# AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFG)

Informational only - not investment advice.

CIK: 0001042046
SIC: 6331 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
SIC breadcrumb: [Finance, Insurance, And Real Estate](/division/H/) > [Insurance Carriers](/major-group/63/) > [SIC 6331 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance](/industry/6331/)
Latest 10-K filed: 2026-02-25
SEC page: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=1042046
Filing source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1042046/000104204626000010/afg-20251231.htm

## Selected Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | Unit | FY | Filed |
| --- | ---: | --- | ---: | --- |
| Revenue | 8174000000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Net income | 842000000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |
| Assets | 32642000000 | USD | 2025 | 2026-02-25 |

## Financials

Annual standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-02-25. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001042046.json. Derived margins are computed from the extracted annual SEC facts.

| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| Revenue | 6,498,000,000 | 6,865,000,000 | 7,150,000,000 | 6,213,000,000 | 5,769,000,000 | 6,552,000,000 | 7,040,000,000 | 7,827,000,000 | 8,324,000,000 | 8,174,000,000 |
| Net income | 649,000,000 | 475,000,000 | 530,000,000 | 897,000,000 | 732,000,000 | 1,995,000,000 | 898,000,000 | 852,000,000 | 887,000,000 | 842,000,000 |
| Operating income | 787,000,000 | 724,000,000 | 639,000,000 | 634,000,000 | 339,000,000 | 1,335,000,000 | 1,123,000,000 | 1,073,000,000 | 1,124,000,000 | 1,073,000,000 |
| Diluted EPS | 7.33 | 5.28 | 5.85 | 9.85 | 8.20 | 23.30 | 10.53 | 10.05 | 10.57 | 10.08 |
| Assets | 55,072,000,000 | 60,658,000,000 | 63,456,000,000 | 70,130,000,000 | 73,710,000,000 | 28,931,000,000 | 28,831,000,000 | 29,787,000,000 | 30,836,000,000 | 32,642,000,000 |
| Liabilities | 50,153,000,000 | 55,324,000,000 | 58,484,000,000 | 63,861,000,000 | 66,921,000,000 | 23,919,000,000 | 24,779,000,000 | 25,529,000,000 | 26,370,000,000 | 27,822,000,000 |
| Stockholders' equity | 4,916,000,000 | 5,330,000,000 | 4,970,000,000 | 6,269,000,000 | 6,789,000,000 | 5,012,000,000 | 4,052,000,000 | 4,258,000,000 | 4,466,000,000 | 4,820,000,000 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,107,000,000 | 2,338,000,000 | 1,515,000,000 | 2,314,000,000 | 1,665,000,000 | 2,131,000,000 | 872,000,000 | 1,225,000,000 | 1,406,000,000 | 1,727,000,000 |
| Net margin | 9.99% | 6.92% | 7.41% | 14.44% | 12.69% | 30.45% | 12.76% | 10.89% | 10.66% | 10.30% |
| Operating margin | 12.11% | 10.55% | 8.94% | 10.20% | 5.88% | 20.38% | 15.95% | 13.71% | 13.50% | 13.13% |

## Quarterly

Quarterly standardized facts from SEC companyfacts as of latest extracted filing date 2026-05-07. Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001042046.json.

Flow metrics use discrete quarter-length periods from 10-Q/10-Q/A filings. Q4 revenue and net income are derived only when annual FY and nine-month YTD facts exist for the same fiscal year; derived Q4 values are labeled. EPS Q4 is not derived.

| Quarter | End date | Revenue | Net income | Diluted EPS | Method |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 2022-Q2 | 2022-06-30 |  |  | 1.96 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2022-Q3 | 2022-09-30 |  |  | 1.93 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q1 | 2023-03-31 |  |  | 2.49 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q2 | 2023-06-30 | 1,840,000,000 | 200,000,000 | 2.34 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q3 | 2023-09-30 | 2,164,000,000 | 177,000,000 | 2.09 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2023-Q4 | 2023-12-31 | 2,083,000,000 | 263,000,000 |  | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD |
| 2024-Q1 | 2024-03-31 | 1,906,000,000 | 242,000,000 | 2.89 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q2 | 2024-06-30 | 1,900,000,000 | 209,000,000 | 2.49 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q3 | 2024-09-30 | 2,369,000,000 | 181,000,000 | 2.16 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2024-Q4 | 2024-12-31 | 2,149,000,000 | 255,000,000 |  | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD |
| 2025-Q1 | 2025-03-31 | 1,856,000,000 | 154,000,000 | 1.84 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q2 | 2025-06-30 | 1,924,000,000 | 174,000,000 | 2.07 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q3 | 2025-09-30 | 2,331,000,000 | 215,000,000 | 2.58 | reported discrete quarter |
| 2025-Q4 | 2025-12-31 | 2,063,000,000 | 299,000,000 |  | derived Q4 = FY annual - nine-month YTD |
| 2026-Q1 | 2026-03-31 | 1,854,000,000 | 191,000,000 | 2.29 | reported discrete quarter |

## Macro Cross-References
- [CPIAUCSL](/indicator/CPIAUCSL/): Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average
- [UNRATE](/indicator/UNRATE/): Unemployment Rate
- [FEDFUNDS](/indicator/FEDFUNDS/): Federal Funds Effective Rate
- [CES0500000003](/indicator/CES0500000003/): Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private
- [DFEDTARU](/indicator/DFEDTARU/): Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit
- [DFEDTARL](/indicator/DFEDTARL/): Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit
- [DGS3MO](/indicator/DGS3MO/): Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity
- [DGS2](/indicator/DGS2/): Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity
- [DGS10](/indicator/DGS10/): Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity
- [DGS30](/indicator/DGS30/): Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity
- [T10Y2Y](/indicator/T10Y2Y/): 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity
- [CPILFESL](/indicator/CPILFESL/): Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy
- [CPIUFDSL](/indicator/CPIUFDSL/): Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food
- [CPIENGSL](/indicator/CPIENGSL/): Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Energy
- [CUSR0000SAH1](/indicator/CUSR0000SAH1/): Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter
- [PCEPI](/indicator/PCEPI/): Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index
- [PCEPILFE](/indicator/PCEPILFE/): Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy: Chain-type Price Index
- [PPIACO](/indicator/PPIACO/): Producer Price Index by Commodity: All Commodities
- [T10YIE](/indicator/T10YIE/): 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
- [U6RATE](/indicator/U6RATE/): Total Unemployed, Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Plus Total Employed Part Time for Economic Reasons
- [PAYEMS](/indicator/PAYEMS/): All Employees, Total Nonfarm
- [CIVPART](/indicator/CIVPART/): Labor Force Participation Rate
- [EMRATIO](/indicator/EMRATIO/): Employment-Population Ratio
- [UNEMPLOY](/indicator/UNEMPLOY/): Unemployed
- [CE16OV](/indicator/CE16OV/): Employment Level
- [ICSA](/indicator/ICSA/): Initial Claims
- [JTSJOL](/indicator/JTSJOL/): Job Openings: Total Nonfarm
- [JTSQUR](/indicator/JTSQUR/): Quits: Total Nonfarm
- [GDPC1](/indicator/GDPC1/): Real Gross Domestic Product
- [A191RL1Q225SBEA](/indicator/A191RL1Q225SBEA/): Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Preceding Period
- [INDPRO](/indicator/INDPRO/): Industrial Production: Total Index
- [TCU](/indicator/TCU/): Capacity Utilization: Total Index
- [HOUST](/indicator/HOUST/): New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units
- [PERMIT](/indicator/PERMIT/): New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units
- [RSAFS](/indicator/RSAFS/): Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade
- [PCE](/indicator/PCE/): Personal Consumption Expenditures
- [DSPIC96](/indicator/DSPIC96/): Real Disposable Personal Income
- [PSAVERT](/indicator/PSAVERT/): Personal Saving Rate
- [M2SL](/indicator/M2SL/): M2
- [BOPGSTB](/indicator/BOPGSTB/): U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services: Balance
- [MSPUS](/indicator/MSPUS/): Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States
- [HSN1F](/indicator/HSN1F/): New One Family Houses Sold: United States
- [RHORUSQ156N](/indicator/RHORUSQ156N/): Homeownership Rate in the United States
- [TTLCONS](/indicator/TTLCONS/): Total Construction Spending: Total Construction in the United States
- [RRVRUSQ156N](/indicator/RRVRUSQ156N/): Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States
- [TOTALSL](/indicator/TOTALSL/): Total Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- [REVOLSL](/indicator/REVOLSL/): Revolving Consumer Credit Owned and Securitized
- [DRCCLACBS](/indicator/DRCCLACBS/): Delinquency Rate on Credit Card Loans, All Commercial Banks
- [GDP](/indicator/GDP/): Gross Domestic Product
- [GPDI](/indicator/GPDI/): Gross Private Domestic Investment
- [GCE](/indicator/GCE/): Government Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment
- [PCEC](/indicator/PCEC/): Personal Consumption Expenditures
- [NETEXP](/indicator/NETEXP/): Net Exports of Goods and Services
- [GFDEBTN](/indicator/GFDEBTN/): Federal Debt: Total Public Debt
- [GFDEGDQ188S](/indicator/GFDEGDQ188S/): Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product
- [FYFSD](/indicator/FYFSD/): Federal Surplus or Deficit
- [FGRECPT](/indicator/FGRECPT/): Federal Government Current Receipts
- [FGEXPND](/indicator/FGEXPND/): Federal Government: Current Expenditures
- [MANEMP](/indicator/MANEMP/): All Employees, Manufacturing
- [USCONS](/indicator/USCONS/): All Employees, Construction
- [USTRADE](/indicator/USTRADE/): All Employees, Retail Trade
- [USFIRE](/indicator/USFIRE/): All Employees, Financial Activities
- [USGOVT](/indicator/USGOVT/): All Employees, Government
- [AWHAETP](/indicator/AWHAETP/): Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private
- [DGORDER](/indicator/DGORDER/): Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods
- [NEWORDER](/indicator/NEWORDER/): Manufacturers' New Orders: Nondefense Capital Goods Excluding Aircraft
- [BUSINV](/indicator/BUSINV/): Total Business Inventories
- [EXPGS](/indicator/EXPGS/): Exports of Goods and Services
- [IMPGS](/indicator/IMPGS/): Imports of Goods and Services
- [IR](/indicator/IR/): Import Price Index (End Use): All Commodities
- [PPIFIS](/indicator/PPIFIS/): Producer Price Index by Commodity: Final Demand

## Latest quarter (10-Q)

Latest 10-Q source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1042046/000104204626000014/afg-20260331.htm

Extracted between Part I Item 2 and the next Item 3/4 or Part II heading after HTML sanitization.
Confidence: high
Filing date: 2026-05-07
Report date: 2026-03-31

ITEM 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

INDEX TO MD&A

Page

Page

Forward-Looking Statements

29

Managed Investment Entities

37

Overview

30

Results of Operations

39

Critical Accounting Policies

30

General

39

Liquidity and Capital Resources

31

Segmented Statement of Earnings

40

Ratios

31

Property and Casualty Insurance

41

Condensed Consolidated Cash Flows

31

Holding Company, Other and Unallocated

49

Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity

32

Recent Accounting Standards

50

Investments

33

Uncertainties

36

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements. Some of the forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “anticipates”, “believes”, “expects”, “projects”, “estimates”, “intends”, “plans”, “seeks”, “could”, “may”, “should”, “will” or the negative version of those words or other comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: expectations concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums, revenues, earnings, investment activities and the amount and timing of share repurchases and special dividends; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including but not limited to the following and the risks and uncertainties AFG describes in the “Risk Factors” section of its most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, as updated by its other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including:

•whether or not the sale of Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina closes and AFG’s net gain as a result of the sale;

•changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in interest and inflation rates and impacts from tariffs or other trade actions, currency fluctuations and extended economic recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad;

•performance of securities markets;

•new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG’s investment portfolio;

•the availability of capital;

•changes in insurance law or regulation, including changes in statutory accounting rules, including modifications to capital requirements;

•changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers;

•tax law and accounting changes;

•levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities (including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents of war or losses resulting from pandemics, civil unrest and other major losses;

•disruption caused by cyber-attacks or other technology breaches or failures by AFG or its business partners and service providers, which could negatively impact AFG’s business or reputation and/or expose AFG to litigation;

•development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves, particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental claims;

•availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations;

•competitive pressures;

•the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms;

•changes in AFG’s credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by major ratings agencies to AFG’s operating subsidiaries; and

•the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the global economy relating to AFG’s international operations.

29

Table of Contents

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Continued

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this report. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of Management’s Discussion and Analysis is to provide a discussion and analysis of the financial statements and other statistical data that management believes will enhance the understanding of AFG’s financial condition, changes in financial condition and results of operations. The tables and narrative that follow are presented in a manner that is consistent with the information that AFG’s management uses to make operational decisions and allocate capital resources. They are provided to demonstrate the nature of the transactions and events that could impact AFG’s financial results. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements beginning on page 2.

OVERVIEW

Financial Condition

AFG is organized as a holding company with almost all of its operations being conducted by subsidiaries. AFG, however, has continuing cash needs for administrative expenses, the payment of principal and interest on borrowings, shareholder dividends and taxes. Therefore, certain analyses are most meaningfully presented on a parent only basis while others are best done on a total enterprise basis. In addition, because its businesses are financial in nature, AFG does not prepare its consolidated financial statements using a current-noncurrent format. Consequently, certain traditional ratios and financial analysis tests are not meaningful.

Results of Operations

Through the operations of its subsidiaries, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses.

AFG reported net earnings of $191 million ($2.29 per share, diluted) for the first three months of 2026 compared to $154 million ($1.84 per share, diluted) for the first three months of 2025, reflecting higher underwriting profit.

Outlook

Management expects overall premium growth and strong underwriting results in the current property and casualty insurance market. In addition, management anticipates improved returns on alternative investments, relative to the returns earned in 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, will have a positive impact on net investment income beginning in the second half of 2026.

AFG’s financial condition, results of operations and cash flows are impacted by the economic, legal and regulatory environment. Economic inflation, social inflation and other economic conditions may impact premium levels, loss cost trends and investment returns.

Management believes that AFG’s strong financial position and current liquidity and capital at its subsidiaries will give AFG the flexibility to continue to effectively address and respond to anticipated and unanticipated challenges. AFG’s insurance subsidiaries continue to have capital at or in excess of the levels required by ratings agencies in order to maintain their current ratings, and the parent company does not have any debt maturities until 2030.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Significant accounting policies are summarized in Note A — “Accounting Policies” to the financial statements. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that can have a significant effect on amounts reported in the financial statements. As more information becomes known, these estimates and assumptions change and, thus, impact amounts reported in the future. The areas where management believes the degree of judgment required to determine amounts recorded in the financial statements is most significant are as follows:

•the valuation of investments, including the determination of impairment allowances,

•the establishment of insurance reserves, especially asbestos and environmental-related reserves,

•the recoverability of reinsurance, and

•the establishment of asbestos and environmental liabilities of former railroad and manufacturing operations.

30

Table of Contents

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Continued

For a discussion of these policies, see Management’s Discussion and Analysis — “Critical Accounting Policies” in AFG’s 2025 Form 10-K.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Ratios

AFG’s debt to total capital ratio on a consolidated basis is shown below (dollars in millions):

December 31,

March 31, 2026

2025

2024

Principal amount of long-term debt

$

1,848 

$

1,848 

$

1,498 

Total capital

6,653 

6,718 

6,204 

Ratio of debt to total capital:

Including subordinated debt

27.8

%

27.5

%

24.1

%

Excluding subordinated debt

17.6

%

17.5

%

13.3

%

The ratio of debt to total capital is a non-GAAP measure that management believes is useful for investors, analysts and ratings agencies to evaluate AFG’s financial strength and liquidity and to provide insight into how AFG finances its operations. The ratio is calculated by dividing the principal amount of AFG’s long-term debt by its total capital, which includes long-term debt and shareholders’ equity (excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax). In addition, maintaining a ratio of debt, excluding subordinated debt and debt secured by real estate (if any), to total capital of 35% or lower is a financial covenant in AFG’s bank credit facility.

Condensed Consolidated Cash Flows

AFG’s principal sources of cash include insurance premiums, income from its investment portfolio and proceeds from the maturities, redemptions and sales of investments. Insurance premiums in excess of acquisition expenses and operating costs are invested until they are needed to meet policyholder obligations or made available to the parent company through dividends to cover debt obligations and corporate expenses, and to provide returns to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities as detailed in AFG’s Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows are shown below (in millions):

Three months ended March 31,

2026

2025

Net cash provided by operating activities

$

474 

$

342 

Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities

(613)

23 

Net cash used in financing activities

(235)

(495)

Net change in cash and cash equivalents

$

(374)

$

(130)

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities   AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations typically produce positive net operating cash flows as premiums collected and investment income exceed policy acquisition costs, claims payments and operating expenses. AFG’s net cash provided by operating activities is impacted by the level and timing of premiums, claim and expense payments and recoveries from reinsurers. Cash flows provided by operating activities also include the activity of AFG’s managed investment entities (collateralized loan obligations (“CLO”)) other than those activities included in investing or financing activities. The changes in the assets and liabilities of the managed investment entities included in operating activities increased cash flows from operating activities by $162 million during the first three months of 2026 and $42 million in the first three months of 2025, accounting for a $120 million increase in cash flows from operating activities in the 2026 period compared to the 2025 period. As discussed in Note A — “Accounting Policies — Managed Investment Entities” to the financial statements, AFG has no right to use the CLO assets and no obligation to pay the CLO liabilities and such assets and liabilities are shown separately in AFG’s Balance Sheet. Excluding the impact of the managed investment entities, net cash provided by operating activities was $312 million and $300 million in the first three months of 2026 and 2025, respectively.

Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Investing Activities   AFG’s investing activities consist primarily of the investment of funds provided by its propert

[Excerpt truncated for page length; source filing is linked above.]

## Latest 10-K MD&A

Extracted between Item 7 and the next Item 7A/8 heading after HTML sanitization.
Confidence: high

Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

INDEX TO MD&A

Page

Page

Objective

31

Results of Operations

48

Overview

31

General

48

Critical Accounting Policies

32

Results of Operations — Fourth Quarter

50

Liquidity and Capital Resources

32

Segmented Statement of Earnings

50

Ratios

32

Property and Casualty Insurance

51

Condensed Consolidated Cash Flows

32

Holding Company, Other and Unallocated

59

Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity

34

Results of Operations — Full Year

62

Condensed Parent Only Cash Flows

35

Segmented Statement of Earnings

62

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

35

Property and Casualty Insurance

64

Investments

36

Holding Company, Other and Unallocated

74

Uncertainties

39

Recent Accounting Standards

77

Managed Investment Entities

45

OBJECTIVE

The objective of Management’s Discussion and Analysis is to provide a discussion and analysis of the financial statements and other statistical data that management believes will enhance the understanding of AFG’s financial condition, changes in financial condition and results of operations. The tables and narrative that follow are presented in a manner that is consistent with the information that AFG’s management uses to make operational decisions and allocate capital resources. They are provided to demonstrate the nature of the transactions and events that could impact AFG’s financial results. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements beginning on page F-1.

OVERVIEW

Financial Condition

AFG is organized as a holding company with almost all of its operations being conducted by subsidiaries. AFG, however, has continuing cash needs for administrative expenses, the payment of principal and interest on borrowings, shareholder dividends and taxes. Therefore, certain analyses are most meaningfully presented on a parent only basis while others are best done on a total enterprise basis. In addition, because its businesses are financial in nature, AFG does not prepare its consolidated financial statements using a current-noncurrent format. Consequently, certain traditional ratios and financial analysis tests are not meaningful.

Results of Operations

Through the operations of its subsidiaries, AFG is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses.

AFG reported net earnings of $299 million ($3.58 per share, diluted) for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $255 million ($3.03 per share, diluted) for the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting higher underwriting profit, partially offset by lower net investment income from AFG’s alternative investment portfolio.

Full year 2025 net earnings were $842 million ($10.08 per share, diluted) compared to $887 million ($10.57 per share, diluted) in 2024. Higher underwriting profit and the favorable impact of higher yields and average balances on net investment income from fixed income investments were more than offset by lower net investment income from alternative investments.

Outlook

Management expects overall premium growth and strong underwriting results in the current property and casualty insurance market. In addition, management anticipates improved returns on alternative investments relative to the 2.5% earned in 2025 will have a positive impact on net investment income beginning in the second half of 2026.

31

Table of Contents

AFG’s financial condition, results of operations and cash flows are impacted by the economic, legal and regulatory environment. Economic inflation, social inflation and other economic conditions may impact premium levels, loss cost trends and investment returns. For a more comprehensive list of risks, see “Item 1A — Risk Factors.”

Management believes that AFG’s strong financial position and current liquidity and capital at its subsidiaries will give AFG the flexibility to continue to effectively address and respond to anticipated and unanticipated challenges. AFG’s insurance subsidiaries continue to have capital at or in excess of the levels required by ratings agencies in order to maintain their current ratings, and the parent company does not have any debt maturities until 2030.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Significant accounting policies are summarized in Note A — “Accounting Policies” to the financial statements. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that can have a significant effect on amounts reported in the financial statements. As more information becomes known, these estimates and assumptions change and, thus, impact amounts reported in the future. The areas where management believes the degree of judgment required to determine amounts recorded in the financial statements is most significant are as follows:

•the valuation of investments, including the determination of impairment allowances,

•the establishment of insurance reserves, especially asbestos and environmental-related reserves,

•the recoverability of reinsurance, and

•the establishment of asbestos and environmental liabilities of former railroad and manufacturing operations.

See “Liquidity and Capital Resources — Uncertainties” for a discussion of insurance reserves, recoverables from reinsurers and contingencies related to APU Consolidated’s former operations and “Liquidity and Capital Resources — Investments” for a discussion of the allowance for credit losses (impairments) on investments.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Ratios

AFG’s debt to total capital ratio on a consolidated basis is shown below (dollars in millions). Management intends to maintain the ratio of debt to capital at or below 30% and intends to maintain the capital of its significant insurance subsidiaries at or above levels currently indicated by rating agencies as appropriate for the current ratings.

December 31,

2025

2024

Principal amount of long-term debt

$

1,848 

$

1,498 

Total capital

6,718 

6,204 

Ratio of debt to total capital:

Including subordinated debt

27.5

%

24.1

%

Excluding subordinated debt

17.5

%

13.3

%

The ratio of debt to total capital is a non-GAAP measure that management believes is useful for investors, analysts and ratings agencies to evaluate AFG’s financial strength and liquidity and to provide insight into how AFG finances its operations. The ratio is calculated by dividing the principal amount of AFG’s long-term debt by its total capital, which includes long-term debt and shareholders’ equity (excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax). In addition, maintaining a ratio of debt, excluding subordinated debt and debt secured by real estate (if any), to total capital of 35% or lower is a financial covenant in AFG’s bank credit facility.

The NAIC’s model law for risk-based capital (“RBC”) applies to property and casualty companies. RBC formulas determine the amount of capital that an insurance company needs so that it has an acceptable expectation of not becoming financially impaired. At December 31, 2025, the capital ratios of all AFG insurance companies exceeded the RBC requirements.

Condensed Consolidated Cash Flows

AFG’s principal sources of cash include insurance premiums, income from its investment portfolio and proceeds from the maturities, redemptions and sales of investments. Insurance premiums in excess of acquisition expenses and operating costs are invested until they are needed to meet policyholder obligations or made available to the parent company through

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dividends to cover debt obligations and corporate expenses, and to provide returns to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities as detailed in AFG’s Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows are shown below (in millions):

Year ended December 31,

2025

2024

2023

Net cash provided by operating activities

$

1,533 

$

1,152 

$

1,970 

Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities

(835)

95 

414 

Net cash used in financing activities

(377)

(1,066)

(2,031)

Net change in cash and cash equivalents

$

321 

$

181 

$

353 

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities   AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations typically produce positive net operating cash flows as premiums collected and investment income exceed policy acquisition costs, claims payments and operating expenses. AFG’s net cash provided by operating activities is impacted by the level and timing of premiums, claim and expense payments and recoveries from reinsurers. Cash flows provided by operating activities also include the activity of AFG’s managed investment entities (collateralized loan obligations (“CLO”)) other than those activities included in investing or financing activities. The changes in the assets and liabilities of the managed investment entities included in operating activities increased cash flows from operating activities by $70 million in 2025, reduced cash flows from operating activities by $80 million in 2024 and increased cash flows from operating activities by $305 million in 2023, resulting in a $150 million increase in cash flows from operating activities in 2025 compared to 2024 and a $385 million decrease in cash flows from operating activities in 2024 compared to 2023. As discussed in Note A — “Accounting Policies — Managed Investment Entities” to the financial statements, AFG has no right to use the CLO assets and no obligation to pay the CLO liabilities and such assets and liabilities are shown separately in AFG’s Balance Sheet. Excluding the impact of the managed investment entities, net cash provided by operating activities was $1.46 billion, $1.23 billion and $1.67 billion in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Investing Activities   AFG’s investing activities consist primarily of the investment of funds provided by its property and casualty businesses. Investing activities also include the purchase and disposal of managed investment entity investments, which are presented separately in AFG’s Balance Sheet. Net investment activity in the managed investment entities was a $10 million use of cash in 2025 compared to a $377 million source of cash in 2024, resulting in a $387 million decrease in net cash provided by investing activities in 2025 compared to 2024. See Note A — “Accounting Policies — Managed Investment Entities” and Note G — “Managed Investment Entities” to the financial statements. Excluding the activity of the managed investment entities, investing activities resulted in uses of cash of $825 million in 2025 and $282 million in 2024, an increase of $543 million reflecting the investment of cash in fixed maturity investments.

Net cash provided by investing activities was $95 million in 2024 compared to $414 million in 2023, a decrease of $319 million. Net investment activity in the managed investment entities was a $377 million source of cash in 2024 compared to $762 million in 2023, resulting in a $385 million decrease in net cash provided by investing activities in 2024 compared to 2023. Investing activities for 2024 include the fourth quarter acquisitions of an insurance agency and a consulting business for $9 million in cash. Investing activities for 2023 include the July 2023 acquisition of Crop Risk Services (“CRS”) for $234 million in cash. Excluding these acquisitions and the activity of the managed investment entities, investing activities resulted in uses of cash of $273 million in 2024 and $114 million in 2023.

Net Cash Used in Financing Activities   AFG’s financing activities consist primarily of issuances and retirements of long-term debt, issuances and repurchases of Common Stock and dividend payments. Net cash used in financing activities was $377 million in 2025 compared to $1.07 billion in 2024, a decrease of $689 million. The net proceeds from AFG’s issuance of $350 million in 5.00% Senior Notes in September 2025 was a $344 million source of cash in 2025. AFG paid cash dividends totaling $606 million in 2025 compared to $788 million in 2024, resulting in a $182 million decrease in net cash used in financing activities in 2025 compared to 2024. In 2025, AFG repurchased $99 million of its Common Stock compared to no repurchases in 2024. Financing activities also include issuances and retirements of managed investment entity liabilities, which are nonrecourse to AFG and presented separately in AFG’s Balance Sheet. Retirements of managed investment entity liabilities exceeded issuances by $28 million in 2025 compared to $295 million in 2024, resulting in a $267 million decrease in net cash used in financing activities in 2025 compared to 2024. See Note A — “Accounting Policies — Managed Investment Entities” and Note G — “Managed Investment Entities” to the financial statements.

Net cash used in financing activities was $1.07 billion in 2024 compared to $2.03 billion in 2023, a decrease of $965 million. AFG paid cash dividends totaling $788 million in 2024 compared to $684 million in 2023, resulting in a $104 million increase in net cash used in financing activities in 2024 compared to 2023. There were no debt retirements in

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2024 compared to $21 million in debt retirements in 2023. In 2024, AFG did not repurchase any of its Common Stock compared to repurchases of $213 million in 2023. Retirements of managed investment entity liabilities exceeded issuances by $295 million in 2024 compared to $1.13 billion in 2023, resulting in an $833 million decrease in net cash used in financing activities in 2024 compared to 2023.

Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity

Parent Holding Company Liquidity   Management believes AFG has sufficient resources to meet its liquidity requirements. If funds generated from operations, including dividends, tax payments and borrowings from subsidiaries, are insufficient to meet fixed charges in any period, AFG would be required to utilize parent company cash and investments or to generate cash through borrowings, sales of other assets, or similar transactions.

AFG’s operations continue to generate significant excess capital for future returns of capital to shareholders in the form of regular and special cash dividends and through opportunistic share repurchases or to be deployed into its property and casualty businesses as management identifies the potential for profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand through acquisitions of established businesses or start-ups that meet target return thresholds.

In September 2025, AFG issued $350 million in 5.00% Senior Notes due in September 2035. The net proceeds of this offering were used for general corporate purposes.

During 2025, AFG repurchased 799,398 shares of its Common Stock for $99 million and paid special cash dividends totaling $334 million ($2.00 per share in both March and November). On February 3, 2026, AFG declared a special cash dividend of $1.50 per share, payable on February 25, 2026. The aggregate amount of this special dividend will be approximately $125 million.

During 2024, AFG paid special cash dividends totaling $545 million ($2.50 per share in February and $4.00 per share in November).

During 2023, AFG repurchased 1,872,544 shares of its Common Stock for $213 million and paid special cash dividends totaling $466 million ($4.00 per share in February and $1.50 per share in November).

AFG may, at any time and from time to time, seek to retire or purchase its outstanding debt through cash purchases or exchanges for equity or debt, in open-market purchases, privately negotiated transactions or otherwise. Such repurchases or exchanges, if any, will be upon such terms and at such prices as management may determine, and will depend on prevailing market conditions, AFG’s liquidity requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors. During 2023, AFG repurchased $23 million principal amount of its senior notes for $21 million cash.

All debentures and notes issued by AFG are rated investment grade by two nationally recognized rating agencies. AFG maintains a shelf registration statement under which it can offer additional equity or debt securities. The shelf registration provides AFG with flexibility to access the capital markets from time to time as market and other conditions permit.

At December 31, 2025, AFG (parent) held approximately $529 million in cash and investments. Management believes that AFG’s cash balances are held at stable banking institutions, although the amounts of many of these deposits are in excess of federally insured balances. AFG can borrow up to $450 million under its revolving credit facility, which expires in June 2028. Amounts borrowed under this agreement bear interest at rates ranging from 1.00% to 1.75% (based on AFG’s credit rating, currently 1.25%) over a SOFR-based floating rate. There were no borrowings under AFG’s credit facility, or under any other parent company short-term borrowing arrangements, during 2025 or 2024.

Under a tax allocation agreement with AFG, all 80% (or more) owned U.S. subsidiaries generally pay taxes to (or recover taxes from) AFG based on each subsidiary’s contribution to amounts due under AFG’s consolidated tax return.

Subsidiary Liquidity   The liquidity requirements of AFG’s insurance subsidiaries relate primarily to the policyholder claims and underwriting expenses and payments of dividends and taxes to AFG. Historically, cash flows from premiums and investment income have generally provided more than sufficient funds to meet these requirements. Funds received in excess of cash requirements are generally invested in marketable securities. In addition, the insurance subsidiaries generally hold a significant amount of highly liquid, short duration investments.

For statutory accounting purposes, equity securities of non-affiliates are generally carried at fair value. At December 31, 2025, AFG’s insurance companies owned equity securities with a fair value of $785 million. Decreases in market prices could adversely affect the insurance group’s capital, potentially impacting the amount of dividends available or

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necessitating a capital contribution. Conversely, increases in market prices could have a favorable impact on the group’s dividend-paying capability.

Property and casualty reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses were $15.09 billion at December 31, 2025 and include case reserves and claims incurred but not reported (“IBNR”). The ultimate amount to be paid to settle reserves is an estimate, subject to significant uncertainty. Actual payments to settle claims cannot be determined until a settlement is reached with the claimant. Final claim settlements may vary significantly from estimated amounts. See “Uncertainties — Property and Casualty Insurance Reserves” below. The timing of future payments for the next twelve months and beyond could vary materially from historical payment patterns due to, among other things, changes in claim reporting and payment patterns and large unanticipated settlements.

AFG believes its insurance subsidiaries maintain sufficient liquidity to pay claims and underwriting expenses. In addition, these subsidiaries have sufficient capital to meet commitments in the event of unforeseen reserve deficiencies, inadequate premium rates or reinsurer insolvencies. Management believes that the capital levels in AFG’s insurance subsidiaries are adequate to maintain its business and rating agency ratings. Nonetheless, changes in statutory accounting rules, changes in rating agency measures, significant declines in the fair value of the insurance subsidiaries’ investment portfolios or significant ratings downgrades on these investments, could create a need for additional capital.

Condensed Parent Only Cash Flows

AFG’s parent holding company only condensed cash flows from operating, investing and financing activities are shown below (in millions):

Year ended December 31,

2025

2024

2023

Net cash provided by operating activities

$

582 

$

712 

$

719 

Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities

(182)

72 

225 

Net cash used in financing activities

(348)

(769)

(901)

Net change in cash and cash equivalents

$

52 

$

15 

$

43 

Parent Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities   Parent holding company cash flows from operating activities consist primarily of dividends and tax payments received from AFG’s insurance subsidiaries, reduced by tax payments to the IRS and holding company interest and other expenses. Parent holding company net cash provided by operating activities was $582 million in 2025 compared to $712 million in 2024 and $719 million in 2023. The decrease in net cash provided by operating activities in 2025 compared to 2024 and 2023 was due primarily to lower cash dividends received from subsidiaries.

Parent Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Investing Activities   Parent holding company investing activities consist of capital contributions to and returns of capital from subsidiaries and parent company investment activity. Parent holding company net cash used in investing activities was $182 million in 2025 compared to net cash provided by investing activities of $72 million in 2024 and $225 million in 2023. The $254 million increase in net cash used in investing activities reflects the investment of cash in fixed maturity securities and lower maturities and redemptions of investments in 2025 compared to 2024. The $153 million decrease in net cash provided by investing activities in 2024 compared to 2023 was due primarily to lower balances of invested assets.

Parent Net Cash Used in Financing Activities   Parent company financing activities consist primarily of the issuance and retirement of long-term debt, repurchases of AFG Common Stock and dividends to shareholders. Significant long-term debt and Common Stock transactions are discussed above under “Parent Holding Company Liquidity.” Parent holding company net cash used in financing activities was $348 million in 2025 compared to $769 million in 2024 and $901 million in 2023. The $421 million decrease in net cash used in financing activities in 2025 compared to 2024 reflects $344 million in net proceeds from AFG’s issuance of $350 million in 5.00% Senior Notes in September 2025 and lower dividends paid to shareholders (due primarily to special dividends of $4.00 per share in 2025 compared to special dividends of $6.50 per share in 2024), partially offset by $99 million in repurchases of Common Stock in 2025 compared to no repurchases in 2024. The $132 million decrease in net cash used in financing activities in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects no repurchases of Common Stock in 2024 compared to repurchases of Common Stock of $213 million in 2023, partially offset by higher dividends paid to shareholders (due primarily to special dividends of $6.50 per share in 2024 compared to special dividends of $5.50 per share in 2023).

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

See Note O — “Additional Information — Financial Instruments — Unfunded Commitments” to the financial statements.

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Investments

AFG attempts to optimize investment income while building the value of its portfolio, placing emphasis upon total long-term performance.

AFG’s investment portfolio at December 31, 2025, contained $11.05 billion in fixed maturity securities classified as available for sale and carried at fair value with unrealized gains and losses included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) and $91 million in fixed maturities classified as trading with holding gains and losses included in net investment income. In addition, AFG’s investment portfolio includes $567 million in equity securities carried at fair value with holding gains and losses included in realized gains (losses) on securities and $218 million in equity securities carried at fair value with holding gains and losses included in net investment income. AFG’s investment portfolio also includes $2.42 billion in investments accounted for using the equity method (limited partnerships and similar investments). Under the equity method, AFG records its share of the earnings or losses of the investee based on when it is reported by the investee in its financial statements rather than in the period in which the investee declares a dividend. AFG’s share of the earnings or losses from equity method investments is included in net investment income and is generally recorded on a quarter lag due to the timing of the receipt of the investee’s financial statements.

Unrealized gains and losses on AFG’s fixed maturity securities are included in shareholders’ equity after adjustments for deferred income taxes.

Fixed income investment funds are generally invested in securities with intermediate-term maturities with an objective of optimizing total return while allowing flexibility to react to changes in market conditions. At December 31, 2025, the average life of AFG’s fixed maturities was about 4.4 years.

Fair values for AFG’s portfolio are determined by AFG’s internal investment professionals using data from nationally recognized pricing services, non-binding broker quotes and other market information. Fair values of equity securities are determined by published closing prices when available. For AFG’s fixed maturity portfolio, approximately 90% was priced using pricing services at December 31, 2025 and 3% was priced using non-binding broker quotes. The remaining 7% was priced internally using a variety of inputs including credit spreads, trade information, prices of comparable securities, estimates of cash flow and other security specific features. When prices obtained for the same security vary, AFG’s internal investment professionals select the price they believe is most indicative of an exit price. For additional information on determination of fair value, see Note D — “Fair Value Measurements” to the financial statements.

The pricing services use a variety of observable inputs to estimate fair value of fixed maturities that do not trade on a daily basis. Based upon information provided by the pricing services, these inputs include, but are not limited to, recent reported trades, benchmark yields, issuer spreads, bids or offers, reference data, and measures of volatility. Included in the pricing of structured securities are estimates of the rate of future prepayments and defaults of principal over the remaining life of the underlying collateral. Due to the lack of transparency in the process that brokers use to develop prices, valuations that are based on brokers’ prices are classified as Level 3 in the GAAP hierarchy unless the price can be corroborated, for example, by comparison to similar securities priced using observable inputs.

Valuation techniques utilized by pricing services and prices obtained from external sources are reviewed by AFG’s internal investment professionals who are familiar with the securities being priced and the markets in which they trade to ensure the fair value determination is representative of an exit price. To validate the appropriateness of the prices obtained, these investment managers consider widely published indices (as benchmarks), recent trades, changes in interest rates, general economic conditions and the credit quality of the specific issuers. In addition, AFG communicates directly with pricing services regarding the methods and assumptions used in pricing, including verifying, on a test basis, the inputs used by the services to value specific securities.

In general, the fair value of AFG’s fixed maturity investments is inversely correlated to changes in interest rates. The following table demonstrates the sensitivity of such fair values to reasonably likely changes in interest rates by illustrating the estimated effect on AFG’s fixed maturity portfolio that an immediate increase of 100 basis points in the interest rate yield curve would have had at December 31, 2025 (dollars in millions). Effects of increases or decreases from the 100 basis points illustrated would be approximately proportional.

Fair value of fixed maturity portfolio

$

11,143 

Percentage impact on fair value of 100 bps increase in interest rates

(3.0

%)

Pretax impact on fair value of fixed maturity portfolio

$

(334)

Approximately 96% of the fixed maturities held by AFG at December 31, 2025, were rated “investment grade” (credit rating of AAA to BBB) by nationally recognized rating agencies, 2% were rated “non-investment grade” and 2% were not

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rated. Investment grade securities generally bear lower yields and lower degrees of risk than those that are unrated and non-investment grade. Management believes that the high-quality investment portfolio should generate a stable and predictable investment return.

AFG has approximately $80 million of direct exposure to office commercial real estate through property ownership, mortgages or equity method investments. AFG’s fixed maturity portfolio includes securities (the majority of which are AAA-rated) with a carrying value of approximately $280 million that have minimal exposure to office commercial real estate.

Summarized information for the unrealized gains and losses recorded in AFG’s Balance Sheet at December 31, 2025, is shown in the following table (dollars in millions). There were $484 million of available for sale fixed maturity securities with no unrealized gains or losses at December 31, 2025.

Securities

With

Unrealized

Gains

Securities

With

Unrealized

Losses

Available for Sale Fixed Maturities

Fair value of securities

$

6,526 

$

4,042 

Amortized cost of securities, net of allowance for expected credit losses

$

6,361 

$

4,235 

Gross unrealized gain (loss)

$

165 

$

(193)

Fair value as % of amortized cost

103

%

95

%

Number of security positions

1,102 

858 

Number individually exceeding $2 million gain or loss

2 

22 

Concentration of gains (losses) by type or industry (exceeding 5% of unrealized):

Residential mortgage-backed securities

$

43 

$

(103)

Other asset-backed securities

29 

(38)

Banking

18 

(5)

Asset managers

13 

(4)

States and municipalities

8 

(26)

Percentage rated investment grade

97

%

96

%

The table below sets forth the scheduled maturities of AFG’s available for sale fixed maturity securities at December 31, 2025, based on their fair values. Securities with sinking funds are reported at average maturity. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may be called or prepaid by the issuers.

Securities

With

Unrealized

Gains

Securities

With

Unrealized

Losses

Maturity

One year or less

3

%

10

%

After one year through five years

22

%

18

%

After five years through ten years

18

%

7

%

After ten years

1

%

4

%

44

%

39

%

CLOs and other asset-backed securities (average life of approximately 3.5 years)

32

%

34

%

Residential mortgage-backed securities (average life of approximately 6 years)

24

%

27

%

100

%

100

%

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The table below (dollars in millions) summarizes the unrealized gains and losses on fixed maturity securities by dollar amount:

Aggregate

Fair

Value

Aggregate

Unrealized

Gain (Loss)

Fair

Value as

% of Cost

Fixed Maturities at December 31, 2025

Securities with unrealized gains:

Exceeding $500,000 (68 securities)

$

924 

$

61 

107

%

$500,000 or less (1,034 securities)

5,602 

104 

102

%

$

6,526 

$

165 

103

%

Securities with unrealized losses:

Exceeding $500,000 (85 securities)

$

1,090 

$

(133)

89

%

$500,000 or less (773 securities)

2,952 

(60)

98

%

$

4,042 

$

(193)

95

%

The following table (dollars in millions) summarizes the unrealized losses for all securities with unrealized losses by issuer quality and the length of time those securities have been in an unrealized loss position:

Aggregate

Fair

Value

Aggregate

Unrealized

Loss

Fair

Value as

% of Cost

Securities with Unrealized Losses at December 31, 2025

Investment grade fixed maturities with losses for:

Less than one year (100 securities)

$

851 

$

(5)

99

%

One year or longer (633 securities)

3,013 

(180)

94

%

$

3,864 

$

(185)

95

%

Non-investment grade fixed maturities with losses for:

Less than one year (34 securities)

$

58 

$

(2)

97

%

One year or longer (91 securities)

120 

(6)

95

%

$

178 

$

(8)

96

%

To evaluate fixed maturities for expected credit losses (impairment), management considers the following:

(a)whether the unrealized loss is credit-driven or a result of changes in market interest rates,

(b)the extent to which fair value is less than cost basis,

(c)cash flow projections received from independent sources,

(d)historical operating, balance sheet and cash flow data contained in issuer SEC filings and news releases,

(e)near-term prospects for improvement in the issuer and/or its industry,

(f)third-party research and communications with industry specialists,

(g)financial models and forecasts,

(h)the continuity of interest payments, maintenance of investment grade ratings and hybrid nature of certain investments,

(i)discussions with issuer management, and

(j)ability and intent to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for anticipated recovery in fair value.

Based on its analysis of the factors listed above, management believes AFG will recover its cost basis (net of any allowance) in the fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses and that AFG has the ability to hold the securities until they recover in value and had no intent to sell them at December 31, 2025. Although AFG has the ability to continue holding its fixed maturity investments with unrealized losses, its intent to hold them may change due to deterioration in the issuers’ creditworthiness, decisions to lessen exposure to a particular issuer or industry, asset/liability management decisions, market movements, changes in views about appropriate asset allocation or the desire to offset taxable realized gains. Should AFG’s ability or intent change regarding a particular security, a charge for impairment would likely be required. While it is not possible to accurately predict if or when a specific security will become impaired, increases in the allowance for credit losses could be material to results of operations in future periods. Significant declines in the fair value of AFG’s investment portfolio could have a significant adverse effect on AFG’s liquidity. For information on AFG’s realized gains (losses) on securities, see “Results of Operations — Realized Gains (Losses) on Securities.”

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Uncertainties

As more fully explained in the following paragraphs, management believes that the areas posing the greatest risk of material loss are the adequacy of its insurance reserves and contingencies arising out of its former railroad and manufacturing operations.

Property and Casualty Insurance Reserves   Estimating the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) is inherently judgmental and is influenced by factors that are subject to significant variation. Determining the liability is a complex process incorporating input from many areas of the Company including actuarial, underwriting, pricing, claims and operations management.

The estimates of liabilities for unpaid claims and for expenses of investigation and adjustment of unpaid claims are based upon: (i) the accumulation of case estimates for losses reported prior to the close of the accounting periods on direct business written (“case reserves”); (ii) estimates received from ceding reinsurers and insurance pools and associations; (iii) estimates of claims incurred but not reported (including possible development on known claims); (iv) estimates (based on experience) of expense for investigating and adjusting claims; and (v) the current state of law and coverage litigation.

The process used to determine the total reserve for liabilities involves estimating the ultimate incurred losses and LAE, adjusted for amounts already paid on the claims. The IBNR reserve is derived by estimating the ultimate unpaid reserve liability and subtracting case reserves for loss and LAE. See Note N — “Insurance — Insurance Reserves” to the financial statements for a discussion of the factors considered and actuarial methods used in determining management’s best estimate of the ultimate liability for unpaid losses and LAE.

The following table shows (in millions) the breakdown of AFG’s property and casualty insurance reserves between case reserves, IBNR reserves and LAE reserves (estimated amounts required to adjust, record and settle claims, other than the claim payments themselves) at December 31, 2025 and gross written premiums for the year ended December 31, 2025.

Gross Loss Reserves

Case

IBNR

LAE

Total

Reserves

Gross Written Premiums

Statutory Line of Business

Other liability — occurrence

$

1,096 

$

4,166 

$

848 

$

6,110 

$

1,941 

Workers’ compensation

1,050 

1,140 

364 

2,554 

1,394 

Other liability — claims made

345 

699 

484 

1,528 

856 

Commercial auto/truck liability/medical

599 

808 

194 

1,601 

933 

Special property (fire, allied lines, inland marine, earthquake)

447 

525 

42 

1,014 

3,062 

Products liability — occurrence

120 

312 

202 

634 

240 

Commercial multi-peril

205 

149 

85 

439 

398 

Other lines

292 

648 

212 

1,152 

1,796 

Total Statutory

4,154 

8,447 

2,431 

15,032 

10,620 

Adjustments for GAAP:

Foreign subsidiaries

35 

26 

— 

61 

92 

Deferred gains on retroactive reinsurance

— 

4 

— 

4 

— 

Loss reserve discounting

(4)

— 

— 

(4)

— 

Other

— 

— 

1 

1 

(18)

Total Adjustments for GAAP

31 

30 

1 

62 

74 

Total GAAP Reserves and Premiums

$

4,185 

$

8,477 

$

2,432 

$

15,094 

$

10,694 

While current factors and reasonably likely changes in variable factors are considered in estimating the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, there is no method or system that can eliminate the risk of actual ultimate results differing from such estimates.

Following is a discussion of certain critical variables affecting the estimation of loss reserves of the more significant long-tail lines of business (asbestos and environmental liabilities are separately discussed below). Many other variables may also impact ultimate claim costs.

An important assumption underlying reserve estimates is that the cost trends implicitly built into development patterns will continue into the future. However, future results could vary due to an unexpected change in the underlying cost trends. This unexpected change could arise from a variety of sources including a general increase in economic inflation, social inflation, new medical technologies, or other factors such as those listed below in connection with AFG’s largest lines of

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business. It is not possible to isolate and measure the potential impact of just one of these variables, and future cost trends could be partially impacted by several such variables. However, it is reasonable to address the sensitivity of the reserves to potential impact from changes in these variables by measuring the effect of a possible overall 1% change in future cost trends that may be caused by one or more variables. Utilizing the effect of a 1% change in overall cost trends enables changes greater than 1% to be estimated by extrapolation. Each additional 1% change in the cost trend would increase the effect on net earnings by an amount slightly (about 5%) greater than the effect of the previous 1%. For example, if a 1% change in cost trends in a line of business would change net earnings by $20 million, a 2% change would change net earnings by approximately $41 million.

The estimated cumulative adverse impact that a 1% change in cost trends in AFG’s more significant long-tail lines of property and casualty business (exceeding 5% of total reserves) would have on net earnings is shown below (in millions).

Effect of 1%

Change in

Cost Trends

Line of business

Other liability — occurrence

$

94 

Workers’ compensation

68 

Other liability — claims made

32 

Commercial auto/truck liability/medical

21 

The judgments and uncertainties surrounding management’s reserve estimation process and the potential for reasonably possible variability in management’s most recent reserve estimates may also be viewed by looking at how recent historical estimates of reserves have developed. The following table shows (dollars in millions) what the impact on AFG’s net earnings would be on the more significant lines of business if the December 31, 2025, reserves (net of reinsurance) were to develop at the same rate as the average development of the most recent five years.

5-yr. Average

Development (a)(b)

Net Reserves (b) December 31, 2025

Effect on Net

Earnings (a)(b)

Other liability — occurrence

5.0

%

$

2,672 

$

133 

Workers’ compensation

(5.2

%)

2,064 

(108)

Other liability — claims made

(2.0

%)

1,068 

(21)

Commercial auto/truck liability/medical

2.3

%

1,017 

23 

(a)Adverse (favorable), net of tax effect.

(b)Excludes asbestos and environmental liabilities.

The following discussion describes key assumptions and important variables that affect the estimate of the reserve for loss and LAE of the more significant lines of business and explains what caused them to change from assumptions used in the preceding period.

Other Liability — Occurrence

This long-tail line of business consists of coverages protecting the insured against legal liability resulting from negligence, carelessness, or a failure to act causing property damage or personal injury to others. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for other liability — occurrence include:

•Litigious climate

•Unpredictability of judicial decisions regarding coverage issues

•Magnitude of jury awards

•Outside counsel costs

•Timing of claims reporting

AFG recorded adverse prior year reserve development of $175 million in 2025, $210 million in 2024 and $96 million in 2023 related to its other liability — occurrence coverage due primarily to continued claim severity increases in excess and umbrella liability coverages.

While management applies the actuarial methods discussed in Note N — “Insurance — Insurance Reserves” to the financial statements, more judgment is involved in arriving at the final reserve to be held. For recent accident years, more weight is given to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.

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Workers’ Compensation

This long-tail line of business provides coverage to employees who may be injured in the course of employment. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for workers’ compensation include:

•Legislative actions and regulatory and legal interpretations

•Future medical cost inflation

•Economic conditions

•Frequency of reopening claims previously closed

•Advances in medical equipment and processes

•Pace and intensity of employee rehabilitation

•Changes in the use of pharmaceutical drugs

•Changes in mortality trends for permanently injured workers

Approximately 21% and 25% of AFG’s workers’ compensation reserves at December 31, 2025 relate to policies written in Florida and California, respectively.

AFG recorded favorable prior year reserve development of $108 million in 2025, $128 million in 2024 and $116 million in 2023, related to its workers’ compensation coverage due to lower than anticipated medical severity.

Other Liability — Claims Made

This long-tail line of business includes coverage for directors’ and officers’ liability, errors and omissions, cyber, and mergers and acquisitions liability. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for other liability — claims made include:

•Economic conditions

•Variability of stock prices or company valuations

•New or expanded theories of liability

•Trends in jury awards

•Changes in the propensity to settle a claim

•Changes in the legal climate requiring higher levels of spending for the insured’s defense

AFG recorded favorable prior year reserve development of $18 million in 2025, adverse prior year reserve development of $9 million in 2024 and $47 million of favorable prior year reserve development in 2023, related to its other liability — claims made coverage. AFG has generally experienced lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in its executive and professional liability businesses. However, during 2024, an increase in claim severity for one specific book of business more than offset the favorable experience in other products.

Commercial Auto/Truck Liability/Medical

This line of business is a mix of coverage protecting the insured against legal liability for property damage or personal injury to others arising from the operation of commercial motor vehicles. The property damage liability exposure is usually short-tail with relatively prompt reporting and settlement of claims. The bodily injury and medical payments exposures are longer-tailed; although the claim reporting is relatively prompt, the final settlement can take longer to achieve. Some of the important variables affecting estimation of loss reserves for commercial auto/truck liability/medical are similar to other liability — occurrence and include:

•Magnitude of jury awards

•Unpredictability of judicial decisions regarding coverage issues

•Litigious climate and trends

•Change in frequency of severe accidents

•Health care costs and utilization of medical services by injured parties

AFG recorded favorable prior year reserve development of $1 million in 2025 for this line of business. In 2024 and 2023, AFG recorded adverse prior year reserve development of $36 million and $29 million, respectively, for this line of business due to higher than anticipated claim severity.

Recoverables from Reinsurers and Availability of Reinsurance   AFG is subject to credit risk with respect to its reinsurers, as reinsurance contracts do not relieve AFG of its liability to policyholders. To mitigate this risk, substantially all reinsurance is ceded to companies rated “A” or better by S&P or is secured by “funds withheld” or other collateral.

The availability and cost of reinsurance are subject to prevailing market conditions, which are beyond AFG’s control and may affect AFG’s level of business and profitability. Although the cost of certain reinsurance programs may increase,

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management believes that AFG will be able to maintain adequate reinsurance coverage at acceptable rates without a material adverse effect on AFG’s results of operations. AFG’s gross and net combined ratios are shown in the table below.

See Item 1 — Business — “Property and Casualty Insurance Segment — Reinsurance” for more information on AFG’s reinsurance programs. For additional information on the effect of reinsurance on AFG’s historical results of operations see Note N — “Insurance — Reinsurance” to the financial statements.

The following table illustrates the effect that purchasing property and casualty reinsurance has had on AFG’s combined ratio over the last three years.

2025

2024

2023

Before reinsurance (gross)

93.1

%

98.2

%

92.8

%

Effect of reinsurance

(2.1

%)

(7.0

%)

(2.4

%)

Actual (net of reinsurance)

91.0

%

91.2

%

90.4

%

Asbestos and Environmental-related (“A&E”) Insurance Reserves   Asbestos and environmental reserves of the property and casualty group consisted of the following (in millions):

December 31,

2025

2024

Asbestos

$

197 

$

197 

Environmental

150 

162 

A&E reserves, net of reinsurance recoverable

347 

359 

Reinsurance recoverable, net of allowance

113 

135 

Gross A&E reserves

$

460 

$

494 

Asbestos reserves include claims asserting alleged injuries and damages from exposure to asbestos. Environmental reserves include claims relating to polluted sites.

Asbestos claims against manufacturers, distributors or installers of asbestos products were presented under the products liability section of their policies, which typically had aggregate limits that capped an insurer’s liability. In addition, asbestos claims are being presented as “non-products” claims, such as those by installers of asbestos products and by property owners or operators who allegedly had asbestos on their property, under the premises or operations section of their policies. Unlike products exposures, these non-products exposures typically had no aggregate limits, creating greater exposure for insurers. Further, in an effort to seek additional insurance coverage, some insureds with installation activities who have substantially eroded their products coverage are presenting new asbestos claims as non-products operations claims or attempting to reclassify previously settled products claims as non-products claims to restore a portion of previously exhausted products aggregate limits.

Approximately one-half of AFG’s net asbestos reserves relate to policies written directly by AFG subsidiaries. Claims from these policies generally are product-oriented claims with only a limited amount of non-products exposures and are dominated by small to mid-sized commercial entities that are mostly regional policyholders with few national target defendants. The remainder is assumed reinsurance business that includes exposures from 1954 to 1983. The asbestos and environmental assumed claims are ceded by various insurance companies under reinsurance treaties. A majority of the individual assumed claims have exposures of less than $100,000 to AFG. Asbestos losses assumed include some of the industry known manufacturers, distributors and installers. Pollution losses include industry known insured names and sites.

Establishing reserves for A&E claims relating to policies and participations in reinsurance treaties and former operations is subject to uncertainties that are significantly greater than those presented by other types of claims. For this group of claims, traditional actuarial techniques that rely on historical loss development trends cannot be used and a range of reasonably possible losses cannot be estimated. Case reserves and expense reserves are established by the claims department as specific policies are identified. In addition to the case reserves established for known claims, management establishes additional reserves for claims not yet known or reported and for possible development on known claims. These additional reserves are management’s best estimate based on periodic comprehensive studies and internal reviews adjusted for payments and identifiable changes, supplemented by management’s review of industry information about such claims, with due consideration to individual claim situations.

Management believes that estimating the ultimate liability for asbestos claims presents a unique and difficult challenge to the insurance industry due to, among other things, difficulty in predicting the number of future claims, inconsistent court

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decisions, an increase in bankruptcy filings as a result of asbestos-related liabilities, unresolved issues such as whether coverage exists, novel theories of coverage, how claims are to be allocated among triggered policies and implicated years, whether claimants who exhibit no signs of illness will be successful in pursuing their claims and judicial interpretations that often expand theories of recovery and broaden the scope of coverage. Environmental claims likewise present challenges in prediction, due to uncertainty regarding the interpretation of insurance policies, complexities regarding multi-party involvements at sites, evolving cleanup standards and protracted time periods required to assess the level of cleanup required at contaminated sites.

While management believes that AFG’s reserves for A&E claims are a reasonable estimate of ultimate liability for such claims, actual results may vary materially from the amounts currently recorded due to the factors listed above. A 1% variation in loss cost trends, caused by any of the factors previously described, would change net earnings by approximately $26 million.

The following factors could impact AFG’s A&E reserves and payments:

•There is interest at the state level to attempt to legislatively address asbestos liabilities and the manner in which asbestos claims are resolved. These developments are fluid and could result in piecemeal state-by-state solutions.

•The manner by which bankruptcy courts are addressing asbestos liabilities is in flux.

•AFG’s insureds may make claims alleging significant non-products exposures.

AFG tracks its A&E claims by policyholder. The following table shows, by type of claim, the number of policyholders that did not receive any payments in the calendar year separate from policyholders that did receive a payment. Policyholder counts represent policies written by AFG subsidiaries and do not include assumed reinsurance.

2025

2024

2023

Number of policyholders with no indemnity payments:

Asbestos

81 

77 

98 

Environmental

96 

99 

84 

177 

176 

182 

Number of policyholders with indemnity payments:

Asbestos

47 

51 

46 

Environmental

16 

15 

21 

63 

66 

67 

Total

240 

242 

249 

Amounts paid (net of reinsurance recoveries) for asbestos and environmental claims, including LAE, were as follows (in millions):

2025

2024

2023

Asbestos

$

11 

$

6 

$

13 

Environmental

— 

5 

2 

Total

$

11 

$

11 

$

15 

The survival ratio is a measure often used by industry analysts to compare A&E reserves’ strength among companies. This ratio is typically calculated by dividing reserves for A&E exposures by the three-year average of paid losses, and therefore measures the number of years that it would take to pay off current reserves based on recent average payments. Because this ratio can be significantly impacted by a number of factors such as loss payout variability, caution should be exercised in attempting to determine reserve adequacy based simply on the survival ratio. At December 31, 2025, the property and casualty insurance segment’s three-year survival ratios compare favorably with industry survival ratios published by A.M. Best (as of December 31, 2024, and adjusted for several large portfolio transfers) as detailed in the following table:

Property and Casualty Insurance Reserves

Three-Year Survival Ratio (Times Paid Losses)

Asbestos

Environmental

Total A&E

AFG (12/31/2025)

20.0 

56.3 

27.7 

Industry (12/31/2024)

8.3 

7.8 

8.2 

During the third quarter of 2025, AFG completed an in-depth internal review of its asbestos and environmental exposures relating to the run-off operations of its property and casualty insurance segment. AFG annually conducts a comprehensive

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review of its asbestos and environmental reserves. In connection with its annual reviews, AFG engages with outside counsel and, as appropriate, engineering and consulting firms and specialty actuarial firms.

During the 2025 internal review, no new trends were identified and recent claims activity was generally consistent with AFG’s expectations resulting from its in-depth internal reviews in the prior four years, and the most recent external study in 2020. As a result, and consistent with the internal review in the third quarter of 2024, the 2025 review resulted in no net change to AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment’s asbestos and environmental reserves.

Contingencies related to Subsidiaries’ Former Operations   The A&E reviews and external study discussed above also encompassed reserves for various environmental and occupational injury and disease claims and other contingencies arising out of the railroad operations disposed of by APU Consolidated’s predecessor and certain manufacturing operations disposed of by APU Consolidated and its subsidiaries and by Great American Financial Resources, Inc. AFG recorded pretax special non-core A&E charges of $25 million in 2025, $14 million in 2024 and $15 million in 2023 to increase liabilities for those operations as a result of the internal reviews. Liabilities for claims and contingencies arising from these former railroad and manufacturing operations totaled $109 million at December 31, 2025. For a discussion of the uncertainties in determining the ultimate liability, see Note M — “Contingencies” to the financial statements.

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MANAGED INVESTMENT ENTITIES

Accounting standards require AFG to consolidate its investments in collateralized loan obligation (“CLO”) entities that it manages and owns an interest in (in the form of debt). See Note A — “Accounting Policies — Managed Investment Entities” and Note G — “Managed Investment Entities” to the financial statements. The effect of consolidating these entities is shown in the tables below (in millions). The “Before CLO Consolidation” columns include AFG’s investment and earnings in the CLOs on an unconsolidated basis.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATING BALANCE SHEET

Before CLO

Consolidation

Managed

Investment

Entities

Consol.

Entries

Consolidated

As Reported

December 31, 2025

Assets:

Cash and investments

$

17,325 

$

— 

$

(143)

(*)

$

17,182 

Assets of managed investment entities

— 

4,050 

— 

4,050 

Other assets

11,410 

— 

— 

(*)

11,410 

Total assets

$

28,735 

$

4,050 

$

(143)

$

32,642 

Liabilities:

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premiums

$

18,830 

$

— 

$

— 

$

18,830 

Liabilities of managed investment entities

— 

4,050 

(143)

(*)

3,907 

Long-term debt and other liabilities

5,085 

— 

— 

5,085 

Total liabilities

23,915 

4,050 

(143)

27,822 

Shareholders’ equity:

Common Stock and Capital surplus

1,513 

— 

— 

1,513 

Retained earnings

3,357 

— 

— 

3,357 

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax

(50)

— 

— 

(50)

Total shareholders’ equity

4,820 

— 

— 

4,820 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

$

28,735 

$

4,050 

$

(143)

$

32,642 

December 31, 2024

Assets:

Cash and investments

$

16,026 

$

— 

$

(174)

(*)

$

15,852 

Assets of managed investment entities

— 

4,140 

— 

4,140 

Other assets

10,845 

— 

(1)

(*)

10,844 

Total assets

$

26,871 

$

4,140 

$

(175)

$

30,836 

Liabilities:

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premiums

$

17,763 

$

— 

$

— 

$

17,763 

Liabilities of managed investment entities

— 

4,091 

(126)

(*)

3,965 

Long-term debt and other liabilities

4,642 

— 

— 

4,642 

Total liabilities

22,405 

4,091 

(126)

26,370 

Shareholders’ equity:

Common Stock and Capital surplus

1,495 

49 

(49)

1,495 

Retained earnings

3,211 

— 

— 

3,211 

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax

(240)

— 

— 

(240)

Total shareholders’ equity

4,466 

49 

(49)

4,466 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

$

26,871 

$

4,140 

$

(175)

$

30,836 

(*)Elimination of the fair value of AFG’s investment in CLOs and related accrued interest.

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CONDENSED CONSOLIDATING STATEMENT OF EARNINGS

Before CLO

Consolidation (a)

Managed

Investment

Entities

Consol.

Entries

Consolidated

As Reported

Three months ended December 31, 2025

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

1,806 

$

— 

$

— 

$

1,806 

Net investment income

178 

— 

5 

(b)

183 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

(7)

— 

— 

(7)

Income of managed investment entities:

Investment income

— 

69 

— 

69 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

1 

(20)

(b)

(19)

Other income

34 

— 

(3)

(c)

31 

Total revenues

2,011 

70 

(18)

2,063 

Costs and Expenses:

Insurance benefits and expenses

1,527 

— 

— 

1,527 

Expenses of managed investment entities

— 

69 

(17)

(b)(c) 

52 

Interest charges on borrowed money and other expenses

105 

— 

— 

105 

Total costs and expenses

1,632 

69 

(17)

1,684 

Earnings before income taxes

379 

1 

(1)

379 

Provision for income taxes

80 

— 

— 

80 

Net earnings

$

299 

$

1 

$

(1)

$

299 

Three months ended December 31, 2024

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

1,850 

$

— 

$

— 

$

1,850 

Net investment income

202 

— 

(8)

(b)

194 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

(10)

— 

— 

(10)

Income of managed investment entities:

Investment income

— 

84 

— 

84 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

3 

(4)

(b)

(1)

Other income

36 

— 

(4)

(c)

32 

Total revenues

2,078 

87 

(16)

2,149 

Costs and Expenses:

Insurance benefits and expenses

1,661 

— 

— 

1,661 

Expenses of managed investment entities

— 

87 

(16)

(b)(c) 

71 

Interest charges on borrowed money and other expenses

97 

— 

— 

97 

Total costs and expenses

1,758 

87 

(16)

1,829 

Earnings before income taxes

320 

— 

— 

320 

Provision for income taxes

65 

— 

— 

65 

Net earnings

$

255 

$

— 

$

— 

$

255 

(a)Includes a loss of $5 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and income of $8 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, representing the change in fair value of AFG’s CLO investments and $3 million and $4 million of income in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively, in CLO management fees earned.

(b)Elimination of the change in fair value of AFG’s investments in the CLOs, including $14 million and $12 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2024, respectively, in distributions recorded as interest expense by the CLOs.

(c)Elimination of management fees earned by AFG.

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CONDENSED CONSOLIDATING STATEMENT OF EARNINGS - CONTINUED

Before

CLO

Consol. (a)

Managed

Investment

Entities

Consol.

Entries

Consolidated

As Reported

Year ended December 31, 2025

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

7,046 

$

— 

$

— 

$

7,046 

Net investment income

750 

— 

(5)

(b)

745 

Realized gains (losses) on:

Securities

10 

— 

— 

10 

Subsidiaries

1 

— 

— 

1 

Income of managed investment entities:

Investment income

— 

283 

— 

283 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

9 

(35)

(b)

(26)

Other income

126 

— 

(11)

(c)

115 

Total revenues

7,933 

292 

(51)

8,174 

Costs and Expenses:

Insurance benefits and expenses

6,447 

— 

— 

6,447 

Expenses of managed investment entities

— 

288 

(47)

(b)(c) 

241 

Interest charges on borrowed money and other expenses

413 

— 

— 

413 

Total costs and expenses

6,860 

288 

(47)

7,101 

Earnings before income taxes

1,073 

4 

(4)

1,073 

Provision for income taxes

231 

— 

— 

231 

Net earnings

$

842 

$

4 

$

(4)

$

842 

Year ended December 31, 2024

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

7,036 

$

— 

$

— 

$

7,036 

Net investment income

813 

— 

(33)

(b)

780 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

— 

— 

— 

— 

Income of managed investment entities:

Investment income

— 

380 

— 

380 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

12 

(8)

(b)

4 

Other income

137 

— 

(13)

(c)

124 

Total revenues

7,986 

392 

(54)

8,324 

Costs and Expenses:

Insurance benefits and expenses

6,467 

— 

— 

6,467 

Expenses of managed investment entities

— 

388 

(50)

(b)(c) 

338 

Interest charges on borrowed money and other expenses

395 

— 

— 

395 

Total costs and expenses

6,862 

388 

(50)

7,200 

Earnings before income taxes

1,124 

4 

(4)

1,124 

Provision for income taxes

237 

— 

— 

237 

Net earnings

$

887 

$

4 

$

(4)

$

887 

(a)Includes income of $5 million in 2025 and $33 million in 2024, representing the change in fair value of AFG’s CLO investments and $11 million and $13 million of income in 2025 and 2024, respectively, in CLO management fees earned.

(b)Elimination of the change in fair value of AFG’s investments in the CLOs, including $36 million and $37 million in 2025 and 2024, respectively, in distributions recorded as interest expense by the CLOs.

(c)Elimination of management fees earned by AFG.

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CONDENSED CONSOLIDATING STATEMENT OF EARNINGS - CONTINUED

Before

CLO

Consol. (a)

Managed

Investment

Entities

Consol.

Entries

Consolidated

As Reported

Year ended December 31, 2023

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

6,531 

$

— 

$

— 

$

6,531 

Net investment income

769 

— 

(27)

(b)

742 

Realized gains (losses) on:

Securities

(36)

— 

— 

(36)

Subsidiaries

(4)

— 

— 

(4)

Income of managed investment entities:

Investment income

— 

421 

— 

421 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

29 

(2)

(b)

27 

Other income

162 

— 

(16)

(c)

146 

Total revenues

7,422 

450 

(45)

7,827 

Costs and Expenses:

Insurance benefits and expenses

5,968 

— 

— 

5,968 

Expenses of managed investment entities

— 

450 

(45)

(b)(c) 

405 

Interest charges on borrowed money and other expenses

381 

— 

— 

381 

Total costs and expenses

6,349 

450 

(45)

6,754 

Earnings before income taxes

1,073 

— 

— 

1,073 

Provision for income taxes

221 

— 

— 

221 

Net earnings

$

852 

$

— 

$

— 

$

852 

(a)Includes income of $27 million representing the change in fair value of AFG’s CLO investments and $16 million in CLO management fees earned.

(b)Elimination of the change in fair value of AFG’s investments in the CLOs, including $29 million in distributions recorded as interest expense by the CLOs.

(c)Elimination of management fees earned by AFG.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

General

AFG’s net earnings, determined in accordance with GAAP, include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. Core net operating earnings excludes realized gains (losses) on securities because such gains and losses are influenced significantly by financial markets, interest rates and the timing of sales. In addition, special charges related to coverage that AFG no longer writes, such as asbestos and environmental exposures, are excluded from core earnings.

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The following table (in millions, except per share amounts) identifies non-core items and reconciles net earnings to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure. AFG believes core net operating earnings is a useful tool for investors and analysts in analyzing ongoing operating trends and for management to evaluate financial performance against historical results because it believes this provides a more comparable measure of its continuing business.

Three months ended December 31,

Year ended December 31,

2025

2024

2025

2024

2023

Components of net earnings:

Core operating earnings before income taxes

$

386 

$

330 

$

1,087 

$

1,138 

$

1,127 

Pretax non-core items:

Realized gains (losses) on securities

(7)

(10)

10 

— 

(36)

Realized gain (loss) on subsidiaries

— 

— 

1 

— 

(4)

Special A&E charges

— 

— 

(25)

(14)

(15)

Gain on retirement of debt

— 

— 

— 

— 

1 

Other

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

Earnings before income taxes

379 

320 

1,073 

1,124 

1,073 

Provision for income taxes:

Core operating earnings

81 

68 

227 

236 

232 

Non-core items:

Realized gains (losses) on securities

(1)

(3)

2 

— 

(8)

Realized gain (loss) on subsidiaries

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

Special A&E charges

— 

— 

(5)

(3)

(3)

Gain on retirement of debt

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

Other (*)

— 

— 

7 

4 

— 

Total provision for income taxes

80 

65 

231 

237 

221 

Net earnings

$

299 

$

255 

$

842 

$

887 

$

852 

Net earnings:

Core net operating earnings

$

305 

$

262 

$

860 

$

902 

$

895 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

(6)

(7)

8 

— 

(28)

Realized gain (loss) on subsidiaries

— 

— 

1 

— 

(4)

Special A&E charges

— 

— 

(20)

(11)

(12)

Gain on retirement of debt

— 

— 

— 

— 

1 

Other (*)

— 

— 

(7)

(4)

— 

Net earnings

$

299 

$

255 

$

842 

$

887 

$

852 

Diluted per share amounts:

Core net operating earnings

$

3.65 

$

3.12 

$

10.29 

$

10.75 

$

10.56 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

(0.07)

(0.09)

0.11 

— 

(0.33)

Realized gain (loss) on subsidiaries

— 

— 

0.01 

— 

(0.04)

Special A&E charges

— 

— 

(0.24)

(0.13)

(0.15)

Gain on retirement of debt

— 

— 

— 

— 

0.01 

Other (*)

— 

— 

(0.09)

(0.05)

— 

Net earnings

$

3.58 

$

3.03 

$

10.08 

$

10.57 

$

10.05 

(*)Adjustments to income tax expense related to sales of subsidiaries in prior years.

Net earnings were $299 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $255 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflecting higher core net operating earnings. Core net operating earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025 increased $43 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 reflecting higher underwriting profit, partially offset by lower net investment income from AFG’s alternative investment portfolio (partnerships and similar investments and AFG-managed CLOs). Net realized losses on securities in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2024 include $2 million and $1 million of after-tax losses, respectively, resulting from the change in fair value of equity securities that were still held at the balance sheet date.

Net earnings were $842 million for the full-year of 2025 compared to $887 million in 2024 reflecting lower core net operating earnings. Core net operating earnings for 2025 decreased $42 million compared to 2024 reflecting lower net investment income from AFG’s alternative investment portfolio, partially offset by higher underwriting profit and higher investment income outside of alternative investments. Net realized gains on securities in 2025 of $8 million and 2024 of

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less than $1 million include after-tax gains of $15 million and $19 million, respectively, resulting from the change in fair value of equity securities that were still held at the balance sheet date.

Net earnings were $887 million for the full-year of 2024 compared to $852 million in 2023 reflecting the impact of net realized losses on securities in 2023 and higher core net operating earnings. Core net operating earnings for 2024 increased $7 million compared to 2023. Higher investment income outside of alternative investments was partially offset by lower returns on AFG’s alternative investment portfolio and lower underwriting profit. Net realized gains on securities of less than $1 million in 2024 and net realized losses on securities of $28 million in 2023 include $19 million of after-tax gains and $2 million of after-tax losses, respectively, resulting from the change in fair value of equity securities that were still held at the balance sheet date.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS — THREE MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2025 AND 2024

Segmented Statement of Earnings

AFG reports its operations as two segments: (i) Property and casualty insurance (“P&C”) and (ii) Other, which includes holding company costs and income and expenses related to the managed investment entities (“MIEs”).

AFG’s net earnings, determined in accordance with GAAP, include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The following tables for the three months ended December 31, 2025 and 2024 identify such items by segment and reconcile net earnings to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure that AFG believes is a useful tool for investors and analysts in analyzing ongoing operating trends (in millions):

Other

P&C

Consol. MIEs

Holding Co., other and unallocated

Total

Non-core reclass

GAAP Total

Three months ended December 31, 2025

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

1,806 

$

— 

$

— 

$

1,806 

$

— 

$

1,806 

Net investment income

171 

5 

7 

183 

— 

183 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

— 

— 

— 

— 

(7)

(7)

Income of MIEs:

Investment income

— 

69 

— 

69 

— 

69 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

(19)

— 

(19)

— 

(19)

Other income

3 

(3)

31 

31 

— 

31 

Total revenues

1,980 

52 

38 

2,070 

(7)

2,063 

Costs and Expenses:

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

1,061 

— 

— 

1,061 

— 

1,061 

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

461 

— 

5 

466 

— 

466 

Interest charges on borrowed money

— 

— 

23 

23 

— 

23 

Expenses of MIEs

— 

52 

— 

52 

— 

52 

Other expenses

18 

— 

64 

82 

— 

82 

Total costs and expenses

1,540 

52 

92 

1,684 

— 

1,684 

Earnings before income taxes

440 

— 

(54)

386 

(7)

379 

Provision for income taxes

92 

— 

(11)

81 

(1)

80 

Core Net Operating Earnings

348 

— 

(43)

305 

Non-core earnings (loss) (*):

Realized gains (losses) on securities, net of tax

— 

— 

(6)

(6)

6 

— 

Net Earnings

$

348 

$

— 

$

(49)

$

299 

$

— 

$

299 

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Other

P&C

Consol. MIEs

Holding Co., other and unallocated

Total

Non-core reclass

GAAP Total

Three months ended December 31, 2024

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

1,850 

$

— 

$

— 

$

1,850 

$

— 

$

1,850 

Net investment income

195 

(8)

7 

194 

— 

194 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

— 

— 

— 

— 

(10)

(10)

Income of MIEs:

Investment income

— 

84 

— 

84 

— 

84 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

(1)

— 

(1)

— 

(1)

Other income

2 

(4)

34 

32 

— 

32 

Total revenues

2,047 

71 

41 

2,159 

(10)

2,149 

Costs and Expenses:

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

1,181 

— 

— 

1,181 

— 

1,181 

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

467 

— 

13 

480 

— 

480 

Interest charges on borrowed money

— 

— 

19 

19 

— 

19 

Expenses of MIEs

— 

71 

— 

71 

— 

71 

Other expenses

21 

— 

57 

78 

— 

78 

Total costs and expenses

1,669 

71 

89 

1,829 

— 

1,829 

Earnings before income taxes

378 

— 

(48)

330 

(10)

320 

Provision for income taxes

81 

— 

(13)

68 

(3)

65 

Core Net Operating Earnings

297 

— 

(35)

262 

Non-core earnings (loss) (*):

Realized gains (losses) on securities, net of tax

— 

— 

(7)

(7)

7 

— 

Net Earnings

$

297 

$

— 

$

(42)

$

255 

$

— 

$

255 

(*)See the reconciliation of core earnings to GAAP net earnings under “Results of Operations — General” for details on the tax impacts of these reconciling items.

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment — Results of Operations

Performance measures such as underwriting profit or loss and related combined ratios are often used by property and casualty insurers to help users of their financial statements better understand the company’s performance. Underwriting profitability is measured by the combined ratio, which is a sum of the ratios of losses and loss adjustment expenses, and commissions and other underwriting expenses to premiums. A combined ratio under 100% indicates an underwriting profit. The combined ratio does not reflect net investment income, other income, other expenses or federal income taxes.

AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations contributed $440 million in pretax earnings in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $378 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $62 million (16%). The increase in pretax earnings reflects higher underwriting profit, partially offset by lower investment income from AFG’s alternative investment portfolio (partnerships and similar investments and AFG-managed CLOs).

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The following table details AFG’s earnings before income taxes from its property and casualty insurance operations for the three months ended December 31, 2025 and 2024 (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

% Change

Gross written premiums

$

2,085 

$

2,043 

2

%

Reinsurance premiums ceded

(641)

(583)

10

%

Net written premiums

1,444 

1,460 

(1

%)

Change in unearned premiums

362 

390 

(7

%)

Net earned premiums

1,806 

1,850 

(2

%)

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

1,061 

1,181 

(10

%)

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

461 

467 

(1

%)

Underwriting gain

284 

202 

41

%

Net investment income

171 

195 

(12

%)

Other income and expenses, net

(15)

(19)

(21

%)

Earnings before income taxes

$

440 

$

378 

16

%

Three months ended December 31,

Combined Ratios:

2025

2024

Change

Specialty lines

Loss and LAE ratio

58.6

%

63.7

%

(5.1

%)

Underwriting expense ratio

25.5

%

25.3

%

0.2

%

Combined ratio

84.1

%

89.0

%

(4.9

%)

Aggregate — including exited lines

Loss and LAE ratio

58.8

%

63.8

%

(5.0

%)

Underwriting expense ratio

25.5

%

25.3

%

0.2

%

Combined ratio

84.3

%

89.1

%

(4.8

%)

AFG’s statutory combined ratio has been better than the U.S. industry average for 38 of the most recent 40 years. Management believes that AFG’s insurance operations have performed better than the industry as a result of its specialty niche focus, product line diversification, stringent underwriting discipline and alignment of compensation incentives.

AFG reports the underwriting performance of its Specialty property and casualty insurance business in the following sub-segments: (i) Property and transportation, (ii) Specialty casualty and (iii) Specialty financial.

Historically, AFG reported the results of its internal reinsurance facility (that assumes business from several of AFG’s Specialty property and casualty businesses) in an Other Specialty sub-segment. Beginning in 2025, the internal reinsurance results are included within the same sub-segments as the ceding businesses to align with senior management’s evolving view of the program. The overall results for AFG’s Specialty property and casualty insurance operations are not impacted by this change. Information from prior periods has been recast for consistent presentation.

To understand the overall profitability of particular lines, the timing of claims payments and the related impact of investment income must be considered. Certain “short-tail” lines of business (primarily property coverages) generally have quick loss payouts, which reduce the time funds are held, thereby limiting investment income earned thereon. In contrast, “long-tail” lines of business (primarily liability coverages and workers’ compensation) generally have payouts that are either structured over many years or take many years to settle, thereby significantly increasing investment income earned on related premiums received.

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Gross Written Premiums

Gross written premiums (“GWP”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were $2.09 billion for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $2.04 billion for the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $42 million (2%). Detail of AFG’s property and casualty gross written premiums is shown below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

GWP

%

GWP

%

% Change

Property and transportation

$

612 

29

%

$

585 

29

%

5

%

Specialty casualty

1,153 

55

%

1,126 

55

%

2

%

Specialty financial

320 

16

%

332 

16

%

(4

%)

$

2,085 

100

%

$

2,043 

100

%

2

%

Reinsurance Premiums Ceded

Reinsurance premiums ceded (“Ceded”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were 31% of gross written premiums for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 29% of gross written premiums for the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of 2 percentage points. Detail of AFG’s property and casualty reinsurance premiums ceded is shown below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

Change in % of GWP

Ceded

% of GWP

Ceded

% of GWP

Property and transportation

$

(214)

35

%

$

(177)

30

%

5

%

Specialty casualty

(357)

31

%

(353)

31

%

—

%

Specialty financial

(70)

22

%

(53)

16

%

6

%

$

(641)

31

%

$

(583)

29

%

2

%

Net Written Premiums

Net written premiums (“NWP”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were $1.44 billion for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $1.46 billion for the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $16 million (1%). Detail of AFG’s property and casualty net written premiums is shown below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

NWP

%

NWP

%

% Change

Property and transportation

$

398 

28

%

$

408 

28

%

(2

%)

Specialty casualty

796 

55

%

773 

53

%

3

%

Specialty financial

250 

17

%

279 

19

%

(10

%)

$

1,444 

100

%

$

1,460 

100

%

(1

%)

Net Earned Premiums

Net earned premiums (“NEP”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were $1.81 billion for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $1.85 billion for the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $44 million (2%). Detail of AFG’s property and casualty net earned premiums is shown below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

NEP

%

NEP

%

% Change

Property and transportation

$

735 

41

%

$

765 

41

%

(4

%)

Specialty casualty

812 

45

%

805 

44

%

1

%

Specialty financial

259 

14

%

280 

15

%

(8

%)

$

1,806 

100

%

$

1,850 

100

%

(2

%)

Gross written premiums for the fourth quarter of 2025 increased $42 million (2%) compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 driven primarily by new business opportunities, a good renewal rate environment and increased exposures. Overall average renewal rates increased approximately 4% in the fourth quarter of 2025. Excluding the workers’ compensation businesses, renewal pricing increased approximately 5%.

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Table of Contents

Property and transportation Gross written premiums increased $27 million (5%) in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. This increase was due primarily to growth in crop products that are heavily ceded, and to a lesser extent, growth in a transportation alternative risk transfer program with higher premium cessions. Average renewal rates increased approximately 6% for this group in the fourth quarter of 2025. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 5 percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting higher cessions in the crop and aviation businesses and growth in certain programs in the transportation businesses which cede a higher percentage of premiums than some of the other businesses in the Property and transportation sub-segment.

Specialty casualty Gross written premiums increased $27 million (2%) in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. The primary drivers of growth included new business opportunities and favorable renewal pricing in the targeted markets businesses, new business opportunities in the mergers and acquisitions liability business, growth in the workers’ compensation businesses and new premiums from a start-up business. This growth was tempered by lower year-over-year premiums in the executive liability and excess and surplus businesses. Average renewal rates for this group increased approximately 5% in the fourth quarter of 2025. Excluding workers’ compensation businesses, renewal rates for this group increased approximately 6%. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums for the fourth quarter of 2025 were comparable to the fourth quarter of 2024.

Specialty financial Gross written premiums decreased $12 million (4%) in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. Higher premiums in AFG’s European operations were more than offset by lower premiums in the financial institutions business. Average renewal rates for this group increased approximately 1% in the fourth quarter of 2025. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 6 percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting higher cessions of catastrophe exposed business in the financial institutions business.

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Combined Ratio

Performance measures such as the combined ratio are often used by property and casualty insurers to help users of their financial statements better understand the company’s performance. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss and loss adjustment expenses (“LAE”) and underwriting expense ratios. These ratios are calculated by dividing each of the respective expenses by net earned premiums. The table below (dollars in millions) details the components of the combined ratio and underwriting profit for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment:

Three months ended December 31,

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

Change

2025

2024

Property and transportation

Loss and LAE ratio

56.8

%

69.5

%

(12.7

%)

Underwriting expense ratio

13.8

%

20.0

%

(6.2

%)

Combined ratio

70.6

%

89.5

%

(18.9

%)

Underwriting profit

$

216 

$

81 

Specialty casualty

Loss and LAE ratio

68.7

%

67.2

%

1.5

%

Underwriting expense ratio

28.0

%

24.2

%

3.8

%

Combined ratio

96.7

%

91.4

%

5.3

%

Underwriting profit

$

27 

$

69 

Specialty financial

Loss and LAE ratio

32.0

%

38.1

%

(6.1

%)

Underwriting expense ratio

51.0

%

42.6

%

8.4

%

Combined ratio

83.0

%

80.7

%

2.3

%

Underwriting profit

$

44 

$

54 

Total Specialty

Loss and LAE ratio

58.6

%

63.7

%

(5.1

%)

Underwriting expense ratio

25.5

%

25.3

%

0.2

%

Combined ratio

84.1

%

89.0

%

(4.9

%)

Underwriting profit

$

287 

$

204 

Aggregate — including exited lines

Loss and LAE ratio

58.8

%

63.8

%

(5.0

%)

Underwriting expense ratio

25.5

%

25.3

%

0.2

%

Combined ratio

84.3

%

89.1

%

(4.8

%)

Underwriting profit

$

284 

$

202 

The Specialty property and casualty insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $287 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $204 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $83 million (41%). Higher underwriting profit in the Property and transportation sub-segment was partially offset by lower year-over-year underwriting profit in the Specialty casualty and Specialty financial sub-segments. Overall catastrophe losses were $4 million (0.2 points on the combined ratio) in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $21 million (1.1 points), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Property and transportation Underwriting profit for this group was $216 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $81 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $135 million (167%), reflecting higher underwriting profitability in the crop insurance operations resulting from record yields for corn and soybeans and favorable commodity pricing trends throughout the growing season. Catastrophe losses for this group were a favorable impact of less than $1 million (0.1 points on the combined ratio) in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to catastrophe losses of $10 million (1.3 points), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Specialty casualty Underwriting profit for this group was $27 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $69 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $42 million (61%). Higher year-over-year underwriting profit in certain excess and surplus businesses and the executive liability business were more than offset by lower underwriting results in several social inflation exposed businesses and the workers’ compensation and general liability businesses. Catastrophe losses for this group had favorable impacts of $3 million (0.3 points on the combined ratio) in the fourth

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Table of Contents

quarter of 2025 and $6 million (0.7 points) in the fourth quarter of 2024. Catastrophe losses in the fourth quarter of 2024 include the favorable impact from lower than previously estimated losses from Hurricane Helene.

Specialty financial Underwriting profit for this group was $44 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $54 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $10 million (19%). Higher underwriting profit in the fidelity business was more than offset by lower underwriting profit in the financial institutions business. Catastrophe losses were $7 million (2.5 points on the combined ratio) in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $17 million (6.2 points) in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Aggregate Aggregate underwriting results for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment include adverse prior year reserve development of $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 related to business outside of the Specialty group that AFG no longer writes.

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

AFG’s overall loss and LAE ratio was 58.8% for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 63.8% for the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of 5.0 percentage points. The components of AFG’s property and casualty losses and LAE amounts and ratio are detailed below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

Amount

Ratio

Change in Ratio

2025

2024

2025

2024

Property and transportation

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

437 

$

524 

59.6

%

68.5

%

(8.9

%)

Prior accident years development

(20)

(2)

(2.7

%)

(0.3

%)

(2.4

%)

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

— 

9 

(0.1

%)

1.3

%

(1.4

%)

Property and transportation losses and LAE and ratio

$

417 

$

531 

56.8

%

69.5

%

(12.7

%)

Specialty casualty

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

562 

$

503 

69.1

%

62.5

%

6.6

%

Prior accident years development

(1)

44 

(0.1

%)

5.4

%

(5.5

%)

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

(3)

(6)

(0.3

%)

(0.7

%)

0.4

%

Specialty casualty losses and LAE and ratio

$

558 

$

541 

68.7

%

67.2

%

1.5

%

Specialty financial

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

85 

$

98 

32.5

%

34.9

%

(2.4

%)

Prior accident years development

(9)

(8)

(3.0

%)

(3.0

%)

—

%

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

7 

17 

2.5

%

6.2

%

(3.7

%)

Specialty financial losses and LAE and ratio

$

83 

$

107 

32.0

%

38.1

%

(6.1

%)

Total Specialty

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

1,084 

$

1,125 

60.0

%

60.8

%

(0.8

%)

Prior accident years development

(30)

34 

(1.6

%)

1.8

%

(3.4

%)

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

4 

20 

0.2

%

1.1

%

(0.9

%)

Total Specialty losses and LAE and ratio

$

1,058 

$

1,179 

58.6

%

63.7

%

(5.1

%)

Aggregate — including exited lines

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

1,084 

$

1,125 

60.0

%

60.8

%

(0.8

%)

Prior accident years development

(27)

36 

(1.5

%)

1.9

%

(3.4

%)

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

4 

20 

0.3

%

1.1

%

(0.8

%)

Aggregate losses and LAE and ratio

$

1,061 

$

1,181 

58.8

%

63.8

%

(5.0

%)

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Table of Contents

Current accident year losses and LAE, excluding catastrophe losses

The current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophe losses for AFG’s Specialty property and casualty insurance operations was 60.0% for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 60.8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points.

Property and transportation   The 8.9 percentage points decrease in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses, reflects very strong earnings in the crop business, partially offset by higher claim severity in certain transportation businesses.

Specialty casualty   The 6.6 percentage points increase in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses, reflects higher than anticipated claim severity in the excess and surplus, social services and California workers’ compensation businesses.

Specialty financial   The 2.4 percentage points decrease in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses, reflects improved claim severity in the surety and fidelity businesses.

Net prior year reserve development

AFG’s Specialty property and casualty insurance operations recorded net favorable reserve development related to prior accident years of $30 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to net adverse reserve development related to prior accident years of $34 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, a change of $64 million (188%).

Property and transportation   Net favorable reserve development of $20 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 reflects lower than anticipated losses in the crop business and lower than anticipated claim severity in the commercial auto, property and inland marine and ocean marine businesses. Net favorable reserve development of $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects lower than anticipated losses in the crop business and lower than expected claim severity in the property and inland marine business, partially offset by higher than anticipated claim severity in the commercial auto business.

Specialty casualty   Net favorable reserve development of $1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 reflects lower than expected claim severity in the workers’ compensation, executive liability and social inflation exposed businesses, partially offset by higher than anticipated claim severity in the excess and surplus, excess liability and public sector businesses. Net adverse reserve development of $44 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects higher than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the umbrella and excess liability businesses and higher than expected claim severity in the social services and general liability businesses, partially offset by lower than expected claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses.

Specialty financial   Net favorable reserve development of $9 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 reflects lower than anticipated claim severity in the trade credit and surety businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency in the financial institutions business. Net favorable reserve development of $8 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the financial institutions business and lower than expected claim severity in the fidelity business.

Aggregate Aggregate net prior accident years reserve development for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment includes net adverse reserve development of $3 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 related to business outside of the Specialty group that AFG no longer writes.

Catastrophe losses

AFG generally seeks to reduce its exposure to catastrophes (whether resulting from climate change or otherwise) through individual risk selection, including minimizing coastal and known fault-line exposures, and the purchase of reinsurance. Based on data available at December 31, 2025, management estimates that AFG’s exposure to a catastrophic earthquake or windstorm that industry models indicate should statistically occur once in every 500 years is less than 3% of AFG’s Shareholders’ Equity.

Catastrophe losses of $4 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 resulted primarily from storms in multiple regions of the United States. Catastrophe losses of $20 million (before $1 million in net reinstatement premiums) in the fourth quarter of 2024 resulted primarily from Hurricane Milton.

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Commissions and Other Underwriting Expenses

AFG’s property and casualty commissions and other underwriting expenses (“U/W Exp”) were $461 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $467 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $6 million (1%). AFG’s underwriting expense ratio, calculated as commissions and other underwriting expenses divided by net premiums earned, was 25.5% for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 25.3% for the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of 0.2 percentage points. Detail of AFG’s property and casualty commissions and other underwriting expenses and underwriting expense ratios is shown below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

Change in % of NEP

U/W Exp

% of NEP

U/W Exp

% of NEP

Property and transportation

$

102 

13.8

%

$

153 

20.0

%

(6.2

%)

Specialty casualty

227 

28.0

%

195 

24.2

%

3.8

%

Specialty financial

132 

51.0

%

119 

42.6

%

8.4

%

$

461 

25.5

%

$

467 

25.3

%

0.2

%

Property and transportation   Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums decreased 6.2 percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. The improvement reflects higher ceding commissions from reinsurers resulting from very strong crop insurance results, partially offset by higher costs for software and other expenses associated with certain initiatives in IT security, customer experience and data analytics.

Specialty casualty   Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums increased 3.8 percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 reflecting an increase in average commission rates in certain excess and surplus businesses resulting from changes in reinsurance treaties, higher costs for software and other expenses associated with certain initiatives in IT security, customer experience and data analytics and changes in the mix of business.

Specialty financial   Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums increased 8.4 percentage points in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 reflecting higher profit-based commissions to agents in the financial institutions business and higher costs for software and other expenses associated with certain initiatives in IT security, customer experience and data analytics.

Property and Casualty Net Investment Income

Net investment income in AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations was $171 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $195 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $24 million (12%). The average invested assets and overall yield earned on investments held by AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations are provided below (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

%

2025

2024

Change

Change

Net investment income:

Net investment income, excluding alternative investments

$

165 

$

162 

$

3 

2

%

Alternative investments

6 

33 

(27)

(82

%)

Total net investment income

$

171 

$

195 

$

(24)

(12

%)

Average invested assets (at amortized cost)

$

16,520 

$

15,718 

$

802 

5

%

Yield on fixed maturities (before investment expenses)

5.11

%

5.09

%

0.02

%

Yield (net investment income as a % of average invested assets)

4.14

%

4.96

%

(0.82

%)

The decrease in the property and casualty insurance segment’s net investment income for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 reflects the impact of lower returns on AFG’s alternative investment portfolio (partnerships and similar investments and AFG-managed CLOs), partially offset by higher balances of invested assets and higher returns on fixed income investments. The property and casualty insurance segment’s overall yield on investments (net investment income as a percentage of average invested assets) was 4.14% for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 4.96% for the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of 0.82 percentage points. The annualized return

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earned on alternative investments was 0.9% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 4.9% in the comparable prior year period.

Property and Casualty Other Income and Expenses, Net

Other income and expenses, net for AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations was a net expense of $15 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $19 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, an improvement of $4 million (21%). The table below details the items included in other income and expenses, net for AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations (in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

Other income

$

3 

$

2 

Other expenses:

Amortization of intangibles

5 

6 

Interest expense on funds withheld

11 

12 

Other

2 

3 

Total other expenses

18 

21 

Other income and expenses, net

$

(15)

$

(19)

Holding Company, Other and Unallocated — Results of Operations

AFG’s net pretax loss outside of its property and casualty insurance segment (excluding realized gains and losses) totaled $54 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $48 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $6 million (13%).

The following table details AFG’s loss before income taxes from operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment for the three months ended December 31, 2025 and 2024 (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

% Change

Revenues:

Net investment income

$

7 

$

7 

—

%

Other income — P&C fees

27 

28 

(4

%)

Other income

4 

6 

(33

%)

Total revenues

38 

41 

(7

%)

Costs and Expenses:

P&C — loss adjustment and underwriting expenses

5 

13 

(62

%)

Other expense — expenses associated with P&C fees

22 

15 

47

%

Other expenses

42 

42 

—

%

Costs and expenses, excluding interest charges on borrowed money

69 

70 

(1

%)

Loss before income taxes, excluding realized gains and losses and interest charges on borrowed money

(31)

(29)

7

%

Interest charges on borrowed money

23 

19 

21

%

Loss before income taxes, excluding realized gains and losses

$

(54)

$

(48)

13

%

Holding Company and Other — Net Investment Income

AFG recorded net investment income on investments held outside of its property and casualty insurance segment of $7 million in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2024.

Holding Company and Other — P&C Fees and Related Expenses

Summit, a workers’ compensation insurance subsidiary, collects fees from a small group of unaffiliated insurers for providing underwriting, policy administration and claims services. In addition, certain of AFG’s property and casualty insurance businesses collect fees from customers for ancillary services such as workplace safety programs and premium financing. In the fourth quarter of 2025, AFG collected $27 million in fees for these services compared to $28 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. Management views this fee income, net of the $22 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $15 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 in expenses incurred to generate such fees, as a reduction in the cost of underwriting its property and casualty insurance policies. The expenses related to providing such services are embedded in property and casualty underwriting expenses. Consistent with internal management reporting, these fees and the

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related expenses are netted and recorded as a reduction of commissions and other underwriting expenses in AFG’s segmented results.

Holding Company and Other — Other Income

Other income in the table above includes $3 million and $4 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the fourth quarter of 2024, respectively, in management fees paid to AFG by the AFG-managed CLOs (AFG’s consolidated managed investment entities). The management fees are eliminated in consolidation — see the other income line in the Consolidate MIEs column under “Results of Operations — Segmented Statement of Earnings.” Excluding amounts eliminated in consolidation, AFG recorded other income outside of its property and casualty insurance segment of $1 million and $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the fourth quarter of 2024, respectively.

Holding Company and Other — Other Expenses

AFG’s holding companies and other operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment recorded other expenses of $42 million in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2024.

Holding Company and Other — Interest Charges on Borrowed Money

AFG’s holding companies and other operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment recorded interest expense of $23 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $19 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $4 million (21%) reflecting the issuance of $350 million principal amount of 5.00% Senior Notes in September 2025.

Realized Gains (Losses) on Securities

AFG’s realized gains (losses) on securities were net losses of $7 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $10 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease of $3 million (30%). Realized gains (losses) on securities consisted of the following (in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

Realized gains (losses) before impairment allowances:

Disposals

$

2 

$

— 

Change in the fair value of equity securities

(1)

3 

Change in the fair value of derivatives

— 

(3)

1 

— 

Change in allowance for impairments on securities

(8)

(10)

Realized gains (losses) on securities

$

(7)

$

(10)

The $3 million net realized gain from the change in the fair value of equity securities in the fourth quarter of 2024 includes gains of $4 million on investments in technology companies.

The $8 million change in allowance for impairments on securities in the fourth quarter of 2025 relates primarily to allowances on fixed maturities related to commercial real estate funds.

The $10 million change in allowance for impairments on securities in the fourth quarter of 2024 relates primarily to an allowance taken on fixed maturities from a single issuer in the retail sector.

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Table of Contents

Consolidated Income Taxes

AFG’s consolidated provision for income taxes was $80 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to $65 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase of $15 million (23%). The following is a reconciliation of income taxes at the statutory rate to the provision for income taxes as shown in the segmented statement of earnings (dollars in millions):

Three months ended December 31,

2025

2024

Amount

% of EBT

Amount

% of EBT

Earnings before income taxes (“EBT”)

$

379 

$

320 

Income taxes at statutory rate

$

79 

21

%

$

67 

21

%

Effect of:

State and local income taxes, net of federal income tax effect

1 

—

%

3 

1

%

Cross-border tax laws

1 

—

%

— 

—

%

Impact of nontaxable or nondeductible items:

Tax preference investments

(1)

—

%

(2)

(1

%)

Other

— 

—

%

(3)

(1

%)

Provision for income taxes

$

80 

21

%

$

65 

20

%

See Note L — “Income Taxes” to the financial statements for an analysis of items affecting AFG’s effective tax rate.

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Table of Contents

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS — YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2025, 2024 AND 2023

Segmented Statement of Earnings

AFG reports its operations as two segments: (i) Property and casualty insurance (“P&C”) and (ii) Other, which includes holding company costs and income and expenses related to the managed investment entities (“MIEs”).

AFG’s net earnings, determined in accordance with GAAP, include certain items that may not be indicative of its ongoing core operations. The following tables for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 identify such items by segment and reconcile net earnings to core net operating earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure that AFG believes is a useful tool for investors and analysts in analyzing ongoing operating trends (in millions):

Other

P&C

Consol. MIEs

Holding Co., other and unallocated

Total

Non-core reclass

GAAP Total

Year ended December 31, 2025

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

7,046 

$

— 

$

— 

$

7,046 

$

— 

$

7,046 

Net investment income

725 

(5)

25 

745 

— 

745 

Realized gains (losses) on:

Securities

— 

— 

— 

— 

10 

10 

Subsidiaries

— 

— 

— 

— 

1 

1 

Income of MIEs:

Investment income

— 

283 

— 

283 

— 

283 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

(26)

— 

(26)

— 

(26)

Other income

12 

(11)

114 

115 

— 

115 

Total revenues

7,783 

241 

139 

8,163 

11 

8,174 

Costs and Expenses:

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

4,388 

— 

— 

4,388 

— 

4,388 

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

2,029 

— 

30 

2,059 

— 

2,059 

Interest charges on borrowed money

— 

— 

80 

80 

— 

80 

Expenses of MIEs

— 

241 

— 

241 

— 

241 

Other expenses

79 

— 

229 

308 

25 

333 

Total costs and expenses

6,496 

241 

339 

7,076 

25 

7,101 

Earnings before income taxes

1,287 

— 

(200)

1,087 

(14)

1,073 

Provision for income taxes

264 

— 

(37)

227 

4 

231 

Core Net Operating Earnings

1,023 

— 

(163)

860 

Non-core earnings (loss) (*):

Realized gains (losses) on securities, net of tax

— 

— 

8 

8 

(8)

— 

Realized gain on subsidiaries, net of tax

1 

— 

— 

1 

(1)

— 

Special A&E charge, net of tax

— 

— 

(20)

(20)

20 

— 

Other

— 

— 

(7)

(7)

7 

— 

Net Earnings

$

1,024 

$

— 

$

(182)

$

842 

$

— 

$

842 

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Table of Contents

Other

P&C

Consol. MIEs

Holding Co., other and unallocated

Total

Non-core reclass

GAAP Total

Year ended December 31, 2024

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

7,036 

$

— 

$

— 

$

7,036 

$

— 

$

7,036 

Net investment income

784 

(33)

29 

780 

— 

780 

Realized gains (losses) on securities

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

Income of MIEs:

Investment income

— 

380 

— 

380 

— 

380 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

4 

— 

4 

— 

4 

Other income

8 

(13)

129 

124 

— 

124 

Total revenues

7,828 

338 

158 

8,324 

— 

8,324 

Costs and Expenses:

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

4,455 

— 

5 

4,460 

— 

4,460 

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

1,961 

— 

46 

2,007 

— 

2,007 

Interest charges on borrowed money

— 

— 

76 

76 

— 

76 

Expenses of MIEs

— 

338 

— 

338 

— 

338 

Other expenses

84 

— 

221 

305 

14 

319 

Total costs and expenses

6,500 

338 

348 

7,186 

14 

7,200 

Earnings before income taxes

1,328 

— 

(190)

1,138 

(14)

1,124 

Provision for income taxes

279 

— 

(43)

236 

1 

237 

Core Net Operating Earnings

1,049 

— 

(147)

902 

Non-core earnings (loss) (*):

Realized gains (losses) on securities, net of tax

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

— 

Special A&E charge, net of tax

— 

— 

(11)

(11)

11 

— 

Other

(4)

— 

— 

(4)

4 

— 

Net Earnings

$

1,045 

$

— 

$

(158)

$

887 

$

— 

$

887 

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Table of Contents

Other

P&C

Consol. MIEs

Holding Co., other and unallocated

Total

Non-core reclass

GAAP Total

Year ended December 31, 2023

Revenues:

Net earned premiums

$

6,531 

$

— 

$

— 

$

6,531 

$

— 

$

6,531 

Net investment income

729 

(27)

40 

742 

— 

742 

Realized gains (losses) on:

Securities

— 

— 

— 

— 

(36)

(36)

Subsidiary

— 

— 

— 

— 

(4)

(4)

Income of MIEs:

Investment income

— 

421 

— 

421 

— 

421 

Gain (loss) on change in fair value of assets/liabilities

— 

27 

— 

27 

— 

27 

Other income

16 

(16)

146 

146 

— 

146 

Total revenues

7,276 

405 

186 

7,867 

(40)

7,827 

Costs and Expenses:

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

4,017 

— 

16 

4,033 

— 

4,033 

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

1,883 

— 

52 

1,935 

— 

1,935 

Interest charges on borrowed money

— 

— 

76 

76 

— 

76 

Expenses of MIEs

— 

405 

— 

405 

— 

405 

Other expenses

72 

— 

219 

291 

14 

305 

Total costs and expenses

5,972 

405 

363 

6,740 

14 

6,754 

Earnings before income taxes

1,304 

— 

(177)

1,127 

(54)

1,073 

Provision for income taxes

265 

— 

(33)

232 

(11)

221 

Core Net Operating Earnings

1,039 

— 

(144)

895 

Non-core earnings (loss) (*):

Realized gains (losses) on securities, net of tax

— 

— 

(28)

(28)

28 

— 

Realized loss on subsidiary

(4)

— 

— 

(4)

4 

— 

Special A&E charge, net of tax

— 

— 

(12)

(12)

12 

— 

Gain on retirement of debt, net of tax

— 

— 

1 

1 

(1)

— 

Net Earnings

$

1,035 

$

— 

$

(183)

$

852 

$

— 

$

852 

(*)See the reconciliation of core earnings to GAAP net earnings under “Results of Operations — General” for details on the tax impacts of these reconciling items.

Property and Casualty Insurance Segment — Results of Operations

AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations contributed $1.29 billion in GAAP pretax earnings in 2025 compared to $1.33 billion in 2024, a decrease of $40 million (3%). Property and casualty core pretax earnings were $1.29 billion in 2025 compared to $1.33 billion in 2024, a decrease of $41 million (3%). The decrease in GAAP and core pretax earnings in 2025 compared to 2024 reflects lower net investment income from AFG’s alternative investment portfolio (partnerships and similar investments and AFG-managed CLOs), partially offset by higher underwriting profit and higher investment income outside of alternative investments.

AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations contributed $1.33 billion in GAAP pretax earnings in 2024 compared to $1.30 billion in 2023, an increase of $28 million (2%). Property and casualty core pretax earnings were $1.33 billion in 2024 compared to $1.30 billion in 2023, an increase of $24 million (2%). The increase in GAAP and core pretax earnings in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects higher investment income outside of alternative investments, partially offset by lower investment income from AFG’s alternative investment portfolio and lower underwriting profit.

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The following table details AFG’s GAAP and core earnings before income taxes from its property and casualty insurance operations for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

% Change

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

Gross written premiums

$

10,694 

$

10,533 

$

9,656 

2

%

9

%

Reinsurance premiums ceded

(3,584)

(3,394)

(2,964)

6

%

15

%

Net written premiums

7,110 

7,139 

6,692 

—

%

7

%

Change in unearned premiums

(64)

(103)

(161)

(38

%)

(36

%)

Net earned premiums

7,046 

7,036 

6,531 

—

%

8

%

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

4,388 

4,455 

4,017 

(2

%)

11

%

Commissions and other underwriting expenses

2,029 

1,961 

1,883 

3

%

4

%

Underwriting gain

629 

620 

631 

1

%

(2

%)

Net investment income

725 

784 

729 

(8

%)

8

%

Other income and expenses, net

(67)

(76)

(56)

(12

%)

36

%

Core earnings before income taxes

1,287 

1,328 

1,304 

(3

%)

2

%

Realized gain (loss) on subsidiaries

1 

— 

(4)

—

%

(100

%)

GAAP earnings before income taxes

$

1,288 

$

1,328 

$

1,300 

(3

%)

2

%

Year ended December 31,

Change

Combined Ratios:

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

Specialty lines

Loss and LAE ratio

62.2

%

63.3

%

61.5

%

(1.1

%)

1.8

%

Underwriting expense ratio

28.8

%

27.9

%

28.8

%

0.9

%

(0.9

%)

Combined ratio

91.0

%

91.2

%

90.3

%

(0.2

%)

0.9

%

Aggregate — including exited lines

Loss and LAE ratio

62.2

%

63.3

%

61.6

%

(1.1

%)

1.7

%

Underwriting expense ratio

28.8

%

27.9

%

28.8

%

0.9

%

(0.9

%)

Combined ratio

91.0

%

91.2

%

90.4

%

(0.2

%)

0.8

%

AFG reports the underwriting performance of its Specialty property and casualty insurance business in the following sub-segments: (i) Property and transportation, (ii) Specialty casualty and (iii) Specialty financial.

Historically, AFG reported the results of its internal reinsurance facility (that assumes business from several of AFG’s Specialty property and casualty businesses) in an Other Specialty sub-segment. Beginning in 2025, the internal reinsurance results are included within the same sub-segments as the ceding businesses to align with senior management’s evolving view of the program. The overall results for AFG’s Specialty property and casualty insurance operations are not impacted by this change. Information from prior periods has been recast for consistent presentation.

Gross Written Premiums

Gross written premiums (“GWP”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were $10.69 billion in 2025 compared to $10.53 billion in 2024, an increase of $161 million (2%). GWP increased $877 million (9%) in 2024 compared to 2023. Detail of AFG’s property and casualty gross written premiums is shown below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

% Change

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

GWP

%

GWP

%

GWP

%

Property and transportation

$

4,731 

44

%

$

4,735 

45

%

$

4,146 

43

%

—

%

14

%

Specialty casualty

4,620 

43

%

4,543 

43

%

4,368 

45

%

2

%

4

%

Specialty financial

1,343 

13

%

1,255 

12

%

1,142 

12

%

7

%

10

%

$

10,694 

100

%

$

10,533 

100

%

$

9,656 

100

%

2

%

9

%

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Reinsurance Premiums Ceded

Reinsurance premiums ceded (“Ceded”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were 34% of gross written premiums for the year ended December 31, 2025, 32% for year ended December 31, 2024 and 31% December 31, 2023, an increase of 2 percentage points for 2025 compared to 2024 and an increase of 1 percentage point for 2024 compared to 2023. Detail of AFG’s property and casualty reinsurance premiums ceded is shown below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

Change in % of GWP

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

Ceded

% of GWP

Ceded

% of GWP

Ceded

% of GWP

Property and transportation

$

(1,960)

41

%

$

(1,889)

40

%

$

(1,560)

38

%

1

%

2

%

Specialty casualty

(1,373)

30

%

(1,297)

29

%

(1,199)

27

%

1

%

2

%

Specialty financial

(251)

19

%

(208)

17

%

(205)

18

%

2

%

(1

%)

$

(3,584)

34

%

$

(3,394)

32

%

$

(2,964)

31

%

2

%

1

%

Net Written Premiums

Net written premiums (“NWP”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were $7.11 billion in 2025 compared to $7.14 billion in 2024, a decrease of $29 million. NWP increased $447 million (7%) in 2024 compared to 2023. Detail of AFG’s property and casualty net written premiums is shown below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

% Change

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

NWP

%

NWP

%

NWP

%

Property and transportation

$

2,771 

39

%

$

2,846 

40

%

$

2,586 

39

%

(3

%)

10

%

Specialty casualty

3,247 

46

%

3,246 

45

%

3,169 

47

%

—

%

2

%

Specialty financial

1,092 

15

%

1,047 

15

%

937 

14

%

4

%

12

%

$

7,110 

100

%

$

7,139 

100

%

$

6,692 

100

%

—

%

7

%

Net Earned Premiums

Net earned premiums (“NEP”) for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment were $7.05 billion in 2025 compared to $7.04 billion in 2024, an increase of $10 million. NEP increased $505 million (8%) in 2024 compared to 2023. Detail of AFG’s property and casualty net earned premiums is shown below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

% Change

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

NEP

%

NEP

%

NEP

%

Property and transportation

$

2,746 

39

%

$

2,826 

40

%

$

2,550 

39

%

(3

%)

11

%

Specialty casualty

3,215 

46

%

3,176 

45

%

3,112 

48

%

1

%

2

%

Specialty financial

1,085 

15

%

1,034 

15

%

869 

13

%

5

%

19

%

$

7,046 

100

%

$

7,036 

100

%

$

6,531 

100

%

—

%

8

%

Gross written premiums increased $161 million (2%) in 2025 compared to 2024. The Specialty property and casualty insurance operations continue to achieve year-over-year premium growth as a result of new business opportunities, a good renewal rate environment and increased exposures. Overall average renewal rates increased approximately 5% in 2025. Excluding the workers’ compensation businesses, renewal pricing increased approximately 6%.

The $877 million (9%) increase in gross written premiums in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects growth in each of the Specialty property and casualty sub-segments as a result of additional crop premiums from the CRS acquisition in the Property and transportation sub-segment and new business opportunities, increased exposures and a good renewal rate environment. Overall average renewal rates increased approximately 7% in 2024. Excluding the workers’ compensation businesses, renewal pricing increased approximately 8%.

Property and transportation Gross written premiums decreased $4 million in 2025 compared to 2024. This decrease was primarily the result of the impact of lower commodity prices on crop insurance premiums, partially offset by growth in the transportation businesses as a result of increased exposures, new business opportunities and a favorable rate environment. Average renewal rates increased approximately 7% for this group in 2025. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 1 percentage point in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting growth in certain programs in the transportation businesses which cede a higher percentage of premiums than some of the other businesses in the Property and transportation sub-segment and higher cessions in the crop and aviation businesses.

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Gross written premiums increased $589 million (14%) in 2024 compared to 2023. Year-over-year premium growth resulted from additional crop premium associated with the CRS acquisition as well as new business opportunities, a favorable rate environment and increased exposures in the commercial auto businesses. The year-over-year premium growth was tempered by the impact of lower year-over-year commodity pricing on winter wheat premiums, coupled with elevated pricing competition and the non-renewal of certain under-performing accounts in the transportation businesses. Excluding crop premium, gross and net written premiums in this group grew by 5% and 4%, respectively. Average renewal rates increased approximately 8% for this group in 2024. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 2 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023, reflecting the impact of higher cessions in the crop business and growth in certain programs in the transportation businesses which cede a larger percentage of premiums than some of the other businesses in the Property and transportation sub-segment.

Specialty casualty Gross written premiums increased $77 million (2%) in 2025 compared to 2024. The higher-year-over-year premiums resulted primarily from the mergers and acquisitions liability business and growth across several of the targeted markets businesses resulting from new business opportunities, higher rates and strong policy retention and growth in the workers’ compensation businesses. These items were partially offset by lower premiums in the excess and surplus businesses and lower premiums due to a challenging market in the directors’ and officers’ liability business as well as the continued non-renewal of certain housing and daycare accounts in the social services businesses. Average renewal rates increased approximately 6% for this group in 2025. Excluding workers’ compensation businesses, renewal rates for this group increased approximately 8% in 2025. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 1 percentage point in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting higher cessions and higher reinsurance costs in the excess liability business and growth in the public sector and mergers and acquisitions liability businesses, both of which cede a larger percentage of premiums than some of the other businesses in the Specialty casualty sub-segment.

Gross written premiums increased $175 million (4%) in 2024 compared to 2023. The higher year-over-year premiums resulted primarily from growth in the excess and surplus, excess liability and certain targeted markets businesses as a result of rate increases, new business opportunities and strong policy retention. The mergers and acquisitions liability business also benefited from an increase in mergers and acquisition activity. This growth was tempered by lower year-over-year workers’ compensation premiums. Average renewal rates increased approximately 6% for this group in 2024. Excluding overall rate decreases in the workers’ compensation businesses, renewal rates for this group increased approximately 9% in 2024. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 2 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023, reflecting the impact of higher premiums in the excess and surplus and mergers and acquisitions liability businesses, which cede a larger percentage of premiums than some of the other businesses in the Specialty casualty sub-segment and higher cessions in the public sector business, partially offset by lower cessions in certain more heavily reinsured products in the social services business.

Specialty financial Gross written premiums increased $88 million (7%) in 2025 compared to 2024 due primarily to growth in the financial institutions business and AFG’s European operations. Average renewal rates decreased approximately 1% for this group in 2025. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums increased 2 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting higher cessions of catastrophe exposed business in the financial institutions business, partially offset by the impact of lower reinstatement premiums paid to reinsurers in the fidelity and surety businesses.

Gross written premiums increased $113 million (10%) in 2024 compared to 2023. Year-over-year growth in the financial institutions business was partially offset by a decision to pause writing of new intellectual property-related coverage. Average renewal rates for this group increased approximately 6% in 2024. Reinsurance premiums ceded as a percentage of gross written premiums decreased 1 percentage point in 2024 compared to 2023, reflecting lower gross written premiums in the innovative markets business, which cedes a larger percentage of premiums than some of the other businesses in the Specialty financial sub-segment, partially offset by the impact of higher reinstatement premiums paid to reinsurers in the fidelity and surety businesses.

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Combined Ratio

The table below (dollars in millions) details the components of the combined ratio and underwriting profit for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment for 2025, 2024 and 2023:

Year ended December 31,

Change

Year ended December 31,

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

2025

2024

2023

Property and transportation

Loss and LAE ratio

67.1

%

69.8

%

69.5

%

(2.7

%)

0.3

%

Underwriting expense ratio

20.7

%

22.6

%

23.6

%

(1.9

%)

(1.0

%)

Combined ratio

87.8

%

92.4

%

93.1

%

(4.6

%)

(0.7

%)

Underwriting profit

$

335 

$

214 

$

174 

Specialty casualty

Loss and LAE ratio

66.9

%

64.4

%

61.5

%

2.5

%

2.9

%

Underwriting expense ratio

29.1

%

26.8

%

27.3

%

2.3

%

(0.5

%)

Combined ratio

96.0

%

91.2

%

88.8

%

4.8

%

2.4

%

Underwriting profit

$

129 

$

279 

$

348 

Specialty financial

Loss and LAE ratio

35.9

%

41.8

%

37.8

%

(5.9

%)

4.0

%

Underwriting expense ratio

48.5

%

45.4

%

49.4

%

3.1

%

(4.0

%)

Combined ratio

84.4

%

87.2

%

87.2

%

(2.8

%)

—

%

Underwriting profit

$

170 

$

133 

$

111 

Total Specialty

Loss and LAE ratio

62.2

%

63.3

%

61.5

%

(1.1

%)

1.8

%

Underwriting expense ratio

28.8

%

27.9

%

28.8

%

0.9

%

(0.9

%)

Combined ratio

91.0

%

91.2

%

90.3

%

(0.2

%)

0.9

%

Underwriting profit

$

634 

$

626 

$

633 

Aggregate — including exited lines

Loss and LAE ratio

62.2

%

63.3

%

61.6

%

(1.1

%)

1.7

%

Underwriting expense ratio

28.8

%

27.9

%

28.8

%

0.9

%

(0.9

%)

Combined ratio

91.0

%

91.2

%

90.4

%

(0.2

%)

0.8

%

Underwriting profit

$

629 

$

620 

$

631 

The Specialty property and casualty insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $634 million in 2025 compared to $626 million in 2024, an increase of $8 million (1%). Higher underwriting profit in the Property and transportation and Specialty financial sub-segments was partially offset by lower underwriting profit in the Specialty casualty sub-segment. Overall catastrophe losses were $137 million (2.0 points on the combined ratio) for 2025 compared to catastrophe losses of $182 million (2.6 points), including $2 million in net reinstatement premiums, for 2024.

The Specialty property and casualty insurance operations generated an underwriting profit of $626 million in 2024 compared to $633 million in 2023, a decrease of $7 million (1%). Higher underwriting profit in the Property and transportation and Specialty financial sub-segments was more than offset by lower underwriting profit in the Specialty casualty sub-segment. Overall catastrophe losses were $182 million (2.6 points on the combined ratio), including $2 million in net reinstatement premiums, for 2024 compared to catastrophe losses of $165 million (2.5 points), including $3 million in net reinstatement premiums, for 2023.

Property and transportation Underwriting profit for this group was $335 million in 2025 compared to $214 million in 2024, an increase of $121 million (57%) reflecting higher underwriting profitability in the crop insurance operations which benefitted from record yields for corn and soybeans and favorable commodity pricing trends throughout the growing season, partially offset by lower year-over-year underwriting profit in the property and inland marine business and transportation businesses. Catastrophe losses were $26 million (1.0 points on the combined ratio) in 2025 compared to catastrophe losses of $66 million (2.3 points), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums, in 2024.

Underwriting profit for this group was $214 million in 2024 compared to $174 million in 2023, an increase of $40 million (23%). Higher year-over-year underwriting profit in the property and inland marine and crop insurance operations was

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partially offset by lower underwriting profitability in the transportation businesses. Catastrophe losses were $66 million (2.3 points on the combined ratio), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums, in 2024 compared to catastrophe losses of $56 million (2.1 points), including $2 million in net reinstatement premiums, in 2023.

Specialty casualty Underwriting profit for this group was $129 million in 2025 compared to $279 million in 2024, a decrease of $150 million (54%), reflecting lower underwriting profit in the directors’ and officers’ liability, excess and surplus, mergers and acquisitions liability and workers’ compensation businesses. Catastrophe losses were $39 million (1.3 points on the combined ratio) in 2025 compared to catastrophe losses of $35 million (1.0 point), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums, in 2024.

Underwriting profit for this group was $279 million in 2024 compared to $348 million in 2023, a decrease of $69 million (20%). Higher year-over-year underwriting profit in the targeted markets businesses was more than offset by lower levels of favorable prior year reserve development in the executive liability business and social inflation driven adverse development in the umbrella and excess business. Catastrophe losses were $35 million (1.0 point on the combined ratio), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums, in 2024 compared to catastrophe losses of $59 million (1.9 points), including $1 million in net reinstatement premiums, in 2023.

Specialty financial Underwriting profit for this group was $170 million in 2025 compared to $133 million in 2024, an increase of $37 million (28%). This year-over-year increase reflects higher underwriting profit in the surety, fidelity and financial institutions businesses. Catastrophe losses were $72 million (6.6 points on the combined ratio) in 2025 compared to catastrophe losses of $81 million (7.9 points) in 2024.

Underwriting profit for this group was $133 million in 2024 compared to $111 million in 2023, an increase of $22 million (20%). This year-over-year increase reflects higher underwriting profit in the financial institutions business, partially offset by lower profitability resulting from the pause in writing of intellectual property-related coverage. Catastrophe losses were $81 million (7.9 points on the combined ratio) in 2024 compared to catastrophe losses of $50 million (5.7 points) in 2023.

Aggregate Aggregate underwriting results for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment include adverse prior year reserve development of $5 million in 2025, $6 million in 2024 and $2 million in 2023, related to business outside of the Specialty group that AFG no longer writes.

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Table of Contents

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

AFG’s overall loss and LAE ratio was 62.2%, 63.3% and 61.6% in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The components of AFG’s property and casualty losses and LAE amounts and ratio are detailed below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

Amount

Ratio

Change in Ratio

2025

2024

2023

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

Property and transportation

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

1,880 

$

2,003 

$

1,801 

68.4

%

70.9

%

70.6

%

(2.5

%)

0.3

%

Prior accident years development

(63)

(96)

(82)

(2.3

%)

(3.4

%)

(3.2

%)

1.1

%

(0.2

%)

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

26 

65 

54 

1.0

%

2.3

%

2.1

%

(1.3

%)

0.2

%

Property and transportation losses and LAE and ratio

$

1,843 

$

1,972 

$

1,773 

67.1

%

69.8

%

69.5

%

(2.7

%)

0.3

%

Specialty casualty

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

2,092 

$

1,974 

$

1,967 

65.0

%

62.2

%

63.2

%

2.8

%

(1.0

%)

Prior accident years development

20 

37 

(111)

0.6

%

1.2

%

(3.6

%)

(0.6

%)

4.8

%

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

39 

34 

58 

1.3

%

1.0

%

1.9

%

0.3

%

(0.9

%)

Specialty casualty losses and LAE and ratio

$

2,151 

$

2,045 

$

1,914 

66.9

%

64.4

%

61.5

%

2.5

%

2.9

%

Specialty financial

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

360 

$

362 

$

311 

33.2

%

35.0

%

35.8

%

(1.8

%)

(0.8

%)

Prior accident years development

(43)

(11)

(33)

(3.9

%)

(1.1

%)

(3.7

%)

(2.8

%)

2.6

%

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

72 

81 

50 

6.6

%

7.9

%

5.7

%

(1.3

%)

2.2

%

Specialty financial losses and LAE and ratio

$

389 

$

432 

$

328 

35.9

%

41.8

%

37.8

%

(5.9

%)

4.0

%

Total Specialty

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

4,332 

$

4,339 

$

4,079 

61.4

%

61.7

%

62.4

%

(0.3

%)

(0.7

%)

Prior accident years development

(86)

(70)

(226)

(1.2

%)

(1.0

%)

(3.4

%)

(0.2

%)

2.4

%

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

137 

180 

162 

2.0

%

2.6

%

2.5

%

(0.6

%)

0.1

%

Total Specialty losses and LAE and ratio

$

4,383 

$

4,449 

$

4,015 

62.2

%

63.3

%

61.5

%

(1.1

%)

1.8

%

Aggregate — including exited lines

Current year, excluding catastrophe losses

$

4,332 

$

4,339 

$

4,079 

61.5

%

61.7

%

62.4

%

(0.2

%)

(0.7

%)

Prior accident years development

(81)

(64)

(224)

(1.1

%)

(0.9

%)

(3.4

%)

(0.2

%)

2.5

%

Current year catastrophe losses including the impact of net reinstatement premiums

137 

180 

162 

1.8

%

2.5

%

2.6

%

(0.7

%)

(0.1

%)

Aggregate losses and LAE and ratio

$

4,388 

$

4,455 

$

4,017 

62.2

%

63.3

%

61.6

%

(1.1

%)

1.7

%

Current accident year losses and LAE, excluding catastrophe losses

The current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophe losses for AFG’s Specialty property and casualty insurance operations was 61.4% in 2025, 61.7% in 2024 and 62.4% in 2023.

Property and transportation   The 2.5 percentage points decrease in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses in 2025 compared to 2024, reflects very strong earnings in the crop business and growth and improved results in the property and inland marine business, which has a lower loss and LAE ratio than some of the other businesses in the Property and transportation sub-segment, partially offset by higher claim severity in the aviation business.

The 0.3 percentage point increase in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses in 2024 compared to 2023, reflects growth in the crop business, which has a higher loss and LAE ratio than some of the other businesses in the Property and transportation sub-segment and higher reported claim severity in the commercial auto business, partially offset by the impact of improved profitability in the property and inland marine business.

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Specialty casualty   The 2.8 percentage points increase in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses in 2025 compared to 2024, reflects higher than anticipated claim severity in the excess and surplus and social services businesses.

The 1.0 percentage point decrease in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses in 2024 compared to 2023, reflects improved results in the workers’ compensation and targeted markets businesses, partially offset by higher claim severity in the excess and surplus business.

Specialty financial   The 1.8 percentage points decrease in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses in 2025 compared to 2024, reflects improved results in the surety and fidelity businesses and growth in the financial institutions business, which has a lower loss and LAE ratio than some of the other businesses in the Specialty financial sub-segment, partially offset by growth in AFG’s European operations, which has a higher loss and LAE ratio than some of the other businesses in the Specialty financial sub-segment.

The 0.8 percentage point decrease in the loss and LAE ratio for the current year, excluding catastrophe losses in 2024 compared to 2023, reflects growth in the financial institutions business, which has a lower loss and LAE ratio than some of the other businesses in the Specialty financial sub-segment, partially offset by higher reported losses and lower premiums in the fidelity and surety businesses.

Net prior year reserve development

AFG’s Specialty property and casualty insurance operations recorded net favorable reserve development related to prior accident years of $86 million in 2025, $70 million in 2024 and $226 million in 2023, an increase of $16 million (23%) in 2025 compared to 2024 and a decrease of $156 million (69%) in 2024 compared to 2023.

Property and transportation Net favorable reserve development of $63 million in 2025 reflects lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim severity in the aviation and ocean marine businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the property and inland marine business.

Net favorable reserve development of $96 million in 2024 reflects lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim severity in the property and inland marine and aviation businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the ocean marine business.

Net favorable reserve development of $82 million in 2023 reflects lower than anticipated losses in the crop business, lower than expected claim frequency and severity across the transportation businesses and lower than anticipated claim frequency in the property and inland marine and ocean marine businesses and in the Singapore operations.

Specialty casualty Net adverse reserve development of $20 million in 2025 reflects higher than expected claim severity in the excess and surplus, social services, excess liability, public sector and general liability businesses, partially offset by lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation and executive liability businesses.

Net adverse reserve development of $37 million in 2024 reflects higher than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the umbrella and excess liability and social services businesses and higher than expected claim severity in the public sector and general liability businesses, partially offset by lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses and lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the executive liability business.

Net favorable reserve development of $111 million in 2023 reflects lower than anticipated claim severity in the workers’ compensation businesses, lower than expected claim frequency in the executive liability and environmental businesses and favorable reserve development related to COVID-19 losses across several businesses, partially offset by higher than anticipated claim severity in the public sector business and higher than expected claim frequency and severity in the excess liability and general liability businesses.

Specialty financial Net favorable reserve development of $43 million in 2025 reflects lower than anticipated claim frequency in the financial institutions business and lower than expected claim severity in the surety, fidelity and trade credit businesses.

Net favorable reserve development of $11 million in 2024 reflects lower than anticipated claim frequency and severity in the financial institutions and fidelity businesses and lower than expected claim frequency in the trade credit business, partially offset by higher than anticipated claim severity in the innovative markets and surety businesses.

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Table of Contents

Net favorable reserve development of $33 million in 2023 reflects lower than anticipated claim frequency in the trade credit, financial institutions and surety businesses and lower than expected claim frequency and severity in the fidelity business.

Aggregate Aggregate net prior accident years reserve development for AFG’s property and casualty insurance segment includes net adverse prior year reserve development of $5 million in 2025, $6 million in 2024 and $2 million in 2023 related to business outside the Specialty group that AFG no longer writes.

Catastrophe losses

AFG generally seeks to reduce its exposure to catastrophes (whether resulting from climate change or otherwise) through individual risk selection, including minimizing coastal and known fault-line exposures, and the purchase of reinsurance. AFG recorded net catastrophe losses of $137 million in 2025 primarily from California wildfires and storms in multiple regions of the United States.

Catastrophe losses of $180 million in 2024 (before $2 million in net reinstatement premiums) resulted primarily from winter and convective storms in multiple regions of the United States in the first and second quarters, Hurricane Helene in the third quarter and Hurricane Milton in the fourth quarter.

Catastrophe losses of $162 million in 2023 (before $3 million in net reinstatement premiums) resulted primarily from February and March storms across much of the United States in the first quarter and storms in multiple regions of the United States in the second, third and fourth quarters.

Commissions and Other Underwriting Expenses

AFG’s property and casualty commissions and other underwriting expenses (“U/W Exp”) were $2.03 billion in 2025 compared to $1.96 billion in 2024, an increase of $68 million (3%). AFG’s underwriting expense ratio was 28.8% in 2025 compared to 27.9% in 2024, an increase of 0.9 percentage points.

AFG’s property and casualty U/W Exp were $1.96 billion in 2024 compared to $1.88 billion in 2023, an increase of $78 million (4%). AFG’s underwriting expense ratio was 27.9% in 2024 compared to 28.8% in 2023, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points.

Detail of AFG’s property and casualty commissions and other underwriting expenses and underwriting expense ratios is shown below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

Change in % of NEP

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

U/W Exp

% of NEP

U/W Exp

% of NEP

U/W Exp

% of NEP

Property and transportation

$

568 

20.7

%

$

640 

22.6

%

$

603 

23.6

%

(1.9

%)

(1.0

%)

Specialty casualty

935 

29.1

%

852 

26.8

%

850 

27.3

%

2.3

%

(0.5

%)

Specialty financial

526 

48.5

%

469 

45.4

%

430 

49.5

%

3.1

%

(4.1

%)

$

2,029 

28.8

%

$

1,961 

27.9

%

$

1,883 

28.8

%

0.9

%

(0.9

%)

Property and transportation   Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums decreased 1.9 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024 reflecting higher ceding commissions from reinsurers resulting from very strong crop insurance results, partially offset by higher costs for software and other expenses associated with certain initiatives in IT security, customer experience and data analytics.

Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums decreased 1.0 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023 reflecting the impact on the ratio of higher earned premiums, including in the crop business which has a lower commissions and other underwriting expense ratio compared to some of the other businesses in the Property and transportation sub-segment and lower average commission rates in the transportation businesses due to a change in the mix of business.

Specialty casualty   Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums increased 2.3 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024 reflecting an increase in average commission rates in certain excess and surplus businesses resulting from changes in reinsurance treaties, higher costs for software and other expenses associated with certain initiatives in IT security, customer experience and data analytics and changes in the mix of business.

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Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums decreased 0.5 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023 reflecting a change in the mix of business towards products with lower commission rates, partially offset by lower ceding commissions received in the workers’ compensation businesses.

Specialty financial   Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums increased 3.1 percentage points in 2025 compared to 2024 reflecting higher profit-based commissions to agents in the financial institutions business and higher costs for software and other expenses associated with certain initiatives in IT security, customer experience and data analytics, partially offset by a change in the mix of business towards products with lower commission rates.

Commissions and other underwriting expenses as a percentage of net earned premiums decreased 4.1 percentage points in 2024 compared to 2023 due primarily to the impact on the ratio of higher earned premiums in the financial institutions business and a change in the mix of business towards products with lower commission rates.

Property and Casualty Net Investment Income

Net investment income in AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations was $725 million in 2025 compared to $784 million in 2024, a decrease of $59 million (8%). Net investment income in AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations was $784 million in 2024 compared to $729 million in 2023, an increase of $55 million (8%). The average invested assets and overall yield earned on investments held by AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations are provided below (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

2025

2024

2023

Change

% Change

Change

% Change

Net investment income:

Net investment income, excluding alternative investments

$

656 

$

626 

$

566 

$

30 

5

%

$

60 

11

%

Alternative investments

69 

158 

163 

(89)

(56

%)

(5)

(3

%)

Total net investment income

$

725 

$

784 

$

729 

$

(59)

(8

%)

$

55 

8

%

Average invested assets (at amortized cost)

$

16,144 

$

15,479 

$

14,753 

$

665 

4

%

$

726 

5

%

Yield on fixed maturities (before investment expenses)

5.13

%

5.02

%

4.67

%

0.11

%

0.35

%

Yield (net investment income as a % of average invested assets)

4.49

%

5.06

%

4.94

%

(0.57

%)

0.12

%

The decrease in the property and casualty insurance segment’s net investment income in 2025 compared to 2024 reflects the impact of lower returns on AFG’s alternative investments portfolio (partnerships and similar investments and AFG-managed CLOs), partially offset by higher balances of invested assets and higher returns on fixed income investments. The property and casualty insurance segment’s overall yield on investments (net investment income as a percentage of average invested assets) was 4.49% in 2025 compared to 5.06% in 2024, a decrease of 0.57 percentage points. The annualized return earned on alternative investments was 2.5% in 2025 compared to 6.1% in 2024.

The increase in net investment income in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects the impact of higher balances of invested assets and higher returns on fixed maturity investments, partially offset by lower returns on AFG’s alternative investments portfolio. The property and casualty insurance segment’s overall yield on investments was 5.06% in 2024 compared to 4.94% in 2023, an increase of 0.12 percentage points. The annualized return earned on alternative investments was 6.1% in 2024 compared to 7.0% in 2023.

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Property and Casualty Other Income and Expenses, Net

Other income and expenses, net for AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations was a net expense of $67 million in 2025, $76 million in 2024 and $56 million in 2023, an improvement of $9 million (12%) in 2025 compared to 2024 and an increase of $20 million (36%) in 2024 compared to 2023. The table below details the items included in other income and expenses, net for AFG’s property and casualty insurance operations (in millions):

Year ended December 31,

2025

2024

2023

Other income

$

12 

$

8 

$

16 

Other expenses:

Amortization of intangibles

20 

20 

15 

Interest expense on funds withheld

45 

50 

41 

Acquisition expenses related to CRS

— 

— 

3 

Other (*)

14 

14 

13 

Total other expenses

79 

84 

72 

Other income and expenses, net

$

(67)

$

(76)

$

(56)

(*)Includes $7 million in 2025 and $9 million of expenses in 2024 and 2023 related to certain technology initiatives.

The increase in other income in 2025 compared to 2024 and the decrease in other income in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects death benefits received on a company-owned life insurance policy in 2025 and 2023. The $5 million (10%) decrease in interest expense on funds withheld in 2025 compared to 2024 reflects the impact of lower balances and lower interest rates paid on funds withheld.

The higher amortization of intangibles in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects the acquisition of CRS in July 2023. The $9 million (22%) increase in interest expense on funds withheld in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects the impact of higher balances and higher interest rates paid on funds withheld.

Holding Company, Other and Unallocated — Results of Operations

AFG’s net GAAP pretax loss outside of its property and casualty insurance segment (excluding realized gains and losses) totaled $225 million in 2025 compared to $204 million in 2024, an increase of $21 million (10%). AFG’s net core pretax loss outside of its property and casualty insurance segment (excluding realized gains and losses) totaled $200 million in 2025 compared to $190 million in 2024, an increase of $10 million (5%).

AFG’s net GAAP pretax loss outside of its property and casualty insurance segment (excluding realized gains and losses) totaled $204 million in 2024 compared to $191 million in 2023, an increase of $13 million (7%). AFG’s net core pretax loss outside of its property and casualty insurance segment (excluding realized gains and losses) totaled $190 million in 2024 compared to $177 million in 2023, an increase of $13 million (7%).

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The following table details AFG’s GAAP and core loss before income taxes from operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment in 2025, 2024 and 2023 (dollars in millions):

Year ended December 31,

% Change

2025

2024

2023

2025 - 2024

2024 - 2023

Revenues:

Net investment income

$

25 

$

29 

$

40 

(14

%)

(28

%)

Other income — P&C fees

98 

111 

125 

(12

%)

(11

%)

Other income

16 

18 

21 

(11

%)

(14

%)

Total revenues

139 

158 

186 

(12

%)

(15

%)

Costs and Expenses:

P&C — loss adjustment and underwriting expenses

30 

51 

68 

(41

%)

(25

%)

Other expense — expenses associated with P&C fees

68 

60 

57 

13

%

5

%

Other expenses (*)

161 

161 

162 

—

%

(1

%)

Costs and expenses, excluding interest charges on borrowed money

259 

272 

287 

(5

%)

(5

%)

Loss before income taxes, excluding realized gains and losses and interest charges on borrowed money

(120)

(114)

(101)

5

%

13

%

Interest charges on borrowed money

80 

76 

76 

5

%

—

%

Core loss before income taxes, excluding realized gains and losses

(200)

(190)

(177)

5

%

7

%

Pretax non-core special A&E charge

(25)

(14)

(15)

79

%

(7

%)

Pretax non-core gain on retirement of debt

— 

— 

1 

—

%

(100

%)

GAAP loss before income taxes, excluding realized gains and losses

$

(225)

$

(204)

$

(191)

10

%

7

%

(*)Excludes pretax non-core special A&E charges of $25 million, $14 million and $15 million in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively, and a pretax non-core gain on retirement of debt of $1 million in 2023.

Holding Company and Other — Net Investment Income

AFG recorded net investment income on investments held outside of its property and casualty insurance segment of $25 million, $29 million and $40 million in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The $4 million (14%) decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 reflects lower income on fixed maturity investments. The $11 million (28%) decrease in 2024 compared to 2023 reflects the impact of lower average investment balances.

Holding Company and Other — P&C Fees and Related Expenses

Summit, a workers’ compensation insurance subsidiary, collects fees from a small group of unaffiliated insurers for providing underwriting, policy administration and claims services. In addition, certain of AFG’s property and casualty insurance businesses collect fees from customers for ancillary services such as workplace safety programs and premium financing. In 2025, AFG collected $98 million in fees for these services compared to $100 million in 2024 and $91 million in 2023. Management views this fee income, net of the $68 million in 2025, $60 million in 2024 and $57 million in 2023, in expenses incurred to generate such fees, as a reduction in the cost of underwriting its property and casualty insurance policies. In addition, AFG’s property and casualty insurance businesses earned $11 million in 2024 and $34 million in 2023 in fees as compensation for providing services related to the administration of crop insurance business generated by CRS for its former owner prior to the acquisition date. The expenses related to providing such services are embedded in property and casualty underwriting expenses. Consistent with internal management reporting, these fees and the related expenses are netted and recorded as a reduction of commissions and other underwriting expenses in AFG’s segmented results.

Holding Company and Other — Other Income

Other income in the table above includes $11 million in 2025, $13 million in 2024 and $16 million in 2023, in management fees paid to AFG by the AFG-managed CLOs (AFG’s consolidated managed investment entities). The management fees are eliminated in consolidation — see the other income line in the Consolidate MIEs column under “Results of Operations — Segmented Statement of Earnings.” Excluding amounts eliminated in consolidation, AFG recorded other income outside of its property and casualty insurance segment of $5 million in 2025, 2024 and 2023.

Holding Company and Other — Other Expenses

Excluding the non-core special A&E charges discussed below, AFG’s holding companies and other operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment recorded other expenses of $161 million in both 2025 and 2024.

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Excluding the non-core special A&E charges and the non-core gain on retirement of debt discussed below, AFG’s holding companies and other operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment recorded other expenses of $161 million in 2024 compared to $162 million in 2023, a decrease of $1 million (1%).

Holding Company and Other — Interest Charges on Borrowed Money

AFG’s holding companies and other operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment recorded interest expense of $80 million in 2025 and $76 million in both 2024 and 2023. The $4 million (5%) increase in interest expense in 2025 compared to 2024 and 2023 reflects the issuance of $350 million principal amount of 5.00% Senior Notes in September 2025.

Holding Company and Other — Special A&E Charges

As a result of the in-depth internal reviews of A&E exposures discussed under “Uncertainties — Asbestos and Environmental-related (“A&E”) Insurance Reserves,” AFG’s holding companies and other operations outside of its property and casualty insurance segment recorded pretax non-core special charges of $25 million in 2025, $14 million in 2024 and $15 million in 2023 to increase liabilities related to the A&E exposures of AFG’s former railroad and manufacturing operations. The charges in all periods reflect changes in the scope and costs of investigation and an increase in estimated remediation costs at a limited number of sites. AFG has also increased its reserve for asbestos and toxic substance exposures arising out of these operations. Total charges recorded to increase liabilities for A&E exposures of AFG’s former railroad and manufacturing operations (included in other expenses) were $35 million in 2025, $24 million in 2024, and $22 million in 2023.

Holding Company and Other — Gain on Retirement of Debt

During 2023, AFG repurchased $23 million principal amount of its senior notes, which resulted in a $2 million pretax non-core gain and recorded a $1 million pretax non-core loss related to the write-off of debt issue costs associated with its previous revolving credit facility, which was replaced in June 2023.

Realized Gains (Losses) on Securities

AFG’s realized gains (losses) on securities were net gains of $10 million in 2025 compared to less than $1 million in 2024, an increase of $10 million. AFG’s consolidated realized gains (losses) on securities were net gains of less than $1 million in 2024 compared to net losses of $36 million in 2023, a change of $36 million. Realized gains (losses) on securities consisted of the following (in millions):

Year ended December 31,

2025

2024

2023

Realized gains (losses) before impairment allowances:

Disposals

$

(7)

$

(4)

$

(33)

Change in the fair value of equity securities

31 

32 

10 

Change in the fair value of derivatives

2 

(1)

(2)

26 

27 

(25)

Change in allowance for impairments on securities

(16)

(27)

(11)

Realized gains (losses) on securities

$

10 

$

— 

$

(36)

The $33 million net realized loss from disposals in 2023 includes losses of $15 million from the sale of investments in banks and $5 million from the sale of municipal bonds.

The $31 million net realized gain from the change in the fair value of equity securities in 2025 includes gains of $16 million on investments in banks and financing companies and $14 million on investments in media companies, partially offset by losses of $7 million on investments in healthcare companies.

The $32 million net realized gain from the change in the fair value of equity securities in 2024 includes gains of $21 million on investments in banks and financing companies, $8 million on investments in natural gas companies and $5 million on investments in technology companies, partially offset by losses of $6 million on investments in energy companies.

The $10 million net realized gain from the change in the fair value of equity securities in 2023 includes gains of $8 million on investments in retail companies, $7 million on investments in banks and financing companies, $5 million on investments in capital goods companies and $4 million on investments in natural gas companies, partially offset by losses of $8 million on investments in media companies and $6 million on investments in energy companies.

The $16 million change in allowance for impairments on securities in 2025 reflects $7 million in new allowances on fixed

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maturities related to commercial real estate funds and additional $7 million of changes in allowances for various securities and mortgage loans that were previously impaired.

The $27 million change in allowance for impairments on securities in 2024 relates primarily to allowances taken on corporate bonds from a single issuer in the financial sector and fixed maturities from a single issuer in the retail sector.

Realized Gain (Loss) on Subsidiaries

During the third quarter of 2025, AFG recorded a $3 million pretax realized gain resulting from the remeasurement of its existing investment in Radion to fair value (see Note B — “Acquisitions of Businesses” to the financial statements) and a $2 million pretax realized loss on the write-off of certain intangible assets (see Note H — “Goodwill and Other Intangibles” to the financial statements).

In the second quarter of 2024, AFG recorded $4 million in net tax expense related to a pending IRS settlement regarding the sale of a subsidiary in a prior year.

In the third quarter of 2023, AFG recorded a realized loss on subsidiary of $4 million, consisting of a $26 million goodwill impairment charge, partially offset by a $22 million reduction in the fair value of a contingent consideration liability, both related to AFG’s investment in Verikai. See Note D — “Fair Value Measurements” and Note H — “Goodwill and Other Intangibles” to the financial statements.

Consolidated Income Taxes

AFG’s consolidated provision for income taxes was $231 million in 2025 compared to $237 million in 2024, a decrease of $6 million (3%). AFG’s consolidated provision for income taxes was $237 million in 2024 compared to $221 million in 2023, an increase of $16 million (7%). See Note L — “Income Taxes” to the financial statements for an analysis of items affecting AFG’s effective tax rate.

RECENTLY ADOPTED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS

See Note L — “Income Taxes” to the financial statements for accounting guidance adopted on January 1, 2025, which expanded income tax disclosures by requiring (i) consistent categories and greater disaggregation of information in the rate reconciliation presented in both dollar and percentage terms; (ii) the disaggregation of income taxes paid (net of refunds received), income (loss) before income taxes and income taxes by jurisdiction (federal, state and foreign taxes); and (iii) further disaggregation of income taxes paid by any individual jurisdiction equal to or exceeding five percent of total income taxes paid.

ACCOUNTING STANDARDS TO BE ADOPTED

In November 2024, the FASB issued ASU No. 2024-03 (“ASU 2024-03”), Income Statement — Reporting Comprehensive Income — Expense Disaggregation Disclosures (Subtopic 220-40): Disaggregation of Income Statement Expenses. ASU 2024-03 requires additional information and disaggregation of specified expense categories in the notes to financial statements. ASU 2024-04 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2026, and interim periods within fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2027, with early adoption permitted and applied either prospectively or retrospectively. As of December 31, 2025, AFG has not adopted ASU 2024-03. Management is evaluating the impact of the standard to AFG’s income statement expense disclosures. Since ASU 2024-03 only requires additional disclosures, the adoption of this guidance will not have an impact on AFG’s results of operations or financial condition.

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