL on their regulatory capital for two years, until January 1, 2022, after which the effects are phased-in over a three-year period through December 31, 2024. Under the interim final rule, the amount of adjustments to regulatory capital deferred until the phase-in period includes both the initial impact of our adoption of CECL as of January 1, 2020, and 25% of subsequent changes in our Allowance for credit losses during each quarter of the two-year period ended December 31, 2021. In accordance with the interim final rule, we began to phase-in these effects on January 1, 2022.
DISCUSSION OF CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
Our discussion and analysis of our results of operations and overall financial condition is based upon our Consolidated Financial Statements, which have been prepared in accordance with the accounting policies described in Note 1, “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” to our Consolidated Financial Statements included as part of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. The preparation of Consolidated Financial Statements requires management to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. We continually evaluate our estimates and judgments in determination of our financial position and operating results. Estimates are based on information available as of the date of the Consolidated Financial Statements and, accordingly, actual results could differ from these estimates, sometimes materially. Critical accounting estimates are defined as those that are both most important to the portrayal of our financial position and operating results, and require management’s most subjective judgments, which for us is our Allowance for credit losses and Provision for income taxes.
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Allowance for Credit Losses
The Allowance for credit losses is an estimate of expected credit losses, measured over the estimated life of our Credit card and other loans, that considers forecasts of future economic conditions in addition to information about past events and current conditions. The estimate under the credit reserving methodology referred to as the CECL model is significantly influenced by the composition, characteristics and quality of our Credit card and other loans portfolio, as well as the prevailing economic conditions and forecasts utilized. The estimate of the Allowance for credit losses includes an estimate for uncollectible principal as well as unpaid interest and fees. Principal losses, net of recoveries are deducted from the Allowance. Losses for unpaid interest and fees, as well as any adjustments to the Allowance associated with unpaid interest and fees are recorded as a reduction to Interest and fees on loans. The Allowance is maintained through an adjustment to the Provision for credit losses and is evaluated quarterly for appropriateness.
In estimating our Allowance for credit losses, for each identified group, management uses various models and estimation techniques based on historical loss experience, current conditions, reasonable and supportable forecasts and other relevant factors. These models use historical data and applicable macroeconomic variables, along with statistical analysis and behavioral relationships, to determine expected credit performance. Our quantitative estimate of expected credit losses under CECL is impacted by certain forecasted economic factors. We consider the forecast used to be reasonable and supportable over the estimated life of the credit card and other loans, with no reversion period. In addition to the quantitative estimate of expected credit losses, we also incorporate qualitative adjustments for certain factors such as Company-specific risks, changes in current economic conditions that may not be captured in the quantitatively derived results, or other relevant factors to ensure the Allowance for credit losses reflects our best estimate of current expected credit losses.
Since the implementation of the CECL standard, we have maintained a consistent approach to the forecasting of the life of loan losses for purposes of establishing the Allowance for credit losses. The approach involves the use of third-party projections of economic variables, and applies those projections to their historical correlation to losses in segments of our loan portfolio exhibiting common risk characteristics. The level of the Allowance includes qualitative overlays to the model output to address risks not inherently covered by the model output, as well as management-perceived risks in the economic environment. These overlays have changed over the periods since implementation through December 31, 2022 to reflect changes in the macroeconomic environment and the impact on our loan portfolio.
If we used different assumptions in estimating current expected credit losses, the impact on the Allowance for credit losses could have a material effect on our consolidated financial position and results of operations. For example, a 100 basis point increase in the Allowance as a percentage of the amortized cost of our Credit card and other loans could have resulted in a change of approximately $210 million in the Allowance for credit losses as of December 31, 2022, with a corresponding change in the Provision for credit losses.
Income Taxes
The income tax laws of the United States, as well as its states and municipalities in which we operate, are inherently complex; the manners in which they apply to our facts is often open to interpretation, and consequentially requires us to make judgments in establishing our Provision for income taxes.
Differences between the Consolidated Financial Statements and tax bases of assets and liabilities give rise to deferred tax assets and liabilities, which measure the future tax effects of items recognized in the Consolidated Financial Statements and require certain estimates and judgments, in particular with deferred tax assets, in order to determine whether it is more likely than not that all or a portion of the benefit of a deferred tax asset will not be realized. In evaluating our deferred tax assets on a quarterly basis as new facts and circumstances emerge, we analyze and estimate the impact of future taxable income, reversing temporary differences and available tax planning strategies. Uncertainties can lead to changes in the ultimate realization of our deferred tax assets.
A liability for unrecognized tax benefits, representing the difference between a tax position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return and the benefit recognized in the Consolidated Financial Statements, inherently requires estimates and judgments. A tax position is recognized only when it is more likely than not to be sustained, based purely on its technical merits after examination by the relevant taxing authority, and the amount recognized is the benefit we believe is more likely than not to be realized upon ultimate settlement. We evaluate our tax positions as new facts and circumstances become available, making adjustments to our unrecognized tax benefits as appropriate. Uncertainties can mean the tax
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benefits ultimately realized differ from amounts previously recognized, with any differences recorded in Provision for income taxes.
Our assessment of the technical merits and measurement of tax benefits associated with uncertain tax positions is subject to a high degree of judgment and estimation. Actual results may differ from our current judgments due to a variety of factors, including interpretations of law by the relevant taxing authorities that differ from our assessments and results of tax examinations. We believe we have adequately provided for any reasonably foreseeable outcome related to these matters. However, our future results may include favorable or unfavorable adjustments to our estimated tax liabilities in the period the assessments are made or resolved, or when statutes of limitation on potential assessments expire. As of December 31, 2022, we had $282 million in unrecognized tax benefits, including interest and penalties, recorded in Other liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheet.
RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS
See “Recently Issued Accounting Standards” under Note 1, “Description of Business and Summary of Significant Accounting Policies”, to our Consolidated Financial Statements.