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Analysis reports

Macro trend summaries

Current factual readings and changes from selected public-domain macro indicator series.

Descriptive change summary — not a forecast or advice. Mechanical change summary from FRED indicator observations; not a forecast, recommendation, endorsement, or investment judgment. As of: 2026-07-28. See Disclaimer.

IndicatorLatestLatest DateComparisonPrior ValuePrior DateChangePercent ChangeDirectionStatusFactual ContextSource
CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average332.5682026-06-01one year earlier321.4352025-06-01+11.1333.46%higherCPI's 12-month index change is 3.46%.FRED source
UNRATE - Unemployment Rate4.22026-06-01one year earlier4.12025-06-01+0.12.44%higherUnemployment rate is higher at 4.2%.FRED source
FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate3.632026-06-01one year earlier4.332025-06-01-0.7-16.17%lowerThe latest reading is lower versus the comparison point.FRED source
T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity0.352026-07-28previous observation0.342026-07-27+0.012.94%highernonnegative spread (not inverted)The 10-year minus 2-year spread is nonnegative spread (not inverted) at 0.35 percentage points.FRED source
GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product24,180.4192026-01-01four quarters earlier23,548.212025-01-01+632.2092.68%higherThe latest reading is higher versus the comparison point.FRED source
RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade768,5532026-06-01one year earlier720,1642025-06-01+48,3896.72%higherThe latest reading is higher versus the comparison point.FRED source
PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm158,9842026-06-01one year earlier158,4782025-06-01+5060.32%higherThe latest reading is higher versus the comparison point.FRED source
HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units1,4272026-06-01one year earlier1,3792025-06-01+483.48%higherThe latest reading is higher versus the comparison point.FRED source

Recent Series Charts

CPIAUCSL

CPIAUCSL recent series. Source: FRED CPIAUCSL.CPIAUCSL recent series. Source: FRED CPIAUCSL.CPIAUCSL recent seriesLatest point: 2026-06-01 = 333Source: FRED CPIAUCSL.Observation dateIndex 1982-1984=1000.00200.00400.00

UNRATE

UNRATE recent series. Source: FRED UNRATE.UNRATE recent series. Source: FRED UNRATE.UNRATE recent seriesLatest point: 2026-06-01 = 4.20%Source: FRED UNRATE.Observation datePercent (%)0.0%3.0%6.0%

FEDFUNDS

FEDFUNDS recent series. Source: FRED FEDFUNDS.FEDFUNDS recent series. Source: FRED FEDFUNDS.FEDFUNDS recent seriesLatest point: 2026-06-01 = 3.63%Source: FRED FEDFUNDS.Observation datePercent (%)0.0%3.0%6.0%

T10Y2Y

T10Y2Y recent series. Source: FRED T10Y2Y.T10Y2Y recent series. Source: FRED T10Y2Y.T10Y2Y recent seriesLatest point: 2026-07-28 = 0.35%Source: FRED T10Y2Y.Observation datePercent (%)0.0%1.0%2.0%

GDPC1

GDPC1 recent series. Source: FRED GDPC1.GDPC1 recent series. Source: FRED GDPC1.GDPC1 recent seriesLatest point: 2026-01-01 = 24,180Source: FRED GDPC1.Observation dateBillions of Chained 2017 Dollars0.0013,550.0027,100.00

RSAFS

RSAFS recent series. Source: FRED RSAFS.RSAFS recent series. Source: FRED RSAFS.RSAFS recent seriesLatest point: 2026-06-01 = 768,553Source: FRED RSAFS.Observation dateMillions of Dollars0.00430,400.00860,800.00

PAYEMS

PAYEMS recent series. Source: FRED PAYEMS.PAYEMS recent series. Source: FRED PAYEMS.PAYEMS recent seriesLatest point: 2026-06-01 = 158,984Source: FRED PAYEMS.Observation dateThousands of Persons0.0089,050.00178,100.00

HOUST

HOUST recent series. Source: FRED HOUST.HOUST recent series. Source: FRED HOUST.HOUST recent seriesLatest point: 2026-06-01 = 1,427Source: FRED HOUST.Observation dateThousands of Units0.00900.001,800.00