Macro trend summaries
Current factual readings and changes from selected public-domain macro indicator series.
Descriptive change summary — not a forecast or advice. Mechanical change summary from FRED indicator observations; not a forecast, recommendation, endorsement, or investment judgment. As of: 2026-10-02. See Disclaimer.
| Indicator | Latest | Latest Date | Comparison | Prior Value | Prior Date | Change | Percent Change | Direction | Status | Factual Context | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPIAUCSL - Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average | 334.131 | 2026-08-01 | one year earlier | 323.291 | 2025-08-01 | +10.84 | 3.35% | higher | CPI's 12-month index change is 3.35%. | FRED source | |
| UNRATE - Unemployment Rate | 4.2 | 2026-09-01 | one year earlier | 4.4 | 2025-09-01 | -0.2 | -4.55% | lower | Unemployment rate is lower at 4.2%. | FRED source | |
| FEDFUNDS - Federal Funds Effective Rate | 3.75 | 2026-09-01 | one year earlier | 4.22 | 2025-09-01 | -0.47 | -11.14% | lower | The latest reading is lower versus the comparison point. | FRED source | |
| T10Y2Y - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity | 0.45 | 2026-10-02 | previous observation | 0.46 | 2026-10-01 | -0.01 | -2.17% | lower | nonnegative spread (not inverted) | The 10-year minus 2-year spread is nonnegative spread (not inverted) at 0.45 percentage points. | FRED source |
| GDPC1 - Real Gross Domestic Product | 24,408.011 | 2026-04-01 | four quarters earlier | 23,884.563 | 2025-04-01 | +523.448 | 2.19% | higher | The latest reading is higher versus the comparison point. | FRED source | |
| RSAFS - Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade | 737,763 | 2026-08-01 | one year earlier | 700,218 | 2025-08-01 | +37,545 | 5.36% | higher | The latest reading is higher versus the comparison point. | FRED source | |
| PAYEMS - All Employees, Total Nonfarm | 159,044 | 2026-09-01 | one year earlier | 158,548 | 2025-09-01 | +496 | 0.31% | higher | The latest reading is higher versus the comparison point. | FRED source | |
| HOUST - New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units | 1,275 | 2026-08-01 | one year earlier | 1,291 | 2025-08-01 | -16 | -1.24% | lower | The latest reading is lower versus the comparison point. | FRED source |